ML19305D978
| ML19305D978 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Prairie Island  |
| Issue date: | 04/30/1980 |
| From: | NORTHERN STATES POWER CO. |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML19305D976 | List: |
| References | |
| NUDOCS 8004170059 | |
| Download: ML19305D978 (18) | |
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"fb EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES From Areas Near the Prairia Island Nuclear Generating Plant s
F Prepared by , Northern States Power Company 414 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN 55401 l April, 1980 l l 897417095%f
. 6 EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES Table of Contents Page ;
General. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Evacuation Preparation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . .2 Confirmation of Evacuation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 - Method Used for Determining Time Estimates. . . . . . . . .. . . .3 l Special Facility Evacuation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 r Table Evacuation Time. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Map Sectors. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6-15 Appendix. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Exit Routes Vehicle Travel Rate I b 7 l __ i
PRAIRIE ISLAND NUCLEAR GENERATING PLANT Evacuation Time Estimates General The estimated time required for evacuation of people from areas near nuclear power reactors is in response to a letter from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (B Grimes) dated November 29, 1979, with an attached guidance titled, " Request for evacuation time estimates (after notification) for areas near nuclear power plants." The estimated time provided herein for both the best conditions and adverse conditions are times required to travel from a residence located within a specific sector, along a predetermined route, to a designated established location outside the sector being evacuated. The state plan now calls for evacuation to a 10 mile distance. In all cases, every evacuation sector defined in this study emanates from the reactor site outward to the prescribed radius. These estimates were developed under the auspices of the Minnesota Department of Public Safety, Division of Emergency Services, with assistance from the Minnesota Department of Transportation, Emergency Operations Section, who furnished road traffic volume numbers and certain reasonable assumptions in developing the method used for determining the time estimates as outlined in the attachments. Also the Wisconsin Department of Transportation, Crisis Relocation Section, confirmed the concepts used in developing the method. t j e
The Table identifies the 10 sectors et the ganarating plant, the estimated 1980 population involved, exit routes from each sector, and the evacuation time and confirmation time required in each sector. The ten maps show the area stated in the table and repeat the f population, evacuation time, and confirmation time required. Evacuation Preparation It is assumed a prior alert will provide time to prepare for the evacuation and therefore the estimates for the general evacuation do not include any time for preparation. These times could vary from packing a hasty bag (20 minutes) to feeding livestock (several hours). One special evacuation problem is the unwilling evacuee, who must be notified of alternate protective action, such as informing him by message to remain inside with windows and doors closed. . L Confirmation of Evacuation Present plans (state and local) do not address this need specifically; however, during discussions regarding evacuations of residents, a door-to-door check was considered. The time listed in the table for confirmation assumes a reasonable number of emergency vehicles available to perform this task. I
l . . METHOD USED FOR DETERMINING TIME ESTIMATES A process using population densities, local geography, and road capabilities has been used to determine the evacuation times. I
- 1. The Minnesota Department of Transportation (MDOT) emergency operations, assumes that each vehicle carries two occupants
- average, so all sector population is divided by two in order to determine the vehicles required to evacuate that sector.
i
- 2. Exit routes are assigned traffic volume capacity amounts in
" vehicles per hour capacity" (VPHC).-
- 3. Vehicle travel rate over exit roads are assigned a spaed (MPH) according to the area; it being " rural" or " urban."
- 4. Adverse conditions; bad weather and seasonal road conditions according to MDOT should increase the evacuation time by 30 percent.
- 5. If the number of vehicles (half the sector population) is less than the VPHC for the exit route, the time for evacuation depends on the vehicle travel rate. Using the above concepts, ,
the evacuation time estimates have been developed. 1 Special Facilities Evacuation : The Emergency Medical Services Section of the Minnesota Department of Health provided the names of hospitals and nursing homes within the 10 mile radius of tb- quclear plants and provided times required , to load and transport pas *2nts. There are no Wisconsin hospitals or t nursing homes within the 10 mile radius of the Prairie Island Plant, although two nursing homes are located just outside that radius (10.5 ! miles). [ l
.._s_ __
Estimated Time Required (Minutes) Sequence of Events 400 - 450 Patients Incident
- Notification of MDH, EMS i
Section 20*
- Notification of Risk Facilities 10*
- Request for Transportation 5
- Transport Vehicles to Risk Facilities 60
- Loading Time 180
- Transport to Host Area 60 -
335 minutes or . 5 hours 35 minutes This estimate makes the assumption that weather conditions are good and the use of enough vehicles to transport everyone without return trips. For the adverse time required to evacuate the above facilities, the 30 percent increase in time used for general evacuation is reasonable. It is assumed that confirmation of removal would be an integral part of the evacuation process carried out at each of the Special Facilities.
*The notification times were included in this Special Facility Evacuation (; stimate developed by the Minnesota Department of Health.
L_
n; -- - .- . - . . - - - - - . . . - . . - . _= ._ _ . _ _ _ . .- - - . - . Table
- EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES IN THE AREA NEAR THE PRAIRIE ISLAND NUCLEAR GENERATING PLANT Evacuation Time Evac Zone Sectors (minutes)
M;p Distance Degree Sectors Population Exist Routes Best/ Adverse / Confirm P.- 1 0 - 2 miles 180 NW-ESE 238 Co Rd E 15/20/40 P-2 0 - 2 miles 180 SE-WNW 111 Co Rd 18 15/20/40 P -'3 0 - 5 miles 90 NW-NNE 370 Co Rd E, 00, 0 30/40/80 P-4 0 - 5 miles 90 NE-ESE 610 Co Rd E, 0, K 30/40/80 P-5 0 - 5 miles 90 SE-SSW 2302 Co Rd 46, 53-T.H.-61 T.H. -19 40/52/100 P-6 0 - 5 miles 90 SW-WNW 378 Co Rd 4C, 18 T.H.-61 30/40/80 P-7 0 - 10 miles 90 NW- NNE 2153 Co Rd E, QQ, Q, 00, O T.H.-10 60/80/160
'P - 8 0 - 10 miles 90 NE-ESE 4355 Co Rd K, V, C, VV, EE T.H.-35 T.H.-63 50/65/130 P-9 0 - 10 miles 90 SE-SSW 14,016 Co Rd 53, 1, 41 T.H.-61 T.H.-19 T.H.-58 90/120/240 P- 10 0 - 10 miles 90 SW-WNW 1790 Co Rd 1 T.H.-61 T.H.-316 T.H.-19 60/80/160
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l Appendix EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES Prairie Island Nuclear Generating Plant ,
Exit Routes Vehicles / hour Capacity (VPHC)
Minnesota Roads:
Trunk Highway 61 5200
; Trunk Highway 19 1100 Trunk Highway 58 2350 Trunk Highway 316 2500 County Road No's. 1, 18, !
41, 46, 53 2350 ,
Wisconsin Roads:
l Trunk Highway 10 2500 '
Trunk Highway 35 2000 Trunk Highway 63 2000 ,
County Road No's. E, K , V, C ,
O, Q and EE, 00, QQ, VV 1600 vehicle Travel Rate: IJ - 15 mph 1
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