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Workshop on Spent Fuel Performance Margins
	ML20021A221
Person / Time
Site:	Nuclear Energy Institute
Issue date:	01/22/2020
From:	Mccollum R; NRC/NRR/DNRL/NRLB, Nuclear Energy Institute
To:	Paul Kallan; NRC/NRR/DNRL/NRLB
	Paul Kallan / 415-2809
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	Download: ML20021A221 (32)
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Workshop on Spent Fuel Performance Margins NEI/Industry Presentation January 22, 2020 White Flint, MD

Spent Fuel Performance Margins:

An Overview ROD MCCULLUM, NEI

Why Understanding Margin is Important Memorandum from NMSS Director Mark Dapas to NMSS Staff 1/15/2019

Reviewers should consider the relative margin to any applicable regulatory limits pertaining to the item under review. If the licensee or applicant has reasonably demonstrated that there is significant margin from the regulatory limits, then a detailed review of the item may not be warranted beyond confirming the adequacy of the licensees or applicants models, codes, and/or approach, including any key parameters and assumptions, used to demonstrate that significant margin exists.

Regulatory standards should already include the appropriate margin the Commission previously deemed necessary to provide for adequate protection. There is no requirement or expectation for additional margin beyond these regulatory standards, even if additional margin is reflected in any acceptance criteria contained within guidance documents.

Understanding Enables Transformation Foundational Transformative Enablers Elements Disposition Low Industry Safety Significant Maturity Issues Quickly Increased Implement Graded Strong Focus on Reasonable/High Performance Safety Assurance Standards Significance Understanding Implement of Safety Margin Performance-based Inspection

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Industry Category 1 Recommendations - Industry Action Recommendation III-1: Licensees/CoC holders define and utilize more realistic source terms, supported by conservative modeling in the downstream calculations, in their applications to demonstrate the adequacy of dry storage system design.

Recommendation III-2: In cases where conservative source term calculations demonstrate compliance with 72.104 and 72.106, licensees/CoC holders should not also apply a source term uncertainty (i.e. burnup uncertainty) in their applications.

Recommendation IV-3: Assess how thermal modeling is done and what can be simplified. Develop an industry consensus based thermal modeling methodology and document this as a best practices guide.

Recommendation VI-1: CoC holders should amend their CoCs to follow the precedent established through Regulatory Issue Resolution Protocol I-16-01 wherein a graded approach was developed to apply risk insights which resulted in a pilot amendment (#16) to Standardized NUHOMS Certificate of Compliance No. 1004 for Spent Fuel Storage Casks (Docket 72-1004) that achieved a 90% reduction in the amount of information requiring NRC approval in the Fuel Qualification Table and reduced the overall size of the CoC by 33%. (Note:

NRC would then have the action to review graded approach amendments as they are submitted.)

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Industry Category 2 Recommendations - NRC Action Recommendation II-1: NRC should develop an Acceptance Review Grading process that would assign varying levels of review to an application, from the time it is initially received, based on risk insights.

Recommendation III-3: In cases where applicants have applied conservative source terms, conservative modeling, and source term uncertainty (i.e. burnup uncertainty) in their applications NRC should conduct a much less detailed review (i.e. simply check that sound methodologies have been applied instead of trying to independently repeat results).

Recommendation IV-2: In cases where applicants have applied the results of the PIRT described in Recommendation IV-1, NRC should revise its internal review guidance to limit the review toverification that the results of the PIRT have been appropriately applied instead of trying to independently repeat results.

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Category 3 Recommendations - Actions to be Defined (1 of 2)

Recommendation IV-1: As a first step to define the parameters on which thermal modeling should be focused, develop a Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table - PIRT - and use it to identify (a) the inputs, modeling approaches/techniques that have large impact on the results, and (b) those that dont and hence dont require scrutiny (i.e. a reasonable value can be assumed and not questioned). For this to be successful, industry and NRC, along with the scientific community, would have to engage in the PIRT process.

Recommendation IV-4: Work to provide a thermal modeling metric such as a peak cladding temperature limit (PCT) that is based on more scientific information. Currently in the US we are using 400°C as a cliff edge limit. Consider a higher ultimate limit structured with stepped lower limits (e.g., under 380°C, not a concern at all; 381°C-425°C, provide some additional rigor in PCT calculations and assumptions review; over425°C up to 450°C, high level of rigor in PCT calculations and assumptions review [or other values as may be agreed]). This is a Category 3 recommendation that will require significant engagement between industry and NRC and will likely result in the development of regulatory guidance.

