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Affidavit One,General Character of Public Behavior in Emergencies.* Statement of Prof Qualifications Encl
ML20205N263
Person / Time
Site: Seabrook  NextEra Energy icon.png
Issue date: 03/25/1987
From: Mileti D
COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, PUBLIC SERVICE CO. OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
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OL, NUDOCS 8704020639
Download: ML20205N263 (46)


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Dated: March 25, 1986 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION before the ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD

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In the Matter.of )

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PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF ) Docket Nos. 50-443-OL NEW HAMPSHIRE, et al. ) 50-444-OL

) Off-site. Emergency (Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2) ) Planning Issues l

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Affidavit one THE GENERAL CHARACTER OF PUBLIC BEHAVIOR IN EMERGENCIES Dennis S. Mileti i

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8704020639 870325 PDR ADOCK 05000443 0 PDR 1

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page

1. General Public Response Principles . . . . . . . 3
2. Ride Sharing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3. Spontaneous Sheltering . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4. Evacuation Impediments. . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1. General Public Response Principles Human response to emergencies has been a topic of investigation by social scientists for approximately three l l

decades. Many studies have been performed in a variety of  !

emergencies stemming from geological, climatological, and  ;

technological phenomena, and has been documented in a vast body of emergency literature. This research history has covered many aspects of human behavior in emergencies; and there have been several attempts to summarize the findings of the hundreds of existing studies (see, for example,.

Thomas E. Drabek, 1986. Human System Responses to Disaster:

An Inventory of Sociological Findings. New York:

Springer-Verlag; Dennis S. Mileti, Thomas E. Drabek and J.

Eugene Haas, 1975. Human Systems in Extreme Environments.

Boulder: University of Colorado). An important component of this work has been to investigate the behavior of people within the community at risk in response to an emergency.

Although additional research will continue, the record is clear with respect to the response of members of the public at risk in times of emergency. I an confident that the principles of public response discussed below -- well l

established through decades of research and investigation --

would be applicable in the event of an emergency at a (

I nuclear facility such as the Seabrook Nuclear Power Plant.

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Emergencies are by definition, and in reference to human behavior, unique situations. Emergencies which pose a 3-t .

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-collective threat to an entire community are, behaviorally, in a class by themselves. Mass emergencies such as these transform communities behaviorally at both the group and individual levels. Priorities of ongoing social life shift, goals and objectives are transformed, and identification change. The first priority for virtually all people who find themselves in such a collective threat situation becomes the collective safety of people and the community at large. People abandon personal forms of identification and personal interests, and they identify with the entire human collective or community that is threatened. This " shift" in the human character has come to be known by many names, for example, the "theraputic community" (see Alan H. Barton, 1969. Communities in Disaster: A Sociological Analysis of Collective Stress Situations. Garden City, New York:

Doubleday).

The change or " shift" in the social psychological complexion of social life and human behavior results in a variety of principals that emerge to document the character of emergency behavior. This include, for example, a dramatic decline in acts and behavior that run counter to the good of the collective and those that are based in individual or personal interests, and a dramatic increase in acts and behavior that bring people together and help one 4 another. This " shift" would undoubtedly occur in an emergency at the Seabrook Plant; it has occurred in every

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4 comparable emergency studied by social scientists where it has been a topic of investigation (and has been evidenced even in emergencies where it was not formally a topic of investigation). This general shift in human behavior in emergencies should be considered in planning for emergencies since it will characterize the basis for human behavior in future emergencies.

The results of actual empirical research on human behavior in mass emergencies provides clear guidelines for planning for future emergencies. Public behavior is rational, and the emergency goals of helping themselves as well as others take precedence over almost all else; the character of human spirit is strong when faced with mass emergencies and most people rise to the occasion. In simple terms, the " thin-veneer of civilization" is not stripped from humanity when mass emergencies are experienced (as one -

would conclude from observing disaster movies); it is in fact strengthened.

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2. Ride Sharing People in emergencies become altruistic and concerned about the safety of others. Consequently, people check on the safety of others; communicate with friends, neighbors I

and intimates; and offer help and assistance to each other.

Further, evacuation can be generally characterized as a group behavior, rather than a behavior in which people engage as individuals. People generally exhibit -- as a consequence of becoming altruistic and concerned about the

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safety of others -- a tendency to form into groups prior to and for the purpose of evacuation.

Historically, in emergencies where evacuation has been recommended, people without transportation have obtained evacuation transportation from friends, neighbors and relatives. This is the case because of the natural tendency of people in emergencies to check on the safety of others, to become altruistic and offer help to those who need it, and to form groups for evacuation. Therefore, in the event of an emergency at Seabrook necessitating evacuation, I '

regardless of the reason for lack of personal private transportation, the vast majority of evacuees without their own transportation would receive transportation from other evacuees. This would likely be particularly true for people whom others (e.g., friends, neighbors and relatives) know not to own a car or to have a car which is out of the EPZ -

for example, because of a working spouse. Thus, the number l

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evacuation a day. Some of thete involve major events'in which a large number of people ' evacuate; and evacuatioh -

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research on emergencies has been performed.for over thirty ,

years. Despite the volume of the research record, I'know of

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no emergency evacuation case in which the l'ack of ' '-

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act of evacuation for persons who wished to evacuate. This,' ,

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nuclear power plants. It does, hosever, suggest'taat the 'V planning assumption that 50% of th6se without thetr'own s N

transportation would receive rides from other evacuneFis a y

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very conser9ative assumption. y something very unique about the population in questi'on (fork e.

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kept them from owning motor vehicles), 80% would be a B conservative planning assumption.

In summary, based on an extensive history of human behavior in emergencies, I am confident that -- in the event 4

I' of an evacuation due to an emergency at the Seabrook Plant

-- the vast majority of evacuees without thejr own

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'3 . Spontaneous Sheltering The general principles of' human behavior in emergencies which I have already discussed are applicable to all types of mass emergencies, and have been observed in all climatological, geological and technological emergencies ever systematically investigated by social scientists including the Three Mile' Island accident. Interestingly, another frequent research finding is that many people are surprised, as they reflect back on their emergency experience, that they.did'not observe what they might have expected to observe, for example, panic, hysteria, selfish acts, conflicts over scarce resources, and so on.

Expectations about human behavior in emergencies by most i

Americans are quite inconsistent and even the antitheses of actual human emergency behavior. The " myths" which permeate our society about emergency behavior are strong and likely explain why most people who experience an emergency are surprised.to learn that "when the chips were down in our community people really pitched in to do their part and help one another." More often than not, locals attribute this inconsistency between what they would have expected and what

they experienced to the " uni q+ " c.aracter of their community's citizens. In iv.c, _
  • is the general universal character of people which leads to what is observed.

