ML20093F501: Difference between revisions

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coeding, on terms favorable to LILCO, is an underlying as-sumption of LILCO's plan to stave off bankruptcy.      (Posi-tion Paper at 50). The terms which LILCO proposed, and which have been rejected by the Governor of New York, in-volve an absorption by LILCO of only S250 million -- in-st'ead'of between $1.8 billion and S2.2 billion -- of Shoreham-related costs.    (Position Paper at 51.)
coeding, on terms favorable to LILCO, is an underlying as-sumption of LILCO's plan to stave off bankruptcy.      (Posi-tion Paper at 50). The terms which LILCO proposed, and which have been rejected by the Governor of New York, in-volve an absorption by LILCO of only S250 million -- in-st'ead'of between $1.8 billion and S2.2 billion -- of Shoreham-related costs.    (Position Paper at 51.)
Q. Would rate relief unrelated to Shoreham significantly improve LILCO's condition?
Q. Would rate relief unrelated to Shoreham significantly improve LILCO's condition?
A. No. Non-Shoreham related rate increases are not likely to help stave off a financial disaster for LILCO.      According to the Company's own figures, even if 100 percent of pend-ing non-Shoreham rate relief is obtained, LILCO will still have a cash deficit of $43.3 million in September 1984 and of almost $61 million in December 1984.    (June 21, 1934 letter from Gerard A. Maher, counsel for LILCO, to flon.
A. No. Non-Shoreham related rate increases are not likely to help stave off a financial disaster for LILCO.      According to the Company's own figures, even if 100 percent of pend-ing non-Shoreham rate relief is obtained, LILCO will still have a cash deficit of $43.3 million in September 1984 and of almost $61 million in December 1984.    ({{letter dated|date=June 21, 1934|text=June 21, 1934 letter}} from Gerard A. Maher, counsel for LILCO, to flon.
  . Frank S. Robinson, Administrative Law Judge,i4YPSC, a copy of which is attached hereto as Attachment 9).
  . Frank S. Robinson, Administrative Law Judge,i4YPSC, a copy of which is attached hereto as Attachment 9).


Line 357: Line 357:
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       ~
in addition, LILCO's counsol has state 3 "LILGO is now as-suring safe and adequate servico for the short run -- not
in addition, LILCO's counsol has state 3 "LILGO is now as-suring safe and adequate servico for the short run -- not
     . the long haul."    (June 21, 1984 letter from Gerard A.  ,
     . the long haul."    ({{letter dated|date=June 21, 1984|text=June 21, 1984 letter}} from Gerard A.  ,
Mahar, Counsel for LILCO, to !!on. Frank G. Itobinson, Ad-ministrativo Law Judge, NYPSC, attacncd horoto an Attach-mont 9).
Mahar, Counsel for LILCO, to !!on. Frank G. Itobinson, Ad-ministrativo Law Judge, NYPSC, attacncd horoto an Attach-mont 9).
                                     -  42 -
                                     -  42 -

Latest revision as of 23:58, 24 September 2022

Testimony of MD Dirmeier & Jk Madan Re Lilco Economic Benefit Plan Claim & 840522 Application for Exemption. Related Correspondence
ML20093F501
Person / Time
Site: Shoreham File:Long Island Lighting Company icon.png
Issue date: 07/16/1984
From: Dirmeier M, Madan J
SUFFOLK COUNTY, NY
To:
Shared Package
ML20093F417 List:
References
OL-4, NUDOCS 8407190264
Download: ML20093F501 (479)


Text

{{#Wiki_filter:i { ELATED CORRESPONDENCE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION v 7 7 .- - US:,i(C Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board

                                                              '84 JUL 18 P1 :34
                                                )            Lir a ; _ ~

00ChErmc f d,

        -In the Matter of                     -)
                                                )                    BRANCH LONG ISLAND LIGilTING COMPANY          )
                                                )    Docket No. 50-322-OL-4 (Shoreham Nuclear Power Station,       )         (Low Power)

Unit 1) )

                                                )
 .-g                                            )

TESTIMONY OF MICHAEL D. DIRMEIER AND JAMSHED K. MADAN ON BE!IALF OF SUFFOLK COUNTY I. STATEMENT OF QUALIFICATIONS _Q. Please. state your names and occupations.

       'A. My name.is Jamshed K. Madan and my business address is 456 Main Street, Ridgefield, Connecticut.      I am a principal in'the management-consulting firm of Georgetown Consulting Group, Inc.

My name is Michael D. Dirmeier and my business address is 456 Main Street,.Ridgefield, Connecticut. I am a member of the firm of Georgetown Consulting Group, Inc.. Q. Please describe the general nature of your firm's services. B407190264 840716 PDR ADOCK 0500032 T

[ '. A. Our firm offers services in financial and management con-sulting with special emphasis on utility regulation. Members of our firm have performed or are performing analyses of petitioners' testimonies and have presented , testimony before many commissions and boards in regulatory cases involving telephone companies, air carriers, pipe-line companies, and electric, gas and water utility companies. Q.- Br'iefly describe your educational and professional back-ground. A._ (Madan) I graduated from the tiassachusetts Institute of Technology in 1966 with a Bachelor of Science Degree in Electrical Engineering. I continued my graduate studies at M.I.T. and in 1968 I graduated with a. Master of Science Degree in Management-from the Alfred P. Sloan School of Management. During my graduate studies, I held the posi-tion of research assistant and teaching assistant in areas related to financial management. From August 1968 through April 1979, I was primarily employed by Touche Ross & Co., an international public ac-counting firm. I was promoted to principal in September 1977 and held the position of National Director of i

o l Regulatory Consulting. I left Touche Ross & Co. to become a principal in Georgetown Consulting Group in May of 1979. I have presented testimony on accounting and related matters on behalf of Rate Counsel, the public or interve-

                         - nors before various public utility commissions in proceed-
                         - ings in 15 states, including proceedings before the New York Public Service Commiasion involving LILCO.                                                                                               A listing of the rate proceedings in which I have presented testimo-ny is set forth in Attachment 1.

Besides regulatory consulting,'I have been the project leader on other projects, including operations reviews, financial feasibility rtudies, economic studies, r marketing studies, cash flow analyses, cost reduction studies, and system planning studies. I have also given talks before American Mana,ement Association meetings en-titled " Rate of Return Concept - A Management Tool." (Dirmeier) I hold a Master of Business Administra-1 tion degree.in finance from the University of Chicago, received in'1973, and a Bachelor of Science degree in Physics, receiv'de from Texas A&M University in 1971. 3-

 's    -
         rr - ' -  .

