ML032510764
| ML032510764 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Indian Point  |
| Issue date: | 05/31/2003 |
| From: | KLD Associates |
| To: | Entergy Nuclear Northeast, NRC/FSME |
| References | |
| NL-03-139 KLD TR-369 | |
| Download: ML032510764 (59) | |
Text
APPENDIX JEvacuation Time Estimates for All Evacuation Regions and Scenarios AndEvacuation Time Graphs for Region R3, for all Scenarios Indian Point Energy CenterJ-1KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1APPENDIX J: EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES FORALL EVACUATION REGIONS AND SCENARIOS ANDEVACUATION TIME GRAPHS FOR REGION R3, FOR ALL SCENARIOSThis appendix presents the ETE Results for all 35 Regions and all 14 Scenarios (Tables J-1A throughJ-1D). In addition to the four tables presenting the ETE results, a fifth table, Table J-1E, presents "EPZ Clearance Times".Tables of ETE and of EPZ Clearance Times are also presented for Regions R1, R2, and R3, for allScenarios in a format that displays these values for the 50 th , 90 th , 95 th , and 100 th percentiles of evacuating population. (Tables J-3A and J-3B).Plots of Evacuating Population vs. Elapsed Time leaving the 2-mile and 5-mile circular areas aroundIPEC and the entire EPZ for Region R3, for all 14 scenarios. Each plot has points indicating the evacuation times corresponding to the 50 th , 90 th , and 95 th percentiles of evacuated population.J.1 Guidance on Using ETE TablesTables J-1A through J-1D present the ETE values for all 35 Evacuation Regions and all 14Evacuation Scenarios. They are organized as follows:TableContentsJ-1AETE represents the elapsed time required for 50percent of the population within a Region, to evacuate from that Region.J-1BETE represents the elapsed time required for 90percent of the population within a Region, to evacuate from that Region.J-1CETE represents the elapsed time required for 95percent of the population within a Region, to evacuate from that Region.J-1DETE represents the elapsed time required for 100percent of the population within a Region, to evacuate from that Region.The user first determines the percentile of population for which the ETE is sought. The applicable value of ETE within the chosen Table may then be identified using the following procedure:
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-2KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1
- 1. Identify the applicable Scenario: The Season
- 1. Summer 2. Winter (also Autumn and Spring) The Day of Week
- 3. Midweek 4. Weekend The Time of Day
- 5. Midday 6. Evening Weather Condition
- 7. Good Weather
- 8. Rain 9. Snow Special Event (if any)
- 10. Football game at West Point
- 11. Commencement Exercises at West PointWhile these Scenarios are designed, in aggregate, to represent conditions throughout the year, somefurther clarification is warranted: The conditions of a summer evening (either midweek or weekend) and rain are notexplicitly identified in Tables J-1A through J-1E. For these conditions, Scenario (4) applies. The conditions of a winter evening (either midweek or weekend) and rain or snoware not explicitly identified in Tables J-1A through J-1E. For these conditions, Scenarios (10) for rain and (11) for snow, apply. The seasons are defined as follows: Summer implies that public schools are not in session. Winter, Spring and Autumn imply that public schools are in session. Time of Day: Midday implies the time over which most commuters are at work.
- 2. With the Scenario identified, now identify the Evacuation Region
- Determine the projected azimuth direction of the plume (coincident with the winddirection). This direction is expressed in terms of compass orientation: towards N, NNE, NE, - Determine the distance that the Evacuation Region will extend from IPEC. Theapplicable distances and their associated candidate Regions are given below: 2 Miles (Region R1) 5 Miles (Regions R2 and R4-R19)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-3KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 to EPZ Boundary (Regions R3 and R20-R35) Enter Table J-2 and identify the applicable group of candidate Regions based on thedistance that the selected Region extends from IPEC. Within this group, identify the row corresponding to the Azimuth Direction identified in the 2 nd bullet above (seecolumn with the heading, DESCRIPTION OF REGION). Select the Evacuation Region identifier in that row from the first column of the Table.
