Information Notice 2011-03, Nonconsecutive Criticality Safety Analyses for Fuel Storage: Difference between revisions

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| issue date = 02/16/2011
| issue date = 02/16/2011
| title = Nonconsecutive Criticality Safety Analyses for Fuel Storage
| title = Nonconsecutive Criticality Safety Analyses for Fuel Storage
| author name = Blount T B, Tappert J
| author name = Blount T, Tappert J
| author affiliation = NRC/NRO, NRC/NRR/DPR
| author affiliation = NRC/NRO, NRC/NRR/DPR
| addressee name =  
| addressee name =  
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| page count = 5
| page count = 5
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{{#Wiki_filter: ML103090055 UNITED STATES NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION OFFICE OF NUCLEAR REACTOR REGULATION OFFICE OF NEW REACTORS WASHINGTON, DC 20555-0001 February 16, 2011   NRC INFORMATION NOTICE 2011-03: NONCONSERVATIVE CRITICALITY SAFETY ANALYSES FOR FUEL STORAGE
{{#Wiki_filter:UNITED STATES
 
NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
 
OFFICE OF NUCLEAR REACTOR REGULATION
 
OFFICE OF NEW REACTORS
 
WASHINGTON, DC 20555-0001 February 16, 2011 NRC INFORMATION NOTICE 2011-03:                 NONCONSERVATIVE CRITICALITY SAFETY
 
ANALYSES FOR FUEL STORAGE


==ADDRESSEES==
==ADDRESSEES==
All holders of operating licenses or construction permits for a nuclear power reactor issued under the provisions of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR) Part 50, "Domestic Licensing of Production and Utilization Facilities.
All holders of operating licenses or construction permits for a nuclear power reactor issued
All holders of or applicants for a standard design certification, standard design approval, manufacturing license, or combined license issued under 10 CFR Part 52, "Licenses, Certifications, and Approvals for Nuclear Power Plants.
 
under the provisions of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR) Part 50, Domestic
 
Licensing of Production and Utilization Facilities.
 
All holders of or applicants for a standard design certification, standard design approval, manufacturing license, or combined license issued under 10 CFR Part 52, Licenses, Certifications, and Approvals for Nuclear Power Plants.


==PURPOSE==
==PURPOSE==
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is issuing this information notice (IN) to inform addressees of possible nonconservative technical specifications related to the criticality safety of fuel storage. The NRC expects that recipients will review the information for applicability to their facilities and consider actions, as appropriate, to avoid similar problems. However, suggestions contained in this IN are not NRC requirements; therefore, no specific action or written response is required.
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is issuing this information notice (IN) to inform
 
addressees of possible nonconservative technical specifications related to the criticality safety
 
of fuel storage. The NRC expects that recipients will review the information for applicability to
 
their facilities and consider actions, as appropriate, to avoid similar problems. However, suggestions contained in this IN are not NRC requirements; therefore, no specific action or
 
written response is required.


==BACKGROUND==
==BACKGROUND==
Paragraph 50.68(b)(4) of 10 CFR 50.68, "Criticality Accident Requirements," requires the following: If no credit for soluble boron is taken, the k-effective of the spent fuel storage racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must not exceed
Paragraph 50.68(b)(4) of 10 CFR 50.68, Criticality Accident Requirements, requires the
 
following:
        If no credit for soluble boron is taken, the k-effective of the spent fuel storage
 
racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must not exceed
 
0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded with
 
unborated water. If credit is taken for soluble boron, the k-effective of the spent
 
fuel storage racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must
 
not exceed 0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if
 
flooded with borated water, and the k-effective must remain below 1.0
        (subcritical), at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded
 
with unborated water.
 
NUREG/CR-6698, Guide for Validation of Nuclear Criticality Safety Calculational Methodology, January 2001 (Agencywide Document and Management System (ADAMS) Accession
 
No. ML050250061), provides guidance on determining the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo
 
codes.
 
