ML20102A846

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Affidavit of Ds Mileti Re Contention Q.Prof Qualifications & Certificate of Svc Encl
ML20102A846
Person / Time
Site: Perry  FirstEnergy icon.png
Issue date: 01/30/1985
From: Mileti D
CLEVELAND ELECTRIC ILLUMINATING CO., COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO
To:
Shared Package
ML20102A826 List:
References
OL, NUDOCS 8502080592
Download: ML20102A846 (36)


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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA '

NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION '85 o

FEB g AIIl00 BEFORETHEATOMICSAFETYANDLICENSING:[{gRD

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In the Matter of )

, )

THE CLEVELAND ELECTRIC ) Docket Nos. 50-440

- ILLUMINATING COMPANY ) 50-441

)
j. (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, )

1 Units 1 and 2) )

AFFIDAVIT OF DENNIS S. MILETI ON CONTENTION O County of Denver )

) as.

State of Colorado )

DENNIS S. MILETI, being duly sworn, deposes and says:

1. I am presently an Associate Professor in the Depart-ment'of Sociology and Director of the H'azards A'ssessment Labo-ratory at Colorado State University, specializing in those ,

areas of study dealing with complex organizations, hazards, policy and methods (with a particular emphasis on public emer-gency response). A current statement of my professional quali-fications and experience is attached hereto. My business address'is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523. -I have personal knowledge of the matters stated herein and believe them to be true and correct.

I make this affidavit in response to Contention Q --

DR 0 0 PDR

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specifically with respect to the reliability of school bus drivers during an emergency, and parents' cooperation with i

plans for the direct evacuation of school children from the schools. 1

. I. School Bus Drivers

2. Human response to emergencies has been a topic of in-vestigation by social scientists for over three decades. This

' research history has covered many aspects of human behavior; and an important component of this work has been to investionte the behavior of people with roles of responsibility in emergen-cy response. The record is clear with respect to the response of emergency workers in times of emergency. I am confident that the principles of emergency worker response discussed below -- well-established through decades of research and in-vestigation -- would be applicable in the event of an emergency at a nuclear facility such as the Perry

  • plant.
3. The notion of " role conflict" is a concept in the so-cial sciences based on the following ideas. Individuals in so-ciety play many different roles, and each role has certain rights and obligations-in particular social relationships. He-cause each person plays many different roles, the rights and obligations of one role may be consistent with those of another role, or irrelevant to or in " conflict" with another role. The concept of' role " conflict" is generally used uncritical'ly, as

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A an either/or matter in which a person is forced to choose be-tween two or more roles. " Conflict" implies equally weighted 4 contradictory alternatives, requiring a person to choose one role to' play while abandoning another. This condition is rare-ly, if ever, found in actual social life. A more accurate term is role " strain," which denotes the difficulty felt by an indi-vidual in-fulfilling different role obligations at the same time. Role " strain" is preferable because it describes more accurately the actual conditions that people experience in all of cocial life,. not just those of emergencies. Role " strain" is something with which people cope in most social situations

' and is a permanent feature of social life.

4. _ It is important to distinguish between role strain, which is a mental state (a feeling of concern and unease), and role abandonment, which is a type of behavior. Thus, while it is to be expected that emergency workers would experience some-i role strain during an emergency at Perry, this does not mean that they would abandon their emergency roles because of it.

Research conducted on the actual behavior of people with de-

. fined organizational responsibilities in emergencies has estab-lished that emergency workers who have a cl' ear idea of their emergency roles do their emergency jobs. There are several

. reasons why this is the case.

5. The absence of evidence of persons abandoning emer-gency roles over a wide range of emergency events in the past

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j illustrates that there are certain structural changes in the 1

Role ob- ~

community during emergencies that reduce role strain.

ligations are based on values and, during non-emergency "nor- -

mal" times, people, expend effort on achieving many different i values, some potentially contradictory. An emergency changen this process dramatic' ally. Some values become clearly more ,im-portant than others, and people experiencing the emergency gen-4 erally agree on the few that take precedence over all others.

This phenomenon is the development of what has been called the

" emergency consensus." In this consensus, people become altru-l istic, and protection of the community becomes the highest pri-ority. Other values become drastically less important. This temporary shift in values simplifies the role obligations of r people, and greatly reduces the potential for role strain.

, People are " released" to concentrate on the critical tasks of l

l the emergency. 'The value priorities in an emorgency thus sim-l l plify, rather than aggravate, role strain for community mem-i bers. Those with identified emergency roles are therefore able l

l to fulfill them, rather than ignore the emergency in order to tend to the obligations of other roles.

6. People who know in advance of an emergency that they have emergency roles to play (should one ever occur) are able l

to make informal family contingency plans in advance of the emergency. For example, families can make plans.in advance of an emergency to ensure that -- in an emergency -- the ~

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non-emergency-worker spouse (or other appropriate person) will take the appropriate measures to protect the family unit in the

absence of the emergency worker. Similar pre-emergency plans -

can be made to provide for the continuation throughout an emer-gency of child care arrangements in place at the time any emer-gency occurs. Such. pre-emergency planning can also. provide for the assumption by relatives, friends or neighbors of other usual responsibilities of the emergency workar. Indeed, in past emergencies, even in the absence of such contingency

. plans, the role obligations of emergency workers toward inti-mates (including family) have generally been shifted and as-sumed by other non-emergency-worker members of the intimate group, thereby freeing the emergency worker to fulfill assigned emergency roles.

