ML20205P612
| ML20205P612 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Seabrook  |
| Issue date: | 03/25/1987 |
| From: | Mileti D COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, PUBLIC SERVICE CO. OF NEW HAMPSHIRE |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20205L804 | List:
|
| References | |
| OL, NUDOCS 8704030324 | |
| Download: ML20205P612 (44) | |
Text
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4 Dated: March 25, 1986 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION before the ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD
)
In the Matter of )
}
PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF ) Docket Nos. 50-443-OL NEW HAMPSHIRE, et al. ) 50-444-OL
) Off-site Emergency (Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2) ) Planning Issues
)
)
Affidavit Two VOLUNTARY PUBLIC EVACUATION Dennis S. Mileti 8704030324 B70325 -
! PDR ADOCK 05000443
- g PDR _
o 4
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page
- 1. Determinants of Public Behavior in Emergencies . 3
- 2. The Mix of Public Information in Emergencies . . 7
- 3. Spontaneous or Voluntary Public Evacuation . . . 10
I 4
- 1. DETERMINANTS OF PUBLIC BEHAVIOR IN EMERGENCIES Empirical research on the behavior of publics in emergencies has been performed by social scientists for over three decades; and it has addressed public behavior in f
response to climatological, geological and technological hazards. The conclusion resulting from well over one hundred empirical studies of actual public behavior in actual emergencies is consistent and clear regarding why i
members of the public behave as they do in emergencies. The f follwing text provides a brief summary and overview of what has been learned.
Most members of the public in emergencies behave in ways 1
relatively consistent with their situational perceptions of risk and what to do about it. These situational perceptions are largely formed during the emergency as it is being experienced. Hearing that an emergency is underway rarely f leads to an immediate protective action response. Instead, hearing initiates a sequential process in most members of
- the public which 4
l is: hear-understand-believe-personalize-decide-respond. In simple terms, people do not have a knee-jerk response in emergencies. Response comes after people have formed an
, understanding of the situation, formed belief based on alternative information to which they are exposed, j personalized or not personalized the risk, and made 1
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decisions about what to do. These situationally determined-l perceptions (what people'come to understand, what people end up believing and their belief in emergency information, how they do or not do personalize risk, what they decide to do) are the result of two sets of factors and how they interact as the emergency is being experienced.
Research findings accumulated over the last three
- decades from approximately 100 empirical studies (these have i
I been synthesized in Dennis S. Mileti and John H. Sorensen, i 1987. Communication of Emergency Public Warnings: A Social Science Perspective and State-of-the-Art Assessment. Draft l Report prepared for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, D.C.) clearly illustrate that two sets of factors (also see Thomas E. Drabek, 1986. Human System Responses to Disasters: An Inventory of Sociological Findings. New York: Springer - Verlag, Chapter 3) influence public response to emergency warnings and/or
)s information. These are receiver characteristics (which profile characteristics of people who receive emergency information and warnings and include factors such as-sex, age, pre-emergency fear of a particular emergency and include factors such as information clarity, consistency, i
, frequency and many others). Additionally, emergency information and warnings, 'if well'-configured regarding i
{ factors such as frequency, consistency and so on can largely l 3
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4 overcome many of the constraints to forming sound ', .c situational perceptions of risk and then behavior that can '
- i ha imposed by receiver characteristics. For exampi'c, holding information or sender charac53ristics, constant, %nd
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a less-than-desirable level, women abe- more likely to s~
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perceive risk co be higher than men and, conseqcently, are }
more likely to engage in protective actions 'tharl men; d
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however, with " good" emergency infermation both men and i c .-
women are equally,likely to form more accurate situathnal f, t
)S perceptions and, therefore, both se'xes are equally liksly tea ~
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make more accurate' decisions about how to behave dur.(ng'an " -
- s. , q. c.
emergency. , s Interestingly, however, pre-emergency'judgefaents,about '
what behavior of the public is thoughc tc'be likely in a >
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future unexperienced emergency (for example, like answers,' to
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)
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questions abo:it intended, future ernergancy behavior -
i ascertained throuihJ '.9 poll or survey) Qobid undoubtedly \ U . ;
detect different answers frors men and women. Were a,fdture h '
4 emergency to occur that was characterized by " poor">
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emergency f.nformation, actual re'.sponse differenc3d between 4
s ,
t W$re a' future emergency to.
men and women would be observed. j te ,
occur that was characterizdd'by " good' emsrgency u e' I
s v information,, lictle or no r,esponse differences would bas ! s\
~ observed between men and w6 men. " Good" emergeacy -
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' information, therefore, e sn help overcome the constraints to. ,
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- sound emergency public recponse imposed by the.heterogeseous' , ',,.' ,
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differ,ences between members of'any_public as people in that i
public seek to form situational perceptions of risk and then engase in a behavioral response to.the situation being
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exp9rienced.
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[ The research record, when synthesized, provides a ;
I checklist of what constitutes the type of emergency public l' information that helps most members of a public perceive 7
is risk more accurately in an emergency. That is, the following ideal emergency information characteristics can
{
'I help men and women, young and old, people with high-1
} pre-emergency fear of.a particular hazard, as well as low I
j pre-emergency fear perceptions, and so on, all form more f
i realistic situational risk perceptions and make response dicisions consistent with those situational perceptions.
3 This checklist can be briefly summarized as follows.
Whenever possible, emergency information should be: (1) message attributes: specific, consistent, accurate, _certain 1
- and clear in reference to the risk, its location, what 1
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people should do and how much time they have before they ch$uld do it; (2) channel attributes: distributed over
'lliverse channels of communication; (3) frequency attributes:
repeated frequently.and in a clear pattern; and.(4) source l 1
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attributes: the source of the information is best if it can be a set of people with organizational affiliations to 2
, Enhance officialness, credibility (scientists and engineers I usually have the most), and familiarity.
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- 2. THE MIX OF PUBLIC INFORMATION IN EMERGENCIES A fact of emergency warning. settings in an open society.
like the United States is-that public information flows from
, more than the " official" warning system. Sources are varied; variation exists in viewpoints about the risk and what people should do about it, loc al as well as sometimes
. national media can become involved; warnings and information often reach the public from friends, neighbors and. relatives as well as from " official" sources; and so on. It is almost inevitable, therefore, that the public will be' exposed to different interpretations and inconsistent emergency information considering all the potential information
- sources involved (these range from " official" warnings to 3
advice from intimates). This inevitability is further compounded by the tendency of the American news media to report "both sides" of a story, and the fact that different media organizations have different " styles" that can also carry into how they report on emergency situations (see,.for example, Dan Nimmo, 1984. "TV Network News Coverage of Three Mile Island: Reporting Disasters as. Technological
! Fables," Mass Emergencies and Disasters 2:1:115-146).
This means that the.public in any emergency warning
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situation-could and is often-immersed in a sea of j conflicting and contradictory information. This tendency.
does not mean that an emergency warning system cannot !
i provide a public with' consistent information on which that I t
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public can form its situational risk perception. Instead, it means that good public emergency warning system preparedness should presume that conflicting information will exist in the emergency warning setting, and then take I
steps to assure that " official" warnings (presumed to be the best warnings) stand out and become the focus of the public rather than to have the public focus on information of lesser quality with content somewhat randomly determined.
The elaborate body of public warning response research which I have already mentioned in this affadavit suggests how to help a public focus on " official" warnings in an emergency setting, as opposed to other information in the information " soup" in which they could likely be immersed.