The primary NRC staff guidance regarding the depletion uncertainty is an internal NRC
 
memorandum from L. Kopp to T. Collins, Guidance on the Regulatory Requirements for
 
Criticality Analysis of Fuel Storage at Light-Water Reactor Power Plants, dated


0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded with unborated water.  If credit is taken for soluble boron, the k-effective of the spent fuel storage racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must not exceed 0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded with borated water, and the k-effective must remain below 1.0 (subcritical), at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded with unborated water.  NUREG/CR-6698, "Guide for Validation of Nuclear Criticality Safety Calculational Methodology," January 2001 (Agencywide Document and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML050250061), provides guidance on determining the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo codes.
August 19, 1998 (ADAMS Accession No. ML003728001) (Kopp Letter). The Kopp Letter is


The primary NRC staff guidance regarding the depletion uncertainty is an internal NRC memorandum from L. Kopp to T. Collins, "Guidance on the Regulatory Requirements for Criticality Analysis of Fuel Storage at Light-Water Reactor Power Plants," dated August 19, 1998 (ADAMS Accession No. ML003728001) (Kopp Letter).  The Kopp Letter is referenced by virtually all spent fuel pool criticality license amendment requests submitted since
referenced by virtually all spent fuel pool criticality license amendment requests submitted since


its issuance.   Regarding the depletion uncertainty, the Kopp Letter states the following:  A reactivity uncertainty due to uncertainty in the fuel depletion calculations should be developed and combined with other calculational uncertainties.  In the absence of any other determination of the depletion uncertainty, an uncertainty
its issuance.


equal to 5 percent of the reactivity decrement to the burnup of interest is an acceptable assumption.
Regarding the depletion uncertainty, the Kopp Letter states the following:
        A reactivity uncertainty due to uncertainty in the fuel depletion calculations should
 
be developed and combined with other calculational uncertainties. In the
 
absence of any other determination of the depletion uncertainty, an uncertainty
 
equal to 5 percent of the reactivity decrement to the burnup of interest is an
 
acceptable assumption.


==DESCRIPTION OF CIRCUMSTANCES==
==DESCRIPTION OF CIRCUMSTANCES==
Beaver Valley Power Station  By letter dated April 9, 2009, FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Company submitted a license amendment request for Beaver Valley Power Station, Unit 2 (BVPS-2), to modify the technical specifications to support the installation of high-density storage racks in the BVPS-2 fuel pool.


A vendor provided a criticality safety analysis to support the BVPS-2 license amendment request.   During the review of the BVPS-2 application, the NRC staff found that the statistical treatment of the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty used in the criticality safety analysis was inappropriately
===Beaver Valley Power Station===
By letter dated April 9, 2009, FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Company submitted a license
 
amendment request for Beaver Valley Power Station, Unit 2 (BVPS-2), to modify the technical
 
specifications to support the installation of high-density storage racks in the BVPS-2 fuel pool.
 
A vendor provided a criticality safety analysis to support the BVPS-2 license amendment
 
request.
 
During the review of the BVPS-2 application, the NRC staff found that the statistical treatment of
 
the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty used in the criticality safety analysis was inappropriately
 
based on the standard deviation of the mean k-effective value calculated for the critical
 
experiments. 10 CFR 50.68 requires that the estimated k-effective be less than 1.0 at a
 
95-percent probability, 95-percent confidence level (95/95 confidence). Therefore, the correct
 
statistical approach is to determine the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty using the standard
 
deviation of the population about the mean, not the standard deviation of the mean. Using the
 
correct statistical approach, the bias uncertainty was found to be larger by 0.0079 over the
 
previous analysis. The large increase in the value for the bias uncertainty also resulted in a
 
significant increase in the estimated k-effective.
 
===St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant===
By letter dated April 16, 2010, Florida Power and Light Company submitted information about
 
the current licensing basis for fuel storage criticality safety at St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1, as part of a license amendment request for an extended power uprate. During the
 
acceptance review of the request, the NRC found that the current licensing basis criticality
 
safety analysis for fuel storage did not include the depletion uncertainty for the unborated cases.


based on the standard deviation of the mean k-effective value calculated for the critical experiments.  10 CFR 50.68 requires that the estimated k-effective be less than 1.0 at a 95-percent probability, 95-percent confidence level (95/95 confidence).  Therefore, the correct statistical approach is to determine the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty using the standard deviation of the population about the mean, not the standard deviation of the mean.  Using the
10 CFR 50.68 requires licensees to demonstrate that k-effective is less than 1.0 with a


correct statistical approach, the bias uncertainty was found to be larger by 0.0079 over the previous analysis.  The large increase in the value for the bias uncertainty also resulted in a significant increase in the estimated k-effective.  St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant  By letter dated April 16, 2010, Florida Power and Light Company submitted information about
95/95 confidence for the unborated cases. When these demonstrations rely upon fuel depletion, the depletion uncertainty must be included in both the borated and unborated


the current licensing basis for fuel storage criticality safety at St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1, as part of a license amendment request for an extended power uprate.  During the acceptance review of the request, the NRC found that the current licensing basis criticality safety analysis for fuel storage did not include the depletion uncertainty for the unborated cases.  10 CFR 50.68 requires licensees to demonstrate that k-effective is less than 1.0 with a
analyses. The estimated k-effective will likely increase when the depletion uncertainty is


