ML20112K116
| ML20112K116 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Harris  |
| Issue date: | 01/10/1985 |
| From: | Mileti D CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT CO., COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, NORTH CAROLINA MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCIES |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20112J843 | List:
|
| References | |
| OL, NUDOCS 8501180475 | |
| Download: ML20112K116 (27) | |
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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION ~83 gqg. ,
BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD., '39 00&f
$ t N.[;
In the Matter of )
)
CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT COMPANY )
and NORTH CAROLINA EASTERN ) Docket No. 50-400-OL MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCY )
)
(Shearon Harris Nuclear Power )
Plant) )
AFFIDAVIT OF DENNIS S. MILETI IN SUPPORT OF APPLICANTS' MOTIONS FOR
SUMMARY
DISPOSITION OF WILSON 12(b)(2) AND EDDLEMAN 213(1)
County of Denver )
) ss.
State of Colorado )
DENNIS S. MILETI, being duly sworn, deposes and says:
- 1. I am presently an Associate Professor in the Department of Sociology and Director of the Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University, specializing in those areas of study dealing with complex organizations, hazards, policy and methods (with a particular emphasis on public emergency response). A current statement of my professional qualifications and experience is attached hereto. My business address is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523. I make this affidavit in response to Wilson Contention 12(b)(2) and Eddleman Contention 215(1). I have reviewed both contentions and am familiar with t
8501180475 850114 PDR ADOCK 05000400 G PDR u
LI the substance of the allegations contained in both. I have personal knowledge of the matters stated in this affidavit and believe them to be true and correct.
- 2. Emergencies that pose a serious threat to the health and safety of individuals in a community at large (such as the Shearon Harris plant is hypothesized to impose would an evacuation be recommended) are behaviorally in a class by themselves. Public response in such emergency situations has been a topic of investigation by social scientists for approximately three decades. Many studies have been performed on the subject in a variety of emergencies stemming from geological, climatological, and technological phenomena, and have been documented in a vast body of emergency literature.
This research record provides evidence about a wide range of public responce phenomena in the context of such emergencies.
- 3. A clear conclusion of this research is that such emergencies transform human behavior at both the group and individual levels. Priorities of ongoing social life shift, goals and objectives are transformed, and identifications change. The first priority for almost all people who find l
themselves in such an emergency situation becomes the l
collective safety of people within the community at large, including members of.the immediate family. This becomes their l prime goal and objective. People abandon personal forms of identification and personal interests and identify with the community at large. This fundamental change in human behavior l
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- U in emergency situations was established early on in disaster and emergency research conducted in the 1950's and 1960's. It has been substantiated in subsequent research, and consistently confirmed in contemporary research investigations.
- 4. The research documents that this change in human behavior has two separate, albeit closely related and integrated, consequential effects. First, people generally respond to emergency situations not as social isolates or as individuals but rather as a group. Because emergency response is largely group behavior, emergencies transform the order of a community into one in which people act towards one another in ways that are more altruistic and caring than the patterns of interpersonal interaction that form routine, day-to-day community life. Behavior that benefits the safety and well being of the collective community such as checking on and providing assistance to family, friends and neighbors, dramatically increases and behavior' based on individual or personal interests dramatically decreases. The research documents that one consequence of this innate tendency for people to respond as a group in times of emergency is for families to seek to reunite absent sound public emergency information to the contrary, and to remain united for the health and safety of the family unit. Accordingly, where
- reasonably possible, families would in all likelihood evacuate as a unit.
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- 5. The second consequential effect of emergencies on human behavior is a shift in values and priorities. The research documents that the value placed on material objects in non-emergency times (which is high in American culture) is deflated and superseded by an emergency value for the health and safety of the community at large. Material goods no longer have the priority and value normally ascribed to them. Coupled with the tendency of people to form into groups for evacuation, this shift in values reinforces the likelihood that families would evacuate together, where reasonably possible, rather than to separate for the purpose of protecting physical property.
