NL-19-0850, Response to Request for Addition Information Regarding Application to Adopt Title 10 of Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 50.69, Risk-Informed Categorization and Treatment of Structures, Systems and ...
ML19197A097 | |
Person / Time | |
---|---|
Site: | Hatch |
Issue date: | 07/16/2019 |
From: | Gayheart C Southern Nuclear Operating Co |
To: | Document Control Desk, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
References | |
NL-19-0850 | |
Download: ML19197A097 (75) | |
Text
A Southern Nuclear Che ryl A. Gayheart Regulatory Affairs Director 3535 Colonnade Parkway 81rnungham, AL 35243 205 992 5316 tel 205 992 760 l fax JUL 1 6 2019 cagayhea@southemco com Docket Nos. : 50-321 NL-19-0850 50-366 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, D. C. 20555-0001 Edwin I. Hatch Nuclear Plant- Units 1 and 2 Response to Request for Addition Information Regarding Application to Adopt Title 10 of Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 50.69, "Risk-Informed Categorization and Treatment of Structures. Systems and Components for Nuclear Power Reactors" Ladies and Gentlemen:
By letter dated June 7, 2018 (Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML18158A583), Southern Nuclear Operating Company (SNC) submitted a license amendment request (LAR) for Edwin I. Hatch Nuclear Plant (HNP)
Units 1 and 2 to adopt Title 10 of Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 50.69, "Risk-informed categorization and treatment of structures, systems and components for nuclear power reactors."
By email correspondence dated April17, 2019, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff requested additional information to complete its review. The Enclosure provides the SNC response to the NRC request for additional information (RAI). Please note that the SNC response to NRC RAI 03 and RAI 12 will be provided shortly after SNC responds to the remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response (SNC letter NL-19-0536).
The conclusions of the No Significant Hazards Consideration and Environmental Consideration contained in the original LAR have been reviewed and are unaffected by this RAI response.
This letter contains no NRC commitments. If you have any questions, please contact Jamie Coleman at 205.992.6611 .
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on the 1snt day of July 2019.
Respectfully submitted, Director, Regulatory Affairs Southern Nuclear Operating Company
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission NL-19-0850 Page 2 CAG/RMJ
Enclosure:
SNC Response to NRC RAI cc: Regional Administrator, Region ll NRR Project Manager - Hatch Senior Resident Inspector - Hatch Director, Environmental Protection Division - State of Georgia RType: CHA02.004
Edwin I. Hatch Nuclear Plant - Units 1 and 2 Response to Request for Addition Information Regarding Application to Adopt Title 10 of Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 50.69, Risk-Informed Categorization and Treatment of Structures, Systems and Components for Nuclear Power Reactors Enclosure SNC Response to NRC RAI
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs RAI 01 (APLA/APLB) - Appendix X, Independent Assessment Process Paragraph 50.69(c)(1)(i) of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) requires the Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) to be of sufficient quality and be subjected to a peer review process assessed against a standard or set of acceptance criteria that is endorsed by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC).
Section 3.3 of the 10 CFR 50.69 License Amendment Request (LAR) states that resolutions to the Facts and Observation (F&Os) were reviewed and closed using the process in Appendix X to Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI) 05-04, NEI 07-12 and NEI 12-13, as documented in letter dated February 21, 2017 (Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS)
Package Accession No. ML17086A431), and as accepted by the NRC, with conditions in letter dated May 3, 2017 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17079A427).
Provide the following information to confirm that the Independent Assessments for closure of F&Os performed for the internal events PRA (IEPRA) (April 2017), the seismic PRA (SPRA)
(June 2017), and the fire PRA (FPRA) (October 2017), were performed consistent with the process accepted by the NRC, with conditions, in letter dated May 3, 2017:
a) Regarding closure of each F&O, confirm that the Independent Assessment team was provided with a written assessment and justification of whether the F&O resolution constitutes a PRA upgrade or maintenance update, as defined in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)/American Nuclear Society (ANS) RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard and qualified by Regulatory Guide (RG) 1.200, Revision 2 (ADAMS Accession No. ML090410014).
SNC Response:
Internal Events (including Internal Flood) PRA:
A full scope peer review for the Internal Events (including Internal Flood) PRA was performed in November 2009. A total of 25 Finding level F&Os were issued.
An Independent Assessment (IA) Team reviewed disposition of these 25 Finding level F&Os in April 2017. The IA Team was provided with a characterization of each Finding level F&O resolution as a PRA upgrade or maintenance update. The characterization was performed using guidance provided in RIE-001 procedure, which is consistent with ASME/ANS guidance.
The IA Team determined that disposition of 21 Finding level F&Os was satisfactory; therefore, these Findings were closed out. The IA Team agreed that the disposition of these 21 Finding level F&Os constituted PRA maintenance. The remaining four Finding level F&Os are not fully closed out as stated in the LAR. Two of these Finding level F&Os were determined to not impact the 50.69 application as stated in the LAR. A focused scope peer review is scheduled for the other two Finding level F&Os, as discussed later in this Enclosure.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Fire PRA:
A full scope peer review for the Fire PRA was performed in May 2016. A total of 61 Finding level F&Os were issued.
An Independent Assessment (IA) Team reviewed disposition of 61 Finding level F&Os in October 2017. The IA Team was provided with a characterization of each Finding level F&O resolution as a PRA upgrade or maintenance. The characterization was performed using guidance provided in RIE-001 procedure, which is consistent with ASME/ANS guidance.
The IA Team determined that disposition of all 61 Finding level F&Os was satisfactory; therefore, all Findings were closed out. The IA Team also determined that resolution of one Finding level F&O (20-18) constituted PRA Upgrade. As a result, a concurrent focused-scope peer review was performed to review a method that calculated time to cable damage due to exposure of a fire environment. The IA Team determined that the method was technically sound and provided a reasonable and realistic method for estimating time to cable damage due to exposure of a fire environment. No additional F&Os were issued as a result of the focused-scope peer review.
Seismic PRA:
A full scope peer review for the Seismic PRA was performed in October 2016. A total of 23 Finding level F&Os were issued.
An IA Team reviewed disposition of these 23 Finding level F&Os in June 2017. The IA Team was provided with a characterization of each Finding level F&O resolution as a PRA upgrade or maintenance. The characterization was performed using guidance provided in RIE-001 procedure, which is consistent with ASME/ANS guidance.
The IA Team determined that disposition of all 23 Finding level F&Os was satisfactory; therefore, all Findings were closed out. The IA Team also determined that a resolution of two Finding level F&Os (6-2 and 6-10) constituted PRA Upgrade. As a result, a concurrent focused-scope peer review was performed. The disposition of two Finding level F&Os affected one high level requirement (HLR) under the technical element SHA, namely HLR SHA-I. The SHA-I has two Supporting Requirements (SHA-I1 and SHA-I2).
The focused-scope peer review team determined that both Supporting Requirements met Capability Category II. No additional F&Os were issued as a result of the focused-scope peer review.
b) If the request made in part (a) above cannot be confirmed, then perform a subsequent Independent Assessment for F&O closure and/or addendum to the Independent Assessment report to address any identified inconsistencies with Appendix X, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017. Provide any F&Os that remain open as a result of this review. For each F&O and/or item that remains open, provide its associated disposition to demonstrate that it has no adverse impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 application.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SNC Response:
Four Finding level F&Os remain open for Internal Events (including Internal Flood) PRA Model. The impact of these F&Os on 10 CFR 50.69 application has been provided in the LAR submittal. Two of these Finding level F&Os were determined to not impact the 50.69 application as stated in the LAR. A focused scope peer review is scheduled for the other two Finding level F&Os, as discussed later in this Enclosure.
All Finding level F&Os have been closed out for Fire PRA and Seismic PRA models using the Appendix X process.
c) List all PRA upgrades, if any, identified during the IEPRA, FPRA and SPRA F&O closure.
For each upgrade, confirm that a focused-scope peer review was conducted and provide all F&Os that were generated from the focused-scope peer review, along with their associated dispositions for the application.
SNC Response:
Internal Events (including Internal Flood) PRA:
An Independent Assessment (IA) Team reviewed disposition of 25 Finding level F&Os in April 2017. The IA Team closed out 21 Finding level F&Os. The IA Team agreed that resolution of these F&Os constituted PRA maintenance. The remaining four Finding level F&Os are not fully closed out. The LAR provides a list of the four open Finding level F&Os. Two findings (1-15 and 4-5) have been characterized as a PRA upgrade.
As a result, a focused-scope peer review to address findings 1-15 and 4-5 is scheduled to be performed during July 2019. SNCs expectation is that this focused-scope peer review will resolve F&O 1-15 and 4-5, and that there will be no resulting F&Os. If there are any resulting F&Os from the focused-scope peer review that will not be closed prior to NRC approval of this amendment request, then SNC will propose a license condition stating these F&Os shall be closed using the Appendix X Independent Assessment Process, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017, prior to using the Internal Flooding PRA model for the implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
Fire PRA:
An Independent Assessment (IA) Team reviewed disposition of 61 Finding level F&Os in October 2017. The IA Team determined that resolution of one Finding level F&O (20-
- 18) constituted PRA Upgrade. As a result, a concurrent focused-scope peer review was performed to review a method that calculated time to cable damage due to exposure of a fire environment. The IA Team determined that the method was technically sound and provided a reasonable and realistic method for estimating time to cable damage due to exposure of a fire environment. No additional F&Os were issued as a result of the focused-scope peer review.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 1.1: Fire PRA Upgrades F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Disposition Assessment 20- Basis: Based on a FSS-D3 The time to Status: Closed 18 review of the fire CC-II Met damage for Basis: TECH-FRA-02 was modeling targets as reviewed to verify that this notebooks multiple determined by method is reasonable as fire modeling tools DAPHNE will be compared to the were utilized in the removed. The methodology presented in analysis to time to damage NUREG/CR-6850, Appendix realistically will be H. The method presented in characterize or determined using TECH-FRA-02 considers bound the fire an equivalent pre- heating of target cables scenarios. These exposure, and the effect of that heating include: fire damage integral on damage time as the fire modeling method. This environment changes.
workbooks as method equates Unlike Appendix H, this documented in the integrated method allows for variation Attachment 2 of H- heat flux of the in the exposure RIE- FIRE-U00- actual fire to the environment (temperature or 008A, the steady-state heat flux). The approach application of cases and thus seems sound and Appendix L in H- includes the reasonable for the RIE-FIRE-U00- target heating application; however, this is 008B, the use of prior to the judged to be an upgrade CFAST to support exposure due to the use of a new MCR abandonment reaching the method. According to the calculations in H- damaging guidance of Appendix X to RIE-FIRE-U00- temperature. NEI 05-04/07-12/12-13, a 008B, the use of focus peer review is required FDS to support a
Reference:
for this new method.
subset of the HGL TECH-FRA-02, A calculations in H- As such, a focused peer Heat Soak Method review of the new evaluation RIE-FIRE-U00- for Evaluating 008F, and the MQH method presented in Time to Cable Technical Procedure TECH-equation for the Damage.
HGL calculations FRA- 02, A Heat Soak performed in non- Method for Evaluating Time detailed fire to Cable Damage was modeling H-RIE- conducted concurrently by FIRE-U00-008E. Mr. Robert Ladd and Mr.
However, the James Lin to ascertain the application of fire acceptability of this, damage delay previously unreviewed, times provided in method. This review Appendix H of determined that the method NUREG/CR-6850 is technically sound and using the Daphne provides a reasonable and Tool may not bound realistic method for estimating time to cable E-4
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Disposition Assessment or realistically damage due to exposure of characterize the fire a fire environment. Based damage times. on this review this F&O is Appendix H of considered closed.
NUREG/CR-6850 provides delay times assuming a constant heat flux/temperature from t=0 and therefore consideration must be taken for the impact of a dynamic heat flux/temperature profile on the delay times. Therefore, a finding has been applied relative to the use of the Daphne Tool.
Seismic PRA:
An IA Team reviewed 23 Finding level F&Os in June 2017. The IA Team determined that a resolution of two Finding level F&Os (6-2 and 6-10) constituted PRA Upgrade. As a result, a concurrent focused-scope peer review was performed. The disposition of two Finding level F&Os affected one high level requirement (HLR) under the technical element SHA, namely HLR SHA-I. The SHA-I has two Supporting Requirements (SHA-I1 and SHA-I2). The focused-scope peer review team determined that both Supporting Requirements met Capability Category II. No additional F&Os were issued as a result of the focused-scope peer review.
Table 1.2: Seismic PRA Upgrades F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Assessment Disposition 6-2 The analyses used to Not Met A soil failure evaluation See evaluate the IPEEE SHA-I1 has been performed focused-analysis of soil using state of practice scope peer liquefaction, ground methods. Liquefaction review settlement, and slope triggering is screened in stability are largely as a credible soil failure qualitative in nature and mode. State-of-practice leave doubt about the empirical methodologies veracity of the conclusions. have been used to E-5
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Assessment Disposition estimate effects Basis: (principally vertical liquefaction-induced A rationale is provided for settlements) as a not using more recently function of seismic developed methods to hazard level. Multiple evaluate liquefaction methodologies have potential (e.g., Youd et al.,
been employed to 2001; Cetin et al., 2004; provide epistemic Idriss and Boulanger, uncertainty. Estimates 2008) based on the of liquefaction-induced observation that there is a vertical ground lack of consensus on these settlement are methods. However, it is performed based on noted that these new weighted averaging of methods are based on the methodologies very carefully crafted employed. The databases assembled by susceptibility of plant acknowledged experts to structures and buried develop mathematically structures to damage correct relationships. In from vertical settlements that context, the lack of is evaluated. Slope consensus may be viewed stability is screened as as epistemic uncertainty a credible soil failure that should be included in mode. Slope stability the analysis of liquefaction failure is postulated for triggering rather than one safety-related reasoned away. That slope. State-of-practice statement that the new methodology is used methods are biased estimate lateral slope because they include more deformations as a sites that have liquefied function of hazard level.
than not contradicts the The fragility of plant earlier assertion that commodities potentially regression analysis or affected by the lateral other mathematical slope deformations is techniques are used to provided for use in the obtain the most plant logic model.
mathematically correct relationships.
Finding is judged to be closed.
The assertion that new methods may introduce conservatisms that bias the results is puzzling.
First, as noted above, they are based on more rigorous mathematical E-6
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Assessment Disposition analyses than used in earlier methods where bounds between sites that have and have not liquefaction were often drawn subjectively.
Second, the deterministic methods employed in the IPEEE analyses have been shown to implicitly correspond to a probability of liquefaction equal to approximately 15%. It would preferable to use one or more new methods that explicitly calculate the probability of liquefaction in an effort to develop a median-centered estimate of the liquefaction hazard.
The method employed in the IPEEE to estimate Newmark displacements (i.e., Makdisi and Seed, 1978) is a decoupled method. More recently, studies have demonstrated that the decoupled approach may be either conservative or unconservative depending on the ratio of the fundamental period of the sliding mass to the predominant period of the ground motion and the ratio of the yield coefficient to the maximum horizontal equivalent acceleration.
These checks should have been performed before using the results from the IPEEE analyses.
In addition, several statements were made E-7
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Assessment Disposition with respect to perceived conservatisms in various assessments (e.g., the behavior of the concrete duct bank or shear strength of soils). Such statements are unsupported and speculative in nature.
Resolution:
The screening level analyses for soil liquefaction, ground settlement, and seismic slope stability/deformation should be updated to reflect advancements in the past 20 years sincethe IPEEE analyses were performed 6-10 Liquefaction triggering Not Met Liquefaction See analyses performed for the SHA-I1 triggering for the focused-FLEX travel paths indicate FLEX Travel scope peer that Paths review liquefaction should not be locations T-1, T-8 screened out. and T-9 screens in for localized liquefaction at Basis: depths >55 to 60-Liquefaction triggering ft. below round analyses performed for the surface. The FLEX travel paths at the effects of for borings T-8 and T-9 liquefaction are indicate that the factors of summarized by safety against liquefaction seismic hazard (FS) are 1.0 and 1.3, level. A study is respectively, for a performed to groundwater table at show that the Elevation 77 ft. Although loose sands at the FS are 1.0 or above, depth in these analyses (e.g., Idriss and locations are not Boulanger, 2010) show present under or that the probability of adjacent to the liquefaction associated Unit 2 Reactor with FS = 1.0 is Building and Unit approximately 15%, i.e., 2 Radwaste E-8
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs F&O F&O Description Peer Review SNC Disposition IA Team Assessment Disposition not negligible. Both soil Building. The Unit borings are located with 2 Reactor Building approximately 200 ft. of the is assessed for Reactor Building. The liquefaction layer(s) with the lowest FS triggering in terms are at a depth of 60-70 ft. of the soil beneath below ground surface the structure.