I hold a Certificate in Management Accounting, which is a professional certification for management accountants and financial managers awarded by the Institute of Manage-ment Accounting of the National Association of Accoun-tants. Prior to joining Georgetown Consulting Group, Inc., I was employed by Touche Ross and Co. My consulting experi-ence includes operations reviews, system implementation and product-line analysis. Before joining Touche Ross, I was a financial analyst with the Bendix Corporation. My work included capital budgeting, investment analysis, financial modeling and planning, analysis of acquisitions and divestments, and preparation of financial reports for the Board of Directors. I have also analyzed company testimony, managed the preparation of accounting testimony or testified in 13 jurisdictions including before the New York Public Service Commission in matters involving LILCO. A listing of the rate proceedings in which I have presented testimony is set forth in Attachment 2. _4 _

II. SCOPE AND PURPOSE OF TESTIMONY Q. Please indicate the scope and purpose of this testimony. A. In its May :22, 1984 Application for Exemption, LILCO claims'that the requested exemption is in the public in-terest. LILCO's claim is based, in part, on an analysis that purports to show that economic benefits would flow from a grant of the Application and the early low power testing of.Shoreham. The purpose of this testimony is to address LILCO's economic benefit claim and how the public interest would be affected by the grant of the requested exemption. Unless otherwise indicated, all the testimony which follows is j :ir;t'y sponsored by both of us. III. ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF GRANTING THE EXEMPTION A. LILCO's Claimed Economic Benefit O. Please state your understanding of LILCO's claimed economic benefit. A. In its Application, LILCO initially claimed that granting the~ exemption would be "in the public interest because it I

 ,        .will result in' economic benefits of 590-$135 million.".

(Application 20-21). Subsequently, during the course of i

       . discovery, the LILCO witness who will be testifying on the claimed." economic benefits" of granting the exemption stated that t.he $90-$135 million range of_ figures "is not correct" (N'azzolillo Depo. Tr. 134). LILCO is now claiming, apparently, that the economic " benefit" will be leither $8-million or $42 million, depending on the timing of-LILCO's receipt of certain alleged tax benefits. (See Nozzolillo E.qo. TR 121-134 and Attachment 3 hereto.)

L Q. How did LILCO arrive at the S8 million and $42 million figures?-

 .t A. Both the $9 million figure and the $42 million figure reflect benefits which LILCO perceives as flowing from

( LILCO's premise that the granting of the pending Applica-tion will enable Shoreham to go into commercial operation approximately three months earlier than would otherwise be the case. The financial models which LILCO has furnished during discovery compare the potential impact on ratepayers of commencing commercial operation in July 1, 1985 (as presently projected by LILCO) with waiting until October 1, 1985 to commence commercial operation. l l LILCO has prepared computer-based corporate financial models of sales, revenues, expenses, balance sheets and 1

t-cashflows covering the years 1984-2000. These models have been developed for three alternative hypothetical dates on which Shoreham would be considered to be "in service" as follows: Full power operatioq In-service for tax purposes July 1, 1985 Dec. 1984 July 1, 1985 Jan. 1985 Oct. 1, 1985 Mar. 1985 For each of the above alternatives, LILCO computed the revenue requirements ( that is, the amount LILCO must receive from ratepayers), expenses and other financial indicators in each of the years 1984-2000. In order to compare the financial results, LILCO then computed the net present value of the revenue requirements under each al-ternative. A higher net present value equates to higher revenues and is, therefore (all other things being equal) less desirable, from a ratepayer's point of view, than a lower net present value. This is because a higher net present value means that the ratepayers must pay higher rates (in real terms) . The results of LILCO's computations are as follows:

        -Full-Power       In service for   ($ millions)
       ' Operation         tax purposes  Net Present Value (1)

July 1, 1985 Dec. 1984 S21,295 July 1, 1985 Jan.'1985 21,329 Oct. 1, . 1985 Mar. 1985 21,337 (1) Note: Present Value of117 years' revenue requirements. l LILCO's computations, as provided during discovery,

        -are annexed as Attachment 3.1/    Our own computations, which are based on LILCO's computation presented in a different format, are annexed hereto as Attachment 4.

In analyzing the Company's computations, it is obvio;us that the~ net present value of revenues is affected , .by when Shoreham goes into full power operation and when it is declared "in-service" for federal corporate income tax purposes. LILCO's minimum claimed benefit of $8 million from the grant of the exemption is based on the assumption that Shoreham will be in-service for tax purposes in 1985, and represents LILCO's projected effect l. i of beginning the full power operation three months earlier than the case without the grant of the exemption. LILCO's i. l 1/ We--learned on July 12, 1984, that LILCO has prepared new

         ' financial runs reflecting somewhat different assumptions.

Af ter we have had an opportunity to review these new data, we will, if necessary, amend our testimony. _a. 1

maximum claimed benefit of $42 million starts with the S8 million effect of a three-month change in the timing of full power operation olus an additional $34 million benefit which could be obtained only if Shoreham can be declared in-service for tax purposes in 1994 rather than in 1985. Thus, the maximum $42 million benefit consists of an $8 million element and a separate $34 million element. The $34 million figure represents the differential in net present value effect of beginning the stream of benefits to'ratepayers related to tax depreciation in 1984, as opposed to 1985. The S34 million differential assumes that Shoreham is in service for tax purposes on or before December 31, 1984. If Shoreham is not in service by that date, however, the S34 million differential disappea.a. The S8 million figure represents the present value of the differential in rates necessary to cover revenue re-quirements for all items other than tax depreciation (including, for example, estimated fuel savings), based on . commencing commercial operation of Shoreham on July 1,, 1985 instead of October 1, 1985.

                               ~

Q. How would the 1984 tax in-service date create an apparent benefit? A. If Shoreham can be declared in-service during 1984, LILCO's 1984 tax depreciation will be $186 million higher. This increase in tax depreciation is a tax benefit, re-sulting in lower taxes, which, in turn, reduces the amount of capital that investors have to provide to LILCO. Since revenue requirements provide a return on capital, lower capital requirements lead to lower revenue requirements. By depreciating Shoreham for tax purposes in 1984 rather than in 1985, the benefit of Shoreham tax depreciation is recei'ved earlier, thereby leading to a lower net present

      'value of revenue requirements. This $34 million benefit can only be obtained if Shoreham is declared in-service for tax purposes in 1:84 rather than in 1985.

Q. Wnat creates the $8 million net present value difference for full power operation between July and October? A. In the first 12 months after Shoreham begins commercial e operation, LILCO's revenue requirements will be increased by over $800 million. The increase, which, in turn must be recovered from ratepayers, arises from the need to recover the carrying charges associated with Shoreham and the related depreciation, operations and maintenance expenses. If Shoreham goes into commercial operation on July 1, 1985, customers will pay $166 million more in rev-enue requirements in 1985 than if commercial power operation begins October 1, 1985. There is a greater rev-enue requirement associated with a July 1, 1985 commercial operation date, as opposed to on October 1, 1985 commercial operation date, because.there will exist three more months in 1985 at which the higher (appoximately $800 million) revenue requirement amount will be charged to ratepayers. Thus, 1985 customers receive no utility rate benefit from a July 1, 1985 start-up. Customers in subse-quent years will also have higher rates than if Shoreham had not been built, but lower with a July 1, 1985 start than an October 1, 1985 start. Revenue requirements are lower in 1986 and subsequent years primarily because an earlier start up date acceler-ates the point in time at which costs incurred at Shoreham are expensed to the income statement and charged through higher rates to customerc, rather than capitalized as a higher book cost for the unit. Tnus, the earlier full power date results in higher 1985 revenue requirements'in exchange for a lower overall book cost for Shorenam. This

lower overall book cost leads to relatively lower 1986 and subsequent revenue requirements. The cumulative effect of the higher 1985 revenue requirement and lower 1986-2000 revenue requirements is, according to LILCO, S8 million in net'present value. The $8 million net present value of this benefit would likely result from any three month difference in the timing of the commencement of full power operation, such

as October to January, as well as the three months developed by the Company from July to October.

