ML17266A499
| ML17266A499 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Saint Lucie  |
| Issue date: | 09/11/1981 |
| From: | Robert E. Uhrig FLORIDA POWER & LIGHT CO. |
| To: | Clark R Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| References | |
| L-81-400, NUDOCS 8109180332 | |
| Download: ML17266A499 (34) | |
Text
EGUL RY INFORMATION DISTRIBUT SYSTEM" (RIDS)
I ACCESSION NSR:810 9180332 DOC,DATE: 81/09/11 NOTARIZED I NO DOCK T' F AC IL>>: 50'35 S Lucie Plant~ Unit 1< Florida Power L Light'o.. 0 St. Lucie Pl anti Unit ~2~.
t'0-389 Fl orida Power L Light Co's. 05000389 AUTH>>,NAME< AUTHOR'FFILIATION UHRI G g R ~ E', Floes i de Power L Light Co, REC IP ', hlAMKI REC'IPXENT AFF IL'I ATION CLARKtqR ~ AD Opebating R'e'actors 8'ranch 3
SUBJECT:
- Forwards response'o 810829 request for>> addi info re<
evacuation tIimpl estimates.Ut>>il adopte'dI roadway network<
illustrated in< attached Figures C>> L D'or>> estimating, roadway capacities.
OISTRIBUTION COOEl: BOE9S COPIES RECEEVEO;LiTR. 'NCu Etnergency PlanI information SIZEi'>>ITLEI:
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FLORIDA POWER 5 LIGHT COMPANY September ll, 1981 L-81-400 Robert A. Clark, Chief Operating Reactor Branch ¹3 Division of Licensing sE'p p 7;1989 -.9 United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 1'ear Mr. Clark:
Re: St. Lucie Units 1 8 2 Docket Nos. 50-335 and 50-389 Evacuation Time Estimates Attached are materials prepared in response to your letter of August 24, 1981 requesting additional information regarding evacuation time estimates for the area near St. Lucie Station. The responses parallel the eight items outlined in your request.
- l. Estimate of Permanent Residents b Sector Similar to Fi ure 1 in A endix 4 to NUREG 0654 Rev. 1*
An estimate of the permanent resident population used in the St. Lucie evacuation time estimates is provided in Figure A, which is attached.
The figure is identical in format to Figure 1 from Appendix 4 of NUREG 0654 Rev. 1.
- 2. Indicate How Estimates of Transient Po ulation Were Made Transient population estimates were compiled by Envi ronsphere. Please refer to the St. Lucie Unit 2 ER, Section 6.1.4.3 for a discussion of how estimates were made. Attached is Figure B which shows the 1980 transient population estimates in the same format as in Figure 1 from Appendix 4 of NUREG 0654.
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- Please note that NUREG 0654 Rev. 1 was issued subsequent to the submission of the St. Lucie evacuation time estimates.
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- 3. Re ort S ecial Facility Po ulations on an Institution b Institution
, Basis Table A, which is attached, provides a list of all special facilities within the plume exposure EPZ. The table indicates facility locations by compass sector, the peak number of occupants, and whether or not the facility has a disaster oriented evacuation plan.
At the suggestion of the Florida Bureau of Disaster Preparedness, six categories of special facilities were evaluated for evacuation purposes in 1980. The categories are schools: (both public and private),.
hospitals, nursing homes, retirement facilities, mental disabilities residences (Department of Health Rehabilitation Services (DHRS) residences), and incarceration facilities. All of these facilities have plans for evacuating the buildings in the event of fire. A few facilities have more detailed plans for the evacuation of the building site. In some instances, an adequate number of vehicles is available on-site to evacuate the facilities in the event of an emergency'.
- 4. Re ort Roadwa Ca acities and Characteristics b Roadwa /Se ment Based on the recommendations of the Disaster Preparedness Coordinators in St. Lucie and Martin Counties we adopted the roadway network illustrated in attached Figures C and D for estimating the roadway capacities and characteristics by roadway segment. Figure C shows the .entire EPZ, and Figure D is an enlargement of the Ft. Pierce area. Through our consultants, HMM Associates, Inc., Lexington, MA, we simulated various evacuation scenarios with a computerized model. Figures C and D show the location of each intersection and roadway link incorporated in the simulations. The attached Table B consists of a sample printout from a NETVAC simulation and a key to the printout. The printout contains information on the characteristics and capacities of each roadway segment in Figures C and D.