(bgs); the foundation of the Reactor Building is at a Finding is judged depth of 54 ft. bgs. On this to be closed.
basis alone, liquefaction should not have been screened out from further consideration.
Resolution:
Liquefaction-related ground failure should screen in.
Additional analyses should be performed to assess the frequency of hazard occurrence and the magnitude of hazard consequences per SHA-I2 d) Appendix X guidance states in part, [t]he relevant PRA documentation should be complete and have been incorporated into the PRA model and supporting documentation prior to closing the finding. For closure of F&O(s) after the on-site review, Appendix X guidance explicitly states, [t]he host utility may, in the time between the on-site review and the finalization of the independent assessment team report, demonstrate that the issue has been addressed, that a closed finding has been achieved, and that the documentation has been formally incorporated in the PRA Model of Record [MOR].
- i. Confirm that all model changes associated with the closure of all F&Os reviewed during the Independent Assessment performed in May 2017 were incorporated into the PRA and/or the supporting documentation at the time of the finalization of the Independent Assessment team report, consistent with Appendix X, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff via letter dated May 3, 2017 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17079A427).
SNC Response:
The seismic PRA Model of Record (MOR) includes all changes associated with the closure of all Finding level F&Os reviewed during the Independent Assessment performed in May 2017.
OR ii. Propose a mechanism that assures all the PRA model logic and all documentation changes reviewed by the Independent Assessment team for the closure of all F&Os in E-9
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs the final Independent Assessment report are incorporated into the MOR(s) prior to implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 risk-informed categorization.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable due to the response in part 1(d)(i).
RAI 02 (APLA) - Internal Flooding Open F&O 4-5, Credit for Manual Flood Isolation Internal flooding F&O 4-5 related to supporting requirement IFSN-A10 and IFQU-A5 identified that no credit is taken for the manual isolation of floods.
The independent assessment team identified that this F&O identifies a major modeling issue with internal flooding, and that it constitutes significant changes from the previously peer reviewed model. The licensees disposition states that this is a documentation issue with no impact on the application, and:
[T]he original flooding evaluation credited manual isolation of flooding using some screening values and some detailed [human reliability analysis] (HRA). A subsequent revision removed all credit for isolation but performed a flooding screening analysis. Then a third revision re-applied the previous HRA analysis to the scenarios that passed the screening.
a) Clarify whether the internal flooding PRA (IFPRA) model that will be used for the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process credits manual flooding isolation.
SNC Response:
The internal flooding PRA model that will be used for 10 CFR 50.69 categorization credits manual flooding isolation. As a point of clarification, the current Model of Record already credits manual flooding isolation. The resolution of F&O 4-5 has been determined to be PRA upgrade in accordance with the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA standard. A focused-scope peer review to address findings 1-15 and 4-5 is scheduled to be performed during July 2019. SNCs expectation is that this focused-scope peer review will resolve F&Os 1-15 and 4-5, and that there will be no resulting F&Os. If there are any resulting F&Os from the focused-scope peer review that will not be closed prior to NRC approval of this amendment request, then SNC will propose a license condition stating these F&Os shall be closed using the Appendix X Independent Assessment Process, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017, prior to using the Internal Flooding PRA model for the implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
b) If the IFPRA does not credit manual flooding isolation, provide justification for why this exclusion has no adverse impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 application.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable due to the response in 2(a).
c) If the IFPRA credits manual flooding isolation, address the following:
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs
- i. Provide date of when the version of the PRA model that credits manual flooding isolation was peer reviewed, and a brief description of the PRA model that was peer reviewed (e.g, detailed HEPs developed, screening values applied, etc.).
SNC Response:
The internal flooding PRA model and associated comprehensive report were developed by a vendor and delivered to SNC in January 2009. The PRA model developed by the vendor contained credit for manual flooding isolation operator action and derivation of detailed HEP for select operator actions.
After SNC took ownership of the Internal Flooding PRA model, the SNC model owner removed credit for the manual flooding isolation operator action. The SNC model owner created an addendum to the Internal Flooding PRA comprehensive report to document changes made to the logic model. However, the applicable chapters in the original report developed by the vendor were not revised to reflect removal of credit for the manual flooding isolation operator action.
A full scope peer review for Internal Events (including Internal Flooding) PRA was performed in November 2009. The peer review team was presented with a logic model that did not contain credit for manual flooding isolation operator action along with an addendum developed by the SNC model owner and the comprehensive report developed by the vendor. After reviewing the supplied information, the peer review team noted that although the SNC model owner removed credit for the manual flooding isolation operator action, additional flood targets were not failed as non-isolated floods would have failed them. Furthermore, the peer review team suggested that operator action should be added to the logic model to reflect how the plant would be operated in the event of flood.
Therefore, a finding level F&O was issued.
ii. Describe any further modeling changes that were performed in the PRA after the peer review identified in part (i) above (e.g., additional HEPs developed, HEPs removed, screening values applied, etc.).
SNC Response:
In order to resolve the peer review finding, the operator actions were added to the logic model. The Human Error Probabilities (HEPs) derived in the original vendor report (delivered to SNC in January 2009) were used. In addition, new HEPs were derived for additional flood scenarios that were not screened out when the internal flooding PRA model was updated. The methodology used to derive HEP for new operator actions was the same as that was used by the vendor and presented to the full scope peer review team.
Also, in 2018 the Internal Flooding model was updated to separate it from the Internal Events model and to update the HRA analysis of the flooding isolation actions. For the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process, the model of record for Internal Flooding will be used.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs iii. Provide justification for why the change to credit manual flooding isolation in the IFPRA is either a PRA upgrade or maintenance update in accordance with the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA standard.
SNC Response:
The resolution of F&O 4-5 has been determined to be a PRA upgrade in accordance with the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA standard. A focused-scope peer review to address findings 1-15 and 4-5 is scheduled to be performed during July 2019.
SNCs expectation is that this focused-scope peer review will resolve F&O 1-15 and 4-5, and that there will be no resulting F&Os. If there are any resulting F&Os from the focused-scope peer review that will not be closed prior to NRC approval of this amendment request, then SNC will propose a license condition stating these F&Os shall be closed using the Appendix X Independent Assessment Process, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017, prior to using the Internal Flooding PRA model for the implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
iv. If a PRA upgrade is determined in part (iii) above, confirm that a focused-scope peer review was conducted and provide the resulting F&Os along with the disposition for each F&Os impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 application. Alternatively, propose a mechanism in response to RAI 12 that ensures that, prior to implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process, a focused-scope peer review will be conducted for the credit for manual flood isolation in the IFPRA, and any resulting F&Os will be closed using the Appendix X Independent Assessment Process, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017.
SNC Response:
A focused-scope peer review to address findings 1-15 and 4-5 is scheduled to be performed during July 2019. SNCs expectation is that this focused-scope peer review will resolve F&Os 1-15 and 4-5, and that there will be no resulting F&Os. If there are any resulting F&Os from the focused-scope peer review that will not be closed prior to NRC approval of this amendment request, then SNC will propose a license condition stating these F&Os shall be closed using the Appendix X Independent Assessment Process, as accepted, with conditions, by the NRC staff in letter dated May 3, 2017, prior to using the Internal Flooding PRA model for the implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
RAI 03 (APLA) - Hatch FPRA under Review for Adoption to NFPA-805 Paragraphs 50.69(c)(1)(i) and (ii) of 10 CFR require a licensees PRA be of sufficient quality and level of detail to support the system, structures, and components (SSCs) categorization process, and that all aspects of the integrated, systematic process used to characterize SSC importance must reasonably reflect the current plant configuration and operating practices, and applicable plant and industry operational experience.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Section 3 of the 10 CFR 50.69 LAR states that a LAR was submitted requesting transition to the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection (ADAMS Accession No. ML18096A955). Attachment 1 of the 10 CFR 50.69 LAR lists several plant modifications that are credited in the FPRA risk estimates for the NFPA 805 LAR to meet the risk acceptance guidance of RG 1.174, Revision 3 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17317A256). Attachment S of the NFPA 805 LAR lists several implementation items (such as updating of the fire response procedures) that are also credited in the FPRA to meet the risk acceptance guidelines discussed in RG 1.174, Revision 3.
Because there is a potential for additional FPRA model changes to resolve requests for additional information (RAIs) associated with the staff determination of acceptability of the FPRA for approval of the Hatch adoption of NFPA 805 LAR that is currently under NRC staff review, address the following:
a) Confirm that all the NFPA 805 plant modifications, implementation items, and FPRA model changes necessary to resolve questions associated with the NFPA-805 LAR review are complete, or alternatively, propose a mechanism to ensure that all these items are complete prior to the implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process. This mechanism should also provide an explicit description of changes that will be made to the PRA model(s) and/or documentation to resolve the identified issues. An example would be a table of listed implementation items referenced in a license condition.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
b) Alternatively to item (a) above, address the following:
- i. Provide detailed justification that the NFPA 805 modifications, implementations items and FPRA model changes necessary to resolve questions associated with the NFPA-805 LAR review have no impact the PRA models (i.e., IEPRA, FPRA and SPRA) used for the 10 CFR 50.69 application.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
ii. If any plant modifications, implementations items or FPRA model changes necessary to resolve questions associated with the NFPA-805 LAR review are determined to impact the PRA models (i.e., IEPRA, FPRA and SPRA) and documentation, address the following:
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs
- 1. Provide explicit description for how they will be addressed in the PRA models that will be used for the 10CFR 50.69 categorization.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
- 2. Confirm the status of the plant modifications and how the PRA models will reflect the as-built and as-operated plant at the time of implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 process.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
- 3. Provide detailed description and justification for any alternative PRA modeling that is not subject to the NRC staff review for the NFPA-805 application or the 10 CFR 50.69 application (e.g., subsequent removal of credit for modifications).
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
iii. Provide any updated Core Damage Frequency (CDF) and Large Early Release Frequency (LERF) estimates resulting from removal of credit for the NFPA-805 modifications and/or implementation items to confirm that the acceptance criteria for total CDF and LERF values provided in RG 1.174, Revision 3 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17317A256) remain met.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
RAI 04 (APLA/APLB) - Process for Identification of Key Assumptions and Sources of Uncertainties Paragraphs 50.69(c)(1)(i) and (ii) require a licensees PRA to be of sufficient quality and level of detail to support the SSC categorization process, and that all aspects of the integrated, E-14
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs systematic process used to characterize SSC importance must reasonably reflect the current plant configuration and operating practices, and applicable plant and industry operational experience. The guidance in NEI 00-04, 10 CFR 50.69 SSC Categorization Guideline, (ADAMS Accession No. ML052910035), specifies sensitivity studies to be conducted for each PRA model. The sensitivity studies are performed to ensure that assumptions associated with these uncertainty parameters (e.g., human error, common cause failure, and failure probabilities) do not mask the SSC(s) importance.
LAR Section 4.1 identifies RG 1.174, Revision 2 (ADAMS Accession No. ML100910006), as an applicable regulatory requirement/criterion. RG 1.174 has been updated to Revision 3, dated January 2018 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17317A256). Regulatory Guide 1.174, Revision 3, cites NUREG-1855, Revision 1, Guidance on the Treatment of Uncertainties Associated with PRAs in Risk-Informed Decision Making (ADAMS Accession No. ML17062A466), as related guidance. In Section B of RG 1.174, Revision 3, the guidance acknowledges specific revisions of NUREG-1855 to include changes associated with expanding the discussion of uncertainties. LAR Section 3.2.7 states that the detailed process of identifying, characterizing and qualitative screening of model uncertainties is found in Section 5.3 of NUREG-1855, March 2009, Revision 0 (ADAMS Accession No. ML090970525) and Section 3.1.1 of EPRI Technical Report (TR)-1016737, Treatment of Parameter and Model Uncertainty for Probabilistic Risk Assessments. The NRC staff notes that for the IEPRA (includes internal flooding), FPRA, and SPRA models, only three, two, and five sources of uncertainty were identified, respectively.
NUREG-1855 has been updated to Revision 1 as of March 2017 (ADAMS Accession No. ML17062A466). The NRC staff notes that NUREG-1855, Revision 1, provides guidance in stages A through F for how to treat uncertainties associated with PRA models in RI decision-making. Revision 1 of NUREG-1855 cites EPRI TR-1026511, Practical Guidance on the Use of Probabilistic Risk Assessment in Risk-Informed Applications with a Focus on the Treatment of Uncertainties.
Additionally, Section 3.3.2 of RG 1.200 Revision 2 defines key assumptions and sources of uncertainty as follows:
A key assumption is one that is made in response to a key source of model uncertainty in the knowledge that a different reasonable alternative assumption would produce different results, or an assumption that results in an approximation made for modeling convenience in the knowledge that a more detailed model would produce different results. For the base PRA, the term different results refers to a change in the risk profile (e.g., total CDF and total LERF, the set of initiating events and accident sequences that contribute most to CDF and to LERF) and the associated changes in insights derived from the changes in the risk profile. A reasonable alternative assumption is one that has broad acceptance within the technical community and for which the technical basis for consideration is at least as sound as that of the assumption being challenged.
A key source of uncertainty is one that is related to an issue in which there is no consensus approach or model and where the choice of approach or model is known to have an impact on the risk profile (e.g., total CDF and total LERF, the set of initiating events and accident sequences that contribute most to CDF and to LERF) such that it influences a decision being made using the PRA. Such an impact might occur, for example, by introducing a new functional accident sequence or a change to the overall CDF or LERF estimates significant enough to affect insights gained from the PRA.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs The NRC staff requests the following information to confirm the key assumptions and sources of uncertainty provided in Attachment 6 of the LAR were properly assessed from the base PRAs that have received peer reviews:
a) A description of the process and the criteria used to identify, from the initial comprehensive list of uncertainties and assumptions for the base PRA model(s) (including those associated with plant specific features, modeling choices, and generic industry concerns), the application specific key assumptions and sources of uncertainties provided in LAR Attachment 6. Describe how the key assumptions and sources of uncertainty are determined consistent with the definitions in RG 1.200 Revision 2. The descriptions should be provided separately for internal hazard PRAs (including internal fire) and external hazard PRAs supporting this application.
SNC Response:
The process used to identify base PRA internal events and internal flooding PRA model uncertainties and their impact for the LAR is described in PRA-BC-H-10-010, Hatch PRA Quantification Calculation for Units 1 [and 2]. The process followed was based on the guidance detailed in NUREG-1855, Revision 0, including consideration of the generic sources of model uncertainty provided in EPRI TR 1016737.
Internal Events and Internal Flooding PRA Assessment As Submitted. The Hatch internal events and internal flooding PRA assessment of uncertainties and assumptions in PRA-BC-H-10-010 started with a review, by PRA technical element, of assumptions made in the analysis for each technical element, and provided a characterization of whether each assumption is related to a source of uncertainty for the PRA. If a technical element assumption was judged to represent a potential source of model uncertainty (e.g., because it may introduce a conservative or non-conservative bias in results, or because the basis for a modeling assumption could not be directly identified as consistent with an industry consensus approach, or because the phenomena or nature of the event or failure mode being modeled is not completely understood) it was identified for additional consideration of overall PRA impact. The technical element review also considered the generic technical element-specific technical topics identified in EPRI-1016737 Appendix A, correlated with the supporting requirements in the ASME/ANS PRA Standard, to determine if any of these might be significant sources of uncertainty for the PRA requiring further evaluation. As such, this evaluation represents a comprehensive review of potentially important uncertainties and assumptions for the base internal events and internal flooding PRA model that captures those associated with plant specific features, modeling choices, and generic industry concerns. For some of the identified potential sources, sensitivity studies were performed for the base model to determine whether or not the source might be significant. The list of potentially important sources resulting from the base model assessment was then reviewed relative to the 50.69 application to determine potentially key sources for that application.
Internal Fire PRA Assessment As Submitted. The process used to identify base internal fire PRA model uncertainties and their impact for the LAR is described in H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015, Version 2.0, Hatch Fire PRA Task 15, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis. The approach taken in H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015 reflects the guidance in NUREG/CR-6850 and in EPRI-1016737. The evaluation examines potential sources of E-16
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs uncertainty for each of the Fire PRA development tasks defined in NUREG/CR-6850, and also evaluates assumptions made in each of the Fire PRA development tasks to identify associated model uncertainties. Although this evaluation does not specifically refer to EPRI-1026511 and therefore does not specifically address each of the Fire PRA entries in Appendix B of that report, the considerations in H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015 are aligned with each of the Fire PRA tasks defined in NUREG/CR-6850 including the guidance in that report for evaluation of uncertainties in fire PRA, and are reasonably consistent with the sources of uncertainty identified in EPRI 1026511 Appendix B.