- 6. These well understood emergency response phenomena have direct relevance to Wilson Contention 12(b)(2). This contention alleges that "[t]he 1 evacuating car / family assumption [used in the Evacuation Time Estimate for the Shearon Harris Plant] is too low -- many families would take 2 cars." It is highly unlikely, however (although it is possible in a few cases), that families would separate one member from another into different cars in a health and safety threatening situation in order to move two cars out of the EPZ rather than one. The value of property -- in this case an automobile --
would be superseded by the tendency of people to evacuate in groups, and the higher value placed on the safety of people over property. Additionally, in the absence of sound public emergency information to the contrary, most people would seek to reunite the family prior to evacuation, time permitting.
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T Accordingly, separated families with two useable evacuation i vehicles would most likely meet (at their residence if possible) and evacuate as a unit in one vehicle. Thus, the assumption that families would evacuate in one vehicle from the Shearon Harris EPZ is a reasonable assumption supported by three decades of research concerning public response to emergency situations.
- 7. These well understood emergency response phenomena are also directly relevant to Eddleman Contention 215(1). This contention alleges that the assumption in the Shearon Harris Evacuation Time Estimate that persons will evacuate from their home is unrealistic for certain times of the day because many persons will not be at home. However, the assumption used in the Evacuation Time Estimate for the Shearon Harris plant that the permanent population of the plume exposure emergency planning zone will evacuate from their places of residence is supported by the available research concerning public response to emergency situations. In the absence of sound public emergency information to the contrary, most people who are away from home would, upon receiving initial notification of an emergency, travel to their residence to reunite with other family members prior to actual evacuation.
i
- 8. In summary, in light of well documented public emergency response phenomena, families will in all likelihood seek to unite (in the absence of sound public emergency information to the contrary) and to evacuate together in one vehicle in order to maximize the health and safety of the family as opposed to evacuating in separate vehicles for purposes of preserving personal material goods.
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Dennis S. Mileti Sworn to and subscribed before me this /O* day of January, 1985.
W 5 nx A N m/ u61fc' Notary 3' My Commission expires: C5 TE-i L_ ,
Ul ACADEMIC VITA OF DENNIS S. MILETI August, 1984 PERSONAL
.Miis;g:
Department of Sociology Hazards Assessment Laboratory Colorado State University Aylesworth Hall Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 EDUCATION University of Colorado, Boulder: PhD, Sociology, 1974 California State University, Los Angeles: MA, Sociology, 1971 University of California, Los Angeles: BA, Sociology, 1968 SPECIALIZATIONS ComplexOrganizations, Applied (HazardIandPolicy), Methods APPOINTMENTS 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment Laboratory, Colorado State University
- 1984-date Committee on Natural Disasters, National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences -
1981-year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission, State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university) 1978-date Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1975-year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Intensive Seminar Program 1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chautauga Short Course Program 1974-1978 Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University- Fort Collins 1971-1972 Instructor, Department o. Sociology, Univer-sity of Colorado, Boulder AWARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service i
1981-year Cited in Outstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociologi-cal Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest Sociological Society, American Association for the Advance-ment of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management 1
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Lf RESEARCH GRANTS AND CONTRACTS 1984-date Associate Investigator, " State-of-the-Art Assessment: Evacuation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Impact on Domestic Assets," sub-contract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation. J 1983-1984 Principal Investigator, "Research and Applications for Emergency Preparedness,"
contract for Long Island Lighting Company.
1983-1984 Principal Investigator," Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings,"
quick-response grant from the Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information Center.
1982-1983 Associate Investigator," Organizational Interface for Nuclear Reactor Emergency Pre-paredness," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regu-latory Commission.
1981-year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard Warnings and Emergency Evacuation Prepared-ness," contract for Pacific Gas and Electric Company.
1980-1983 Erincipal Investigator, " Local Land Use Policy Decisions," Colorado State University Experi-ment Station.
1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island Incident and Re-start," contract for General Public Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.
1977-1980 Principal Investigator, " Migration Impacts of Non-metropolitan Areas in the West," Colorado State University Experiment Station.
1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organiza-tional Implementation of Policy for Land Use Regulations," grant from the National Science Foundation.