- 5. Use a Reduced Ca acit for Estimatin Evacuation Times Under Adverse Conditions During the course of compiling evacuation time estimates two types of weather were assumed. The first weather scenario was normal weather. In this instance weather provides no impediment to traffic flow. The second weather scenario considered was "adverse weather". Decisions on appropriate "adverse weather" assumptions were made in conjunction with the County officials most familiar with local climatological phenomena.
It was concluded that mixed rain and thundershowers of short duration are the appropriate adverse weather conditions in the St. Lu'cie EPZ. This condition was simulated by assuming that all tr affic in the EPZ would be halted for fifteen minutes during severe thundershowers. Subsequently, increased travel times were used to simulate reduced visibility and wet and slippery travel surfaces.
I Several other adverse weather scenarios were considered but discarded.
Flooding was considered, but local officials indicated that there is no reasonable potential for flooding in the evacuation network. Hurricanes were also considered. However, operating plans call for shutdown of the plant in advance of an approaching hurricane, thus there appears to be virtually potential for initiating a nuclear incident response during no a hurricane. Prolonged rain fall was considered, but local officials discarded this scenario as extremely unlikely. The end result was that a delay of 15 minutes added to rainy weather conditions was the capacity reduction attributed for adverse weather.
- 6. Identif Potential Bottleneck Locations that Na Re ui re S ecial Traffic Control North of the plant there are two areas where control may be used to prevent the formation of bottlenecks. The first is providing traffic officers at the on-ramps to freeways (Florida's Turnpike and Interstate
- 95) outbound from the EPZ. Control may be particularly helpful at the Turnpike entrance where the left turn. onto the Turnpike and the traffic signal provide potential for delays and queueing. Furthermore, free flow through the toll booths must be assured. The second area of concern is the densely populated area of Ft. Pierce, as shown in Figure D. In this area manual over-ride of traffic signals on the major arteries outbound from town is indicated. Manual traffic control at the major intersections along Okeechobee Road, Orange Avenue, and U.S. Route 1 would likely prove most beneficial.
The major movement to the west would be toward the on-ramp of the Turnpike in Port St. Luci e. manual control of traffic signals at the major intersections on Port St. Lucie Boulevard, from Route 1 out to the Turnpike, would help expedite evacuation movements to the west.
Traffic control at se'veral locations south of the plant would expedite evacuation. Key locations include the junction of U.S. Routes 1 and Florida Routes 707 north of Roosevelt Bridge, the Route 1 - Flagler Avenue - Palm City Road area south of Roosevelt Bridge, both ends of the Jensen Beach Bridge, and East Ocean Boulevard in Stuart.
- 7. Review of the Draft Re ort b State and Count A encies and their Comments Our report entitled, "Evacuation Times Estimates for. Areas Near the St.
Lucie Power Plant," was submitted for review to:
a) the State of Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Public Safety Planning and Assistance; b) the Department of Disaster Preparedness, County of Martin, State of Florida; and c) the Department of Disaster Preparedness, County of St. Lucie, State of Fl ori da.
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Written acceptance of the report may be found in the attached copies of letters from the State agency and the Martin County agency. Verbal acceptance from the St. Lucie County agency and an assurance of a forthcoming letter of acceptance has been received by Dr. Howard Johnson, FPL Emergency Planning Supervisor. As soon as it becomes available, a copy of the written acceptance from the St. Lucie County agency will be submitted as an addendum to this response.
- 8. Provide a Thorou h Ex lanation of Methodolo ies and Assum tions Used in the Analysis The evacuation scenarios were simulated by HMM using the population distribution data, and evacuation network data assumptions previously discussed. Evacuation was simulated using the EVAC computer model*.
