ML19343C512

Evacuation Time Estimates for Plume Exposure Pathway Evacuation Plume Zone at TMI Nuclear Generating Facilities. Related Correspondence

ML19343C512
Person / Time
Site:	Three Mile Island
Issue date:	03/03/1981
From:	PARSONS, BRINCKERHOFF, QUADA & DOUGLAS, INC.
To:
References
NUDOCS 8103240411
Download: ML19343C512 (171)

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1 Evacuation Time Estimates for the Plume ExpcsL7e Pcthwcy EPZ ct Three Mile Island Nuclear Generating Facilities i

1 creocred fer o3 General Public Utilities Service Corporation 9 )g ,

o crecerec by "

Persons Stinckerhoff Gucde & Douglas.Inc.

Mcrch 3,1981 l

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TABLE OF CCh""ENM Sec tion Pace i

LIST CF mBLES LIST OF FIGURES iii I. 1.vawvw. ION A. Site Location and Energency Planni.M Icne 1 B. General Assungtions and Methodology 1 II. DDUWED ESTIMATES A. Zaergency Planning Ione and Sub-areas 2 S. Population Estimates 4 C. Vehicle Estimates 32 III. EVACUATION ROUTES A. Route Selection 45

3. Traffic Management Procedures 46 C. Roadway Link Characteristics 46 D. Capacity Deteruinatien 55 E. Reception Centers 56 IV. EVACUATION TIME ANALYSIS A. Scenarios 60 B. Trip Generation and Assignment 70 C. Evacuat' ion Time Estimate Congenents 71 D. Notification and Confirmation Time Estimates 72 E. Evacuation Time Estimates 73 F. Distribution of Population by Time 77 G. Critical tocations 78 83 V. SUGGESTED ACTIONS VI. LOCAL COMMENSRT 84 FOOTNOTES APPENDICES A. NUREG-0654 : Appendix 4 B. Description of Sector Boundaries C.- Methodclogy to Estimate Roadway Travel Time Curi.g Evacuation D. Evacuation Routes by ERPA

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LIST OF TABLES No. Title Page

1. ERPA Description by Municipal Jurisdiction. 3

2. Relationship between Sectors and Emergency Respense 5 Planning Areas.

3. Estimated 1980 Resident Population by County and 6,7 Municipal Jurisdiction within the 10 mile Emergency Plaming *cce (EPZ) .

4. 2atinated Number of Persons Jith and Without Automobiles 8 cp. Eaergency Response Planning Area.

5. Estimate of Tourist / Visitor and Business Travelers. , 10

6. Estimated 1950 Employment and Transient Employment by ERPA 12 and Scenario.

7. . Employee Comeuting Patterns by County and City of Barrisburg. 13-15

8. Schools Iocated in EP3. 16-24

9. Special Facility Population Estimates by ERPA and County. 25-28

10. Major Day Care Centers. .

30,31 4 11. Resident Population Estimates For 22 Sectors. 33 l 12. Transient Population Estimates for 22h* Sectors. 34

13. Special Facilities Population Estimates For 22 Sectors. 35

14. Projected Pamber of Automobiles Used by Permanent 36  ;

Residents by Emergency Response Planning Area. I

15. Local Pick-up Points for Population Without Auto. 37-39

16. Vehicle Generation Factors For Employment by County 40 and City of Barrisburg.

17. Transportation Resources by County for the Evacuation 42,43 of Resident Population without Auto and Special Facilities

18. Transportation Resources by Cocaty For the Evacuation 44 of School Facilities.

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LIST OF TABLES No. Title Pace I

19. Selected Primary Evacuaticn Route Characteristics. 47-54 l

! 20. Primary Reception Centers. 57 School Reception Centers. 58 ,59 1 21.

22a. Population in DZ by ERPA (Best Estimate) 61,62

b. Population in EPZ by ERPA (Typical Weekly) 63,64 l

c. Populaticn in EPZ by ERPA (Adverse Weather) 65,66 23a. Estimated Population by 90 and 36 Sectors 67 (Best Estimate)

b. Estimated Population by 90 and 36* Sectors 68 (Typical Weekly)

c. Estimated Population by 90 and 36 Sectors 69 (Adverse Weather) 24a. Summary of Evacuation Time Estimates for Each Sector 74 Scenario. (Best Estima*J)

1. Summary of Evacuation Time Estimates for Each Sector 75 l

. Scenario. (Typical Weekday)

c. Susunary of Evacuation Time Estimates for Each Sector 76 l

l Scenario. (Adverse Weather) l 25 . Estimates of Time to Evacuate 50 and 90 Percent of the 76 EPS Population.

26. Potential Critical Locations on :. elected Evacuation Rou*as 79-82 l

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$ 4 List of Ficures Fiqure Title Pollewing Page 1 Iccation Mig 1 2 Emergency Planning ::oce & Response Areas 1 (in Pocket) 3 Sector A-90 Degrees NE 2-Mile Radius 3 4 Sector B-90 Degrees SE 2-Mile Radius 5 Sector C-90 Degrees SW 2-Mile Radius 6 Sector D-90 Degrees NW 2-Mile Radius 7 Sector E-360 Degrees 2-Mile Radius 8 Sector F-90 Degrees NE 5-Mile Radius 9 Sector G-90 Degrees SE 5-Mile Radius 10 Sector B-90 Degrees SW 5-Mile Radius 11 Sector I-90 Degrees NW 5-Mile Radius 12 Secter J-360 Degrees 5-Mile Radius 13 Sector E-90 Degrees NE 10-Mile Radius 14 Sector L-90 Degrees SE 10-Mile Radius 15 Sector M-90 Degrees SW 10-Mile Radius 16 Sector N-90 Degrees NW 10-Mile Radius 17 Sector 0-360 Degrees 10-Mile Radius 18 Special Facilities 29 l 19a Populatica Susmary (Resident) 33 ISb Population Summary (Transient) 34 ISc Population fuimmary (Special Facilities) 35 20 Evacuation Route Links 46 21 Reception & Mass Care Centers 56 l

I iii

. 'e List of Ficures (continued)

Fiqure Title Following Page 22a Pe* cent of Total Populatien Clearing the 10 mile EP2 as a function of ti:ne under: Time Scenario 77 22b Percent of Total Population Clearing the 10 mile EPT as a function of time under: Daytime Scenario 22c Percent of Total Population Clearing the 10 mile EP:

as a function of time under: Adverse Weather Scenario t

23a Critical Bottleneck Links / Scenario: Best Estimate 78 23b Critical Bottleneck Links /Scenarin: ?fpical Weekday 23c Critical Bottleneck Links / Scenario? Adverse Weather iv

1 .

I. INTRCDUCTION In Criteria for Preparation and Evaluation of Radiolecical Emercencv Response Plans and Preparedness in Succort of Nuclear Power Plants (NUREG-0654, FDIA-REP-1: Rev.1 Ncve:ter 1980; heefeaf ter referred to as NCREG-0654, the U.S. Nuclear Regula'ory Consnission (NRC) and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (?lMA) called upon power plant licensees and state and local agencies to inclue, in their emergency response plans time estimates for evacuatica of 'e population within the 10 mile radius plume exposure emergency plaaning zcne (EP3). The approach for preparing the evacuation time estimates is specified in Appendix 4 of that document and is reprinted in Appendix A.

' Site Location and Bnergency Planning Zone A.

This repcrt presents the estimates of time required to evacuate both the general population and special facilities (as defined in Section II) that lie within the 10 mile radius EPZ of the Three Mile Island Nuclear Generating Station (TMI) in Londonderry Township, Dauphin County, Pennsylvania.

mI is located approximately 10 miles southeast of the City of Harrisburg, 12.5 miles north of the City of York and 21 miles west-northwest of the City of Lancaster. The location of MI with reference to these and other major population centers is shown in Figure 1. Figure 2 which shows the 10 mile radius EPZ super-isposed on a conposite U.S. Coast and Geodedic Survey (USCGS) map of the region focuses on the political jurisdictions which are within the EPZ and the transportation network.

The USCGS maps were last updated in the early 1970's. Therefore the roadway network was modified to reflect recently coupleted roadway segments.

These modifications were incorporated in the base map used in Figures 3-18 and 20.

B. General Assumptions And Methedoloev Both the general assumptions and methodo'logies used to produce these avacuation time estimates are detailed in the relevant sections of this

report or in its appendices. For exangle, population informatier. which was obtained from census data, from regional planning agencies, and through telephone and written contacts with employers, institutiens, and other facilities is detailed in Section II. DEMAND ESTIMATION.

Also, roadway capacity information and the canupter model used in this analysis are summarized in Secticn III. EVACUATION RCCTES and IV.

EVACUATION TIMES ANALYSIS and detailed in APPENDIX C.

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II. DEMAND ESTDUL*ES A. Emergencv Planning Zone and Sub-areas A Plume Exposure Pathway EP: hereaf ter referred to as the EP: has bsen defined in accordance with NUREG-0654, for the purpose of determining the general population and the pcpulatien of special facilities which would possibly be evacuated in the event of a general emergency at mI.

As can be seen from Figure 2, this D3 represents an irregularily shaped border which approximates a 10 mile radius extending frem the approximate center of Reactor Units 1 and 2, latitude 40 degrees, 9 minutes,12 seconds-longitude 76 degrees, 46 minutes, 28 seconds. These irregularities in the bcrder occur because the perimeter cf the EPZ follows either physical or political boundaries where practical to facilitate description of the potential risk area to the public. Furthermore, this boundary encompasses, where reasonable, entire populated urban areas which lie near the 10 mile radius, but would otherwise be bisected if a physical boundary were used to define the D:.

Within the D2, sub-areas have been delineated accordjng to NURIG-0654 '

by 90 sectors which lie between 0 true north and 90 east, 90 east and 180 south, 180 south and 270 west and 270 west and 360 true north at distances of two, five and ten miles from mI. These sectors are defined as:

Sectors A, B, C and 0 - Four approximately 90 quadrants at the 4

closest defineable boundary beyond a two-mile radius. -

Sector E - A 360 sector which encompasses the entire two-mile radius.

S Sectors F, G, B and I - Four approximately 90 quadrants including the area within the closest defineable boundary beyond the 5 mile radius. .

Sector J - A 360 sector which generally encompasses the entire five-mile radius.

Sectors I, L, M and N - Four approximately 90 quadrants including the area within the bcundary of the 10 mile D2.

Sector 0 - A 360* sector encompassing the entire 10 mile D:.

The boundaries of these sectors, like - the DZ, usually follow p.Yfsical or political boundaries; thus forming an irregularly shaped beundary which generally encogasses the 90 and 360 degree sectors. A description of these sector boudaries is presented in Appendix B.

For purposes of estimating the various population cogenents, the 7x'_2 4 have been further subdivided into Bsergency Respense Planning Areas (ERPA's). An ERPA generally correspcnds to a political subdivisica such as a township or borough or a definable portien thereof. Table 1 shows the Emergency Response Planning Areas (ERPA's) and their associated political jurisdictions. The Sectors and associated DPA's are shown in Figures 3-17.

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i THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 1 EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES FOR 'ITE 10 MILE RADIUS EP: ERPA DESCRIP'"!CN BY MUNICIPAL JURISDICTION ERPA Number (s) Munioical Jurisdiction 1 Londenderry - Three Mile Island i

2 Londonderry Township l 3, 12 Coney Township 4 Goldsboro Borough 5, 6, 15 , 17 Newberry Township 7 Royalton Borough 8 Middletown Borough 10 , 11 West Donegal Township 13 York Haven Borough 14 East Manchester Tcwnship (Portien) 16, 23, 33 Conewgo Township 18, 37 , 38, 41 Fairview Township 19 Highspire Borough 20 , 46 Lower Swatara Township 21 Husuaalstown Borough - Derry Twp.

22 South Hanover Township

- 24 South Iondonderry Township

• 25 Mount Joy Township

• 26 Elisabethtown Borough 28 East Donegal Township

• 29 Hellam Township * '

30 East Manchester Townsnip and Mount Wolf Borough 31 Springettsbury Township

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35 Warrington Township

• 36 Lewisberry Borough 39 Lower Allen Township

• l 40 New Cumberland Borough 42 Steelton Borough l

43 Harrisburg City

• 44 Paxtang Borough 45 Swatara Township and Susquehanna Township

• 47 tower Paxton Township *

• Note: Only a portion of the political jursidiction and populatien lie within the EP3.

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,3 Table 2 shows the relationship between Sectcrs and Emergency Reponse Planning Areas (ERPA's) and the corresponding figures upon which they are depicted.

B. Population Estimates

, Estimates of population *or the 10 mile EPZ were mada for three population components as described in rius<EG-uG34: 1.e. Permanent Resident Pctulation, Transient Population and persons in Special Facilities. Populatien estimates which are in the county emergency plans and were 1, resented in previous evacuation time estimates were based on projections of census or regional planning data for the total resident population.}{N2) (3)

These projections did not provide separate figures for transient or l special facility populatices. Therefore, population estimates were deve for each pcpulation component based on preliminary 1980 Census

, daea

1. Permanent Resident Poculation: An estimate of this pcpulation caponent

, was made using preliminary resident population figures by appropriate 1980 C9nsus tracts. Figures by political jurisdiction or portions thereof which are within the EP3 were estimated based on apportionment by area, then refined by topography, location of demographic concentrations, and published local estimates and finally balanced to 1980 preliminary Census housing units. These 1980 resident population estimates are listed in Table 3 by municipal jurisdiction.

Since the Census resideat population includos all persons residing in households and group quarters in an area, residents of long-term care facilities and penal facilities were subtracted from these figures to derive estimates of permanent resident population by Emergency Response Planning Area. A similar apportionment procedure was then followed -

in allocating the estimated resident population to ERPA's as shown in Table 4. .

Table 4 also shows a further division of the esti:nated permanent resident population into persons with and without automobile. This estimate of persons without automobiles was predicated upon previous local estir us 1 and 1970 Censu Cenisus tracts.gg regarding households without autos for the respective

2. Transient Pooulation According to NUREG-0654, this population group which constitutes a component of the general population censists of tourists coming to and, those passing through the EPZ, visitors both for business and social purposes, migrant workers and egleyees who immigrate on a daily basis into an area. Available data regarding each of these sub-groups was obtained from the Chambers of Commerce, the Hotel and Motel Association, Regional Planning Agencies, the Pennsylvania U

b M 8N9 ree, major egloyers and 1970 Census Jeurnev

a. Recreation / vacation and Business Travelers - Estimates of these elements of the transient population were made from the 1977 National

Table 2 Three Mile Island Relationshio between Sectors Evacuation Time Estimates and For The 10 Mile Radius EPZ Emergencv Respense Planning Areas Figure Sector Bsergency Response Planning Areas 3 A 1,2 4 B 1,2,3 5 C 1,4,5 6 D 1,4,6 7 E 1-6 8 F 1,2,7-10 9 G 1-3,10-15 a

10 H 1,4-6,14-17 11 I 1,4,6-8,18-20 12 J 1-20 13 K 1,2,7-10,21-26 14 L - 1,2,3,15-15,25-31

~

f 15 M 1,4-6,14-17,30,32-37 16 N 1,4,6-8,18-20,22,37-47 17 0 1-47 i

A description of the boundaries of each Evacuation Sector can be found in Appendix B.

1 i .

THREE MILE ISIAND TABLE 3 EVACCATICN TIME ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ ESTIMATED 1980 RESIDENT PCPUIATICN BY CCUNTY AND MUNICIPAL JURISDICTICN ,

WITHIN THE -10 MILE EMERGENGY PIANNING '4' NE (EPZ) 1970 Census 1980 Prel. 1980 Prel.

County and- Resident Census Total Census Resident Municipal Jurisdiction Population Housing Udits Population Cumberland County New Cumberland Borough 9,803 3,278 8,063 Lower Allen Township * (13,690) (4,857) (14,051)

Within DZ 685 243 703 TOTAL CCMBERIAND CCCNTY 10,488 3,521 8,766 Dauphin County Conewago Township 1,124 814 2,456 Derry Township 16,045 6,660 18,010 Hershey (U) 7,407 4,912 13,215 Pm 1mam i e (C) 1,724 620 1,397 Harrisburg City * (68,061) (25,966) (53,113)

Within DZ 37,434 14,281 29,212 Highspire Borough 2,947 1,261 2,952 Hummelstown Borough 4,723 1,748 4,265 Icndenderry Towns.p 3,453 2,080 5,138 Icwer Paxton Township * (26,517) (14,215) (34,782) within E2Z - 3,978 2,132 , 5,217 Icwer Swatara Township 5,267 2,389 6,777 Middletown Borough 9,080 4,255 10,211 Paxtang Borough 2,160 720 1,661 Royalton Borough 1,040 362 982 South Hanover Township 1,943 1,370 4,C54 Steelton Borough 8,556 2,636 6,492 Susquehanna Township * (17,008) (7,344) (18,017) within DZ 513 220 541 Swatara Township -

17,178 6,951 18,725 TOTAL CACPHIN CCCNTY 115,441 47,879 116,693 Lancaster County Coney Township 1,977 794 2,318 East Donegal Township * (3,003) (1,400) (4,072)

Within DZ 2,252 1,050 3,054 Elizabethtown Borough 8,072 3,042 8,242

.tunt Joy Township * (4,228) (1,646) (5,128)

Withi.i D Z 2,325 905 2,820 West Donegal Township 3,719 1,335 4,859 TOTAL LANCASTER COUNTY 18,345 7,126 21,293 I4banon County South Iendonderry Township * (3,754) (1,361) (3,771)

Within D: 1,319 482 1,387 TOTAL LEBANCN CCCNTY 1,319 482 1,387 continued 1

THREE MIL.E ISLAND TABLE 3 EVACUATICN TIME ES M TES (Continued)

ICR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP

, 1970 Census 1980 Prel. 1980 Prel.

County and Resident Census Total Census Resident Municipal Jurisdiction Population Housing Units Poculation York County Conewago T-:wnship 3,719 1,720 4,955 Dover Township * (8,975) (4,346) (12,560)

Within EPZ 449 217 628 East Manchester Township 1,735 1,286 3,542 Fairview Township 9,248 4,255 11,971 Goldsboro Borough 576 131 477 Hellam Township * (3.158) (1,681) (4,487)

Within EPZ 158 84 224 Lewisberry Borough 490 113 310 Manchester Lorough 2,391 781 2,028 Manchester Township * (6,979) (2,71G) (7,578)

Within EPZ 6,630 2,582 7,199 Mount Wolf Borough 1,811 560 1,526 Newberry Township 5,978 3,477 10,063 Springettsbury Township * (19,5 9) (7,050) (19,634)

Within EPZ 970 353 982 Warrington Township * (2,494) (1,214) (3,561)

Within EPZ 125 61 178 York Baven Borough 671 263 746 TOTAL YORK COUNTY 34,951 15,943 44,829 TOTAL EP: 180,544 74,951 192,968 NOTES: Total nousing units includes all occupied and unoccupied housing units as defined by Census Bureau. Resident population includes i

for Census purpose all persons residing in households and group quarters in an area, including residents of institutions and other group quarters.

i TU) Unincorporated consnunites as defined by Census Bureau.

l

• Only a portion of the political jurisdiction and population

! lie within the IPZ. Figures for sub-jurisdiction areas are esti-l

nates based on apportionment by area, refined by topography, loca-tion of demographic concentrations, and published local estimates.

-SCCRCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Preliminary Report, 1980 Census of Population and Housing.

i 6 .

THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 4 EVACUATICN TIME ESTIETES FOR TE 10 MILE RADIUS EP: -

ESTDIATED NUMBER CF PERSCNS WITH ALW.OBILES AND WIIECUT AUTOMCBILES

' BY EMERGENCY RESPCNSE PLAhWDIG AREA d

1980 ERPA Number of Number of Emergency Response Permanent Resident Persons Without Persons Using Planning Area (ERPA) Population Automobiles Automcbiles 1 0 0 0 2 1,541 108 1,433 3 579 64 515 4 477 43 434 5 805 57 748 6 2,013 ' 143 1,E70 7 982 118 864 8 9,851 1,389 8,462 9 3,529 247 3,282 10 926 103 823 11 636 71 565 12 , 1,739 193 1,546 13 68 678 14 1,06: 75 988 15 3,220 228 2,992 16 3,964 281 3,683 17 4,025 286 3,739 18 2,594 184 2,410 19 2,952 490 2,462 20 4,722 567 4,155 21 20,192 2,362 17,830 22 4,054 284 3,770 23 2,456 172 2,284

,24 1,387 86 1,301 25 2,820 313 2,507,

, '26 6,952 1,098 5,854 27 2,522- 280 2,242 28

• 3,054 339 2,715 29 224 16 208

-30 6,033 428 5,605 31 982 70 912 32 7,199 511 6,688 33 991 70 921 34 628 45 583 35 178 '13 165

-36 310 28 282' 37 2,591 184 2,407 38 6,786 482 6,304 39 -703 67 636 4~

40 8,063 621 7,442 41 0 0 0

,42 ~ 6,492 1,759 4,733 43 .29,177 - II,D29 18,148--

44 -- 1,661 199 1,462 45 18,320 2,198 16,122

'46. 1,355 163 1,192

~47 5, CQ7_ 601 4,406 i

106,501 28,133- 15&,368

h avel Survey 4 I 1979, Highlights of Travel Develce:nent. in.Pennsv1vania and U.S. A. , '"I indices of local hotel /:notel

• and data en the campsites and : major parks in the area.ggges * '-"

Estimates of tourist / visitor and business travel within the EPs were developed by ERPA and are presented in Table 5. The basic data on travel to and through Pennsylvanias which are used to derive these estimates j is as follows

Total Person Trips = 42,611,000 Total Person Nights = 57,493,000 Recreation /7acatica Person Trips = 20,000,000 Recreation / Vacation Person Nights = 32,301,000 l

Non Recreation /7acation Persen Trips = 22,611,000 Non Recreation / Vacation Person Nights = 25,192,000

, The approximate persen-days for the two subcatastries are:

Recreation / Vacation Pewn Days = 38,179,000 Non Recreation / Vacation Per: son Days = 43,163,000 Recreation /7acation trips were allocated to the region based on the state study that indirated that 6.6 percent of the total non-business tripi in or to Pennsylvania are to the Harrisburg-York-Lancaster area.

These trips were then proportioned to the D2 using population. The D2 represents about 17 percent of the Harrisburg-York-Lancaster area in population. Non-Recreation / Vacation trips, W11ch include business trips, were allocated to the region for initial estimates on the basis that the D2 contains approximately 2 percent of total state esployment.

Seasonal variaticrt also was derived from the state study which indicated

~

that in the Harrisburg-York-Lancaster area 19.7 percent of the non-business trips were during the winter. This percentage was used for all trips except business trips (13 percent of total trips) which were assumed to be constant year-round. Thus, in the area, the winter trips averaged about five-sixths of the typical weekday estimates.

In order to provide a basis to estihate the travel patterns of the tourist-transient group within the D2, the day figures for recreation / vacation travelers within the region were statistically allocated to each ERPA based on population. Non-recreation / vacation figures were allocated for the day scenario based on espicyment. Se figures for the City of Barrisburg within the D2 were treated as a special case and were adjusted upwerd due to the proximity of the government center. Me '

figures for recreation / vacation and non recreation / vacation were then

, totaled by ERPA.

The estimates for the night scenario were based on available data for hotel / motel facilities and campsites plus parks in the area and cotal person-nights derived from the state totals. The figures were allocated to irdividual ERPAs by location of hctel/sotel and caspeite/najor park

~. . _- _ . . _ . _ . _ - ~ . _ . . - _ ___ _ - _ . _ _ - . _ . _ . . . . _ _ _ _ . . _ - _ - , _.

6 .

THREE MIZE ISLAND TABIZ 5 EVACUATION TIME ESTD'.ATES TCR THE 10 ?'II.E PE IUS EP: ESTIMATE CF TCURIST/51SMT POPULATICN Day Night Adverse Weather ERPA Scenario Scenario Scenario 1 41 0 . 37 2 21 7 17 3 99 153 23 4 6 2 5 5 10 3 8 6 24 8 19 7 13 4 10 8 141 45 111 9 50 16 39 10 13 4 10 11 19 6 15 12 25 8 20 13 9 3 7 14 ,

12 4 9-15 39 13 30 16 47 15 36 17 212 265 61 18 31 10 24 19 41 13 32 20 81 26 65' 21 1029 19 64 244 22 56 18 44 23 34 11 27 24 9 3 6

25. 249 443 56 26 115 37 91 27 36 12 28 28 66 21 ,

55 29 2 1- 2 30 72 23 55 31 12 4 9 32 86 - 28 66 33 12 4 9 34 8 3 6 35 520 1026 303 36 4 1 3 37 31 10 24 38 169 344 142 39 11 4 9 40 131 42 106 41 0 0 0 42: 140 45 116 43 2,179 711 1,897 44 23 7 18 45 316 786 230 46 18 6 14 47' 73 161 58

~ Total EP 6,335 6,320 4,196 W -

facilities wi.th the remainder proportioned by the total figures assigned to an ERPA from the day scenario. Me adverse weather figures were derived in a similar manner using the seasonal variations.

b. Resident /Non-Resident Emplevment - The number of employees in the portions of the five counties which are encompassed by the 10 mile DZ were estimated from the 1970 Census Journey to Work. An update of this data g made using 1970-78 county business patterns extrapolated to The employee estimates were apportioned to each ERPA based 1980.

! cut population and demographic features af ter deleting known major industrial employment concentrations. The nurtser of employees in the latter group such as Bethlehem Steel Cceporation, Hershey Foods, New Cumberland Army (Supply) Depot, Harrisburg International Airport, TMI and Capitol City Airport were obtained from the 1980 Pennsylvania Industrial Directory, Chasbers of Commerce and contacts with employers. (9),(17), (18), (19),(20),

(21) , (22) The estimated 1980 total employment and transient egloyment  ;

by ERPA is presented in Table 6.

In order to reduce the impact of double counting of egloyees who reside in an DPA in estimating the transient egloyment category, a separate estimate of the number of employees who work in an ERPA but reside elsewhere was made. Since data involving engloyee commutation patterns by political jurisdiction within a county is not readily available, the percentage of egloyment distribution was estimated on a county and major sub-division level from the lg Census, Journey to Work for the Harrisburg, Iancaster This distribution (which is shown in Table 7) presents and York SMSA's.

the percentage of employees who reside outside the D2 and colmsute to work in the five counties and the City of Harrisburg which lie within the p t. This table also shows the percent distribution of espioyees who live and work within the six areas as well as commute between areas.

A separate estimate of the number of employees by ERRA was made for day and night to coincide with the selected scenarios defined in Section I7-A. Information on the numbe from area industrial employers.gf employees by shift was obtained Data on permanent staff (approximately 1,140 employees) and the contractors (about.500 workers ) ogloyed at Three Mile Island who would be evacua in the event of an incident were provided by General Public Utilities.g  ;

It is anticipated that the contract work force will be on site until Units 1 and 2 are made operational. The anticipated completion dates are 1981 and 1986 respectively.

Estimates of the number of personnel by major engloyers or public facilities who would be required to remain behind for security, shut-down or maintenance  !

of facilities uns not readily available.

3. Special Facility Population s (8) , (23 ) , (24 ) , (25) , (26 ) , (27) An estimate of the average number of people confined to or enrolled at special . facilities which were identified in the 10 mile DS and the name of each facility is presented in Tables 8 and 9 by county. These facilities include schools (Table 8), colleges, . long-term care facilities, hospit?ls and penal institutions. (Table 9) which require special evacuation techniques I

i .

THREE MILE ISLLND TABLE 6 IVACUATICH TIME ESTIMATES FOR TME 10 MILE RADIUS EP: EST.IMATED 1980 EMPLOYMEIC AND  %

TRANSIENT EMPLOYME!C BY ERPA AND S wN JO Total itansient E= ploy =ent ERPA W lovment Day Night Adverse 1 1,602 1,202 400 601 2 478 88 10 44 3 178 31 4 16 4 112 21 2 11.

5 184 34 4 17 6 460 85 9 42 7 292 54 6 27 8 3,107 478 159 239 9 1,089 201 22 100 10 284 52 6 26 11 423 78 9 39 12 542 100 11 50 13 174 32 4 16 14 245 45 5 23 15 736 136 15 68 16 899 166 18 83

~

17 920 170 19 85 18 593 110 12 55 19 903 167 18 84 20 1,871 288 96 144 21 6,771 1,249 139 625 '

22 1,221' 225 25 113 23 743 137 15 69 24 50 9 1 5 25 -

872 161 lb 81 '

26 2,556 472 52 236 27 799 148 16 74 28 1,851 341 38 171 29 51 9. 1 5 -

30 1,380 255 28 128 31 225 41 5 21 32 1,635 302 33 151 33 225 41 5 21

.34 145 27 3 14 35 41 7 1 4 36 72 14 1 7 37 593 110 12 55 38 5,032 774 -258 387 39 280 51 6 26 40 3,220 594 66 297 41 0 0 0 0 42 3,965 610 203 305 43 37,545 6,927 770' 3,464-44 505 94 10 47 45 5,842 1.078 120 539 46 398 74 8 37

~47 1,593 294 33' 147 Total EP: 92,700 17,583- 2,696 8,799

~ '

( .

THREE MIZ.E ISLAND TABLE 7 f EVACUATION TJE EST2ATES l FCR THE 10 M7J.E RADIUS EP: EMPLOYEE CCW.UT UG PATTE*rNS BY

! COUNTY AND CITY CF HARESBURG All Means of Private Transcortation Percent Auto Percent Harrisburg Cit 1:

Living in Harrisburg 27,647 100.0 18,287 100.0 Working in Harrisburg 15,802 57.2 9,199 50.3 l Working outside Harrisburg EPZ Counties: 6,667 24.1 5,846 32.0 Remainder of Dauphin Co. 3,854 13.9 3,262 17.8 Cumberland Co. 2,406 8.7 2,229 12.2 Lancaster Co. (Cutside City) 94 0.3 83 0.5 Tahamn Co. 62 0.2 62 0.3 York Co. (outside York City) 251 0.9 210 1.1 Elsewhere 5,178 18.' 3,242 17.7 Working in Harrisburg 56,086 100.0 46,898 100.0 Living in Harrisburg 15,802 27.8 9,199 19.6 Living outside Harrisburg

' EPZ Counties: 34,867 61.3 32,007 68.2 Remainder of Dauphin Co. 19,550 34.4 17,569 37.5 Cumberland Co. 11,483 20.2 10,907 23.3 Iancaster Co. (Outside City) 942 1.7 780 1.7 Lebanon Co. 726 1.3 706 1.5 York Co. '(Cutside City) 2,166 3.8 2,045 4.4 Elsewhere 6,217 10.9 5,692 12.1 l

l Remainder of Dauphin Countv:

I Living in Rem. of Cauphin Co. 66,005 100.0 56,507 100.0 Working in Rom. Dauphin Co. 31,136 47.2 25,045 44.3 Working outside Rem. Dauphin Co.:

EPZ City / Counties: 27,707 42.0 25,244 44.7 Harrisburg City 19,550 29.6 17,569 31.1 Cumberland Co. 4,881 7.4 4,653 8.2

, Lancaster Co. (cusside Lan.) 842 1.3 751 1.3 i Lebanon Co. 765 1.2 747 1.3 York Co. (Outside York) 1,669 2.5 1,524 2.7 Elsewhere 7,162 10.9 6,218 11.0 l

t Working in Rom.of cauphin Co. 51,668 100.0 43,751 100.0 l Living in Rom.of0auphin Co. 31,136 60.3 25,045 57.2 Living Outside Rom.of Dauphin C6.:

l EPZ City / Counties: 16,543 32.0 15,067 34.4 Harrisburg City 3,854 7.5 3,262 7.5 Cumberland Co. 4,547 8.8 4,264 9.7

! Lancaster Co. (Outside Ian.) 2,428 4.7 2,027 4.6 Lebanon Co. 3,369 6.5 3,290 7.5 Ycrk Co. (Outside York) 2,345 4.5 2,224 5.1 Elsewhere 3,989 7.7 3,639 8.3 continued l '

t .

HREE MILE ISLAND TABLE .7 EVACCATICN TIME ESTIMATES (Continued)

FCR TEE 10 MILE RADIUS D:

s

Ml Mens of Private Transeortation Percent Auto Percent Total Dauphin Countv Living in Dauphin County 93,652 100.0 74,794 100.0 Working in Dauphin County 70,342 75.1 55,075 73.6 Working Outside Dauphin Co.

D: Counties: 10,970 11.7 10,259 13.7 Cumberland Co. 7,287 7.8 6,882 9.2 Lancaster (Cutside City) 936 1.0 834 1.1 Lebanon Co. 827 0.9 809 1.1 York (Cutside City) 1,920 2.1 1,734 2.3 Elsewhere 12,340 13.2 9,460 12.6 Working in Dauphin County 108,554 100.0 90,649 100.0 Living in Dauphin County 70,342 64.8 55,075 60.8 I.iving outside Dauphin Co.:

DZ Counties: 28,006 25.8 26,243 29.0 Cumberland Co. 16,030 14.8 15,171 16.7 Lancaster (Outside City) 3,370 3.1 2,807 3.1 Lebanon Co. 4,095 3.8 3,996 4.4 York (Outside City) 4,511 4.2- 4,269 4.7 Elsewhere 10,206 9.4 9,331 10.3 Cumberland County:

Living in camberland Co. 65,513 100.0 56,176 100.0 Working in Cumberland Co. 38,817 59.3 31,812 56.6 Working outside Canberland Co.:

DZ Counties: 18,031 27.5 17,039 30.3 Dauphin Co. 16,030 24.5 15,171 27.0 Lancaster (Outside City) 452 0.7 . 390 0.7 York (Outside City) 1,549 2.4 1,478 2.6 Elsewhere 8,665 13.2 7,325 13.0 Working in Ctzeberland Co. 56,273 100.0 48,022 100.0 Living in Cumberland Co. 38,817 69.0 31,812 66.2 Living cutside Cumberland Co.