7. As discussed above, role strain in emergency workers during emergenc'ies between emergency role obligations and fami-ly (or intimate group) obligations is not an either/or situa-tion. That is, emergency workers are not required to choose between mutually exclusive roles. Role strain between family and organizational responsibilities would be a mental proceus in an emergency; it would not result in role abandonment .or in-terfere with the ability of emergency organizations to do their emergency work. Emergency workers would need to feel assured that their families can tend to their own safety. However, h'istorically, in past emergencies, emergency workers h' ave

performed their emergency roles at the same time they have sought assurance of the safety of their families through ad hoc, informal channels.

8. Finally, emergency workers fulfill their role obliga-tions in emergencies because of the cohesiveness of the work group. People with knowledge of their emergency rol.es do not wish to let'their co-workers down. In emergencies, the need to have emergency work performed is obvious, and the emergency role takes on added importance. The sense of obligation to perform that role is strengthened, and the sense of obligation to the community as a whole is strengthened.
9. The potential of role strain for reducing the effoc-tiveness of emergency response is minimized by the organiza-tional and occupational assignment of emergency responsibility.

Assigning clear responsibility creates clear direction for be-havior and ensures that the work of emergency response organt-sations is fulfilled. Further, assigning clear responsibility makes it clear-to emergency workers that they have responsibil-ities to their coworkers. Failing to report for work would in-crease the burden on others. In addition, advance knowledge of one's emergency role allows the emergency worker to arrange to avoid role " conflict" and indeed to fill the role of family

. member more effectively than if he or she were not an emergency worker. The worker can preplan for family safety in an emer-gency. Also, because of organizational ties, the emergency

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worker is more likely to receive information about the nature of the emergency and the nature of the risk, which allows tho' l worker to fulfill family obligations more effectively.

10. Emergency worker performance levels are ensured by training. Training provides the context for those individuals to preplan activities that allow them to implement their emer-gency roles, such as providing back-up and supplementary options for continuing family responsibility.

In'particular:

(1) Training gives the emergency worker a clear understanding of what is expected of him or

. her -- of what his or her

_ emergency role is.

-( 2 ) Training makes the worker aware of the advantages of making family contingency i plans in advance of an emer-gency.

(3) Training makes the worker aware that the community and the emergency worker's

  • 2 coworkers depend on him or her. ,

(4) Training informs the worker about the nature of the radia-tion risk and about the proce-l dures to be used in dealing r with that risk, such as I dosimetry.

11. By providing the worker with means to assess the risk to which he is exposed, the availability of dosimetry (to allow the worker to continuously monitor personal exposure) providos 4

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further assurance that emergency workers will fulfill their

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functions in a nuclear emergency.

12. In sum, emergency workers who know of their emergency roles in advance of an emergency perform their' emergency func-tions in the event of an emergency. I do not know of even a 6

single casi in the history of emergencies in this nation where the ability of an emergency response organization to function was' impaired by a failure of personnel to report for duty.

There are, however, many cases where people who were not advised of their roles in advance of an emergency have carried out other duties before volunteering for emergency work. This simply underscores the importance of advising emergency workers of their roles in advance of an emergency.

13. The general principles of emergency worker response f discussed above are as applicable to school bus drivars as to any other emergency workers. School bus drivers are not unique in the sense that their behavior in an hmerguncy would differ
in any way from the behavior of others with known emergency f roles. Indeed, the research record strongly supports the au- .

signment to personnel who regularly drive school buses of the responsibility for driving them in an evacuation. Emergency response is facilitated when plans are predicated on pre-existing roles, _rather than on artificial social structures constructed solely for emergency response use. For example, since the school bus drivers here at issue regularly drive the I

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buses, they are most likely to be familiar with the features and operation of the buses.1/ (This does not mean that others -

could not drive the buses in an emergency; good planning and additional trainin,g would enable the use of personnel other than those who regularly drive buses. )

14. It is conceivable that some few school bus drivers might be found who would swear in advance that they would not drive their buses to assist with school evacuation in an emer-gency. (This would also be the case in the vicinity of other nuclear reactors besides Perry, I am sure.) But I have no doubt that in a real radiological emergency, the drivers gener-ally would perform their assigned functions.2/
15. In conclusion, a large body of historical evidence shows that the functioning of emergency organizations is not hampered by failure of emergency workers to perform their jobs.

1/ Since those who would drive in an* emergency are all licensed school bus drivers, their training on their posi-tion role in the plan need not cover how to drive their school buses, but can instead focus on the location of the specific receiving schools'(the reception centers for school children) and the evacuation route to those schools.

2/ Due to the formation of the " emergency consensus" de-scribed in paragraph 5, above, in actual emergencies, peo -

pie conform to pro-social behavior patterns and would as-sume their roles under the emergency plan, even where they.

- have earlier asserted that.they would not do so. Thus.

the assertions of individual workers (e.g., in a pre-emergency survey) that they would not respond in an emergency are inherently unreliable as indicators of actu-al emergency worker response rates.

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In spite of role " strain," such workers perform effectively.

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Moreover, training for emergency work can reduce role strain and enhance the effective performance of emergency workers.