1975-1977 Coprincipal Investigator, Socioeconomic, l
Organizational and Political Consequences of Earthquake Prediction," grant from the National Science Foundation.
1972-1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Research ,
on Natural Hazards," grant from the National Science Foundation.
_CQNMITTEE MEMBERSHIPS 1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Colorado State University, Univer-sity of Colorado, University of. Denver.
1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Disasters.
1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association, Nominations i
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r u Committee for the Standing Committees for 1983.
1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Committee on Social Science Research, Berkeley.
1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.
1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego.
1981-1982 Go ve rno r 's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, Threat and Reconstruction.
l Committees, State of California, Sacremento.
1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council, Committee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tailings, State of Colorado.
1979-year American Association for the Advancement of Science, Committee on Intergovernmental
. Research and Development on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.
- 1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, commission on Sociotechni-cal Systems, Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction, Washington, D.C.
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_-_______u PUBLICATIONS Books and Monocraohs (refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
Tbg Or. der 91 Chaos in Disasters (in progress).
Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eitzen Graduate Research Methods in tha Social Sciences (in progress).
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and Interorcanizational Relations. '
Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 Orcanizational Response tg Chancina Community Systemst Kent, Ohio: Kent State University Press.
Chapters (invited and refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1986 "Research methods and disaster research." In Russell R. Dynes and Carlo Pelanda (Eds.). Sociolgsg af, Disasters: . Contributions gi Socioloav 19. Disaster Research. Italy: Franco Angeli (forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards."
In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).
Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate public adoption." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracing Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming) .
Button, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-166 in T. Rikitake ( Ed.) . Current Research -in Earthquake Prediction. Boston: Reidel Publishing Company, Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation."
Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic Impact gi Earthquakes an Utility Lifelines. New York:
American Society of Civil Engineers.
Moncaraphs and chanters (quasi-refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg 1984 " Social science earthquake investigaticns." In Roger Scholl (Ed.). Lessons Learned (Igm Recent Earthquakes.
Berkeley: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (forthcoming).
Review Panel of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan 1984 National Earthquake HaZ4rds Reduction Procram: Five Itar. Procram Elan. Washington, D.C.: Federal Emergency Management Agency (forthcoming).
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Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods." Pp.
249-255 in Russel Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Research Methods Courses: Svilabi, Assionments Ansi Proiects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological Association.
Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen 1981 Earthquake Prediction Response and Ootions fsg, Public Policv. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.
Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 Imoacts 21 Population Growth in Acricultural Colorgsig Committees. Fort Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.
Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness 1979 Eira Safety Ans! Disaster Precaredness. Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction 1978 A Procram 21 Studies gn hg Socioeconomic Ef fects 2f Earthquake Prediction. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.
Mileti, Dennis, S., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas 1975 Iluman Systems in Extreme Environments: A Sociolocical Persoective. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 21.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1975 Eptural Hazard Warnina Systems in thg United' States.
Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12.
Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behavior: Response 12 Stress, 1978.
Erickson, Neil, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1975 Landslide Hazards in the United States: & Research l- Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
- Mileti, Dennis S.
1975 Disaster Relief and Rehabilitation in thg United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Ayre, Robert, Dennis S. Mileti and Patricia Trainer 1975 Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards in the United States: A Research Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Journal Articles: Discipline Focus (refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
[ 1984 "The human equation in earthquaka predictien and warning," Policy Studies Review (accepted and forth-coming).
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1984 "The Three Mlle Island incident: a study of behr.vioral indicators of human stress." Mass Emercencies Ansi Disasters (accepted and forthcoming).
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lf Mileti, Dennis S.
1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction: Japan vs the United States."
12&& Emergencies and Disasters 1(3):399-414.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption,"
- Public Administration Review (accepted and forth-coming).
Mileti, Dennis S., Doug Timmer and David F. Gillespie l 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of I decentralization," Pacific Sociolocical h gigg I
25(2):163-183. ,
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size,"
Socioloav And Social Research 65(4):400-414.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research,"
Sociological Methods And Research 9(3):327-388.
Mileti, Dennis S.