~ DZ Counties: 12,019 21.4 11,238 23.4 Dauphin Co. 7,287 12.9 6,882 14.3

.Lancaster (Outside City) 1,228 2.2 1,063 2.3 Lebanon. 134 0.2 120 0.2 York (outside City) 3,370' 6.0 3,153 6.6 j Elsewhere 5,437 9.7 4,972 10.4  :

1

. 'I 1

, - ~ . . . . . _ . .

'IEREE MILE ISLAND '3BLE 7 EVACUATICN TIME ESTIMATES (Continued) j FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP:

1 l

]

All Means of Private Transoortation Percent Auto Percent l Lancaster Co. (Outside of City): i Living in Co. Outside of City 109,695 100.0 87,705 100.0 Working in Co. Outside of City 70,807 64.5 52,599 60.0 Working cutside:

EPZ Counties:' 6,858 6.3 5,924 6.8 Cumberland Co. 1,22S 1.1 1,083 1.2 Dauphin Co. 3,370 3.1 2,807 3.2 fahannn Co. 424 0.4 403 0.5 York (Outside of City) 1,836 1.7 1,631 1.9 Elsewhere 32,030 29.2 29,182 33.3 Working in Co. Outside of City 83,671 100.0 63,823 100.0 Living in Co. Outside City 70,807 84.6 52,599 82.4 Living Outside DZ Counties 3,470 4.1 3,188 5.0 ,

Cumberland Co. 452 0.5 390 0.6 l Dauphin Co. 936 1.1 834 1.3 Lebanon Co. 932 1.1 894 1.4 l York (Outside of City) 1,150 1.4 1,070 1.7 Elsewhere 9,394 11.2 8,036 12.6 York County (Outside of City:

Living in Co. Outside of City 92,899_ 100.0 81,896

• 100.0 Working in Co. Outside of City 51,722 55.7 43,501 53.1 Working outsides DZ Counties 9,031 9.7 8,492 10.4 Cumberland Co. 3,370 3.6 3,153 3.9

. Dauphin Co. 4,511 4.9 4,269 5.2 Lancaster (Outside of City) 1,150 1.2 1,070 1.3 Elsewhere 32,146 34.6 29,903 36.5 1

Working in Co. Outside of City 70,203 100.0 60,582 100.0 Living in Co. Outside of City 51,722 73.7 43,501 71.8 Living outside:

EPZ Counties 5,305 7.6 4,843. 8.0 Cumberland Co. 1,549 2.2 1,478 2.4 Dauphin Co. 1,920 2.7 1,734 2.9

. Lancaster Co.(Cutside of City) 1,836 2.6 1,631 2.7 Elsewhere 13,176 18.8 12,238 20.2 E7%E: In addition to the akve Counties,'a small portion of Lebanon County lies within the EPZ; because the County is not within an SMSA, only partial data-is available.

SOURCE: U. S. Bureau of the Census, Journey to Work, 1970, June 1973.

t . * ,

THRE MILE ISI.AND TABLE 8 FIACUATICN TIME ESTD'ATES FCR THE 10 MILE PADIUS IP:: SCECCLS I4CATED IN EPZ '

O.nberland Countf ERPA Map No. Facilit*# Address Enrollment Staff School Dis *d et 40 1 Manor Elementa.ry School. 142 11 s 'c Shore Elm & Coolidge Streets New Cumberlasd 40 2 St. Theresa 340 22 . Diocese cf Park Avenue C::D Program - 20 Harrisburg New C:mberland 300 (7:C0 -

8:15 PM, M & W) 40 3 New C:aberland Middle School' 622 40 West Shore 9th Street New Cumberland 40 4 Billside Ziementary School' 487 45 West Shore 7th and namn Streets New Cumberland con & ued

• Majority of students walk to school i

~tt- l

l 1

I THREE MII.I ISLA.'E2 TABLE 8 ,

EVACUATION TI.E ESTIMATES (Continued)

TOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP:

Cauphin Count */

ERPA Map No. Facilitv/ Add ' as Enrollment Staff school 01 strict 7 5 No" 'berland Elem. School *** 150

• Mi?.dist=wn L w rthumberland Avenue Royalton 8 & George D. Mansberger Elem. School 150 * . M atown .

Ann & Woods Streets Middletown

8. Middletown Christian School ** ,

Diocese of 7 Spruce & Emaus Streets 51 5 3arrisburg S and Union Street 55 4 Middletown 8 9 Seven Sorrows School **** 240 19 Diocese c.,

Race A.Conewago St=ee.a Barrisburg ,

Middletown 8 10 G.W. Feaser High Schoo1*** 450

• Middletown 214 Race Street Middletown 8 11 L.J. Fink Elementary School *** 365

• Middlatewn Race Street Middletown 8 12 Grandview Elementary School ***- 540 *- Middlatewn Catherine Street Middletown 9 13 Londonderry Township School 549

• Iower Dauphin 260 Schoolhouse Road Middletown 19 14 sighspire Ma' 4 Elementary Schoc1**** 225 13 Steelten-W *. kenn Streets Eighspire

)

Highspire 1 l

• '- Informatica not provided j

• • Buildings at two -locations '

l

• • • Majority of students walk *w school

• • • • No bus transportation available.

". ERIE MIZE ISZAT MZ.E 8 EUACUATICN TIME ESTIMATES (Continued)

FCR THE 10 MII.E RADIUS IP:

s Cauphis County

- Continued -

2 ER.?A Map No. Facilitv/ Address Enrollment Staff School District 20 15 Middletown Area Eigh School 850

• Middletown 1155 North Union Street Middletown 21 16 N:nie B. Nye Ziementary School *** 391

• Lower Cauphin

• ch & Ochn Streets thA-elstown 21 17 Lower Dauphin Jr. and Sr. Iower Oauphin Eigh School JES - 541

• Lard Street SES - 1302 Eumenels~avn 21 Price Elementary School **

18 Water & Eigh Streets 185 8 Iower au .hin 19 Short & John Streets 196 27 Eummels*m 21 20 St. Jean of Arc 300 17 Diocese of 300 W. Araba Street Harrisburg

, Bershof 21 21 Hershey Sr. High School 636

• Derry Twp.

Hershey 21 22 Hershey Elementarf School 920

• Derry ?sp.

Eershey 21 23 Bershey Jr. High School 812

• Derry ?ap.

E. Cranada Road Hershey 21 24 - Hershey utermediate School Zien. - 400 42 De T/ Twp.

Hershey CBS - 200 20 SEs - 600 62 21 . 25 Hershey' Schec1 Milton 1250 - 1300 600 Derrf rep.

Hershey. All Residential Information not provided

• • Buildings at two locations

• • • All Students walk *4 scheci

,, w , .-- e,.-- , .,,-e-- +m - .-w w a - -

l .. . _ . _

1 THREE MILE ISIAND TABLE 8 EVACUATICN TIME ESTI.T.TES

( " *}

FOR THE 10 MILE RADE!S Dauphin County i'- - Continued -

I ERPA Map No. Facility / Address Enre11mant Staff School District

-22 26 South Banover Elementary Schoci 402

• Lower Dauphin W. Union Deposit Road Union Deposit l

23 27 Conewago_rtamentary School 201

• Lower Dauphin Schoolhouse Road Conswego 2w.sh.4 42 28 Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary School == 150 12 Diocese of L 833 South 2nd Streat -

Earrisburg l Sud*An t

~'

29 St. Petar Schoo1 ** 81 6 Diocese of I' 385 South 2nd Street narrisburg Stealton 42 30 Stealton Main ziementary Schoo1*** 445 45 Steeltoa-l 4th a Walnut Streets Highspire

Steel *en s

43 31 Foose ziementary School 512 42 Harrisburg City 1301 Sycamore Street Harrisburg-43 32 Sacred Heart School 195 9 Diocese of 823 S. Cameron Street Barrisburg Barrisburg 43 33 th4==all Elementary School 427 30 Harrisburg City 548 3.17th Street Harrisburg t .

43

. 34 Melrose Elementary School 534 40-45 Harrisburg City 2041 Berry Hill Street Harrisburg I

• Information not provided .

!

• Majority of students walk and/or driven to school

• • • No school bus transpor*ation assigned gs

THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 8 E'JACUATION TIME ESTIMATES (Continued)

FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP -

Cauphin Countf

- Continued -

)

l l

ERPA Map No. Facilitv/ Address Enroll =ent Staff W ol District 43 35 Lincoln ziementary School 383 35 Harrisburg City 1601 State Street Harrisburg*

43 36 John Harris Eigh School 1344 75 Earrisburg City 2451 Market Street Harrisburg 43 37 D.A. Marshau ziementary School 4M 30 Harrisburg City 301 Hale , Street Harrisburg 43 38 Boly Family Schoo1* 218 12 Circase of 25th & Berry Ein Streets Ha.r;isburg Harrisburg 41 29 St. Francis of Assisi 167 9 Diocese of 1424 Market Street Harrisburg Harrisburg 44 40 Paxtang Elementary School 299 15 central cr.cphin Paxtang. Avenue Paxtang 45 41 St. Catherine Laboure School 325 24 ciocese of 4000 Derry Road Harrisburg Cakleigh

! 45 42 Rutherfod Ziementary School 277 15 Central cauphin i

65th Street Rutherford Heights 45 43 Cbamber Ein Elementary School 236 11 Central Dauphin Cnaaber Hill Road

!;watsra Township 45 44 Svstara Jr. Eigh Schcol 571 52 central cauphin Bennett & Carton Streets Cberlin Gardans 45 45 Cher11a Elementary Schoo1* 120 25 Capital Area Cberlin Inter:nediate Unit

~

- *.v.PJ:E MIfE ISWD TABI.E 8 E7ACCAT! N TIME ES M TE (Centinued)

FCR TEE 10 MI*E RADIUS EP:

Caughis County

- Con isued -

ERPA Map No. Facilitv/ Address Enrol!-est Staff Schect Oistrict 45 46  ;;1-emi -

4ty Elementa.f School 382 20 Central cauP4-Swann & Monteur Streets cher11s 45 47 Bishop Newnen.. School 55 5 Accese of St. John School == dahurg Eigh & I.ivi.sgston Streets Enhaut and 45 48 St. Ann School 106 14 ciocese of

( 3eyneders Straint Eurisburg

! Stealton 45 49 Steeltan-Eighspirs Jr. an1 Sr.

Eigh Schoci 695 67 Stealten-l Swatara Street & Reyneders Avenne gighspire l Steelten

\

44 50 John C. Eunkel Elementa.7 School 380 * .Eddletown Lumber & Fulling Mills Road Middletown i

47 51 Southside Zimmentary School 565 27 central r=7 h' U= ion Deposit Road woodland view 47 52 Central Cauphis East High School ICC2 79 Central cauphis 626 Entherford Boed rak h E111s ,

l 47 53 central cauphi= East Jr. Eigh Schoci 1C26 76 Central Oauphin l

6 3 Rutherford acad IAsewood Hills 47 54 E.x. Phillips Ziementary School 457 22 central cauphis l

Berkley Street poplar Garde =s l 55 "*" phi, Countf vo-Tech Schoo1*** 975 82 l

6001 Locust :.ase Harrisburg

• Infoz:nat,.cs not p cvided

• A Voca-d ent Techn4-=1 School serving the 6 school districts withis Oauphis County area.

Stude=ts transported by dis.rict schoci buses

MIREE MILE ISLAlD TABLE 8 EFACUATICN TIME ESSIMATE (Continued)

FCR THE 20 MIL 7 8ADIUS E?

.s l

Iancaster County i

ERPA Mac No. Facility /A iress E milment Staff School District 12 56 Bainbridge Eleman ary School 325 16 Elizabethtown Second Street (incl. 54 Area Bainbridge Kindergarten) 25 57 Fairview Elementa y School 176 15 Elizabethtewn Route #3 (incl. Einder- Area Elizabethtown garten: 25-AM,

, 18-PM) 7,6 58 East High St. Ziementary School 300 22 800 East High Street -

Elizabethtown Area 214mahethtown 26 - 59 Elizabethtown Area Middle Middle - 1100 EJizabethtown and Senior School Senior - 800 10 Area 600 East High Street -

Elizabethtown 26 60 Mill Road Elementazy School 175 .12 Elizabethtcwn Elm Azad Area Elisabethtown 26 61 Elizabethtown Elementary Schoo.7* 145 8 Elizabethtown 70 South Poplar Street Area Elizabeth *m .

26 62 ' St. Peter 108 4 Diocese of 55 Washington Street Harrisburg Elizabethtcwn 87 63 Rheems Elementary School 300 - AM -20 Elizabetatown School Lane 21 - PM Area Rheems

-38 64 Maytown Elementary School 430 30 Denegal.

North River Street Maytown Majority of students walk to school

THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 8 EUAC"JTICN TIME ESDATE (Continutd)

FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ York Countv ERPA Map No. Facilitv/ Address Enrollment Staff School District 15 65 York Haven-Newberry Elem. School 167 14 Northeastern Manchester

,16 66 Ccaewego Elementary Schoci 408 25 Northeastern Nanchaster .

17 67 Newberry Elementary School 580 52 West Shore RD 2 Etters 30 68 Manchestar Elemen e f School 210 14 Northeastern Harding Street Max.hestar 69 Crandorf Senoel 660 35 Northeastern Maple & Hartman Streets

• Manchester 30 70 Mount Wolf Elementary School 247 19 Northeastern 6th & Maple Streets Mount Wolf 30 71 Northeastern Jr. & Sr. Eigh Sch.

Eigh Street JES - 540 40 Northeastern Manchester SES - 820 66 32 72 Hayshire School 460 30 Cantral York 2S01 Eayshire Drive Lakeview Heights 32 73 aoundtown Elementary School 147 12 central York Church & Lewisherry Roads Roundtown 37 74 York Christian Elementa:f School 500 36 Non-public Greenbriar & Church Roads Schcol

-Foustown h

THREE MIII. ISLAND TABLE 8 ETTACUATICN TIME ESI'IMATE (Continued)

FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS IPZ

^,

York County

- Continued -

i

. 1 ERPA Map No. Facilitv/ Address Enrollsent Staff School District i

38 75 Mount Zion E.lementary School 320 22 West Shore '

RD 2 I4wisber.7 38 76 Red Iand Senior Eigh School 1320 118 West Shore RD 2 Lewisbe.7 38 77 Fishing Creek Elenantary School 603 55 West Shore RD 2 Lewisberry 38 78 Locust Grove Elementary School 27% 40 Red Lion Area RD 9 Tork 38 79 Fairview Elementary School 260 30 West Shore 480 Lewisberry Road Fairview Township O

e "11REE MILE ISLAND TABLE 9 .

'ACUATION TIME ESTIMATES e FOR TiiE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ SPECIAL FACILITY POPULATION ESTIMA'IES BY ERPA AND COUNTY -

DAUPilIN COUNTY Map Max. Avg.

EkPA Wo. Facility / Address Cap. No. Ambulatory Wheelchair Stretcher Hospitals:

80 Hershey Edical Center 350 315 104 211 2j --

500 University Drive liershey Hursing & Group Homess 1 8 81 Frey Village Retirement Center ' 230 230 152 61 17 1020 N. Union Street i Middletown g .

a 8 82 Oddfellows Home of Pa. . 169 130 50 80 --

999 W. Harrisburg Pike Middletown 9 83 Children's Care Center 70 68 -- 68 --

Husueelatown l 21 84 Alpine Retiressent Cesitor 200 183 92 91 --

Ruhenhaus Lane IIershey i

45 g5 Dauphin County llame and liospital 563 535 143 92 300 Paxton & S. 28th Streets liarrisburg 45 b6 Aspin Centor 21 21 --

21 --

Paxton & S. 28th Streets liarrisburg

continued e

a,,

'11 TREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 9 kNACUATION TIME ESTIMATES (Continued)

FOR ' lite 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ Map Max. Avg.

ERPA No. Facility / Address Cap. No. Ambulatory Wheelchair Streicner 45 87 Beistline House 200 110 110 -- --

• South 28tle Street Harrisburg 47 08 Imader Hursing & Rehab. Center 240 210 105 53 52 000 King Rusa Road Harrisburg 47 89 Villa Theresa'Hursing Home Administrator would not supply infonnation 1051 Avila Road Harrisburg Colleges

/, 8 90 Penn State Liniversity Students - 1600 commuting, 700 resident, regular sesnesters i Capitol caminas , Faculty & Staff - 345, regular semesters: 245, siunmers Middletown 200, between semesters

, 21 91 State Police Acedemy 80 residential Route 743 (year round)

Hershey .

Prisons:

45 92 Dauphin County Prison 280 280 e

_ _ _ _ _.____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . __ _ .__.__m __ _ _ -

"11REE MILE ISIAND TABLE 9 ~

ACUATION TIME ESTIMATES (Continued) -

FOR Tite 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ 4

LANCASTER ODUlffY ,

Map Hax. Av.

ERPA No. Facility / Address Cap. No. Ambulatory Wheelchair Stretcher Hospitals:

25 93 Elizabethtown Children's Hospital 45 42 --

21 21 Elizabethtown Nursing & Group Hopes:

11 94 Masonic isome 725 725 275 225 225 Hasor.ic Drive Elizabethtown 26 95 Leader Nursing Home &

Rehah Center 87 87 65 22 --

320 S. Market Street ,

Elizabethtown 27  % Leluaan's Guest & Boarding Ilone 50 50 35 10 5 Broad St. & lleley Avenue Rheems Colleges 26 97 Elizabethtown College Per Semestors 1416 (1203 - residential 213 - commuting)

~

[

l

• l

'I11REE M1IE IfLAND CAMPGROUND / RECREATIONAL TABIE 9 EVACUATION TIE ESTIMATE VEHICLE PARKS - POPULATION FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ . ESTIMATES BY ERPA (Continued)

MAP FAMILY ERPA' NO. FACILITY / ADDRESS NO. OF SITES CAMPING ATTENDANCE 45 98 Harrisburg East Campground 62 Year-

• Season (Summer Months) :

1135 liighspire Road Round 50-75 persons / day (Average)

Harrisburg, Pa. 17111

. Off-Season (Winter) :

20 persons / day (Average) 21 99 liershey Ilighneadow Camp 260 Year-

• Season (Summer Months) :

One Chocolate Avenue Round- 30,000 camper units 0 Hershey, Pa. 17033 4 persons / unit 3 100 Shaw-N-Tee Campground 74 Year-

• Season (Summor Months) :

R.D. 4 Round 300 persons / daY (Maximum)

Box 200 150 persons / day (Average)

Elizabethtown, Pa. 17022 , Off-season (Winter) :

20 persons / day 25 101 Ridge Run Camp Sites *117 R und 100-500 persons / day R D. 1 Box 842

• Off-Season (Winter) :

Elizabethtown, Pa. 17022 25 persons / day 17 102 Park Away Parks Campground 110 Year-

• Season (Summer Months) :

R.D. 2 Round 75% sites occupied / day l Etters, Pa. 17319 0 average 3 persons / unit

• Of f-season . (Spring / Fall) : ,

40s-50% sites occupied / day 9 average 3 persons / unit (Winter) :

• 25 persons / day (maximum) 35 103 Gifford Pinchot State Park 340 Year-

• No cabins I$wisberry, Pa. 17339 P"#" ""!" " (^'"#"U"I

• Total Visitors / Month:

June 1980 60,000 July 1980 144,000 ,

Aug. 1980 77,000 Sept 1900 46,000 Oct. 1980 16,000 Dec. 1980 15,000 ,

4 and vehicle transpcreation. Separate estimates for day and nichttime populations were made to account for esident schools and celleges and staff differentials. The locaticas of thsse facilities by =ap number are shown in Figure 13. l In addition, several sumer camps were identified in the EPZ and apprcxi=ately one hundred sumer cottages are located en the several islands near TMI in the Susquehanna River. One of the largest of these islands, Shelley Island lies within the Ehtclusicn Radius for TM! and is alacst entirely owned by Metropolitan Ediscn Company (Met.Ed.). The ccttages on this island are used by Mat. Ed. espicyees. According to Me t. Ed. ,

these cottages, like those on Hill Island and a number of smaller islands in the EP2, are inhabited by summier visitors and are accessible caly i

by small boat. In an emergency, these visitors (most of whm are area residents) would be within the warning siren coverage area. According to Met. Ed., it takes less than fifteen minutes to reach the mainland by boats therefore, evacuation of these visitors should not pose a problem.

Also, it was noted by PEMA, that the river is used by local residents for fishing and boating. Likewise, these daytime visit =rs could be evacuated in a short period. An estimate of the number of recreational visitors for both the islands and river area is not readily available,

' but both PEMA and Met. Ed. believe that such activity is rather small.

Caspers and day visitors to the area's parks (such as Gifford Pinchot State Park) and to campsites were also considered. An estimate of the number of visitors was cogiled from data furnished by the State Department of Community Affairs and camp directors. Because these visitors are within the proposed siren covsrage area and would self-evacuate, they were included in the transient population ccaponent. The location of the campsites and major park facilities are identified on Figure 18 and are listed in Table 9.

The special facilities and their' locations were identified either through review cf the-County emergency plans, various planning maps or by contact with state and county agencies and facility administrators.

Data regarding the makeup of a facility's population was generally obtained by contacting the various facility administrators. An estimate of the

~

special facility population in each ERPA by facility type for both day and night is presented in Section I7.A., Table 22. For conservatism, this estimate is based en the facility's maximum capacity rather then present populatica listed in Tables 8 and 9.

In addition to these special facilities, data en approximately 20 Day Care Centers and 186 at-hees child care facilities wnich accommodate approximately five Youth and Families.gfren was obtained Because from the these facilities Office do normally of not Children provide door. to door transportation, it is assumed that the children will be picked up by their parents or guartt ians therefore a separate evacuation time estimate for these facilities has not been made. A list of the major Day care Centers is provided in Table 10.

l 1

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Fig.18 SpecialFocilities Three MlleIsland

$55l-w Emergency Response Plan 10-Mile EPZ

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TAB 2.E 10 M,% TOR DAY CARE CEMERS THREE MII.E ISLAND EVACUATION TLME: ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ Name of Facility Cacacity County Dauphin George Frey Center 15 210 Cakley Ave.

Harrisburg 17111 Dauphin County Child Care Services (A-0)

! A. Hill Area Child Development Center 35 15 and Forster Sts.

Harrisburg 17111 B. Middletown Area Child Development 25 Glad Tidings Asssmbly of God Church 1325 vince St . '

Middletown 17057 C. Steelton Child Development Center 50 130 watson St.

Steelton 17113 D. Dauphin County Group and Family Day 110 Care Homes 17 South Second St.

Harrisburg 17101 Downtown Day Care 37 l

! 21 South River St.

Harrisburg 17101

- Dauphin Comty Headstart Canters 30 Cloverly Heights Church of God 1019 South 19th St.

l

' Harrisburg 17104 Neighborhood Day' Care Centers (A,B) 129 A .' Boas School DCC 909 Reen St.

Harrisburg B. Glenwood Center 60 f

1950 Locust Lane Harrisburg i

Marcus Garvey .38 I Camp Center YMCA

[

6 and Woodbine Sts.

Harrisburg 17110 continued l

l THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 10 EVACUATICN TIME ESTIMAIT.S ^ <-

(Continued)

FOR THE 10 MILE RADICS EP::

Count? Name of Facility Capacity Dauphin Little Pecple - Hershey 120 667 Cherry Dr.

l Hershe} 17033

(

j Little People - Harrisburg East 110 4075 Londonderry Rd.

Harrisburg 17109 Playmate Day Care Center 63 4900 Constitution Ave.

l Harrisburg Strawberry Garden Ltd. 47 1107 North 17th St.

Harrisburg York Sunshine Day Care Center 66 Missionary Alliance Church R.D. 2 Box 10A New Cumberland 17070

' York CPC Child Development Center 40 Main St.

, Wellsville 17365 G s._ ,

Cumbe'rfand Arthur Bursel West Shore Childrens Center 23 Grace V. M. Church 313 Herman Ave.

t Lemoyne 17045 Brookside Learning Center 43

Poplar and Erford Rd.

Cag Hill 17011 Heimbach's Day Care Center 54 St. Paul's V. M. Church Frort and Locust Sts.

Wormleysburg 17043 Lancaster Elizabethtown Child Care Center 60 l 75 East High t.

(. izabethtown 17022 I

NCTE: Not included in the list above are 186 day care centers, each with approximately 5 children mav4-vum cartcity. Although they are not listed, they have been accounted for in the residents population estimates.

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4. Summarv of Pooulation Components: As required by NURE-0654 section J.10.b, a sunmaary of the three major population components has been l prepared for the two, five and ten mile radius at 22 degree increments. l Rose resulting sub-areas are designated as 22 degree Sectces. The 22 degree Sectors as shown in Figures 19 a,b,c, are centered about i the sixteen major cogass points and defined in terms of their ccmpass direction and the radius rings between which they lie. The estimates 4

for the various population components by 22 Sector are listed in Tables 11 -13.

C. Vehicle Estimates i

1. Permanent Res'. dent Population with Autos - An estimate of the number of automobiles which might be generated by this cogonent of the general l population was made by proportioning the number of autos registered by county in 1978 according to the county population and te the respective populations in the political jurisdictions which lie within the EP3.

Table 14 shows the proj Ated number of automobiles by pe'rmanent residents by ERPA.

2. Permanent Resident Population without Auto - Based on procedures set forth in the various county emergency plans, this cogonent of the general population will be evacuated by private and available school buses from predesignated assembly or pickup points in each political jurisdiction to assigned reception centers for the community. The assembly or pick-up points by jurisdiction are listed in Table 15.

It was noted by PEMA, that approximately one hundred of the residents without an auto located principally in the portion of Lancaster County in the DZ are Amish. The Mennohite Council has assured PEMA that their people would self-evacuate in the event of an incident at TMI. (9)

3. Transient Pooulation - Recreational / Vacation and Busineg: An estimate of the number of autos generated by these cogonents of g transient population are based on assumed vehicle occupancy rates:

Recreation / Vacation Travelers - 3.0 persons per vehicle

~ Non-Rr creation / Vacation Travelers - 1.6 persons per vehicle

-4. Transient Population - Employment: The estimate of the number of vehicles generate d by transient employment in the EPZ is based on the number of autos per employee by county as derived from the 197 *"* '

Journey to Work for the Harrisburg, Lancaster and York SMSA's.j8f*"Rese l

i figures are statistically apportioned to account for vehicles generated j by egioyees living within a county and those working outside a county or major sub-area in the EPZ as shown in Table 7. Thus, separate factors were developed for each county in the EPZ and the City of Harrisburg to be applied to the employment estimated by ERPA. This statistical vehicle generation factor accounts for those people who work at home, use public- transit, walk to work or are at locations other than their

normal place of business. The vehicle generatic.a factora, by county and. the City of Harrisburg are presented in Table 16.

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j ' ,12 4 Si THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 11 EVACUATION 11tud ESTIMATES RESIDENT POPULATION FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP: POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR 22b SECTRS Day (Night)

Distance from MI (Miles)

Direction 0-2 2-5 5 - 10 N 154 (189) 7,654 (9,439) 9,280 (11,538)

NNE 175 (216) 1,122 (1,378) 13,100 (16,394)

NE 25 1 (308) 842 (1,034) 2,353 (2,831)

ENE 150 (185) 659 (809) 1,409 (1,739)

E 63 (77) 566 (792) 6,696 (9,731)

ESE 38 (46) 219 (317) '1,698 (2,364)

SE 73 (97) 397 (539) 2,195 (3,959)

SSE 250 (324 472 (594) 3,835 (4,6 19)

's 0 (0) 1,851 (2,228) 6,545 (8,836)

SSW '.' (8) 1,296 (1,557) 2,653 (3,186)

SW 13 (16) 881 (1,059) 1,158 (1,392)

WSW 162 (196) 1,319 (1,586) 2,157 (2,593)

W 275 (333) 1,557 (1,874) 2,920 (4,006)

WNW 7 (9) 961 (1,227) 5,898 (10,721)

NW 0 (0) 724 (893) 17,549 (24,442)

NNW 0 (0) 3,433 (4,409) 11,013 (13,698) 1618 (2004) 23,953 (29,735) 90,279 (122,069)

Total Population 115,850 (158,226)

Note Data obtained frem the U.S. Sureau of the census,1980 Preliminary '

Census Predictions.

Reference tables to Figure 19 a for location of sectors.

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Fig.19c Population Summary Permanent Resident Three Mile Island Population Emergency Response Plan

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lt j\ tE 4 TBREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 12 EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES TRANSIENT POPULATION O

FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP3 POPULATION ESTIMATES EUR 22h SEC':CRS Day (Night)

Distance from m I (Miles)

Direction 0-2 2-5 5 - 10 N 14 (2) 607 (184) 8 27 (434)

NNE 15 (2) 102 (15) 1,915 (1,919)

NE 22 (3) 78 (11) 204 (48)

ENE 14 (2) 60 (9) 176 (41)

E 5 (1) 64 (10) 1,178 (524)

ESE 9 (1) 117 (154) 194 (32)

SE 19 (1) 44 (6) 465 (68)

SSE 52 (4) 60 (6) 226 (40)

S 0 (0) 124 (20) 478 (75)

SSW 0 (0) 87 (13) 173 (27)

SW l (0) 67 (9) 144 (13)

WSW 16 (2) 240 (263) 733 (1,044)

W 19 (3) 111 (16) 337 (121)

WNN- 1 (0) 70 (10) 1,195 (533)

NW 0 (0) 233 (11) 4,310 (1,036)

NNW 0 (0) 249 (106) 1,036 (548) 187 -(21) 2,313 (843) 13,591 (6,503)

Total Population (6,503) (7,367)

Notes o Data obtained from the U.S. Bureau of the Census,1980 Preliminary Census Predictions.

o Reference tables to Figure 18 for location of sectors.

o Transient employees are defined as those working in the EP3 but leaving in consunities outside.

• These population estimates do not include the total daytime / night egloyment population, 1202 (400) respectively for TMI.

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THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 13 '

EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES SPECIAL FACILI*IES*

FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR 22 SECTRS Day (Night)  ;

l Distance from MI (Miles)

Direction 0-2 2-5 5 - 10 I

N - 3,260 (1,099) 2,706 (70)

NNE - - 4,900 (630)

NE - 549 (0) 201 (0) -

ENE -

E - - - 4,864 (2,060) l ESE - - - 350 (50)

SE - 325 (0)- 430 (0)

SSE -

S - 167 (0) 2,644 s (0)

SSW - - - 408 (0) l sw - - - -

WSW - 58 0 (0) -

l W - - - 320 (0)

WNN - - - 3,708 (0)

NW - - - 6,577 (1108)

NNW - 1335 (7 15) 4,46 1 (0) l Total - 4,216 (1814) 31,569 (3918)

Total Population 39,785 (4,732) m Note : Figures given represent resident population for those special facilities identified ~in this study.

{

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Fig.49c Po lNro"cII*I i Three Mile Islanc population EmergencyResp n Pl (WM EP

THREE MILE ISIAEC

• TABLE 14 I EVACCATION TIME ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS IPZ PROJECTED NUMBER CF AL"C!!CBILES

.USED BY PERMANE2C RESIOE CS l

- BY EMERGENCY RESPCNSE PLANNIIG AREA i

~

Projected Number Number of of Autemobiles Emergency Response 2ersens Using Urad By Planning Area (ERPA) Autrzebiles Pe m ent 2esidents 1 0 0

! 2 1,433 797 I 3 515 256 4 434 222 5 748 383 6 1,870 957 7 864 480 8 8,462 4,70s 9 3,282 1,825

, 10 823 410 l 11 565 281

~

12 1,546 770 13 678 347 14 988 506

15 2,992 1,532 j 16 3,683 1,886 l 17 3,739 1,914 18 2,410 1,234 19 2,462 1,369 ,

20 4,155 2,310 i 21 17,830 9,913 l 22 3,770 2,096 23 2,284 1,270 24 1,301 637 25- 2,507 1,248 26 5,854 2,915 l, 27 2,242 1,117 28 2,715 1,352 l 29 208 106 t 30 5,605 2,870 31 912 467 32 6,688 3,424 33 921 472 34 583 298 35 165 84 36 282 144 37 2,407 1,232 38 6,304 3,228 39 636 334 r

l- 40 7,442 3,907 41 0 0 l 42 4,*33 2,632-l 43 18,148 10,090 44 1,462 83 45 16,122 8,964 46 1,192 663 47 4,406 2,450 158,36&- 84,910 l

l THRE2. MII.E ISIAND -

. TABLE 15  ;

EVACUATICN TIME ESTIMATES '

FOR THE 10 MII.E RADIUS EPZ LOCAL PICKUP POINTS FOR PCPULATICN WITHOUT AUTOS w County Municipality ERPA Assembly Areas Cumberland New Cumberland Township 40 1. Manor-School

2. Hillside School Lower Allen Township ** 39 1. Ced:e Cliff School York Determined by Local Plans for pickup points Lancaster Conoy Township 3,12 1. Bainbridge Fire Company West Donegal Township 11,27 2nd Street naiv5 ridge, Pennsylvania Mount Joy Township ** 25 1. Maytcwn Fire Ccapany East Donegal Township ** 28 117 E. High Street Elizabethtown Borough 26 Maytown, Pennsylvania

2. Friendship Fire Company North Mount Joy Street Elizabethtown, Pennsylvania

3. Rheeme Fire Company Harrisburg Avenue Rheens, Pennsylvania Dauphin. Conewago Townwhip 23 1. Elementary School on Rt.

~

2. Texaco Station -

Derry Township 21 1. Dutch Village

2. Stoverdale Church

3. Fishburn Church

4. St. Pauls Church

5. Sand Hill & Foxanna .

6. Mine & Leerden Rds.

7. Church & McCorkle

8. I-HCP Restaurant

9. Frit11 Trailor Court

10. Briarerest Gates

11. Nate Hose Drage

12. Palmdale Crr Wash

13. Acma Auto Parts

14. Hershey Jr. High School

15. St. Joan of Arc

16. Front & Sand Beach Road

17. Derry & Park

18. Areba & Lyndon

19. Masonic Homes

20. Bachmanirile Saltyt.ill

21. . Meadowland & Eby

22. Spring Creek continued

. . t r i

J THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 15 ,

"VACUATION M ESTIMATES (Continued)

OR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ County M..nicirality ERPA Asse=biv Areas Dtuphin Harrisburg City 43 1. Marshall School (Continued) 2. Melrose School

3. Edison School

4. Schi:mel Schoci

5. Lincoln School

6. 14th & Market Streets

7. Webster Schcol

8. Soas School

9. Front & Vice Streets

10. Focse Schec1

11. 17th & Hancver Streets

12. 19th & Sycamore Streets Highspire Scrough 19 1. Flour Mill

2. 2=d & Race Streets -

3. Firehouse

4. Scro Hall Ishelman Street

5. Franklin & Eshel: man Streets Huraelstown Borough - 21 1. Boro Bn41d4";

Londenderry Ibwn. ship

• 2,9

~

Icwor Paxton Township ** 47 1. Vocaticr4 Technical School

2. Union Deposit Mall s

Iower Swatara Township 46,20 1. .hrket Street Exit

2. Clastead Plara

3. Shopes Garden Civic Ctr.

4. Lcwor Swatara Fire Co.

5. Pcute 441 & Longview Orive

6. Youth for Christ, Eisenhcwer Blvd.

Middletown Bcrough 8 1. Market & Catherine

2. Middletcwn Plaza

3. Giant Store Parking Ict

4. Liberty Fire Ecuse

5. Pinaford Rental Cffice

6. Grandview School

7. CaV. hill & Spruce

8. Oeatrich & Fry Paxtang Borough 44 1. Scro Scilding Royalton Scrough 7 1. Scro Building

2. Strawsburg & Penn Street

THREE MILE ISLAND TABLE 15 EVACUATICN TDE ESTIMATES (Con *dnued) 3 FCR ME 10 MILE RADIUS EPZ County Municicality E7.PA Asset:bly Areas Dauphin South Hanover Township 22 (Continued)

Steelton Borough 42 1. Burdoffs Front & Chambers

2. Boro Building

3. V W Parking Lot

4. Eigenic Fire Co.,

Bessemer St.