Q. How realistic, in your opinion, is the $8-S42 million benefit which LILCO claims will flow from the grant of the exemption? A. LILCO's claimed benefits are greatly _ overstated. Indeed,

. based on LILCO's own analysis, we believe there is an

!' economic detriment of $49 million resulting from the grant f ' of tne exe.nption. .Thus, LILCO's rate-payers would be worse off if the Company were to obtain a low power

              -license sooner rather than later.

, .Q. Please explain your last answer.

A. First, it is clear that Shoreham will not be in-service for tax purposes during LILCO's proposed low power testing program which is all that would be authorized by the re-P quested exemption. In order to place the plant in service for tax purposes, LILCO must obtain a full power operating license which would require final NRC decisions on the outstanding emergency planning and TDI diesel issues. By LILCO's own admission (see Application for Exemption at 21), and as is clear from the current schedules for liti-gation of those issues, such decisions (and necessary "immediate effectiveness" approved by the NRC) are unlike-ly prior.to the end of 1984. Thus, it does not appear to be possible for Shoreham to be in service for tax purposes in 1994, which means that $34 million of the S42 million maximum ' claimed ben ~: fit cannot be obtained. LILCO's economic benefit claim therefore is in reality only S8 million. In out opinion, the $8 nillion benefit is overstated and is actually a detriment of up to $49 million. Q. Why do you say that the S34 million benefit resulting from 1994' tax depreciation cannot be obtained? 1

A. During his deposition, Mr. Nozzolillo testified that in order to.be in service 1.:r federal income tax purposes, Shoreham has to generate sufficient electric power to the LILCO grid.such that the electrical output from the plant, exceeds the' amount taken from the grid to run the plant, i.e. ,. the net output has to be a positive figure to the grid (Nozzolillo Tr. 129). In the April 20 prefiled tes-timony of Messrs. Atambir S. Rao, Eugene C. Eckert, George F. Dawe and Robert M. Kasesok filed by LILCO, however, LILCO's witnesses state at page 34 that during Phases III and IV of LILCO's proposed low power testing program, "the generator will not be connected to the grid during these phases of testing." (emphasis supplied) This statement is also made at page 17 of the Affidavit of Dr. Glenn G. Sherwood, Dr. Atambir S. Rao, and Mr. Eugene C. Eckert, which was submitted by LILCO in support of its March 20, 1984 Supplemental Motion for Low Power Operating License. It is further our understanding t"at the turbine is not  : run at all during Phases I and II of LILCO's proposed low power program. In short, since the Shoreham generator will not even be connected to the LILCO grid during the low power testing proposed by LILCO, there is no possibility that t

            'Shoreham will be in service for federal income tax purposes prior to the issuance of a full power license, which appears highly unlikely if not impossible during 1984. Thus, the alleged $34 million tax benefit will not, and cannot, materialize.
        -Q. What are the. areas in which LILCO in your opinion has everstated its $8 million claim?

A. LILCO's analysis shows that the cash cost of Shoreham de-creases by $59 million if full. power operation is moved up by three months. . Earlier , we stated that this reduction in cash cost is achieved because expenses and revenue re-quirements are increased as costs are charged to customers rather than charged to'the cost of Shoreham. LILCO's own

            -analysis,'however, shows only a $31 million increase in expense-when Shoreham is operated three months earlier, although the cash cost of the plant is decreased by $59 million. Therefore, there is a $28 million mismatch in l

LILCO's analysis that erroneously f avors. the economics of earlier full power operation, because it_either understates revenue requirements associated with a July 1, L1985 start-up date or overstates revenue requirements as-sociated-with an 0ctober 1, 1985 start-up. In either 15 - 4 9

e - - event, correction of this error, which has a net present value of $26 million, reduces LILCO's $8 million benefit claim to an $18 million detriment. LILCO's second error results from its decision to' stop the analysis in the year 2000, rather than analyzing the effect of early operation over Shoreham's anticipated full life cycle. The effect of this error is to exclude a net present value benefit of $14 million for operations in the years 2001 - 2015. In addition, this error results in an implicit assumption that early low power operation results in greater lifetime energy production from Shoreham. Correcting this error results in a reduction in the benefit of up to S45 million. Q. Please explain the $28 million error in the Company's analysis. A. The Company's financial models show that three month ear-lier full power operation decreases the capitalized cash cost of Shoreham &y $59 million. Correspondingly, tne amount expensed if op? ration is three months earlier should be $59 million greater to balance the lower capi-talized cash cost. Ilowever , LILCO's own financial projections snow only a S31.1 million increase in expense, as follows: (S million) October 1, 1985 Change July 1, 1985 Shoreham Cash-Investment $2,734.4 $(59.0) S2,675.4 O& M Expense $ 257.1 S 16.1 S 273.2 Property Tax 15.0 15. r, 30.0 S 272.1 S 31.1 S 303.2 The above table shows that the July 1, 1985 projection-has $59 million less expanded at Shoreham, but only $31.1 million more expensed. As we discussed earli-er, the effect.of early full power operation is higher cxpenses and rates, but lower amounts charged to the capital cost of the plant. In LILCO's financial analysis, the lower capital cost is impropsrly not balanced by equal increases in expenses.

                       - Q. How does this imbalance lead to a change in the relative net present values of assumed July versus October commercial full power operation?

A. To make the models comparable, we examined the impact on revenue requirements if. expenses in the October 1 model were decreased by the S27.9 million difference between capital change ($59.0) and expense change (S31.1). If-expenses are lower, revenue requirements will be lower by w________.______._ __ _ _ _ _ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ . _ _ . _

a similar amount to achieve the same earned rate of return on investment. Consequently, the net present value of revenue requirements for the October 1 operation alterna-tive is reduced by $26 million, thereby improving this al-ternative's economic effect. Q. Please explain the problems created by the Company's deci- . sion to stop the analysis in the year 2000, u l A. . Allowing Shoreham to operate commercially three months earlier in 1985 creates an increase in revenue require-ments in that year of $166 million, because any fuel sav-ings,that may be~ achieved are far outweighed by increases in base. rates to provide for depreciation, return, operation and maintenance of the unit. If Shoreham oper-ates three months earlier, then it is presumed to retire three months earlier in the year 2015. Early operation in 1985 results in' increased revenue requirements in the year 2015, because early retirement will result in lower fuel savings in thac year. A proper economic analysis of Shorcham's early j operation would examine the trade-offs between tne higher p . i .. rates in 1984, and the lower rates in 2015, as well as the differences in revenue requirements in the intervening i l l l

years. In general, the intervening years will have slightly lower revenue requirements if Shoreham is allowed to operate early, because the unit will be of lower book cost and therefore have lower depreciation and return re-quirements. LILCO's analysis already considers the effect of the lower revenue requirements in the years 1986 through 2000. Therefore, the corrections that we recommend are made in order to extend LILCO's analysis from the year 2000 through 2015. Extension of the analysis includes two components: fuel expense and.other elements of revenue requirements. In 1985, the fuel benefit of three month's earlier

     +

operation is projected to be S50 million. Obviously, es-timation of the fuel detriment in the year 2015 is subject to great uncertainty, including the effects of inflation, changes in oil availability, technological changes, and so forth. For purposes of this analysis, we have assumed that the fuel difference in the year 2015 will be worth the same amount, in 1984 dollars, as the fuel saving in 1985. Significantly, even if there were no fuel offsets in 2015, LILCO's analysis would still snow a S4 million detriment due to earP.' operation of Shoreham. See Attach-

       ' ment 4. Expanding the analysis for the effects of lower e ,      -                     e  ,- -,  , , , .            --   -- - -

rc i depreciation and return requirements if Shoreham is

          ' allowed to operate earlier in.1985 provides an incremental benefit of'S14 million.      However, this benefit is more than offset by the detriment in 1985 due to the error in accounting for operations and maintenance expanse
          . discussed earlier.

