L-99-028, Responds to NRC 990730 RAI Re 990423 OL Change Request to Allow for Risk Informed Approach for Evaluation of SG Tube Structural Integrity as Described by NEI 97-06, SG Program Guidelines

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Responds to NRC 990730 RAI Re 990423 OL Change Request to Allow for Risk Informed Approach for Evaluation of SG Tube Structural Integrity as Described by NEI 97-06, SG Program Guidelines
ML20210G547
Person / Time
Site: Farley Southern Nuclear icon.png
Issue date: 07/30/1999
From: Dennis Morey
SOUTHERN NUCLEAR OPERATING CO.
To:
NRC OFFICE OF INFORMATION RESOURCES MANAGEMENT (IRM)
References
NEL-99-0283, NUDOCS 9908030126
Download: ML20210G547 (47)
v • d • e


Text

I Dave Mar.y S uthirn Nuc<1nr

%ce President - Operating C2mpany,Inc.

- Farley Project Post Office Box 1295 Birmingharn. Alabarna 35201 i Tel 205 992.5131 July ~30, 1999 i COMPANY Energy to Serve Your %!d" Docket No: 50-348 NEL-99-0283 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATIN: Document Control Desk Washington, D. C. 20555-0001 Joseph M. Farley Nuclear Plant - Unit 1 Response to Request for Additional Information Unit 1 Cvele 15 NDE Enhancements for Freespan ODSCC POD Ladies and Gentlemen:

By letter dated April 23,1999, Southern Nuclear Operating Company (SNC) submitted a Facility <

Operating License change request for Farley Nuclear Plant Unit 1. This change is to allow for a risk informed approach for the evaluation of steam generator tube structural integrity as described by NEI 97-06 " Steam Generator Program Guidelines." On July 2,1999 the NRC staff rrpested additional information in order to complete the review of the SNC submittal. SNC provided this information by letter dated July 22,1999. By [[letter::L-99-028, Responds to NRC 990730 RAI Re 990423 OL Change Request to Allow for Risk Informed Approach for Evaluation of SG Tube Structural Integrity as Described by NEI 97-06, SG Program Guidelines|letter dated July 30,1999]] the NRC Staff requested additional information. In Attachment 1, SNC provides the information requested.

There are no new commitments in this response. If you have any questions, please advise.

Respectfully submitted, Ob2%s Dave Morey EWC/maf: raidg. doc

Attachment:

1. Responses to Request for Additional Information Regarding Unit 1 Cycle 15 NDE Enhancements for Freespan ODSCC POD Enclosure 1:

Mp Hot Zone 100k Sworn to and subscribed before me this &ay of 1999 0l

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_ LNotary Public V l

My Commission Expires:

s Uble  % I. 50l-j DR 48 .

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Page 2 U. S Nuclear Regulatory Commission ec: Southern Nuclear Operatina Comoany

. Mr. L. M. Stinson, General Manager - Farley U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Washington. D. C.

Mr. L. M. Padovan, Licensing Project Manager - Farley U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Renion II Mr. L. A. Reyes, Regional Administrator Mr. T. P. Johnson, Senior Resident Inspector - Farley l

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Attachment Responses to Request for Additional Information Regarding Unit 1 Cycle 15 NDE Enhancements for Freespan ODSCC POD

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r NRC Ouestion

1. Provide your rationale for expecting that the Cycle 15 non-destructive examination enhancements for freespan outside diameter stress corrosion cracking (ODSCC) are sufficient to reduce the incidence oflarge eddy current (EC) indications to nominal levels.

SNC Response The enhancements to the non-destructive examination (NDE) practices and guidelines consist of 3 measures:

a. Sleeve end narent tubg_ODSCC detection with 100% + Point examination:

The detection of ODSCC in the immediate vicinity of the upper (above the tubesheet) end ofinstalled sleeves with bobbin probes or Cecco probes was shown by the findings on R25C51 in SG B to be inefTective. Implementation of+ Point examination from the upper laser weld to approximately 1" above the sleeve end was an effective remedy. Testing in SG B during the 8/99 forced outage demonstrated that no additional sleeve end indications were present. Examination of all 3 SGs in the IRIS ISIidentified 3 indications in SG A,0 in SG B, and 3 in SG C, therefore, implementation of ETSS#96404 provided the required assurance that ODSCC in the parent tube section " shadowed" by the sleeve end will be adequately inspected.

Using a probability of detection (POD) approach, the prior inspections could be considered to have a POD equal to zero because of the use of a probe that would not react to such indications. Any improvement represented as a multiple of the prior performance would then be unbounded, i.e., infinite. Thus, to use the discussion of the improvement as some orders of magnitude relative to prior performance is not meaningful for this degradation. The additional training of analysts to be wary of this region of the tube and the high sensitivity of the + Point probe should efTectively eliminate the potential for missed indications of this type.

b. Freesnan ODSCC in tube sections free of appurtenances:

The leakage of R25C51 was attributed to freespan ODSCC ap ireximately 8" above a sleeve end; the 12.7V bobbin indication had grown fu. an unidentified (missed) 0.97V indication shown to have been present at the time of the IR14 ISI.

The behavior of this IR14 indication was consistent among the data channels and unencumbered by interference. By the guidelines associated with ETSS#96007, the qualified technique specific to bobbin detection of ODSCC, this indication should have been identified and reported as NQI. This would have required it to be examined and characterized by + Point probe. Given the concern over the growth from the unreported flaw, a special analyst orientation session was conducted to acquaint the analyst crew in the 8/99 forced outage with the characteristics of the indication. The indoctrination increased the emphasis on the review of small freespan bobbin indications to assure that signals such as the 0.97V 1R14 bobbin signal on R25C51 would be reported as NQI. Twenty-seven 1of8

confirmed freespan signals on 13 tubes were reported during the 8/99 forced i outage, none exceeding 2 volts; these additional tubes were plugged based on these results. The indications from R25C51 as well as the additional indications confirmed by + Point were added to the analyst training tapes for the IRI5 SSPD.

During IRIS after only 2 months additional operation,150 freespan indications in this category were confirmed out of 325 NQIs reported. Thus for Cycle 15 a doubling in the number of confirmed freespan indications was observed; since the growth study showed that the large majority of these tubes had measurable flaws at IR14, it is concluded that the training was effective to restore the POD for the technique to the nominal value (0.90@ 90%CL).

c. ODSCC Outside the TSP Edge; The SG leakage, ~20gpd, observed during the latter part of Cycle 15 was attributed l to ODSCC identified with a 27V bobbin signal just above the IH TSP in SG B on i

R43C32. Re iew of the IR14 bobbin dsta for this location revealed a 2.57V signal that had been identified but judged not to represent a flaw; this judgment was based on failure of the Lissajous trajectory to follow the "down first" trace typical of calibration flaws. This analysis " rule" is a part of the industry's fundamental analyst training, serving as a flaw-confirming characteristic for signals with phase j angles indicative of flaws, based on the behavior of standard flaws. As applied in this case, the rule served to eliminate from + Point examination a signal otherwise clearly characteristic of flaws with respect to phase angle. Technically, the IR14 l signal did not represent a " missed" indication, since it was consciously rejected on l the basis of the "down first" rule. l l

Upon realization of the identity of the IRI5 flaw location and the IR14 unreported signallocation, the IRIS analysis program was suspended after 400 tubes were analyzed. To remedy the discrepancy between the IRIS confirmed flaw and its l 1R14 precursor signal, a guideline change was implemented that required freespan  ;

signals with phase angles consistent with flaws in the detection channel (400/100 kHz mix) to be reponed as NQls, causing them to be examined by + Point probes to confirm and characterize the underlying tube condition. All shifts of analysts were indoctrinated with the history of the R42C32 signal development during a one-day analysis suspension for re-training; subsequently the analysis was re-started from the beginning so that all such signals present in the first 400 tubes and the balance of the 100% bobbin inspection would be identified. A total of 115 NQIs, from which 34 confirmed indications of this type were found in the inspection; 16 of the NQIs (3 NQCs) were found from the re-analysis of the first 400 tubes. Five of the 6 largest indications identified at 1R15 (including R43C32) were in this category; each had a precursor signal about I volt or larger, all of which would be reported as NQI under the revised instructions. The enhancement to the ETSS#96007 guidelines provides increased assurance that signals of a i magnitude historically associated with large growth cracks will be identified and l removed from service before they can present a challenge to tube integrity. Data from tubes representing the issues identified at Farley I were made available to the industry at large through EPRl's NDE Center; this facet of freespan ODSCC detection was incorporated into the training tapes for subsequent outages of the Farley I and 2 plants.

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r Taken together, these measures satisfactorily address the causes of the tube leakage events

of Cycle 15 and provide increased assurance that the known mechanisms with a potential to produce freespan tube leakage are the subject ofinspections with properly implemented l

qualified techniques. It is seen that there are essentially three categories ofindications, free-span indications in the shadow of the sleeve end (1), free-span indications remote of signal altering features such as the TSP (2), and free-span indications near signal altering features that were easily detected, but omitted from further consideration based on the application of then existing guidelines (3). The use of the + Point probe to inspect the first type and the revised guidelines for the third type, coupled with the ease of detection, are sufficient to result in significant improvements in detection of these types of flaws. The enhancements discussed for the second type also show improved detection as shown by the inspection transient results discussed in question 3.

