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{{#Wiki_filter:Oconee SSF Flood BarrierBreach SDP-LessonsLearnedJeff Circle, DRA/APOB.
{{#Wiki_filter:Oconee SSF Flood Barrier Breach SDP-Lessons Learned Jeff Circle, DRA/APOB.James Vail, DRAAPOB.NHR Ue0 -Sen 'ive/Inte oHf o t'njji 0 USS.NRC IflNTE STATES NUTCLEAR REGIIATORY COMMAESO ProtectinS People and the Environment Purpose* To inform DRA personnel of the lessons learned from the disposition of the Oconee Standby Shutdown Facility (SSF)wall SDP finding., To help encourage and foster a questioning attitude by staff on regulatory and enforcement processes.
James Vail, DRAAPOB.NHRUe0 -Sen 'ive/Inte oHf o t'njji0USS.NRCIflNTE STATES NUTCLEAR REGIIATORY COMMAESOProtectinS People and the Environment Purpose* To inform DRA personnel of the lessonslearned from the disposition of theOconee Standby Shutdown Facility (SSF)wall SDP finding., To help encourage and foster aquestioning attitude by staff on regulatory and enforcement processes.
NR &ernetZmats 0 !nU.SNRC MU.iED 5TT.F. B L.
NR &ernetZmats 0 !nU.SNRCMU.iED 5TT.F. B L.
NO'!! .s Protewng People and the Environment Discussion Topics# Background of finding.e Technical lessons learned.s Process lessons learned.s Actions taken.e Considered future actions.NRR Use lySeiv Into Infma! ni 0 i2US.NRC LiNfED STATES NUGLEA REDGLU.MRYCOMMISSION
NO'!! .s Protewng People and the Environment Discussion Topics# Background of finding.e Technical lessons learned.s Process lessons learned.s Actions taken.e Considered future actions.NRRUse lySeivInto Infma! ni0i2US.NRCLiNfED STATES NUGLEA REDGLU.MRYCOMMISSION
%.Protecting People ad Ohe Environment Importance of the SSF at Oconee# The SSF contains the only means to shut all three units down following a station blackout induced by catastrophic flood, fire, or other external events.@ The Oconee site does not have emergency diesel generators.
%.Protecting People ad Ohe Environment Importance of the SSF at Oconee# The SSF contains the only means to shut allthree units down following a station blackoutinduced by catastrophic flood, fire, or otherexternal events.@ The Oconee site does not have emergency diesel generators.
-On-site emergency ac power is provided by two hydro-electric generators at the Keowee dam.s Catastrophic flooding to the site can render all the switchyards and Keowee dam unavailable thus blacking out all three units.-Under these conditions, the additional failure of the SSF function results in core damage.NRR cials Myqnsi We 0 U@S1NRC UNIMTED SATESnVCLEAR REGLLUMRYOMMSSION Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View Showing The Relationship of the Oconee Site Environment and Lake Keowee..... * ...- '.............. Use n .SeItive N R R In Infort!-r.
-On-site emergency ac power is provided by twohydro-electric generators at the Keowee dam.s Catastrophic flooding to the site can render allthe switchyards and Keowee dam unavailable thus blacking out all three units.-Under these conditions, the additional failure of theSSF function results in core damage.NRRcials Myqnsi We0U@S1NRCUNIMTED SATESnVCLEAR REGLLUMRYOMMSSION Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View Showing The Relationship of theOconee Site Environment and Lake Keowee..... * ...- '..............
n 0 IJOS NRC U Nn S TAE LCL.LU REGIRl.KERYCOMSO P rotecting People and the Environment Aerial View of the Oconee Site cial Us ly -Se itive A ter IInf (~ma!'tn'v 0 USONRC IMNTED STATES NUCtEBR EGULqATRY COMMISSION Protecting People and 4 the Environment The Flood Barrier Finding V, .Licensee opened an access cover uncovering a previously cut hole in the wall on August 13, 2003.-Should have done a 10CFR50.65 , (a)(4) assessment immediately.
Use n .SeItiveN R R In Infort!-r.
n0IJOS NRCU Nn S TAE LCL.LU REGIRl.KERYCOMSO P rotecting People and the Environment Aerial View of the Oconee Sitecial Us ly -Se itiveA ter IInf (~ma!'tn'v 0USONRCIMNTED STATES NUCtEBR EGULqATRY COMMISSION Protecting People and4the Environment The Flood Barrier FindingV, .Licensee opened an access coveruncovering a previously cut hole inthe wall on August 13, 2003.-Should have done a 10CFR50.65
, (a)(4) assessment immediately.