Therefore, this evaluation represents a structured review of uncertainties and assumptions for the base fire PRA model that captures those associated with plant specific features, modeling choices, and generic industry concerns. The evaluation concluded that the treatment of the identified sources was consistent with NUREG/CR-6850 guidance but that for some sources, sensitivity studies should be performed for the base model to determine whether or not the source might be significant. The list of potentially important sources resulting from the base model assessment, including the sensitivity studies, was then reviewed relative to the 50.69 application to determine potentially key sources for that application.
Seismic PRA Assessment As Submitted. The process used to identify base seismic PRA model uncertainties and their impact for the LAR is described in H-RIE-SEIS-U00-001-002, Version 3.0, Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Quantification Report. The approach taken in H-RIE-SEIS-U00-001-002 was to identify a set of modeling assumptions based on review of the seismic PRA results and knowledge of the model for which sensitivity studies should be performed. The list of potentially important sources resulting from the base model assessment, including the sensitivity studies, was reviewed relative to the 50.69 application to determine potentially key sources for that application.
The result of the above evaluations for the internal events/internal flooding, internal fire, and seismic PRA models were presented in the tables in Attachment 6 of the Hatch 50.69 LAR. Emphasis was given to those items where the disposition for the base hazard model noted that additional sensitivities might be needed to establish impact on the model. The selection process was based on the information available from the evaluations described above, with a focus on those base mode assumptions and potential sources of uncertainty judged to have the potential to significantly affect the relative risk importance results that are the focus of the 50.69 categorization process.
Subsequent to submittal of the LAR, the evaluations of sources of uncertainty for the Hatch PRA models have been updated, as a normal part of the PRA model maintenance process.
Internal Events and Internal Flooding PRA Assessment Update. The updated review of base internal events and internal flooding PRA model uncertainties and their impact is described in H-RIE-IEIF-U00-011, Hatch Full Power Internal Events and Internal Flooding Uncertainty Analysis Notebook, Version 1, February 2019. The process followed is consistent with the guidance detailed in NUREG-1855, Revision 1, including consideration of the implementation process in EPRI-1026511 and consideration of generic sources of model uncertainty provided in EPRI-1016737. The overall process is consistent with the stages defined in NUREG-1855 Revision 1, including determining that there are no significant issues of PRA model completeness relative to the 50.69 E-17
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs application and evaluating the impact of parametric uncertainty to confirm no significant impact on calculated mean values that would challenge meeting the RG 1.174 CDF and LERF acceptance criteria. Sources of model uncertainty and completeness have been evaluated and dispositioned relative to the 50.69 application. Based on the updated review of internal events and internal flood PRA uncertainties, the entries in Table 6-1 of the LAR are updated below to encompass the set of sources for the updated model. This table supersedes the version in the LAR. Note that Table 6-1 in the LAR included an entry discussing the modeling of drywell cooler standby fans as a potential source of uncertainty. After further review, this entry has been clarified to better characterize it relative to this application.
Internal Fire PRA Assessment Update. An updated review of base internal fire PRA model uncertainties and their impact is described in H-RIE-FIREPRA-ABAO-U00-015, Hatch Fire PRA ABAO [as-built, as-operated] Uncertainty, December 2018. The approach taken in the updated evaluation, which was performed for the as-built/as-operated Hatch fire PRA, supplements the assessment in H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015, Version 2.0 and reflects the guidance in NUREG/CR-6850 and in EPRI-1016737. As was the case for the evaluation performed for the LAR, the updated evaluation examines sources of uncertainty for each of the Fire PRA development tasks defined in NUREG/CR-6850. Although this evaluation does not specifically refer to EPRI-1026511 and therefore does not specifically address each of the Fire PRA entries in Appendix B of that report, the considerations in the updated evaluation are aligned with each of the Fire PRA tasks defined in NUREG/CR-6850 including the guidance in that report for evaluation of uncertainties in fire PRA, and are judged to be consistent with the sources of uncertainty identified in EPRI 1026511 Appendix B. Therefore, this evaluation represents a structured review of uncertainties and assumptions for the base fire PRA model that captures those associated with plant specific features, modeling choices, and generic industry concerns. The evaluation includes determining that there are no significant issues of PRA model completeness relative to the 50.69 application and evaluating the impact of parametric uncertainty to confirm no significant impact on calculated mean values that would challenge meeting the RG 1.174 CDF and LERF acceptance criteria. The sources of model uncertainty have been evaluated and dispositioned relative to the 50.69 application. For most of the NUREG/CR-6850 tasks and associated assumptions and potential sources of uncertainty, the approach taken was judged to be consistent with the guidance in NUREG/CR-6850, and for these assumptions and potential sources of uncertainty no application-specific source key assumption or source of uncertainty is defined, given that a consensus approach has been followed. Based on the updated review of internal fire PRA uncertainties, the entries in Table 6-3 of the LAR are updated below to encompass the set of sources for the updated model. This table supersedes the version in the LAR.
Seismic PRA Assessment Update. The updated review of base seismic PRA model uncertainties and their impact is described in RBA-19-001-H, Identify and characterize the assumptions and sources of uncertainty in the Hatch SPRA, June 2019. The process followed is consistent with the guidance detailed in NUREG-1855, Revision 1 including consideration of the implementation process in EPRI-1026511. Although the specific list of generic sources of model uncertainty in Appendix C of EPRI TR 1026511 has not been explicitly considered, the assessment documented in RBA-19-001-H is judged to be sufficiently comprehensive to address the recommended sources. The overall process is consistent with the stages defined in NUREG-1855 Revision 1, E-18
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs including determining that there are no significant issues of PRA model completeness relative to the 50.69 application and evaluating the impact of parametric uncertainty to confirm no significant impact on calculated mean values that would challenge meeting the RG 1.174 CDF and LERF acceptance criteria. Sources of model uncertainty and completeness have been evaluated and dispositioned relative to the 50.69 application.
In this process, potentially important assumptions from the internal events PRA, on which the seismic PRA is built, were also considered.
The following candidate list of SPRA model uncertainties and associated assumptions was identified, and sensitivities were performed to determine their significance to the 50.69 application, as noted.
Issue: Credit for portable FLEX equipment can have an impact on SPRA results.
Although the results do not appear to be sensitive to assumptions regarding portable FLEX equipment reliability, the results are sensitive to crediting vs. not crediting portable FLEX.
o This item is resolved for this application by removing credit for portable FLEX from the SPRA model, consistent with not crediting portable FLEX for this application in the internal events/internal flooding and internal fire PRA models.
Issue: The use of a capacity-based screening criterion to determine which SSCs are directly modeled in the seismic PRA.
o The capacity screening is more of a completeness uncertainty consideration than a model uncertainty, as it deals with the inclusion in or exclusion from the model of specific components with capacities above the screening value that are demonstrated to have only small impact on the results.
o This item is resolved as discussed in the response to NRC RAI 07 regarding the Hatch 50.69 LAR, and a categorization process sensitivity as listed in Table 6-2 (Update) will be incorporated into the Hatch 50.69 process.
Issue: Shared diesel generator 1B is assumed to be available 50% of the time to each unit. For some scenarios with unit 1 PSW the 1B DG would favor unit 1 and for random failures 1B DG would favor the unit that has the random failure.
o A sensitivity was performed adjusting the likelihood of 1B DG being available to unit 1 depending on whether a PSW or random failure occurs. Cases were run varying the availability given PSW pump failure, availability given random failure, and accounting for other model impacts.
o The results of the sensitivities indicated an impact of approximately 14%
reduction from base case unit 1 seismic CDF (8% reduction for unit 2) and approximately 12% reduction in unit 1 seismic LERF (2% reduction for unit 2).
Issue: Seismic failure of the Control Building and Reactor Building are conservatively assumed to result in core damage and LERF. However, the calculated seismic E-19
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs capacities for these buildings are for failures less severe than collapse. This is a conservative assumption.
o The impact of using more realistic fragility values for each building on CDF and LERF results was examined, based on a review of FV values for RB and CB in the base model.
o The results of the review indicate insignificant (less than 1%) reductions in CDF, and less than 4% reductions in LERF for each building.
Issue: Impact of slope stability failure due to the seismic event is conservatively modeled and is assumed to fail piping from the intake structure, which in turn fails cooling to the DGs and also fails the FLEX staging area. This is further assumed to result directly in LERF.
o A sensitivity was performed that removes the global intake structure impact and replaces it with seismic hazard bin-specific impacts on the CC system.
o The results of the sensitivity indicate no impact on seismic CDF and an approximately 8% reduction in seismic LERF.
Issue: Block wall failure impacts are modeled since these walls can collapse in a seismic event and fail components located near the walls. For most of the block walls, it is assumed that 50% of the time the wall would collapse to either side. In cases where there is more stiffness, e.g., due to wall mounted items or wall is separating an elevator vestibule and stairwell, the collapse might favor one side.
o A sensitivity was performed assuming that the affected walls only fail 25% of the time toward the structurally stiffer side.
o The results of the sensitivity indicate only approximately 1% reductions in unit 1 seismic CDF and LERF and a reduction of approximately 6% unit 2 seismic CDF and less than 3% reduction in seismic LERF.
Issue: During the walkdowns for IPEEE it was observed that not all the anchor bolts for several 600v switchgear components were visible or able to be confirmed to be tight enough. The switchgear meets the design basis. The SPRA fragility calculations assume that all anchor bolts will function consistent with other Control Building assumptions. This has not yet been verified by SPRA walkdown.
o A sensitivity was performed in which the fragility for the 600v switch gear was recalculated crediting only bolts that were determined to be tight in the IPEEE.
o The results of the sensitivity indicate an increase in seismic CDF or LERF of approximately 1% for unit 2, insignificant for unit 1.
Issue: Modeling of reactor recirculation pump snubber failure. In the SPRA model, failure of the first (most limiting) reactor recirculation pump snubber is assumed to fail the entire recirculation pump support system and fail the entire pump assembly.
Without a detailed finite element model (FEM), it is not known how the loads would E-20
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs transfer to remaining snubbers when the first snubber fails. It is possible that the next snubber would fail at a significantly higher fragility than the base value and have an impact on the PRA results.
o A sensitivity was performed in which the fragility of the next snubber was calculated assuming that the load redistribution would not significantly change the stress on the second snubber given that there is a large number of snubbers on the loop that the load would be distributed to. This issue only affects unit 1 because the unit 2 first and next snubber capacities are similar.
o The results of the sensitivity indicate a reduction in seismic CDF of approximately 4% and a reduction in seismic LERF of approximately 2%.
As noted above, for the items other than FLEX and SPRA capacity-based screening, the sensitivity studies indicate that the SPRA model is not overly sensitive to the identified issues. With regard to the 50.69 application, seismic importance is considered numerically as part of the integral assessment specified in the NEI 00-04 guidance.
Since the Hatch seismic CDF is a small percentage of total plant CDF, and the Hatch seismic LERF is also a small percentage of total plant LERF, there is unlikely to be a significant impact on 50.69 categorization, and these items are not retained as key to the 50.69 application. That is, for the most significant impact of the sensitivities discussed above (shared DG 1B assumption), while a 14% reduction in seismic CDF could affect some seismic importances, those importances would be weighted as only a small percentage in the integral assessment for CDF. Similarly, for LERF, the 12% reduction would be weighted as only a small percentage in the integral assessment for LERF.
Therefore, no additional application-specific consideration of these items is necessary as part of 50.69 categorization.
Based on the above review of seismic PRA uncertainties, the corresponding entries in Table 6-2 of the LAR have been dispositioned and are no longer applicable. A revised Table 6-2 for the updated model is provided below. This table supersedes the version in the LAR.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-1 (Update)
Internal Events/Flooding PRA Model Sources of Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 1 Impact of containment venting on core With the assumed value for loss of NPSH, Because the model is being cooling system NPSH. Many BWR core the impact of credit for injection systems revised to appropriately model cooling systems utilize the suppression pool after containment venting was judged to be the NPSH impact, it will no be as a water source. Venting of containment a potential source of uncertainty for the longer a modeling assumption or as a decay heat removal mechanism can Hatch PRA and for applications. The model significant source of uncertainty.
substantially reduce NPSH, even lead to will be re-structured to properly model the The updated model will be used flashing of the pool. For the Hatch Unit 1 impact of containment pressure on low for 50.69 categorization.
PRA, MAAP runs show that for medium or pressure injection systems.
large LOCAs other means of containment heat removal the requirements for opening the Hardened Vent blow out plug are met. If all other containment heat removal methods fail the Hardened Vent will protect the drywell from overpressure failure. For the smallest of the MLOCA/largest of SLOCA break range (0.01ft2), conditions to operate the Hardened Vent also exist if no other means of heat removal are used. In these cases NPSH concerns may exist with the low pressure ECCS pumps. This is accounted for in the current model under gate EMERGENCYVENT with event NPSHLOSSPROB. Loss of NPSH following emergency venting is assumed to have a probability of 1E-2 for Unit 1.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-1 (Update)
Internal Events/Flooding PRA Model Sources of Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 2 Core cooling success following containment No credit for injection sources in the reactor The assumption may increase failure or venting through non-hard pipe vent building after containment failure may the importance of the paths; affects long term loss of decay heat represent a slight conservative bias. containment boundary.
removal sequences. The Hatch PRA However, the assumption and assumes that if the containment is failed, the modeling are reasonable and injection sources contained in the reactor not expected to have a building would fail due to environmental significant impact on 50.69 conditions, steam binding of pumps, or categorization results.
disruption of flow paths due to catastrophic Therefore, no further application-containment failure. Injection is not credited specific consideration is after containment failure in the Level 1 PRA. warranted.
In the Hatch Level 2 PRA, injection sources external to the reactor building are considered after containment failure. Of these, only condensate/ RHRSW are credited (fire protection and LPCI/CS from CST are not). Condensate/ RHRSW are credited in the Level 2 PRA after containment failure as they would not be impacted by harsh conditions in the reactor building.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-1 (Update)
Internal Events/Flooding PRA Model Sources of Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 3 The RPS division is modeled in the PRA with The RPS channel failure probabilities have This is a completeness limitation exception of the RPS ATTS panels. These little impact on the Hatch PRA risk metrics, relative to determination of the RPS ATTS panels are not modeled because indicating the addition of events to importances of the non-modeled failure of these panels would be in the safe represent the ATTS panels would have little ATTS panels, i.e., the PRA condition. Surrogate common cause events impact as well. model cannot be used to directly are used instead of detailed modeling. determine the importances of these components. However, the 50.69 process allows for categorization of non-modeled components, so there is no application impact.
4 It is assumed that only one fan is available Drywell coolers do not contribute This is a completeness limitation for each Drywell Cooler; standby fans are not significantly to the PRA results. Therefore, relative to determination of modeled the model is insensitive to this modeling importances of the non-modeled assumption. drywell coolers standby fans, i.e., the PRA model cannot be used to directly determine the importances of these components. However, the 50.69 process allows for categorization of non-modeled components, so there is no application impact.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-1 (Update)
Internal Events/Flooding PRA Model Sources of Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 5 Loss of all intake structure ventilation system A sensitivity has been performed to This is not a key assumption for fans during the PRA mission time is assumed determine whether this action as modeled the 50.69 application. Based on to cause failure of the PSW and RHRSW is significant to the results. The results of the sensitivity evaluation pumps unless the operators act to establish the sensitivity showed that lowering the performed, the assumption and alternate cooling within 8 hours9.259259e-5 days <br />0.00222 hours <br />1.322751e-5 weeks <br />3.044e-6 months <br />. A single probability by an order of magnitude did not modeling are not expected to basic event is used to account for the have a significant impact on basic event have a significant impact on probability that ventilation is needed, that the importances in the internal events PRA. 50.69 categorization results.
fans fail, and that the operators will fail to Therefore, no further application-establish alternate cooling. The probability for specific consideration is this basic event is assigned a screening warranted.
value of 0.5. Detailed modeling for this event has not been performed, and the model does not explicitly account for these factors, instead treating this as an operator response with a screening HEP.
6 The mission time for SLCS is assumed to be The individual SLC pump failure to run This assumption has no 1 hour1.157407e-5 days <br />2.777778e-4 hours <br />1.653439e-6 weeks <br />3.805e-7 months <br />. The actual time required to inject the events have little impact on the Hatch PRA significant impact on the PRA entire contents of the SLCS storage tank is risk metrics. results and will not significantly between 30 and 90 minutes, depending upon affect 50.69 categorization.
the amount of solution in the tank. Therefore, no further application-specific consideration is warranted.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-1 (Update)
Internal Events/Flooding PRA Model Sources of Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 7 Operator Action assumptions:
- a. Time to Align Isolated EHC Cooler: It is a. The PRA model is insensitive to this a. The PRA results show that assumed that the operators have 2 hours2.314815e-5 days <br />5.555556e-4 hours <br />3.306878e-6 weeks <br />7.61e-7 months <br /> assumption. the EHC cooler assumption to recover the heat exchanger. This is an has no significant impact on engineering judgment that based on the the PRA results and will not light load on the EHC system due to the significantly affect 50.69 turbine generator being off-line. categorization. Therefore, no further application-specific consideration is warranted.