NRC Ouestion

2. Show that the three pulled tubes you used to obtain a probability of detection correlation are not selectively favorable for detection relative to the general tube population with respect to noise levels.

l SNC Response Comparative measurements of the vertical component of bobbin data for each of the pulled tubes

as well as for the 20-tube sample population provided to the staff for their independent review L were reviewed. On each tube 5 corresponding locations were evaluated, to give a sense for the variability in the magnitude of signals that might interfere with the identification of flaws. The locations were chosen to bound the tube length on which virtually all the freespan ODSCC indications reported from bobbin probes analyses were detected. For each tube the calibration was established at the reference voltage in the 400/100 kHz mix for 20% flat-bottom holes, e.g.,

2.77 volts, determined for the pertinent ASME standard relative to the TSP ODSCC laboratory standard for voltage based ARC measurements. The data obtained using this measure of potentially interfering signals suggest that the tubes chosen had noise levels typical of the range of Farley 1 tubes as represented in the 20-tube sample provided to the NRC and were not selected to provide favorable results with respect to noise levels. In addition SNC did not consider noise to be a factor in tube selection when the data was supplied to the NRC staff.

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Table 1: Preliminary Table of Relative Noise Levels (Table entries in volts Vertmax in 400/100 kHz Mix channel)

Tube ID Elevation 1 Elevation 2 Elevation 3 Elevation 4 Elevation 5 Pulled Tubes C:R6C10 0.49 0.13 0.64 0.40 0.11 B:R6C28 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.28 0.08 B:R25C51 0.38 0.20 0.11 0.13 0.19 NRC Group A:R43C35 0.13 0.14 0.22 0.13 0.33 A:R6C36 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.13 0.15 A:R8C2 0.24 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.13 A:R36C18 0.24 0.15 0.20 0.14 0. I 1 A:R3C39 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.18 A:R32C17 0.13 0. I 1 0.14 0. I 1 0.25 B:R15C29 0.43 0.55 0.46 0.82 0.43 B:R14C49 0.61 0.54 0.58 0.68 0.67 B:R19C6 0.31 0.15 0.26 0.20 0.10 B:R9C29 0.24 0.16 0.21 0.21 0.10 B:R7C93 0.22 0.26 0.32 0.32 0.20 B:R9C93 0.22 0.22 0.59 0.62 0.29 B:R9C3 0.58 0.20 0.36 0.39 0.55 C:R2C1 0.30 0.12 0.40 0.30 0.08 C:R22C12 0.14 0.27 0. I 8 0.39 0. I 1 C:R43C32 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.22 0.07 C:R6C16 0.13 0.31 0.23 0.23 0.14 C:R6C3 0.17 0.11 0.12 0.18 0,09 C:R10C2 0.22 0.10 0.22 0.16 0.10 C:R19C28 0.26 0.24 0.28 0.67 0.47 Elevations: 1. At least 10" above the tubesheet

2. ~30" above the tubesheet
3. ~5" above TSP IH
4. ~10" above TSP 3H
5. ~10" above TSP 6H 4 of 8

NRC Ouestion

3. Provide numerical data from the last two cycles that confirm and characterize the magnitude of an inspection transient associated with the IRIS freespan ODSCC results.

SNC Response Table 5-1 A provides a count on a per SG basis at EOC 14 and 15 at Farley 1 of the freespan ODSCC indications reported as NQI along with the number of them that were confirmed by + Point evaluation, designated NQC, Table 5-1 A. Farley-1 Freespan ODSCC For Outages 1R14 and IRIS Bobbin Detection and + Point Confirmation for Indications >7.5" ATSH or above TSPs NQI NQC Within +1.5" TSH-lH, >l .5: Within +1.5" TSH-lH, >l.5:

from TSP from TSP from TSP from TSP 1R14 1R15 1R14 1R15 1Rio IRIS 1R14 1R15 SG A 3 41 36 67 1 13 14 17 SG B 1 30 88 136* 1 10 37 67*

SG C 4 44 .52 122 3 11 20 66 Totals 8 115 156 325 5 34 71 150 1R14 confirmation rate = 76/164 1R15 Confirmation rate = 184/440 =

=0.43 0.418

  • Includes 38 locations with 27 confirmed indications from the 8/98 forced outage.

It may be observed that the number of detected indications and confirmed indications both increased by more than a factor of 2 in total; examining the data for indications within 1.5" of the TSPs shows more striking increases,14-fold for NQIs and 7-fold for NQCs. This data illustrates both the increased readinesses of the analysts to make the NQI calls conservatively and the corresponding transient in confirmed indications that results. These results, together with the discussion of the issues presented in question #1, reflect the impact of the NDE enhancements implemented during Cycle 15.

This data represents the findings of the 100% bobbin inspection and the supplemental

+ Point inspection for the regions of the tube bundle designated as "freespan", i.e.,

unencumbered by sludge, sleeves, or support structures. The sludge zone for Farley I was designated as the length from the top of the tubesheet to 7.5" above the tubesheet prior to the IRIS inspection. This designation was based on the distribution of indications and the relative likelihood of detection by bobbin relative to + Point and represents a significant increase in the use of + Point probe over past outages. Review of b,

+ Point vs. Bobbin detection behavior for above the top of the tubesheet ODSCC was 5 of 8

performed to assess the performance of the bobbin probe for detection of free span degradation above the sludge deposit zone. In the 1R13 inspection the nominal industry

+ Point inspection length of 3" above the tubesheet was used. The IR14 inspection covered up to 5" (nominal) above the tubesheet; in fact, inspection coverage reached approximately 7.5" ATS. Tubes with a + Point indication above 7.5" also had a bobbin indication above 7.5", i.e.,100% matching was found, though not always mapping perfectly; this was regarded as sufficient corroboration because of the bobbin probe's ability to eliminate some interfering signals in the mix channel. It was determined that for 1R15 the required inspection length for the 100% + Point hot leg inspection program should be increased to cover the length up to at least 7.5" (nominal) above the tube sheet (ATS); in fact, inspection coverage reached approximately 9 inches ATS NRC Ouestion

4. Provide revised projections for the probability of flaws occurring at 144 efTective full power days (EFPDs) and 409 EFPDs in the current cycle as a function of the

- stress intensity magnification factor (Mp) of the flaws. Again, as most recently provided, the probability of occurrence should be for the worst flaw in the generator (i.e., the statistical distribution for the largest Mp in each of the 250,000 Monte Carlo cases). However, in order to support the stafi's intended use for estimating the probability of tube failure under core damage accident conditions, the formula used for calculation of Mp must be the same as was used by Argonne National Laboratory for their correlations of data on flawed tube failure due to creep under high temperature conditions Specifically, Mp needs to be calculated as described in NUREG-1570 in section 4.3.2.3 " Improved Correlation for Mp," using formula 18c on page 4-22.

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SNC Response l

To perform the calculations originally requested by the staff the Monte Carlo simulation code was modified to use the ANL expression for the bulging factor for ligament tearing of part-throughwall axial cracks equation 18c of NUREG-1570), i.e.,

1-ah

'" where h =I, in = 1-h t I

l and dis the depth of the indication and t is the thickness of the tube. The multiplier j a is given by equation 18d of NUREG-1570 as, '

l r

2 a = 1 + 0.9h 7 _ _l '

q 1Hj Here, m is the bulging factor for a throughwall axial crack and the formulation originally given by Erdogan as (see equations 15c and 15d of NUREG-1570),

42n in = 0.614 + 0.4811 + 0.386e where A = )R,t ,

referred to as the normalized crack length. L is the total length of the crack and R,,,

is the mean radius of the tube. The previous simulation results reported on the maxima of the efTective bulging factor, m,, defined from, l

Py = 5 Hl e where m, is the smaller ofm, and m. This value is inversely proportional to the distribution of the minima of the sirpulated burst pressures. Thus, the calculations did use the Argonne model for ligament tearing and for throughwall burst. The simple difference is the distribution of the maxima of the burst magnification factors was supplied when the staff wanted the distribution of the maxima of the onset-of-leak magnification factors. For the severe accident evaluations, failure is being defined as ligament tearing regardless of whether or not the resulting throughwall crack will run. Of course, once the ligament has torn the burst of the tube is governed by the magnification factor previously provided. A large release leak rate would not be expected from a crack with a short throughwall length. The current simulation results are the distribution of the maxima of m, only, which are inversely proportional to the distribution of the minima of the onset-of-leak pressures.

The calculation of the maximum m, value for any given crack profile proceeds similar to the method for determining the minimum burst pressure for that crack.

The magnification factor for each discrete subsection and combination of contiguous subsections is calculated and the maximum value is taken as applicable to that crack. This means however that the maximum m pvalues are. almost always l 7 of 8 1

based on the value found for the deepest ponion of the crack being simulated, even when that length is very short. For example, a tube with a throughwall crack on the order of 0.05" long has an infinite m p. To resolve this concern it was agreed that the values ofmp will be calculated only for sub-crack lengths greater than 0.25" To include consideration of the tubes in the " hot-zone" of the SG, the simulated values ofm pfor each simulation of the SG are ordered from smallest to largest. The value ofm pto be retained as the maximum for that simulation is the largest value such that s sample pseudo-random uniform distribution number is less than or equal to 0.53. For example, suppose 30 values are simulated and ordered. Funher suppose that three draws from a uniform distribution are needed to obtain a number s 0.53 (the first two draws being > 0.53). The applicable maximum value ofmp expected in the hot-zone is that corresponding to the 28* ordered value with the 29*

and 30* occurring in the cold-zone of the SG tubes.

Finally, in order to expedite the calculation process, the minimum acceptable total number of simulations was reduced to 30,000. The rationale for this is that the number of simulations needed to confidently quantify the occurrence of an event is equal to 30 times the inverse of the probability of the event being sought. Hence, 30,000 simulations should easily quantify the occurrence of events which individually have a probability of occurrence on the order of 0.001. If suflicient time existed for the analysis, e.g., runs staned at the end of the work day, the number of simulations may have been increased to some convenient number greater than 30,000. Enclosure 1 contains the information requested.

