ML17362A261

Part 02 Ssar (Rev. 1) - Part 2 - Ssar - Chapter 2 - Site Characteristics - Section 2.1 - Geography and Demography

ML17362A261
Person / Time
Site:	Clinch River
Issue date:	12/15/2017
From:	James Shea Tennessee Valley Authority
To:	Office of New Reactors
Fetter A
References
TVACLINCHRIVERESP, TVACLINCHRIVERESP.SUBMISSION.3, CRN.PART02, CRN.PART02.1, +reviewed
Download: ML17362A261 (41)

Text

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report SECTION 2.1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Title Page 2.1 Geography and Demography ........................................................................ 2.1-1 2.1.1 Site Location and Description ....................................................... 2.1-1 2.1.1.1 Specification of Location ............................................ 2.1-1 2.1.1.2 Site Area Map ............................................................ 2.1-2 2.1.2 Exclusion Area Authority and Control ........................................... 2.1-2 2.1.2.1 Authority ..................................................................... 2.1-3 2.1.2.2 Control of Activities Unrelated to Plant Operation ..... 2.1-3 2.1.2.3 Arrangements for Traffic Control ............................... 2.1-3 2.1.2.4 Abandonment or Relocation of Roads ....................... 2.1-3 2.1.3 Population Distribution .................................................................. 2.1-3 2.1.3.1 Population Within 10 Miles ........................................ 2.1-4 2.1.3.2 Population Between 10 and 50 Miles ........................ 2.1-4 2.1.3.3 Transient Population .................................................. 2.1-4 2.1.3.4 Low-Population Zone ................................................. 2.1-6 2.1.3.5 Population Center ...................................................... 2.1-7 2.1.3.6 Population Density ..................................................... 2.1-7 2.1.4 References ................................................................................... 2.1-8 2.1-i Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report SECTION 2.1 LIST OF TABLES Number Title 2.1-1 Counties Wholly or Partially Within the 50-mi Radius 2.1-2 Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km) 2.1-3 Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km) 2.1-4 Top Contributors to Transient Population Within the 50-mi (80 km)

Region 2.1-5 Peak Daily Projected Transient Population for Each Sector 0-50 mi (0-80 km) 2.1-6 National and State Parks Within 50 mi with Reported Visitor Data 2.1-7 2010 Population Distribution in the Low-Population Zone 2.1-ii Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report SECTION 2.1 LIST OF FIGURES Number Title 2.1-1 Site Map 2.1-2 Topographic Map 2.1-3 Vicinity Map 2.1-4 50-Mile Region 2.1-5 Exclusion Area Boundary 2.1-6 0-10 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-7 10-50 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-8 (Sheet 1 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-8 (Sheet 2 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-8 (Sheet 3 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-9 0-2 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-iii Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report 2.1 GEOGRAPHY AND DEMOGRAPHY This section of the Safety Analysis Report provides information regarding site location and description, including the distribution of infrastructure, natural features, and population in the area of the Clinch River Nuclear (CRN) Site. The discussion below is provided to address the guidance in NUREG-0800, Standard Review Plan for the Review of Safety Analysis Reports for Nuclear Power Plants: LWR Edition. Within this section, vicinity is defined as a 5-mile (mi) radius and region is defined as a 50-mi radius surrounding the site center point.

2.1.1 Site Location and Description 2.1.1.1 Specification of Location Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) proposes to construct and operate multiple small modular reactors (SMR) at the CRN Site in Roane County in the City of Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The CRN Site is illustrated in Figure 2.1-1, with key components, including the plant area and associated transmission structures, labeled. Prominent natural and man-made features, including rivers, lakes, state and county lines, industrial, and transportation facilities, are illustrated in Figures 2.1-1, 2.1-2, and 2.1-3. Figure 2.1-3 illustrates the features within the 5-mi vicinity of the site. Detailed information regarding nearby industrial, transportation, and military facilities is presented in Section 2.2.

The CRN Site lies within the 7.5 minute Elverton and Bethel Valley quadrangles. The quadrangles that bracket the site area are Camp Austin (northwest), Petros (north), Windrock (north), Clinton (northeast), Lovell (east), Concord (southeast), Lenoir City (south), Cave Creek (south), Bacon Gap (southwest), and Harriman (west). All quadrangles lie completely within the State of Tennessee (Reference 2.1-12).

The coordinates of the CRN Site center point are as follows:

Longitude and Latitude, North American Datum 1983 (Decimal Degrees) 35.890889 North 84.380927 West Universal Transverse Mercator Zone 16 North, North American Datum 1983 (Meters) 3,974,815.26 Northing 736,407.14 Easting The CRN Site is approximately 935 acres (ac) and is located on a peninsula formed by a meander in the Clinch River arm of the Watts Bar Reservoir. The approximately 1200-ac CRN Property is bounded on the east, south, and west by the Clinch River arm of the Watts Bar Reservoir, and on the north by the U.S. Department of Energys Oak Ridge Reservation and Wildlife Management Area. The site is situated on the historical Clinch River Breeder Reactor Project (CRBRP) Site. At the time of the projects cancellation in 1983, preliminary site work was essentially completed for the CRBRP, including all necessary sediment ponds, construction shops, concrete batch plants, the nuclear island excavation, and a foundation for a ringer crane.

Approximately three million cubic yards of earth and rock were removed during this excavation.

Upon project termination, the main site area of approximately 182 ac was remediated in accordance with the Site Remediation Plan. This included partial backfilling of the nuclear island excavation. The finished elevation for the remediated nuclear island excavation area was set at approximately 810 ft.

The site is located in Roane County, in central-east Tennessee, within the city limits of Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Other communities located near the site include Kingston (west), Harriman (west-northwest), Lenoir City (southeast), and Knoxville (east-northeast), Tennessee, which are respectively located approximately 7.2 mi, 10.2 mi, 8.9 mi and 25.2 mi, from the site center point 2.1-1 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report (see Figure 2.1-4). According to the U.S. Census Bureau (USCB), the City of Oak Ridge had a 2010 population of 29,330 and is the largest city within 10 mi of the site. Lenoir City, Tennessee, the second largest city within 10 mi, had a 2010 population of 8642 persons (Reference 2.1-10).

The major transportation route in the vicinity of the site is U.S. Interstate 40, which passes approximately 0.6 mi to the southeast and serves as the primary east to west thoroughfare. At their closest points of approach, Tennessee State Route 58 is located about 0.9 mi northwest of the site, and Tennessee State Route 95 is located about 2.6 mi east of the site (see Figure 2.1-3).

There are no military facilities located within the vicinity of the site (see Figure 2.1-3)

(Reference 2.1-16). There are no regularly scheduled passenger transportation trains that pass through or service any cities within the 50-mi region. However, there are excursion trains providing entertainment in the region. As noted in Section 2.2, there is a rail line located within the vicinity that is used for commercial purposes.

2.1.1.2 Site Area Map The CRN Property is illustrated in Figure 2.1-1. There are no public access roads that traverse the site and there are no commercial, institutional, recreational, or residential structures located on the site (Reference 2.1-13). Figure 2.1-2 is a U.S. Geological Survey topographic map that shows prominent natural and man-made features. The topography of the property is characterized by a series of parallel ridges and valleys generally oriented in a northeast to southwest direction. Elevations on the site range from 740 ft msl to a high of 1120 ft msl. The most dominant topographic feature, Chestnut Ridge, is located along the northern portion of the property. Also visible on Figure 2.1-2 is the historical extent of the CRBRP excavation. Additional information for the CRBRP Site is provided in Subsection 2.1.1.1.