, 1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental extremes," Socioloov and Social Research 64(3):327-347.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations,"
Administrative Science Review 10(3):21-32.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies,"
Journal d Contamnorary Socioloav 17(3-4):132-158.
Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal d Social Research 21(2):139-147.
Mileti, Dennis S'., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1979" Structure and decision making in corprate organizations," Sociolgsg and Social Research 63(4):723-744.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations," Human Relations 32(3):261-271.
l Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey t 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiencies and lucunae," Technolocy and Culture
- i. 19(1):83-92.
and Dennis S. Mileti Gillespie, David F.,
1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-i manipulation," Scottish Journal d Socioloov 2(2):205-219.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haas
. 1977 " Size and structure in complex organizations," Social l Forces 56(1):208-217.
I Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overview and appraisal," Academy d Manacement Review 2(1):6-19.
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a Reprinted in Readinos gn ILqg Manacers Manace. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 1982.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1976"An integrated formalization of organization-environment interdependencies," Human Relations 29(1):80-100.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976" Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies," Sociolocical Inouiry 46(2):135-141 Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept," International Review g.f History gnst Political Science 8(30):1-14.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations,"
Socioloav ansl Social Research 6063):263-278 Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior,"
European Journal gf, Social Psycholoav 6(1):74-90.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis," Communication Research 2(1):24-49.
Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis S. Mileti and Roy Lotz 1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralization: the interactive effect on member commitment," International Journal gf, Group Tensions 5(2):26-37.
Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," Human Relations 27(8):767-788.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1974 " Change ratios in age-specific percent contriductions to fertility: a new method with applications to the United States," Pacific Sociolocical Review 17(1):3-26.
First Prize, student paper competition, Pacific l Sociological Association, 1974.
! Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, structure and behavior," current Sociolocy i 23(1):189-200.
l Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergent organizations," Sociolocical Inquiry 44(2):111-119.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Larry Barnett 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion legalization," Social Bioloov 19(2):43-50.
Journal Articles: Acolied Focus (refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Role conflict in emergency workers," Emercency Manacement Review (accepted and forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Earthquakes and human behavior," Soectra (accepted and forthcoming).
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Mileti, Dennis S.
1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical facilities," Bulletin d thg Seicmnloaical Society g America 72(6)l3-18.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1978 " Correcting for the human factor in tornedo warnings,"
Disaster Preparedness 2(February):5-9.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake
, prediction," Journal d thg Physical Earth 25(4):283-293.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977" Earthquake prediction and its consequences,"
california Geolocy 30(7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in san Francisco 20(4):60-68, 1978.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Earthquake prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin d thg Egg Zealand Society &
Parthcuake Encineerina 9(4):183-194.
Journal Re-ioinders: Discipline Focus (refereed)
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1982 " Differentiation in organizations: a comment on Miller and Conaty," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.
Mileti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations: a rejoinder to Griffin and Griffin," Socioloalcal Incuiry 45(4):72-50.
Eggk Reviews (invited and refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). Ithaca:
Program in Urban and Regional Studies,1983." Mass Emergencies And Disasters (forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982"A review of Unequal Care: Interorganizational Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. New York:
Columbia University Press, 1980." Social Fo rces 60(3):943-944.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill, 1981." Socioloay: A Egy. igg g Egg Books 7(2).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 "A review of Aftermath: Communities After Natural Disasters by H. Paul Friesema et al. Beverly Hills:
Sage Publications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up: Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wright and Peter Rossi et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, 1979." Journal gf, thg American Plannino Association 8
a (October) :484-485.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J.
Eldridge and A. Crombie. New York: International Publications, 1975." Conta m rary Socioloov 5(6):784.
Technical Reports (not refereed)
Mileti,-Dennis S,.
1983 Human Response Scenarios: Lag Enforcement Acolications And Media Tmolications. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 Oroanizational Behavior and Interorcanizational Relations: Imolications fgI NuclagI Power Rg Emergencies and Preparedness. Oak Ridge, Tennessee:
Oak Ridge National Laboritories.