While role abandonment may be theoretically possible, it is certainly extremely rare, and consequently it does not reduce organizational effectiveness. These general principles of emergency worker response are as applicable to school bus driv-era as to any other group of emergency workers.3/ The princi-pie of adhering to pre-existing roles in an emergency (to the extent possible) supports assigning to persons who regularly drive school buses the responsibility to drive them in an evac-untion. As with other emergency workers, the assurance that school bus drivers will adequately discharge their emergency duties rests on appropriate training (as well as the availabil-ity of dosimetry) .

II. Parents' Response

16. The decades of research on human response to emergencies have also established what an American public does

.ni does not do during emergencies. In. addition, and perhaps more important, it has established why sore people behave in one way during an emergency, while others do not. The "why" of 1/ Indeed, the typical problem in emergencies is not that too few workers report for duty, but_rather that too many per-sons volunteer.

i public response is important because it can be considered in the development of emergency plans to help ensure p6blic safety in future emergencies. Similarly, historical research has es-tablished that some aspects of human behavior in emergencies cannot be changed. With this knowledge, emergency plans can be developed assuming these behavioral patterns rather than trying to change them.- This historical research is the basis for my confidence that -- provided that parents are informed at the time of an emergency of the direct, safe evacuation of their school children -- few, if any, parents would insist upon picking up their children at school within,the EPZ. And, even if some parents should attempt to pick up their children at school in the event of an emergency at Perry, the parents would conduct themselves in an orderly manner.

17. The " thin veneer" of civilization is not stripped away from people in an emergency; in fact, it is temporarily strengthened. The character of the human spirit is strong in the face of an emergency, and people generally " rise to the oc-casion" to help themselves and others. The public does not act in irrational, antisocial, or selfish ways, but rather behaves in ways that are altruistic and beneficial for the community as a whole. Thus, contrary to the widespread myth in American culture, order is not replaced with chaos in an emergency.

Therefore, even assuming parents did attempt to pick up theic children at school in the event of an emergency at Perry, their

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behavior would not be chaotic. However, it is quite unlikely

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i that parents would insist upon picking up their children under auch circumstances.  ;

18. Despite the general principles of public altruism in emergencies, in past emergencies, some members of the public have engaged in what casual observers of public emergency re-sponse might label as inappropriate or irrational behavior (like picking up their children at school) . However, behavior such as that does not always occur in emergencies; and suffi-cient knowledge exists about why some people behave in such a manner and others do not to enable emergency plans to minimize such counterproductive behavior to levels which do not detract
from public safety in an emergency and, perhaps, even to elimi-nate much of such behavior entirely.

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19. The key to minimizing confusion and uncertainty for parents regarding their school children in an emergency is planning. First, pre-emergency public' education should ac-quaint parents with the concept of the direct evacuation of students from.their schools to safety in an emergency. (The specific details of such possible protective action -- e.g.,

where children would be taken -- are not essential in pre-emergency information.) Second, should such an evacuation of schools ever be required, the emergency information broad-cast to the public at the time of the evacuation should clearly e'xplain that schools are being evacuated directly to r'ceiving e

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. i schools (i.e., that students are not being sent home), and

should spe~cifically identify which schools are being evacuated and the receiving school to which each school within the EPZ is being evacuated. Finally, the information broadcast should in-form parents that they can pick up their children at the appro-priate receiving school outside the EPZ. Provided that the emergency public information broadcast at the time of an emer-gency advised parents of the direct, safe evacuation of their school children, few -- if any -- parents would insist upon picking up their children at school within the EPZ.

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'IDennis S. Mileti Sworn to and subscribed b e me this $ N ay of January, 1985.

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ACADEMIC VITA OF DENNIF S. MILETI August, 1984 PERSONAL Q111G11 Department of Sociology Hazards Assessment Laboratory Colorado State University Aylesworth Hall Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 EDUCATION 1

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University of Colorado, Boulder: PhD, Sociology, 1974 1 California State University, Los Angeles: MA, Sociology, 1971 University of California, Ims Angeles: BA, Sociology, 1968 SPECIALI2ATICNS ,

Complex Organizations, Applied (Hazards and Policy), Methods APPOINTMENTS

  • 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment Laboratory, Colorado State University 1984-date Committee on Natural Disasters, National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences 1981-year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission, State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university)

,1978-date Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1975-year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Intensive Seminar Program 1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chautauga Short Course Program 1974-1978 Assistant Profestor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1971-1972 Instructor, Department of Sociology, Univer-sity of Colorado, Boulder ANARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981-year Cited in Cutstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociologi-cal Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest

  • Sociological Society, American Association for the Advance .

ment of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management 1

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RESEARCH GRANTS & @ CONTRACTS 1984-date Associate Investigator, " State-of-the-Art

. Assessment: Evacuation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Impact on Domestic Assets," sub-contract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.

' 1983-1984 Principal Investigator, "Research and Applications for Emergency Preparedness,"

contract for Long Island Lighting Company.

1983-1984 Principal Investigator," Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings," '

quick-response grant from the Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information Center.

1982-1983 Associate Investigator," Organizational Interface for Nuclear Reactor Emergency Pre-j paredness," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regu-latory Commission.

1981-year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard Warnings and Emergency Evacuation Prepared-ness," contract for Pacific Gas and Electric Company.

1980-1983 Principal Investigator, " Local Land Use Policy Decisions," Colorado State Univ rsity Experi-ment Station.