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ENCLOSURE 1 Requested Bulging Factor Data i

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Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxirna ALL 0.01 1.023 0.0000% 19.4957 %

0.02 1.047 0.0000 % 23.7347 %

0.03 1.072 0.0000% 31.1486%

0.04 1.096 0.0000 % 40.0572 %

0.05 1.122 0.0000 % 49.2447 %

0.06 1.148 0.0000 % 57.5554 % j 0.07 1.175 0.0000% 64.6714 %

0.08 1.202 0.0000 % 70.7008 %

0.09 1.230 0.0000 % 75.8068%

0.10 1.259 0.0000 % 80.0149%

0.11 1.288 0.0020% 83.4223 %

0.12 1.318 0.0100 % 86.1363 %

0.13 1.349 0.0530% 88.3786 %

0.14 1.380 0.1740% 90.2468 %

0.15 1.413 0.4370% 91.8059 %

0.16 1.445 1.0590% 93.1171 %

0.17 1.479 2.3050 % 94.2096 % l 0.18 1.514 4.2390 % 95.1163 % !

0.19 1.549 7.0510 % 95.8676 %

0.20 1.585 10.5980% 96.4938 %

0.21 1.622 14.8180% 97.0192 %

0.22 1.660 19.7060% 97.4649%

0.23 1.698 25.1330% 97.8411 %

0.24 1.738 30.9380% 98.1591 %

0.25 1.778 36.7700% 98.4268%

0.26 1.820 42.5690 % 98.6558%

0.27 1.862 48.0730% 98.8468%

0.28 1.905 53.1500 % 99.0053%

0.29 1.950 57.9270 % 99.1402 %

0.30 1.995 62.3750 % 99.2553%

0.31 2.042 66.2740 % 99.3514 %

0.32 2.089 69.7900 % 99.4327%

0.33 2.138 72.9180% 99.5021 % )

l 0.34 2.188 75.7210% 99.5613% I 0.35 2.239 78.0840% 99.6096%

O.36 2.291 80.1130% 99.6508%

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Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 0.37 2.344 81.9050% 99.6865 %

0.38 2.399 83.4840% 99.7167%

0.39 2.455 84.8850 % 99.7429%

0.40 2.512 86.1710% 99.7659 % ,

0.41 2.570 87.2340% 99.7856 %

0.42 2.630 88.1680% 99.8029 %

0.43 2.692 89.0910% 99.8188%

0.44 2.754 89.8820% 99.8328 %

0.45 2.818 90.6300 % 99.8454 %

0.46 2.884 91.2720 % 99.8565%

0.47 2.951 91.8460 % 99.8668 %

0.48 3.020 92.4170% 99.8761 %

0.49 3.090 92.8900 % 99.8839 %

0.50 3.162 93.3140% 99.8909 %

0.51 3.236 93.6990 % 99.8977 %

0.52 3.311 94.0750 % 99.9035%

0.53 3.388 94.3990% 99.9089 %

0.54 3.467 94.6880% 99.9136 %

0.55 3.548 94.9860% 99.9182 %

0.E6 3.631 95.2400% 99.9224 %

0.57 3.715 95.4600% 99.9260%

0.58 3.802 95.6620 % 99.9295 %

0.59 3.890 95.8580% 99.9325%

0.60- 3.981 96.0510% 99.9357 %

0.61 4.074 96.2110 % 99.9385%

0.62 4.169 96.3620 % 99.9411 %

0.63 4.266 96.5090% 99.9435%

0.64 4.365 96.6450 % 99.9456 %

i 0.65 4.467 96.7510% 99.9474 %

0.66 4.571 96.8680 % 99.9493 %

0.67 4.677 96.9850% 99.9509 %

0.68 4.786 97.0780 % 99.9524 % .

0.69 4.898 97.1780% 99.9541 %

0.70 5.012 97.2610% 99.9555%

0.71 5.129 97.3400 % 99.9568 %

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Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 0.72 5.248 97.4090% 99.9581 %

0.73 5.370 97.4740% 99.9593%

0.74 5.495 97.5390 % 99.9604 %

0.75 5.623 97.6020% 99.9614 %

0.76 5.754 97.6600% 99.9625 %

0.77 5.888 97.7080% 99.9633 %

0.78 6.026 97.7510% 99.9639%

0.79 6.166 97.7930 % 99.9647 %

0.80 6.310 97.8400% 99.9654 %

0.81 6.457 97.8740 % 99.9660%

0.82 6.607 97.9240 % 99.9668 %

0.83 6.761 97.9550 % 99.9674 %

0.84 6.918 97.9940 % 99.9681 %

6 85 7.079 98.0440 % 99.9690%

0.86 7.244 98.0820 % 99.9695%

0.87 7.413 98.1230% 99.9702 %

0.88 7.586 98.1640% 99.9708 %

0.89 7.762 98.2010 % 99.9713%

0.90 7.943 98.2280 % 99.9717 %

0.91 8.128 98.2690% 99.9723 %

0.92 8.318 98.2960 % 99.9728%

0.93 8.511 98.3220 % 99.9732 %

0.94 8.710 98.3470 % 99.9736 %

0.95 8.913 98.3670 % 99.9740%

0.96 9.120 98.3900 % 99.9744 %

0.97 9.333 98.4150 % 99.9748%

0.98 9.550 98.4450 99.9752 %

0.99 9.772 98.467' 99.9756 %

1.00 10.000 98.491i 99.9760%

1.01 10.233 98.5170 % 99.9765%

1.02 10.471 98.5360% 99.9768%

1.03 10.715 98.5590% 99.9771 %

1.04 10.965 98.5750 % 99.9775%

1.05 11.220 98.6040% 99.9778 %

1.06 11.482 98.6180 % 93.9781 %

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L Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 L Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 1.07 11.749 98.6350 % 99.9784 %

1.08 .12.023 98.6510 % 99.9786 %

1.09 -12.303 98.6690 % 99.9789 %

1.10 12.589 98.6830 % 99.9792 %

1.11 12.882 98.6910 % 99.9794 %

1.12 13.183 98.6990 % 99.9796 %

! 1.13 13.490 98.7120 % 99.9798 %

1.14 13.804 SS.7230% 99.9800 %

-1.15 14.125 98.7360% 99.9802 %

'1.16 14.454 98.7460 % -99.9804 %

i 1.17 14.791 98.7540% 99.9806 %

! 1.18 15.136 98.7630 % 99.9807 %

1.19 15.488 98.7720 % 99.9809 %

1.20 15.849 98.7840% 99.9812 %

1.21 16.218 98.7970 % 99.9814 %

1.22 16.596 98.8090 % 99.9816 %

1.23 16.982 98.8220 % 99.9818 %

1.24 17.378 98.8330 % 99.9819 %

1.25- 17.783 98.8430 % 99.9821 %

1.26 18.197 98.8550 % 99.9822 %

! 1.27- 18.621 98.8700 % 99.9825 %

1.28 '19.055 98.8790% 99.9827 %

1.29 19.498 98.8870 % 99.9828 %

1.30 '19 953 98.8920 % 99.9829 %

1.31 20.417' 98.9030 % 99.9831 %

1.32 20.893. 98.9100 % 99.9832 %

1.33 21.380 98.9240 % 99.9834 %

1.34 21.878 98.9310 % 99.9835 % j 1.35- 22.387 98.9400 % 99.9836 % l 1.36 22.909 98.9480 % 99.9838 % l 1.37 23.442 -98.9530 % 99.9839%

1.38 23.988 98.9630% 99.9840 % l 1.39- 24.547 -98.9660 % 99.9841 % !

1.40 25.119 98.9730 % 99.9843% l 1.41 25.704' 98.9790 % 99.9843% l l

l El L

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 1.42 26.303 98.9850 % 99.9845%

1.43 26.915 98.9910 % 99.9846%

1.44 27.542 98.9960 % 99.9847 %

1.45 28.184 99.0000 % 99.9848%

1.46 28.840 99.0090% 99.9849%

1.47 29.512 99.0130 % 99.9850%

1.48 30.200 99.0180% 99.9851 %

1.49 30.903 99.0220 % 99.9852 %

1.50 31.623 99.0330 % 99.9853%

1.51 32.359 99.0410 % 99.9854 %

1.52 33.113 99.0460% 99.9855%

1.53 33.884 99.0490% 99.9855%

1.54 34.674 99.0520 % 99.9856%

1.55 35.481 99.0550 % 99.9857 % q 1.56 36.308 99.0590 % 99.9857 %

1.57 37.154 99.0670 % 99.9858%

1.58 38.019 99.0710 % 99.9859 %

1.59 38.905 99.0720 % 99.9859 %

1.60 39.811 99.0770 % 99.9860 %

1.61 40.738 99.0850% 99.9861 %

1.62 41.687 99.0900 % 99.9862%

1.63 42.658 99.0980 % 99.9863%

1.64 43.652 99.1050% 99.9863%

1.65 44.668 99.1100% 99.9864 %

1.66 45.709 99.1140% 99.9865 %

1.67 46.774 99.1190% 99.9866 %

1.68 47.863 99.1260% 99.9867 %

1.69 48.978 99.1320% 99.9867 %

1.70 50.119 99.1360% 99.9867 %

1.71 51.286 99.1410 % 99.9868 %

1.72 52.481 99.1480% 99.9869 %

1.73 53.703 99.1530 % 99.9870 %

1.74 54.954 99.1570:.6 99.9870 %

1.75 56.234 99.1630 % 99.9871 %

1.76 57.544 99.1650% 99.9871 %

El-5 i

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL i 1.77 58.884 -99.1680 % 99.9872 %