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough and Patti Madson 1982 Ihm Three fiila Island Incident: A Study.21 Behavioral Indicators gi Human Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Arthur Svenson 1981 Earthquake Prediction-Warnina Response Egg, Emercency Orcanizations ig, j;hg Prediction Terminoloav. Van Nuys:
Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project.
Hutton, Janice, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Analysis gi Adoption and Tmolementation 21 Community Land ilsa Reculations fg1 Ploodolains. San Francisco:
Woodward-Clyde.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Impact gi Earthquake Prediction gg Government. Business and Community. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 Interorganizational Relations and Community Service Delivery Systems. Boulder: Center for Action Research.
Publications in Proceedinas (not refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 36-56 in 4
Walter Hays (Ed.). Proceedinas gf 1;hg Conferences an Earthquake Prediction Information. Menlo Park: U.S.
Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January,1980 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton '
1978 " Social aspects of ea r thquak es." Pp. 179-192 in Proceedinas gi ihg Second International Conference ga gierozonation. San Francisco: National Science ~
Foundation. Paper presented at the November, 1978 Conference on the State of the Art in Microzonation for Earthquake Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.
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a Mileti, Dennis S.
1978 " Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction on state policy." Pp. in Proceedinos g.1.t;hg National Conference 2n Earthauake Related Hazards. Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder.
Other Published comments (invited and refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6 (1) :5.
- Mileti, Dennis S.
1983 "Disasterous warnings," QCnl (March):24,44,152.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Hazards reduction work: the next era," National Hazards Observer 6(4):1-2. Reprinted in Earthcuakt Information Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction,"
Earthquake Information Bulletin 11(3):102-105.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction response," Time (January 24):83.
Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Individual and organizational response to threat,"
Mass Emercencies 1(4):247.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1976'" Social scientists and applied research," Thg American Sociolacist 11(4):220-221.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1974 " Response to research and national needs," Footnotes 2(October) :6.
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U PROFESSIONAL PAPERS ANQ PRESENTATIONS Conference Papers Mileti, Dennis S., Rick Eufnagel and David Gillespie 1984" Regulation of the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use of nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: October.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards,"
paper presented to the Conference on Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University: July.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tioni Seattle: April.
j Mileti, Dennis S.
l 1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning, Tokyo: November.
Frey, R. Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis S. Mileti, and Debra i Cornelius 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood Insurance Program," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington: July.
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick l Hufnagel i
1983 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Scciological Society, Kansas City: April.
Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors
- affecting organizational response to a predicted
! earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Western Social Science Association, Alb*arquque: April..
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Earthquake prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the International Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Influencing corporate decisions on the use of microzonation information," paper presented to the Third International Conf erence on Microzonation, Seattle: June.
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a Mileti, Dennis S.
1982" Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper presented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy Development, and Implementation Incen-tives: Focus on Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "Public perception of seismic hazards," paper presented to the Seismological Society of America, Anaheim: April.
Williams, Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Perception of growth impacts in energy impacted communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society,'Ithaca: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1980 " Planning initiatives for seismio hazard mitigation,"
paper presented to the Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May.
, Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological
- l Society, Milwaukee.
Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuqurque: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
198 0 " Human response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to the Status of Knowledge Session of the
, Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles: January.
Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti i
1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado," paper presented to the Impacts Session of 1
the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis:
October.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Gary Williams
.1979 " Resident percpetions in growth impacted western agri-cultural communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Vermont: August.
! .Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Stan Eitzen
! 1979 "The epihenominality of organizational size," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of l the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukjee: April.
l Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R. Hutton.and John Sorensen l 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction,"
l- paper presented to the International Symposium on
- Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April, 1-I Hutton, Janice R., Dennis S. Mileti, and John Sorensen 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system effective-
~
l ness," paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.
! Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 12
. _ , _ _ , _ _ _ . . _ _ . . _ . _ _ _ . - . _ . _ - . _ - _ . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ . _ ~ .
1979 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predictions," paper presented to the Inter-national Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO,
- Paris: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton, 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco: November.
M11eti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making,"
paper presented to the Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco:
September.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Orga-nization of Work Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.
' Mileti, Dennis.S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment rela-tions," paper presented to the Organizations-Environ-ment Omaha: April.
Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper presented to the Formal and Complex Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey
' 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings,"
paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of the American Met'eorological Society, Omaha:
October.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organization and environment adaptation-manipulation,"
paper presented to the Organizational Relations Session of the American Sociological Association, Chic.ago.
September.
Hutton, Janica R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research,"
paper presented to the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago: September.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti
.1977 " Organizational growth and managerial efficiency,"
paper presented to the Social Organization / Formal /
Complex Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Sacramento: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and J. Eugene Haas 1976 " Size and structure in complex organizations," paper presented to the Organizational Change Session of the American Sociological Association, New York City:
13
August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1976 " Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper i presented to the Issues in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjust-ments to earthquakes," paper presented to the Austral-ian Academy of Science, Canberra: May.
Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas
- 1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Collective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.
3 Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti -
1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure,"
paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction,"
paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Boston: February.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: August.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975" A resolution of inconsistencies between size,
, complexity and the administrative component in organ-izations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago:
April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper i presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Victoria: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "An interaction model for organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Interorganizational Relations ~ Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, i
Omaha: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "A formalization of organization-environment dependencies," paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.
Farhar, Barbara, and Dennis S. Mileti 1974'"Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," paper presented to the Applied Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1973 "Drowing: a communications disease," paper presented to j the Mass Communications and Public Opinion Session of I-14
,. - _ . . . - . - .-. _ ._ . - . - ~._ _
tr the American Sociological Association, New York City:
August.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Sigmund Krane 1973 " Response to impending system stress," paper presented to the What Do We Know Session on Human Behavior in Disaster of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1973 "A paradigm and sociology of knowledge for theories of natural law," paper presented to the Theory Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1972 " Response to hazards warnings," paper presented to the Organizational and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Research Center of the Ohio State University, Columbus: July.~
Speeches and Guest Lectures
" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Research and Management: Assessments of a Maturing Field, Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1984.
" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March,.1984.
"The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Collogium on Earthquake Prediction Research in the US, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo: November, 1983.
" Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mile High Chapter, Boulder Region, Boulder: July, 1983.
" Integrated emergency management: challenges and opportunities,"
Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1983.
"Public response to flood disasters," Conference on the Need for Teamwork in Managing Flood Hazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, 1983.
" Natural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental Management Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles: April, 1982.
" Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Eusiness and Industry, Los Angeles: May, 1982.
" Communicating lessons learned from social science research on -
earthquakes," Workshop of Identifying and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes," Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December, 1982.
15
M l
" Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response- I implications for the design of California's warning system and information dissemination," Southern California Earchquake Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October, 1981
" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems demand further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1981.
" Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earthquake Emergency Preparedness, Committee on Long Range Reconstruction, Sacremento, July, 1981.
"Socio-cultural dimensions of earthquake risk," Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes,
- General Assembly, Sacramento: May, 1981.
"Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems,"
Health Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October, 1980.
" Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues,"
Southern California Emergency Services Association, Montebello:
- February, 1980.
" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October, 1979.
" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980, 1979.
" Measuring implementation of public policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, 4
Boulder: August, 1978.
" Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: November, 1977.
" Population, resources and policy for social change," College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University: September, 1977; February, 1978; February, 1980.
"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an
. earthquake prediction," American Society for Public Administration, Colorado Chapter, Denver: April, 1976.
"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions," California State Seminar on Emergency Preparedness.and Earthquake Prediction, Palm Springs: June, 1976.
" Preparing to make use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commission for the County and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February, 1976.
16
9 l
J "The social organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering Foundation Conference on Decision Making for Natural Hazards, Pacific Grove: March, 1976. ;
l
" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake '
prediction," Governor's Conference Room, Sacramento: May, 1975; Mayor's Conference Room, Los Angeles: October, 1975.
" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake prediction,"
General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September, 1975.
" Earthquake prediction and its implications for emergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies, Tokyo: September, 1975.
