ML063120572

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G20060915 - Richard Webster Email Regarding Urgent Concerns About Safety at the Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant
ML063120572
Person / Time
Site: Oyster Creek
Issue date: 11/07/2006
From: Webster R
Rutgers Environmental Law Clinic
To: Ashar H, Ashley D, Gillespie F, Daniel Kimble, Reyes L
NRC/EDO, NRC/NRR/ADES/DE/EGCB, NRC/NRR/ADRO/DLR, NRC/RGN-III/DRP/RPB2, NRC/SECY
Byrdsong A T
References
50-219-LR, ASLBP 06-844-01-LR, G20060915, RAS 12489, TAC MD3530
Download: ML063120572 (11)


Text

HeKarngDocket - Urgent- concern regarding current safety at Oyster Creek Nuclear Power.Plant Page 1 From: "Richard Webster" <rwebster @kinoy. rutgers.edu>

To: <dek@nrc.gov>, <dja@nrc.gov>, <fpg@nrc.gov>, <hga@ nrc.gov>, <lar@nrc.gov>,

<SECY@ nrc.gov>

Date: Tue, Nov 7, 2006 10:18 AM

Subject:

Urgent - concern regarding current safety at Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant Mr. Reyes:

Please find attached a letter that we believe raises urgent concerns about safety at the Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant. We therefore respectfully request an urgent response. Thank you for your consideration. DOCKETED USNRC Yours sincerely, Richard Webster November 7, 2006 (10:18am)

OFFICE OF SECRETARY RULEMAKINGS AND ADJUDICATIONS STAFF Richard Webster Staff Attorney Docket No. 50-219-LR Rutgers Environmental Law Clinic 123 Washington Street Newark, NJ 07102 Phone: 973-353-5695 Fax: 973-353-5537 CONFIDENTIAL LEGAL COMMUNICATION/WORK PRODUCT This e-mail may contain privileged and confidential attorney-client communications and/or attorney work product. If you receive this e-mail inadvertently, please reply to the sender and delete all versions on your system.

Thank you.

CC: <Psturmfels @aol.com>, <psturmfels @cleanwater.org>, <gburl @comcast.net>,

<JTauro @comcast.net>, <Wmdecamp @cs.com>, "Lisa Jackson" <Lisa.Jackson @dep.state.nj. us>,

<john.covino @dol. lps.state.nj.us>, <valerie.gray@ dol. lps.state.nj. us>, <bradley.fewell @exeloncorp.com>,

"Debbie Mans" <Debbie.Mans @gov.state.nj.us>, <DanielRosenberg @lautenberg.senate.gov>,

<Caley.Gray@ mail.house.gov>, <Dana. Richter@ mail.house.gov>, <Eric.Gordon @mail.house.gov>,

<Joan.Zielinski @rmail.house.gov>, <Kathryn.Doherty@ mail.house.gov>, <Lisa.Smith @mail.house.gov>,

<Orly.Amir@ mail.house.gov>, <mdonato @micheledonatoesq.com>, <apolonsky@ morganlewis.com>,

<dsilverman @morganlewis.com>, <ksutton @morganlewis.com>, <pgunter@nirs.org>,

<agarber @njpirg.org>, <sleta @njpirg.org>, <Crystal.Snedden @njsierra.org>, <ajb5 @nrc.gov>, "Debra Wolf" <dawl @nrc.gov>, <ERH@nrc.gov>, <HearingDocket@ nrc.gov>, <MAY@nrc.gov>,

<OCAAmail @nrc.gov>, <OGCMailCenter@nrc.gov>, <pba@nrc.gov>, <jeffbrownnj @verizon.net>,

<paulagotsch @verizon.net>, <Deadlinedon @yahoo.com>

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Mail Envelope Properties (4550A3D2.DD5: 13: 24021)

Subject:

Urgent - concern regarding current safety at Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant Creation Date Tue, Nov 7, 2006 10:18 AM From: "Richard Webster" <rwebster@kinoy.rutgers.edu>.

