ML20080M171
| ML20080M171 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Issue date: | 02/19/2020 |
| From: | Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research |
| To: | Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research |
| T. Aird | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20080M135 | List: |
| References | |
| Download: ML20080M171 (6) | |
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5th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop Headquarters, Rockville, MD, February 19-21, 2020 AGENDA Welcome to the Nuclear Regulatory Commissions Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (NRC/RES) 5th Annual NRC Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA)
Research Workshop. Participants include staff and contractors from NRC, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), federal agencies, industry, and other organizations involved in flood hazard assessment, flood risk assessment, and flood protection and mitigation research who will provide information on recent results, current activities, and perspectives on future research directions. This 3-day workshop is open to the public at no charge, but registration is required.
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2020 09:00 - 09:10 Welcome & Logistics Session 1A: Introduction Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES/DRA 09:00 - 09:10 Logistics 1A-0 Kenneth Hamburger, NRC/RES/DRA/FXHAB 09:10 - 09:20 Introduction 1A-1 Raymond Furstenau*, Director, NRC Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research 09:20 - 09:35 NRC Flooding Research Program Overview 1A-2 Joseph Kanney, Meredith Carr*, Tom Aird, Elena Yegorova, Mark Fuhrmann and Jacob Philip, NRC/RES 09:35 -09:50 Overview of recent activities at USACE-RMC 1A-3 Haden Smith*, Risk Management Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) 09:50 - 10:05 IRSN External Flooding Research Program Overview 1A-4 Vincent Rebour*, Institut de radioprotection et de sûreté nucléaire (IRSN) Radioprotection and Nuclear Safety Institute 10:05 - 10:20 Nuclear Energy Agency: Committee on the Safety of Nuclear 1A-5 Installations (CSNI): Working Group on External Events (WGEV)
Flooding Overview John Nakoski*, NRC/RES 10:20 - 10:40 BREAK
- denotes presenter, ^ denotes remote presenter 1
continued WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2020 Session 1B: Climate Session Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES/DRA 10:40 - 11:10 Regional Climate Change Projections: Potential Impacts to 1B-1 Nuclear Facilities L. Ruby Leung* and Rajiv Prasad, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 11:10 - 11:35 Modeling of climate change induced flood risk in the Conasauga 1B-2 River Basin Tigstu T. Dullo, Tennessee Technical University (TTU),
Sudershan Gangrade, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL),
Md Bulbul Sharif, TTU, Mario Morales-Hernandez, ORNL, Alfred J. Kalyanapu, Sheikh K. Ghafoor, TTU, Shih-Chieh Kao* and Katherine J. Evans, ORNL 11:35 - 12:00 KEYNOTE - Causality and extreme event attribution. Or was my 1B-3 house flooded because of climate change?
Michael F. Wehner^, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory 12:00 - 12:25 Attribution of Flood Nonstationarity across the United States 1B-4 Climate-Related Analyses Karen Ryberg*, Stacey A. Archfield, William H. Asquith, Nancy A. Barth, Katherine J. Chase, Jesse E. Dickinson, Robert W.
Dudley, Angela E. Gregory, Tessa M. Harden, Glenn A.
Hodgkins, David Holtschlag, Delbert Humberson, Christopher P.
Konrad, Sara B. Levin, Daniel E. Restivo, Roy Sando, Steven K.
Sando, Eric D. Swain, Anne C. Tillery, Benjamin C. York, Julie E. Kiang; U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) 12:25 - 13:30 LUNCH Session 1C: Precipitation Session Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES/DRA 13:30 - 14:00 KEYNOTE: Planned Improvements for NOAA Atlas 14 Process and 1C-1 Products Sanja Perica*, Hydrometeorological Design Studies Center, Office of Water Prediction, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA/NWS/OWP/HDSC),
Sandra Pavlovic, Michael St. Laurent, Carl Trypaluk, Dale Unruh, NOAA/NWS/OWP/HDSC and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research 14:00 - 14:25 Application of Point Precipitation Frequency Estimates to Watersheds 1C-2 Shih-Chieh Kao*, Scott T. DeNeale, ORNL 14:25 - 14:50 How well can Kilometer-Scale Models Capture Recent Intense 1C-3 Precipitation Events?