-1.78 60.256 99.1740% 99.9873%

1.79 61.660 99.1760% 99.9873 %

1.80 63.096 99.1830% 99.9874 %

1.81 64.565 99.1860% 99.9874 %

1.82 66.069 99.1920% 99.9875 %

1.83 67.608 99.1930% 99.9875 %

1.84' 69.183 99.1950% 99.9875 % ,

1.85 70.795 99.2040% 99.9876 %

1.86 ,72.444 99.2060% 99.9876 %

1.87 74.131 99.2090% 99.9877 %

1.88 75.858 99.2110 % 99.9877 %

1.89 77.625 99.2130% 99.9878 %

1.90 79.433 99.2190 % 99.9878 %

1.91 81.283 99.2200 % 99.9878 % ,

1.92 83.176 99.2220% 99.9879%

1.93 85.114 99.2240% 99.9879%

1.94 87.096 99.2260% 99.9880 %

1.95- 89.125 .99.2280 % 99.9880%

1.96 91.201 99.2340% 99.9881 %

1.97 93.325 99.2370% 99.9881 %

1.98 95.499' 99.2380 % 99.9881 %

1.99 97.724 99.2420 % 99.9882 %

2.00 100.000- 99.2470% 99.9883 %

2.01 102.329 99.2480 % 99.9883 %

~ 2.02 104.713 99.2510% 99.9883 %

2.03 107.152 99.2540% 99.9884 %

2.04- 109.648 99.2560 % 99.9884 %

2.05 112.202 99.2590 % 99.9885%

2.06 114.815 99.2660% 99.9886 %

2.07 ~ 117.490 99.2670% 99.9886 %

2.08 120.226 99.2670 % 99.9886 %

2.09 _

123.027 99.2710 % 99.9886 %

2.10 125.893 99.2710 % 99.9887 %

2.11 128.825 '99.2730 % 99.9887 %

2.12 131.826 99.2740% 99.9887 %

El-6 u.

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000

- Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distnbutions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.13 134.896 99.2760 % 99.9887 %  !

2.14 138.038 99.2770 % 99.9888 %

2.15 141.254 99.2800% 99.9888 %

2.16 144.544 99.2820 % 99.9888%

2.17 147.911 99.2820% 99.9889 %

2.18 151.356 99.2860 % 99.9889% ,

2.19 164.882 99.2870 % 99.9889 %

2.20 158.489 99.2890% 99.9889%

2.21 162.181 99.2910% 99.9890 %

2.22 165.959 99.2940% 99.9890%

2.23 169.824 99.2950% 99.9890 %

2.24 173.780 99.2970 % 99.9890 %

2.25 177.828 99.2970 % 99.9890% ,

2.26 181.970 99.2980 % 99.9891 % l 2.27 186.209 99.3010% 99.9891 %

2.28 190.546 99.3020% 99.9891 %

2.29 194.984 99.3040% 99.9891 %

2.30 199.526 99.3040% 99.9891 %

2.31 204.174 99.3040% 99.9891 %

2.32 208.930 9,9.3040 % 99.9891 %

2.33 213.796 99.3050 % 99.9892 6 2.34 218.776 99.3060 % 99.9892%

2.33 223.872 99.3070 % 99.9892 %

2.36 229.087 99.3110 % 99.9892 %

l 2.37 234.423 99.3120 % 99.9893 %

2.38 233.883 99.3130% 99.9893 %

2.39 245.471 99 3140%

. 99.9893%

2.40 251.189 99.3150 % 99.9893 %

2.41 257.040 99.3170% 99.9893 %

2.42 2G3.027 99.3170 % 99.9893 %

! 2.43 269.153 99.3200% 99.9893%

2.44 275.423 99.3200% 99.9893%

2.45 281.838 99.3200% 99.9893%

2.46 288.403 99.3210% 99.9894 %

2.47 205.121 99.3230% 99.9894 %

2.48 301.995 99.3240% 99.9894 %

El-7

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.49 309.030 99.3250 % 99.9894 %

2.50 316.228 99.3270 % 99.9894 %

2.51 323.594 99.3270% 99.9894 %

2.52 331.131 99.3280 % 99.9895%

2.53 338.844 99.3300 % 99.9895 %

2.54 346.737 99.3300 % 99.9895 %

2.55 354.813 99.3310 % 99.9895 %

2.56 363.078 99.3310% 99.9895 %

2.57 371.535 99.3320 % 99.9895 %

2.58 380.189 - 99.3320% 99.9896 %

2.59 389.045 99.3330% 99.9896 %

2.60 398.107 99.3330 % 99.9896 %

2.61 407.380 99.3350% 99.9896 %

2.62 416.869 99.3350 % 99.9896 %

2.63 426.580 99.3360% 99.9896 %

2.64 436.516 99.3370 % 99.9896 %

2.65 446.684 99.3380 % 99.9896 %

2.66 457.088 99.3390 % 99.9897 %

2.67 467.735 99.3400 % 99.9897 %

2.68 478.630 99.3400% 99.9897 %

2.69 489.779 99.3410 % 99.9897 %

2.70 501.187 99.3410 % 99.9897 %

2.71 512.861 99.3410 % 99.9897 %

2.72 524.807 99.3420 % 99.9897 %

2.73 537.032 99.3420% 99.9897 %

2.74 549.541 99.3420 % 99.9897 %

2.75 562.341 99.3420 % 99.9897 %

2.76 575.440 99.3430% 99.9897 %

2.77 588.844 99.3440 % 99.9898%

2.78 602.560 99.3440% 99.9898 %

2.79 616.595 99.3440% 99.9898%

2.80 630.957 99.3440% 99.9898 %

2.81 645.654 99.3440 % 99.9898%

2.82 660.693 99.3440% 99.9898 %

2.83 676.083 99.3440 % 99.9898 %

2.84 691.831 99.3440% 99.9898 %

El-8

I Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing ,

Bulging Factors, N=100,000  ;

Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.85 707.946 99.3440% 99.9898 %

2.86 724.436 99.3440% 99.9898%

2.87 741.310 99.3440% 99.9898 %

2.88 758.578 99.3450 % 99.9898% q 2.89 776.247 99.3460% 99.9898% 1 2.90 794.328 99.3460 % 99.9898%

2.91 812.831 99.3460 % 99.9898 %

2.92 831.764 99.3460 % 99.9898%

2.93 851.138 99.3460 % 99.9898 %

2.94 870.964 99.3460% 99.9898 % l 2.95 891.251 99.3460 % 99.9898 %

99.3470% 99.9898%

f 2.96 912.011 2.97 933.254 99.3470 % 99.9898 %

2.98 954.993 99.3470% 99.9898%

2.99 977.237 99.3470 % 99.9898 %

3.00 1000.000 99.3480 % 99.9898%

3.01 1023.293 99.3490% 99.9899%

. 3.02 1047.129 99.3490% 99.9899%

3.03 1071.519 99.3490% 99.9899%

3.04 1096.478 99.3510 % 99.9899%

l 3.05 1122.018 99.3510 % 99.9899 %

3.06 1148.154 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.07 1174.898 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.08 1202.264 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.09 1230.269 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.10 1258.925 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.11 1288.250 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.12 1318.257 99.3510% 99.9899%

3.13 1348.963 99.3510 % 99.9899%

3.14 1380.384 99.3510 % 99.9899 %

3.15 1412.538 99.3520 % 99.9899%

3.16 1445.440 99.3520% 99.9899%

3.17 1479.108 99.3520% 99.9899%

3.18 1513.561 99.3520% 99.9899%

3.19 1548.817 99.3520% 99.9899%

3.20 1584.893 99.3520% 99.9899%

El-9 L

i Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp. Maxima .ALL 3.21 1621.810. 99.3520% 99.9899 %

3.22 1659.587 99.3520 % 99.9899 %

3.23 1698.244 '99.3520% 99.9899%

3.24 1737.801 99.3520 % 99.9899 %

3.25 1778.279 99.3520 % 99.9899%

3.26 1819.701 99.3520% 99.9899 %

3.27 1862.087 99.3520 % 99.9899 %

3.28 1905.461 99.3520 % 99.9899 %

3.29 1949.845 99.3520% 99.9899 %

3.30 1995.262 99.3520 % 99.9899 %

3.31 2041.738 99.3520 % 99.9899%

3.32 2089.296 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.33 2137.962 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.34 2187.762 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.35 2238.721 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.36 2290.868 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.37 2344.229 99.3530 % 99.9899%

3.38 2398.833 99.3530% 99.9899 % i 3.39 2454.709 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.40 2511.886 99.3530 % 99.9899 %

3.41 2570.396 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.42 2630.268 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.43 2691.535 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.44 2754.229 99.3540% 99.9899 %

.3.45 2818.383 99.3540 % 99.9899 %

3.46. 2884.032 99.3540 % 99.9899 %  :

3.47 2951.209 99.3540 % 99.9899 % !

3.48 3019.952 99.3540 % 99.9899 % i 3.49 3090.295 99.3540% 99.9899 % i 3.50 3162.278 99.3540% 99.9899 % ;

3.51- 3235.937 99.3540 % 99.9899%  !