-Should have done a 1OCFR50.59
-Should have done a 1OCFR50.59
.* evaluation after 90 days.* Licensee opportunities to identify7.issue-June 2,2005 NRC inspectors notified the licensee of condition.
.* evaluation after 90 days.* Licensee opportunities to identify 7.issue-June 2,2005 NRC inspectors notified the licensee of condition.
Licensee issued PIP (condition report in their corrective action*system).
Licensee issued PIP (condition report in their corrective action*system).
Corrective action not, taken.-,August 3, 2005 NRC inspectors questioned lack of corrective actionFive.foot flood wall and licensee issued a further PIP.protecting the doorway.
Corrective action not , taken.-,August 3, 2005 NRC inspectors questioned lack of corrective action Five.foot flood wall and licensee issued a further PIP.protecting the doorway.
* Opening sealed on August 3, 2005.Opening in outside wall with access plateon inside of SSF building.
* Opening sealed on August 3, 2005.Opening in outside wall with access plate on inside of SSF building.OfiiUse nly Sen tive fl -U.S.N RC N R R nte Ifrm ' in UNMlf 5TATES hI.CI LAR REGURflORY COMM.ISSION 49I4i i FW ii Protecting Peoplfe and the Enviroment Interior and Exterior Walls of SSF NRR Q US.NRC lNMTDlSTATES
OfiiUse nly Sen tive fl -U.S.N RCN R R nte Ifrm ' in UNMlf 5TATES hI.CI LAR REGURflORY COMM.ISSION 49I4i i FW ii Protecting Peoplfe and the Enviroment Interior and Exterior Walls of SSFNRRQUS.NRClNMTDlSTATES
?I1CLEAR REGIJUMT ~COMM5SON Protecting People and the Environment The Flood Scenario Rupti ire of Jocassee Lake Jocassee-300-f Nine Times i. _ ., f Dam BoOa-Wes Creek .cpA3 Oconee Site.a" ., .* ..#'*.oSIx OMiUse fly -ensi lye-InternaillInformatibl 0 US.NRC I#PTED S eApeS R a1 d cthqEnmiRYOMMeN Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View of Jocassee Dam- Upstream of the Oconee Site NRR O a ial Us Only sitie Innterna nno mato 0 ,U.SNRC UNrtED) STATES MICITAR ISGU1ATORY 0MMOSMSoN Protectin~g People anid the Enzironment SSF Catastrophic Flood Heights Given Rupture of Jocassee Dam Licensee study in 1980s established a resultant flood height of approximately 5 feet.-Justification for erection of the 5-ft wall around the doorway.-Study is unavailable.
?I1CLEAR REGIJUMT  
-Flood height almost matches that of overtopping of Keowee dam.* Licensee commissioned additional study by FERC in 1992.-Established a higher resultant flood height range of 12-16 feet.-Licensee still used the 5-ft height for their IPEEE submittal developing a 20% split fraction apportioning the Jocassee Dam rupture frequencies to account for these higher FERC flood heights.fici Us nly SensiUvRC inenlfo iv -)U.SNRC..Cl W OW §i ýProtecitng People a, d the Environment Background Summary , August 17, 2006- SERP meeting assessed as preliminary WHITE based on a blended qualitative and quantitative risk-informed approach (pre-IMC 0609 App M).* August 31, 2006 -Choice letter sent to licensee., October 5, 2006 -Licensee provided written response to choice letter and waived regulatory conference., Nov. 22, 2006 -Final significance determination issued. WHITE based on qualitative erosion of defense-in-depth, but includes quantitative CDF based on apportioning flood frequency to flood height.* December 20, 2006 -Licensee appeals the final significance determination.
~COMM5SON Protecting People and the Environment The Flood ScenarioRuptiire of JocasseeLake Jocassee-300-fNine Timesi. _ ., fDamBoOa-Wes Creek .cpA3Oconee Site.a" ., .* ..#'*.oSIxOMiUse fly -ensi lye-InternaillInformatibl 0US.NRCI#PTED S eApeS R a1 d cthqEnmiRYOMMeN Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View of Jocassee Dam- Upstream of theOconee SiteNRRO a ial Us Only sitieInnterna nno mato0,U.SNRCUNrtED) STATES MICITAR ISGU1ATORY 0MMOSMSoN Protectin~g People anid the Enzironment SSF Catastrophic Flood Heights GivenRupture of Jocassee DamLicensee study in 1980s established a resultant floodheight of approximately 5 feet.-Justification for erection of the 5-ft wall around the doorway.-Study is unavailable.