This is accomplished, for the most part, by seeking to
- achieve the same attributes of the emergency information checklist that I have already presented.
i What all this means, therefore, is that the most important aspect of an emergency warning system for a '
nuclear power plant becomes the Emergency Broadcast System 2
(EBS) messages because it is here that warning system preparedness can seek to achieve the type of emergency information characteristics for the " official" public l warnings needed in order to have these warnings and this information " stand out" for the public.
This reduces to a status of lesser importance the role of secondary and tertiary public information sources, for i
example, press releases, emergency news center (ENC) presentations, media interviews, rumor control, and other vehicles for public information. This does not suggest that i
these secondary and tertiary public information sources are not relatively important,-nor that they should not be part of emergency planning and operations. Instead, I only mean to suggest that they are of lesser importance when'" good" emergency planning has taken the necessary steps to. focus public attention on the EBS system on the somewhat accurate presumption that other public information sources (for example, friends, relatives, editorials, parking lot interviews with " experts" and so on) could likely contain misinformation or at least alternative contradictory information.
I have provided all this background in order to explain why it is the case that public response to_a future emergency (should there ever be one) at Seabrook would largely be a function of the information characteristics of i the EBS system. Public response to that future emergency could be best appraised in terms of the message, source, l channel and frequency attributes of that public emergency i information system.
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f- 3. SPONTANEOUS OR VOLUNTARY PUBLIC EVACUATION i Spontaneous or voluntary or shadow evacuation (each of these terms refers to members of a public not advised to evacuate evacuating anyway) does occur in emergency I
evacuations. There.have been cases where voluntary evacuation rates have been high, and cases'where involuntary.
l evacuation has been so low it did not, for all practical-purposes, exist. There are a variety of reasons for this
, experienced variance in voluntary evacuation rates. The major reason is that the " quality" of emergency public information and warnings has greatly varied in historical emergencies.
Probably the " worst" case emergency with regard to emergency public information was the 1979 Three Mile Island i
(TMI) accident. During that emergency a variety of public warnings and public informational statements were issued.
! When considered from the point of view of " ideal" emergency
, information attributes, almost every important emergency 1
information factor was handled as poorly as one could imagine.
For example, during the TMI emergency the NRC stated
! that a hydrogen bubble could " blow-up"; the Catholic Church
- granted general absolution of sins; and Tom Brokaw, a ,
a national news figure, stated on the national evening news (which was accessible to residents of the TMI area) that l d
radiation has oozed through the.10-foot thick concrete 1
I
walls of the reactor and is bouncing across the Pennsylvania countryside." Finally, the utility kept announcing alternatingly that there was a problem, then that there was not one, and so on, over and over again.
The incredibly poor quality of emergency public information at TMI was manifest not only by its extreme inconsistency but also in terms of almost every other important information attribute. Perhaps most importantly, 4
however, there was not a focused public information source like an EBS system that would have turned focused public attention on " good" emergency information.
It is inconceivable that we would ever again encounter emergency information as poor as that witnessed during the TMI accident. It is especially doubtful that it could ever occur for a nuclear power plant that has devoted even marginal attention to emergency planning for emergency public warnings and information.
Shadow evacuation at TMI has been estimated by numerous i
researchers. A common conclusion has been that the number 1 of shadow evacuees decreases with increasing distance from ;
the evacuation zone boundary. TMI shadow evacuation '
estimates are conservatively high not only because of all the contradictory information that was released, but also because shadow evacuation during TMI has always been assessed from a geographical viewpoint beginning at the five i mile ring. Yet during TMI, residents in the 5 to 10 or 12 11 -
mile ring were not told that they had no reason to take 4
protective action. In fact, persons in the 5 to 10 or 12 mile ring were advised by the Governor to. stay indoors.
l The shadow evacuation estimates at TMI are as follows:
i (1) 58.9% at 0-5 miles, (2) 49.1% at 6-10 miles, (3) 32.7%
i j at 11-15 miles, (4) 11.8% at 15-25 miles, (5) 3'.-1% at 25-40 miles and (6) .7% at 40+ miles. See Cynthia B. Flynn, 1979.
Three Mile Island Telephone Survey: Preliminary Report on i
Procedures and Findings. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. In my judgment, these estimates of j shadow evacuation rates for a nuclear power plant accident will never again be observed. To take them seriously, i
i contemporarily, presumes no offsite emergency preparedness, no EBS system to focus public attention on " good" emergency l information, and all the other public information problems I that characterized the TMI accident.
Prudent emergency planning would recognize that the
! potential for voluntary evacuation' exists in all evacuations. It has, for example, been observed in floods and hurricanes in addition to the accident at TMI and in chemical emergencies. As one might expect, shadow or i
voluntary evacuation varies with several factors eac'h of which affect the situational perceptions of risk which the-public forms as emergencies are experienced. l 1 i i
Holding the profound effect of emergency information on the situational perceptions of risk which the public forms l
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12 -
in an emergency constant, and presuming that voluntary evacuation does occur (it need not always occur, nor has it always occurred), the following principles would very likely hold: voluntary evacuation would decrease as distance from the zone of recommended evacuation increased; voluntary evacuation would be higher in downwind directions of an airborne hazard than in upwind directions. It is also important to keep in mind, however, that the observed volume of voluntary evacuation would decrease as the quality of emergency public warnings and information increased.
It would be grossly incorrect to presume that no a
voluntary evacuation could occur during a nuclear power 4
plant evacuation although this theoretical possibility does
- exist. It would be equally incorrect to presume that voluntary evacuation would in the future be as high as what
- was observed during the TMI accident since post-TMI regulations almost certainly precluded the future occurrence of emergency public information as poor as was experienced during that accident.
Considering what is known about how the public forms situational perceptions of risk in emergencies, the i
empirical record of observed evacuation shadows, the effect of factors like distance and wind direction on voluntary evacuation, and the potentially profound impact of " good" public emergency information on public risk perception, it is possible to estimate a reasonable planning standard. In e
my opinion, this would that voluntary evacuation would not exceed 25% of the ten mile population surrounding the zone a
of recommended evacuation during a nuclear plan emergency.
This estimate is perhaps best used for emergency planning purposes as a starting point for site-specific applications.
For example, it presumes an equal distribution of population in the 10-mile ring surrounding the zone of evacuation and this may not always be the case. Population centers upwind could depress voluntary evacuation rates in the lO-mile area i
surrounding evacuation zones; conversely, population centers i downwind could increase computed rates.
j 4
/ - 1 ,
h j Dennis S. Mileti STATE OF
'.. 1 <, ,, d,ss. '
' W /O J Y , 1987 I
The above-subscribed Dennis S. Mileti appeared before me and made oath that he had read the foregoing affidavit and j
that the statements set forth therein are true to the best of his knowledge.
Before me, d
"~ <'
' -orri,isu t.-eu @ e
} Notary,/Public 1
My Commission Expires:
l N h s.37.ag 14 -
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PROFESSIONAL QU ALIFICATIONS DENNIS S. MILET! ,
Professor Department of Sociology and Director -
Hazardous Awmotment Laboratory COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY My name is Dennis S. Milett and my business address is Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523. I am presently a tenured Pro-fessor of Sociology at Colorado State University. From 1978 to 1985 I was a tenured As-sociate Professor specializing in those areas of study dealing with complex organiza-tions, hazards, policy and methods.
I also serve as Director of the Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University, which was organized in 1984. The laboratory is an interdisciplinary setting in which geological, climatological and technological hazards and emergencies are ad-dressed in terms of risk or hazard mitigation and management, preparedness, and emer-gency response.