3.52 -3311.311 99.3540 % 99.9899 % ;

3.53 3388.442 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.54 3467.369 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.55 -3548.134 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.56 3630.781 99.3540 % 99.9899%

El-10

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 3.57 3715.352 99.3540 % 99.9899 %

3.58 3801.894 99.3540 % 99.9899%

3.59 3890.451 99.3540 % 99.9899 %

3.60 3981.072 99.3540 % 99.9899 %

3.61 4073.803 99.3540 % 99.9899 %

3.62 4168.694 99.3540% 99.9899 %

3.63 4265.795 99.3550% 99.9899 %

3.64 4365.158 99.3550 % 99.9899 %

3.65 4466.836 99.3550 % 99.9899 %

3.66 4570.882 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.67 4677.351 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.68 4786.301 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.69 4897.788 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.70 5011.872 99.3560% 99.9899 %

3.71 5128.614 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.72 5248.075 99.3560% 99.9899 %

3.73 5370.318 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.74 5495.409 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.75 5623.413 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.76 5754.399 99.3560% 99.9899 % I 3.77 5888.437 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.78 6025.596 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.79 6165.950 99.3560 % 99.9899 %

3.80 6309.573 99.3570 % 99.9900 %

3.81 6456.542 99.3570 % 99.9900%

3.82 6606.934 99.3570% 99.9900 %

3.83 6760.830 99.3570 % 99.9900%

3.84 6918.310 99.3570 % 99.9900 %

3.85 7079.458 99.3570 % 99.9900 %

3.86 7244.360 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.87 7413.102 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.88 7585.776 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.89 7762.471 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.90 7943.282 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.91 8128.305 99.3580 % 99.9900 %

3.92 8317.638 99.3590% 99.9900 %

El - ll

s l Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes i

Tearing - Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 3.93 8511.380 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

l 3.94 8709.636 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

3.95 8912.509 99.3590% 99.9900 %

l 3.96 .9120.108 99.3590% 99.9900 %

3.97 9332.543 99.3590 % 99.9900 % i

'3.98 9549.926 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

3.99 9772.372 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

4.00- 10000.000 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

{

4.01 10232.930 99.3590 % 99.9900 % {

4.02 10471.285 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

l 4.03 10715.193 99.3590 % 99.9900%

4.04 10964.782 99.3590 % 99.9900 %

4.05 11220.185 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.06 11481.536- 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.07 11748.976 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.08' 12022.644 99.3600 % 99.9900%

4.09 12302.688 :99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.10 12589.254 99.3600 % 99.9900%

4.11 12882.496 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.12 13182.567 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.13 13489.629 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.14 .13803.843 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.15 14125.375 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.16 14454.398 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.17 14791.084 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.18 15135.612 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.19 15488.166 99.3600 % 99.9900 % ;

, 4.20 15848.932 99.3600% 99.9900 %

' 4.21 - 16218.101 99.3600 % '99.9900 %

4.22 16595.869 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.23 16982.437 99.3600 % 99.9900 % ]

4.24 17378.008' 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.25' 17782.794- 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

'4.26 '18197.009 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

L 4.27- 18620.871 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.28 19054.607 99.3600 % 99.9900 % l L

El - 12 {

i

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulgins, Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 4.29 19498.446 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.30 19952.623' 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.31 20417.379 99.3600% 99.9900 % I 4.32 20892.961 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.33 21379.621 99.3600 % 99.9900 % I 4.34 21877.616 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.35 22387.211 99.3600 % 99.9900 %

4.36 22908.677 99.3600 % 99.9900 % ,

4.37 23442.288 99.3600% 99.9900 % I 4.38 23988.329 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.39 24547.089 99.3600% 99.9900 % 1 4.40 25118.864 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.41 25703.958 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.42 26302.680 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.43 26915.348 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.44 27542.287 99.3600% 99.9900%

4.45 28183.829 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.46 28840.315 99.3600% 99.9900 %

4.47 29512.092 99.3600% 99.9900%

4.48 30199.517 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.49 30902.954 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.50 31622.777 99.3610% 99.9900%

4.51 32359.366 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.52 33113.112 99.3610% 99.9900%

4.53 33884.416 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.54 34673.685 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4 55 35481.339 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.56 36307.805 99.3610 % 99.9900%

4.57 37153.523 99.3610% 99.9900%

4.58 38018.940 99.3610% 99.9900 %  !

4.59 38904.514 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.60 39810.717 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.61 40738.028 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.62 41686.938 99.3610% 99.9900% -

4.63 42657.952 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.64 43651.583 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

i El - 13

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000

- Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 4.65 44668.359 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.66 45708.819 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.67 46773.514 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.68 47863.009 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.69 48977.882 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.70 50118.723 99.3610 % 99.9900 % J 4.71 .51286.138. 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.72 52480.746 99.3610 % 99.9900%

i 4.73 53703.180 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.74 54954.087- 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.75 '*234.133 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.76 6/S43.994 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.77 58884.366 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.78 60255.959 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.79 61659.500 99.3610 % 99.9900 % ;

4.80 63095.734 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.81 64565.423 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.82 66069.345 99.3610 % 99.9900 % ,

4.83 67608.298 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.84 69183.097 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

! 4.85 70794.578 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

l '4.86 72443.596 99.3610 % 99.9900%

4.87 74131.024 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.88 -75857.758 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.89 77624.712- 99.3610 % 99.9900 % ,

j- 4.90 79432.823 99.3610 % 99.9900 % '

4.91 81283.052- 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.92- 83176.377 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.93- 85113.804 99.3610% 99.9900 %

4.94 87096.359 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.95 89125.094 :99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.96 91201.084 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.97 93325.430 '99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.98 95499.259 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

4.99 97723.722 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

5.00' 100000.000 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

l El - 14 '

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 5.01 102329.299 99.3610% 99.9900 %

5.02 104712.855 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

5.03 107151.931 99.3610% 99.9900%

5.04 109647.820 99.3610% 99.9900 %

5.05 l

112201.845 99.3610 % 99.9900 % )

5.06 114815.362 99.3610 % 99.9900 %

5.07 117489.755 99.3750 % 99.9903 %

5.08 120226.443 99.4140% 99.9910 %

5.09 123026.877 99.4140 % 99.9910 %

5.10 125892.541 99.4140% 99.9910 %

5.11 128824.955 99,4300 % 99.9913 %. I 5.12 131825.674 99.4300 % 99.9913%

l 5.13 134896.288 99.4300 % 99.9913 %

5.14 138038.426 99.4300 % 99.9913 %

5.15 141253.754 99.4300% 99.9913% ,

5.16 144543.977 99.4300% 99.9913 %

5.17 147910.839 99.4800% 99.9922 %

! 5.18 151356.125 99.4800% 99.9922 % j 5.19 154881.662 99.4960% 99.9925%

5.20 158489.319' 99.5060 % 99.9926 %

l 5.21 162181.010 99.5680% 99.9935 %

l 5.22 165958.691 99.5680% 99.9935%

l 5.23 169824.365 99.5680% 99.9935 % I 5.24 173780.083 99.6180 % 99.9943 %

5.25 177827.941 99.6280% 99.9944 %

g 5.26 181970.086 99.6800 % 99.9952 %

5.27 186208.714 99.6800 % 99.9952 %

5.28 190546.072 99.6880% 99.9954 %

5.29 194984.460 99.6880 % 99.9954 %

5.30 199526.231 99.7510 % 99.9963%

5.31 204173.794 99.7540 % 99.9963 % '

5.32 208929.613 99.7540 % 99.9963 %  !

5.33 213796.209 99.7790% 99.9967 % )

5.34 218776.162 99.7980 % 99.9970 %

5.35 223872.114 99.8190% 99.9973 %

5.36 229086.765 99.8340% 99.9975 %

El - 15

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima - ALL-5.37 234422.882 99.8340% 99.9975 %

5.38. 239883.292 99.8520 % 99.9978% 1 5.39 245470.892 99.8710 % 99.9981 %

5.40 251188.643 99.8710 % 99.9981 %

5.41 257039.578 99.8880 % 99.9983 %

5.42 263026.799 99.8880% 99.9983%

5.43 '269153.480 99.8880 % 99.9983%

5.44 275422.870 99.8960 % 99.9985%

5.45 281838.293 99.8960 % 99.9985%

5.46 288403.150 99.8960 % 99.9985%

, 5.47 295120.923 99.8980 % 99.9985%

5.48 301995.172 99.9000 % 99.9985%

5.49 309029.543 99.9000 % 99.9985%

5.50 316227.766 99.9020 % 99.9986 %

5.51 323593.657 99.9020 % 99.9986 %

5.52 331131.121 99.9020 % 99.9986 % ;

5.53 338844.156 99.9020 % 99.9986 % ,

5.54 346736.850. 99.9020 % 99.9986 %

5.55 354813.389 99.9090 % 99.9987 %

5.56 363078.055 99.9100 % 99.9987 %

5.57 371535.229 99.9100 % 99.9987 %

5.58 380189.396 99.9100 % 99.9987 % j 5.59- 389045.145 99.9100 % 99.9987% j 5.60 398107.171 99.9100 % 99.9987 %

5.61 407380.278 99.9170 % 99.9988 %

5.62 416869.383 99.9170 % 99.9988 %

5.63 426579.519 99.9180 % 99.9988 % l 5.64 436515.832 99.9220 % 99.9988 % l 5.65 446683.592 99.9300 % 99.9990%  !

5.66 457088.190 99.9410 % 99.9991 % )

5.67 467735.141 99.9510 % 99.9993%

5.68 478630.092 99.9590 % 99.9995%  !

