ML20112K100
| ML20112K100 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Harris  |
| Issue date: | 01/14/1985 |
| From: | Mileti D CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT CO., COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, NORTH CAROLINA MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCIES |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20112J843 | List:
|
| References | |
| OL, NUDOCS 8501180471 | |
| Download: ML20112K100 (21) | |
Text
' .
a Januaryclf 1985
- v s .
Y'$
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA dy #53' NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION E1.3p
- :,)-
BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BONRD In the Matter of )
) .
CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT COMPANY )
and NORTH CAROLINA EASTERN )
MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCY ) Docket No. 50-400 OL
)
(Shearon Harris Nuclear Power )
Plant) )
AFFIDAVIT OF DENNIS S. MILETI ON WILSON 12(b)(3) AND EPJ-2 County of Denver )
) ss.
State of Colorado )
DENNIS S. MILETI, being duly sworn, deposes and says:
- 1. I am presently an Associate Professor in the Department of Sociology and Director of the Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University, specializing in those areas of study dealing with complex organizations, hazards, l policy and methods (with a particular emphasis on public t-emergency response). A current statement of my professional qualifications and experience is attached hereto. My business address is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, 8501180471 850114 PDR ADOCK 05000400 G PDR .
l t
L
L
= Fort Collins, Colorado 80523. I have personal knowledge of the matters stated herein and believe them to be true and correct.
I make this affidavit in response to Wilson Contention 12(b)(3) and EPJ-2,
- 2. Human response to emergencies has been a' topic of investigation by social scientists for approximately three decades. Many studies have been performed in a variety of emergencies stemming from geological, climatological, and technological phenomena, and have been documented in a vast body of emergency literature. This research history has
! covered many aspects of human behavior; and an important component of this work has been to investigate the behavior of people within a community at ri,sk in response to an emergency.
Although additional research will continue, the record is clear with respect to the response of members of the public at risk in times of emergency. I am confident that the principles of public response discussed below -- well established through decades of research and investigation -- would be applicable in the event of an emergency at a nuclear facility such as the Harris plant.
l
- 3. Emergencies are by definition, and in reference to human behavior, unique situations. Emergencies which pose a threat to an entire community are, behaviorally, in a class by themselves. Emergencies such as these transform communities behaviorally at both the group and individual levels.
L
. Priorities of ongoing social life shift, goals and objectives are transformed, and identifications change. The first priority for virtually all people who find themselves in such a collective threat situation becomes the collective safety of people and the community at large. People abandon personal forms of identification and personal interests, and they identify with the entire human collective or community that is threatened.
- 4. This " shift" in the social psychological complexion
.of social life and human behavior results in a variety of principles that emerge to document the character of emergency behavior. These include, for example, a dramatic decline in acts and behavior that run counter to the good of the ,
' collective and those that are based in individual or personal interests, and a dramatic increase in acts and behavior that bring people together and help one another. This " shift" would undoubtedly occur in an emergency at the Harris plant; it has occurred in every comparable emergency studied by social scientists where it has been a topic.of investigation (and has been evidenced even in' emergencies where it was not formally a topic of investigation). This general shift in human behavior >
in emergencies should be considered in planning for emergencies. It is.as applicable to planning for the transportation needs of an evacuating public as it is to any other aspect of emergency planning.
i
6
- 5. People in emergencies become altruistic and concerned about the safety of others. Consequently, people check on the safety of others; communicate with friends, neighbors and intimates; and offer help and assistance to each other.
Further, evacuation can be generally characterized as a group behavior, rather than a behavior in which people engage as individuals. People generally exhibit -- as a consequence of becoming altruistic and concerned about the safety of others --
a tendency to form into groups prior to and for the purpose of evacuation.