Q. LILCO has claimed that earlier low power testing will result-in significant savings in oil consumption. Do you

                   ~

agree with-this claim? A. No. LILCO's claim would be true in-the short-run, if ear- , lier low pov r testing guaranteed earlier full power commercial ~ operation,~which it does not, since TDI diesel and emergency planning. issues remain to be resolved before issuance of a full power license, and it is the date of commercial operation which determines when oil savings , would begin. That date is subject to many uncertainties. [ ' fore importantly, however , in the long-run, LILCO's claim of oil. savings can only be true if earlier operation results in a change in the operating life of Shoreham. In fact, the anticipated life of Shoreham is currently 30

          . years. Nnether it runs 30 years from July 1, 1985 or from October 1, 1985 should result in no difference in the overall amount of oil that Shoreham will save, because the date of shutdown of the plant will change by a corre-sponding amount of time.

Q. Please summarize your conclusions based on your review of LILCO's analysis. A. LILCO's analysis fails to support any claim of economic 4 benefit from early operation of Shoreham. In fact, there istan economic detriment of up to S49 million associated with early operation of Shoreham. Earlier operation of Shoreham, if it leads to earlier rate recognition, will simply result in placing that increased burden on customers earlier rather than later. Thus, overall, granting the requested exemption would result in an economic detriment to ratepayers. B. Other' Economic Effects of Granting the Exception r Q. Your prior-testimony has dealt with LILCO's claimed

         . cconomic benefit. resulting f rom LILCO obtaining a ' low power-license now rather than waiting until the uncertainties = surrounding the TDI diesels have been r3-
         ' solved. Have you considered whether the public interest would be served by having LILCO engage in low power operation at this time?

f A. Yes.

          ' Q.       What are'your views on that matter?

A. He do not believe the public interest would be served by having LILCO operate'Shoreham at low power at this time, as opposed to waiting until the TDI diesel issues are re-solved.. Q. _ What is the basis for your answer? A. LILCO lacks the resources to assure that the activities for which It seeks an exemption from otherwise applicable NRC regulations can be conducted safely. There is an in-creased risk of inadequate maintenance and/or inadequate security were LILCO to operate Shoreham, even at low power, without sufficient resources. This risk relates to nuclear and non-nuclear operations. We do not believe the Company has the ability to cope with unexpected events or accidents, whether nuclear related or otherwise, because LILCO lacks the wherewithal and flexibility to deal with unpredicted contingencies. LILCO's existing customers. have already suffered as a result of cut-backs in service to them. There is no reasonable assurance that LILCO even has the resourcas to conduct the activities it proposes to ! l. 4 L_ ,

be engaged in during low power operation at Shoreham, or to shut down the plant and safely decontaminate it, if such action became necessary. Thus, it is our opinion that the public. interest does not favor the grant of an exemption to permit early operation of Shoreham at a time when LILCO is unable to muster the necessary resources to carry out the necessary operational duties. It is important to note that we consider this conclu-sion to be valid, even as events and circumstances change on a weekly basis. The primary difficulties being faced by LILCO -- potential default on loans for LILCO's share of Nine Mile Point 2 and potential reduction of requested rate relief due to LILCO management's imprudence -- remain important and significant obstacles to LILCO's ability to , continue to provide safe and adequate service to the pub-lic during the anticipated period of early low power t'esting and likely well beyond. Q. What leads you to believe that LILCO lacks the resources to assure that-it can conduct its activities safely and that the public interest would be harmed if LILCO were to commence low ~ power. operation at this time? t

A. Our' belief is based on information that has recently come to light which-shows that LILCO is on the verge of insol-vency. In our' opinion, the public interest is not served by permitting an insolvent company like LILCO to operate a nuclear plant,.much less permit such operation on ene basis of an unprecedented exemption from a safety regula-tion. Q. What is the basis for your belief that LILCO is on the verge of insolvency? A. The available information shows that LILCO has: I Projected that it will run out of cash by September 1984;

            -      Cancelled payment of its common dividend and stated publicly that it may do the same for preferred dividends;
            -      Instituted an austerity program, involving layoffs of almost 1,000 jobs, thereby placin, at risk its abili-ty to provide safe and adequate service;
            -      Cancelled its payments toward the construction of Nine tiile Point No. 2, thereby placing at risk LILCO's $585 million investment in that unit;

(

Placed itself subject to continuing periodic bank review that could lead to a declaration of financial default;

           -    ' Cancelled planned issuances of long-term debt, preferred stock and common stock;
           -     Been excluded from normal capital markets and from raising the capital it needs to continue to provide adequate service;
           -      Been forced to seek financing arrangements which, if consummated, may further limit the Company's ability to provide adequate service; and
    ~
                 . Sustained a strike of up to 3,900 of its remaining employees, because.its financial condition has led it to seek wage'and benefit reductions in contract nego-tiations which-employees have rejected.
                -LILCO's continued capability to provide safe and adequate service must be seriously questioned at this c            time, due to both its serious financial problems, and the fact that it'now.must rely solely upon roughly 1,500 man-
      ^*
agement (non-union) employees to provide all services.- In addition, LILCO has made disclosures that-indicate that Y

its capability to provide service must continue to be questioned until: (1) some other party assumes $918 million of construction costs paid, and to be incurred, by LILCO for the construction of Nine Mile Point 2; and (2) other parties agree on terms, favorable to LILCO, concern-ing the ultimate amount of Shoreham costs that will be recognized in establishing electric rates. Q. What information have you reviewed in reaching your con-clusions that it is not in the public interest to permit the early operation of Shoreham on the basis of the exemp-tion application? A. The information we have reviewed includes (a) LILCO's-annual report on Form 10-K as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on March 30, 1984 (See Exhibit III of that report, attached hereto as Attachment 5); (b) its current report on SEC Form 8-K dated February 21, 1984 (Attachment 6 hereto); (c) LILCO's quarterly report on Form 10-Q, as filed with the SEC on May 15, 1934 ( Attachment 7 nereto); (d) financial information furnished by LILCO in rate proceedings which are panding before tne liew York Public Service Commission ("PSC"); and (e) a "Po-sition Paper" dated May 30, 1984, which was submitted by LILCO to the Governor of New York on May 31, 1984 (Attachment 8 hereto).

     .                  Based on the information we have reviewed, it is our l

opinion _that LILCO is on the brink of financial disaster. Thus, notwithstanding the fact that LILCO raised $911 million through external financing during 1983, at the time of the filing of the Form 10-K (i.e. on or about March 30~,'1984), the Company believed it only had "on hand

              . sufficient' cash and short term investments to continue the Company's operations until the Fall of 1984" (Form 10-K at
              '6).. More-recently, in its quarterly report to the SEC on
              -Form 10-0 for the three months ended March 31, 1984, LILCO identified August 31, 1984 as the date beyond which it
              ;will not have " sufficient cash and short. term investments to continue the Company's operations."       (Form 10-Q at 22).