5.69 '489778.819 99.9590 % 99.9995%

5.70 501187.234 99.9840 % 99.9998%

5.71 512861.384 99.9880 % 99.9999%

5.72 524807.460- 99.9940% 99.9999%

E1-16

Farley 1, EOC 16 CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 5.73 537031.796 99.9950% 99.9999 %

5.74 549540.874 99.9980% 100.0000 %

5.75 562341.325 100.0000% 100.0000%

5.76 575439.937 100.0000% 100.0000%

5.77 588843.655 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.78 602559.586- 100.0000% 100.0000 %

'5.79 616595.002 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.80 630957.344 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.81 645654.229 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.82 660693.448 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.83 676082.975 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.84 691830.971 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.85 707945.784 100.0000 % 100.0000%

5.86 724435.960 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.87 741310.241 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.88 758577.575 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.89 776247.117 100.0000% 100.0000% l 5.90 794328.235 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.91 812830.516 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.92 831763.771 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.93 851138.038 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.94 870963.590 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.95 891250.938 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.96 912010.839' 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.97 933254.301 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.98 954992.586 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.99 977237.221 100.0000% 100.0000 %

6.00 1000000.000 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

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I Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 0.01 1.023 0.0000 % 19.6109%

0.02 1.047 0.0000 % 25.7474 %

0.03 1.072 0.0000 % 36.3749 %

0.04 1.096 0.0000 % 48.4734 %

0.05 1.122 0.0000 % 60.1275 %

0.06 1.148 0.0000 % 69.7492%

0.07 1.175 0.0010 % 77.1317 %

0.08 1.202 0.0020% 82.7176 %

0.09 1.230 0.0170% 87.0365 %

0.10 1.259 0.1540% 90.2683 %

0.11 1.288 0.7130% 92.6141 %

0.12 1.318 2.1930% 94.2357 % l 0.13 1.349 4.8950 % 95.4312 %

0.14 1.380 9.0220 % 96.3412 %

0.15 1.413 14.4630 % 97.0468 %

0.16 1.445 20.9250 % 97.6046 %

0.17 1.479 28.0250% 98.0452 %

O.18 1.514 35.3580 % 98.3966 %

0.19 1.549 42.5790% 98.6787 %

0.20 1.585 49.3360% 98.9069 % )

0.21 1.622 55.8130% 99.0955 %

0.22 1.660 61.6120% 99.2486 %

0.23 1.698 66.7740 % 99.3746 %

0.24 1.738 71.3040 % 99.4775%

0.25 1.778 75.3520 % 99.5621 %

0.26 1.820 78.9340% 99.6327 %

0.27 1.862 82.0220 % 99.6909 %

0.28 1.905 84.5330 % 99.7385 %

0.29 1.950 86.7510 % 99.7783 %

0.30 1.995 88.6530% 99.8122 % l 0.31 2.042 90.2620 % 99.8404 % l 0.32 2.089 91.6730 % 99.8637 % l 0.33 2.138 92.8070 % 99.8831 % 4 0.34 2.188 93.7710 % 99.8991 %

0.35 2.239 94.6100 % 99.9123 %

0.36 2.291 95.2780 % 99.9235%

0.37 2.344 95.8320% 99.9328 %

0.38 2.399 96.2830 % 99.9404 %

0.39 2.455 96.6880 % 99.9470 %

0.40 2.512 97.0600% 99.9528 %

Mp Hot Zone 100Kxis [Mp.144. Data] Pag 61 Of 15 RFK* 7/30/99,1:38 PM

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL l 0.41 2.570 97.3530 % 99.9575 %

0.42 2.630 97.5830 % 99.9613 % ,

0.43 2.692 97.7870 % 99.9644 %

0.44 2.754 97.9310 % 99.9669 %

0.45 2.818 98.0950 % 99.9694 %

0.46 2.884 98.2360 % 99.9717 %

0.47 2.951 98.3480 % 99.9735 %

0.48 3.020 98.4400 % 99.9750% 1 0.49 3.090 98.5350 % 99.9765%

0.50 3.162 98.6260 % 99.9779 %

0.51 3.236 98.7050 % 99.9792 %

0.52 3.311 98.7770 % 99.9802 %

0.53 3.388 98.8350 % 99.9812 %

0.54 3.467 98.8810 % 99.9821 %

0.55 3.548 98.9190 % 99.9827 %

i 0.56 3.631 98.9630 % 99.9834 % l l 0.57 3.715 99.0040 % 99.9841 %

0.58 3.802 99.0480 % 99.9847 %

0.59 3.890 99.0700 % 99.9851 %

0.60 3.981 99.1000 % 99.9855 %

0.61 4.074 99.1220% 99.9858 %

0.62 4.169 99.1430% 99.9862 %

0.63 4.266 99.1650% 99.9865 %

0.64 4.365 99.1800 % 99.9868 %

0.65 4.467 99.2000 % 99.9872 %

0.66 4.571 99.2200 % 99.9875 %

0.67 4.677 99.2440% 99.9878 %

0.68 4.786 99.2580 % 99.9881 %

L 0.69 4.898 99.2740% 99.9883 % l 0.70 5.012 99.2890 % 99.9886 %

0.71 5.129 99.3050 % 99.9888 %

l 0.72 5.248 99.3210 % 99.9891 %

l 0.73 5.370 99.3330 % 99.9893 %  ;

0.74 5.495 99.3490% 99.9896 %

0.75 5.623 99.3590 % 99.9898 % I 0.76 5.754 99.3740% 99.9900 %

0.77 5.888 99.3870 % 99.9902 %  ;

0.78 6.026 99.3970 % 99.9903 %

0.79 6.166 99.4070 % 99.9905%

-0.80 6.310 99.4160% 99.9907 %?

up Hat ze 1ooKm [up.1uost.) Page 2 of 15 nrx:7/ solos,i:38 Pu '

y

c l Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes l Tearing Cumulative Distributions l Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL l

0.81 6.457 99.4280 % 99.9908%

l 0.82 6.607 99.4360 % 99.9909%

0.83 6.761 99.4460 % 99.9911 %

l 0.84 6.918 99.4560% 99.9912 %

0.85 7.079 99.4660 % 99.9914 %

0.86 7.244 99.4750% 99.9915% ]

0.87 7.413 99.4850% 99.9917 %

0.88 7.586 99.4920% 99.9918%

0.89 7.762 99.5000 % 99.9919 % i 0.90 7.943 99.5070 % 99.9920 %

0.91 8.128 99.5170 % 99.9921 %

0.92 8.318 99.5270 % 99.9922 %

0.93 4511 99.5290% 99.9923 %

0.94 8.710 99.5360% 99.9924 %

0.95 8.913 99.5420% 99.9925% l 0.96 9.120 99.5480 % 99.9926 % l l 0.97 9.333 99.5540 % 99.9927 % I 0.98 9.550 99.5580 % 99.9927 %

0.99 9.772 99.5640% 99.9928%

1.00 10.000 99.5720% 99.9930 %

1.01 10.233 99.5780 % 99.9931 %

1.02 10.471 99.5840% 99.9932 %

1.03 10.715 99.5880% 99.9933 %

1.04 10.965 99.5920% 99.9933 %

1.05 11.220 99.5950% 99.9934 %

1.06 11.482 99.6000% 99.9935%

1.07 11.749 99.6050 % 99.9936 %

1.08 12.023 99.6100% 99.9937 %

1.09 12.303 99.6150% 99.9937 %

1.10 12.589 99.6220% 99.9938 %

1.11 12.882 99.6260 % 99.9939 %

1.12 13.183 99.6280% 99.9939 %

1.13 13.490 99.6340 % 99.9940 %

l 1.14 13.804 99.6370 % 99.9940 %

1.15 14.125 99.6400 % 99.9941 %

1.16 14.454 99.6420% 99.9941 %

1.17 14.791 99.6470 % 99.9942 %

1.18 15.136 99.6510% 99.9943 %

1.19 15.488 99.6540% 99.9943 %

1.20 15.849 99.6580 % 99.9944 %

Mp Hot Zone 100K.xis [Mp.144. Data] Page 3 of 15 RFx 7/30/99,1:38 PM

l Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 1.21 16.218 99.6590% 99.9944 %

1.22 16.596 99.6620% 99.9944 %

1.23 16.982 99.6650 % 99.9945 %

1.24 17.378 99.6670 % 99.9946 %

1.25 17.783 99.6690 % 99.9946 %

1.26 18.197 99.6720% 99.9947 %

1.27 18.621 99.6740 % 99.9947 %

1.28 19.055 99.6750% 99.9947 %  ;

1.29 19.498 99.6790% 99.9948 %

1.30 19.953 99.6820 % 99.9948%

1.31 20.417 99.6840% 99.9948%

1.32 20.893 99.6880% 99.9949 %  !