- 6. Historically, in emergencies where evacuation has been recommended, people without transportation have obtained evacuation tra,nsportation from friends, neighbors and l relatives. This is the case because of the natural tendency of l people in emergencies to check on the safety of others, to L become altruistic and offer help to those who need it, and to form groups for evacuation. Therefore, in the event of an l emergency at Harris necessitating evacuation, regardless of the reason for lack of personal private transportation, the vast majority of evacuees without their own transportation would receive transportation from other evacuees. This would likely be particularly true for people whom others (e.g. , friends, neighbors and relatives) know not to own a car or to have a car L which is out of the EPZ - for example, because of a working spouse. Thus, the number of persons who would.need official i
-4'-
J k.
t 6
l
, e transportation assistance during an emergency can be expected to be well below the number of persons without transportation in non-emerget.cy times.1/ The assumption employed for the Harris EIZ for planning purposes (i.e., that approximately 80%
. of those who do not have personal private transportation would receive transportation from other evacuees) is a reasonable one, based on principles of behavior established through the study of emergencies.
i I
1 l
1/ Pre-emergency public education may acquaint members of the public generally with the way in which official transpor-tation assistance would be provided for any who might need it; however, the specific details -- e.g., the locations of pickup points -- are not essential in pre-emergency information. Should an evacuation ever be required, the emergency information broadcast to the public at the time of the evacuation should provide this more detailed infor-mation.
__ - - ~ , e - - -->,w m * -"
. 7. In summary, based on an extensive history of human behavior in emergencies, I am confident that -- in the event of an evacuation due to an emergency at the Harris plant -- the vast majority of evacuees without their own transportation would receive transportation from other evacuees.
g , [/
Dennis S. Mileti Sworn to and subscribed before me this // @/ ay of January, 1985.
Notary Public
[6% c My Commission E:pires February 6,1988 19E My Commission expires: 6333 E. Cn!fnv 4,s Denver, CO 80220 ACADEMIC VITA OF DENNIS S. MILETI August, 1984 PERSONAL Q111gg:
' Department of Sociology Hazards Assessment Laboratory Colorado State University Aylesworth Hall Port Collins, Colorado 80523 Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 EDUCATION .
University of Colorado, Boulder: PhD, Sociology, 1974 California State University, Los Angeles: MA, Sociology, 1971 i
University of California, Los Angeles: BA, Sociology,1968 SPECIALIZATIONS ,
I complex Organizations, Applied (Hazards and Policy), Methods APPOINTMENTS j 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment Laboratory, l
Colorado State University 1984-date Committee on Natural Disasters, National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences i
1981-year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission, #
State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university)
I 1978-date Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, j
Colorado State University, Fort Collins j 1975-year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of
[ Public Administration, Intensive Seminar Program 1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chautauga Short
, Course Program 1974-1978 Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, i
Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1971-1972 Instructor, Lepartment of Sociology, Univer-sity of Colorado, Boulder AWARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981-year Cited in Outstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociologi-cal Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest Sociological Society, American Association for the Advance-l ment of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, l
Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council'on Emergency Management
- 1. -
. I 5.g.
4 i
RESEARCH GRANTS &HQ CONTRACTS 1984-date Associate Investigator, " State-of-the-Art Assessment: Evacuation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Impact on Domestic Assets," sub-contract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.
1983-1984 Principal Investigator, "Research and 1 Applications for Emergency Preparedness,"
contract for Long Island Lighting Company.
1983-1984 Principal Investigator," Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings,"
quick-response grant from the Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information Center.
1982-1983 Associate Investigator," Organizational Interface for Nuclear Reactor Emergency Pre-paredness," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regu-latory Commission.
1981-year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard ,
Warnings and Emergency Evacuation Prepared- #
I ness," contract for Pacific Gas and Electric Company.
1980-1983 Principal Investigator, " Local Land Use Policy Decisions," Colorado State University Experi-ment Station.
1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island Incident and Re-start," contract for General Public Utilities i
via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.
1977-1980 Principal Investigator, " Migration Impacts of Non-metropolitan Areas in the West," Colorado State University Experiment Station.
, 1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organiza-tional Implementation of Policy for Land Use l Regulations," grant from the National Science Foundation.
1975-1977 Coprincipal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Political Consequences of l Earthquake P.rediction," grant from the National Science Foundation.
1972-1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Research on Natural Hazards," grant from the National
- Science Foundation.
COMMITTEE MEMBERSHIPS 1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Colorado State University, Univer-sity of Colorado, University of. Denver.
1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Disasters.
i *1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association, Nominations
' 2..
.y..
.,...-..m,.
