ML20244A896
| ML20244A896 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Seabrook  |
| Issue date: | 06/06/1989 |
| From: | Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel |
| To: | |
| References | |
| CON-#289-8766 ASLBP, OL, NUDOCS 8906120186 | |
| Download: ML20244A896 (459) | |
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ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD In the Matter of: )
) Docket Nos.
PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF ) 50-443-OL NEW HAMPSHIRE, et al., ) 50-444-OL
) OFF-SITE EMERGENCY l (SEABROOK STATION, UNITS 1 AND 2) ) PLANNING ,
EVIDENTIARY HEARING Pages: 24102 through 24362 Place: Boston, Massachusetts Date: June 6, 1989
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24102 UNITED STATES NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
'( ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD
)
In the Matter of: ) Docket Nos.
) 50-443-OL PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF .50-444-OL NEW HAMPSHIRE, et al., )
) OFF-SITE EMERGENCY
) PLANNING (SEABROOK STATION, UNITS 1 AND 2)
EVIDENTIARY HEARING Tuesday, June.6, 1989 Auditorium .
Thomas P. O'Neill, Jr.
Federal Building 10 Causeway Street Boston, Massachusetts
).:,
The above-entitled matter came on for hearing, pursuant to notice, at 9:04 a.m.
BEFORE: JUDGE IVAN W. SMITH, CHAIRMAN Atomic Safety and Licensing Board U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 JUDGE KENNETH A. McCOLLOM, Member Atomic Safety and Licensing Board U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555
. JUDGE RICHARD F. COLE, MEMEER Atomic Safety and Licensing Board U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 r- Heritage Reporting Corporation
-( (202) 628-4888
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24103-
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APPEARANCES:
A'~ For the Aeolicants:
THOMAS G. DIGNAN, JR., ESQ.
GEORGE H. LEWALD, ESQ.
KATHRYN A..SELLECK,;ESQ.
JAY BRADFORD SMITH, ESQ.
'JEFFREY P. TROUT,.ESQ.
.GEOFFREY C. COOK, ESQ.
Ropes.&; Gray One' International Place Boston, Massachusetts .02110-2624 For the NRC Staff:
SHERWIN E. TURK, ESQ.
ELAINE.I. CHAN, ESQ.
EDWIN J. REIS, ESQ.
- RICHARD BACHMANN,.ESQ.
Office of General Counsel U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington,.D.C. 20555
.For'the Federal Emeroency Manacement Acency:
H. JOSEPH ~FLYNN, ESQ.
fs LINDA HUBER McPHETERS, ESQ.
Federal Emergency Management Agency 500 C Street, S.W.
Washington, D.C. 20472
~
For the Commonwealth of Massachusetts:
JAMES M. SHANNON, ATTY. GEN.
JOHN C. TRAFICONTE, ASST. ATTY. GEN.
ALLAN R. FIERCE, ASST. ATTY.-GEN.
PAMELA TALBOT, ASST. ATTY. GEN.
MATTHEW BROCK, ESQ.
LESLIE-B. GREER, ESQ.
Commonwealth of Massachusetts One Ashburton Place, 19th Floor Boston, Massachusetts 02108 Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
C f 24104~
s e APPEARANCES: (Continued) y -For the State of New Hamoshire:
GEOFFREY M. HUNTINGTON, ASST. ATTY. GEN.
State _of New Hampshire h 25 Capitol Street Concord, New Hampshire 03301 For the' Seacoast Anti-Pollution Leaeue:
ROBERT A. BACKUS, ESQ.
Backus, Meyer & Solomon ll6'Lowell Street.
P.O. Box 516 Manchester, New Hampshire 03105-JANE DOUGHTY, Director Seacoast 1 Anti-Pollution League .
5 Market-Street' Portsmouth, New Hampshire ~ 03801 For the'To'wn of Amesbury:
. BARBARAJ. SAINT ANDRE, ESQ.
) Kopelman and Paige,HP.C.
77 Franklin Street s
. Boston, Massachusetts WILLIAM LORD Town Hall Amesbury, Massachusetts .10913-For the City of Haverhill and Town of Merrimac:
ASHOD N. AMIRIAN, ESQ..
P. O. Box 38 Bradford, Massachusetts 01835
" -For the City of Newburyport:
BARBARA J. SAINT ANDRE, ESQ.
JANE O'MALLEY, ESQ.
Kopelman and Paige, P.C.
77 Franklin Street
-Boston, Massachusetts 02110 Beritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
- . . 1
24105 1
APPEARANCES: (Continued)
,[ For the Town of Newbury:
v R. SCOTT HILL-WHILTON, ESQ.
Lagoulis, Clark, Hill-Whilton & McGuire 79 State Street Newburyport, Massachusetts 01950 For'the Town of Salisburv:
CHARLES P. GRAHAM, ESQ.
Murphy and Graham 33 Low Street Newburyport, Massachusetts 01950 For the' Town of West Newburv:
. JUDITH H. MIZNER, ESQ.
- Second Floor-79 State Street Newburyport, Massachusetts 01950 For the Atomic Safety and Licensino Board:
p ROBERT R. PIERCE, ESQUIRE Atomic Safety and Licensing Board
~(' U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 l
Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
24106 L
1EEEX WITNESSES: DIRECT _QROSS REDIPECT RECROSS EXAM i
v Robert L. Goble (prefiled) 24125 by Mr. Traficonte 24113 by Mr. Dignan 24130 by Ms. Chan 24220 24313 by Judge Cole 24318 by Judge McCollom by_Mr. Dignan 24333-EXHIBITS: IDENT. REC, REJ, DESCRIPTION:
(No exhibits)
I Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888 i
i 24107 1 H D. E E INSERTS: PAGE Testimony of Dr. Robert L. Goble . 24125 on Behalf of James M..Shannon, The .
Attorney General for the Commonwealth.
of Massachusetts, Regarding Contentions iMAG EX-11, MAG EX-19, SAPL EX-14,.
JI-13C, JI-18F, JI20 and JI-23 (Exercise
METPAC, PAR Decision Criteria, and Coordination of Mass /NH PARS)
Deposition of' Joseph H. Keller, 24126 February 10, 1989 Attachment to Testimony of Dr. Robert L. 24129 Goble on Behalf of the Attorney General
- For.the Commonwealth of. Massachusetts on Contentions ~Regarding the Adequacy of the SPMC.
Applicants' Cross-Examination Plan for 24362 Dr. Robert L. Goble' l' .NRC's Cross-Examination Plan for 24362 l Dr. Robert L. Goble
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l Heritage Reporting Corporation
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'24108 F
1 EBQGEEElHGE
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(f 2 Whereupon, l
CATHERINE M. FRANK 3
4 ANTHONY M.~CALLENDRELLO 5 JOHN G. ROBINSON-6 having been previously duly sworn, were recalled as 7 witnesses herein for the purposes of being examined and of 8 testifying:
9 JUDGE SMITH: Good morning.
10 .Is there any preliminary business?
1 11 MR.-DIGNAN: Yes, Your Honor.
12 May the record reflect that I have distributed to 13 'the Board and the parties a~ corrected version of Applicants'- l 14 Rebuttal testimony No. 26. The corrections, with one
- 15 exception, are simply.strikeovers made in light of the 16 Board's prior ruling with respect to the motion in limine as $
17 to Dr. Goble's testimony. And then there is a correction of 18 a typo on page 37 where the year 1983 should have read 1984.
19 JUDGE SMITH: Anything else?
20 MR. DIGNAN: The only other thing is I don't know 21 if want to -- and this could be'off the record. It's about 22 scheduling.
23 My cross-examination of Dr. Goble, I expect to be 24 fairly brief. I have been asked would it be two hours. And
}
25 I've said that it will be less than two hours clearly.
l i
Heritage Reporting. Corporation j f (202) 628-4888 1
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24109 l
And then our Panel 26 will go 1 Maybe even-less than an hour.
s
( -2 on.
3 The reason I was wondering if we wanted to bring 4 up scheduling is there are a number of motions in limine 5 .before the Board. And if we could set a time when the Board <
6 would like to hear them, I will be sure our people are here f
7 to argue them.
j 8 I.take that back. When the Board-hunkers down and says they can put up with it. I don't know when they would 1
'9 j 10 like to hear them.
11 But in any event, I was wondering if.we could just ;
12 get some agreement between the parties on that so we can J
13 schedule it and move it forward. j 14 Mr. Traficonte, what's your pleasure?
15 MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes, we should do that.
16 First, let me just note-that Dr. Goble is not- y 1
j 17 here. I expected him at 10 minutes to nine,-and he simply l 18 hasn't appeared yet. Apparently --
Why 19 JUDGE SMITH: There are several of them.
20 don't we finish this Panel, and let's start?
MR. TRAFICONTE:
It turns out that we anticipated 21 22 from yesterday there would be some redirect of this Panel.
23 But I don't believe the Applicants have redirect.
There is 24 MR. DIGNAN: There is no redirect.
25 nothing left but the Board's questioning on this panel.
Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888 i l
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! 24110 1 JUDGE SMITH: Well, we don't have any.
2 JUDGE COLE: We don't have any.
l l
- f. 3 MR. DIGNAN: All right. -
4 MR. LENALD: The Panel could be excused?
5 JUDGE SMITH: Yes.
6 (The witnesses were thereupon excused.)
1 7 MR. DIGNAN: In any event, we can talk about when 8 we want to argue those motions in limine.
l 9 MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes. Why don't we --
10 JUDGE SMITH: Why don't we begin?
11 MR. TRAFICONTE: Pardon me? -
12 JUDGE SMITH: We have nothing else to do right 13 now.
14 MR. DIGNAN: Well, I've got to get some people 15 here then. I don't even have the motions here with me.
16 MR. TRAFICONTE: Part of our problem is we 17 haven't -- these were just handed to us, I think, yesterday 18 afternoon.
19 MR. DIGNAN: That's correct.
20 I am no' pressing until you are ready.
21 MR. TRAFICONTE: No , I know you're not.
MR. DIGNAN: And I, frankly, am not ready. It 22 23 would be my colleagues who would argue them.
24 JUDGE SMITH: Most of these motions, it is 25 difficult for the Board to prepare, because the -- I mean, Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
24111 I'm notlooking at these particular ones. But in the past,
-1 25 there's not much preparation we could do, because the 3- allegation is it's not covered by any contention and then f
I 4 you will have to point.out what contention it is. We look L .5 at it and make a decision.
6 MR. DIGNAN: Right.
7 JUDGE SMITH: So I guess --
8 MR. TRAFICONTE: Why don't we do it this way. I 9 apologize for not --
10 JUDGE SMITH: I guess we can prepare on some of 11 these.
I would suggest this. As I 12 MR. DIGNAN:
understand, we are waiting for Dr. Goble. And I don't blame 13 the Attorney General. He must have thought something was 14 15 going to be happening for at least a brief time here.
MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes.
16 17 MR. DIGNAN: And I guess Dr. Goble is stuck in 18 traffic.
19 But why don't I cross Dr. Goble. We'll put our 20 Panel No. 62 on. And then, Mr. Traficonte, if we could 21 agree, no matter where you are with 26, those motions could be argued first thing in the morning. Would that be 22 23 agreeable to you?
24 MR. TRAFICONTE: All of the motions.
25 MR. DIGNAN: Well, I was thinking we could get Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
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i 24112 i 1 them all out of the way. It's up to you. I'm at your l 2 pleasure.
3 And we would want agreement from the Staff, j i
4 because I know the Staff witness is supposed to go tomorrow 5 morning, too.
6 Is that right?
7 MS. CHAN: There's no problem.
8 MR. DIGNAN: No problem?
9 (Pause . )
10 MR. DIGNAN: The reason I am suggesting this 11 schedule for argument, Your Honor, is simply this. While I 12 don't have the motions in front of me -- and my apologies --
13 my understanding is a couple of them go to the entire 14 witness. And, therefore, if your ruling was with us, the 15 witness could be told to save the time and trouble of 16 coming.
17 JUDGE SMITH: Okay.
18 MR. TRAFICONTE: Why don't we go off the record, I
19 because this is going to get a little bit confused.
20 JUDGE SMITH: All right. Off the record.
21 (Discussion off the record.)
22 JUDGE SMITH: So there's no special urgency in the 23 setting of Dr. High, the objection in the nature of a motion 24 in limine to Dr. High, because it's been stipulated among 25 the parties that there would be no cross-examination of any Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
GOBLE - DIRECT 24113 1 surviving portions of his testimony, and the additional
,7
- / $
2 stipulation that the surviving portions of his testimony may 1v)-
3 be received.
-4 And so Dr. High does not have to appear, and we 5 will take up the motion with respect to his testimony when 6 possible.
MR. TRAFICONTE: Your Honor, our next witness on 7
8 behalf of the Interveners is Dr. Robert Goble.
9 JUDGE SMITH: Dr. Goble, you have testified before 10 in this proceeding, you recall?
THE WITNESS: (Goble) Yes.
11 12 JUDGE SMITH: Well, you are still under oath in 13 this phase even though it's been some time.
THE WITNESS: (Goble) Yes.
14 f-~s t i Do you understand that, sir?
\,s / 15 JUDGE SMITH:
THE WITNESS: (Goble) Yes.
16 17 Whereupon, 18 ROBERT L. GOBLE 19 having been previously duly sworn, was recalled as a witness 20 herein and was examined and testified further as follows:
21 DIRECT EXAMINATION 22 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
23 Q Dr. Goble, could you state your name for the 24 record, please?
25 A (Goble) Yes. My name is Robert Goble.
f Heritage Reporting Corporation
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GOBLE - DIRECT 24114 1 Q Do you have a copy of a document entitled 2 Corrected Testimony of Dr. Robert L. Goble on Behalf of 3 James M. Shannon, the Attorney General for the Commonwealth 4 of Massachusetts, Regarding Contentions MAG EX-ll and 5 Assorted Other Contentions?
6 A (Goble) Yes.
7 Q Have you reviewed this document?
8 A (Goble) Yes.
9 Q Are there any changes in this document that you 10 would care to make at this time?
Yes. I would like to insert one change' 11 A (Goble) 12 on page 24, which I think will make it clearer after the 13 excisions.
14 If you go to the item that -- oh, dear -- I have 15 my copy of it. It's the item that was formally labeled 16 "ii", and if you look at the first remaining sentence which 17 begins, "The shelter-in-place approach", that because of the 18 loss of the previous sentence, it's not entirely clear what 19 I'm talking about . And I just want to insert a phrase 20 after, "The shelter-in-place approach compared to moving 21 people to basements".
22 MR. DIGNAN: And I object to that insertion. All 23 that is is an attempt to get back in what the Board struck.
1 24 And I understood the basis of the Board's ruling to be that i i
25 there had been contention revealed, either in its own words Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
GOBLE - DIRECT 24115 or in discovery, that we should have checked for sheltering l'
A, 2 in basements. And this is just an attempt to jack that back
( l 3 in as an issue.
4 I object to it, Your Honor. j MR. TRAFICONTE: Let me explain what we are doing l 5
l 6 here.
~
7 We argued, as the Board will recall, if I can I can't remember when we argued this. I guess it f 8 recall.
9 was last week, Friday. We argued on the admissibility of ;
10 this. portion of Dr. Goble's testimony. y 11 And the Board ruled that, to the extent that Dr.*
12 Goble critiques the sheltering option as its been presented as an option, that really.is something that was part and l
13
~~ 14 parcel'of the earlier contentions on PARS, and therefore covered by his earlier testimony which was not admitted, and -l i_s 15 l
16 therefore not going to be permitted in this testimony which i.
17 is on the exercise performance.
18 The distinction was between the options available j 19 and the decision criteria that leads to the choice between 20 the options. And as a consequence of that, there were these 21 selective deletions made.
22 Dr. Goble, upon reviewing this document with the 23 deletions, believes that the sentence that remains in that 4 1
24 paragraph doesn't stand alone, because the shelter-in-place as 25 approach is comparative. The shelter-in-place approach, Heritage Reporting Corporation j (202) 628-4888
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GOBLE - DIRECT 24116 compared to another approach, i.e., moving people to 1
2 basements, has been justified on grounds of simplicity.
