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{{#Wiki_filter:' / O~~ffcil,  
{{#Wiki_filter:'           / O~~ffcil, ý$e nly - Sensiti/ve j**-S.NRC0--ntrnt Oconee Flood Protection and the 10 CFR 50.54() Response NRR LT Meeting October 21, 2008 October 21, 2008                                  1
ý$e nly -Sensiti/ve Oconee Flood Protection and the10 CFR 50.54() ResponseNRR LT MeetingOctober 21, 2008October 21, 20081 U .NRC InternaPm ,I LAl COMObjectives Purpose-Summarize the licensee's responses
 
-Discuss the staff's evaluation andoptions-Discuss possible paths forward-To receive LT feedback on the merits ofpossible paths forwardOctober 21, 20082 t IIInItera II S rmt"PmS.li nR Background Duke Hydro/FERO Inundation Study completed in early 1990s. Estimated flood heights up to16.8 ft above SSF grade level-First identified by inspectors in 1994.* Floods in excess of 5 ft lead to three-unit coredamage event., Staff identified an under-estimate in licensee's random dam failure frequency for Jocassee.
U Pm.NRC
, Staff discovery that the Jocassee dam failureissue had not been adequately resolved.
        ,I LAl COM  \CU*11Interna Objectives Purpose
, Issued 10 CFR 50.54(f) letter for Duke toaddress flooding concerns.
      -Summarize the licensee's responses
October 21, 20083
      -Discuss the staff's evaluation and options
.NARCPrincipal 10 CFR 50.54(f Questions Regarding Oconee Flood1. Explain the bounding external flood hazard atOconee and the basis for excluding consideration ofother external flood hazards, such as those described in the Inundation Study, as the bounding case.2. Provide your assessment of the Inundation Study andwhy it does or does not represent the expected floodheight following a Jocassee Dam failure.3. Describe in detail the nuclear safety implications offloods that render unavailable the SSF andassociated support equipment with a concurrent lossof all Alternating Current power.October 21, 20084
      -Discuss possible paths forward
\Unhcia us e Iy- ens ive-US,NRC I .,jnrnal I nProkix; Propk aidt du Emnment50.54(f Letter Review TeamScope-Review submittal as if NRC is reconstituting a design basisflood for Oconee-All modes/events causing external flooding will be assessed-All modes/events causing Jocassee dam failure will beassesseds Topics considered in development of.options:
      -To receive LT feedback on the merits of possible paths forward October 21, 2008                            2
-Likelihood of dam failure-Flood analysis-Seismology
 
-Basis for continued operation
t PmS.linR
-SecurityOctober 21, 20085 4OfOf, se Only -SeniTlive
    -*    L*I't IIInItera S
\ fotio_NiedinghPopk
 
.diEivrome, Overall Summary of Licensee's Response, Inundation levels based on current droughtconditions
===Background===
-Supports continued operation
II rmt" Duke Hydro/FERO Inundation Study completed inearly 1990s. Estimated flood heights up to 16.8 ft above SSF grade level
, Commitment to increase current flood walls to7.5 feet by February 2009.* Further analysis by February 2010., Heavy reliance on test and inspection of dam, Seismic failure is "not credible" Other dam failure modes (i.e., overtopping)  
        -     First identified by inspectors in1994.
"notcredible" October 21, 20086 IKUS.NRC u yeUHoovfrTLULAI UTUR COWW.u cvIOverall Summary of Staff's Review of Licensee's ResponseInterim continued operation appears feasible withadditional licensee commitment of water management Licensee failed to fully address site flood height (e.g,,adequate protection)
* Floods inexcess of 5ft lead to three-unit core damage event.
-No analysis for random Jocassee Dam failure at full pond level-An inadequate seismic analysis-Did not perform a Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP)analysis, Future planned analysis for dam failure is not acceptable
  , Staff identified an under-estimate inlicensee's random dam failure frequency for Jocassee.
-Issues on time-to-failure, breach size, and choice of flood model, Current and future reliance on probability arguments isnot acceptable October 21, 20087 U. S.NRC '~K~nIIrt.j9 2Izulicq Peapk ad t6 EuwoanmaOptions for Path Forward, Options represent choice between engineered and analytical approaches
  , Staff discovery that the Jocassee dam failure issue had not been adequately resolved.
* An engineered solution-Installation of watertight doors to the SSF-Has not been committed to by licensee* An analytical approach-Analysis was proposed by the licenseeOctober 21, 20088
  , Issued 10 CFR 50.54(f) letter for Duke to address flooding concerns.
\ý I'dMUDITUDS UM ARIM -ped&Summary of Option 1Engineered Solution (Installation of watertight doors)ProsCons# Independent of allsources of flood andinundation level# Fully addresses adequateprotection
October 21, 2008                                      3
* Fewer NRC staffresources required forinspections and reviewTimely and defensible tointernal and externalstakeholders Licensee might delayacceptance of thissolutionOctober 21, 20089
 