Requests NRC to accept incomplete, un-docketed new information on Jocassee dam seismic failure..Appeal panel convened on January 9, 2007.* Licensee contractor seismic fragility analysis of Jocassee issued January 29, 2007..March 1, 2007 -Appeal panel upholds WHITE finding..May 3, 2007 -Licensee requests reassessment of final significance determination.
-Flood height almost matches that of overtopping of Keoweedam.* Licensee commissioned additional study by FERC in1992.-Established a higher resultant flood height range of 12-16 feet.-Licensee still used the 5-ft height for their IPEEE submittal developing a 20% split fraction apportioning the Jocassee Damrupture frequencies to account for these higher FERC floodheights.fici Us nly SensiUvRC inenlfo iv -)U.SNRC..Cl W OW §i ýProtecitng People a, d the Environment Background Summary, August 17, 2006- SERP meeting assessed as preliminary WHITE based on ablended qualitative and quantitative risk-informed approach (pre-IMC 0609 App M).* August 31, 2006 -Choice letter sent to licensee.
, October 5, 2006 -Licensee provided written response to choice letter and waivedregulatory conference.
, Nov. 22, 2006 -Final significance determination issued. WHITE based on qualitative erosion of defense-in-depth, but includes quantitative CDF based on apportioning flood frequency to flood height.* December 20, 2006 -Licensee appeals the final significance determination.
Requests NRC to accept incomplete, un-docketed new information on Jocasseedam seismic failure..Appeal panel convened on January 9, 2007.* Licensee contractor seismic fragility analysis of Jocassee issued January 29, 2007..March 1, 2007 -Appeal panel upholds WHITE finding..May 3, 2007 -Licensee requests reassessment of final significance determination.
.June, 2007 -Assembled a team to review new information.
.June, 2007 -Assembled a team to review new information.
Flooding expert reviewof data on random dam failure.* June 28, 2007 -Follow up telecom with Licensee on dam failure questions andcomments.
Flooding expert review of data on random dam failure.* June 28, 2007 -Follow up telecom with Licensee on dam failure questions and comments.* July 17, 2007 -Licensee response to analysis questions by email..September 5, 2007 -Final SERP split vote forces upper management resolution.
* July 17, 2007 -Licensee response to analysis questions by email..September 5, 2007 -Final SERP split vote forces upper management resolution.
* November 20, 2007 -Final determination letter released to licensee.NOffi al se "Only siN e Protediang People and ke Environment Jocassee Dam Random Failure Frequency Licensee developed random dam failure frequency for IPEEE submittal based on rockfill dam failures per population of earthen, rockfill, and composite dams.-Severely underestimated frequency by an order of magnitude at 1.4E-5 per year.s As part of the second appeal, DRA/APOB investigated the derivation of this frequency.(b)(7)(F)NRR U.S.NRC LFNTTED STATES5 MIiLLAR REGt'UTORT COMMISSION Protectinig People and the Environment Dam and Dike Failure# Dam failure is well documented and can be characterized by type of dam.# Of the 79,777 dams in the US, 72% are embankment type and 28% are concrete.# Nineteenth century dams would fail at 5% in the first five years after construction but would settle out to a 1 to 4% additional failure by 20 years of life.s This failure rate was reduced to 2% in the first 5 years for dams built after 1930.a By 1960, dam failure rates were less than 0.01 % due to better engineering.
* November 20, 2007 -Final determination letter released to licensee.
@ Whatever the era, half of all dams that ever fail, do so in the first five years. This high infant mortality is often due to piping in the soil around the dam or underneath it. Even concrete dams are not immune. However, dam construction dropped dramatically after 1980 so that nearly all dams are older than 5 years.lnalnf rma n U.S.NRC N R R -0Nmo STATESNIRUAR REGLI ATORC Protecting People and the Environment Technical Lessons Learned Investigation of Dam Failure Frequencies http://crunch.tec~army.mil/nid/webpaqes/nid.cfm http://npdp.stanfordedu/index.html All Arch Dams All Buttress Dams All Concrete Dams All Earth Dams All Gravity Dams All Masonry Dams All Multi-Arch Dams All Rockfill Dams All Stone Dams All Timber Crib Dams Total Buttress Dams Over 50 Feet Arch Dams Over 50 Feet Concrete Dams Over 50 Feet Earth Dams Over 50 Feet Gravity Dams Over 50 Feet Masonry Dams Over 50 Feet Multi-Arch Dams Over 50 Feet Rockfill Dams Over 50 feet Total Failures 2 2 10 366 28 5 0 7 2 3 425 Failures 0 2 0 56 7 0 0 4 69 Dam.years 9101 9819 110227 2240403 122798 21692 240 55872 11365 6536 2605987 Dam-years 1876 5667 19215 144810 19542 1987 77 19900 213184 Mean 2.1E-04 1.9E-04 9.3E-05 1.6E-04 2.3E-04 2.2E-04 1.5E-04 1.3E-04 1.7E-04 3.6E-04 1.6E-04 Mean 2,OE-04 2.8E-04 8.2E-05 3.8E-04 3.2E-04 2.OE-04 2.4E-04 2.1E-04 2.4E-04 NRR Lhi 'alUseO90  