3 And basically the issue is, if that sentence 4 remains, and I believe it's appropriate that it does remain, 5 this is offered simply as an explanation essentially of what 6 that sentence is intended to mean.
7 MR. DIGNAN: The short answer to that is, if the 8 sole purpose of that testimony was to provide a comparative 9 to moving into basements, then it should go out, too.
10 That's the answer to that argument, I respectfully suggest.
11 JUDGE SMITH: Why?
MR. DIGNAN: Because if it's sole purpose was to 12 13 compare it with basements, and basements aren't in the case, 14 it seems to be it's irrelevant.
15 MR. TRAFICONTE: The Board will recall that the 16 distinction -- there was a logic to the deletion of the 17 first sentence, but not the second sentence in this 18 paragraph.
19 If the Board recalls, this distinction between the 20 decision options and the decision criteria at the time that 21 would lead one to choose between the two options, was the 22 line that we were attempting to draw, or the Board was 23 attempting to draw.
24 The second sentence runs to the choice between, 25 because it critiques the reasons for choosing evacuation or Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888 1
i !
p GOBLE - DIRECT 24117 1 shelter-in-place'on the grounds of simplicity. Because it
runs to the decision criteria for choosing between the t
2-
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3 criteria, the sentence has remained in the testimony.
4 My logic is simple. Once it remains in the 5 testimony the witness should be. permitted to at least make 6 it understandable in light of the fact that it was written 7 to follow upon the sentence that's now been taken out.
8 JUDGE SMITH: We ruled that the decision criteria 9 between protective action recommendations would remain, but 10 the critique of the protective action recommendations was 11' beyond the scope. And it seems to me what you are doing now 12 is adding a third protective action option to the mix and 13 not doing anything to enlighten us on the protective action 14 criteria. I mean, it's a protective action choice criteria.
p}
( 15 MR. TRAFICONTE: I think that, as I understand the 16 testimony at issue, the shelter-in-place approach is the 17 shelter strategy of the SPMC. And what the witness is 18 trying to say in this sentence, I think, is that he's 19 indicating that the choice of shelter-in-place is justified 20 on grounds of simplicity, and that that's an inappropriate 21 criterion on which to choose shelter versus evacuation.
22 (The Board confers.)
23 JUDGE SMITH: Mr. Traficonte, I thought I 24 understood your argument. But in the Board's deliberations 25 on this subject, none of us could repeat it which indicates Heritage Reporting Corporation e
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GOBLE - DIRECT 24118 1 something is missing in it. I mean missing either in the 2 argument or in our comprehension of it. In either event, 3 you lose.
4 (Laughter)
MR. TRAFICONTE: Well, the decision is clear.
5 6 (Laughter)
JUDGE SMITH: No. I mean, I want to give you 7
8 another shot at it. But the logic escapes us.
9 MR. TRAFICONTE: All right. Can we do this?
10 Could I put to the witness -- this is a change that the 11 witness, upon reading his testimony, proposes, and obviously 12 he and I discussed it. And I argued as best I can as to the 13 grounds for this change.
14 Can I put the question to the witness as to why he 15 believes this additional phrase is needed at that point to 16 make the existing sentence clear?
17 JUDGE SMITH: Yes. But the problem is does the 18 witness know the legal considerations that apply when we 19 exclude portions of his testimony; that's the thing.
I'm 20 MR. TRAFICONTE: He's been informed of it.
21 not asking for the witness to make legal arguments. I would 4
22 just like him to state as a matter of fact why he believes 23 this is needed for clarity sake.
24 JUDGE SMITH: See, if he needs it for the sake of 25 clarity, then the problem is perhaps he shouldn't have the Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
GOBLE - DIRECT 24119 1 remaining.part. That's the risk that he takes.
--m A risk I think I may have 2 MR. TRAFICONTE:
p 3 mentioned to the witness.
THE WITNESS: (Goble) Do you want me to comment?
4 5 MR. TRAFICONTE: I'm not sure you' re going to be I 6- -permitted to respond to it.
THE WITNESS: (Goble) Okay.
7 MR. TRAFICONTE: But I have made the argument as I 8
9 understand it, Your Honor.
JUDGE SMITH: It seems to me that the surviving 10 11 sentence makes sense if that is the fact, which I don't know
~
But 12 if it will be challenged in cross-examinat".on or not.
13 if that is the fact, I see that nothing else is required, to 14 my understanding of that, for it to be logical. I don't 15 know what basement sheltering adds to it other than to
( /
16 introduce a third option on the merits of the third option, 17 a consideration which we excluded because it wasn't within 18 Contention 18, JI-18.
19 So unless you have something new to offer, that 20 would be our ruling.
21 JUDGE COLE: In fact, it was excluded from 18 (f) .
22 It seems to me the last sentence of 18 (f), the part that was 23 excluded, addresses just exactly the point.
I'm sorry. The language of the 24 MR. TRAFICONTE:
25 contention was excluded?
1 Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888 I
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GOBLE - DIRECT 24120 1 JUDGE SMITH: Yes.
2 JUDGE COLE: Yes. The last full sentence in 18(f) 1 3 appears to address the point that he's trying to reintroduce 4 here.
5 MR. TRAFICONTE: Just give me a moment to find 6 that document.
7 JUDGE COLE: It's page 27.
8 JUDGE SMITH: Of the?
9 JUDGE COLE: Of the February 23, '89 document.
10 MR. TRAFICONTE: Well, let me just say, subject to 11 check, that when this document indicates crossouts, it 12 doesn't necessarily reflect a Board exclusion of language.
13 It reflects the history of the consolidation of these 14 contentions.
15 JUDGE SMITH: Well, I don't think we want to go 16 back. You know, we get oriented to this problem once and then it takes a long time. We rule. And I don't think we 17 18 want to trace all that back for this point.
19 So the supplement to the testimony is not in 20 order.
21 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
22 O Dr. Goble, is this --
MR. DIGNAN: Mr. Traficonte, before you proceed.
23 24 MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes.
25 MR. DIGNAN: The markup that I have, and I'll take Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
GOBLE - DIRECT 24121' 1 your representation on-this, the markup I have shows that'at
()
n 2 'the bottom of page 23 the initial two lines under 3 " preparation" were also stricken.
4 What I'm saying'is .what Mr. Trout gave me was a 5 markup of what I understood -- and I'm making no
- 6. representations of what he and Mr. Traficonte had come down 7 to -- was stricken. And I'll take Mr. Traficonte's 8 representation on this. But the copy I have strikes those 9 two lines as well on that page.
'10 JUDGE COLE: Immediately under the word 11 " preparation"?
12 MR. DIGNAN: Yes, Your Honor; the conclusory 13 sentence that precedes the itemized items.
14 JUDGE COLE: Yes, I don't have it stricken in 15 mine.
MR. TRAFICONTE: I don't either, but I'm looking 16 17 back at the motion anc Mr. Trout and Mr. Dignan are correct 18 that the motion at page 5 said, "Pages 23, 24, all of the 19 preparation segment up to point lii inclusive."
20 I think I didn' t understand it to include that 21 sentence because there are remaining numbers left under 22 " preparation" and this --
23 MR. DIGNAN: Well, from what Judge Cole is saying, the Board didn't understand it that way either. So I guess 24 and let's leave it the way J 25 you are right and I'm wrong,
-l Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
GOBLE - DIRECT 24122 1 you've got it. That's fine with me.
3 G
4 5
6 7
8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
V GOBLE - DIRECT '24123 1 ' JUDGE SMITH:
- Sub-part 4 of that section remains.
f" 2 jMR. TRAFICONTE: Yes, it does, Your Honor.
A 3- MR. LEWALD: That's correct.
Therefore the, introductory. sentence
.4 _ JUDGE SMITH:
should remain. That's how my notes --
5-MR.-TRAFICONTE: Yes, that's what I understand.
6
. MR . DIGNAN:'
In other words,-the Board reads the 7
8 sub-parts as the reasoning behind the introductory sentence.
9 JUDGE SMITH: .That was my --
MR. DIGNAN: With that understanding I have no 10 .
11 problem.
JUDGE SMITH: All right.
12 13 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
24 O' Dr. Goble,' does the document. identified by you 15 truly'and accurately reflect your testimony in this case?
16 . A .' (Goble)- Yes.
MR. TRAFICONTE: Your Honor, I would ask at this 17-18 point that the corrected testimony of Dr. Robert Goble be
.19 admitted into evidence and bound into the record.
20 JUDGE SMITH: How about the attachments?
MR. TRAFICONTE: Well, I was going to do that 21 22 separately.
-23 JUDGE' SMITH: Separately.
24 Are there any objections?
MR. FLYNN: This is not by way of objection, but 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation j'- t (202) 628-4888
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l GOBLE - DIRECT 24124 1 last week, Your Honor, you had directed that FEMA prepare an 2 exhibit which the Board could adopt.
3 JUDGE SMITH: That's right.
4 MR. FLYNN: Namely, the excerpts from the Joseph 5 Keller deposition which are to be added to supplement Dr.
! 6 Goble's testimony.
7 I have them and am prepared to distribute them at 8 this time.
9 JUDGE SMITH: All right.
l 10 Our ruling is that without deciding either way on 11 the motion the Board resolves the impasse between the .
12 parties by deciding on its own that the relevant portion of 13 the interrogatory, in fairness, should be placed in the 14 transcript immediately following Dr. Goble's testimony; and l
{ 15 that is our order.
16 It was your responsibility to provide the copies 17 for that and to the parties.
18 MR. FLYNN: Yes.
19 And I would like to do that at this time.
20 JUDGE SMITH: Would you please.
21 MR. TRAFICONTE: Your Honor said interrogatory and !
22 it is a deposition.
23 JUDGE SMITH: Deposition, yes.
24 These legal terms confuse me.
MR. DIGNAN: It's a deposition on oral 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation ,
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GOBLE - DIRECT 24125 1 interrogatories.
2 JUDGE SMITH: Wait a minute. This is more.
(
x./
)
MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes. I had asked --
3 Oh, that's right. Exactly.
4 JUDGE SMITH:
5 And then we acquiesced Mr. Traficonte's motion to 6 complete the entire deposition.
7 MR. TRAFICONTE: The concluding portion of the 8 deposition.
JUDGE SMITH: Yes. To bring it to the end, up to 9
10 page 135, yes.
11 And that should be bound in the transcript at this 12 point.
(The testimony of Dr. Goble 13 on behalf of James M. Shannon 14 p-.
( ,) 15 Massachusetts Attorney General, follows:
16 17 18 19 .
20 21 22 23 24 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation
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s UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
-ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD Before'the: Administrative Judges:
Ivan W.' Smith, Chairman Dr.~ Richard F.' Cole Kenneth A. McCollom e
-)
In the Matter of ) Docket Nos. 50-443-OL
) 50-444-OL PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY ) (Off-Site EP)
OF NEW HAMPSHIRE, EI AL. )
)
(Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2) ) April 10, 1989
)
i:
-' (O ) Nrit E <L TESTIMONY OF DR. ROBERT L. GOBLE ON BEHALF OF-
'-d '- JAMES M. SHANNON, THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FOR THE COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS, REGARDING CONTENTIONS y
MAG EX-11,-MAG EX-19, SAPL EX-14, JI-13C, JI-18F, l
j
.JI-20 AND JI-23 (Exercise PARS, Training for PAR Decision-Makers, METPAC, PAR Decision Criteria, and Coordination of Mass /NH PARS)
L..
Department of the Attorney General Nuclear Safety Unit Public Protection Bureau l One Ashburton Place Boston, Massachusetts 02108 y
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I.
SUMMARY
OF TESTIMONY y
A. Contentions Addressed This_ testimony addresses a series'of issues raised about protective action decision-making for the Seabrook Station plume exposure EPZ. These issues are raised in the following admitted contentions: JI-13(c), 18F, 20, 23, _ MAG-EX 11, MAG EX-19,'and SAPL EX-14. These contentions generally challenge the adequacy of aspects of protective action decision-making done pursuant to all three sets of plans: the onsite plan, the SPMC, and the NHRERP.
Contention JI-13(c) puts at issue the adequacy of the SPMC training provided to those ORO personnel responsible'for
-~ formulating protective action recommendations. Contention N/ JI-18F asserts that the decision criteria set forth in the SPMC are not adequate and will not result in the appropriate choice
.of protective action. JI-20 also puts at issue the adequacy of procedures for using the SPMC's ETEs in protective action decision-making. JI-23 asserts that the decision criteria set
.forth in the SPMC are not sufficiently coordinated with those described in the NHRERP. MAG EX-ll and MAG EX-19 challenge the actual performance of both the utility's onsite protective action decision-making staff and the ORO's PAR staff.
Similarly, SAPL EX-14 challenges the performance of the NHRERP's protective action decision-making staff. These exercise contentions generally assert that the exercise s-
revealed that the protective action criteria in the onsite plan, the SPMC, and the NHRERP are deficient and will not (and did not) result in the choice of the most rational protective action in light of the uncertainties at the time protective action decisions were made. The training for PA decision-makers is also called into question by these exercise contentions, especially MAG EX-11.
B. Overview of Testimony This testimony by Dr. Goble reviews the protective action decision-making done by the SS-ERO, the ORO, and the State of New Hampshire over the first day of the exercise. It evaluates the likely effect of the decisions made as one input to an evaluation of the adequacy of the decision reached. The testimony concludes, based on the information available to the decision makers at the time, that in a number of respects the decisions were faulty and inadequate in the choices of protective action, in the timing of the decision, and in the implementation of the decision. Particularly significant were failures to anticipate wind shifts and inadequate comparisons of the relative effectiveness of shelter and evacuation in the exercise scenario.
4 The problems revealed during the exercise are not unique to the particular accident scenario used in the exercise but could be anticipated in a wide range of accident conditions. The sources of these faults and inadequacies include inadequacies in the analysis supporting the development
of all three plans (onsite, SPMC, and NHRERP), faults in the n
( ') decision structures in the various plans, problems with METPAC ,
i/ j (which serves as the primary dose assessment tool), and an inadequate and incomplete training curriculum for protective action decision-makers.
l II. IDENTIFICATION OF WITNESS l Q.l. Please state your name, position, and business ;
i address.
A.1. My name is Robert Goble. I am a Research Associate Professor at Clark University in Worcester, Massachusetts. l 1
Q.2. Briefly summarize your experience and professional qualifications.
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\j A.2. I received a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Wisconsin in 1967, specializing in high energy elementary 1
particle physics. Since then I have held combined research and I teaching posts at Yale University, the University of Minnesota, ]
i the University of Utah, Montana State University, and Clark University. My present position at Clark is Research Associate j i
Professor of Physics where I am a member of the program on Environment, Technology, and Society, end part of the Hazards ,
Assessment Group of the Center for Technology, Environment, and Development ["CENTED").
l I have taught a wide range of physics courses at both the 1
I undergraduate and graduate level and a number of courses 7,s v
l _ ._ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ - _
dealing with the relationships between technologies and society.
My current research interests are: (1) emergency planning for nuclear reactor accidents (I have been one of the principal researchers in a Clark University project to write an energency response plan for the TMI nuclear reactor); (2) risk assessment (I am conducting research on risks from radon exposures in indoor air, and am working with other CENTED group members on reviewing risk assessments for a potential radioactive waste repository in Nevada); (3) air pollution dispersal (I am continuing work on both short and long range pollutant dispersal, including applications to the acid rain problem, as well as the transport of radionuclides from nuclear accidents). A complete resume was included in the attachments to previous testimony.
III. DESCRIPTION OF THE ACCIDENT SCENARIO O'
Q.l. please describe the accident scenario for the June 1988 er.ercise.
A.l. The major events in the first day are briefly summarized in the FEMA Exercises Report Narrative Summary, p.
34-36 (attached hereto as Attachment 1). To summarize the l narrative summary, the first indication of a problem at the l
plant occurred at nine in the morning, leading to a classification of Alert. Thereafter a series of mishaps occurred while the plant was being shut down, causing first a O. i l
Site Area Emergency (at 11:45) and then producing General-
[ Emergency conditions.and a release at approximately 1:45 in the i 1 s afternoon. The release continued at an-increasing level until i about 4:45, then-begar. to subside. It was virtually over by.
six, and was officially terminated at seven. After the' release I
terminated, the plume continued to' travel north and east, crossing over Portsmouth and leaving the EpZ at approximately 9:30.
