ML20112K054

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Affidavit of Ds Mileti Re Contention EPJ-4(d).Parents Will Not Insist Upon Picking Up Children from School in Case of Emergency at Facility If Informed of Plans for Safe Evacuation
ML20112K054
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Site: Harris Duke Energy icon.png
Issue date: 01/14/1985
From: Mileti D
CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT CO., COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, NORTH CAROLINA MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCIES
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OL, NUDOCS 8501180458
Download: ML20112K054 (26)


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January '

14, 1985 05 'eU 17 .o1 :53 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA ,' y . ,,_

NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION  ; ., , gt ;

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, BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD In the Matter of )

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CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT COMPANY )

and NORTH CAROLINA EASTERN ) Docket No. 50-400 OL MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCY )

)

(Shearon Harris Nuclear Power

)

Plant) )

AFFIDAVIT OF DENNIS S. MILETI ,

ON EPJ-4(d) 4 County of Denver )

) ss.

State of Colorado )

DENNIS S. MILETI, being duly sworn, deposes and says:

1. I am presently an Associate Professor in the Department of Sociology and Director of the Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University, specializing in those areas of study dealing with complex organizations, hazards, policy and methods (with a particular emphasis on public

, emergency response). A current' statement of my professional qualificatione and experience is attached hereto. My business address is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, 8501180458 840114 PDR ADOCK 05000400 0 PDR l

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.- LFort Collins, Colorado 80523. I have personal knowledge of the matters stated herein and believe them to be true and correct.

I make this affidavit in response to EPJ Contention 4(d).

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2. The purpose of this affidavit is to explain the basis for my confidence that -- provided that parents are informed at the time of an emergency of the plans for the direct, safe evacuation of their school children -- few, if any, parents would insist upon picking up their children at school within the EPZ. And, even if some parents should attempt to pick up their children at school in the event of an emergency at Harris, the parents would conduct themselves in an orderly

, manner.

3. For more than three decades, social scientists have systematically studied emergencies (both natural and technological), as well as public response to emergencies.

This body of reasearch has established what an American public does and does not do during emergencies. In addition, and perhaps more important, it has established why some people behave in one way during an emergency, while others do not.

The "why" of public response is important because it can be considered in the development of emergency plans to help ensure public safety in future emergencies. Similarly, historical research has established that some aspects of human behavior in emergencies cannot be changed. With this knowledge, emergency plans can be developed assuming these behavioral patterns

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rather than trying to change them.

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,. 4. The " thin veneer" of civilization is not stripped away from people in an emergency; in fact, it is temporarily strengthened. The, character of the human spirit is strong in the face of an emergency, and people generally " rise to the i

occasion" to help themselves and others. The public does not act in irrational, antisocial, or selfish ways, but rather behaves in ways that are altruistic and beneficial for the community as a whole. Thus, contrary to the widespread myth in American culture, order is not replaced with chaos in an emergency. Therefore, even assuming parents did attempt to pick up their children at school in the event of an emergency at Harris, their behavior would not be chaotic. However, it is quite unlikely that parents would insist upon picking up their children under such circumstances.

5. Despite the general principles of public altruism in emergency, in past emergencies, some members of the public have engaged in what casual observers of public emergency response might label as inappropriate or irrational behavior (.1dke picking up their children at school). However, behavior such as that does not always occur in emergencies; and sufficient knowledge exists about why some people behave in such a manner and others do not to enable emergency plans to minimize such counterproductive behav: tor to levels which do not detract from public safety in an a - gency and, perhaps, even to eliminate much of such behavior entirely.

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6. The key to minimizing confusion and uncertainty for parents regarding their school children in an emergency is planning. First, pre-emergency public education should acquaint parents with the concept of the direct evacuation of students from their schools to safety in an emergency. (The specific details of such possible protective action -- e.g.,

where children would be taken -- are not essential in pre-emergency information.) Second, should such an evacuation of schools ever be required, the emergency information broadcast to the public at the time of the evacuation should clearly explain that schools are being evacuated directly to evacuation shelters (i.e., that students are not being sent home), and should specifically identify which schools are being evacuated and the shelter to which each school is being evacuated. Finally, the information broadcast should inform parents that they can pick up their children at the appropriate shelter outside the EPZ. Provided that the emergency public

.. information broadcast at the time of an emergency advised parents of the plans for the direct, safe evacuati an of their school children, few -- if any -- parents would insist upon picking up their children at school within the EPZ.