The-Form 10-Q_also reveals that $90 million of LILCO's outstanding bonds will mature on September 1, 1984, at a time when'LILCO is not presently anticipated to have the funds to meet such an obligation. Q': . What:are the public interest ramifications of having a utility with little or no cash engagiag in low power . testing of a nuclear reactor? l L

  • A. ,

LILCO's current situation raises the clear potential that if LILCO were granted a low power license, it might have significant difficulty in paying for items which are nec-essary for safe operation. In our view, the public inter-est is.not served by licensing a plant where such a potential exists. Q:. What measures has LILCO already taken to raise cash? A.. LILCO will run out of cash on or about August 31, 1984 notwithstanding that: (1) LILCO raised approximately $63

            -million of external financing in January and February 1984 (Form 10-K at 6 ); (2) LILCO has instituted austerity measures intended to save $100 million in cash (Form 10-K at 2); (3) LILCO has unilaterally ceased construction pay-
    -       ments for its share of Nine Mile Point 2, even though such action threatens acceleration of S500 million of LILCO's outstanding debt (Form 10-K at 58);2/ and (4) LILCO has omitted common stock dividends, which would otherwise have p      2/     Had LILCO not unilaterally ceased construction payments for its share of Nine !!ile Point 2 in February 1984, it is estimated that it would have had to pay $114 million for such construction during 1984. Of this amount, only S11.5 million was paid before LILCO ceased making furtner pay-ments. If LILCO had continued payments on Nine Mile Power 2, it might well already be out of cash.

l- ?. l l L

amounted to approximately S180 million during the remainder of 1984. LILCO's financial situation has deteriorated, in fact, to the point that its outside auditor, Price Waterhouse, has taken the unusual step of qualifying its report on the Company's financial statements to the effect that the opinion was " subject to the Company's continued financial viability." (Form 10-K at 49). In short, the report questioned whether LILCO was capable of continuing operations. In its report to LILCO, Price Waterhouse enu-metated specific matters, the outcome of which was in-determinable, as were their effect. on the financial posi-tion or results of operation of LI*CO.1/ Price Waterhouse 3/ Specifically, Price Waterhouse noted: (a) That the Staff of the New York Public Service Commission, on February 10, 1984, alleged

                                                      " serious mismanag ment and inefficiency throughout" the Shoreham project; (b)                             That LILCO has been notified that other partici-pants in the Nine Mile Point 2 oroject consider LILCO to have def aulted in its financial obliga-tions to the project; that LILCO's suspension of its payments for Nino Mile Point 2 may have con-stituted a violation of LILCO's agreement with
     .                                                 lending banks; that the banks have effectively given LILCO a renewable (at the bank's option) 30-day grace period; and that in ae absence of such a grace period other "long term debts of the Company could become due and payable as a (Footnote cont'd next page) a 29 -

L concluded, therefore, that LILCO "cannot give any assur-ance of its ability to meet its capital and operating re-quirements." ( Form 10-K at 49 ) . Q. Is it common for an outside auditor to qualify its opinion on the financial statements of a public utility in the manner which Price Waterhouse has done? A. No, it is extremely rare and is an indication of a company which is in a severe financial crisis and whose entire economic existence is in doubt. l Q. Does LILCO have the resources to meet immediate capital needs? A. No. LILCO has stated that it will require S700 million in 1984 cash to meet anticipated capital expanditures and re-funding requirements. (Form 10-K-at 46).1/ As of (Footnote cont'd from previous page) result of cross-defaults and result in rights of acceleration of maturities of such debt"; (c) That recovery of $118 million in costs of abandoned nuclear projects and $111 million advanced to a supplier of uranium concentrates

        '                  were (as evidenced elsewhere in the For.n 10-K) uncertain.

4/ The $700 million does not reflect putative savings of $100 million resulting from LILCO's austerity plan. December 31, 1983, the Company had approximately $275 million in cash and temporary cash investments. (Form 10-K a t 5 2 ) . By February 20, 1984 the $275 million figure had dwindled to $214 million (Form B-K at 1); and by March, 31, 1984, cash and short term investments amounted to only

      $174 million (Form 10-0 at 4).

Assuming that LILCO is able to save $100 million as a result of its " austerity" program, the Company would still need $325 million in cash, beyond cash and investments on hand as of December 31, 1983, in order to meet its planned

    , capitsi expanditures during 1984. Of the $325 million necessary, LILCO raised approximately $63 million of external financing during January and February 1934 (Form 10-K at 6), and after consideration of omitted common dividends, the-net shortage in 1984 isapproximately580 million. Thus, if all of LILCO's cash conservation plans were fully realized during 1984, it would still be approx-imately 380 million short of funds by the end of the year.

Mr. Sideris, LILCO's Vice-President for Finance, has filed testimony before the New York Public Service Commission indicating LILCO's year-end shortf all will be between $44 million and $64 million.

All of LILCO's existing lines of credit have been drawn down (Form 10-K at 8 ), and the Company has disclosed no commitments from any source to furnish LILCO additional financing. Indeed, in the absence of outside financing or other_unenticipated event, LILCO will be unable to pay the

        $90 million due on outstanding bonds which will mature on September 1, 1984.

Q. How has LILCO's condition affected its ability to raise f u.nd s .ex ternally? A. Becauselof its condition, LILCO has effectively been blocked from access to the financial markets. Thus, as further evidence of LILCO's dire financial condition, its Form.10-K states: ". . . given the various adverse factors now impacting the Company, little or no assurance can be given regarding the Company's ability to raise ad-ditional funds in 1984 and in future years in order to meet construction ar.d other capital requirements and oper-ational needs." (Form 10-K at 6). The various ratings services have all lowered their ratings of the Company's securities. Indeed,tloody's In-vestors Service, Inc. (" Moody's") recently has lowered'its ratings of the Company's securities on three occasions: l 32 - l L

in December 1983, January 1984 and March 1984. (Form 10-K at 9). The company has stated: "In Moody's view, since December 1983, when it reduced the Company's ratings on _all of the Company's fixed income securities, the , Company's prospects for continued financial flexibility

  .and for reduction of the Shoreham safety plan impasse have worsened."   ( Form 10-K at 9 ) . Neither Moody's, Standard &

Poor's Corporation, nor Duff & Phelps considers any of the Company's securities to be of investment grade. (Form 10-K'at 10). Moreover, as of March 31, 1984, "[t]he Company's commercial paper ratings have all been with-drran." (Form l'-Q 0 at 26). By_May 30, 1904, none of LILCO's securities were " considered of investment grada" a (Position Paper, 46). Tne Company has stated: "In view of LILCO's financial condition, external financing is not

  . presently available .  . .  ."     (Position Papar, 1).

Q. What kinds of financing arrangements has LILCO been seeking? A. It is our understanding that LILCO has recently sougnt, but 'o our knowledge has not received, $200 million of ad-ditional bank financing. Terms of tne discussions are not generally available, but se understand that this financing m 4

af t would entail transfer of control of certain LILCO assets to the lending banks. While this type of financing might address the immediate cash problem LILCO faces, in our 1- opinion it would exacerbate LILCO's problems in providing safe and adequate-service,'and thus make the granting of the-requested exemption even less in the public interest. 1 Q. Why is that?