95/95 confidence for the unborated cases.  When these demonstrations rely upon fuel depletion, the depletion uncertainty must be included in both the borated and unborated analyses.  The estimated k-effective will likely increase when the depletion uncertainty is factored into the analysis.
factored into the analysis.


==DISCUSSION==
==DISCUSSION==
The two issues discussed in this IN relate to the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty and the depletion uncertainty. Both of these uncertainties, if not properly treated, may lead
The two issues discussed in this IN relate to the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty and
 
the depletion uncertainty. Both of these uncertainties, if not properly treated, may lead
 
to nonconservative estimation of the maximum k-effective, and regulatory compliance
 
may not be assured. Analyses with small margins to the regulatory limit are especially
 
vulnerable to noncompliance with 10 CFR 50.68 and nonconservative technical
 
specifications if these issues are present.
 
In 10 CFR 50.68, the NRC requires a 95-percent probability with a 95-percent confidence level
 
that a calculation demonstrating subcriticality of a spent fuel storage rack actually is subcritical.
 
The primary NRC guidance for criticality code validation, NUREG/CR-6698, includes guidance
 
on the determination of the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo codes based on the population of
 
critical experiments. Guidance for determining the bias uncertainty in NUREG/CR-6698 can be
 
used to ensure compliance with 10 CFR 50.68.
 
Most nuclear criticality safety analyses performed to support spent fuel pool licensing actions
 
include reactor depletion calculations, whether it is a boiling-water reactor establishing the most
 
reactive point in the life of a fuel assembly lattice or a pressurized-water reactor taking burnup
 
credit. Licensing actions that include reactor depletion calculations should consider the
 
uncertainty of those calculations to ensure the 95/95 confidence requirement for k-effective is
 
met. The Kopp Letter provides the NRCs current guidance for determining uncertainties for
 
reactor depletion calculations. As with other NRC guidance, addressees may choose an
 
alternative method for determining the depletion uncertainty, although additional NRC staff
 
review should be expected.
 
The NRC is working to improve its guidance in these areas. The NRC Office of Nuclear Reactor


to nonconservative estimation of the maximum k-effective, and regulatory compliance may not be assured.  Analyses with small margins to the regulatory limit are especially vulnerable to noncompliance with 10 CFR 50.68 and nonconservative technical specifications if these issues are present.  In 10 CFR 50.68, the NRC requires a 95-percent probability with a 95-percent confidence level that a calculation demonstrating subcriticality of a spent fuel storage rack actually is subcritical.
Regulation (NRR) has established an Action Plan, On Site Spent Fuel Criticality Analyses


The primary NRC guidance for criticality code validation, NUREG/CR-6698, includes guidance on the determination of the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo codes based on the population of critical experiments.  Guidance for determining the bias uncertainty in NUREG/CR-6698 can be used to ensure compliance with 10 CFR 50.68.
(ADAMS Accession No. ML101520463), to monitor and track these activities. The NRC has


Most nuclear criticality safety analyses performed to support spent fuel pool licensing actions include reactor depletion calculations, whether it is a boiling-water reactor establishing the most reactive point in the life of a fuel assembly lattice or a pressurized-water reactor taking burnup credit.  Licensing actions that include reactor depletion calculations should consider the uncertainty of those calculations to ensure the 95/95 confidence requirement for k-effective is
received public comment on Draft Interim Staff Guidance DSS-ISG-2010-01, Staff Guidance


met.  The Kopp Letter provides the NRC's current guidance for determining uncertainties for reactor depletion calculations.  As with other NRC guidance, addressees may choose an alternative method for determining the depletion uncertainty, although additional NRC staff review should be expected.
Regarding the Nuclear Criticality Safety Analysis of Spent Fuel Pools (ADAMS Accession


The NRC is working to improve its guidance in these areas.  The NRC Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation (NRR) has established an Action Plan, "On Site Spent Fuel Criticality Analyses" (ADAMS Accession No. ML101520463), to monitor and track these activities. The NRC has received public comment on Draft Interim Staff Guidance DSS-ISG-2010-01, "Staff Guidance Regarding the Nuclear Criticality Safety Analysis of Spent Fuel Pools" (ADAMS Accession
No. ML101520463), and expects to issue the final version in the first quarter of 2011. The NRC


No. ML101520463), and expects to issue the final version in the first quarter of 2011.  The NRC expects to issue more durable guidance by the first quarter of 2013.
expects to issue more durable guidance by the first quarter of 2013.