The CRN Property is outlined, and the highways and railroads located within the 5-mi vicinity are shown in Figure 2.1-3. The total area contained by the CRN Property is approximately 1200 ac.

Figure 2.1-4 illustrates the cities, counties, transportation network, and states located within the 50-mi region.

2.1.2 Exclusion Area Authority and Control The CRN Site is approximately 935 acres within the 1200 acre CRN Property, owned by the United States of America and managed by TVA. TVA is the Applicant for the ESP. As illustrated in Figure 2.1-3, there are no public transportation routes crossing the site. There are no mineral resources, including oil and natural gas, within or adjacent to the site that are being exploited.

The only known resource of value located within the property is limestone, and the United States owns all of the mineral rights for the property.

The exclusion area boundary (EAB) is delineated by the boundaries of the CRN Property as shown on Figure 2.1-5.

The CRN Property is the same as the owner controlled area. The CRN Property will be clearly posted with no trespassing signs along the property border and river shorelines. All road access points will be controlled. Once inside the owner controlled area, access to the nuclear plant will be controlled with security check-points and barriers. The sites physical security plan contains information on actions to be taken by security force personnel in the event of unauthorized persons crossing the EAB by land or water. The permanent population distribution within the EAB is zero.

2.1-2 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report 2.1.2.1 Authority TVA controls all activities within the EAB including exclusion and removal of personnel and property from the area. There are two existing electrical transmission corridors that traverse the site boundary: Bull Run FP-Watts Bar NP 500 kV and the Kingston FP-Ft Loudoun HP (includes Clinch River Breeder Reactor, Manis Rd, and Bear Creek) 161 kV No.1 corridors (see Figure 2.1-1). The Bull Run FP-Watts Bar NP 500 kV transmission line bisects the site from west to east. Kingston FP-Ft Loudoun HP, Manis Rd, and Bear Creek 161 kV No.1 transmission line traverses the site from north to south. To facilitate construction, the Kingston FP-Ft Loudoun HP 161 kV No.1 corridor would be relocated to the east prior to plant construction. TVA owns and maintains the transmission lines as well as maintains access control of the transmission rights-of-way that traverse the site.

2.1.2.2 Control of Activities Unrelated to Plant Operation As illustrated in Figure 2.1-5, there are no residences or commercial activities within the EAB.

Recreational activities and hunting within the owner controlled area and the EAB are prohibited and are controlled by security personnel. No public highways or active railroads traverse the exclusion area (Reference 2.1-13). Barge traffic occurs adjacent to the EAB along the Clinch River arm of the Watts Bar Reservoir (Reference 2.1-14 and Reference 2.1-15). There is one small family cemetery and one Native American burial mound located on the site. Access to this cemetery and burial mound are controlled by security personnel.

2.1.2.3 Arrangements for Traffic Control Arrangements for control of traffic in the event of an emergency are not required in that no publicly used transportation routes cross the EAB.

2.1.2.4 Abandonment or Relocation of Roads There are no public roads within the exclusion area (see Figure 2.1-5).

2.1.3 Population Distribution The population distribution surrounding the site, up to a 50-mi (80-kilometers [km]) radius, is estimated based upon the most recent 2010 USCB decennial census data. The population distribution is estimated in fifteen concentric bands at 0-0.3 mi (0.5 km), 0.3-1 mi (1.6 km), 1-2 mi (3.2 km), 2-3 mi (4.83 km), 3-4 mi (6.44 km), 4-5 mi (8.05 km), 5-6 mi (9.66 km), 6-7 mi (11.3 km), 7-8 mi (12.9 km), 8-9 mi (14.5 km), 9-10 mi (16.1 km), 10-20 mi (32.2 km), 20-30 mi (48.3 km), 30-40 mi (64.4 km), and 40-50 mi (80.5 km) from the site center point. These bands are subdivided into 16 directional sectors, each centered on one of the 16 compass directions and consisting of 22.5 degrees. Population sectors out to 2 mi (3.2 km) are shown in Figure 2.1-9, population sectors out to 10 mi (16 km) are shown in Figure 2.1-6, and population sectors out to 50 mi (80 km) are shown in Figure 2.1-7.

The population projections are derived from county estimates obtained from the states and based on cohort component (Kentucky and Tennessee) and cohort survey (North Carolina) methodologies. The counties that were used for the population projections are listed in Table 2.1-1. Using linear or polynomial regression, an equation was derived to analyze population growth for each county. The equation was used in conjunction with the 2010 census data to produce a growth ratio. Ratios were calculated for each county and for each year, then weighted by area and summed into sectors. The ratio set was then used to produce a sector-level population projection ratio set for the 50-mi region. It is important to note that for any county with a negative growth rate, a growth ratio of one is used to produce the most 2.1-3 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report conservative results without overestimating. Using a growth ratio of one does not allow the countys population to decline. For counties predicting a decline at the end of the states projection data set, the ratio calculated for the highest data point of the states data set was used for the remaining projected years.

The census population counts were then sorted into the radial grid. In instances where census blocks were divided by sector boundary lines, the population was weighted by area to produce proportionate data values. These values were summed and multiplied by their projection ratio to produce the final permanent population radial grid maps (Figures 2.1-6 and 2.1-7). The years selected for the projection period represent the 2010 census, calculation development year (2013), projected start of construction date (2021), projected commencement of operation date for the last unit (2027), and 40 years beyond the last date.

2.1.3.1 Population Within 10 Miles The population sector map for the 10-mi (16-km) radius is shown in Figure 2.1-6. Permanent population is projected to 40 years beyond the projected 2027 commencement of operation date for the last unit. Table 2.1-2 shows the projected permanent population for each sector out to 10 mi (16 km), for the years 2010, 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067. Population for all sectors in the 10-mi (16-km) radius for each projected year is shown in the Cumulative Totals field of Table 2.1-2.

A notable special population source within 10 mi of the site is the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). ORNL employs a total of 4480 staff and approximately 3000 guest researchers per year.

While these employees are counted by the USCB at their residences, it is noted that the diurnal fluctuation associated with this workforce increases the temporary population of the 10-mi radius.

(Reference 2.1-17) 2.1.3.2 Population Between 10 and 50 Miles Figure 2.1-7 shows the regional permanent population within 50 mi (80 km) of the site center point. The map illustrates the radial grid with 2013 estimated permanent population. The site region includes all or part of the counties listed in Table 2.1-1. The distances defining the sectors are 10 mi (16 km), 20 mi (40 km), 30 mi (48.28 km), 40 mi (64.37 km), and 50 mi (80.47 km).

Knoxville is the largest city within 50 mi, with a 2010 population of 178,874. Smaller cities within the region include Sevierville (14,807), Athens (13,458), Crossville (10,795), La Follette (7456),

Dayton (7191), Fairfield Glade (6989), Pigeon Forge (5875), Sweetwater (5764), Rockwood (5562), Madisonville (4577), Etowah (3490) and Norris (1491) (Reference 2.1-9). Many other smaller towns and cities are distributed within the region. Figure 2.1-4 illustrates the location of these cities and towns in relation to the site.

Table 2.1-3 shows the projected permanent population for each sector in the 10-50 mi (16-80 km) region for the years 2010, 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067. Permanent population is projected to 40 years beyond the projected 2027 commencement of operation date for the last unit. The total number of people in the 10-50 mi (16-80 km) region for each projected year is shown in the Cumulative Totals field of Table 2.1-3.