Prior to these appointments from 1974 to 1978, I held the position of Assistant Professor. I was also an Instructor for one year in the Department of Sociology at the University of Colorado, Boulder, from 197L to 1972. I have taught numerous undergrad-uate courses, including Introduction to Sociology, Complex Organizations, Sociology of Disasters, Research Methods, Demographic Processes, and Social Change. In addition, I have taught courses at the graduate level such as Advanced Quantitative Analysis, Re-search Methods ! and !!. Demography and Population and Complex Organizations.
l l
l 1
i Dennis S. Mileti Page 2 j
! received my Bachelor of Arts degree in Sociology in 1968 from the University of California, Los Angeles. In 1971 I was awarded a Master of Arts degree in Sociology from California State University. Los Angeles. I completed my doctorate degree in So-clology in 1974 at the University of Colorado, Boulder.
In 1975 I was appointed Visiting Assistant Professor at the University of Southern California Graduate School of Public Administration. During this year I offered an in-tensive Seminar P:Vgram sponsored by the University. From 1978 to 1979 ! was an in-l vited instructor for the Chautauqua Short Course Program sponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of Science. In 1981 I was appointed Policy Analyst for the Seismic Safety Commission by the State of California. During the year I served
{ on this appointment I was on leave from my university duties.
- I am a member of the American Sociological Association; the International Sociological Association, the Pacific Sociological Association, the Midwest Sociological 1
Society, the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the U.S. Civil Defense Council. In addition, !
have been a member of several committees since 1976, including:
COMMITTEE MEMBERSHIPS l
! 1984-date National Academy of Science, National Research Council, Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, Commit-tee on Natural Disasters.
4 1984-date National Academy of Sciences, National Rese'a rch Council.
Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Re-sources Board on Earth Sciences, Subcommittee on Earth-quake Research.
1985-1986 National Academy of Sciences, National Institute of Medi-
- cine, Committee on the Effects of Nuclear War.
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1 I
D;nnis S. Milett Page 3 1984-date National Institute of Mental Health, Public Health Service, Center for Mental Health Studies of Emergencies Advisory.
1983-year National Science Foundation, U.S. Delegate on Earthquake Prediction Research to Japan, International Scientific Ex-change Section.
1983-date Front Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Col-orado State University of Colorado, University of Denver.
1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee on Disasters.
1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association Nominations Committee for the Standing Committem for 1983.
1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Commit-tee on Social Science Research, Berkeley.
1981-1983 U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey, Advisory Panel on the Earthquake Studies Program.
1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for the 1982 Annual Meetings in San Diego.
1981-1982 Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes. Threat and Reconstruction Committees, State of California, Sacra-mento.
1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology Advisory Council, Com-mittee on the Relocation of Uranium Mill Tallings, State of Colorado.
1979 year Amatcan Association for the Advancement of Science, Committee on Intergovernmental Research and Develop-ment on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.
1976-1978 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociatechnical Systems, Committee on Earthquake Prediction, Washington, D.C.
APPOINTMENTS 1974-date Faculty, Depa,tment of Sociology, Colorado State Universt-ty, Fort Collins (1985-date Professor: L978-1985. Associate Professor: 1974-1978. Assistant Professor).
a
0:nnis S. Milsti Pag 3 4 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment, Colorado State University, Fort Collins.
1981 year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university).
1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advance-ment of Science, Chautauqua Short Course Program.
1975 year Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Inten-sive Seminar Program.
1971-1972 Instructor, Department of Sociology, University of Colorado, Boulder.
i AWARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981 year Cited in Outstanding Young Men of America
~
1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociological Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest Sociological Society American Associ-ation for the Advancement of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Insti-tute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management Sigma XI.
RESEARCM GRANTS AND CONTRACTS 1985-1987 Co principal Investigator, " State of the Art Assessment:
Public Warning Systems," Subcontract from Oak Ridge Na-tional Laboratory for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
1984-1985 Principal Investigator, " Assessment of Human Stress Impacts from the Livingston Train Derailment and Chemical Emer-gency," contract for Illinois Central Gulf Railroad.
Osnnis S. Milett
, , Pagn 5 1984-date Associate Investigator, " State-of-the-Art Assessment: Eva -
uation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratory for j the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
4 1984-date Associate Investigator, " International Study of Disaster Im-pact on Domestic Assets," subcontract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.
1983-1984 Principal Investigator " Intended and Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings," quick-response grant from the
. Natural Hazards Research Appilcations and Information Center.
1982-1983 Associate Investigator, " Organizational Interface for Nucle-
- ar Reactor Emergency Preparedness," subcontract from Oak
! Ridge National Laboratories for the Nuclear Regulatory
. Commission.
1981 year Principal Investigator, " Nuclear Hazard Warnings and Emer-
- gency Evacuation Preparedness," contract for Pacific Gas i and Electric Company.
1980-1963 Principal Investigator, " Local Land Use Policy Decisions,"
Colorado State Unive.rsity Experiment Station.
4 1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three 1
Mlle Island incident and Re-start," contract for General Pub-j lic Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.
1977-1980 Principal' Investigator, " Migration impacts of
, Non-Metropolitan Areas in the West," Colorado State Uni-versity Experiment Station.
4 1977-1979 Principal Investigator " Adoption and Organizational Imple-mentation of Policy for Land Use Regulations," grant from the National Science Foundation.
1975-1977 Co-principal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Politican Consequences of Earthquake Prediction," grant from the National Science Foundation.
- 1974 Research Sociologist, " Assessment of Research on Natural Hazards." grant from the National Science Foundation.
PUBLICATIONS [1985 and 1986 Updates aae apoended to this listint]
l Books and Monostraohs (refereed)
~ __
Dennis S. Milsti Page 6 Mileti, Dennis S. .
i The Order of Chaos in Disasters (in progress).
Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eltzen Graduate Research Methods in the Social Sciences (in progress)
Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Mileti
, 1979 Technostructures and Interorranizational Relations. Lexington, Mas-4 sachusetts: Lexington Books.
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Milett and Ronald Perry
! 1976 Orranizational Response to Chanrint Community Systems Kent Ohio: Kent State University Press.
Chapters (invited and refereed) i Mileti, Dennis S.
1986 "Research methods and disaster research." In Russell T. Dynes and Carlo Pelanda (Eds.). Sociolory of Disasters: Contributions of Sociology to Disaster
- Research. Italy
- Franco Angelo (forthcoming).
1 Milett, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraging Self-Behavior (forthcoming). .
j Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti '
1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate
] public adoption." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encourarint Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).
Hartsough, Donald M., and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 "The Media in Disasters." Pp. 282-294 in J. Laube and S. Murphy (Eds.),
Persoectives in Disaster Recovery. Norwalk, Connecticut:
A ppleton-Century-Crolts.
Mutton, Janice, Dennis S. Mileti and John Sorensen 1984 " Factors affacting earthquake warning system elfectiveness." Pp. 947-956 in K. Oshida (Ed.), Earthouake Prediction. Tokyo: Terra Scientific Publishers for UNESCO.
Milett. Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen 1984 " Social f actors affecting the response of groups to earthquake prediction." '
Pp. 649-658 in K. Oshida (Ed.) Earthauake Paediction. Tokyo: Terra Scientifle Publishers for UNESCO.