    'A. The assets that the banks could control, as a result of
         .tJbt type.of financing LILCO seeks, are likely to include fuel stock inventories that-LILCO builds up during the summer for later' burn-up or sale during winter months.                           It is normal practice for LILCO to have these inventories so that in the winter, when demand outstrips the ability to transport fuel into the' service area, service demands can be met. However, if the inventories were controlled by banks, LILCO may not be able to sell the inventories and
                        ~

provide l service to its customers. Thus, not only would normal utility practice and operating procedure be circumvented by the typa of financing LILCO apparently i seeks, but the public would potentially suffer. Q. If LILCO has insufficent internal financial resources 'and no access to the capital markets, can it rely on rate reli3f to provide the necessary financial resources? A 34 - i b'

A. Not in our opinion. In addition.to running out of cash on August.41, the ultimate recoverability by LILCO of Shoreham-related costs through rate relief is very much in doubt as a result of LILCO's alleged " serious misman- , agement and inefficiency throughout the project." (Form 10-K at 43). Thus, the PSC is " currently investigating the prudency of the costs incurred by the Company in the construction of Shoreham." (Forn 10-K at 22). In that proceeding, the staff of the PSC has recommended that "no more than S2.296 billion of the Shoreham costs be allowed in rate base." (Id.) Assuming July 1, 1985 is the earli-est p,ossible date on which LILCO might hypothetically put Shoreham into commercial service, at an estimated overall cost of $4.1 billion (Form 10-K at 19), the PSC staff's recommendation, if adopted by the PSC, would meun that LILCO would have to absorb S1,804,000,000 of Shoreham-related costs.5/ ko the extent LILCO's continu-ously escalating estimate of S4.1 billion for Shoreham is exceeded, the PSC staff's recommendation would require LILCO to absorb a figure greater than $1.9 billion. Any 5/ Certain intervenors in the proceeding, including Suffolk County, nave sought to limit LILCO's recovery to $1.9 (Form

     -billion--a projected chortfall    of $2.2 billion.

10-K at 22). tu

disallowance has the potential, in the Company's own words, to " jeopardize the Company's ability-to meet its financial obligations." (Form 10-X at 23). LILCO has re-cently made clear that a settlement of the prudency pro- ., coeding, on terms favorable to LILCO, is an underlying as-sumption of LILCO's plan to stave off bankruptcy. (Posi-tion Paper at 50). The terms which LILCO proposed, and which have been rejected by the Governor of New York, in-volve an absorption by LILCO of only S250 million -- in-st'ead'of between $1.8 billion and S2.2 billion -- of Shoreham-related costs. (Position Paper at 51.) Q. Would rate relief unrelated to Shoreham significantly improve LILCO's condition? A. No. Non-Shoreham related rate increases are not likely to help stave off a financial disaster for LILCO. According to the Company's own figures, even if 100 percent of pend-ing non-Shoreham rate relief is obtained, LILCO will still have a cash deficit of $43.3 million in September 1984 and of almost $61 million in December 1984. (June 21, 1934 letter from Gerard A. Maher, counsel for LILCO, to flon.

. Frank S. Robinson, Administrative Law Judge,i4YPSC, a copy of which is attached hereto as Attachment 9).

Q. What are the implications of LILCO's ceasing construction payments on Nine Mile Point 2 on LILCO's ability to run Shoreham at low power at an early date? A. As noted previously, on February 9, 1984, LILCO " sus- - 1 pended" payments for its 18 percent share of construction costs of Nine Mile Point 2, a nuclear generating unit under construction near Oswego, New York. The cotenants of Nine Mile Point 2, in addition to LILCO, are Niagara Mohawk Power Corporation, who acts as agent for the cotonants, New York, State Electric and Gas Corporation, Rochester Gas and Electric Corporation and Central Hudson Gas $nd Electric Corporation. (Form 10-K at 27). As a result of this unilateral susponsion on the part of LILCO,

                                          " Niagara Mohawk has notified the Company that it considers the Company to be in default of its obligations to the other cotenants and has demanded payment."    (Form 10-K at 27). Niag ra Mohawk also has advised LILCO that Niagara Mohawk "may institute litigation against the Company .      . .

[which] could' result in encumbaring, diminishing or eliminating" LILCO's interest in Nine Mile Point 2. ( Fc ts 10-X at 27). As of December 31, 1983, tha cost of LILCO's share of Nine Milo Point 2 was S505 million. (For.n 10-K at 27). b

g _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ . _ __ LILCO's suspension of payments for Nine Mile Point 2 has raised the spectre of the acceleration of all of its outstanding Nine Mile Point debt -- approximately S500 million as of December.31,.1983. Thus, counsel for the banks who made loans to LILCO for purposes of Nine Mile Point 2 has questioned whether LILCO's suspension of pay-ments for Nine Mile Point 2 violates the terms of LILCO's debt obligation. (Form 10-K at 57). In order to forestall immediate acceleration of LILCO's debt, however, LI'LCO and the lending banks for Nine Mile Point 2 have agreed that, only for so long as holders of two-thirds of the Nine Mile Point 2 debt continue to agree, no default on the debt will be declared for successive 30-day periods beginning April 27, 1934. (Id.) Q. You have described the bases for believing that LILCO is tottering on insolvency such that the grant of an exemp-tion would not be in the public interest. Ilow does LILCO hope to save itself from bankruptcy and thus attempt to change this situation? A. LILCO proposes that public agencies agree to alleviate

        . LILCO's financial burdens. Thus, in its Position Paper, LILCO mnde a proposal to the Governor of tiew York which in

. r 1 o ( 4.

LILCO's view " assures a continuous electric supply, minimizes rate increases and savas LILCO from bankruptcy." (Position Paper at 4). A necessary condition of LILCO's proposal, and hence of avoiding bankruptcy, is "that LILCO's share, past and present, in the Nine flile Point 2 nuclear plant is assumed by others." (Position Pap 3r at 5). LILCO proposes that the New York Powar Authority or "other state bonding agencies" undertake this ball-out (Position Paper at 52). As of December 31, 1983, LILCO had invested $585 million (including payments for fuel and debt service) in Nine!!!ile Point 2. Since then, it paid $11.5 million in l Janusry 1984. LILCO is still obligated to pay $65 million in financing costs for Nine Mile Point 2 during 1934 (Form 10-K at 27), even though it has already defaulted on

     $102.5 million of 1984 construction payments for tne p r o'j e c t . Thus,-without curing the default, by the end of 1984, LILCO sill have invested a total of $661.5 million which someone else must assume if LILCO is to avoid bank-ruptcy.6/

6/ Furthermore, as revealed in LILCO's recent report to the

    -SEC on Form 10-0, the total estimated cost for completing Nine !!ile Point 2 has risen to about $5.1 billion.         (Form 10-0 a t 8 ) . LILCO's 13 percent share of that amount is (Footnote cont'd next page) 1

The Position Paper also revealed, for the first time, that not only would LILCO require a $918 million bailout, L-but that the bailout would have to be coupled with rate relief, satisfactory to LILCO, to cover Shoreham-related costs. Thus, the Position Paper states: Two measures form the foundation of this proposal [to save LILCO from bankrupt-cy]. The first assumes that LILCO is re-lieved of its past and future obligation for Nine Mile Point 2 cnd that its cash in-vestment in that plant is returned to the Company. The second measure crucial to the sta-bility of the Company is a settlement of the prudency caso. (Position Paper at 50). The Position Paper also makes clear that 3 bailout for Nine Mile Point 2 and settlement of the prudency pro-

           ~ ceeding are the only alternative for LILCO.    "In view of L

(Footnote cont'd from previous page) estimated to be $918 million. On May 30, 1933, LILCO dis-closed that the Company needs governmental assistance from its participation in Nine Mile Point No. 2. Assuming that someone else is found to bail LILCO out of its Nine Mile Point 2 involvement, that someone else will nave to incur new obligations of at least $256.5 million (beyond the, payments LILCO will have made by the end of 1984) before the project'is completed. (

LILCO's financial condition, external financing is not presently available, and the Company's current estimates show that it will run out of cash in September 1984." (Position Paper at 1). Additionally, the Position Paper reveals,.again for the first time, that additional auster-ity mescures would not suffice to avert bankruptcy.