2.1.3.3 Transient Population Though relatively rural in nature, the region surrounding the site has numerous tourist attractions and events that contribute to the transient population. The 50-mi region includes both large cities (e.g., Knoxville) and smaller cities (e.g., Pigeon Forge and Sevierville) that are well known for their transient attractions.

2.1-4 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Outdoor recreation is an important recreational pastime in Tennessee and a large draw for transient population into the region. The Tennessee River system flows northeast to southwest through the 50-mi region. This river system includes several large and well known fishing and recreational reservoirs. Chickamauga Reservoir is one of these. Located approximately 30 mi southwest, Chickamauga Reservoir was rated the sixth best bass lake of 2013 by Bassmaster, and was the site of the 2014 Bassmaster BASSFest (References 2.1-1 and 2.1-2). Other popular fishing locations in the region include Watts Bar Reservoir, Fontana Reservoir, Douglas Reservoir, Norris Reservoir, Fort Loudoun Reservoir, Cherokee Reservoir, Melton Hill Reservoir, and Tellico Reservoir.

Additionally, there are several national and state parks that contribute to the regional transient population. The three national parks that maintain visitor information are Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area, Obed Wild and Scenic River, and the Great Smoky Mountains National Park. The Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area is located approximately 36 mi north-northwest of the site and recorded an annual visitor count of 600,161 persons in 2012. The Obed Wild and Scenic River located approximately 20 mi northwest of the site and recorded an annual visitor count of 212,446 persons in 2012. The national park with the largest transient population is the Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Located approximately 31 mi southeast, the Great Smoky Mountains National Park recorded an annual visitor count of 9,685,829 persons (Reference 2.1-5).

Transient data are gathered through personal communications with businesses, event coordinators, local chambers of commerce and tourism departments within the region. This method for collecting transient data provides a more accurate assessment of people visiting the area and a much more precise location of transient contributors. The identified events and attractions that contribute to the transient population in the site region are shown in Table 2.1-4.

While transient data are not generally available at a city level, one city, Pigeon Forge, developed a comprehensive report that included visitor counts from 1987 through 2012. According to this report, Pigeon Forge had a total annual visitor count of 2,856,682 in 2012. This value was used to calculate the daily visitor estimate (7826 persons) of this city for inclusion into the transient population calculation. Pigeon Forge is home to numerous transient attractions, including Dollywood, Titanic Museum Attraction, and WonderWorks.

Transient population is projected to 40 years beyond the 2027 commencement of operation date for the last unit. Table 2.1-3 shows the projected permanent population for each sector for the years 2010, 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067 for the non-zero sectors. The sectors that have zero values are not illustrated in the table. The population values shown represent the peak or calculated peak daily population for each sector and year. The total projected transient population estimates for each projected year are represented in the total field of Table 2.1-5.

The estimated peak daily transient population for 2013 for the site region is 585,436 persons.

2.1.3.3.1 Transient Population Within 10 Miles (16 km)

There are 14 events and attractions identified within 10 mi of the site that contribute approximately 15,556 peak daily visitors to the transient population. The City of Kingston, located about 7.2 mi west, hosts several events throughout the year. The largest of these events is the Smokin the Water Celebration, which occurs over a two-day period during the July 4th holiday and contributes approximately 12,000 peak daily visitors. The second largest is the Kingston Country Fair. This event occurs the first Saturday in October and hosts approximately 980 visitors. Table 2.1-4 lists the peak daily visitors for all events and attractions identified within the site region.

2.1-5 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report 2.1.3.3.2 Transient Population Between 10-50 Miles (16-80 km)

Contributors to the regional total transient population include events and attractions, one commercial airport, and state and national parks. Table 2.1-4 lists the events and attractions within the site region that are included in the total transient population. Within the 10-50 mi (16-80 km) radii, there are 98 events and attractions identified that contribute 521,997 peak daily visitors to the total transient population. The top two attractions, each contributing over 100,000 peak daily visitors, is the Neyland Stadium and the Rossini Festival located in Knoxville. The Neyland Stadium, located approximately 26 mi east, is the University of Tennessees football stadium (Reference 2.1-8). The Rossini Festival, located approximately 26 mi east, is a single day event that occurs in April of each year.

There is one large commercial airport, the McGhee Tyson Airport, in the site region. The Bureau of Transportation Statistics reports that in 2013, the McGhee Tyson Airport hosted approximately 813,000 arrival passengers and 817,000 departure passengers (Reference 2.1-3). To develop a realistic peak daily visitor count for this facility, the maximum occupancy of the airport terminal (3587 people) was used. The McGhee Tyson Airport is located approximately 23 mi east-southeast of the site in Alcoa, Tennessee.

Table 2.1-6 lists the national and state parks located within the region that maintain visitor counts.

There are 10 Tennessee state parks and three national parks that maintain visitor counts located within the 50-mi region. The state park with the largest daily peak visitor estimate is the Cumberland Mountain State Park with approximately 3944 daily visitors. The Hiwassee/Ocoee Scenic River State Park, Big Ridge State Park, Cove Lake State Park and Indian Mountain State Park also significantly contribute to the total transient population with 3763, 2894, 1849, and 1678 peak daily visitors, respectively. The remaining five state parks each have peak daily visitor estimates ranging from approximately 650 to 300 persons. The three national parks that maintain visitor counts within the region are the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area, and Obed Wild and Scenic River (Reference 2.1-5). The peak daily visitor estimates for state and national parks within the region that contributed to the total transient population are listed in Table 2.1-6.

2.1.3.3.3 Total Permanent and Transient Populations Tables 2.1-4 and 2.1-5 show contributors to the transient population in the 50-mi region.

Table 2.1-5 summarizes the total transient population by sector and year of interest. The peak daily transient population for the site region in 2013 is approximately 585,433. The estimated permanent population for 2013 in the site region is approximately 1,199,275. The total 2013 projected population for the region, based on the 2010 census, was approximately 1,784,708.

Using a calculated growth rate of 0.76, the estimated total population for 2067 is 2,658,157.

2.1.3.4 Low-Population Zone For the CRN Site, the low-population zone (LPZ) is defined as a 1 mi (1.6 km) radius from the site center point. Figure 2.1-3 illustrates the LPZ and its geographic relationship to the site and surrounding features.

According to the USCB 2010 data, there are 149 people living within the LPZ. The distribution of people within the LPZ in the 16 cardinal directions is provided in Table 2.1-7. There are no transient population events or attractions within this area. There is one special facility identified within the LPZ. The Kingston Academy, located less than 1 mi west-southwest, is a 52-bed coed psychiatric residential treatment facility for children (References 2.1-11 and 2.1-6). There are no hospitals, prisons, or jails within the LPZ (References 2.1-7 and 2.1-11). Industrial facilities within 5 mi are discussed in Subsection 2.2.2.