One consequence of the existence of strong myths in American culture about emergency behavior is that these

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O myths can manifest themselves in a variety of specific concerns as planning occurs for future emergencies. The underlying and incorrect thesis on:which these specific concerns rests is typically.that emergencies bring out the

" worst" in people who become more irrational, selfish, aberrant, helpless and so on. The empirical facts are that emergencies bring out the "best" in people who become more rational, altruistic, compassionate, helpful and_so on.

The notion that strangers would be left outside in an emergency at Seabrook in which sheltering were the advised protective action is a concern that illustrates how particular " problems" are imagined in future emergencies because those raising the concern are basing their view on American " myths" about behavior in mass emergencies instead of empirical fact.

I do not fault Americans for subscribing to the incorrect thesis about emergency behavior. Hollywood movies and script writers have donc little to dispel myths about such behavior, and, in fact, are a likely cause of their reinforcement. Nevertheless. nmergency planning should be based on fact and not fiction, t

It is inconceivable that people (be they shopkeepers, hotel operators, therater managers or merely citizens in their homes) would lock people out were a sheltering advisory issued at Seabrook and people were " stranded" outside. The reverse would occur as people would encourage

those outside to seek shelter in the buildings which they occupied. It is equally inconceivable that persons outside would engage in aberrant behavior in an attempt to get inside. The only aggressive behavior that could occur in such a circumstance would be on the part of those inside encouraging those outside to share their shelter.

Unfortunately, I know of no specific studies to point to which would empirically document these phenomena. The reason no studies on this specific issue exist, however, is that it has never been a problem in the hundreds of emergencies researched. There are, however, dozens upon dozens of studies which illustrate the generic principle of how people help one another in emergencies and share the resources available with those who need them. The prototypical conclusions are illustrated as follows:

"As a specialized aspect of the overall community response pattern, heightened levels of solidarity have been reported repratedly" (cf. Thomas E.

Drabek, 1986, Human System Responses to Disaster:

An Inventory of Sociological Findings. New York:

Springer-Verlag).

i " Previous intergroup differences are lessened, cooperation and social solidarity are heightened..." (cf. Nicholas J. Demerath and Anthony J.C. Wallace, 1957, " Human Adaptation to Disaster" Human Organization 16, Summer: 1-2).

"... disasters create unity rather than disorganization...a set of norms which encourages and reinforces community members to act in an altruistic fashion develops; also, a disaster minimizes conflict..." (Russell R. Dynes, 1970 a.

Organized Behavior in Disaster. Lexington, Massachusetts: Health Lexington Books, page 98).

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These illustrative conclusions are prototypical of hundreds of others. Individually and collectively that suggest that it is beyond the realm of human possibility to conceive of an emergency at Seabrook in which anyone would be " locked out" when sheltering was advised.

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4. Evacuation Impediments I have already addressed a general description of human response to emergencies as well as provided some thoughts about how American myths about emergency behavior are quite at odds with empirical scientific fact. I have also illustrated how the " facts" of behavior in emergencies would

] likely manifest themselves in terms of ride sharing and spontaneous sheltering were there an emergency at the Seabrook Plant. In this section of my affidavit, I will address the concern that evacuees would not be able to deal with evacuation impediments, such as stalled cars, on the

highway or accidents.

} I shall not be repetitive. The same theory about human i

response in emergencies which I have already elaborated upon.

l is quite applicable to this concern.

The public is not helpless in emergencies as would be suggested by the thesis underlying " myths" about emergency behavior. In fact, the public is an actual' resource in emergencies. In fact, it is the case in most emergencies, i

for example, that most search and and rescue activities to help victims are actually carried out by other victims.

"... studies have consistently shown that initial search and rescue work is carried out by persons who are in the impact area and that formal rescue organizatior.o become involved at a later point..." (cf. Dennis S. Mileti, 1975, Disaster i

Relief and Rehabilitation in the United States: A Research l

Assessment. Boulder: University of Colorado, page 9). j The point is a simple one. The public in an emergency is not-helpless, awaiting for a formal organization to solve the problems which are presented by the emergency. In fact, most emergency problems are solved by the public. Search and rescue is an example of this principle. ~ Pushing incapacitated vehicles off the road would be another.

Dozens of other examples could be offered.

The public is a resource in emergencies, it is not the problem. In fact, the public often gives rise to " emergent work groups" in emergencies which form temporarily and on the spot to do what needs to be done. The importance of this phenomenon has already been put well in terms of

emergency planning application. "...too few emergency officials really grasp or understand the range of important contributions made by such groups." (Thomas E. Drabek, 1986, page 154).

If emergency plans for Seabrook are based on the assumption that an evacuating public would push vehicle impediments out of the way, then the plans are based on a very accurate impression of public behavior; for this is precisely what would occur.

I should also add one more thought to evacuation and road impediments caused by accidents during emergencies.

The evidence regarding accidents during emergency

I' evacuations suggests that they are no more frequent and perhaps even less in frequency than'during non-emergency times. For example, in a study done by Dennis S. Mileti, 1

! Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rich Hufnagel entitled "The Three Mile Island Incident: A Study of Behavorial l

] Indicators of Human Stress", 1984 (Mass Emergencies and i Disasters 2,1:89-114) data were examined that'~ included the ,

i l frequency of accident rates before, during and'after the TMI i accident. There was no evidence to suggest that accidents i

j increased during the evacuation, despite the fact that I. commutation in the area was likely up'because of evacuation.

The conclusion about the TMI accident is supported by 4

other evacuation studies. In an extensive review of t

evacuation behavior, E.L. Quarantelli notes "A strong theme t

is that withdrawal movement is almost always orderly in i getting people away from an actual or potentially dangerous location. This runs counter to widely held views among some i disaster planners and emergency organization personnel that i

there is a need to be concerned about evacuation turing into a

disorderly flight if not wild panic" (Evacuation Behavior l and Problems: Findings and Implications from the Research 1

i Literature. Columbus: Ohio State University, Disaster 4

! Research Center, 109).

, It has also been noted that accidents and traffic jams i are not problems in vehicular evacuations. H.E. Moore, et al (Before the Wind. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of 15 -

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4 Sciences, National Research Council, 1963) specifically investigated accidents and auto breakdowns in the evacuation

, of over one-half million people because of Hurricane Carla.

It was found that only .6% of the evacuees either witnessed-or were-in an accident or breakdow .

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,/J {tth / ll'd Denis S. Mileti STATE 0F

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' t...s a 4 , ss. March I'% 1987 The above-described Denis S. Mileti appeared before me and made oath that he had read the foregoing affidavit and that the statements set forth therein are true to the best of his knowledge.

4 Before me,

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Notary Public

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PROFESSIONAL QUALIFICATIONS DENNIS S. MILETI ,

Professor Department of Sociology and Director -

Hazardous Assessment Laboratory COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY

\ l l J My name is Dennis S. Mileti and my business address is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523. I am presently a tenured Pro-fessor of Sociology at Colorado State University. From 1978 to 1%S I was a tenured As-sociate Professor specializing in those. areas of study dealir- .m complex organiza-tions, hazards, policy and methods.