EVAC is a flexible, fixed step, macro traffic simulation model which uses traffic flow relationships to calculate and record traffic densities, speeds, flows, queues at bottlenecks, spill-back (where the network cannot handle th'e desired traffic loading demand), and other relevant information throughout the evacuation simulation process. At every simulation interval the model assigns traffic from links entering an intersection to the links eminati ng from it, thus advancing the traffic along the evacuation routes in the network.
EVAC includes a dynamic route selection feature whereby drivers'hoice of outbound links, at every intersection, is based on two criteria:
- 1) The directionality of the outbound link (i.e., the degree to which it leads away from the plant).
- 2) The traffic conditions on the outbound links (i.e., speeds and queueing). The traffic flow leaving a link at any intersection is subject to various approach capacity constraints, and all the traffic onto an outbound link is constrained by the capacity of that 'ssigned link.
The roadway and intersection approach capacities calculated by EVAC are based upon the Highway Capacity Manual (Highway Research Board, Special Report 87, 1975). Due to the dynamic route assignment mechanism, intersection approach capacities are updated at each simulation interval to account for the changing turning movements. The intersection control options which can be specified for EVAC include fully signalized approaches, uncontrolled approaches, and secondary priority approaches (accounti ng for stop signs and yield signs in instances where they can be.
assumed to b'e obeyed).
." Evac has subsequently been renamed NETVAC by HMM. The model has been used to estimate evacuation times at nine nuclear power plant sites.
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The input to the model includes link information, node information, and traffic l oading information.
Link information includes:
- 1) Lane width,
- 2) Distance to obstructions,
- 3) Number of lanes,
- 4) Roadway type,
- 5) Directionality, and
- 6) Free-flow travel speed, Node information includes:
- 1) Intersection approach width,
- 2) Intersection priorities and controls coordinates,
- 3) Intersection location relative to the metropolitan area, and
- 4) Traffic control.
Traffic loading information includes a stepwise time variable loading rate which may be specified at any node.
Prior to any execution, the EVAC model computes all the traffic flow equations needed for each link and, on request,'performs an elaborate series of checks to insure the integrity of the input data. The model output includes several types of information. These include pre-execution reports and simulation reports.
Pre-execution re orts include items such as:
- 1) Echo listings,
- 2) Network listings,
- 3) Heading labels,
- 4) List of signalized intersections,
- 5) List of entry nodes and entry rates, and
- 6) Network diagnostics.
Simulation re orts ma include items such as:
- 1) Total vehicles on the network,
- 2) Summary of departures through exit nodes on the EPZ perimeter,
- 3) Spill-backs at entry nodes,
- 4) Simulation completion report,
- 5) User-specified reporting intervals, and
- 6) Link conditions for each network which list flow, queues, entry rates, departure rate, cumulative departures, and speed.
Two auto occupancy factors were used in the evacuation time estimates. A value of 2.6 persons per automobile was used for the "high estimates".
This number was provided by the Florida Bureau of Disaster Preparedness based upon their South Florida evacuation experience. The "low estimates" were based upon an assumed auto occupancy factor of 3.2.
Vehicles were allocated to nearest entry nodes for modeling purposes.
Evacuation vehicles were loaded into the evauation network from each entry node at the rate of 15 cars per minute. As a result the cars were loaded over the course of about 25 to about 170 minutes, depending on the location of the entry node.
We believe that the above eight responses satisfy your request. We will be happy to provide additional information at your request.