5. Cottage Hill Field

6. East End Recreation Centar Swatara Township 45 1. Chamber Hill Fire Co.

2. Bressler Fire Co.

3. Cberlin Square

4. Cherlin Gardens Fire Co.

5. Enhaut Fire Co.

6. Good Shepard Luthr.ran Church

7. St. Catherine - Terry Street

8. Long Manor Conar. C+J, 19th

. 9. Lawnton School

10. Rutherford Lir,ns Club

11. T & C Parking Lot Lebanon South Londonderry Township ** 24 1. Lawn Elementary School Notes:

• The County Plan does not list any pickup points for these ::adcipalities

• • Caly a portion of the political jurisdiction and population lie within'the 10 mile EPZ.

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THREE MIM ISLA.T TAB G 16 EVACCATICH TIME ESTIMATF.S FCR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP: VERICLE GENELTION FACTCRS FCR EMP!4YMEIC

- BY CCCNTY & CITY OF EAPJtl5 BURG l

Vehicles Per Total E=ployees Working in Harrisburg:

Living in Harrisburg 0.430 Living Cutside Harrisburg 0.720 Re:eainder of Oauphin Co. 0.703 C::mbeziand Co. 0.760 Elsewhere 0.724 Total 0.640 i

Working in Remainder Cauph!n Co.:

Living in n - 4mAer Dauphin Co. 0.662 Living outside P Aer Cauphin Co. 0.765 Earrisburg 0.670 Cumberland Co. 0.836 Elsewhere 0.768 Total 0.703 Working in C:ar.berland County:

Living in C'.anberland County 0.691 Living outside C:.:mberland County 0.772 Harrisburg 0.693 Remainder of Dauphin Co. 0.829 Elsewhere 0.763 Total 0.716 Working in Lancaster Co. (Cutside City):

Living in Co. (Cutside City) 0.629 Living cutside Co. (Cutside City) 0.717 Total O.642 Working in York Co. (Cutside City):

Living in.Co. (Cutside City) 0.723 Living outside Co. (Cutside City) 0.758 Total 0.733 1

is E: Vehicles per total employment represents *2e nir:bar of autancbiles associated with total employment in l a locality. Empicye,. base is total employment as I used in this study, v & S~ includes persons who en the day of ~ enumeration walked to work er worked at home. In addition to the abcve Counties, a small pcrtion of Lebanon County lies within the EP:s because the County is not wi-lin an SMSA, data by place of work is not available.

SCURCE: U. S. Bureau of the Census, Journey to Work, 1970, June 1973.

5. Special Facilities - Hospitals / Nursing Homas,(1), (30) - According 3 to the county emergency plans, the specific tzansportation needs for /

these facilities win be determined at the time of an incident based on patient or resident characteristics such as number of ambulatory or non-ambulatory persons. County transportation resources including ambulances and buses would then be allocated to each facility to supplement facility owned or operated vehicles to evacuate the facility to a predesignated host center. .

A list of the primary transportation resources identified in the County plans is presented in Table 17. Secondary resources frca adjacent counties as identified in the County Plans have also been assumed to be available.

These secondary resources are listed is Section 7 SUGGESTED ACTION under D. Potential Additional Vehicle Needs.

6. Special Facilities - Schools / Colleges ( ) ( 3) (30) - It has been

determined in the county emergency plans that evacuation of school children win be among their first priorities. The rhildren who normany are assigned to district school buses win be taken to designated reception centers where they win be released to the custody of parents or guardians.

Where schools do not normally provide bus transportation, students who 4

normany walk to school win be sent home to evacuate with their families or provisions win be made for parents to pick thu rp at the school.

According to discussions with school administrators, parochial school children who relie on public transportation, would have to find their own means of transport if district school bus are not provided. The

-schools without existing bus transportation are denoted in Table 8. ,

Where a resident-student population exists, it has been assured that '

bus transportation will be anocated from the County's transportation resources. For students who drive to class, primarily those attending colleges and high school, the county emergency plans assume that they will self-evacuate, presumably to their homes to leave the risk area with their family. A . list of the number and size of available school buses by county, school and school district is shown in Table 18.

Because the concept for evacuation of school children varies by county emergency plan and by school district, a conservative approach has been taken in this evacuation time ert! mate. It is assumed that available school buses win be anocated to all schools in the EPZ to evacuate the student population to their designated reception centers.

7. Special Facilities - Penal Institutions (l), (24) - The only major penal facility identified in the EPZ is the Dauphin County Prison.

I The vehicle estimate for the evacuation of staff and inmates was extracted l from the draft of the Dauphin County Emergency Plans and confirmed by contact with the prison werden. Three buses with a capac.ty of 40-50

! passengers . (including guards) will be supplied by the National Guard

- to transport male inmates to the Huntington State Prison. The buses win travel along Route 22 tc Huntington, Pennsylvania. Female inmates will be transported in two caged-station wegens to the State Correctional Institution for Women at Muncy, Pennsylvania. A convoy win be formed with two police cars at the front and rear of the convoy and une police car between each bus.

1

e TASLE 17 Meth&E MII2168A88) '

• EVACUATIOss TIMd EST! MATE TRAtterolsTATIOtt R.iSouleCES

~

104: Met 10 MII2 DADIUS SPS , BT CIMatfTV Foet MsE EVAculaote OF GE05hAL A88D blLSilJGMTIAL POPul.ATION Sue Tsesio6estation Approalmete thaucear Approalacte boueber (bunty meeousoe of vehicles Avellable_ Vektole capacity Ambulance Transportation kamource of vehicles Available Vosk rush Area Tsanalt 20 biasee 40 eented, ratsvlow W p. Ambulance Club 1 Autlausity 20 standing a.D. 41 pos $60 New Cundiertand, PA 17070 Vosk Tremesestatloa 17 vans 10 people / van lawleberry Fire Op. Aadsutance Club 1 Club 1 bus 20 smople/ bus Front Stseet s*

• wtoelchair Lawleberry, FA 17339 fac!!! time Masachester Ambulance Club 1 Red Llua Tsene!L 14 notar coachee 39-49 people /coacie 301 Vosk street hue onopony* 110 soliool busee 72 people / bus Manolieeter, PA 17345 t

, Daug4ain rapita! Asee Tsane!L* 20 busee 55 people / bum N newege hwnship 0 8

Dessy hwnelity )

b creyhound sue 02 15 buses 55 people /bue Nesalsbusg City 5 6

N!glieplas Soso 1 Capital Due Qampany* $3 busee 46 people /bue asumeneletuwn noso 2 1 van 12 peopte/was londosedeaay hwnahiy 1 lower Panton h wnelity 3 central Daul dnin* 82 buses 72 people /Inse leswer swetara w wsiehty I school Dietslot Middletowse hose 2 Festang beso I Has 1etmasg C1ty* 40 bu:.ea 72 people /bue hoyeIton toao O Sulacol Dietsict South Blanover hwnship 0 Steelton hoso 2 lower Deu6ita* d 41 busee 72 people / bus sue <3uehanne Ttawnship  !

school District Swatase w wnship 5 suhlaget Due Co.* 23 busee M people / bum eserste huses 15 busee 72 people / bus souscos % :ee Mlle Saland Beergency .

Svecuattun Plane (Draf tel for Lancaster, Doug4 sin, labarmin, Yosh and cuadse:Innd (bietty, Apr!! 1979

, continued 4

. +

ttsREE Mite 181 m EVACUAT!Use TIME ESTIMATS g

SUtt THE 10 M113 BADIUS EPE g

Bue Translottation Apprealmate Isaber Approntmate Number count y aseource of V elates Available Vehtole capacity fMaulance Transportation assource of vehtoles Available lancaster med nose Tran. porta- 35 buses ,

72 people /bue Warwick 1 tion Authority Leola 1 Neapfield 1 Cunestoga Bue Co. 13 coaches 45 people / coach Manholm h wnship Ambulance 2 E6at lampeter 1 Penn Nighway Trane. New Holless! 1 Compeor 7 coaches 43 people / coach West trut 1 Christiana 1 Johnson sua servloe* 90 busee 55 people / bus Armstrong (a.D.) 1 Conestoga view 1 Wartet sue service

• 65 busee er peo;,le/ bus Lancaster Medical Tsanagott 1 Nowmet )

Schults Transportation

• 30 busee 4P people / bus providence hwnship 1

[ Raymce=1 3. Groff*

ts Buses 23 buses 72 people / bus t

Cumberlar=1 West shore District

• 2 buses 24 people / bus New Cumberland 4 buses 84 people / bus (Ambulance 10)

, 24 buses 66 peuple/bue Imwer Allen 34 busee 72 people / bus (Ambulance 112 and 212)

Limburn e Sunderlasmi chevrolet 50 laneee 66-72 people / bus (Ambulance 24) 17 vans 10 people / van 14banon A.P. Suche 17 busse 72 people / bus Lawn Fire Co. Ambulance 1 an! sons 3 vans 12 people / van lawn, pA 3 station wagona 9 people / wagon Sources %sse Mlle Island Emergency Evacuation Plans

• ekstes neae bus coms, antes are contracted to evacuate a!! etudente , rom schools before assisting in the evacuation ' #* "' # #" ** *#

., tl.a g.n.r 1 .n. g..!.ent . 1. tion (... tah 1.) . . . oy;i;,i;, gg' Aps!! 1979.

IHREE MII.E ISLAND TABLE 18 EVACCATICN TIME ESTIMATES FCR THE 10 MILE PADIUS EPZ TRANSPORTATICN RESCLTJ 3Y COUNTY FOR THE EVACUATICN OF SCHCCL FACILITIES Approximate Number of County Transcortation Resource Vehicles.Available Vehicle Cacacity York Red Lion Transit Bus Co.* 110 buses 72 students / bus 18 motor coaches 39-40 students /

Motor Coach West Shore School District

• 2 buses 24 students / bus 4 buses 84 students / bus 24 buses 66 students / bus 34 buses 72 students / bus Gross School Bus service 25 buses 72 students / bus Central York School District 31 buses 62 students / bus Cumberland West Shore School District

• 66 buses 66-84 students /b a Iancaster . Bad Rose Transit Authority

• 10 buses 40-50 students / bus Conestoga Transportation Co.* 2 buses 49 students / bus 3 buses 47 students / bus 5 buses 45 students / bus

- 3 buses 41 students / bus Johnson Bus Company

• 90 buses 55 students / bus Warfel Bus Service

• 65 buses 48 students / bus Schultz Transportation

• 30 buses 48 people / bus Raymoni E. Groff Buses 23 buses 72 people / bus Dauphin Capital Area Transit

• 20 buses 55 people / bus Capital Bus company 53 buses 46 people / bus 1 van 12 people / van Central Dauphin School District- 82 buses 72 people / bus Harrisburg City School

, District 40 buses 72 people / bus Iower Cauphin School District 41 buses 72 people / bus Schlagel Bus Company

• 23 buses 66 people / bus Harris Buses

• 15 buses 72 people / bus l

• Note: These bus companies are contracted to evacuate all students from schools before l assisting in the evacuation of the general peculation (see table 17) . 1 4

m III. EVACUATION RCUTING A. Route Selection - The primary evacuation routes used in this evacuation are shown :.n Figure 20. These routes represent a composite of the original evacuation route network which was selected by the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency (P!NA) in concert with the Pennsylvania Depar*Jent of Transpcrtation (P by Parson 4 Brinckerhoff. g andThese supplemental primary routesroutes generally which were selected include the majet State and Interstate highways as well as major. local routes in the 10 mile EPZ. Me primary routes were selected to provide a contigicus network which if expanded beycnd the 10 mile EPZ could be used to expedite an evacuation of the populatiu wt t es as uggested in be -

Pennsylvania Emergency Respcmse Plan.T3jfThe supplemental routings circumvent, where practical, potential bottleneck locations (32) . The selected evacuation routes were then traveled in order . ssess their sufficiency for evacuation purposes and to determine aaracteristics (number of lanes, lane and shoulder widths or lates aarance, location and operation of traffic controls, and cperating a posted speeds) required for capacity determinations.

The majority of local roads are of a rural character which, based on limited field observations made by Parsons Brinckerhoff on January 5-6,1981 constituts narrow two lane pavements 18 to 22 feet in width with abrupt vertical curves, no shoulders and little side clearance i

and in some instarces sharp horizontal alignment. These geometric restrictions not* enly limit a driver's sight distance; but restrict traffic carrying capacity and travel speed. Thus, these routes are used as secondary evacuation routes for local residents to access the primary routes.

In the event a primary route is blocked, local roads could provide a back-up capability for the local comuaunities.

In selecting the original primary evacuation routes, PENNDOT established several objectives upcm which to base their decision including their know EPZ:ge of the physical and operating characters of roadways in the l o The route must be in the general direction of the Reception Centers to which the community has been assigned.

o The route from a commuunity should be as direct as possible causing the least interference with internal traffic movements and evacuation routings from adjacent communities.

o The route should provide the safest and quickest controlled path from the risk area.

l o Traffic should be distributed to routes in such a manner as to minimize potential delays because of overloading. l o- Routes where physical conditions exist such as narrow bridges, flooding or. abrupt changes in available traffic lanes should be avoided.

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B. Traffic Management Procedures - PENNDCT has also indicated that special traffic management procedures of traffic from the risk area.g be Such enacted to facilitate procedures the flow would include:

o Assigning traffic control persennel at major points where evacuatien routes meet and at interchange ramps.

o Detouring through-traffic on limited access facilities by barricading the roadway at the EP: and at strategic interchanges.

o Directing actorists to use two lanes at siryle lane on-camps l where shoulders are sufficient.

o opening rignt-of-way gates to limited access highways such as at the Middletown Service Area on Route 76, at Highspire and at Colebrook.

In addition. PENNDCT has arranged with the Pennsylvania Turnpike Authority to open the toll barriers on Route 76 to expedite the flow of evacuees from the area. Moreover, it is aasumed that the primary evacuation routes would operate with normal two-way traffic patterns except on any existing one-way. streets or ramps. This operational strategy would not only permit emergency units, special transportaticrt vehicles and

- residents of t.'e evacuation zone to circulate in the EP3, but would also minimize the possibility of a total blockage of a route because of an incident such as a vehicle accident. If an accident did occur, other traffic could be directed arou~nd that point in the opposing travel lane ( s) . However, in the event a primary route would become impassible, local roads could be utilized.'

i l The rerouting of evacuees to a local roads would be at the direction

- of the State Police or PENNDOT. Se actual iglementation of such a diversion could be ace 7115hed by traffic control personnel assigned

to strategic detour lutions and/or by emergency radio broadcasts. ,

(

Roadway Link Characteristics 'I I'(

C.

The characteristics of the selected evacuatien routes are summarized in Table 19. These characteristics are ider.tified by the major links in the evacuation route network as shown in Figure 20. A link represents a contiguous roadway segment where the physical and operating characteristics are similar, a portion of a contiguous route which is intersected by another primary evacuation route or where additional traffic is loaded crato the route. When a route crosses a Sector boundary, the nunber is extended one link beyond the sector being evaluated to facilitate time estimates. The links are identified by route name and/or number, number of lanes (outsound direculon), free flow travel speed, designated capacity and route classification, i.e.:

(IA) -

Limited Access Highway; (PH) - Priu ry Highway; I

(SB) -

Secondary Highway; (SR) - Slip Ragt (LR) -

Loop Rasp; (DC) - Direct Connnection;

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Fig.20 EUccuation 5utelnks Three Mlle Island Emergency Response Plan Mw 10-Mile EPZ

l IHR22 MIII ISIAND TABLE 19 EVACCATICN TI!E ESTIMATES FCR THE 10 MII/J RADIUS EP SEECTED PRIMARY EVACCATICN ROUTE CHARACTERISTICS

\

FRACTICAL LINK OESCRIPTION LINE NUM8ER CAPACITY L INK --

LENGTH SPEED GP L ANES QUf 800ND ROA0WAY NUM8ER MAINLINE FROM TO IMILES3 (MPHI CUT 80UNO IPCE CLA 551PIC A T10N

._.. ../HCH

. . . . . _ . R.......

3 . ..

l 1 AIR ACC RD HAR AIRPRT, Ex!T 253E .. 1. 6 __ _ _ 5 5 2 4000 LIMITED ACCESS l 2 AIR ACC RD EXIT 253E AT 283W DC 0.3 55 1 1600 PRIMARY HWY l 3 RAMP AIR.ACC RD RTE.283W 0.3~ ~ ~ 35 1 1500 RAMP 4 RTE 283W AIRPT CONN 1283 N RAMP 1.1 55 2 4000 LIMITED ACCESS 5 1283N I-253W RMP CH HL RA MP _, _, 1.6 _, 55 2 4000 6 1283M CH.HL. RAMP SEGIN SEVR 0.0 55 2 4000 .._ LIMITED ACCESS LIMITED ACCESS 7 RAMP 8EGIN SR RTE 322E . 0.3 35 1 }200 RAMP 3 RTE 322E I 283W ACC' MUSH HL RO 3.5 55 2 1400' ~" L MITED ACCESS 9 RTE 322E MUSH HL RD CH HL RO . . 1. 0. _ . __. 5 5 2 950.. PRIM AR Y HWY 10 RTE 322E CH ML RO LO SWAT LN 0.6 55 2 3800 PR IMAR Y HWY 11 R TE 3221 La SWAT LN. RT 39 LOOP .. ,1.3. 51 2 1800 PRIMART J .WY 12 RAMP 8EGIN LR ENO LR 0.2 20 1 80 0 RAMF 13 RT 39 END LR JNCT39/743. _ 2.L 45 1 550._, .. .PR I MAR Y . . HWY 14 GR ANDVIEWR MARG ATE OR_ RTE 39 OtiV045HIRT E STHMVRTW5jRTE 39' . ..

0.8 1.1

' 25 25 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 15 1 106 0 _ __ SEC ONC A R Y H WY 16 RED TOP RO 570U0T A0 RTE 39 1.5 Z5 1 1060 SECONDARY HWY 17 GR N VA LLE Y HCERNERSTN RTE 39 . _.. 1.5 30 1 1060 _ ..5ECONDARY.pWY.

18 RTE 39 GRNovEW DR RED TOP RD 1.3 50 1 1300 PRIMARY HWY.

19 R TE 743 4.Q 45 2 2330._ . PRIMARY NWY ,

20 ATE 743 . JNCr743/39 SMO BCH RDSND SCH

$5a 743 EXTRD 1.0 45 2 3920 PR IMAR Y HWf 21 RTE 743 . 553 743 EXT INTGRVL RD._ __0.6 49 1 1200 _f RI MA R Y._ H W Y .

22 RTE 743 INTGRVLROC DERRYTWSPL 0.7 45 1 1400 PRIMARY HWY 23 RTE 7435 RTE 743N. . CHOC.AYE. . ...0.5 19 1 _.J0 0 28 ! MAB Y._t4 W Y _

24 CHOC AVE ORCHARD AD RIDGE RD 0.3 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 25 CHOC AVE A IDGE .RD __,3NCT 743N Q.1 19 1 1490 2RIMAR W WY ,

26 CHOC AVE JNCT 743N JNCT 7435 0.0 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 27 CHOC AVE .JNCT 7435 HOMESTEDRD . . I ,1 2s t 1490 _pRgnamy,,wwy, 28 W MAIN ST HOMESTED R S LINGEL A 1.6 40 1 1490 pRg n4R y nWy 29 W MAIN ST 5 LINGEL A .NCS RR ST ..._1.2 29 t 14_90 _pg1 MAR T jgWY.,

30 W MAIN ST NL5 RR ST NC5 GANT 5 0.1 35 1 1320 PR I MAR Y HWY 31 W MAIN ST. NES GRMT $ JNCT 1175 . . 0. 3.. 1s t 950 PRIMART HWY 32 RTE 422 JPCT 1175 N LONO T WN 1.2 45 2 3000 PR I M AR Y HWY 33 RTF 7435 ELM AVE _.0.2 .____.29 1 _ 1230 SECONDARY HWY 34 RTE 7435 RTE ELM AVE422 . GovtRNOR R 0.5 35 1 4t0 SECONDARY HWY 35 RTE 7435 GOVERNOR R P15H8 URN A 0.5 ;_ _ 39 1. _._ 1140 . PRIMARY. HWY _

36 RTE 7435 PISH 8 URN R MULEN8RG A 0.6 - 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 37 RTE 322E RT 743 Nt! HME5fD RO. 0. 5 _. _ _40 t 54 0 PRIMARY HWY 38 RTE 322E HMESTO RD. MEADOW LA 0.7 40 1 _. 1490 PRIMARY HWY 29 R TE 322E MEADOW LA OPHN CO LN 1.2 55 1._.... 1490 PRIMARY HWY 40 RTE 322E OPHN CO LN LYMAR AVE ' O.7 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 41 ATE 322E LYMAR AVE JNCT 117NS 07 . 35 .t __ 500 PRIMARY HWY 42 CL8 ROCK RD RTE 322E SELL RO 0.3 30 1 990 SECOND ARY HWY 43 $ ELL 40. CLESRK RD LAWN RD 1.0 30 ____1... 1410 SECONDARY NhY j 44 BELL RD LAWN RO PATRICK RD 1.5 45 1 1410 SECONDARY HWY l 45 P ATR ICK RO L5MN CO LN RTE 117 1.2 45 ....1_. 1060 SECOND ARY Hw?

46 PATRICE RD RTE 117 LAWN AD 1.5 45 1 1060 SECONDARY HWY l

l I

l

! continued

i

)

"HREE

. MII.E ISIAND TABLE 19  % '

EVACUATION TIME ESTDiATES FCR THE 10 . " PADIUS EPz (continued)

_ PRACTICAL LINE DESCRIPTION LINK . . _NUMSER . CAPACITY LINK -

LENGTH SPEED _0P L ANES. CUT 8CUND RCA0wAY NUMSER MA INLI NE FRCM TD (MILESI (MPHI CUT 80UND IPCE/ HOUR) CLASSIFICATION 47 EPLER Ru. RTE 117 RTE 341 1. 8 . . 30 1 1060 . SECCNCARY hwy 48 RTE 341E RTE 341 WATER RO. 0.7 45 1 1140 PRIMARY HHY 49 WATER ST R TE 341W RTE 341 1.5 __ 5s t 1140 .,. PRIMARY Hwy ,

50 RTE 341w SCRDER LA EPLER RD. 1.6 _45 1 1140 PRIMARY hwy 51 RTE 341w RTE 743 LSNN CO LN . 2.0 . ._4s t 1140 , _ _ . p a t M AR Y ., H mY . ,

52 RTE 341w OLO HRSHYR RTE 743 3.5 45 1 1140 PRI M AR Y HWY 53 RTE 341w C"aaoca

. 30. Ac: ar.2s3 3.0 _ _ 3s 1 ._1060 .. . PRIMARY HWY 54 ACC RD 293 RTE 283E RTE 341 0.5 45 1 1490 PRIMARY Hwy 55 CYR5ER S CH HILL 50LE O HAR58 AGPRE. .1.6 19 1 1140_ . SECONDARY hwy 56 GYRSCRS CH RIVER RO HILL 50LE D 0.8 45 1 1060 SECCNOARY hwy 57 PECES RO RIVER R0. - _ ZI ON R D 0.5 45 t 1060. SECCNDARY Hwy .

58 ZION RO PECES RO HILL 50LE O 0.6 45 1 1060 SECONDARY Hwy 59 HILL $0tE D ZICN RD . GYRSERS CM.... 1.0 _ ___35 1 1140. SECONDARY hwy 60 R T E 441N GYRERS CHR ROYALTON 1.5 45 1 1490 PR IM AR Y HmY 61 RTE 441N B UR D. S T _._ .. 0.5. 19 1 1490 PRI MAR Y , HWY 62 SURO $7. ROYALTCH N UMSERL 5 . CANAL ST. 0.2 20 1 1140 PRIMARY Hwy 63 UNICN ST ATE 441 EAMUS ECW _ .0.2_.. _ 29 1 700 _ JRIM AR T. ftwY _.

64 UN ICN ST EAMUS ECW W MAIN ST 0.2 25 1 490 PRIMARY hwy 66 UNICN ST E R005DELT 08ERLIN RD ....0.5 _ga 1 1140 _ _.. P R I MAR y fewy 67 UNION ST OBERLIN RO 283E RAMP 0.8 35 1 1140 SECONDARY hwy 68 mAMP CBERLIN RD RTE 283E 0.3 . 30 t

._1200_ . __. . RAMP.

49 RAPP MOLTwN RD RTE 283E 0.3 . 35 1 1000 RAMP 70 RAMP ACC 40 283 RTE 283E 0.2 . .__.40 t ,1200. . .. Ramp ~

F1 F ALMOUTHR3 R TE 441 HILL 50LERO 2.1 35 1 1060 SECONDARY HW) 72 FALMCUTHRD 0.8 35 _ 1 __ 1060 SECONDARY hwy 73 HILL 5dLERO C8EER RJ CREER CUVERSR RO 40 . HILL 50LERO 0.8 ._, 35 3 1060 SECONDARY hwy 74 FALMUUTHRO HILL 50LERO W.HIGH 57 4.3 _ . 40.. ._ L. .. 1060 SECONCARY HWY 75 W.HIGH ST FALMOUTHR0 MARKET ST 0.5 40 1 1060 SECONDARY Hwy F6 MARKET ST WCEHIGH ST LIM)EN AV 0.5 25 .L_ .._..,1410 PR IM AR Y hwy 77 LINDEN AV ummaus? Ro.

MARKE T ST N.HANOVE R 0.2 . 35 1 1140 SECCNOARY hwy 78 Mi GRETNA 28E RAMP 0.8 ,35 .. .L _ . . 1200 PR IM AR Y Hwy 79 RAMP usasasY me. RTE 283E 0.5 40 1 1200 RAMP 80 MT GRE TMA RTE 241/743 LE8AN CD t. 4.0 4 5 _ _. .. 1 . ._. 1140 PRIMARY Hwy 81 MT GRE TNA LEBAN CO L RAILROADST 1.7 55 1 1140 PRIMARY tf u Y 82 4.HANOVER - EHMMLSTWN LIND.EN 57 0.2 35 1..__,.. 1490 SECCNDARY Hwy 83 E.HIGH ST 5 MARKET 57 CHESTNUTST 0.5 25 1 1410 P R I M.4R Y HWY 84 ELilTWN RO GAN TREE ST SNNY8URNRO 2.2 40 __,. _1..._ 1410 P RI M AR Y hwy 85 GkN TREE RO ELIZTwN RO RIOCE RO 0.8 45 1 1060 SE C CNO ARY hwy R6 GA NT RE E RJ d!DGE RO ENT 283E 1.3 45 . 1 1060 SECCNOARY Hwy 87 RAMP GRNTREE RO ATE 283E 0.5 40 1 1200 RAMP 88 CLCVERLFR0 RTE 230 .ENT 283E 1.0 40 .J. 1410 PRIMARY hwy 89 CWVERLFRD. 1HRR$8RGRO RTE 230 0.1 10 1 1060 SECONDARY Hwy 90 MAYTCwN A0 STCNEMILR0 743/FRMNR0 0.2 40 1 1140 PRIMARY HWY 91 FOREMAN R) 743/PRMNRO ANCHCR AD 1.0 35 1 1060 SECCNOARY Hwy 92 FOREMAN RO ANCHOR RO FOREMAN RO Ord 15 1 1060 SECONDARY Hwy 93 ANCHCR RO FOREMAN RO SCHWANGERR 0.1 35 1 1230 SECCNOARY Hwy

- . ' - um - , ,w _._.,,_ . _u

TElqEE MILE ISLAND TABLE 19 EVACUATICN TI.ME ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP?,, (continued)

PRACTICAL LINK OE5CRIPfl0N LINK NUMBER CAPACITY L INA ~~ - - - -

LENGTH SPEED OF LANES CUTBCUND ACA0 wa f NUMsER MA IPfLINE FROM 70 (MILESI IMPHI OUT8CUND (PCE/ HOURI CLASSIFICATION 94 SCHW AN CERR ANCHOR RO 5 MARKETST 0.0 35 11+0 SECONDARY HWY 95 RTE 230 SCHWANGERR CLOVERLFR0 1.0 55~~~1~ ~ ~ ~ 1 LOTO P R I MAR Y MWf 96 RTE 230 CLCvfRLFRD SNf0ER 40. 2.0 55 2_ ,, 3680 PR I MAR Y MWf 97 RTE 2JO SNf0ER RO 5.AMCLE ST 0.6 35 1 640 PRIMARY HWY 98 RTE 230 5. ANGLE ST NE W HAVE N 0.7 3S 1

~

T40 PRI MAR Y HWY 99 RTE 230 NCWMAvtNST SMARNETST. 0.1 35' 1 720 PRIMARY HWY 100 RTE 230 $ MARKET 57 N 84RSAR AS 0.2 35 _ 1 660 PRIMARY HWY 101 RTE 230 N 8 AR 8AR 45 E8YCHGESRO 2.0 35 1 __. 1490 PRIMARY HWf 102 MAR I ET TA ST RICHLANDLA WONGALSPRG 1.1 25 1 1060 PRIMARY HWY 103 MARIETTAST ROCKPOINT RICNLANDLA 3.2 40 1 1140 PRIMARY HWf 104 RUCEPf11NT CCLEBRCCRR RTE 141 0.8 . _50 1

_.__ 1140 .. PRIMARY HWf 105 axxPCDrY RTE 743M COLE 8R00ER 15 35 1 1140 PRIMARY HWY 106 ONGALSPMGS MAYTOWN AD COLEBRC0KR 1.8 40 1 1060 . __ SECOND ARY hwy 107 COLC8MOaKR MTNGHSERNR DNGALSPAGS , 0.0 to 1 1060 SECONDARY HWY 108 DNCA L SPR C S CULE8R00K4 5. ANGLE ST ..20 . .35 1 1060 SECONDA RY HWY _

109 W ONGA L S T 5 ANGLE ST NE W H A VE N 1.0 35 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 110 RTE 283E GRANT ST MT. JOY ROY _ . 4.6 11 2 3760 . ...].!MI TED ACCE S S .

111 RTE 293E RTE 230AAA LANCAST CQ 3.7 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 112 OSERLIN RO UNION ST .AIRPCRTACC .._.1.5 ._ ...JS 1

_1040. _ __. SECOND ARY HWY 113 I-76 JCT 283 MIDOLTW R0 2.2 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 114 I 76 LE8AN CO L RTE 117.._ 3.5 ... 55 2 U60 ._LINITED ACCESS 115 E MAIN ST N UNION ST WINE ST 0.2 30 1 810 PR IMAR Y HWY 116 E ;4AIN ST VINE ST.. .COLESROOKR _ J .1 35 .. 1 1410 11T E MAIN ST COLESROCKR GEYERS CH 0.8 50 2 3000 __ _ PR PRIMARY I MAR Y HHWY WY, 118 RIVER R0 FALMOUTHRD RTE 241N .... 3 0 10 t _ 14g g _ , _ .rR I MAR Y HWY 119 RTE 241N RTE 441 8055LER RO 1.8 40 1 1140 PRI MAR Y HWY ,

120 . RTE 241N MASONIC DR S MARKET 57.. 0 3. .. 29 1 ._.260 . . _ . PR I MA R Y HWY 121 5 MARKETST SAIN8R ST E.HIGH ST 0.1 25 1 770 PR I MA P Y HWY 122 RTE 448E R TE 241N RTE T43N 67 _S5 1 _1010 . . . PRIMARY. HWY 123 RTE 44tE RTE 743M RTE 23N 2.6 SS 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 12 4 M AR 584 GPM k blL50N ST AIR ACC A0 1.0 45 _ __, 2 . ._. 1800 PRIMARY .H WY 125 SECONO ST LUM 4ER ST 840A0 ST 0.1 35 1 990 PRIMA #Y HWY 126 SECOMO ST eROAD ST EISEN SLVO 0.1 . ,, 3 5 1 1410 PRI M AR Y HWY 127 5 FRONT ST EISEN SLVO SWATARA ST 2.8 35 1 1410 p43 MARY hwy 128 5 FRCNT ST SWATARA ST LCCUST ST. 0.1 . 25 1 .