- b. Alignment of RHRSW for Injection: It is b. The HRA uses a time window of 40 b. The PRA results, and the assumed that the operators clearly minutes. However, if operators believe sensitivity performed for the understand that they cannot recover high that they can recover high head RHRSW alignment action, head injection, and would act on the initial injection, they may delay going to ALC show that this assumption cue of inability to restore and maintain until the RWL drops to -155 and then has a potential to impact the reactor water level, so they would not would only have 6 minutes to do the PRA results. Therefore, it is delay going to ALC. SW/RHR cross-tie, which may not be retained as a potential key sufficient. uncertainty for the 50.69 application. However, the NEI 00-04 categorization process includes 5th and 95th percentile HEP sensitivities, which will address this source. No additional sensitivity is needed beyond the existing NEI 00-04 sensitivity.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-2 (Update)
Seismic PRA Model Sources of Model Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 1 Seismic Equipment List Screening As discussed in the response to NRC RAI To address this potential source 07 regarding the Hatch 50.69 LAR, the of uncertainty in the 50.69 A capacity based screening criterion is usage of a screening level does not impact process, a review of SSCs with used to determine which SSCs are directly relative importances. The justification for fragilities greater than the modeled in the seismic PRA. the conclusion is: screening level will be performed
- Although an SSC may have a fragility to identify any seismic above the screening value, these singletons. That is, any SSC (or fragilities are usually conservative. Once correlated group of SSCs) that the SSC fragility is evaluated to be above could lead directly to core damage the screening value, no further or large early release would be refinement of the fragility is performed identified, and addressed during although conservatisms may still be the categorization process for the present. applicable system being
- Many of the screened components would categorized, to be consistent with not lead directly to core damage or large NEI 00-04.
early release; other failures would also be needed to result in core damage or large early release; the combination of failures needed to result in core damage or large early release would result in a contribution lower than the screening level.
- When SSCs were judged to be important to CDF and LERF, they were included in the logic model even though their fragility was greater than the screening level.
For instance, structures were included, as were components associated with the diesel generators, switchgear, and the instrumentation and control power.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-2 (Update)
Seismic PRA Model Sources of Model Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 2 Modeling of Portable FLEX Equipment There is uncertainty associated with Credit for portable FLEX Unavailabilities and failure probabilities actual performance history and equipment will not be taken in for the portable FLEX equipment were associated human error probabilities for the SPRA model used for 50.69 based on those for similar equipment in portable FLEX equipment. categorization, consistent with the IE PRA. the approach for the other A sensitivity study on a previous version hazard PRA models. Therefore, of the model demonstrated that credit for there is no impact on the portable FLEX has a significant impact on application.
CDF results, but that the assumed unavailability values do not have an impact.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-3 (Update)
Internal Fire PRA Model Sources of Model Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 1 Task 3: Fire PRA Cable Selection (CS): The model currently reflects the as-built The model reflects an For the As-Built As-Operated model, and as-operated plant, and includes appropriate treatment given the existing cable routing was used for a operator actions to recover from the current configuration of the small number of cables (6 cables) that affected cable failures. Once the cables plant. When the plant is are expected to be re-routed in the are re-routed, the model will be updated modified and the model is future, but that route is unknown at this to reflect the new routing and potentially updated, any impact on 50.69 time. Therefore, for the current model, eliminate the need for the associated component categorization will be these impact of the failure of these recovery actions. Therefore, the identified as part of the 50.69 cables may change in certain scenarios modeling is appropriate and does not performance monitoring and after the cables are re-routed. represent a source of uncertainty beyond feedback process.
the Fire PRA modeling sources already evaluated.
2 Task 11b: Main Control Room analysis: Some of these panels are significant The impact of this uncertainty is The HNP Main Control Boards (MCB) contributors and are treated consistent on time available for operator are open back panels. The FPRA used with other Bin 15 cabinets. The MCR action (MCR abandonment and fire modeling consistent with abandonment time report was updated to subsequent shutdown actions).
NUREG/CR-6850 App. L (updated to include a fire model that includes a 98% Given the limited impact from the latest NUREG-2169 fire ignition transient HRR and the open back MCB the sensitivity performed, this frequencies and NUREG-2178 HRR. The model estimated ~13% source of uncertainty is heat release rates (HRR)). The panels reduction in MCR abandonment time adequately addressed by the behind the MCBs were concluded to not from the baseline case when postulated existing NEI 00-04 required fully meet the definition of a MCB per damage/ignition of the MCB cables at t = sensitivity to evaluate human FAQ 14-0008; therefore, App. L was not 0. The FPRA incorporates the bounding error probabilities at their 5th and used for these panels. results in the scenarios. Sensitivity 95th percentile values. No further evaluation shows that the overall FPRA impact evaluation is needed.
is not sensitive to incorporation of the bounding model (e.g., < 1% increase in risk).
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-3 (Update)
Internal Fire PRA Model Sources of Model Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 3 Task 12: HRA: A minimum floor value is Applying a minimum joint HEP may This source of uncertainty is assigned to Joint human error inaccurately skew the results by artificially addressed by the existing NEI probabilities (JHEP). increasing the risk due to human actions. 00-04 required sensitivity to However, sensitivities performed for the evaluate human error Hatch FPRA show that results are not probabilities at their 5th and 95th overly sensitive to the use of a JHEP floor percentile values. No further value. The FPRA is being updated to use impact evaluation is needed.
a JHEP floor value of 1E-5.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 6-3 (Update)
Internal Fire PRA Model Sources of Model Uncertainty
- Model Sensitivity and 50.69 Impact Assumption/Uncertainty Disposition 4 Several systems and components in the As noted in the response to NRC RAI 05b Assuming failure of non-safety FPIE are not credited in the FPRA. regarding the Hatch 50.69 LAR, the UNL components increases the These have been classified as items in the Hatch Fire PRA are primarily importance of safety related Unknown Location (UNL) components the components associated with the main components, and would have a and have not had circuit analysis condenser, the condensate and slight conservative bias (greater performed and cable routing to physical feedwater systems, and the circulating tendency to HSS determination) analysis unit (PAU) traced. water system. Unavailability of these in the 50.69 categorization non-safety systems for pressure relief application. No further impact and low-pressure injection causes the evaluation is needed.
safety systems to be more important.
Since power to the UNL components is primarily from the non-safety electrical system, they are lost during LOSP events. Because the main steam isolation valves automatically close on low vessel pressure, the spurious SRV opening would also fail most of the UNL components even if they had detailed circuit analysis and were included in the Fire PRA model. Thus, for the PAUs with the highest CDF and LERF, there is a high likelihood that there is a loss of offsite power or spurious SRV opening, and in turn, the items on the UNL would not be available regardless of having detailed circuit analysis. Therefore, actual impact of the UNL is limited given the limited number of UNL components and their plant function.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs b) Provide a summary list of the key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that have been identified for the application.
SNC Response:
The set of key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that were originally identified for the Hatch 50.69 License Amendment Request are as listed in Tables 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3 of LAR Attachment 6. These were selected based on review of the assumptions and sources of uncertainty identified in the PRA model notebooks described in the response to Part a, by considering the potential model impacts noted in those notebooks relative to the 50.69 risk importance application.
As noted in the response to Part a, subsequent to submittal of the LAR, the evaluations of sources of uncertainty for the Hatch PRA models have been updated. The updated sets of key assumptions and sources of uncertainty in the models for the 50.69 application are as noted in the updated versions of Tables 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3 in the response to Part a.
c) Confirm that the process is consistent with NUREG-1855, Revision 1, or other NRC-accepted methods (e.g., NUREG-1855, Revision 0). If deviating from the current guidance provided in NUREG-1855, Revision 1, provide a basis to justify the use of the method(s) in the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process (e.g., exclusion/consideration of EPRI TR-1026511).
SNC Response:
The discussion in the response to Part a demonstrates that the process for identification and evaluation of assumptions and sources of uncertainty in the Hatch PRAs for the 50.69 application is consistent with NUREG 1855, Revision 1 for the internal events including internal flooding PRA, and with NUREG-1855, Revision 0 and elements of NUREG-1855 Revision 1 for the seismic PRA. The evaluation of assumptions and sources of uncertainty in the Hatch internal fire PRA is consistent with the NRC-accepted guidance in NUREG/CR-6850, as discussed in Part a.
RAI 05 (APLA) - Dispositions of Key Assumptions and Sources of Uncertainties Paragraph 50.69(c)(1)(i) of 10 CFR requires the licensee to consider the results and insights from the PRA during categorization. The guidance in Section 5 of NEI 00-04 specifies sensitivity studies to be conducted for each PRA model. The sensitivity studies are performed to ensure that assumptions and sources of uncertainty (e.g., human error, common cause failure, and maintenance probabilities) do not mask importance of components. NEI 00-04 guidance states that additional applicable sensitivity studies from characterization of PRA adequacy should be considered.
LAR Section 3.2.7 states that a few system specific sensitivity analyses may be required to address Hatch model specific assumptions or sources of uncertainty. Multiple dispositions provided in LAR Attachment 6, Table 6-3 appear to indicate that no key assumptions or sources of uncertainty were identified that will require a sensitivity study consistent with Section 5 of the NEI 00-04 guidance for the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
The NRC staff observes that modelling conservatisms can mask the importance measures of other SSCs. Considering these observations, address the following:
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs a) For any additional key assumptions/sources of uncertainty identified as a result of RAI 04 response, discuss how each identified key assumption and uncertainty will be dispositioned in the categorization process. The discussion should clarify whether the licensee is following the guidance in Section 5 of NEI 00-04 by performing sensitivity analysis or other accepted guidance such as NUREG-1855 Stages A and F. The summaries and descriptions should be provided separately for the identified key assumptions and uncertainties related to internal hazard PRAs (including internal fire) and those related to external hazard PRAs supporting this application.
SNC Response:
The development of the response to RAI 04 was generally in accordance with the guidance of NUREG-1855 Stages A and F. In addition, one additional 50.69 categorization process step, consistent with the guidance in NEI 00-04 has been identified as a result of this assessment, as described below.
In reviewing the assumptions and sources of uncertainty relative to the 50.69 application for the internal events PRA model, several potential sources were identified as potentially key to this application. For each of these, the assessment and disposition relative to 50.69 application is listed in the last column of Table 6-1 (Update) in the RAI 04 response.
In the case of item 1 in Table 6-1 (Update), the PRA is being changed to resolve the uncertainty.
Item 2 is related to item 1. The current modeling assumption was judged to have a slight conservative bias that should not affect 50.69 categorization results. With the resolution of item 1, the impact should be further reduced.
Items 3 and 4 are assessed as completeness issues that can be accommodated by the 50.69 categorization process.
For Item 5, a sensitivity was performed that determined that the importance results are not overly sensitive to the probability assigned to the basic event representing the loss of intake structure ventilation scenario.
Item 6 was assessed as not significant to the application due to its low relative importance.
Item 7 is addressed through the NEI 00-04 required HEP sensitivity evaluation performed as part of the categorization process.
In reviewing the assumptions and sources of uncertainty relative to the 50.69 application for the seismic PRA model, several potential sources were identified as potentially key to this application. For each of these, the assessment and disposition relative to 50.69 application is listed in the last column of Table 6-2 (Update) in the RAI 04 response.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Item 1 is addressed by incorporating into the Hatch 50.69 categorization process an additional step to review SSCs with fragilities greater than the SPRA screening level, using an approach already implemented for the Plant Vogtle 50.69 program.
Item 2 is resolved by removing the impact of portable FLEX equipment from the SPRA model used in the 50.69 categorization process.
In reviewing the assumptions and sources of uncertainty relative to the 50.69 application for the internal fire PRA model, several potential sources were identified as potentially key to this application. For each of these, the assessment and disposition relative to 50.69 application is listed in the last column of Table 6-3 (Update) in the RAI 04 response.
Item 1 is related to ensuring that the PRA reflects the as-built/as-operated plant, and the fact that certain plant changes are anticipated. This is addressed by following the PRA maintenance process and the 50.69 performance monitoring and feedback process.
For Item 2 a sensitivity evaluation was performed that indicated the model is not overly sensitive to the approach used, such that the 5th/95th percentile HEP sensitivity already specified in the NEI 00-04 categorization process will address any remaining uncertainty.
Item 3 is addressed through the existing NEI 00-04 5th/95th percentile HEP sensitivity.
The categorization impact of Item 4 has been addressed in the response to RAI 5b as not requiring further evaluation as part of the 50.69 categorization process.
b) The disposition for the first item of LAR Attachment 6, Table 6-3 states in part that the uncertainty associated with untraced secondary-side cables was addressed for the FPRA using a sensitivity study to assess the assumption that secondary-side systems fail in all fires. This sensitivity study and its results are not discussed in either the NFPA 805 LAR or the 10 CFR 50.69 LAR. Accordingly, it is not clear that this sensitivity study (i.e., the assumption that all secondary-side systems fail in a fire) performed for the FPRA is applicable to 10 CFR 50.69 categorization. Considering these observations:
- i. Provide the quantitative results of the sensitivity study and/or justification to support the conclusion that the uncertainty associated with untraced secondary-side cables has no impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process. Include summary of the systems or components with untraced cables and explain how their functions are assumed to be impacted in the baseline fire PRA and sensitivity study case. Include in the justification the following: (1) a description of the sensitivity study that was performed for the FPRA, (2) an explanation of how it considered the potential to mask or skew the importance of certain SSCs, and (3) an explanation of how the sensitivity study bounds the source of uncertainty being addressed.
SNC Response:
As documented in H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015, one of the quantitative sensitivity runs performed in support of the Hatch Fire PRA development was on the untraced cables, referred to in the calculations as unknown location or UNL components.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Typically, a Fire PRA model does not include all credited equipment in the IEPRA. In these cases, circuit analysis is not always performed. The sensitivity documented in Section 4.5.1 of H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-015 shows that the Fire PRA risk would decrease if these components were credited.
However, it should be noted that this sensitivity does not take into consideration the potential for scenario-specific fire-induced impacts of these components. The fire-induced impact may be due to direct fire damage (cables are directly failed in a given fire scenario) or an indirect fire damage (a parent system failure due to fire).
In the case of the Hatch Fire PRA, two of the main risk contributors are loss of offsite power (LOSP) caused by fire-induced loss of the startup transformers or the high voltage switchyard circuit breakers and fire-induced LOCA caused by spurious opening of the SRVs. The details of the Fire PRA risk results are documented in H-RIE-FIREPRA-ABAO-U00-014. A review of this calculation shows that the high-risk fire areas include: Main Control Room, Control Building Corridors, Control Building Working Floor, Switchgear Rooms, and Cable Spreading Rooms.
The UNL components in the Hatch Fire PRA are associated with specific systems. These systems contain a subset of functions that contain UNL components and these are listed in Table 3.1-2 of H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-002. The functions that do have UNL components for these systems and their impacts to CDF are shown in the table below from H-RIE-FIREPRA-U00-002.
Table 5b.1: System Functions with UNL Components System System Function Comments Description B21 Nuclear Automatic initiation of ARI Minimal impact to Boiler System CDF.
B21 Nuclear Decay Heat Removal using steam line Minimal impact to Boiler System drains CDF.
C11 Control Rod CRD Injection Minimal impact to Drive CDF.
Hydraulic System C71 Reactor Failure of Drywell and Torus Temp Minimal impact to Protection Control (NON ATWS) using 2-inch CDF.
System Emergency Vent path from Suppression Pool E11 Residual Decay Heat Removal using RHR Minimal impact to Heat Torus Suction air operated valves CDF.
Removal (motor operated valves are credited)
System G31 Reactor RWCU in Blowdown Mode for Heat Minimal impact to Water Removal Support CDF.
Cleanup System E-35
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs System System Function Comments Description N11 Turbine Condensate and Feedwater Injection Minimal impact to Valves CDF. Impacted by loss of IA in many fire zones.
N71 Circulating Alternate PSW discharge path. Minimal impact to Water CDF. Normal System PSY path is credited.
N71 Circulating Main Condenser Heat Removal Not available for Water LOSP scenarios.
System OSP Offsite Power OSP Support to various systems Minimal impact to (other sources credited) CDF. OSP source redundancy remains.