1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island Incident and Re-

' start," contract for General Public Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

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1977-1980 Principal Investigator, " Migration Impacts of

' Non-metropolitan, Areas in the West," Colorado State University Experiment Station.

1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organi: 2-tional Implementation of Policy for Land Use Regulations," grant from the National, Science Foundation.

1975-1977 Coprincipal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Political Consequences of Earthquake Prediction," grant from the National Science Foundation.

i 1972-1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Fesearen on Natural Hazards," grant from the National l- Science Foundation.

C0"w.I"""EE .ug,w.g roggros 1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Colorado State University, Univer-sity of Colorado, University of Denver.

1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Disasters.

1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association, Nominati:ns

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l Committee for the Standing Committees for 1983.

1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Committee on Social Science Research, Berkeley.

1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.

1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego. '

1981-1982 Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, Threat and Reconstruction Committees, State of California, Sacremento.

1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council, committee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tailings, State of Colorado.

1979-year American Association for the Advancement of Science, Committee on Intergovernmental Research and Development on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.

1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechni-cal Systems, Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction, Washington, D.C.

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, PUBLICATIONS BQ2k1 And Monographs (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

Tha Order gi f.hagg in Disasters (in progress).

Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eitzen Graduate Research Methods in thg Social Sciences (in progress).

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and interorcanizational Relations.

Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books.

. Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 oreanizational Response tg chancina Community Systems Kent, Ohio Kent State University Press.

Chapters (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1986 "Fesearch eethods and disaster research." In Russell R. Dynes and Carlo Polanda (Eds.). Sociolg.gz gi Disasterst Contributions gi Socioloav 1q Disaster Research. Italy: Franco Angeli (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards."

In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).

Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate public adoption." In Neil

! Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).

Button, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-166 in T. Rikitake (Ep.). Current Research in Earthquake Prediction. Boston: Reidel Publishing Company, Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation."

Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic Imgggi gi Earthquakes g.n Utility Lif elines. New York:

American Society of Civil Engineers.

Monoaraphs and chanters (quasi-refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg 1984 " Social science earthquake investigations." In Roger Scholl (Ed.). Lessons Learned LLQs Recent Earthquakes.

Berkeley: Earthquake Engineering Research Inscitute (forthcoming).

Review Panel of the_ National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan 1984 Mational Earthquake Hazards Reduction Procram h

.Xgag neceram Plan. Washington, D.C.: Federal Emergenc; Manageren: Agency (forthcoming).

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. Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "A bibliography.for graduate research methods." Pp.

249-255 in Russel Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Research Methods Courses: Sv11abi,

, Assianments AIui proiects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological Association.

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen

!- 1981 Earthquake Prediction Response Agui Options ig.g, Publie Poliev. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.

c Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Mileti i 1980 Impacts 91 Rogulation Growth in Acricultural Colorado Committees. Fort Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.

4 Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Prepatedness i 1979 Eir.g Safety And Disaster Precaredness. Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science.

l Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of~ Earthquake Prediction 1978 A Procram gi Studies g.a gg Socioeconomic Ef fects g.i

, Earthquake Prediction. Washington, D.C.: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.

! Mileti, Dennis, S., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas

1975 Ih;;;;an Systems in Extreme Environmentsi & Sociolooical Persrective. Boulder
Institute of Behaviural Science, l Monograph 21, 4

Mileti, Dennis S.

l 1975 Narural Hazard warnina Systems in da United States.

Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12.

Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh,

- Collective Behaviort Resoonse 12. Stress, 1978.

Erickson, Neil, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1975 tandslide Hazardc in the United Statest & Research

! As.sgssmenr. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Mileti, Dennis S. '

1975 Disaster Relief and Rehabilitation in thg United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science. '

L c Ayre, Ro'ert, Dennis S. Mileti and Patricia Trainer l

1975 Earthquake a;ui Tsunami Hazards in thg United states: A-Pesearch Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Journal Articles: Discipline Focus (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S. -

1984 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and j'

warning," Pollev S.tudies R2 View (accepted and forth-cceing).

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Eartsough, Patti Madson and Rics Eufnagel ^

1984 "The Three P.11e Island incident: a study of behavioral indicators of human stress." Eas.1 Emer:encies 2.:d l Disasters (accepted and forthcoming).

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! Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction: Japan vs the United States."

Haan Emergencies And Disasters 1(3):399-414.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.

Mileti, Dennis S. .

1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption,"

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Public Administration Review (accepted and forth-coming).  ;

Mileti, Dennis S., Doug Timer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational dete~rminants of decentralization," Pacific Sociolocical Eggigg 25(2):163-183. ,

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen r

1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size,"

Socioloav And Social Research 65(4):400-414.

and Dennis S. Mileti Gillespie, David F.,

1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research,"

Socioloaical Methods and Research 9(3):327-388.

M11eti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental extremes," Socioloav And Social Research 64(3):327-347.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti

.1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations,"

Administrative Science Review 10(3):21-32.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies,"

Journal gi contemocrary Socioloav 17(3-4):132-158.

Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal gi Social Research 21(2):139-147.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen

, 1979" Structure and decision making in corprate organizations," Sociolg.EZ And -Social Reseam 63(4):723-744.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti

' 1979 " Action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations," E;;;;An Relations 32(3):261-271.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiencies and lucunae," "'echnolocv and Cult :re

'19(1):83-92..

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti .

1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-manipulation," Scottish _ Journal gi Sociolocv 2(2):205-219.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haas 1977 "Si:e and structure in complex organizations," Socisi ,

Forces 56(1):208-217.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overvie-and appraisal," Maderv gi Minacement Review 2(1):6-19.

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Reprinted in Readincs QA HQM, Managers Manace. Englewood

- Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 1982.

Mileti,. Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1976"An integrated formalization of organization-environment interdependencies," Human Relations 4 29(1):80-100.

t Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti

. 1976" Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies," Sociolocical Incuirv 46(2):135-141.

Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept," International Review gj, History d Political Science 8(30):1-14.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations,"

sociolocv and Social Research 6063):263-278.

Perry, Ronald, David.F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior,"

European Journal d Social Psycho 1Av 6(1):74-90.

^ Mileti, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically
communication in crisis," communication Research 2(1):24-49.

Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis S.,Mileti and Roy Lotz 1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralizations the interactive effect on member commitment," International Journal d h Tensions 5(2):26-37. .

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Mileti 7

1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," Human Relations 27(8):767-788.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1974 " Change ratios in age-specific percent contriductions to fertility: a new method with applicacions to the United States," Pacific Sociological Review 17(1):3-26.

First Prize, student paper competition, Pacific Sociological Association,.1974.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "Aa integrative approach to the study of organizationa'.

tecunology, structure and behavior," current social:ey 23(1):189-200.

l Gillespie, Dr.vid F., and Dennis S. Mileti l

1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergen:

organizations," Sociolacical Incuiry 44(2)
111-119.

[ Mileti, Dennis S., and Larry Barnett i 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship t0 war:

abortion legalization," Social Biolocv 19(2):43-50.

j Journal Articles: Applied Focus (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

'1984 " Role-conflict in emergency workers," E~er:ency Manace ant Review (accepted and forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "Earthcuakes and human behavior," Spectra (accepted an.:

forthecming).

i i 7 1

Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical facilities," Bulletin d thg Seismolooical Society g America 72(6)l3-18.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1978 " Correcting for the human factor in tornedo warnings,"

Disaster Preparedness 2(February):5-9.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake prediction," Journal gi thg Physical Earth 25(4):283-293.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977" Earthquake prediction and its consequences,"

california Geoloov 30(7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in san Francisco 20(4):60-68, 1978.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Earthquake prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin g the Egg Zealand Society &

Earthsuake Encineerina 9(4):183-194.

Journal Reioinderst Discipline Focus (refereed)

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1982 " Differentiation in organizations: a comment on Miller and Conaty," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.

Mileti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations: a rejoinder to Griffin and Griffin," Sociolooical Incuirv 45(4):72-50.

Eggh Reviews (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S. _ .,

1984 "A review-of Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). Itnaca:

Program in Urban and Regional Studies,1983." flaga E ercencies and Disasters (forthcoming).

. Mileti, Dennis S.

j

' 1982"A review of Unequal Care: Interorganizational

. Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. New York:

Columbia University Press, 198 0." Social Fo r ce s 60(3):943-944.

Mileti, Dennis S.

l 1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in l the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). New York: McGra -

Hill, 1981." Socioloav A Review g gag _3g.qta 7(2).

Mileti, Dhnnis S.

1980 "A ceview of- Af termath: Co=munities After Natura L

' Disasters by H. Paul Friesema et al. Bev9rly Hills:

Sage Publications,.1979 and Af ter the Clean-up: Long Range Effects of Natural . Disasters by Jaces Neight and Peter Rossi et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, 1979.* Jo rn21 d thg A erican planning Associnir 8

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(Cctober) :484-485.

. Mileti, Dennis S.

I 1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J.

Eldridge and A. Crombie. New York: International Publications, 1975." Cont e rary Sociolocv 5(6):784.

Technical Reports (not refereed) 5 Mileti, Dennis 5,.

i 1983 Human Response Scenarios: Lag Enforcement Anolications gd ggdig Tmelications. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.

Mileti, Dennis S.

j 1982Relations Oraanizational Behavior ud Interorca .izational l

Tmelications M Hggligg. Power 21 g Emergencies And Preearedness. Oak Ridge, Tennessee:

i Oak Ridge National Laboritories.

I Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough and Patti Madson 1982 .The Three Mila Island Incidente & Studg g Behavioral Indicators Q.[ Human Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, t

Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

L Mileti, Dennis S., and Arthur Svenson 4

1981 Earthcuake Prediction-Warnina Response Eg.g. Emercenev Orcanizations la thg Prediction Terminolocv. Van Nuys:

Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project.

- Hutton, Janice, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Analvsis g1 Adoption and Tmelementation 21 Comunity Land ggi Reculations 12I. Ploodniains. San Francisco:

Woodward-Clyde.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Imeact g[ Earthquake Prediction gn Government. Business and Communitv. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 Interoreanizational Relations ggd community Service Delivery Systems. Boulder: Center for Action Research.

Publications in Proceedincs (not refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human response - to earthquake prediction." Pp. 36-56 in Walter Hays (Ed.). Proceedines g,f-thg Cgnferences an Earthcuake Prediction Information. Menlo Park: U.S.

Geological Survey. Paper presented 'at the January,1990 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Informacion, Los Angeles.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes." Pp. 179-192 in' Proceedincs g,{ thg Second International Conference g; -

Microzonation. San Francisco: National Science Foundation. Paper presented at the November, 1973 Conference on the State of the Art in ~ Microzonation for Earthquake Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.

