ML120440065

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Licensee Slides for 2/9/12 Meeting Regarding GSI-191
ML120440065
Person / Time
Site: South Texas  STP Nuclear Operating Company icon.png
Issue date: 02/09/2012
From: Kee E, Mohaghegh Z
South Texas
To: Balwant Singal
Plant Licensing Branch IV
Singal, B K, NRR/DORL, 301-415-301
Shared Package
ML120440053 List:
References
TAC ME7735, TAC ME7736
Download: ML120440065 (16)


Text

STP Risk- Risk-Informed Approach to NRC Generic G i Safety S f t IIssue 191 (GSI--191))

((GSI Ernie Kee Zahra Mohaghegh, Ph.D. Ph D South Texas Nuclear Operating Company Soteria Consultants Wadsworth, TX Boston, MA www.stpnoc.com www.soteriaconsultants.com keeej@stpegs.com mohaghegh@soteriaconsultants.com Introductory Presentation at NRC Public Meeting February 9, 2012

Participating Teams from STP Risk-Ri k-Informed Risk I f d Project P j on Feb 9,, 2012 Public Meeting: g

1. Containment Accident Stochastic Analysis (CASA )Team
2. Corrosion/Head Loss Experimental (CHLE) Team
3. GSI-191 Analysis & Methodology Implementation (GAMI) Team
4. Oversight Team 5
5. STPNOC Team 2

Containment Accident Stochastic Analysis (CASA) TeamT Bruce Letellier, Ph.D. in Nuclear Eng.

Nuclear Reactor Safety and Risk Analysis at Los Alamos National Lab CASA lead for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 10 years of experience in GSI-191 3

Corrosion/Head Loss Experimental (CHLE)

T Team K

Kerry Howe, H PE, Ph.D., BCEE.

Associate Professor in the Civil Eng. Department at the University of New Mexico CHLE lead for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 5 years of experience in GSI-191 Janet Leavitt, Ph.D. in Environmental Eng.

Post-doc in the Civil Eng. Department at the University of New Mexico CHLE team member for STP Risk-informed Risk informed GSI-191 GSI 191 5 years of experience in GSI-191 4

GSI-191 Analysis & Methodology GSI-Implementation (GAMI) Team Ti Sande, Tim S d M.S. in Petroleum Eng.

Engineering Supervisor at Alion Science & Technology GAMI lead for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 8 years of experience in GSI-191 Gil Zigler, Zigler Nuclear Eng.

Eng Senior Scientist/Engineer at Alion Science & Technology GAMI team member for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 20 years off experience in GSI-191 GSI 191 5

Oversight g Team Z h Mohaghegh, Zahra M h h h Ph.D. in Reliability Eng.

Principal Research Scientist at Soteria Consultants Oversight lead for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 8 years of experience in Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)

Seyed Reihani, Ph.D. in Mechanical Eng.

Research Scientist at Soteria Consultants Oversight team member for STP Risk Risk-informed informed GSI GSI-191 191 project 10 years of experience in catalytic combustion 6

STPNOC Team Steve Blossom, Project Manager Project Manager at the South Texas Project Nuclear Operating Company Project Manager for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 32 years of experience in Project Management Ernie Kee, Mechanical Eng.

Supervisor, Risk-Informed Applications, at the South Texas Project Nuclear Operating Company STP Technical Leader for STP Risk-informed GSI-191 project 14 years of experience in Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) at a commercial nuclear power plant 7

Main Goals of the Risk- Risk-Informed Project j

1. Through a risk-informed approach, establish a technical basis to gain i NRC approvall to t close l the th safety f t issues i related l t d to t

GSI-191 by the end of 2013

2. Exemption from certain requirements of 10 CRF 50.46 if the risk associated with the fibrous insulation in STPNOCs containment is determined as non risk significant :

3/4 Decision-making is based on the difference in risk between a perfect design and the existing design 3/4 Safety issues having CDF < 10-6/yr and LERF < 10-7/yr fall in Risk Region III (very small changes) as defined by Regulatory Guide 1.174 8

Schematic S h ti Representation R t ti of the Integrated Model, Developed for the Risk--Informed GSI-Risk GSI-191 Project 9

3/4 PRA is located at the top level of system analysis.

yp 3/4 This PRA has the typical Power Plant Fault Trees and Event Trees covering hardware failures and operators actions and so, has the typical PRA cut sets.

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3/4 CASA Grande provides estimates for the likelihood of three basic events of Fault Trees in PRAs.

3/4 Rather than relying solely on historical failure data for these three basic events, the risk-informed project develops the models (in CASA Grande) for the underlying chemical and mechanical h i l phenomena h lleading di to the three basic events.

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3/4 The output of CASA Grande will give a more accurate estimate of the likelihood of these three basic events and can then be imported to Fault Trees of the plant-specific PRA in order to calculate CDF.

3/4 CASA Grande is instrumental in opening the black boxes of two important events in the scenarios of a Power P Plant Pl t PRA (i.e.

(i recirculation i l ti and core blockage) by model-based estimations of the likelihood of their underlying y g basic events.

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3/4 The Risk-Informed GSI-191 project not only contributes toward the closure of the GSI-191 issues, but also makes a contribution toward PRA research and applications.

3/4 This project improves the scientific incorporation of underlying physical failure mechanisms ( i.e. chemical and mechanical phenomena) into PRA, an important topic of interest in the PRA field.

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Focus of Todays Meeting:

Chemical Effects 3/4 Chemicals are hypothesized yp to affect both the strainer debris bed head loss and the in-vessel debris bed head loss.

3/4 In the figure, the effect on the in-vessel debris bed head loss is shown as going through the strainer bypass path.

3/4 Boron precipitation is separate from the chemical reaction processes and their potential p p debris bed blockage.

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Todayss Agenda Today

1. As necessary, y, discuss STP Post-meetingg Notes from January J y 26-27 Chemical Effects Meeting 2 Methods for addressing each of the significant PIRT issues 2.
3. Experimental p apparatus pp configuration g
4. High level alignment on strainer head loss methodology (use of NUREG/CR 6224 and CHLE experiments) 15

Plan for Risk Risk--Informed Chemical Effects Testing Existing Knowledge Base on Chemical Effects 30Day Integrated Chemical Effects Tests with Direct Head Loss Measurement Precipitate Calculator (Type Quantity, (Type, Quantity and Form)

Thermodynamic Modeling Benchtop Testing ShortTerm Short Term Integrated Chemical Effects Tests CASA Grande with Direct Head Loss Measurement NUREG/CR6224

/ Head Loss Correlation Head Loss Calculator (Strainer Head Loss due to Fiber, Particulate, and Precipitates)

PlantSpecific Vertical Loop and Tank Tests 16