Created By: rwebster@ kinoy.rutgers.edu Recipients nrc.gov OWGWPO01 .HQGWDOO I AJB5 CC (Anthony Baratta)

HGA (Hansraj Ashar)

PBA CC (Paul Abramson) nrc.gov TWGWPO04.HQGWDOO I dawI CC (Debra Wolf)

MAY CC (Mitzi Young)

OCAAMAWL CC nrc.gov ch-po.CHDO DEK (Daniel Kimble) nrc.gov OWGWPOO4.HQGWDOOI ERH CC (E Roy Hawkens) nrc.gov OWGWPO02.HQGWDO0I FPG (Frank Gillespie)

HearingDocket CC (HearingDocket) nrc.gov ARLPO.ARLDO LAR (Lenora Reyna) nrc.gov OWGWPOO3.HQGWDOOI OGCMailCenter CC nrc.gov

TWGWPO02.HQGWDO01 SECY (SECY) yahoo.com Deadlinedon CC verizon.net paulagotsch CC jeffbrownnj CC njsierra.org Crystal.Snedden CC njpirg.org sleta CC agarber CC nirs.org pgunter CC morganlewis.com ksutton CC dsilverman CC apolonsky CC micheledonatoesq.com mdonato CC mail.house.gov Orly.Amir CC Lisa.Smith CC Kathryn.Doherty CC Joan.Zielinski CC Eric.Gordon CC Dana.Richter CC Caley.Gray CC Iautenberg. senate. gov DanielRosenberg CC gov.state.nj.us Debbie.Mans CC (Debbie Mans) exeloncorp.com bradley.fewell CC

c:\temp4iiGW}Oooi .TMP dol.lps.state.nj.us valerie.gray CC john.covino CC dep.state.nj.us Lisa.Jackson CC (Lisa Jackson) cs.com Wmdecamp CC comcast.net JTauro CC gburl CC cleanwater.org psturmfels CC aol.com Psturmfels CC nrc.gov NRCWIAO1 .NRCWDOO1 "dja@nrc.gov" Post Office Route OWGWPO01 .HQGWDOO1 nrc.gov TWGWPO04.HQGWDO01 nrc.gov ch-po.CHDO nrc.gov OWGWPOO4.HQGWDOOI nrc.gov OWGWPOO2.HQGWDOO1 nrc.gov ARLPO.ARLDO nrc.gov OWGWPOO3.HQGWDOO1 nrc.gov TWGWPO02.HQGWDO01 nrc.gov yahoo.com venzon.net njsierra.org njpirg.org nirs.org morganlewis.com micheledonatoesq.com mail.house.gov lautenberg. sen ate.gov gov.state.nj.us

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'dep.state.nj.us cs.com comcast.net cleanwater.org aol.com NRCWIAO1 .NRCWDOO1 nrc.gov Files Size Date & Time MESSAGE 688 Tuesday, November 7, 2006 10:18 AM 20061107 Letter to NRC re current safety.pdf 469633 Mime.822 646005 Options Expiration Date: None Priority: Standard ReplyRequested: No Return Notification: None Concealed

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R UTGERS ENVIR ONMIENTAL LAW CLINIC 123 Washington Sfeet Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey Newark, NJ 07102-3094 School of Law - Newark Phorne: (973) 353-5695 Fax: (973) 353-5537 November 7, 2006 VIA E-MAIL AND US-MAIL Luis A. Reyes Executive Director for Operations United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, DC 20555-0001

Dear Mr. Reyes:

I am writing on behalf of STROC, the citizen's coalition including Nuclear Information and Resource Service (NIRS), Jersey Shore Nuclear Watch, Inc., Grandmothers, Mothers and More for Energy Safety, New Jersey Sierra Club, New Jersey Envirornental Federation (NJEF) and New Jersey Public Interest Research Group (NJPIRG). We are concerned that the NRC does not have reasonable assurance that the Oyster Creek Nuclear Power Plant (the "Plant") meets safety requirements. In particular, the containment system at the Plant is severely corroded and it appears that it did not even meet code requirements in 1992. According to the Atomic Energy Act, NRC is charged with protecting the health and safety of the public. 42 U.S.C. 2102. Thus, unless the NRC has reasonable assurance that the Plant meets safety requirements, it should not allow the Plant to operate.