Weather conditions for the accident provided a challenge to protective action decision-makers. The weather j forecasts, Attachment 2, were for slow wind speeds and changi'ng i i
wind directions because of frontal movements. Morning winds l i
were from the west, but weather forecasts available to the exercise players in the morning indicated that the winds were predicted to veer and come from the north and then the east in '
'N_/ After the front passed, the winds were the afternoon.
predicted to veer further and come from the. south or-southwest. There was a substantial probability of rain and fog for both the afternoon and evening. The wind followed approximately the predicted pattern; rainfall occurred only in the evening. The exercise assumption for meteorological conditions and for radioactive release rates appear as inputs in the METpAC runs, Attachment 3, used to generate the accident scenario. i Q.2. How does this accident scenario rank in severity within the planning basis accident spectrum.
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t A.2. 'The postulated radioactive release was relatively modest, since fuel melt did not occur and since the release passed through stack filters. The release of noble gases, 34.4 million curies, was less than 10% of what might be expected in a severe accident. More significantly, the release of Iodine, 5,640 Ci, was less than a ten-thousandth of what would be expected for an early severe accident. The release of Cesium and other ground deposited material was a similarly small fraction of expected early severe releases. Thus, in terms of opportunities for dose-savings through protective action, the postulated accident was representative of only a relatively unimportant portion of the planning spectrum, and it did not directly pose.a severe test of the effectiveness of the plans (i.e., the onsite plan, the SpMC, and the NHRERp). However, the need to cope with the complexities of the timing of the unfolding events and the varying meteorological conditions did exercise and challenge many aspects of the plans and their implementation.
IV. THE PROTECTIVE ACTION RECOMMENDATIONS IN THE JUNE 1988 EXERCISE Q.3. What protective action recommendations (" pars") for plume exposure to members of the general public were made by the Seabrook nuclear plant operators during the June 1988 exercise?
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A.3.- The.Seabrook Station Emergency Operations-Facility A
( )1 (EOF) issued three PARS to offsite. authorities'during the-exercise. The first was issued promptly after the declaration-of a Site Area Emergency, around 11:50; it was to close the Massachusetts-beaches, i.e., Salisbury Beach and"the beaches on Plum Island. The second followed immediately the declaration of a General Emergency-around 13:40; it was to evacuate the EPZ from 0 to 5 miles, and to shelter the remaining portion-of EPZ. The third was issued around 15:40. It was to evacuate the additional towns in the Massachusetts portion of the EPZ (Merrimac, Newbury, Newburyport, and West Newbury), and towns j in the western portion of the EPZ in New Hampshire (Brentwood, East Kingston, Exster, Kingston, and Newton). (An-EPZ map is l
Attachment 3A.) 1 iQ . 4 . What protective actions (" pas") were chosen for New Hampshire?
A.4. New Hampshire chose its first protective action, 4
without a PAR from the Seabrook Station ERO, almost two hours after the declaration of the Alert. The decision was made at approximately 11:00 to close Hampton and Seabrook beaches. At approximately 14:10 New Hampshire decided to evacuate towns within 5 miles and to shelter the rest of the EPZ. Emergency ]
I Broadcast System ("EBS") messages to that effect were begun at ;
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approximately 14:20. At approximately 16:25, New Hampshire decided to evacuate the towns in the western portion of the EPZ ,
and the EBS messages announcing this decision began at g-%g approximately 16:40.
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Q.5. What pas for Massachusetts were chosen by the New Hampshire Yankee Offsite Response Organization ("NHY ORO")?
A.S. At approximately 12:10 the NHY ORO chose to close the Massachusetts beaches. EBS messages began at approximately 12:25. At approximately 14:05 the ORO chose to evacuate Amesbury and Salisbury and shelter the remaining Massachusetts portion of the EPZ. EBS messages announcing this decision began at approximately 14:20. At approximately 15:50, the ORO chose to evacuate the remaining Massachusetts towns. EBS messages began at approximately 16:05. The times of these protective actions are summarized in Table 7 of FEMA Exercise
- Report (Attachment 4 hereto).
Q.6. How closely did the pas chosen by New Hampshire and the NHY ORO follow the PARS issued by the Seabrook Station ERO?
A.6. The initial New Hampshire PA choice, to close the nearest beaches, was made without a PAR from Seabrook' Station.
The two further pas, to evacuate from 0-5 miles, and to evacuate the western towns agreed with the SS-ERO's PARS; they were made 30 minutes and 40 minutes respectively after the associated PAR from the SS-ERO. The three NHY-ORO choices of pas agreed with the three PARS from the SS-ERO; the first two were made within 25 minutes or them, and tne third followed within 5 minutes.
Q.7. What can you conclude about how much independent analysis went into the choice of pas following the issuance of the PARS by the SS-ERO?
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A.7. I do not have very much direct evidence. Seabrook n
I J Station records, see Attachment 5, indicate that both New
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Hampshire and the NHY ORO inquired about possible changes in the second PAR based upon the release (which occurred almost immediately after the PAR was issued) and about the effect of wind shifts. They were told that there was no need to alter the PAR. There was no discussion of the first and third PAR with the offsite facilities. The prompt agreement of the NHY ORO with the PARS, particularly the quick endorsement of PAR
- 3, perhaps the most dubious of the three PARS, along with the lack of discussion between ORO and Seabrook Station, suggests to me that the ORO did not invest much effort in independent analysis. I do not know what New Hampshire did in the rather long period before it adopted the third PAR. The exercise
,I eN) results do make clear that the recommendations of Seabrook Station are used as a trigger and a very important basis for PA
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decisions by the offsite authorities, and thus it is important I
l that the EOF have adequate capability for making sensible and effective recommendations. The exercise also demonstrates that the offsite authorities need to independently evaluate the EOF's PARS. Such independent assessment capability would
!' provide both a necessary check to reduce the likelihood of mi s t a ke s . e r.d-- a .- .c ;..; ; f i 7 ^" . .., 7 = L : ' : d c a.;_ ; .- ^ "s
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Q.8. If the exercise scenario had been an actual accident, how effective would the pas have been?
l A.8. This is, of course, a difficult question to answer in detail, since the answers depend on hypotheses about where people were and how they would behave. Based on the planning assumptions presently in the NHRERP and the SPMC, I find that the pas would have been largely ineffective. Many people would have had little or no reduction in dose; a substantial number would have actually received an increased dose.
Q.9. Would other pas have been more effective?
A.9. In considering this question, it is instructive to consider some representative populations in detail.
Visitors to Seabrook and Hamoton Beaches were instructed to leave the beaches at 11:00. They were not told where to go. (See Attachment 6.) Those who went North and left the EPZ before nightfall avoided exposure. Most, though not all, of those who went South could have avoided exposure by continuing out of the EPZ. The plume would have caught up with those near the end of the traffic stream. Those who stayed within the Massachusetts portion of the EPZ, especially those who moved to the beach at Salisbury, would have been worse off than had they stayed in New Hampshire. The plume never reached Hampton Beach and exposed Seabrook Beach for only a period of slightly more than an hour. ;
l Visitors to Salisbury Beaches were instructed to j i
leave at 12:25. A substantial portion of them would succeed in
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' leaving the EpZ before plume arriYal. Another substantial n.
[ portion would not have been able to leave the beach area before V) the plume arrived, and when they left, they may well have travelled with the plume, thus augmenting their exposure. A' third portion would have left the beach but would have been overtaken by the plume. Again, their exposure would likely be.
greater than that for someone staying still.
Residents of Salisbury were instructed to evacuate at 14:20. Their experience was likely to be similiar to those beach visitors who succeeded in getting off the beach. Some would have escaped the plume, but more would have been overtaken by it. These would have received substantially lower doses had they sheltered.
Residents of Newburvoort were instructed to shelter at 14:20. At 16:05 they were told to evacuate. Since the main v
plume arrived in less than two hours from the order to evacuate and since the roads were already congested with other evacuees, most of those evacuating from Newburyport would have been overtaken by the plume. Many would have travelled a significant distance within it and therefore received greater exposures than a person who had remained outside in Newburyport. ,Even better would have been to stay shelleted.
Residents of Amesbury, the Western New Hampshire Towns and all New Hamoshire Towns within 5 miles mostly would have escaped significant exposures.
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Residents of the Towns North and Northeast of the Plant (Portsmouth, Rye, New Castle, and Greenland) had all of the radioactivity from the accident pass over from eight to ten at night. Earlier in the day they had been instructed to shelter, but no attempt was made to define further the critical period in which to shelter. (See Attachment 6.) They were not instructed to shelter in basements; they were not told to open windows after plume passage (this is essential to achieving the benefits of inhalation protection); nor were they told when radioactive materic1 was expected to arrive. It is questionable how people will respond through a six hour period ,
I after being told to shelter immediately without receiving further information. Just as for the Western New Hampshire Towns, there was ample time for evacuation, and their exposures in this scenario were substantially greater.
To recapitulate: there were problems with the choices (to evacuate or to shelter), with the timing of the pas, and with their implementation. Those instructed to shelter received inadequate guidance on how to shelter and would, in any event, have been better off evacuating. Those EPZ residents south of the plant, especially in Salisbury and Newburyport, who were instructed to evacuate would have been better off sheltering, and the evacuation order for Newburyport was unnecessarily late. Residents west and north of the plant would mostly have succeeded in evacuating, but those in the 1
1 Portsmouth area were advised to shelter, not evacuate. The New l
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s ,. Hampshire precautionary beach closing did not adequately direct l
(_,/ people out of the nearby region of danger. The Massachusetts. ,
beach closing was late, un-coordinated with New Hampshire's, and ineffective.
Q.10. Could these difficulties have been anticipated, or are you being a Monday Morning Quarterback?
A.10. In my opinion, these difficulties could have been anticipated. The critical question is this: Given the information at hand during the exercise, how good'were the PA decisions? The information at hand included or should have ,
included information about meteorology, information about plant conditions, and information about protective response capabilities, ETE's and sheltering characteristics. One could i
j also ask whether the plans have adequate provisions for 1
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(_ acquiring needed information, and I will come back to this question.
I The first PA decision was to close the nearby New Hampshire beaches, while the plant was in Alert Status. Such a precautionary measure is a good idea (though I would argue it is most appropriately tied to specific plant conditions, not just to an emergency classification level), and it seems appropriate in this case given the extremely unfavorable weather forecast for the beach area, i.e., slow west winds shifting to the east and a high probability of rain or fog.
There seems no reason, however, for delaying the decision almost two hours after the declaration of Alert, especially l a l
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since closing earlier in the morning would have prevented a build up of population at the beaches. The NHRERP does not provide sufficient quidance for deciding when to choose to close the beaches. The justifications for precautionary bea'ch closings are to provide additional protection to a particularly vulnerable population and to reduce evacuation times for EPZ residents. Neither objective would be served if people moved to other EPZ beaches. The weather forecast indicated that Salisbury Beach was the most risky area, but, because there is large uncertainty in wind direction and plume travel when 1) wind speeds are low, 2) frontal systems are passing, and 3) it is a coastal location, all beach areas should have been considered at risk. For these reasons, closure of Salisbury Beach at the time of the New Hampshire beach closings was called for. To the extent that the SPMC prohibits considering a beach closing at the alert stage, the exercise has revealed this to be a fundamental flaw in the SPMC.
Further difficulties appeared at the time of the General Emergency. It was then clear that areas to the south of the plant were at greatest risk, because the predicted wind shift was likely to occur well within the estimated times for evacuation. A reasonable interpretation of the intent of the SPMC and NHRERP protective action decision criteria (based on the post LOCA monitor and wind direction) would have led to a PAR recommending evacuation from 0-5 miles and from 5-10 miles in the anticipated downwind direction, thus evacuating all of l
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the Massachusetts EPZ. This recommendation would have
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) significantly reduced doses to residents of Newbury and Newburyport. Instead the actual PAR issued was apparently based mechanically on the current (then-existing) wind direction wi'h no anticipation that wind direction was likely to be changing.
There is another problem with the PARS at the time of the accident. Shifting winds and long evacuation times provide good reason for a well-trained decision-maker to anticipate that sheltering would be more effective than evacuation relatively close to the plant. C mu . J; iri:r t$
rP^1&ar ';--.m., -;;1d ::;;ir: : f:117 d:"cle;;d J.mism.ing npF4n" _;hich_.e-act :p;'r="t ir tr.; pl:rr. It is clear that the comparative advantages of sheltering were not a consideration in the initial choice to shelter Newburyport,
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since as soon as the plume came close to Newburyport, an evacuation was recommended. At 15: 45, when this final PAR was issued, it was too late to effectively evacuate Newburyport and its evirons. The recommendation to shelter should have been repeated and reinforced, including instruction in using basements and opening windows after plume passage.
Moreover at this time, the weather forecast left it uncertain whether further wind shifts would send the bulk of the radioactivity to the northwest or, as in the scenario, to the north and northeast. (This movement to the northeast a
perhaps would have seemed less likely but might have meant
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higher concentration of material.) The prudent strategy would have been to evacuate both areas.
Another problem built into the SpMC and revealed by the exercise is that appropriate pars differ for the eastern and' western Massachusetts towns in each ERpA. This conflict appeared in the case of Salisbury and Amesbury, and for the 15:45 recommendations to Newburyport and Merrimac. Of course, a recommendation at 14:05 to evacuate the outer Massachusetts towns would have solved the latter problem. The east / west difference is not special to this scenario. Because of the nearby north / south coastline, it is likely to occur under many different conditions. The ERPAs should be refashioned.
Q.ll. Does the discovery of faults in the pars made in the exercise necessarily show that the plan or its implementation is deficient?
A.ll. Faults by themselves are not sufficient evidence.
An emergency plan is designed for a spectrum of accidents, and might, unluckily, have problems under some special circumstances. And, as I noted before, this particular accident is a relatively minor accident and is not representative of the most important portion of the spectrum where there are serious dangers to the public. Howevet, the faults observed here are not specific to these particular circumstances and would cover a wide range of accident conditions. The faults can be stated quite generally: 1) imperfect coordination and timing of beach closings; 2)
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inadequate consideration and use of sheltering; 3) inability to
./g anticipate wind shifts in a timely fashion; and 4) failure in 5 -i implementing detail for both sheltering and evacuation strategies.
L Q.12. Why did FEMA not identify these difficulties in the exercise pars?
A.12. I don't feel qualified to interpret' FEMA activities.
However, the deposition of Joseph Keller does shed some light on this question. According to Keller, FEMA would not have treated any of these problems as " exercise deficiencies" since each decision was consistent with the specification written in the plan. Had FEMA actually assessed the pars and found that the decisions were inappropriate it might have treated them as
' plan deficiencies" which needed to be corrected. However,
'"s neither Keller nor his staff attempted to evaluate the
\/ decisions. One objective of exercises is.to identify deficiencies in-plans which might otherwise not be apparent.
.However, neither FEMA nor the Applicants appear to have
-attempted the serious critical review needed to meet this objective.
Q.13. Can you distinguish between problems in the plans
, and problems with their implementation?
A.13. Most planning and implementation difficulties turn out to be intertwined. Esoadly speaking, the plans are supposed to provide: 1) the resources needed for effective decision-making, including methods for finding information and O
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performing analyses which can be done in advance as well as during an accident; 2) a decision structure, based on analysis for making decisions; 3) implementation can be considered to be the performance of the tools for analyzing information (e.g.
METPAC); and 4) the preparation through classroom training, drills, and exercises of the people contributing to the decision-making. One could, in principle, attribute difficulties in the PARS to incompetence of some staff members, but I have seen no evidence of this and do not believe that it is the explanation.
Q.14. This is rather general. Can you be more specific?'
A.14. Let's examine at the problem of wind-shifts. This is a typical example of the problem of planning for uncertain conditions, since you cannot know in advance what the wind is going to do. The first question to ask is: Do wind-shifts matter? Are there dose savings or other advantages to be gained from properly anticipating changes it wind direction?