*)UOSNRCProsSummary o Option 2Further Analytical SolutionConss Improved estimate of floodinundation level to defineamount of protection to beapplieds Licensee-proposed solution, A resolution timeframe may beprohibitive
        .NARC Principal 10 CFR 50.54(f Questions Regarding Oconee Flood 1.Explain the bounding external flood hazard at Oconee and the basis for excluding consideration of other external flood hazards, such as those described inthe Inundation Study, as the bounding case.
* Licensee has inappropriately eliminated failure modesHigh degree of uncertainty indam breach analysisAnalysis plan for Feb. 2010 isnot adequate* Calculated inundation levelmay result in a furtherengineered solution° Probability approach is notacceptable
2.Provide your assessment of the Inundation Study and why itdoes or does not represent the expected flood height following a Jocassee Dam failure.
, Requires very extensive staffreview resources October 21, 2008ONfli e Iy -S sV,Internal In rm ionn10
3.Describe indetail the nuclear safety implications of floods that render unavailable the SSF and associated support equipment with aconcurrent loss of all Alternating Current power.
.USNRCPming PekpI and W Ui~ rownmtOutline of Presentation to Licensee onOctober 30, 2008 Management Meeting, State basis for interim continued operation
October 21, 2008                                                4
.State NRC position on dam failure frequency (probability) argument-NRC will not expend staff resources on an approach which willnot contribute to a solution-Licensee's proposed probability approach of eliminating failuremodes with inappropriate bases is not acceptable to NRC staff* State NRC position on preferred option, State regulatory vehicle to pursue-An order-A Confirmatory Action LetterOctober 21, 200811}}
 
                                    \Unhcia us e Iy-ens ive
-US,NRC                                     I
                                        .,jnrnal I     n Prokix;Propkaidt du Emnment 50.54(f Letter Review Team Scope
            - Review submittal as ifNRC isreconstituting adesign basis flood for Oconee
            - All modes/events causing external flooding will be assessed
              - All modes/events causing Jocassee dam failure will be assessed s Topics considered indevelopment of.options:
            - Likelihood of dam failure
              - Flood analysis
            - Seismology
              - Basis for continued operation
              - Security October 21, 2008                                                        5
 
se Only - SeniTlive
*U.S.NRC4OfOf,              \       fotio_
NiedinghPopk .diEivrome, Overall Summary of Licensee's Response
  , Inundation levels based on current drought conditions
          -Supports continued operation
  , Commitment to increase current flood walls to 7.5 feet by February 2009.
* Further analysis by February 2010.
  , Heavy reliance on test and inspection of dam
  , Seismic failure is"not credible" Other dam failure modes (i.e., overtopping) "not credible" October 21, 2008                                      6
 
IKUS.NRC frTLULAICOWW.u cvI UTUR u yeUHoov Overall Summary of Staff's Review of Licensee's
 