           "Other austarity measures and suspansion of preferred dividends cannot solve LILCO's financial crisis, nor'can they avert the threat of bankruptcy."     (Position Paper at 47).

4 Q. How is the public interest affected by the susterity pro-gramp A. At December 31, 1983, LILCO had 5,947 employees. The aus-terity program eliminated 741 LILCO positions and 245 jobs with outside contractors. This represents a 12.5 percent i reduction in presumably needed and necessary positions. There can be no question tnat this action reduces LILCO's ability to provide safe and adequate service. The public interest is directly sffectad by any event that reduces that ability. Further, the Position Paper revealed that LILCO's customers are already suffering as a result of the

Company's financial problems. In LILCO's words, "The effects of LILCO's financial crisis are presently being

        . suffered  . . . by its customers, who are subject to longer service response times and reduced customer service under the austerity plan."    (Position Papar at 46).1/     The grant of an exemption would only further the sdverse im-pact on LILCO ratepayers: low power operation at an early dato in the midst of the financial. crisis would Icad to more nuclear expanditures and loss resources to bo spent for customer service. This not in the public interest.

Thus, LILCO is at reduced service levels, having cut back on current oparation and maintenanco programs in , order to conservo cash. Apparently, not even Shoreham was exempted from austerity, since the Appendix to the Posi-tion Paper shows that austerity shifted $50 million of capital expanditures at the unit from 1984 to 1935. Q. Is your conclusion regarding the public interast in present low power testing affected by consideration of 7/

      ~

in addition, LILCO's counsol has state 3 "LILGO is now as-suring safe and adequate servico for the short run -- not

    . the long haul."    (June 21, 1984 letter from Gerard A.   ,

Mahar, Counsel for LILCO, to !!on. Frank G. Itobinson, Ad-ministrativo Law Judge, NYPSC, attacncd horoto an Attach-mont 9).

                                   -  42 -

e what might happen if Shoreham go.es into low power testing but fails ultimately to receive a full power license? A. No, it is not. Our conclusion regarding near-term low power testing versus testing at a lator date af ter dios'el uncertainties are cleared up hinges on LILCO's current cash situation and financing capability, its low capabili-ty to deal with contingencies, and the gravo uncertainties resulting from the Nine Mile Point No. 2 default and the possibility that Snorcham costs will not be recovered. In addition, however, wo believe that if Shoreham is allowed to undergo testing and then does not recotve a full power licon'se, the result would clearly be a public detriment approaching, if not excoeding, $100 million. Q. ilow do you compute the $100 million detriment from low power testing without subsequent full power operation? A. Beforo discussing the computation of this amount, it should be recognized that if Shorcham does not schiavo commercial operation, it will provide no benefit to tho company's customors from low power testing. Llowever, if low power testing is parmitcod an$ Shoroham does not opor-ate commercially, a naw economic detrimont is croato1. t i O m

R The tangible economic costs resulting from low power 7 testing, with subsequent abandonment, are ostimated to be at least $100 million. This is composed of the following elements:

1. Reduction in salvage value of the Shoreham plant, and in the value of nuclear fuel.
2. Increased costs of decommissioning an irradiated nu-clear facility.
3. Increased costs that will be incurred in handling and storing high levol ( fuel) waste and low lovel nuclear a

reactor system wastes. t Reduction in reclamation value of the Shoreham site,  ;

4. I while radioactive materials are storo:1.

l )

5. The increased costs incurrei to parform low power testing activities will, themselvos, have been incurred with no benefit.

Q. 'fh a t is your understanding of the offect of low power testing on Shoreham's salvago value and nuclear fuel? (

A. The state of the nuclear power i,ndustry in the United States is well known, with many plants having boon abandoned, so there is some question as to whether thero  ! would be significant salvage proceeds from Shoroham rols- , tive to its $4.1 billion cost. However, there should be no question that the salvage proceeds would be reduced l once the nuclear reactor internals and piping are irradi-i sted. In a3dition to the irradiation of tne nuclear reactor internals, low powar testing would also involvo irradiation of the initial nuclear fuel load. LILCO's Office of Engineering Report indicates that "If Shoreham receives a low power licenso and operstos before it is abandoned, there would be no salvage value for this coco." (p. 22 of "Shorchem Oparation versus Abandonment.") The cost in terms o." lost nuc1 car fuel value is estimated at ,

        $70 million.                                ,

Q. How would low powar testing affect the costs of decommissioning Shoreham? < f A. At the present tima, so understand that no portion of  ; Shoreham has been irradisted., Consequently, dismantling it ein be performed using conventional pow?r pisnt

techniques. After irradiation, even at low power lovels, , it would be necessary to employ increased safety measures during the plant's dismantlement, in order to control releases of radioactive materials to the environment and to limit worker exposure. Constant monitoring of the l plant and workers would bacome a nacessity. In the PSC phase-in hearings, LILCO artimated'that the total cost of decommisioning (assuming full power operation had occurred) would be $407 million in after-tax dollars at th'o expiration of the plant's book life. This equates to  ; approximately $130 million in today's terms. We have no I information as to how much of that $110 million cost is due to the need to deal with irradiated fuel and compo- i nones as opposed to dismantling the plant if it woro never irradiated. Although the cost of decommissioning a plant that has operated only at 5 percont power would be less than that of a plant that had operated at full powar, we do not know the point of the differential. Thus, the cost I of decommissioning Shoreham following 5 percent operation would be some number lower than $130 million in today's , f terms. Similsely, it is difficult at this time to estimate tne lost value of the Shoroham site during the period in

which radioactive materials would have to be stored there. It is our understanding that the fodoral government repos-itory for nuclear wastos will not be ready until late in the 1990's, so it is likely that the period of storage, and thereby the period of lost value, is in the 15 to 20 year range. Based on the proceding -- nuclear fuel loss, salvago 4 loss, decommisnioning and decontamination, and storage -- we believe the economic offect of testing without operation could easily excoed $100 million. Q. Plear,o sum.narizo your conclusions. A. In our opinion, thoro is a $49 million economic Jatriment associated with accelerating low power testing of Snoranta by three months. In addition, the public will ba ad-versely affected by allowing LILOO to proceed with low power testing in the near term, so long sc LILCO's finan-cial future in so questionable as it is at the prosent timo. Finally, no long as thoro is serious question as to whether Shoreham will receivo 3 full posar liconce, rocciot of a low power liconno is not in the public inter-ent.