- 3. Determine the ETE for the Scenario identified in Step 1 and the Region identified in Step 2, as follows: The columns of Table J-1 are labeled with the Scenario numbers. Identify the propercolumn in the selected Table using the Scenario number determined in Step 1. Identify the row in this table that provides ETE values for the Region identified in Step 2. The unique data cell defined by the column and row so determined contains thedesired value of ETE expressed in Hours:Minutes.ExampleIt is desired to identify the ETE for the following conditions: Sunday, August 10 th at 4:00 AM. It is raining. Wind direction is to the northeast. Wind speed is such that the distance to be evacuated is judged to be 10 miles (to EPZboundary). The desired ETE is that value needed to evacuate 95 percent of the population fromwithin the impacted Region.Table J-1C is applicable because the 95-percentile population is desired. Proceed as follows:
- 1. Identify the Scenario as summer, weekend, evening and raining. Entering Table J-1C, it is seen that there is no match for these descriptors. However, the clarification given above assigns this combination of circumstances to Scenario 4.
- 2. Enter Table J-2 and locate the group entitled "5 Mile Ring and Sector to EPZBoundary". Under "DESCRIPTION OF REGION", identify the NE (northeast) azimuth (wind direction) and read REGION R22 in the first column of that row.
- 3. Enter Table J-1C to locate the data cell containing the value of ETE for Scenario 4and Region 22. This data cell is in column (4) and in the row for Region R22; it contains the ETE value of 7:00.
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-4KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-5KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-6KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-7KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-8KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-9KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-10KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-11KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-12KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-13KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-14KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1Table J-2. Definition of Evacuation Regions REGIONERPAs INORANGE COUNTYERPAs INPUTNAM COUNTYERPAs INROCKLAND COUNTYERPAs INWESTCHESTER COUNTYDESCRIPTION OF REGIONERPAs IN REGION R139NONE29, 38, 391-4, 7, 44Entire 2 mile ring1-4, 7, 29, 38, 39, 44 R226, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 38-401-9, 43, 44, 47-49Entire 5 mile ring1-9, 16, 18, 24, 26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-49 R324-28, 39, 4016-20, 23, 45, 4629-411-15, 21, 22, 42-44, 47-51Full EPZ1-51 2 Mile Ring and Sector to 5 Miles R426, 39, 4516, 18, 4529, 38, 391-4, 7, 8, 44N1-4, 7, 8, 16, 18, 26, 29, 38, 39, 44, 45 R539, 4516, 18, 4529, 38, 39, 44, 451-4, 7-9, 44, 45NNE1-4, 7-9, 16, 18, 29, 38, 39, 44, 45 R63916, 1829, 38, 39, 441-4, 7-9, 44, 49NE1-4, 7-9, 16, 18, 29, 38, 39, 44, 49 R739NONE29, 38, 39, 441-4, 7-9, 44, 49ENE1-4, 7-9, 29, 38, 39, 44, 49 R839NONE29, 38, 39, 441-5, 7-9, 44, 48, 49E1-5, 7-9, 29, 38, 39, 44, 48, 49 R939NONE29, 38, 39, 441-7, 9, 44,47-49ESE1-7, 9, 29, 38, 39, 44, 47-49R1039NONE29, 38, 39, 43, 441-7, 43, 44, 47-49SE1-7, 29, 38, 39, 43, 44, 47-49R1139NONE29-31, 38, 39, 43, 441-7, 43, 44,47-49SSE1-7, 29-31, 38, 39, 43, 44, 47-49R1239NONE29-31, 38, 39, 43, 441-4, 6, 7, 43, 44, 47, 48S1-4, 6, 7, 29-31, 38, 39, 43, 44, 47, 48R1339NONE29-31, 38, 39, 43, 441-4, 7, 43, 44SSW1-4, 7, 29-31, 38, 39, 43, 44R1439, 40NONE29-31, 38-40, 43, 441-4, 7, 43, 44SW1-4, 7, 29-31, 38-40, 43, 44R1539, 40NONE29-31, 38-40, 441-4, 7, 44WSW1-4, 7, 29-31, 38-40, 44R1639, 40NONE29, 30, 38-40, 441-4, 7, 44W1-4, 7, 29, 30, 38-40, 44R1724, 26, 39, 40, 454529, 30, 38-40, 44, 451-4, 7, 44, 45WNW1-4, 7, 24, 26, 29, 30, 38-40, 44, 45R1824, 26, 39, 40, 4516, 4529, 38-40, 44, 451-4, 7, 44, 45NW1-4, 7, 16, 24, 26, 29, 38-40, 44, 45R1924, 26, 39, 40, 4516, 4529, 38, 39, 40, 44, 451-4, 7, 8, 44, 45NNW1-4, 7, 8, 16, 24, 26, 29, 38, 39, 40, 44, 45 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-15KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time EstimateRev. 1Table J-2. Definition of Evacuation Regions (Concluded)
REGIONERPAs INORANGE COUNTYERPAs INPUTNAM COUNTYERPAs INROCKLAND COUNTYERPAs INWESTCHESTER COUNTYDESCRIPTION OF REGIONERPAs IN REGION 5 Mile Ring and Sector to EPZ BoundaryR2024-26, 39, 4016-19, 23, 45, 4629-31, 38-401-9, 43, 44, 47-49N1-9, 16-19, 23-26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-49R2124, 26, 39, 4016-20, 23, 45, 4629-31, 38-401-10, 43, 44, 47-49NNE1-10, 16-20, 23, 24, 26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-49R2224,26, 39, 4016-20, 4529-31, 38-401-14, 43, 44, 47-49NE1-14, 16-20, 24,26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-49R2324,26, 39, 4016, 18, 19, 20, 4529-31, 38-401-15, 43, 44, 47-49ENE1-16, 18-20, 24,26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-49R2424,26, 39, 4016, 18, 20, 4529-31, 38-401-15, 21, 43, 44, 47-50E1-16, 18, 20, 21, 24,26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-50R2524,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 38-401-9, 11-15, 21, 22, 43, 44,47-51ESE1-9, 11-16, 18, 21, 22, 24,26, 29-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-5 1R2624,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-32, 38-401-9, 12, 13, 21, 22, 42-44, 47-51SE1-9, 12-13, 16, 18, 21-22, 24,26, 29-32, 38-40, 42-45, 47