NOffi al se "Only siN eProtediang People and ke Environment Jocassee Dam Random FailureFrequency Licensee developed random dam failure frequency forIPEEE submittal based on rockfill dam failures perpopulation of earthen,  
-ensit' eN U.S.NRC IWO STDIAIES NIT1AIX RiWAUTRY COMIWSSION ProtectiNg People 4111 the Environment Licensee Evaluations s Only two IPEEEs addressed dam failure floods quantitatively  
: rockfill, and composite dams.-Severely underestimated frequency by an order of magnitude at1.4E-5 per year.s As part of the second appeal, DRA/APOB investigated the derivation of this frequency.
-Ft Calhoun and Diablo Canyon. Everyone else only addressed probable maximum precipitation and screened out dam failure as low probability.
(b)(7)(F)
s Unfortunately, there were few dam failure data sources around back then, so many plants used the estimate published in NUREG/CR-5042.
NRRU.S.NRCLFNTTED STATES5 MIiLLAR REGt'UTORT COMMISSION Protectinig People and the Environment Dam and Dike Failure# Dam failure is well documented and can be characterized by type ofdam.# Of the 79,777 dams in the US, 72% are embankment type and 28% are concrete.
The data source for the estimate in NUREG/CR-5042 was the Oconee PRA -NSAC/60. The estimate of 2.5E-05/dam-year in NSAC/60 was done in error by an order of magnitude and it propagated throughout the industry.e  
# Nineteenth century dams would fail at 5% in the first five years afterconstruction but would settle out to a 1 to 4% additional failure by20 years of life.s This failure rate was reduced to 2% in the first 5 years for damsbuilt after 1930.a By 1960, dam failure rates were less than 0.01 % due to betterengineering.
@ Whatever the era, half of all dams that ever fail, do so in the firstfive years. This high infant mortality is often due to piping in the soilaround the dam or underneath it. Even concrete dams are notimmune. However, dam construction dropped dramatically after1980 so that nearly all dams are older than 5 years.lnalnf rma n U.S.NRCN R R -0Nmo STATESNIRUAR REGLI ATORCProtecting People and the Environment Technical Lessons LearnedInvestigation of Dam Failure Frequencies http://crunch.tec~army.mil/nid/webpaqes/nid.cfm http://npdp.stanfordedu/index.html All Arch DamsAll Buttress DamsAll Concrete DamsAll Earth DamsAll Gravity DamsAll Masonry DamsAll Multi-Arch DamsAll Rockfill DamsAll Stone DamsAll Timber Crib DamsTotalButtress Dams Over 50 FeetArch Dams Over 50 FeetConcrete Dams Over 50 FeetEarth Dams Over 50 FeetGravity Dams Over 50 FeetMasonry Dams Over 50 FeetMulti-Arch Dams Over 50 FeetRockfill Dams Over 50 feetTotalFailures22103662850723425Failures02056700469Dam.years 91019819110227224040312279821692240558721136565362605987Dam-years 18765667192151448101954219877719900213184Mean2.1E-041.9E-049.3E-051.6E-042.3E-042.2E-041.5E-041.3E-041.7E-043.6E-041.6E-04Mean2,OE-042.8E-048.2E-053.8E-043.2E-042.OE-042.4E-042.1E-042.4E-04NRRLhi 'alUseO90  
-ensit' eNU.S.NRCIWO STDIAIES NIT1AIX RiWAUTRY COMIWSSION ProtectiNg People 4111 the Environment Licensee Evaluations s Only two IPEEEs addressed dam failure floods quantitatively  
-FtCalhoun and Diablo Canyon. Everyone else only addressed probable maximum precipitation and screened out dam failure aslow probability.
s Unfortunately, there were few dam failure data sources aroundback then, so many plants used the estimate published inNUREG/CR-5042.
The data source for the estimate inNUREG/CR-5042 was the Oconee PRA -NSAC/60.
The estimateof 2.5E-05/dam-year in NSAC/60 was done in error by an order ofmagnitude and it propagated throughout the industry.
e  