2.1-6 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report 2.1.3.5 Population Center Population centers, as defined by 10 CFR 100.3, are densely populated clusters containing more than 25,000 people. To identify population centers within the site region, the USCB census-delineated urban areas are used (Reference 2.1-9). Rather than being based on political boundaries, census-defined urban areas are based largely on population density (Reference 2.1-4). Of the urban areas located within the region, only two met the requirements to be classified as population centers in 2010: Knoxville (558,696 persons) and Cleveland (66,777 persons), Tennessee. The Knoxville urban area is a combination of several smaller cities, including Lafollette, Oak Ridge, Clinton, Loudon, Lenoir City, Alcoa, Maryville, Farragut, Rockwood, Seymour, and Knoxville, Tennessee. The Cleveland urban area is a combination of four smaller cities: Calhoun, Charleston, Hopewell, and Cleveland, Tennessee (Reference 2.1-10). The population center distances from the site center point to the nearest boundaries of Knoxville and Cleveland urban areas are approximately 4.8 mi (southeast) and 45 mi (south southwest), respectively. These distances are greater than one and one-third times the distance from the site center point to the boundary of the LPZ.

The City of Oak Ridge, with a 2010 population of 29,330, is the closest city to the CRN Site that exceeds 25,000 people, based on political boundaries (Reference 2.1-10). The CRN Site is located within the southern extent of the City of Oak Ridge, with the citys territory primarily extending to the northeast of the CRN Site. The densely populated portions of the City of Oak Ridge are located in these northeast portions. This is illustrated in Figure 2.1-6 and Figure 2.1-9, which portray the distribution of population by sector and distance from the CRN Site. In these figures, the sectors in the northeast directions have low populations from 0 to 6 mi. Therefore, densely populated portions of the City of Oak Ridge are located beyond the distance required by 10 CFR 100.21(b). This is further supported by the U.S. Census Bureau, which has delineated the densely populated portions of the City of Oak Ridge as part of the greater Knoxville urban area at approximately 5.9 mi from the CRN Site (Reference 2.1-9).

Using the county population projection ratios, the populations of two additional urban areas are anticipated to meet the population center criteria by 2067: Crossville, Tennessee, and Sevierville, Tennessee. The distance from the site center point to the nearest boundary of these two urban areas is approximately 34 and 43 mi, respectively. At the end of the projection period, Knoxville remains the largest and closest population center to the site with an estimated 2067 population of 933,806.

The transient population is not considered in these calculations because 10 CFR 100.3 defines a population center as the distance from the reactor to the nearest boundary of a densely populated center containing more than about 25,000 residents. Transient populations by nature are not considered to be part of the resident population.

2.1.3.6 Population Density For the purpose of evaluating projected population densities per Regulatory Guide 4.7, General Site Suitability Criteria for Nuclear Power Stations, population densities were calculated for the 50-mi region for the projected start of construction date (2021), the projected commencement of operation date for the last unit (2027), and the end of operation date (2067). Population densities were derived by taking the cumulative total projected population at a distance divided by the circular area at that distance. Cumulative total populations were calculated by adding the projected transient population to the projected permanent population (see Subsection 2.1.3.3.3).

The relationship between population totals and distance from the site is illustrated in Figure 2.1-8. This figure provides a dashed line representing the number of people within that distance equivalent to a population density of either 500 or 1000 per mi2. Projected populations 2.1-7 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report at those distances are represented by the solid line. By comparing the curves, it is seen that projected populations within the 50-mi region of the site does not exceed guidance criteria throughout the region.

The total projected permanent population for 2021 and 2027 is approximately 1,305,000 and 1,377,000, respectively. Transient population is projected using a ratio generated from the transient sector population divided by the USCB 2010 population data. The projected permanent population for both 2021 and 2027 are multiplied by this ratio to calculate the projected transient population. The total projected transient population for 2021 and 2027 is approximately 638,000 and 674,000, respectively. Thus, the 2021 and 2027 total projected population for the 50-mi region is approximately 1.94 million and 2.05 million, respectively. The 2021 total population density is 247 people per mi2, the 2027 total population density is 261 people per mi2.

2.1.4 References 2.1-1. Bassmaster, 100 Best Bass Lakes of 2013. Available at http://www.bassmaster.

com/slideshow/100-best-bass-lakes-2013, accessed December 8, 2013.

2.1-2. Bassmaster, Bassmaster Tournament Trail Schedule. Available at http://www.

bassmaster.com/bassmaster-tournament-trail-schedule, accessed December 8, 2013.

2.1-3. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Research and Innovative Technology Administration, Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Available at http://www.

transtats.bts.gov/airports.asp?pn=1&Airport=TYS&Airport_Name=Knoxville,%20TN:

%20McGhee%20Tyson&carrier=FACTS, accessed November 26, 2013.

2.1-4. Department of Commerce, Urban Area Criteria for the 2010 Census; Notice, Federal Register, Vol. 76, No. 164, August 24, 2011.

2.1-5. National Park Service, Visitor Use Statistics. Available at http://www.fs.fed.us/

recreation/programs/nvum, accessed November 5, 2013.

2.1-6. Sequel Youth and Family Services, Kingston Academy. Available at http://www.

sequelyouthservices.com/html/autism-kingston.html, accessed December 9, 2013.

2.1-7. Tennessee Hospital Association Map of Tennessee Hospitals. Available at http://www.tha.com/Default.aspx?pid=47, accessed December 9, 2013.

2.1-8. University of Tennessee Sports, Neyland Stadium. Available at http://www.

utsports.com/facilities/neyland_stadium.htm, accessed November 19, 2013.

2.1-9. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Urban and Rural Classification and Urban Area Criteria. Available at http://www.census.gov/geo/reference/ua/urban-rural-2010.html, accessed December 6, 2013.

2.1-10. U.S. Census Bureau, American FactFinder. Available at http://factfinder2.

census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/community_facts.xhtml, accessed December 6, 2013.

2.1-11. U.S. Census Bureau, American FactFinder, Group Quarters Population by Group Quarters Type. Available at http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/

searchresults.xhtml?refresh=t#none, accessed December 9, 2013.

2.1-8 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report 2.1-12. U.S. Department of Agriculture, USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service Geospatial Data Gateway. Available at http://datagateway.nrcs.usda.gov/, accessed January 14, 2015.

2.1-13. U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, National Transportation Atlas Databases 2013, 2013.

2.1-14. DOE, Environmental Assessment/Transfer of Land and Facilities within the East Tennessee Technology Park and Surrounding Area, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, DOE/EA-1640, October 2011.

2.1-15. Science Applications International Corporation, Baseline Environmental Analysis Report for the K-1251 Barge Facility at the Tennessee Technology Park, Oak Ridge Tennessee, BJC/OR-2885, December 2007.

2.1-16. National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) and Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense Installations and Environment (ODUSD (I&E)) U.S. Military Installations, Ranges, and Training Areas as of May 24, 2012. Available at http://www.acq.osd.mil/ie/bei/disdi/NGA_MAP_SEND_final_12_28_12_smaller.pdf, accessed April 14, 2014.

2.1-17. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), About ORNLA Unique Resource.

Available at http://www.ornl.gov/about-ornl, accessed June 9, 2014.