P42 Reactor CRD Injection and RWCU for Decay Minimal impact to Building Heat Removal. CDF.
Closed Cooling Water P70 Drywell SRV Depressurization Minimal impact to Pneumatic CDF.
Depressurization capability is maintained.
X43 FIRE PUMP Fire Water Injection to the RPV Minimal impact to HOUSE (31EO-EOP-110-1). CDF.
The UNL items in the Hatch Fire PRA are primarily the components associated with the main condenser, the condensate and feedwater systems, and the circulating water system. Unavailability of these non-safety systems for pressure relief and low-pressure injection causes the safety systems to be more important. Thus, the systems that would be categorized under the 50.69 process will appear somewhat higher in risk than if the UNL components were credited. Since power to the UNL components is primarily from the non-safety electrical system, they are lost during LOSP events.
Because the main steam isolation valves automatically close on low vessel pressure, the spurious SRV opening would also fail most of the UNL components even if they had detailed circuit analysis and were included in the Fire PRA model.
The UNL items account for approximately a 26% increase in CDF for Unit 1 and 24%
for Unit 2. For both Unit 1 and 2, the top 10 Physical Analysis Units (PAUs) make up approximately 90% of the CDF and LERF. As stated previously, for the PAUs with the highest CDF and LERF, there is a high likelihood that there is a loss of offsite power or spurious SRV opening, and in turn, the items on the UNL would not be available E-36
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs regardless of having detailed circuit analysis. Therefore, the treatment of the UNL items relative to the importance of the modeled SSCs is considered to be bounded given the limited number of UNL components and their plant function, and there will be minimal impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
OR ii. If the uncertainty addressed in part (i) above cannot be justified to have no adverse impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process, then propose a mechanism that ensures that a sensitivity study is performed during the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process. Include a brief discussion of the sensitivity study proposed and how it addresses the uncertainty associated with untraced secondary-side cables. Include in the justification the following: (1) a description of the sensitivity study that is proposed, (2) an explanation of how it considers the potential to mask or skew the importance of certain SSCs and (3) an explanation of how the sensitivity study bounds the uncertainty associated with untraced secondary-side cables. An example would be a table of listed implementation items referenced in a license condition.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable due to the response in 5(b)(i).
OR iii. Propose a mechanism that eliminates the uncertainty associated with the untraced secondary-side cables. This mechanism should also provide an explicit description of changes that will be made to the PRA model(s) and/or documentation to resolve this issue. If these changes are determined to involve a PRA upgrade, the mechanism should include a focused-scope peer review and require resolution of all generated finding-level F&Os from the peer review prior to implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process. An example would be a table of listed implementation items referenced in a license condition.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable due to the response in 5(b)(i).
RAI 06 (APLA/APLB) - Addition of FLEX to the PRA Model The NRC memorandum dated May 30, 2017, Assessment of the NEI 16-06, Crediting Mitigating Strategies in Risk-Informed Decision Making, Guidance for Risk-Informed Changes to Plants Licensing Basis (ADAMS Accession No. ML17031A269), provides the NRCs staff assessment of identified differences between NEI 16-06 guidance and the guidance in RG 1.200 Revision 2 for incorporating diverse and flexible (FLEX) coping strategies and equipment into a PRA model in support of risk-informed decision making. LAR Attachment 6, LAR Table 6-2 indicates that FLEX is credited in the SPRA and does not address whether it is credited in the IEPRA or FPRA. For the NRC staff to determine the acceptability of incorporation of FLEX equipment into the PRA model(s) provide the following:
a) Confirm whether FLEX equipment and associated operator actions have been credited in the IEPRA, FPRA, and/or the SPRA.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SNC Response:
For the purposes of the 50.69 application, portable FLEX equipment stored in the FLEX storage dome and the associated operator actions will not be credited in the Hatch IEPRA, FPRA, and/or SPRA models. However, as part of the plant modifications associated with FLEX implementation, some additional equipment has been installed as permanent plant equipment. In addition, the plant procedures have been revised to include these plant modifications. The following responses are provided with the consideration that portable FLEX equipment stored in the FLEX storage dome and the associated operator actions will not be credited in the Hatch IEPRA, FPRA, and/or SPRA models used for 10 CFR 50.69 categorization.
b) If FLEX equipment or operator actions have been credited in the PRA, address the following, separately for IEPRA (includes internal flooding), FPRA, SPRA, and external hazards screening as appropriate:
- i. Summarize the supplemental equipment and compensatory actions, including FLEX strategies that have been quantitatively credited for each of the PRA models used to support this application. Include discussion of whether the credited FLEX equipment is portable or permanently installed equipment.
SNC Response:
The modifications to permanent plant equipment that are being credited in the Plant Hatch IEPRA, FPRA, and/or the SPRA models are associated with new panels providing power to critical instrumentation cabinets, manual transfer switches, and modifications to add a backup air supply to the hardened containment vent system (HCVS), which required installing air accumulators, manual valves, and check valves.
ii. Discuss whether the credited equipment (regardless of whether it is portable or permanently-installed) are similar to other plant equipment (i.e. SSCs with sufficient plant-specific or generic industry data) and whether the credited operators actions are similar to other operator actions evaluated using approaches consistent with the endorsed ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA standard.
SNC Response:
This equipment (that is, instrument panels, inverters, air accumulators, manual valves, check valves, etc.) is very similar to other plant equipment and has sufficient plant-specific or industry generic data. Uncertainties associated with the parameter values are in accordance with the ASME/ANS PRA Standard as endorsed by RG 1.200 Revision 2.
While the station blackout procedure has been modified to provide a link to the FLEX procedures, this link is not being credited in the current Plant Hatch IEPRA, FPRA, and/or SPRA models. No FLEX procedures requiring actions outside of the main reactor buildings or control building are credited in these PRA models. The credited operator actions have been peer reviewed and are similar to other operator actions evaluated using approaches consistent with the ASME/ANS PRA Standard as endorsed by RG 1.200 Revision 2.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs iii. If any credited FLEX equipment is dissimilar to other plant equipment credited in the PRA (i.e. SSCs with sufficient plant-specific or generic industry data), discuss the data and failure probabilities used to support the modeling and provide the rationale for using the chosen data. Discuss whether the uncertainties associated with the parameter values are in accordance with the ASME/ANS PRA Standard as endorsed by RG 1.200 Revision 2.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable as the installed equipment has been judged to be very similar to other plant equipment.
iv. If any operator actions related to FLEX equipment are evaluated using approaches that are not consistent with the endorsed ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard (e.g., using surrogates), discuss the methodology used to assess human error probabilities for these operator actions. The discussion should include:
- 1. A summary of how the impact of the plant-specific human error probabilities and associated scenario-specific performance shaping factors listed in (a)-(j) of supporting requirement HR-G3 of the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard were evaluated.
- 2. Whether maintenance procedures for the portable equipment were reviewed for possible pre-initiator human failures that renders the equipment unavailable during an event, and if the probabilities of the pre-initiator human failure events were assessed as described in HLR-HR-D of the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard.
- 3. If the procedures governing the initiation or entry into mitigating strategies are ambiguous, vague, or not explicit, a discussion detailing the technical bases for probability of failure to initiate mitigating strategies.
SNC Response:
None of the credited operator actions related to this added equipment are evaluated using approaches that are not consistent with the ASME/ANS PRA Standard as endorsed by RG 1.200 Revision 2.
c) The ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA standard defines PRA upgrade as the incorporation into a PRA model of a new methodology or significant changes in scope or capability that impact the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences. Section 1-5 of Part 1 of ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard states that upgrades of a PRA shall receive a peer review in accordance with the requirements specified in the peer review section of each respective part of this Standard.
Provide an evaluation of the model changes associated with incorporating mitigating strategies, which demonstrates that none of the following criteria is satisfied: (1) use of new methodology, (2) change in scope that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences, and (3) change in capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences; E-39
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SNC Response:
For the SPRA model, the model changes incorporating permanent plant modifications associated with FLEX implementation have been peer reviewed as part of the SPRA model development project.
The implementation of permanent plant modifications associated with FLEX into the Internal Events PRA and Fire PRA models was performed consistent with the PRA methods and modeling that had already been peer reviewed within the existing PRA model maintenance framework. The ASME/ANS PRA Standard defines a PRA upgrade as a new methodology, or a change in scope or change in capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences. PRA maintenance is defined as changes within the framework of an existing model structure.
The modeling of the FLEX modifications is not a new methodology since the methods used to model FLEX modifications are no different than the methods used to model non-FLEX modifications. It is also not a change of scope of the model, i.e., the equipment, dependencies, and types of accident sequences remain the same. It is also not a change in PRA model capability, i.e., the peer reviewed PRA model can still evaluate the risk associated with LOSP and station blackout. Thus, the modeling of FLEX modifications is a change implemented within the framework of the existing peer reviewed PRA model structure. The framework of the model remains essentially the same, and the High Level and Supporting Requirements in the PRA Standard for the Technical Elements associated with modeling of FLEX modifications (e.g., those within the Accident Sequence Analysis, Data Analysis, Human Reliability Analysis, and Quantification technical elements) will continue to be Met or Not Met regardless of implementation of the change from FLEX modifications. Although the implementation of permanent plant modifications associated with FLEX will affect the ordering of the accident sequences, the overall accident sequences are not significantly changed and does not result in significantly different risk insights. Given the above reasonings, the implementation of permanent plant modifications associated with FLEX in the Internal Events PRA and Fire PRA models does not constitute a PRA upgrade and does not require a focused-scope peer review.
d) LAR Attachment 6 Table 6-2 states that the uncertainty associated with credit taken for FLEX implementation in the SPRA will be addressed by the human reliability analysis (HRA) sensitivity study performed as part of 10 CFR 50.69 categorization. The HRA sensitivity study performed as part of the categorization process increases all human error probabilities (HEPs) to their 95th percentile value. The disposition also states that the results of a sensitivity study, in which FLEX was assumed to completely fail, showed a significant increase in seismic CDF (41%) and LERF (57%) demonstrating that credit for FLEX is important to seismic risk. The NRC staff notes that the HRA methodologies used to calculate HEP values for FLEX actions, which may occur outside the main reactor buildings and may not be part of a normal or emergency operating procedure, should be consistent with technical elements of the NRC endorsed ASME/ANS PRA Standard (e.g., consideration of environmental conditions). Accordingly, it is not clear to the NRC staff that a sensitivity study using the 95th percentile value for the failure probability of FLEX operator actions is sufficient to address the uncertainty associated with FLEX actions and the lack of industry failure rate information for FLEX equipment.
The disposition in Attachment 6 of the LAR for the above key source of uncertainty also states in part, the treatment of this uncertainty has minimal impact on the application because the seismic risk is small compared to the overall risk. The NRC staff notes that for 10 CFR E-40
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs 50.69 categorization the uncertainty associated with crediting FLEX equipment and actions impacting the seismic importance of SSCs and could skew the integrated importance of certain SSCs.
Considering these observations:
- i. Provide justifications that the HEP 95th percentile value sensitivity study is sufficient to address the uncertainty associated with crediting FLEX equipment and operator actions in the SPRA.
SNC Response:
As discussed above, FLEX operator actions outside of the main reactor buildings or control building are not being credited in the SPRA for this LAR. Therefore, the HEP 95th percentile value sensitivity study is sufficient to address the uncertainty in operator actions.
ii. If the HEP 95th percentile value sensitivity study cannot be justified to be sufficient to address the uncertainty associated with crediting FLEX equipment and operator actions in the SPRA in response to part (iii) above, then propose a mechanism to ensure that a separate acceptable sensitivity study is performed as part of 10 CFR 50.69 categorization to address the use of FLEX equipment and operator actions in the SPRA.
SNC Response:
This is not applicable due to the response in 6.d.i.
RAI 07 (APLB) - Seismic PRA Screened SSCs Section 5.1 of NEI 00-04 provides guidance on the use of importance measures for identifying the "candidate safety significance" of components during the categorization process. Based on the information provided in the LAR, the NRC staff was unable to determine whether the potential use of capacity-based screening level in the licensees SPRA is consistent with the guidance for developing importance measure to identify candidate safety significance.
Describe whether a capacity-based screening level is used in the SPRA and how the potential use of the screening level maintains consistency with the importance measure criteria in NEI 00-04 or justify any deviations from the guidance by using the selected screening level. This justification may include demonstration of the impact of the selected screening level in the SPRA on the importance measure criteria and the categorization of SSCs.
SNC Response:
SNC uses a screening level in the SPRA and the usage of such a level does not impact the relative importance. Therefore, use of the screening level maintains consistency with the importance measure criteria in NEI 00-04. The justification for the conclusion is:
Although an SSC may have a fragility above the screening value, these fragilities are usually conservative. Once the SSC fragility is evaluated to be above the screening value, no further refinement of the fragility is performed although conservatisms may still be present.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Many of the screened components would not lead directly to core damage or large early release; other failures would also be needed to result in core damage or large early release; the combination of failures needed to result in core damage or large early release would result in a contribution lower than the screening level.
When SSCs were judged to be important to CDF and LERF, they were included in the logic model even though their fragility was greater than the screening level. For instance, structures were included, as were components associated with the diesel generators, switchgear, and the instrumentation and control power.
In addition, a review of SSCs with fragilities greater than the screening level would be performed to identify any seismic singletons, similar to the Vogtle 50.69 process. That is, any SSC (or correlated group of SSCs) that could lead directly to core damage or large early release would be identified during the categorization process, to be consistent with NEI 00-04.
RAI 08 (APLB) - Use of Addendum B of the PRA Standard (2013)
Paragraph 50.69(c)(1)(i) of 10 CFR requires the PRA to be of sufficient quality and be subjected to a peer review process assessed against a standard or set of acceptance criteria that is endorsed by the NRC.
Section 3.2.3 of the LAR indicates that the SPRA model was peer reviewed using the requirements in Addendum B of the PRA Standard (ASME/ANS RA-Sb-2013, Standard for Level 1/Large Early Release Frequency Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plant Applications), which has not been endorsed by the NRC. LAR Section 3.2.3 also references discussion in the Vogtle 10 CFR 50.69 LAR (ADAMS Accession No. ML17173A875), as supplemented, justifying use of Addendum B based on an assessment of the differences between Addendum A and B Supporting Requirements (SRs). That assessment included evaluation of the Vogtle SPRA to Addendum A for SRs identified to be different from or not encompassed by the requirements in the Addendum B SRs. The licensee indicates that the SPRA peer review based on Addendum B can be justified using the Vogtle experience.
Section 3.3.1.1 of the Vogtle 10 CFR 50.69 Safety Evaluation (SE) (ADAMS Accession No ML18180A062) accepted the use of the 2013 PRA Standard based on (1) the discussion provided in the Vogtle LAR, (2) Vogtles comparison of Addendum B to Addendum A SRs in a report titled Response to Supplemental Information Needed for Acceptance of Systematic Risk-Informed Assessment of Debris Technical Report (ADAMS Accession No. ML17192A245); and (3) a response to a request for additional information clarifying the acceptability of a practice used in the Vogtle SPRA associated with SR SFR-C6. The assessment of debris report defined four comparison categories: (1) Addendum B Equates to Addendum A, (2) Addendum B Envelopes Addendum A, (3) Vogtle Conforms to Addendum A, and (4) Vogtle Conforms to Accepted Current Practices. The NRC staff notes that the first two comparison categories concern generic resolutions and, therefore, are expected to apply to the Hatch SPRA, but the remaining two comparison categories (i.e., Vogtle Conforms to Addendum A, and Vogtle Conforms to Accepted Current Practices) involve plant-specific resolutions. The NRC staff also notes that these two later categories were only applied to a limited set of SRs (i.e., SHA-B3, SHA-C3, SFR-C3, SFR-G3, SPR-B1, and SFR-C6).
In light of the observations above, confirm that the generic resolutions are applicable to the SPRA and provide plant-specific justification that the SPRA is in conformance with Addendum A E-42
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SRs SHA-B3, SHA-C3, SFR-C3, SFR-G3, SPR-B1 and SFR-CR (C-II where it applies); or that the SPRA conforms to an industry practice considered more current than the practice required by Addendum A (e.g., like Vogtle did for SR SFR-C6).
SNC Response:
The categorization of those ASME/ANS PRA Standard RA-S-2008 Addendum B (RA-Sb-2013) Part 5 (Seismic) SRs as meeting one of the two generic comparison categories (1)
Addendum B Assessment Equates to Addendum A and (2) Addendum B Envelopes Addendum A as documented in the report titled Response to Supplemental Information Needed for Acceptance of Systematic Risk-Informed Assessment of Debris Technical Report (ADAMS Accession No. ML17192A245), is applicable to the Hatch SPRA.