15 kNP Dennis S. Mileti Sworn to and subscribed before me this /g#day of January, 1985.

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Notary ,P61111jf 4 /

My Commission expires: d Y 9

ACADEMIC VITA OF DENNIS S. MIIITI August, 1984

. PERSONM Office:

Department of Sociology Hazards Assessment Latoratory Colorado State University Aylesworth Hall Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 EDUCATION University of Colorado, Boulder: PhD, Sociology, 1974 California State University, Los Angeles: MA, Sociology, 1971 University of California, Los Angeles: BA, Sociology, 1968 SPECIALI2ATICNS ,

complex Organizations, Applied (Hazards and Policy), Methods APPOINTMENTS 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment Laboratory, Colorado State University 1984-date Committee on Natural Disasters, National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences ,

1981-year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission, State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university) 1978-date Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1975-year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Intensive Seminar Progra;n 1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chautauga Short Course Program 1974-1978 Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1971-1972 Instructor, Department of Sociology, Univer-sity of Colorado, Boulder Ab"ARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981-year Cited in Cutstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociologi-cal Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest Sociological Society, American Association for the Advance-ment of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management g.

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RESEARCH GRANTS 6 3 COSTnACTS f 1984-date Associate Investigator, " State-of-the-Art Assessment: Evacuation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Impact on Domestic Assets," sub-contract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.

1983-1984 Principal Investigator, "Research and Applications for Emergency Preparedness,"

contract for Long Island Lighting Company.

1983-1984 Principal Investigator," Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings,"

quick-response grant from the Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information Center.

1982-1983 Associate Investigator," Organizational Interface for Nuclear Reactor Emergency Pre-paredness," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regu-latory Commission.

1981-year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard Warnings and Emergency Evacuation Prepared- /

ness," contract for Pacific Gas and Electric Company.

1980-1983 Principal Investigator, "Incal Land Use Policy Decisions," Colorado State University Experi-ment Station.

1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island Incident and Re-start," contract for General Public Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

1977-1980 Principal Investigator, " Migration Impacts of

. Non-metropolitan Areas in the West," Colorado State University Experiment Station.

1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organi:a-tional Implementation of Policy for Land Use Regulations," grant from the National Science Foundation.

1975-1977 Coprincipal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Political Consequences of Earthquake Prediction," grant from the

, Na tional Science Foundation.

1972-1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Pesearch on Natural Hazards," gumt from the National Science Foundation.

COMMITrEE MIMSEPSHIPS 1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Colorado State University, Univer-

, sity of Colorado, University of Denver.

i. 1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Disasters.

1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association, Nominations 2.

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Ccmmittee for tha Standing CommittGGS for 1983.

1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Committee on Social Science Research, Berkeley.

1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.

1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Comittee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego.

1981-1982 Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, Threat and Reconstruction Committees, State of California, Sacremento.

1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council, Committee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tailings, State of Colorado.

1979-year American Association for the Advancement of Science, Committee on Intergovernmental Research and Development on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.

1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechni-cal Systems, Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction, Washington, #

D.C.

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PUBUCAT?ONS i

Books and Monocraohs (refereed) i Mileti, Dennis S.

! Iht Order. 91 Chaos in Disasters (in progress).

Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eit:en Graduate Research Methods in the Social Sciences (in progress).

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and Irtterorcanizational Relations.

Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 Orcanizational Resconse la chancina Comunity Syste .s Kent, Ohio: Kent State University Press.

Chapters (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1966 "Fesearch rethods and disaster research." In Russell R. Dynes and Carlo Pelanda ( Ed s.) . 2 9.2 1 2 1 Q.S Z 2 1 Disasterst Contributions gi Socioloav AQ. Disaster Research. Italy: Franco Angeli (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen e 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards."

In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina self-Protection

. Behavior (forthcoming).

Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate public adoption." In Neil

Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).

Button, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. tilleti 1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-166 in T. Rikitake ( Ed.) . Current Research in Earthcuake Prediction. Boston Reidel Publishing Company, Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic harard nitigation."

Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Econo ti:

Imoact gi Earthcuakes Qn Utility Lifelines. New Yorg:

American Society of Civil Engineers.

Monographs and Chacters (quasi-refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg 1984 " Social science earthquake investigations." In Roger l Scholl (Ed.). Lessons Learned II.23 Recent Earthcuakes.

j Berkeley: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute *

! (forthcoming). e Review Panel of the National Earthquake Hazards Peduction Plan 1984 National Earthcuake Mnards Reduction Procerin E.lya Xfg Procca.t Elan. Washington, D.C.: Federal E. ergency Management Agency (forthccming).

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Mileti, Dennis S.

. 1982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods." Pp.

249-255 in Russel Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Research Methods Courses: Svilab L Assionments and Proiects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological Association.

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen 1981 Earthquake Prediction Resconse gad Cotions fag, Public Policy. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.

Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 Irt'cacts g.( Poculation Growth in Acricultural Colorado committees. Fort Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.

Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness 1979 Fire Safety and Disaster Precaredness. Washington, D.C.: Arerican Association for the Advancement of Science.

Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction 1978 & Proira.t Q.1 Studies gn thg Socioeconomic Ef f ects 21 Earthcunke Prediction. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.

Mileti, Dennis, S., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas 1975 He an Svstems in Extreme Environ entst & Sociolocical Perspective. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science,

!!onograph 21.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1975 Natural Hazard Warnino Systems in ths United States.

Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12.

Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behavior Resconse t.2 Stress, 1978.

Erickson, !!eil, John Sorensen and Cennis S. Mileti 1975 Landslide Hazards in thg United Statest & Research Assessment. Boulder Institute of Behavioral Science.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1975 Disaster Ealief and Rehabilitation in thg United 511131 Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Ayre, Robert, Dennis S. Mileti and Patricia Trainer 1975 Earthcuake and Tsunami Hazards in th; United Statest i Research Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Benavioral Science.

Journal Articles: Discipline Focus (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and warning," Policy Studita Review (accepted and forth-coming). ,

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1984 "The Three tiile Island incidents a study of behavioral indica: ors of human stress." M-ass Emer encies and Disa:.iters (accepted and forthcoming) .

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Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction: Japan vs the United States."

gg31 Emercancies and Disasters 1(3):399-414.

  • Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption,"

Public Administ ration Review (accepted and forth-coming).

Mileti, Dennis S., Doug Timmer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of decentralization," Pacific So c iola c ic al aggi.g.g 25(2):163-183. .

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size,"

Sociolocv and Social Research 65(4):400-414.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research,"

Socioloaical Methods and Research 9(3):327-388.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental ,

extremes," Sociolocv and Social Research 64(3):327-347.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of plannino in organizations,"

Administrative Science Revie 1 10 (3) :21-32.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie i 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies,"

Joura11 g Contemcorary Socioicev 17(3-4):132-158.

Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal gf, Social Research 21(2):139-147.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eit:en 1979" Structure and decision making in corprate organizations," S o c io lg.g'f and So c isi Research 63(4):723-744.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations," Hran Relations 32(3):261-271.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizaceth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiencies and lucunae," '*=chnolocv and Culture 19(1):83-92.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 "Gegani:stional technology and enviror ent adaptation-manipulation," Scottish Journal g Sociolocv 2(2):205-219.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haas 1977 "Si:e and structure in complex organizations," Social Ecceea 56(1):208-217.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "Tecnnology and the study of organi:stions: an overview and appraisal," Acade v g Mialcament Reviev 2(1):6-19.

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R:printcd in ggadincs gn Eqw Manacers Manace. Engicwood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 1982.

Mileti, Derdis S., and David F. Gillespie 1976"An integrated formalization of organization-environment interdependencies," Mu tan Relations 29(1):80-100. ,

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976" Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies," Sociolocical 7;cuirv 46 (2):135-141.

Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic alfferences in the use of the goal concept," International Review gi History d Political Science 8(30):1-14.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations,"

Sociolocv ad Social Research 6063):263-278.

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior,"

European Journal gi Soci.Q Psychol Av 6(1):74-90.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis,a communication Research 2(1):24-49.

Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis S. Mileti and Roy Lotz 1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralizations the '

interactive effect on member commitment," International Journal gi Group Tensions 5(2):26-37.

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " Collective stress and community transformacion," Hu utn '

Relations 27(8):767-788.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1974 " Change ratios in age-specific percent contriductions to fertility: a new method with applications to the United States," Pacific Sociolocical Review 17 ',1) : 3-2 6.

First Prize, student paper competition, Pacific Sociological Association, 1974.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie ,

1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, structure and behavior," current Scciolec" 23 (L) :189-200. c .

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergent organizations," Sociolocical Incuiry 44(2):111-119.

Mileti, Dennis S.,'and Larry Barnett 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion legalization," Social Biolocv 19(2):43-50.

1 Journal M11gles: Acolied Focus (refereed)

  • Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Role conflict in emergency workers," Emercency Manacenent Review (accepted and forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Earthquakes and. human behavior," Spectra (accepted and

' forthccming).

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Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical facilities," Bulletin g & Seismolocical Society gf,,

America 72(6)13-18.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1978 " Correcting for the human factor in tornedo warnings,"

Disaster Precaredness 2(February):5-9.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake prediction," Journal g.[ thg Physical Earth 25(4):283-293.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977" Earthquake prediction and its consequences,"

California Geoloav 30(7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in SAa Francisco 20(4):60-68, 1978.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Earthquake prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin d thg Egg Zealand Society igI Earthcuake Enci.neerinq 9(4):183-194.

Journal Rejoinders: Discioligt Focus (refereed)

J Gillespie, David P., and Dennis S. Mileti 1982 " Differentiation in organizations: a comment on Miller and Conaty," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.

Mileti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations: a rejoinder to Griffin and Griffin," Sociolacical meuiry 45(4):72-50.

112g1 Reviews (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Toma:evic (Eds.). Itnaca:

Program in Urban and Regional Studies,1983." Mass E ercencies and Disasters (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982"A review of Unequal Care: Interorgani:stional Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. ::ew York:

Columbia University Press, 198 0." Social Fo r ce s 60(3):943-944.

M11eti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). ::ew York: !!cGraw-Hill, 1981." Sociolocy: A Review d Egg iLqgXg 7(2).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 "A review of Aftermath: Comnunities After Natural Disasters ey H. Paul Friesema et al. Beverly Hills:

Sage Puolications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up: Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wrigne and Peter Rossi et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, 1979.* Jo rnal of,, the Ar.e r ican 91annina As soci at ir

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(Octobor):484-485.

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1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J.

Eldridge and A. Crombie. New York: International Publications,1975." Contemrary Sociolocy 5(6):784.

. Technical Reports (not refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S,.

1983 Human Response Scenarios: Lag Enforcement Acolications And ggdig inolications. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.

  • Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 Orcanizational Behavior gad Interorcanizational Relations: Imolications f,qi Mg,Ag Power 21 m Emercancies gad Precaredness. Oak Ridge, Tennessee:

Oak Ridge National Laboritories.

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough and Patti Madson 1982 .2.g Three glia Island Incident: A Study g Behavioral Indicators d Human Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Arthur Svenson 1981 Eartheuake Prediction-Warninc Resporise E21 Emercancy '

Orcanizations j;,g j;hg Prediction Ter tinoloav. Van Nuys:

i Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project.

Hutton, Janice, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Analysis g Adoction gad Imolementation d Comunity Land y,gg Reculations 12g Plcodelains. San Francisco:

Woodward-Clyde.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Imoact d Earthcuake Prediction Qa

Gover.e.ent. Business gad Comunit :. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

i Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. G.'llespie 1976 Interorcanizational Relat {.qng ggd Community Service Delivery Systems. Boulder: Center for Action Research.

Publications in Proceedines (not refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 36-56 in Walter Hays (Ed.). Proceedincs g j;hg Conferences In Earthcuake Prediction Information. Menlo Parx: i,;. 5.

Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January,1930 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 4

1978 "So cial aspects of earthquakes." Pp. 179-192 in Proceedincs d j;hg Second Interr.ational Conference g; gieroconation. San Francisco: National Science Foundation. Paper presented at the Novecoer, 1973 Conference on the State of the Art in Microronation for l Earthquake Harards Reduction, San Francisco.

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Mileti, Dennis S.

1978 " Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction on state policy." Pp. in Proceedinas 0.1 th.g National Conference gn Earthcuake Related Hazards. Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder.

Other Published Comments (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6 (1) :5.

  • Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Disasterous warnings," C:ni (March):24,44,152.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Hazards reduction work: the next era," National Hazards Observer 6 ( 4) : 1-2. Reprinted in Earthcuake Information Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.

Mileti, Dennis S. -

1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction,"

Earthquake Information Bulletin 11(3):102-105. '

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction response," Ii:tt (January 24):83.

Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Individual and organizational response to threat,"

h mercencies 1(4):247.

Mileti, Dennis S.

19,6 " Social scientists and applied research," Iht A erican Sociolcaist 11(4):220-221.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1974 " Response to research and national needs," Footnotes 2 (October) :6.

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PROFESS 1; OPAL PAPERS MH1 PRESEYrAMONS 1 .

Conference Papers Mileti, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie r 1984" Regulation of the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use of nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: October.

1 Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards,"

paper presented to the Conference on Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University: July.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-1 tion, Seattle: April. ,

j' Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on

! Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and t Warning, Tokyo: November.

Frey,- R. Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis S. Mileti, and Debra Cornelius 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood Insurance Program," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington July.

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1983 "The Three Mile Island incidents a study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.

Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: fac: ors affecting organizational response to a predicted

! earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Western Social Science Association, Alburquque April.

Mileti, Denni.t S.

1982 " Ear:hquake prediction responses cultural cc:rparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the Interna:ional Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.

L Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Influencing corporate decisions on the u 4e of microzonation information," paper presented :o the Third International Conf erence on Micro:enation, i Seattle: June.

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Mileti, Dennis S.

e 1982" Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper presented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy Development, and Irplementation Incen-tives: Focus on Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "Public perception of seismic hazards," paper presented to the Seismological Society of America, Anaheim: April.

Williams, Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Perception of growth impacts in energy impacted communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Ithaca: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Planning initiatives for seismic, hazard mitigation,"

paper presented to the Conference on Social and Economic I pacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May.

Timmer, Doug, and Cennis S. Mileti 1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper presented to the Session on Complex organizations of the tiidwest Sociological e Society, Milwaukee, Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuqurque: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 "Hur an response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to the Status of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles: January.

Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado," paper presented to the Impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis:

Cctober.

Mileti, Cennis S., and Gary Williams 1979 " Resident percpetions in growth impacted western agri-cultural communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Vermont: August.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Stan Eitzen 1979 "The epihenominality of organizational si:e," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukjee April.

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R. Hutton and John Sorensen 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction,"

paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, CiESCO, Paris April.

Hutton, Janice R., Cennis S. Mileti, and John Sorensen 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system effective-ness," paper presented to the International Spposic.9 on Earthquake Prediction, U!!ESCO, Paris April.

Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 12

1979 " Institutional managecent of risk information following earthquake predictions," paper presented to the Inter-national Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, i Paris: April. -

Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco: November.

M11eti, Dennis S., and David P. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making,"

paper presented to the Organizations session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco:

Septemcer.

4 Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Orga-nization of Work Association, Session of the American Sociological San Francisco: Septemcer.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment rela-tions," paper presented to the organizations-Environ-ment Session of the Midwesc Sociological Society, Omaha: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti #

1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper presented to the Formal and Complex organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings,"

paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of- the American Meteorological Society, Cmaha:

Octocer.

Mileti, Dennis S.,.and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organization and environment adaptation-=anipulation,"

' paper presented to the Organi:ational Relations Session

' of the American Sociological Association, Chicago:

Septemcer.