2.1-9 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-1 Counties Wholly or Partially Within the 50-mi Radius State Counties Kentucky McCreary Whitley North Carolina Cherokee Graham Swain Tennessee Anderson Meigs Bledsoe Monroe Blount Morgan Bradley Overton Campbell Pickett Claiborne Polk Cumberland Putnam Fentress Rhea Grainger Roane Hamilton Scott Jefferson Sevier Knox Union Loudon Van Buren McMinn White 2.1-10 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-2 (Sheet 1 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km)

Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector 0-0.3 0.3-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-10 0-10 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

NORTH 2010 0 0 0 0 0 104 2,591 2,695 2013 0 0 0 0 0 106 2,633 2,739 2021 0 0 0 0 0 109 2,725 2,834 2027 0 0 0 0 0 109 2,762 2,871 2037 0 0 0 0 0 110 2,788 2,898 2047 0 0 0 0 0 110 2,803 2,913 2057 0 0 0 0 0 110 2,819 2,929 2067 0 0 0 0 0 110 2,850 2,960 NNE 2010 0 0 0 0 0 0 7,644 7,644 2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 7,763 7,763 2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,022 8,022 2027 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,155 8,155 2037 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,298 8,298 2047 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,395 8,395 2057 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,511 8,511 2067 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,678 8,678 NE 2010 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,287 1,292 2013 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,309 1,314 2021 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,360 1,365 2027 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,393 1,398 2037 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,436 1,441 2047 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,466 1,471 2057 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,503 1,508 2067 0 5 0 0 0 0 1,555 1,560 ENE 2010 0 8 8 1 0 0 1,084 1,101 2013 0 8 8 1 0 0 1,119 1,136 2021 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,207 1,225 2027 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,270 1,288 2037 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,368 1,386 2047 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,464 1,482 2057 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,568 1,586 2067 0 8 9 1 0 0 1,670 1,688 2.1-11 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-2 (Sheet 2 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km)

Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector 0-0.3 0.3-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-10 0-10 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

EAST 2010 0 7 13 110 34 85 5,276 5,525 2013 0 7 13 113 35 88 5,491 5,747 2021 0 8 14 118 38 94 6,060 6,332 2027 0 8 14 121 40 98 6,467 6,748 2037 0 8 14 123 41 103 7,110 7,399 2047 0 8 14 125 43 106 7,748 8,044 2057 0 8 14 127 45 110 8,438 8,742 2067 0 8 14 130 47 116 9,101 9,416 ESE 2010 0 6 37 92 112 262 6,686 7,195 2013 0 6 38 94 118 278 7,075 7,609 2021 0 6 39 99 135 317 8,076 8,672 2027 0 6 39 102 147 344 8,740 9,378 2037 0 6 39 104 161 377 9,603 10,290 2047 0 6 39 106 172 404 10,278 11,005 2057 0 6 39 109 185 434 11,068 11,841 2067 0 6 39 112 203 475 12,098 12,933 SE 2010 0 8 40 81 214 200 12,408 12,951 2013 0 8 40 82 222 211 13,139 13,702 2021 0 8 42 84 241 241 15,017 15,633 2027 0 8 42 85 253 260 16,262 16,910 2037 0 8 42 85 267 285 17,867 18,554 2047 0 8 42 85 278 304 19,108 19,825 2057 0 8 42 85 290 327 20,567 21,319 2067 0 8 42 85 307 357 22,492 23,291 SSE 2010 0 7 57 64 223 264 1,661 2,276 2013 0 7 57 65 226 275 1,759 2,389 2021 0 7 59 67 232 301 2,010 2,676 2027 0 7 59 67 234 318 2,177 2,862 2037 0 7 59 67 234 338 2,391 3,096 2047 0 7 59 67 234 353 2,557 3,277 2057 0 7 59 67 234 372 2,753 3,492 2067 0 7 59 67 234 396 3,010 3,773 2.1-12 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-2 (Sheet 3 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km)

Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector 0-0.3 0.3-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-10 0-10 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

SOUTH 2010 0 12 27 36 143 183 1,546 1,947 2013 0 12 28 36 145 186 1,616 2,023 2021 0 13 28 37 148 195 1,792 2,213 2027 0 13 29 38 150 199 1,904 2,333 2037 0 13 29 38 150 203 2,044 2,477 2047 0 13 29 38 150 205 2,152 2,587 2057 0 13 29 38 150 209 2,279 2,718 2067 0 13 29 38 150 213 2,446 2,889 SSW 2010 0 13 29 39 142 140 1,123 1,486 2013 0 13 30 40 144 142 1,142 1,511 2021 0 14 30 41 148 145 1,183 1,561 2027 0 14 31 41 149 147 1,200 1,582 2037 0 14 31 41 150 147 1,211 1,594 2047 0 14 31 41 150 147 1,219 1,602 2057 0 14 31 41 150 147 1,229 1,612 2067 0 14 31 41 150 147 1,242 1,625 SW 2010 0 12 49 66 126 252 919 1,424 2013 0 13 50 67 128 256 932 1,446 2021 0 13 51 69 131 263 957 1,484 2027 0 13 51 69 132 265 964 1,494 2037 0 13 51 69 132 265 965 1,495 2047 0 13 51 69 132 265 965 1,495 2057 0 13 51 69 132 265 965 1,495 2067 0 13 51 69 132 265 965 1,495 WSW 2010 0 15 65 164 144 355 5,814 6,557 2013 0 15 65 166 146 360 5,893 6,645 2021 0 16 67 171 150 369 6,052 6,825 2027 0 16 68 172 151 372 6,099 6,878 2037 0 16 68 172 151 373 6,105 6,885 2047 0 16 68 172 151 373 6,105 6,885 2057 0 16 68 172 151 373 6,105 6,885 2067 0 16 68 172 151 373 6,105 6,885 2.1-13 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-2 (Sheet 4 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km)

Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector 0-0.3 0.3-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-10 0-10 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

WEST 2010 0 17 102 153 174 706 4,666 5,818 2013 0 17 104 156 176 716 4,729 5,898 2021 0 17 107 160 181 735 4,857 6,057 2027 0 18 107 161 182 741 4,895 6,104 2037 0 18 107 161 183 742 4,900 6,111 2047 0 18 107 161 183 742 4,900 6,111 2057 0 18 107 161 183 742 4,900 6,111 2067 0 18 107 161 183 742 4,900 6,111 WNW 2010 0 20 85 237 82 210 5,050 5,684 2013 0 21 86 240 84 213 5,119 5,763 2021 0 21 88 246 86 218 5,257 5,916 2027 0 21 89 248 87 220 5,298 5,963 2037 0 21 89 248 87 220 5,303 5,968 2047 0 21 89 248 87 220 5,303 5,968 2057 0 21 89 248 87 220 5,303 5,968 2067 0 21 89 248 87 220 5,303 5,968 NW 2010 0 19 24 48 13 80 1,574 1,758 2013 0 19 24 49 13 81 1,602 1,788 2021 0 19 25 50 14 83 1,664 1,855 2027 0 20 25 50 14 84 1,692 1,885 2037 0 20 25 50 14 84 1,714 1,907 2047 0 20 25 50 14 84 1,728 1,921 2057 0 20 25 50 14 84 1,743 1,936 2067 0 20 25 50 14 84 1,771 1,964 NNW 2010 0 0 1 0 0 149 1,700 1,850 2013 0 0 1 0 0 151 1,739 1,891 2021 0 0 1 0 0 155 1,831 1,987 2027 0 0 1 0 0 156 1,883 2,040 2037 0 0 1 0 0 156 1,936 2,093 2047 0 0 1 0 0 156 1,972 2,129 2057 0 0 1 0 0 156 2,008 2,165 2067 0 0 1 0 0 156 2,077 2,234 2.1-14 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-2 (Sheet 5 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0-10 mi (0-16 km)

Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector 0-0.3 0.3-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-10 0-10 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

Totals 2010 0 149 537 1,091 1,407 2,990 61,029 67,203 2013 0 151 544 1,109 1,437 3,063 63,060 69,364 2021 0 155 560 1,143 1,504 3,225 68,070 74,657 2027 0 157 564 1,155 1,539 3,313 71,161 77,889 2037 0 157 564 1,159 1,570 3,403 75,039 81,892 2047 0 157 564 1,163 1,594 3,469 78,163 85,110 2057 0 157 564 1,168 1,621 3,549 81,759 88,818 2067 0 157 564 1,174 1,658 3,654 86,263 93,470 0-0.3 0-1 0-2 0-3 0-4 0-5 5-10 0-10 Cumulative Totals (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) 2010 0 149 686 1,777 3,184 6,174 61,029 67,203 2013 0 151 695 1,804 3,241 6,304 63,060 69,364 2021 0 155 715 1,858 3,362 6,587 68,070 74,657 2027 0 157 721 1,876 3,415 6,728 71,161 77,889 2037 0 157 721 1,880 3,450 6,853 75,039 81,892 2047 0 157 721 1,884 3,478 6,947 78,163 85,110 2057 0 157 721 1,889 3,510 7,059 81,759 88,818 2067 0 157 721 1,895 3,553 7,207 86,263 93,470 Notes:

Based on 2010 USCB data.