One could imagine that an analysis would indicate that they do not matter; that you might as well take all protective measures over 360 degrees. However, at Seabrook and at many other j sites, i) it is useful to try to reduce evacuation times by i limiting the area evacuated; ii) the choice between evacuation and sheltering may depend on what the wind is expected to do; and iii) in many situations it may be possible to direct evacuating people away from the plume. Having decided that protective actions should take account of potential l
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- .wind-shifts, we can consider the needs for each of_the four
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! "N-} aspects'of planning and implementation mentioned above.-
PREPARATIQH The relevant emergency. response organizations are well-prepared to acquire regional weather information and forecasts. Their ability to characterize the local meteorological environment is, however, more limited, since they take information from only one tower at Seabrook Station.
There-is no sign that they have performed analyses to determine under what circumstances wind-shifts affect dose savings and thereby the choice'of protective action. The needed analyses would take into account various possible evacuation times and
' shelter characteristics and would provide guidance for jr"')
\- decision-making. The default assumption of an.8 hour9.259259e-5 days <br />0.00222 hours <br />1.322751e-5 weeks <br />3.044e-6 months <br /> release duration used in METPAC's straight-line dose projection has not Both been evaluated relative to the likelihood of wind-shifts.
the choices between evacuation and sheltering and the choice of regions may be affected by use of an inappropriate default.
1 DECISION-MAKING STRUCTURES Wind-shifts are mentioned indirectly in the SPMC decision-criteria (IP 2.5) but only in a table indicating that wind-shifts are more likely when the wind speed is low. Egg IP 2.5, Attachment 4, p. 23. There is no prescription in any of, the plans.for including a wind-shift prediction in PAR 1
formulation; and the exercise experience indicates that without !
a prescription, it will not be done even in a relatively clear-cut case.
METPAC AS AN ASSESSMENT TOOL METPAC will conveniently track the modeled motion of ,
a radioactive plume (with 15 minute projections), and it provides a helpful graphical output. See Attachment 3. In normal operation it provides straight-line forecasts for 2, 4, 6, and 8 hours9.259259e-5 days <br />0.00222 hours <br />1.322751e-5 weeks <br />3.044e-6 months <br />, based on only the current wind direction, and the current release rate. It is possible to run straight-line projections with hypothetical wind-direction and release rates. But there are no " prompts" to suggest doing this, no indication of the expected uncertainties in direction or release rate, and, judging from this exercise, such runs are rarely made. It is possible, but very cumbersome, to run a hypothetical sequence with changes in wind direction and release rates; but it is unlikely that this would be done in an accident, and one could not do very many such runs. . While METPAC has some provision for correcting the magnitude of its centerline projection based on field measurements, it has no provision for correcting the direction of a plume segment. The needed correction could be very substantial. With the meteorological conditions in the exercise scenario, the tower wind direction may differ by many degrees from the wind only two or three miles away.
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The use of straight-line forecasts when the wind is-A turning can be quite misleading unless care is taken. In
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'd Attachment.7, I show a hypothetical path for the center-line of a radioactive release under conditions where the wind turned-from the West to the Southeast. (This path is not very different from the path that would have resulted from an accident beginning in the morning of the exercise). At no time did the wind point toward the Northeast, yet except for the beaches directly east, the Northeast is the area which would have received th* greatest radioactive burden.
Although METpAC estimates deposition of radioactive material, it does not develop a deposition footprint. The footprint will look very different from the instantaneous position of the cloud shown by METpAC, and could be used to direct people away from contaminated areas.
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TRAINING OF PERSONNEL I have reviewed a set of Protective Action and Dose Assessment Training Manuals ("Ol^1 1, 01012!, EM1004C, all revisions) provided by the Applicants (so.; cf these manuals are.for the ORO; eth-re ere fc thm 33-ERG). Training for protective action decision-making does not include preparation for interpreting the impact of wind-shifts on decisions. The dose assessment training material includes basic meteorological information relative to some wind-shift mechanisms. Beyond the limited capabilities of METpAC, ua4*h"" th- 59 r?.O ner the ORO 0
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g appearktohaveanytrainingspecificallydirected'tothe adaptation of dose assessments to projected changing meteorological conditions. There are no procedures taught for ;
adapting default or other input parameters to particular meteorological circumstances. The dose assessment training 6 each cegani7at. ion does not develop criteria for identifying situations in which meteorological uncertainties can strongly affect protective action decisions.
O.15. 'You have indicated that the exercise revealed problems in choosing between evacuation and sheltering and a failure to use sheltering effectively as a protective respons'e strategy. Are these problems in the plans or in their implementation?
A.15. Both. As with the problem of wind shifts, it is useful to consider two aspects of the plans and two of implementation. Here the issues are clearest if I begin with the decision structure in the plans.
DECISION STRUCTURE The sequencing of decision criteria makes it virtually certain that evacuation for 0-5 miles and 5-10 miles down-wind will be the chosen response for a moderate release, as in the exercise scenario, or any larger release. That is because the primary decision criteria are to recommend evacuation based on a reading of the post LOCA monitor, before release information is available. If a release has already I
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begun, the def ault usaumption for release duratiori is 8 hours9.259259e-5 days <br />0.00222 hours <br />1.322751e-5 weeks <br />3.044e-6 months <br />; 4 that, coupled with .9 shielding factors (and inhalation t
. protection which diminishes with time), ma3ns that even with the long Seabrock ETE's, evacuation will be-ordered unless tne release is too small to justify it. Once ordered, evacuation cannot be reversed even if later there is a shorter release duration estimate. Under this structure, which is not based on-information about plant characteristics or any projection of release duration, only for a very large rapid release, as from a containment failure, could one immediately project a short duration release. And in this case, testimony from the New Hampshire hearings makes it clear that evacuation would be ordered, whatever the comparison between evacuation and shelter doses. 's picture of sheltering as a protective mea e
,o one presented in the useful only for m te exposures Seabrook Station Onsi aint ide Lesson Plan 10141 - Rev.
.)
2, "prote Action Decision-Making", pa s 16, 17 achment 8).
PREPARATION The planning work performed to date does not justify this approach to protective action decision-making.
An adequat rvey of shelters in the not i)
I been made, but the in =*' is are that except for beach area s t but not all bu 'ngs have shelter racteristics substantially better than- e .9 ip)
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i ass d in the decision criteria. See the Applicant Rebuttal Testimony No. Feb. 28, 1989, pages 30-32.
ii) There has been no a is made of the feasibilit'y of moving peo e to build 1' with basements even i
though t is clearly recommende y Exhibit A of t Applicants' Rebuttal Testimony No. The f shelter-in-place approach has been justified on grounds of simplicity, but given the long evacuation i l
time estimates which place the population at substantial risk in the event of a major accident,' f l
simplicity is not a sufficent argument to dismiss an opportunity to save doses and perhaps lives.
iii) here has been no analytic work done by the App ' cant to compare the effectiveness sheltering and eva tion for either a spec um of accidents or for individua accident co tions. See Attachment
- 9. .The testimony . Thompson, J. Beyea and me, filed February , 198 shows quite clearly that such analy 'c work will sho substantial opport ities for improving dose avings for te dents in the EpZ in a wide range ccident onditions.
iv) There has also been no analytic work justifying the decision to use only two emergency response planning areas in the SpMC. The exercise strongly suggests O
______-___-__-__-_2
p L'
- , that an east / west split of each of the two Jx .
/ ) Massachusetts ERPAs is necessary to adequately T /
protect those in both locations simultaneously.
METPAC AS A DECISION TOOL l There are serious deficiencies in using METPAC to choose !
between evacuation and sheltering. Evacuation Time Estimates )
are built in and there are no provisions for adjusting them to o -"i 'd3-- f::t::
reflect current evacuation conditions. TPr "er ured. Groundshine is not' accounted for. The program does not give an indication of the effects of changing weather conditions on its choices, nor does it indicate the effect of uncertainties in release rate, isotopic mix, release height, ,
wind speed, etc. Naturally enough, the people operating the l h \ system should not be forced to cope with uncertainties in a l
( '\_ large number of parameters, but signals showing when a METPAC j l
recommendatic ** firm and when an alternative should be considered are essential if METPAC results are to be used j l
appropriately urder the pressures of an emergency.
j IRAINING IN PROTECTIVE ACTION DECISION-MAKING !
Many of these problems are compounded rather than corrected j l in training. Dose assessment is treated entirely separately 1
from decision-making. This is a problem because dose assessors are not taught to evaluate and communicate the assessment uncertainties that are most critical to decision-making such as
/'"N l i~) .
L _ _ _ _ _ _ __ .__-____-________-_ _ _
wind direction uncertainties and wind shifts, isotopic mix groundshine, and release duration. The chief problem with the training of protective action decision-makers is that they are trained to base their decisions on static assessments without taking account of uncertainties in those assessments. Lerror n No. E010141, for onsite PA decision-making, state . 6):
The f the decisio er is not to decide what to do, predetermined) but to recognize i e trig ints for each pre .ined protective act eded.
The exercise clearly indicates that this model for i
decision-making is not satisfactory and that the training ,
content is inadequate. In fact, the detailed choice of pars was not predetermined, and the decision-makers made their choices with very little guidance from the plan, from the training, and from the assessment procedures. The timing, choice, and geographic extent of protective actions require judgment. Good judgment requires an understanding of the nature of the dose assessments along with a comprehension of how people are responding as the accident unfsida and how they are likely to respond to the emergency information they are receiving. Neither requirement is adequately addressed in the i i
training curriculum. l Q.16. Do the problems revealed by this exercise indicate 3 that the plans cannot be used effectively in the event of a large early release, j i
O l
l
A.16. They show it very clearly. r4 r' *k- ::t ;;;i;us r-( pr:r'-- with :l1 th; elou, as cum 1.;h :f pl---4" f2r
(
,wm,&
i ;. nk=vo mirandv *=e&ifi;d .. u .oly vu way w u rs be n==d^^ (;;; Th:r;::r, Cebl., C;,;:). C;;;nd, Vind shifts and other meteorological uncertainties become even more important, the larger the accident, since high exposures may be ses~d received in relatively short periods of time. Sh4rd, for this reason also the ability to choose pas for regions smaller than the present two emergency response planning areas in Massachusetts appear to be particularly needed.
%h "curth, the deficiencies in METpAC are of great concern. These particularly include its inability to provide a continuing update of groundshine exposure, a major component, if not the largest component, of exposure in such accidents; its inflexibility for correcting plume path, when this information may be critical to directing people away from dangerous areas; and its inadequacies as a decision tool in choosing between sheltering and evacuation. Perhaps its most serious defect is that it fails to interact with the user and provide reminders kr+k about the critical uncertainties in such a crisis. Esfth, the compartmentalization of assessment and decision-making which is institutionalized in training, may cripple the process of making critical judgment under uncertainty, and promote the simplistic approach of evacuating no matter what. The present training modules do not prepare decision-makers to identify the critical uncertainties in a large accident, nor do they provide guidance for evaluating their impact.
( 1419n
GOBLE - DIRECT 24126 1- (The Deposition of 2 Joseph H. Keller, dated 3 February 10, 1989 4 follows:)
5 6
7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
i V d
4 e
T;IT2D 3 TAT 25 OP A:C2I*a i
3 NUCLEAR REGULATORY CO:iHISSIO:i
, ;j ATO!!IC SAFETY AND LICENSI!!G 30ARD l 5 ;.,
In The !!atter of t ) i j'; PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY ) l ,
!! OP NEW IIAMPSHIRE, ET AL ) 950-443-OL-1 i i
1 ) 950-444-OL-1 y Seacrook Station, )
i Units 1 and 2 ) ,
3l l l
I 3a DEPOSITION of JOSEPH H. KELLER, taxen by the ,
3 ,
- I
,, j Co=aonwealth of Massachusetts, held at the Danford's I""' #"*" #*ff****"' New York, on Feoruary 10, 1989, 2
,3} at 9:10 A. M., before a liotary Public of the State of tiew York.
's l
's 17 l
sl .
19 20 21 22 23 ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE COURT REPORTERS AND NOTARIES 71 Comerford Street, Port Jefferson Sta., N.Y.11776 O ~5 TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
- !ELLCR 112 O
(' 2 aoout the avail.uillcy of :he .Ju.scs.
,o A Okay.
as 'Taat was tne intent of tae decision, ,
0 ,
i 5
protactive dacision, in other words, wnst war tue design .
6 of the protective decision at 14057 l A I'm sorry, I don't understand your .iuestion. !
' What was supposed to happen to tae .< ids in Q
lae various cowns, waere .iare they supposed to go? .
o A My reco.uection of tne plan is that if an
- 1 evacuation order, decision is reached that says evacuate f
- j
.,9 schools, the school children are taken to a school
'3( reception center.
4 O I am not forming ny question very well.
15 i Look cack on'page 52. Assume for the time being the d
16 I I control cell had been, as cramped as it had been, and c Was the 3'
E permitted use of the buses sitting in the yard.
18 P S
decision that was made to evacuate Aimsoury and Solsoury, e
and, therefore, evacuate and remove all the school 20 1
children and to anelter the other three Massachusetts 21 towns and, therefore, shelter the constituents in those 22 L
, towns?
l 23 1 That's correct.
l A Q That is what had been decided at 14057 g%d) 25 A Well, no. In the decision process collegial l
ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
.;2LLI3 113
. . u
/ \ 2I J discussion betwaen :aa 020 jartici; ants and the control
)
3 ;'
i cell before t.w decas.on was ..:cds, Jefore it occame a
- "I done-deed, it was clear enac :no ouses were not going to 5
oe ava11aala.
There is a gliten there. I appreciate that.
6l .0 1 i:
9 A Tne recoauendation, had tne control cell.
J-gi was not, had the control acen a rucaer ;taap, whica 1 9
cci; Jeen a ruaaer ataup, it :s ay aalief enat tag.
.reconsendacion wnich caae up tarougn tne systen and was 11 i!
p prior to this tiae, the school cnildren in Aimsoury and -
d 12 h r Solsbury would have caen taken oy the buses that were at I
cae' door, :o tne school reception center and the populace
- [~' '
14 it
- 1. of Ainssury and Solsoury would have 'oeen evacuated and l u ,
15 H cne school children in the other three towns and the, the
[ ,
16 i{' other towns in the zone, there's six towns.
5 The school ;
I 17 1 children in the other four towns and the populace in the 18
-other four towns would have been sheltered.
19 Q That is.what I want you to focus on. I am 20 not interested in the deformations caused by the control 21 cell variation right now, at least. The decision you 22 just described was taken, approximately, around 2:007 23 A Yeah.
24 0 Was that the appropriate decision for the
( 25 senoel children in the other four towns?
l ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 I
- LL;?. 114 A Yes.
Q ;ln/?
2 j
A At ena; Clue Cne risk, Jasd3 On Calculations 5
and plant status, eccetera, and una plan says we'll treat j s
, cae school eni;Jren as a sua part or tno general 71 jopu4ation. It was appropriate at enat time to evacuate a
~
to a certain radius, wnicn then translates into planning
~
acaea, ;na at .ias raaaonaaae and appropriate to shelter o .
tne rest or tne plan zones.
n3 J Q You understand that those school children, !
4 12 !
! in the other towns, the ones that are ceing sheltered 1 i would, within an hour, approximately, and I don't want to 54 !! i
.; ce neld to thut nuccer, aut in the near term, would have l i
15 i! acen sent home f rom school? i 1
16 il j A Under normal circumstances. ,
I' t
17 1 g Q I did say that I was talking in the isf subjunctive. What would hhve happened to the students in 19 the four other towns in the near term within, 20 approximately, an hour, had it not oeen for the 21 sheltering recommendation? What I said, but for the sheltering reconnendation they would have oeen, in the 23ll normal course, cused home?
I 24 g y,,,
^
'5 Q What I am trying to e' licit, or trying to put t l
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V t
b .
115
.:2LL:n g~j--- 9
! 2U.
\ . as a question, aio you fora r.e' judge.2 ant L.a: :: was-setter, from s Joaa savin.j; por:pective, in ligat of t'aa 2 cne ti.2e,-
aforastion avai.aala to cha Jacision ..:a.cers a '
i 5
to Oneicer taose studants at that time la'enose four l 6
- owns lastead of permitting tnen co-ae ouded none, as [
l caey ocnerwise.would have aeen?
t-a
~
- 13. FLYM3: I ;2 ave an ca]ec: loa' co l 9
- .2e questian, accauaa :au .uestion-you have .