9

k Mileti, Dennis S.

1978 " Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction on state policy." Pp. in Proceedinos 91 th National Conference gm Eartheuake Related Hazards. Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder.

Q11ar. Published Comments (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6 (1) :5.

  • Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Disasterous warnings," 2:ni (March):24,44,152 Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Hazards reduction work: the next era," Hational Hazards Observer 6(4):1-2. Reprinted in Earthenake Inforr.ation Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction,"

Eartnqua'<a Infor-ation Bulletin 11(3):102-105.

- Haas, J.- Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction response," TLA (January 24):83.

Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti 1975 " Individual and organizational response to threat,"

Egga Emeroencies 1(4) :247.

Mileti, Dennis S. .

1976 " Social scientists and' applied research," Iht A_?.eric T Sociolacist 11(4):220-221.

Mileti, Dennis S.

i 1974 " Response to research and national needs,"' Footnotes

-2(Cetober):6. .

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PROFESSIONAL PAPERS & & PRESEYrATIONS Conference Papers Mileti, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie 1984" Regulation of the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use of nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: October.-

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards,"

4-paper presented to the Conference on Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University: July, Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Seattle: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on

  • Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning, Tokyo: November.

Frey,- R. Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis S. Mileti, and Debra.

Cornelius 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood Insurance Program,", paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington: July.

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald -M. Hartqough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1983 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented. to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.

Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors affecting organizational response to a-predicted earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session ,of the Western Social Science Association, Alburquque: April.

Mileti, Denni.C S.

1982 " Ear hquake -prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United. States," paper presented to ene Disaster Research Session ~ of the International Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.

Mileti,' Dennis S.

1982 "Inficencing corporate decisions on the u 4e of

, microzonation information," paper presented :o the _

Third International' Conf erence on Microzonation, Seattle:. June, 11

. Mileti, Dennis S.

1982" Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper presented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy Development, and Implementation Incen-tives: Focus on Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "Public perception of seismic hazards," paper presented to the Seismological Society of America, Anaheim: April.

Williams, Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Perception of growth impacts in energy impacted communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Ithaca: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Planning initiatives for seismic, hazard mitigation,"

paper presented to the Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May.

Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Mi'dwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee.

Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuqurque: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

198 0 " Human response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to the Status of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles: January.

Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti

?*. 1979 " Perceptions of growth impaces in non-metropolitan .

. Colorado," paper presented to the Impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis:

October.

L Mileti, Dennis S., and Gary Williams

1979 " Resident percpetions in growth impacted western agri-

! cultural communities," paper presented to the Rural i Sociological Society, Vermont: August.

l Gillespie,' David F., Dennis S. Flileti and Stan Eitzen

[ 1979 "The epihenominality of organizational size," paper

[ presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukjee: April.

i - Mileti, Dennis S. , Janice R. Hutton and John Sorensen l 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction,"

paper presented to the International Symposium en Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.

3 . .

Eutton, Janice R.,-Cennis S. Mileti, and John Sorensen

[ 1979 "racrors affecting e.arthquake warning system effective-l

~

ness," paper presented to' the International-Sy=posL..- ,

on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April. .

Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 12 y A,. - -,

- 1979 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predictions," paper presented to the Inter-national Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton.

1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco: November.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David P. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making,"

paper presented to the organizations session of the American Sociological Association, . San Francisco:

September.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Orga-nization of Work Association, Session of the American Sociological San Franci'sco: September.

Hileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment rela-tions," paper presented to tho' organizations-Environ-ment Omaha: Session April. of the Midwest Sociological Society, Gillespie,' David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper presented to the Formal and Complex organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings,"

paper presented to the Conference on~ Severe Local Storms of the American Meteorological Society, Cmaha:

Octocer.

Mileti, Derinis S., and David F. Gillespie -

1977 "Oreanization and environment adaptation-manipulation,"

paper presented to the Organizational' Relations Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago:

Septe ber. -

Eutton, Janica R., and Dennis S. Mileti '

1977 '"The uses and ' abuses of scenarios in policy research,"

i paperLpresented' to the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago: L Septer::er.

L Gillespie, David F.,.and Dennis S. Mileti-l 1977 -" Organizational growth and managerial. efficiency,"

!- paper presented to the Social Organization / Formal /

i Complex Session of the-Pacific Sociological' Associa-tion,. Sacramento: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie .

1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments," paper presented to the Complex Crgani:a-tions Session of'the Midwest Sociological-Society,.

Minneapolis: April.

- - Gillespie, - David F., Dennis S. Mileti and J. Eugene Haas

'1976 " Size and structure inf complex organizations," paper presented to the Crganizational Change Session of the-American Sociological Assoc.iation, Mew York City:

j. .!

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t

^

August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1976 " Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper presented to the Issues in Environmental Analysis l Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August. .

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjust-ments' to earthquakes," paper presented to the Austral-ian Academy of Science, Canberra: May.

4 Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas

.1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Collective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.

! Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti -

4 1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure,"

{ paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of

! the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April. >

! Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction,"

F -

paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Boston: February.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: August.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975" A resolution of inconsistencies between size, i complexity and the administrative component in-organ-

, izations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, - Chicago:

April ~. ,

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Pacific: Sociological Association, Victoria: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "An interaction model for organization-environment i relations," paper presented to the Interorganizational Relations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society,

Cmaha
April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "A formalization of organization-environment dependencies," paper presented to the Formal Organi::a-tions Session of the Pacific Sociological Associarien, San Jose: March.