For the following Addendum B Part 5 SRs to which neither of the above categories applies, i.e., SHA-B3, SHA-C3, SFR-C3, SFR-C6, SFR-G3, and SPR-B1, the following table provides plant specific justification that either the Hatch SPRA is in conformance with the corresponding Addendum A Part 5 SRs or the Hatch SPRA conforms to accepted current industry practices.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 8.1: Comparison of Supporting Requirements of Addendum A and Addendum B Standard Capability Category Capability Category Capability Category SR Basis for Assessment (CC-II Focus)
Rev. I II III SHA-B3 ASME/ANS <not printed here; not As a part of data collection, COMPILE a Hatch Conforms to Addendum A RA-Sa- focus of this catalog of historically reported, geologically 2009 assessment> identified, and instrumentally recorded A catalog of historically reported, geologically earthquakes. USE reference [5-30] identified, and instrumentally recorded requirements or equivalent. earthquakes for the entire CEUS was ASME/ANS INCLUDE an appropriate existing catalog of <not printed here; not compiled by the 2012 CEUS SSC report.
RA-Sb- historically reported earthquakes, focus of this Following a SSHAC Level 3 process, the 2013 instrumentally recorded earthquakes, and assessment> CEUS SSC report is a robust evaluation of earthquakes reported through geological available information on historical seismicity, investigations. USE reference [5-30] paleoseismic data on large-magnitude requirements or equivalent. recurrence rates, and state-of-the-knowledge of earthquake seismic sources as considered in the informed technical community.
The 2012 CEUS SSC catalog followed a SSHAC Level 3 process and is applicable for risk informed applications. Compiling a new catalog will not be as rigorous as the SSHAC Level 3 process. The Addenda B SR requirement is appropriate for CC-II.
The 2012 CEUS SSC report used an earthquake catalog which extended through 2008. Recent earthquake activity in the vicinity of the Hatch site was assessed for its impact on hazard. The study was based on a temporal update of the earthquake catalog from 2009 through February 2016. The assessment concluded that the 2012 CEUS SSC report seismicity parameters are appropriate for evaluation of seismic hazard at Hatch. Based on this, the Hatch PSHA that was performed conforms to Addendum A.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Standard Capability Category Capability Category Capability Category SR Basis for Assessment (CC-II Focus)
Rev. I II III SHA-C3 ASME/ANS <not printed here; not The seismic sources are characterized by Hatch Conforms to Addendum A RA-Sa- focus of this source location and geometry, maximum 2009 assessment> earthquake magnitude, and earthquake Addenda B added additional clarification into recurrence. INCLUDE the aleatory and the text of this SR, and also added a clause epistemic uncertainties explicitly in these "where significant" at the end. The Addenda characterizations. B SR requirement is appropriate for CC-II.
ASME/ANS <not printed here; not The seismic sources are characterized by RA-Sb- focus of this alternative source representation and Under the SSHAC Level 3 process the 2013 assessment> source geometry, maximum earthquake aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in magnitude, and earthquake recurrence. seismic sources are characterized for source INCLUDE the aleatory and epistemic location and geometry, magnitude, and uncertainties explicitly in these activity rate. Logic trees to account for the characterizations, where significant. epistemic uncertainty were developed as part of the SSHAC Level 3 methodology implemented in the CEUS SSC report. The aleatory uncertainty was also accounted for in the PSHA framework of the Hatch PSHA.
For seismic sources representing repeated large magnitude earthquakes (RLMEs),
uncertainties in location and geometry, magnitude model, activity rate, and maximum magnitude were explicitly included in the characterization. For background sources, uncertainty in geometry was represented with alternative sets of area sources, uncertainties in recurrence rates were represented with alternative rates, and uncertainties in maximum magnitude were represented with distributions of values. These uncertainties were documented in the 2012 CEUS SSC report and were included in the Hatch PSHA.
Based on this, the Hatch PSHA that was performed conforms to Addendum A.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Standard Capability Category Capability Category Capability Category SR Basis for Assessment (CC-II Focus)
Rev. I II III SFR-C3 ASME/ANS If scaling of existing design response analysis <not printed here; not Hatch Conforms to Addendum A RA-Sa- is used, JUSTIFY it based on the adequacy of focus of this 2009 structural models, foundation characteristics, assessment> The change from Addendum A to Addendum and similarity of input ground motion. B involved the deletion of the word "design" ASME/ANS If scaling of existing response analysis is <not printed here; not from "existing design response analysis."
RA-Sb- used, JUSTIFY it based on the adequacy of focus of this However, Plant Hatch did not perform scaling 2013 structural models, foundation characteristics, assessment> of any existing response analysis. Therefore, and similarity of input ground motion. the change is irrelevant, and Hatch conforms to Addendum A.
SFR-C6 ASME/ANS When soil-structure interaction (SSI) analysis <not printed here; not Hatch Conforms to Accepted Current RA-Sa- is conducted, ENSURE that it is median focus of this Practices 2009 centered using median properties, at soil assessment>
strain levels corresponding to the input The changes in SFR-C6 involved the ground motions that dominate the seismically replacement of "ACCOUNT for" with the more induced core damage frequency. ACCOUNT precise action verb "INCLUDE", the non-for the uncertainties in the SSI analysis by substantive replacement of "dominate" with varying the low strain soil shear modulus "contribute most" for PRA standard between the median value times (1 + Cv) consistency, and the removal of how to and the median value divided by (1 + Cv), perform SSI uncertainty analysis.
where Cv is a factor that accounts for uncertainties in the SSI analysis and soil The SSI uncertainty analysis method properties. If adequate soil investigation presented in Addendum A is derived from data are available, ESTABLISH the mean ASCE 4-98 (as indicated by the non-and standard deviation of the low strain mandatory Note 5). Section 3.3.1.7 of ASCE shear modulus for every soil layer. Then 4-98 states that the use of (1 + Cv) to vary ESTABLISH the value of Cv so that it will low strain soil shear moduli is an acceptable cover the mean plus or minus one method in lieu of probabilistic evaluation, standard deviation for every layer. The which Section C.3.3.1.7 further states is the minimum value of Cv is 0-5. When preferred approach.
insufficient data are available to address uncertainties in soil properties, ENSURE Plant Hatch accounted for uncertainties in the that Cv is taken as no less than 1.0. SSI analysis by applying strain-compatible E-46
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Standard Capability Category Capability Category Capability Category SR Basis for Assessment (CC-II Focus)
Rev. I II III ASME/ANS When soil-structure interaction (SSI) analysis <not printed here; not soil properties derived from probabilistic RA-Sb- is conducted, ENSURE that it is median focus of this evaluation via the local site response analysis 2013 centered using median properties, at soil assessment> which includes epistemic and aleatory strain levels corresponding to the input uncertainties. Therefore, the Addendum B ground motions that contribute most to the assessment is considered appropriate.
seismically induced core damage frequency.
INCLUDE the uncertainties in the SSI analysis.
SFR-G3 ASME/ANS DOCUMENT the sources of model uncertainty and related Hatch Conforms to Addendum A RA-Sa- assumptions associated with the seismic fragility analysis.
2009 Addendum B deleted this SR. However, the Plant Hatch SPRA documentation describes ASME/ANS Deleted. in detail the sources of model uncertainty and RA-Sb- related assumptions associated with the 2013 seismic fragility analysis. Therefore, the Hatch SPRA conforms to Addendum A.
SPR-B1 ASME/ANS In each of the following aspects of the seismic-PRA systems-analysis Hatch Conforms to Addendum A RA-Sa- work, SATISFY the corresponding requirements in Part 2, except 2009 where they are not applicable or where this Part includes additional Addendum B removed the last sentence of requirements. DEVELOP a defined basis to support the claimed this SR in response to an EPRI 2011 nonapplicability of any exceptions. The aspects governed by this comment on the Addendum B ballot. The last requirement are sentence was removed in Addendum B (a) initiating-event analysis because it was determined to be confusing as (b) accident-sequence analysis wells as inappropriate specificity to require all (c) success-criteria analysis new aspects in the SPRA to meet the exact (d) systems analysis same CCs of Part 2 SRs. In addition, (e) data analysis Addendum B changed the action verb to be (f) human-reliability analysis consistent with accepted verb usage across (g) use of expert judgment SRs. The Addendum B SR requirement When the Part 2 requirements are used, FOLLOW the Capability clarifications are appropriate. Regardless, Category designations in Part 2, and for consistency USE the the Plant Hatch 1&2 SPRA builds upon the same Capability Category in this analysis. internal events PRA and uses the same E-47
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Standard Capability Category Capability Category Capability Category SR Basis for Assessment (CC-II Focus)
Rev. I II III ASME/ANS In each of the following aspects of the seismic-PRA systems-analysis general methodologies as used for Part 2 RA-Sb- work, SATISFY the corresponding requirements in Part 2, except where applicable; therefore, the Hatch SPRA 2013 where they are not applicable or where this Part includes additional conforms to Addendum A.
requirements. SPECIFY a basis to support the claimed nonapplicability of any exceptions. The aspects governed by this requirement are (a) initiating-event analysis (b) accident-sequence analysis (c) success-criteria analysis (d) systems analysis (e) data analysis (f) human-reliability analysis (g) use of expert judgment E-48
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs RAI 09 (APLB) - Seismic PRA Peer Review Criteria Paragraph 50.69(c)(1)(i) of 10 CFR requires the PRA must be of sufficient quality and be subjected to a peer review process assessed against a standard or set of acceptance criteria that is endorsed by the NRC. LAR Section 3.3 states that the PRA models have been assessed against RG 1.200, Revision 1.
Section 2.2 of RG 1.200 provides regulatory guidance regarding peer reviews and the staff regulatory position on NEI 00-02, 05-04, and 07-12. NRC letter, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Acceptance of NEI Guidance NEI 12-13, External Hazards PRA Peer Review Process Guidelines (August 2012), dated March 7, 2018 (ADAMS Accession No. ML18025C025), provides the NRC staffs comments on this guidance for seismic and external hazard PRA peer reviews. Based on the information provided in the LAR the NRC staff was unable to determine if the SPRA peer review and focused-scope peer review considered the NRC staffs comments in the March 7, 2018 letter.
Discuss how SPRA peer review and focused-scope peer review considered the NRC staffs comments in the March 7, 2018 NRC acceptance letter. In addition, provide justifications for not considering specific comments in the acceptance letter in the context of this application if applicable.
SNC Response:
The Plant Hatch full scope Seismic PRA peer review was performed October 17 through October 21, 2016, at Plant Hatch using the NEI 12-13 process and the PRA Standard (ASME/ANS RA-Sb-2013). The SPRA peer review team did not identify any unreviewed analysis methods in the SPRA.
The Plant Hatch Seismic PRA Finding Level Fact and Observation (F&O) Appendix X closure was performed in June 2017. A concurrent Focused-scope Peer Review was also performed in June 2017 using NEI 12-13 and the PRA Standard. The SPRA focused-scope peer review team did not identify any unreviewed analysis methods in the SPRA.
Although the NRC staffs comments in the NRC acceptance letter were issued on the March 7, 2018, the SPRA peer review and focused-scope peer review had already incorporated them.
SNC has reviewed all 32 comments (ML18025C024) and has determined that they are incorporated. SNC provides additional information on comments that were deemed not to be generic, as outlined in the following table.
Note: The first four columns are copied directly from ML18025C024 with the original formatting.
Some of this formatting incudes strikethroughs, boldface and deletions.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 9.1 SNC Dispositions to Specific Comments ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition 1 Section 2.1 It is recognized that because of To follow the third paragraph of Section 2.1: An in-process peer review of the unique aspect of a seismic the Hatch SPRA was not PRA, a form of sequencing the The peer reviews may be performed in performed. A final full scope peer review may be needed. various phases of the development of the peer review was performed However, the way the PRA. It is recognized that the unique and to judge the technical guidance is written, it can be discrete aspects of seismic PRA (i.e., hazard adequacy of the SPRA interpreted (e.g., one week analysis, fragility analysis, and event and model.
onsite) as not supporting an fault tree modeling) lends itself to some form in-process approach. The of sequenced peer reviews that may occur guidance need to distinguish during the development of the PRA (i.e., an between an in-process and in-process PRA peer review). However, all at once approach. regardless of whether the peer review being Regardless, each approach performed is an in-process peer review or a has to meet (1) the final peer review after the PRA is completed, requirements of an either approach needs to meet:
independent peer review as stated in the PRA standard as 1. the requirements for an independent peer endorsed in RG 1.200, and (2) review as stated in the ASME/ANS PRA the process described in NEI standard and as endorsed in RG 1.200, and 12-13.
- 2. the process described in NEI 12-13.
Peer review findings from an in-process review may be formalized as part of that in-process peer review or deferred as a draft finding to the final peer review following the completion of the PRA. An in-process peer review is not considered to be final until the final peer review is performed following the completion of the PRA. In addition to creation of any new findings, the final peer review would assess any draft findings from in-process PRA peer reviews, which may require a re-review of the related PRA E-50
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition aspects. Licensees that use an in-process peer review must assure that the independence of the members of the peer review team is maintained given that those members will also participate in the final peer review.
as expansive as a peer review of the entire External Hazards PRA. The F&O independent assessment process is not a substitute for the Follow-on Peer Review.
4 Page 2, Section Internal events F&Os that were
- F&Os that were not addressed closed by a Prior to the conduct of the 1.1, 3rd and 4th not appropriately addressed focused-scope peer review or independent Hatch SPRA peer review, the paragraph prior to the External Hazards assessment prior to the External finding-level F&Os from the PRA Peer Review may have a Hatch internal events significant detrimental effect on The review of Internal Events PRA model (including internal flooding) the external hazard PRA. issues pertinent to the External Hazards PRA PRA peer review were undergoing the peer review is required to be dispositioned and addressed in the self-assessment, as incorporated into the PRA discussedion in Section 1.4 below. The model as appropriate prior to External Hazards PRA Peer Review is use of the internal events required to review all of the findings level PRA as the basis for the F&Os from the internal events PRA peer SPRA. There were twenty-review and determine whether the resolution five findings for the Internal was appropriate and in accordance with the Events (including Internal endorsed or accepted ASME/ANS PRA Flooding) PRA model. Since standard. the peer review, the findings were closed per NRC endorsed process outlined in Appendix X of NEI 12-13.
Further, there were no PRA upgrades required for the internal events PRA to incorporate the finding resolutions prior to applying the model to the SPRA.
Therefore, there was no E-51
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition need for a focused-scope peer review.
An assessment of the resolution of each internal events PRA peer review finding was made to determine if the resolution was appropriate for the SPRA. The SPRA peer review team was provided with the internal events peer review report and the dispositions of the findings to facilitate their assessment of adequacy of the internal events PRA model as the basis for the SPRA as part of their review of supporting requirement SPR-B1.
6 Page 5, Section A high-quality self-assessment The self-assessment is key to ensuring that the A self-assessment was 1.4, External is an important part of ensuring overall Peer Review process is completed provided to the SPRA peer Hazards PRA a successful External Hazard within the scheduled time and that all of the review team prior to the peer Peer Review PRA peer review. However, it required review is completed. The self- review. The self-assessment Preparatory is unclear whether the self- assessment is required to be performed is assessed against the Review and Self assessment is required in prior to the peer review and must include a respective SRs listed in the Assessment whole or in part (throughout the self-assessment of: Part 5 of the ASME/ANS document, including page A-12
- The referenced Internal Events PRA Standard.
which indicates it is optional against the SRs listed in Table D-1 but recommended).
- The seismic, high winds, or external flooding PRA against the respective SRs listed in Part 5, Part 7, or Part 8.
11 Page 18, Step New information should not be New information provided this new No information was provided 11 provided subsequent to the information. to the full scope peer review peer review teams departure team subsequent to the E-52
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition from the peer-review location. departure of the peer review The peer-review is intended to team.
capture the snapshot of the model. New information subsequent to the departure of the peer review team is outside of the scope of the peer review and should be part of the resolution of the F&O/open item. Providing information after the peer review team has left the site is also inconsistent with the performance of actual peer reviews.
13 Page 20 2.2, The External Hazards PRA In addition to the requirements in Section 1-6, The qualifications of the footnote 8 Peer Review Team should each Part of the PRA Standard includes Hatch SPRA peer review meet the requirements in requirements.. the review team should be is team were reviewed by SNC Sections 1-6.2 and the peer assembled to meet those requirements. against the requirements in review section in each ASME/ANS PRA Standard applicable external hazard Part RA-Sa-2009 to establish that of the ASME/ANS PRA the peer review team met Standard. these requirements. Section 1-6.2 of this standard defines requirements for a PRA peer review team as a whole and for individual reviewers.