1410 pggxA4y hwy 129 5' FRON T 57 LCCUST ST CONESTOGA o.2 30 1 1410 PR IMAR Y HWY 130 C AMERON ST SYCAMOREST PAXTON ST 0.3 3 5 _.,._ ,.__1 . 1410 P R I MAM Y HWY 131 FRONT ST TAYLCR BR MACLAY ST 10 35 3 1370 PR I MAR Y HWY 132 FtCNT ST WALNUT ST TAYLOR BR 0.5 35 3 1370 P4 tM AR Y HWY

13) FRUNT ST MAPLE ST WALNUT S T 0.0 35 __ 3 23AO PRIMARY HWf 13b F80NT ST CHESTMUTST MAPLE ST 0.0 35. __ _..J._.. 2370 PRIMARY HWY

!!S FRuMT ST LINE ST CHESTNUT 5T 0.2 35 3 3320 PRIMARY HWY li e PAITCN ST 5.2ND 57 LINE ST 0.0 35 2 1790 PRIMARY HWY 13? Pa x TCN ST CAmtiRON ST 5.2ND ST 0.2 35 2 3520 P4tMARY HWY 13t P 4 XTON ST CA*4ERON ST 5 13 fH ST 0.3 35 2 1290 PR I MAR Y HWY 139 PatTCN ST 5.13TH ST 5.17TH ST 0.3 35 2 1560 PR IM AR Y MWY m,.

j 1

THIU:E ICLE ISIAND TA3LE 19 EVACUATICH TIME ESTIMATS l FOR THE 10 MILE RADIUS ?.?: (continued)

PRACTICAL LI1R DESCRI' TION LINR NUM8ER CAPACITY LINR ---

LENGTH SPEEJ OF LANES CUT 80UND RCA0WA Y NUM8ER MAINLINE p a.0M TO IMILES) (MPHI CUT 80UND (PCE/ HOURI CLASSIFICATION  !

sensus esemesesse ........e. sees newee ... .. .. ==........ emessenessesse seems . ...

140 RAM

• 5.177H ST t-83W 0.0 20 1. 1000 RAMP 141 5.177H ST PaxTUN ST I-83W RAMP 0.1 25 1 1230 SECONDARY HWf 142 OtRR Y ST 197H ST 17TH ST 0.1 25 1

.. 1230 PRIMARY HWY 143 OtRR Y ST ITTH ST 12 m ST 1.2 25 1 1410 PRIMARY HWf 144 12 3 ST OtRRY ST MARRE T ST 0.1 25 I _ _ . , 1410 PRIMARY HWf 145 MARRET ST 1 2 *.18 ST CAMERON ST 0.1 25 1 1230 PRIMARY HWf 146 CAMERON ST MARRET 57 HERR ST 0.5 .. 3 5 - __2._ . .2110 PRIMARY HWY 147 R TE230 HERM ST ROUTE 22 0.7 35 2 880 PR! hAR Y HWY 148 RTE 230 ROUTE 22 . . ELMERTONAV __ 0.5. 19 2 1680 PRIMARY HWf 149 RTE 22E INF TR Y HDG CAMEROM ST 0.3 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 150 R T E 22 E 17 TH ST .INFTRY HOG .. 0 . 5.. . . . _.3 5 1 __1490 pt! MARY , hwy LS 1 RTE 22E HERR ST 17 TH ST 0.0 35 1 630 . _ PRIMARY HWf 152 RTE 22C 5 PRGR5557. WLNT/FORST _ 0. 5 . .. _. 3 s 2 2070 PRIMARY HWf ..

153 RIE 22E WLNT/FCRST LCST/PNRSE 0.3 35 2 1540 PRI MAR Y HWY 154 RTE 22E 1 CST /PNRSE ENT83WLNUT . 0.6 _ ,35 2 3800 ..JRIMARY HWY 155 RAMP P.TE 22E I-83M 0.0 10 1 800 RAMP 156 I- 8 3N RTE 22 ENT I-83W RAMP 0.8 55 3 5760 LIMITED ACCESS.

157 RAMP t-83N 1-81W . 0.S 50 2 3000 RAMP 158 RAMP I-83N 1-81E 0.5 45 2 __. 3000 RAMP 159 UtluNOPOST l-43N RAMP E PARR RD 0.1 35 3 4980 _ PRIMARY HWY 160 UNIUNOPOST E.PARR RD 00tMONER 0.5 . 35 _ L_,.. ._. 1490 PRIMARY HWY 161 PAGE RD EVELYN RD MEW 510E RD 0.8 40 1 1140 SECCMDARY HWY 162 NEW5 tut RO PAGE 40 UN.0EP.57R . _4 0 1 470 SECCNOARY HW*

143 R U THRF ORD UNIOMOPOST LOCUST L0.8 A .. 0.5 35 1 _ . , 680 SECONDARY HW.

164 LOCUST L A MAMERE OR PRINCE ST 0.8 .. 35.. 1 . 580 SECONDARY HWY 165 LOCUST LA PRINCE ST RUTHERFORD 0.0 35 1 580 SECONDARf HWf 166 RTHRFORCR0 LOCUST LA VIRGIN!AST 0.1 35 L._ 1410 SECONDARY HWY 16T VIRGINIAST RTHRFOMORD PRINCE ST 0.0 25 1 1410 SECCNOARY HWY 168 PRINCE ST VIRGINIA RTE 22 0.5 2 5. .

1 . 550 SECCMOARY HWY 1A9 CCNWAY RD. LYTER LA UNIONOPOST 0.3 35 1 1140 SECONDARY HWf 170 UNIONOPUST CONWAY R0 *NYES RO 0.2 35 . _.. L _ 1140 SECONCARY HWY 171 NVES RD UNIUNOPOST UNIONOPOST 0.0 35 1 1140 SECONDARY HWf 172 NYES RO UNICNOPOST OVNSHRHGT5 1.7 40 . . _ . ! _ 1140 SECChuaRY HWY 173 OvM5HRHGTS NYES R0 DEAVON A0 0.5 25 1 1140 SECONOARY HWY 174 OCAVUN RO OVN5HMHGTS JONE STOWNR 0.6 25 ,_ i ._ . . 1140 SECONDARY HWf 175 JONESTCWNR Ot'AVON RO RTE 22 0.8 40 1 1140 SECONDARY MWY 176 I- 8 3M EISEN BLVD UN.0EP05tf 1.5 55 2 3760 t.IMITED ACCESS 177 RAMP UNIONOPOST I-83H 0.1 40 1 1200 RAMP 178 1-83W 17TH ST 2ND STRAMP 0.8 45 .. , 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 179 SOUTH 84 2ND STRAMP W END aR 0.6 35 2 3240 LIMITED ACCESS 180 US11 I-835 RTE 15 2.0 55 ,.__,,,,L. 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 181 RAMP I-83N RTE 11W 0.2 35 1 1000 RAMS 182  ! = 8 3N P TE2 62E NOR RTE 76 ACC 2.5 55 2 3T60 LIMITk0 ACCESS 183 RTE 262W I-83 PL E S AN TV I W 0.5 45 1 1410 PR I M AR Y HWY 184 R T E 26 2W P LE SA N7V t W JMCTRTE114 2.2 40 1 1410 SECCNOARY HWf 185 RTE 114 LE W158 RRYR CMSRLMOC CL 17 40 1 1140 SECCNOARY HWY

. , ,-y -- ---~o.

^

l THREE MIIZ ISLAND TABLE 19 EVAct2LTION TIME ESTDfA5;S FCR THE 10 MILE RADIUS EP? (continued)

PRACTICAL LINK UESCRIPTION LINR NUM 8 ER CAPACITY LINR - ==-- -

LENGT H SPEED OF LANES OUTSOUNO RO A0 WA Y

.quMuER MAINLINE PROM 70 tMILES) IMPHI DUT 8CUNO tPCE/ HOUR 3 CLA551PIC ATION 186 RTE 114 CMSRLNOCOL L158 URN RO 0.8 25 1 ~ ~~ 1140 SECCNOARY HWY 1RY PURGE RO CLOSTAGERO LISSURN RD 1.2 '40 1

• 1140 SECONDARY HWY 188 PURGE Ru $PNGASMLLA CLOST ACE RO 1.0 35 1~

1140 SECONCARY HWY 189 FORGC RO LEwISSERRY SPNGR5MLL2 0.0 35 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 19 7 LEWISSERRY JNCTRTE 83 PORGE RD 1.1 ,4 0. __ 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 19 1 RAMP RTE 114 I-83N O.2 25 1 1000 RAMP 192 RTE 114 5U50HMNTRL I-83 10 ~

45 1 ~~~ 1490 PRIMARY HWf 193 RTE 262 SUSQUA TRL I-83N ENT 0.0 35 1 1410 PRIMARY HWY 194 RTE 262 t-831 ENT l-83M ENT"~ 0.1 " '.35 1 _ 1410 PRIMARY HWY RAMP R TE 262 I-834 0.2 25 1. 1000 RAMP 195 194 ATE 262E SUSQHNNTRL RTE ITY 0.5 _ . _ 4 5. 1 1140 PRIMARY HWY 197 RTE 262E SIGSPRNGRd CLO YORREO 1.6 45 1 . . 1060 SECONDARY HWY 19 8 RTE 262E CLu YORRRO 1830VERP55 _. 0 .2 _.4545 1 _ __ 1140 SECONCARf HWf 199 WYuAMEREP.0 POTT 5HILLR !a30VERP55 C.3 1 1140 PRIMAR Y HWY RAMP suecusarrRL I-83N 30 1 1000 RAMP 200 .

f. 2 201 CLOYORR RO stTE 392W

• RTE 392E J.6 40 1 1410 . PRI MAR Y HWY 0,7_ . 40 _ .1140 PR W AY Hay 202 .YCCUMf0Wna REDMILL RD . t P al MAR Y HWY 203 YUC uMT OWNR VALLEY RO RED MILLR0.. .. _ 2.2 40 1 1140 204 VALLEY AD PINES A0 'YCCUMTOWNR 1.6 4.1 1 _ 1140 _ _ . PRIM?RY HWY 205 wtstam so CLY RO YORR HAVEN 2.0 40 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 206 REESER5HLL CLY RD' YORR HAVEF ... 0.3. ___._)O 1 1140 __ SECONDARY HWY 2.6 40 1 1230 PR IM AR Y hwy 20 7 YD RRHA VENW RCESERSHLL w:staa se 208 ATE 382W I83 M5 .YORR RD. ..11 3S 1 1490 ._. 'RIMARY H W Y..

RTE 382 1-83N 0.1 30 1 1000 RAMP 209 RAMP 210 RTE 382W YORR RD . RTE 117 . . 2.2 _ __ 31 1 1490._._. 5 tl MARY . HWY .

211 RTE 1775 LkWIS8RYRD en.rersa.www 1.8 SS 1 1490 Pr IMARY HWY 212 enamenernas CONLEY RD . RTE 745 37.__ 4 5 .__ 1 1410_... SEC60ARY HWY

'213 CCN EWA GORD RHLRSCNRCH CLOCRL5LR0.. 0.7 45 1 1140 SECONDARY HWY 214 RMLR5CHRCH LW5888Y RD CONEWAGURO 4.8_ . 4S t 1140.. 5 ECONO ARY HWY 215 YR R /LW8d f R ERNdY RO ANOR5NTWNR 1.6 45 1 . 1060 SECONDARY HWY 216 1- 8 3N SU530EH TR 0VRP554262 2.2 . SS 2__ , 3T60 LIMtTED ACCESS 217 RAMP I-83M I-76W . 0.S 23 1 1000 RAMP 218 RTE 76W 76W WENOSA I-83 ENT 3.6 . 55 2..... '3760 LIMITED ACCE55 219 RTE 76W 76W EEN08R 'F6 W WEN 00R 1.0 SO 2 3240 LIMITED ACCES5

+ 220 RTE 76 W  !=93 ENT RTE 15 S.6 S S .. . ._. 2._ . . 3760 . LIMITED ACCESS RAMP RTE 283W I-253M 0.2 45 1 1200 RAMP 221 222 I-76W HARR158RGE 76W ESRENO 0.6 . SS- 2 _ .. . 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 223 1915 PENN AVE SCUTH 04 0.3 2$ 1 1060 PRIMARY HWY 224 1815 SOUTH OR WERT2 AVE 1.0 5 5 ... . _.,_ .1 1140 PRIMARY HWf 22S 1815 'aERT2 AVE CONE W AGO 0.5 40 1 1140 PRIMARY HWY 226 1415 CONEWAGO E MAN SROG 0.1 2 0 ... 1. _ 1490 PRIMARY HWY 227 1815 C MAN SROG PARRVIEW 1.0 40 1 1140 PRIMARY HmV 228 1815 PARRVIEW MAPLE ST 0.5 3 5 . . . . 1. 1140 PR IMAR Y HWf 229 MAPLE ST PRONT ST 181 5 0.6 35 1 S40 PRIMARY HWY 230 1915 MAPLE ST SE5H SCH R 12 35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY LJ15 hkSH SCH R EMIG 40 1.5 40 1 1410 PR I M AR Y HWf 231 i

l 1

1 I

s THitEE MILE ISLAND TA3Lg 19 3 EVACUATICN TIMi!: ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADICS EPI (continued)

PRACTICAL LINA DESCRIPTION L1hK NUMBER C AP AC I T Y LINR -

LENGTH SPEE0 0F. LANES QUT50UND ROADWAY 4UMRER g MAINLIN6 FROM TO (MILES) (MPHI CUTSCUND ( PC E /H0tJR I C L A S SI F IC A TI'3N 232 1R1% EMIG R3 W000VW OR 1.5 40 1__ . . . . 1450 PRIMARY MWf 233 RAMP 1815 I-835 0.1 40 1 1200 RAMP 234 RAMP SU50UA TRL I-835 03 _.30 1 . ~ ._ . 1000 RAMP 235 193 5 1815 RTE 250 1.1 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 236 $U 5U LH A TR LIGHTNER R RT30 AT 83 0.2 ._35 1_... 160 PRIMARY HWY 237 $USQUHA TR SINRING SP LIGHTNER R 2.1 40 1 _ 1410 PRIMARY Hay 238 CHURCH PD SUSOUHA TR 183 $ RAMP 0.1 ..JO 1 . 1490 . PRIMARY hwy 239 RAMP CHURCH RD I-835 0.5 25 1 1000 RAM

• 240 54531,NA TR w.uksa.m. CHURCH 40_. _ 2.5 U 1 1230 PRIMARY MhY 241 n wass.Ro. SUSQUH A TR CANAL RO 0.0 25 1 1140 SECONuARY hwy .

242 m.wAss.ac. BUTLER RD SUSOHNNTRL . 1 3. 40 1 _1140 . 5ECONDARY hwy 243 RTE 9215 . MISSLER ST t-83 0.5 40 1 1140 SECCNDARY hwy 244 SHERMAN ST LONG RD CORUSFRNCE 0.7 . _40 1 _ 1140 SECONDARY Hmf 245 RTE 265 SHERMAN ST MT ZION AD 2.5 45

• 1 1140 SECOND ARY MhY 246 MT I!ON RD SHERMAN ST ORUCRVALLY_. 0.3 _ _ _35.___ 1 . _ 1200 . PRIMARY hwy 247 MT 2ICN ST ORUCRVALLY JNC TRTE230 1.6 35 1 1140 PRIMARY hwy 248 DNUCRVALLY CRYOERCRER MT ZION RO 3. 2 .._. . _ 35 t .. 1140 SECCNOARY HWY 249 FusNAGE R0 MILLSTCNE" ACCOMAC RD 1.3 40 1 1060 SECONDARY hwy 250 ACCOMAC RO FURNACE RD JNCTRTE230 . 1. 3 - 40 - 1 . 1060 .'CONDARY hwy 251 RTE 238W MNCHSTRTwL RTE T4 NCS 1.0 35 1 1140 PR I MAR Y Hwy 252 RTE 235W LW58ERRYRO MNCHSTRTWL 2.6 40 1_.__.. _1140 PRIMARY MhY 253 SNRr4GSPRG S SUSOHNNTRL LW58ERRYRD 0.6 40 1 __ 1140 PRIMARY HWf 254 t-435 RT!295 ECW RTE 238ECW . 4.5 55 _ 2 . . ._ 3760 LIMITED ACCE55 255 RAMP RTE 295 ECW RTE I-83 5 0.2 .. 40 1 1200 RAMP 256 $UsauA TR L I-835 ENT HYRE5 MILL 1.2 _ . 40 1.___ . 1410 PRIMARY M W' 257 BR IDGC HYRE 5MI LLR EN00PSROGE 0.5 20 1 LC60 PRIMARY Hw?

258 TMl N8ROGE NORTM LOTS RTE 441N 0.5 . 20 _ 1_. 1140 SECONDARY MhY 259 TMt NOR0GE SOUTH LOTS RTE 4415 1.2 to 1 1040 SECCNOARY hwy 260 PROGRtsSAV OLO TWN SHP RTE 22 1.2 3 5. . ___1 _ 1230 PRIMARY HWY 261 PR OGdC 55 A V RTE 22 ELMERTOMAV 1.0 35 1 700 PR IM AR Y hwy 262 Pr.0CRE 55A V ELMERTONAV I-81 0.3 35. ..L 1230 PRIMARY hwy 263 "DUwH0hER UNIONOPUST GALION ST 0.5 30 1 1140 SECONDARY hwy 264 GALION ST 00wHowtR ETTA RO 0.3 1 1140 SECCh0ARY HWY 265 T A YL CR 3 R FRONT ST OPHNC OLI NE 0.7 30 35 . . . _ 2 3520 PRIMARY hwy 266 SR IOCE ST LOTH ST MARRET ST 1.5 35. _ 1_. . 1410 PRIMARY hwy 267 CARISLE RJ BRANOT ST 187H 57 1.1 35 1, 1230 PRIMARY HWY 268 CARISLE RD 1RTH ST SMP5NPRRYR 0.5 35 .

1 620 PRIMARY HWY 269 5 4PSNP ARYR CARISLE RD RTE 150VRP5 0.5 35 1 1230 PRI M AR Y hwy JTO PLES WW DR PRIVATE RO RTE 262 0.5 35 .

,_1 ,.

380 SECONDARY HmY 271 R TE 441 MARR158 ST E15ENH SLV 0.5 35 1 510 PRIMARY HWY 272 RAMP 176 ACC 80 t-T6E 0.5 30 .1 1000 RAMP 273 EISEN 8Lv0 FULLING R3 !?6 ACC R3 0.6 45 1 1550 PRIMARY hwy 274 EISEN SLVO RTE 441 FULLING A0 0.7 45 1 1040 PRIMARY HWY 275 EISEN 3LV3 CHAM HL Ru RTE 441 0.5 45 1 910 PRIMARY HWY 276 FULLING RJ HI SSLE Y OR EISENH SLV 1.0 40 1 4TO PR I M AR Y hwy 2T7 Mt00LTw RU RTE 253 RTE T6 1.1 40 1 1490 PRIMARY hwy

~52-

,--,n ,-.v- - . . - . - , ~, n e

Sf3G:E MILE ISIAND TABLE 19 EVACCAMCN TI.E ESUMAIES '

FC:1 TEE 10 MILE RADIUS EP: (continued)

PRACTICAL Lif4K OESCRIPTION LINK NUMSER C AP AC I T Y L INK - -- LE%TH SPEED CF LANES CUTSCUNO RCA0 mA Y NUMB ER MalNLINt FAGM 70 tulles) IMPM) CUTSCUND IPCE/MOURI CLASSIFICAftON

...... .......... . . u. u . . . . - . . .. ... . . . , ........ .......... ...... ......

275 *C05tvELT MAN TwN LN RTE 30 CVP 3.3 40 1 1410 PR IM AR Y MWY 279 RTC 921 MIL CRE RD SULL ROAD 1.2 40" l'~~ 700 PRIMARY MwY l 280 RTE 921 SULL ROAD RTE 74 1.6 ~40 1 700 PRIMARY hwy l 291 s e.za mD LEwt38Y A0 SULL RD 1.6 40 i~~"- 1410 SECCNOARY hwy l 282 SULL RCAD sin zR aD RTE 921 1.5 . . .40 1 700 PR IMAR Y MwY 283 50A40 RCAD RTE 238 7941 1.5 35 1 1140 PRIMARY hwy 294 T941 8 CARD 40A0 ATE 921 1.3 , , .35_ 1 ., . 1140 PRI MA R Y Hwy 285 c:,OVsR:2&r3D. SEP."2R ED RTE 295 0.6 35 1 1140 SECONDARY hwy 286 GsCME sv. MURSURY RD RTE 74 1.0 40 1___.._ 1140 SECCNDARY bef 2g7 satst.RY RD Gacaca sv. Gacscs sv. 0.1 .40 1 1140 5ECCNDARY HWY 298 canRYcacusc. SULL ROAO unascur 30. 1.0 ., ,, ,40 1 _ __ 1140,_ _SECCNCARY hwy 239 tacDAtz 3D RTE 230 RTE 341 J.0 .40 1 1230 PR IMAR Y HmY 290 ATE 38 2 RTE 117 Suomumenr. 0.3 ___ 25 1 _,. _ 1490 _ PRIMARY MwY 29 1 RTE 3R{ Imrre - a,30 2.5 35 1 1t40 PRIMARY MwY r

Izarr e.scu.asecun . v 3D stenmuscas 292 wmann, m .

.T916 mme.m m 0.3 _ _ ,_)5 t J 140 PR I M AR Y MwY 293 notarn ew.n 0.5 35 1 1140 _ _ .SECOMOARY HuY _

294 m ms.r m m nousrzt: mad , RTE 74 0.3..... 19 1 .__ 1140 . _. 5ECONCARY HWY 295 RTE 230 snesustmG 1283 ACCR0 1.7 40 1 1410 PR I M AR Y hwy 276 xascTsca.m. ORUCRVALLY rascTsca.m. ___ D . 5 _ __ . 3 5 1 .1140 _ __ SECONCARY MwY _

i 297 Emscyzca.ac. T948 RTE 30 1.1 40 L 1140 PRIMARY HWY l 298 RTE 441 1-233=e ACC K1 CELER A0 0.5 40 1 _1490 PRIMARY MwY _

i 299 RECKLER RD RTE 441 CHMSRMLL AD 0.5 35 1 1140 PR I MAR Y MwY 300 CMM9RMLLAR RECKLER RD SOTH ST __. _2.5 . __. 4q t 1140 _ _ . fRIMARY hwy _

30 1 4TE 382 ur,szaR an. I-83N 1.0 40 1 ._1230 PRIMARY hwy 302 I 83N ATE 382 SU50VE TRL ___ 1.5 , _ ,, . D 2 3760 . LIMITED ACCESS _

303 - RTE 19 3N ATE 114 I T6 0.2 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 30 4 RTE E 8 3N 174 RTE 11W. 2.0 _. SS 2 _3760 t

305 RTE 114 LI58 URN RO LANTZ CIM 1.1 .25 1 1140 ._ LIMITED SECONDARY ACCESS MwY I. 30 6 30 7 POSTER ST. 77H.57.

STATE ST FO5TER ST F ACN7 ST.

187M.57.

_ 0.5 1.0

__.35_

3S 3_

3 5820

$820 PRIMARY hwy _.

PRIMARY hwy l

l 300 RTE 92 1 1- 83 CCPENHAF ER 0.7 40 .L...... 1410 PRIMARY hwy

( 309 UN.0EPOSIT 00wHONER RUTHERFORO 0.2 35 1 1490 P R I MA R Y MwY

[ 310 RAMP I283N RT 441 1-2834 . 0.2 ,

40 . _ _ _ _1 1200 Ramp l 311 RIE 921 SU500A TRL MIL CRE 20 1.8 +0 1 1410 PetMARY MwY l 312. RTE 39 JNC T743/ 39 CRMOVEw 40 1.5 $0 1300 PRIMARY hwy ,

j 313 RTE 19 RED TOP RO OWNSHRE R0 0.1 50 .._ _1 .. . '1300 1 PRIMARY HWY ,

t J14 RTE 39 D YN 5HR E R D GANHLL RD 0.3 SO _1 1300 PRIMARY hwy l 315 RTE 3v GANHLL RD RTE 22 0.7 SO 1 A300 PRIMARY Mnf 116 t-2 8 3N RTE 322 I-83N 0.3 SS 2 3740 LIMITED ACCESS 317 t-83N UN.0E Post T RT.22 1.0 55 ___2 3760 LintTED ACCESS 318 PAxTON ST 297H ST I-83E 0.7 35_. 2. 3S20 PRIMARY hwy 319 I-83E P AxTON ST t-83N RAMP 0.5 50 2 4000 LIMITED ACCESS 320 t - 8 3N 1-8AE RAMP EISEN SLVD Q.6 $$ 2 3760 LIMI TED ACCESS 321 RAMP I-93E t-83N 0.2 30 1 1000 RAMP 322 R I E- 322E I-83N RAMP t-283w RMP 0.3 SS 2 4000 Llit TED ACCESS 324 LFutSSAYRU R TE 382w RTE 1775 0.7 35 1 1690 PRIMARY HWY 1

r -

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m. e. .w. .

I

THREZ MILE ISLAND TABLE 19 EVACCATICN TIME ESTIMATES FOR THE 10 MILE RADIOS EP (con.inued)

. PRACTICAL LINR DESCRIPTION LINR NUM8ER CAPACITY L INR . LENGTH 5PEEQ__QF. LANES._ GUTSCUNO ROAD WA Y MUM 8ER MAINLINE FRUM TO IMILESI I MP HI CUT 80UNO IPCE/ HOURI CLASSIFICATION s e == m e e s s assee s e amasse==== ==========. .,e====== _ e==me = == == == = _e= == am e s e e_ ,,s es s e s s e m e == = =

325 RTE 117 ALPINE RD .R0 TO PARA 1.0 _ __ 5 5 1 1490 32 6 RTE 177 40 TO PARR RTE 745 . 2.2 55 1 780 .. . PRIMARYPRIMARY HWY HWY 327 RTE 921 ar". mass.ac. . SU54UE TRL ._ 0 . 7. . 40 1 1410. . . PRIM AR Y HWY 328 SUSOLRi TR L Jr.Wass.an. RTE 921 0.7 45 1 1230 PRIMARY HWY 329 RTE 239 604R0 RO I-835 RAMP . 0.1 . to 1 1490.. . PRIMARY HWY, 330 SU5JUE 'fRL SINR SPRNG RTE 238 0.3 40 1 1140 print AR Y HWY 331 RTE 1815 WCCD VW.OR. I-835 .. _ 0. 5. . 3 0 t ______ 1490 .._ PRIMARY HWY 332 RTE 241 8C55LER R0 MASONIC OR 2.7 40 1 1140 PRIMARY HWY 333- RTE 441 FALMOUTHR0 TMI.5.8ADG _ _.0 1 _ 55 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 134 $USQua TRL I-83N RMP5 I-835 RMPS 0.0 40 1 1410 PRIMARY HWY 335 EL IZ . T ses 4 CHSTNUT ST GAMO. TREE .._. 2.3 _ __ _45 t 1140 .fRIMARY. HWY..

336 RTE 285E HNVER ST CRANT ST 3.2 55 2 3760 LIMI TED ACCESS 337 NHANOVE457 LINCEN ST MT.GRETNA. .. 0.6 _ _ 35 1 1200 .. _ PRIMARY HWY 338 RTE 253E LNC CO LN HNVER ST 1.0 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 339 R T E 341M CLOHRSHYRO LR22009 g.5 15 1 1060 PRIMARY HWY J40 ACCR0 283E RTE 230 E8 ON RMP. 0.1 45 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 341 RTE 230 GYR$ER S CH ACCRO 283 ... 0.5._. __40 1 1410.. _.fRIMARY . HWY ..

342 RTE 441 TMI N.8ROG GRY5ERS CH 0.2 45 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY 343 RTE 441N 50A0 57 EAMUS ST 9 3. . 21 1 1990 .. PRIMARY ,H WY 344 UNICN ST MAIN ST E ROSEVELT 0.5 25 1 1490 PRIMARY HWf 345 MAIN ST UNION ST WILSON ST 0.5 ..35 1 1490 PRIMARY HWY J46 I-16 MIDDLTW 20 LE8AN CO L 7.6 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS J47 RTE 2535 MIDDLTWNRO ACC RTE 230 2.4.._ .._35 2 .,,,,_ . 3 76 0 LIMITE~ ACCES$

J48 RTE 293 AIR ACC RO UNION ST 1. 5 55 2 3760 LIMITED ACCE*

348 I 815 RTE 238 RTE 181 2.2 ...55 2 . . _ 3760 .. LIMITED ACCE 350 MARIETTA5T WDNGL 5 PRG S RTE 230 0.1 25 1 1060 PRIMARY HWY 351 OM GL 5R PG 5R Nt WH AVENRO MARIETTA 0.1 35 1..._... 1140 SEC OND ARY HWY J52 I-81W W EN058ROG I-835 0.7 50 2 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 353 RTE 2935 UNION ST MICOLETMNR 0.8 .. 55.. 2 _ _ . 3760 LIMITED ACCESS 354 5 FPON T ST CONESTOGA SYCAMOREST 1.5 35 1 1410 PRIMARY HWY 355 EI SENH0Weik I16 ACC RD RfC 230 0.5 45 . . 1, . TQC PRIMARY HWY 356 176 ACC 40 EISENHChER I-76 TOLL 0.1 30 2 4000 PRI MAR Y HWY 357 RAMP I-76 TOLL I-76W 0.2 30 _1 1000 RAMP 358 RAMP PAXTON ST I-83E 0.1 25 1 1000 RAMP 359 RAMP HAR58RGPRE AIR ACC RD 0.5 35 1. . 1200 RAPP 360 RAMP HI AIRPORT RTE 230- 0.7 . 45 1 1500 RAMP 361 CSERLIN R0 GARDEN OR RECRLER RD 3.0 35 ..1 1140 PRIMARY HWY '

I l

l l

l l

1

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i l These characteristics have been ecmpiled from previous evacuatie time estimates, review of regicnal maps, discussions with officials at PEMA and PENNDOT limited field cbservations and a physical inventory of the selected evacuation route network. This inventory was made by memoers of Parsons Brinckerhoff's staff en February 11,-14, 1981.

l l

D. Caoacitv Determination The principal roadway capacities were determined by procede as presented in the Federal Highway Administration's 1965 Highway Cacacitr Manual and the Traffic Engineering Series: Capacity An.21ysis Precedure for Signalized Intersections published by the Traffic Institute, Northwestern University. Capacities were estimated at roadway operating Levels of Service (L.O.S. D and E) . These values were used to approximate a range l

for evacuation time estimateR igresenting an upper and lower bound

, determined by limiting the roadway capacity to L.O.S. D and E respectively.

( This range is used to approximate the range of evacuation times for i the best estimate and typical weekday scenarios as defined in Section IV.A. The upper and lower bounds of this range are defined as o Upper Bound - A relative value of time which reflects a poor state of readiness of emergency forces and resources due to the sudden development of a possible future incident at HI which leads to l a spontaneous order for a General Evacuation.

o Lower Bound - A relative value of time which assumes a good state of readiness and nearly full deployment of emergenew forces and resources. Such a state could occur as a potential incident at M I developes slowly and various levels of action are invoked:

for exagle the general population and special facilities are placed on an alert status during which time emergency forces arse mobilized followed by a declaration of a site emergency, selective evacuation and finally a general emergency.

For an adverse weather condition, the evacuation time estimates are coguted using a restrained roadway capacity as defined by L.O.S. D minus twenty percent. This restrained capacity reflects the longer headways between vehicles and reduced manueverability resulting from poor driving and roadway conditions which also produces lower travel speeds. It is used herein to represent an upper bound for evacuation

• ime estimates. The lower bound is estimated by using L.O.S. D which still reflects the poor driving and roadway condition which may still be prevalent under such adverse conditions and type of incident.

In urban aras, the igact of existing traffic control signals was considered in determining link- approach capacities. Baseden a first estimate of evacuation times for the selected network assuming normal operation l

l 1

f-L

m of all controls, potential bottlenacks at s.,ch centrolled locations were identified as described in Se tion IV.E Critical t,ocations. A second estimate war. then prepared assuming that traffic control personnel l would be assigned to these critical locations.

A detailed explanation of the methodology used to determine roadway capacity is provided in Appendix D. Separate capacities though have been selected with the concurrence of PENNDOT and assigned to all interchange  ;

resp links because of tgssible sensitivity of interchange ramps The capacities (shown below) are based as noted in NUREG-0654 on typical design capacities for single lane rags based on gecanetric conditions published by t.gprican Association of State Highway and Transportation IXficials o Loop ramp - 800 to 1000 passenger cars per hour (peph) o Slip rag with acceleration / deceleration lane - 1000 to 1200 peph o Direct connection between limited access highways - 1500 peph These capacities do not account for terminal conditions where a rag intersects local streets. Major at-grade intersection points on evacuation routes, were evaluated separately as described in Secti / IV.3, critical l .

Locations to identify potential critical bottlenecks.

E. Receotion Centers As described in the county emergency plans, reception centers have been designated in areas wegeyond the 10 mile EPZ, in.most cases more than 20 miles from 'tMI. These centers, according to PEMA, would serve as staging areas and registration locations for school children and the general population who are in need of assistance. Each center has been assigned to serve a political jurisdiction and schools therein.

The location of these centers in relation to the 10 mile EPZ and to the major routes in the area are shown in Figure 21. Se centers are

identified in Tables 20 and 21 by Map Number. These centers are listed by ERPA's and schools which they serve as previously described in Tables 4 and 8 respectively.