  • Farhar, Barcara, and Dennis'S, Mileti 1974 "Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," paper presented to the Applied Session of the Pacific Sociological Association,- San Jose March.

Mileti,' Dennis S,

.1973 "Drowi.g: a cor=unications disease," paper presented to

.

  • t- the Oss Co. : unications and Public Opinion Session of

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. . _ . .. __ _ _ _ , _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ . . . _ ~ . . _ _ . . . _ _ _ _ _ . _ - ~ . _ _ . . -

the American Sociological Association, New York City:

. August.

Mileti, Denr.is S., and Sigmund Krane 1973 " Response to impending system stress," paper presented to the What Do We Know Session on Human Behavior in Disaster of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1973 "A paradigm and sociology of knowledge for theories of natural law," paper presented to the Theory Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1972 " Response to hazards warnings," paper presented to the Organizational and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Researc!) Center of the Ohio State University, Columbus: July.~

Speeches And Guest Lectures

" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Research and Management: Assessments of a Maturing Field, Natural Eazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1984.

" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March, 1984.

"The uses of ' earthquake prediction-warnings,". Colloqium on Earthquake Prediction Research-in the US, Earthquake Research' Institute, University of Tokyo: November, 1983.

" Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mile High

. Chapter, Boulder Region, Boulder: July, 1983.

" Integrated e=ergency management: challenges and opportunities,"

i Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Eoulder: July, 1983.

"Public response to flood disasters,"~ Conference on the Need for Teamwork in Managing Flood Hazards, . Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, 1983.

[-

" Natural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental Management Institute, University of Southern . California, Los Angeles: April, 1982.

' ~

" Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Eusiness and Industry,_Los Angeles: .May, 1982.

" Communicating lessons learned from social science research on L

earthquakes," Forkshop of Identifying and Disseminating Lessons

' Learned from Recent Earthquakes," Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: Cecercer, 1982.

. r 15

--+-w,. ~ o m. , . , . . , . . ---..~.~-,.v- ,.-.--w...r, , , ..,& ,--...-e-e s-,,- .xy-

-e

" Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response:

implications for the design of California's warning system and information dissemination," Southern California Earchquake Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October, 1981.

" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned ,

and what problems demand further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1981. .

" Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earthquake Emergency Preparedness, Committee on Iong Range Reconstruction, Sacremento, July,1981.

"Socio-cultural dimensions of earthquake risk," Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, , General Assembly, Sacramento: May, 1981.

"Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems,"

Health-Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October, 1980.

4

" Social response to earthquake prediction:_ local policy issues,"

Southern California Emergeacy Services Association, Montebello:

February, 1980.

" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October, 1979.

" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980, 1979.

" Measuring i=ple. mentation of public policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop,

. Boulder: August, 1978. ,

" Socioeconomic ef f ects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Trediction Technology, Boulder: November, 1977.

"Pcpulation, resources and policy for social change," College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University: September, 1977; February, 1978; February, 1980.

"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction," American Society for Public Administration, Colorado Chapter,. Denver: April, 1976.

"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake pred :tions," California State Seminar on E=ergency Preparedness and Earrhquake Prediction, Palm Springs: June, 1976.

" Preparing to ca<e use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Ccertssion for the Ccunty and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February, 1976, 16

-. . ~ ,... . - _ , _ . , . . _ , _ . , _ . , , - . _ _ . - , _ . - , . , . . , , _ , . , _ . . . - - -

"The social organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering

, Foundation Conference on Decision Making for Natural Hazards, Pacific Grove: March, 1976.

" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction," Governor's Conference Room, Sacramento: May, 1975; Mayor's Conference Room, Los Angeles: Cctober, 1975. -

" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake predict. ion,"

General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September, 1975.

" Earthquake prediction and its implications for emergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies, Tokyo: September, 1975.

" Social impacts of earthquake prediction: implications for policy," California Water and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum, San Francisco: April, 1975.

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I ggg;g PROFESSIONAI, SERVICE ggganiggg,And Presider i

Session on Applied Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association, -

Seattle: April,1984; Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western j Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on i Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Delivery i Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April, 1 1984; Session on Erthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National l Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Natural Ha'zards Research Applications, Boulder: July,1982; Session on Disasters and Cataclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, 4

San Diego: April,1982; Session on Collective Behavior, American Sociological Association, New York: August, 1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Pacific Sociological Association, San Francisco: April,1980; Session on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Tempe, 1976.

Discussant Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Association, San Antonio:

August, 1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science Information, Natural Eazards Research Applications Piorkshop, Boulder: July, 1980; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Session on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder:

July, 1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Co'nference on Natural Hazards, Estes Park: June, 1973.

Particleant

  • Panel on Disaster Research Its Funding and Future, American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August, 1984; Review Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Norkshop en Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Researcn Institute, Ias Altos: December,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority

' Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: November,1982; Earthqaa<e Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project, Asilomar: December, 1931:

Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human Response, San Fernando: June, 1976; Seminar on Disaster Pesearcc, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: February,1975; Sy pos ..-

on Complex Organizations: Research and Applications, Western Social Science Association, El Paso: April, 1974.