===Response===
Interim continued operation appears feasible with additional licensee commitment of water management Licensee failed to fully address site flood height (e.g,,
adequate protection)
        - No analysis for random Jocassee Dam failure at full pond level
        - An inadequate seismic analysis
        - Did not perform a Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) analysis
  , Future planned analysis for dam failure isnot acceptable
        - Issues on time-to-failure, breach size, and choice of flood model
  , Current and future reliance on probability arguments is not acceptable October 21, 2008                                                          7
 
U.S.NRC                     '~K~nIIrt.j9 2 Options for Path Forward adt6 Euwoanma Izulicq Peapk
, Options represent choice between engineered and analytical approaches
* An engineered solution
        - Installation of watertight doors to the SSF
        - Has not been committed to by licensee
* An analytical approach
        - Analysis was proposed by the licensee October 21, 2008                                      8
 
of Option 1
\ý I'dMUDITUDS UM [Li.IL*l ARIM CNMMlI.%*
h'°*a ped&Summary   -
Engineered Solution (Installation of watertight doors)
Pros                Cons
# Independent of all                  Licensee might delay sources of flood and          acceptance of this inundation level             solution
# Fully addresses adequate protection
* Fewer NRC staff resources required for inspections and review Timely and defensible to internal and external stakeholders October 21, 2008                                              9
 
*)UOSNRC Summary o Option 2 Further Analytical Solution Pros                                      Cons s Improved estimate of flood              , Aresolution timeframe may be prohibitive inundation level to define amount of protection to be
* Licensee has inappropriately eliminated failure modes applied High degree of uncertainty in s Licensee-proposed solution                  dam breach analysis Analysis plan for Feb. 2010 is not adequate
* Calculated inundation level may result ina further engineered solution
                                              ° Probability approach isnot acceptable
                                              , Requires very extensive staff review resources October 21, 2008            ONfli e Iy-S sV,                               10 Internal In rm ionn
 
. USNRC PmingPekpI Ui~ rownmt andW Outline of Presentation to Licensee on October 30, 2008 Management Meeting
  , State basis for interim continued operation
  . State NRC position on dam failure frequency (probability) argument
      - NRC will not expend staff resources on an approach which will not contribute to asolution
      -   Licensee's proposed probability approach of eliminating failure modes with inappropriate bases isnot acceptable to NRC staff
* State NRC position on preferred option
  , State regulatory vehicle to pursue
      - An order
      - AConfirmatory Action Letter October 21, 2008                                                          11}}

Latest revision as of 07:44, 4 November 2019

NRR Lt Meeting on Oconee Flood Protection and the 10 CFR 50.54(f) Response
ML14058A028
Person / Time
Site: Oconee  Duke Energy icon.png
Issue date: 10/21/2008
From:
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
To:
Shared Package
ML14055A421 List: ... further results
References
FOIA/PA-2012-0325
Download: ML14058A028 (11)


Text

' / O~~ffcil, ý$e nly - Sensiti/ve j**-S.NRC0--ntrnt Oconee Flood Protection and the 10 CFR 50.54() Response NRR LT Meeting October 21, 2008 October 21, 2008 1

U Pm.NRC

,I LAl COM \CU*11Interna Objectives Purpose

-Summarize the licensee's responses

-Discuss the staff's evaluation and options

-Discuss possible paths forward

-To receive LT feedback on the merits of possible paths forward October 21, 2008 2

t PmS.linR

-* L*I't IIInItera S

Background

II rmt" Duke Hydro/FERO Inundation Study completed inearly 1990s. Estimated flood heights up to 16.8 ft above SSF grade level

- First identified by inspectors in1994.

  • Floods inexcess of 5ft lead to three-unit core damage event.

, Staff identified an under-estimate inlicensee's random dam failure frequency for Jocassee.

, Staff discovery that the Jocassee dam failure issue had not been adequately resolved.

, Issued 10 CFR 50.54(f) letter for Duke to address flooding concerns.

