ML20205P815
| ML20205P815 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Seabrook  |
| Issue date: | 03/25/1987 |
| From: | Lieberman E KLD ASSOCIATES, INC., PUBLIC SERVICE CO. OF NEW HAMPSHIRE |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20205L804 | List:
|
| References | |
| OL, NUDOCS 8704030380 | |
| Download: ML20205P815 (13) | |
Text
_
. 3 q:
.I i
l Dated:
March 2_f 1987 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY. COMMISSION before the ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD
)
In the Matter of
)
)
PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF
)
Docket Nos. 50-443-OL NEW-HAMPSHIRE, et al.
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50-444-OL'.
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Off-site Emergency (Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2).)
Planning-Issues
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)
AFFIDAVIT OF EDWARD B.
LIEBERMAN (SAPL-8A)
I, Edward B.
Lieberman, being on oath, hereby depose and say as follows:
1.
I am the Vice President of KLD Associates, Inc. and am responsible for the development of the Seabrook Station Evacuation Time Study, Volume 6 of the NHRERP.
2.
The number of Traffic guides assigned to indiv. dual traffic control points in the~New Hampshire RERP is consistent with the intended functions of the guides.
3.
It is important to recognize that the primary function of traffic.guidos is to facilitate the movements.of traffic at specified locations.
This action serves to 0704030380 870325
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PDR ADOCK 05000443 G
PDR 2
(
-l reinforce the information already provided to most evacuees.
The absence of a traffic guide at a Traffic Control Post, particularly if only for a few moments, does not imply " loss of control" and should have no important effect on evacuation travel time.
e Edward B.
Lieberman STATE OF NEW
..?."??" " 3 80FFOU<
MarchJM, 1987 MiiiaMMMi>M, ss.
The above-subscribed Edward B.
Lieberman appeared before me and made oath that he had read the foregoing affidavit and that the statements set forth therein are true and to the best of his knowledge.
Before me,
/
M NoCiry Public My Commission Expires:
NVLHELLE LANDSrdAN Notary Public. State of New York No. 52-4742519 Qualified in Suffok Cou Commission Empiree %
1g f (
PROFESSIONAL QUALIFICATIONS EDWARD B.
LIEBERMAN Vice President KLD ASSOCIATES, INC.
My name is Edward B.
Lieberman and my business address is KLD Associates, Inc., 300 Broadway, Huntington Station, New York 11746.
I am presently Vice President of KLD Associates, Inc.
I received the Bachelor of Science degree in Civil Engineering in 1951 from Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn.
I was awarded the Master of Science degree in Civil Engineering in 1954 from Columbia University and in Aeronautical Engineering in 1967 from Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn.
I am currently working on a Doctorate degree l
in Transportation Planning at the Polytechnic University.
I am a member of the Chi Epsilon Honorary Fraternity.
With almost 30 years of professional experience, I have managed a number of major projects.
I pioneered the development and application of traffic simulation models, making major state-of-the-art innovations in the traffic engineering profession.
I have also been responsible for many engineering studies involving data collection and analysis and design of traffic control systems to expedite traffic flow and relieve congestion.
I have developed simulation models to study traffic performance on urban networks, freeways, freeway corridors
r e
and two-lane, two-way rural roads.
These programs include co,nsideration of pedestrians, interaction with vehicular traffic, truck and bus operations, special turning lanes, and vehicle fuel consumption and emissions; both pretimed and actuated traffic signal controls are represented.
I was the Principal Investigator for the development of traffic. signal control strategies for congested conditions in mid-Manhattan.
These strategies were implemented and evaluated in the field.
Field tests indicated substantial reductions in delay combined with increased vehicle throughput.
I was the Principal Investigator in the development of an interactive computer graphics (ICG) software system for displaying traffic simulation results generated by the NETSIM model.
I designed the overall structure of the software for implementation on PC AT computers and, subsequently, on larger ICG work stations.
This work was sponsored by EHWA.
I was responsible to a large extent for the theoretical development of DYNEV, a Dynamic Network Evacuation model.