Recommendation IV-5: Develop a graded approach for thermal modeling analyses considering the effects of multiple overlapping conservativisms to prevent gross ruptures and its relationship to providing reasonable assurance of adequate protection of public health and safety of spent fuel integrity during short term operations and/or storage. This a Category 3 recommendation that will require significant engagement between industry and NRC and will likely result in the development of regulatory guidance.

Recommendation V-1: Revise the guidance in Section 6.4 of NUREG-1536 to 1) request typical/realistic/representative instead of bounding dose rates, consistent with the reduced safety significance of the presented results and to 2) remove or appropriately modify the discussion that implies that the dose and dose rates provided in the FSAR demonstrate that the design is sufficient to meet the regulatory dose requirements

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Category 3 Recommendations - Actions to be Defined (2 of 2)

Recommendation V-2: Revise the guidance in Chapter 6 of the proposed NUREG-2215 with respect to details of modeling of the dose rate evaluations to consider the experiences from the many loaded dry storage systems.

Recommendation VI-2: Align approaches in fuel qualification information for dry cask storage systems CoC (Tech Specs) with current practices in operating reactors (fuel qualification is not in the TS). This is a Category 3 recommendation as Industry and NRC will need to engage in a dialogue to determine the best way to accomplish this.

Recommendation VII-1: Align approaches in criticality safety analyses for dry cask storage systems with current practices in spent fuel pools (full fission product burnup credit, 100% credit for neutron absorber capability). Industry and NRC will need to engage in a dialogue to determine the best way to accomplish this.

Recommendation VII-2: Develop a more realistic approach to the modeling of fuel reconfiguration scenarios in criticality analysis. Industry and NRC will need to engage in a dialogue to determine the best way to accomplish this.

Recommendation VII-3: Develop a safety-focused definition of the term gross rupture through a graded or risk-informed approach within the current context to reasonable assurance to adequate protection of the public health and safety as required by 10 CFR Part 72.122h. This definition should be clear and have a well-established basis so that it does not evolve over time. This is a Category 3 recommendation as Industry and NRC will need to engage in a dialogue to determine the best way to accomplish this.

April 23rd Public Meeting:

Action Items Status Update BOB QUINN, WESTINGHOUSE

Spent Fuel Performance Margins April 23, 2019 Public Meeting Action Items Status Update Industry Action Items Status Identify priority Phenomena Identification and WP identifies a PIRT be performed Ranking Table (PIRTs) in the White Paper related to decay heat (Rec IV-1).

Provide cost/benefit information in the White Paper High level cost-benefit described at (with specific examples) REG CON. Specific examples to be described in this meeting.

Identify, in the White Paper, opportunities to Entire theme of WP is to address generically address issues that are currently dealt issues generically. Good example with in individual licensing actions is Rec IV-3.

Identify areas where defining margin would require WP used this as guiding principle; extensive effort to collect information and eliminate no recommendations of this nature these areas from consideration are included.

Spent Fuel Performance Margins April 23, 2019 Public Meeting Action Items Status Update (continued)

Industry Action Items Status Clearly explain in the White Paper the distinction Recommendations speak between, and benefits of, changing a limit, and changing explicitly to either limit (Rec.

how compliance with the limit is approached IV-4) or to ways to demonstrate compliance (all others)

Inform NRC on industrys position about the need for Discussed in the WP, but no additional Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) burnup credit recommendation at this time.

Include in White Paper analyses of costs of future Confinement margin not canister repair efforts to inform confinement margin included in WP.

discussion

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Phenomenon Identification and Ranking Tables This presentation will be provided in a separate presentation by EPRI.