==CONTACT==
==CONTACT==
S This IN requires no specific action or written response.  Please direct any questions about this
S


matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.   /RA/      /RA/ 
This IN requires no specific action or written response. Please direct any questions about this
John Tappert, Acting Director    Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director Division of Construction Inspection  Division of Policy and Rulemaking  and Operational Programs    Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation Office of New Reactors


Technical Contacts: Kent A. L. Wood, NRR   Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR           301-415-4120   301-415-3211           E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov   E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.
matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.
 
/RA/                                                  /RA/
John Tappert, Acting Director                        Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director
 
Division of Construction Inspection                  Division of Policy and Rulemaking
 
and Operational Programs                            Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
 
===Office of New Reactors===
Technical Contacts: Kent A. L. Wood, NRR                     Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR
 
301-415-4120                           301-415-3211 E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov               E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov
 
Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.


==CONTACT==
==CONTACT==
S
S


This IN requires no specific action or written response. Please direct any questions about this matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.
This IN requires no specific action or written response. Please direct any questions about this
 
matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.
 
/RA/                                                    /RA/
John Tappert, Acting Director                          Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director
 
Division of Construction Inspection                    Division of Policy and Rulemaking
 
and Operational Programs                              Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
 
===Office of New Reactors===
Technical Contacts: Kent A. L. Wood, NRR                        Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR


/RA/      /RA/  John Tappert, Acting Director    Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director
301-415-4120                              301-415-3211 E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov                E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov


Division of Construction Inspection  Division of Policy and Rulemaking  and Operational Programs    Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation Office of New Reactors    Technical Contacts:  Kent A. L. Wood, NRR  Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR          301-415-4120    301-415-3211          E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov  E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov  Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.     ADAMS Accession Number: ML103090055    TAC ME4423 OFFICE LPL2-2:DORL:NRR SRXB:DSS:NRR Tech Editor BC:SRXB:NRR D:DSS:NRR NAME JPaige KWood KAzariah-Kribbs AUlses WRuland DATE  11/05/2010  11/08/2010  11/10/ 2010 e-mail01/24/2011 01/25/2011 OFFICE LA:PGCB:NRR PM:PGCB:NRR PM:PGCB:NRR BC:PGCB:NRR BC(A):DCIP:NRO NAME CHawes BPurnell DBeaulieu SRosenberg JTappert DATE 02/03/2011  02/09/2011  02/09/2011    02/10 /2011  02/11 /2011 OFFICE BC:SRSB:DSRA D:DSRA:NRO D(A):DPR:NRR  NAME JEDonoghue CEAder TBlount  DATE 02/01/2011 02/03/2011 02/16/2011  OFFICIAL RECORD COPY
Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.


}}
ADAMS Accession Number: ML103090055                                    TAC ME4423 OFFICE  LPL2-2:DORL:NRR  SRXB:DSS:NRR      Tech Editor        BC:SRXB:NRR      D:DSS:NRR
 
NAME    JPaige            KWood              KAzariah-Kribbs    AUlses          WRuland
 
DATE      11/05/2010        11/08/2010        11/10/ 2010 e-mail 01/24/2011      01/25/2011 OFFICE  LA:PGCB:NRR      PM:PGCB:NRR        PM:PGCB:NRR        BC:PGCB:NRR      BC(A):DCIP:NRO
 
NAME    CHawes            BPurnell          DBeaulieu          SRosenberg      JTappert
 
DATE    02/03/2011        02/09/2011        02/09/2011          02/10 /2011      02/11 /2011 OFFICE  BC:SRSB:DSRA      D:DSRA:NRO        D(A):DPR:NRR
 
NAME    JEDonoghue        CEAder            TBlount
 
DATE    02/01/2011        02/03/2011        02/16/2011 OFFICIAL RECORD COPY}}


{{Information notice-Nav}}
{{Information notice-Nav}}

Latest revision as of 07:36, 13 November 2019

Nonconsecutive Criticality Safety Analyses for Fuel Storage
ML103090055
Person / Time
Issue date: 02/16/2011
From: Blount T, John Tappert
Office of New Reactors, Division of Policy and Rulemaking
To:
Purnell, B A, NRR/DPR, 415-1380
References
IN-11-003
Download: ML103090055 (5)


