PNP 2014-063, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors: Difference between revisions

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{{#Wiki_filter:* Entergy Entergy Entergy Nuclear Nuclear Operations, Operations, Inc Inc..
{{#Wiki_filter:Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.
Palisades Palisades Nuclear Nuclear Plant Plant 27780 Blue 27780  Blue Star Star Memorial Memorial Highway Highway Covert, MI 49043-9530
Palisades Nuclear Plant 27780 Blue Star Memorial Highway Entergy 4:o953o Anthony J Vitale Site Vice President PNP 201 4-063 June 17, 2014 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, DC 20555-0001
~ Entergy                                                                   4:o953o Tel 269 764 2000 Anthony JJ Vitale Anthony     Vitale Site Vice President Site Vice  President PNP 2014-063 PNP   201 4-063 17, 2014 June 17, Nuclear Regulatory Commission U. S. Nuclear ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, DC 20555-0001


==SUBJECT:==
==SUBJECT:==
Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Performance-Based Standard for Fire Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Protection for Light Water Reactors Palisades Nuclear Plant Docket 50-255 License No. DPR-20
Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors Palisades Nuclear Plant Docket 50-255 License No. DPR-20


==References:==
==References:==
: 1. ENO letter, PNP 2012-106, "License License Amendment Request to Adopt Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light NFPA 805 Performance-Based Water Reactors,"
1.
Reactors, dated December 12, 2012 (ADAMS Accession Number ML ML12348A455) 12348A455)
ENO letter, PNP 2012-106, License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated December 12, 2012 (ADAMS Accession Number ML12348A455) 2.
: 2. ENO letter, PNP 2013-013, Response "Response to Clarification Request-Request License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors,"
ENO letter, PNP 2013-013, Response to Clarification Request
Reactors, dated February 21, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13079A090)
 
ML13079A090)
License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated February 21, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13079A090) 3.
: 3. NRC electronic mail of August 8, 2013, Palisades "Palisades - Requests for Additional Information Regarding Transition to the Fire Protection Program to NFPA Standard 805 (TAC No. MF0382)  MF0382)" (ADAMS Accession Number Number ML13220B131)
NRC electronic mail of August 8, 2013, Palisades
ML13220B131 )
- Requests for Additional Information Regarding Transition to the Fire Protection Program to NFPA Standard 805 (TAC No. MF0382) (ADAMS Accession Number ML13220B131) 4.
: 4. ENO
ENO letter, PNP 2013-075, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated September 30, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number MLI 3273A469) 5.
: 4. ENO letter, letter, PNP PNP 2013-075, 2013-075, Response "Response to to Request Request for  for Additional Additional Information Information - License License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA       NFPA 805805 Performance    -Based Standard Performance-Based     Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, Reactors", dated dated September September 30, 2013 (ADAMS 30,2013  (ADAMS Accession Number   Number MLI  3273A469)
ENO letter, PNP 2013-079, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated October 24, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13298A044)
ML13273A469)
~ Entergy PNP 2014-063 June 17, 2014 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, DC 20555-0001 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.
: 5. ENO
Palisades Nuclear Plant 27780 Blue Star Memorial Highway Covert, MI 49043-9530 Tel 269 764 2000 Anthony J Vitale Site Vice President
: 5. ENO letter, letter, PNP PNP 2013-079, 2013-079, Response "Response to to Request Request for  for Additional Information Information - License License Amendment Request Request to  to Adopt Adopt NFPANFPA 805805 Performance   -Based Standard Performance-Based      Standard for for Fire Fire Protection Protection for for Light Light Water Water Reactors, Reactors", dated dated October October 24, 2013 (ADAMS 24,2013   (ADAMS Accession Accession Number Number ML1  3298A044)
 
ML13298A044)
==SUBJECT:==
Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors Palisades Nuclear Plant Docket 50-255 License No. DPR-20
 
==References:==
: 1. ENO letter, PNP 2012-106, "License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors," dated December 12, 2012 (ADAMS Accession Number ML12348A455)
: 2. ENO letter, PNP 2013-013, "Response to Clarification Request-License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors," dated February 21, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13079A090)
: 3. NRC electronic mail of August 8, 2013, "Palisades - Requests for Additional Information Regarding Transition to the Fire Protection Program to NFPA Standard 805 (TAC No. MF0382)" (ADAMS Accession Number ML13220B131 )
: 4. ENO letter, PNP 2013-075, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated September 30,2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13273A469)
: 5. ENO letter, PNP 2013-079, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated October 24,2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13298A044)
 
PNP 2014-063 Page 2 of 3 6.
END letter, PNP 2013-083, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated December 2, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13336A649) 7.
NRC electronic mail of March 11, 2014, Requests for Additional Information Palisades NFPA 805 Project LAR
- MF0382 (ADAMS Accession Number ML14118A293) 8.
END letter, PNP 20 14-035, Revised Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated April 2, 2014 9.
END letter, PNP 2014-050, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated May 7, 2014
: 10. NRC electronic mail of May 21, 2014, Requests for Additional Information PRA
- Palisades NFPA 805 LAR
- MF0382 (ADAMS Accession Number ML14142A104)


PNP 2014-063 PNP   2014-063 Page   of 33 Page 22 of
==Dear Sir or Madam:==
: 6. ENO
In Reference 1, Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (END) submitted a license amendment request to adopt the NFPA 805 performance-based standard for fire protection for light water reactors. In Reference 2, ENO responded to a clarification request. In Reference 3, END received electronic mail Request for Additional Information (RAls).
: 6. END letter, letter, PNP PNP 2013-083, 2013-083, "Response Response to   to Request Request for   for Additional Additional Information - License Information        License Amendment Amendment Request Request to     Adopt NFPA to Adopt      NFPA 805805 Performance-Based Standard Performance-Based           Standard for for Fire Fire Protection Protection for  for Light Light Water Water Reactors, dated Reactors",     dated December December 2,    2, 2013 2013 (ADAMS (ADAMS Accession Accession Number Number ML113336A649)
In Reference 4, ENO submitted the 60-day RAI responses.
ML    3336A649)
In Reference 5, END submitted the revised 90-day RAI responses.
NRC electronic mail of
In Reference 6, END submitted the 120-day RAI responses. In Reference 7, END received electronic mail RAts on Fire Modeling.
: 7. NRC                           of March March 11,2014, 11, 2014, "Requests Requests for Additional Information - Palisades - NFPA Information                        NFPA 805 Project Project LAR LAR - MF0382"
In Reference 8, END submitted the revised response to RAI SSA 07.
                                                                                            -  MF0382 (ADAMS (ADAMS Accession NumberNumber ML    ML141    18A293) 14118A293)
In Reference 9, END submitted responses to the Fire Modeling RAls.
END letter, PNP 2014-035,
In Reference 10, END received electronic mail RAts on Fire PRA. Per discussion with the NRC, the RAI response schedule for the RAls in Reference 10 is as follows:
: 8. ENO                      20 14-035, "Revised Revised Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water 805 Performance-Based Reactors, Reactors", dated April 2, 2014 END letter, PNP 2014-050, "Response
PRA RAls due in 30 days (no later than June 20, 2014):
: 9. ENO                                      Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Performance-Based Reactors, dated May 7,2014 Reactors",                    7, 2014
PRA 01.e.01, PRA 01.f.01, PRA 01.h.01, PRA 01.h.02, PRA 01.k.01, PRA 01.mm.01, PRA 01.q.01, PRA 01.r.01, PRA 01.y.01, PRA 12.01, PRA 31 PNP 2014-063 Page 2 of 3
: 10. NRC electronic mail of May 21, 2014, "Requests
: 6. ENO letter, PNP 2013-083, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated December 2, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13336A649)
: 10.                                                      Requests for Additional Information - PRA - Palisades - NFPA 805 LAR - MF0382"
: 7. NRC electronic mail of March 11,2014, "Requests for Additional Information - Palisades - NFPA 805 Project LAR - MF0382" (ADAMS Accession Number ML14118A293)
                                                -                                      -  MF0382 (ADAMS Accession Number ML          ML14142A114142A104)  04)
: 8. ENO letter, PNP 2014-035, "Revised Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated April 2, 2014
: 9. ENO letter, PNP 2014-050, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated May 7,2014
: 10. NRC electronic mail of May 21, 2014, "Requests for Additional Information - PRA - Palisades - NFPA 805 LAR - MF0382" (ADAMS Accession Number ML14142A104)  


==Dear Sir or Madam:==
==Dear Sir or Madam:==
In Reference 1, Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (ENO) submitted a license amendment request to adopt the NFPA 805 performance-based standard for fire protection for light water reactors. In Reference 2, ENO responded to a clarification request. In Reference 3, ENO received electronic mail Request for Additional Information (RAls). In Reference 4, ENO submitted the 60-day RAI responses. In Reference 5, ENO submitted the revised 90-day RAI responses. In Reference 6, ENO submitted the 120-day RAI responses. In Reference 7, ENO received electronic mail RAls on Fire Modeling. In Reference 8, ENO submitted the revised response to RAI SSA 07. In Reference 9, END submitted responses to the Fire Modeling RAls. In Reference 10, ENO received electronic mail RAls on Fire PRA. Per discussion with the NRC, the RAI response schedule for the RAls in Reference 10 is as follows:
PRA RAls due in 30 days (no later than June 20, 2014):
PRA 01.e.01, PRA 01.f.01, PRA 01.h.01, PRA 01.h.02, PRA 01.k.01,
PRA 01.mm.01, PRA 01.q.01, PRA 01.r.01, PRA 01.y.01, PRA 12.01, PRA 31


Madam:
PNP 2014-063 Page 3 of 3 PRA RAIs due in 90 days (no later than August 19, 2014):
In Reference 1,  1, Entergy Nuclear Nuclear Operations, Operations, Inc. (END)  (ENO) submitted a license amendment amendment requestrequest to adopt adopt thethe NFPA NFPA 805  805 performance performance-based-based standard standard for fire protection for light light  water    reactors. In In Reference 2,    2, ENO ENO responded to aa clarification clarification request.
PRAO1.j.01, PRAO1.LO1, PRA 17.b.01, PRA2O.01, PRA23.01, PRA 23.a.01, PRA 23.c.01, PRA 28.a.01, PRA 30 In Attachment 1, ENO is providing 30-day responses to the RAIs noted above.
request. In In Reference Reference 33, END ENO received electronic electronic mailmail Request Request for for Additional Additional Information Information (RAls).
A copy of this response has been provided to the designated representative of the State of Michigan.
(RAls). In In Reference Reference 4,        ENO submitted 4, ENO      submitted thethe 60-day 60-day RAI RAI responses.
This letter contains no new commitments and no revisions to existing commitments.
responses. In    In Reference Reference 5,  5, END ENO submitted submitted the the revised revised 90-day 90-day RAIRAI responses. In      In Reference Reference 6, 6, END ENO submitted    the  120-day submitted the 120-day RAI    RAI    responses.      In  Reference In Reference 7,    7, END ENO received received electronic electronic mail mail RAts RAls on on Fire Fire Modeling.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on June 17, 2014.
Modeling. In  In Reference Reference 8,  8, END ENO submitted submitted the the revised revised response response to  to RAI RAI SSA SSA 07.
Sincerely,
: 07. InIn Reference Reference 9,  9, END END submitted submitted responses responses to  to the  Fire Modeling the Fire    Modeling RAls. RAls. In In Reference Reference 10,  10, END ENO received received electronic electronic mailmail RAts RAls onon Fire Fire PRA.
PRA. Per Per discussion discussion with with the the
: NRC, NRC, the the RAI RAI response response schedule schedule for      the RAls for the  RAls in in Reference Reference 10  10 is is as as follows:
follows:
PRA PRA RAls RAls duedue inin 30 30 days days (no(no later later than than June June 20,20, 2014):
2014):
  **  PRA PRA 01    .e.01, PRA 01.e.01,   PRA 01    .f.01, PRA 01.f.01,   PRA 01    .h.01, PRA 01.h.01,     PRA 01  .h.02, PRA 01.h.02,   PRA 01    01.k.01
                                                                                                  .k.01, ,
PRA PRA 01    .mm.01, PRA 01.mm.01,      PRA 01    .q.01, PRA 01.q.01,     PRA 01    .r.01, PRA 01.r.01,  PRA 01    .y.01, PRA 01.y.01,    PRA 12.01,12.01, PRA PRA 31  31