==References:==
==References:==


-NUREG/CR-5042, "Evaluation of External Hazards to Nuclear Power Plants in the UnitedStates.-NSAC/60, "Oconee PRA"Na Uely-e ll e US.,NRCSI rmat" n 0~ inau~gjp~iProtecting People anid the Environment SPAR Considerations for External FloodDams as far up or downstream as 300 miles should be considered for bothflood and loss of heat sink. It is noteworthy that all forms of dams have afailure rate between 1 E-4 and 4E-4, even for blue sky events.Determining flood levels, however, is a complex matter. The USACOE hassoftware named HEC RAS that when combined with GIS geographical datawill model river flow and flooding in great detail.Weather based floods remain in the deterministic world because the inputconditions are always from the same source as was used in the originalplant design basis. Besides, the growth of the maximum precipitation onlyincreases about 20% when a 100 year interval is compared to a 1000 yearinterval.
-NUREG/CR-5042, "Evaluation of External Hazards to Nuclear Power Plants in the United States.-NSAC/60, "Oconee PRA" Na Uely-e ll e US.,NRC SI rmat" n 0~ inau~gjp~iProtecting People anid the Environment SPAR Considerations for External Flood Dams as far up or downstream as 300 miles should be considered for both flood and loss of heat sink. It is noteworthy that all forms of dams have a failure rate between 1 E-4 and 4E-4, even for blue sky events.Determining flood levels, however, is a complex matter. The USACOE has software named HEC RAS that when combined with GIS geographical data will model river flow and flooding in great detail.Weather based floods remain in the deterministic world because the input conditions are always from the same source as was used in the original plant design basis. Besides, the growth of the maximum precipitation only increases about 20% when a 100 year interval is compared to a 1000 year interval.
With only 100 years of data available in many locations, projecting beyond a I E-3/yr event is very uncertain anyway.N R R 0n nlfom o IN S1TAtSNUIA RE .TR£OMSHIC-8 liýProteding~People and th'e nviunmati Process Lessons Learned@ Process did not account for situations wherelicensee did not communicate to the regionaloffice and waived participation in a regulatory conference.
With only 100 years of data available in many locations, projecting beyond a I E-3/yr event is very uncertain anyway.N R R 0n nlfom o IN S1TAtSNUIA RE .TR£OMS HIC-8 liýProteding~People and th'e nviunmati Process Lessons Learned@ Process did not account for situations where licensee did not communicate to the regional office and waived participation in a regulatory conference.
s Process did not accept new information prior tofinal determination.
s Process did not accept new information prior to final determination.
s Without a regulatory conference, communication was impacted to program officeand regional management of potential greater-than-green SDP findings.
s Without a regulatory conference, communication was impacted to program office and regional management of potential greater-than-green SDP findings.sly Sensi ,e USNRC l ,.. UNITED STATES NUCL[AR ItEGiATORn COMMISSION i~m. b People ,,nd the Envir.onment Actions Taken I IMC0609 in draft revision to account for:-Licensees may present new information provided that they informed the agency either during a regulatory conference or in writing before the final significance determination is made.-New information has to be submitted within the 30-day appeal period.-Using best available information to determine final significance in a timely manner.-NRR concurrence with regional management on accepting an appeal.Ral Use I -Sensi imrtm .N RC U PR Intrc Pnfor atioand 7 T h Eni RRnCMISN Actions Taken (cont'd)e Training conducted to regional Senior Reactor Analysts (SRAs) in recent counterparts meeting.@ Met with NSIR to inform DHS on potential dam and other outside infrastructure vulnerability.
sly Sensi ,e USNRCl ,.. UNITED STATES NUCL[AR ItEGiATORn COMMISSION i~m. b People ,,nd the Envir.onment Actions TakenI IMC0609 in draft revision to account for:-Licensees may present new information provided thatthey informed the agency either during a regulatory conference or in writing before the final significance determination is made.-New information has to be submitted within the 30-day appeal period.-Using best available information to determine finalsignificance in a timely manner.-NRR concurrence with regional management onaccepting an appeal.Ral Use I -Sensi imrtm .N RC UPR Intrc Pnfor atioand 7 T h Eni RRnCMISN Actions Taken (cont'd)e Training conducted to regional SeniorReactor Analysts (SRAs) in recentcounterparts meeting.@ Met with NSIR to inform DHS on potential dam and other outside infrastructure vulnerability.
NRR fi~ Use 0 y -e~ns' ive ,U.S NRC INrwrTITOSAE 1:C1 FARREGIRAToRY COMMI1SSION Protecting People and the Environment Considered Future Actions@ NRR Program Office Director and/or Deputy Director should be informed of all greater-than-green findings.# Exploration of licensing and potential backfit requirement for protection against most likely flood.s Generic communication to licensees on flooding.NRR 0 I U.S,NRC}}
NRRfi~ Use 0 y -e~ns' ive,U.S NRCINrwrTITOSAE 1:C1 FARREGIRAToRY COMMI1SSION Protecting People and the Environment Considered Future Actions@ NRR Program Office Director and/orDeputy Director should be informed of allgreater-than-green findings.
# Exploration of licensing and potential backfit requirement for protection againstmost likely flood.s Generic communication to licensees onflooding.
NRR 0 I U.S,NRC}}