I also serve as Director of the Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University, which was organized in 1984. The laboratory is an interdisciplinary setting in which geological, climatological and technological hazards and emergencies are ad-dressed in terms of risk or hazard mitigation and management, preparedness, and emer-gency response.

Prior to these appointments from 1974 to 1978, I held the position of Assistant Professor. I was also an Instructor for one year in the Department of Sociology at the University of Colorado, Boulder, from 1971 to 1972. I have taught numerous undergrad-uate courses, including Introduction to Sociology, Complex Organizations Sociology of Disasters. Research Methods, Demographic Processes, and Social Change. In addition, I have taught courses at the graduate level such as Advanced Quantitative Analysis Re-search Methods I and !! Demography and Population and Complex Organizations.

a l Dennis S. Mileti l Page 2 1

I received my Bachelor of Arts degree in Sociology in 1968 from the University of California, Los Angeles. In 1971 I was awarded a Master of Arts degree in Sociology from California State University, Los Angeles. I completed my doctorate degree in So-ciology in 1974 at the University of Colorado, Boulder.

In 1975 I was appointed Visiting Assistant Professor at the University of Southern California Graduate School of Public Administration. During this year I offered an In-tensive Seminar Program sponsored by the University. From 1978 to 1979 I was an in-vited Instructor for the Chautauqua Short Course Program sponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of Science. In 1981 I was appointed Policy Analyst for the Seismic Safety Commission by the State of California. During the year I served on this appointment I was on leave from my university duties.

I am a member of the American Sociological Association; the International Sociological Association, the Pacific Sociological Association, the Midwest Sociological Society, the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the U.S. Civil Defense Council. In addition, I have been a member of several committees since 1976, including:

COMMITTEE MEMBERSIUPS 1984-date National Academy of Science, National Research Council, Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, Commit-tee on Natural Disasters.

1984-date National Academy of Sciences. National Rese'a rch Council.

Commission on Physical Sciences Mathematics, and Re-sources, Board on Earth Sciences, Subcommittee on Earth-quake Research.

1985-l986 National Acat%my of Sciences, National Institute of Medi-cine, Committee on the Effects of Nuclear War.

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. Dennis S. Milett Page 3 i 1984-date National Institute of Mental Health Public Health Service, Center for Mental Health Studies of Emergencies Advisory.

1983-year National Science Foundation U.S. Delegate on Earthquake Prediction Research to Japan, International Scientific Ex-change Section.

1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Col-orado State University of Colorado, University of Denver.

1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee

- on Disasters.

1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association Nominations Committee for the Standing Committees for 1983.

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1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Commit-tee on Social Science Research, Berkeley, a

1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.

i 1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego.

4 i 1981-1982 Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes Threat and Reconstruction Committees State of California, Sacra-mento, i

1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council Com-mittee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tallings, State of Colorado.

1979 year American Association for the Advancement of Science, ,

Committee on Intergovernmental Research and Develop- l j ment on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness. Washington,

D.C.

I 1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems, Committee on Earthquake Prediction, Washington, D.C.

APPOINTMENTS

' 1974'd ate Faculty. Department of Sociology, Colorado State Universi-

ty Fort Collins (1985-date. Professor
1978-1985 Associate i Professor: 1974-L978, Assistant Professor).

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Dennis S. Mileti

. PagG 4 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment, Colorado State University, Fort Collins.

1981 year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university).

1978-1979 Invited Instructor American Association for the Advance-ment of Science, Chautauqua Short Course Program.

1975 year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Inten-i sive Seminar Program.

l 1971-1972 Instructor, Department of Sociology, University of Colorado,

Boulder.

AWARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981 year Cited in Outstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by

, the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociological Association.

Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest Sociological Society, American Associ-ation for the Advan:ement of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Insti-tute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management, Sigma XI.

RESEARCH GRANTS AND CONTRACTS 1985-1987 Co principal Investigator, " State of the Art Assessment:

Public Warning Systems," Subcontract from Oak Ridge Na-tional Laboratory for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

1984-1985 PrincipalInves:Igator," Assessment of Human Stress impacts from the Livingston Train Derailment and Chemical Emer-gency," contract for Illinois Central Gulf Railroad.

4 Dennis S. Milett Page 5 1984-date Associate Investigator " State-of-the-Art Assessment: Evac-uation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratory for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

, 1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Im-pact on Domestic Assets," subcontract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.

1983-1984 Principal Investigator, " Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings," quick-response grant from the Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information Center.

1982-1983 Associate Investigator, " Organizational Interface for Nucle-ar Reactor Emergency Preparedness," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

1981-year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard Warnings and Emer-gency Evacuation Preparedness," contract for Pacific Gas and Electric Company.

1980-1983 Principal Investigator, " Local Land Use Policy Decisions,"

Colorado State University Experiment Station.

i 1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island incident and Re-start," contract for General Pub-lic Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

1977-1980 Principal Investigator. " Migration impacts of Non-Metropolitan Areas in the West," Colorado State Uni-versity Experiment Station.

1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organizational Imple-i mentation of Policy for Land Use Regulations," grant from the National Science Foundation.

1975-1977 Co-principal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Politican Consequences of Earthquake Prediction," grant from the National Science Foundation.

i 1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Research on Natural Hazards," grant from the National Science Foundation.

j PUBLICATIONS [1985 and 1986 Updates ase appended to this listing]

Books and Monostraohs (refereed)

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Dznnis S. Milsti Page 6 Milett, Dennis S. .

The Order of Chaos in Disasters (in progress). l 3

Milett Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eltzen -l j Graduate Research Methods in the Social Sciences (in progress)

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and Interorranizational Relations. Lexington, Mas-sachusetts: Lexington Books.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 Orranizational Response to Chanrint Community Systems Kent Ohio: Kent State University Press.

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Chaoters (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1986 "Research methods and disaster research." In Russell T. Dynes and Carlo Polanda (Eds.). Sociotory of Disasters: Contributions of Sociology to Disaster l

Research. Italy: Franco Angelo (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraging Self-Behavior (forthcoming).

i Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Milett l 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate l public adoption." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior

(forthcoming).

i l' Hartsough, Donald M., and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 "The Media in Disasters." Pp. 282-294 in J. Laube and S. Murphy (Eds.).

Perspectives in Disaster Recovery. Norwalk, Connecticut:

Appleton-Century-Crof ts.

Hutton, Janice, Dennis S. Mileti and John Sorensen 1984 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system etfectiveness." Pp. 947-956 in K. Oshida (Ed.), Earthouake Prediction. Tokyo: Terra Scientific Publishers for UNESCO.

Milett. Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen

1984 " Social factors affecting the response of groups to earthquake prediction."