PNP 2014-063 PNP     2014-063 Page Page 33 of of 33 PRA RAls PRA      RAIs duedue in in 90 90 days days (no   later than (no later  than August August 19,19, 2014):
==Attachment:==
2014):
: 1. Response to Request for Additional Information Regarding License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors cc:
* PRAO1.j.01, PRA               PRAO1.LO1 01.j.01, PRA               PRA 17.b.01, 01.1.01,, PRA     17.b.01, PRA PRA2O.01,    PRA23.01, 20.01, PRA   23.01, PRA     23.a.01, PRA PRA 23.a.01,      PRA 23.c.01, 23.c.01, PRA PRA 28.a.01, 28.a.01, PRA PRA 3030 In Attachment 1, In                      ENO is 1, END   is providing providing 30-day 30-day responses responses to to the RAIs noted the RAls noted above.
Administrator, Region Ill, USNRC Project Manager, Palisades, USN RC Resident Inspector, Palisades, USNRC State of Michigan ajv/jpm PNP 2014-063 Page 3 of 3 PRA RAls due in 90 days (no later than August 19, 2014):
above.
PRA 01.j.01, PRA 01.1.01, PRA 17.b.01, PRA 20.01, PRA 23.01, PRA 23.a.01, PRA 23.c.01, PRA 28.a.01, PRA 30 In Attachment 1, END is providing 30-day responses to the RAls noted above.
A copy of      this response of this response has has been been provided provided to  to the the designated representative representative of of the the State State of Michigan.
A copy of this response has been provided to the designated representative of the State of Michigan.
This letter contains no new commitments This                                commitments and no revisions to existing commitments.
This letter contains no new commitments and no revisions to existing commitments.
commitments.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on June 17, 2014.
I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on June 17, 2014.
Sincerely, ajv/jpm ajv/jpm
Sincerely, ajv/jpm  


==Attachment:==
==Attachment:==
: 1. Response to Request for Additional Information Regarding License Amendment 1.
: 1. Response to Request for Additional Information Regarding License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors cc:
Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance                 -Based Standard for Fire Protection for Performance-Based Light Water Reactors cc:           Administrato Administrator, r, Region Ill, III, USNRC USNRC Project Project Manager, Manager, Palisades, Palisades, USN USNRCRC Resident Inspector,      Palisades, Inspector, Palisades, USNRC USNRC State State of of Michigan Michigan
Administrator, Region III, USNRC Project Manager, Palisades, USNRC Resident Inspector, Palisades, USNRC State of Michigan  


ATTACHMENT 11 ATTACHMENT RESPONSE TO RESPONSE       TO REQUEST REQUEST FOR      FOR ADDITIONAL ADDITIONAL INFORMATION INFORMATION REGARDING LICENSE REGARDING           LICENSE AMENDMENT AMENDMENT REQUEST    REQUEST TO        TO ADOPT ADOPT NFPA NFPA 805805 PERFORMA        NCE-BASED PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARD         STANDARD FOR      FOR FIRE FIRE PROTECTION PROTECTION FOR    FOR LIGHT WATER LIGHT      WATER REACTORS REACTORS NRC REQUEST NRC     REQUEST PRA RAI01.e.01 PRA    RAI O1.e.O1 The response The  response to       PRA RAJ to PRA    RAI 01.e, 01.e, in in the the letter letter dated     December 2, dated December           2, 2013, 2013, Agencywide Agencywide Documents        Access    and Documents Access and Management Management System   System (ADAMS)
ATTACHMENT 1 RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST TO ADOPT NFPA 805 PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARD FOR FIRE PROTECTION FOR LIGHT WATER REACTORS NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.e.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.e, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML13336A649, stated that the primary coolant pump (PCP) seal failure model used the methodology presented in WCAP-15749-P, Revision 1, Guidance for the Implementation of the Combustion Engineering Owners Group (CEOG) Model for Failure of Reactor Coolant Pump Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), December 2008. This topical has not been endorsed by the NRC.
(ADAMS) Accession Accession No. No. ML ML13336A649, 13336A649, stated that stated    that the the primary primary coolant coolant pump pump (PCP)(PCP) seal seal failure failure model model usedused the the methodology methodology presented in presented       in WCAP-15749-P, WCAP- 15749-P, Revision Revision 1,   1, IIGuidance Guidance for  for the the Implementation Implementation of  of the the Combustion Engineering Combustion       Engineering Owners Owners Group Group (CEOG)
Describe whether the PCP seal failure is the same for both the compliant and the post-transition PRA models such that the impact of this model on the change in risk estimates is minimal. If the PCP seal model differs between the compliant and post-transition PRA models, or if the model has a substantive impact on the change in risk estimates, provide a summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA.
(CEOG) Model for Failure     Failure of of Reactor Coolant Coolant Pump Seals Pump     Seals Given Given Loss of Seal Cooling Cooling (Task 2083)':2083), December 2008. This        This topical has not has    not been been endorsed endorsed by by the NRC.
ENO RESPONSE The primary coolant pump seal failure model is based on the topical report generated by the owners group and endorsed by the NRC (WCAP-16175-P-A).
NRC.
As part of a model update the revised topical report WCAP-15749-P, was reviewed for impact on the implementation of the seal model. WCAP-1 5749-P provides guidance on implementation of the seal model as developed per WCAP-1 6175-P-A. The review of WCAP-15749-P documented that no changes to the existing seal model were required and none were made.
Describe whether Describe       whether the PCP seal failure is the same for both the compliant and the post-transition transition PRAPRA models such that the impact of this model on the change in risk estimates is estimates      is minimal.
Therefore, the existing seal model remains consistent with the consensus model as endorsed by the NRC as documented in WCAP-16175-P-A.
minimal. If the PCP seal model differs between the compliant and post-transition    PRA transition PRA models, or if the model has a substantive impact on the change in risk estimates, provide estimates,      provide a summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA.
The seal model incorporated into the PRA model consists of two principal elements.
in the PRA.
The first element is development and incorporation of seal failure probabilities into the PRA model. The second element includes the plant specific elements with respect to maintaining seal cooling, instrument and control related to primary coolant pump operation and the human error probability for failure to trip the primary coolant pumps.
ENO    RESPONSE ENO RESPONSE The The primary coolant pump seal failure model is based on the topical report generated                  generated by the owners the  owners groupgroup and endorsed by the NRC (WCAP-161    (WCAP-16175-P-A). 75-P-A).
Page 1 of 18 ATTACHMENT 1 RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST TO ADOPT NFPA 805 PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARD FOR FIRE PROTECTION FOR LIGHT WATER REACTORS NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.e.01 The response to PRA RAJ 01.e, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML13336A649, stated that the primary coolant pump (PCP) seal failure model used the methodology presented in WCAP-15749-P, Revision 1, IIGuidance for the Implementation of the Combustion Engineering Owners Group (CEOG) Model for Failure of Reactor Coolant Pump Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083)': December 2008. This topical has not been endorsed by the NRC.
As As part part ofof a model model update the revised topical report     report WCAP-1574 WCAP-15749-P,            was reviewed 9-P, was   reviewed for impact impact on on the the implementat implementation ion of of the the seal seal model.
Describe whether the PCP seal failure is the same for both the compliant and the post-transition PRA models such that the impact of this model on the change in risk estimates is minimal. If the PCP seal model differs between the compliant and post-transition PRA models, or if the model has a substantive impact on the change in risk estimates, provide a summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA.
model. WCAP-1 WCAP-15749-P 5749-P provides provides guidance guidance on on implementati implementation of on  of  the seal model model as as developed developed per  per WCAP-1         6175-P-A. The WCAP-16175-P-A.             The review of of WCAP-1574 WCAP-15749-P     9-P documented documented that that no no changes changes to  to the the existing existing sealseal model model were were required required and none and  none werewere made.
ENO RESPONSE The primary coolant pump seal failure model is based on the topical report generated by the owners group and endorsed by the NRC (WCAP-16175-P-A).
made.
As part of a model update the revised topical report WCAP-157 49-P, was reviewed for impact on the implementation of the seal model. WCAP-15749-P provides guidance on implementation of the seal model as developed per WCAP-16175-P-A. The review of WCAP-15749-P documented that no changes to the existing seal model were required and none were made.
Therefore, Therefore, the  the existing existing seal seal model model remains remains consistent consistent with with thethe consensus consensus model model as as endorsed      by  the  NRC    as documented endorsed by the NRC as documented in                in WCAP-1617 WCAP-16175-P-A. 5-P-A.
Therefore, the existing seal model remains consistent with the consensus model as endorsed by the NRC as documented in WCAP-16175-P-A.
The The seal seal model model incorporated incorporated into into the the PRAPRA model model consists consists of  of two two principal principal elements.
The seal model incorporated into the PRA model consists of two principal elements.
elements.
The first element is development and incorporation of seal failure probabilities into the PRA model. The second element includes the plant specific elements with respect to maintaining seal cooling, instrument and control related to primary coolant pump operation and the human error probability for failure to trip the primary coolant pumps.
The   first element   is development The first element is development and        and incorporation incorporation of    of seal seal failure failure probabilities probabilities into into the the PRA PRA model.
Page 1 of 18  
model. The The second second element element includes includes the the plant plant specific specific elements elements with with respect respect toto maintaining      seal  cooling,  instrument maintaining seal cooling, instrument and          and control control related related to  to primary primary coolant coolant pump pump operation operation and and the the human human error error probability probability for for failure failure toto trip trip the the primary primary coolant coolant pumps.
pumps.
Page Page 11 of of 18 18


The seal The    seal failure failure probabilities probabilities were  were developed developed per    per and and remain remain consistent consistent with   with thethe criteria criteria ofof WCAP-16175-P-A.
The seal failure probabilities were developed per and remain consistent with the criteria of WCAP-1 6175-P-A. The probability of seal failure based on the seal model is the same for both the compliant and post-transition plant. The probability of seal failure was not altered in the post transition plant results.
WCAP-1 6175-P-A. The         The probability probability of  of seal seal failure failure based based on the seal model is the on  the    seal  model      is the same for same       for both both thethe compliant compliant and   and post-transition post-transition plant. plant. TheThe probability probability of   of seal seal failure failure was was not altered not    altered in in the the post post transition transition plantplant results.
The probability of failure of support systems required for seal cooling and instrument and control necessary to trip the pumps is a plant specific input to the PRA model logic and is not governed by the consensus model. This element of the model is based on plant specific features with one exception. The human error probability for tripping the primary coolant pumps is based on the time available to accomplish the action defined by WCAP-1 6175-P-A.
results.
Modification S2-5 (Provide Alternate Method of Tripping Primary Coolant Pumps during Fire Event) as described in Attachment S Table S-2 of the original PNP LAR is being implemented as part of transition to NFPA 805. This modification will provide an alternate capability to trip the primary coolant pumps from the control room.
The probability The     probability of of failure failure of of support support systems systems required required for for seal seal cooling cooling and  and instrument instrument and control and   control necessary necessary to         trip the to trip    the pumps pumps is   is aa plant plant specific specific input input to the PRA model to  the  PRA      model logic logic and   is not governed and is not governed by          by the the consensus consensus model. model. This This element element of  of the the model model is  is based based on on plant specific plant     specific features features with with oneone exception.
Implementation of the modification impacts the plant specific inputs to the seal model.
exception. The   The human human errorerror probability probability for       tripping for tripping the  the primary coolant primary      coolant pumps pumps is   is based based on on the the time time available available to to accomplish accomplish the     the action action defined defined by WCAP-16175-P-A.
Therefore, the difference between the variant and post-transition plant in the PRA model with respect to primary coolant pump seals is in the instrument and control logic associated with pump operation. The variant plant represents the existing plant (no modification). The post transition plant model includes the alternative capability to trip the pumps from the control room. The post-transition plant is compliant with respect to the requirement to ensure primary coolant pumps can be tripped from the control room following a fire. Consequently there is no difference between the compliant and post transition plant.
by  WCAP-1 6175-P-A.
The modification reduces the risk associated with the existing pump control circuits which may preclude the ability to trip the pumps due to fire affects. Logic associated with the proposed modification is the only difference between the variant and post-transition plant with respect to the pump seal model.
Modification S2-5 Modification        S2-5 (Provide (Provide Alternate Alternate Method Method of    of Tripping Tripping Primary Primary Coolant Coolant PumpsPumps duringduring Fire Event)
A summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA are not required because the difference in the seal model is:
Fire  Event) as  as described in      in Attachment STable  S Table S-2  S-2 of the original original PNP PNP LAR        is LAR is beingbeing implemented as part implemented              part of of transition to NFPA 805. This modification      modification will  will provide provide an alternate capability to trip the primary coolant pumps from the control room.
in the plant specific element of the model, related to a modification to improve plant capability, and NOT related to the probability that the seal will fail on loss of cooling
alternate Implementation of the modification impacts the plant specific inputs to the seal model.
Implementation Therefore, the difference between the variant and post-transition Therefore,                                                                    post-transition plant in the PRA model with with    respect     to   primary     coolant     pump seals is in the instrument and control logic associated with pump operation. The variant plant represents the existing plant (no associated modification). The post transition plant model includes the altemative modification).                                                                            alternative capability to trip the pumps from the control room. The post-transition the                                                          post-transition plant is compliant with respect to the   requirement to ensure primary coolant pumps can be tripped from the control room the requirement following a fire. Consequently Consequently there is no difference between the 'compliant'                  compliant and 'post-  post transition transition' plant.
The The modification reduces the risk associated with the existing pump                            pump control circuits which which      may   preclude     the   ability to trip the   pumps       due due to fire affects. Logic associated with with the proposed modification is the only difference between the variant and post-                                      post-transition transition plant with respect to the pump            pump seal seal model.
model.
A A summary summary of   of the the method method and    and the the quantitative quantitative results that    that are are used used in  in the PRA PRA are not    not required     because       the   difference required because the difference in the seal model  in the   seal   model is: is:
        **  in in the the plant plant specific specific element element of  of the the model, model,
        **  related related to to aa modification modification to     to improve improve plant plant capability, capability,
        **  and and NOTNOT related related to   to the the probability probability that  that the the seal seal will will fail fail on on loss loss ofof cooling cooling REFERENC