Very truly yours, Robert E. Uhrig Vice President, Advanced Systems 8 Technology REU/RAN/mbd Attachments cc: James P. O'Reilly, Region II Harold F. Rei s, Esquire
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17 44542 ~o HS HE 3619 )Q MILES 44362*
SHI EHE 5317 38 p ~o 3492 I 738
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~oo4oo 0 to 10 Mlles 7423 POP ULATIOH TOTALS RING, MILES RING TOTAL MlLES C UMULATI VE POPULATION ~
POPULATION 0- 2. 138 0-2 153 2~5 12083 0-5 12236 5 10 78192 0 -10 90428
- These sectors include population beyond 10 miles, but within the plume exposure EPZ FIGURE A l980 PERMANENT RESIDENT POPULATION NEAR ST. LUCIE STATION
1819 ~o HHVf HHE 12807 ~o HN HE 1717 )O MILES 12638*
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POPULATION 0-2 0 2 21 2-5 6530 0-5 6551 5-10 32177 0 10 38728
- These sectors include population beyond 10 the plume exposure EPZ miles, but within FIGURE B 1980 PEAK SEASONAL VISITORS AND PEAK DAILY TOURISTS NEAR ST. LUCIE STATION
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FIGURE D LINKS AND NODES WITHIN FORT PIERCE
.TABLE A SPECIAL FACILITIES IN THE EMERGENCY PLANNING ZONE Peak Occupancy
,Sector or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan+ Notes and Comments Hos itals
- 1. Lawnwood Medical Center. NW 8-9m 225 .No 18 ICU beds, 1700 S. 23rd St. ~25 orthopedic cases Fort Pierce Nur s in Homes
- l. Abbiejean Russel Care NW 9-10m 79 Yes Center 700 S. 29th St.
Fort Pierce
- 2. Easter Manor Care NW 8-9m 78 Center 611 S. 13th St, Fort Pierce Incarceration Facilities 1.- County Courthouse h Dail NW 8-9m 110 No 216 S. 2nd St.
Fort Pierce
- 2. Annex Jail NW 8-9m 65 No 435 N. 78th St.
Fort Pierce
- 3. Youth Hall WNW 7-8m 20 No Selvitz Rd.
Fort Pierce
TABLE A (Sheet 2 of 7)
Peak Occupancy Sector. or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan>> Notes and Comments Public Schools
- l. Chester A. Moore Elem. NW 9-10m 700 No Grades 3-5 827 North 29th St.
- 2. Oan HcCarty Middle NW 8-9m 1,100 No Grade 7 1201 Mississippi Ave.
- 3. Fairlawn Elementary NW 8-9m 600 No Grades K-2 1900 South 33rd St.
- 4. Fort Pierce Central High NW 10-llm 1,600 No Grades 9-12 1101 Edwards Rd.
- 5. Fort Pierce Elementary NW 8-9m 900 No Grades K-5 1200 Oelaware Ave.
- 6. Fort Pierce Westwood High NW 10-llm 1,600 No Grades 9-12 Angle Rd.
- 7. Francis K. Sweet Elem. NW 9-10m 800 No Grades K-5 1400 Avenue A
- 8. Garden City Elementary NW 10-11 1,300 No Grades K-5 1801 North 21st St.
- 9. Densen Beach Elementary SSE 7-8m 835 No Grades 1-5 (Hartin County)
- 10. Lawnwood Elementary NW 8-9m 800 No Grades K-3 1900 South 23rd St.
TABLE A (Sheet 3 of 7)
Peak Occupancy Sector or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan+ Notes and Comments Public Schools (Continued) ll. Lincoln Park 1806 Avenue I Academy HS NW 9-10m 1, 100 Grade 8
- 12. Means Court Elementary NW 9-10m 200 No Exceptional 513 North 13th St. Children
- 13. Port St. Lucie Elem. WSW 6-7m 1,400 No Grades K-5 198 NW Marion Ave.
- 14. St. Lucie County Middle NW 7-8m 1, 100 No Grade 6 1800 South 13th St.
- 15. White City Elementary WNW 5-6m 600 No 3-5 905 West 2nd St.
Private Schools
- 1. County Day School WNW 7-8m 56 No Ages 3-6 2706 Sunrise Blvd. No buses
- 2. Faith Baptist School WNW 6-7m 307 No Grades K-12 3607 Oleander Ave Have 3 buses
- 3. First United Methodist NW 8-9m 65 No Ages 3-5 Church No buses 616 Orange Ave.
- 4. Fla. Institute of Tech.. SSE 7-8m 900 No Included in evacu-Densen Beach ation population estimate
TABLE A (Sheet 4 of 7)
Peak Occupancy Sector or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan+ Notes and Comments Private Schools (Continued)
- 5. Fort Pierce/Indiantown NW 9-10m 118 No Under 6 yrs.
Community. Buses; not at 1814 N. 13th St. school
- 6. Head Start NW 8-9m 105 No Ages 3-4 505 N 7th St. One bus on site
- 7. Head Start Lincoln Park NW 9-10m 35 No Ages 3-4 1400 Avenue M Branch of 7th St.