Revision as of 22:19, 9 July 2018

Slides on Oconee Ssf Flood Barrier Breach SDP Lessons Learned
ML14058A077
Person / Time
Site: Oconee  Duke Energy icon.png
Issue date: 02/04/2014
From: Circle J A, Vail J A
NRC/NRR/DRA/APOB
To:
Shared Package
ML14055A421 List: ... further results
References
FOIA/PA-2012-0325
Download: ML14058A077 (21)


Text

Oconee SSF Flood Barrier Breach SDP-Lessons Learned Jeff Circle, DRA/APOB.James Vail, DRAAPOB.NHR Ue0 -Sen 'ive/Inte oHf o t'njji 0 USS.NRC IflNTE STATES NUTCLEAR REGIIATORY COMMAESO ProtectinS People and the Environment Purpose* To inform DRA personnel of the lessons learned from the disposition of the Oconee Standby Shutdown Facility (SSF)wall SDP finding., To help encourage and foster a questioning attitude by staff on regulatory and enforcement processes.

NR &ernetZmats 0 !nU.SNRC MU.iED 5TT.F. B L.

NO'!! .s Protewng People and the Environment Discussion Topics# Background of finding.e Technical lessons learned.s Process lessons learned.s Actions taken.e Considered future actions.NRR Use lySeiv Into Infma! ni 0 i2US.NRC LiNfED STATES NUGLEA REDGLU.MRYCOMMISSION

%.Protecting People ad Ohe Environment Importance of the SSF at Oconee# The SSF contains the only means to shut all three units down following a station blackout induced by catastrophic flood, fire, or other external events.@ The Oconee site does not have emergency diesel generators.

-On-site emergency ac power is provided by two hydro-electric generators at the Keowee dam.s Catastrophic flooding to the site can render all the switchyards and Keowee dam unavailable thus blacking out all three units.-Under these conditions, the additional failure of the SSF function results in core damage.NRR cials Myqnsi We 0 U@S1NRC UNIMTED SATESnVCLEAR REGLLUMRYOMMSSION Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View Showing The Relationship of the Oconee Site Environment and Lake Keowee..... * ...- '.............. Use n .SeItive N R R In Infort!-r.

n 0 IJOS NRC U Nn S TAE LCL.LU REGIRl.KERYCOMSO P rotecting People and the Environment Aerial View of the Oconee Site cial Us ly -Se itive A ter IInf (~ma!'tn'v 0 USONRC IMNTED STATES NUCtEBR EGULqATRY COMMISSION Protecting People and 4 the Environment The Flood Barrier Finding V, .Licensee opened an access cover uncovering a previously cut hole in the wall on August 13, 2003.-Should have done a 10CFR50.65 , (a)(4) assessment immediately.

-Should have done a 1OCFR50.59

.* evaluation after 90 days.* Licensee opportunities to identify 7.issue-June 2,2005 NRC inspectors notified the licensee of condition.

Licensee issued PIP (condition report in their corrective action*system).

Corrective action not , taken.-,August 3, 2005 NRC inspectors questioned lack of corrective action Five.foot flood wall and licensee issued a further PIP.protecting the doorway.