As is clear, this letter concerns the current safety of the Plant, not relicensing. We therefore believe that it should be addressed by the Commission. However, because the Commission's letter of October 16, 2006 did not respond to Congressional enquiries regarding current safety, and your letter of October 30, 2006 did respond to those concerns, we are writing to you.

One major concern is that the severely corroded areas of the drywell shell appear to have been larger than is allowable since 1992. Recently, the reactor operator, AmerGen, stated in an e-mail to NRC Staff dated April 5, 2006 at 10 (ML060960563) that areas corroded to less than 0.736 inches in thickness "could be contiguous, provided their total area did not exceed one squarefoot" and their average thickness was greater than 0.536 inches. This statement is based on modeling conducted by General Electric ("GE") which showed that a shell with a general uniform thickness of 0.736 inches, but with a one square foot area that was 0.536 inches thick in each bay would meet code requirements. GPU Calculation No. C-1302-187-5320-024 at 9.

However, statements by NRC staff and contractors regarding the safety of the drywell Carter H1. Strickland, Jr., Esq.+ Julia L. Huff, Esq.*+ Kathleen J. Shrekgast, Esq.# Richard Webster, Esq.+

Acting Director Staff Attorney Staff Attorney Staff Attorney cstricklaid@kinoy.rutgsers.ed u jhuff@kinoy.rutgers.edu kshrekgast@kinoy.rutgers.edu rwebster@ldnoy.rutgers.edu

RUTGERS ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CLINIC shell at the October 3, 2006 meeting of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards License Renewal Subcommittee ("ACRS") indicated that the shell maynot meet the stated requirement.

Both Hans Asher and Frank Gillespie asserted that two of the 10 bays had areas of 4 squarefeet that were severely corroded. Transcript of October. 3, 2006 ACRS Meeting ("T.") at 153:22-24, 159:11-15, 179:9-10. Although neither staff member indicated what was meant by severe corrosion, and neither responded to enquiry made on October 5, 2006 regarding this issue, the staff s handout at the ACRS meeting indicated that the modeled thickness was 0.618 inches in Bay 13 and 0.705 inches in Bay 1. In addition, Mr. Asher stated that the inputs Were based on measurements taken in. 1992. T. 173:12-20. Thus, it appears that NRC Staff now believe that the thin areas of the shell in 1992 were already four times bigger than the GE modeling showed was acceptable.

When asked to respond to the concerns of six Congressmen about current safety you suggested that preliminary results from a more recent NRC study of the drywell shell indicated that the shell met code requirements. Letter from Reyes to Saxton dated October 30, 2006. If you are referring to a recent study conducted by Sandia Laboratories, this statement is highly misleading. At the ACRS meeting, one of the authors of the Sandia analysis stated that "we didn't have enough information to do the rigorous level of analysis that GE had done" and the study was not a look at the absolute values of the margin of safety. T. at 169:1-8. In addition,

'Mr. Gillespie indicated that the NRC study was "confirming their number. We're not trying to independently calculate something that's totally ours." T. 180:3-5. Moreover, the analysis presented indicated that the shell was only just above the required margin, and ACRS members indicated that they were concerned that if the location of the degraded areas moved, the safety factor would be reduced. E.g. T. 173:9-11; 163:25-164:3. Finally, even though one of the ACRS-members stated "you have to be pretty thorough with your sensitivity analysis," T. 173:4-6, NRC staff failed to present any analysis of sensitivity to changes in model inputs or estimate of uncertainty of the prediction.