The DYNEV model consists of two major components:
an equilibrium traffic assignment model and a macroscopic dynamic traffic simulation model designed for all types of roadway facilities (urban streets, freeways, rural roads).
DYNEV is designed to be used as a tool to develop and organized evacuation plans needed as part of general I
e e
4 disaster preparedness planning.
DYNEV was used to analyze an existing evacuation scenario at the Con Edison Indian Point Nuclear Power Station and is currently being used to develop an extensive evacuation plan for the LILCO Shoreham Nuclear Power Station on Long Island, New York.
In developing this evacuation plan for-the Seabrook Nuclear Power Station, my activities include definition of evacuation scenarios, definition of the evacuation network, development of traffic control treatments and of traffic routing patterns, analysis of trip tables, analysis of simulation results, optimization of evacuation strategies and the preparation of formal documentation.
I was responsible for the development of the I-DYNEV model, an interactive version and enhancement of the DYNEV model, under contract with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
I-DYNEV, in turn, was integrated into the Integrated Emergency Management Information System (IEMIS),
developed by FEMA.
I-DYNEV was applied to estimate the evacuation times for the Emergency Planning Zones (EPZ) for eight nuclear power stations.
I developed course material and conducted training for emergency planning personnel at the National Emergency Training Center (NECTC) in Emmittsburgh, Maryland.
I was also responsible for the designs of the NESIM microscopic urban traffic simulation model (formerly UTCS-1) and of the SCOT freeway traffic simulation model.
The 1
e NETSIM microscopic traffic simulation model developed for the Federal Highway Administration, enables agencies to evaluate traffic operations in urban environments.
The SCOT model was developed'for the Transportation Systems Center of-the Department of Transportation.
This program includes a dynamic traffic assignment algorithm which routes traffic over a network in response.to changing traffic flow characteristics to satisfy a specified origin-destination table.
In addition, I have developed advanced traffic control policies for urban traffic for the FHWA-sponsored UTSC Project, as well as a bus preemption policy to enhance the performance of mass transit operations within urban environs.
I designed and programmed the advanced " Third generation" area-wide, cycle-free control policies for moderate and congested traffic flow for computer-monitored real-time systems.
I also developed a cycle-based, off-line computational procedure named SIGOP-II, to optimize traffic signal timing patterns to minimize system "disutility."
I led a group of traffic engineers and systems analysts in developing a system of macroscopic traffic simulation models designed to evaluate Transportation Systems Management-(TSM) strategies.
This software system, named TRAFLO, also includes an equilibrium traffic assignment model.
This model.has been distributed'to other agencies including FEMA.
I designed an " Integrated Traffic Simulation System,"
named TRAF, which will eventually incorporate all the best traffic simulation models available.
Using structured programming techniques, TRAF integrates:
NETSIM, TRAFLO, j
i and ROADSIM, a microscopic rural-road simulation model.
I served as Principal Investigator on NCHRP Project 3-20 entitled, " Traffic Signal Warrants."
This project involved both field data collection and the application of the NETSIM model to study intersection delay as a function of traffic volume, a type of control and geometrics.
In turn, I developed and documented new signal warrants, some of which will be incorporated in the next version of the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD).
Under NHTSA sponsorship, I directed a research study to evaluate a Driver Vehicle Evaluation Model named DTRVEM.
This model simulates the response of motorists to hazardous events.
This effort included analysis of the model formulation and software and sensitivity testing.
A workship was designed, organized, scheduled and conducted by myself and other KLD professionals; experts from all over the U.S. were invited to recommend specific NHTSA research activities for the further development of the model.
A recommended research program constituted the major output of the contract.
e Over the years I have been involved in a number of other studies to evaluate traffic operations on large-scale road networks, using one or more of the models described above.
Prior to 1960 I applied my skills to the areas of stress analysis, vibrations, fluid dynamics and numerical analysis of differential equations.
These analyses were programmed for the IBM 7090 and System 360, CDC 6600 and 7600, G.E.