==REFERENCES:==
==REFERENCES:==
ES:
: 1. WCAP-1 6175-P-A (Formerly CE NPSD 1199 P, Revision 1), Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling in CE NSSS Plants, March 2007.
1.1. WCAP-1       6175-P-A (Formerly WCAP-16175-P-A              (Formerly CE    CE NPSD NPSD 1199  1199 P, P, Revision Revision 1),  1), Model Model for for Failure Failure of of RCP    Seals    Given    Loss      of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling in  Seal  Cooling      in CE CE NSSS NSSS Plants, Plants, March March 2007.2007.
: 2. WCAP-1 5749-P, Guidance for the Implementation of the CEOG Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), Revision 1, December 2008.
2.
Page 2 of 18 The seal failure probabilities were developed per and remain consistent with the criteria of WCAP-16175-P-A. The probability of seal failure based on the seal model is the same for both the compliant and post-transition plant. The probability of seal failure was not altered in the post transition plant results.
: 2. WCAP-1         5749-P, Guidance WCAP-15749-P,            Guidance for    for the the Implementat Implementation   ion of of the the CEOG CEOG Model  Model for  for Failure Failure ofof RCP    Seals    Given    Loss      of Seal  Cooling RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083),            (Task    2083), Revision Revision 1,1, December December 2008. 2008.
The probability of failure of support systems required for seal cooling and instrument and control necessary to trip the pumps is a plant specific input to the PRA model logic and is not governed by the consensus model. This element of the model is based on plant specific features with one exception. The human error probability for tripping the primary coolant pumps is based on the time available to accomplish the action defined by WCAP-16175-P-A.
Page Page 22 of   of 18 18
Modification S2-5 (Provide Alternate Method of Tripping Primary Coolant Pumps during Fire Event) as described in Attachment STable S-2 of the original PNP LAR is being implemented as part of transition to NFPA 805. This modification will provide an alternate capability to trip the primary coolant pumps from the control room.
Implementation of the modification impacts the plant specific inputs to the seal model.
Therefore, the difference between the variant and post-transition plant in the PRA model with respect to primary coolant pump seals is in the instrument and control logic associated with pump operation. The variant plant represents the existing plant (no modification). The post transition plant model includes the altemative capability to trip the pumps from the control room. The post-transition plant is compliant with respect to the requirement to ensure primary coolant pumps can be tripped from the control room following a fire. Consequently there is no difference between the 'compliant' and 'post-transition' plant.
The modification reduces the risk associated with the existing pump control circuits which may preclude the ability to trip the pumps due to fire affects. Logic associated with the proposed modification is the only difference between the variant and post-transition plant with respect to the pump seal model.
A summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA are not required because the difference in the seal model is:
in the plant specific element of the model, related to a modification to improve plant capability, and NOT related to the probability that the seal will fail on loss of cooling


NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAI01.f.01 PRA     RAIO1.f.O1 The response The     response to     PRA RAI to PRA     RAI 01.f 01.f in in the the letter letter dated     December 2, dated December           2, 2013, 2013, ADAMS ADAMS Accession Accession No. ML  13336A    649    indicates    that  the  circuit No. ML13336A649 indicates that the circuit analysis of        analysis        identified instrumentation of identified   instrumentation for   for dominant operator Iidominant"     operator actions actions hashas been been completed completed and  and will will be    incorporated into be incorporated     into the the transition fire transition    fire PRA PRA riskrisk results, results, which which is is to to be be provided provided in   in response response to     PRA RAI to PRA    RAI 30.30.
==REFERENCES:==
: a. Discuss what  what is meant by Iidominant" dominant relative to RG     AG 1.200's, 1.200s, I~n An Approach For Determining The Determining        The Technical Technical Adequacy Of        Of Probabilistic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Results      Results For Risk-Informe Risk-Informed         Activities, definition d Activities",   definition of aa significant basic event and          and whether these these non-dominant actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA.
: 1. WCAP-16175-P-A (Formerly CE NPSD 1199 P, Revision 1), Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling in CE NSSS Plants, March 2007.
non-11dominant"
: 2. WCAP-15749-P, Guidance for the Implementation of the CEOG Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), Revision 1, December 2008.
: b. If not assumed to be failed, justify this treatment by discussing the risk significance non-dominant operator actions on the transition risk results.
Page 2 of 18
of the credited non-dominant
 
NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.f.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.f in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649 indicates that the circuit analysis of identified instrumentation for dominant operator actions has been completed and will be incorporated into the transition fire PRA risk results, which is to be provided in response to PRA RAI 30.
: a. Discuss what is meant by dominant relative to AG 1.200s, An Approach For Determining The Technical Adequacy Of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Results For Risk-Informed Activities, definition of a significant basic event and whether these non-dominant actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA.
b.
If not assumed to be failed, justify this treatment by discussing the risk significance of the credited non-dominant operator actions on the transition risk results.
ENO RESPONSE a.
Dominant operator actions in the context of the discussion provided in the original response to 01.f was related to a set of operator actions which would be required to be maintained as detailed human error probabilities (HEPs) to offset increases in core damage frequency (ODE) resulting from the assignment of screening or scoping HEPs to other human failure events (HEEs).
In addition, the discussion does not mean that other (non dominant) actions did not already have instrumentation supporting the operator action included in the model. The discussion was only meant to convey that some actions in the dominant set did not have instrumentation available at that time.
b.
It is not the case that all non dominant operator actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA. The group of non-dominant operator actions includes two subsets comprised of HFEs assigned either scoping or screening values. HFEs assigned a screening value (1.0), are assumed failed in the fire PRA. Events assigned scoping values are analyzed in the same manner as the dominant HFEs to the extent that instrumentation is included in the model, fire induced impacts are considered; access to the area where the action is to be completed is required, operator ability to complete the action is required and instrumentation availability impacts are considered.
Scoping HFEs without supporting instrumentation included in the model or those for which the fire fails the instrumentation would be failed in the fire PRA. Revised risk results reflecting the implementation of the above process for incorporation of operator actions will be provided in response to RAI 30.
Page 3 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.f.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.f in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649 indicates that the circuit analysis of identified instrumentation for Iidominant" operator actions has been completed and will be incorporated into the transition fire PRA risk results, which is to be provided in response to PRA RAI 30.
: a. Discuss what is meant by Iidominant" relative to RG 1.200's, I~n Approach For Determining The Technical Adequacy Of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Results For Risk-Informed Activities", definition of a significant basic event and whether these non-11dominant" actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA.
: b. If not assumed to be failed, justify this treatment by discussing the risk significance of the credited non-dominant operator actions on the transition risk results.
ENO RESPONSE
: a. 'Dominant' operator actions in the context of the discussion provided in the original response to 01.f was related to a set of operator actions which would be required to be maintained as detailed human error probabilities (HEPs) to offset increases in core damage frequency (CDF) resulting from the assignment of screening or scoping HEPs to other human failure events (HFEs). In addition, the discussion does not mean that other (non 'dominant') actions did not already have instrumentation supporting the operator action included in the model. The discussion was only meant to convey that some actions in the dominant set did not have instrumentation available at that time.
: b. It is not the case that all non 'dominant' operator actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA. The group of non-'dominant' operator actions includes two subsets comprised of HFEs assigned either scoping or screening values. HFEs assigned a screening value (1.0), are assumed failed in the fire PRA. Events assigned scoping values are analyzed in the same manner as the 'dominant' HFEs to the extent that instrumentation is included in the model, fire induced impacts are considered; access to the area where the action is to be completed is required, operator ability to complete the action is required and instrumentation availability impacts are considered. Scoping HFEs without supporting instrumentation included in the model or those for which the fire fails the instrumentation would be failed in the fire PRA. Revised risk results reflecting the implementation of the above process for incorporation of operator actions will be provided in response to RAI 30.
Page 3 of 18


===RESPONSE===
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.h.O1 In the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, the response to PRA RAIO1.h, subsection 3) Justifications forAssumptions Identified as Non-Conseivative in the licensees analysis describes that the treatment of location in the dependency analysis differs from the guidance in NUREG-1921, EPRI/NRC-RES Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Draft Report for Comment NUREG-1921 guidance does not negate the possibility of success of all subsequent actions after failure of an action in the main control room as stated in the RAI response but does state that there would be high dependence between all actions. Simply stating that the approach is not realistic is not sufficientjustification to deviate from the NUREG. It also appears that the timing decision branch of Figure 6-1 of NUREG-1921 is not utilized by the dependency analysis for sequential actions due to this deviation.
ENO RESPONSE Dominant operator actions in the context of the discussion provided in the original
Provide a time and distance justification for each set of control room actions considered to be in different locations or conform to the accepted method. Identify the final approach used in the response to PRA RAI 30.
: a. 'Dominant' response to 01.f  01 .f was related to a set of operator actions which would be required to be maintained as detailed human error probabilities (HEPs) to offset increases in core damage frequency (CDF)         (ODE) resulting from the assignment of screening or scoping HEPs to other human failure events (HFEs).               (HEEs). In addition, the discussion does not mean that other (non dominant)     'dominant') actions did not already have instrumentat instrumentation  ion supporting the operator action included in the model. The discussion discussion was only meant to convey that some actions in the dominant set did not have instrumentat instrumentation  ion available at that time.
ENO RESPONSE Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) will follow the NUREG-1 921 guidance and treat all actions taken in the control room as taking place within a single (same) location. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.
: b. ItIt is not the case that all non    non dominant
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.h.02 The dependency analysis described in response to PRA RAI 01.h does not indicate that a minimum value was utilized for the joint probability of multiple human failure events (HFE) and the response. The statement, e.g., for zero dependence, the conditional human error probabilities (HEP) is equal to the independent HEP implies thatjoint HEPs may take on any value. Section 6.2 of NUREG 1921 addresses the need to consider a minimum (floor) value for the joint probability of multiple HFEs. Each value less than the floor value should be individuallyjustified.
                                              'dominant' operator actions are          are assumed to be    be failed in in the fire PRA.
Considering this guidance, describe andjustify thatjoint HEP values that appear in fire PRA cutsets including any values less than the floor value, If a HEP floor for cutsets was not used consistent with NUREG-1921 (i.e., 1 E-5 with justifications for lower values), provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, which is consistent with NUREG-1921 guidance.
PRA. The group of        of non-domina non-'dominant'  nt operator operator actions includes two subsets comprised comprised of    of HFEs HFEs assigned either  either scoping scoping or  or screening values. HFEs      HFEs assigned assigned aa screening value (1.0),   (1.0), are are assumed failed in       in the the fire PRA.
Page 4 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.h.01 In the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, the response to PRA RAI 01.h, subsection 3) 'ljustifications for Assumptions Identified as Non-Conservative in the licensee's analysis" describes that the treatment of location in the dependency analysis differs from the guidance in NUREG-1921, "EPRIINRC-RES Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Draft Report for Comment". NUREG-1921 guidance does not "negate the possibility of success of all subsequent actions" after failure of an action in the main control room as stated in the RAI response but does state that there would be high dependence between all actions. Simply stating that the approach is not realistic is not sufficient justification to deviate from the NUREG. It also appears that the timing decision branch of Figure 6-1 of NUREG-1921 is not utilized by the dependency analysis for sequential actions due to this deviation.
PRA. Events Events assigned assigned scoping scoping values values are are analyzed analyzed in    in the the same same manner manner as       the dominant as the    'dominant' HFEs HFEs to  to the the extent extent that that instrumentat instrumentation  ion isis included included in  in the the model, model, fire induced induced impacts impacts areare considered; access access to  to the the area area where where the the action action is is to be completed to be  completed is      is required, required, operator operator ability ability to to complete complete the the action action is is required required and and instrumentat instrumentation  ion availability availability impacts impacts areare considered.
Provide a time and distance justification for each set of control room actions considered to be in different locations or conform to the accepted method. Identify the final approach used in the response to PRA RAI 30.
considered. Scoping Scoping HFEs  HFEs without without supporting supporting instrumentat instrumentation  ion included included in in the the model    or  those model or those for    for which which thethe fire fire fails fails the the instrumentat instrumentation  ion would would be    failed in be failed    in the the fire fire PRA.
ENO RESPONSE Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) will follow the NUREG-1921 guidance and treat all actions taken in the control room as taking place within a single (same) location. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.
PRA. Revised Revised risk  risk results results reflecting reflecting thethe implementati implementation    on ofof the the above above process process for for incorporation incorporation of   of operator operator actions actions will will be be provided provided in   in response response to    to RAI RAI 30.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.h.02 The dependency analysis described in response to PRA RAI 01.h does not indicate that a minimum value was utilized for the joint probability of multiple human failure events (HFE) and the response. The statement, "e.g., for zero dependence, the conditional human error probabilities (HEP) is equal to the independent HEP" implies that joint HEPs may take on any value. Section 6.2 of NUREG 1921 addresses the need to consider a minimum ("f1oor'? value for the joint probability of multiple HFEs. Each value less than the floor value should be individually justified.
30.
Considering this guidance, describe and justify that joint HEP values that appear in fire PRA cutsets including any values less than the floor value. If a HEP floor for cutsets was not used consistent with NUREG-1921 (i.e., 1E-5 with justifications for lower values), provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RA130, which is consistent with NUREG-1921 guidance.
Page Page 33 ofof 18 18
Page 4 of 18  


NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAI01.h.01 PRA     RAI O1.h.O1 In the In  the letter letter dated dated December December2,      2, 2013, 2013, ADAMS ADAMS Accession Accession No. No. MLML13336A649, 13336A649, the   the response response to       PRA RAI to PRA        RAIO1.h,      subsection 3) 01.h, subsection                Justifications for
ENO RESPONSE PNP will follow the guidance of NUREG-1 921 and utilize a floor value of 1 E-5 for all conditional joint HEPs. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.
: 3) 'ljustifications      forAssumptio Assumptions        Identified as ns Identified      as Non-Conseivative in Non-Conservative              in the the licensee's licensees analysis" analysis describes describes that that the the treatment treatment of location in of location    in the dependency the dependency analysis    analysis differs differs fromfrom the the guidance guidance in    in NUREG-1921, NUREG-1921, "EPRIINRC-RES EPRI/NRC-RES Fire Human Fire  Human Reliability Reliability Analysis Analysis Guidelines, Guidelines, Draft  Draft Report Report for for Comment".
NRC REQUEST PRA RAIOLk.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.k, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that main control room (MCR) abandonment is only postulated for those fires resulting in a loss of MCR habitability; however, the response to PRA RAI 03, in the letter mentioned above, states that the RAI Response Fire PRA Model will include additional scenarios that model MCR abandonment due to equipment damage, with control being transferred to other locations, such as the alternate shutdown panel If the intent is to credit MCR abandonment due to loss of control, provide a description of the method and its technicaljustification. Include an explanation of the supporting analysis, work performed, and process followed in the technicaljustification.
Comment NUREG-1921 NUREG-1921 guidance      does      not guidance does not "negate the negate    the possibility possibility of   of success success of   of all  subsequent actions" all subsequent        actions after after failure of failure  of an    action in an action      in the  main control the main      control room room as  as stated stated inin the the RAI RAI response response but  but does does state that state    that there there would would be  be high high dependence dependence between  between all  all actions.
ENO RESPONSE The response to PRA RAI 01.k was intended to indicate that control room abandonment due to loss of control or function is not explicitly modeled in the Fire PRA. That is, specific identification of those fire events which lead to loss of control or function is not part of the fire scenario development and initial quantification process. Only scenarios that result in control room abandonment due to loss of habitability are explicitly identified as control room abandonment scenarios.
actions. Simply Simply stating stating that that the the approach is approach          not realistic is not    realistic is    not sufficient is not   sufficient justification justification to to deviate deviate from from the the NUREG.
However, the Fire PRA model does include credit for operator deployment for local actions (including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel) as potential success paths in the accident sequence development. Use of these alternate success paths is not limited to control room abandonment scenarios due to loss of habitability.
NUREG. ItIt also also appears      that appears that the     the  timing    decision      branch decision branch of          of Figure    6-1 of of NUREG-1921 NUREG-1921 is        is not utilized by the dependency the  dependency analysis for          for sequential actions due          due to to this deviation.
The response to PRA RAI 03 for FSS-B1-01 was intended to indicate that additional control room scenarios are being added to the RAI Response Fire PRA model. These additional scenarios also credit operator deployment for local actions including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel. The intent is not to explicitly identify and credit control room abandonment due to loss of control.
Provide a time and distance justification for each set of control room actions considered Provide to be in different locations or conform to the accepted method. Identify the final approach used in the response to PRA RAI 30.
Page 5 of 18 ENO RESPONSE PNP will follow the guidance of NUREG-1921 and utilize a floor value of 1 E-5 for all conditional joint HEPs. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.
approach ENO RESPONSE ENO     RESPONSE Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) will follow the NUREG-1921 Palisades                                                              NUREG-1 921 guidance and treat all actions actions    taken      in the  control    room      as taking place within a single (same) location. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantificatio            quantification   n results documented in response response      to   PRA     RAI   30.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.k.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.k, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2,2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that main control room (MeR) abandonment is only postulated for those fires resulting in a loss of MeR habitability; however, the response to PRA RAI 03, in the letter mentioned above, states that lithe RAI Response Fire PRA Model will include additional scenarios that model MeR abandonment due to equipment damage, with control being transferred to other locations, such as the alternate shutdown panel".
NRC NRC REQUEST PRA PRA RAI      O1.h.02 RAI01.h.02 The The dependency dependency analysis analysis described in        in response to     to PRA PRA RAI RAI 01.h 01.h does does notnot indicate that  that aa minimum        value    was minimum value was utilized      utilized forfor the the joint joint probability probability of  of multiple multiple human human failure events events (HFE)
If the intent is to credit MeR abandonment due to loss of control, provide a description of the method and its technical justification. Include an explanation of the supporting analysis, work performed, and process followed in the technical justification.
(HFE) and and thethe response. The      The statement, statement, e.g.,"e.g., for zero zero dependence, dependence, the     the conditional conditional human human errorerror probabilities probabilities (HEP)  (HEP) is  is equal equal to to the the independent independent HEP  HEP" implies implies thatthatjoint joint HEPs HEPs may  may take take on on any any value.
ENO RESPONSE The response to PRA RAI 01.k was intended to indicate that control room abandonment due to loss of control or function is not explicitly modeled in the Fire PRA. That is, specific identification of those fire events which lead to loss of control or function is not part of the fire scenario development and initial quantification process. Only scenarios that result in control room abandonment due to loss of habitability are explicitly identified as control room abandonment scenarios.
value. Section Section 6.2  6.2 of of NUREG NUREG 1921  1921 addresses addresses the   the need need to to consider      a minimum        (floor) consider a minimum ("f1oor'? value for      value    for the the joint joint probability probability of of multiple multiple HFEs.
However, the Fire PRA model does include credit for operator deployment for local actions (including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel) as potential success paths in the accident sequence development. Use of these alternate success paths is not limited to control room abandonment scenarios due to loss of habitability.
HFEs. Each Each value value less less than than the the floor floor value value should should be    be individually individuallyjustified.
The response to PRA RAI 03 for FSS-B1-01 was intended to indicate that additional control room scenarios are being added to the RAI Response Fire PRA model. These additional scenarios also credit operator deployment for local actions including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel. The intent is not to explicitly identify and credit control room abandonment due to loss of control.
justified.
Page 5 of 18  
Considering Considering this  this guidance, guidance, describe describe and  andjustify        thatjoint justify that   joint HEP HEP values values that that appear appear in   in fire fire PRA PRA cutsets cutsets including including any  any values values less less than than thethe floor    value. IfIfaa HEP floor value,         HEP floor floor for for cutsets cutsets was was notnot used used consistent consistent with with NUREG-NUREG-1921  1921 (i.e.,
(i.e., 11E-5 E-5 with withjustifications justifications for for lower lower values),
values), provide provide updated updated risk risk results results as as part part of of the the aggregate aggregate change-in-ris change-in-risk        analysis k analysis requested requested in    in PRA PRA RAI RA130,30, which which isis consistent consistent with  with NUREG-192 NUREG-1921      1 guidance.
guidance.
Page Page 44 of of 18 18


ENO RESPONSE ENO      RESPONSE PNP will PNP    will follow follow the the guidance guidance of of NUREG-1921 NUREG-1 921 and    and utilize utilize aa floor floor value value ofof 11 E-5 E-5 for for all all conditional      joint HE  Ps. The  impact      of these conditional joint HEPs. The impact of these changes will    changes      will be be reflected reflected inin the the quantification results quantification      results documented documented in    in response response to    PRA RAI to PRA      RAI 30.30.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.mm.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.mm, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that key assumptions and sources of uncertainty were identified. Provide a table that describes these key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that assesses their impact on the NFPA 805 application.
NRC REQUEST NRC     REQUEST PRA RAI01.k.01 PRA    RAIOLk.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.k, in the letter dated December 2,2013,                    2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, Accession                  13336A649, indicates that main control room (MeR)              (MCR) abandonment abandonment is only postulated for those fires resulting in a loss of MeR            MCR habitability; however, the response to PRA RAI 03, in the letter mentioned above, states that lithe response                                                                                      the RAI Response Fire PRA Model will include additional scenarios that model MeR Fire                                                                                MCR abandonment due to abandonment equipment equipment damage, with control being transferred to other locations, such as the alternate shutdown panel". panel If the the intent is to credit MeR        abandonment due to loss of control, provide aa description MCR abandonment of the of the method and its technical justification. Include an explanation of the supporting analysis, work performed, and process followed in the technical justification.
ENO RESPONSE In the development of each Fire PRA report, a section was included that identified assumptions related to each of the associated Fire PRA tasks included in that specific notebook. For each of the identified assumptions, a qualitative assessment was documented regarding the potential quantitative impact as it applies to the base fire PRA model which serves as part of the characterization of the assumptions. In the PNP Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook [1], these assumptions were reviewed to develop a table that identified sources of uncertainty by each NUREG/CR-6850 task and assessed the sensitivity of their impact on the NFPA 805 application. A modified version of this table is provided below, It has been updated to account for the status of the RAI Response Fire PRA model and updated to specifically identify the potential key assumptions associated with the sources of uncertainty.
ENO RESPONSE The response to PRA RAI 01             .k was intended to indicate that control room abandonmen 01.k                                                                abandonmentt due to loss of control or function is not explicitly  explicitly modeled in the Fire PRA. That is, specific identification of those fire events  events which lead  lead to loss loss of control or function is not part of the fire scenario scenario development development and initial quantificatio quantification    n process.
Page 6 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.mm.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.mm, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that key assumptions and sources of uncertainty were identified. Provide a table that describes these key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that assesses their impact on the NFPA 805 application.
process. Only Only scenarios that that result in  in control room abandonmen abandonmentt due    due to loss of habitability habitability are are explicitly identified identified as as  control    room abandonmen abandonmentt scenarios.
ENO RESPONSE In the development of each Fire PRA report, a section was included that identified assumptions related to each of the associated Fire PRA tasks included in that specific notebook. For each of the identified assumptions, a qualitative assessment was documented regarding the potential quantitative impact as it applies to the base fire PRA model which serves as part of the characterization of the assumptions. In the PNP Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook [1], these assumptions were reviewed to develop a table that identified sources of uncertainty by each NUREG/CR-6850 task and assessed the sensitivity of their impact on the NFPA 805 application. A modified version of this table is provided below. It has been updated to account for the status of the RAI Response Fire PRA model and updated to specifically identify the potential key assumptions associated with the sources of uncertainty.
scenarios.
Page 6 of 18  
: However, However, the   the Fire Fire PRA PRA model model does does include include credit credit for for operator operator deployment deployment for local local actions actions (including (including local local actions actions atat the the alternate alternate shutdown panel)  panel) as  as potential potential success success paths paths in  in the the accident accident sequence sequence development development.. Use  Use of of these these alternate alternate success success pathspaths is is not  limited not limited to    to control control room abandonmen abandonmentt scenarios scenarios due due to to loss loss ofof habitability.
habitability.
The The response response to   to PRA PRA RAI    03 for RAI 03  for FSS-B1-01 FSS-B1-01 was    was intended intended to    to indicate indicate that that additional additional control control roomroom scenarios scenarios are are being being added added to  to the the RAI RAI Response Response Fire    Fire PRA PRA model.
model. TheseThese additional additional scenarios scenarios alsoalso credit credit operator operator deployment deployment for  for local local actions actions including including locallocal actions actions at  at the the alternate alternate shutdown shutdown panel.
panel. TheThe intent intent isis not not to to explicitly explicitly identify identify and and credit credit control control roomroom abandonmen abandonment    t due due toto loss loss ofof control.
control.
Page Page 55 of of 18 18