Committee for the Standing Committees for 1983.
1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Committee on Social Science Research, Berkeley.
1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.
1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego.
1981-1982 Go ve rno r 's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, Threat and Reconstruction Committees, State of California, Sacremento.
1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council, Committee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tailings, State of Colorado.
1979-year American Association for the Advancement of i
Science, Committee on Intergovernmental Research and Development on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.
1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences, National
. Research Council, Commission on Sociotechni-cal Systems, Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction, Washington, #
D.C.
f l
l l
f
- i c
l l
l l .
f ,
L , 'E .
PUBLICATIONS Bagh1 And Monographs (refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
Iba Order gi Cb&g1 in Disasters (in progress) .
Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eitzen Graduate Research Methods in thg Social Sciences (in progress),
, Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and Interoraanizational Relations.
Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 oraanizational Response in Changina enavnenity Systems Kent, Ohio Kent State University Press.
Chapters (invited and refereed)
M11eti, Dennis S.
1986 "Research methods and disaster research." In Russell R. Dynes and Carlo Polanda (Eds.). So c io lggy, - gf,
. Disasterar Contributions gi socioloav Ag Disaster Ramearch. Italy: Franco Angeli (forthcoming). -
Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen
- l 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards."
i In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraaina self-Protection EshavigI (forthcoming).
Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti
, 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of
- programs to stimulate public adoption." In Neil I
Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraging self-Protection Behavior I (forthcoming).
! Button, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti j 1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-
! 166 in T. Rikitake (Ed.) . Current Research in F.arthquake Prediction. Boston Reidel Publishing Company, Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation."
Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic h gi Earthquakes gg utility Lifelinen. New York:
American Society of Civil Engineers.
Monographs and Chapters (quasi-refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg 1984 " Social science earthquake investigations." In Roger
! Scholl (Ed.). Lasagna Idagned IIga Racant Earthquakes.
Berkeley Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (forthcoming).
l Review Panel of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan
- 1984 National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Proarams fly.g l Imag, Proaram Elan. Washington, D.C.
- Federal Emergency Management Agency (forthcoming).
' 4, .
, Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods." Pp.
249-255 in Russel Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Research Methods Coursesr Sv11abL Assignments and Projects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological As'sociation.
Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen 1981 Earthquake Prediction Response and Options igi Public Policy. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.
Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 Impacts 91 Population Growth in Agricultur:d Colorado Committees. Fort Collins Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.
Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness 1979 Eitg Safety and Disaster Preoaredness. Washington, D.C.: Arterican Association for the Advancettent of Science.
Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction 1978 & Program g,f Studiga gn gg Socioeconomic Ef fects g,1 Earthquake Prediction. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.
Mileti, Dennis, S., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas #
1975 Hugan Systems in Extreme Environ =ntar A Sociological Perspective. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 21.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1975 Natural Hazard Warnina Systems in da United States.
Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12.
Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behmeriort Response 1g, Stress, 1978.
Erickson, Neil, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1975 tandslide Hazards in thg United Statest & Research Amnessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1975 Disaster Relief and Rehabilitation in thg United 31& tag. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Ayre, Robert, Dennis S. Mileti and Patricia Trainer 1975 Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards in thg United Statest &
Research Assessment. Boulder Institute of Behavioral Science.
Journal Articlest Discipline 19S21 (refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and warning," Poliev studies Review (accepted and forth-coming).
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel .
1984 "The Three Mile Island incidents a study of behavioral indicators of human stress." Maat Emercancies And Disasters (accepted and forthcoming).
l 1
- 3. .
Mileti, Dennis S.
. 1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction: Japan vs the United States."
h Emergencies AM Disasters 1(3):399-414. <
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption,"
Public Administration Review (accepted and forth-coming). .
M11eti, Dennis S., Doug Timer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of decentralization," Pacific Sociolocical Eggigg 25(2):163-183.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and S' tan Eitzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size,"
Socioloav A d Social Research 65(4):400-414.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research,"
Sociological Methods ad Research 9(3):327-388.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental #
extremes," Socioloav A M Social Research 64(3):327-347.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations,"
Administrative Science Review 10(3):21-32.