Pp. 649-658 in K. Oshida (Ed.). Earthquake Prediction. Tokyo: Terra Scientific Publishers for UNESCO.

l Sorensen, John, Janice Hutton and Dennis 1. Milett 1984 " Institutional management of risk information fo!!owing earthquake predic-tions." Pp. 913-924 in K. Oshida (Ed.). Earthauake Prediction. Tokyo: Terra Scientific Publishers for UNESCO.

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) Hutton, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti

1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-168 in T. Rikitake l (Ed.). Current Research in Earthauake Prediction. Boston
Reide! Publishing Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications. '

Mileti, Dennis S.

1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation." Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic Impact of Earthauakes on Utility 1.lfelines. New York
American Society of Civil Engineers.

Monorrachs and Chanters (quasi-refereed) i j Mileti, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg i 1986 " Social science earthquake investigations." In Roger Scholl (Ed.). I.essons

i. earned from Recent Earthquakes. Berkeley: Earthquake Engineering Reseach institute.

l i Review Panel of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan 1984 National Earth-

cuake Hazards Reduction Prorram
Five Year Protram Plan. Washington, D.C.:

Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Sorensen, J., E. Copenhaver, D. Milett and M. Adler i 1984 Organizational Interface in Reactor Emergency Planning and ReSDonse, i Washington, D.C.: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission NUREG No. CR-3524.

Milett, Dennis S.

1982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods. Pp. 249-255 in Russel 1 Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Research Methods
Courses
Syllabi. Assignments and Projects. Washington, D.C.: American i Sociological Association.

I i Milett, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen j 1981 Earthauake Prediction Russen56 and Ootions for Public Policy. Boulder:

Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.

f i Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. M11sti 1980 Imoacts of Poculation Growth in Agricultural Colorado Committees. Fort l Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.

1 l Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness i j 1979 Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness. Washington, D.C.: American Asso-I clation for the Advancement of Science.

I l Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction i 1978 A Protram of Studies on the Socioeconomic Effects of Earthouake Predic-

! tion. Washington, D.C: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Coun-cil.

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Mileti, Dennis, D., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas 1975 Human Systems in Extreme Environments: ' A Sociological PersDective.

j Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 21.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1975 Natural Hazard Warning Systems in the United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12. Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behavior: Response to Stress,1978.

Erickson, Neil, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 19751.andslide Hazards in the United States: A Research Assessment. Boulder:

Institute of Behavioral Science.

! Mileti, Dennis S.

I 1975 Disaster Rollef and Rehabilitation in the United States. Boulder: Institute

of Behavioral Science.

l Ayre, Robert Dennis S. Milett and Patricia Trainer l 1975 Earthauake and Tsunami Hazards in the United States: A Research Assess- ,

i ment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

i ,

Journal Articles: Discioline Focus (refereed) s Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie

1985 "The effects of legitimacy on goal change and formalization in organiza-tions," Journal of Contemporary Sociology 22 (1,2)
33-53.

Milett, Dennis S.

1985 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and warning," Policy Studies Review 4 (4):725-733.

1 l Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel ,

1984 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of behavioralindicators of human stress." Mass Emerrencies and Disasters 2(1):89-114.

I Mileti, Dennis S.

! 1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction:

Japan vs the United States." Mass Emerrencies and Disasters 1(3):399-414.

l  ;

i Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1982 "Dif ferentiation in organizations," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175, t i Mileti, Dennis S.

i

~

1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.

1 i J i i

Dennis S. M11ett Page 9 Mlleti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption," Public Administration Re-view (accepted and forthcoming).

Milett, Dennis S., Doug Timmer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of decentralization," Pacific Sociolocical Review 25(2):163-183.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eltzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size," Sociolory and Social Re-Search 65(4):400-414.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research," Sociolorical Methods and Research 9(3):327-388.

Milett, Dennis S.

1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental extremes," Soclotory and Social Research 64(3):327-347.

Gillespie David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations," Administrative Science Re-view 10(3):21-32. ,

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie l 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies," Journal of Contem-Dorary Sociology 17(3-4):132-158.

Gillespie David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal of Social Research 2t(2):139-147.

Milett, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eltzen 1979 " Structure and decision making in corporate organizations," Sociology and Social Research 63(4):723-744.

1 Gillespie David F., and Dennis S. Mileti '

1979 " action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations,"

Human Relations 32(3):261-271.

Milett Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiences and lucunae."

Technotory and Culture 19(l):83-92.

Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-manipulation,"

Scottish Journal of Sociology 2(2h2(.5-219.

Dennis S. Mileti Page 10 Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haas l 1977 " Size and structure in complex organizations," Social Forces 56(1):208-217.

Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overview and appraisal."

Academy of Management Review 2(1):6-19. Reprinted in Readings on How Man-agers Manare. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall,1982.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 "An integrated formalization or organization-environment interdependencies," Human Relations 29(1):80-100.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1976 " Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies,"

Sociolorical Inouiry 46(2):135-141.

Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronal Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept,"

International Review of History and Political Science 8(30):1-14.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations," Sociolorv and Social Research 60(3):263-278.

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior," European Journal of Social Psychology 6(1):74-90.

Milett, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations,"

Sociological Inouiry 45(4):72-50.

Milett, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis,"

Communication Research 2(1):24-49.

l Gillespie. David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis 5, Milett and Roy Lotz '

1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralization: the interactive etfect on member commitment, International Journal of Group Tensions 5(2):26-37. l Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Milett 1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," Human Rela tions 27(8):767-788, .

Mileti, Dennis S.

1974 " Change ratios in age-specille percent contradictions to fertility: a new method with applications to the (Jnited States, Pacific Soclotortcal Review 17(a):3-26. First Prize, student paper competttton, Pacific Soctological Association,1974. .

f Dennis S. Mileti Page 11 Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, struc-l ture and behavior," Current Socioloty 23(1):189-200.

Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergency organizations,"

Sociological inouiry 44(2):111-119.

Mileti, Dennis S..'and Larry Barnett 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion legaliza-tion " Social Biotory 19(2):43-50.

J Journal Articles: Apolled Focus (refereed)

! Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Role conflict and abandonment in emergency workers," Emerrency Man-asement Review 2(1):20-22.

Mlleti, Dennis.

1984 " Earthquakes and human behavior," Earthouakes Spectra 1(1):89-106.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical f acilities," Bulletin of l ' the Seismoloeical Society of America 72(6)13-18.

Milett, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey .

1978 " Correcting for the human f actor in tornedo warnings," Disaster Preoared-n_eg 2(February):5-9.

i Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake prediction "

4 Journal of the Physical Earth 25(4);283-293.

Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction and its consequences," Ca!!fornia Geology 30 (7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in San Francisco 20(4):60-68,1978.

Hass, J. Eugene. and Dennis S. Mileti

' 1976 " Earthquake prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineerint 9(4):183-194.

Book Reviews (invited and refereed)

Milett, Dennis S.