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TEREE MILE ISIAE ' EVACCATICN TIME ESTIMATES 2LE 20 FCRm 10 m Em m PRIMARY RECEP*ICN CEN"ERS m Map No. County Municipality E32A Reception Center 1 C'.mberla::d New Cumberland 40 Newvine (Big Spring Schcol Oist.) 2 Lower Allen 39 Shippensburg (Shippensburg Schcol District) 7 Dauphin Conewago 23 Pottsville 9 Derry 21 Wilkes Barre 8,6 Harrisburg 43 Sunbury or Lewisburg 3 Highspire 19 Bedford 7 Husumelstown 21 Pottsville 7 Iandonderry 2,9 Pottsville 9 Lower Paxton 47 Wilkes Barre 7 Lower Swatara 46,20 Pottsville 5 Paxtang 44 Harelten 7 Royalton 7 Pottsvine 1 5 South Eanover 22 Eazelton 3 Steelton 42 Bedford 7 Swatara - 45 Pottsvine 14 Lancaster coney 3,12 Park City Mall 13- West Donegal 11,27 Dutch Wonderland 1~13 Mount Joy 13 Dutch Wcaderland 3:13 Elizabethtown 26 Dutch Wonderland 13 East Donegal 28 Dutch Wonderland

      %. . m m..
      +y 19            Lebanon          South Londonderry                    Eastern Lebanca County 7j                                    Township              24            Middle School
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2E21 ~ York Conewago 16,23 Susquehannock School Centplex W twnship or Clearview Middle School 22 Dover h wnship 34 Gettysburg

     ,28f24                             East Manchester           30         Gettysburg
     ;:     .                             . Township
         ' 20                           Henam Township

• 25 Clearview Middle School 4D Lewisberry Borough 36 Gettysburg 29 Ma whaster Borough 32 Clearview Middle School 20 @,21 Maehestar Twp. 32 Susquehannock School Complex 20,21 Mount Wolf Borough 30 Clearview Middle School 20,21,22 Newberry Township 5,6, Gettysburg or Susquehannock

                                                        . 17,15             School Ccaplex 2o,21                             Springettsbury            31         Susquahanneck High School 22                           Warrington Township 35               Gettysburg 20,21                             York Haven Borough        13         Susquehannock School Complex 4

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t I THREE MILE ISLA!C TABLE 21 EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATFS FOR THE 10 MILE PADICS EP". SCHOOL RECEP*ICN CENTER County Name of Facility Municicality ERPA Reception Center Cauphin Central Dauphin Swatara ?<p. 45 1. Indiantown Gap School District Lower Paxton Twp. 47 2. Pottsotwn Paxtang Bora. 44 Derry Township Derry Township 21 1. Indiantown Gap School District Middletown School Middletown Boro 8 1. Gov. Mifflin District Royalton Boro 7 School District I Harrisburg City Harrisburg City 43 1. Sunbury School District t Lower Dauphin Conewago Dip. 23 1. Indiantown Gap School District Hummelstown Boro 21 Londcaderry Twp ' 2,9 S. Hanover ?ep. ,22 Steelton-Highspire Steelten Boro 42 1. Bedford Fairgrounds School District Highspire Boro 19 l Milton-Hershey

• Derry Township 21 School -

Dauphin County Iower Paxton ?sp. 47 1. Indiantown Gap l Vo Tech C.A.I.U. s Swatara Iownship 45 1. Laurel Shopping Ctr. Cberlin Element- . azy School l ! Diocese of Middletown Boro 8 1. Pottsville Nativity Harrisburg Harrisburg Cith 43 High School Stealton Boro 42 2. Pottsville Catholic Swatara Townghip 45 Church Derry Township 21 l Cumberland Diocese of New Cumberland Boro 40 1. Pottsville Nativity Harrisburg High School West Shore School New Cumberland Boro 40 1. Shippensburg Sr. District High School Lancaster Bainbridge Element- Comoy Township 12 1. Manheim Township ary School High School Elizabethtown West Donegal Twp. 26 1. Manheim Township Elementary Sch. High School ( l East High Street West Donegal Twp. 26 1. Manheim Township l Elementary Sch. High School continued l T - f - fa.

21DLEE MILE ISI.AND TABLE 21 EVACUATICH TO'.E ESTIMAT*.4 (continued) . FCR THE 10 !CLE RADITS 'J: s County Name of Facility *

                                                   .tmicipality                     IRPA        Receptien Center Lancaster            Mill Road                West Donegal Twp.                  26       1. Mannair. twnship continued                Elementary Sch.                                                           Eigh School Fairview Elementary      West Denegal Osp.                  25       1. .Manheim Township School                                                                    High School Rheems Elementarf        West Donegal Twp.                  27       1.      Manheim Tev ship School                                                                    High School Elizaha*ht:<n            West Denegal Twp.                  26       1.      5ur.heim Township Elementary Sch.                                                           Eigh School Maytown Elementary        East Donegal Twp.                  28       1.      Denegal Eigh School School

Diocese of West Donegal Ovp. M 1. Pcttsville Nativity Harrisburg School

   . York                York Christian

• Manchester T.p. 32 Elementary Sch.

Northern School East Manchester Twp. 30 1. Susquahaneck Middle District School West Shore School Fairview Twp. 38 1. Uni *ad Telephone District Newharry Twp. 17 Building, Carlisle Central York- Manchester Twp. 32 1. Susquabarmck School District Middle School Red Lion Area Fairview Twp. 38 1. Clearview Middle School District School

• Note Reception Centers to be identified for these schools
• e -

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IV. EVACUATION TIME fMAI,YSIS A. Scenarios Evacuation time estimates for 3MI's 10 mile EPZ were prepared to serve as approximate indicators and tools to assist PDfA, PENNDCT and local emergency coordinators in refining their emergency response plans as well as to aid emergency officials in selecting protective actions. Since the estimates of the resident pcpulation and employment represent the current total figures and the pcpulation of special facilities excluding schools represent the capacities of these facilities, the only population group which may vary is the tourist / visitor and business traveler element of the transient population. Based on the estimates presented in Table 22b for a Typical Weekday, this congonent accounts for less than five L - :- percent of the general population in the 10 mile 53. Assuming the be normal seasonal and day of week fluctuations in tourism for the Harrisburg 7

                    -Iancaster -York area as developed by the Pennsylvania Department of
 -e                 Commerce and the location of the major tourist attractions in this area C

which primarily lie outside the D3, the variatiens in population number would not be significant in terms of this time estimate. With these 7 guidelines, three scenarios were selected to model r best estimate, a typical weekday and an adverse weather condition. The scenarios arv C described as follows:

 ** m                     o    Best Estimate - A night when most families are together at home, special facilities have reduced staff and tourist / business Cf ma                            travelers are at local transient accommodations; Ch -                     o    Typical Weekday (Normal Condition) - An afternoon when children are in school, businesses are in cperation (the family unit is separated), tourist and business travelers are dispersed throughout the area and special facilities are operating with normal staff; o    Adve'rse Weather - A winter morning followinig an average snowfall when businesses are open but worker absence is increased and tourist / visitor and business travel is curtailed (it is assumed that approximately 50 percent of the transient engloyees are unable to drive to work), classes have been cancelled at local schools and colleges, and other special facilities are operating with reduced staff.

I These scenarios enccmpass the typical variations in population concentrations which can be reasonably approximated in the 10 mile DZ. The adverse weather scenario assumes a snow emergency condition when roads would be rendered temporarily impassable until the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and local jurisdictions could clear them of accumusulated snow. PENNDOT estimated that it should take about four hours af ter a snow storm to plow all major routes which are normally given priority. (30 An estimate of the population for each of these scenarios is presented in Table 22. These estimates have also been compiled for the various 90 degree sectors and the D3 as shown in Table 23.

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W as !v. >to. o-Site:EE M11.E Ist. hasp TAets 23g EVACUAT1000 73085 ESTIMATg3 ESTIMATED POPUE.hTI(3d SV 90 and 360, SEC10hs ton Steg 10 MII.E BAD 1tul EPE Sce.orio. .est Esti.ete 4 Roaldent Popuistion** Trenelent Population speclet Facilities without Wheel-

• sectose EnPAs Included sten With Auto Auto Wtet hurlet/Vieltor Employment Wtel Amtsuletory choir Stretcher ,

A NE 1.2 1,541 1,433 los 417 7 -410 0 -- - -- B SE 1,2,3 2,120 1,948 172 574 160 414 0 - -- -- C sw 1,4,5 1,282 1,182 100 41L 5 406 0 - -- -- D NW 1,4,6 2,490 2,304 186 421 to 411 0 -- -- -- g 5 0-3 mitees 1-6 5,415 5,000 '415 602 173 429 0 -- -- - 4 8 F esE 1,2,7-10 16,029 14,864 1,965 679 76 603 469 217 235 17 G sE 1 3.10-15 10,450 9,540 910 662 19e 464 725 275 225 225 18 sw 1,4-6,14-17 15,567 14,454" 1,113 782 310 472 c -- - -- 1 NW 1,4,6-e,18-20 22,591 20,657 2,934 810 10e 702 1,114 932 165 17 J 0-5 miless 1 - 20 46,364 41,649 4,715 1,434 605 829 1,909 1,207 460 242 K tas 1,2,7-10,21-26 54,690 48,410 6,280 3,405 2,552 e53 4,334 3,704 613 17 1- SE 1-3,10-15,25-31 33,037 29,583 3,454 1,354

• 732 622 2,110 1,601 279 230 M SW 1,4-6,14-17,30,32-37 33,497 31,105 2,392 1,960 1,405 555 0 -- - -

es esw 3,4,g.g,13 20,22,37-47 107,000 87,279 20,521 4,455 2,242 2,213 2,462 1,834 582 396 0 &-10 m!!sss 1 - 47 EP3 186,501 158,368 28,133 9,016 6,320 2,696 7,172 5.515 1,031 626

• Includes employees who sealde In sector or EPS 4

i. P00R ORIGINU - u

Tesaeus Mala Istmp Theta 23g swhCuhfloss TIMs IISTIIentus BSTIMhtsD PGPutJTItedaf 90 an4 Mo* ssN t ros tus 10 Mlla ahctus urs a f scenarlos g ical membeer. meeldest Tramelent rosmalation asocial Factittles Ll sectore earne Included population Tbtal 1tnerlet/Wiettor Smiployment Tota 1*" hebulatorg Wheelchair Stretoher 8 i I & us 1,2 1,253 1.352 62 1,290 e a ss 1,2,3 1,681 1,483 161 1,332 e C see 1,4,5 1,063 1,314 sy , 1,267 e D- tas 1,4,6 2,064 1,379 11 .3.300 e s 0-2 otteen 1-6 4,418 1.,663 201 1,462 8 k en F ass 1,2,7-10 13,594 2,354 279 2,075 3,484 2,920 469 . 17 8 G ss 1-3,10-15 8,303 2,04) 278 te765 1,217 767 225 225 48 sw 1,4-6,14-17 13,945 2,25h 391 . 1,059 1,155 ,1,155 - - 3 1,4,6-e,10-20 18,853 let 2,783 Sie '2,405 6,470 6.054 399 17 J 0-5 mileet 1 -- 20 37,145 4,473 9 34 3,539 0,989 8,287 460 242 s Ms 1,2,7-10,21-26 43,246 6,099 13171 4,328 17.053 16.423 613 17 L as 1-3,10-15,25-31 24,327 4,022 830 3,192 0.046 c 337 279 230 se med 1,4-6.14-17,30,33-37 27,060 3,739 1,134 ,2,615 4,759 4,759 - - 48 ans 1,4,6-e,10-20,22,37-47 76,909 16,761 3,525

• g2,2 M 24,926 23,948 542 396 0 0-80 miless 1 - 47 ses 130,632 23,914 6,335 17,583 45,416 43,759 1,o31 626 e

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   .I Scenasios Adverse Weather e

meeldent Transient Pogelation Special Facilities - l

             -{setore       EkPAs Included         Pogulation ]btal Tourist /Vleitor Employment     h' ,s { Aseml atory   tiheelchair stretcher A           tes   1,2                        1,541      699                          645       0          ~~
                                                                                $4 8          gg    1,2,3                      2,120      122          61              661       0                        --        --

C SW 1,4,5 1,282 679 50 629 0 " ** " s 0 tsW 1,4,6 2,490 715 61 654 0 -- " - g E 0-2 m!:**e 1-6 5,445 e40 109 731 0 - "* - F NE 1,2,7-10 16,829 1,261 224 ,1,037 469 217 335 17 G sa 1-3,10-15 10,A50 1,051 16e , 333 725 275 225 225 98 SW 1,4-6,14-17 15,567 't,135 auS s 9M o -- -- -- e 1 saw 1,4,6-e,le-20 23,591 1,506 303 1,203 1,269 1,067 165 gy J 0-5 mitees 1 - 20 46,36s 2,340 570 1,770 2,064 1,362 460 242 i K 1,2,7-10,21-26 g wa 54,690 2.858 692 '2,166 4,334 3,704 613 17 L ss 1-3,10-15,25-31 33,037 2,063 - 464 1,599 2,110 1,601 279 2 30 88 Sw 1,4-6,14-17,30,32-37 338 497 I* 8% 671 1,2d5 0 -- -- --

    . M          gang   1,4,6-8,18-20,22,37-4y   107, e    9,6w1        3,961           6,620   2,967        1,999          582        396 0 0-10 miless 1 - 47 ses                   186,501 12,995         4,196           S,799   7,327        5.670        1.031        626 e
                                                                                                                                                  )

                               . _ .                                                                4._ . _

B. Trio Generation and Assignment A traffic simulation process has been developed by Parsons Brinckerhoff to estimate evacuation ti:nes and evaluate the selected evacuation route network in terms of identifying critical links and delay times. This ac, del uses zone trip gen *: ration assignei to a pre-selected evacuation route to estimate evacuation times to the EP3 bounda.*y taking into account the degradation of free flow travel speed and applying calculated delay penalties as the volume to capacity ratio approaches unstable flow and , finally forced flow conditions. The cwo major steps uled in this simulation  ; process are described below.

1. Trip Ceneration f i

The population estimates presented in Table 22, (except resident population with auto) were converted to vehicle equivalents by applying the estimating i procedures derived in section II D. Where buses are involved, a weighted average capacity w s used to account for variations in available bus type, seating capacity and number of units presented in Tables 17 and

18. The number of estimated bus trips was then converted to passenger car equivalents (PCE's) - with each bus equivalent to two PCE's = in order to account for the bus size and operating characteristics which vary from that of a passenger car. A h aces and vans are assumed to have handling characteristics similar to passenger cars: therefore, no conversion is used. The number of passsenger cars estimated for the resident population with auto group is found in Table 14.

i 2. tone Trio Assionments Each ERPA was sub-divided, where necessary, into traffic zones prior to assigning vehicle trips to the selected evacuation route network for each scenario by 90 degree and 360 degree sectors at distances of two, five and ten miles from 1MI. A traffic zone identifies a population cluster in an ERPA which is accessible to a selected evacuation route. The relationship of the evacuation routes to each ERPA is shown in Figure

20. ,

. The number of vehicle trips generated in each traffic zone by the general population is assumed to be a function of the number of dwelling units or in an urban area the proportion of area between zones, of the lu:ation of major employment centers and of tourist / visitor acconeodations and attractions. The allocation of trips from special facilities are related to the location of the facilities within a defined traffic zone. The trips from the Dauphin County Prison and schools are assigned to predesignate routes -as stipulited in the county amergency plans. The number of vehicle trips generat'.3 by each traffic zone was then ' assigned to the selected routes for evacuation based on a general radial dispersion in the direction of ths baignated reception centers. A computer program ma developed which uses as input a description of roadway characteristics (e.g., speed, link length, and capacity) for the selected evacuation routes; the evacuation routes selected for each my

i s trtdfic zoner the zonal trip generation times and terminal time (for veuicles criginating at home the time to travel to the primary evacuation route and for special vehicles, the time to travel to the assigned traffic zone). The output of the cceputer program is a summary cf travel times and delays for an of the evacuation routes and other statistical informatien which could be used in evaluating the route selection. It was assumed that all trips would be on the route at the same instant , in making an assignment of PCEs to the evacuation routes. This approach is somewhat conservative because the temporal distribution of evacuees that would aest likely occur would not result in all vehicles being on the routes simultaneously. C. Evacuation Time Estimate Components In accordance with NCREG-0654, estimates cf evacuatica times were made , separately for the general population (with and without autos) p for spegial facilities for each selected scenario and sectors at 90 and 360 at distanras of two, five and ten alles from 30:. These estimates " as requested tiy latC are based on evacuation of these populatica groups to the EPZ boundaries. Such a procod.tre obviously involves the acvement of a larger segment of the population and increases the evacuatica time estimates slightly more than actually would occur if an estimate were a,Ie to the radius rings. Bowever, according to a discussion with 10tc, a aroroximate evacuation time estimates to the EPZ are intended to serve as a guide to evacuation planners since these estimates then account for some evacuation g would more than likely occur immediately outside the actual risk area as defined in NCREG-0C34, the composition of these population groups are as follows: i , o General Population - permanent resident population with auto plus transient population. (Transient population is composed of tourist / visitors, business travelers and employees who consute into the area plus those persons visiting recreatienal areas including parks and campsites.) . o Special Facilities - persons residing in, attending or empicyed at hospitals, long tera care facilities, schools / colleges , and penal institutions and resident population without autes. The estimates of evacuation times for each of these categories are comprised l 4 of the following components: ' 1

' o Terminal time - for vehicles departing from hcme, the time  ;

to drive via local feeder streets to the predesignated primary ' evacuation router for buses and special vehicles, the time to travel from the bus garage, storage or staging area to the assigned traffic zone. - o Roadway travel time - the time required for a vehicle to traverse i tra entire length of the evacuation route. This time is estimated on normal operating speeds on the road and delays because of conditions where the vehicle volumes approach or exceed

a t' the capacity of the roadway at a particular location. Ifence, the roadway travel time is the sum of the time for the first vehicle to traverse the evacuation route, assuming normal i operating speeds, and subsequent travel times taking account 2 of speeds at heavier loadings and including delay time, o Adverse weather delav time - an additional twenty minutes to account for unpredictable isolated delays associated with advetse weather conditions. o General ocoulation mobilization time - an additional twentf minutes to account for mobilization at home, at place of egloyunt or at acccamodations. o Special vehicle round trip time - the roadway travel time where a number of round trips were required by medical transport vehicles and buses for special facilities or to evacuate residents without auto, travel time beyond the evacuation limits to

                       ,    a predesignated host facility for all but the last trip, return time to the special facility for as many round tripe as were required, and time for loading and uniceding passengers was included. Where the facility administraters of special facilities gave an estimate of mobilization time which was greater than the readway travel time, the mobilization time plus travel time to the perimeter of the evacuation area became the evacuation time.                                                                             l It should be noted that the times to evacuate general population without autos and ambulatory patients in special. facilities were based on use of bus facilities within or in close proximity to the EP3. These buses included school buses, senior citizens' buses, special facility buses, and public transit buser as dictated in the respective county emergency plans. For the purpose of assessing the evacuation time for schools, available district school buses were first allocated, to the schools
        .        closest to 'DtI and.were then progressively assigned to schools further away.

A detailed description of the simulation model used to estimate roadway travel times during an evacuation is presented in Appendix C. This description also includes a discussion of the co: relation of the static model applied herein with a dynamic simulation. D. Motification and Confirmation Time Estimates The request for evacuation times =in NCREG-0654 Appendix 4 relates primarily to the time required to actually evacuate as opposed to the times required for either notification or confirmation. Notification and confirmation - i times as related to the general population are based on information - obtained from GPU and PENA for Sectors A-0. , i According to GPU, the permanent work force and contractors at 'DtI would be notified of an incident in less than fif teen minutes. It would then take about one hour to confirm that all non-essential personnel have 7-

s been accounted for and discharged from the site. This confirmation procedure would be handled in one of two ways. ) o a muster of all personnel in the Warehouse frem where all non-essential personnel would be dismissed or

        'o        a check of all badge numbers at the Process Center.

As roted in Section II, notification o!' visitors on the islands adjacent to 'DtI in the Susquehanna River would occur simultaneously with the i sounding of the warning sirens. GPU has arranged with the State Police to make a helicopter sweep (weather conditions permitting) of the islands to confirm

• that visitors have been notified and evacuated. Such a sweep as estimated by GPU would take about one hour.

In an effort to obtain local approximations of notification and confirmation time as well as procedures. State emergency planners were contacted by GPU. The planners estimate that with present notification capabilities such as siren coverage, emergency broadcasts and telephone, it may take from two to three hour to restify one hundred percent of the population within the 10 mile DZ siter initial cont'ct of the planners by the Utility. However, at'sording to PDIA and GPU, it is estimated that af ter July 1,1981, the antire population within the EPZ will be notified within 45 mine'.es as stipulated hv the Nucleer Regulatory Commission (NRC) in N GrG-0654. PEMA further noted that c *irmation would take place during evacuation; therefsre extra time is no ided to the evacuation time estimates. According to PEMA confirms' that all people in the EPZ who wish to evacuate have done so will arried out by the State Police. PDIA noted that in an effort to av ' confrontations with residents who wish to stay, the State Police stat 'ed at the periphery of the risk area will acuitor the flow of traffu. ' ram the area. When, traffic flow ecses to a point that only spora6 vehicles are leaving the area, it would be assumed that evacuation r a the area is basically complete. E. Evacuation Time Estimates Baced on the methodologies and time co. nents described previously, 41mulations of evacuations for each of s Evacuation Coctors (A-0) under best estimate (night), typical weekdas 7rmal condition) and adverse weather conditions were made.- From these simulations, a range of approximate evacuation times estimates were developed for both the general population and special facilf *.ies to account for varying degrees of readiness of energency forces and uevelopment of an incident. These approximations of evacuation times are summarized in Table 24. The ~ estimates as shown in this table should provide the emergency planner with sufficient information which can be used in conjunction with other inputs as a decision-making tool regarding the course of action to take in the event of an incident at 'StI.

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1. , esils I!3Ases fasta 24A SvaCUhfitas Tapa; ESTietATES Stet Das le MILE ItAlktta$ SPS St80Be4RI OF A,PPldlEllGATE EVACUATIIse JIeEE ESTI84Att$ ,

rom Encu svacunTs(se sEnte Sce ne sios _hast _ t:st ianate - g,g ,gggg,,(4) Geoieral Populat toss' ' Statal Evecue- Tute! Evacua- 4 -- Travel Time . " ' Tsavel Time Dutet svacu tlon Time ll) Travel Tlem_s tion Time tion ynne

q. .

tfi tle Auto toithout Aesto UStan glo teitteoug Auto 5decole Sctboot o 4 N (6)g {5) (6) ,(5) (6) ,l5) (6) ,45) (6) ,45) (6) ge n,,,, Ott.ase s. A Os N !s45 0e45 2 00 0:50- 2:05 1:05 2:20 - - - - - - e os so la45 - 0 45 2:00 0 50 ,2 05 3:05 2:20 - - - - - - ,7,1 s.., Os M 0e30 asuo 1:15 0:50 050 1:29, 1s35 - - - - - - .*- se C o ce 30 1e45 4:15 2s30 0 50 2.05 1s35 2 50 - - - - - -

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       .% u-4 s                                             es >             .45     a.is                           2 30                  a.50      2 05                     s.35    2:50                   -           -             -                -                               -                    -

gg r 3:45 5:15 es 5 5:30 4:05 Sen ein 5 50 - - - - 5:00 5 00 t'O 6:15 6:15 e. O I:45 2 45 2s00 3:00 2s05 3:05 2:20 3:30 - - - - --e , .<J B 1s45 2:00 2:30 2:45 2s05 2:20 2:50 3:05 - - - - - - 1

                  -a da               3                                               2:15         3:00     2:45                            3e30                 2:35      3:20                     3:05    3:50                    -          -             -                 -                             4:45                 4:45 4

J 3:45 5:15 4:15 S a .'9 4:05 5:35 4:35 Sebo - - - - - - E 5e M 9 15 5:30 9:00 5:50 9 3% 5 50 9:20 - - - - 7e15 7:45

8. Je le 3:45 Jan 4:00 2:50 4:05 3 05 4:20 - - - - 5:45 5:45 88 2: 30 3 30 3:00 4a00 2:50 *3s50 3:20 4 20 - - - - - - CD se 5:15 7:15 S s 30 7:15 5 35 7:35 Ss50 7s35 - - - - - e 00 es00 0 Sa 30 9:15 S:30 9:15 5:50 9:35 5 50 ta15 - - - - - -

                                 .nl m                                              s.1,,.ieuon co,sei.t. of resident. an. transient. l au no .oss-easse,ual                                                                           T,,,   .n.,io,ees.                                                                                   p (2) thu laae stated Linet as of July 8,1981, a assu warning eyeten w!!! be Smetailed to provide notifloation of                                                                                                                                                                                            -

100% of the 5epuistion uttasin 4S minutes. sensem8 ' (1) Includes genesal 5=>Puistfee Properationt ' les (20 minuteel and the roa.heer tsovel time. ' (.) . .,ec.. ,a. u n... A t 8. ...- t ot u ,.c.u.m un .ccur ui l. ,1,t.o. minus,e .e tot p. niubtilsat tues esed ovecuetion u!!! leegin immediately theseaf ter. svacuaMon tinse ses sesent the longest oos tamat ed 4 4mm for a es.ectat f act!!ty in the sector cuneidesed. Time lancludes teeminal time. Roading/unloadie.g. t s ave t times, assi roue =B t a s p t ime as s equi s ed. (b) We tesa Emeter Ikmunal soflects a good state of emesgency s ,adinese estillaing stata enesgency resources and alloulag the esopeenton olen evacuattom to psoceed aucuading to the stages dellesed in P3.M4's Diameter Olesatten Plan. (6) We team tinger Dousul soflects a Rochi of adagnate slee sincessary for psopea deploymont of state emergency sescutene due to em immiediate declasatten of genesol s scuation.

Stones I114 astAsas Tasta 24s SWACUhfital TIME LET38tATES run ings lo MIBA RAulUS SPE SistMh8T OF SPPIsD518thT5 EVAC 1sATI(es 71st ESTiethTES

• ros taae avAcun?!<es shctoa scene:lon _Tygitsi weekday _

ggp gap , , , ,_ g,g ,,,,gggg,,44) General population Total Evacua- Total Evacua-Tsavel_ Time lutal svacuatlee Time 13) _ Tsavel Time _ tion Tlas Travel flee sten Time let tamoest Aut o

• teithout Assto tfitan Auto Sctwsole schoglg

                       'U7 a .w*ith N        s ' Auto Mt" ' 4a'** $ M'                  8""**'     'Ul m 8 ""**' $8Br_' '

8 8"***' 32*8 8*""(' ' St* 0'b*** ****** - *

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 ~

a 1s w asio 2:00 3:00 1:50 2:50 2:20 3:20 - - - - - -

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 ..M.*-       ,

e 1: 30 asso 1 So 2:50 2:2o 3:20 2:00 is00 - - - - - -

                                                                                                                                                                                                                ~.-

e osso 1s15 Isoo 1s15 Os5o less 1 20 1:35 - - - - - - .'.' **j, 4 'o 1: 30 asco 2suo 2:3o 1:5o 2:20 2:20 2:50 - - - - - - A'C*! a Isso 2:3o 2soo 3:00 Is5o asSo 2:20 is20 - - - - - - .m~ - r asio 6:0o 4:45 6:3. esso 6sao 5:05 6:5o 4:45 6:30 5 00 6:45 5:0o 5soo e 1:45

                                                                                                                                                                                                              %s.
                                                                                                                                                                                                               ~
     ,                                              2:45      2s15         3:35       2:05        3:05        2:35      3:35      1:45      2 30         2:00         .s45          6 45         6 45                M

[ as is45 2:15 2:30 3:00 2s05 2:35 2:50 3:20 0:45 1:45 1 00 2s00 - - . .j 1 Us  ; , 4 e I 2:45 3:45 3:0o 4:15 3:05 4s05 3:20 4:35 3:00 4 15 3:15 es30 4:45 4 45 J 4: 30 6:15 4:45 6:30 4s50 6:35 5:05 6:50 4:45 Ss30 Seco 6:45 - - E 6:00 10:00 5s45 945 6:20 10:20 6:05 10:05 5:45 9:45 6:00 10 00 1:15 7s15

1. 4:45 4:3o 3:00 4:45 3:05 4:50 3:20 505 2:30 4:15 2:45 4:30 6 00 6:00 M 2 15 3:45 2:45 4:45 2 35 4:05 3:05 4:35 2 30 4s00 2:45 4:15 - -

II Srls 8:00 5:30 0:00 5s50 es20 5:50 8:20 5:10 8:00 5 45 as!5 8:00 Seco O 6:00 10:00 5:45 9:45 6 20 10 20 6:05 10:05 5:45 9s45 6:00 10:00 - - C3

                          .1                                                            -

C3 '

                             !!) Genesa! s%>ulation conalate of residente and transiente including most-easantial ins esployees.

I ] 2) Crts has stated that as of July le 1988, e asaw warming eyeten wl!! be lastelled to psovide __.sfication of 100% of the population within 45 minutes. ( 3) tecludes general g.,pulattom psopeseticas time (20 minuteel and the rosesey travel time. (4) ros electal fact!!Line, it le assumed that sentificattom w!!! occur w!;hla fifteen minutes and that sud illsation esed evacustica w!!! begin lameJiately taseseaf ter. svecesation times sepsmeent the longest same-se " settmated time for a eg.ecial fact!!ty in the Sector ausseldered. Time lacludes tesalmet time, loading /unloodlag, ts avel time, and scesad tgly tlas se sequised. , (5) ,,.. t.a. -e. .assad s.,iect. . - .t.t e .f e r,ano, ...dt ne.. ou ii s i., .t.t. .m.. .c, .e.o.rc the psugseeston of en evacuation to proceed acessalag to time stages defissed la PEsen's 01 easter ogenation Plan.

                                                                                                                                                                         . si -in,                         ::D' f

(6) The tea m Egger Doesad s=flects a 1sch of ade<paete time snesseeery for pas ter deplo; eent of state omssgency . soeuwstce due to ass lassediate declasettoes of general evacuation.

                                                                                                                                                                                                         )

11 mild ISIANt Tastg 24c EVAL 1LAhT8000 TlHE ESTIIth1ES FOst 1ges 191631JE DAulta$ SSE SSSIBIhSV DF kPPROEI8thTE EWACUAT)(as 73:3 IgST8sthT58 FOR EaCII RVACumf t(at SECTum , Scanst!Os AJves sie temattier pacial Facilities Gesseral popealation(1 (2) Total Beacua- Total Evacus. Tsavel Time Tute! gwecuation Timelli Travel Time _ tion Tlee Trevel Time tion Time - teit s sto u _t me .itle net. . u out .ssto .mi. .c.no. . I* gm ,U)g (6), ,{5) ,(6) , ,(5) ,(6) ,,,,,( 5) (6) , ,(5) (6) , ,85) 168 g, g,,, , g, ,, t A 2suo 2:51 2:30 2:45. 2:40 2 45 3:10 3s25 - - - - - - a 2:00 2:15 2:30 2:45 2:40 2:55 3:10 3:35 - - - - - - C 0:30 Os30 1 15 1s15 1s10 'Asto 1 55 1:55 - - - - - - D 2:00 2:15 2:30 3:00 240 2:45 3 10 3:40 - - - - - - E 2s00 2:15 '2:30 3:00 2:40 2:45 3:10 3:40 - - - - - -

                                                                                                       'F                                      5:30 '6s45                                                   5:45               7:00       6s10        1s25     6:25      1s40          -        -              -.          -            600            6:00 0                                   2:45                         3 15                             3:15              3s45       3:25        3:55     5:55      4:25          -         -             -           -            4:00           es00 1

g Il 2s15 2

45 2:45 3:15 2:55 3:25 3:25 3:55 - - - - -

                                           .a f                                                                1                                    3:15                       4 00                             3:30              4:15       3:55        4:40     esto      es55           -        -             -           -            5s20           5:20 J                                    5s30                        6s45                             6:00              7s15       6:10        7s25     6s40      1s55           -        -             -           -             -               -

l E 9:15 11:30 9:00 11:15 9:55 12:10 9s40 11:55 - - - - 8:45 es45 L 4:00 es45 4:15 5:00 4:40 5:25 4:55 5:40 - - - - 7:30 7 30 II 400 5:00 4:30 5s30 4:40 .5:40 5:10 6:10 - - - - - - se 7:15 9:00 7:15 9:00 7 55 9 40 7s55 Ss40 - - - - 9:30 9:30 Q O 9:45. 11:30 9:00 11:15 9:55 12:45 9:40 lis55 - - - - - -

                                                                                                                                                                                      ~

(Il Genesal population consista of residents and tranalente including non-eemential Tett eeytoyees. J i.) 0 Is.. .t.t 100% of Llie septelation willain 45 minutes.

                                                                                                                                                                             ~t a. o, .,ui,1, 19 1. a s e. .asnia. . .t.m .in                                                   ten.4 t. ,so.l        smo,loanon .f m

(3) Inc%hdas genesel population preparation time (20 uslautsel and tins roa4psy travel time. O somemose (4) For egocial f ac111 ties, it is assumed Elset sootification w!!! occiar witasin fifteen minutes and tinat sud,111aattua and evacuatlass w!!! 1.egla isomediately (Inereaf ter. Evacuation times sepsesent tais longest estimated time for a esectat feo!!!ty in time Sector considered. Time includes terminal time, toedtag/isatoading, tsavel time, ased soused tely slee as required. (5) 19 e team twer moisne soflects a good state of emergency readinese utillaing state emesgesecy resources and allowing ts.e psugsession of an evacuatten to psoceed acco ding to the stages defined in tason's Dieseter operation plan. (4) 11.e tese tqter toused soflects a lack of adegmate time necessary for proper deployment of state emergency readoscas due to en teneJiate declaration of general evacuattoa. til Inctisdes an additional 20 salnutes to account for unknuum cunditlosse on thee roadway system.

h 0b h.,( I b,t I h h, . .h. .r t r '. ! ! u, s e ,n ' 1, S F. Distribution of Peculation bv Time A further output of the simulation model which may be of use in determining the course of action to take in the event of an incident at IMI is the distribution of the percen* of pcpulation evacuated under each scenario during the estimated evacuation time period. The model uses assigned traffic volumes in PCE's for each of the population compenents of a traffic zone and converts these back to population numbers using average vehicle occupancy rates and vehicle equivalency factors for the assigned mode of transportation. Based on the calculated speed along each routs the population which leaves the DZ boundry is accumulated by time and percent of total population at fif teen minute intervals. The approximate percent of the accumulated pcpulation which would be evacuated from the 360 degree-10 mile D: for each scenario is shown in Figures 22a, b, c. Table 25 further shows a ccmparison of the time estimated to evacuate fif ty and ninety percent of the pepulation under each scenario assuming varying degrees of readiness and development of possible incident.