Section 5-3.2 further establishes seismic PRA-specific reviewer requirements.
Prior to the peer review, SNC was responsible for accepting each of the proposed peer review team members relative to the E-53
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition requirements in the PRA standard. Team requirements in Section 1-6.2 for a seismic PRA peer review include the ability to assess all the applicable PRA Elements of the Technical Requirements section in Part 5 of the Standard, and collectively having knowledge of the plant NSSS design, containment design, and plant operation. Team requirements in Section 5-3.2 include having combined experience in the areas of systems engineering, seismic hazard, seismic capability engineering, and seismic PRAs or seismic margin methodologies.
Individual peer reviewer requirements in Section 1-6.2 include having knowledge of the requirements in the Standard for their area of review, having experience in performing the activities related to the PRA Elements for which the reviewer is assigned, and having neither performed nor directly supervised any work on the E-54
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition portions of the PRA being reviewed. The peer reviewers must also have direct experience with the specific methodology, code, tool, or approach that was used in the PRA Element assigned for review. Section 5-3.2 further requires that reviewers focusing on the seismic-fragility work have successfully completed the SQUG Walkdown Screening and Seismic Evaluation Training Course or equivalent or have demonstrated equivalent experience in seismic walkdowns.
14 Page 20, Section There have been some recent With the exception of individuals who have The SPRA peer reviewers 2.2, 2nd questions and concerns worked on or directly supervised the subject had no previous involvement paragraph regarding the independence of PRA, there are no automatic exclusion criteria; in the Hatch Seismic PRA.
peer review team or however, the host utility may question the This is certified by the independent assessment team independence of any proposed Peer Review reviewers signatures on the members. Team member. The term worked on is cover of the peer review intended to include any utility staff or report.
contractors that had any association with the portion of the External Hazard PRA that This satisfies the they are reviewing. Similarly, an external independence requirements hazard PRA team member who had an of Section 1-6.2.2 of the association with the basis internal events ASME/ANS PRA Standard.
PRA model would not meet the independence requirement for reviewing the closure of the associated internal events findings.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition 17 Page 22 2.2, The External Hazards PRA
- Experience Expectations Needs for Peer The qualifications of the bullet titles Peer Review Team should Review Team Lead:.. Hatch SPRA peer review meet the requirements in
- Experience Expectations Needs for Individual team were reviewed by SNC Sections 1-6.2 and the peer Peer Review Team against the requirements in review section in each Members:.. ASME/ANS PRA Standard applicable external hazard Part
- Additional Experience Expectations Needs for RA-Sa-2009 to establish that of the ASME/ANS PRA the Team as a Whole.. the peer review team met Standard. these requirements. Section 1-6.2 of this standard defines requirements for a PRA peer review team as a whole and for individual reviewers.
18 Page 22 2.2, 7th The External Hazards PRA Specialized expertise in seismic, high winds, Section 1-6.2 of this standard paragraph, last Peer Review Team should external flood or other External Hazards PRAs defines requirements for a sub-bullet meet the requirements in should be strongly considered is needed if PRA peer review team as a Sections 1-6.2 and the peer these hazards are being reviewed. whole and for individual review section in each reviewers. Section 5-3.2 applicable external hazard Part further establishes seismic of the ASME/ANS PRA PRA-specific reviewer Standard. requirements.
Prior to the peer review, SNC was responsible for accepting each of the proposed peer review team members relative to the requirements in the PRA standard. Team requirements in Section 1-6.2 for a seismic PRA peer review include the ability to assess all the applicable PRA Elements of the Technical Requirements section in Part 5 of the Standard, and collectively E-56
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition having knowledge of the plant NSSS design, containment design, and plant operation. Team requirements in Section 5-3.2 include having combined experience in the areas of systems engineering, seismic hazard, seismic capability engineering, and seismic PRAs or seismic margin methodologies.
21 Page 25, Section The requirement to review the Add a paragraph to discuss the requirements An assessment of the 3.2, 2nd changes to the internal events associated with reviewing the internal events resolution of each internal paragraph model against appropriate Part PRA F&Os and their disposition. events PRA peer review 2 SRs is included, but the finding was made to requirement to review all determine if the resolution findings level internal events was appropriate for the PRA F&Os and their SPRA. The SPRA peer dispositions is not included. review team was provided with the internal events peer review report and the dispositions of the findings to facilitate their assessment of adequacy of the internal events PRA model as the basis for the SPRA as part of their review of supporting requirement SPR-B1.
22 Page 26, Section Any resolved Inquiries that are assignment of a Capability Category for the There were no SRs that 3.2, 1st used in the interpretation of SR. All such instances will be documented required interpretation for the paragraph SR(s) for the peer review need in the peer review report along with the peer review.
to be documented explicitly. specific SRs that were interpreted using each Inquiry.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs ID Index Issue Proposed Staff Resolution SNC Disposition 23 Page 26, Section Based on lessons learned in Unreviewed Analysis Method - an observation There were no unreviewed 3.2, last the implementation of NEI regarding the use of methods that are new or analysis methods used in the paragraph 0712, the definition of a UAM beyond the expected expertise of the review Hatch SPRA. The SPRA should be revised to include all team or, and for which the review would exceed peer review team did not new methods or changes to the time and capability of the External Hazards identify any unreviewed existing methods which have PRA Peer Review team. When an F&O is analysis methods in the not been vetted by a broad written with this classification, would need the SPRA technical community, even if method would need to be reviewed by a they were reviewed by the peer separate body of experts.
reviewer. Such methods should be flagged as UAMs New Method - an observation regarding the and documented in the peer- use of methods that are new. An F&O review report. A definition of written with this classification will be what constitutes a new method reviewed during the peer review, the peer is necessary which is review report will identify it explicitly as a consistent with established new method along with the aspect(s) that staff position. makes it novel, and the reason(s) why the method was found to be acceptable or unacceptable (in whole or part) to the peer review team. [F&Os with this classification cannot be closed out via the F&O closure process described in NEI 05-04/07-12/12-13 Appendix X process (ML17086A431) or a follow-on peer review unless the method no longer meets the current definition of new method.]
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs RAI 10 (APLA/APLB) - SSC Categorization Based on Other External Hazards Paragraph 50.69(b)(2)(ii) of 10 CFR requires that the quality and level of detail of the systematic processes that evaluate the plant for external events during operation are adequate for the categorization of SSCs.
LAR Section 3.2.4 states that [a]ll other hazards were screened from applicability to Hatch Units 1 and 2 per a plant-specific evaluation in accordance with the criteria in Section 6 of ASME PRA Standard RA-Sb-2013. This statement appears to indicate that Hatch proposes to treat all SSCs as low-safety-significant (LSS) with respect to other external events risk. The LAR provides no further explanation of how the risk for other external hazards will be considered in 10 CFR 50.69 categorization (i.e., components being categorized that participate in screened scenarios and whose failure would result in an unscreened scenario). LAR Attachments 4 and 5 provide a summary of the other external hazards screening results, but do not appear to address any considerations related to applying Figure 5-6 of NEI 00-04 guidance to those hazards. Considering these observations, address the following:
a) LAR Section 3.2.4 states that external hazards were screened using the criteria in Section 6 of the 2013 PRA Standard ASME/ANS RA-Sb-2013. LAR Attachment 5 however appears to list the criteria from the 2009 PRA Standard ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009. Clarify and justify the criteria used for the screening of external hazards.
SNC Response:
Section 3.2.4 of the LAR states that, All other external hazards were screened from applicability to Hatch Units 1 and 2 per a plant specific evaluation in accordance with the criteria in Section 6 of ASME PRA Standard RA-Sb-2013. RG 1.200 Revision 2 endorses the RA-Sa-2009 version of the standard, the 2013 version of the standard contains the same technical requirements as the 2009 version, however editorial changes to the layouts of the tables and attachments were performed.
While LAR Attachment 5 lists the 2009 version of the standard and associated criteria, this was a mistake and should have listed the 2013 version and associated criteria, as the 2013 version was used as stated in section 3.2.4 of the LAR.
Use of ASME PRA Standard RA-Sb-2013 for screening other external hazards meets all the requirements in the RA-Sa-2009 version of the standard. The set of screened hazards is the same using either version of the standard. Additionally, the differences in the screening criteria between the 2009 and 2013 versions of the standard are minor editorial changes. There is an exception regarding Criterion PS1 (EXT-C1, Criterion A in the 2009 version of the standard) which is discussed below.
During the March 2019 NRC LAR Audit, the NRC noted that Criterion PS1, did not transition to the 2013 version of the standard. However, as HNP utilized the 2013 version of the standard for the external hazard screening analysis, PS1 was not applied.
There are minor editorial differences in the fundamental screening criteria listed in section 6-2.3 of the standard, listed below (Table 10.a.1). Additionally, the Progressive Screening Approach shown in Attachment 5 of the HNP LAR is reproduced in part below E-59
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs (Table 10.a.2) with an additional source column and additional comments focusing on the differences in the PRA Supporting Requirements used for screening.
Table 10.a.1: Comparison of Fundamental Screening Criteria 2009 version 2013 version There are three fundamental screening There are three fundamental screening criteria embedded in the requirements here, criteria embedded in the requirements here, as follows. An event can be screened out as follows. A hazard can be screened out if either (a) if it meets the criteria in the NRCs 1975 (a) it meets the criteria in the U.S. Nuclear Standard Review Plan (SRP) [6-2] or a later Regulatory Commission (NRC) Standard revision; or Review Plan (SRP) [6-2] or a later revision; or (b) if it can be shown using a demonstrably (b) it can be shown, by using a demonstrably conservative analysis that the mean value of conservative analysis, that the mean value of the frequency of the design-basis hazard the frequency of the design-basis hazard used in the plant design is less than~10-5/yr event used in the plant design is less and that the conditional core damage than~10-5/yr and that the conditional core probability is <10-1, given the occurrence of damage probability is <10-1, given the the design-basis hazard event; or occurrence of the design basis-hazard event; or (c) if it can be shown using a demonstrably (c) it can be shown, by using a demonstrably conservative analysis that the CDF is <10- conservative analysis, that the CDF is <10-6/yr. 6/yr.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Table 10.a.2: HNP LAR Attachment 5 Clarification Progressive Screening Approach for Addressing External Hazards Event Criterion Source Comments Analysis 2009 2013 Version Version C1. Event ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except damage S Standard S Standard for minor editorial language (e.g.,
Initial potential is < RA-Sa- RA-Sa- use of event in 2009 version vs.
Preliminary events for 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- hazard in 2013 version.
Screening which plant is B1 B1 designed. Criterion 1 Criterion 1 C2. Event has ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except lower mean S Standard S Standard for minor editorial language (e.g.,
frequency and RA-Sa- RA-Sa- use of event in 2009 version vs.
no worse 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- hazard in 2013 version.
consequences B1 B1 than other Criterion 2 Criterion 2 events analyzed.
C3. Event ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except cannot occur S Standard S Standard for minor editorial language (e.g.,
close enough RA-Sa- RA-Sa- use of event in 2009 version vs.
to the plant to 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- hazard in 2013 version.
affect it. B1 B1 Criterion 3 Criterion 3 C4. Event is ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except included in the S Standard S Standard for minor editorial language (e.g.,
definition of RA-Sa- RA-Sa- use of event in 2009 version vs.
another event. 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- hazard in 2013 version.
B1 B1 Criterion 4 Criterion 4 C5. Event ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except develops S Standard S Standard for minor editorial language (e.g.,
slowly, RA-Sa- RA-Sa- use of event in 2009 version vs.
allowing 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- hazard in 2013 version.
adequate time B1 B1 to eliminate or Criterion 5 Criterion 5 mitigate the threat.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Progressive Screening Approach for Addressing External Hazards Event Criterion Source Comments Analysis 2009 2013 Version Version PS1. Design ASME/AN Deleted Criterion A in the 2009 version of basis hazard S Standard the Standard did not transition to Progressive cannot cause RA-Sa- the 2013 version of the Standard.
Screening a core 2009 EXT-damage C1 No hazards in the HNP LAR were accident. Criterion A screened using PS1.
PS2. Design ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except basis for the S Standard S Standard the 2013 version of the Standard event meets RA-Sa- RA-Sa- states to JUSTIFY any screening the criteria in 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- out of an external hazard based the NRC 1975 B2 B2 solely on conformance to SRP.
Standard Review Plan No hazards in the HNP LAR were (SRP). screened solely using PS2.
Aircraft Impacts was the only hazard using PS2 which also used PS4.
PS3. Design ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except basis event S Standard S Standard the 2009 version uses Criterion B mean RA-Sa- RA-Sa- and has been renumbered to frequency is < 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- Criterion A in the 2013 version.
1E-5/y and C1 C1 the mean Criterion B Criterion A conditional core damage probability is <
0.1.
PS4. ASME/AN ASME/AN The Criterion is the same except Bounding S Standard S Standard the 2009 version uses Criterion C mean CDF is RA-Sa- RA-Sa- and has been renumbered to
< 1E-6/y. 2009 EXT- 2013 EXT- Criterion B in the 2013 version.
C1 C1 Criterion C Criterion B E-62
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Progressive Screening Approach for Addressing External Hazards Event Criterion Source Comments Analysis 2009 2013 Version Version Screening not ASME/ ASME/ Detailed PRAs were developed for successful. ANS PRA ANS PRA internal flooding, fire, and seismic.
PRA needs to Standard. Standard.
meet Detailed requirements PRA in the ASME/ANS PRA Standard.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs b) Identify the external hazards that will be evaluated according to the flow chart in NEI 00-04, Section 5.4, Figure 5-6. Provide detailed justification for screening external hazards (i.e.,
external flood, high winds, and tornados) using the criteria described in part a above. As applicable, the justification should include consideration of uncertainties in the determination of demonstrably conservative mean values, as discussed in Section 6.2-3 of the ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009 PRA Standard.
SNC Response:
The external hazards that will be evaluated according to the flow chart in NEI 00-04, Section 5.4, Figure 5-6 are all the hazards shown in Attachment 4 of the LAR except internal flood, internal fire, and seismic. Specifically, they are:
Aircraft Impact High Tide/Lake Level/River Sand/Dust Storm Stage Avalanche Hurricane Seiche Biological Event Ice Cover Snow Coastal Erosion Industrial/Military Facility Soil Shrink-Swell Accident Consolidation Drought Landslide Storm Surge External Flooding Lightning Toxic Gas Extreme Low Lake Level/River Stage Transportation Wind/Tornado Accident Fog Low Winter Temperature Tsunami Forest/Range Fire Meteorite/Satellite Impact Turbine-Generated Missiles Frost Pipeline Accident Volcanic Activity Hail Release of Chemicals in Waves Onsite Storage High Summer River Diversion Temperature LAR attachment 4 provides justification for the use of the chosen screening criterion for a given hazard. The following discussion provides additional details and justification for the screening of external floods, extreme winds and tornados.
External Flooding The external flooding hazard was screened at HNP using the C1 criterion, The hazard is of equal or lesser damage potential than the hazards for which the plant has been designed.
The justification for use of C1 is based on the results of a series of calculations and analyses performed in response to Near Term Task Force recommendation 2.1, which were developed in accordance with NEI 12-06, NEI 16-05, and NUREG/CR-7046. The HNP Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report (FHRR) (ML14069A054, as supplemented by ML14219A570, ML15154B601, and ML16069A088) examined the external flooding E-64
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs hazard in detail, including the following mechanisms which were not bounded by the existing design basis flood height:
Local Intense Precipitation (LIP)
Combined effects flooding (Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) with upstream overtopping dam failure with wind-induced waves)
Flooding in rivers and streams (all season Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) with a 1/2 PMF antecedent storm)
Seismic upstream dam failure PMF with upstream overtopping dam failure The final NRC staff assessment of the FHRR was issued in ML16237A095.
In the follow-up evaluation documented in the HNP Mitigating Strategies Assessment (MSA, ML16351A087) and NRCs assessment letter (ML17069A234), HNP determined that three (listed below) of the five previously identified flooding mechanisms have maximum flooding elevations that remain below the 111 ft. Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929 (NGVD 29) elevation and did not require further analyses.
Flooding in rivers and streams (all season Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) with a 1/2 PMF antecedent storm)
Seismic upstream dam failure PMF with upstream overtopping dam failure The elevation of 111 ft. NGVD 29 is the elevation of the lowest floor of the intake structure; this is also lower than the power block, which sits at approximately 130 ft.
NGVD 29. Therefore, these mechanisms cannot cause damage to key SSCs and are therefore screened under C1.