Cost-Benefit Examples S T E FA N A N TO N , H O LT E C

Compliance with Site Boundary Regulatory Dose Limit Site Specific Demonstration - Approach

Select or determine the fuel that is desired to be loaded

Establish site specific characteristics of the ISFSI Cask type, basket loadings, cask arrangement, distance to dose locations

Perform dose calculations for the ISFSI, iterate as needed to meet limits This uses the methods documented in the FSAR

Establish surface dose rates limits for each cask, corresponding to ISFSI condition

After loading of each cask, measure surface dose rates and compare with limits

Driver is the 10CFR72.104 annual dose limit of 25 mrem

FSAR Dose and Dose Rate calculations FSAR Dose and Dose Rate calculations

Select (bounding) fuel, cask type and cask loading

Establish dose and dose rate calculation methodology

Calculate surface and 1 m dose rates These are not related in any way to the site-specific dose rates to show compliance, since they are not based on the site specific ISFSI characteristics

Calculate site boundary dose for some cask arrays examples and dose locations These are not related in any way to the site-specific dose rates to show compliance, since they are not based on the site specific ISFSI characteristics

Driver are some wording in the regulatory guidance document, namely NUREG-1536 (now NUREG-2215)

FSAR/CoC Effort; Summary The effort to maintain and establish FSAR content and CoC requirements with respect to doses and dose rates is significant

This effort has increased significantly in the last few years with the introduction, or re-introduction of CoC requirements which are based on the FSAR dose calculations (FQTs)

Holtec has spent on the order of 1000 hours0.0116 days <br />0.278 hours <br />0.00165 weeks <br />3.805e-4 months <br /> developing and implementing those.

However, that number pales in comparison to the overall impact, namely Review of FSAR and CoC by NRC Implementation of processes by EVERY user to ensure these requirements are met Ongoing consideration, essentially in perpetuity, in future licensing actions such as 72.48s, LARs, site specific evaluations, and corresponding NRC review or inspections.

After 3000+ systems loaded with 130,000+ assemblies at 70+ sites in the US, users base their dose and dose rate perspectives on the industry experience, not on FSAR content In Summary

FSAR doses and corresponding CoC requirements have no link to safety (i.e. regulatory dose limits), are not of any informational value to users, but require significant effort by all parties involved

Basis for this FSAR/CoC approach are some wordings in the regulatory guidance documents, presumably going back to a time where no relevant operational experience with ISFSIs existed

The guidance should be revised

Cost-Benefit Examples G E O R G E C A RV E R , N A C

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Cost-Benefit Overview NAC-STC High-Burnup Fuel Amendment Excessive analytical level of detail (academic exercise) required for a licensed system resulting in no impact to the safety of the design NAC initially provided thermal analysis, based on the existing NRC approved thermal methods/models for the NAC-STC to support reasonable assurance the cask would perform as required

No basket design changes

Change in individual fuel thermal loads and loading pattern NRCs thermal reviewers suggested that NAC needed to develop and qualify new, best estimate models for assessing HBU fuel performance, and included directions to use NUREG-2152 (authored by the thermal reviewers) for the development and qualification of thermal models

NAC-STC High-Burnup Fuel Amendment (Contd)

NAC was had no choice but to develop 3 brand new discrete thermal models (utilizing 900K, 3000K, 7200 elements including mesh refinement in axial direction) to support a methodical discretization allowing development of a Grid Convergence Index (GCI)

Model ID Number of PCT (F) T (F)

Hexahedral Elements Model No. 1 7,168,000 633 151 Model No. 2 3,024,000 632 151 Model No. 3 896,000 629 151 Base Model 95,672 638 153 Performance of this work required over 2000 additional man-hours, demonstrated no significant change in PCT and resulted in no changes to the design or loading configuration(s)

Proximity (~25F) of our calculated PCT, with no credit given for conservatisms in the model, to the PCT limit was used as the basis for requiring the GCI be performed

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Cost-Benefit Overview Generic Issue with License Submittals Excessive analytical level of detail (academic exercise) required for a licensed system resulting in no impact to the safety of the design NAC provide license drawings which are meant to provide the reviewer with enough information to perform a safety review In criticality analysis, the current review includes the effects of tolerances As such, it requires the license drawings require tolerances which results in:

Additional complexity to the drawings

Larger, more conservative values to bound actual manufacturing In an instance where manufacturing violates these conservative values, there is the potential that an amendment would be required This drives both cost (internal and NRC) and time for implementation, since an amendment can take 9 months to 2 years

Cost-Benefit Examples TN-ORANO

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Cost-Benefit Overview Significant time and computational resources are being engaged in developing mesh sensitivity studies

CoC 1042

CoC 1029

TN-32 HBU Temperature difference between meshes Grid ID No. of Elements Temperature (oF)

N0 876,515 712 N1 1,925,705 712 N2 4,196,112 711 N3 9,218,858 709

TN-Orano - Thermal Performance Margin Conservative inputs for Grid Convergence Index (GCI) evaluation results in large uncertainties without any credit for conservatisms already built into the thermal models TN-32BHBU Design Basis Measured (oF) from SAR (oF)