UNITED STATES

NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

OFFICE OF NUCLEAR REACTOR REGULATION

OFFICE OF NEW REACTORS

WASHINGTON, DC 20555-0001 February 16, 2011 NRC INFORMATION NOTICE 2011-03: NONCONSERVATIVE CRITICALITY SAFETY

ANALYSES FOR FUEL STORAGE

ADDRESSEES

All holders of operating licenses or construction permits for a nuclear power reactor issued

under the provisions of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR) Part 50, Domestic

Licensing of Production and Utilization Facilities.

All holders of or applicants for a standard design certification, standard design approval, manufacturing license, or combined license issued under 10 CFR Part 52, Licenses, Certifications, and Approvals for Nuclear Power Plants.

PURPOSE

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is issuing this information notice (IN) to inform

addressees of possible nonconservative technical specifications related to the criticality safety

of fuel storage. The NRC expects that recipients will review the information for applicability to

their facilities and consider actions, as appropriate, to avoid similar problems. However, suggestions contained in this IN are not NRC requirements; therefore, no specific action or

written response is required.

BACKGROUND

Paragraph 50.68(b)(4) of 10 CFR 50.68, Criticality Accident Requirements, requires the

following:

If no credit for soluble boron is taken, the k-effective of the spent fuel storage

racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must not exceed

0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded with

unborated water. If credit is taken for soluble boron, the k-effective of the spent

fuel storage racks loaded with fuel of the maximum fuel assembly reactivity must

not exceed 0.95, at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if

flooded with borated water, and the k-effective must remain below 1.0

(subcritical), at a 95 percent probability, 95 percent confidence level, if flooded

with unborated water.

NUREG/CR-6698, Guide for Validation of Nuclear Criticality Safety Calculational Methodology, January 2001 (Agencywide Document and Management System (ADAMS) Accession

No. ML050250061), provides guidance on determining the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo

codes.

The primary NRC staff guidance regarding the depletion uncertainty is an internal NRC

memorandum from L. Kopp to T. Collins, Guidance on the Regulatory Requirements for

Criticality Analysis of Fuel Storage at Light-Water Reactor Power Plants, dated

August 19, 1998 (ADAMS Accession No. ML003728001) (Kopp Letter). The Kopp Letter is

referenced by virtually all spent fuel pool criticality license amendment requests submitted since

its issuance.

Regarding the depletion uncertainty, the Kopp Letter states the following:

A reactivity uncertainty due to uncertainty in the fuel depletion calculations should

be developed and combined with other calculational uncertainties. In the

absence of any other determination of the depletion uncertainty, an uncertainty

equal to 5 percent of the reactivity decrement to the burnup of interest is an

acceptable assumption.

DESCRIPTION OF CIRCUMSTANCES

Beaver Valley Power Station

By letter dated April 9, 2009, FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Company submitted a license

amendment request for Beaver Valley Power Station, Unit 2 (BVPS-2), to modify the technical

specifications to support the installation of high-density storage racks in the BVPS-2 fuel pool.

A vendor provided a criticality safety analysis to support the BVPS-2 license amendment

request.

During the review of the BVPS-2 application, the NRC staff found that the statistical treatment of

the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty used in the criticality safety analysis was inappropriately

based on the standard deviation of the mean k-effective value calculated for the critical

experiments. 10 CFR 50.68 requires that the estimated k-effective be less than 1.0 at a

95-percent probability, 95-percent confidence level (95/95 confidence). Therefore, the correct

statistical approach is to determine the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty using the standard

deviation of the population about the mean, not the standard deviation of the mean. Using the

correct statistical approach, the bias uncertainty was found to be larger by 0.0079 over the

previous analysis. The large increase in the value for the bias uncertainty also resulted in a

significant increase in the estimated k-effective.

St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant

By letter dated April 16, 2010, Florida Power and Light Company submitted information about

the current licensing basis for fuel storage criticality safety at St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1, as part of a license amendment request for an extended power uprate. During the

acceptance review of the request, the NRC found that the current licensing basis criticality

safety analysis for fuel storage did not include the depletion uncertainty for the unborated cases.