Eutton, Janice R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research,"

paper presented to the Social Policy Session of tne American Sociological Association, Chicago: Septe=cer.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Organizational growth and managerial efficiency,"

paper presented to the Social Organization / Formal /

Complex Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Sacramento: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespio 1977 "Organi:ational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April.

'Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and J. Eugene Haas 1976 " Size ano structure in complex organizations," paper F

presented to the Crgani:ational Change Session of the American Sociological Association, New York City:

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August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1976 " Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper presented to the Issues in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjust-ments to earthquakes," paper presented to the Austral-ian Academy of Science, Canberra: May.

Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas 1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Collective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St.' Louis: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti -

1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure,"

paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction,"

paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Boston: February.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: August.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975" A resolution of inconsistencies between size, complexity and the administrative component in organ-izations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago:

April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Victoria: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "An interaction model for organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Interorganizational Relations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Cmaha April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie l 1974 "A formalization of organization-environment dependencies," paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Pacific Sociological Asscciation, San Joser March.

Farhar, Barcara, and Dennis S. Mileti

  • 1974 "Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," paper presented to the Applied Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1973 "Drowing a co=unications disease," paper presented ta

- the Cass Comunications and Public Opinion Session of 14

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tho Am3rican Sociological Association, Haw York City:

August.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Sigmund Krane 1973 " Response to impending system stress," paper presented to the What Do We Know Session on Human Behavior in Disaster of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1973 "A paradigm and sociology of knowledge for theories of natural law," paper presented to the Theory Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1972 " Response to hazards warnings," paper presented to the Organizational and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Research Center of the Chio State University, Columbus: July.

Speeches and Guest Lectures

'" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Research and Management: Assessments of a Maturing Field, Natural Eazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1984. s

" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March, 1984..

"The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Colloqium on Earthquake Prediction Research in the US, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo: November, 1983.

" Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mile High Chapter, Boulder Region, Boulder: July, 1983.

" Integrated e=ergency management: challenges and opportunities,"

Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1983.

"Public response to flood disasters," Conference on the ::eed for Teamwork in Managing Flood Hazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacra:rento: April, 1983.

" Natural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental Management Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles: April, 1982.

" Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Eusiness and Industry, Los Angeles: May, 1982.

" Communicating lessons learned f rom social science researen on earthquakes," Forkshop of Identifying and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes," Earthquake Engineering Research Insti: te, Los Alt:s: Cece.?ber, 1982.

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. " Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response:

o , implications for the design of California's warning system and 1

information dissemination," Southern California Earchquake Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October, 1981.

~

" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems demand further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1981.

" Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earthquake Emergency Preparedness, Committee on Iong Range Reconstruction, Sacremento, July, 1981.

"Socio-cultural dimensions of earthquake risk," Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, General Assembly, Sacramento: May, 1981.

4 "Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems,"

Eealth Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October, 1980.

. " Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues,"

  • Southern California Emergency Services Association, Montebello: ,

February, 1980.

! " Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October, 1979.

" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Cenver: Cecencer, 1980, 1979.

" Measuring implementation of public policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, i Boulder: August, 1978.

" Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: Novemcer, 1977.

l " Population, resources and policy for social change," College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University: Septe.Ther, 1977; February, 1978; February, 1980.

"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction," American Society for Puolic.

Administration, Colorado Chapter, Cenver: April, 1976.

"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions," California State Seminar on Emergency Preparedness and Earthquake Prediction, Palm Springs: June, 1976.

" Preparing to make use of earthquak predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commission for the Ccunty and Cities of Los Angeles, P.cntebello: February, 1976.

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i "Th9 social organization of hazard warning systems," Enginscring Foundation Conference on Decision Making for Natural Hazards,

, Pacific Grove: March, 1976.

" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction," Governor's donference Room, Sacramento: May, 1975; Mayor's conference Room, Los Angeles: Cetober, 1975.

" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake prediction,"

General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September, 1975.

" Earthquake prediction and its implications for emergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies, Tokyo: September, 1975.

" Social impacts of earthquake prediction: implications for policy," California Water and Po' er Earthquake Engineering Forum, San Francisco: April, 1975.

