ML18127A559

Forwards Florida Power & Light Co. Fifteen-Year Forecast, Summer Peak Load

ML18127A559
Person / Time
Site:	Saint Lucie
Issue date:	01/25/1978
From:	Reis H Florida Power & Light Co, Lowenstein, Newman, Reis & Axelrad
To:	Mike Farrar, Johnson W, Salzman R Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
References
Download: ML18127A559 (8)

Text

LAW OFFICC5 LOWENSTEIN, NEWMAN, HEIS 8: 'AXELRAD IO25 CONN CCTICUT AVENUE> N.W.

RODCRT LOWCNSTCIN WASH I NGTON> O. C. 20038 JACK R, NCWMAN HAROLD F, RCIS MAVRICC AXCLRAD 202 833 83>> I KATHLCCN H> SHCA J,

• DOVKNIDHT>JR, HOPC M, DADCOCK MICHACL A, DAVSCR January 25, 1978 RODCRT H ~ CVLP FRCOCRIC S. ORAT LINDA L, HODDC JONATHAN R, SHCINCR IADP N,lCI JOCL S WIGHT IAPP CALIO Michael C. Farrar, Esquire, Chairman Dr. W. Reed Johnson Richard S. Salzman, Esquire United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 RE: St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant Unit No. 2; Docket No. 50-389

Dear Members of the Board:

As part of the ongoing process of load forecasting,i Florida Power 6 Light Company again revised its load growth and demand forecast in the Fall of 1977. That revision,.in-volves small downward changes that are set forth in an up'-

dated "Fifteen-Year Forecast, Summer Peak Load," attached as Attachment 1. Updated reserve margin figures are set forth in a chart entitled "Projected System Reserve Margins, 1977-1986,"attached as Attachment 2. Corresponding=data projec-tions previously submitted to the Board based upon the Florida Power 6 Light updated forecast made in the Fall of 1976 may be found in Exhibit No. 5, Testimony of Richard P. Sergei (fol-lows Tr. 4899), and Exhibit No. 6, Testimony of Ernest L.

Bivans (follows Tr. 4896) .

We do not consider this updated forecast to be material to the Initial Decision of April 19, 1977., or the affirmance of that decision by the Appeal Board. (See, 5 NRC 1038, 1050-1053; ALAB-435, p.2, n.5, October 5, 1977.) Nevertheless, because Need for Power was an issue that was decided by the Licensing Board and its decision with respect to that issue was the subject of one of the exceptions which was considered by the Appeal Board, we previously informed the Boards and

LowEHsTEIN. NEN'NAH, REIs & ELBAD Michael,C. Farrar, Esq.

Dr. W. Reed Johnson Richard S. Salzman, Esq.

Page Two January 25, 1978 the parties of a similar non-material change in schedule of the in-service dates for Martin Units 1 and 2. Consequen'tly, we are also informing those Boards and the parties of these updated projections.

Sincerely, HAROLD F. REIS Co-Counsel for Applicant HFR:jwp Enclosures (2) cc (w/2 encls.): Individuals named on the attached service list.

LOWENSTEIN, NEWMAN, REIS ~ELBAD ATTACHMENT 1 FLORIDA POWER & LIGHT COMPANY FIFTEEN-YEAR FORECAST

"SUMMER'EAK LOAD LOW INTERMEDIATE* HIGH Peak . Annual Peak Annual Peak Annual Load Load Load Year (MW) Chanche (MW) Change {mm) ~Chan e 1977 7,841 3.2 7,841 3.2 7,841 3.2 1978 8,120 3.6 8,220 4.8 8,320 6.1 1979 8,460 4.2 8,650 5.2 8,840 6.2 1980 8,850 4.6 9,125 5.5 9,400 6.3 1981 9,240 9,615 5.4 9,'990 6.3 1982 9,630 4.2 10, 125 5.3 10,620 6.3 1983 10,000 3.8 10,620 4.9 11,240 5.8 1984 10,350 3.5 11,065 4.2 11,780 4.8 1985 10,680 3.2 11,505 4.0 12,330 4.7 1986 10,990 2.9 11,950 3.9 12, 910 4.7 1987 11,290 2.7 12,405 3.8 13,520 4.7 1988 11,580 2.6 12, 870 3.7 14,160 4.7 I

1989 11,870 2.5 13,345 14,820 4.7 1990 12,170 2.5 13,845 3.7 15,520 4.7 12,470 2.5 14c350 3.6 16,230 4.6 1992 12,780 14,870 3.6 16,960 4.5

• This represents ~onl the average (arithmetic mean) of the summer peak load forecast band and. will be used ~onl where a singular forecast is required.

PROJECTED SYSTEM RESERVE MARGINS 1977-1985 Percent Percent Installed Reserves Installed Reserves With St. Lucie 52 Without St.. Lucie..52 Upper Lower Upper Lower Peak Load Load Load Load Year Forecast Forecast Forecast Forec'as't 1977 23.0 23. 0 1978 31.0 34.3 1979 23.3 28.9 1980 24.2 32.0 1981 24.7 34.8 1982 17.3 29.3 1983 17.9 32.6 10.8 24.5 1984 16.6 28.1 9.8 20.3 1985 11. 4 24.1 4.9 16.6

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

'efore the Atomic Safety and'icens'ing Appeal Board In the Matter of )

)

FLORIDA POWER- 6 LIGHT COMPANY ) Docket. No. 50-389

)

(St.Lucie Nuclear Power )

Plant, Unit No. 2) )

CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that a true and correct copy of the foregoing letter dated January 25, 1978, together with copies of the enclosed Attachments 1 and 2, have been served this 25th day of January, 1978, on the persons shown on the attached service list by deposit in the United States mail, properly stamped and addressed.

HAROLD F. REIS Lowenstein, Newman, Reis 6 Axelrad 1025 Connecticut Avenue,N.W.

Washington, D.C. 20036 (202) 833-8371

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensin Appeal Board In the Matter o f FLORIDA POWER 6 LIGHT COMPANY Docket No. 50-389 (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant Unit 2)

SERVICE LIST Mr. C. R. Stephens Supervisor, Docketing and Service Section Office of the Secretary of the Commission Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Michael C. Farrar, Esquire Chairman Atomic Safety a Licensing Appeal Board Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Dr. W. Reed Johnson Atomic Safety 6 Licensing Appeal Board Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Richard S. Salzman, Esquire Atomic Safety 6 Licensing Appeal Board Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Alan S. Rosenthal, Esquire Chairman, Atomic Safety 6 Licensing Appeal Panel Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Edward Luton, Esquire Chairman, Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555

Michael Glaser, Esquire Alternate Chairman Atomic Safety and Licensing Board 1150 17th Street, N.

Washington, D. C. 20036 Dr. Marvin M. Mann Technical Advisor Atomic Safety 6 Licensing Board Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Dr. David L. Hetrick Professor of Nuclear Engineering University of Arizona Tucson, Arizona 85721 Dr. Frank F. Hooper Chairman, Resource Ecology Program School of Natural Resources University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Michigan 48104 Mr. Angelo Giambusso Deputy Director for Reactor Projects Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 William D. Paton, Esquire Counsel for NRC Regulatory Staff Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555 Martin Harold Hodder, Esquire 1130 N. E. 86th Street Miami, Florida 33138 Norman A. Coll, Esquire Co-Counsel for Applicant Steel, Hector 6 Davis 1400 Southeast First National Bank Building Miami, Florida 33131 Local Public Document Room Indian River Junior College Library 3209 Virginia Avenue Ft. Pierce, Florida 33450 William J. Olmstead, Esquire U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D. C. 20555