October 21, 2008 3

.NARC Principal 10 CFR 50.54(f Questions Regarding Oconee Flood 1.Explain the bounding external flood hazard at Oconee and the basis for excluding consideration of other external flood hazards, such as those described inthe Inundation Study, as the bounding case.

2.Provide your assessment of the Inundation Study and why itdoes or does not represent the expected flood height following a Jocassee Dam failure.

3.Describe indetail the nuclear safety implications of floods that render unavailable the SSF and associated support equipment with aconcurrent loss of all Alternating Current power.

October 21, 2008 4

\Unhcia us e Iy-ens ive

-US,NRC I

.,jnrnal I n Prokix;Propkaidt du Emnment 50.54(f Letter Review Team Scope

- Review submittal as ifNRC isreconstituting adesign basis flood for Oconee

- All modes/events causing external flooding will be assessed

- All modes/events causing Jocassee dam failure will be assessed s Topics considered indevelopment of.options:

- Likelihood of dam failure

- Flood analysis

- Seismology

- Basis for continued operation

- Security October 21, 2008 5

se Only - SeniTlive

  • U.S.NRC4OfOf, \ fotio_

NiedinghPopk .diEivrome, Overall Summary of Licensee's Response

, Inundation levels based on current drought conditions

-Supports continued operation

, Commitment to increase current flood walls to 7.5 feet by February 2009.

  • Further analysis by February 2010.

, Heavy reliance on test and inspection of dam

, Seismic failure is"not credible" Other dam failure modes (i.e., overtopping) "not credible" October 21, 2008 6

IKUS.NRC frTLULAICOWW.u cvI UTUR u yeUHoov Overall Summary of Staff's Review of Licensee's

Response

Interim continued operation appears feasible with additional licensee commitment of water management Licensee failed to fully address site flood height (e.g,,

adequate protection)

- No analysis for random Jocassee Dam failure at full pond level

- An inadequate seismic analysis

- Did not perform a Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) analysis

, Future planned analysis for dam failure isnot acceptable

- Issues on time-to-failure, breach size, and choice of flood model

, Current and future reliance on probability arguments is not acceptable October 21, 2008 7

U.S.NRC '~K~nIIrt.j9 2 Options for Path Forward adt6 Euwoanma Izulicq Peapk

, Options represent choice between engineered and analytical approaches

  • An engineered solution

- Installation of watertight doors to the SSF

- Has not been committed to by licensee

  • An analytical approach

- Analysis was proposed by the licensee October 21, 2008 8

of Option 1

\ý I'dMUDITUDS UM [Li.IL*l ARIM CNMMlI.%*

h'°*a ped&Summary -

Engineered Solution (Installation of watertight doors)

Pros Cons

  1. Independent of all Licensee might delay sources of flood and acceptance of this inundation level solution
  1. Fully addresses adequate protection
  • Fewer NRC staff resources required for inspections and review Timely and defensible to internal and external stakeholders October 21, 2008 9
  • )UOSNRC Summary o Option 2 Further Analytical Solution Pros Cons s Improved estimate of flood , Aresolution timeframe may be prohibitive inundation level to define amount of protection to be
  • Licensee has inappropriately eliminated failure modes applied High degree of uncertainty in s Licensee-proposed solution dam breach analysis Analysis plan for Feb. 2010 is not adequate
  • Calculated inundation level may result ina further engineered solution

° Probability approach isnot acceptable

, Requires very extensive staff review resources October 21, 2008 ONfli e Iy-S sV, 10 Internal In rm ionn

. USNRC PmingPekpI Ui~ rownmt andW Outline of Presentation to Licensee on October 30, 2008 Management Meeting

, State basis for interim continued operation

. State NRC position on dam failure frequency (probability) argument

- NRC will not expend staff resources on an approach which will not contribute to asolution

- Licensee's proposed probability approach of eliminating failure modes with inappropriate bases isnot acceptable to NRC staff

  • State NRC position on preferred option

, State regulatory vehicle to pursue

- An order

- AConfirmatory Action Letter October 21, 2008 11