Editorshics 18

Corresponding editor on Hazards and Disaster, Environmental Socioloay. Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology l= of the American Sociological Association, 1981-date; Guesc 1 editor, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response, gaga E=argencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.

( Testimony i

i Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffolk: December, 1983 through

' June, 1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information

j. for emergency planning at the Waterford Three nuclear reactor, New Orleans: February,1983; Suffolk County Legislature, State of '

New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham

} -nuclear reactor, Suffold: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory 4

Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo t

Canyon nuclear reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January, 1982; Senate

' Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C.:

U April, 1980; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of the impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist behavior, Bethesda:

Hay, 1977 and July, 1978 Lecialative and Procram Reviews -

Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congerssional Panel,

' Federal Emergency !!anagement Agency, 1983-82; Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geological Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Uetlands, Federal ' Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1979-78.'-

Proposal Reviews Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1984-81; Division of Policy Researen and Analysis, National Science Foundation, 1983; Sociology Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81; Design Researen Program, National Science Foundation,1982; Division of Proole.-

Focused Research, National Science Foundation,1980; Division of.

International Programs, National Science Foundation, 1973; Division of Advanced Environmental Research and Technology, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.

. Article Reviews

  • Human Relations, 1984-83, 1978-77; sociolooical perseeetives (Pacific sociolacical Review), 1984; caviant gghay.12t, 1983; gigg Analysis,- 198 3; Ihg Environmental 2rof essional, 1903-82; socioloav gad social Researen, 1982-81, 1979-78, 1976; socini Forms,1980; Ita E .viron ental professional, 1982; Ir,g seeini 19

.,w..,..%m.- r- -------. -

Science Journal, 1981-77; Bulletin gi h Seismolecical Society o gi America,1982; Socioloaical Focus,1980; Mass Emercencies, 1978, 1976-75; Poliev Analvsis.1978; Tag Sociolecical cuarteriv, 1975; CurIgnh Research h Earthquake Prediction, 1984. -

Qghts, Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios," Chapter 21 in R. W.

Kates (Ed. ) . Climate Imoact Assessment Studies 21 &

Interaction Si climate and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment,1982; Study gn Earthquake Hazards Information Dissemination Chat leston. South Carolina. Reston for the U. S.

Geological Survey, 1982.

Department gud University Service Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space,1983; Department Five-Year Review Committee,1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Committee, 1984-75; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses, 1978; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74;

, University Corrmittee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.

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TEACHUiG Caurant Tal.tght (undergraduate)

Introduction to Sociology complex organizations -

Demographic Processes and Social Change Historical Sociological theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters coursen Taucht (graduate)

Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis .

Research Methods I Research Methods II Cemography and Population Complex Organizations Graduate Theses and Dissertations Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee, 5 Member, Ph.D. Committees, 12 Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 3 Member, M.A. Committees, 12 Student Evaluations Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are available upon request.

e 21

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD i.:.-

In the Matter of )

) '85 RB -8 A11:00 THE CLEVELAND ELECTRIC ) Docket Nos. 50-440 ILLUMINATING COMPANY ) ,

,,  ; , ,50-441

) CG;nt a.d'/t, (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, ) 'A

Units 1 and 2) )

CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that copies of " Applicants' Motion For Summary Disposition of Contention Q," " Applicants' Statement of Material Facts As To Which There Is No Genuine Issue To Be Heard on Contention Q," " Affidavit of Gary Winters on Contention Q," and " Affidavit of Dennis S. Mileti on Contention Q," were served this 5th day of February, 1985, by deposit in the U.S. mail, first class, postage prepaid, upon the parties listed on the attached Service List, except for those parties identified by asterisk who were perved by hand.

/

f/ buhr

/% /\ )_

Jp ) l. ilberg f(

c. .>

Dated: February 5, 1985 (

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD In the Matter of )

)

THE 'LEVELAND ELECTRIC ) Docket Nos. 50-440 ILLUMINATING COMPANY, ET AL. ) 50-441

)

(Perry Nuclear Power Plant, )

Units 1 and 2) )

SERVICE LIST James P. Gleason, Chairman Atomic Safety and Licensing 513 Gilmoure Drive Appeal Board Panel Silver Spring, Maryland 20901 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 Mr. Jerry R. Kline Docketing and Service Section Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Office of the Secretary U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 Washington, D.C. 20555 Mr. Glenn O. Bright e Colleen P. Woodhead, Esquire Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Office of-the Executive Legal 4

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Director Washington, D.C. 20555 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 Alan S. Rosenthal, Chairman Atomic Safety and Licensing

  • Terry Lodge, Esquire Appeal Board Suite 105 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission 618 N. Michigan Street Washington, D.C. 20555 Toledo, Ohio 43624 Dr. W. Reed Johnson Donald T. Ezzone, Esquire Atomic Safety and Licensing Assistant Prosecuting Attorney Appeal Board Lake County Administration U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Center Washington, D.C. 20555 105 Center Street Painesville, Ohio 44077 Gary J. Edles, Esquire Atomic Safety and Licensing Atomic Safety and Licensing Appeal Board Board Panel U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 Washington, D.C. 20555 John G. Cardinal, Esquire
  • Ms. Sue Hiatt Prosecuting Attorney 8275 Munson Avenue Ashtabula County Courthouse Mentor, Ohio 44060 Jefferson, Ohio 44047