'3 askad assumes thac.it is tne evaluscors job to decide what the oest decision was, not
'1p L
4
-whether the decision was in' accordance with
3> the plan or within. an acceptacle range of ;
-( '
i 2 ;'
decisions. I think that is an 1.aportant l 15 ' distinction.
6 N' '
MR. TRAFICONTE: All.rignt. Can you I
$7u
~[ go ahead and let him answer the question,
~
18 ll I
- j and then we will come cacs to that distinction?
20 Yes.
HR. PLYNN:
21 A No, I didn't do, during the exercise 22il evaluation, a dose calculation and, therefore, it was not part of my judgement that it was an adequate protective
.neasure at that time, cased on best dose savings.
25 0 The role of the exercise is to test tne ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 t
t i
.: LLI_'. 115 t i=plementation oy caa appropriate jersonnel or t..e jian f
3' as a plan?
46 i A 'les.
5 0 In tais tnstanca tais means that you were i
s evaluating tne appropriateness of tae jrotactive action j
~
l against waat the plan calls for, not against, lat's Juat j e l l iar tne cera of srgunent, call it an external standara. ;
- taat ene aest prot 2ctiva action, in lignt of all cne ,
- 0 '
circumstances? ,
11 p A That's correct. I would like to point out 12 0 0 that it is my understanding that the commission has ruled 13 Il that tnere's no minimum dose savings required by a plan 14 ,
or, enerefore, an appropriate exercise.
i 2 There is no question about that, out that is I 16 0 apples and oranges.
17 h P A I think it is--
'8 Joe, let him finish.
- 1R. PLYNN:
19 0 I am saying the commission has made equally 20 clear that it is i=portant that in your making the 21 protective action decision that ' maximizes dose savings 22 [
l for identified populations.
I 23 l It is possible to make the wrong decision 1
24 and, therefore, not maximize dose savings?
25 And that would ce, A That's correct.
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( 2P t
's i hopefully, idantiliaJ as a JeJ1ciancy.
31 . Iou couid Ic .;ava asen. rau aave Ju;t a Q i
ay testified in the examp.e enst we Just discussed, you did 5
not run tne nu.cers to Jetermine waether, in fact, there .
I 6
vouiJ have acen, for taose school cn11dren in nose four l towns, a act ar alternative in teras of dose savings.
I A~
You did not ..laAe a Judgnent one way or tne otact. ,
A Zou asned ne if I Jia it. I ;sid no. I had .
10 an evaluator. l 11 l 2 I'a sorry?
12 " You asked the question, I answered honestly.
Ii A
/~' 13 0 You did not do it, all right. Did !!r. Pocn !
or ;1r. Scith do it?
15 1 A No. You have to understand the process, and 16 i!
I'm sorry. We're not trying to be obtuse. Mr. Salmonson n t! Part of 3 ooserved the ORO staff do these calculations.
1B { the decision making process, the part that I was looking at involves a lot of people in ORO performing their 20 Procedures and ultimately coming to the ORO director and 21 saying, we ought to do these things for the following 22 h 0 reasons. And part of the following reasons, or part of 11 .
23 Il j the things we should do is a dose calculation in i
/'~s 24 [
accordance with the plan.
(
\
25 That input was put into the decision caser.
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l i
1
'.0LLE2 113 Did I do it, no. I thing 3 rad actually ran cae calculations at taat polat in time.
~
0 Uho is Brad? ;
, , 4 A 3 rad Salmonson vno's working for c:a. But it j f a~ ! i was watening, that's the deputy team leader. i l i
0 I was looking to see if he nad any Oo3ective j 11 responsibilities, i
.i Ju jou sec, Oo3ective 10 is the calculation o -
- nat taose esiculations--
n <
2 Objective 11 is the appropriate action j 12 ll decision?
A That's cased on, in part projected doses.
u ,<'
That's way this is--
1 Q Fine. Let me put the question to you, so if sm you want to play a numoer 10 and number 11 game, which objective is designed to determine whether the particular
'8h decision at issue is the maximum dose savings decision in 19 light of the circumstances?
20 A I have to think about that one. I 21 understand. Ten is projection of dose. Clearly, to do 22 it accurately, and part of those dose projection 23 procedures in this plan, although not in all plans, is to
- ! come up with the best recommendation of what ought to be 25
- done in a given case.
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i r
7.0LL 2 119 1
7g 4 2 5
.(,/
. q I pro]ect 35 22:1 you ought to evacuate, that h
3 b;, kind of thing. : pro]cet a aundred ailairas ()honetic) i I .
4d '
prooably doesn't need to do anything, caat type of tning. I V.;
The people wno do the dose projections are not tne 2 I They make a receo.tmendation to the
~
decision naxers.
decision ..aker JaSed on our teCanical analysis of tne n
3U situation, wnica includes plan otatus and tnese Jose ;
calculations tc.at .;e ougnt to Jo something and in unis -
I u
time frame in the exercise ene 1:30, 2:00 time f rame the, 51 !
for lack of a'cetter term, the protective action l
2'! recommendations cased on technical analysis, if it was L - . i'
(
3 dose calculation or plan status, I can't tell 'you at this l at '
time, in accordance with the plan said evacuate two 1
I'm sorry. It
's If miles, shelter to five or shelter to ten.
-s F was a combination of an evacuation, shelter. And it may d
! 1 I
L have been pronaoly five and ten.
l 18 0 It was shelter from five to ten and evacuate l 19
)
up to five. The point is, that meant at 2:00 what you j l
20 were doing was deciding to hold the students in the 1
21 sheltered towns past the point at which they would have i 1
22 l normally been sent home?
23 A That's correct.
/ 0 He are pressing on whether or not that was !
\
\* 25 the wise thing to do?
l l ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE l TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 l
\ . - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - -
1 IELL 2 .$ *. e.
A Yes, secause tue plan says--
3 0 To do it.
d
- A Tnat ene scnool ca11dren ara part of cne ,
5 i gancral population. You're focusing in on scnool j f s, l eni Jren and you aave to focus on what was- it. It was ! I i
just as inappropriate to tell the general population in !
I s
rive to ten to sne2ter as it was if you take taa j 9 I ca;u.mption enat it's inappropriate. It is just as '
i t
, inappropriate to tell tne general population as it is to l 41 q tell the school children to shelter, if it is 12 h inappropriate at all.
']' ;
1 My point is, it is not inappropriate. The 14 i; school population and general population ' was considered 1
'S I
! as one entity. And my best recommendation, not the most 16 ii
! conservative, was to shelter. And is it was correct at o
17 ll 4 that time. My belief--
0 18 p' 11R. PLYNN: What is the concern, that 19 they would never get home?
20 l1R. TRAFICO! TIE: The concern is, had 21 they simply been permitted to go home 22 jfl simply, as being held after their nold time, l 23 the sucsequent dose that they did receive
{
24 '
wouldn't have been received. That is the
! logic of criticism. I don't want to get ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
,a XELLZ3 121 2
into.a discussion of marits. I just want to 3 t' L
nail dova what it-is fou Ji.: Jo.
/
a "'3 A Part of your premise'was tney would ce 53 I reject that.
disuissed within an nour, approximately.
_ f ,.
2 Fine. It's an empirical fact. .
I 7 r'
.A Many schools aave activities beyond tne l i
i a4 normal closing of the school day. Children are on the Ocaool 3 rounds taking part ia soccer games, it was June, 10 Well, maybe caseaall, pernaps five to six, seven nours.
11 !!
j; several' hours beyond the normal closing of school. So, j 12Y d the premise they would have all been gone in an hour 13 il I 3 9 anyway, may indeed be very wrong.
14 i O Ubich of the individuals tnat were l 15 '!
[ evaluating implementation for school implementation of 16ll g protective actions for schools would have oeen monitoring 17 ik
- conversations between the school coordinator and the F
18 I I school liaisons?
19 d
A ProbaDly Mr. Smith.
20 Q Are you f amiliar with an instance in which 21 there was a school in Aimabury that was contacted Dy a 22 scnool liaison and called to take students who were in
' 23 the process of loading, being loaded on to buses and 24 oeing instructed to be taken off the buses and sheltered?
25 A This is a real school or control cell?
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1 J. ELL 2 122 O 30, i: is a control cell school. I Jon't 3h calieve they canJe coatsc: vita any ona scnool?
4 il A You asked me a question whether we contactad 53 a real school anJ I said no. ,
I l
60 0 This is a particular surreal scnool.
l l
.d
'ii A 'iell, the answer is no.
. I guess it's e
a 11 i;r.aterial anyway.
~
2 In exercise 13, Objective 19, une cenool o
' oo]ective taere is a mention, I believe at the end of the .
0 11 q discuasion on page, whatever it is, have you found that? l 12 A Well, I find the page 224, 225 carrying over I
13 I to 226.
I 14 i j 2 You had input on 19, I Delievei l I
'l 15 l' j j A Yes, I did.
I, l
tepi 0 As did a series of other individuals. There 17 was suggestion at the end of interviews with a number of 18 3chools?
19 A Schools?
20 k Yes.
21 Q In the formal course does PEMA interview 22 aany more schools than this?
23 A No. Some places interviewless.
24 0 The language at the end of it, which limited 25 the opportunities for interviews, do you see that at tne l
\
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^* 0LI.E.T
. 123 r
^k .
, very bottom of 225?
l 3: A Only sne oJ the 29 scacoAs and tarea of 23 a -
.: :l nursery schools, .iay care centers nave participated in i i .,
tne planning process. Yeah. j 2 Mayce I misunderstood the planning there waica limited rae opportunity for interviews. In the .
. .l l
~
nor;.;al course tnera would not h' ave oeen interview- ,
- ~
.anyway? .
A Some regions perform more extensive I t
j You said would.they have 44 interviews enan other regions.
12 l FEMA do more and I said it would have seen less. Mr.
-A
(
3 i
Donovan does a very extensive joo..
9 ,
O Just general questions aoout protective 35 !! action recom:aendation, not focused on school children 3
n s il l anymore.
17 {
t The accident that was used in this scenerio, 18 6 do you know is it one of the standard nfne or does it
" have 'any standard parameters as you underas.ed the 20 assidents in the lingo?
21 A I understand better than you understand.
22 Q No question about that.
l 23 A You're referring to the PWR accident sequence, which were established in WASH - 1400, the 25 reactor safety study. And these are categories of I
ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 l
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- 2LLCR 124 )
accidents, whica vould give fou potential source carc ranges. Yes, it fell alcain tac ana to nine category.
4 i! '
Q It f ail sonawnere in aaong tnose categories? i 1
5' I A Absolutely.
]
6 l 0 Was it in anyone of :he particular i b j categories? ;
e0 A ;tc. Saluonson of ay staff was involved wica j 9
cae review of t.as scenerlo. As I tried to infer, I had ,
to anotner "S' problem. I took care of Shoreham, ae toon J, 11 '
i; took care of Seaorook. :ty recollection, it was probably 12 j i
about three or four range, approximately. It may have seen five. It was not PRU1.
14 !i 0 Is it your understanding, in light of the 15 P J nature of the accident that is modeled, that it would 16 3
have been appropriate to make an automatic protective ;
II L
17 i[laction decision based on.page 12 of implementing c
{
1 18 i l I procedure 2.57 j I
19 A There is an assumep*. ion at the very top of j 20 this implementing procedure, which has to do with wind 21 direction. -
22 Q Pages 12 and 137 23 A It says wind direction from 304 to 101. And 1 24 I don't have, I do not have recall of the wind direction
- 25 which brings this whole page into play.
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.!ELLER 125
~~T- 2 lil
' (Q On tne assuuption, and this is casarly .in 3 'l assumption, that this vind jlraction, tae wind directica a ll Juring this phase of the incident, aecause there were ,
t 5
several wind shifts in this scenerio, whicn'tends to aaxe l 1
I I 6
it more difficult for the participants, I can't tall you j I
7 'I l
- where you are, oecause I don't reaemoer the wind !
ao I
direction at the cine.
2 Let :Le ask you tne question in a different to 4
- way.
P 11 A Okay. I don't celieve the post local L
12 i
! monitor went up greater tnan 10,000R/ hour. So I believe es 13 I i
/ , we're on this oranch, the no branen of tne figuro you 5 ~
\~/ $4
- showed me, whien puts you into five mile evacuate, zero i
15 4 to five evacuate, five to ten shelter.
h j 16 I!
f Q Let me ask you the question this way. The l
17 accident that was modeled unfolded over a period of ti=e 18 and passed through a set of ECL's, alert site area 19
- eastgency, general emergency. Each was declared at a 20 discrete time?
A' Yese 22 Q Therefore, I don't mean anything technical, j 23 it was a phase unfolding accident?
24
/N A As most events are.
~~ 25 0 In light of the accident, Mr. Keller, and ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE i
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~
1
" ELL 3R 126 this aspect, the phased c:me aspect of che accident, if 30 j all appropriate protectivo action Jacisions had seen
~. il" made, would that nave prevented anyone from receiving any 5 i1 aose? .
I 9
s ii '
q A Mot necessarily.
7I ;
2 ; Thy not? .
l :
i en '
A Tnere is no premise tnat Zero 3030--
2 I was arra1J you were ince:preting my oa g question tnac way. ,
11 I
HR. FLYMN: Can I help you.
12 HR. TRAFIACONTE: Please.
MR. FLYNN: Your question could De 14
! interpreted to mean would the protective !
i .
15 l actions be effective in eliminating any 9
n 16 il y possibility of dose or it could be 17 l, interpreted to mean-- I am having a little 18 trouble formulating myself.
19 The question could mean would the 20
- protective actions eliminate all potential 21 dose, or it could mean would the protective 22 actions eliminate any potential dose.
23 It did not nelp me.
MR. TRAFICONTE:
24
, I am going to start out at a different way.
~~
Q If there had been an accident that was ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
,a-M LL:2 127 i
I g 2
, ' (/"N ,
modeled, that started at T 1 anc daveloaad for 20 hours2.314815e-4 days <br />0.00556 hours <br />3.306878e-5 weeks <br />7.61e-6 months <br /> 31 !
oefore an off alta re2 ease, and ducir.; tne 20 aours enere 2 Il '
was an indication, well, hours, let's say 20 hours2.314815e-4 days <br />0.00556 hours <br />3.306878e-5 weeks <br />7.61e-6 months <br /> cefore l !
5.! tae release actually happened everycody was. on notice
'q' tnat taere was going to be a substantial off site 7 'I l relief--
a is
~
A There was going to oe, assolute, definite?
l'
=
2 .10 . l l
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g A 'le
. li , I ' .2 sorry, you can't give me a 11 p
- j hypothetical and change the rules in between.
'f Q Then there was going to be.
I '3 i l r- A At that point in time?
?! p]
14 l' l
l ! Q No, and you knew it was at least 20 hours2.314815e-4 days <br />0.00556 hours <br />3.306878e-5 weeks <br />7.61e-6 months <br /> in 15 I c the future. There may not be a possible accident, out I 6h
- want to hypothesize it. If there was the accident thac 17 was modeled, you had certain knowledge of serious off 18 site release, but you also had certain knowledge it 19 wasn't going to happen for at least 20 hours2.314815e-4 days <br />0.00556 hours <br />3.306878e-5 weeks <br />7.61e-6 months <br />. Within 20 those parameters would you agree with me that a 21 successful implementation of the emergency plan in those 22 circumstances would mean no one gets a dose?
23 A No.
24 0 Can you explain why not?
O s- / A Because the whole protective action guide :
ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
' 1 i l 1 '
.;ELLER 123 and PAR process is pre.nsed on the f act that protecttva 3H i
actions are warrantad onl/ shen One Janefits of cne 4!
protective action, in terna of dose reduction, ar3 S il g greater than tne cost of taking che protective action.
6 0 The general protection agency is tne agency, wnich is the agency at this point in time cnartered with ri ed as::alisning these, and tney nave estaolisnod PAG 1 to 5 2~
REM '.inole aoJy-- I aa carry,1 to 5 REM wno Ae cody and 5 {
m1 j to 25 REM tayroid.