M11eti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies,"
Journal g contamnorary Socioloav 17(3-4):132-158 Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal d Social Research 21(2):139-147.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1979" Structure and decision making in corprate oeganizations," So c iolg.gy, ggd Social Renearch 63(4):723-744.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations," Haman Relations.32(3):261-271.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiencies and lucunae," Technoloav Ad Culture 19(1):83-92.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-manipulation," Scottish Journal g Socioloav 2(2):205-219.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haas 1977 " Size and structure in complex organizations," Social Forces 56(1):208-217.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. M11eti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overview and appraisal," Academy g Manacement Review 2(1):6-19.
i 6, ,
Reprinted in Readings ga HQX Managers Manace. Englewood Cliffs, New-Jersey: Prentice Hall, 1982.
- and David F. Gillespie M11eti, Dennis S.,
1976"An integrated formalization of organization-environment interdependencies," Human Relations 29(1):80-100.
Gillespie, David F., and -Dennis S. Mileti 1976" Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies," Socioloqical inauirv 46(2):135-141.
Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept," International Review g,[ Historv ggd Politieml Science 8(30):1-14.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations,"
Socioloay and Social Research 6063):263-278.
Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior,"
European Journal gi Social Psychol #2v 6(1):74-90.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis," Communication Research 2(1):24-49.
Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis S. Mileti and Roy Lotz ,
1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralizations the #
interactive effect on member commitment," International Journal gi Iigggg Tensions 5(2):26-37.
Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," ihEnan Relations 27(8):767-788.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1974 "Che.nge ratios in age-specific percent contriductions to fertility: a new method with applications to the United States," Pacific Sociological Review 17(1):3-26.
First Prize, student paper competition, Pacific Sociological Association, 1974.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, structure and behavior," Current sociolocv 23(1):189-200.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergent organizations," Socioloaiemi Ineuiry 44(2):111-119.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Larry Barnett 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion legalization," Sagial Bioloav 19(2):43-50.
gegEnal Articles: &ggligd Eggua (refereed)
M11eti, Dennis S.
1984 " Role conflict in emergency workers," Emercancy Mannaement Review (accepted and forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Earthquakes and human behavior," Spectra (accepted and forthcoming).
' 7
, 't .
o Mileti, Dennis S.
1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical facilities," Bulletin gf, .the Seismolecical Society gf, America 72(6)l3-18 Mileti, Dennis S., and Pa.tricia Harvey 1978 " Correcting for the human factor in tornedo warnings,"
Disaster Preparedness 2(February):5-9.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake
, prediction," Journal g.f .the Physical Earth 25(4):283-293.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977" Earthquake prediction and its consequences,"
california Geolocy 30(7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in S.An Franciseg 20(4)i60-68,1978 Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "Earthquak e prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin gf .the Egg Zealand Society fqr, Earthcuake Encineerinc 9(4):183-194.
Journal Reioinders Discioline Focus (refereed)
+
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1982 " Differentiation in organizations: a comment on Miller and Conaty," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.
Mileti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations: a rejoinder to Griffin and Griffin," Sociolacical Incuiry 45(4):72-50.
BQgk Reviews (invited and refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). Ithaca:
Program in Urban and Regional Studies,1983." 8.ggs harcancies and Disasters (forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982"A review of Unequal Care: Interorganizational Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. New York:
Columbia University Press, 198 0." Social Fo rces 60(3):943-944.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of M11stle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill, 1981." Socioloovt & Review of Egg Books 7(2).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 "A review of Aftermath: Communities After Natural Disasters by H. Paul Friesema et al. Beverly Hills:
Sage Publications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up: Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wright and Peter Rossi et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, 1979." Journal g.f .thg American Plannina Association i
8,,
f
6 (October) :484-485.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J.
Eldridge and A. Crombie. New York: International Publications, 1975." contamnorary Sociolocv 5(6):784.
Technical Reports (not refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S,.
1983 EMEAg Response Scenarios: Lag Enforcement Acolications and gadig imolications. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982Relations Oraanizational Behavior and Interoraanizational Imolications igI Nucl1AI, Power Hang Emeroencies and Precaredness. Oak Ridge, Tennessee:
Oak Ridge National Laboritories.