PCT 605 445 Recommendations IV-2, IV-3 and IV-5 would result in better quality and simplified model Savings of ~1000 hrs for both TN and NRC for every licensing action

TN-Orano - Shielding Performance Margin Dose rate calculation current process

Determine bounding source term

Burnup and enrichment uncertainties

Conservative models Results Calculated Measured Operational 2,081 mrem 650 mrem Exposure Fence Dose Rate 4 mrem/hr 0.2 mrem/hr

TN-Orano - Shielding Performance Margin Recommendations III-1 to III-3

Reduce conservatism in analysis

Realistic results

Reduction in number of analysis Savings of ~1000 hrs for both TN and NRC for every licensing action

Licensees Perspective Z I TA M A RT I N , T VA

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Cost-Benefit Overview: A Licensees Perspective Utilities allow 1-1.5 years to transition Amendments. Impacts of delays are:

Potential cancellation of campaign resulting in:

Loss of Prudent Operating Reserve (POR)

Potential outage delays (additional / slower fuel movements)

Increased SFP heat load (Decrease TTB / Delay in Off-load)

Loss of Full Core Reserve (FCR)

Potential outage delays (additional / slower fuel movements)

Inability to perform certain outage maintenance activities Increased SFP heat load (Decrease TTB / Delay in Off-load)

Recovery from cancellation takes years due to lack of Refuel Floor time. This affects multiple outages.

Cost-Benefit Overview: A Licensees Perspective Timeline for Activities on Refuel Floor (RFF) using floor and crane (2 units per site)

Activity (Assuming 2 Units / site) Time on RFF (wks)

Outages (4 wks / unit) 8 Outage Mobilization/Demobilization (4 wks / unit) 8 New Fuel Receipt (4 wks / unit) 8 Dry Cask Loading (3-4 casks/unit - 1 wk / cask) 6-8 Dry Cask Mobilization/Demobilization (2 wks) 2 Crane PMs (Overhead / Fuel Bridge) 1 Fuel Moves for B5b (heat dispersal) 3 Building PMs 2 SNM Inventory / 1 SFP Cleanout - BWRs (12) / Fuel Inspections (4) 16 Maintenance/Repairs (?) / Modifications (?) ?

Total 41 / 16

Cost-Benefit Overview: A Licensees Perspective Compressed schedule for implementation, resulting in stress to perform required activities per 10 CFR 72.212(b)(5):

Ensure cask systems are certified to new Amendment (Receipt of system 5-6 months prior to campaign, manufacturing begins 2 years prior to receipt)

Review documents (CoC, FSAR, NRC SE) for changes in design, process, limits, requirements, methods (multi-discipline review)

Identify impacts of changes to site Calculations, Processes (including new equipment required), Procedures, 72.212 Report, Fuel Selection Requirements

Revise documents as appropriate Calculations - as a minimum revise to indicate calc bounds new Amendment (vendor resources to perform - site resources to review/approve)

Processes (new equipment purchase, receive, calibrate, vendor manual, drawings, etc)

Procedures - as a minimum revise to reference new Amendment 72.212 Report - Approval required at upper management level

Cost-Benefit Overview: A Licensees Perspective Compressed schedule for implementation, resulting in stress to perform required activities per 10 CFR 72.212(b)(5): (contd)

Training Impacted site organizations (loading crews as a minimum)

Fuel Selection personnel (needs to occur before fuel selection)

Implementation Fuel move sheets generated and verified Fuel moves, as necessary

Utilization of the Regulatory Issue Resolution Protocol (RIRP)

MARK RICHTER, NEI

Spent Fuel Performance Margins Utilization of the Regulatory Issue Resolution Protocol (RIRP)

NEI 10-03 Used Fuel Transportation Issue Resolution Protocol

Defines structured process-serves as mini project plan

Facilitates status tracking and reporting

Identifies action owners, responsibilities and accountability

History of successful application RIRP I-10-01 Dry Spent Fuel Storage Canister Chloride Induced Stress Corrosion Cracking RIRP I-16-01 Improving the efficiency of the regulatory framework for dry storage of used nuclear fuel RIRP closure exemplifies strong collaborative effort between NRC, EPRI and industry

ML20021A221

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