ML20151P854

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Cascadia Subduction Zone,Some Unresolved Problems, Presented at 880506-08 Meeting in Seattle,Wa
ML20151P854
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Site: Trojan File:Portland General Electric icon.png
Issue date: 05/06/1988
From: Lewis B
WASHINGTON, UNIV. OF, SEATTLE, WA
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NUDOCS 8808100207
Download: ML20151P854 (1)


Text

. 18 The Cascadia Subduction Zone, Sctre unresolved problers.

Brian T.R.14wis School of Oceanography University of Washington The recurrence time of subduction earthquakes depends on at least the following. The strength of the driving force, the gectnetry of the i subduction zone, tarperatures in the subduction zone, and asperities on the thnist fault.

If the driving force is the negative bouyancy of the sinking plate then

, to ascertain its strength, we must know the history of subduction in the area, the gecrretry, tertperature and densities in the sinking slab, and the viscosity unkr.own.

of the medium into which it is sinking. All of these are largely 1 1

1 The gecmetry of the subduction zone is inportant because the frictional -

forces resisting subduction riepend on the mass of the overlying material, that is the gecrretry. This gecmetry is largely unknown, but probably not  !

constant along the Oregon /Washir/jton trargin and this cculd influence the recurrence time.

Tenperatures along the thrust zone are clearly inportant in determL*g whether the material is in the brittle or plastic regime, and therefore whether subduction is aseismie or not. Sediment heat flow values predict very high tenperatures based on conductive heat flow. If advection of heat by porous flow is significant the teiperatures could be r.uch lower.

Asperities can alter the recurrence time significa*itly. We know very little about asperities in general, and little about t'.e Cascadia area specifically. Are the Olyrtpic mountains an asperity ?

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