" Social impacts of earthquake prediction: implications for policy," California Water and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum, San Francisco: April, 1975.
l 17
. lf OTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICE I Oroan har u d Presider Session on Applied Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: April,1984; Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western '
Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Delivery Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April, i 1984; Session on Erthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Natural Hazards Research Applications, Boulder: July, 1982; Session on Disasters and Cataclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982; Session on Collective Behavior, American Sociological Association, New York: August, 1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Pacific Sociological Association, San Francisco: April,1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Terpe, 1976.
Discussant
~
Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Association, San Antonio:
August, 1984;: Session on Public Response to Earth Science Information, Natural- Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1980; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder:
July,1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Estes Park: June, 1973.
Participant Panel on Disaster'Research Its Funding and Future, American
< Sociological Association, San Antonio: August, 1984; Review Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on Social- and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems,
, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Workshop on Disseminating Lessons Learned o from Recent Earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Research l Institute, Ios Altos: December,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority L -
Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: November,1982; Earthquake Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California -
Earthquake Preparedness Project, Asilomar: December, 1981; Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human l Response, San Fernando: June,1976; Seminar on Disaster Research, i Colorado State University, Fort Collins: February,1975; Symposium L - on Complex Organizations: Research and Applications, Western Social Science Association, El Paso April, 1974.
l Editorships f
18 L
I
, , . ' , - y , ---r-,. -3_,c,___.,.__.....e.,-,-_--e.,m.,,...m..~-_m,,.mm,mw,y_-,...._m--,_er, _.--._._r__m_,..,.m.-,,,.. -,.my.,.w,.-
. I Corresponding editor on Hazards and Disaster, Environmental Socioloav. Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association, 1981-date; Guest editor, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response, Haag haraencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.
Testimony Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffolk: December, 1983 through June, 1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergency planning at the Waterford Three nuclear reactor, New Orleans: February,1983; Suffolk County Legislature, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffold: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon nuclear reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January,1982; Senate Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C.:
April, 1980; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of the impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist behavior, Bethesda:
May, 1977 and July, 1978.
Legislative And Procram Reviews Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congerssional Panel, Federal Emergency Management Agency, 1983-82; Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geological Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Wetlands, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Progra.m Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1979-78.
Proposal Reviews
' Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1984-81; Division of Policy Research and Analysis, National Science Foundation, 1983; Sociology l Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81; Design Research l
+
Program, National Science Foundation, 1982; Division of Problem i
Focused Research, National Science Foundation,1980; Division of International Programs, _ National Science Foundation, 1978; l Division of. Advanced Environmental Research and Technology, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.
l Article Reviews t
Hpman Relations, 1984-83,1978-77; .' '.pioloaical Persoectives (Pacific Sociolocical Review), 1984; Deviant Behavior, 1983; Riak Analysis,1983; .Thg Environmental Professional, 1983-82; Socioloav and Social Research, 1982-81, 1979-78, 1976; Social Forces,1980; .Thg Environmental Professional,1982; .Tha Social i
19
-, ,- - . .- -, - -. . _ - ~ _ _ - . . . - _.. - _ . - . _ - - =
Y Science Journal, 1981-77; Bulletin 21.t;ht Seismolocical Society 21 America,1982; Sociolooical Focus,1980; Mass Emeroencies, 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analvsis.1978; Thg Sociolocical Guarterly, 1975; current Research la Earthquake Prediction, 1984.
Qt; hag, Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios," Chapter 21 in R. W.
Kates - (Ed.) . Climate Imoact Assessment: Studies a f. M Interaction 21 Clim^te and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment,1982; StudE 2n Earthquake Hazards Information Dissemination: Charleston. South Carolina. Reston for the U. S.
Geological Survey, 1982.
Department gad University Service Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space, 1983; Department Five-Year Review Committee,1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Committee, 1984-75; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses, 1978; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.
20
I TEACHING Courses Taught (undergraduate)
Introduction to Sociology i Complex Organizations !
Demographic Processes and Social Change .
Historical Sociological Theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters Courses Taucht (graduate)
Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis .
Research Methods I Research Methods II -
Demography and Population Complex Organizations Graduate Theses And Dissertations Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Comittee, 5 Member, Ph.D. Comittees,12 1
Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 3 Member, M.A. Committees, 12 Student Evaluations Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are available upon request.
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