1.33 21.380 99.6880% 99.9949 %

1.34 21.878 99.6890 % 99.9949% j 1.35 22.387 99.6900 % 99.9950 %

1.36 22.909 99.6930 % 99.9950 % i 1.37 23.442 99.6950  % 99.9950 %

1.38 23.988 99.6970 % 99.9951 %

1.39 24.547 99.6980 % 99.9951 %

1.40 25.119 99.6980% 99.9951 % 4 1.41 25.704 99.7010% 99.9952 %

1.42 26.303 99.7030% 99.9952 %

1.43 26.915 99.7030% 99.9952 %

1.44 27.542 99.7060% 99.9952 %

1.45 3 28.184 99.7060% 99.9952 %

1.46 28.840 99.7080 % 99.9953 %

1.47 29.512 99.7100 % 99.9953 %

1.48 30.200 99.7110 % 99.9953 %

1.49 30.903 99.7120% 99.9954 %

1.50 31.623 99.7130 % 99.9954 %

1.51 32.359 99.7140% 99.9954 %

1.52 33.113 99.7150% 99.9954 %

1.53 33.884 99.7180% 99.9955%

1.54 34.674 99.7180% 99.9955%

1.55 35.481 99.7210% 99.9955 %

1.56 36.308 99.7220 % 99.9955 %

1.57 37.154 99.7230% 99.9955 %

1.58 38.019 99.7270% 99.9956 %

1.59 38.905 99.7280% 99.9956 %

i 1.60 39.811 99.7300 % 99.9956 %

Mp Hot Zone 100K.xis [Mp.144. Data) Page 4 of 15 RFK: 7/30/99.1:38 PM l

p i

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Teanng  ;

Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 1.61 40.738 99.7320 % 99.9956 %

. 1.62 41.687 99.7320 % 99.9956 %

! 1.63 42.658 99.7360% 99.9956 %

1.64 43.652 99.7360 % 99.9957 %

1.65 44.668 99.7380% 99.9957 %

1.66 45.709 99.7380 % 99.9957 %

1.67 46.774 99.7390% 99.9957 %

l 1.68 47.863 99.7400 % 99.9957 %

1.69 48.978 99.7420 % 99.9958 %

1.70 50.119 99.7430 % 99.9958%

1.71 51.286 99.7440% 99.9958%

1.72 52.481 99.7450% 99.9958%

1.73 53.703 99.7450 % 99.9958 %

1.74 54.954 99.7450% 99.9958%

1.75 56.234 99.7460% 99.9958%

1.76 57.544 99.7470 % 99.9959 % i 1.77 58.884 99.7480% 99.9959 %

1.78 60.256 99.7480% 99.9959 %

1.79 61.660 99.7490% 99.9959%

1.80 63.096 99.7490% 99.9959 %

1,81 64.565 99.7500% 99.9959 %

1.82 66.069 99.7500% 99.9959 %

l 1.83 67.608 99.7510% 99.9959 %

1.84 69.183 99.7530 % 99.9959 %

1.85 70.795 99.7540% 99.9959 % i 1.86 72.444 99.7550% 99.9960 %

1.87 74.131 99.7550% 99.9960 %

1.88 75.858 99.7560% 99.9960 %

1.89 77.625 99.7590% 99.9960 %

1.90 79.433 99.7600% 99.9960 %

1.91 81.283 99.7610% 99.9960 %

1.92 83.176 99.7620% 99.9961 %

1.93 85.114 99.7620% 99.9961 %

1.94 87.096 99.7630% 99.9961 %

l 1.95 89.125 99.7650% 99.9961 %

l 1.96 91.201 99.7670 % 99.9961 %

j 1.97 93.325 99.7670% 99.9961 %

l 1.98 95.499 99.7670% 99.9961 %

1.99 97.724 99.7670 % 99.9961 %

2.00 100.000 99.7700% 99.9961 %

Mp Hot Zone 100K.xis [Mp.144. Data] Page 5 of 15 RFK 7/30/99.1:38 PM

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.01 102.329 99.7700 % 99.9962 %

2.02 104.713 99.7700% 99.9962 %

2.03 107.152 99.7710% 99.9962 %

2.04 109.648 99.7710% 99.9962 %

2.05 112.202 99.7710% 99.9962 %

2.06 114.815 99.7720% 99.9962 %

2.07 117.490 99.7720 39.9962 %

2.08 120.226 99.7720,[ 99.9962 %

2.09 123.027 99.7730% 99.9962 %

2.10 125.893 99.7730% 99.9962 %

2.11 128.825 99.7730% 99.9962 %

2.12 131.826 99.7730% 99.9962 %

2.13 134.896 99.7730 % 99.9962 % .

2.14 138.038 99.7740% 99.9962 %

2.15 141.254 99.7740% 99.9962 %

2.16 144.544 99.7760 % 99.9963%

2.17 147.911 99.7760 % 99.9963% i 2.18 151.356 99.7760% 99.9963 %

2.19 154.882 99.7770 % 99.9963 %

2.20 158.489 99.7770 % 99.9963 %

2.21 162.181 99.7780% 99.9963 %

2.22 165.959 99.7780 % 99.9963 %

2.23- 169.824 99.7780% 99.9963 %

2.24 173.780 99.7790 % 99.9963 %

2.25 177.828 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.26 181.970 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.27 186.209 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.28 190.546 99.7790 % 99.9963 %

2.29 194.984 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.30 199.526 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.31 204.174 99.7790 % 99.9963%

2.32 208.930 99.7790% 99.9963%

2.33 213.796 99.7790% 99.9963%

2.34 218.776 99.7790% 99.9963 %

2.35 223.872 99.7790% 99.9964 %

2.36 229.087 99.7790% 99.9964 %

2.37 234.423 99.7790% 99.9964 %

2.38 239.883 99.7790% 99.9964 %

2.39 245.471 99.7790 % 99.9964 %

2.40 251.189 99.7790% 99.9964 %

up Hot zon.1ook.m tup.1u om.) Page 6 of 15 RFK: 7/30/99,1:36 PM

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.41 257.040 99.7790% 99.9964 %

2.42 263.027 99.7790 % 99.9964 %

l 2.43 269.153 99.7800% 99.9964 %

2.44 275.423 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.45 281.838 99.7800% 99.9964 %

2.46 288.403 99.7800% 99.9964 %

2.47 295.121 99.7800% 99.9964 %

2.48 301.995 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.49 309.030 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.50 316.228 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.51 323.594 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.52 331.131 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.53 338.844 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.54 346.737 99.7800 % 99.9964 %

2.55 354.813 99.7810 % 99.9964 %

2.56 363.078 99.7810% 99.9964 %

2.57 371.535 99.7810 % 99.9964 %

2.58 380.189 99.7810 % 99.9964 %

2.59 389.045 99.7810% 99.9964 %

2.60 398.107 99.7810% 99.9964 %

2.61 407.380 99.7810% 99.9964 %

2.62 416.869 99.7810 % 99.9964 %

2.63 426.580 99.7820% 99.9965%

2.64 436.516 99.7830 % 99.9965 %

2.65 446.684 99.7830 % 99.9965%

2.66 457.088 99.7830 % 99.9965%

2.67 467.735 99.7830 % 99.9965%

2.68 478.630 99.7830 % 99.9965%

2.69 489.779 99.7840% 99.9965%

2.70 501.187 99.7840 % 99.9965 %

2.71 512.861 99.7840% 99.9965%

2.72 524.807 99.7840 % 99.9965% )

2.73 537.032 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.74 549.541 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.75 562.341 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.76 575.440 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.77 588.844 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.78 602.560 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.79 616.595 99.7840% 99.9965 %

2.80 630.957 99.7840% 99.9965 %

up Hat zone tooKe tup.iuomj Page 7 of 15 Rrx 7/30/99,1:38 PM

m- i

)

i t

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing I f

Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 2.81 645.654 99.7840 % 99.9965%

2.82 660.693 99.7840 % 99.9965%

l 2.83 676.083 99.7840% 99.9965%

l 2.84 691.831 99.7840 % 99.9965%

l 2.85 707.946 99.7840 % 99.9965%

2.86 724.436 99.7840 % 99.9965 %

l 2.87 741.310 99.7840 % 99.9965%

l 2.88 758.578 99.7840 % 99.9965%

l l 2.89 776.247 99.7840 % 99.9965%

2.90 794.328 99.7850 % 99.9965%

i 2.91 812.831 99.7860 % 99.9965%

i 2.92 831.764 99.7860 % 99.9965%

2.93 851.138 99.7860 % 99.9965%

i 2.94 870.964 99.7860 % 99.9965%

2.95 891.251 99.7860 % 99.9965%

i 2.96 912.011 99.7860 % 99.9965%

l 2.97 933.254 99.7860 % 99.9965%

2.98 954.993 99.7860 % 99.9965%

2.99 977.237 99.7860 % 99.9965%

3.00 1000.000 99.7860 % 99.9965%

3.01 1023.293 99.7860 % 99.9965%  !

3.02 1047.129 99.7860% 99.9965%

l 3.03 1071.519 99.7860 % 99.9965%

I 3.04 1096.478 99.7860 % 99.9965%

3.05 1122.018 99.7860 % 99.9965%

3.06 1148.154 99.7860 % 99.9965 %

, 3.07 1174.898 99.7860 % 99.9965 %

3.08 1202.264 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.09 1230.269 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.10 1258.925 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

l 3.11 1288.250 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

! 3.12 1318.257 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.13 1348.963 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.14 1380.384 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.15 1412.538 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.16 1445.440 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.17 1479.108 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.18 1513.561 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.19 1548.817 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.20 1584.893 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

up Hot zone iooKxi.[up.1*o.t.j Page 8 of 15 RFK: 7/30/99,1:38 PM t

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 3.21 1621.810 99.7860% 99.9966 %

3.22 1659.587 99.7860 % 99.9966 %

3.23 1698.244 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.24 1737.801 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.25 1778.279 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.26 1819.701 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.27 1862.087 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.28 1905.461 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.29 1949.845 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.30 1995.262 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.31 2041.738 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.32 2089.296 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.33 2137.962 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.34 2187.762 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.35 2238.721 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.36 2290.868 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.37 2344.229 99.7870 % 99.9966%

3.38 2398.833 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.39 2454.709 99.7870% 99.9966 %

3.40 2511.886 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.41 2570.396 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.42 2630.268 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.43 2691.535 99.7870 % 99.9966 %

3.44 2754.229 99.7880 % 99.9966%

3.45 2818.383 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.46 2884.032 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.47 2951.209 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.48 3019.952 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.49 3090.295 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.50 3162.278 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.51 3235.937 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.52 3311.311 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.53 3388.442 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.54 3467.369 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.55 3548.134 99.7880 % 99.9966%