Sorensen, John, Janice Hutton and Dennis :. Milett i 1984 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predic- 1 tions." Pp. 913-924 in K. Oshida (Ed.). Earthouake Prediction. Tokyo: Terra i
Scientific Pub!!shers for UNESCO.
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l . D:nnis S. Mileti page7 1
i Hutton, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. M11sti 1981 " Earthquake prediction and pubile reaction." Pp. 129-166 in T. Rikitake (Ed.). Current Research in Earthouake Prediction. Boston: Reidel Publishing Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications. .
l Milett, Dennis S.
j 1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation." Pp. 44-53 in J. Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic Impact of Earthauskes on Utility 1.! felines. New j York: Anertean Society of Civil Engineers.
i Monorraohs and Chapters (quasi-refereed)
Milett, Dennis S., and Joanne Nigg
- 1986 " Social science earthquake investigttions." In Roger Scholl (Ed.). i.essons t
- f. earned from Recent Earthauakes. Berkaley: Earthquake Engineering Reseach Institute.
I Review Panel of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan 1984 National Earth-ouake Hazards Reduction Prorram: Five Year Prosram Plan. Washington, D.C.:
Federa1 Emergency Management Agency.
l Sorensen, J., E. Copenhaver, D. M11ett and M. Adler 1984 Organizational interf ace in Reactor Emergency Planning and Response.
Washington, D.C.: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG No. CR-3524.
! Milett, Dennis S.
1982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods. Pp. 249-255 in Russel +
Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Eds.). Rgsearch Methods Courses: Sy!!abi. Assignments and Protects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological Association.
Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and John Sorensen 1981 Earthouake Prediction Response and Ootions for Public Policy. Boulder:
- Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.
Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Mileti j 1980 Imoacts of Population Growth in Africultural Colorado Committees. Fort I j Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station Bulletin.
l Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness 1979 Fire Safety and Disaster Precaredness. Washington, D.C.: American Asso-clation for the Advancement of Science.
j Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction '
i 1978 A Program of Studies on the Socioeconomic Effects of Earthouake Predic-l tion. Washington, D.C: National Academy of Sciences-National Research Coun-1 cil, i
i
Dennis S. Mi!Gtt Page8 Mileti, Dennis, D., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas 1975 Human Systems in Extreme Environments: A Sociological Perspective.
Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Mor.ograph 21.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1975 Natural Hazard Warning Systems in the United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12. Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behavior: Response to Stress.1978.
Erickson, Neil John Sorensen and Dennis S. M11eti 1975 !. ands 11de Hazards in the United States: A Research Assessment. Boulder:
Institute of Behavioral Science.
Mileti Dennis S. F 1975 Disaster Rollet and Rehabilitation in the United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Ayre, Robert Dennis S. Milett and Patricia Trainer 1975 Earthouake and Tsunami Hazards in the United States: A Research Assess-ment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
Journal Articles: Discipline Focus (refereed)
- Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1985 "The effects of legitimacy on goal change and formalization in organiza-tions," Journal of Contemporary Sociology 22 (1,2)
- 33-53.
Milett, Dennis S.
i 1985 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and warning," Policy Studies Review 4 (4):725-731.
Mileti, Dennis S., Donald Hartsough Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1984 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of behavioralindicators of human stress." Mass Emergencies and Disasters 2(1):89-114.
Mileti, Dennis S. 1 1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake predletion: 1 Japan vs the United States." Mass Emergencies and Disasters 1(3):399-414.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1982 " Differentiation in organizations," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.
Milett, Dennis S.
1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of pubtle policy," Political Science Review 21(1):1-34.
1
I
. Dennis S. Mileti j Page 9 'l l
l Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption," Public Administration Re-view (accepted and forthcoming).
Mileti, Dennis S., Doug Timmer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of decentralization," Pacific Sociolocical Review 25(2):163-183.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. G111espie and Stan Eltzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size," Sociology and Social Re-search 65(4):400-414.
Gillespie David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research," Soclotorical Methods and Research 9(3):327-388.
i M11sti. Dennis S.
1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental extremes," Sociology and Social Research 64(3):327-347.
Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations," Administrative Science Re-view 10(3):21-32. .
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies," Journal of Contem-Dorary Sociology 17(3-4):132-158.
Gillesple, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Stress and transformation," Journal of Social Research 21(2):139-147.
Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1979 " Structure and decision making in corporate organizations," Sociology and Social Research 63(4):723-744.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1979 " action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations,"
Human Relations 32(3):261-271.
Milett, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiences and lucunae,"
Technology and Culture 19(1):83-92.
Gillespie. David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-manipulation "
Scottish Journal of Sociology 2(2):2(.5-219.
. Dennis S. Milett Page 10 Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gt!!aspie and J. Eugene Haas 1977 " Size and structure in complex organizations," Social Forces 56(1):208-217.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overview and appraisal,"
Academy of Management Review 2(1):6-19. Reprinted in Readings on How Man-amers Manate. Englewood C11f ts, New Jersey: Prentice Hall,1982.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 "An integrated formalization or organization-environment interdependencies," Human Relations 29(1):80-100.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti .
1976 " Organizational adaptations to changing cultural contingencies,"
Sociolorical Inoutry 46(2):135-141.
Gillespie, David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronal Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept "
International Review of History and Political Science 8(30):1-14.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1976 "A refined model of differentiation in organizations," Sociolorv and Social Research 60(3):263-278. ,
Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior." European Journal of Social Psychology 6(1):74-90.
Mileti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organizations "
Sociolorical Inouiry 45(4):72-50.
Milett, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 "Exp!zining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis,"
Communication Research 2(1):24-49.
Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry, Dennis S. Milett and Roy Lotz 1975 " Organizational tenstarc and decentralization: the interactive elfeet on member commitment, International Journal of Group Tensions 5(2):26-37.
Perry, Ronald David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Milett 1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," Human Relations 27(8):767-788. .
Milett, Dennis S.
I 1974 " Change ratios in age-specttic percent contradictions to fertility: a new method with applications to the linited States. Pactfic Sociolottcal Revtew 17(a):3-26. First Prize, student paper competttton, Pactfic Sociological Association,1974. .
i I
j Dennis S. Mileti Page 11 Milett. Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, struc-ture and behavior," Current Sociology 23(1):189-200.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. M11eti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergency organizations,"
Sociological incuiry 44(2):111-119.
Mileti, Dennis S..'and Larry Barnett 1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion lega!!za-tion," Social Biotory 19(2):43-50.
Journal Articles: Apolled Focus (refereed)
Milett, Dennis S.
1984 " Role conflict and abandonment in emergency workers," Emerrency Man-asement Review 2(1):20-22.
Milett, Dennis.
1984 " Earthquakes and human behavior." Earthouakes Spectre 1(1):89-106.
Milett, Dennis S.
1983 "Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical f act!!tles." Bulletin of the Seismotortcal Society of America 72(6)13-18.
Milett Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1978 " Correcting for the human f actor in tornedo warnings," Disaster Prepared-ness 2(February):5-9.
Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Socioeconomic and political consequences of earthquake prediction "
Journal of the Physical Earth 25(4):283-293.
l Hass, J. Eugene. and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction and its consequences" California Geology 30 (7):147-157, 1977. Revised and reprinted in San Francisco 20(4):60-68,1978.
Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Earthquake prediction and other adjustments to earthquakes," Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthauake Engineering 9(4):183-194.
Book Reviews (invited and refereed) l Milett, Dennis S.
1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). It! aca: Program in Urban and Regtonal Studies.
1983." Mass Emergencies and Disasters.