Mead Start
- 8. Head Start-Sunland NW 10-1 1m 20 No Ages 3-4 3415 Avenue A Branch of 7th St.
Head Start
- 9. Hollander Learning Ctr. NW 7-8m 30 No Remedial school for students with learning disabilities
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- 10. Immanuel Christian 7-8m
/ Grades 1-12 WNW 26 No South 25th St. No buses ll. Indian River Tedder Rd.
Academy WNW 9-10m 315 Grades 1-12 buses-not on site 2
- 12. Indian River Community NW 8-9m 3'5 Pre-school h K College Day Care Center .College cars h buses 3209 Virginia Ave. No',500 buses on site
- 13. Indian River Community NW 8-9m -'o Included in evacuation College population estimate 3209 Virginia Ave.
TABLE A (Sheet 5 of 7)
Peak Occupancy Sector or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan+ Notes and Comments Private Schools (Continued)
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- 14. 3ohn Carroll High NW 9-10m 500 No Grades 9-12 3402 Delaware Ave. 5 buses on site
- 15. Bones College NW 8-9m 200 No Evening classes 121 North 2nd St. Students drive; no buses
- 16. Little Red School House NW 8-9 32 Ages 2-5 2516 Acorn St. No buses
- 17. Miss Barbara's Pre-school NW 8-9m 20 No Ages under 6 1202 South 28th St. No buses-one car
- 18. Palm Vista Christian NW 9-10m 300 No Grades K-12 700 S. 33rd St. Bus and van capacity for 100
- 19. Peppermint Pattie's NW 8-9m 80 Ages 1-12 2306 S. 39th St. 1 van
- 20. Pinewood Community WNW 8-9 95 No Pre-school 6 yrs.;
McNeil Rd. no buses
- 21. Port St. Lucie Baptist 115 NE Solida Dr.
-: WSW 6-7m 62 No Ages 6 mos.
6 yrs.; no buses
TABLE A (Sheet 6 of Peak 7)'ame Occupancy Sector or Evacuation and Address Location Enrollment Plan>> Notes and Comments Private Schools (Continued)
- 22. Punkin Patch Child Care WNW 5m- 60 No Ages 6 mos.
5308 Route 1 Grade 5; 1 van
- 23. St. Anastasia Catholic NW 9-10m 510 No Grades 1-8 401 S. 33rd St. 1 bus for field trips
- 24. St. Andrews Episcopal NW 8-9m 150 No Grades K-8; 210 S. Indian River Dr. no buses
- 25. St. Lucie Child Training 2611 Indiana Ave.
NW 8-9m 19,.:; "q',No ', 'ges infant - 5 yrs 1 van school pro-vides transportation
- 26. Seventh Day Adventist WNW 8-9m 59 Grades 1-9; no buses 3105 Memory Lane
- 27. Stallard School NW 7-8m Grades 8-12; no buses 1308 S. 33rd St.
- 28. Sun Grove Montessori WNW 8-9m 70 No Ages 2-10 yrs.
Kirby Loop Rd. No buses
- 29. White City Baptist School WNW 5-6m 100 No K-12 903 Midway Rd. No buses
+Other than fire drills
TABLE A (Sheet 7 of 7)
Peak 0ccupancy Sector or Evacuation Name and Address Location Enrollment Plan+ Notes and Comments DHRS Facilities Carnett Rest Home NW 8-9m 12 No No vans 125 S. 7th St.
- 2. Family Love and Care NW 10-1 lm No Has transportation 3000 Tropic Blvd.
Jackie's Lodge NW 8-9m No No vans 302 N. 14th St.
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- 4. Randolf Home for the 'NW 10-llm No Has transportation Elderly 1712 Avenue 0 Refuge Holy Tabernacle Home NW 10-1 lm 'o No vans 101 Tropic Court
- 6. River House S 6-7m 10 Has transportation 2075 Indian River Or.
Densen Beach
- 7. Vance Home for the Aged NW 10-1 1m No No vans Rt. 1 Box 683 (on Lott Rd.)