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough and Patti Madson 1982 ThR IhEAR Hila Island Incident: A Study 91 Behavioral Indicators 21 Hu2An Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Arthur Svenson 1981 Earthenalce Prediction-Warnina Response Egg, Emercancy #
Oreanizations 12 thg Prediction Terminoloav. Van Nuys:
Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project.
Button, Janice, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Analvsis 91 Adoption and imnlementation 91 Community Land Ugg Reculations fgg,Ploodolains. San Francisco:
Woodward-Clyde.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Impact 91 Earthquake Prediction gn Government. Business and Comm"nitv. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 Interorcanizational Relations and Community Service Delivery Systems. Boulder: Center for Action Research.
Publications in Proceedings (not refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 36-56 in Walter Hays (Ed.). Proceedincs 91 thg Conferences gn Earthauake Prediction Information. Menlo Park: U.S.
Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January,1980 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes." Pp. 179-192 in Proceedinas 91 thg Second International Conference pn gierozonation. San Francisco: National Science Foundation. Paper presented at the November, 1978 i Conference on the State of the Art in Microzonation for Earthquake Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.
l 9-
. j
Mileti, Dennis S.
1978 " Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction on state policy." Pp. in Proceedinas gi tdig National conference 2g Earthcuake Related Hazards. Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder.
Other. Published comments (invited and refereed) f Mileti, Dennis S.
- 1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin i
6(1) :5.
Mileti, Dennis S. -*
1983 "Disasterous warnings," Omni (March):24,44,152.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Hazards reduction work: the next era," National 1 Hazards Observer 6(4):1-2. Reprinted in Earthcuake Information Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.
- Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction," ,
Earthquake Information Bulletin 11(3):102-105.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction response," Timg (January 24):83.
Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Individual and organizational response to threat,"
Essa Emercencies 1(4):247.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1976'" Social scientists and applied research," Thg American Socioloaist 11(4):220-221.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1974 " Response to research and national needs," Footnotes 2(October) :6.
10' t
l .
PROFESSIOMAL PAPERS MQ PRESENTATIONS
[ conference Papers
, Mileti, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie 1984" Regulation o.f the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-
, tions Session of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use of t
nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, i
i San Francisco: October.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards,"
paper presented to the Conference on Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University: July.
Mileti, Dennis S. .
1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Seattle: April. #
i Mileti, Dennis S.
1983 " Social impact .and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning, Tckyo: November.
Frey, R. Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis d. Mileti, and Debra Cornelius 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood Insurance Program," paper presented to
' the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington: July.
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Bufnagel 1983 "The Three Mile Island incident: a. study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.
Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors affecting organizational response to a predicted earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and l
Hazards Research Session of the Western Social Science Association, Alburquque: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Ear hquake prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the International Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Influencing _ corporate decisions on the use of microzonation information," paper presented to the Third International Conference on Microzonation, Seattle: June.
l 11" '
L . I.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982" Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper presented to the Conference on Hazards ,
Research, Policy Development, and Implementation Incen-tives: Focus on Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "Public perception of seismic hazards," paper presented to the seismological Society of America, Anaheim: April.
Williams, Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Perception of growth impacts in energy impacted I communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Ithaca: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 " Planning initiatives for seismio hazard mitigation,"
paper presented to the Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May.
Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti
. 1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision . making," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological #
Society, Milwaukee.
Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuqurque: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1 1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction," paper 1 presented to the Status of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles: January.
Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado," paper presented to the Impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis:
October.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Gary Williams 1979 " Resident percpetions in growth impacted western agri-cultural communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Vermont: August.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Stan Eitzen 1979 "The epihenominality of organizational size," paper presented to the Session on Complex organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukjee: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R. Hutton and John Sorensen 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction,"
paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.
Eutton, Janice R., Dennis S. Mileti, and John Sorensen 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system effective-ness," paper presented to the International Symposium
, onEarthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.
- Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti t
12
- t
i
- - 1979 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predictions," paper presented to the Inter-national Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.
- Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton.
1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco: November.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making,"
paper presented to the Organizations Session of the i American Sociological Association, San Francisco:
l September.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Orga-nization of Work Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.