Only LIP and the combined effects of flooding required further evaluation due to potential to exceed the 111 ft. NGVD 29 elevation. The flooding focused evaluation (SCNH 007, ML17173A777) was developed to assess LIP and combined effects flooding and the NRC response has been documented (CAC NOS. MF9687 and MF9868). The underlying SNC calculation was audited by the NRC (ML17192A452). The following discussion summarizes the LIP and combined effects conclusions and applicability to the screening evaluation.
Local Intense Precipitation (LIP)
The LIP analysis utilized a 1-hour/1-square mile Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) approach to determine local flood levels across a grid. Some doors were identified where the maximum LIP exterior water surface elevation would be greater than the finished floor elevation (both based on NGVD 29) for a given duration.
Calculations show that the water ingress from the LIP event is insufficient to damage key SSCs. SNC used conservative assumptions in the calculation of water ingress and available physical margin. For example, it was assumed that there was no water leakage during the time of inundation; this means the maximum exterior surface water E-65
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs elevation, and therefore maximum head, was used in calculations of ingress under doors. Additionally, storm drains were not credited in the computation of water heights at the exterior doors.
The NRC has previously concluded that there is a reasonable assurance that areas containing key SSCs will not be adversely impacted by water ingress from the LIP reevaluated hazard, and that there are adequate flood protection features associated with key SSCs that will ensure their continued function in the event of LIP (CAC NOS.
MF9687 and MF9868). Therefore, the LIP flooding mechanism screens under C1, as the LIP hazard is not capable of causing plant transients or impacting mitigation equipment that provides key safety functions due to site topography and design.
Combined Effects Flooding Analysis was documented in the focused flooding evaluation (SCNH-16-007, ML17173A777) and in the NRC response (CAC NOS. MF9687 and MF9868) for Combined Effects flooding. The Combined Effects flood is a beyond design basis event, requiring a combination of probable maximum flooding, dam overtopping failure, and wind-driven wave. Combined, the surface water elevation could temporarily reach 118.6 ft. NGVD 29.
Due to the site topography, the main power block buildings are located at an elevation (approximately 130 ft.) that provides enough available physical margin to prevent damage to SSCs within those structures.
At the intake structure, the fixed floor elevation of 111 ft. NGVD 29 would not be reached by PMF with dam overtopping failure only; however, with the addition of the wind-driven wave the fixed floor elevation is exceeded. The calculations show that the intake structure walls would withstand both hydrostatic and hydrodynamic loads, and that the doors would withstand hydrodynamic loads (SCNH-16-007). The doors would not be subject to hydrostatic loading.
Due to the bathymetry of the site, the intake structure would not be directly impacted by waves because the waves would break prior to impact. The hydrostatic loading at the doors was computed as if waves were normally incident to the doors; however, this is conservative because the doors have a labyrinth geometry and the waves could not be normally incident; also, the doors have weather stripping which aids in prevention of water ingress. Additionally, grating south of the intake structure would drain waves to the valve pit below; this was not credited in the calculations. Furthermore, there are grates within the structure that would allow drainage of water ingress from a wave, were it to occur, prior to reaching key SSCs.
The NRC staff has previously concluded that there is a reasonable assurance that the intake structure has adequate flood protection such that its functions will not be adversely impacted by the combined flooding effects reevaluated hazard (CAC NOS.
MF9687 and MF9868). Therefore, the combined effects flooding mechanism screens under C1, as the hazard is not capable of causing plant transients or impacting mitigation equipment that provides key safety functions due to site topography and design.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs Plant Response to External Flooding HNP does not rely on any personnel actions to respond to the design basis or beyond design basis flooding mechanisms. The NRC staff previously concluded that HNP has demonstrated that effective flood protection exists and that an Integrated Assessment based on the NRCs JLD-ISG-2016-1 document was not necessary (CAC NOS. MF9687 and MF9868). Therefore, only passive features (further discussed in response to 10.d) are credited in the screening of the hazard.
While the site does not rely on any personnel actions for external hazards, HNP does have a Naturally-Occurring Phenomena procedure (34AB-Y22-002-0) that directs the site to take actions based on Altamaha River elevation or expected elevation. Based on the time required for the maximum probable flood to develop, and the time required for flooding water from a dam failure to reach the site, there is adequate time to perform these proceduralized actions.
The procedure directs an inspection of the intake building sumps, monitoring of the intake valve pit for leakage, and monitoring of the plant service water flows for degraded performance. The procedure also directs alignment and operation of traveling water screens and trash rakes when necessary.
The procedure further directs additional actions to be taken if flood levels are expected to exceed the design basis water elevation. This includes an orderly shutdown of both units reactors and operation of sump pumps to maintain valve pit water level as low as possible. If necessary, the procedure directs deployment of FLEX equipment to protect plant service water strainers and backwash MOVs.
If the elevation is expected to exceed 111 ft., then additional actions are directed to protect plant equipment and pre-stage/deploy FLEX equipment.
Extreme Winds and Tornados HNP extreme wind or tornado hazard is screened based on the criterion C1, event damage potential is less than for which the plant was designed. The criterion originally provided in the LAR was PS3 design basis mean event frequency is < 1E-5/yr and the mean conditional core damage probability damage is <0.1. Given the information below, criterion C1 is the appropriate screening criterion for this hazard.
NUREG/CR-4461 provides tornado strike probabilities and maximum wind speeds for use in nuclear power plants. Table 6-1, Tornado Wind Speed Estimates for United States Nuclear Power Plant Sites, lists the 1E-6 probability using the Fujita Scale for Hatch as 228 mph and the 1E-7 wind speed as 278 mph. Using the more recent Enhanced Fujita Scale, the 1E-6 probability is 181 mph and the 1E-7 wind speed is 213 mph.
Per UFSAR Rev. 37, Section 3.3, all Seismic Category I structures are designed for tornado loadings are based on a 300-mph wind speed. Non-Category I structures have been designed to comply with Seismic II/I (two over one) requirements. Thus, the E-67
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs frequency of a tornado impacting the site that exceeds the plant design basis is less than 1E-7/yr. Since the design wind speed of the plant structures has a frequency of occurrence less than 1E-7, extreme wind hazards are screened out of PRA modeling.
In addition, as stated in the LAR, in response to Regulatory Issue Summary 2015-06, a Tornado Missile Vulnerability Evaluation was performed (RER SNC826314) to verify compliance to the existing license basis requirements. The walkdowns identified two non-conformances which were corrected (one by adding physical protection (CCE SNC799744) and one by engineering calculations showing non-vulnerability due to inherent robustness (SCNH-16-042)), and the site now fully complies with the license basis.
Since safety-related systems and components necessary for safe shutdown are located within Seismic Category I structures or otherwise have been evaluated in engineering calculations as being able to withstand the design hazard, and as the Seismic Category I structures provide adequate physical protection from extreme winds, tornados and associated missiles at greater than the 1E-7 wind speed, this hazard screens from PRA modeling based on Criterion C1.
HNP does not rely on any personnel actions to the plant in order to respond to tornados.
The passive protection of structures and inherent robustness of a limited number of components is adequate protection from a tornado that the site might encounter.
Plant Response to Extreme Winds/Tornados While the site does not rely on any personnel actions for external hazards, the site does have a Naturally-Occurring Phenomena procedure (34AB-Y22-002-0) that directs the site to take actions based on direct observation of a tornado within 5 miles of the site or the issuance of a tornado warning in the surrounding area. The site will suspend core alterations and movement of fuel. If an automatic scram does not occur, the site will reduce reactor power to 40-50% until inspections for damage have taken place.
Maintenance and facilities will take actions to secure equipment in both the protected area and outside the protected area. Contingency plans will be discussed to facilitate offsite power restoration in the event power is lost. Critical systems will be restored to operable status and all surveillance testing will be suspended. Operators will be pre-dispatched to the Diesel Building to facilitate local recovery of diesels that fail to start automatically. Again, while these actions are not necessary to screen the hazard as the design is sufficiently robust to allow safe shutdown, they demonstrate a plant response that is proactive in mitigating the hazard. A similar set of actions are required by this procedure for sustained high winds observed or projected to exceed 35 mph.
c) LAR Attachment 4 states, regarding the extreme wind and tornado hazard, that
[c]alculations show that the initiator probability is 3.3E-06 and the CCDP is 1E-03. Provide detailed justification for concluding that for the high winds and tornados hazard, the screening criterion PS3 applies, i.e., the mean frequency is less than 1x10-5 per reactor-year and the mean conditional core damage probability is less than 0.1.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SNC Response:
HNP has been designed to withstand substantial extreme wind and tornado loadings.
The preferred screening basis for the Extreme Wind or Tornado hazard is C1 (Event damage potential is less than events for which the plant is designed.) A fuller justification for use of this screening criterion is shown in the response to 10b.
The statement from LAR Attachment 4 was part of the justification for screening the hazard under PS3; this is no longer the screening criterion that SNC intends to use. The values referred to for initiator frequency and CCDP were from an NRC Significance Determination Process (SDP) evaluation related to the failure of several LOCA/LOSP timer cards in 2009.
During the SDP evaluation (HAT0905), the NRC calculated the Hatch area tornado probability using data from NUREG/CR-4461, updated with Hatch area tornado data.
This evaluation concluded that the tornado initiator probability was 3.3E-06. This is significantly lower than the values in the FSAR or IPEEE (SNC Calculation H-RIE-OEE-U00). The CCDP associated with an unrecoverable LOSP event was estimated to be less than 1.2E-03. This would make the contribution to CDF of tornados approximately 4E-9, which is less than the 1E-6/yr bounding value used in PS4 (HLR-C1, Criterion B) and, taken individually, less than the initiator and CCDP bounding values in PS3 (HLR-C1, Criterion A).
d) Figure 5-6 of NEI 00-04 shows that if an SSC is included in a screened scenario, then in order for that SSC to be considered a candidate LSS, the licensee has to show that if the component was removed, the screened scenario would not become unscreened.
- i. Identify and justify what type of SSCs, if any, are credited in the screening of the external hazard(s), including both passive, active, and temporary features.
SNC Response:
Regarding Question 10.d.i, the following SSCs were identified as being credited in screened scenarios:
Seismic Category I structures are credited for defense against extreme winds and tornado missile protection. These structures are described in the UFSAR Rev. 37, Section 3.5.1.3 as having at least 1 ft. 6 in. thick concrete exterior walls.
Calculations show that the deepest missile penetration of the concrete barriers would be 10 in. Additionally, they were designed for 300 mph winds. Therefore, the structures provide adequate protection. The Seismic Category I structures are also credited for protection from external flooding. Any structure providing tornado missile protection is considered a credited SSC, including those structures added in response to RIS 2015-06 to provide protection to the diesel fuel oil storage tank vents (as documented in RER SNC826314). Components which have engineering evaluations demonstrating inherent robustness to extreme winds and tornado E-69
Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs missiles absent physical protection from Seismic Category I structures are also considered credited SSCs for the extreme winds/tornado missile screening.
The credited doors are those shown in SNC calculation SCNH-16-007 as closed with a small gap between door and floor (specifically, D-130, D-131, D-166, D-167, R-30A, R-23A, T-15, T-16, 2T-17, 2T-18, Truck Bay Door, and Freight Elevator). The ability of doors to limit floodwater and protect key SSCs during LIP conditions was evaluated through engineering evaluations. The exterior water depth estimates are relatively small; therefore, the design capacity of the doors should not be compromised by pressure from floodwater. Also, these doors are checked as part of normal operator rounds and are subject to an appropriate maintenance and inspection regime. D-130 and D-131 are also credited for limiting ingress from combined effects flooding; these doors will not be subject to hydrostatic loading and calculations show they will withstand postulated hydrodynamic loading.
Components associated with lightning protection systems were credited for screening of the lightning hazard.
ii. If there are any SSCs credited for screening of the external hazard(s), then explain and justify how the guidance in Figure 5-6 of NEI 00-04 will be applied for each of the external hazard(s).
SNC Response:
Regarding Question 10.d.ii, SSCs credited for screening of the external hazards will follow the guidance in Figure 5-6 of NEI 00-04. During categorization, SSCs will be assessed for their participation in screened scenarios and the impact of their removal will be considered by the IDP; the component will then follow the LSS candidate or HSS path accordingly.
e) If the external hazards (i.e., high winds and tornados) cannot be screened out in item (a) above, discuss, using quantitative or qualitative assessments, how the risk from those hazards will be considered in the categorization program. The discussion should include consideration of and, as applicable, the basis for the following factors:
The frequency of the external hazard(s),
The impact of the external hazard(s) on plant SSCs and plants operation including the ability to respond to the external hazard initiating event, The operating experience associated with reliability of the external hazard(s) protection measures, and The reliability of operator actions.
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs SNC Response:
As indicated in the response to Item 10.b. above, other external hazards, including the extreme winds and tornados hazards, were screened out. Therefore, additional discussion is not provided in response to this RAI.
RAI 11 (APLB) - Seismic importance measures NEI 00-04, Section 5.6, Integral Assessment, discusses the need for an integrated computation using the available importance measures. It further states, in part, that the integrated importance measure essentially weights the importance from each risk contributor (e.g., IE, FPRA, and SPRAs) by the fraction of the total CDF [or LERF] contributed by that contributor. The guidance provides formulas to compute the integrated Fussell-Vesely (FV),
and integrated Risk Achievement Worth (RAW).
To confirm that the importance measures generated for use in the 10 CFR 50.69 process are consistent with the NEI guidance and do not inadvertently introduce a deviation from the computations for FV and RAW provided in the NEI 00-04 guidance, as endorsed by RG 1.201, Revision 1, Guidelines for Categorizing Structures, Systems, and Components in Nuclear Power Plants According to Their Safety Significance (ADAMS Accession No. ML061090627),
address the following:
Discuss how the individual importance measures (i.e., FV and RAW) for the PRA model are derived considering the different hazards, specifically for those hazards that discretized SSC functions into bins. The discussion should include justification of why the importance measures generated do not deviate from the NEI guidance. If the practice or method used to generate the integrated importance measures is determined to deviate from the NEI guidance, justify why the integrated importance measures computed are appropriate for use in the categorization process.
SNC Response:
Currently the only hazard for that derives individual importance measures using a binning approach for Plant Hatch is the SPRA. This approach calculates the FV and RAW measures for a component for each seismic acceleration interval, and then develops overall seismic importance values (for FV and RAW) using the following weighted process to combine the importance values over all seismic acceleration intervals.
- a. For a component/basic event, the FV and RAW are calculated by ACUBE 2.0 for each of the 14 seismic acceleration intervals, resulting in 14 FV and RAW importance values by interval.
- b. The interval FV values are weighted based on the seismic acceleration interval CDF divided by the total seismic CDF, and summed together for each seismically failed fragility group to obtain the total FV from the seismic failure. This is essentially using the integrated FV formula given in Section 5.6 of NEI 00-04. (Note that the seismic LOSP is removed from the importance analysis since it is virtually assured for all seismic sequences and cutsets, and does not correspond to an explicit component.)
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Enclosure to NL-19-0850 SNC Response to NRC RAIs
- c. The RAW values are weighted and summed similarly to the FV importance values, using the integrated RAW formula given in Section 5.6 of NEI 00-04.
- d. The FV of the seismic failure is then combined with the FV of the random failures for that component to get a complete picture of the SPRA FV importance measure for that component.
- e. The maximum of the RAW for seismically induced failure and RAWs of random failures for that component is used to get a complete picture of the SPRA RAW importance measure.
A similar process and weighting are used for LERF importance measures. Thus, the formulae in NEI 00-04 for performing an integral assessment, while not specifically identified for calculation of the SPRA importance values, can be used for the SPRA.
RAI 12 (APLA) - Implementation Items 10 CFR 50.69(b)(2)(ii) requires that a licensees application contain a description of the measures taken to assure that the quality and level of detail of the systematic processes that evaluates the plant for internal and external events during normal operation, low power, and shutdown are adequate for the categorization of SSCs.
If the responses to any of the 50.69 RAI 01 through RAI 11 above or the responses to any of the requests for additional information related to the NFPA-805 application require any follow-up actions prior to implementation of the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process, provide a list of those actions and any PRA modeling changes, including any items that will not be completed prior to issuing the amendment, but must be completed prior to implementing the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
Propose a mechanism that ensures these activities and changes will be completed and appropriately reviewed and any issues resolved prior to implementing the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process. An example would be a table of listed implementation items referenced in a license condition.
As an alternative to providing an implementation item for an F&O, demonstrate that the F&O(s) will have no adverse impact and/or insignificant impact on the 10 CFR 50.69 categorization process.
SNC Response:
SNC is unable to provide this response until after SNC develops the response to remaining open items described in the May 28, 2019 NFPA-805 RAI response letter. The response to this RAI will be provided after SNC responds to remaining NFPA-805 RAIs.
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