-51R2724,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-35, 38-401-9, 12, 21, 22, 42-44,47-51SSE1-9, 12, 16, 18, 21, 22, 24,26, 29-35, 38-40, 42-45, 47-51R2824,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-401-9, 22, 42-44, 47-49, 51S1-9, 16, 18, 22, 24,26, 29-40, 42-45, 47-49, 51R2924,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-411-9, 42-44,47-49SSW1-9, 16, 18, 24,26, 29-45, 47-49R3024,26, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 34-411-9, 43, 44, 47-49SW1-9, 16, 18, 24,26, 29-31, 34-41, 43-45, 47-49R3124,26, 28, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 34, 36-411-9, 43, 44,47-49WSW1-9, 16, 18, 24,26, 28-31, 34, 36-41, 43-45, 47-49R3224, 26-28, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 38-411- 9, 43, 44, 47-49W1-9, 16, 18, 24, 26-31, 38-41, 43-45, 47-49R3324-28, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 38-401-9, 43, 44, 47-49WNW1-9, 16, 18, 24-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-49R3424-28, 39, 4016, 18, 4529-31, 38-401-9, 43, 44, 47-49NW1-9, 16, 18, 24-31, 38-40, 43-45, 47-49R3524-27, 39, 4016-18, 23, 45, 4629-31, 38-401-9, 43, 44, 47-49NNW1-9, 16-18, 23-27, 29-31, 38-40, 43-49 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-16KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-17KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1 Indian Point Energy CenterJ-18KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesSummer, Midweek, Midday, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-1. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 1 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-19KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesSummer, Midweek, Midday, Rain 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600660 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-2. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 2 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-20KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesSummer, Weekend, Midday, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600660ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile RingEntire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-3. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 3 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-21KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesSummer, Weekend, Midday, Rain 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600660720780 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-4. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 4 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-22KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesSummer, Evening, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile RingEntire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-5. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 5 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-23KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Midweek, Midday, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile RingEntire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-6. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 6 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-24KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Midweek, Midday, Rain 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600660720ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile RingEntire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-7. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 7 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-25KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Midweek, Midday, Snow 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600660720780 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-8. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 8 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-26KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Weekend, Midday, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-9. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 9 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-27KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Weekend, Midday, Rain 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400060120180240300360420480540600 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-10. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 10 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-28KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Weekend, Midday, Snow 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400060120180240300360420480540600660 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-11. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 11 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-29KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWinter, Evening, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400060120180240300360420480 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Min)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-12. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 12 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-30KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesWeekend, USMA Football, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-13. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 13 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)
Indian Point Energy CenterJ-31KLD Associates, Inc.Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 1Evacuation Time EstimatesMidweek, USMA Commencement, Good Weather 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450060120180240300360420480540600 ThousandsElapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (Mins)
Population Evacuating2-Mile Ring5-Mile Ring Entire EPZ 50%90%95%Figure J-14. Evacuation Time Estimates -Scenario 14 for Region R3 (Entire EPZ)