No permanent population distribution is within the exclusion area boundary (EAB)

Source: Reference 2.1-12 2.1-15 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-3 (Sheet 1 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km)

Sector 10-20 Sector 20-30 Sector 30-40 Sector 40-50 Sector 10-50 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

NORTH 2010 2,059 516 5,058 6,279 13,912 2013 2,102 522 5,111 6,346 14,081 2021 2,205 538 5,261 6,517 14,521 2027 2,270 546 5,330 6,604 14,750 2037 2,352 553 5,387 6,680 14,972 2047 2,409 556 5,398 6,693 15,056 2057 2,472 559 5,406 6,704 15,141 2067 2,574 570 5,499 6,828 15,471 NNE 2010 8,698 10,535 25,119 9,337 53,689 2013 8,847 10,647 25,224 9,397 54,115 2021 9,191 10,977 25,808 9,650 55,626 2027 9,413 11,132 25,910 9,716 56,171 2037 9,705 11,308 25,914 9,742 56,669 2047 9,911 11,432 25,917 9,743 57,003 2057 10,157 11,581 25,921 9,744 57,403 2067 10,509 11,793 25,926 9,793 58,021 NE 2010 32,319 22,447 11,747 10,948 77,461 2013 32,879 22,977 11,995 11,187 79,038 2021 34,168 24,289 12,577 11,722 82,756 2027 35,001 25,189 12,891 11,985 85,066 2037 36,106 26,521 13,189 12,147 87,963 2047 36,891 27,706 13,379 12,157 90,133 2057 37,824 29,024 13,588 12,177 92,613 2067 39,148 30,477 13,808 12,290 95,723 ENE 2010 63,674 172,503 47,676 21,238 305,091 2013 65,974 179,276 49,522 22,012 316,784 2021 72,026 197,268 54,409 23,911 347,614 2027 76,378 210,290 57,928 25,109 369,705 2037 83,326 231,277 63,557 26,575 404,735 2047 90,257 252,501 69,232 27,642 439,632 2057 97,744 275,348 75,340 28,853 477,285 2067 104,860 296,672 81,037 30,684 513,253 2.1-16 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-3 (Sheet 2 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km)

Sector 10-20 Sector 20-30 Sector 30-40 Sector 40-50 Sector 10-50 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

EAST 2010 75,605 58,268 36,761 46,774 217,408 2013 78,598 60,614 38,599 49,636 227,447 2021 86,527 66,761 43,398 57,086 253,772 2027 92,255 71,167 46,816 62,351 272,589 2037 101,408 77,966 51,999 70,213 301,586 2047 110,528 84,330 56,718 77,246 328,822 2057 120,319 91,086 61,690 84,628 357,723 2067 129,684 98,239 67,225 93,135 388,283 ESE 2010 15,702 71,929 7,738 3,236 98,605 2013 16,397 74,935 8,067 3,406 102,805 2021 18,187 82,625 8,909 3,834 113,555 2027 19,437 88,039 9,502 4,137 121,115 2037 21,215 95,720 10,346 4,599 131,880 2047 22,676 101,710 11,010 5,014 140,410 2057 24,228 107,836 11,690 5,443 149,197 2067 26,220 116,490 12,639 5,938 161,287 SE 2010 6,322 13,059 309 2,602 22,292 2013 6,665 13,617 321 2,672 23,275 2021 7,547 15,039 352 2,868 25,806 2027 8,139 16,026 373 3,017 27,555 2037 8,918 17,396 402 3,263 29,979 2047 9,522 18,450 425 3,509 31,906 2057 10,211 19,544 448 3,754 33,957 2067 11,132 21,114 481 4,000 36,727 SSE 2010 13,319 6,959 1,896 543 22,717 2013 14,054 7,237 1,970 555 23,816 2021 15,933 7,923 2,151 587 26,594 2027 17,165 8,345 2,262 608 28,380 2037 18,725 8,813 2,382 635 30,555 2047 19,895 9,081 2,448 654 32,078 2057 21,268 9,386 2,523 674 33,851 2067 23,172 10,035 2,693 707 36,607 2.1-17 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-3 (Sheet 3 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km)

Sector 10-20 Sector 20-30 Sector 30-40 Sector 40-50 Sector 10-50 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

SOUTH 2010 9,010 16,818 13,722 4,509 44,059 2013 9,460 17,453 14,161 4,620 45,694 2021 10,595 19,004 15,228 4,889 49,716 2027 11,326 19,948 15,869 5,042 52,185 2037 12,220 20,970 16,553 5,188 54,931 2047 12,851 21,526 16,929 5,257 56,563 2057 13,588 22,166 17,378 5,352 58,484 2067 14,716 23,614 18,360 5,583 62,273 SSW 2010 3,443 10,838 28,433 12,972 55,686 2013 3,596 11,097 29,031 13,273 56,997 2021 3,978 11,720 30,463 14,013 60,174 2027 4,220 12,084 31,282 14,462 62,048 2037 4,517 12,464 32,112 14,984 64,077 2047 4,736 12,685 32,586 15,367 65,374 2057 4,993 12,970 33,226 15,838 67,027 2067 5,357 13,526 34,477 16,533 69,893 SW 2010 2,802 4,804 9,786 22,268 39,660 2013 2,841 4,908 10,047 22,877 40,673 2021 2,920 5,139 10,661 24,315 43,035 2027 2,945 5,253 11,028 25,188 44,414 2037 2,948 5,333 11,442 26,202 45,925 2047 2,948 5,377 11,749 26,984 47,058 2057 2,948 5,428 12,093 27,856 48,325 2067 2,948 5,502 12,551 28,953 49,954 WSW 2010 4,599 5,117 4,656 8,054 22,426 2013 4,661 5,281 4,809 8,219 22,970 2021 4,787 5,683 5,183 8,597 24,250 2027 4,824 5,942 5,424 8,815 25,005 2037 4,829 6,272 5,712 9,031 25,844 2047 4,829 6,518 5,901 9,136 26,384 2057 4,829 6,793 6,125 9,310 27,057 2067 4,829 7,185 6,495 9,635 28,144 2.1-18 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-3 (Sheet 4 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km)

Sector 10-20 Sector 20-30 Sector 30-40 Sector 40-50 Sector 10-50 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