 ..                                                                TABI.E 25
    ~

ESTIMATES OF TIME TO EVACUATE 50 and 90 PERCENT OF THE D3 POPULATICN Scenario Percent Acamulated Peculatien Evacuated 50% 90% Estimated Evacuation Time Range (hr. min.) _Lo_we r Upoer Lower Uepet BEST ESTIMATE 2:30 3:30 5:15 7:00 (Night) TTPICAL WEEKDAY 3:00 4:30 5:45 8:15 (Normal) ADVERSE WZATHER 4:00 5:00 7:00 9:00

                   *         , Based on an evacuation time estimate of the 360 degree-10 mile DZ.
                                                                                                                                 ~

The range of evacuatien times is a relative indicator of the state of re.utiness of emergency forces and the period of time over which a possible incident at TMI may develop. Estimated times reflect approximate tcadway travel time. l

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These critical links represent the locatiens of potential maximum de2.ay for evacuees assigned to that route. Figures 23a, b, and c show these l l critical links as ccmpared with selected evacuation route network. A list of critical links and the associated delay time is given in Table ' 26 by scenario for a simultaneous evacuation of the entire 10 mile D :. l The delay time shown herein is the time penalty imposed by the computer  ! model when the demand traffic volume exceeds the capacity of the link. It was assumed that traffic centrol personnel would be required to expedite traffice flow. This assumption was made as the result of a first estimate of evacuation time for a 360 degree sector - 10 mile D:, where the operation of fixed traffic controls imposed high delay penalities on evacuees it was assumed that traffic control persennel would be required to expedite traffic flow. These potential critical locations are also shown in Figures *23a, b, and c and are listed by Scenario in Table 26. i

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THREE MILZ ISLAND TABLE 26 TDE:  % EVACCAt FCR THE 10 p#I d:433T:XATESI 8h0ICS EPZ I$T i'g PCTINTIAL CRITICAL LOCATIONS I i i11 O k I E *

               '               *"'                      CN SEI.EC"'ED EVACCATICN RCC*TS (13 =ile EPC)

Bottleneck (delay) Ti=a Hour : Minutes Best Typical Abierse critical Bottleneck

• Links / locations Estimate Weekday Weather 29/W. Main Street (fr a S. Lingel Avenue to Railroad) 5:01 5:25 10:50 35/ Route 743 (frca Governor Road to Fishburn Rd. 2:48 2:56 6:03 47/Epler Road (from Route 117 to Routa 341) 1:38 1:47 3:40 49/ Water Street (from Route 341 W. to Route 341) - -

1:30 70/ Ramp (fr a Access Road 238 to Route 283E) 3:26 4:C8 - 78/N. Hancvor Street (frca Mt. Gretna Street to 28E Ramp) - - 4:13 e4/Elizabethtown Road (from Grant Street to Sunnyhurn Road 1:35 1:47 3:36 89/Colebrook Road (from Ehrraburg Road to Route 230) - - 1:29 95/ Route 230 (from Schwanger Road to Cloverleaf Road) - - 1:C8 104/Rockpoint Road (from Colebrock Road to Poute 441) -

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Il0/ Route 283 E (from Grant .ktreet to Mt. 'Joy Road) 2:21 2:46 3 36 122/ Route 441 E (from Route 241N to Route 743N) 1:33 1:55 3:36 125/Second Street (f cm Lumber Street to Broad St.) - 1:38 - 1.30/ Cameron Street (from Sycamore Street to Paxan Street) 3:C2 3:25 6:50 140/ Ramp (from S. 17th Street to I-83W) 1:02 2:31 - 141/S. 17th Street (from Paxton Street to I-83W , Ramp) - - 3:C8 144/13th Street (from Derry Street to Market St.) 1:50 4:31 6:51 160/ Union 3 Post (from E. Park Road to Dewr. honor Road) - - 8:34 162/Newside Road (fr a Page Road to On. Dep. Road) 1:07 lill 2:26 centinued

MREE MII.E ISLAND TABLE 26 EVACUATICN TIME ESTIMATES i FCR THE 10 MILE RADII:S EPZ (continued) l Bottleneck (delay) Ti::a Hour : Minutes Best Typical Adverse Critical Bottleneck

• Links / Locations Estimate Weekday Weather 172/Nyss Road (fraza Union Dep. Road to

! Devonshire Egts. Road) 2:10 2:22 4:38 177/ Ramp '(from Union Dep. Road to I-83 N) 4:56 5:12 - 187/ Forge Road (from Old Stage Road to Lisburn Road - - 1:44' 191/ Ramp (from Route 114 to I-83N) 1:51 1:59 - 192/Boute 114 (from Susquehanna Trail to I-83) - - 2:39 195/ Ramp (from Route 262 to I-83N) 1:49 2:01 - 213/Conewago Road (from Rhers Oz. Road to l Old Carlisle Raad - - 1:28 231/ Route 1815 (from Besh Sch. Road to Enig Road) - - 5:01 233/ Ramp (from Route 1815 to I-833) 2:24 2:34 - 235/I-833 (from Route 181 S to Route 250) 1:21 1:27 2:10 i 237/Susquahanna Trail (from Sinking Sp. Road to ' Lightner Road) . 1:43 1:52 3:49 247/Mt. Zion Street (from Druck Valley Road to Route 230) 1:57. 2:10 4:22 251/ Route 238 W (from Manchester Town Line to Route 74) - - 1:42 l l 260/ Progress Avenue (from Old Township to Route 22) li31 2:47 4:39 266/ Bridge Street (from loth Street to Market St.) 1:25 1:37 3:14 267/Carlisle Road (from Brandt Street to 18th St.) 1:54 2:08 4:18 - 270/Ples. Vw. Drive (from Private Road to Route 262) -- - 3:07 ! 276/F J. ling Road (from Nissley Drive to Eisenhower i Boulevard) - - 1:38 l 280/ Route 921 (from Bull Road to Route 74) - - 1:13 e

I MREE MILE ISI.AND TABLE 26  ; EVACOATICH TIME ESTIMA!ES S l FOR THE 10 MIIZ RADICS EP: (continued) Bot-leneck (delay) Tine Ecur : Minutes Best ?fpical Adverse Critical Bottleneck

• Links /Iacationi Esti=. ate Weekday Weather 292/Imwisberry Road (frca Siddenburg Road to T916) - -

1:43 304/ Route -83N (f: a I-76 to Route 11W) 1:42 1:50 2:31

~ 311/ Route 921 (f

ca Susqn=h=--> Trail *4 Mil C:k. Road) - -

6:37 313/ Route 39 (f::a Red Tcp Road to Devenshire Road) - 1:47 - 315/ Route 39 (from Grnhll. Road to Route 22) , 1:39 - 3:42 317/I-83N '(from Un.-Dep. Road to Route 22) 3:36 3:48 5:17 326/ Route 177 (frca Route to Park to Route 745) 1:43 1:51 3:52 335/Elizabethtown Road (from Chestnut Street to Grand Tree Road) 1:40 1:53 3:50 337/N. Hanover Street (f ca Linden Street to Mount Gretna Road) - - - 340/Acc. Road 283 E (from Route 230 to EB Cn-Ramp) - - 6:23 The following intersections require traffic contrel personnel

• Q occla:e Avenue and ridge Road (24, 25)

Chocolate Avenue and 743N (25, 26) .l * . Chocolate Avenue and 7435 (26,.27) Chocolate Avenue and Homestead Road (27, 28) W. 34 min Street and S. I.ingel Avenue (28, 29) W. Main Street and Railroad S* met (29, 30) Route 743 and Fishburn Road (35, 36) Boute 322 and Bonestead Road (37, 38) Route 322 and Lymer Avenue (40, 41) West High Street and Ma:ket Street (75, 76, 83, 121) Colebrook Road and Route 230 (38, 89, 95, 96) sr - ., .,r-4 .- o...+, , . - . . . . . , . , _ . , --- - -y~ , -

      .10tII M2:.Z 232AND                                               TARI.Z 26 EVACUAT2 N T2ME EST2.vXIS FCR~32 10.w'*' RAD 20S IPO (ccatinued) 2he folicwirq intarsecticr.s require traffic cent 1 perser.nel Second Street and Eisenhower Sculavard (126,127)

5. Fron* Street and Swatara Street (127, 128)

5. Front Street and Loc,ust Street (128, 129)

S. F cat Street and C nestoga Road (129, 354) Camar:n Street a=d Paxton Street (130, 136, 137) Paxton Street a:d S. Seccnd Street (137, 136) 2er:y Street and 17th Street (142, 143) Der:y Street a=d 13th Street (143, 144) 13th Street and Ma:ket Street (144, 145) Market Street and Cameron Street (145,146) Unica D. Post and Dowhene: Ecad (160, 263, 309) acute 181 S and Maple Street (228, 229, 230) Beute 181 S and Woodview Drive (232, 331) - Suse =**--= Trail and I.igh~e: Read (237, 253, 330) Route 238W a=d Route 74 (251) Progress Avenue and acute 22 (260, 261) Bridge Street and Market Street (266) Carlisle Rcad and 18th Street (267, 268) Route 39 and Reute 22 (315) Main Street and Wilsen Street (64, 115, 344, 345)

• Pc locations refer to Figure

     +      Porscenel who are stati=ned at signalized istarsec.icas will either am-- ="y cperate the traffi: sig-21s or manually direct traffic

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7. SIXX2STED ACTIONS )

As stated in NUREG-0654,...* specific recenunendatiens for actions that e.ould be taken to significantly improve evacuation time shall be given." Such actions appear to be limited to those related to the factors and procedures utilized in developing the evacuatien time estimates (such - as evacuation route selection, route capacity, traffic assignment, special transportation considerations and notification / confirmation methods). During the course of this study, no specific recessnendations have been identified that would significantly improve evacuatica times other than those described elsewhere in this report including the following local commentary. O O O

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9 VI. IDCAL CCreGNTARY l In order to achieve a cooperative and comprehensive planning effort for this study, a number of meetings and discussicms were held with State and local emergency planners and officials as well as with members of GPU Energency Preparedness at Three Mile Island. In addition, numerous contacts have been made to gather relevant information and data not only from State, county and local agencies, but also private transit operators, administrators of special facilities, associations and major industrial employers and military in the five county area encompassed by the EP3. These ccatacts are listed in the attached PCC': NOTES Sectica l of this Report. The contributions of these agencies and people has l been invaluable in the development of the information and data base used in this study. l l On November 26, 1980 a meeting m s held in the Transportation and Safety Building in Barrisburg, Pennsylvania at the Office of the Pennsylvania Energency Management Agency with representatives of the Met. Ed., PIMA, PEIMDOT and Parsons Brinckerhoff, to review previous evacuation time . studies, obtain information, discuss methodology and assumptions to ' j be used in this study, and review the requirements of NtTREG-0654, Appendix i 4 of the November 1980 revision. Also, the coordination procedures among those present ma established. On December 18, 1980, the District Traffic Engineer for PENNDOT was contacted to discuss PENNDOT's selection of evacuation routes, route capacities, trip assignment technique, and special traffic management procedures which have been proposed. Concurrence was also obtained on the use of separate capacities of interchange ramps. At the request of GPU, a meeting ms held at the PEMA office in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania with representatives from PEMk district and central offices, the five County Energency Management (Operations) Coordinators and their deputies, the Manager of GPU-Nuclear Energency Preparedness and Parsons Brinckerhoff. This meeting tas held to review the methodology and assumptions used in this study, the status 'of the study, and additional data requirements. Also, the preliminary population figures, empicyment data needs', scenaries and location of the reception centers to be used in this estimate were discussed. Moreover, the description of the EPS and internal Energency Response Planning Areas (ERPA's) and the evacuation routes were presented. i No objections to the use of these data for the purpose of estimating evacuation times in response to NUREG-0654 Appendix 4 were voiced by those present. The requests made in the November, 1980 revision of NUREG-0654 Appendix 4 were also addressed. During a conversation on January 30, 1961 with the Marager of Energency Preparedness for GPU, -nts on the draft of the report submitted to GPU on January 16, 1941 for distribution to PEMA were received. + It was the consensus of the reviewers that the initial route capacity informatica provided by PENNDOT us conservative. Through a refined  ! evaluation of individual route capacities it appeared to be possible to develop more realistic route capacities and thus more realistic evacustica time estimates. PENA noted no objection to the use of alternate or supplementary routing, if such acticas would facilitate evacuation.

I e As directed by GPU, an independent assessment of roadway capacities based ' on actual physical and operating conditions and by the addition of supr . ',a1 routes to alleviate, where possible, potential bottlenecks uncovered in the evaluation of the P.unwt evacuation route network ws made. Such refinement was based an judgments and expertise gained from previous studies to provide an more realistic estimate of evacuation times. According to GPU these estimatas are intended for use in the decision making process in conjunctica with other variables such as weather, type of incident, and time available in assessing a specific situation and detarmining the proper protective action to be taken e.g. (sheltering or evacuation) in the event of an incident at SC requiring the implementation of protective actions by the public. t

F00200TES

1. Three Mile Island Emergency Evacuation Plans (Drafts) (I,ancaster, Dauphin, Cumberland, Lebanon and York Counties); Emergency Managment Agency, April 1979.

2. U.S. Bureau of the Census; Characteristics of the Poculation,1970 Census of Population, Pennsylvania, 1973.

3. Assessment of Evacuation Times; An Independent Study for Federal Emergency Management Agency; Wilbur Smith and Associates; June 1980.

4. U.S. Bureau of the Census; Preliminary 1980 Census of Population and Housing; 1980.

5. Greater Harrisburg Area chamber of Commerce; Harrisburg Area Pennsvlvania Magazine; 1980.

6. Lebanon Valley Chamber of Commerce; Lebanon valley Fact Book; 1980.

7. Lebanon Valley Chamber of Commer ~ ? Statistical Data on Lebanon Countv; 1980,

8. U.S. Bureau of the Census; Journey to Work,1970 Census of the Population; June, 1973.

9. Employment and Transient Data Meeting with PENA and PERNDOT representatives in Harrisburg, Pa. 11-26-80.

Personal conversation with Ms. Fran Cunningham, assistant to Mr. Douglas from the Greater Harrisburg Nasher of Commerce. ~ 12-18-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Harry Flick from the Pennsylvania Dutch visitors ~ l Bureau. 12-18-80. . Personal conversation with Mr. Richard Blouse from the Lancaster Association of Comunerce and Industry. 12-23-80. l i- Personal conversation with Mr. Mylin Hess from the State Department Bureau of Employment Security. 12-23-80. Personal conversation with Mr. David Wauls from the Lebanon Valley Chamber of Commerce. 12-29-80. l 11 conversation with Mr. Matthew Douglas from the Greater Harrisburg ! ':hamber of Commerce. 12-29-80. . Personal conversation with Ms. Nancy Boch from the Greater Everisburg Chamber of Commerce. 12-29-80. l

9 l N Personal conversation with Mr. Carl Neu fra the York Area Chamber of Commerce. 12-29-80. i Personal conversation with Mr. Edward Messner from Greater West Sbore Area

Chamber of Counnerce. 12-29-80.

Personal conversation with Mr. Bob, Walker from the Lancaster County Planning Commaission. 12-29-80. Personal conversation with Mr. .hrk McKnight of the York County Planning Commaission. 12-29-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Larry Baugher frca the Bureau of Employment Security. 12-29-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Keith Gingrich fra the Department of Camerce Bureau of Statistics. 12-30-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Peter Uhniat from the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation Bureau of Advance Planning. 12-31-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Robert Buxton, Chief of Information for the State Division of Motor vehicles. 12-31-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Skip Becker from the State Commerce Department Bureau of Travel and Development. 12-31-80. . Personal conversation with the Director of Research at the York Public Library. 1-2-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Jean Kelly fra the Lebanon Valley Regional Travel Prcactional Agency. 12-31-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Dale Vogelsong from the York Area Regional Travel Promotional Agency. 1-8-81. Personal conversation with Mrs. Lucy Kruger from the Cunberland Area Regional Travel Promotiord Agency. 1-9-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Joanne Garrett frcus the York Area Chamber

of Camerce. 1-2-81.

Personal conversation with Mr. Allwein, Staff Representative for the Greater West Shore Area Chamber of Commerce. 1-5-81. Persone'.1onversation with Ms. Carleen Koons, secretary for the Lebanon Valley Area Chamber of Commerce. 1-5-81. - Personal conversation with Ms. Suzanne Snyder frcus the State Department Bureau of Statistics. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Dr. Walter Ploeila from the Governcr's Office of Policy and Plannir.g. 1-4-81.

l l l l Personal ~ conversation with Ms. Margaret Marfise frcan the State Depart:nent Bureau of Travel Development. Personal conversation with Mr. Dick Hack: nan, District Traffic Engineer for Pennsylvania Depart:nent of Transportation. 1-8-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Debra Staples from the Hotel / Motel Association of Pennsylvania. 1-8-81. Personal enversation with Mr. Loomis from the State Department on Labor and Industry. 1-8-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Daphene Lewis frcus the three Mile Island Travel Data Center. 1-8-81. Personal conversation with Mr. James Rutter, Director of the Bureau of Data Reduction. 1-8-81. Personal a nversation with assistant to Ms. Anita Summers at the Public Management Unit for Wharton School of Business, 1-8-81. Personal anversation with Major Meyer from the Olmstead Air Force Base. 1-8-81. Personal mnversation with Mr. George Giangi, 'IMI Emergency Preparedness. 1-13-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Rayford Williams, Director of the State Department Bureau of Parks and Recreation. 1-15-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Connie Sutton, assistant to Mr. Greg Gove from the State Department on Ccamunity Affairs. 1-16-81.

10. Commonwealth of Pennsylvania; Governors Office of Policy and Planning ,

The Socio-Econcaic I:npacts' of the Three Mile Island Accident; December  ! 1980.

11. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Travel Survey 1977; 1979.

12. Pennsylvania Department of Ceumerce; Highlights of Travel Develetament in Pennsylvania and U.S.A., 1980.

l 13. gotel and Travel Index Winter 1980-81; Volume 41; Number 4; Business Publications Division of Ziff-Davis Publishing Co. (New York) pp. B923-8948.

14. Pennsylvania Campground Guider Pennsylanla Bureau of Travel Development (Barrisburg, Pa.); Southeast Region; 1980.

15. Campground / Park Data Personal conversation with Mr. Gre.g Gove from the State Depart:nent on Community Affairs.1-16-81.

i 9 Personal conversation with the owner of the Harrieberg East Campground. 2-18-81. ' m Personal conversation with Ms. Greta Synder c': the Hershey Highneadcw , Campground. 2-18-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Joe Coviello of the Ridge Run Campsites. 2-18-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Elda Roof of the Shaw-N-Tee Campground. 2-18-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Let Greason from the Gifford Pinchot State Park. 2-18-91. Personal conversation with Mr. Earl Witsil of the Park Away Parks Campground. 2-18-81.

16. U.S. Departner.c of Commerce; County Business Patterns, Pennsylvania, 1970 and 1978.

17. Pennsylvania Departmen't of Commerce: Bureau of Statistics Research and Planning; 1980 Industrial Directory of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, 27th edition.

U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census; 1977 Census of Retail 18. Trader Pennsylvania, March 31, 1980.

19. U.S. Department of Commerce: Bureau of the Census; 1977 Census of Service Industries: Pennsylvania, December 1979. -

i 20. U.S. Department of Comerce: Bureau of the Census; 1977 Census of Wholesale Trader Pennsylvania, July 10, 1980.

21. Pennsylvania Department of Ccenerce: Bureau of Statistics Research and Planning; Pennsylvania Industrial Census Series Release Number M-5-78 _ (for all five counties) ,1980.

22. Cumberland County Indus'rj al Enterprises; Cumberland County, Pennsylvania l Industrial Enterpri es_ t pamphlet; 35 North Tenth St. , Immoyne, i Pennsylvania 17043.

23. Por School Data

! Personal conversation with Mr. James Buffingtca, official from the Harrisburg City School District. 12-16-80. - f Personal conversation with Mr. Henry Boerner, official from the Iower Dauphin School District. 12-16-80. , Personal conversation with Mr. Calabrese, official from the Middletown School District. 12-17-80.

l l l i Personal conversation with Mr. Katz, official from the Steelton-Highspire School District. 12-17-80, i Personal conversation with Mr. John 'i alop, official fece the Susquehanna l School District. 12-16-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Ron Samuel, official from the Dauphin County vo-Tech. 12-16-80. i Personal conversation with Mr. Glenn Motter, official from Harrisburg-Steelton-Highspire Vo-tech. 12-16-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Bruce Conner, of ficial from C.A.I.U. 12-16-80. , t Personal conversation with Dr. Eversold, official from the Harrisburg Area l Community College. 12-17-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Kitch, ofncial fra the Central Lauphin School District. 12-18-80. Personal conversation with Mrs. Booth, official from the Derry Township District. 12-18-80. ! Personal ccaversatio'.2 with Mr. Williams, official for the East High Elementary School and the Mill Rd. Elementary School. 12-19-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Paviglianti, official for the Rheems Elementary School and Fairview Elementary School. 12-22-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Peters, official for the Elizabethtown Senior Eigh School and the Middle School. 12-22-80. l Personal conversation with Mr. John Sau, se, principal of the Maytown Elementary School. 12-22-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Dale Leckrone, principal of the Roundtown Elementary School. 12-29-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Burton Schellhammer, official frem the Central York School District, 12-29-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Arthur Herwiricks official from the Northeastern School District. 12-29-80. t Personal conversation with Mr. Thomas Jenkins, official from the Eastern ! School District. 12-29-80. . l Personal conversation with Ms. Bonnie Forestall, secretary for Sister Joseph l l Delores, official for Catholic Schools in 10-mile radius area. 12-30-80. 1 i l l _ , _, - . . .....-..-_.-.,___,-.._.-.-._-.m._. -

                                                                       . - - . _ _ _ _ _ . . _ _ _ _ . . . _ _ . ~ ... .__ _._-,.__ _ ,-- _ _ .           _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ,

m Personal conversation with Mrs. Harvey, office secretary for York Christian Elementary School. 12-30-80. Personal conversatir.2 with Mr. Stricker, principal of the Sainbridge Elementary School. 12-31-80. i Personal conversation with Mr. Shibley, official f ce the Locust Greve Elementary

          **1      1-5-81.                                                                  '

Personal enNesation with Mr. Richard Henry, official from *le Mt. tien Elementary Scnocl. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Smith, official f:ca the Red La:2. Sr. High School. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Mr. David Pert;oro, official f:cm the Lawn Elementary ' School. 1-6-81.

,    Personal conversation with Mr. Barbusky, official f:ca the Price Elementary School. 1-6-81.                                                                   1 Personal conversation with Mr. Richard Rudisill from the Milten Heshey School.         .

1-6-81.  ! Personal conversation with Mr. Alchele, official f ca the Hershey Intermediate S-*f . 1-6-81. Personal ernversation with Sister Rita Polchin, principal f cut St. Catherine Labourne School. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Mrs. Lewis, official f cm the Holy Pasily School. 1-7-81. Personal conversation with Mrs. Getz, official fra the Hillside Elementary School. 1-7-81. Personal conversation with Sister Prancis, principal free St. Johns School. l-7-81. I Personal conversation with Sister Pauline, principal fra St. Joan of Arc [ School. 1-7-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Joe Shiara, official frce Bishop McDevitt I High t- w 1 1-7-81. i i Personal conversation with Mr. Carl DeFebo, official for Susquehanna Township , l Middle School. 1-5-41. Per.wnn conversation with Mrs. Miles, official for the Procrers Grade School. 1-5-81. 1 Personal conversation with Thomas Lyons, official for the State Police ~.cademy. , 1-5-81. l l l l

Personal conversation with Mrs. Curtis, official for St. Theresa School. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Richards, official for the New Cumberland Middle School. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Mrs. Connie Mohn, official for the Manor Elementary Scuool. 1-5-81. Personal enversation with Father Richardson at St. Peters Rectory for Catholic Diocessan office number. 1-2-81. Personal conversation with Sister Mary Anna, principal of St. Margaret Mary i School. 1-5-81. 1 Personal cx2nversation with Mrs. Kramarich, secretary at the Assumptin of l the Blessed Virgin Mary School. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Sister Francis, principal of St. John's and St. Ann's Schools. 1-5-81.  ; Personal conversation with Sister Ann, principal of St. Peters Schocl. 1-5-81. , Personal conversation with secretary at Conewago Elementary School. 1-14-81. i Personal conversation with Mr. Fred Nole, Assistant Director for Catholic Schools. 1-5-81. j

24. Special Facility Data Personal conversation with Mr. Mel Knowlton, official for the State Dept.

of Public Welfare. 12-23-80. Personal conversation with Mrs. Gilde Sprickel for State Department Office

                                                                            ~

of Children, Youth and Families. 12-23-80. , Personal conversation with Ms. Constance May, Director of the Childrens Care Center. 12-23-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Prelesnik, Director at the Harrisbug Hospital. 12-17-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Robert Palmer, official at the Polyclinic Medical Center. 12-17-80. Personal conversation with Mr. floyd, Personal Director of the Dauphin County , Home and Hospital. 12 1.7-80. Personal conversation with Mrs. Phillip Ernst, official frem the Alpine Retirement Center. . 12-17-80. Personal conversation with Mrs. Susan Pope, official from Colcnial Pines Golden Age Home. 12-17-80. J

l T Personal conversation with Mr. Lawrence K'irschenbaum, official from the Jewish Ecme of Greater Harrisburg. 12-17-80. Personal conversation with Mrs. Papacostas, official at the Bhe Ridge Haven East. 12-18-80. Personal conversation with Mr. William Landis, official at the Alpine Retirement Center. 12-18-80. Personal conversation with Ms. Cerveris, Vice President of Planning of Hospitals Council of Pennsylvania. 12-13-80. Personal conversation with Francis Fillipi and Harvey Wilson from the State Dept. of Justice. 12-23-80. Personal conversation with Michael Faust, Deputy Warden at the Dauphin County Prison. 12/23/80. Personal conversation with Ms. Angels Flohr, assistant at the Aspin Center. 12-23-80. Personal conversation with Mr. Al Goodman in the press office at the Dept. of Public Welfare. 1-2-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Gene Fasig at the State Dept. of Health Long Term Care Division. 1-5-81. , Personal conversation with Ms. Julia Cox, Emergency Coodinator for Long Term Facilities. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Gerry Fallinger, Iong Term Care Divis' ion Assistant. 1-5-81. Personal conversation'with Ms. Susan Darhower frca the Dept. of Public Welfare Office of Children Youth and Families. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Yuanita Mason, Director of Slyvan Heights Ecme. 1-6-81. Per?onal conversation with Mr. Kevin Lamont, Director of the Lodge at Alpine Ecme. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Mr. William Landis official at the Alpine s rement Center. Personal conversation with Sr. Rosemarie Budd from the Mercy Crest Convent. . 1-4-81. Personal conversation with an official at the Alcoholism Services in Harrisburg. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Mr. David Mills, official at the Oddfellows Heme. 1-4-81.

l 1 I Personal conversation with Dr. William Gibson, official at the Elizabethtown Hospital for Children and Youth. 1-6-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Eyer, an official at the Leader Nursing and Rehabilitation Center Elizabethtown. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Walter Wentzel, an official at the Masonic Heme. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Ms. Nancy Thompson, an official at the Lehman Guest and Boarding Home. 1-5-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Carl Bodner, an official at the Annville United Church of Christ Home. 1-5-81. CDRRESPQtDENCES MADE FOR SPECIAL FACILITY AND SCHOOL DATA Mrs. Jayne Coover Manor H.S. Ela & Coolidge St. New Cumberland, Pa. 17070 Mr. A. Richart Bittle Hillside E.S. 7th and Sharon St. New Cumberland, Pa. 17070 Mr. Robert Lisse New Cumberland M.S. 9th & Broad Avenue New Cumberland, Pa. 17070 Mr. John Whittle Lawn Elemen'tary Scho)1 Lawn, Pa. 17041 Sister Mary Stephen villa Teresa Nursing IIone 1051 Avile Rd. Harrisburg, Pa. 17109 Miss McGiven l Dauphin Ccunty Ecme & Hospital l Paxton & South 28th Street l Harrisburg, Pa. 17111 l l Mr. Prelesnik Harrisburg Espital

                                                                                                                 )

S. Front and Chestnut S* 1 Harrisbira, Pa. 17111

                                                                                                                 )

Mr. Francis Hershey Medical Center 500 University Drive

m Ectshey, Pa. Mr. Saff Commumity General Osteopathic Hospital 4300 Londonderry Rd. Harrisburg, Pa. Mr.' Kelly Weist Leader Nursing & Rehab. Center 800 King Russ Road Harrisburg, Pa. Mrs. Dora Vaughan Helen O. Snavely Memorial Home R.D. 91 Htammelstre, Pa. 17036 Mr., Richard Esterly Alcoholism Services Inc. 1924 H. Second St. Harrisburg, Pa. Mr. John Logan, M.G. Harrisburg State Hosp: tal Cameron & McClay St. Harrisburg, Pa. Mr. William Gibson Elizabethtown Childt.en's Hospital Blisbethtown, Pa. 17022 Hugene LaRocco Beistline House S. 28th Street - - Harrisburg, Pa. Twin Oaks Nursing Ecme 90 W. Main St. l Campbelltown, P. 17010 , Mrs.' Gene Blouch l Palmyra Nursing Home

        ~ 341 N. Railroad St."

Palmyra, Pa. 17078 Hev. Paul Boll , Lebanon valley Brethren 1200 Grubb St. Palmyra, Pa. 17078 Mr. Franklin Grayvill Aanville United Christian Church Home R. D. 91 Aanville, Pa. 17003

l 1 1 Frey Village Retirement Center 1020 N. Uniot. St. Middletown, Pa. 17057 . Ms. Isabelle Warren Hmeland Nursing Eme 5th & Nuench St. Harrisburg, Pa. 17102 Mr. George L. M. Deibert Odd Fellows Home of Pa. 999 W. Harrisburg Pike Middletown, Pa. 17057 Mrs. Constance May Child Day Care Center Hummelstown, Middletown Rd. near Vine St. Exit

25. Lebanon Valley Chmaber of Commerce; Lebanon vallev Industrial Directorv; August 1979.

26. Department of Education: Diocese of Harrisburg, Pennsvlvania Directorv 1980-1981.

27. Office of the Lower Daupnin School District Superintendent; Iower Dauphin School District Emergency and Disaster Administration Plan, Septernber 8, 1980.

28. 7ersonal Conversation with Ms. Tilde Sprickel from the office of children Youth and Families and Ms. Constance May from the Childrens Care Center; 12-23-80.

29. Nationwide Personal Transportation Studvs Autemobile Occupancv; Report No. 1; U.S. Dept. of Transporation: Federal Administration; April 1972.

30. For Bus Transports' Personal conversation with Ralph Miller, General Manager at the Capi *4 Bus Company. 1-13-81.

Personal conversation with Paul Bachman Director of Transportation of the West Shore School District. 1-13-81. j Personal conversation with the secretary for Klase Sunderland of Sunderland ~ Chevrolet. 1-13 -81._ j Personal conversation with Redd Rollaan Director of the Red Rose Transi* Authority. 1-31-81. l l Personal conversation with Mr. Gerke, President of the Conestoga Transportation  ; Company. 1-13-81.

s Perscnal conversation with Mr. Rcbert Joh.tsen, President of the Johnson Bus Company. 1-13 -81. Personal conversation with Mr. Lester Warfel, owner of the Warfel Bus Service. 1-13 -81. Personal conversation with Mr. Jerry Schultr, owner of Schultz Transpectation. 1- 13 -81. Personal conversatien with Mr. Ray:nond E. Groff, owner of Raymond E. Groff Buses. 1-13-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Gerald Smith, Vice President of Traffic for the Capital Area Transit Authority. 1-13-81. Porscnal conversation with Mr. Weire, Director of Transportation for the Northeastern School District. 1-13-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Jim East: man, executive for the York Area Transit Authority. 1-13-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Bob Warren, Directer of Transportation for the Central York School District. 1-13-81. Personal conversation with owner of the Red Lion Transit Bus Ccarpany. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with Mr. William Shaffer at the Lebanon County E:nergency Preparedness office. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Ten Bicsser, Director of Cumbet '.and County Einergency Preparedness Office. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with Mr. John Brabits, official for the Dauphin County Emergency Preparedness Office. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with Mr. Paul Reese, Ccunty Coordinater for Buses for the Lancaster County E:nergency Preparedness Office. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with an assistant cf Ms. Patricia Flinchbaugh, Director for the York Transportation Club. 1-14-81. Personal conversation with an efficial fo:. the Gross School Sus Service.1-14-61.

31. Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency (P.E.M.A.); Evacuation Time Estimates for Three Miles Island; October 23, 1980, volume I.

32. Mace Used for Inforsation .

United States Geological Survey Maps (U.S.G.S.); 7 1/2 quadrant : naps; Middletown Area is the centroid quadrant with 22 gaadrant : maps extending cutward to encompass a 15-mile radius. P.E.M.A. (Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency) Evacuation Rcute Maps 10-20 mile radius May 1980. l l

Metropolitan York Pennsylvania: Visual Encyclcpedia prepared by Marshall Penn-York Co., 1979. New Jersey / Pennsylvania Map prepared by American Automobile Association,

1980 edition.