- 8. Welcome Home NW 7-8m 12 No No vans 403 Roselyn Ave.
TABLE B NETWORK LISTING
KEY TO NETVAC COMPUTER PRINTOUT
'INK Link identification number FROM Upstream node number (A-node) for associated link TO Downstream node number (B-node) for associated link LEN Link length in feet (A-node to B-node)
AW Link lane width SW Lateral clearance = distance from edge of travel-way to obstructions along link midblock Number of lanes in direction of travel PR Priority of movement along link, in reference to movement along intersecting links. Dominant or major link approaches are classified as Priority 1, Secondary (i.e., those link approaches controlled by stop signs, yield signs, etc. ) approaches are generally classified as Priority 2.
LT Lane type, classified as follows:
1 One-way, no parking 2 - One-way, parking on 1 side 3 - One-way, parking on 2 sides 4 - Two-way, no parking 5 - Two-way, with parking 6 Rural divided highway, no parking 7 Rural undivided highway, no parking 8 - Freeways and expressways
AT Area type, classified as follows:
1 Central business district 2 Fringe 3 Outer business district 4 - Residential PK T Parking along link permitted F Parking along ling prohibited SPD Free flow speed over link JAM 3am Density = relative measure of links carrying capacity PRF User preference or movement along each outbound link. Preferences are initially assigned based upon free-flow conditions. Actual route assignments are calculated by the program, considering the assigned preferences as well as speed, density, and capacity relationships FCAP Link capacity STR, CAP Identifies destination of movement from downstream node, and assoc iated intersection capacity RGH r CAP Identifies destination of right-,turn movement from downstream node, and associated special turning lane capacity, if a pp lie abl e LFT, CAP Identifies destination of left-turn movement from downstream node, and associated special turning lane capacity, if applicable DIAG, CAP Identifies destination of designated movement from downstream node, and associated capacity FLOW Used in special cases for designating network flows.
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AOVE R S loOO LIST I]F 5 ICtlAI. IZFO Ill]FRSCCTIO]IS
COUNTY OF MARTIN STATE 0 F FLO Rl DA August 26, 1981 Ser. No. DP-81-244 Mr.Howard Johnson Floi;ada Power & Light Co.
P 0 Box 529100 Miami,, FL 33152
Dear Mr. Johnson:
I have reviewed and used the Evacuation Times Estimates for areas near the St. Lucie Power Plant over the past several months, and would like to thank you for providing this information to me. Although I am not qualified to evaluate the reliability of the information in this study, I have found that the estimates appear to be realistic for the present population factors.
To provide for future planning I would suggest an estimation of evacuation times for five years from now.
Thank you again for providing us this information to use in our various planning efforts.
Sincerel ill F.
am Director
'Br n III WFOB/SJW/ke
STATE OF FL DA gHE $ 7'~
0g
~V s 0~
DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY AFFAIRS, DIVISION OF PUBLIC SAFETY PLANNINC AND ASSISTANCE
~ <4W BOB GRAHAM COD Ws~~"
GOVERNOR JOHN G. BURKE JOAN M. HEGGEN DIVISION DIRECTOR SECRETARY May 19, 1980 Mr. Howard D. Johnson, II Box 529100 Miami, Florida 33152
Dear Mr. Johnson:
We have reviewed the documents entitled "Evacuation Times Estimates for areas near the St. Lucie Power Plant" and "Evacuation Times Estimates for areas near the Turkey Point Power Plant", which were prepared for Florida Power and L'ight Corporation by HMM Associates. We find the documents accep-table and concur in the validity of the results.
Our comments and suggestions, .as well as those of St. Lucie and Dade Counties, have been incorporated into the documents as promised. Information sources, traffic studies and simulation methods appear sound and give us no reason to question the accuracy of the estimates.
Thank you- for furnishing copies for the study of our use in completing evacuation planning in the Turkey Point and St. Lucie areas. They will be most, useful to us.
Sincerely, Bureau Chief RSW/RK/nb BUREAU OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS 1720 SOUTH GADSDEN STREET, TALLAHASSEE, FLORIDA 32301 (904) 488-1320