I
D:nnis S. Milsti Page 12 Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of Unequal Care: Interorganizational Relations in Health Care by M. Milner, Jr. New York: Columbia University Press,1980." Social For'es 60(3):943-944.
Milett, Dennis S.
1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: 1.oyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Westin (Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill, 1981." Soctotory: A Review of I
New Books 7(2).
Mileti, Dennis S.
1940 "A review of Af termath: Communities Af ter Natural Disasters by H. Paul
, Friesema et al. 5everly Hills: Sage Publications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up:
Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wright and Peter Rossi et al.
Beverly Hills: Sage Publications,1979." Journal of the American Plannint Asso-clation (October): 484-485.
Mlleti, Dennis S.
1976 "A review of A Socialogy of Organizations by J. Eldridge and A. Crombie.
New York: International Publications,1975." Contemporary Sociology 5(6):784.
Technical Reports (not refereed)
Mileti, Dennis S.
1985 Stress (mosets of a Technolofical Emergency: An Unobtrusive Indicators 3
- Study of Livingston Train Deratiment. New Orleans
- Lemle, Kelleher.
Milett, Dennis S.
3 1983 Human Response Scenarios: Law Enforcement Acolications and Media Im-1 o!! cations. Sacramento: California Division of Mines and Geology.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 Orranizational Behavior and Interorranizational Relations: Imolications for Nuclear Power Plant Emertencies and Precaredness. Oak Ridge, Tennessee:
Oak Ridge National Laboratories.
Milett, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsouth and Patti Madson i 1982 The Three Mue Island incident: A Study of Behavioral Indicatom of Human l SLrgg. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts, and Trowortdge.
I Milett, Dennis S., and Arthur Sevenson 1981 Earthcuake Prediction-Warning Response for Emergency Organizations to
- the Prediction Terminology. Van Nuys
- Duthern California Earthquake Pre-paredness Project.
i Hutton, Janice, and Dennis S. Milett 1979 Analysts of Adootton and imolementation of Community Land Use Regula-tions for Floodolatns. San franctsco: Woodward Clyde.
J
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. D nnis S. Milsti j Page L3 1
l Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti
- 1976 SGcicecancmic Imoset of Earthaa@e Prediction on Government. Business
' and Community. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.
i Milett, Dennis. S., and David F. Gillespie 1976 Interocranizational Relations and Community Service Delivery Systems.
i
- Boulder: Center for Action Research. l i Publications in Proceedinas (not referred)
{ Mileti, Dennis S.
i 1940 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 38-34 in Walter Hays (Ed.).
I Fis::M'wn of the Conferences on Earthauakes Pr=_#etiaa Information. Menlo Park: U.S. Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January 1980 Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles.
Milett, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton j 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes." Pp. 179-192 in Proceedings of the Second
- International Conferense on Microzonation. San Francisco
- National Science j
Foundation. Paper presented at the November,1978 Conference on the State r
Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.
4
{
Mlleti, Dennis 5.
4 1978 " Socioeconomic off acts of earthquake prediction stage policy."
! Proceedinas of the National Conferescs on Eartha"*= Related Ha=ds.
l Lexington, Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technolo-gy, Boulder.
j Other Published Comments (Invited or referred) ;
1 Mileti, Dennis 5.
1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6(1):4-5.
t i Milett, Dennis S.
i 1983 "Disasterous warnings," Qgini (March):24,25,152. l I
Milett, Dennis 5.
1982 " Hazards reduction work: the next era " National Hazards Observer 6(4):1-2. Reprinted in Earthouake Information Bulletin 14(2):60, L982.
Mllett, Dennis S.1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction," Earthouake In-l formation Bulletin ll(3):102-105.
Hass, J. Eugene, and Dennis 5. Milett 1977 " Earthquake prediction respo tse." Time (January 24):83.
A
Dennis S. Mileti Page 14 1
Milett, Dennis S.
l 1977 " Earthquake prediction: is it better not to know?" Mggig 8(2):8-14.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1977 " Social hazards of earthquakes prediction," Science News 111(2):20-21.
4 Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Milett l
1978 " individual and organizational respor.se to threat" Mass Emerrencies
'1(4):247 Milett, Dennis S.
1978 " Social scientists and applied research," The American Sociolorist
- 11(4):220-221.
' Milett, Dennis S.
1974 " Response to research and national needs," Tontnotes 2(October):6.
l PROFESSIONAL PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS 2
! Conference P4Ders l Mileti, Dennis S. and R. Gary Williams - l i
1985 "A sociological perspective on the siting of hazardous waste f acilities."
l paper presented to the Social and Economic Etfects of Public Perceptions Ses-i ston of the Symposium on Waste Management, Tucson: March.
i Milett, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie j 1984 " Regulation of the firm: toward a theory of consequences," paper pres-j ented to the Complex Organizations Session of the American Sociological Asso- 1
. clation, San Antonio: August.
1 j Mileti, Dennis S.
- 1984 " Stress from risk uncertainties," invited paper presented to the Social As-l pects of Risk Uncertainties Session of the Society for Risk Analysis, Knoxville:
J October.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1984 " Social and political obstacles to the use nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Soctety of Civil Engineers, San j Francisco: October.
- I i Milett, Dennis S.
i 1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards," paper presented to
.t the Conference on Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University:
{ July.
l i
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D;nnis S. Miloti
. Page 15 l
Milett, Dennis S.
1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: April.
Milett, Dennis S.
1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and
. Warning, Tokyo: November.
Frey, R. Scott, Thomas Dietz. Dennis S. Milett, and Debra Cornellus 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood in-surance Program," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington:
July.
l Milett, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Huf nage!
1983 "The Three Mlle Island incident: a study of unobtrusive indicatom of human
! stress," paper presented to the Disastem and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.
Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors affecting organt-zational response to a predicted earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the . Western Social Science Association.
Albuquerque: April.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Earthquake prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the In-ternationalSociological Association Mexico City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
1982 " Influencing corporate decisions on the use of microzonation information "
paper presented to the Third internation! Conference on Microzonation, Seattle:
June.
Mlleti, Dennis S.
1982 " Earthquake prediction and warnings: the human equation," paper pres-ented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy Development, and imple-mentation Incentives: Focus on Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands, Redlands: June.
Milett, Dennis S.
1982 "Public perception of seismic tazards," paper presented to the Seismologtcal Society of America Anaheim: A pril.
1
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D;nnis S. Mil 3ti Page 16 l
l l l Williams, Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S. Milet!
J 1980 " Perception of growth impacts in energy impacted communifies." paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society. Ithaca: August.
, Milett, Dennis S.
1980 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation," paper presented to the Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines j of the American Society of Civil Engineers San Francisco: May.
Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 "!nterorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper 4 presented to the Session on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee.
i i Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti
., 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social
- Science Association Albuquerque
- April.
I M!!sti, Dennis S.
l 1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction " paper presented to the Status
- of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information.
l Los Angeles: January. -
1 l Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Milett
] 1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado " paper pres-
) ented to the Impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis: October.
j Milett, Dennis S., and Gary Williams
- 1979 " Resident perceptions in growth impacted western argricultural communi-
- ties," paper presented to the Rural Sociologica1 Society, Vermont: August.
I Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. M11ett and Stan Eltzen 1979 "The opthenominality of organizational size " paper presented to the Session 1 on Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee:
) A pril, I
j Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R Mutton and John Sorensen 1 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction," paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April. j l Hutton, Janice R., Dennis S. Milett, and John Sorensen 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning system effectiveness," paper pres-
. ented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris:
l A pril.
l i
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e l
1 Dennis S. Milsti Page 17 l
I Sorensen, John, Janice R. Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Institutional management of risk information following earthquake predic- 1 tions," paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Predic-tion, UNESCO, Paris: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation. San Francisco:
November.
Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Organizational size, complexity and decision making," paper presented to the Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Organization of Work Ses-i sion of the American Sociological Associaticn, San Francisco: September.
Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Organizations-Environment Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation," paper presented to the Formal and Complex Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.
Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings," paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of the American Meteorological Society.
Omaha: October.
Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organization and environment adaptation-manipulation," paper presented to the Organizational Relations Session of the American Sociological Associa-tion, Chicago: September.
Mutton, Janice R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research." paper presented to I the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago:
September.
Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett 1977 " Organizational growth and mas agertal effletency." paper presented to the l Social Organization / Format / Complex Sesston of the Pacific Sociological Associa- l tion Sacramento: April.
l
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, .* Dznnis S. Milati
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! Mileti,' Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments,"
paper presented to the Complex Organizations Session of the Midwest
! Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April. .
Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Milett and J. Eugene Haas 1976 " Size and structure in complex organizations," paper presented to the Orga-a nizational Change Session of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
Mileti, Dennis S.
i 1976 "1. earning theory and disaster warning response," paper presented to the Is-suas in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.
j Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Milett l 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjustments to earth-l quakes," paper presented to the Australian Academy of Science, Canberra: May.
Milett, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas
! 1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Col-
! lective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.
I Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Milett i 1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure," paper presented to
- the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis:
j April.
- Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti j 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction," paper presented to
- the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Sci-I ence, Boston
- February.
I Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie l 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization environment relations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological As-j sociation, San Francisco: August.
- Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "A resolution of inconsistencies between size, complexity and the adminis .
- trative component in organizations " paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago
- April.
i j Milett, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie
! 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Formal
{ Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Victoria: April.
l
4 q( y q e
,,' - - ' /i Osnnis S. Mileti ~'
.I Page,IS (. I
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j Milett Dennis 5., and Dayto F. Gillespie ,
! 1975 "An interactics model for organization e'.3vironment relatiors," paper pren; 3 1~ ented to the Interorganiza?!cnal Relattens Srsion ot;'he Midwest. Sociological s:
! Society, Omaha: April. , ,,,
l ,
i Mileti, Dennis 5. and David F. Gillespie L, ,; c i e 1974 " A formalization of organization-environment dependencies,", ppe-fres - , !
l ented to t,te Format Organizatiefs Session of the Pr.fpfte Sociologie.'.1 Admia-
- .. tion, San .'oser March. . ' E/ i' 'A 7
\, s ;
i Farhar Bar. cars, and Dennis 5.-Mi'.ett l- l .
1974'"Value and role Afeurd for the involved Aocial scler.tist " paper presented tJi a ;
j the Applied Session of :ne Pacific Sociologica; Association, San Jose: March. -)(;
^ ~
' t-M11sti. Dennis S. !
1973 "Drowing: a-ccenmunications disease" paper presented to td.e Mass Com-
~
- mutacatioc, and Publie Opinion Seeston of the American :6eclo4 Veal Aseccia- ; , ;
7 j (1o4 New York City: Augw.t. ,
t i , I .
l Mileti. Dem11s 5., acd Sigmund Krata <
, 197J "RespcMe to Impending system stress.% paper parsented to b,1 What '
Do WA 1 (i Know 5essan on !!u.%2n Behavior in Disaster of theAmerican Socio.ogical Asso-s ,
i j c:ation, New York C2 y: Auguet. , t 4 Mileti, Dennis 5.
l 1973 "A paradigm and soc.c.ogy.of knowledge for theobes of natural },y," paper A j presented to the Theory Sessionsof t!'.e paper presented to the Theor*llleiston of l
the Midwest Sociological Society Milwaukee: April. }' i i
Mileti, Dennis 5. o ,
1972 " Response to hr.aards warnings "Jpaper precanted to the Organisational and
>i Y l' '
Community Response to Dimter,$em!.iat at the Disaster _.Research Center of the ,
J Ohio State University; Cn:urt? bus: July.
)
SPEECHE3 AND GUEST LECTUREM ,
l " Social aspects of riss," Risk At:a'11sts Seminar. D.epartment of industrial Engineerit.g. )!
4 Stanford University: February,1985.' .
2 s
" Communicating engineering information to public efficials." Social Applications Ses- l 3
sion. Eartnquake Engtncering Research ini,titute, $ cattle: February,19dS. ,
i " Social and politica!' otritactus to the use of nonstructurE flood loss mitigation mea '
- sures " American Society for Civil Engineers San Franctsco: Octocer,1984.
N
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- I 6 e
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D:;nnis S. Mileti Page 20 j
i
" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Re-search and Management: Assessments of a Field, Natural Hazards Research Ap-o plications Workshop, Boulder: July,1984
\
t i ; " Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for s County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear j Corporation, Harrisburg: March,1984.
! l,, "The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Colloqium on Earthquake Prediction Re-is ,
search in the' US, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo:
jg November,1983.
11 l " Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mlle High Chapter, Boulder Re-q gion, Boulder: July,1983.
! " Integrated emergen'cy management: challenges and opportunities " Plenary Session of the t'atural Hazards Research Applications Workshop Boulder: July,1983.
- , "Public response to flood disasters," Conference on the Need to Teamwork in Managing j Flood flazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, l 1983.
, ,, '$latural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental Management Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles: April,1982.
- - Myths of disarter response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Business and Indus-r -
. try, Les Angeles: May,1982.
- - \
P , Communicating lessons learned f rom social science research on earthquakes," Workshop of Identifyng and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes,"
- Earthquakes Engineering Research Institutes Los Altos
- December,1982.
" Soc!al causes of earthquake prediction-warning response: implications for the design of California's warning system and Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October,1981.
i
" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems demand further attention," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, 1 Boulder: July,1981.
I j " Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Eartn-
- quake Emergency Preparedness. Committee on Long Range Reconstruction,
, Sacramento: May,1981.
l "Socio-cultural dimenstons of earthquake rtsk." Governor's Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, General Assembly, Sa:ramento: May,1981.
t l
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Dennis S. Mlleti Page 21 c
"Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems," Health Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October,1980.
n " Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues," Southern California
!, Emergency Services Association, Montebello: February,1980.
l3
" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October,1979.
" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980, 1979.
" Measuring implementation of public policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: August,1978.
" Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: November,1977.
" Population, resources and policy fo. social change," College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University: September,1977: February,1978: February,1980.
2 -
"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction,"
American Society for Public Administation, Colorado Chapter, Denver: April, 1976.
"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions,"
~
California State Seminar on Emergency Prep'aredness and Earthquake Prediction.
Palm Springs: June,1976.
" Preparing to make use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commis-sion for the County and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February,1976.
"The social organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering Foundation Confer-ence on Decision Making for Natural Hazards, Pacific Grove: March,1976.
" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction." Gover-nor's Co:1ference Room, Sacramento: May,1975: Mayor's Conference Room Los Angeles. October,1975.
" Social, economic and legal aspects of earthquake prediction." General Assembly of the International Union of ' Geodesy and Geophysics Granoble: September,1975.
" Earthquake prediction and its implications for e.nergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies,' Tokyo: September.1975.