H 11y i It is a presise of the response to a I
12 1 j
accident that while if there are zero costs, very 13 !
difficult to cose to a situation where there are zero 14 l]icosts, that it might be appropriate to take protective 15 f d action with these projected doses. That normally is not 16 f warranted, to take protective action below projected 17 action of 1 to 5 whole body or 5 to 25 tnyroid.
18 Theref ore, you would make a protective situation.
. Let's assume it's evacuate instead of 20 shelter. You've got to evacuate this zone, a given zone 21 I because doses in that zone at this particular time when 22 the release comes, projected to be aoout these PAG 23 trigger levels. That does not mean there is zero dose 24 seyond that zone and anybody who lives beyond that zone I 25 is not going to get some dose.
ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
t 1
- 2LLER 129
,(
2i c
Q I unink ..y quest 1341 saould nave clased t.lat 3 ll off and didn't?
i -
a i!
A Borty.
5 ,; l Hold the same You are aosolutely right. i 0
65 question and add that tae dose abould have been 7
projected, in .;y hypothetical accident, if it were an 84 effective plan-- ,
9 .* 3. C3A:;: Can I caution you nere to so stay away from the dose reduction.
11 ft You can say it for
,i MR. TRAFICONTE:
I 12 1 L 1 the record.
o 13 p Are you getting at the
/ MR. SHITH:
- .( ,
14i{
1 RCL7 4
15 '!: MR. TRAFICONTE: No.
a 16 I! MR. SMITH: As to when it is going to 17 f be made?
18 MR. TRAFIC01EE: No.
. MR. AIDIKOFF Are you assuming an 20 !!r. Keller is assuming-
. ECL7 21
- THE WITNESS: He gave a hypothetical.
22 He said there's going to I know the system.
73 os a significant release off site. You have O to be a general emergency.
25 MR. TRAFICOlEE: We all have to take ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
U d
1
.:2LL 2 130 our turns aere. ;Taose turn is it?
31 i : n. 3:lI!;i: Go aaaad.
4I '
CO 71'ItrJED DIRECT EXA;11MTIO!1 BY Iia. TRAFIColiTE: l I
5 ll l 3 Q Let me restate the hypothetical acc1Jent. I l r
6 h, ij nave already indicated it sigat not ce a ,cossiale one. .
.' li '
fi It is designed not to test ECL and not to get into Jose !
l ai I h, reduction, aut to cnallenge soue otner aspect of exercise 9h avaluat;on.
o: -
j The nypotnetical accident, at a certain n if point in time tne following knowledge is in the 12 i
! possession of tne decision maker there is going to be a 13 very serious off site release, it will go up to, but no l
further than the ten mile EPZ.
15 A A rare release.
16 0 Yes. I am not interested in the done 17 l outside of EP3, and again, this should os built in, that )
i 18 I in the acaence of any protective action the people from ]
19 the center will receive doses higher Laan the PARG's, the ,
I 20 last assumes that you also have knowledge or the decision i j maker has knowledge that this release that we've just l 22 characterized is 20 hours2.314815e-4 days <br />0.00556 hours <br />3.306878e-5 weeks <br />7.61e-6 months <br /> into the future.
23 l As I have already indicsted it may be '
24 impossiole to be in that state of knowledge, out assume 6
you were. I want you, as an evaluator of the ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 l
> l 1
4
- i
.1 LL 2 131 e~s i -
'l ) 2l effectiveness of planning to answer Onis question, '
L
-( ,j- ;j 3! shouldn't, in taoJa circumstance 33, an ef Jective plan a-a li-properly implemented result in no onc vithin the ten mile h IPZ-receiving a Jose in excess of the PAG's?
6] A The Jest plan would, tne cest plan would.
e 7 !lF I'm not sure that an adequate plan, I know I'm using 8! '
different words Onan you Jid, occause I'm not r3 ally sure aaouc your worJs. Tne ceSt plan clear 2y Would have !
avoided all signif cant Jose of cne peopAe in enis area.
).
"b I'm not convinced or aosolutely sure that an adequate 12 plan would have reduced all dose to zero.
a, t
fs
) ! O Last question then we will let you fly off N~-)
u! n to wherever you are flying off to.
15 y i
If you follow with me, and I want to hold d
16 1 i
you to my hypothetical, would you agree with me that the 17 capacity of the plan in the circumstances I described to 18 successfully reduce the dose from the zero point upward be some other point, or the other way around is a measure 20 of the adequacy of that plant?
21 h No.
i 22 0 Can you explain that to me, why it is not?
23 I am talking from a FEMA perspective. As I A
understand it, FEMA evaluates plans against a certain
/
i r \ 25 standard and that standard is !GREG 0654 FEMA guidance ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
1 2 LL;2 132 memoranda, which ampl121es and explains ';UREG 0654. . And I
3 1l if the plan and r.le escr ;;e, i;nich 1J a detaonstrat;on af 4 ll .
the implementaallity of enat plan .neet all of tne 5' l.
criteria that are within our regulatory agency-- Excuse '
O.
. l! .:.e, please. FEMA is not a regulatory agency. And if you l allow ce to use One FEMA evaluation system, tne plan is 8' l aJequate and reasonaale assurance flows theref rom. i c
~
Q I a.a going to press you on cnat very point.
'o ;
Doesn't the judgment tnat it is adequate in accordance 11 ,
y with the same regulations you just referenced include a
12 ll g some evaluation that it is doing, it is maximizing the 1
13 0 F dose savings in light of the site, in light of my 4
14 h j hypothetical accident?
4 15ll 0
q.
MR. FLYNN: I just want to state a 16 5 I objection, that the question calls for legal i
17 conclusion. However, you may answer the 18 i j question.
A I need an amplification. Are you saying is 20 it my opinion that the FEMA system requires tne quote 21
'best plam' in order to be adequate, is that what you're 22 asking me?
23 Q Yes.
24 A My answer is no, the FEMA system does not i 25 require the so-called best plan in order to be adequate.
ADEPT COURT REPORTI!Ki SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
1 -
KELLER 133 pm
. O Siuply a plan in accordance winn tne MUREG 3 !!
requirement and other applicaole regulations? .I sd' A Yean. Ne don't go out and evaluate against 5
a wisa list. There has to be some foundation upon vnica 6
we maxe evaluations. That foundation is NUREG 0654 the 7H guidance acuoranda, the EEM and the guidance nemoranda, 8d '
not against a naculous higher standard, if you will.
a
~
2 Motaing I indicated had anything to do witn I I
10 i a neoulous nigner standard. The standard I was talking 11 P l aoout was, I gave you a hypothetical accident that had n
12 !h enough lead time and enough certainty at the critical 13 I
- (N decision making time and you acknowledged that ene oest
) is I plan would reduce dose for everybody within the EPZ selow 15 "P j PAG's. You acknowledge in light of the accident--
1 16 Il That was the cast plan.
y A 17 I I Q You then concede that although that is the l
18 cast plan, another plan that would not have resulted in
- that could still ne the adequate plan under the PEMA 20 regulations?
21 HR. PLYNNs That is one accident.
MR. TRAPICONTE: I know it is one 23 accident.
~ 24 liR. FLYNN: You recognize that 25 planning is not required for a single ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
_ _ _ _ . _______-__._______-__-___-__D
i l
1 1 4
i g
d i 3 '
" LLEF.
. 134 accidant? 1 3 I' :!R. TRAFIC0;iTI: I andarstand. I as '
i 4 i going off tne notion of waat an adequate p 5 !} }
p plan is under ?::1A regulations. I :
d i 6i
- appreciate I'm only addressing the questions l 4
7 to one accident.
I i I
9 ll n You're askAng me to aake a judgment between i 9i i l
, ,uana saica provido maxiaizeJ Jose reductions from some
. 1 os i a hypothetical potencial as opposed to no plan at all, if j 11 you will, and that's not my understanding of how we 12 evaluate the adequacy of plans.
3! This is an exercise. The exercise is the i implementation of the plan. We have and di6 identify 15 plan issues as a result of the exercise eva.luation i
i 16 1 process.
17 If, hypothetically speaking, in the plan 18 review process somebody missed or a group of people 19 missed the procedure which would have led the decision 20 makers into a decision where it increased dose and we had 21 said the plan was adequate when we reviewed it, and the 22 participants followed the plan, you've got to give the 23 participants an adequate perfor ance on following each 24 plan. And we have a plan issue, the plan's got to be 25 revised. You've got to fix that part of the plan.
ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804
}
, .p aj I
..aLLC2 135 f 2 Go, you are now, in reality, trying-to cross
(
3i me from an exer:ica raviau into plan review, aecause tne-a adequacy of the plan i.e. how nuch done did you reduce to i
S i!
,i, aake ene plan adequate is really a plan review issue. ;
I IIR. TRAFICONTC :1ot an exercise j
-7 l l
issue. I appreciate your availability and ,
(
BI tae fact you have to rush off. l 4
9 I~
('.laereupon, tae depositica of tais to n witness was conclujad at 1:15 p.u.) ;
,i
?1 Joseph H. Keller 1 12 33 Subscriced and sworn
, , cefore ne this
( day of ,1989.
3, 1
L 15 ) Notary-Puolic 16 INDEX TO TESTIMONY 17 UITNESS DJ, E&2E 18 Mr. Keller Mr. Traficonte 3 20 INDE1 TO EYHIBITS 21 EXHIBITS DESCRIPTION E&EE 22 1 One Page Document 40 23 ce *
- l' 24 ,
25 ADEPT COURT REPORTING SERVICE TEL: (516)928-3596 (212)926-7804 b i
GOBLE - DIRECT 24127 1 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
2 Q Now, Dr. Goble, do you have a copy of a document 3 entitled, " Attachments to Testimony of Dr. Robert L. Goble, 4 on behalf of the Attorney General of the Commonwealth of 5 Massachusetts on Contentions Regarding the Adequacy of the 1 6 SPMC?"
7 A (Goble) Yes.
8 Q And that document is dated April 10; correct?
9 A (Goble) Yes.
MR. TRAFICONTE: That document has been previously 10 11 distributed. There are no corrections to it except fo. i.he 12 following: pursuant to the Board's ruling of last week with 13 regard to the Applicants' motion in limine I would ask that 14 the Board and parties simply withdraw Attachment 8, which --
15 JUDGE SMITH: 7 or 8?
16 MR. TRAFICONTE: 8 which includes pages 129, 130, 17 131, and 132 of that attachment.
MR. DIGNAN: Could I make a suggestion for the 18 19 sake of clarity in the record: maybe the appropriate thing 20 would be to draw an excerpt of those pages and leave them in the copy given to the reporter because, as sure as we sit l
21 l 22 here, 10 months from now everybody will be wondering what 23 happened.
24 MR. TRAFICONTE: Why don't we do that.
25 We will provide a copy of this document to the Heritage Reporting Corporation l l
(202) 628-4888
h GOBLE - DIRECT 24128
~
1 reporter. striking out in full those pages.
JUDGE SMITH: And in.that you did not agree.to the.
f'(j~5f 2 3 striking of them out; it remains as rejected evidence.
MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes. That's correct.
4 5 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
6 Q~
Now, Dr. Goble, is this a true --
JUDGE SMITH: Wait a minute, excuse me.
7' MR. TRAFICONTE: I'm sorry.
8 JUDGE SMITH:
It has been brought to my attention .
9 'l and ,
10- that we may not have received Dr. Goble's testimony, i 11 that's correct.
If not, we receive it at the point -
1 l
12 immediately before the deposition.
13' (Pause . ) I JUDGE SMITH: At the point I forgot.
14 fs 15 (Laughter)
_, 'l 16 BY MR. TRAFICONTE:
17 Q Now, Dr. Goble, is this document a true and !
18 accurate copy of the attachments to your testimony? !
1 A (Goble) Yes. i 19 MR. TRAFICONTE:
Your Honor, I would offer this i j
20 ,
21 document at this point, the attachments to Dr. Goble's 22 testimony anc request t'?.at they be admitted into evidence 23 and bound into the transcript.
JUDGE SMITH:
With the understanding that 24 25 Attachment 8 was not received, but remains attached as a Beritage Reporting Corporation '
k (202) 628-4888
. l y 1 l
l
___________m __m_._____.____________.____
l GOBLE - DIRECT 24129 l j-i i part of the rejected evidence file. I 2 Is that correct? Is that your wish?
3 MR. TRAFICONTE: Yes.
4 JUDGE SMITH: All right, so received.
5 (The Attachments to Dr. Goble's testimony 6
7 follows:) f 8
1 9
-10 l 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Heritage Reporting Corporation (202) 628-4888
(' UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
,, i ,
ATOMIC-SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD.
Before the' Administrative Judges:
Ivan W. Smith, Chairman Dr. Richard F. Cole Kenneth A. McCollom
)
In the Matter of ) Docket Nos. 50-443-OL
) 50-444-OL PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY ) (Off-Site'EP) -
OF NEW HAMPSHIRE, _ET_ _A_L . )
)
(Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2) ) April 10, 1989
)
l /~s ATTACHMENTS TO TESTIMONY OF DR. ROBERT L. GOBLE
, l ON BEHALF OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL'FOR THE
'Ex m- COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS ON CONTENTIONS REGARDING THE ADEQUACY OF THE SPMC L
Department of the Attorney General Nuclear Safety Unit Public Protection Bureau One Ashburton Place Boston, Massachusetts 02108 O
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1.4 N ARRATIVE
SUMMARY
OF EXERCISE SCENARIO The exere scenario was based on a large break Loss of Coolant Accident (LOC A) coinciden ith moderate fuel damage. Containment integrity was breached via a failed penetrati assembly resulting in a significant radiological release to the offsite environs.
Initial Conditions established that the station was operating at 100% power with all plant parameters normal and stable except for an increasing trend in Reactor Coolant System (RCS) activity. Approximately one hour before exercise commencement, a "Hi" alarm was received on the RCS Letdown Monitor. Following notification by the Control Room, the Chemistry Department began confirming the coolant activity by a sample analysis which was in progress. The station had been at or above 90% power for 180 days and was near the end of core life. Several plant components were undergoing maintenance and repair.
At 0905, the completion of the above RCS sample analysis indicated 620 uCl/cc gross coolant activity, the Shift Superintendent declared an Alert resulting in the activation of NHY emergency response facilities and the simulated evacuation of non-essential station personnel. A controlled plant shutdown commenced at 20% per hour.
The New Hampshire Office of Emergency Management (NHOEM) activated t State Emergency Operations Center (EOC) and mobilized designated personnel includi those responding to the Incident Field Office (IFO) at Newington Station. Hos Communities were notified and initiated preliminary actions to establish reception and decontamination centers. NHOEM Spokespersons were dispatched to the Media Center in Newington. Towns within the Plume exposure Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ) activated their EOCs. Additionally, the Rockingham County Sheriff's Department prepared the State Transportation Staging Areas in Brentwood and the Portsmouth Circle Business Center for activation.
The State of Maine and York County EOCs were activated with key staff members. Representatives from the State were dispatched to the ME IFO.
NHY Offsite Response Organization (ORO) personnel were mobilized and activated the Offsite Response Organization EOC and Staging Area. Contacts were made with simulated Commonwealth of Massachusetts officials to coordinate response actions. ,
+
At 1130 rygen bottle in the Emergency Feedwater (EFW) Pumphouse was damaged during m ment. The high pressure gas release propelled the bottle into piping and valves associated with the Turbine Driven Emergency Feedwater (EFW) Pump where it exploded. By rendering the pump inoperable, the missile impact and subsequent explosion required a Site Area Emergency to be declared. Operators suspended the power decrease pending operability verification of the motor driven EWF pump. i The NH State EOC, IFO, Media Center, Staging Area's and selected Host Community Reception and Decontamination Centers were fully activated. Accident conditions and Protective Action Recommendations (PARS) were assessed. The State l
l
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ - E
lie alert system activation. Participating local EOCs were fully f EOC authorized ,
( staffed and asse resource requirements to support an evacuation.
The Stat f Maine EOC and Media Center, and the York County EOC were operational and continued monitoring the accident conditions.
Following notification of a Site Area Emergency, Reception Centers, the Emergency Worker Facility and Monitoring Trailers were fully staffed. Evacuation support, traffic control and field monitoring personnel prepared for a potential evacuation. NHY ORO management continued coordination efforts with simulated Commonwealth of Massachusetts officials.
