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. -. NO" TO FOREHAND - CG2
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TSB R/F B. Grenier J.~., ; 7 ;;g tiOTE T0: Willian Forehand Resource !4anagement Branch, RES
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Bernard L. Grenier, itember FRO'1:
Contract Review Board
SUBJECT:
C0tlTRACT REVIE!! BOARD REVIE'10F RES-83-001 (FIN 88957), "FRN!EHORK FOR FIRE RISK NIALYSIS Ill NUCLEAR FACILITIES" This is in reference to your request dated January 7,1933 for review and concurrence in the subject RES project. NRR concurs in the nroject subh ct to incorporation of the corrnents made on the enclosed Statement of !!ork. ! l 1
understand that these coments have been discussed ano agreed upon between !
R. Ferguson,flRR and B. Buchbinder, RES. l i
Sernard L. Grenior, "e'-ber Contract Review Goard i
Enclosure:
As stated cc: P. Cota R. Ferguson A. Thadani i
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STATEMENT OF WORK FOR DEVELOPMENT OF CONCEpTijAL FRAMEWORK FOR FIRE RISK PROGRAM MANAGEMENT (NRC/NBSAgreementNo.83-001) 1.0 Background and Objectives q qa !1.1 Background
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There is no comprehensive research management framework which ad-i i dresses fire risk.in nuclear facilities. As a result, there is little t
integration and coordination among fire research projects within NRC e I
L,and within the nuclear facility fire research community at large. ~
Furthemore, from the Division of Risk Analysis (DRA) perspective, 4
it is important that the right research be carried out to support DRA projects perfoming fire risk analysis. This supporting research -
would supply the fire phenomenology knowledge base and the fire per-l- fomance data base needed to perfom risk analysis.
w 1.2 Objectives Ov C p~ { %_ , M, -
The Transportation and Materials RiskBranch (TMRB) has been assigned the responsibility ~ for a program to develop a conceptual framework for fire research program management /in-DRA. This will include the
, development of modeling approaches and data for fire risk analysis -
in all types of nuclear facilities, and a decision model for prior-ization of BRA-fire research s needs.
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The National Bureau of Standards (NBS) has establfshed capability in fire risk assessment. On the basis of this coope NBS will develop the conceptual framework for the)rative fire riskagreement, analysis research program, working in con. cert with NRC and others to provide-the appropriate combination of capability in fire phenomenology, nuclear facility technology and risk analysis. This is the first phase of the project. The conceptual framework will be implemented in a subsequent phase.
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2.0' Work Required j .
The project will consist of the following four tasks in this initial / -~~~
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Task 1 .. - Y f 4Y ).# ,
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' &q y * "C~ v sC Convene a project team of specialists in fire protection engineering,
./ nuclear engineering, 'probabilistic risk analysis and decision analysis f to identify DRA fire research program goals and objectives? Members of g this project team will perfonn subsequent tasks as required.
The goals for the fire risk analysis research program are related to the provision of fire infomation to enhance risk assessment capability, in support of licensing / regulatory activities conducted to enhance public safety. The exact fomutation of these goals, and program objectives as well,.will be accomplished by the project team in Task 1, to assure full consideration of ideas from experts in related disciplines.
Task 2 Y v and cate-navalnn = -1:t =;1y:n c ,,seg. gal , m,,,, ,., modi 4dentifies gorizes the infomation and data needs for the objectives defined in Task 1. Objectives might include, for example: -
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o perfomance of probabilistic risk analysis o quantification of degree of risk . inherent in particular codes and standards o development of a decision making process for selection of fire research projects.
This caarantual framework should ha =pplic:ble t: :11 type: Of n;;iaar facP 4+4ac (nowar ganantir, fuel p umsing, eu;. f.
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Infomat o and data needs identified ;'" b; --tem with the existing knowledge base, and with expected results from current research projects.
Knowledge gaps identified will fom the basis for possible redirection of currant research and specification of additional research needs.
Task 3 a _2~ h W Perfonn a trial implementation of the ceacipt=1 fras;rk developed in
- Task 2, for a given risk analysis project (e.g., fire risk portion of PRA on a nuclear- power plant). In so doing, define the research results and data required. Assess the current state of~ knowledge and current RES projects to identify required research results and data not currently avail-
. able.
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/Since the emphasis of this in ejww i-se is on development of the con-
\ ceptual ' pee #, for risk analysis /, only limited validation of the process oc is to be perfomed.k th?; F r. In subsequent phases of the program, V , the conceptual framework will be fully implemented and applied in turn to all fire risk analyses of interest.
Task 4 Outline a decision analysis model to evaluate and select among candidate research projects designed to supply required fire knowledge for a given risk analysis application. This model will address the cost beneficial optimization of the fire risk analysis research program.
This preliminary decision modeling will be continued in a subsequent phase of the project.
3.0 Reporting Requirements Submit quarterly progress letters by the 15th of the following month con-sisting of:
o the significant project activities and accomplishments o the project status with respect to planned program development o the budget status with respect to the planned spending level for -
the current month, cumulative spending for the fiscal year, and the funds remaining; o any expected changes in future milestones ,
o any unscheduled supporting tasks and their effect on project mile-stones.
, 4.0 Schedule _ .
P'roduct Due Date o Goals & Objectives Feb. 28, 1983 o Conceptual R/A Framework June 30, 1983 o Decision Model Sept. 30, 1983 o Draft Firial Report Oct. 31, 1983 (NRC Review and Comment - 30 days) o Final Report Dec. 31, 1983 l
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