Andreas F. Prein*, David Ahijevych, Jordan Powers, Ryan Sobash, Craig Schwartz, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) 14:50 - 15:05 BREAK
- indicates speaker, ^ indicates remote speaker 2
continued WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2020 Session 1C: Precipitation, continued Session Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES/DRA 15:05 - 15:30 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment of NPP Site considering 1C-4 Extreme Precipitation in Korea (Tentative due to emergent travel issue)
Kun-Yeun Han*, Beom-Jin Kim, Kyungpook National University, Korea; Minkyu Kim, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute, Korea 15:30 - 15:55 Analysis of Heavy Multi-day Precipitation Events in CMIP6 Model 1C-5 Simulations in Support of the Fifth National Climate Assessment Kenneth Kunkel*, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, North Carolina State University and David Easterling, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information 15:55 - 16:10 Daily Wrap-up THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2020 08:55 - 09:00 Day 2 Welcome Session 2A: Riverine Flooding Session Chairs: Meredith Carr and Mark Fuhrmann, NRC/RES/DRA 09:00 - 9:30 KEYNOTE: An Overview NOAAs National Water Model 2A-1 Brian Cosgrove*, NOAA/NWS/OWP, David Gochis, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, Thomas Graziano, Ed Clark, and Trey Flowers, NOAA/NWS/OWP 09:30 - 09:55 Moving Beyond Streamflow: Quantifying Flood Risk and Impacts 2A-2 through Detailed Physical Process and Geospatial Representation using the WRF-Hydro Modeling System David Gochis*, Aubrey Dugger Laura Read, NCAR 09:55 - 10:20 Extreme Flood Hazard Assessment - Overview of a probabilistic 2A-3 methodology and its implementation for a Swiss river system V.N. Dang, C.A. Whealton, Paul Scherrer Institute 10:20 - 10:45 Practical Approaches to Probabilistic Flood Estimates: an Australian 2A-4 perspective Rory Nathan*, University of Melbourne 10:45 - 11:05 BREAK
- indicates speaker, ^ indicates remote speaker 3
continued THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2020 Session 2A: Riverine Flooding, continued Session Chairs: Meredith Carr and Mark Fuhrmann, NRC/RES/DRA 11:05 - 11:30 Columbia River Basin Regional Hydrology Studies: Regional 2A-5 Statistical Analyses for Flood Risk Assessment Angela M. Duren*, Northwest Division, USACE Portland 11:30 - 11:55 Reducing uncertainty in estimating rare flood events using paleoflood 2A-6 analyses: Insights from an investigation near Stillhouse Hollow Dam, TX Justin Pearce^, USACE, Risk Management Center; Brian Hall, USACE, Alessandro Parola, USACE Fort Worth; Brendan Comport, USACE Seattle; Christina Leonard, Utah State University 11:55 - 12:20 Improving Flood Frequency Analysis with a Multi-Millennial Record of 2A-7 Extreme Floods on the Tennessee River near Chattanooga, TN Tess Harden*, Jim OConnor, USGS 12:20 - 13:30 LUNCH 13:30 - 13:55 Estimating Design Floods with Specified Annual Exceedance 2A-8 Probabilities Using the Bayesian Estimation and Fitting Software (RMC-BestFit)
Haden Smith*, Risk Management Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE/RMC)
Session 2B: Coastal Flooding Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES/DRA 13:55 - 14:20 Coastal KEYNOTE: South Atlantic Coast Study: Coastal Hazards 2B-1 System Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo*, Chris Massey, Victor M.
Gonzalez, USACE Engineer R&D Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory (USACE/ERDC/CHL), Kelly Legault, USACE Jacksonville District 14:20- 14:45 Data, Models, Methods, and Uncertainty Quantification in 2B-2 Probabilistic Storm Surge Models Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo*, Victor M. Gonzalez, Efrain Ramos-Santiago, Madison O. Campbell, USACE/ERDC/CHL 14:45 - 15:10 Using Physical Insights in Spatial Decomposition Approaches to 2B-3 Surge Hazard Assessment Jennifer Irish*, Virginia Tech, Donald T. Resio, University of North Florida, Michelle Bensi, University of Maryland, Taylor G.