Thus, the NRC cannot rely on the highly uncertain preliminary results of an incomplete study that Was not designed to evaluate absolute safety factors to show that the Plant meets safety requirements. Indeed, if the NRC now estimates that the areas thinner than 0.736 inches in any one bay are larger than one square foot, as staff stated to the ACRS, the NRC must not allow the Plant to restart from the current outage. Furthermore, because the Plant was at best extremely close to its required margin of safety in 1992 and we know that water has been in contact with the exterior of the shell since then, the Plant should not reopen until the measurements now being taken have been thoroughly analyzed and reviewed by NRC staff and the ACRS. Finally, even if the current results show no further deterioration since 1992 and the areas thinner than 0.736 inches are less than one square foot in each bay, further analysis is required to provide a reasonable assurance of safety because of flaws in the GE analysis pointed out by Stress Consulting, Inc. Specifically, Stress found that the GE model could have missed a critical failure mode, namely anti-symmetric buckling, and that more accurate methods are now available to calculate the current margins of safety. For ease of reference, this opinion is attached. Thus, until the structural modeling is redone in a rigorous manner taking full account of uncertainty in the inputs and is reviewed by the NRC Staff and the ACRS, the NRC cannot have any reasonable assurance that the plant meets safety requirements and should not allow the Plant to operate.

R UTGERS ENVIR ONM1ENTAL LA W CLINIC We trust you will understand that this matter is of the utmost importance for those who live close to the plant and in the region. We therefore respectfully request a written response to this letter before the plant reopens, either stating why the NRC believes that there is a reasonable assurance of safety at the Plant, or ordering AmerGen to keep the Plant off-line pending further analysis of the available data and review by the ACRS. Thank you for your consideration and we look forward to hearing from you shortly.

Yours sincerely, Richard Webster c.c. Chairman Dale E. Klein Congressman Christopher H. Smith Congressman Jim Saxton Congressman Robert E. Andrews Congressman Rush Holt Congressman Frank Pallone, Jr.

Congressman Bill Pascrell, Jr.

Governor Jon Corzine Commissioner Lisa Jackson, New Jersey DEP ASLB Service List

- STRESS 13800 Westfair East Drive, Houston, Texas 77041-1101 ENGINEERIN'G Phone: (281) 955-2900 Fax: (281) 955-2638 Website: vvw.stress.corn

~SERVICES INC. HOUSTON - CINCINNATI , NEW ORLEANS a CHICAGO SENIOR PRINCIPALS Fresielent Jan C. rovlur, Ph D., .E.

Solnorvice Prosideni V'W Thomas Asbill. P.E.

July 15, 2006 vice Prosidents Ronald D.Yourit, Ph.D., P.E.

Clincn A XIyWlras Jack E. Miller, PRE.

J. Rae'y Long, RE. Mr. Richard Webster SES Project No.: 131377 PRINCIPALS J W. Alberl, RPE.

V1oa Staff Attorney Claildio Allaovtto,Corp. Lill Koelnnoh Chollo,Pr.D. Rutgers Environmental Law Clinic Mnr`A Bennet, P.C.

Richrd S, I3oswcl, P.C, 123 Washington Street H.1on Chan. C.RA John r. Chippehl, P.C. Newark, NJ 07102 S. Allen Fox, RE, Androas RKani*eas Tel: 973 353-5695 PruoJ. Kovach. CC TarryM.L ncgonier rwebster@kinoy.rutgers.com Douglas .,,M"rriti, Ph.D.

Christopher Malice. Ph.D., P..R Charles A. Millr, P.RE G*orge Itons, PhD.

Subject:

Cursory Check of Structural Analyses, Oyster Creek Drywell Vessel eriShazkolforI David A7re,,hrp, .E.

Krl DJ'Vanderv*,, Ph.D.. P.C.

Keoireth R, 'ahber, P-E.

Dear Mr. Webster:

Robet EC.Wink,PE.

SENIOR ASSOCIATES, STAFF CONSULTANTS Recently, you requested that Stress Engineering Services, Inc. consider several Christopher Alomander Gran A, Arin. PE. documents that you provided and others that were made available to us through Richcrd C. 8Wip. P.E.

MtichnelJ. Cfl nburger, P.C. internet link references from the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. These Ikinrbo;yO, Flor, or. PRE.