" Social impacts of earthquake predictio i: implications for policy " California Water and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum. San Francisco: A pril.1975.
r9 E
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D;nnis S. Mileti Page 22 OTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICE Orranizer and Presider
- Session on nuclear power, Third International Congress on Emergencies, Washington, D.C.: May,198S; Session on Appued Sociology, Pacific Sociological Association, Seattle: April,1984; Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Asso- !
clation, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Methodological Approaches in the Study of Health Care Denvery Systems, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April, -
1984; Session on Earthquake Hazard Reduction: Is the National Earthquake Hazard Re-duction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Nat-
, ural Hazards Research Applications, Boulder: July,1982; Session on Disasters and Cat-aclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982:
Session on Collective Behavior, American Sociological Association, New York: August, 1980; Session on Complex Organization, Pactic Sociological Association, San Francisco:
April,1980: Session on Complex Organizations, Western Social Science Association, Tempe,1976.
Discussant Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego:
April,1984; Session on Societal Response to Hazards, American Sociological Associa-tion San Antonio: August,1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science Informa- '
tion Natural Hazards Research Appucations Workshop, Boulder: July,1980; Session on ,
Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Ses-sion on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: July,1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Haz-ards, Estes Park: June,1973.
Participant Panel on Disaster Research its Funding and Future, American Sociological Association.
San Antonio: August,1984; Review Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on So-cial and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences, National Re-search Council, Commission on Sociotechnical Systems, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Work-shop on Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes. Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December,1982: Tennessee Valley Authority Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Bouldm November,1982; Earthquake Prediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern Calito,nia Earthquake Preparedness Project Asilomar:
December,1981; Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human Re-sponse, San Fernando: June,1976: Seminar on Disaster Research, Colorado State Uni-versity, Fort Collins: February,1975: Symposium on Complex Organizations: Research and Appucations, Western Social Science Association, El Paso: A pril,1974.
Dennis S. Mileti Page 23
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l Editorshins Corresponding Editor, Organizations and Occupations Newsletter of the American Sociological Association. Western Region,1984-present: Associate Editor for social sci-ence Earthquake Spectra, Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, 1984-1987: Corresponding Editor on Hazards and Disaster, Environmental Sociology.
Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological As-sociation,1981-date: Guest editor, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response, Mass Emergencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.
Testimony Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham Nuclear Reactor, Suffolk: December,1983 through June,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergency planning at the Wa-terford Three Nuclear Reactor, New Orleans February,1983: Suffolk County Legista-ture, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham Nuclear Reactor, Suffolk: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January, 1982: Senate Subcommittee on Science Technology and Space in the matter of the Na-tional Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C. April,1980: Nuclear Regu-latory Commission in the matter of the impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist be-havior, Bethesda: May,1977 and July,1978.
Legislative and Prorram Reviews Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congressional Panel Federal Emergency Management Agency, 1983-82: Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geo-logical Survey,1982: Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Wetlands, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980: Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1978-79.
Proposal Reviews Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1985-81: Division of Policy Research and Analysis, National Science Foun-dation, 1983: Sociology Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81: Design Re-search Program, National Science Founciation,1982: Division of Problem Focused Re-search, National Science Foundation,1980: Division of International Programs, National Science Foundation,1978: Division of Ai'vanced Environmental Research and Technolo- l gy, National Science Foundation, 1978-76. ,
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4 Dennis S. Mileti Page 24 i Article Reviews Human Relations, 1985-83, 1978-77: Sociolorical Perspectives (Pacific Sociological Re- l view),1984: Social Forces, 1980-79; Sociolory and Social Research, 1983-81, 1979-78, 1978; The Social Science Journal, 1985, 1981-77; The Sociological Quarterly,1975: !
I Journal of the American Planning Association,1985; Deviant Behavior,1983; Risk Analysis,1983; The Environmental Professional, 1983-82; Bulletin of the Seismological f l
Society of America,1982: Sociotorical Focus,1980: Mass Emergencies. 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analysis,1978; Current Research in Earthauake Prediction, 1984; Mass '
Emerrencies and Disasters,1985.
Other Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios " Chapter 21 in R. W. Kates (Ed.). Climate Impact Arment: Studies of the Interaction of Climate and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Ptchlems of the En-Charleston, vitunment,1982; Study on Earthouake Hazards Information DL=mination:
South Carolina. Reston for the U.S. Geological Survey,1982.
Department and University Service College Scholarship Committee, 1985-84: Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77;. Department Graduate Affairs Committee, 1985-84, 1977-74: Department
' Five-Year Review Committee,1982: Department Comprehensive Examination Commit-tee, 1984-75; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space,1983; Department '
Evaluation of Independent Study Courses,1978; Department Faculty Search Committee, 1985-84; University Committee for Department Chair, 1985-84; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.
TEACHING Courses Taught (underrraduate)
Introduction to Sociology Complex Organizatons Demographic Processes and Social Change ;
Historical Sociological Theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters Courses Taught (traduate) l Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis l
Dennis S. Mileti '
Page 25 Research Methods !
Research Methods II Demography and Population Complex Organizations Graduate Theses and Dissertations Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee,6 Member, Ph.D. Committees,12 Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 4 Member, M.A. Committees,12 Student Evaluations 4
Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are avail-able upon request.
Teachint Awards Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University, Alumni Association, for Aca-demic Year 1983-84: Cited for excellence by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences for Academic Year 1977-1978.
4 VITA ADDITIONS (1985)
Sorensen, J., J. Mutton and D. Mileti 1984 " Institutional management of risk informa-tion following earthquake predictions." Pp. 913-924 in F. Evison (Ed.)
Earthouake Prediction. Paris: United Nations Educational,-Scientific and Cultur-al Organization.
Mileti, D., J. Sorensen and J. Hutton 1984 " Social f actors affecting the response of groups to earthquake prediction: implications for public policy." Pp. 649-658 in F. Evison (Ed.) Earthouake Prediction. Paris: United Nations Educational, Scien-tific and Cultural Organization.
Mileti, Dennis S., D. Hartsough. P. Madson. R. Hufnaget 1984 "The Three Mile Island in-cident: A Study of BehavioralIndicators of Human Stress" Mass Emergencies and Disasters 2 (1): 89-113.
Mutton, J., D. Milett and J. Sorensen .1984 " Factors af fecting the effectiveness of earth-quakes warning - dissemination systems." Pp. 913-924 in F. Evison (Ed.)
Earthouake Prediction. Paris: U.11ted Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultur-al Organization.
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Dennis S. Milsti l Page 26 Harwell, Christine C. (Ed.) 1985 " Experiences and extrapolations from Hiroshima and Nagasaki." Pp. 427-467 in M.A. Harwell and T.C. Hufchinson (Eds.)
Environmental Consecuences of Nuclear War Volume II: Ecological and Agricul-tural Effects. New York: John Wiley and Sons.
Mileti, Dennis, J. Sorensen, W. Bogard 1985 Evacuation Decision Making Process and Uncertainty. Oak Ridge, Tennessee: Oak Ridge National Laboratory; No.
TM-9692.
Federal Emergency Management Agency 1984 National Earthauake Hazards Reduction Program Five Years Plan. Washington, D.C.: Federn1 Emergency Management Agency.
Popkin, Roy,' D. Milett, B. Farhar - Pilgrim and J. Shefner 1985 Unmet Needs of Disas-7 ter Victims in the United States. Fort Collins, Colorado: Hazards Assessment Laboratory at Colorado State University.
Mileti, Dennis 1985 " Emergency role performance in disaster response organizations,"
Environmental Sociology (42): 6-10.