Mileti, tennis S., and David F. Gillespie
' 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment rela-tions," paper presented to the Organizations-Environ-ment Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti
- 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper
! presented to the Formal and Complex Organizations i
Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings,"
paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of the American Met'eorological Society, Omaha:
i October.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organization and environment adaptation-manipulation,"
paper presented to the Organizational Relations Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago:
September.
Hutton, Janice R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research,"
paper presented to the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago: September.
! Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti l- 1977 " Organizational growth and managerial efficiency," '
t paper presented to the Social Organization / Formal /
Complex Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Sacramento: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and J. Eugene Haas 1976 " Size and structure in complex organizations," paper presented to the Organizational Change session of the American Sociological Association, New York City:
E p' e 13 I
. - - - _. _ - -. . . - = _ . - - - _ -
. August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
'1976 ' Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper ,
presented to the Issues in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjust-
- ments to earthquakes," paper presented to the Austral-ian Academy of Science, Canberra
- May.
Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas -
1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Collective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti -
1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure,"
paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction,"
paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the I
American Association for the Advancement of Science, #
Boston: February.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie l 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San
. Francisco: August.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie l 1975" A resolution of in~ consistencies between size, complexity and the administrative component in organ-izations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago:
April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Victoria: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "An interaction model for organization-environm'ent relations," paper presented to the Interorganizational Relations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.
l Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "A formalization of organization-environment dependencies," paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.
Farhar, Barbara, and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 "Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," paper presented to the Applied Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.
l Mileti, Dennis S.
. 1973 "Drowing: a communications disease," paper presented to l the Mass Comunications and Public Opinion Session of L i ,.
14
, I. .
the American Sociological Association, New York City:
. August.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Sigmund Krane 1973 " Response to impending system stress," paper presented to the What Do We Know Session on Human Behavior in Disaster of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1973 "A paradigm and sociology of knowledge for theories of natural law," paper presented to the Theory Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1972 " Response to hazards warnings," paper presented to the Organizational and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Researci) Center of the Ohio State University, Columbus: July.-
Speeches And Guest Lectures
" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Research and Management: Assessments of a Maturing Field, Natural Hazards Research Applicacions Workshop, Boulder: July, 1984. *
" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March, 1984.
"The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Collogium on Earthquake Prediction Research in the US, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo: November, 1983.
i
' " Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mile High Chapter, Boulder Region, Boulder: July, 1983.
" Integrate.d emergency management: challenges and opportunities,"
Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1983.
"Public response to flood disasters," Conference on the Need for Teamwork in Managing Flood Hazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, 1983.
" Natural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental
! Management Institute, University of Southern California, Los l Angeles: April, 1982 l
" Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Business and-Industry, Los Angeles: May, 1982.
" Communicating lessons learned from social science research on earthquakes," Workshop of Identifying and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes," Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December, 1982.
e 15 l
.-- .. _ _ , _ . _ . . _ _ . . . _ , . . , _ r_ L-
" Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response:
implications for the design of California's warning system and information dissemination," Southern California Earchquake Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October, 1981.
" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems demand' further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1981.
" Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earthquake Emergency Preparedness, Committee on Iong Range Reconstruction, Sacremento, July, 1981.
"Socio-cultural dimensions of earthquake risk," Governo r's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, , General Assembly, Sacramento: May, 1981.
"Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems,"
Eealth Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October, 1980.
" Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues,"
Southern California Emergency Services Association, Montebello: ,,
February, 1980.
" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October, 1979.
" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980, 1979.
" Measuring implementation of public policy for ficodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applicacions Workshop, Boulder: August, 1978
" Socioeconomic eff ects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: November, 1977.
l " Population, resources and policy for social change," College of l Natural Resources, Colorado State University: September, 1977; l February, 1978; February, 1980.
1 "The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction," American Society for Public Administration, Colorado Chapter, Denver: April, 1976.
l "The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions," California State Seminar on Emergency Preparedness and Earthquake Prediction, Palm Springs: June, 1976.
l " Preparing to make use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commission for.the County and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February, 1976.
f 16'
'g
- e
"The social organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering Foundation Conference on Decision Making for Natural Hazards, Pacific Grove: March, 1976.
" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction," Governor's Conference Room, Sacramento: May, 1975; Mayor's Conference Room, Los Angeles: October, 1975.
" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake prediction,"
General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September, 1975.
" Earthquake prediction and its implications for emergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies, Tokyo: September, 1975.
" Social impacts of earthquake prediction: implications for policy," California Water and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum, San Francisco: April, 1975.
l l
l 4
i 17.
I
'g
OTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICE Oronnizer add Presider ,
Session on Applied Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: April,1984; Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Delivery Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego April, 1984; Session on Erthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Natural Hazards Research Applications, Boulder: July,1982; Session on Disasters and Cataclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982; Session on Collective Behavior, American Sociological Association, New York: August, 1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Pacific Sociological Association, San Francisco: April,1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Tempe, 1976.
Discussant Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science #
Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Association, San Antonio:
August, 1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science Information, Natural Hazards Research Applications 97orkshop, Boulder: July, 1980; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder:
July, 1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Estes Park: June, 1973.
Particicant Panel on Disaster Research Its Funding and Future, American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August, 1984; Review Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Workshop on Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: November,1982; Earthquake Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project, Asilomar: December, 1981; Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human Response, San Fernando: June,1976; Seminar on Disaster Research, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: February, 1975; Symposium on Complex Organizations: Research and Applications, Western Social Science Association, El Paso: April, 1974.
Editorshics 18 ' -
s
Corresponding editor on Hazards anQ Disaster, Environmental Socioloov. Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association, 1981-date; Guest editor, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response, Mass Emercencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.
Test N ny Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffolk: December, 1983 through June, 1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergency planning at the Waterford Three nuclear reactor, New Orleans: February,1983; Suffolk County Legislature, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffold: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon nuclear reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January, 1982; Senate Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C.:
April, 1980; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of the d
' impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist behavior, Bethesda:
May, 1977 and July, 1978. -
Lecislative and Procram Reviews Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congerssional Panel, l Federal Emergency Management Agency,1983-82; Earthquake Hazards I Reduction Program of the U.S. Geological Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Wetlands, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1979-78 Procosal Reviews Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, !
National Science Foundation, 1984-81; Division of Policy Research I and Analysis, National Science Foundation, 1983; Sociology Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81; Design Research l Program, National Science Foundation,1982; Division of Problem Focused Research, National Science Foundation, 1980; Division of l International Programs, National Science Foundation, 1978; l
Division of Advanced Environmental Research and Technology, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.
l i
Article Reviews Human Relations, 1984-83, 1978-77; Socioloaical Persoectives (Pacific Sociolocical Review),1984; Deviant Behavior, 1983; i
Rial Analysis,1983; Ihg Environmental Professional, 1983-82; Socioloav and Social Research, 1982-81, 1979-78, 1976; Social l
t Forces, 1980; Ihg Environmental Professional,1982; Ihg Social 19 L '
I ~
e Science Journal, 1981-77; Bulletin gi & Seismolocical Societv gi America,1982; Sociolocical Focus,1980; Mass Emercencies, 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analysis.1978; Ihg Sociolocical cuarterly, 1975; Current Research .ig Earthcuake Prediction, 1984.
Other Reviews -
L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios," Chapter 21 in R. W.
.Kates (Ed.)af.Cli"^te Interaction . Climate And Imoact Society. Assessment:
Geneva, for theStudies Si &
International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment,1982; Study an Earthquake Hazards. Information Dissemination Charleston. South Carolina. Reston for the U. S.
Geological Survey, 1982.
Department and University Servicq Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space,1983; Department Five-Year Review Committee, 1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Committee, 1984-75; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses, 1978; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.
- 20 i
4 TEACHING s
Courses Taucht (undergraduate)
Introduction to Sociology Complex Organizations Demographic Processes and' Social Change Historical Sociological Theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters Courses Taucht (graduate)
Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis .
4 Research Methods I Research Methods II Demography and Population Complex Organizations .
Graduate Theses and Dissertations
' Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee, 5 #
Member, Ph.D. Committees, 12 Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 3 Member, M.A. Committees, 12 Student Evaluations Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are available upon request.
h
- (
l I
t r 9 i
i
'e .