WEST 2010 11,651 3,396 27,389 8,304 50,740 2013 11,920 3,572 28,824 8,720 53,036 2021 12,543 4,017 32,446 9,765 58,771 2027 12,858 4,294 34,703 10,418 62,273 2037 13,127 4,575 37,002 11,098 65,802 2047 13,254 4,696 37,989 11,406 67,345 2057 13,399 4,842 39,175 11,764 69,180 2067 13,772 5,254 42,542 12,745 74,313 WNW 2010 3,926 4,808 7,666 8,927 25,327 2013 4,046 5,021 8,025 9,278 26,370 2021 4,348 5,560 8,924 10,141 28,973 2027 4,537 5,899 9,478 10,662 30,576 2037 4,756 6,262 10,038 11,222 32,278 2047 4,900 6,446 10,277 11,516 33,139 2057 5,047 6,653 10,566 11,867 34,133 2067 5,335 7,165 11,394 12,665 36,559 NW 2010 5,348 3,228 2,918 10,824 22,318 2013 5,520 3,332 3,006 11,088 22,946 2021 5,957 3,596 3,223 11,692 24,468 2027 6,238 3,765 3,355 11,990 25,348 2037 6,572 3,967 3,502 12,195 26,236 2047 6,796 4,102 3,587 12,167 26,652 2057 7,024 4,240 3,680 12,211 27,155 2067 7,461 4,504 3,885 12,657 28,507 NNW 2010 5,558 575 6,223 7,076 19,432 2013 5,735 589 6,337 7,203 19,864 2021 6,182 623 6,606 7,490 20,901 2027 6,470 645 6,767 7,646 21,528 2037 6,814 669 6,927 7,775 22,185 2047 7,043 683 6,983 7,784 22,493 2057 7,278 697 7,041 7,806 22,822 2067 7,726 731 7,287 8,041 23,785 2.1-19 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-3 (Sheet 5 of 5)

Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10-50 mi (16-80 km)

Sector 10-20 Sector 20-30 Sector 30-40 Sector 40-50 Sector 10-50 Direction /Year (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi) (mi)

Totals 2010 264,035 405,800 237,097 183,891 1,090,823 2013 273,295 421,078 245,049 190,489 1,129,911 2021 297,094 460,762 265,599 207,077 1,230,532 2027 313,476 488,564 278,918 217,750 1,298,708 2037 337,538 530,066 296,464 231,549 1,395,617 2047 359,446 567,799 310,528 242,275 1,480,048 2057 383,329 608,153 325,890 253,981 1,571,353 2067 409,443 652,871 346,299 270,187 1,678,800 Cumulative Totals 10-20 (mi) 10-30 (mi) 10-40 (mi) 10-50 (mi) 2010 264,035 669,835 906,932 1,090,823 2013 273,295 694,373 939,422 1,129,911 2021 297,094 757,856 1,023,455 1,230,532 2027 313,476 802,040 1,080,958 1,298,708 2037 337,538 867,604 1,164,068 1,395,617 2047 359,446 927,245 1,237,773 1,480,048 2057 383,329 991,482 1,317,372 1,571,353 2067 409,443 1,062,314 1,408,613 1,678,800 Notes:

Based on 2010 USCB data.

2.1-20 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-4 (Sheet 1 of 3)

Top Contributors to Transient Population Within the 50-mi (80 km) Region Event or Location(a) City Peak Daily Visitors(b)

Freedom Fest Alcoa 30,000 Spring Sprint Alcoa 452 Allardt Pumpkin Festival & Pumpkin Run Allardt 10,000 Benefit Dinner Athens 1,500 James L. Robb Gym Athens 1,000 Pumpkintown Festival Athens 8,000 Sunshine Hollow Athens 100 Tennessee Wesleyan Halloween Festival Athens 1,300 Tennessee Wesleyan Soccer Athens 150 Louie Bluie Festival Caryville 7,500 International Cowpea Festival & Cookoff Charleston 3,500 Autumn Acres Crossville 295 Clyde York 4-H Center Crossville 1,500 Cumberland Chamber of Commerce Crossville 250 Deer Creek Golf Club Crossville 100 Lake Tansi Village Golf Crossville 122 Palace Theater Crossville 302 Stonehenge Golf Club Crossville 145 The Bear Trace at Cumberland Mountain Crossville 164 Dayton Horse & Carriage Parade Dayton 2,000 Holiday Stroll Dayton 2,000 PumpkinFest Dayton 5,000 Scopes Festival Dayton 600 Strawberry Festival Dayton 700 Savannah Oaks Winery Delano 500 The Gem Players and Theater Etowah 525 Dorchester Golf Club Fairfield Glade 172 Druid Hills Golf Club Fairfield Glade 164 Heatherhurst Golf Club Fairfield Glade 370 Fontana Village Resort Fontana Dam 2,500 W.E. Rock Eastern Series Graysville 1,400 Emory Golf Course Harriman 150 Obrien Theatre Harriman 489 The Princess Theatre Harriman 540 Brimstone Recreation Huntsville 3,333 Highland Manor Winery Jamestown 150 Pickett State Park Jamestown 1,291 58 Landing Kingston 300 Colonial Christmas Candlelight Tour Kingston 122 2.1-21 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-4 (Sheet 2 of 3)

Top Contributors to Transient Population Within the 50-mi (80 km) Region Event or Location(a) City Peak Daily Visitors(b)

Kingston City Park Kingston 300 Kingston Community Center Kingston 190 Kingston Country Fair Kingston 980 Ladd Delaney Park Kingston 300 Lakeside Golf Kingston 125 RedBones on the River Kingston 165 Roane County Healthy Schools 5k Kingston 106 Smokin the Water Kingston 12,000 Stormin the Fort Olympic Triathlon Kingston 161 The Gravel Pit Kingston 300 Barksdale Stadium Knoxville 2,000 Bijou Theatre Knoxville 758 BUDDY'S Race Against Cancer Knoxville 5,000 Civic Auditorium and Coliseum Knoxville 7,141 Covenant Health Knoxville Marathon Knoxville 9,200 Game on Against Cancer Knoxville 250 Knoxville Municipal Golf Course Knoxville 150 Komen Race for the Cure Knoxville 10,000 Light the Night Walk Knoxville 2,000 Lindsey Nelson Stadium Knoxville 3,800 Museum of Art Knoxville 250 Neyland Stadium Knoxville 102,455 Regal Soccer Stadium Knoxville 3,000 Rossini Festival Knoxville 100,000 Sherri Parker Lee Stadium Knoxville 1,622 Tennessee Theatre Knoxville 1,638 Thompson-Boling Arena Knoxville 21,678 Tour de Rockytop Knoxville 380 Trideltathon Knoxville 260 Twinkle Toes 5k Run/Walk Knoxville 150 West Site Y Triathlon Knoxville 200 Christmas in Old Loudon Loudon 2,000 Fall Pig Roast Loudon 500 Riverfest Loudon 5,000 Fine Arts Blount Kite Festival Maryville 1,500 Foothills Fall Festival Maryville 25,000 Foothills Sprint Triathlon Maryville 230 Ruby Tuesday's Triple Crown of Running Maryville 646 Smoky Mountain Softball Classic Maryville 1,750 2.1-22 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-4 (Sheet 3 of 3)

Top Contributors to Transient Population Within the 50-mi (80 km) Region Event or Location(a) City Peak Daily Visitors(b)

Spring Arts and Crafts Show Maryville 6,750 Red Gate Rodeo Maynardville 2,000 Union County Heritage Festival Maynardville 5,000 River Glen Equestrian Park New Market 660 Butterflies for Hope 5k Oak Ridge 100 Butterflies for Hope Bike Ride Oak Ridge 130 Secret City Festival Oak Ridge 10,000 BSF Vintage Train Festival Oneida 5,000 Spring Planting Festival Oneida 3,000 Wings Over Big South Fork Oneida 20,000 World Pig Championship (card tournament) Pall Mall 100 Rockwood Event Center Rockwood 400 Rockwood Golf and Country Club Rockwood 240 Historic Rugby Visitor Centre Rugby 136 Tennessee Valley Theatre Spring City 300 Ride the Plains Strawberry Plains 250 National Muscadine Festival Sweetwater 10,000 The Lost Sea Sweetwater 411 Blue Springs Marina Ten Mile 900 Townsend Fall Festival Townsend 10,000 Tuckaleechee Caverns Townsend 500 Rarity Bay Golf Club Vonore 328 Fort Loudoun State Historic Area Vonore 2,000 Sequoyah Birthplace Museum Vonore 3,000 (a) Events and locations listed in this table contributed > 100 daily visitors.