3.56 3630.781 99.7880% 99.9966 % i 3.57 3715.352 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.58 3801.894 99.7880% 99.9966 % I 3.59 3890.451 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.60 -3981.072 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

up Hot zone 1oox.* tup.su.o.t.) Page 9 of 15 RFK 7/30/99,1:38 PM l

l Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL l

3.61 4073.803 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.62 4168.694 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

l 3.63 4265.795 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

l 3.64 4365.158 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.65 4466.836 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.66 4570.882 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.67 4677.351 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.68 4786.301 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.69 4897.788 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.70 5011.872 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.71 5128.614 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.72 5248.075 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.73 5370.318 -99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.74 5495.409 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.75 5623.413 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.76 5754.399 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.77 5888.437 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.78 6025.596 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.79 6165.950 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.80 6309.573 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.81 6456.542 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.82 6606.934 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.83 6760.830 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.84 6918.310 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.85 7079.458- 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.86 7244.360 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.87 7413.102 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

I 3.88 7585.776 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

l 3.89 7762.471 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.90 7943.282 99.7880 % 99.9966%

3.91 8128.305 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.92 8317.638 99.7880% 99.9966 %

8511.380 3.93 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.94 8709.636 99.7880% 99.9966%

3.95 8912.509 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.96 9120.108 99.7880% 99.9966 %

3.97 9332.543 99.7880 % 99.9966 %

3.98 9549.926 99.7890% 99.9966 %

! 3.99 9772.372 99.7890% 99.9966 %

l 4.00 10000.000 99.7890% 99.9966 %

Mp Hd Zone 100K.xis [Mp 144. Data) Page 10 of 15 RFK; 7/30/99,1:38 PM

Far'ay 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 4.01 10232.930 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.02 -10471.285 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.03 10715.193 99.7890 % 99.9966 % .'- <

4.04 10964.782 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.05 11220.185 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.06 11481.536 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.07 11748.976 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.08 12022.644 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.09 12302.688 99.7890 % 99.9966 % l 4.10 12589.254 99.7890 % 99.996- -

4.11 12882.496 99.7890 % 99.9V 4.12 13182.567 99.7890 % 99.9' g 4.13 13489.629 99.7890 % 99.9960 %

4.14 13803.843 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.15 14125.375 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.16 14454.398 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.17 14791.084 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.18 15135.612 99.7890 % 99.9966 % l 4.19 15488.166 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.20 15848.932 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.21 16218.1017 39.7890 % 99.9966 % f 4.22 16595.869' ' 99.7890 % 99.9966 % )

4.23 16982.437 90.7890 % 99.9966 % )'

4.24 17378.008 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.25 17782.794 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.26 18197.009 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.27 18620.871 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.28 19054.607 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.29 19498.446 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.30 19952.623 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.31 20417.379 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.32 20892.961- 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.33 21379.621 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.34 '21877.616 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.35 22387.211 99.7890 % 99.9966 %  ;

4.36 22908.677 99.7890 % 99.9966 % l 4.37 23442.288 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.38 23988.329 99.7890 % 99.9966 % >

4.39 24547.089 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.40 25118.864 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

Mp Hot Zone 100K.h [Mp.14.Dm] Page 11'of 15 RFK: 7/30/99,1:38 PM I

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 4.41 25703.958 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.42 26302.680 99.7890% 99.9966 %

_,_4.43 26915.348 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.44 27542.287 99.7890% 99.9966%

4.45 28183.829 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.46 28840.315 99.7890% 99.9966%

4.47 29512.092 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.48 30199.517 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.49 30902.954 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.50 31622.777 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.51 32359.366 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.52 33113.112 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.53 33884.416 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.54 34673.685 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.55 35481.339 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.56 36307.805 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.57 37153.523 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.58 38018.940 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.59 38904.514 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.60 39810.717 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.61 40738.028 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.62 41686.938 99.7890% 99.9966%

4.63 42657.952 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.64 43651.583 99.7890% 99.9966%

4.65 44668.359 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.66 45708.819 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.67 46773.514 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.68 47863.009 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.69 48977.882 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.70 50118.723 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.71 51286.138 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.72 52480.746 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.73 53703.180 99.7890% 99.9966%

4.74 54954.087 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.75 56234.133 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.76 57543.994 99.7890% 99.9966%

_ 4.77 58884.3SS 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.78 60255.959 99.7890% 99.9966%

__ 4.79 61659.500 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.80 63095.734 99.7890% 99.9966 %

Mp Hot Zone 100K.xis [Mp.144 Data] Page 12 of 15 RFK 7/30/99,1:38 PM

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 4.81 64565.423 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.82 66069.345 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.83 67608.298 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.84 69183.097 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.85 70794.578 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.86 72443.596 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.87 74131.024 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.88 75857.758 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.89 77624.712 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.90 79432.823 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.91 81283.052 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.92 83176.377 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.93 85113.804 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.94 87096.359 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.95 89125.094 99.7890 % 99.9966%

4.96 91201.084 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.97 93325.430 99.7890% 99.9966 %

4.98 95499.259 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

4.99 97723.722 99.7890% 99.0966 %

5.00 100000.000 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

5.01 102329.299 99.7890% 99.9966 %

5.02 104712.855 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

5.03 107151.931 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

5.04 109647.820 99.7890% 99.9966 %

5.05 112201.845 99.7890 % 99.9966 %

5.06 114815.362 99.7890% 99.9966 %

5.07 117489.755 99.7900% 99.9967 %

5.08 120226.443 99.8010 % 99.9968%

5.09 123026.877 99.8010 % 99.9968%

5.10 125892.541 99.8010 % 99.9968 %

5.11 128824.955 99.8040 % 99.9969 %

5.12 131825.674 99.8040 % 99.9969%

5.13 134896.288 99.8040 % 99.9969%

5.14 138038.426 99.8040 % 99.9969%

5.15 141253.754 99.8040% 99.9969%

5.16 144543.977 99.8040 % 99 9969%

5.17 147910.839 99.8090 % 99.9969%

5.18 151356.125 99.8090 % 99.9969%

5.19 154881.662 99.8160 % 99.9971 %

5.20 158489.319 99.8350 % 99.9973%

Mp Hot Zone 100Kxis [Mp.1MDataj Page 13 of 15 RFK 7/30/99,1:38 PM

Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100.,000 l Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes l

Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL j 5.21 162181.010 99.8690% 99.9978 %  !

5.22 165958.691 99.8690 % 99.9978%

5.23 169824.365 99.8690 % 99.9978 %

l 5.24 173780.083 99.9110 % 99.9984 %

5.25 177827.941 99.9120 % 99.9985%

5.26 181970.086 99.9260 % 99.9987 %

5.27 186208.714 99.9260 % 99.9987 %

5.28 190546.072 99.9350 % 99.9988%

5.29 194984.460 99.9350 % 99.9988 %

5.30 199526.231 99.9620 % 99.9993 %

5.31 204173.794 99.9620 % 99.9993 %  !

5.32 208929.613 99.9620 % 99.9993 %

5.33 213796.209 99.9640 % 99.9993%

5.34 218776.162 99.9660 % 99.9994 %

5.35 223872.114 99.9710 % 99.9995 %

5.36 229086.765 99.9720 % 99.9995 %

5.37 234422.882 99.9720 % 99.9995 %

5.38 239883.292 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.39 245470.892 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.40 251188.643 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.41 257039.578 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.42 263026.799 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.43 269153.480 99.9730 % 99.9996 %

5.44 275422.870 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.45 281838.293 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.46 288403.150 _99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.47 295120.923 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.48 301995.172 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

, 5.49 309029.543 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.50 316227.766 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.51 323593.657 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.52 331131.121 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.53 338844.156 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.54 346736.850 99.9750 % 99.99M%

5.55 354813.389 99.9750% 99.9996 %

5.56 363078.055 99.9750% 99.9996 %

5.57 371535.229 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.58 380189.396 _

99.9750% 99.9996 %

5.59 589045.145 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.60 398107.171 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

Mp Hot Zone 100Kxts [Mp.144. Data] Page 14 of 15 RFK 7/30/99,1:38 PM

)

i Farley 1,144 EFPD CDF of Ligament Tearing Bulging Factors, N=100,000 j Severe Accident Hot Zone Tubes Tearing Cumulative Distributions Log (Mp) Mp Maxima ALL 5.61 407380.278 99.9750 % 99.9996 %

5.62 416869.383 99.9750% 99.9996 %

5.63 426579.519 99.9750 % 99.9996 %  !

5.64 436515.832 99.9800 % 99.9997 %

5.65 446683.592 99.9880% 99.9998 % '

5.66 457088.190 99.9950 % 99.9999 %

5.67 467735.141 99.9990 % 100.0000 %

l 5.68 478630.092 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.69 489778.819 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.70 501187.234 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.71 512861.384 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.72 524807.460 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

l 5.73 537031.796 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.74 549540.874 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.75 562341.325 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.76 575439.937 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.77 588843.655 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.78 602559.586 100.0000 % 100.0000 % l 5.79 616595.002 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.80 630957.344 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.81 645654.229 100.0000 % 100.0000 % l 5.82 660693.448 100.0000 % 100.0000 % j 5.83 676082.975 100.0000% 100.0000 % 1 5.84 691830.971 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.85 707945.784 100.0000 % 100.0000 % i 5.86 724435.960 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.87 741310.241 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.88 758577.575 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

l 5.89 776247.117 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

l 5.90 794328.235 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.91 812830.516 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.92 831763.771 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.93 851138.038 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.94 870963.590 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.95 891250.938 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.96 912010.839 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.97 933254.301 100.0000% 100.0000 %

5.98 954992.586 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

5.99 977237.221 100.0000 % 100.0000 %

6.00 1000000.000 100.0000% 100.0000 %

l up Hat zone iooKxi. [up.144. cat.) Page 15 of 15 RFK 7/30/99,1:38 PM

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