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, OTHER PROFESSIONAL SEWICE oraanizer itad Presider ,

l Session on Applied Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association,

!_ Seattle: April,1984; session on Theoretical Assessments, Western t

Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; session on Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Delivery Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April,

, . 1984; Session on Erthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National

  • _ Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, seventh Annual Workshop on Natural Hazards Research Applications, Boulder: July, 1982; Session on Disasters and Cataclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982; session on Collective Behavior, American
  • Sociological' Association, New York: August, 1980; session on Complex Organizations, Pacific Sociological Association, San y- Francisco: April,1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Tempe,1976.

Discussar(

, Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, Satt Diego: April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Association, San Antonio:

August, 1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science ,

Information, Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1980; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Session on

, Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder:

July, 1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Estes Park: June, 1973.

Particicant Panel on/ Disaster Research Its Funding and Future, American

, Sociological Association, San Antonio: August, 1984; Review ,

Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on Social and Economic D Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Workshop on Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Ios Altos: Cecember,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority s Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: Novemcer, 1982; Earrhquake

-. __? Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project, Asilomar: December, 1981; Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human l Response, San Fernando: June,1976; Seminar on Disaster Researen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: February, 1975; Symposiu.?

on Complex Organizations: Research and Applications, Western Social Science Association,-El Paso: April, 1974.

Editorships 18' I,

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t Corresponding editor on Hazards and Disaster, Env i ro nment al e Socioloav. Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association, 1981-date: Guest i

editor,, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response, sua E ercencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.

Tenthony Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffolk: December, 1983 through June, 1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergency planning at the Waterford Three nuclear reactor, New Orleans: February,1983; Suffolk County Legislature, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffold: January, 1983; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon nuclear reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January,1982; Senate Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the National Earthquake Eazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C.:

April, 1980; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of the #

impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist behavior, Sethesda:

( May, 1977 and July, 1978.

j Lecislativt and Procram Reviews I

Earthquake Eazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congerssional Panel, Federal Emergency !!anagement Agency, 1983-82; Earthquake Eazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geological Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Uetlands, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Federal Regis:er 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1979-78.

Promosal Reviews 1

Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1984-81; Division of Policy Researca

, and Analysis, National Science Foundation, 1983; Sociology l Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81; Design Researen l Program, National Science Foundation, 1982; Division of Procle-l Focused Research, National Science Foundacion, 1980; Division of International Programs, National Science Foundation, 1973; Division of Advanced Environmental Research and Technology, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.

Article Reviews

  • Human Relations, 1984-83, 1978-77; Sociolacical Perscec:!ves L (Pacific Sociolacical Review), 1984; Devianc Behavior, 1983; i

Ris#t Analysis,198 3; Ih.g Env ironmenta l Prof essiona l,1983-3;

Sociolocv and Social Researen, .1982-81,1979-78,1976; Social Forces, 1980; Iug Environ ental Professional, 1982; Ihm Sccial 9

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Science Journal, 1981-77; Bulletin 91 t;he Seistolocical Society gi America,1982; Sociolooical Focus,1980; Mass Emeraencies, 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analysis 1978; Ihg Sociolocical Cuarterly, 1975; current Research in Earthcunke Prediction, 1984.

Other Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, "Futu:e Scenarios," Chapter 21 in R. W.

Kates (Ed.) . Climate 122Ast Assessment: Studies g{ g Interaction 21 Climate and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment,1982; Study on Earthouake Hazards Information Dissemination: Charleston. South Carolina. Reston for the U. S.

Geological Survey, 1982.

Decart ent and University Service Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space, 1983; Department Five-Year Review Committee, 1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Committee, 1984-75; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses, 1978; University Committee on Ethnic StudiEG, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74. '

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4 TEACHL'iG Courses Taucht (undergraduate)

Introduction to Sociology Complex Organizations Demographic Processes and Social Change Historical Sociological Theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters Courses Taucht (graduate)

Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis .

Research Methods I Research Methods II Cemography and Population Complex Grganizations Graduate Theses gad Dissertations Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee, 5 ,

Member, Ph.D. Committees, 12 Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 3 Member, M.A. Committees, 12 Student Evaluations Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are availacle upon request.

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