  • Opening sealed on August 3, 2005.Opening in outside wall with access plate on inside of SSF building.OfiiUse nly Sen tive fl -U.S.N RC N R R nte Ifrm ' in UNMlf 5TATES hI.CI LAR REGURflORY COMM.ISSION 49I4i i FW ii Protecting Peoplfe and the Enviroment Interior and Exterior Walls of SSF NRR Q US.NRC lNMTDlSTATES

?I1CLEAR REGIJUMT ~COMM5SON Protecting People and the Environment The Flood Scenario Rupti ire of Jocassee Lake Jocassee-300-f Nine Times i. _ ., f Dam BoOa-Wes Creek .cpA3 Oconee Site.a" ., .* ..#'*.oSIx OMiUse fly -ensi lye-InternaillInformatibl 0 US.NRC I#PTED S eApeS R a1 d cthqEnmiRYOMMeN Protecting People and the Environment Aerial View of Jocassee Dam- Upstream of the Oconee Site NRR O a ial Us Only sitie Innterna nno mato 0 ,U.SNRC UNrtED) STATES MICITAR ISGU1ATORY 0MMOSMSoN Protectin~g People anid the Enzironment SSF Catastrophic Flood Heights Given Rupture of Jocassee Dam Licensee study in 1980s established a resultant flood height of approximately 5 feet.-Justification for erection of the 5-ft wall around the doorway.-Study is unavailable.

-Flood height almost matches that of overtopping of Keowee dam.* Licensee commissioned additional study by FERC in 1992.-Established a higher resultant flood height range of 12-16 feet.-Licensee still used the 5-ft height for their IPEEE submittal developing a 20% split fraction apportioning the Jocassee Dam rupture frequencies to account for these higher FERC flood heights.fici Us nly SensiUvRC inenlfo iv -)U.SNRC..Cl W OW §i ýProtecitng People a, d the Environment Background Summary , August 17, 2006- SERP meeting assessed as preliminary WHITE based on a blended qualitative and quantitative risk-informed approach (pre-IMC 0609 App M).* August 31, 2006 -Choice letter sent to licensee., October 5, 2006 -Licensee provided written response to choice letter and waived regulatory conference., Nov. 22, 2006 -Final significance determination issued. WHITE based on qualitative erosion of defense-in-depth, but includes quantitative CDF based on apportioning flood frequency to flood height.* December 20, 2006 -Licensee appeals the final significance determination.

Requests NRC to accept incomplete, un-docketed new information on Jocassee dam seismic failure..Appeal panel convened on January 9, 2007.* Licensee contractor seismic fragility analysis of Jocassee issued January 29, 2007..March 1, 2007 -Appeal panel upholds WHITE finding..May 3, 2007 -Licensee requests reassessment of final significance determination.

.June, 2007 -Assembled a team to review new information.

Flooding expert review of data on random dam failure.* June 28, 2007 -Follow up telecom with Licensee on dam failure questions and comments.* July 17, 2007 -Licensee response to analysis questions by email..September 5, 2007 -Final SERP split vote forces upper management resolution.

  • November 20, 2007 -Final determination letter released to licensee.NOffi al se "Only siN e Protediang People and ke Environment Jocassee Dam Random Failure Frequency Licensee developed random dam failure frequency for IPEEE submittal based on rockfill dam failures per population of earthen, rockfill, and composite dams.-Severely underestimated frequency by an order of magnitude at 1.4E-5 per year.s As part of the second appeal, DRA/APOB investigated the derivation of this frequency.(b)(7)(F)NRR U.S.NRC LFNTTED STATES5 MIiLLAR REGt'UTORT COMMISSION Protectinig People and the Environment Dam and Dike Failure# Dam failure is well documented and can be characterized by type of dam.# Of the 79,777 dams in the US, 72% are embankment type and 28% are concrete.# Nineteenth century dams would fail at 5% in the first five years after construction but would settle out to a 1 to 4% additional failure by 20 years of life.s This failure rate was reduced to 2% in the first 5 years for dams built after 1930.a By 1960, dam failure rates were less than 0.01 % due to better engineering.