NRC REQUEST NRC    REQUEST PRA RAI01.mm.01 PRA    RAIO1.mm.O1 The response The  response toto PRA PRA RAI RAI 01.mm, 01.mm, inin the   letter dated the letter          December 2, dated December      2, 2013, 2013, ADAMS ADAMS Accession No.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
Accession    No. ML ML13336A649, 13336A649, indicates indicates that that key key assumptions assumptions andand sources sources ofof uncertainty   were  identified. Provide uncertainty were identified.      Provide aa table table that that describes describes these these key key assumptions assumptions and and sources of sources    of uncertainty uncertainty that that assesses assesses their their impact impact onon the the NFPA NFPA 805805 application.
TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Plant Boundary The fire PRA analysis This task posed a limited During scenario development, D
application.
d boundary was opportunity for the the zone of influence was not e ml ion an determined, and the plant identification of potentially limited to the physical analysis Partitioning was partitioned into key assumptions and related unit boundary for most discrete physical analysis sources of uncertainty compartment scenarios.
ENO RESPONSE ENO    RESPONSE In the In      development of the development        each Fire of each  Fire PRA PRA report, report, aa section section was was included included that that identified identified assumptions related related to each each ofof the associated Fire  Fire PRA PRA tasks included included inin that that specific specific notebook. For notebook. For each each of the identified assumptions, assumptions, a qualitative qualitative assessment assessment was documented regarding the potential quantitative impact as itit applies to the base fire documented PRA model which serves as part of the characterization characterization of the assumptions. In the PNP Quantification and Summary Notebook [1], these assumptions were reviewed Fire PRA Quantification to develop a table that identified sources of uncertainty by each NUREG/CR-6850NUREG/CR-6850 task and assessed the sensitivity of their impact on the NFPA 805 application. A modified and version of this table is provided below.
If the units (PAUs) based on beyond the credit taken for zone of influence included the physical the physical presence of targets in adjacent fire characteristics of the boundaries and partitions.
version                              below, It has been updated to account for the status of the RAI Response Fire PRA model and updated to specifically identify the potential key the assumptions associated with the sources of uncertainty.
areas/zones, these targets were various areas.
assumptions Page Page 66 ofof 18 18
also included, regardless of their fire area/zone location. In addition, a multi-compartment analysis further reduced uncertainty by addressing the potential impact of failure of partition elements on quantification.
2 Fire PRA The fire PRA components This task posed perhaps the The potential for uncertainty was C
were selected by highest potential for error if reduced as a result of multiple omponen reviewing the not uncertainty. The overlapping tasks including the Selection components in the FPIE mapping of basic events to MSO expert panel process PRA model and the components required not combined with reviews of equipment included in the only the consideration of screening initiating events, deterministic Nuclear failure modes (active versus screened containment Safety Capability passive) but an penetrations, and screened Assessment (NSCA) understanding of the ISLOCA scenarios. Additional analysis. The data were Appendix RJNSCA functions internal reviews and the change analyzed with respect to not previously considered evaluation process provided the their suitability to be risk significant in the FPIE opportunity to further reduce included in the fire PRA model.
uncertainty in this task.
model. Additional considerations, including the potential effects of Multiple Spurious Operations (MSO5), were used to evaluate the need to include additional cornponents.
Page 7 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 1
Plant Boundary The fire PRA analysis This task posed a limited During scenario development, Definition and boundary was opportunity for the the zone of influence was not determined, and the plant identification of potentially limited to the physical analysis Partitioning was partitioned into key assumptions and related unit boundary for most discrete physical analysis sources of uncertainty compartment scenarios. If the units (PAUs) based on beyond the credit taken for zone of influence included the physical the physical presence of targets in adjacent fire characteristics of the boundaries and partitions.
areas/zones, these targets were various areas.
also included, regardless of their fire area/zone location. In addition, a multi-compartment analysis further reduced uncertainty by addressing the potential impact of failure of partition elements on quantification.
2 Fire PRA The fire PRA components This task posed perhaps the The potential for uncertainty was Component were selected by highest potential for error if reduced as a result of multiple reviewing the not uncertainty. The over1apping tasks including the Selection components in the FPIE mapping of basic events to MSO expert panel process PRA model and the components required not combined with reviews of equipment included in the only the consideration of screening initiating events, deterministic Nuclear failure modes (active versus screened containment Safety Capability passive) but an penetrations, and screened Assessment (NSCA) understanding of the ISLOCA scenarios. Additional analYSis. The data were Appendix R1NSCA functions internal reviews and the change analyzed with respect to not previously considered evaluation process provided the their suitability to be risk significant in the FPIE opportunity to further reduce included in the fire PRA model.
uncertainty in this task.
model. Additional considerations, including the potential effects of Multiple Spurious Operations (MSOs), were used to evaluate the need to include additional components.
Page 7 of 18  


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND                AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX         MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL               KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF               OF THETHE TASK TASK                                 TASK TASK                      ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                          RESUL RESULTS       TS TO TO THE  THE TASK TITLE TASK  TITLE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK K
NO.                      DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                     AND SOURCES AND     SOURCES OF           OF        SOURCE(S)
TIE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
SOURCE(S) OF              OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                           UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 1 Plant              The fire The  fire PRA PRA analysis analysis        This task This  task posed posed aa limited limited      During scenario During  scenario development, development, Plant Boundary Boundary boundary was boundary      was                opportunity for opportunity    for the the            the the zone zone of of influence influence waswas not not D e ml ion and Definition an d    determined, and and the  plant the plant  identification of determined,                      identification  of potentially potentially    limited to limited  to the the physical physical analysis analysis Partitioning Partitioning        was partitioned was  partitioned into into        key assumptions key  assumptions and and related related  unit boundary unit  boundary for  for most most discrete physical discrete    physical analysis analysis  sources of sources    of uncertainty uncertainty            compartment scenarios.
TAS TI DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire PRA Cable Cables were assigned to No treatment of uncertainty is The cable selection approach S
compartment        scenarios. IfIf the the units (PAUs) units  (PAUs) based based onon      beyond the beyond         credit taken the credit  taken for for  zone zone ofof influence influence included included the physical the physical                      the physical the  physical presence presence of  of      targets in targets    in adjacent adjacent fire fire characteristics of characteristics    of the       boundaries and boundaries    and partitions.
I the components based typically required for this task was based on the failure fault e ec IOfl on existing Fire Safe beyond the understanding of consequences identified for each Shutdown cable the cable selection approach cable relative to the operation of evaluations and for the various iterations of the associated component.
partitions. areas/zones, these targets were       were various areas.
additional cable cable identification tasks.
various    areas.                                                     also included, also  included, regardless regardless of  of their their fire area/zone location.
These fault consequences were identification.. Tasks 2 Additionally, PRA credited identified in the original Appendix and 3 were performed components for which cable R data. A seperate effort was iteratively with the Plant routing information was not performed to review this data in Fire Induced Risk Model provided (credit by exclusion) light of current practices to (Task 5).
fire                location. In In addition, a multi-compartment multi-compartment analysis further reduced analysis uncertainty by uncertainty      by addressing the potential impact of    of failure of partition elements on quantification.
represents a potential key assure its fidelity. Since assumption and source of Palisades has undergone an uncertainty. Recognizing extensive effort to identify cables that the potential exists to for components beyond those improperly credit these addressed in Appendix R, components where their uncertainty associated with cables are located (non-unknown cable locations (UNL conservative), it can be components) has been greatly assumed that these reduced.
quantification.
In order to eliminate components are failed excessive conservatism, UNL unnecessarily (conservative),
22 Fire PRA Fire PRA          The fire PRA components           This task posed perhaps the        The potential for uncertainty was were selected by                  highest potential for error if      reduced as a result of multiple C omponen Component        reviewing the                     not uncertainty. The                overlapping tasks including the over1apping Selection        components in the FPIE            mapping of basic events to         MSO expert panel process PRA model and the                components required not            combined with reviews of equipment included in the        only the consideration of          screening initiating events, deterministic Nuclear Nuclear        failure modes (active versus        screened containment Safety Capability                passive) but an                    penetrations, and screened Assessment (NSCA)                 understandin understanding  g of the            ISLOCA scenarios. Additional ISLOCA                      Additional analysis.
components were credited by exclusion either explicitly or based on assumed cable routing.
analYSis. The data were  were    Appendix RJNSCA R1NSCA functions        internal reviews and the change analyzed with respect to         not not previously considered          evaluation process provided the their suitability suitability to to be be        risk significant in in the FPIE      opportunity to further reduce reduce included included in  in the fire PRA      model.                              uncertainty uncertainty in this this task.
In any event, the assumed cable routing is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
model. Additional Additional consideration considerations,  s, including including the potential potential effects effects of of Multiple Spurious Spurious Operations Operations (MSO5),
(MSOs), were were used used to to evaluate evaluate thethe need need to    include additional to include  additional corn  ponents.
components.
Page Page 77 of   of 18 18


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND              AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX                 MATRIX POTENTIAL POTENTIAL KEY                 KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF                    OF THE  THE TASK TASK                                     TASK TASK                        ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                                      RESULTS RESULTS TO                TO THE THE TAS K TITLE TASK      TI TIE NO.
Qualitative A small number of plant Structures from the global No structure with credited PRA S
NO.                            DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                      AND AND SOURCES SOURCES OF                OF             SOURCE(S)
areas met all of the analysis boundary, and components was excluded. This creening criteria necessary for ignition sources deemed to exclusion criterion is not subject qualitative screening.
SOURCE(S) OF                  OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                                      UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 3   Fire         Cable PRA Cable       Cables were Cables     were assigned assigned to to  NoNo treatment treatment of    of uncertainty uncertainty isis    The The cable cable selection selection approach approach Fire PRA              the components components based S e I ec IOfl        the                    based         typically required typically      required for forthis this task task  was was based based on  on the the failure failure fault fault Selection              on existing existing Fire Fire Safe Safe          beyond the the understanding                 consequences consequences identified on                                beyond              understanding of      of                            identified for for each each Shutdown cable Shutdown       cable                the cable the   cable selection selection approach approach      cable cable relative relative to to the the operation operation of of evaluations and evaluations      and                for the for  the various various iterations iterations of  of     the the associated associated component.
have no impact on the FPRA, to uncertainty. In the event that were excluded from the a structure which could lead to a quantification based on plant trip was excluded qualitative screening criteria.
component.
incorrectly, its contribution to The only assumptions CDF would be small (with a subject to uncertainty are the CCDP commensurate with base judgments regarding the risk) and would likely be more potential for plant trip used than offset by inclusion of the as part of the screening additional ignition sources and process.
additional cable additional    cable                cable identification cable    identification tasks. tasks.        These These faultfault consequences consequences were      were identification.... Tasks identification      Tasks 22      Additionally, PRA Additionally,        PRA credited credited        identified identified in in the the original original Appendix Appendix and 33 were and      were performed performed          components for components           for which which cable cable    RR data.
the subsequent reduction of other scenario frequencies. A similar argument can be made for ignition sources for which scenario refinement was deemed unnecessary.
data. AA seperate seperate effort effort was was iteratively with iteratively   with the the Plant Plant      routing information routing    information was     was notnot    performed performed to      to review review this  this data data in in Fire Induced Fire  Induced Risk Risk Model Model      provided (credit provided       (credit by  by exclusion) exclusion)    light light ofof current current practices practices to  to (Task 5).
Page 8 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
(Task    5).                        represents aa potential represents          potential key  key       assure assure its  its fidelity.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 3
fidelity. SinceSince assumption and assumption          and source source of   of      Palisades Palisades has    has undergone undergone an      an uncertainty. Recognizing uncertainty.        Recognizing              extensive extensive effort effort to to identify identify cables cables that the that  the potential potential exists exists to to      for for components components beyond    beyond those those improperly credit improperly        credit these these              addressed addressed in         Appendix R, in Appendix          R, components where components          where theirtheir          uncertainty uncertainty associated associated with    with cables are cables    are located located (non-(non-          unknown unknown cable locations  locations (UNL (UNL conservative), itit can be conservative),                                components) components) has       has beenbeen greatly greatly assumed that these                             reduced. In      In order to   to eliminate eliminate components are failed                         excessive conservatism, conservatism, UNL      UNL (conservative),
Fire PRA Cable Cables were assigned to No treatment of uncertainty is The cable selection approach Selection the components based typically required for this task was based on the failure fault on existing Fire Safe beyond the understanding of consequences identified for each Shutdown cable the cable selection approach cable relative to the operation of evaluations and for the various iterations of the associated component.
unnecessarily (conservative).                 components were credited       credited by  by exclusion - either explicitly explicitly oror based on assumed cable            cable routing.
additional cable cable identification tasks.
routing.
These fault consequences were identification.. Tasks 2 Additionally, PRA credited identified in the original Appendix and 3 were performed components for which cable R data. A seperate effort was iteratively with the Plant routing information was not performed to review this data in Fire Induced Risk Model provided (credit by exclusion) light of current practices to (Task 5).
In any event, the assumed    assumed cable  cable routing is identified as         as a  potential a potential key source of      of uncertainty.
represents a potential key assure its fidelity. Since assumption and source of Palisades has undergone an uncertainty. Recognizing extensive effort to identify cables that the potential exists to for components beyond those improperly credit these addressed in Appendix R, components where their uncertainty associated with cables are located (non-unknown cable locations (UNL conservative), it can be components) has been greatly assumed that these reduced. In order to eliminate components are failed excessive conservatism, UNL unnecessarily (conservative). components were credited by exclusion - either explicitly or based on assumed cable routing.
4 Qualitative           A small small number number of  of plant     Structures from the      the global global        No structure with credited No                            credited PRA PRA Qualitative          areas SScreening creening areas met met all all of the         analysis analysis boundary, boundary, and     and            components was excluded.
In any event, the assumed cable routing is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
components                    excluded. This  This criteria necessary necessary for           ignition ignition sources sources deemed deemed to     to    exclusion criterion exclusion      criterion is    is not not subject subject qualitative qualitative screening.
4 Qualitative A small number of plant Structures from the global No structure with credited PRA Screening areas met all of the analysis boundary, and components was excluded. This criteria necessary for ignition sources deemed to exclusion criterion is not subject qualitative screening.
screening.          have have no no impact impact on    on the the FPRA, FPRA,    to uncertainty.
have no impact on the FPRA, to uncertainty. In the event that were excluded from the a structure which could lead to a quantification based on plant trip was excluded qualitative screening criteria.
to    uncertainty. In      In the the event event that that were excluded were    excluded from  from the the          aa structure structure whichwhich couldcould lead lead toto aa quantificatio quantification     n based based on   on          plant trip plant     trip was was excluded excluded qualitative qualitative screening screening criteria.
incorrectly, its contribution to The only assumptions CDF would be small (with a subject to uncertainty are the CCDP commensurate with base judgments regarding the risk) and would likely be more potential for plant trip used than offset by inclusion of the as part of the screening additional ignition sources and process.
criteria. incorrectly, its incorrectly,       its contribution contribution to      to The     only assumptions The only      assumptions                      CDF would CDF       would be  be small small (with(with aa subject subject to to uncertainty uncertainty are   are the the   CCDP commensura CCDP       commensurate               with base te with    base judgments judgments regardingregarding the   the          risk) and risk)    and would would likelylikely be be more more potential potential for for plant plant trip trip used used       than offset than     offset by by inclusion inclusion of    of the the as as part part of of thethe screening screening                 additional ignition additional       ignition sources sources and  and process.
the subsequent reduction of other scenario frequencies. A similar argument can be made for ignition sources for which scenario refinement was deemed unnecessary.
process.                                      the subsequent the     subsequent reduction reduction of  of other scenario other      scenario frequencies.
Page 8 of 18  
frequencies. AA similar argument similar     argument can      can be be made made for ignition for    ignition sources sources for    for which which scenario refinement scenario       refinement was      was deemed deemed unnecessary.
unnecessary.
Page Page 88ofof 18      18