625 and UNIVAC IIOB digital computars in assembly languate, FORTRAN and PLI.
I also designed the logic and real-time programming for a sonar simulator built for the Department of Navy and monitored by a PDP-8 progess-control digital computer.
I am a member of the American Society of Civil Engineers, the Institute of Transportation Engineers, the Association of Computing Machinery and the Transportation Research Board (TRB).
I am also a member of the Traffic Flow Theory and Characteristics Committee of the TRB.
I am a licensed Professional Engineer in New York, Maryland, and Florida.
The following list comprises selected publications of my studies and findings:
"DYNET - A Dynamic Network Simulation of Urban Traffic Flow," Proceedings, Third Annual Simulation Symposium, 1970.
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" Simulation of Traffic Flow at Signalized Intersections:
the SURF System," Proceedings, 1970 Summer Computer Simulation Conference, 1970.
" Dynamic Analysis of Freeway Corridor Traffic," SME paper, Trans. 70-42.
" Simulation of Corridor Traffic:
The SCOT Model," " Highway Research Record No. 409, 1972.
" Logical Design and Demonstration of UTCS-1 Network Simulation Model,"
Highway Research Record No. 409, 1972 with R. D. Worrall and J. M.
Bruggerman).
" Variable Cycle Signal Timing Program:
Volumes 1-4," Final Report of Contract DOT-FH-11-7924, June, 1974.
" Traffic Signal Warrants," KLD TR-51, Final Report on NCHRP Project 3-20/1, December 1976 (with G.
F.
King and R.
Goldblatt).
" Rapid Signal Transition Algorithm," Transportation Research Record No. 509 1974 (with D. Wicks).
"Subnetwork Structuring and Interfacing for UTCS Project-Program of Simulation Studies," KLD TR-5, January, 1972.
" Development of a Bus Signal. Preemption Policy and a System Analysis of Bus Operations," KLD TR-11, April, 1973.
"SIGOP-II - Program to Calculate Optimal, Cycle-Based Traffic Signal Timing Patters, Volumes 1 and 2," Final Report, Contract DOT-FH-ll-7924, KLD TR-29 and TR-30, December, 1974.
Summary report inTransportation Research Record 596, 1976 (with J. Woo).
" Developing a Predictor for Highly Responsive System-Based Contro,"
Transportation Research Record 596, 1976 (with W.
McShane and R. Goldblatt).
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't "A New Approach for Specifying si Delay-Based Traffic Signal Warrants,"
Transportation Research Special Repcrt 153 - Better Use.ofExisting Transportation Facilities, 1976. ' '
" Network Flow Simulation for Urban Traffic Control Systems," Vols.
1-5, PB230-760, PB230-761, PB230-762, PB230-763, PB230-764, 1974-(with R.
Worrall), Vols. 2-4 updated 1977, KLD TR-60, TR-61, TR-62 (with D. Wicks and J. Woo).
" Extension of the UTCS-1 Traffic
<s Simulation Program to Incorporate Computation of Vehicular Fuel Consumption and Emissions," KLD TR-63, 1976 (with N. Rosenfield).
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" Analysis'and Comparison of the UTCS iJ g
Second-and Third-Generation Predictor Models," KLD TR-35, 1975.
" Urban Traffic Control System (UTCS)
/
Third Generation Control (3-GC) Policy,"
Vol.
1, 1976 (with A.
Liff).
" Design of TRAFIC Operating System (TOS), KLD TR-57, 1977.
" Revisions to the UTCS-1 Traffic Simulation Model to Enhance Operational Efficiency," KLD TR-59, 1977 (with A.
Wu).
\\
"The Role of Capacity in Computer Traffic Control," in Research Directions in Computer Control of Urban Traffic 4
j Systems, ASCE, 1979.
i
" Traffic Simulation:
Past, Present and l
Potential," in Hamburger, W.S.
and f'
- Steinman, L.,
eds., Proceedings of the International Symposium of Traffic
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Control Systems, University of 1
California, Berkeley, 1979.