@ Whatever the era, half of all dams that ever fail, do so in the first five years. This high infant mortality is often due to piping in the soil around the dam or underneath it. Even concrete dams are not immune. However, dam construction dropped dramatically after 1980 so that nearly all dams are older than 5 years.lnalnf rma n U.S.NRC N R R -0Nmo STATESNIRUAR REGLI ATORC Protecting People and the Environment Technical Lessons Learned Investigation of Dam Failure Frequencies http://crunch.tec~army.mil/nid/webpaqes/nid.cfm http://npdp.stanfordedu/index.html All Arch Dams All Buttress Dams All Concrete Dams All Earth Dams All Gravity Dams All Masonry Dams All Multi-Arch Dams All Rockfill Dams All Stone Dams All Timber Crib Dams Total Buttress Dams Over 50 Feet Arch Dams Over 50 Feet Concrete Dams Over 50 Feet Earth Dams Over 50 Feet Gravity Dams Over 50 Feet Masonry Dams Over 50 Feet Multi-Arch Dams Over 50 Feet Rockfill Dams Over 50 feet Total Failures 2 2 10 366 28 5 0 7 2 3 425 Failures 0 2 0 56 7 0 0 4 69 Dam.years 9101 9819 110227 2240403 122798 21692 240 55872 11365 6536 2605987 Dam-years 1876 5667 19215 144810 19542 1987 77 19900 213184 Mean 2.1E-04 1.9E-04 9.3E-05 1.6E-04 2.3E-04 2.2E-04 1.5E-04 1.3E-04 1.7E-04 3.6E-04 1.6E-04 Mean 2,OE-04 2.8E-04 8.2E-05 3.8E-04 3.2E-04 2.OE-04 2.4E-04 2.1E-04 2.4E-04 NRR Lhi 'alUseO90

-ensit' eN U.S.NRC IWO STDIAIES NIT1AIX RiWAUTRY COMIWSSION ProtectiNg People 4111 the Environment Licensee Evaluations s Only two IPEEEs addressed dam failure floods quantitatively

-Ft Calhoun and Diablo Canyon. Everyone else only addressed probable maximum precipitation and screened out dam failure as low probability.

s Unfortunately, there were few dam failure data sources around back then, so many plants used the estimate published in NUREG/CR-5042.

The data source for the estimate in NUREG/CR-5042 was the Oconee PRA -NSAC/60. The estimate of 2.5E-05/dam-year in NSAC/60 was done in error by an order of magnitude and it propagated throughout the industry.e

References:

-NUREG/CR-5042, "Evaluation of External Hazards to Nuclear Power Plants in the United States.-NSAC/60, "Oconee PRA" Na Uely-e ll e US.,NRC SI rmat" n 0~ inau~gjp~iProtecting People anid the Environment SPAR Considerations for External Flood Dams as far up or downstream as 300 miles should be considered for both flood and loss of heat sink. It is noteworthy that all forms of dams have a failure rate between 1 E-4 and 4E-4, even for blue sky events.Determining flood levels, however, is a complex matter. The USACOE has software named HEC RAS that when combined with GIS geographical data will model river flow and flooding in great detail.Weather based floods remain in the deterministic world because the input conditions are always from the same source as was used in the original plant design basis. Besides, the growth of the maximum precipitation only increases about 20% when a 100 year interval is compared to a 1000 year interval.

With only 100 years of data available in many locations, projecting beyond a I E-3/yr event is very uncertain anyway.N R R 0n nlfom o IN S1TAtSNUIA RE .TR£OMS HIC-8 liýProteding~People and th'e nviunmati Process Lessons Learned@ Process did not account for situations where licensee did not communicate to the regional office and waived participation in a regulatory conference.

s Process did not accept new information prior to final determination.

s Without a regulatory conference, communication was impacted to program office and regional management of potential greater-than-green SDP findings.sly Sensi ,e USNRC l ,.. UNITED STATES NUCL[AR ItEGiATORn COMMISSION i~m. b People ,,nd the Envir.onment Actions Taken I IMC0609 in draft revision to account for:-Licensees may present new information provided that they informed the agency either during a regulatory conference or in writing before the final significance determination is made.-New information has to be submitted within the 30-day appeal period.-Using best available information to determine final significance in a timely manner.-NRR concurrence with regional management on accepting an appeal.Ral Use I -Sensi imrtm .N RC U PR Intrc Pnfor atioand 7 T h Eni RRnCMISN Actions Taken (cont'd)e Training conducted to regional Senior Reactor Analysts (SRAs) in recent counterparts meeting.@ Met with NSIR to inform DHS on potential dam and other outside infrastructure vulnerability.

NRR fi~ Use 0 y -e~ns' ive ,U.S NRC INrwrTITOSAE 1:C1 FARREGIRAToRY COMMI1SSION Protecting People and the Environment Considered Future Actions@ NRR Program Office Director and/or Deputy Director should be informed of all greater-than-green findings.# Exploration of licensing and potential backfit requirement for protection against most likely flood.s Generic communication to licensees on flooding.NRR 0 I U.S,NRC