(b) Values presented in this column represent the peak daily visitors. For events or locations where peak visitor data were not available, average daily visitors were calculated using seasonal and/or annual visitor data.

2.1-23 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-5 (Sheet 1 of 2)

Peak Daily Projected Transient Population for Each Sector 0-50 mi (0-80 km)

Distance (mi) Direction 2013 2021 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 4 E 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 7 WSW 127 130 131 131 131 131 131 8 W 12,660 13,002 13,103 13,116 13,116 13,116 13,116 8 SSE 529 605 655 720 770 829 906 9 W 775 796 803 803 803 803 803 9 WSW 1,692 1,737 1,751 1,753 1,753 1,753 1,753 20 NNW 549 592 619 652 674 697 739 20 NW 27 29 31 33 34 35 37 20 WNW 557 598 624 654 674 694 734 20 W 1,360 1,431 1,467 1,497 1,512 1,528 1,571 20 SW 913 938 946 947 947 947 947 20 SSE 7,733 8,767 9,445 10,303 10,947 11,702 12,749 20 E 468 515 549 604 658 716 772 20 NE 10,407 10,815 11,079 11,429 11,677 11,973 12,392 20 N 16 17 18 18 19 19 20 30 NNW 88 93 97 100 102 104 109 30 NW 298 322 337 355 367 380 403 30 WNW 870 964 1,023 1,086 1,118 1,153 1,242 30 W 226 254 272 290 297 307 333 30 SSW 10,238 10,814 11,149 11,500 11,703 11,966 12,480 30 S 431 469 492 517 531 547 583 30 SSE 5,716 6,258 6,591 6,961 7,172 7,413 7,926 30 SE 25 28 29 32 34 36 39 30 ESE 72,837 80,312 85,575 93,040 98,863 104,817 113,229 30 E 67,159 73,970 78,852 86,386 93,436 100,922 108,848 30 ENE 250,589 275,737 293,940 323,275 352,941 384,877 414,683 30 NE 74 78 81 85 89 93 98 30 NNE 398 411 416 423 428 433 441 40 NNW 3,704 3,860 3,955 4,048 4,081 4,115 4,259 40 NW 22 24 25 26 27 27 29 40 WNW 150 166 177 187 192 197 212 40 W 6,736 7,582 8,109 8,647 8,877 9,155 9,941 40 WSW 385 415 434 458 473 491 520 40 SW 103 109 113 117 120 124 128 40 SSW 12,349 12,958 13,307 13,660 13,862 14,134 14,666 40 S 571 614 640 667 682 700 740 40 SE 2,374 2,603 2,759 2,973 3,138 3,308 3,557 40 ESE 12,587 13,901 14,827 16,144 17,180 18,241 19,721 2.1-24 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-5 (Sheet 2 of 2)

Peak Daily Projected Transient Population for Each Sector 0-50 mi (0-80 km)

Distance (mi) Direction 2013 2021 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 40 NE 10,125 10,617 10,881 11,133 11,293 11,470 11,655 40 NNE 9,214 9,427 9,464 9,466 9,467 9,468 9,470 50 NNW 24,252 25,220 25,747 26,181 26,211 26,285 27,076 50 NW 10,413 10,981 11,260 11,453 11,426 11,468 11,886 50 WNW 324 354 373 392 402 415 443 50 W 126 141 151 161 165 170 185 50 WSW 205 215 220 225 228 232 241 50 SW 12,089 12,850 13,311 13,846 14,260 14,721 15,301 50 SSW 4,093 4,321 4,460 4,620 4,739 4,884 5,098 50 S 3,855 4,080 4,208 4,329 4,387 4,467 4,659 50 SE 4,437 4,762 5,010 5,418 5,826 6,233 6,641 50 ESE 4,958 5,581 6,022 6,695 7,299 7,924 8,645 50 E 8,352 9,606 10,492 11,815 12,998 14,241 15,672 50 ENE 943 1,025 1,076 1,139 1,184 1,236 1,315 50 NNE 1,237 1,270 1,279 1,282 1,282 1,283 1,289 50 N 5,060 5,196 5,266 5,326 5,337 5,345 5,444 Total 585,436 637,568 673,646 727,127 775,942 828,332 885,887 2.1-25 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-6 National and State Parks Within 50 mi with Reported Visitor Data Tennessee State Parks Peak Daily(a) Visitors Big Ridge State Park 2,894 Bledsoe State Forest 612 Cove Lake State Park 1,849 Cumberland Mountain State Park 3,944 Cumberland Trail 504 Fort Loudoun State Historic Park 493 Frozen Head State Park and Natural Area 656 Hiwassee/Ocoee Scenic River State Park 3,763 Indian Mountain State Park 1,678 Norris Dam State Park 314 National Parks and Recreation Areas Peak Daily(a) Visitors Great Smoky Mountains National Park 26,537 Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area 1,644 Obed Wild Scenic River 582 (a) Values presented in this column represent peak or calculated peak daily visitors.

2.1-26 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Table 2.1-7 2010 Population Distribution in the Low-Population Zone Direction 0-1 (mi) 1-2 (mi) 0-2 (mi)

N 0 0 0 NNE 0 0 0 NE 5 0 5 ENE 8 8 16 E 7 13 20 ESE 6 37 43 SE 8 40 48 SSE 7 57 64 S 12 27 39 SSW 13 29 42 SW 12 49 61 WSW 15 65 80 W 17 102 119 WNW 20 85 105 NW 19 24 43 NNW 0 1 1 Totals 149 537 686 2.1-27 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Source: Reference 2.1-12 Figure 2.1-1. Site Map 2.1-28 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Source: Reference 2.1-12 Figure 2.1-2. Topographic Map 2.1-29 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Source: Reference 2.1-13 Figure 2.1-3. Vicinity Map 2.1-30 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Source: Reference 2.1-13 Figure 2.1-4. 50-Mile Region 2.1-31 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Source: Reference 2.1-12 Figure 2.1-5. Exclusion Area Boundary 2.1-32 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-6. 0-10 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-33 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-7. 10-50 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-34 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-8. (Sheet 1 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-35 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-8. (Sheet 2 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-36 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-8. (Sheet 3 of 3) Population Density Graph 2.1-37 Revision 1

Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 2, Site Safety Analysis Report Figure 2.1-9. 0-2 Mile Population Sector Map 2.1-38 Revision 1