1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones

' and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). It! aca: Program in Urcan and Regtonal Studies.

1983." Mass Emergencies and Disasters.

. Dennis S. Milett Page 12 Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of Unequal Care: Interorganizational Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. New York: Columbia University Press,1980." Social Forces 60(3):943-944.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill,1981." Sociolory: A Review of New Bool:s 7(2).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 "A review of Af termath: Communities Af ter Natural Disasters by H. Paul Friesema et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up:

Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wright and Peter Rossi et al.

Beverly Hills: Sage Publications,1979." Journal of the American Planning Asso-clation (October): 484-485.

Milett, Dennis S.

1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J. Eldridge and A. Crombie.

New York: International Publications,1975." Contemporary Sociology 5(6):784.

Technical Reports (not refereed)

Milett, Dennis S.

1985 Stress Imoacts of a Technological Emergency: An Unobtrusive indicators Study of Livingston Train Deratiment. New Orleans: Lemie, Kelleher.

M!!eti, Dennis S.

1983 Human Response Scenarios: Law Enforcement Aoolications and Media Im-olications. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.

i' M11ett, Dennis S.

1982 Organizational Behavior and Interorranizational Relations: Imotications for i Nuclear Power Plant Emergencies and Precaredness. Oak Ridge Tennessee:

Oak Ridge National Laboratories. j Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsouth and Patti Madson 1982 The Three Mlle Island incident: A Study of Behavioral Indicators of Human Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts, and Trowbridge.

I M11eti, Dennis S., and Arthur Sevenson 1981 Earthquake Prediction-Warning Response for Emergency Organizations to  !

i the Prediction Terminology. Van Nuys: Duthern California Earthquake Pre-paredness Project.

Hutton, Janice, and Dennis S. Milett 1979 Analysis of Adoption and Implementation of Community Land Use Regula-tions for Floodplains. San Franctsco: Woodward Clyde.

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Dennis S. Milett Page 13 1

Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Imoact of Earthouake Prediction on Government. Business i

and Community. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

1 Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 Interorganizational Relations and Community Service Delivery Systems.

Boulder: Center for Action Research.

Publications in PrGc dines (not referred)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 35-36 in Walter Hays (Ed.).

i Picca2nes of the Conferences on Earthouakes Prediction information. Menlo

~

Park: U.S. Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January 1980 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information,1.os Angeles.

Milett, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes." Pp. 179-192 in Proceedines of the Second l

International Conference on Microzonation. San Francisco: National Science i Foundation. Paper presented at the November,1978 Conference on the State Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.

! Milett, Dennis S.

1978 " Socioeconomic etf acts of earthquake prediction stage policy."

Procssnes of the National Conference on Earthouake Related Hazards.

Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the i

November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technolo-gy, Boulder.

Other Published Comments (invited or referred)

Milett, Dennis S.

j 1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6(1):4-5.

Milett, Dennis S.

l 1983 "Disasterous warnings," Omni (March):24,25,152.

i Milett, Dennis S.

1982 " Hazards reduction work
the next era," National Hazards Observer 6(4):L-2. Reprinted in Earthouake Inf ormation Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.

Mileti, Dennis S. 1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction," Earthauake in-formation Bulletin 11(3):102-105.

Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Milett i

1917 " Earthquake prediction respo tse." Time (January 24):83.

I I

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Dennis S. Milett Page 14 Milett, Dennis S.

1977 " Earthquake prediction: is it better not to know?" Mosaic 8(2):8-14.

Milett, Dennis S.

1977 " Social hazards of earthquakes prediction " Science News 111(2):20-21.

Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Individual and organizational response to threat," Mass Emergencies

'1(4):247 Mileti, Dennis S.

1976 " Social scientists and applied research," The American Sociolodst 11(4):220-221.

Milett, Dennis S.

1974 " Response to research and national needs," Footnotes 2(October):6.

PROFESSIONAL PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS Conference Papers Milett, Dennis S. and R. Gary Williams --

1985 "A sociological perspective on the siting of hazardous waste f acilities,"

paper presented to the Social and Economic Effects of Public Perceptions Ses-sion of the Symposium on Waste Management. Tucson: March.

Milett, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie 1984 " Regulation of the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper pres-ented to the Complex Organizations Session of the American Sociological Asso-clation, San Antonio: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Stress from risk uncertainties," invited paper presented to the Social As-pects of Risk Uncertainties Session of the Society for Risk Analysis, Knoxville:

October.

Milett, Dennis S.

1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: October.

Mlleti, Dennis S.

1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards." paper presented to the Conference on Encouragtng Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University:

July.

l

s. ,

Dannis S. M11sti Page 15 Mileti, Dennis S.

l 1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented j to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: A pril.

Milett, Dennis S.

1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and

. Warning, Tokyo: November.

Frey, R. Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis S. Milett, and Debra Cornellus 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood In-surance Program," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington:

July.

Milett, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madeon and Rick Hufnagel 1983 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.

Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors affecting organt-zational response to a predicted earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the . Western Social Science Association.

Albuquerque: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Earthquake prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the In-tornational Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Influencing corporate decisions on the use of microzonation information,"

paper presented to the Third Internation! Conference on Microzonation, Seattle:

June.

Milett, Dennis S.

1982 " Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper pres-ented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy Development, and Imple-mentation Incentives: Focus on Urcan Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.

Milett, Dennis S.

1982 "Public perception of seismic l'azards," paper presented to the Seismological Society of America, Anaheim: A pril.

D:nnis S. Milsti Page 16

, Williams, Gary Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Mileti

. 1980 "Percep:fon of growth impacts in energy impacted communifies," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Ithaca: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation," paper presented to the  !

Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines '

of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May, i Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti ,

1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper  ;

presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological  !

Society, Milwaukee.

Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuquerque: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

{ 1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to the Status

of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information.

Los Angeles: January.

  • Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti i 1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado," paper pres- i

! ented to the impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, '

St. Louis: October.

Milett, Dennis S., and Gary Williams

, 1979 " Resident perceptions in growth impacted western argricultural communi-j ties," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Vermont: August.

! Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. M11ett and Stan Eltzen j 1979 "The epthenominality of organizational size " paper presented to the Session

on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee

April.

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R. Mutton and John Sorensen 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to l the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction UNESCO, Paris: April.

.I l Hutton, Janice R., Dennis S. Milett, and John Sorensen

! 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system effectiveness," paper pres- ,

ented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Parts

! A pril. l l l l

l l

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I D;nnis S. Milsti Page 17 l

Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predic-tions," paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Predic-tion, UNESCO, Paris: April.

Milett, Dennis S., and Janice Hutten 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco:

November.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making," paper presented to the Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Organization of Work Ses-sion of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Organizations-Environment Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper presented to the Formal and Complex Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.

Milett, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings," paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of the American Meteorological Society.

Omaha: October.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organization and environment adaptation-manipulation," paper presented to the Organizational Relations Session of the American Sociological Associa-tion, Chicago: September.