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND                AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX               MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL                   KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF              OF THE  THE TASK TASK                               TASK TASK                        ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                                RESUL RESULTS     TS TO  TO THE THE TASK TITLE TASK    TITLE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX The PNP fire PRA model was developed using applicable portions of the FPIE model. The model was expanded as necessary to include additional sequences associated with fire events. Cables were linked with basic events in the model and associated to plant locations allowing evaluation of fire-induced circuit failures on a per scenario basis.
NO.                        DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                       AND SOURCES AND           SOURCES OF           OF          SOURCE(S)
The construction of the FPRA plant response model itself is a source of uncertainty. The same sources of uncertainty/sensitivity that are applicable to the base model are applicable to the FPRA. However, these are judged to be minor in the context of the overall Fire PRA model development process in the context of the NFPA 805 application.
SOURCE(S) OF              OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                                 UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 55  Plant Fire Plant  Fire        The PNP The   PNP fire fire PRA PRA model model    The construction The   construction of    of the the          FPIE and FPIE    and FPRA FPRA peer  peer reviews reviews was developed was   developed using using        FPRA plant FPRA        plant response response model model    (including the (including    the F&O F&0 resolution resolution Induced Risk Induced    Risk    applicable portions portions of of the the  itself isis aa source source of applicable                        itself                    of               process and process    and thethe subsequent subsequent RAI  RAI Model Model              FPIE model.
Some 9,000+ failure modes (random and fire) are included in the FPRA plant response model. This includes a highly detailed representation of potential failures (e.g., down to the contact pair level) and fully developed common cause failure modeling. Several thousand cables are mapped to the associated basic events.
FPIE   model. The  The model model      uncertainty. The uncertainty.         The same same            resolution process),
The bookkeeping challenge of managing this amount of data introduces potential error.
resolution   process), intemal internal was expanded was   expanded as   as            sources of sources        of                          assessments, and assessments,        and the the change change necessary to necessary     to include include          uncertainty/sensitivity that uncertainty/sensitivity           that     evaluation process evaluation    process are are useful useful in in additional sequences additional    sequences            are applicable are  applicable to    to the the base base      exercising the exercising     the model model andand associated with associated      with fire fire          model are model      are applicable applicable to     the to the    identifying weaknesses. In identifying                        In events. Cables events. Cables werewere          FPRA. However, FPRA.         However, these these are are  addition, the addition,         FPRA model the FPRA       model linked with linked  with basic    events basic events       judged to   to be    minor in be minor   in the the      changes are changes    are incorporated incorporated into  into in the model and                   context of the context          the overall Fire Fire    the   FPIE mode/.
FPIE and FPRA peer reviews (including the F&0 resolution process and the subsequent RAI resolution process), internal assessments, and the change evaluation process are useful in exercising the model and identifying weaknesses. In addition, the FPRA model changes are incorporated into the FPIE model. This assures that these sequences are exercised and reviewed continually not just for fire PRA applications.
the FPIE    model. This assures assures associated to plant associated                          PRA model PRA    model development development                          sequences are that these sequences           are locations allowing locations                          process in process        in the  context of the context       the of the exercised and reviewedreviewed evaluation of fire-induced         NFPA 805 application.                     continually - not not just for fire PRAPRA circuit failures on a per                                                   applications.
The potential for managing this amount of data was addressed by employing different industry codes that were used to validate the quantified results. By employing different codes, problems with input are better captured as each code provides different reports, different diagnostic capabilities, etc.
scenario basis.                    Some 9,000+ failure modes (random and fire) are                     The potential for managing this included in the FPRA plant               amount of data was addressed response mode/. model. This             by employing different industry includes a highly detailed               codes that were used to validate representation of potential               the quantified results. By failures (e.g., down to the               employing different codes, contact pair level) and fully             problems with input are better developed common cause                   captured as each code provides failure modeling. Several                 different reports, different thousand cables are mapped               diagnostic capabilities, etc.
The detailed modeling employed in the Palisades analyses ensures better rigor, insights, and reduces errors, and reduces the epistemic uncertainty.
to the associated basic events.                                  The detailed modeling employed in the Palisades analyses The bookkeeping challenge                 ensures better rigor, insights, of managing this amount of               and   reduces errors, and and reduces                and reduces data introduces potential data                    potential        the epistemic uncertainty.
Moreover, such detailed modeling results in conservative numerical results as failures are double counted; however, this increases the aleatory uncertainty.
uncertainty.
It is considered that the importance of reducing the epistemic uncertainty at the expense of increasing the aleatory uncertainty greatly benefits the development of additional risk insights.
5 POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Plant Fire Induced Risk Model Page 9 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 5
Plant Fire The PNP fire PRA model The construction of the FPIE and FPRA peer reviews Induced Risk was developed using FPRA plant response model (including the F&O resolution applicable portions of the itself is a source of process and the subsequent RAI Model FPIE model. The model uncertainty. The same resolution process), intemal was expanded as sources of assessments, and the change necessary to include uncertainty/sensitivity that evaluation process are useful in additional sequences are applicable to the base exercising the model and associated with fire model are applicable to the identifying weaknesses. In events. Cables were FPRA. However, these are addition, the FPRA model linked with basic events judged to be minor in the changes are incorporated into in the model and context of the overall Fire the FPIE mode/. This assures associated to plant PRA model development that these sequences are locations allowing process in the context of the exercised and reviewed evaluation of fire-induced NFPA 805 application.
continually - not just for fire PRA circuit failures on a per Some 9,000+ failure modes applications.
scenario basis.
(random and fire) are The potential for managing this included in the FPRA plant amount of data was addressed response mode/. This by employing different industry includes a highly detailed codes that were used to validate representation of potential the quantified results. By failures (e.g., down to the employing different codes, contact pair level) and fully problems with input are better developed common cause captured as each code provides failure modeling. Several different reports, different thousand cables are mapped diagnostic capabilities, etc.
to the associated basic The detailed modeling employed events.
in the Palisades analyses The bookkeeping challenge ensures better rigor, insights, of managing this amount of and reduces errors, and reduces data introduces potential the epistemic uncertainty.
error.
error.
Moreover, such such detailed detailed modeling results results in in conservative numerical numerical results results as  as failures areare double double counted; however,however, thisthis increases thethe aleatory aleatory uncertainty.
Moreover, such detailed modeling results in conservative numerical results as failures are double counted; however, this increases the aleatory uncertainty. It is considered that the importance of reducing the epistemic uncertainty at the expense of increasing the aleatory uncertainty greatly benefits the development of additional risk insights.
uncertainty. ItIt is is considered considered that  that the importance the  importance of    of reducing reducing the the epistemic epistemic uncertainty uncertainty at  at the the expense expense of  of increasing increasing thethe aleatory aleatory uncertainty uncertainty greatly greatly benefits benefits the the development development of    of additional   risk insights.
Page 9 of 18  
additional risk    insights.
Page Page 99 of    of 18  18