GrogGwic P.C. documents concern the license renewal of the Oyster Creek Nuclear Generating DaoidL,Garrotlt Ph.D.

Robert a, Gordon, PhD,, PE. Station.

Daod P,Huoy. P.E, Kenneth R, Riggs, Ph.D.. P.E.

Bobby W. thghl, P E.

SENWOR ASSOCIATES One issue of contention in the license renewal at hand is whether the corroded Ralik B"Mlenoder, PhD.

oannle Cucington drywell shell retains 'adequate strength, for continued service. Your specific Stevon A Gancia MAark Hamilton instructions were to review the structural analyses and comment on the approach used VAl*iainA. iWliise John M. Maore to assess their adequacy. Thus, we did not address any issues related to either the Ron-ldA. Morrison, P.E.

Thoomae L. Pcre, Pri.D.

preexisting corrosion damage or potential ongoing corrosion of the vessel, unless it SMian6, Royer Mahmod Sonil'an, PhD., RE. was salient to our review of the structural analysis work.

Rarnn I. SanPedac. P.E, Daniel A Pills. RE.

M0'tlthw J,Silah, D.Eng., P.E.

Lano E. Wilson This report contains two sections. The first section addresses the general structural STAFF CONSULTANTS analysis methods and results. The second section addresses the ASME Code Ray R. Ayers, Ph.D_ P. E.

J, K,'(, Btoirlee, fiPC provisions. In both sections, it is important to note that our comments and opinions Clinton H, (Clint) Will, P.E.

Y.song Coo, Ph.D, are based on a severely limited review that only touches the highlights of the Joe Frey, P.C.

M;keW. Guat, PhD.. RE. respective subjects. A more detailed review is needed to address these subjects with Lad C. Hasseolring. Ph.D,, P.E.

Daniel Kszywýlck.P.E., CSP *the depth of study necessary to uncover the fundamental differences between the Choarie Ribardo, Jr., Ph.D.

JackieC.Siih, P.C. work that was done in support of the license and the state-of-the-art in structural ASSOCIATES LyleE, Breaux, P.C.

analysis.

P. Jamers Etchamn Roger 0. Cordeo, PhsD.

Nrlpeodu Dutl, Ph.D., PSE.

Konry T.Farrow, PhD.

Structural Analyses IarettA. Hcrnbeig StuartJ, Harbert, PIlD.

At issue is the structural adequacy of the drywell shell, which has the shape of an Dav*dReitri Chad Searcy, Ph-D, inverted light bulb. The primary structural concern is the drywell shell's ability to Obaidrllahr Syed. P.C Leo Vega resist buckling with an adequate margin for continued safe operation.

KevinWrang.Ph D.

SENIOR ANALYSTS lilan BaS,. PhD. The structural analysis results offered by AmerGen were obtained using typical LixlnGcog, Ph.D.

OilipManiar. Ph.D. techniques for the period of time in which the analyses were performed. Due to the 00 Yang, PhD.

ANALYSTS limited computational power that was readily available at the time, the computer-Julian *ecyoya Rhett DVCoon aided analysis performed by General Electric (GE) utilized relatively small slices of Napoleon r. Douglas. Jr.

David Ehvood Mviehal L, Go Karen Lucia DESIGN

  • TESTING
  • ANALYSIS

Mr. Richard Webster Rutgers Environmental Law Clinic July 15, 2006 the vessel, idealized geometries (perfect spheres, cylinders, etc.), and required computationally efficientcalculation techniques. Calculated buckling load behaviors for the idealized geometries were subsequently adjusted using assumptions or "capacity reduction factors" for surface irregularities, plasticity, and local buckling; and the resulting adjusted values were taken as representative of the actual buckling load. GE compared the calculated buckling loads with the imposed loads, and safety margins were determined for comparison to ASME Code minimum requirements. Primarily because of these computational limitations, the finite element analysis performed by GE on the drywall vessel may not be adequate to capture its global behavior, which may be some combination of synirietrical and anti-symmetrical buckling.