Hutton, Janice R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research." paper presented to the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association. Chicago:

September.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1977 " Organizational growth and mai agertal efficiency." paper presented to the Social Organization / Format / Complex Session of the Pacific Sociological Assocla-tion Sacramento: A pril.

i t

. D:nnis S. Milsti Page 18 Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments,"

paper presented to the Complex Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April.

! Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Milett and J. Eugene Haas

( 1976 " Size and structure in complex organizations," paper presented to the Orga-l nizational Change Session of the American Sociological Association, New-York i City: August.

Milett, Dennis S.

1976 " Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper presented to the Is-suas in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August, i Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Milett 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjustments to earth-quakes," paper presented to the Australian Academy of Science, Canberra: May. )

Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas 1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Col-tective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis:

April.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction," paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Sci-ecce, Boston: February.

M11eti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological As-sociation, San Francisco: August.

Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "A resolution of inconsistencies between size. complexity and the adminis ,

trative component in organizations," paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago: April.

M11eti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Format Organizations Session of the Pactfit Sociological Association, Victoria: April.

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> Milett, Dent'!s S., and David I. Gillespie ,,

1973 "An interaction model for orgar[Intkn environment relations. p1ptr pres-ented to the Interorgacitational Re:ations Session of the Midwest So~io(ogical 7, y{. [ e

Society, Ocaha: April. Y ]j f

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' ', r Mlleti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie .c,. g \ .

1974 "A formalization of jvganization-environmerf dependencies," paper pres- p ented to the Formal OrgrJdtations Session of the Paufle Sociological Associa-

. tion, San Jose: March. ' y>

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'y Farhar, Barbara, and Dennis S. Milbi J H'

1974 "Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," pMer '.'

the Applied Session of the Pacific Socictogica14sscciation, March. San

,g Jtw(pr 1l.  % , l N Milett, Dennis S. s *Dk I j

1973 "Drowing: a communicatior.s disease," paper presented to the Mass Com-[

munications and Putnic Opinion Session of the American Sociological Associa-tion, New York City: August. (  ; e

s. 3' t

Mileti, Dennis S., and Sigmund Krane ,

1973 TResponse to impending system strest." papo presental to the What Do We Kcow.5ession on Human Behavior in Disas br of the Amerkan SociologicaQsso-f' cl.itici, New Yqk City: August. y s j i ., -

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' N 1 Mileti, Dennis S. i  ;/'

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( N, 1973 t'A paradigm and sociology of kncwledgei'or theories o( n[aturadaIiv,' paper g '

prescated to the it.cory Seufon ofkhc paper presented,y5 the Theory Session of \s the MidwesttS ociological Soc.ety, Milwaukeet Apeil.

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Mileti, Dennis S.  ; . .d 1972 " Response to hazards warnings,': pape presented to the Organizattor.ai,and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Research Center of the Chio State University, Columtsus: 3 iy.'c0.. N ,? .s J,~ r .

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d) h 3 3

" Social aspects of risk," Rbk Anidsis Ser.inar. Department of Industrial Engincering, N Stanford University: February,1985. , N /s.

" Communicating engineering information ,to pubtle officials," $catal Applications Ses j sion Earthquake Engineering Resepch Institute Satttles7&oruary,1985 "e ( ,

, 4

" Social and " political obstacles to the use of'nonstructuralJ!ood' toss mitigation '

,, sures, American Society for Civil Engineers. San Franc'ro,t October, L984. ,

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- Dennis S. Milett Ppge 20

) " Warnings: applying research in .the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Re-D search and Management: Assessments of a Field, Natural Hazards Research Ap-

plications Workshop Boulder
July,1984

" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for

- County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March,1984.

"The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Colloqium on Earthquake Prediction Re-search in the US, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo:

November,1983.

?

" Human response in disasters " American Red Cross, Mile High Chapter, Boulder Re -

' N. gion, Boulder
July,1983.

A'

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" Integrated emergency management: challenges and opportunities," Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July,1983.'

j1 '

"Public response to flood disasters," Conference on the Need to Teamwork in Managing i N Flood Hazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, j s' 1983.

1

{

" Natural hazards, disasters and public po!!cy," Environmental Management institute,

, University of Southern California, Los Angeles: April,1982. -

h " Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Business and Indus-try, Los Angeles: May,1982.

Communicating lessons learned f rom social science research on earthquakes," Workshop of '!dentifyng and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes,"

Earthquakes Engineering Research Institutes, Los Altos: December,1982.

'5 i

" Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response: implications for the design of California's warning system and Southern Califotnia Earthquake Preparedness

,y Project, Van Nuys: October,1981.

"Arsessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems i ' demand further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop,  !

! Soulder: July,1981.

! " Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earth-

! - quake Emergency Preparedness. Committee on Long Range Reconstruction,

, , Sacramento
May,1981.

\

i "Soojo-cultural dimensions of earthquake rtsk," Governor's Emergency Task Force on 9 Earthquakes, General Assembly Sa:ramento: May,1981.

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. Dennis S. Mitti Page 21 "Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems," Health Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October,1980.

l " Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues," Southern California Emergency Services Association; Montebello: February,1980.

" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October,1979.

" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980,1979.

" Measuring implementation of pubtle policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop. Boulder: August,1978.

"Socioecononile effects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Polley for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: November,1977.

" Population, resources and policy for social change," College of Natural Resources.

Colorado State University: September,1977: February,1978t February,1980.

"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction,"

American Society for Public Administation, Colorado Chapter, Denver: April, i 1976.

"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions,"

California State Seminar on Emergency Preparedness and Earthquake Prediction.

Palm Springs: June,1976.

" Preparing to.make use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commis-sion for the County and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February,1976.

"The social organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering Foundation Confer-ence on Decision Making for Natural Hazards, Pacific Grove: March,1976.

" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction," Gover-nor's Conference Room, Sacramento: May,1975; Mayor's Conference Room, Los )

Angeles: October,1975. .

" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake prediction." General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September,1975.

" Earthquake prediction and its implications for e.nergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies' , Tokyo: September 1975.

" Social impacts of earthquake predictio : in.plications for policy," California Water and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum. San Francisco: A pril,1975.

D nnis S. Mileti Page 22 OTHER PROFESSION AL SERVICE Orvanizer and Presider Session on nuclear power. Third International Congress on Emergencias, Washington, D.C.: May,1985; Session on Applied Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: April,1984: Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Asso-clation, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Delivery Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April, 1984: Session on Earthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National Earthquake Hazard Re-duction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Nat-ural Hazards Research App!! cations, Boulder: July,1982; Session on Disasters and Cat-aclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982; Session on Collective Behavior, American Sociological Association, New York: August, 1980: Session on Complex Organization, Pactic Sociological Association, San Francisco:

April,1980; Sessitsn on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Tempo,1976.