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND                      AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX                MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL                      KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF                 OF THE  THE TASK TASK                                   TASK TASK                            ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                                   RESUL RESULTS       TS TO  TO THE   THE TASK TITLE TASK   TITLE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE TASK TITLE NO.
NO.                        DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                               AND SOURCES AND         SOURCES OF               OF            SOURCE(S)
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 6
SOURCE(S) OF                OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                                       UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 66 Fire Ignition Fire Ignition     A  fire ignition A fire   ignition frequency frequency          The frequency The     frequency values values from from       A Bayesian A Bayesian updateupdate process process for   for was estimated was     estimated for     for each each         NUREG/CR-6850 and NUREG/CR-6850                     EPRI and EPRI         PNP events PNP     events after after 2000 2000 was was Frequency Frequency           plant compartment compartment based      based       Report 1016735 1016735 include include plant                                      Report                                        applied to applied   to the the generic generic on    fixed sources on fixed     sources and and            uncertainty to uncertainty           account for to account       for       frequencies taken frequencies       taken from from transient factors.
Fire Ignition A fire ignition frequency The frequency values from A Bayesian update process for was estimated for each NUREG/CR-6850 and EPRI PNP events after 2000 was Frequency plant compartment based Report 1016735 include applied to the generic on fixed sources and uncertainty to account for frequencies taken from transient factors. The variability among plants NUREG/CR-6850 and the EPRI frequencies were along with some significant 1016735 data.
transient       factors. The The          variability among variability     among plants plants            NUREG/CR-6850 and NUREG/CR-6850              and thethe EPRI EPRI frequencies were frequencies        were                  along with along     with some some significant significant       1016735 data.
ultimately applied on a conservatism in defining the scenario basis. The frequencies, and their The applicabilIty of the ignition approtionment of the fire associated heat release frequency data is identified as a frequency was done in rates, based on limited potential key source of uncertainty.
1016735     data.
accordance with detailed data.
ultimately applied ultimately        applied on on aa        conservatism in conservatism           in defining defining thethe scenario basis.
NUREG/CR-6850 guidance and associated A potential key assumption is FAQ5.
scenario       basis. The The            frequencies, and     and their their             The applicablilty The    applicabilIty of of the the ignition ignition approtionment of approtionment           of the fire fire    associated heat associated       heat release release            frequency data frequency     data is identified identified as   as aa frequency was     was donedone inin        rates, based rates,   based on  on limited               potential key source potential          source of   of accordance with                           detailed data.                                uncertainty.
that the fire ignition frequency data is applicable and provides an accepted estimate of the fire frequency for PNP.
NUREG/CR-6850 NUREG/CR-6850 guidance and     and associated associated           potential key A potential       key assumption is      is FAQ5.
Quantitative An initial quantification of Other than the conservative Quantitative screening was the fire PRA model was treatment asscoiated with limited to refraining from further Screening performed to identify the retaining all scenarios, there scenario refinement of those relative risk contribution is no uncertainty from this scenarios with a resulting CDF /
FAQs.                                      that the that   the fire ignition frequency data is applicable and provides an*      an accepted estimate of the fire frequency for PNP.
of each physical analysis task on the FPRA results.
Quantitative       An initial quantification of Other than the conservative                               Quantitative screening was Quantitative      the fire PRA model was                   treatment asscoiated with                     limited to refraining from further Screening         performed to identify the                 retaining all scenarios, there               scenario refinement of those relative risk contribution               is no uncertainty from this                   scenarios with a resulting CDF /
LERF below the screening unit (PAU). No actual threshold. All of the results were screening was performed retained in the cumulative CDF /
of each physical analysis task on the FPRA results.                                     LERF below the screening unit (PAU). No actual                                                                   threshold. All of the results were screening was performed                                                                 retained in the cumulative CDF /
as all PAUs were LERF.
as   all PAUs were as all                                                                                  LERF.
retained in the quantification. This step was used to identify compartments where detailed analyses would be appropriate.
retained in the quantification. This step was was usedused to  to identify compartment compartments         s where where detailed detailed analyses analyses would be appropriate.
8 Scoping Fire Scoping fire modeling is a This task by itself does not The employment of generic fire coarse approach used to contribute to uncertainty, modeling solutions did not Modeling bound the fire effects of However, the approach taken introduce any significant certain ignition sources.
be  appropriate.
for this task included: 1) conservatism. Detailed fire A more refined approach, generic fire modeling modeling was performed on generic modeling, was treatments used in lieu of those scenarios which otherwise employed at PNP. A conservative scoping would have been notable risk detailed analysis was analysis techniques and 2) contributorsand applied where performed for typical limited detailed fire modeling the reduction in conservatism ignition sources based on performed to refine the was likely to have a measurable their physical properties scenarios developed using impact.
88  Scoping            Scoping Scoping fire  fire modeling modeling is   is aa This This task task by by itself itself does does not Scoping Fire Fire                                                                                    not      The The employment employment of    of generic generic fire fire coarse coarse approach approach used   used to to   contribute contribute to  to uncertainty, uncertainty.            modeling modeling solutions solutions did  did not not Modeling Modeling         bound bound the  the fire effects effects ofof      However, However, the   the approach approach taken taken    introduce introduce any any significant significant certain certain ignition ignition sources.
and prescribed heat the generic fire modeling release rates. This solutions. The primary The NUREG/CR-6850 heat analysis yielded a conservatism introduced by release rates introduce guideline for the this task is associated with significant conservatism given evaluation of fire damage the heat release rates the limited fire test data available effects for the various specified in NUREG/CR-to define the heat release rates ignition sources. This 6850.
sources.        for for this   task included:
and the associated fire enabled the development development timeline. However, of a basic scenario for alternative treatments are not many sources that could currently accepted.
this task      included: 1)  1)         conservatism conservatism.. DetailedDetailed fire fire AA more more refined refined approach, approach,      generic generic firefire modeling modeling                  modeling modeling was was performed performed on     on generic generic modeling, modeling, was    was       treatments treatments used   used in  in lieu lieu of of       those those scenarios scenarios whichwhich otherwise otherwise employed employed at      at PNP.
be treated as bounding.
PNP. A    A         conservative conservative scoping scoping                would would havehave been been notable notable risk  risk detailed detailed analysis analysis was was          analysis analysis techniques techniques and      and 2)
Page 10 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.
: 2)    contributorsa contributorsand         applied where nd applied       where performed performed for    for typical typical          limited limited detailed detailed fire  fire modeling modeling      the the reduction reduction in  in conservatism conservatism ignition ignition sources sources based based on on  performed performed to     to refine refine the the          was likely was            to have likely to  have aa measurable measurable their their physical physical properties properties        scenarios scenarios developed developed using    using     impact.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 6
impact.
Fire Ignition A fire ignition frequency The frequency values from A Bayesian update process for Frequency was estimated for each NUREG/CR-6850 and EPRI PNP events after 2000 was plant compartment based Report 1016735 include applied to the generic on fixed sources and uncertainty to account for frequencies taken from transient factors. The variability among plants NUREG/CR-6850 and the EPRI frequencies were along with some significant 1016735 data.
and and prescribed prescribed heat   heat          the the generic generic fire fire modeling modeling release release rates.
ultimately applied on a conservatism in defining the The applicablilty of the ignition scenario basis. The frequencies, and their approtionment of the fire associated heat release frequency data is identified as a frequency was done in rates, based on limited potential key source of accordance with detailed data.
rates. This This           solutions.
uncertainty.
solutions. The The primary primary             The NUREG/CR The    NUREG/CR-6850   -6850 heatheat analysis analYSis yielded yielded aa                conservatism conservatism introduced introduced by    by   release    rates introduce release rates       introduce guideline guideline for  for the the                this this task task isis associated associated with   with      significant Significant conservatism conservatism given   given evaluation evaluation of    of fire fire damage damage        the heat the   heat release release rates rates             the the limited limited fire fire test test data data available available effects effects for      the various for the     various         specified specified inin NUREG/CR-NUREGlCR-                   to define to           the heat define the     heat release release rates rates ignition ignition sources.
NUREG/CR-6850 A potential key assumption is guidance and associated FAQs.
sources. This This         6850.
that the fire ignition frequency data is applicable and provides an* accepted estimate of the fire frequency for PNP.
6850.                                        and and the the associated associated fire   fire enabled enabled the  the development development                                                       development development timeline.
7 Quantitative An initial quantification of Other than the conservative Quantitative screening was Screening the fire PRA model was treatment asscoiated with limited to refraining from further performed to identify the retaining all scenarios, there scenario refinement of those relative risk contribution is no uncertainty from this scenarios with a resulting CDF /
timeline. However, However, of aa basic of      basic scenario scenario for  for                                                     alternative alternative treatments treatments are  are not not many manysources sources that  that could could                                                    currently currently accepted.
of each physical analysis task on the FPRA results.
accepted.
LERF below the screening unit (PAU). No actual threshold. All of the results were screening was performed retained in the cumulative CDF /
be be treated treated as  as bounding.
as all PAUs were LERF.
bounding.
retained in the quantification. This step was used to identify compartments where detailed analyses would be appropriate.
Page Page 10    10 of of 18 18
8 Scoping Fire Scoping fire modeling is a This task by itself does not The employment of generic fire Modeling coarse approach used to contribute to uncertainty.
modeling solutions did not bound the fire effects of However, the approach taken introduce any significant certain ignition sources.
for this task included: 1) conservatism. Detailed fire A more refined approach, generic fire modeling modeling was performed on generic modeling, was treatments used in lieu of those scenarios which otherwise employed at PNP. A conservative scoping would have been notable risk detailed analysis was analysis techniques and 2) contributorsand applied where performed for typical limited detailed fire modeling the reduction in conservatism ignition sources based on performed to refine the was likely to have a measurable their physical properties scenarios developed using impact.
and prescribed heat the generic fire modeling The NUREG/CR-6850 heat release rates. This solutions. The primary analYSis yielded a conservatism introduced by release rates introduce guideline for the this task is associated with Significant conservatism given evaluation of fire damage the heat release rates the limited fire test data available effects for the various specified in NUREGlCR-to define the heat release rates ignition sources. This 6850.
and the associated fire enabled the development development timeline. However, of a basic scenario for alternative treatments are not many sources that could currently accepted.
be treated as bounding.
Page 10 of 18  


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA  UNCERTAINTY AND                AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX            MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL                  KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF              OF THE THE TASK TASK                                   TASK TASK                    ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                            RESUL RESULTS     TS TO TO THE THE TASK TITLE TASK    TITLE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
NO.                          DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                    AND SOURCES AND        SOURCES OF           OF          SOURCE(S)
TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Circuit Circuit failures were Uncertainty considerations Circuit analysis was performed evaluated on a failure are limited to errors in circuit as part of the Fire Safe Failure Analysis mode basis using the failure analysis where a Shutdown / NSCA analysis and data provided in the cable was deemed incapable supplemental circuit selection original Appendix R of causing loss of a particular efforts. Refinements in the analysis and additional function credited in the application of the circuit analysis cable data selection FPRA. Similar to Task 2 results to the fire PRA were efforts. In many cases (with the exception of the performed on a case by case additional circuit reviews MSO process), this task has basis where the scenario risk were necessary to no associated uncertainty if quantification was large enough determine the specific performed correctly.
SOURCE(S) OF           OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                              UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Circuit       Circuit failures Circuit  failures were were        Uncertainty considerations Uncertainty     considerations         Circuit analysis Circuit  analysis waswas performed performed Detailed  Circuit    evaluated on evaluated      on aa failure failure    are limited to are limited    to errors errors in in circuit circuit    part of as part as        of the  Fire Safe the Fire   Safe Failure  Analysis Failure Analysis       mode basis     using the basis using      the    failure analysis analysis where mode                            failure              where aa          Shutdown // NSCA Shutdown        NSCA analysis analysis and and data provided data  provided in  in the the      cable was cable  was deemed deemed incapable incapable    supplemental circuit supplemental      circuit selection selection original Appendix original  Appendix R     R      of causing of causing lossloss of of aa particular particular  efforts. Refinements efforts. Refinements in  in the the analysis and analYSis    and additional additional    function credited function     credited in   the in the          application of application        the circuit of the  circuit analysis analysis cable data cable  data selection selection        FPRA. Similar FPRA.     Similar to to Task Task 22        results to results  to the   fire PRA the fire  PRA were were efforts. In efforts.      many cases In many    cases    (with the (with        exception of the exception      of the the      performed on performed      on aa case case byby case case additional circuit additional    circuit reviews reviews  MSO process),
to warrant further analysis.
MSO     process), this task has   has  basis where the basis            the scenario scenario risk risk necessary to were necessary                  no   associated uncertainty no associated      uncertainty ifif    quantification was quantification    was large large enough enough determine the determine      the specific specific    performed correctly.
failure consequences of cables on individual equipment.
performed                              to warrant further analysis.
10 Circuit Failure Circuit failures based off The uncertainty associated Circuit failure mode likelihood M d L ih d
failure consequences consequences of cables on cables        individual on individual equipment.
the failure mode were with the applied conditional analysis was generally limited to 0 e i,e I 00 evaluated in Task 9. In failure probabilities posed those components where Analysis some cases, additional competing considerations.
10 Circuit Failure Circuit              Circuit failures based off     The uncertainty associated             Circuit failure mode likelihood the failure mode were           with the applied conditional           analysis was generally limited to M 0 d e Likelihood Mode    Li,e ih I 00 d evaluated in Task 9. In         failure probabilities posed             those components where Analysis Analysis              some cases, additional                         considerations.
spurious operation could not be circuit failure likelihood On the one hand, a failure caused by the generation of a analysis was needed. If probability for spurious spurious signal. This approach applicable, failure operation could be applied limited the introduction of non-probabilities were applied based solely on cable scope conservative uncertainties.
competing considerations.              spurious operation could not be circuit failure likelihood     On the one hand, a failure             caused by the generation of a analysis was needed. If         probability for spurious               spurious signal. This approach applicable, failure             operation could be applied             limited the introduction of non-probabilities were applied     based solely on cable scope             conservative uncertainties.
to specific cable failure without consideration of less Additional refinement to this modes.
uncertainties.
direct fire effects (e.g., a approach was performed on risk failure likelihood applied to significant scenarios. Given this the spurious operation of an treatment, the application of MOV without consideration of circuit failure probabilities is not the fire-induced generation of considered to be a potential key spurious signal to close or source of uncertainty.
to specific cable failure       without consideration of less           Additional refinement to this modes.                         direct fire effects (e.g., a           approach was performed on risk failure likelihood likelihood applied to         significant scenarios.
open the MOV). On the other hand, a failure probability for spurious operation could be applied despite the absence of cables capable of causing spurious operation in that location.
scenarios. Given this the spurious operation of       of an an   treatment, the application application of MOV MOV without consideration of           circuit circuit failure probabilities is is not not the fire-induced fire-induced generation generation of  of considered considered to  to be a potential keykey spurious spurious signal to  to close close or or    source source ofof uncertainty.
Page 11 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.
uncertainty.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 9
open the MOV).MOV). On On thethe other other hand, hand, a failure probability probability forfor spurious spurious operation operation could be    be applied applied despite despite the absence absence of  of cables cables capable capable ofof causing causing spurious spurious operation operation in  in that that location.
Detailed Circuit Circuit failures were Uncertainty considerations Circuit analysis was performed Failure Analysis evaluated on a failure are limited to errors in circuit as part of the Fire Safe mode basis using the failure analysis where a Shutdown / NSCA analysis and data provided in the cable was deemed incapable supplemental circuit selection original Appendix R of causing loss of a particular efforts. Refinements in the analYSis and additional function credited in the application of the circuit analysis cable data selection FPRA. Similar to Task 2 results to the fire PRA were efforts. In many cases (with the exception of the performed on a case by case additional circuit reviews MSO process), this task has basis where the scenario risk were necessary to no associated uncertainty if quantification was large enough determine the specific performed correctly.
location.
to warrant further analysis.
Page Page 1111 of of 18 18
failure consequences of cables on individual equipment.
10 Circuit Failure Circuit failures based off The uncertainty associated Circuit failure mode likelihood Mode Likelihood the failure mode were with the applied conditional analysis was generally limited to evaluated in Task 9. In failure probabilities posed those components where Analysis some cases, additional competing considerations.
spurious operation could not be circuit failure likelihood On the one hand, a failure caused by the generation of a analysis was needed. If probability for spurious spurious signal. This approach applicable, failure operation could be applied limited the introduction of non-probabilities were applied based solely on cable scope conservative uncertainties.
to specific cable failure without consideration of less Additional refinement to this modes.
direct fire effects (e.g., a approach was performed on risk failure likelihood applied to significant scenarios. Given this the spurious operation of an treatment, the application of MOV without consideration of circuit failure probabilities is not the fire-induced generation of considered to be a potential key spurious signal to close or source of uncertainty.
open the MOV). On the other hand, a failure probability for spurious operation could be applied despite the absence of cables capable of causing spurious operation in that location.
Page 11 of 18  