Later, total weld failure allowed RCS Cold Leg "B" to separate from the reactor vessel and the subsequent large break LOCA caused a reactor trip and safety injection.
With the failure of Containment Building Spray (CBS) Pump P-98, and containment heat and lodine removal capability was lost. The rapid RCS depressurization caused significant fuel cladding degradation and an attendant increased in coolant activity. The increased inventory of released fission products resulted in containment dose rates exceeding 25,000 rem per hour and a General Emergency was declared. During the e reflood phase, hydrodynamic forces drove some of the previously detected loose p into various fuel assemblies. It resulted in severe mechanical cladding damage and f pellet erosion which distributed alkaline earth and metal fission products into the react I coolant.
(
New Hampshire, Maine, NHY ORO, and local emergency response personnel
( continued to assess conditions and implemented actions to support protective action decisions. Congregate Care Centers were opened to provide temporary shelter for New Hampshire evacuees.
The Offsite Response EOC coordinated the deployment of evacuation support,
~
traffle control and field monitoring p;rsonnel from the Staging Area. Monitoring trailers at the Reception Centers and Emergency Worker Facility provided radiological monitoring and contamination. Congregate Care Centers were opened to provide temporary sheltet for Massachusetts evacuees.
LOCA induced containment pressure and temperature stresses caused a penetration assembly to lose integrity which allowed the containment atmosphere to vent from the contain t to the containment enclosure area. Radioactive gases and steam then circulated t h the Emergency Exhaust Filter Fan Units and out the plant vent to the environme As the release progressed, the efficiency of the HEPA and charcoal filters was reduced due to water condensation in the filter banks. Plant vent Wide Range Gas Monitor (WRGM) readings and offsite monitoring revealed significant releases from the station. Evaluation of in-plant and radiological conditions resulted in Protective Action Recommendations by the utility.
CBS Pumps P-98 and P-9A, which had been out of service at the start of the scenario, were returned to service at 1630 and 1645 respectively and resulted in lower containment pressure and airborne lodine concentrations. Containment pressure
/
( continued to drop until the pressure differential between containment and the enclosure
area was negligible. With the reduction and eventual subsidence of the pressure driving force, plant vent r ase rates were reduced and terminated.
In order allow adequate time for the formulation and implementation of a post-accident en nmental sampling plan, offsite radiological assessment personnel were informed at 1800 of the radiological release termination at 1900. They were provided projected plume history and monitoring information to be used in the sampling plan development effort.
At 2000, drill activities were suspended for most participants until 0700 on June 29, 1988. Offsite radiological assessment personnel continued working on the environmental sampling plan.
Exercise activities resumed at 0700 on June 29 with a one hour briefing session by the day 1 second shift and controller for offsite radiological assessment personnel which served as a " shift turnover" to those players. They were provided packages containdg historical response information related to their assigned positions as well as current post accident conditions. Specific discussions centered on the formulation and validation of the plume deposition footprint. The information packages, poet accide'nt conditions and turnover briefings were provided by assigned controllers. The exerci resumed at 0800 for all remaining player personnel with a one hour briefing session wh!
served as a "shif t turnover." Players were provided packages containing histori response information relating to their assigned positions as well as current post accide initial conditions. The information packages, accident conditions, and turnover briefings were provided by assigned controllers. Radiological assessment personnel continued with activities already underway.
Accident conditions at the resume of play established that the station in Mode 5, Cold Shutdown entered recovery phase operations. The radioactive plume had completely dispersed but all evacuation and sheltering advisories issued the previous day remained in effect. Several communities had deposition levels on pasture grass that could lead to iodine concentration in milk in excess of emergency Protective Action Guidelines (PAGs) for ingestion pathway while other communities exceeded preventive PAGs for ingestion pathway.
Exercise play was commenced at 0900. Initial player actions focused on sampling of contaminated areas including identification of federci assistance requirements.
Exclusion area actions were determined and implemented. Sampling teams were dispatched to obtg and return environmental samples for laboratory analysis. News releases were deWoped to disseminate Ingestion Pathway Zone (IPZ) related public information. NRC, FEMA, Department of Energy (DOE), Westinghouse and American Nuclear Insurers (ANI) Interfaces were established.
Day 2 also included activities which allowed participants to meet various non-IPZ related exercise objectives, e.g., MS-1 hospital response. These activities were driven by mini-scenarios.
At 1400, for Maine and 1650 for NHY ORO and NH. a 3 day time jump occurred. Exercise radiological assessment personnel were provided plume deposition l
l l
7 .
NEW HAMPSHIREYANKEE SEABROOK STATION 1988 FEMNNRC GRADED EXERCISE 10.3.2 FORECAST MESSAGES O .
l O 237EX
O WEATHER SERVICES INTERNATIONAL REPORT NOTE The following WSI forecast reports and weather summaries are provided to encompass the exercise timeframe. Information will be provided by exercise controllers.
O O
10.3.2.1 88 03-037EX Player Handout
i i
291945 0600 - 1200 Forecast ABU530 KCON O State Weather Summary National Weather Service Concord NH 0404 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 Skies across the granite state were cloudy during the late night and early morning. Temperatures were below normal, generally in the low fifties across the state. This was about 10 degrees below normal. Winds are currently out of the West.
Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool with winds picking up late in the day. A low pressure front moving up the coast is expected to move inland and will collide with the weak high pressure area stalled over us. This front will swing the wind around to out of the south by tonight and bring mo4t humid air to the region. There is the chance of widely scattered brief showers and fog along the coast later tonight.
On the weather map...an area of low pressure was centered just off the New England coast this morning. This front moving through the area will bring overcast and cool weather for the area over the next few hours. Outlook for O, week is improved with warming temperatures and partly cloudy skies in the forecast.
WK O 88-03 037EX Player Handout 10.3.2.2
m-- _ _ _ - - - - - -- -
New Hampshire Zono F: recast i National Weather Service Portland ME l
NH 07 - Coastal 0404 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 with winds out of the This morning... steadily increasing temperatures, Cloudy, POP 10 percent.
West 2 to 5 mph. Temperatures in mid to upper fifties.
Light winds from the West-This aftemoon... mild tempemtures high 65 to 70.
Northwest 2 to 5 mph, changing to out of the East 2 to 5 mph. POP 15 pe 60s. Winds from the Southwest 5 to Tonight... mild temperatures low in mid 10 mph with continued cloud cover and early evening fog with low vis POP 60 percent New Hampshire Zone Forecast .
National W.eather Service Portland ME NH06 - Southern Interior 0403 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 West winds 2 to 5 mph.
This morning ... Steady temperatures in low sixties.
POP 10 percent.
Winds changing This afternoon ... Cloudy but mild temperatures high near 70.
over to East at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent.
Continued cloud cover from the low Tonight... mild temperatures low 60 to 65. Fog in low lying areas, som pressure system off New England.
scattered showers. POP 60 percent O
88 03 037EX Player Handout 10.3.2.3 f
South:m New England Farecast National Weather Service Boston MA f
A MA01 - Merrimack and Nashubs Valleys MA 0410 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 This moming ... continued cloudy and cool temperatures high in low sixtie .
Overcast with West winds 2 to 5 mph. POP 10 percent This afternoon ... cloudy, high 65 to 68. Winds from East 2 to 5 mph. P percent. .
overnight lows 60 to 65. Winds from Southwest 5 to '
Tonight... mostly cloudy, 10 mph. Coastal fog and scattered showers POP 60 percent Marine Zone Forecast National Weather Service Portland ME ME14 - Southwest Coast 0430 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 with winds out of the This morning... steadily increasing temperatures, Cloudy, POP 10 percent.
West 2 to 5 mph. Temperatures in mid to upper fifties.
g Light winds from the West-This afternoon... mild temperatures high 60 to 65.
Northwest 2 to 5 mph, changing to out of the East 2 to 5 mph. POP 15 p Winds from the Southwest 5 to 1(
Tonight... mild temperatures low in mid 50s.
mph, with continued cloud cover and early evening fog with low 60 percent I
O. 10.3.2.4 88 03-037EX Player Handout ,
_g_.
ABU530 !(CON 291945 1200 - 1800 Forecast State Weather Summary National Weather Service Concord, NH 1015 AM GST TUES JUN 28,1988 f it was a cool and cloudy morning across the Granite State as a large low l-pressure system continued to move up and off the New England coast.
Temperatures were slightly below normal today with the Mercury climbing into the mid 50s north and the low 60s south. Winds were out of the west 2 to 5 mph.
This afternoon will bring.
A mostly cloudy sky will blanket the State today.
changing winds, as a low pressure front continues to push through the area.
Temperatures will reach a high of 65 to 70 then decrease slightly through the evening hours. Winds will be changing over to out of the East bringing cool offshore breezes causing local coastal fog and reduced visibility. By morning most lows will be in the high 50s.
On the Weather map...a low pressure front continuing to move off the Northeast coast, will be moving in over the region instead of out to sea. Tnis should bring i cool off shore breezes this afternoon with resulting coastal fog. A high pres system from the Great Lakes region is pushing east and should pass across The rest of the week is shaping region by Wednesday clearing out the clouds.
up to be mild and seasonal with increasing temperatures through the weekend.
KRM 88 03-037EX O
Player Handout 10.3.2.5 i
- - - - - ~ ~ _
New Hampshire Zsna Ferocasts ,
National WCCth:r S rvica Portland ME
"" 7 ****'
('~N u/ 1015 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 This afternoon ... cloudy with cooling temperatures. high 65 to 68. Moderate winds from the East 2 to 5 mph. POP 60 percent.
I Tonight ... Cloudy, Decreasing temperatures in low 60s. Winds out of East 2 to 5 j mph. Coastal fog and scattered showers low visibility. POP 90 percent.
Wednesday... clearing partly cbudy, high 75 to 80, winds changing to out of the Southwest 5,to 10 mph.
New Hampshire Zone Forecast .
National Weather Service Portland ME NH06 - Southern Interior .
1018 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 This. afternoon ... Continued Cloudy. high 68 to 70. Winds changing from the
\ Northwest to East 2 to 5 mph. POP 50 percent.
Tonight ... Continued cloudy. Overnight lows in low 60s. Winds changing to from the Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 70 percent.
Wednesday... clouds start to move out. high 75 to 80. Light winds changing to the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent I
10.3.2.6 88-03-037EX Player Handout
r - .- - - . - - - - -
South:m New EngI:nd Fcrocast i
National Weather Service Boston MA MA01 - Merrimack and Nashua Valleys MA 1018 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 This attemoon ... Continued Cloudy. high 68 to 70. Winds changing from the Northwest to East 2 to 5 mph. POP 50 percent.
Tonight ... Continued cloudy. Overnight lows in low 60s. Winds changing to from 1
the Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 70 percent.
Wednesday... clouds start to move out. high 75 to 80. Light winds changing to the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent Maine Zone Forecast National Weather Service Portland ME ME14 - Southwest Coast
- 1020 AM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 This afternoon ... cloudy with cooling temperatures. high 62 to 65. Moderate winds from the East 2 to 5 mph. POP 60 percent.
Tonight ... Cloudy, Decreasing temperatures in high 50s. Winds out of East 2 to 5 mph. Coastal fog and scattered showers low visibility. POP 90 percent.
Wednesday... clearing partly cloudy, high 75 to 78, winds changing to out of the Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
t l
10.3.2.7 88-03 037EX l Player Handout l 1
l I
l
/3 l l3tj I
291945 1800 - 2400 FORECAST ABU530 KCON State Weather Summary National Weather Service Concord, NH 1435 PM EST TUES JUN 281988 Skies across the Granite State were cloudy today with mild temperatures.
Temperatures were generally in the low 70s in the interior, upper 60s near the coast. Winds out of North-northwort 2 to 5 mph.
Conditions today are expected to get worse as the low pressure front moves over land bringing cooler offshore breezes. Temperatures are expected to continue to decrease causing locally heavy fog along the coastal region to Low visibility combined with locally heavy scattered several miles inland.
showers will make traveling hazardous .
On the weather map ... The low pressure front continues to, move to the Northwest acror: New England. Winds will be shifting to out of the East and then out of the South as the front tracks through. A high pressure system t,o the This system will bring west continues. to move towards eastern New England.
clear skies and moderate temperatures by tomorrow and for the next several O days.
WL New Hampshire Zone Forecast National Weather Service Portland ME NH07 Coastal l 1440 PM EST TUES JUN 281988 Tonight ... Cloudy, Easterly winds 5 to 10 mph. Fog and patches of rain over the region. Temperatures in the low 60s . Clearing trend towards early morning P 85 percent.
Winds Wednesday ... Clearing. partly cloudy, Warm temperatures high in 80s from the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent Wed night... Clear. Iow 60 to 65. Winds, Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent.
10.3.2.8 88 03 037EX Player Handout 1 \
N l fly New Hampshire Zona Ferocast National Weather Service Portland ME
~
NH06 Southern Interior 1434 PM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 Tonight ... Cloudy, Easterly winds 5 to 10 mph. Fog and patches of rain over the region. Temperatures in the low 60s . Clearing trend towards early morning 85 percent.
Wednesday ... Clearing partly cloudy, Warm temperatures high in 80s Winds from the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent Wed night... Clear. Iow 60 to 65. Winds, Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 i percent.
Southern New England Forecast l
National Weather Service Boston MA l
MA01 - Merrimack and Nashuba Valleys MA.
1428 PM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 Tonight ... Cloudy, Easterly winds 5 to 10 mph. Fog and patches of rain over region. Temperatures in the low 60s . Clearing trend towards early morning W 85 percent.
Winds Wednesday ... Clearing partly cloudy, Warm temperatures high in 80s from the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent Wed night... Clear. Iow 60 to 65. Winds, Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent.
{
~
l 88-03-037EX O
Player Handout 10.3.2.9 l l
p -,
l Mdne Zona Ferocast i Nnti:nci WCcth r S rvice Pert!End ME p ME14 - Southwest Coast i
1431 PM EST TUES JUN 28,1988 i
Tonight ... Cloudy, Easterly winds 5 to 10 mph. Fog and patches of rain over the ;
region. Temperatures in the MLD 50s . Clearing trend towards early morning 85 percent.
Wednesday ... Clearing partly cloudy, Warm temperatures high in 70s Winds from the west at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent Wed night... Clear. Iow 55 to 60. Winds, Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. POP 20 percent.
9 0
~
O 10.3.2.10 r;8-03 037EX Player Handout
--. _________________________________}
ATTACHMENT 3 /b /3y O
METPAC RESULTS O
88-03-037EX l
MIElU M KTPAC V4.0 - P'JE TMCKI"] AND DOIE ASSEISPUT PROGRAM DAfi nNO ffE GFt MQICAM *18 "0/IAM #f1 hgG OgT 14:00 A
RELEASE CONTINUING g,RIT:Ost N /2t/st (3:30
( STACIRELEASE 06/28/96 13:85 06/28/88 14:00 06/22/38 ,$4:00 k ANALYS;S 13:45 TO 06/29/89 . 14:00)
METEOROLOGY: (FROM 06/29/88 .
OELTA TDPERATURE PRECIPITATION $0'.AR R&*:ATI3 LM.EYl3!M TCxER L0iE1 K143 S'lD MINC DEG F/3H LE6 C/100R STAB - -IN/15 IIR (FACM)
SECTQR MIX
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tsPH) (MIS) des . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
.. ..._ 0.00 0.75 y -1.8 -2.0 A ELPiATE: 1.0 0.45 281.
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RADIOLOGICAL:
(FROM 06/28/es . 13:45 TO 06/28/gg .
_STTE BOUNDARY INFORMATION AT 14:00 ELfVATED RELE D L LIMIT - SITETCT4L AREAACC;:ML". AID THYR:!D DOSE !.41E-02i 1000 M FAD!'.'S
!CTAL #::::rLA*D GA?MA 2:!E 5.19E 41 aA TOTAL C" RIES ICD 111E RD.!A!G 1.79E+01 C1 i;TAL CtK:ES RC. G S C 1.09E4:C1 t*S7785**Uit*US (WI.rf *WRCfD DOS! Fi!! isrtP1 Tit.!I W C f !!OY "?!? A*i 1Y.r*KPAT!C1 MODEL Ftr.D CCR C TM REL RATE ISD 3;P.PA 110 lE?. 1/E LE? 3 F'.UTE CI57 36 nunL siEJ C3 CH RELfacilsn);SE AATE 15G (R/hr) (R/hn MI ti;Cl/su) USE (s/9.ts!) (s/R1131 (:l*tt:1 MI CE3 laA/hr) isR/tM M!