10 CFR 50.68 requires licensees to demonstrate that k-effective is less than 1.0 with a

95/95 confidence for the unborated cases. When these demonstrations rely upon fuel depletion, the depletion uncertainty must be included in both the borated and unborated

analyses. The estimated k-effective will likely increase when the depletion uncertainty is

factored into the analysis.

DISCUSSION

The two issues discussed in this IN relate to the Monte Carlo code bias uncertainty and

the depletion uncertainty. Both of these uncertainties, if not properly treated, may lead

to nonconservative estimation of the maximum k-effective, and regulatory compliance

may not be assured. Analyses with small margins to the regulatory limit are especially

vulnerable to noncompliance with 10 CFR 50.68 and nonconservative technical

specifications if these issues are present.

In 10 CFR 50.68, the NRC requires a 95-percent probability with a 95-percent confidence level

that a calculation demonstrating subcriticality of a spent fuel storage rack actually is subcritical.

The primary NRC guidance for criticality code validation, NUREG/CR-6698, includes guidance

on the determination of the bias uncertainty for Monte Carlo codes based on the population of

critical experiments. Guidance for determining the bias uncertainty in NUREG/CR-6698 can be

used to ensure compliance with 10 CFR 50.68.

Most nuclear criticality safety analyses performed to support spent fuel pool licensing actions

include reactor depletion calculations, whether it is a boiling-water reactor establishing the most

reactive point in the life of a fuel assembly lattice or a pressurized-water reactor taking burnup

credit. Licensing actions that include reactor depletion calculations should consider the

uncertainty of those calculations to ensure the 95/95 confidence requirement for k-effective is

met. The Kopp Letter provides the NRCs current guidance for determining uncertainties for

reactor depletion calculations. As with other NRC guidance, addressees may choose an

alternative method for determining the depletion uncertainty, although additional NRC staff

review should be expected.

The NRC is working to improve its guidance in these areas. The NRC Office of Nuclear Reactor

Regulation (NRR) has established an Action Plan, On Site Spent Fuel Criticality Analyses

(ADAMS Accession No. ML101520463), to monitor and track these activities. The NRC has

received public comment on Draft Interim Staff Guidance DSS-ISG-2010-01, Staff Guidance

Regarding the Nuclear Criticality Safety Analysis of Spent Fuel Pools (ADAMS Accession

No. ML101520463), and expects to issue the final version in the first quarter of 2011. The NRC

expects to issue more durable guidance by the first quarter of 2013.

CONTACT

S

This IN requires no specific action or written response. Please direct any questions about this

matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.

/RA/ /RA/

John Tappert, Acting Director Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director

Division of Construction Inspection Division of Policy and Rulemaking

and Operational Programs Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation

Office of New Reactors

Technical Contacts: Kent A. L. Wood, NRR Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR

301-415-4120 301-415-3211 E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov

Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.

CONTACT

S

This IN requires no specific action or written response. Please direct any questions about this

matter to the technical contacts listed below or the appropriate NRR project manager.

/RA/ /RA/

John Tappert, Acting Director Thomas B. Blount, Acting Director

Division of Construction Inspection Division of Policy and Rulemaking

and Operational Programs Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation

Office of New Reactors

Technical Contacts: Kent A. L. Wood, NRR Tony T. Nakanishi, NRR

301-415-4120 301-415-3211 E-mail: kent.wood@nrc.gov E-mail: tony.nakanishi@nrc.gov

Note: NRC generic communications may be found on the NRC public Web site, http://www.nrc.gov, under Electronic Reading Room/Document Collections.

ADAMS Accession Number: ML103090055 TAC ME4423 OFFICE LPL2-2:DORL:NRR SRXB:DSS:NRR Tech Editor BC:SRXB:NRR D:DSS:NRR

NAME JPaige KWood KAzariah-Kribbs AUlses WRuland

DATE 11/05/2010 11/08/2010 11/10/ 2010 e-mail 01/24/2011 01/25/2011 OFFICE LA:PGCB:NRR PM:PGCB:NRR PM:PGCB:NRR BC:PGCB:NRR BC(A):DCIP:NRO

NAME CHawes BPurnell DBeaulieu SRosenberg JTappert

DATE 02/03/2011 02/09/2011 02/09/2011 02/10 /2011 02/11 /2011 OFFICE BC:SRSB:DSRA D:DSRA:NRO D(A):DPR:NRR

NAME JEDonoghue CEAder TBlount

DATE 02/01/2011 02/03/2011 02/16/2011 OFFICIAL RECORD COPY