Discuspant Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego:

April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Associa-tion San Antonio: August,1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science Informa-tion, Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July,1980; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on ' Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Ses-sion on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: July,1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Haz-ards, Estes Park: June,1973.

Particioant Panel on Disaster Research its Funding and Future, American Sociological Association.

San Antonio: August,1984; Review Panel Corresponding Member. Task Group on So-cial and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes National Academy of Sciences, National Re-search Council, Commission on Soclotechnical Systems. Washington, D.C.: 1982; Work-shop on Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes. Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: November,1982; Earthquake Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project. Astlomar:

December,1981; Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human Re-sponse, San Fernando: June,1976; Seminar on Disaster Research, Colorado State Uni-versity, Fort Collins: February,1975; Symposium on Complex Organizations: Research and Applications, Western Social Science Association. El Paso: A pril,1974.

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Dennis S. Mileti Page 23 Editorshics Corresponding Editor, Orranizations and Occupations Newsletter of the American Sociological Association, Western Region,1984 present; Associate Editor for social sci-ence. Earthquake Spectra, Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, 1984-1987; Corresponding Editor on Hazards and Disaster Environmental Sociology, Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological As-sociation,1981-date: Guest editor, special issue on Environmental Stress. Threat and Social System Response, Mass Emergencies 1(4h247-346,1976.

Testimony Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham Nuclear Reactor, Suffolk: December,1983 through June,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: . January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergency planning at the Wa-terford Three Nuclear Reactor, New Orleans February,' 1983: Suffolk County Legisla-ture, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham Nuclear Reactor, Suffolk: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Reactor . San Luis Obisbo: January, 1982; Senate Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the Na-tional Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act. Washington, D.C. April,1980; Nuclear Regu-latory Commission in the matter of the impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist be-havior, Bethesda: May,1977 and July,1978.

Legislative and Program Reviews Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program. U.S. Congressional Panel, Federal Emergency Management Agency, 1983-82: Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geo-logical Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Wetlands, Federzl Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1978-79.

Proposal Reviews Societal Response Program of Civil and' Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1985-81: Division of Policy Research and Analysis, National Science Foun-dation, 1983: Sociology Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81: Design Re-search Program, National Science Foundation,1982: Division of Problem Focused Re-search, National Science Foundation, IS80: Division of international Programs, National Science Foundation,1978: Division of Advanced Environmental Research and Technolo-gy, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.

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D:nnis S. Mileti Page 24 Article Reviews Human Relations, 1985-83, 1978-77; Sociological Persoectives (Pacific Sociological Re-view),1984; Social Forces, 1980-79; Sociology and Social Research, 1983-81, 1979-78, 1976; The Social Science Journal, 1985, 1981-77; The Sociological Quarterly,1975; Journal of the American Planning Association,1985; Deviant Behavior,1983; Risk Analysis,1983; The Environmental Professional, 1983-82; Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,1982: Sociological Focus,1980; Mass Emerrencies, 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analysis,1978; Current Research in Earthouake Prediction, 1984; Mass Emerrencies and Disasters,1985.

Other Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios," Chapter 21 in R. W. Kates (Ed.). Climate Imoact Assessment: Studies of the Interaction of Climate and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the En-vitenment,1982; Study on Earthouake Hazards Information Dissemination: Charleston, South Carolina. Reston for the U.S. Geologica1 Survey,1982.

Department and Universtry Service College Scholarship Committee, 1985-84; Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department Graduate Affairs Committee, 1985-84, 1977-74; Department Five-Year Review Committee,1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Commit-

' tee, 1984-75; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space,1983; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses,1978; Department Faculty Search Committee.

1985-84; University Committee for Department Chali, 1985-84; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.

TEACHING Courses Taught (undergraduate)

Introduction to Sociology Complex Organizatons Demographic Processes and Social Change Historical Sociological Theory

  • Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters 4

Courses Taught (graduate)

Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis e ,- --.y- , -

Dennis S. Miloti Page 25 Research Methods !

Research Methods II Demography and Population Complex Organizations Graduate Theses and Dissertations ,

Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee,6 Member, Ph.D. Committees,12-Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 4 Member, M.A. Committees,12 Student Evaluations Ranked as exce!!ent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are avail-able upon request.

Teaching Awartis Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University, Alumni Association, for Aca-demic Year 1983-84: Cited for excellence by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences for Academic Year 1977-1978.

VITA ADDITIONS (1985)

Sorensen, J., J. Mutton and D. Mileti 1984 " Institutional management of risk informa-tion following earthquake predictions." Pp. 913-924 in F. Evison (Ed.)

Earthauake Prediction. Paris: United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultur-al Organization.

Mileti, D., J. Sorensen and J. Hutton 1984 " Social factors affecting the response of ,

groups to earthquake prediction: implications for public policy." Pp. 649-658 in F. Evison (Ed.) Earthquake Prediction. Paris: United Nations Educational, Scien-tific and Cultural Organization.

Mileti, Dennis S., D. Hartsough, P. Madson R. Hufnagel 1984 "The Three Mile Island in-cident: A Study of Behavioral Indicators of Human Stress" Mass Emergencies and Disasters 2 (1): 89-113.

Mutton, J., D. Mileti and J. Sorensen 1984 " Factors affecting the effectiveness of earth- ,

quakes warning - dissemination systems." Pp. 913-924 in F. Evison (Ed.)  !

Earthquake Prediction. Parts: U.11ted Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultur- I al Organization. l l

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Dennis S. MilGti Page 26 Harwell, Christine C. (Ed.) 1985 " Experiences and extrapolations from Hiroshima and Nagasaki." Pp. 427-467 in M.A. Harwell and T.C. Hufchinson (Eds.)

Environmental Consecuences of Nuclear War Volume II: Ecological and Agricul-tural Effects. New York: John Wiley and Sons.

Mileti, Dennis, J. Sorensen, W. Bogard 1985 Evacuation Decision Making Process and Uncertainty. Oak Ridge, Tennessee: Oak Ridge National Laboratory; No.

TM-9692.

Federal Emergency Management Agency 1984 National Earthauake Hazards Reduction Program Five Years Plan. Washington, D.C.: Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Popkin, Roy, D. Mileti, B. Farhar - Pilgrim and J. Shefner 1985 Unmet Needs of Disas-ter Victims in the United States. Fort Collins, Colorado: Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University.

Mileti, Dennis 1985 " Emergency role performance in disaster response organizations,"

Environmental Sociology (42): 6-10.

Mileti, Dennis S., with D. Hartsough, J. Hutton, P. Madson S. Pratt, C. Simile 1985 Stress impacts of a Technological Emergency: An Unobtrusive Indicators Study of the Livingston Train Derailment. Fort Collins, Colorado: Hazards As-sessment Laboratory at Colorado State University.

Mileti, Dennis and Gary Williams 1985 "A sociological perspective on the siting of hazardous - waste facilities."

Paper presented at the Annual Conference on Waste Management, Session on So-

' cial and Economic Effects of Public Perception: Tucson: March.

