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{{#Wiki_filter:Failures of the SOARCA Draft Report Peach Bottom, Delta PA 2/22/2012  
{{#Wiki_filter:Failures of the SOARCA Draft Report Peach Bottom, Delta PA 2/22/2012 ADAMS ML12062A076 or www.efmr.org/files/2012/SOARCA-2-22-2012.pdf (Original high quality file )
Scott D. Portzline Three Mile Island Alert Security Consultant


Scott D. Portzline Three Mile Island Alert Security Consultant ADAMS  ML12062A076 or www.efmr.org/files/2012/SOARCA 22-2012.pdf  (Original high quality file )
Summary
Summary 1.The SOARCA conclusions as represented by the NRC Office of Public Relations are misleading.
: 1. The SOARCA conclusions as represented by the NRC Office of Public Relations are misleading.
2.The NRC has not clearly emphasized that SOARCA limited its simulations to a select group of scenarios.
: 2. The NRC has not clearly emphasized that SOARCA limited its simulations to a select group of scenarios.
3.SOARCA does not include many aspects of nuclear accidents which would severely alter the outcomes and conclusions.
: 3. SOARCA does not include many aspects of nuclear accidents which would severely alter the outcomes and conclusions.


Summary 4.The MELCOR software has numerous shortcomings and SOARCA should caution its readers that divergent results can easily be created.
Summary
5.The NRC has not attempted to correct these misconceptions in the media.
: 4. The MELCOR software has numerous shortcomings and SOARCA should caution its readers that divergent results can easily be created.
6.The NRC has a history of questionable or faulty probabilistic risk assessments.
: 5. The NRC has not attempted to correct these misconceptions in the media.
7.There has never been a timely evacuation order at any of the world's nuclear accidents.
: 6. The NRC has a history of questionable or faulty probabilistic risk assessments.
: 7. There has never been a timely evacuation order at any of the worlds nuclear accidents.


No Timely Evacuations There has never been a timely evacuation or a timely evacuation order issued at any of the world's nuclear accidents.
No Timely Evacuations
100% failure rate.
* There has never been a timely evacuation or a timely evacuation order issued at any of the worlds nuclear accidents.
The evacuation projections are purely wishful thinking-ignores known scientific data of real world nuclear evacuations.
* 100% failure rate.
Therefore: SOARCA is not based on reality.
* The evacuation projections are purely wishful thinkingignores known scientific data of real world nuclear evacuations.
* Therefore: SOARCA is not based on reality.
Three Mile Island - Windscale - Chernobyl - Fukushima


Three Mile Island
Real-World None of these real-world nuclear accidents, prior to its occurrence, would have been predicted, or simulated by the MELCOR software utilized by SOARCA.
- Windscale
Three Mile Island - Windscale - Chernobyl - Fukushima
- Chernobyl
- Fukushima Real-World   None of these real
-world nuclear accidents, prior to its occurrence, would have been predicted, or simulated by the MELCOR software utilized by SOARCA. Three Mile Island  
- Windscale  
- Chernobyl  
- Fukushima                


Plume Projections Many Emergency Operations Centers employ plume projection software programs which cannot calculate for multiple source term accidents.}}
Plume Projections
* Many Emergency Operations Centers employ plume projection software programs which cannot calculate for multiple source term accidents.}}

Latest revision as of 22:26, 11 November 2019

TMI Alert Portzline Presentation NUREG-0654 Public Mtg
ML12262A476
Person / Time
Site: Peach Bottom, Three Mile Island  Constellation icon.png
Issue date: 02/22/2012
From: Portzline S
Exelon Generation Co
To:
Office of Nuclear Security and Incident Response
Shannon King
Shared Package
ML12062A076 List:
References
Download: ML12262A476 (6)
v • d • e


Text

Failures of the SOARCA Draft Report Peach Bottom, Delta PA 2/22/2012 ADAMS ML12062A076 or www.efmr.org/files/2012/SOARCA-2-22-2012.pdf (Original high quality file )

Scott D. Portzline Three Mile Island Alert Security Consultant

Summary

1. The SOARCA conclusions as represented by the NRC Office of Public Relations are misleading.
2. The NRC has not clearly emphasized that SOARCA limited its simulations to a select group of scenarios.
3. SOARCA does not include many aspects of nuclear accidents which would severely alter the outcomes and conclusions.

Summary

4. The MELCOR software has numerous shortcomings and SOARCA should caution its readers that divergent results can easily be created.
5. The NRC has not attempted to correct these misconceptions in the media.
6. The NRC has a history of questionable or faulty probabilistic risk assessments.
7. There has never been a timely evacuation order at any of the worlds nuclear accidents.

No Timely Evacuations

  • There has never been a timely evacuation or a timely evacuation order issued at any of the worlds nuclear accidents.
  • 100% failure rate.
  • The evacuation projections are purely wishful thinkingignores known scientific data of real world nuclear evacuations.
  • Therefore: SOARCA is not based on reality.

Three Mile Island - Windscale - Chernobyl - Fukushima

Real-World None of these real-world nuclear accidents, prior to its occurrence, would have been predicted, or simulated by the MELCOR software utilized by SOARCA.

Three Mile Island - Windscale - Chernobyl - Fukushima

Plume Projections

  • Many Emergency Operations Centers employ plume projection software programs which cannot calculate for multiple source term accidents.
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