Asher, University of North Carolina, Yi Liu, Virginia Tech, Environmental Science Associates, Jun-Whan Lee, Virginia Tech 15:10 - 15:35 Investigation of Surrogate Modeling Application in Storm Surge 2B-4 Assessment Azin Al Kajbaf*, Michelle (Shelby) Bensi, University of Maryland
- indicates speaker, ^ indicates remote speaker 4
continued THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2020 15:35 - 15:45 Daily Wrap-up 15:45 - 17:00 Session 2C: Poster Session Session Chair: Thomas Aird, NRC/RES/DRA 18:00 - 20:00 Group Dinner: TBD FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2019 08:55 - 09:00 Day 3 Welcome Session 3A: Modeling Frameworks Session Chair: Thomas Nicholson, NRC/RES/DRA 09:00 - 09:25 Structured Hazard Assessment Committee Process for Flooding 3A-1 (SHAC-F) for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA)
Rajiv Prasad* and Phillip Meyer, PNNL; Kevin Coppersmith, Coppersmith Consulting, Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo, Victor M.
Gonzalez, USACE/ERDC/CHL 09:25 - 09:50 Using HEC-WAT to Conduct a PFHA on a Medium Watershed 3A-2 Will Lehman*, Brennan Beam, Matthew Fleming, and Leila Ostadrahimi, USACE, Institute for Water Resources, Hydrologic Engineering Center (IWR/HEC), Joseph Kanney, Meredith Carr, NRC 09:50 - 10:15 Paleoflood Analyses for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessments 3A-3 Approaches and Review Guidelines Tessa Harden*, Karen Ryberg*, Jim E. OConnor, Jonathan M.
Friedman, and Julie E. Kiang, USGS 10:15 - 10:40 Probabilistic Assessment of Flood Hazards Due to Combinations of 3A-4 Flooding Mechanisms: Study Progress and Next Steps Michelle (Shelby) Bensi* and Somayeh Mohammadi, University of Maryland, Shih-Chieh Kao and Scott DeNeale, ORNL 10:40 - 10:55 BREAK
- indicates speaker, ^ indicates remote speaker 5
continued FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2019 Session 3B: External Flooding Operating Experience Session Chair: Thomas Aird, NRC/RES/DRA 10:55 - 11:20 Risk and Operational Insights of the St. Lucie Flooding Event 3B-1 John David Hanna*, NRC Region III, Chicago, IL 11:20 - 11:45 Reflections on Fort Calhoun Flooding Yellow Finding and 2011 3B-2 Flooding Event Response Gerond George*, NRC Region IV, Arlington, TX 11:45 - 12:10 2019 Cooper and Fort Calhoun Flooding Event Response 3B-3 Patricia Vossmar* and Mike Stafford*, NRC Region IV, Arlington, TX 12:10 - 12:25 Panel Discussion 3B-4 12:25 - 13:30 LUNCH Session 3C: Overview of NRC PFHA Pilot Studies Session Chair: TBD 13:30 - 13:40 Local Intense Precipitation Flooding PFHA Pilot 3C-1 Joseph Kanney*, NRC/RES, Rajiv Prasad, PNNL 13:40 - 13:50 Riverine Flooding PFHA Pilot 3C-2 Meredith Carr*, NRC/RES, William Lehman, USACE/HEC 13:50 - 14:00 Coastal Flooding PFHA Pilot 3C-3 Joseph Kanney*, NRC/RES, Norberto Nadal-Caraballo and Victor Gonzalez, USACE/ERDC/CHL 14:00 - 14:10 Panel Discussion 3C-3 Session 3D: Towards External Flooding PRA Session Chair: Mehdi Reisi-Fard, NRC/NRR/DRA 14:10 - 14:35 EPRI External Flooding PRA Activities 3D-1 Marko Randelovic*, Electric Power Research Institute 14:35 - 15:05 KEYNOTE: Computational Methods for External Flooding PRA 3D-2 Curtis L. Smith*, Idaho National Laboratory 15:05 - 15:30 External Flooding PSA in IRSN - developments and insights 3D-3 Maud Kervalla*, Gabriel Georgescu, Claire-Marie Duluc Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety (France) 15:30 - 16:00 Final Wrap-up Discussion
- indicates speaker, ^ indicates remote speaker 6