0 e 4 ATTACHMENT 1 l e 0 e G

t Attachment 1 i Rate Proceedings in Which Testimony was_ Submitted by Jamshed K. Madan_ , P Alabama

   -    Continental Telephone of             Dockat No. 17968                               i the South - Alabama South Central Bell                   Case Nos. 10875 &

10876 Arkansas l

    . Southwestern Boll. Telephone Company                              Docket ilo. 'J3-045-U                         ;

Colorado [

   -    Mountain States Telephone &          Dockot tios.1400 Telagraph Company                    and 1575
   -    Public Servico Compsny               Docket Nos. 1425 of Colorado                          and 1525                                      ,

Connecticut F

   -    Southern New England Telephone       Docket :los. 770526 &

Company 800410 Delaware

   -    Delmarva Power and Light Company     Docket No. 41-79
   -    Delmarva Power and Light Company     Complaint Docket No.

279-30

   -    Delmarva Power and Light Company     Dock 2t Nos. 80-29 I
   -    Delmarva Power and Light Company     Docket flo. 31-23,                         '

81-13, 01-12

Georgia Southern Bell Tolophono Company Docket No. 3393-0 M1ryland Baltimore Gas and Electric Company Caso No. 6985

        -    Potomac Cloctric Power Company   Case No. 7348
        -    Chesapeako and Potomac Tolophone Case Nos. 7467 Company                          and 7591 Dolmarva Power and Light Company Caso No. 7427 flatsschusetts Doston Edison Company           DPU-906 Minnesota
        -    Northwostern Doll Company        Docket No. P-421/

GR00-911 Now Jornoy

        -     Atinntic City Electric Company  Docket Hon. 701-641 &

772-113

        -     Clizabethtown Gas Company       Docket No. 727-624              ,/

Elizabethtown Water Company Dockot No. 727-606 Ilsekonnick Water Comp 1ny Dockot No. 744-315 Jernay Contral Power and Light Docket Non. 743-104 & 7610-1021

        -    Now Jorsoy 0011 Tolophono        Dockot No. 747-522, compsny                          7512-1251,7711-113G, 802-135 and 015-456 Public Servico Cloctric and     Dock 9t Non. 714-335 &

Gas Comp 1ny 791-310 an] 312-76 e, +

New York .

   -     Long Island Lighting Company     Caso Nos. 27374 &

27375 Caso No. 27774

   -     Now York Tolophono Compsny       Caso Non. 27100* &

27469 Ohio

   -     Columbus and Southern Ohio       Dockot No. 78-1439
         'Elostric Company                EL-ACM
    -     Ohio Doll Tolophono Compsny     Csso No. 79-1184 TR-AIR
    -     Clovoland Eloctric Illuminating Csso No. 31-146 CL-AIR Ponnnylvanig
    -     Doll Tolophone Company of       R.I.D. 367 and 011819
         'Ponnsylvania
    -     Motropolitan Cdison Company     R.I.D. 434, 626 &

308

     -    Pennsylvants Electric Company    R.I.D. 392, 599 &

308

     -    Philadelphia Cloctric Compsny    R.I.D. 295, at al.

Vermont

     -    Now England Tolophone sni        Docket No. 3306 Tolograph Company

M l t - Virgin Islands Abramson Bus Lines Manassah' Bus Lines Docket No. 150 9

                                                     -                         Virgin Islands Telephone                                                                                                         Docket Nos. 104, 105, Company                                                                                                                          108* 126, 121, and 180
                                                 --                            Virgin Islands Water & Power                                                                                                     Docket No. 193

, ~ 1 Authority F 3 4 4 1 4

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I i I ATTAC .tiENT 2

Attachment 2 Rate Proceedings in Which Michael' D. Dirmeier has Participated Colorado-

          -     Public Service Company of Colorado (1981)    I&S 1525
          -     Mountain Ball Telephone (1982)                IES 1575 (1984)               I&S 1655 Delaware
          -     Diamond State Telephone Company (1982)  Docket No. 82-32 Maryland
          -     Delmarva Powar & Light Company          Case No. 7734
          -     Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (1977)                                  Docket No. 7070 (1983)                                  Dockat No. 7695
           -    Potomac Electric Power Company (1982)    Docket No. 7662 Minnesota
          -     Northwestern Bell Talephone Company      Docket No. P-421/

(1981) GR-80-911

           -    Northwestern Bell Telepohone Company     Docket No. P-421/

(1983/4 divestiture case) GR-83-600 Mississiopi

           -    South Central Bell Talephone Company     Docl.et No. U-4415 Accounting and Divestiture i                                                                 4 i-I

l New Jersey , Atlantic City Electric Company (1982) Docket No. 822-116 Elizabethtown Gas Company (LPGA, 1981) Hackensack Water Company (1980) Docket No.,804-275 (1931) Docket No. 815-447 (1982) Docket No. 815-447 Jersey Central Power & Light Co. Docket No. 795-427 (2 cases: 1979,1980) Middlesex Water Company Docket No. 793-269 (2 cases: 1979, 1980) New Jersey Bell Telephone Co. (1973) Docket No. 7711-1136 (1981) Docket No. 815-158 Expensing Station Connections Various Dockets New Jersey Bell Telephone Co. Docket No. .

           ,    (1983 divestiture case)
      -      New Jersey Natural Gas Company (1982)- BPU Docket No. 815-459 (Phase II)

PURPA ratemaking standards (1980)

      -      Rockland Electric Co. (LEAC, 1979      Docket Nos. 7911-920 and 1980)                              7611-1100 South Jersey Gas Company (3vercarnings Docket No. 308-517 case, 1981)

Nest Keansburg Water Co. (1978) Docket No. 7710-1025 New Mexico Mountain States Telephone and Docket No. 877 Telegraph Co. (1979)

                                                                  /

New York Consolidated Edison _ Company (1980) Docket No. R-800-

                                        .        11069 Long Island Lighting Company (1980) Rate Case                 Docket No. 27774 (1982/3 Shoreham Phase-In)       Docket No. 28252 New York Telephone Company              Docket Nos. 27469 &

(2 cases: 1979, 1980) 27710 Ohio Columbus and Southern Ohio Electric Co. (1977/8) Docket No. 77-545-EL-AIR (1978/9) Docket No. 78-1439-EL-AIR Toledo Edison Electric Co. (1979) Docket No. 79-143-EL-AIR Pennsylvania Bell of Pennsylvania RID 1819 (1982 accounting) L - Bell of Pennsylvania (1983) Docket R-811319 (Accounting & Divestiture) Duquesne Light Company (1982) Docket No. R-21945 Metropolitan Edison and Pennsylvania Docket Nos.I-79040308 Electric Co. (2 cases: 1979, 1980) & M-79040129 l Docket No. R-80051196 Metropolitan Edison Company (1980) (1981) Docket No. R-80011601 (1983) Docket No. R-822249 Pennsylvania Electric Company (1930) Docket No. R-80051197 (1981) Docket No. R-800ll502

  .                                       (1983) Docket No.,R-822250 UGI-Luzerne Electric Division (1979)    Docket No. R-78030572
       -    . Pennsylvania Bell Telephone Co. 1982)

Docket No. 811819 Rhode Island

       -      Newport Electric Company (1979)        Docket No. 1410 South Carolina
       -      PURPA ratemaking standard (1980)

U.S. Virgin Islands

       -      Virgin Islands Telephone Company       Docket No. 180 (1978)
       -      Virgin Islands Water & Power Authority l

l-I r i

ATTACHMENT 3 e

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