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10.00' 101. 23:45 2.28X+0! 1.1:7E-02 PROTECTIVE ACTION RECOMMENDATIONS I 4 HR EVAC 4 HR SvE8 4 HR EV C 4 HR Ebt 2 HR EVAC 2 NR SFE'. 2 H!! EVAC 2 NR SHE;.
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I (M) IX5) (aR) 0.60 101. i.;0!E+0: 7.47!E C S.6!6E-01 7.572E-3; 0.60 101. 4 tCE 4 3.n7E.02 4. NEE-01 3.246E 41 !.00 101. !.CSE+02 1.93:E42 4.U6E-0; 3.i9E-01' 1.00 101. 2.767E 42 2.491E*02 2.tiEE-01 1.64tE-0! 2.00 101.' 3.415E+02 3.076EC 2.29!E-01 2.00AE41 2.00 101. 1.709E+0* 1.538E42 1.14!E-01 B.590E 4 3.00 101. 1.972+02 2.24eE42 1.166EC 1.;60E-0:
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(FROM 06/28/98 . 14:00 TO 06/28/88 . 14: 15)
METEOROLOGY:
CELIA TEY DATURE FRECIPliAi!CN SCLAR UCIATICM UX2LEYl.14 i TCWER LGT. VIO SPED MINSSECTOR DIR (FROMI DES F/DH DG C/100M STAB IX/15 MIN ."..... 4 (MPH) (5/S) XS .
I 0.00 0.75 l 0.45 282. inal -1.7 -1.9 E'.EWTC 1.0 j
RADIOLOGICAL: (FROM 06/28/98
. 14: 00 TO 06/28/88 . 14: 15)
LgCA= 3 S. ACE CONCDTRATION 1.4300E*01uC1/CC STIC RELUSE RATE 1.69
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IETPAC V4.0 - P.15E TRACKl~3 AND 80fE ASIG80T P90EMR BATE An TIE IFi EI')A/YR 4:4 40/T,A/YR *:4 SEABROOK STATION PLUME POSITION AT 15:00 SWTDON 06/28/98 13:30 RELEASE CONTINUING
- STACK RELEASE 06/28/II 13
- 45 t ANALYll5 04/2t/88 14:00 06/28/98 !!:00 (FROM 06/28/88 14:45 TO 06/28/88 . 15:00)
METEOROLOGY -
DELTA TDFGATllRE PREtlPITATION SOLARRA:14T!*N TONG LEVEL N!NC ! PED WIND D!R IFROM) IN/15 RIN LANELEY/ MIN (PH) IM/5) DEE SECTOR DG F/M DG C/100R STAB .... . . . .
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LCCA = 3 7.6 00E+09 uti/SEE FLOW RATE !.17t*E+C8 cc/in STACK C:'8 CENTRATION 6.8700E 41 util:t STACKRELDSERATE RCMITOR REU;'t ! i;*ED ;3 CALCULATION SITE BOUNDARY INFORMATION AT 15:00 ELEVATED RELEASE 1000 9 RA:!;S EAL LIMIT -- EENEAL TOTA'. A00;;l"CLATDSSA. A DCf! !!9E*03aR TCTALACCCELATEDTRYRDIDDC!! 1.E'E-0! R T*.TAL CUR *G RELUID 6.54E46 Cl T:~AL CURIG 10 CINE RELEA!G 1.08E*03Ci turauf TRYtotD DCs! ta i igr t JT:3 t!!:t ? s rac 3; wwCLE Ba Y D !! uit ime AT10!:
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DATE Alle TM Fi E/M/YR W:MR ne/H/Yt IR:ns SEABROOK STATION PLUME POSITION AT 15:15 5181rt10sl M/28/SI 13:30 RELEASE CONTINUING STACK RELEASE M/24/88 13:4:
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METEOROLOGY (FROM 06/28/98 . 15:00 TO 06/28/89 . 15:15) l ELTA TEMPERATURE FRECIPITATICM $3LAR RADIAI DM TOWER LEVEL WIND SPEED WIND DIR (FROR)
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- KR EVAC 2 HR SHE 2 HR EVAC 2 HR SHEL DIST As6 EAR.'IA COSE SA S A Mil N IWY DD !Xi IMY Z DIST AHG EAP.V MSE EnnnA DOSE IMF TWY D0 W ThT 00 (d) (d) (R) (U (R) (XII (DES)
(MI) (:ES: (d) (di (R) 0.60 119. 2.Ctt04 2.;t E44 1.290E41 1.::CE41 0.60 119. 1. 12 41 1.Ci!E44 6.4CE*00 4.3:9E C 1.00 !!9. 1.B90E+C8 1.701E+0A 1.C 4E41 !.r*E4 1.00 119. 9.451!43 8.506EC 7.615E40 5.71&E+00 :.00 119. 7.81 2+0! 6.67:E+0' !.2CE+00 !.:ltE C 2.00 .19. !.707E43 :.!36E+03 2.9CE40 2.192+00 0.00 119. 3.780EC :.402< 2.dHE-00 .4E*Em 1.00 1 7. 1.!90E41 1.701E 03 1.1:9E40 1.06*E+00 4.00 119. 2.2 :E-03 2.297E 0; :.!!!E+00 1.61 2 -00 8.00 119. 1.*76E43 !.149E+03 9.274E-01 6.95!E-01 5.00 119, 2.107E43 1.E97E C 1. tite C 1. 0*E G 5.00 119. 1.0!*E43 9.462+02 7.447E41 !.25E41 6.00 119. 1.600E+0! 1.6*0E C 1.*41E-00 1.066! 4 0 e.00 M9 E.liBE C E.09EI C 6.202E-01 4.65'E4! 7.00 219. 1.!7*E C 1.8:eE m !.06CE 40 9.39Ec 7.00 M9. 7.567EC 7.*%E42 5.00241 3.977E-01 !.00 118 1.* CEC :.*f 0E4* 6.ItaEC B.07"E41
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MG/ DAM 19tNN N0/DA/YR NftMN SE0 BROOK STATION JTE Asl TDE Ft PLUME POSITION AT 15:30
$)tlTDgm 06/2t/98 13:30 RELEASE CONTINUING 06/21/II 13:45
-[ Q
-) STACK RELD IE A36ALYSIS 06/28/88 14:00 06/28/86 15:30 METEOROLOGY (FROM 06/28/98 . 15:15 TO 06/29/98 . 15:50$
70WER LEVEL VIND SPED NIND DIR (FRCM) DELTATEMPGATURE PRECIPliAT:3 !:'JR R *IAt:3 DE3 FIDM DES C/100R STA) IN/t! MIN LANSLE?/3;X (PPH) (M/51 DEE SEtitR .... . .. _ ....
1.34 309. NW -1.6 -1.8 8 0.00 0.70 C.IVATO 3.0 RADIOLOGICAL: (FROM 06/29/88 . 15:15 TO 06/28/89 . 15:30)
LOCA = 3 STACI C';;CENTRATICN 6.4:00E 4: uti/C STACK REL U i! 8 ATE 7.5400E+09 vCi/SC FLOW Rai! :.;79:I+08 ::/ti:
P.0417:R REA:lMi. !D IN CALCL"Ji!3
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IETPAC V4.0 - PUAE TRAQ:13 Aill DOSE A$EESSMDIT PROGRAN ELEVOTED RELEASE PLUME PROJECTION FROM 15:15 ETRAIGHT LINE PLUME PROJECTION INFORMATION SAMA D.R. IF M *R SAMA I/G DE*LE7D !/2 DPC5!T!3 DIST All8 ARRIVAL TIPE (SEC/Pl!31 LSEC/R11 1 (:/Rit:)
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PROTECTIVE ACTION RECOMMENDATIONS 4 H EVAC 4 WR SHEL 4 HR EVA 4 HR ShEL
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15:30 TO 06/28/88 15: 45)_.
(FROM 06/28/88 METEOROLOGY LELTATEYERATURE PRECIPITAi!CN SOLAltRAI!AT*0X TOWER LEVEL WIND SPED k!ND t!R (FROM) IN/15 RIX LANSLEY/H;N
' (MPM) (R/S) DES SETOR DES F/CH DES C/100R STAB . .. .. ..... ... _ .. ,
0.72 l
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LOCA s 3 7.! 00E49 util!C F'.0W RATE !.:20!!48c:/ste STACK C*N*INTRATI:s 6.*800r+0: util:C $7ACK RELEA!E RATI MOXITCR KG:'N35 USC IN CAL *ULAi!CM SITE POUNDARY INFORMATION AT 15: 45 ELEVATED RELEASE 1000 M FA0!'.'S D L L:"!T ~ EE'.'!M L AC:L."Jin im::: g:;g 2.stE 40 R
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04/07/98 11 28 IETPE V4.0 - PL15E 7thCET] AND BOSE ASSEIPElf PRGERAM ELEVOTED RELEOSE PLUME PROJECTION FROM 15130 ETRAIGHT LINE PLUME PROJECTION INFORMATION sm S O A D.R. IltF THY CR 64RMA r/G DEPLETED I/2 CEtC!!?!3 (1/p!!I)
/ DIST 458 ARRIVAL TIME (SE:/Ri!3) (SEClatt3)
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5.447E+03 1.161!4 0 6.42cE-06 1.426E-06 1.110E-Ci 0.60 139. 15142 5.941E-06 4.18!E-06 3.!!!E-08 1.00 139. !! !0 !.04tE+03 3.:7 E 00 3.093E46 2.9!!E-06 2.376E-09 2.00 139. 16:10 2.62!E+03 2.40!E+00
, 1.400E+03 1.347t+00 1.74!! 4 6 !.6:!!-06 1.3 2E-09 3.00 139. 16130 1.!!0E46 !.MBE-06 3.274E49 4.00 1 9. 16t!0 9.41!E+02 8.367E-01 6.96;E-07 !.400E-09 6.511E42 5.66!E-01 7.674E-07 5.00 139. 17810 5.61!E-07 5.027E47 4.04!E-09 6.00 !!1. 17:30 4.789E+02 4.090E-01 :. 23*,E47 3.')S2E49 3.7!0E42 3.!!9!41 4.37:E47 7.00 139. 17:50 3.!49E47 3.06PE-07.2.467E-C9 8.00 13. 18:10 3.0!!E+02 2.497E-01 2.547E+02 2.08!E-01 3.002E-07 2.!6*E-07 2.062!-O' 9.00 !!9. 188:0 2.!C9E-07 2.!!6!47 1.7CIE49 10.00 139. 19:50 2.129E+02 1.7tE-01 PROTECTIVE ACTION RECOMMENDATIONS A HR EVAC 4 HR SHE 4 HF EVAC 4 HR ML 2 R EV40 2 HR SHEL : HA EVAC 2 HR SFT. GAM?A DCSE GAF5A OCSI 17 IW C3 hF "XY lC DIST 36 (til D1!T AMG EMMA 3CSE 6AP.P.A 0:5E INF TW DO IXF THY 00 (di (R) (MI) (DES) id) (d) (R) n!) CE3: (d) . . .
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St!TD081 STACX RELEASE M/28/90 13:45 l g
ANALYSIS M/28/88 14:00 04/ B/88 16:00 \
N._ 1 16:00) i (FROM 06/28/88.. 15:45 TO 06/28/98 METEOROLOGY MLTAfilFERATWE PRECIPITATION SOLAR RA IAT!*N TOuul LEVEL lu/15 ntM ITAILANILIYIRIX (MPM1 ute (R/51 SPED K5 I!!Il SE:iCR CIR WRGRI --
DH F/ M dei C/100M 0.00 0.71
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l LCOA s 3 STACK CC:C ClilATICM P. blT:R REA01XS$ L;$D IN CALC'LATION J 6.3600E4: aC1/CC STACX RELEASE RATE 7.500 SITE BOUNDARY INFORMATION AT 16:00 EL'EVATED RELEASE 1000 M RA:!'.l5 EAL L:M:t - GEEEUL 7;7AL ACT A L4TU gar?.A DCSE 6.iOE+03 aR T3*AL AC:'JMUL4t!! THYRC:: OCSI :.a!!40 t TOTAL C:R!ES IODINE RE'.I4!D 1.!!!43 Ci TDIAL C' J RIES RELEASD 1.7%E47 Ci
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06/02/ 3 IltI2 IETPAC V4.0 - PUIE flWX1115 AIS DOSE ABIEsslet PROIRAN ELEVOTED RELEASE PLUME PROJECTION FROM 15:45 STRAIGHT LINE PLUME PROJECTION INFORMATf0N SAMMA 3.R. INF TifY SR 6ArMA f/t CE?LE*E3 I/G DE70517:0.1 315T M8 AM1 VAL TIPE (d/HR) (SClRit:1 (SEC/Mst31 (/nt:2)
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ANALYSIS M /28/88 14:00 04/28/98 16:15 METEOROLOGY (FROM 06/28/98 . 16:00 TO 06/28/98 . 16:15)
ELTA TDP0tATURE FRE!!PITAi!CN SOLAR RADIATI:1 TCIO LC/L1, NIND E'ED K13: Dit (FRCK) IN/15 RIN LANELEY/RIN (MPHI (H/S) DES EECIDR DES F/DH CE3 C/100ft STAB .. . ..... ..
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(FROM 06/29/99 16:30 TO 06/29/99 16: 45)
METEOROLOGY . .
DELTA TDPGATURE PRE:!PITAi!CX D'.AR UDIATION TDW G LEVEL VIND SPEED Mi @ DIR (FRUM1 LANSLEY!MIt IN/15 RIN (PH) (M/S)
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(,( IMUTD M ITAttRELEASE ARALYSIS 06/20/0E 13:45 06/28/06 14:00 04/29/II 17:00 METEOROLOGY (FROM 06/28/88 . 16:45 TO 06/28/88 . 17:00)
CE!.TA TEFSAftmf PRECIP!!AT!DN !DLAR RADIAf! 3 73ER LEVEL WIND BPED WIND D!t (FROM) DES FIDH DES C1100M ITA8 IN/15 RIN LANGLEY /M 3 (3PM) (M/5) MS SECTOR
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LCCA s 3 57/.C': C3 !NTRA7!DN !.I'00E 4: cC1/CC STACK REL!4!! RATE 6.8900E+09 uti r:1 T3 RD !NES USD In 3LO'.",.ATICE EITE BOUNDARY INFORMATION AT 17:00 ELEVATED RELEASE 1000 9 UD125 EAL L!ll!T ~ EENE AL 3.40!*00t iGTAL ACCUltJLATED Tm0!D ',C5!
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METEOROLOGY: (FROM 06/28/88 . 17:00 TO 06/28/88 , 17:15)
DELin IDPGATURE PRCIPITATICX f*LAR K;3;Ai*3 ICVG LEVEL WIQ SPED XIMt D:R (FRCRI IN/t! P.IN LMit.EYIE!1 (MPH) (R/!) DES DES FIDW CES C/1005 STAB . . ..
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!WU:Mit 06/28/99 13:30 RELEASE CONTINUING
,' SIAOK E!LIA5E 06/28/B8 13:45 ANALYSIS 06/;tl88 14:00 06/*E/58 12:1!
METEOROLOGY: (FROM 06/28/88 . 18:00 TO 06/28/88 . *8:15) l 1 ICNER LEVEL W!.43 EPED VIC DIR (FRCM) MLIAit'.PERATURE PRE!PlfAT!*X SOLARRALIAT:N OfiF/H MS C/100M STAB IN/15 MIM .33;EY/t:M trPH) (M/5) DES SECTCR EL!vatn 3.0 1.34 !?. DE 4.2 -0.2 E 0.00 0.67 RADIOLOGICAL (FROM 06/28/88 . 18:00 TO 06/28/98 . 18:15) LO;A = 3
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