ML20133F730

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Forwards Comparison of Two Analyses of Potential Mudflow Flood Resulting from Failure of Debris Dam in Front of Spirit Lake Near Mount St Helens.Usgs Results Higher than Expected.Simons & Li Values Too Low.W/O Encl
ML20133F730
Person / Time
Site: Trojan File:Portland General Electric icon.png
Issue date: 04/05/1984
From: Laird L
INTERIOR, DEPT. OF, GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
To: Ballard R
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
Shared Package
ML19264D658 List:
References
FOIA-85-353 NUDOCS 8508080408
Download: ML20133F730 (1)


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UNITED STATES E '

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s DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR

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GEOLOGICAL SURVEY

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  • Water _ Resources Division 1201 Pacific Avenue - Suite 600 Tacoma, Washington 98402 April,5, 1984
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C i Mr. Ron Ballard, Chief j . Environmental and Hydrologic

, Engineering Branch Division of Engineering Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555

Dear Mr. Ballard :

As requested, we are transmitting a comparison of two analyses of the potential mudflow flood resulting from the failure of the debris dam in front of Spirit Lake near Mount St. Helens. The U.S. Geological Survey analysis is published under the title " Preliminary estimate of possible

, flood elevations in the Columbia River at Trojan nuclear power plant due to failure of debris dam blocking Spirit Lake, Washington." The second analysis was made by Simons and Li of Colorado State University for Portland General Electric Company. Their analysis is furnished as a supplement to our discussions held in your office on February 23, 1984

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In summary, we believe that the Geo1ogical Survey results are higher than what would be normally expected if a failure of the debris dam should occur, and the Simons and Li values are too low. We are working on a subsequent analysis for the Federal Emergency Management Agency and should complete that in one or two. months. We will advise you of those results when available.

If further infonnation is needed we will try our best to furnish it.

Sincerel yours,

. B. Laird '

District Chief Enclosures cc: ,

Kellogg V. Morton, Division of Contracts, NRC, w/o enc.

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8500080408 850618 PDR FOIA BELL 85-353 PDR