Mileti, Dennis S., with D. Hartsough, J. Hutton, P. Madson S. Pratt, C. Simile 1985 Stress impacts of a Technotorical Emerrency: An Unobtrusive Indicators Study of the Livingston Train Derailment. Fort Collins. Colorado: Hazards As-sessment Laboratory at Colorado State University.
Mileti, Dennis and Gary Williams 1985 "A sociological perspective on the siting of hazardous - waste facilities."
Paper presented at the Annual Conference on Waste Management, Session on So-cial and Economic Effects of Public Perception: Tucson: March.
Cochrane, Hal and Dennis Mileti l 1985 " Vulnerabilities of medical / health care systems to the effect of nuclear war." Paper presented at the Symposium on the MedicalImplications of Nuclear War, National Academy of Sciences, Institute of Medicine, Session on Medical Resource Needs and Availability. Washington, D.C.: September.
Participant, Conference for Researchers on the Use of Crisis Response Conclusion Retrieval System. University of Pittsburg Center for Social and Urban Research.
Pittsburg: December,1985.
Appointed (by invitation) to Sigma XI: The Scientific Research Society,1985.
" Social aspects of risk." speech presented to Risk Analysis Seminar. Department of in-dustrial Engineering, Stanford University. Standford: February 1985. I
" Human response to emergencies." peech presented to Emergency Preparedness Exec-utive Seminar, General Public Utilities Nuclear Corporation. Middletown.
Pennsylvania: May,1985.
[ Dannis S. Mileti l Page 27 I
" Social aspects of the Parkfield, California earthquake prediction," speech presented to the Annual Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Session on Parkfield Earthquake Studies. Sen Francisco: December,1985.
" Communicating engineering information to public officials," speech presented to the Annual Meeting of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Session on So-cial Application. Seattle: February,1985.
I "How well do traditional warning system strategies deal with today's natural and tech- l nological hazards?", speech presented to the plenary session of the Tenth Annual Invitational Workshop on Hazards Research and Application. Boulder: July, 1985.
" Social impacts and lessons from the Parkfield earthquake prediction," speech pres-ented to the Earthquake Prediction Warning and Response System Workshop, Governor's Office of Emergency Services. Asilomar, California: July.
Corresponding Editor, Orranizationals and Occupations newsletter for the Western Re-gion of the American Sociological Association.
Organizer and Presider, Sessions I, O and III on Nuclear Power, Emergency 85, Third in-ternational Conference Emergency Management. Washington, D.C.: May,1985.
Corresponding Editor, Column on Natural Hazards and Disasters, Environmental Sociol-ogy Newsletter of the Section on Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association,41(Spring, 1985); 10-18; 42 (Summer 1985): 5-8.
Expert Witness Testimony Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shearon-Harris Nuclear Power Plant, Raleigh: June and November,1985.
Proposal Reviews National Science Foundation, Societal Response Program, January,1985.
National Science Foundation Division of Fundamental Research in Emerging and Criti-cal Engineering System April,1985.
Report Reviews i
Earthquakes Engineering Research Institute Committee Report on Research Opportunities from the 1985 Mexies City Earthquake September,1985.
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Dennis S. Mileti Page 28 National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, Report on Impressions of the Guerrero-Michoacan, Mexico Earthquake, October,1985.
Advisories Seminar presentation on emergency public information needs for chemical and hazard-ous materials accidents to Office of the Governor of Colorado, State Police, and Colorado Divis'9.1 of Emergency Services. Denver: July,1985.
Interviews Given Interviews given with reporters from The New York Times, National Public Radio, Newsday, Colorado State University media Time, and for other local media.
VITA ADDITIONS (1986)
Article review for the International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disaster,1986.
Speech, " Social and Economic Impacts of Earthquake Predictions," Los Angeles City Earthquake Prediction Workshop, Asilomar, California: October 12, 1986.
Speech," Earthquake Prediction: A General Overview," Emergency Preparedness Com-mission for the Cities and County of Los Angeles, Carson, California: April 24, 1986.
Mileti, Dennis S., and James Goltz " Social Response to the Parkfield Prediction," paper presented to the Parkfield Prediction Experiment Session of the American Asso-clation for the Advancement of Science, Philadelphia, May,1986.
Proposal Review Earthquake Systems Integration Division of Fundamental Research for Emerging and Critical Engineering Systems, National Science Foundation, 1986.
Speech " November 1985 Colombia Nevada del Ruiz Volcanic Eruption: Emergency Pre-paredness and Mitigation Measures " Committee on Natural Disaster. Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems, National Research Council National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C.: October 27, 1986.
Mileti, Dennis S., Randal G. Updike, Patricia A Bolton and Gabriel Fernandey. 1986.
Recommendations for Improving the Eusting Warning System for Possible Nevado del Ruiz Volcanic Eruption. Colombia. South America. Washington. D.C.:
' National Academy of Science,1186.
L - . . _- . - _ . - - _ - .
D:nnis S. Milsti Page 29 Speech, " Industrial Crisis Response," Fluid Mechanics and Wind Engineering Program.
College of Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: November 5, 1986.
Member, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on En-gineering and Technical Systems, Committee on Natural Disasters.
Member, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Coucil, Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics and Resources Board on Earth Sciences, Suty-committee on Earthquake Research.
l Cochrane, Hal, and Dennis Mileti. 1986. "The Consequences of Nuclear War: An Eco-nomic and Social Perspective." Pp. 381-409 In F. Solomn and R.Q. Martson (eds.)
The Medical Implication of Nuclear War. Washington, D.C.: National Acade-my Press.
l Mileti, Dennis S. and John H. Sorensen, " Determinants of Organizational Effectiveness in Responding to Low Probability Catastrophic Events," paper presented to the Crisis Analysis Models Session, Internation! Conference on Industrial Crisis Man-agement, New York University, Graduate School of Business Administration, New York City: September 6,1986.
Organizer and Presider, Sessions on the Sociology of Disaster, Annual Meeting of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August,1986.
Article review, Human Relations,1986.
Speech, "Armero, Columbia: What are the Lessons for Hazards Management in the United States," Plenary Session, Hazards Research and Applications Workshop.
Boulder, Colorado: July,1986.
Speech,"Public Response Elements for Flood Warning Emergency Preparedness," Plena-ry Session, Conference on What Have We Learned Since the Big Thompson Flood, Boulder, Colorado: July,1986.
Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Milett. 1986. " Inclusion of Social Variables in Models of Risk Assessment." Pp. 375-379 in Geotechnical and Geohydrological AsDects of Waste Management. Boston: Rotterdam.
Article review, Earthouake Spectra.1986.
Speech " Social Aspects of Risk Communication," Conference on Communications in Emergencies, Wyoming Disaster and Civil Defense Division, Cheyenne: April.
1986.
Proposal review, External Research Division, U.S. Geological Survey,1986.
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Dennis S. Mileti
- Page 30 Speech. "What We Know About Human Behavior and Earthquakes," Annual Meeting of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, San Francisco: February,1986.
Elected Member, Sigma Xi the Scientific Research Society,1985 present.
Sorensen, John H. Dennis S. Mileti and Emily Copenhaver. 1985. " Inter and In-traorganizational Cohesion in Emergencies." Mass Emergencies and Disaster.
3(3): 27-52.
Report Review, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council,1986.
Mileti, Dennis.1986. " Disaster Survival." Alumnus Quarterly 62 (1): 6-7, 20.
Article review, Journal of the American Planning Association,1986.
J