South P. astern Pennsylvania Mapt visual Encyc1cpedia prepared by Marshall Penn-York Co., 1979. i ! Map of York: Pennsylvania and Vicinity prepared by Champion Map Corp. m==har of Conneerce of the Greater Harrisburg Area, Greater Harrisburg, Pennsylvania: City and County, 1974. 7 Pennsylvania Recreational Guide prepared by Department of Envir::rtment assourcess Offics of Resources Management and Bureau cf State ! Parks, 1980. t.anemster Count Pennsylvania, Street and Road Maps Alfred 3. Batton, Inc.; 1979. , l Southeastern Pennsylvania Zip Code Map; Alfred 3. I nton, Inc.,1974

33. Pennsylvania Energency Response Plan, Commonwealth of Pennsylania Department of Bealth; Pebruary 1980.

34. Personal conversation with Mr. Richard S. Backman, District Traffic Engineer, Pennsylvania Dept. of Transportation. 12-18-80.*

l

35. Disaster Operations Plan Annex B Pixed Nuclear Pacility Incident, Ccanonwealth of Pennsylvania, March 28,1980 (Revised Edition) .

36. Personal conversation with DC. Stephen S. Salmon, State Programs Officer of the NRC. 12-19-80.

37. Criteria for Preparation and Evaluation of Radiologial Emergency Response '

Plans and Preparedness in Support of Nuclear Power Plants NCRIG-0654, FEMk-REP-1., RE7.1 APPENDIX 4, NOVEMBER 1980. l

38. A Policy on Design of Urban Highways and Arterial Streets; American Association of State Highiey and Transportation Officials (Washington, D.C.; ; 1977.

39. Personal conversation with Mr. Thomas Smith, GPU. Emergency Preparednesa at DEI. 1-30-81.

40. U.S. Department of Transportation: . Federal Highway Administration; Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices for Streets and Highways; ,

1978. e i I . I i

APPENDIX A EVACUATION TIME ESTOMTES WfrHIN THE PLUME EXPOSURE PATWAY EMERGENCY PLANNING ZONE The following is an example of wnat shall be included in an c,acuatien times assessment study and how it might be presentad. The examole includes a l complete outline of material to be covered, but only a few typical tables ' and explanations are provided. The requirements are intanded to be illustrative

     .                    of necessary considerations and provide for consistency in reperting. Because the evacuation time estimacas will be used by these emergency respense personnel charged with recomending and deciding en protective actions during an amargency the evacuation time estimates should be updated as local conditions change (e.g., change in. type or effectiveness of public notification system).

I. INTRODUCTION This section cf the rapprt should make the reader aware of the general location of the nuclear power plant and plume exposure pathway emergency. planning zone, and generally discuss hcw the analysis was der,?. A. Site Location and Emercency Plannirre Icne , A vicinity map shcwing the plant location shall be provided

along with a detailed map of the plume exposure pat.*rway emergency planning zone (EFI). The map shall be legible and identify transportation ritworks, topographical features and political boundaries. (See planning element J.10.a.) .

l l l I l l A-1

 --e     -w--    ,,   w        ~      v- ,-mr,,.,   +e  ,  ,~w   e,,- -w   w- ,,w-n--   v-      ,e- ,w--- --*   a-,--- , -e--- - -,e     - - -

I

                                                                                         ,      ,    j i
     .                                                                                     .   .,    l

8. General Assumetiens .

All assumptions used in the analysis shall be provided. The assumptiens shall include such things as autemcbile cccumancy factors, mathed of deter.nining roadway capacities, and method of estimating pcpulations. C. Methodolecy A description of the method of analyzing the evacuation times shall be provided. If c:mputer =cdels are used, a general descriptien of the algoHthm shall be provided along with a source for cbtaining further infantatien or documentation. IT. DEMAND ESTIMATICN The objective of this secticn is to provide an estimate of the number of people to be evacuated. Three potential population segments shall' be considered: permanent residents, transients, and persens in special facilities. Permanent residents includes all pecple having a residence

                                                                                                  }

in the area, but not in institutions. Transients shall incit.de tourists, empicyees not residing in the area, or other groups that may visit the area. Special facility residents include those c:nfined to institutiens such as hospitals and nursing hcmes. The school pcpulation shall be evaluated in the special facility segment. Care shculd be taken to < avoid double counting. A. pemenent Residents The number of permanant residents shall be estimated using the U. S. Census data or other reliable data, adjusted as necessary, for growth. - (See planning element J.10.h.). This populatien data shall then be .. l translated into two subgroups: 1) these using aut:s and these A-2 l

l . . without autes. The number of vehicles used by persnent residents is estimated using an appropriate auto c'ecupancy factcr. A range of two to three persons per vehicle wculd probably be reascnable in most cases. An alternative approach is to calculate the number of vehicles based on the number of households that own vehicles assuming one vehicle - per household is used in evacuation. Regardless of 5e approach , used, special attention must be given to those households not having .

                         . automobiles. The pubite transport-dependent population must, therefore, be considered as a special case.

S. Transient Pocuiations Estimates of transient populations shall be developed using Iccal data such as peak tourist volumes and employment data for large factories. Autcmobile occupancy factors would vary for different transient groups. Tourists might have automobile occupancy facters in the range of three to four while a factory would probably have a facter of less than

      -                   1.5 persons per vehicle. This population segment along with f.he pomanent population subgroup using automobiles constitute the general population group for which an evacuation time estimate shall be made.

l l C. Soecial Facility Poculation An estimate for this special population group shall usually be done on an institution-by-institution' basis. The means of transportation are also highly individualized and shall be described. Schocis shall be in:Iuded in this segment. . A-3 , I i

j D. Emereency Plannine Zcne and Sub-areas ^ l The sub-areas for which evacuation time esti=ates are required mus:  ! l enc:mpass the entire area within the plume expcsure EFI. Additionally, evacuation time estimates are also recuired for si=ultanecus evacuation of the entire plume exposure pathway. The areas :: be considered l are as fo11cws:. Radius Area

              ,                   about 2 miles              four 900 sectors about 5 miles             four 900 sectors four 900 sect:rs about 10 miles (EPI) about 10 miles (E?I)      er.,: ire EFI When making estimates for the cuter sect:rs, assume that the it.ner adjacent sect:rs are being. evacuated simultaneously. The beundaries of the sub-areas shall be based upon the same facters as the E?I, namely demography, t pegraphy, land characteristics, ac:ess r utes, and i

local jurisdictions. To the extent practical, the sector. boundaries shall ,nct divide densely populated areas. Where meteerdlegical c nditiens such as dominant wind directions, warrant special consideration, an additional sub-area.may need to be defined and a separate estimate u de for this case. The EFI and its sub-areas shall be identified by mapping en United States Geological Survey (USGS) 7-1/2-minup series qtiadrant maps when available. Special facilities shall also be noted en these maps, to the extent that their locatiens can be - l geographically specified. A-4 i

              "e

• Populations shall be provided by evacuation areas as specified in planning element J.10.b'. For de purmese of datarmining evacuation times it may also be useful to sumari:e pcpulation data by sector and distanca from the plant. Figure 1 is an example of such a sumary.

Separate totals shall be provided for the three population segments. Figure 2 shows the population totals translatad into the number of vehicles estimated to be used in evacuation.

• III. TRAFFIC CAPACITY This section of the report shall show the facilities to be used in evacuatien.

It shall include their le:atien, types, and capacities. A completa review shall be made of the road network. Analyses shall be made of travel times and potential locations for serious congestien in potential corridors. (The analyses may be simplified in extreme rural areas.) The entire road network shall be used but local routes shall be carefully selected and analyzed to minimize their impact on the major routes. should queuing or cross traffic conflicts occur. Care shall be taken to avoid depending only on high-capacity interstata and similar type routes because of limitations of on-camp capacities. Alternatively, special traffic management plans may be developed to effectivety utilize available capacity. Evacuation shall be based on general radial dispersion. A. Evacuation Roadway Network A map showing only those roads used as primary evacuation routes shall be provided. Figure 3 is an example. The map need not show - local access streets necessary to get to the evacuatien routes. Each . segment of the network shall be numbered in some manner for reference. A-5 O 1

The sect:r and quadrant boundaries shall also be indica:ed. Mee planning elements J.10.a and b.).

8. Readwav Seement Cha-setaHsdes A table such as exancle Table 1 shall be provided indicating all the evacuaticn r:ute seg=ents and their characteristics, including ca:acity.

The charactaristics of a seg=en shall be given fer the narrowest see:1cn

                        ,cr bottieneck if the rcacway is nct unifem in the number :f 1 anes throughout the segment.

IV. ANA1.YSIS & E'/AC' ATICN J TIMES As indicated previcusly, evacua:icn ti=e is cz;: sed of sever:1 c:=enents. Each cf these components shall te estimated in creer :s detemine the :::a1 evacuation time. A. Recertinc ~cmat - Table 2 shcws the. desired f: mat for presenting the data and results fer each type of evacuatien. Each of the evacuatica time c:=Recents is presented al:ng with the t::11 evacuatien time. Two c:nditiens - norwl end adverse - are c:nsidered in the analyses. Adverse

                                          ~

conditions would depend en the characteristics of a specific site and could include f1 ceding, snew, .ica, fcg er rain. The adverse weathar frequency used in this analysis .shall be identified and l shall be severe enough to define the senstrivity of the analysis :: , j- the selected events. These c:nditions will affect be:n travel times and capacity. More than one adverse c:ndition may need to be - considered. That is, a northern site with a high sumer ::urist a l 1 l

• A-6 1

I . i

        .,     =

population should consider rain, flooding, or fog as the adverse condition as well as snew with winter populatien esti=atas. The text accomcanying the table shall clearly indicata the critical assumptions which underlie the time estimates; e.g., day versus night, workday versus weekend, peak transient versus off-peak transient, and evacuation on adjacent sectcrs versus nonevacuatien. The relative . significance of alternative assumptions shall be addressed, especially with regard to' time dependent traffic loading of the segments of the evacuation readway network. See modification of the recorting format may be acpeceriate, depending

                 .          on loc'al circ::nstances.       .

8. Methodolocv The method for computing stal evacuation time shall be specified.

Two apprcaches are accaptable. The simplest apprcach is to assume that events are sequential. That is to say, for example, that no one begins to move until all persens are warned and prepared to leave before anyone starts moving. The time is estimatad by simply adding the maximum time for each c:mpenent. This approach tands to over-estimate the evacuation time. .

                        " The second apprcach, which is more ecmolex and will be discussed further, is to c:mbine the distribution functions for the various             l evacuation time caponents. This second approach my result                   -

in reduced time estimates due to more realistic assumptions. The , j added cceplexity of analysis, therefore, may be warrantad at sitas I A-7 O 1

 .... -                       _.-.   , .~    -           --   -       - , .

e - * - .-4,= with long evacuation times. When distribution functicus are used, N estimates are =ade of the likelihced that each stage in an evacuation sequence will be accc=clished within a gi.ven ;eried of time. n:ese conditional prc::ahilities depend upcn ec=cietien of the preceding stage. For example, fer=ulatien of family units er cther evacuatica groups dcas not cemence until netificaticn is received. Sc=e of these distHbutien functicns =ust be based en the judg=ent of the estimators. Cc=putatien o" the joint dis Hbutien functicns of evacuation times are made. Typically, the joint distributien assumes . the form of an S-shape curve as- shewn in Figure 4. The evacuatien ti=e

         ~

function is fairly smcoth for large hcmegeneous peculation segments such as the general pubite. Special facilities, such as hospitals and industHal centers, prcduce less smcoth functicns, or discontinucus ones. The assessment of evacuaticn time may be easily updated should further analyses be ccnducted, assumptions changed, er new plans developed. , 14 ten distMbutiens are used, distributien functions fer notificatien of the vaMous categories of the evacuee pcpulation shall be devele;ad. . The distributien functions fer the action stages after notificatien predict what fraction of the pcpulation will ecmplete a particular action within a given span of time. There are separata distributions for auto-cwning households, schcol' pcpulation, and transit dependent populations. These distribution functions can be ccnstructed in a . veriety of ways, depending greatly on the kinds of data available fer - the actual site being studied. The previously developed ccnditienal ,, A-8

 *-                 w          v -          - - ----e--      e--+       ---     , ,--      ,-w -e r- - -     -e--                       -

l distributions are combined to develcp the time distributions for the various pcpulation segments departing their hcme cr other facility from which they are being evacuated. For example, for the auto-owning pcpula-tion segment, these vehicles are then leaded onto the roadway network l in artier to compute travel times and delays. l t i Regardless of the means by which the time and amount of traffic to , be loaded on the network is determined (i.e., sequentially or using i distribution functions), it is necessary to calculate the on-rcad travel and delay times. In this step, traffic from each sector is ! assigned to available evacuation routes, and, if assigned volumes exceed capacity, delay times must be calculated using a queuing analyses.

j. Traffic q'ueue (backup) locations and estimated delay times should be indicated on the area map.

l An estimate of the time required to evacuate that segment of the ncn-car-owning popula:1cn dependent upcn public transport shall be made, l in a similar manner to that used for the auto-owning pcpulation. ! This estimate shall include consideration of any special services which might be initiated to serve this population subgrcup. Such services might include fixed-route departures from designated assembly points. Estimates for special facilities s' hall be made with censideration - for the means of mobilt:ation of equipment and manpower to aid in evacuation, and the needs for designated employees or staff to delay , A-9 9

            ,,, .,--       --e-. -
                                         , - - - + ~ n,w,< v. , , , , , - _
                                                                             ,-m,- - , <

• e i

their evacuatien in order to shut dcwn industrial facilities. Each s special facility shall be treated on an individual basis. Weather conditiens and time of day conditicns shall be censidered. Consider.ition shall be given to the imcact of peak populattens including behavioral upects. All of the results shall be reported in the femat previcusly indicated. This format summari:as the maximum time for each c::mpenent and for each sector. ,The components may or may not be directly additive based on the methodology used and stated in the report. Where distribution functions are used the percentage of the population as a functicn of time should be reportec (See Figure 4 for an example format). V. OTHER RECUIREMENTS The time required for confimatien of evacuatien shall be estimatad. Candidata methods include visual confirmation by aircraft or ground vehicles and telephone confirmation. Specific racemendations 'for actions that could be taken to significantly

              ,           improve evacuation time shall be given. Where significant costs may be involved, preliminary estimatas of the cost of implementing these reccamendations shall be given.

A review of the draft submittal by the principal organizatiens (Stata  ! and local) involved in emergency response fo'r the sita shall be solicited ' l l and coments resulting frte such review included with the submittal. l A-10 , i l e l

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, :::: : sust.:e twcauzio ancA:c2s; Figure 4: E.xam;:le of Additienal Re::crting For .a: f:r it=e Esti ates of Peculatica Evacuatien '

iihen Fr:bacility Distributi:ns

                   ,                                           Are Used .                                                                                                                                                      ,
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i Table 1: ' Ex ::ple of Teateay Characteristics i I Nu::tarl Seg::syf.; Type: Capacity 3 Ccx1ents" at Lanes

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I I I I l l l l l l l 1 1 I I I NOTES: Yota.1 number of thr ugh lanes in becd 'irtedens. If readvay cross section is not uniform, usa seeden wie least nu::ter of lanes , 27 = Freeways and Ex=rtssways ' U = Urban Streets R = kral Highways .

3 If know , ,

Dndicata any spedal c:nditiens *3at say af"ect rea6vay ca:acirf. A-15 , y, - ,,,.a ,,.-,qwn..,- ,- ,- y ,,w.,,,w,,,, - , ,e,,-,, . , , , , , - - ., ,w,---, ,.,.n,-

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                                                                                                                                              .             T AREAS Perv.anen:

P :ulation Fernanent Pc;. Venicles Transient z Poculation

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Transient Pcc. ,,, Yenicles 4 Evac:atica Cacacity I Per Hour

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7, 5 w y Normal Candt:f,1s [ Permarien: Pec. Res::nse Myerse Qatiticas 7 R E Transient Peo. Res:ense Normal Canditi:ns { S Transient Peo. Res: case 4 Mverse Canditicas

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General Pen. Evac. Time Normal Condt:1cns

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Myerse Candi:1ons Cantirmn ton Time F

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l Scecial Peo. Evac. Time Normal Canditicas 5;ecial Peo. Evac. Time 4 verse Ccnditicas

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Appendix B Description of Sector Boundaries Otefer to Figures 3-17) e i l l l ( 1 l l l l l

   - _. . . ~ .            .      .- .                -.                              -             -

4 . r 4 Sectors A (EPRA's 1-21 (Fiqure 3) D Following the eastern %creline of the Susquehanna River south from t the Londonderry Cor; crate Bounda y to the Royalton Corporate Beundary. Following the Royalton Corporate Boundary northeast to Hillsdale Drive (LR 22077). Sor.theast along this road to Foxanna Drive (T325) and then east along this road to Folker Road (T490) . Then southeast along this road to Geyers Church Road (T696) and then northeast along this road to Brinser Read (T490). Along this road south to Bertser Road (T303), then east to Duodate Road (T305) . South along this road to the Dauphin ' County /Lanster County Line and west along this line to the eastern shoreine l i of the Susquehanna River. Following this line west acros the Susquehanna I River to where it meets the York Coun*v Line, then north along the York County / Dauphin County Line on the wewarn shoreline of the Susquehanna River to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. From this point, return eastward to the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River. 1 r Sectors B (ERPA's 1-3) (Figure 4) l Following the eastern shoreline of the Suaquehanna River south from the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Royalton Corporate Boundary. Following the Royalton Corporate Boundary northeast to Hillsdale Drive (LR22077). Southeast along this road to Foxanna Drive (T325) and then east along this road to Folker Road (T490) . Thea southeast along this road to Geyers Church Road (T696) and then northeast along this road to Brinser Road (T490) . Along this road south to Eartzer Road (T303) T then east to Deodate Road (T305). South along this road to'the Dauphin j County /Lancaster County Line and then west along this Line to the Coney Corporate Boundary. South along this Boundary to Turnpike Road (LR 36001), then west along this road to Black Swamp Road South along this road to Reener Road (T861), and west along this road to River Road (FAS 407), then north on this road to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line on the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Following this Line west across the Susquehanna River to where it meets the York County Line, then north along the Yorr County / Dauphin County Line'on the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. From this point, return eastward to the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River. I Sector C (ERPA's 1,4,5) (Figure 5) Following the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from ' the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line, then following this line west across the Susquehanna River to , where the Line meets the York County Line. - North on the Dauphin County / York County Line to a point directly east of County Road 295_ (LR 6002). Then in a straight line west to County Road 295 (LR 66002) . West along l 4 this road to County Road 382 (FAS 250) . Continuing west along this ' road to Pines Road (LR 66003) . Northeast along Pines Road to Goldsboro Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary north, then east to the Dauphin County / York County Line along the western shoreline of the Susquehanna r River to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary east across the Susquehanna River to the point of origin. I l B l 1

Sector D (ERPA's 1,4,6) (Figure 61 Fonowing the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from I the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line,. Take this Line west across the Susquehanna River to where the Line meets the York County Line then along this line north to the Goldsboro Corporate Boundary. West along Pines Road (LR 66003) to State Route

83. Follow State Route 83 northwest to the Newberry Corporate Boundary, then east along this boundary to the Dauphin County / York Ceunty Corporate Boundary on the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Fonow this boundary southeast to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary, then east across the Susquehanna River to the point of origin.

Sector 3 (ERPA's 1-6) (Fiqure 7) Following the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Royalton Corporate Boundary. Along the Royalton Corporate Boundary northeast to Hinsdale Drive (LR22077) . Southeast along this road to Foxianna Drive (T315) and then east along this road to Folker Road (T490) . Southeast along this road to Geyers Church Road (T696) and then northeast along this road to Brinser Road ' (T490). South on this road to Hertser Road (T303) then east to Deodate Road (T305) . Then south along this road to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line and then west along this boundary to Turnpike Road (LR 36001) . West along this road to Black Swamp Road and then south along this road tc Keener Road (T861). Follow this road west to River Road (FAS 407), thee north on this road to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line on the eastern shoreline of the Susr;uehanna River. Following this Line west across the Susquahanna River to where it meets the York County Line. Take the Dauphin County / York County Line north to a point directly east of County Road 295 (LR 66002) . Follow in a straight line west to County head 295 (LR 66002) and then west along this road to County Road 382 (FAS 250) . West along this road to State Route 83 and then northwest on this route to the Newberry Indefinite Boundary. East along this boundary on the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Follow this boundary southeast to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary, then east across the Susquehanna River to the point of origin. Sector F (ERPA's 1-3, 7-10, 25) (Figure 8)

l. Follow the Londonderry Corporate Boundary eastward from the Swatara Creek to the Conwago Corporate Boundary. Along this boundary south to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Follow this Line east to the Lebanca County /Lancaster County Line east to County Road 241 l

(FAS 280), then south along this road to Trail Road (T328),' and continue south to Quarry Road (T855) . South along this road to Miltongrove Road (LR 36004), then south on this road to Grandview Road (LR 36124) and again south on this road to Orchard Road (LR 36069. Turn east on this road to Mussler Road (LR 36068), then south on this road to County Road 230 (FAS 129) and again east to the East Donegal Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary south to Barrisburg Ave. (LR 36117) . Turn west along this road to the Elizabethtown Corporate Boundary and follew this boundary counterclockwise until it intersects with Turnpike Road (LR 36001). Proceed west along this road to Black Swamp Road and then turn l l B-2  ; 1 .

       . . . .         ~     -                 .-      ~         -.
                                                                                                ~

q . south along this road to Keener Road (T861). Continue along this. read ] ' west to River Road (FAS 407), then north on this road to the tauphis County /Lancaster County Line on the eastern shoreline of the Susquetrata

River. Following this Line west across the Susquehanna River to where it meets the Yolk County Line. Take the York County / Dauphin County Line north along the vestern shoreline of the Susquehanaa River to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary, then return eastward to the eastern  ;

shoreline of the Sasqueheuta River and proceed west along the Middletown Corporate Boundary. Follow north along the Middletown Corporate Mundary to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary and continue north along this boundary to the point of origin. Sector G (ERPA's 1-3, 10-15) (Ficare 9) Following the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Royalton Corporate Bcundary. Proceed along the Royalton Corporate Boundary northeast to Hillside Drive (LR 22077) . Turn southeast along this road to Foxianna Drive (T315) and then east along this road to Folker Road (T490) . Again proceed i southeast along this road to Geyers Church Road (T696) and then northeast along this road to Brinser Road (T490) . Continue along this road south to Hertzer Re.sd (T303), and the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Turn east aloag this Lips to Harrisburg Pike (FAS 129) and then east along this road to the Elizabethtown Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary counterclockwise to Bain Bridge Road (County Road 241) (FAS 280), then southwest along this road to Bossier Road (LR 36072), then - southeast along this road to Oak Road south to the Coney Corporate Boundary. j Proceed southwest along this boundary to the Lancaster County / York County Line on the western shore of the Susquehanna River. Follow the mainland shoreline to a point directly east of Maple Street (LR 66153), travel directly west to Maple Street (LR 66153) and follow this route southwest to the Mount Wolf Corporate Boundary. Follow the boundary counterclock-wise to the Manchester Corporte Boundary, continue along the boundary counterclockwise to Manchester St. (T951), then west along this route to Conewago Ave. (T940) . Continue in a westerly direction along this route to Locust Point Road (LR 66038). Follow this route northwest to the East Manchester Corporate Boundary, then north along this boundary L to the Connewago Corporate Boundary and then west along this boundary L to State Route 83. Proceed along this road northwest to York Haven Boad (County Road 382) (FAS 250) , then turn east along this road to County Road 295 (LR66002) and after this road terminates, follow in a straight line to the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Continue along the shoreline to the Lordonderry (~orporate Boundary and i then return eastward to the eastern shoreline cf the Susquehanna River ! to the point of origin. Sector E (ERPA's 1, 4-6, 14-17) (Figure 10)

                        -Follow the eastern shoreline of the Ec,quehanna River south from the t-
'                        Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Then follow this line west across the Susauehanna River to where the line meets the York County Line. Proceed along this line southeast to the York Haven Corporate Boundary, then ~ follow this boundary counter-       -

clockwise to the Lancaster County / York County Line and continue on this B-3

  - -.           . c . u . _. ._ . - - - . _ _ _   _..-_.._.__..._._.__w._._.._..___.-

         .     }

1 1 line southeast until it meets the western mainland aberaline of the susquehanna River. Follow the shoreline acrthwest to a point directly east of Maples Street (LR 66153) . Travel directly west to Maple Street (LR 66153) and follow this route southwest to the Mount Wolf Corporate Boundary. Fou ow the boundary counterclockwise to the Manchester Corpo-l rate Boundary. Continta along this boundary counterclockwise to Manchester , Street (T951), then procesd west along this route to Conewago Avenue (T940) and west along this route to Locust Point Road (LR 66038) . Take this route northwest to the East Manchester Corporate Boundary, then l srnth along this boundary to Lewisberry Road (LR 66003) and then go l northwest along this :oad to Conewago CJrporate Boundary. Fonow the i boundary clockwise to the Newberry CorporJte Boundary and then foHow ' this bonnAmry clockwise to the Lewisberry Cr.,Jporate Boundary. Continue along this boundary counterclockwise until it meets the Newberry Corporate l Boundary. Then, fonow this boundary to the Dauphin County / York County Line on the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River and fonow the shoreline to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. Take this boundary across the Susquehanna River to the eastern shoreline and the point of origin. . Sector I (ERPA's 1, 4, 6-9, 18-20) (Figure 11) Follow the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from the Royalton Corporate Boundary to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Then F M d on this line west across the Susquehanna River to where the line meets the Y9rk County Line. Follow this line north to the Goldsboro Corporate Bounnry, and then west along Pines Road (LR 66003), to State Route 83. Follow State Route 83 northwest to the Newberry Corporate Boundary, then east alcog the boundary to Susquehanna Trail (T686) and then northwest along this road to Old York Road (LR 66215) . Take this road north to the Pennsylvania Turnpike (State Road 76), then s follow this route east to County Road 283 and then east on this road to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary cla kwise, to the Conewago Corporate Boundary and then continue on this bounJary clockwise south to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County.Line. Take this line west to Deodate Road (T305), then proceed north on this road to Eartser Road (T303) and then turn west to Brinser Road (T490) . Fonow i this road north to Geyers Chruch Road (T696), then proceed southwest on this road to Falker Road (T490) and then turn northwest on this road to Foxianna Drive (T315) . Go west on this road to Hillside Drive (LR 22077), then take this road northwest to the Royalton Corporate Boundary. Fonow this boundary clockwise to the point of origin. Sector J (ERFA's 1-20) (Figure 12) Follow the Londonderry Corporate Boundary eastward from Swatara Creek , to the Conewego Corporate Boundary. -Proceed along this boundary south to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Follow this line east to County Road 241 (FAS 280), then turn south along this road to Trail Road (T328) and continue south along this road to Quarry Road (T855) . Acain proceed south along this road to Miltongrove Road (LR 36004), remain on this road south to Grandview Road (LR 36124) and then continue south on this road to Orchard Road (LR 36069) . Turn east on County Ecad 230 (FAS 129) and then continue east to the East Donegal Corporate B-4

   - . _ - - - . - -                                          -. ..       . = _                        __ .

Q - d Boundary. Turn south along this boundary to Harrisburg Avenue (LR 36117) and proceed west along this road to the Elizabethtown Corporate Boundary. i Follow this boundary counterclockwise until it intersects Bainbridge Road (County Road 241) (FAS 280), then fonow along this road southwest to Bossler Road (LR 36072), turn southeast along this road to Oak Road and then go south on this road to the conoy Corporate Doundary. Proceed southwest along this boundary to the Lancaster County / York County Line on the westerr. shore of the Susquehanna River. Follow the boundary I counterclockwise to the Manchester Corporate Boundary. Then follow this boundary counterclockwise to Manchester Street (T951), and turn west along this route to Loe"It Point Road (LR 66038) . Take this route

                                                                    .                                               I j                        northwest to the Manchestre Corprate Boundary and follow the boundary clockwise to the Newberry Corporate Boundary. Continue on this boundary east to the Susquehanna Trail (T686) and then turn northwest along this road to Old York Road (LR 66215) . Fv'.i n this road north to the Pennsylvania
                       '?urnpike (State Route 76), then proced east on this road to County Road 283 and continue east on this road to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary which was the point of origin.

Sector K (ERPA's 1-10, 21-26) (Figure 13) t Follow the South Hanover Corporate Boundary clockwise from its intersec-tion with the Lower Paxton/ West Hanover Corporate Boundaries to the East Banover Corporate Boundary. Then follow this boundary clockwise to the Lebanon County / Dauphin County Line. Proceed along this line south to Stouffers Road (T335), turn northeast on this road to ville Road (LR 38001), go south on this road to Upper Lawn Road (County Road 341) (T331) and then turn east on this road to Lawn Road (LR 38001) . Follow this road south to the Lebanon County /Lancaster County Line, take this line west to County Road 241 (FAS 280), then turn south along l this road to Trail Road (T328) and again south along this road to Quarry j Road (T855) . Continue south along this road to Miltongrove Road (LR ( 36004), and again on this road south to County Road 230 (FAS129) . Turn east to the East Donegal Corporate Boundary., Follow this boundary south j to Barrisburg Avenue (LR 36117) .' Proceed west ,along this road to the l Elisabethtown Corporate Boundary and follow this boundary clockwise i to Turnpike Road (LR 36001). Then turn west along this road to Black Swamp Road and go south along this road to Keener Road (T861) . Take this road west to River Road (FAS 407), then follow this road to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line on the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Following this line west across the Susquehanna

                     - River to where it meets the York County Line. Take the York County / Dauphin l                      County Line north along the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary, tLan retura eastward to the eastern sboreline of the Susquehanna River and turn wr.st along the Middletown Corporate Boundary. Proceed north along the Middletown Corporate Boundary l                      to the Lower Swatara Corporate Boundary and then continue north along                   '

l this boundary to the Lower Pau Corporata Boundary. Follow this boundary north to the point of origin. Sector L (ERFA's 1-3, 10-15, 25-32) (Fiqure 14) Following the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from the Londonderry Corporate Boundary to the Royalton Corporate Boundary, l l B-5

           , ,    ?

A Take the Royalton Corporate Boundary northeast to Hillside Drive (LR 22077) then turn southeast along this road to Foxianna Drive (T315) ' and then proceed east along this road to Folker Road (T490) . Follow this road Acutheast to Geyers Chruch Road (T696) and then turn northeast along this road to Brinser Road (T490) . Proceed along this road south to Bertzer Road (T303), then go east to Deodate Road (T305) . Turn south along this road to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line, then follow i this line east to the Lebanon county /Lancaster County Line. Continue on this line east to county Road 241 (FAS 280), then turn south on this road to Trail Road (T328) and then remain south on this road to Quarry Road (T855) . Continue south along this road to Miltongrove Road (LR 36004), then go south on this road to Orchard Road (LR 36069) . Proceed i east on this road to Mussler Road (LR 36068), then again turn south on this road to County Road 230 (FAS 129) ana then return east to the East Donegal Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary South to Donegal Springs Road (LR 36004), then turn west on this road to Church Road (T316) and then move south on this road to Kraybill Road (TS27) . Continue along this road to Colebrook Road (LR 36004), proceed south on this road to Rock Point Road (T637) and then turn west on this road to Fuhrsan Road. Take this road south to Maytown Road (County Road 743) (LR 36070) , then south on this road to a point where the road terminates near the Susquehanna River's eastern shoreline. Take in a straight line south across the River to a point directly opposite Accomac Road (LR 66089) . Follow this road south to Dark Hollow Road (T776), continue south on i this road to Rauser School Road (LR 66018) and then turn west on this

!                        road to Furnace Road (LR 66152) . Proceed west on this road to Millstone Road, turn south on this road to Spring Road (T783) and then return west on this road to Druck Valley Road (LR 66019) . Follow this road j                        west to Mount Zica Road (LR 66020), turn north on this road to Druck Street (LR 66021), go southwest on this road to Mudis Hill Road (LR l                         66021) and then turn west along this road to Woodland View Drive (LR

! 66086). Proceed southwest along this road to N. George St. (County Road 181) (FAS250) to Lightner Road, turn west on this road to the SusqueLa Trail (LR 66003) and then. turn south along this road to State Road 30. Follow this road west to the C3 ty of York Corponte Boundary. Proceed on this boundary northwest to die Manchester Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary clockwise to the East Manchester Corporate Boundary, turn north along this bondary to the Conewago Corporate Bo mdary and then wat along this Mundary to State Route 83. Follow this road northwest to York He**: 7.oad (County Road 382) (FAS250), turn east on this road j t to County Road 295 (LR 66002) and then at the termination of this road follow a straight line to the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River. Follow the shoreline to the Londonderry Corporate Boundary and then return eastward to the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River to

the point of origin.

Sector M (ERPA's 1, 4-6, 14-17, 30, 32-37) (Fieure 15) ' Follow the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River south from the Londonderry Corporate W 43 to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Proceed along this line west across the Susquehanna River to where this Line meets the York County Line. Follow this Line southeast to the York Haven Corporate Boundary, then follow this boundary munter-clockwise te the Lancaster County / York County Line and then proceed B-6 1

           -.    .-r-    ,       ,,,r    w,,m         ..,,...,.e,  - . - , . - , . , _ _ . . . , , . , _ , . . , . , . - . . . . , . - . . . , - , , _ _ , _.- - . _ - -   - - - .

i on this Line southeast to the East Manchester Corporate Boundary. Take N this boundary clockwise to Mundis Hill Road (LR 66021) and then turn  ! west along this road to Woodland View Drive (LR 66086) . Proceed southwest along this road to N. Gecrge St. (County Med 181) FAS250) to Lightner Road, turn west along this road to the Susqudanna Trail (LR 66003) and then turn south along this road to State Ro i 30. Fonow this road wst to the City of York Corporate , Boundary. Fol a this boundary north-west to the Manchester Corporate Boundary. Proceed along this boundary counter-clockwise to Nursery Road (T823), turn west on this road to Old Carlisle Road (County Road 74) . Go west on this road to Rosstown Road (County Road 177) (LR 66006), turn northeast on this road to Fortney Road (T912), and proceed northwest on this road to Fount Airy Rd. (LR 66032). Go north along 31s road to the Warrington Corporate Boundary, continue north along this boundary to the Managhan Corporate Boundary and then proceed noith along this boundary to the York County /Cumberland County Line. Take this Line east to Lewisberry Road (County Road H4) (FAS 416), continue east on this road to Navoo Road (LR 66103) and then turn southeast on this road to House Lane (T927) . Take this road east to Ridge Road (T957) and continue east on this road to the Newberry Corporate Boundary. FoHow this boundary tio the Dauphin County / York County Line on the western shoreline of the Susquehanna River and then follow the shoreline tc the Londonderry Corporate Boundary. Fonow this boundary across the Susquehanna River to the eastern shoreline and the point of origin. Sector N (ERFAs 1, 4, 6-9, 18-22, 37-47) (Figure 16) I Follow the South Haven Corporate Boundary clockwise from its intersection ' with the Lower Paxton/ West Hanover Corporate Boundaries to the East Ranover Corporate Boundary. Then fo n ow this boundary clockwise to I the Lahanart County / Dauphin County Line. Proceed along this line south < l to Conewago Corporate Boundary and then follow this boundary counterclock-I wise to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line. Fo now this Line j west to Deodate Road (T305), then north on this road to Hertzer Road l (T303) and then turn west to Brinser Road (T490) . Follow this road north to Geyers Church Road (T696), turn southwest on this road to Folker Road (T490) and then turn northwest on this road to Foxianna Drive (T315) . Proceed west on this road to Hillside Drive (LR 22077), then turn north-l'

• west on this road to the Royalton Corporate Boundary and follow this boundary clockwise to the eastern shoreline of the Susquehanna River.