The state-of-the-art has progressed far beyond the methods available to structural analysts in the early 1990s. Today, when reconstructing or reverse engineering existing structures, it is routine to use laser devices to generate "point clouds" that fllly define the surfaces of pressure vessels, including any irregularities. The point clouds are digitalized, and the digitized information is converted into a mathematical representation of the actual surface shape, which is subsequently utilized for full three-dimensional modeling. Since the resulting models account for actual surface waviness, unevenness, bulges, facets, and other potentially deleterious geometric surface conditions, there is no longer any need to resort to the use of "capacity reduction factors" to determine buckling loads, as the GE analysts were forced to do.

The digitized surface is converted into a form suitable for meshing and further processing using finite element analysis (FEA). The mesh areas are then assigned the corroded thicknesses at the specific areas where they actually occur, and any future corrosion allowance is subtracted from the thickness at this .time. The FEA mesh density would then be generated as fine as needed to capture the stiffness that resists buckling. The simulated loads are then applied and the buckling load and shape are directly calculated without needing imposed perturbations or anything except the measured geometry and thicknesses.

Utilization of point cloud surface mapping techniques along with measurements that represent the actual wall thickness is thought to give the most accurate structural analysis results possible, with the fewest assumptions, using current technology. Three-dimensional thin shell analyses can be done today with few assumptions concerning stiffness and in a way that complies with Case N-284-1-1320.

ASME Code' Provisions At issue is whether the Code is the best tool available for detennining the drywell's fitness for continued service.

In general, the Code establishes rules of safety relating only to pressure integrity and governing the construction2 of boilers, pressure vessels, transport tanks, and nuclear components. Its ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code,Section III, Nuclear Components, and Section VIII, Rulesfor Construction of Pressure Vessels, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Three Park Avenue, New York, NY 10016 2 Construction, as used in the Code, is an all-inclusive term comprising materials, design, fabrication, examination, inspection, testing, certification, and pressure relief.

Stress Engineering Services, Inc. Page 2 SES Project No.: 131377

Mr. Richard Webster Rutgers Environmental Law Clinic July 15, 2006 wording allows for some latitude in design and analysis methods, anticipates that deterioration of pressure vessels will occur, requires the use of engineering judgment, and recognizes the inevitability of technological progress in design and analysis methods. The following statements, which we excerpted from the FOREWORD of the current edition of the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, support this contention.

"The Committee'sfunction is to establish rules of safety, relating only to pressure integrity,governing the construction of boilers, pressure vessels, transport tanks and nuclear components, and inservice inspectionfor pressure integrity of nuclear components and transport tanks, and to interpretthese rules when questions arise regarding their intent... With few exceptions, these rules do not, of practical necessity, reflect the likelihood and consequences of deteriorationin service relating to specific service fluids or external operating environments. Recognizing this, the Committee has approved a wide variety of construction rules in this Section to allow the user or his designee to select those which will provide a pressure vessel having a marginfor deteriorationin service so as to give a reasonably long, safe period of usefulness. Accordingly, it is not intended that this Section be used as a design handbook; rather, engineeringjudgment must be employed in the selection of those sets of Code rules suitable to any specific service or need... The Committee recognizes that tools and techniques used for design and analysis change as technology progresses and expects engineers to use goodjudgment in the application of these tools."

Clearly, the authors of the Code never intended that its rules be used as the only arbiter of pressure vessel structural integrity. Neither did the authors intend the rules be used to extend, possibly unreasonably, the useful life a significantly corroded nuclear pressure vessel such as the drywell. Nonetheless, some continue to rely on Code construction rules for these purposes.

They continue to do so despite the existence of tools such as three-dimensional thin shell analysis that have proven to be more than adequate for nuclear applications when applied in the presence of seasoned engineering judgment.

Respectfully Submitted, Richard C. Biel, P. E.

Staff Consultant Stress Engineering Services, Inc.

J. Kirk Brownlee, P. E.

Staff Consultant Stress Engineering Services, Inc.

SES Project No.: 131377 Services, Inc.

Engineering Services, Stress Engineering Inc. Page 33 Page SES Project No.: 131377