Cochrane, Hal and Dennis Mileti 1985 " Vulnerabilities of medical / health care systems to the effect of nuclear war." Paper presented at the Symposium on the MedicalImplications of Nuclear War, National Academy of Sciences, Institute of Medicine, Session on Medical Resource Needs and Availability. Washington, D.C.: September.

Participant, Conference for Researchers on the Use of Crisis Response Conclusion Retrieval System University of Pittsburg Center for Social and Urban Research.

Pittsburg: December,1985.

Appointed (by invitation) to Sigma Xi: The Scientific Research Society,1985.

" Social aspects of risk," speech presented to Risk Analysis Seminar Department of in-dustrial Engineering, Stanford University. Standford: February,1985.

" Human response to emergencies," peech presented to Emergency Preparedness Exec-utive Seminar, General Public Utilities Nuclear Corporation, Middletown.

Pennsylvania: May,1985.

Dennis S. Milati Page 27 l

" Social aspects of the Parkfield, California earthquake prediction," speech presented to the Annual Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Session on Parkfield Earthquake Studies. San Francisco: December,1985.

" Communicating engineering information to public officials," speech presented to the Annual Meeting of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Session on So-cial Application. Seattle: February,1985.

"How well do traditional warning system strategies deal with today's natural and tech-nological hazards?", speech presented to the plenary session of the Tenth Annual Invitational Workshop on Hazards Research and Application. Boulder: July, 1985.

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" Social impacts and lessons from the Parkfield earthquake prediction," speech pres-ented to the Earthquake Prediction Warning and Response System Workshop, Governor's Office of Emergency Services. Asilomar, California: July.

Corresponding Editor, Orranizationals and Occupations newsletter for the Western Re-gion of the American Sociological Association.

Organizer and Presider, Sessions I, II and III on Nuclear Power, Emergency 85, Third In-ternational Conference Emergency Management. Washington, D.C.: May,1985.

Corresponding Editor, Column on Natural Hazards and Disasters, Environmental Sociol-ogY Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association,41(Spring', 1985): 10-18; 42 (Summer 1985): 5-8.

ErDert Witness Testimon_y Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shearon-Harris Nuclear Power Plant, Raleigh: June and November,1985. 1 Proposal Reviews National Science Foundation, Societal Response Program, January,1985.

National Science Foundation Division of Fundamental Research in Emerging and Criti-cal Engineering System, April,198S.

Report Reviews Earthquakes Engineering Research Institute Committee Report on Research Opportunities from the 1985 Mexia City Earthquake. September,1985.

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Dennis S. Mileti Page 28 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, Report on Impressions of the Guerrero-Michoacan, Mexico Earthquake, October,1985.

Advisories Seminar presentation on emergency public information needs for chemical and hazard-ous materials accidents to Office of the Governor of Colorado, State Police, and Colorado Division of Emergency Services. Denver: July,1985.

Interviews Given Interviews given with reporters from The New York Times, National Public Radio, NewsdaY, Colorado State University media, Time, and for other local media.

VITA ADDITIONS (1986)

Article review for the International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disaster,1986.

Speech, " Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquake Predictions," Los Angeles City Earthquake Prediction Workshop, As11omar, California: October 12, 1986.

Speech," Earthquake Prediction: A General Overview," Emergency Preparedness Com-mission for the Cities and County of I.oS Angeles, Carson, California: April 24, 1986.

Mileti, Dennis S., and James Goltz " Social Response to the Parkfield Prediction," paper presented to the Parkfield Prediction Experiment Session of the American Asso-clation for the Advancement of Science, Philadelphia, May,1986.

Proposal Review Earthquake Systems Integration Division of Fundamental Research for Emerging and Critical Engineering Systems, National Science Foundation, 1986.

Speech, " November 1985 Colombia Nevada del Ruiz Volcanic Eruption: Emergency Pre-paredness and Mitigation Measures," Committee on Natural Disaster, Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences Washington, D.C.: October 27, 1986.

Mileti, Dennis S., Randal G. Updike. Patricia A. Bolton and Gabriel Fernandey. 1986.

Recommendations for improvirir the Existing Warning System for Possible Nevado del Ruiz Volcanic Eruption. Colombia. South America. Washington, D.C.:

National Academy of Science,1186.

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. Dannis S. Miloti Page 29 Speech, " Industrial Crisis Response," Fluid Mechanics and Wind Engineering Program, College of Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: November 5, 1986.

Member, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on En- l gineering and Technical Systems, Committee on Natural Disasters.

Member, National Academy of Sciences. National Research Coucil, Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics and Resources, Board on Earth Sciences, Sute committee on Earthquake Research.

Cochrane, Hal, and Dennis Milett.1986. "The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Eco-nomic and Social Perspective." Pp. 381-409 In F. Solomn and R.Q. Martson (eds.)

The Medical Imolication of Nuclear War. Washington, D.C.: National Acade-my Press.

Milett, Dennis S. and John H. Sorensen, " Determinants of Organizational Effectiveness in Responding to Low Probability Catastrophic Events," paper presented to the Crisis Analysis Models Session, Internationi Conference on Industrial Crisis Man-agement, New York University, Graduate School of Business Administration,

! New York City: September 6,1986.

Organizer and Presider, Sessions on the Sociology of Disaster, Annual Meeting of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August,1986.-

Article review, Human Relations,1986.

Speech, "Armero, Columbia
What are the Lessons for Hazards Management in the United States," Plenary Session Hazards Research and Applications Workshop.

Boulder, Colorado: July,1986.

i Speech, "Public Response Elements for Flood Warning Emergency Preparedness," Plena-ry Session, Conference on What Have We Learned Since the Big Thompson Flood, Boulder, Colorado: July,1986.

Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Milet1. 1986. " Inclusion of Social Variables in Models of Risk Assessment." Pp. 375-379 in Geotechnical and Geohydrological Aspects of Waste Management. Boston: Rotterdam.

Article review, Earthouake Spectra,1986.

Speech, " Social Aspects of Risk Communication," Conference on Communications in Emergencies. Wyoming Disaster and Civil Defense Division, Cheyenne: April.

1986.

Proposal review, External Research division, U.S. Geological Survey, L986.

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Dannis S. Miloti Page 30 Speech, "What We Know About Human Behavior and Earthquakes," Annual Meeting of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, San Francisco: February 1986.

Elected Member, Sigma Xi the Scientific Research Society,1985-present.

Sorensen, John H. Dennis S. Mileti and Emily Copenhaver. 1985. " Inter and In-traorganizational Cohesion in Emergencies." Mass Emergencies and Disaster.

3(3): 27-52.

Report Review, National Academy of Sciences National Research Council,1986.

Mileti, Dennis.1986. " Disaster Survival." Alumnus Quarterly 62 (1): 6-7,20.

Article review, Journal of the American Planning Association,1986.

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