Follow this shoreline south to the Dauphin County /Lancaster County Line, then follow this Line west across the Susquehanna River to where the Line meets the York County Line. Take this Line north to the Goldsboro Corporate Boundary, go along this boundary clockwise to Pines Road (LR

      '66003) to State Route 83 and then follow this road northwest to the Newberry Corporate Boundary. Proceed west along this boundary to Siddensburg Road (LR 66001) and then turn north on this road to the Managhan Corporate                     *  '

3oundary. Fonow this boundary in a northern direction to the York County /Cumberland County Line, then continue along this Line. north to its intersection with Green Lane Drive (T957) and then turn west en i

     . this road to Cedar Cliff Road. Follow this road east to Simpson Ferry l       Road (LR 21022), continue east on this road to State Route 83 and turn l       north cn this road to New Ctaberland Corporate Boundary. Follow this

! boundary east to the Dauphin County /Cumberland County Line. Take this B-7 l _ , _ _ . ~ _ _ _ . - - - _ _ _ . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _

                             ?

1 Line north to the Interstate Route 83 bridge, cross this bridge, east to the Conrail tracks and then prc wed north along these tracks to State 4 Street (State Route 22) . Follow this street east to the Harrisburg City Lir.e, follow counterclockwise along this Line to Union Deposit Road (LR 22008) and then proceed east on this road to the Lower Paxton Corporate Boundary. Follow north on this boundary to Locust Street , l (LR 22071), turn east on this road to Nyes Road (LR 22018) and then l proceed north on this road to Red Top Road (T407) . Go east on this road to the South Ranover Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary north to the point of origin. Sector O (ERPA's 1-47) (Figure 17) Follow the South Hanover Corporate Boundary clockwise fros its intersec- ' tion with the Lower Paxton/ West Hanover Corporate Boundariss to the East Ranover Corporate m.= e h y. Then follow this boundary clockwise to the Lebanon County / Dauphin County Line. Proceed along this Line south to Stouffers Road (T335), turn northeast on this road to ville Road (LR 38035) and then go south on this road to Chestnut Kreider . Road I (T333). Follow this road south to Lawn Road (LR 38001), continue south on this road to Upper Lawn Road (County Road 341) (T331) and then turn east on this road to Lawn Road (LR 38001) . Follow this road south to the Lebanon County /Lancaster County Line, proceed along this line west to County Road 241 (FA5280), turn south again along this road to Trail Road (T328) and then continue south along this road to Quarry Road (T855) . n roceed south along this road to Miltongrove Road (LR 36004), continue south on this road to Grandview Road (LR 36124) and then follow this road south to Orchard Road (LR 36069) . Turn east on this road to Mussler Road (LR 36068), return south on this road to County Road 230 (FAS129) and then turn east to the East Donegal Corporate Boundary. Follow this Boundar/ south to Donegal Springs Road (LR 36002), turn west on this i road ' > Church Road (T316) and then proceed south on this road to Kraybi!.1 Road .T827). Take this road to Colebrook Road (LR 36004), turn socit on t?.is road to Rock Point Road (T673) and go west on this road to Fuhrman l Road. Proceed south on this road to Maytown Road (County Road 743) ' (LR 36070), and continue south on this road to a point where the road , terminates near the Susquehanna River's eastern shoreline. Follow a straight line across the river to a point directly opposite Arar-ar* Road (LR 66089) . Follow this road south to Dark Hollow Road (T776), co'ntinue south on this road to Bauser School Road (LR 66018) and then turn west on this road to Furnace Road (LR 661S2). Proceed west on this road to Millstone Road, turn south on this road to Spring Road (T783) and then go west again on this road to Druck Valley Road (LR 66019). Continue west on this road to Mount Zion Road (LR 66020) , turn north on t his road to Druck Street '(LR 66021), turn southwest on this road to Mundis Hill Road (LR 66021) and then proceed once more west along this road to Woudland View Drive (LR 66086) . Turn southwest along - this road to N. George St. (County Road 181) (FA5250) to Lightner Road,

                               . continue west along this road to the Susquehanna Trail (LR 66003) and then turn south along this road to State Route 30.                                                 Follow this road west to the City of York Corporate Boundary. Take this boundary northwest to the Naar hoster Corporate Boundary. Follow this borndary clockwise
 '~

to the Dover Corporate Boundary. Proceed this boundary counterclockwise to Nursery Road (T823), turn west on this road to Old Carlisle Road B-8

    -   _m   .___ _ .____ __                   _ . _ . . ~ . . . ~ . . _ . . . . ~ , . . . . ,      .m_    . . , . . _ _ . . . . . , . . - , , . -  .m .

1 l (T845) and go west along this road to Carlisle Road (County Road 74) . Continto west on this road to Rosstown Road (County Road 177) (LR 66006), turn nocthwest on this road to Fortney Road (T912) and then continue norchwest on this road to Mount Airy Road (LR 66032). Take this road north to the Warrington Corporate Boundary. Proceed north along this boundary to the Monaghan Corporate Boundary mi then continue north along this boundary to the York County /CumNrland County Line. Follow this Line north to Cedar Cliff Road. Continue along this road east

   - to Simpson Ferry Road (LR 21022), then east on this road to State Road 83 and north on this road to New Cumberland Corporate Boundary. Follow this boundary east to the Dauphin County /Cumberland County Line. Take         l this Line north to the Interstate Route 83 bridge, then cross this bridge,     !

east to the Conrail tracks and then north on these tracks to State Street (State Route 22) . Proceed on this street east to the Harrisburg City Line, then co counterclockwise along this Line to Union Deposit Road (LR 22008) and follow on this road east to the Lower Paxton Corporate Boundary. Go north on this Boundary to Locust Street (LR 22071), and then turn east on this road to Nyes Road (T407) . Follow on this road east to South Hanover Corporate Boundary and go north along this boundary to the point of origin. A description of the primary evacuation routes from each of the Emergency Response Planning Areas (ERPA's) is presented in Appendix C. The descrip-tions depict the total path from each ERPA to the 10 mile Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ) . Time estimates for subradii (2 and 5 mile) are based on the use of portions of this total path to the defined border of the respective radius. / e e l l t e e B-9

APPENDIX C ME"Jt0IDIDGT TO ESTIMATE ICADWAY TRAVEL TII2S DURING EVACUATION

1. INTRODUCTION On November 29, 1979, the United States Nuclear Regulatory Comunission (NBC) requested all nuclear power reactor licentees to submit estimates of the time required to evacuate the population within a 10-mile radius of nuclear facilities. The estimates were to be made primarily for' the purpose of providing those officials who would make evacuation decisions in an emergency situation with knocledge of the time required to complete an evacuation of one segment or all of the population.

Subsequent to this request for evacuation time estimates, a document entitled Criteria for Preparation and L# valuation of Radioloqical Emergency Re.wense Plans and Precaredness in Support of Nuclear Power Plants (NUREG-0654/ FEMA-REP-1) was published in the Federal Register in November of 1980 by a joint Federal Emergency Management Agency / Nuclear Regulatory Commission Steering Committee. This document, the purpose of which" is to provide a basis for NRC licensees, State, and local governments to develop radiological emergency plans and improve emergency propag dness, requires, among other things, an evacuation time assessment study for the 10-mile plume exposure pathway Emergency Planning Zone (EPE). The evacuation time assessment as

• described in the document consists of estimates of notification time, preparation time, roadway travel and delay time, and confirmation time.

l In response to the initial NRC request in November 1979 and to NOREC-0654/ FEMA-REP-1, Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade and Douglas . Inc. developed a fixed route traffic assignment model which loads the no. work and computes the route travel and delay times. It is a static model which assumes instantaneous loading of the evacuation network and concurrent . vehicular demand on each roadway segments. Section 2 of this report present the methodology, assumptions and traffic assignment algorithm structure used in an toergency evacuation time estimate simulation model. In addition, is an analysis of this static model and DYNEV, a dynamic model developed by IID Associates with which it was compared specifically in verifying the evacuation time estimater, for the Indian Point Nuclear Generating Station is provided in Section 3. C-1 i

4

2. METioDC'.,0cv i A. Static Traffic Assie unent Procass

1. Inputs The static traffic assignment process develeped to estimate roadway travel and delay times requires three basic types of input. The first type relates te the characteristics of the evacuation roadway network, which is c a prised of one-directional links, each having its own attributes. The links are described in terms of their capability to accommodate evacuating traffic (evacuation capacity), lenoth, and free-flow speed (speed limit) .

i The second type of input required for this assignment process is zonal vehicle trip generation data. The EPS is disaggregated into traffic zones, and the numbers of trips by each vehicle type (e.g. , autos, buses, ambulances) are estimated in terms of passenger car equivalents (PCE's) for each traffic zona. Buses are weightad as the equivalent of two passenger cars in this analysis. In addition, a terminal time for all trip types for each traffic zoa.e are input. The terLinal time for autos represents the time to drive fr.on homes within the traffic zone via feeder streets to the first link of

                         'che primary evacuation route. For buses and sp*:ial vehicles, terminal tino I

represents the total time for a special vehicle to travel from the point of origin (staging area, garages etc.) to the pick-up location; loading timer circulation time (multiple pick-ups); and the time to travel to the first link on a evacuation path. i The third input type used in the static assignment process is evacuation

                                            ~

path data. Evacuation routes are designated fixed paths extending from the traffic zones to the EP3 boundary via specific roadways. Separate paths are developed for each trip type (auto, bus, ambulance) and are expressed

                   ,    in terms of connecting link numbers. Destinations (i.e., reception centers) are defined for each traffic zone and input for the purpose of determining i

the number of vehicles and passengers expected at each destination. Average ' vehicle occupancies are used to estimate the number of passengers arriving in vehicles at the destination.

2. Str.ic Assignment Algorithm A computer program was written to process the above input data and compute roadwat evacuation times for each trip type by traffic zone.

Initially, the program calculates the total vehicular demand volume (in PCE's) on each link in the network by aggregating the vehicle trips generated by each traffic zone along the evacuation path. Implicit in this assignment is the assumption that all vehicles from all zones using a given evacuation . route were on each link along the designated route concurrently. The assignment process is thus considered " static", because the spatial movement of vehicles across the network as a function of time is not explicitly recognized. For each link in the network, three additional computations are performed. First, the free-flow travel time is calculated as the quotient of the link length and the free-flow speed. Second, the total vehicular demand volume is divided by the bourly evacuation capacity of the link to obtain the volume /capacitf C-2 1

 - _ . . . . - - .              . , . . .     . _ _ _       _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ . ~ . . _ _ _          .. . - . -        .,      -e -

(v/C) relationship for the link. Finally, the evacuation speed or delay time is computed for each link, depending on whether the v/C ratio was greater or less than 1.0. The formula contained in the Federal Highway Administration August 1973 Traffic Assignment Manual was adopted and modified as follows i i

                 .or use in ccurputing the speed at which evacuees will travel.

Evacuation Speed a Free-Flow Soeti 0.25 +1

                                                                    . capacity          ,

Following these calculations, the model computes the roadway travel time for each traffic zone's evacuation route (or routes since some buses and special vehicles had separate routes) by scanning the links comprising the evacuation route to determine the maximum v/C ratio along the route. When the hourly evacuation capacity exceeds the total demand volume ' (V/C ratio less than 1.0) for all links along the route, the link evacuation speeds are used to compute link travel time, and the travel times for each link along the path are sunned to obtain the zone-to-EP::-boundary roadway travel time for the route. When the traffic volume exceeds the bourly evacuation capacity (7/C i greater than 1.0) along any link of a traffic zone's evacuation route, the l roadway travel time is represented by the maximum link delay time incurred l along the route. Link delay time is calculated as the maximum volume / capacity ratio in hours along the route. The link with the maximum ratio is identified as the bottleneck link for the evacuation route for use in future planning. other links along the route where the volume / capacity ratio exceeded 1.0 are also identified for planning purposes. The roadway travel cime as determined above is added to the terminal time and the free-flow travel timo for each zone trip type to determine the i total roadway evacuation time. ':he total roadway evacuation time resulting t frem this analysis represents the time for the last vehicle in the zone to clear the EP3.

3. Outputs The maputer program developed for the static assignment process provides five basic reports which are used in the evacuation p1.anning process. The reports are described belows

a. Summary of link statistics; link number, description, length, free-flow speed and time, vehicular demand, evacuation capacity, and demand / capacity ratio.

b. Surmary of traffic zono statistics numbe: of trips, evacuation toute, destination, terminal time, free-flow travel time, roadway travel time, total evacuation time, and bottleneck link, for each trip type, sorted in ascending order by total evacuation time.

I

c. Summary of r.11 bottleneck links and the traffic zones which use thm.

[ C-3 l l

                                              - - . ..- . ., ~ _ - - . . - - _ - - . .                    -- . _ . .-.

q . 1

d. Summary of all destinations and the number of vehicles (by type) '

and passengers assigned to each.

e. Distribution of the percent of the total population evacuated as a function of time.

B. Evacuation Capacity A critical element in determining the amount of time needed to evacuate any given area is the capacity of the existing roadways to acchate the anticipated vehicular volumes. Once the capacity calculations have been developed, the roadway travel time and congestion / delay time occuring during e,acuation can be computed. The procedure used to determine the evacuation area roadway capacities is based on the Federal Highway Administration's 1965 Hichway Cacacity Manual and the Traffic Engineering Series capacity Analvsis Procedure for Sionalized Intersections. Definitions of specific technical terminology used throughout the following paragraphs are based on the Richway Canacity Manual. The roads and highway in the evacuation area were categorized into four groups: two lane, two-way highways twcMray urban street twcmray urban streets with parking four lane, two-way divided highway. For each of these groupings, base capacities at Level of Service E and Level of Service D are calculated. Level of service E capacities are used in the adverse weather scenario. The base capacity is determined by .:!ng factors which take into account the ispect on traffic operation caused by existing roadway width, shoulder area or lateral clearance. Other standard

    - capacity inhibiting factors (such as passing sight distances, percent trucks and type of terrain) are considerably less significant for the emergency evacuation condition and, therefore, are not considered. All applicable factors were abstracted from the Highway Capacity Manual using the tables cited in the following paragraphs or from the charts contained in capacity Analysis Procedure for Signized Intersections.

1. Two Lane, Two-Way Roadways i

Table 10.7 of the Hichway Capacity Manual showt. the maximum service volume under ideal conditions for passenger cars traveling in both directions on a two lane highway as 2000 vehicles per hour (vph). This value, which represents the base capacity as Level of Service E for two lane, two-way roadways, is modified to represent a one lane outbound flow as described ~ ' below. The base capacity for this type of roadway at Level of Service E is further reduced by a factor of 0.58 to determine base capacity at Level of Service D. This factor, which is also shown in Table 10.7, represents a { restricted average highway speed of 40 miles per hour with no restraint created i by limited passing sight distance. i C-4 i _ _ - _ ____

4 It is anticipated that during an emergency evacuation, the traffic demand would approximate 90 percent in the direction of outbound movements. In the interest of providing a censervative yet realistic capacity estimate, 80 percent of capacity is assigned to the outbound direction. Thus, frca the above censiderations, the base capacities at Levels of Service (LCS) D and E can be computed as fc Uows: LCS Base capacity = 2000 X 0.58 X 0.80 - 928 vph. LoSD Base capacity = 2000 X 1.00 X 0.80 = '.600 vpb. E Each segment of the evacuation roadway network has individual characteristics which further reduce its ability to meet the demand voi =:. From Table 10.8 of the Highway Capacity Manual, factors associated with the lane widths and side clearances (referred to as a "W* factor) are applied to the base capacities to derive the segment's actual capacity. For example, fer a segment with two twelve-foot-w;de travel lanes and no shor-'.ders, the base 928 capacity is multiplied by a factor of W = 0.88 to produce a capacity for the segment of 817 vehicles per hour at Level of Service D. Thus, free the above derivation, the Level D and E capacities for evacuation traffic are computed as shown below where W is the factor frem Table 10.8. Two Lane, Two-Way Roadwavs LOS D # "'

• LCSE Capacity = 1600 x W.

2. Two Way Street with Parking capacity and service volume for an urbanized area are determined by other factors, such as the presence or absence or parking, pr,rcent traffic turning, and , allowable green time at a signalized intersection. To evaluate the effects of such factc s en capacii:y, the Lei 2ch Nomographs fras the Traffic Engineering Series - Caparity Analysis Procedure for Signlized Intersections are used.

3. Four Lane Two-Way Highway, Divided Highway Table 9.1 and 9.2 in the Highway Cacacity Manual are used for this category l of road segment. The derivation of Level of Service D capacity assumes that, for emergency evacuation conditions, 0.95 was an appropriate peak hour factor, since the demand would be high and virtually constant during the evacuation period. Thus, as per Table 9.1, 4000 Capacity at LCSE X 0.90 (reduction for speed impediment) F '. 95 (PHF) = 3420 or Capacity D. W factors from

• Table 9.2 which adjust for lane and shoulder widths when applied to Capacity D would yield the segment capacity at Level of Service D. Therefore, the cal >:ulated capacities for four lane divided highway segments are:

Four Lane Divided Highway LOS *

• LCSD Capacity = 4000 X W D  !

C-5

1

3. Comparative Analysis of a Static and a Dynamic Model Results -Indian Point Nuclear Generating Station, New York The benchmark analysis consisted of a series of static and dynamic assignmenta to obtain comparable estimates of roadway travel time to evacuate residents of the Indian Point EP3. Common to all of the traffic assignments, regardless t of the model, were the number of trips generated by each rene and the test i

evacuationofnetwork. quadrants the Indian The test EP3. Point evacuation network consisted of the two southern Separate benctsaark analyses and evaluations were made for normal and poor weather conditions. The basic difference between these analyses was the roadway carrying capability (evacuation capacity) . Level of Service E roadway capacity represented evacuation under normal weather conditions, whereas capacity at Level of Service D represented poor weather evacuation conditions. For poor weather conditions, free-flow speed reductions on the order of 20 percent were put into effect. The static traffic assignment model was executed once for the entire test evacuation network (each quadrant to the west and east of the Hudson River) to obtain the evacuation roadway travel time estimates for all routes for a given weather condition. Hence, two runs were required to obtain the evacuation time estimates for the test network. The dynamic traffic assignment model was analyzed separately for each quadrant and each weather condition. Three dynamic traffic assignments were made, which resulted in normal weather evacuation roadway travel time estimates for routes on both sides of the Hudson River, and poor weather evacuation roadway travel time estimates for routes west of the Hudson River. 3.1 Static Assignment Results_ For each of the evacuation routes included in the test evacuation network, the roadway travel times to clear the EPZ resulting from the static assignment, as shown in Table 1, ranged from 50 minutes to 4 hours 25 minutes under normal weather conditions (Level of Service I evacuation capacities), and from 50 minutes to 6 hours 25 minutes under poor weather conditions (Level of Service D evacuation capacities). Sixteen critical bottleneck links were identified as an outpet of the static assignment model runs under both weather conditions. i I 1 C-6

3.2 Dvnamic Assigrment Results Table 1 also shows the results cbtained f:cm the dyna: sic traffic assign =ent Evacuation roadway travel times based en the output traffic statistics of the : nodal are :cunded up to the nearest 15 =inutes. ? us, when a route exhibited zero volume within a given 15-minute point in time, it actually was cleared of traffic at scene point during the preceeding 15-minute ti=e interval. Utilizing evacuation capacities calculated for ncrsal weather conditiets, roadway travel times ranged f ce 2 hours 15 minutes to 4 hours 45 =inutes for all routes east and west of the Hudson River. *4est of the river, evacuation capacities calculated for poor weather conditions resulted in roadway t:svel time estimates ranging between 3 hours and 7 hours 30 minutes. 3.3 Comparisen of Results For the benchmark a:mlysis and evaluation of the test network, the evacuation roadway travel times obtained f:cun the static assignsent medel were compared to the dynamic assignment model travel times to assess differences in the results of the two wai t and verify results of the static :nodel. As shown in Table 1, in all cases, the static assigrment evacuation reaches 100 percent completion either before or at the sra time as the dynamic ass!gns:ent evacuation. l I l l l t 1 l l l C-7

                 ._~

1 m l TABLE 1 COMPARSION CF STATIO AND DINAMIC ASSIGNME!rf TRAVEL TDE RESCLTS l Travel Ti:ne for Last vehicle to Clear TP. l l Evacuation Route Level of Service E Level of Service D Hr: Min Hr: Min Static Dynamic Static Dynamic East of River Route 6 3:50 4:45 Route 120 0:50 2:30 Route 9A i:20 3:30 Taconic Parkway 2:05 3:15 Amawalk Road 2:50 .3:30 West of River Palisades Parkway 3:35 4:00 5:50 6:30 Route 9W 4:25 4:45 6:25 7:30 Route 303 2:00 3:00 2:40 3:15 Route 45 2:20 3:00 3:40 3:45 Little Tor Road 3:35 4:00 5:45 6:15 Route 304 2:30 3:00 4:00 4:00

   *A dynamic analysis at Level of Service D was not perfor:ned east of the Hudson River C-8

   .         4 l

Table 2 indicates that a 93 percent correlation between the two assignment model is possible on an aggregate basis for the roadway network east of the , Hudson River. That is, in the time that the static assignment esti:NLted complete evacuation of vehicles beycnd the D3, the dynamic assignment estimated 93 percent of the vehicles would have cleared the ZPZ. On a route by route basis, this correlation ranged between 100 percent for the :nost heavily assigned test route, and 33 percent for a :ninor test route, which was assigned only 5 vehicles during the evacuation with the second lowest correlation, Amawalk Road, being 89 percent. On the west side of the Hudson River, where both nor:nal and poor weathee conditions were analyzed by both models, the correlations of the overall results between the two model were 98 percent and 95 percent, respectively. Under normal weather conditions, there was little disparity among all six routes, with the results varying between 97 percent (Palisades Parkway) and 99 percent (Route 9W, Little Tor Road, and Route 304) . Poor weather conditions resulted in route correlations ranging between 87 percent for Route 9W and 100 percent for Routes 45 and 304. Overall, for the entire test evacuation network, comparison of the static and dynamic assignment results under normal weather conditions indicated a 96 percent correlation. Generally, when the static model estimated the network would be cleared (total vehicle evacuation), the dynamic model estimated 96 percent of the vehicles would have cleared the DZ boundary. The dynamic assignment results indicated that ec:mplete evacuation of all vehicles beyond the D2 boundary would occur 15 minutes later than the static assignment estimate under normal weather conditions. . In addition to the evacuation times generated by each assignment technique, the location of bottlenecks by each methodology was compared. The dynamic assignment produced as output for each link the percent of vehicles stopped during the evacuation. This statistic was used as a measure of the degree of congestion on each link. On a network-wide basis, the average percent stops for all links was 35 percent. The 16 critical bottleneck links identified by the static model were identified in the dynamic assignment output as well. On these links, the average percentage of stops as indicated by the dynamic model output was ) 50 percent. ' G C-9 I

                                                                                   '4 -

4. CCNC.CSICNS '

The results of the benet: mark analysis presented in this report indicate that Parsens 3 incke hoff's static traffic assign =ent :nedel can be applied to roadway networks to estimate evacuation readway travel times with a high degree of confidence. Under identical cire,=nsta::ces, the static assignment :cdel results have proven comparable with those produced by a state-of-the-art, ccmplex dynamic assignment :nodel, which simulates the evacuatica process within the framework , of time. Roadway travel times were estimated and cengested readways identified with a high degree of correlation using the less ec= plex static assigraent ' methodology. A close correlation between assignment procedures exists for varying roadway types, weather cenditions, and Icading characteristics, s 1

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M Appendix D Primary Evacuation Route Descriptions W Emergency Response Ptanning Area (ERPA) s r I l l l l l i f l

W - s ERPA 1 o Take Geyers Church Road northeast to Rte 230. Following Rte 230 east to the entrance ramp to Route 283 east. o Take the north plant bridge to Geyers Church Road and continue as above. o Take the south plant bridge to Rte 441. Turn ;icht and proceed on Rte. 441 South. ERPA 2 o Take Hilldale Drive to Geyers Church Road. Follow Geyers Church Road to Rte. 230. Proceed on Rte. 230 to the entrance ramp to Rte. 283 east. o Take Rte. 230 northwest to the entrance ramp of Rte. 283 east, o Take Rte. 441 South. ERPA 3 o Take Falmouth Road east to W. High Street in Elizabethtown. Proceed on W. High Street to East High Street and then continue east on Elizabethtown Road. o Take Rte. 441 South. ERPA 4 o Take Valley Road North to Rte. 262 (Yocuatown Rd.) to the Susquehanna Trail entrance to I-83 north, o Take Wisler Road to Rte. 382. Turn right and proeed west to I-83 north entrance. ERPA 5 o Take Wisler Road to Rte. 382 Turn right and proceed west to I-83 north entrance. o Follow York Haven Road to the entrance ramp to I-83 north. C-1

P ERPA 6 o Pollow Pines Road to York Haven Road. Turn right to the entrance ramp to I-83 north. o Take Rte. 74 ; (xocuatown Road) to the Susquehanna Trail entrance to I-C3 r.u.th. ERPA 7 o Take Mudd Pike (Rte. 441 north) to Union Street in Middletown. Turn right on to East Main Street (Rte 230) and proceed to the entrance ramp of Rte. 283 east. ERPA 8 o Take Middletown Road (Vine Street extension) north to the entrance ramp of Rte. 283 east. t o Take East Main Street (Rte 230) to the entrance ramp of Rte. 283 l east. I o Take the Harrisburg Pike (Main Street west) to the Airport Access ' Road West. Proceed to Rta. 283 west and to turn north onto I-283

                - I-83.                                                                ,

ERPA 9 o Take Colebrook Road to the entrance ramp to Rte. 283 east. l o Take Rte 230 to the entrance ramp to Rte. 283' east.  ; o Pollow Colebrook Road (Rte. 341) east.. o Praceed on Deodate Road north to Colebrook Road. Turnright to Colebrook Road (Rte. 341) east. ERPA 10 l' o Take Turnpike Road east to High Street, then turn left to Market - Street in Elizabethtown. Proceed on Market Street to Linden Avenue. Turn left on to Hanover Street and proceed West on Rte 743 to the estrance ramp to Rte. 283 east. C-2

4 - ERPA 11 ' o Take Rte 241 to Elizabethtown. Turn lef t en Market Street to E. High St. then turn right on Elizabethtown Road east. o Take Turnpike Road east and proceed as in 4RPA 10. ERPA 12 o Take Rte 441 southeast to Rte 23. o Take Rte 241 to Elizabethtown and proceed as in ERPA 11. o Take Donegal Springs Road toward Mt. Joy. ERPA 13 . o Take Rte 181 south to I-83. ERPA 14 o Take Rte 181 south to I-83. ERPA 15

  . o     Take -Rte 181 south ~ to I-83 o     Take Rte 382 (Tork Haven Road) northwest to the entrance ramp to I-83 north.

o Take Susquehanna Trail to I-83 south entrance ramp. ERPA 16 o Take Cloverleaf Road to the Susquehanna Trail entrance to I-83 south. o Take Mount Washington Road southeast to Susqueharm Trail. Proceed south on Susquehanna Trail to York. C-3

             ~
       ~.      /
               ~

ERPA 17 e o Take York - Levisbury Roads to Anderson Road. Proceed on Anderson Road southwest to Rohler's Church Road. Continue on Rohler's Church Rd. o Take the Rte 382 west to Rte 177 South. o Take Potts Hill Ed. to Susquehanna Trail, then onto the entrance raep to I-83 n. ERPA 18 o Take valley Road to the entrance to I-83 north frois Creek Rd. o Take York Road to the entrance to I-83 north from Creek Rd. ERFA 19

     .              o    Take Rte 230 north to S. Front Street.

l 1 ERPA 20 o Take Rte 441 north (Oberline Rd.) to I-283 north. Proceed north i on I-283 to I-83 north. l l o Take airport connector highway to Rte 283 west. Continue on Rte j 283 to I-83 north. ERPA 21 . o Follow Chocolate Avenue (Rte 422) northeast. o Take Fisburn Rd. (Rte 743) to Governor Road (Rte 322) east. ERPA 22 . o Take Route 340 to Rte 39 north. l o Take Red Top Road to Rte 39 north. C-4 l

, 4 - ERPA 23 o Take Route 341 east. o Take Patrick Rd east. ERPA 24 o Take Patrick Road north to Rte 322. o Take Rte 241 northeast. o Take Rte 341 east. ERPA 25 o Follow Cloverleaf Road south to the entrance to Rte 283 east, o Take Elizabeth Road east. o Take Rte 241 northeast. o Take Hershey Rd. northeast to Ate 283 east. ERPA 26 o Follow Elizabeth Rd.-northeast. o Take Rte 230' east toward Mount Joy.- o Take Rte 743 to the entrance ramp of Rte 283 east. ERPA 27 o Take Bainbridge Road north to S. Market St. turn left on S. Market St. and continue to Linden Avenue. Follow Linden Ave. east to

• No. Hanover St. Proceed north on Hershey Rd. to I. 283 E.

o Take Maytown Road to Foreman Drive turn east on to Rte 230. o Take Cloverleaf Road north to Rte. 230 east. C-5

   .,    y N

ERPA 28 o Take Donagal Spring Road toward .tunt Joy. o Take Rock Point Road toward R*a 141. , o Take Rte 441 east toward Rte 23. ERPA 29 l l o Take Furnace Road toward Eauser School Road, then proceed on Cool Spring Road south to Rte 30. o Follow Ireutz Creek Road south to Rte 30. ERPA 30 l o Take Board Road south to the entrance to I-83 south at Church Road, o Take Sherman Road south to Mount Zion Road. Proceed on Mount 71on down to Ate 30. o Take Rte.181 south to the entrance ramp to I-83 south. ERPA 31 l o Take Mount Zion Road (Rte. 24) south to Rte 30. . ERPA 32 l o Take Susq'=hmann Trail south toward York and I-83. o Take Rte 181 south to I-83 southbound entrance rarp. o Take Rte 238 southwest toward Rte 74. ERPA 33 l o Follow Cherry Orchard Road southwest to Nursery Road, then turn right to George Street Town Rte. 74. I o Take Rte 921 toward R*a 74. l c Take Butler Road east, to Bull Road south, then turn right en Rte 921 toward Rte. 74. C-6 l

e . ERPA 34 N o Take Anderson-Robler Church Roads toward Rte 74. o Take Mountain Road south to Old C rlise Road, o Follow Cherry Orchard Road southwest to Nursey Road then turn right, onts George Street toward Rte. 74. ERPA 35 o Take Boring Bridge Road toward Rte 74. o Take Rte 177 toward Rte 74. , ERPA 36 o Take Rte 177 south toward Rte 74. ERPA 37 o Take Siddenburg Road west to Lewisbury Road and continue. o Take Lewisberry Road west Lisburn Road and continue, o Follow Rte. 177 South toward Rte 74. ERPA 38 , o Take Lewisberry Road toward Old Forge Road. Proceed on Old Forge Road to Lisburn Road. e Take Lewisbury Road (Rte 114 west) to I-83 north.

      .o         Take Fishing Creek Road east and turn north on I-83.

ERPA 39 o Take Simpson Ferry Road west to Carlise Road and continue toward U.S. Rte 15. C-7

l l ,, ', e

• e t I

i ERPA 40 o Take Bridge Street north to Market Street then turn left *4 Rte. 11. o Follow same route as ERPA 39 ERPA 42 i o Take S. Front Street north to Paxton Street. Turn left on Pax *an St. to Front Street north. ERPA 43 i o Take Derry Street west to 12th Street. Follow 12th Street north to Market Street then, turn right from Market Street to Rte. 230 north, o Enter I-83 at 17th Street and proceed west *4 ward Rte.15. o Fillow Progress Avenue north to I-81. ERPA 44 o Follow Progress Avenue north to I-81. ERPA 45 o Follow Conway Road to Union Deposit Road, take Union Deposit Road l to Nyes Road and proceed north toward Route 22. o Take Paxton Street eastbound to the entrance to I-83 north, o Take Galion Road north then continue on Dowhener Rd. to Union Deposit l Road. Turn left on Union Deposit Rd. to I-83N. i o Follow Chamberhill Road to Reckler Road. Turn right to Rte 441 west to I-83N. ERPA 46 l i o Take Rte. 441 northwest to I-83 north. l o Take Fulling Mill Road westbound to Eisenhower Blvd. Proceed south on Eisenhower Elvd to the entrance of Rte 283 to I-76 and then proceed to I-76 east. C-8

s . ERPA 47 N o Take Union Deposit Road west to I-83 north, o Rte 340 west to I-83. North on I-83. o Follow Newside Road to Rutherford Road. Continue north on Rutherford Road to Virginia Street then turn lef t on Prince Street nor*J1 toward Rte. 22. o Take Conway Road to Union Deposit Road and continue toward Ste 22 as noted for ERPA 45. s O e O i i l l C-9

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