"TRAFLO:
A New Tool to Evaluate Transportation System Management i
Strategies," presented at the 59th j
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Annual Meeting of the: Transportation Research Board, 1980 (with B.'Andrews).
" Determination of the Lateral Deployment of Traffic on an Approach to an Intersection," presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, 1980.
" Service Rates of Mixed Traffic on the Left-Most Lane of an Approach,"
presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, 1980 (with W. R. McShane).
'1
" Development of a TRANSYT-Based. Traffic Simulation Model," presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, 1980 (with M. Yedlin).
" Hybrid Macroscopic-Microscopic Traffic Simulation Model," presented-at the 59th Annual Meeting of the. Transportation Research Board, 1980 (with M. C.
Davila).
"A Model for Calculating Safe Passing t
Distance on Two Lane. Rural Road,"
presented at the.60th Annual Meeting of i
the Transportation Research Board, 1981.
i "The TRAF System - Anayltic Formulation and Logical Design of the Roadsim Model," KLD TR-129, June, 1983.
"PREDYN User's Guide," KLD TR-131, June, 1983.
"The TRAF System - Technical Report,"
KLD TR-136, August, 1983 (with M.
- Yedlin, B. Andrew and K. Sheridan).
" Application of the I-DYNEV System to Compute Estimates of Evacuation Travel Time at Nuclear Power Stations -- Four Demonstration Case Studies," KLD TR-142, December, 1983.
" Users Manual for the Interactive Dynamic Network Evacuation Model:
I-DYNEV,"KLD TR-144, February, 1984.
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" Formulations of.the DYNEV and I-DYNEV
. Traffic Simulation Models Usedlin EESF,"
KLD TR-154, March,,.1984.
"PREDYN/IDYNEV Training Guide," KLD' TR-155, April,.1984 (with R. Goldblatt ) '.
" Specifications of Recommended Interactive Graphics ~ Hardware Configuration and Graphics Support Software for the Netsim Graphics Display Package,'" KLD TM-93,
. July, 1985.
" Metering of High-Density Sectors Comparison of Traffic Operations Along Fifth Avenue in Mid-Manhattan:
Metering Control vs. Existing Control,";KLD.
TM-94,(July, 1985.
+
" Description ~of an Integrated Traffic Assignment and Distribution Mo' del (TRAD) for the IDYNEV; System," KLD TR-187,.
April, 1986.
t
" Evacuation Plan Update (RobertLG. Ginna' Nuclear Power Station)," KLD TR-189, May, 1986 (with R. Goldblatt).
" Evacuation Plan Update (Davis.Besse),"
KLD TR-190, July, 1986 ( wi th' R.
Goldblatt).
s "Seabrook Station Evacuation Time Estimates'and Traffic Management Plan Update," KLD TR-174, August, ~1986:
" Reducing Traffic Congestion at' Herald 4
Sqv re,"
ITE Journal, September, 1986, pp. 27-31 (with A. K. Rathi).
" Congestion Based Traffic Control Scheme for High Traffic Density Sectors,"
Transportation Research Record No. 1057, l
TRB, National.Research Council, Washington, D.C.,
1986, pp. 49-57 (with A.'K.
Rathi and G.
F. King).
" Overview of the Evacuation Plan and of the Evacuation Time Estimtaes for'the Seabrook Nublear Poker Station," KLD TM-98, October, 1986.
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" Overview of the. Evacuation Plan and of the Evacuation Time Estimates of the Ginna Nuclear Power Station," KLD TM-99, November, 1986 (with R. Goldblatt).
" Overview of the Coastal Region within the Pilgrim Station Emergency Planning Zone," KLD TM-100, November, 1986.
" Enhanced Freflo Program:
Simulation of Congested Environments," paper submitted for presentation at Transportation Research Board's 66th Annual Meeting, January, 1987 (with A. K. Rathi and M.
Yedlin).
"The Netsim Graphics System," paper submitted for presentation at Transportation Research Board's 66th Annual Meeting, January, 1987 (with B.
Andrews and A.
Santiago).
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