ML20133F847

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Forwards Brief Summary of Preliminary Findings on Impact of Mudflow from Spirit Lake Near Mount St Helens.Findings Provisional & Subj to Review & Approval of Director of USGS
ML20133F847
Person / Time
Site: Trojan File:Portland General Electric icon.png
Issue date: 06/20/1983
From: Laird L
INTERIOR, DEPT. OF, GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
To: Ballard R
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
Shared Package
ML19264D658 List:
References
FOIA-85-353 NUDOCS 8508080460
Download: ML20133F847 (3)


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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR i

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.ater Rsources Division pf,.y 1201 Pacific Avence - Suite 600

!k Tacoca, Wasitington 98402 Oi:

Si June, 20,1983 Q:-

wn.rr f@f Pr. Ibnald L. Ballard, Otief hvirorr.: ental s Bydrologic Ehgineering Branch Q

C:fie of IAclear reactor regulation

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U.S. Huclear Pagulatory Omnission 17 i :

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Dear Hr. Ballard:

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Subject:

Freliminary findings on potential Spirit Lake audflew impact on Coltthia Piver and Trojan Ib: lear Plant 4

As regmsted, ve are furnishing you a brief suuary of our prelicitary findirgs on the irpct of a tdficV frcs Spirit lake near K:unt St. Iblens en the

! -i Trojan no: lear p:.er facility. Thcse findirqs are provisical and are sttje:t -

l to review and a; proval of the Director of the crological Survey and therefere i

i should not be released cutside your agency.

l j, l 3.s a result of these findings e reeccund that pu a;7tove s re liaited r:rk in i*.ase II of our criginal proposal--to evaluate sort of the ess'nptiens origi-i

.. ally rade in the =udflow a*.alysis. Ye wuld pro;ose to investigate ft-ther:

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rupsition of sedir.ent frem the rudflcr. during its flow fra: Spirit Lde I1 to the couth of the Cowlitz. O.:r original analysis carried alacst all of f4 the entrained sedlunt to the south of the Cowlitz River. A more realistir

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analysis--folleving the gttern of other atdfica--wuld be to do;csit r

part of this sedinent in 'pnding' areas along the route of the flev.

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this adjtst :nt vill lessen the sedir ?nt deposition in the Coltiia tnd

.1 the calculated uter level at Trojan.

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Slept of sedirant deposits in the Colt.bia River. Can'tal slop of sede.t deposits upstrets of the Ccvlitz following the ray 18-19,1930.aud flev

4 vss about 2.5 feet Mr alle--exceedingly flat when compred to similar

,W, flows. The gradient in the Cowlitz River above the toutl,e River fer the 3- -la sane n! flow was about 8 feet per mile. This slope of 0;csit could have D. [

an appreciable effect on backwter and the elevation.sr !'rojan--thus we dI believe this deserves additiccsi analysis.

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The above tw elenents can be easily accomplished within the cViginal wrk

' 'y plan and funding estimtes.

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f, aird 8508080460 850618 3.trict m ief PDR FOIA P CIO T '

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PRELININARY FINDIES IN TRGTAN STUDY, FEASE I, June 1983 Miase,I of the sttdy was condteted by l!SCS for the Rxlear'Fegulatory Q>=tission. In Phase I a a:dflow as described in WRI ibport 82-4125 was applied to the Coltthia River, asstning a ntsber of conditions for the utdflow, to determine potential flood elantions at the Trojan Ibelear j

Powerplant. Several scenarios were assited for cenditions in the Gltubia River during and following the stdflow. The flood elevations were deter-mined using the Ocneral Purpose Dax-Freak Flood Simulation n*1 (r.-634),

modified by L. telong (K-599), with the Cbitabia River at several different steady-state discharge agnittdes.

clear Vater Flav Evaluation

1. A Covlitz mdflov flood, applied with 'cicar-vater' friction ard no deposits in the Coltubia, did not prcdre peak elevations at Trojan in er. cess of 45 f t, which ITtITfloca design elevation at irojan:

Isak at Trojan = 22 f t with Colu-bia at lov flow a.

b.

reak at Trojan = 38 ft vith Cole.bla in ICG-yr flood it.dflev - Stdinnt D2rosit Iapact &altation

2. A Covlit: ntdflov flood, with 'ntriflov* friction in the Coltabia downstreas from the Cbylitz, ' clear-vater" friction upstreas, and no deposits cop exceed 45 f t at irojan during a concurrent r,ajor flood of tha Celtabia, but did not exceed 45 f t during lov flow, slack tide, or less severe (<50-yr) floods of the Cblt'-bia:

Teak at Trojan = 31 f t with mit bia at lov flow a.

b.

Peak at Trojan = 44 f t with mir,bia in 10-yr flood Peak at 1Tojan = 48 f t with mitabia in 100->T flood c.

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About 30 percent of t% r.'et;N tres ti e untz v.mo uc..c4 '..p m -

in the Cbitbia if the D1tabia were at lov flov and slack tide, accor-ding to the routing model.

4.

If 70 percent of the nWflow moving upstreaa vere to deposit, the volua of the depsit v3uld be 500 million ctbic yards, asstning out

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of the Cowlitz a total solids voltae of 2.4 billion cubic yards and 30 percent of that ws ' fines' rer.aining in suspension.

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If the gradient of the deposit were -2.5 f t/mi..in the upstreas direc.

I tier., as occurred in thy 1980, the elevation of the 50', :.id & posit woul.d be about 30 ft at the south of the Cowlit.t and about 20 f t at Trojan. Steeper adverse gradients have been observed ano, if Oe) occurred, wuld prodtre higher deposit elevations.

6.

Winter floods can occur on the Coltabia vithin a few days of'lov flovs.

The peak of Deceur 1964, discharge about 1 million cfs and recurrence about 100 yr, folleved within 3 days of a lov flow.

7.

A calulia vinter flo:>d stbsegnnt to 503 My33 depasited tptreu of the Cowlitz at a -2.5 f t/mi gradient during 031t'lia lov flov gg proitre a pak elevatien at Trojan in excess of 45 f t:

a.

Peak at irojan = 45 f t vith Coltrbia in 2-yr find b.

Peak at ?rojan = 49 f t vith Coltbia in 10-yr fimd c.

Peak at trojan = $2 ft with Colt;bia in 50-)r flood

8. The evidence frec. Pay-June le80 irdestes tbt a densit, or,ce esto-lished, ray not be secured appreciably in the short terz by elen-nter flow crer the densit.
9. The voltne and slope of deposit upstreu from the Ccwlitz are t.M eorc trolling features for Trojan fimd elevations.

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