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA  UNCERTAINTY AND                    AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX            MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL                  KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF                 OF THE  THE TASK TASK                                     TASK TASK                          ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                               RESUL RESULTS       TS TO  TO THE THE TASK TITLE TASK   TITLE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE TASK TITLE NO.
NO.                          DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                           AND SOURCES AND       SOURCES OF             OF          SOURCE(S)
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Fire 1 1 Modeling The application of Utlimately, the treatment of Detailed fire modeling was detailed fire modeling these issues has evolved performed only on those was limited to the Main through the various RAIs and scenarios which otherwise would Control Room (MCR) subsequent model have been notable risk abandonment scenario, refinements to reduce the contributors and only where and a few risk significant number of potential key removal of conservatism in the areas (e.g., in the 1 C and assumptions.
SOURCE(S) OF                OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                                 UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Fire Detailed   Fire 11 11  Modeling Modeling             The   application of The application        of            Utlimately, the Utlimately,      the treatment treatment of of     Detailed fire Detailed   fire modeling modeling was  was detailed fire detailed            modeling fire modeling             these issues these    issues has has evolved evolved        performed only performed      only onon those those was limited was   limited to to the the Main Main      through the through     the various various RAlsRAIs and and   scenarios which scenarios     which otherwise otherwise would would Control Room Control    Room (MCR) (MCR)          subsequent model subsequent         model                   have been have           notable risk been notable       risk abandonment scenario, abandonment            scenario,      refinements to refinements            reduce the to reduce    the      contributors and contributors      and only only where where and aa few risk and            risk significant significant     number of number          potential key of potential     key         removal of removal    of conservatism conservatism in     in the the areas (e.g.,
generic fire modeling solution 1 D swithcgear rooms).
areas     (e.g., inin the the 1C1 C and and  assumptions.
was likely to provide benefit The majority of the other The analysis methodology either via a smaller zone of scenarios were analyzed conservatism is primarily influence or to credit automatic using the generic fire associated with conservatism suppression.
assumptions.                              generic fire generic   fire modeling modeling solution solution 11 D swithcgear rooms).
modeling treatments, in the heat release rates specified in NUREG/CR-Additional refinement of the fire This task also includes 6850.
D swithcgear        rooms).                                                      likely to was likely was                provide benefit to provide     benefit The majority The  majority of  of the other       The analysis The    analysis methodology methodology          either via aa smaller smaller zone zone of scenarios were scenarios      were analyzed analyzed     conservatism is          primarily is primarily         influence or or toto credit credit automatic automatic using the using    the generic fire             associated with conservatism associated              conservatism suppression.
scenarios was pursued using the devleopment of a multi-point analysis of the heat multi-compartment The primary potential key release rates as opposed to the analysis and structural assumption and related use of a bounding fire for most steel analysis.
suppression.
source of uncertainty in this scenarios. Additional fire task is in the area of the time modeling was pursued in areas delay associated with cable of high risk, notably the damage that resulted in switchgear rooms.
several different related RAIs.
The time delay associated with cable damage that was incorporated into the fire modeling is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
Post-Fire Human 12 Reliability The post-fire HRA was Human error probabilities Detailed fire HEP values have Analysis (HRA) performed by developing represent a potentially large not been developed in all cases, a post-fire human error uncertainty for the FPRA and screening or scoping HEP probability (HEP) for each given the importance of values have been applied to credited action. For human actions in the base some of the less risk significant cases where detailed model. A potential key HEPs. This approach should post-fire HEPs were not assumption is that the HRA help reduce the impacts of developed, screening or methods utilized for PNP uncertainty associated with this scoping values were provide representative HEP issue.
used consistent with the values in the analysis guidance provided in commensurate with their In any event, the human error NUREG-1 921.
importance.
probabilities used in the Fire PRA model are identifed as a potential key source of uncertainty.
Seismic Fire 13 Interactions A qualitative seismic-fire Since this is a qualitative Seismic-fire interaction has no review was performed evaluation, there is no impact on fire risk quantification.
and documented.
quantitative impact with respect to the uncertainty of this task.
Page 12 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Fire 11 Modeling The application of Utlimately, the treatment of Detailed fire modeling was detailed fire modeling these issues has evolved performed only on those was limited to the Main through the various RAls and scenarios which otherwise would Control Room (MCR) subsequent model have been notable risk abandonment scenario, refinements to reduce the contributors and only where and a few risk significant number of potential key removal of conservatism in the areas (e.g., in the 1C and assumptions.
generic fire modeling solution 1 D swithcgear rooms).
The analysis methodology was likely to provide benefit The majority of the other either via a smaller zone of scenarios were analyzed conservatism is primarily influence or to credit automatic using the generic fire associated with conservatism suppression.
modeling treatments.
modeling treatments.
modeling      treatments,            in the heat in      heat release rates  rates specified in  in NUREGlCR-NUREG/CR-              Additional refinement of the fire This task alsoalso includes includes         6850.
in the heat release rates specified in NUREGlCR-Additional refinement of the fire This task also includes 6850.
6850.                                    scenarios was pursued pursued using using the devleopment of a                                                           multi-point analysis of the heat multi-compartment multi-compartment                    The primary potential key                release rates as opposed to the analysis and structural               assumption and related                   use of a bounding fire for most steel analysis.                       source of uncertainty in this             scenarios. Additional fire task is in the area of the time modeling was pursued in areas delay associated with cable               of high risk, notably the damage that resulted in                   switchgear rooms.
scenarios was pursued using the devleopment of a The primary potential key multi-point analysis of the heat multi-compartment release rates as opposed to the analysis and structural assumption and related use of a bounding fire for most steel analysis.
several different related RAIs.
source of uncertainty in this scenarios. Additional fire task is in the area of the time modeling was pursued in areas delay associated with cable of high risk, notably the damage that resulted in switchgear rooms.
RAls.                                    The time delay associated with cable damage that was incorporated into the fire modeling is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
several different related RAls.
Post-Fire Human 12 12 Reliability Reliability         The post-fire HRA  HRA was was      Human Human error probabilities                 Detailed fire HEP HEP values have  have Analysis (HRA)       performed performed by   by developing developing       represent a potentially large             not not been developed in        in all cases, cases, a post-fire post-fire human human error           uncertainty uncertainty for the FPRA                 and and screening or scoping  seoping HEP HEP probability (HEP)
The time delay associated with cable damage that was incorporated into the fire modeling is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
(HEP) for each each  given   the importance given the    importance of             values values have have beenbeen applied applied to to credited credited action.
Post-Fire Human 12 Reliability The post-fire HRA was Human error probabilities Detailed fire HEP values have Analysis (HRA) performed by developing represent a potentially large not been developed in all cases, a post-fire human error uncertainty for the FPRA and screening or seoping HEP probability (HEP) for each given the importance of values have been applied to credited action. For human actions in the base some of the less risk significant cases where detailed model. A potential key HEPs. This approach should post-fire HEPs were not assumption is that the HRA help reduce the impacts of developed, screening or methods utilized for PNP uncertainty associated with this scoping values were provide representative HEP issue.
action. For For          human human actions actions in  in the the base base    some some of of the the less less risk risk significant significant cases cases where where detailed detailed         model.
used consistent with the values in the analysis In any event, the human error guidance provided in commensurate with their NUREG-1921.
model. A potential potential key key        HEPs.
importance.
HEPs. This This approach approach shouldshould post-fire post-fire HEPs HEPs were were notnot    assumption assumption is       that the is that  the HRA HRA    help help reduce reduce the the impacts impacts of  of developed, developed, screening screening or   or  methods methods utilized utilized forfor PNP PNP       uncertainty uncertainty associated associated with  with this this scoping scoping values values were were          provide provide representativ representative     e HEP HEP     issue.
probabilities used in the Fire PRA model are identifed as a potential key source of uncertainty.
issue.
Seismic Fire 13 Interactions A qualitative seismic-fire Since this is a qualitative Seismic-fire interaction has no review was performed evaluation, there is no impact on fire risk quantification.
used used consistent consistent with with the the values values in in the the analysis analysis guidance guidance provided provided in   in      commensura commensurate           with their te with    their      In  any event, In any  event, thethe human human error error NUREG-1 NUREG-1921. 921.                  importance.
importance.                              probabilities probabilities usedused in in the the Fire Fire PRA PRA model model are are identifed identifed asas aa potential potential key key source source of  of uncertainty.
uncertainty.
Seismic Seismic Fire Fire 13 13  Interactions Interactions        AA qualitative qualitative seismic-fire seismic-fire    Since Since this this isis aa qualitative qualitative         Seismic-fire Seismic-fire interaction interaction has has nono review review waswas performed performed          evaluation, evaluation, therethere is is no no          impact impact onon fire fire risk risk quantification.
quantification.
and documented.
and documented.
and    documented.                    quantitative quantitative impact impact withwith respect respect to to the the uncertainty uncertainty of  of this this task.
quantitative impact with respect to the uncertainty of this task.
task.
Page 12 of 18
Page Page 12   12 of of 1818


FPRA UNCERTAINTY FPRA    UNCERTAINTY AND              AND SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY MATRIX         MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY POTENTIAL               KEY SENSITIVITY SENSITIVITY OF                  OF THE THE TASK TASK                                           TASK TASK                      ASSUMPTIONS ASSUMPTIONS                            RESULTS RESULTS TO             TO THE THE TASK TITLE TASK    T IT LE NO.
FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK IT TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
NO.                                  DESCRIPTION DESCRIPTION                    AND SOURCES AND      SOURCES OF          OF           SOURCE(S)
T LE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire Risk 14 Quantification The fire PRA was As the culmination of other Since the fire PRA solves for quantified using the tasks, most of the uncertainty CCDP (prior to the application of FRANC analysis tool.
SOURCE(S) OF                 OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY                              UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire Risk Fire  Risk 14 14     Quantification Quantification           The fire The   fire PRA PRA was was            As   the culmination As the  culmination of of other other    Since the Since     the fire fire PRA PRA solves solves for for quantified using quantified  using the the         tasks, most tasks,   most of of the   uncertainty the uncertainty    CCDP (prior CCDP      (prior to   the application to the    application of of FRANC analysis FRANC      analysis tool.
associated with quantification frequency) at a truncation limit of The quantitative results has already been addressed.
tool.      associated with associated   with quantification quantification  frequency) at frequency)        at aa truncation truncation limit limit of of The quantitative The  quantitative results results     has    already been has already   been addressed.
1.OE-09 for CDF and 1.OE-1O for are summarized in the One source of uncertainty is LERF, there should not be a Fire PRA Quantification the selection of the truncation significant truncation and Summary Notebook.
addressed. 1 .OE-09 for 1.0E-09    for CDF CDF and and 1.0E-1 1 .OE-1O0 for for are summarized are  summarized in   in the the     One source One     source of of uncertainty uncertainty isis  LERF, there LERF,    there should should not not be be aa Fire PRA Fire  PRA Quantification Quantification      the  selection of the selection   of the the truncation truncation  significant truncation significant      truncation and Summary and   Summary Notebook.
: limit, contribution. These truncation limits are several orders of magnitude below the typical values calculated. Additionally, the final truncation values utilized in the integrated one-top model are compared to the PRA standard requirement of less than 5% change per decade of truncation and further discussed in the Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook. As such, the truncation values utilized are not identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
Notebook.      limit, limit.                                contribution. These contribution.       These truncation truncation limits are limits   are several several orders of    of magnitude below magnitude        below the the typical typical values calculated.
Uncertainty and 15 Sensitivity Uncertainty and This task does not introduce N/A Analysis Sensitivity are discussed any new uncertainties but is in the Fire PRA intended to address how Quantification and uncertainties may impact the Summary Notebook, fire risk.
values     calculated. Additionally, Additionally, the   final truncation the final  truncation valuesvalues utilized the integrated in the   integrated one-top model are compared to are                  to the the PRA PRA standard requirement of less than 5% change per decade of truncation and further discussed in the Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook. As such, the truncation values utilized are not identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
Fire PRA 16 Documentation The FPRA is documented This task does not introduce The documentation task in a series of reports.
Uncertainty and 15 15    Sensitivity Sensitivity              Uncertainty and                 This task does not introduce         N/A Analysis Analysis                Sensitivity are discussed       any new uncertainties but is in the Fire PRA                 intended to address how Quantification and             uncertainties may impact the Summary Notebook.
any new uncertainties to the compiles the results of the other fire risk. Uncertainty tasks. See specific technical considerations should be tasks above for a discussion of documented in a manner that their associated uncertainty and facilitates FPRA applications, sensitivity.
Notebook,           fire risk.
upgrades, and peer review.
Fire PRA PRA 16 16    Documentati Documentation   on      The The FPRA is  is documented documented This This task does does not not introduce introduce    The documentation documentation task    task in in a series of reports.         any new any  new uncertainties to the the  compiles the  the results of  of the other other fire risk. Uncertainty Uncertainty              tasks. See See specific specific technical technical considerations should should be be       tasks above tasks    above for a discussion discussion of of documented documented in   in aa manner manner that   their their associated associated uncertainty and       and facilitates facilitates FPRA FPRA applications, applications,  sensitivity.
Based on the uncertainty and sensitivity review summarized above, potential key assumptions (i.e., those that could impact the NFPA 805 application) were identified to include: non-suppression probabilities associated with the cable damage time, human error probabilities, fire ignition bin frequencies (in addition to the sensitivity analysis required by the use of NUREG/CR-6850 Supplement 1 (EPRI) ignition frequencies for all bins), and assumed cable routings.
sensitiVity.
Sensitivity analysis are performed for each of the potential key sources of uncertainty identified above, and these sensitivity cases will be re-performed with the base PAl Response Fire PRA Model. The results of these sensitivity cases will be included in the updated revision to the Fire PRA Fire Risk Quantification and Summary Notebook for the RAI Response Fire PRA Model.
upgrades, upgrades, andand peer peer review.
Page 13 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.
review.
DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire Risk 14 Quantification The fire PRA was As the culmination of other Since the fire PRA solves for quantified using the tasks, most of the uncertainty CCDP (prior to the application of FRANC analysis tool.
Based Based on  on the the uncertainty uncertainty and and sensitivity sensitivity review summarized   summarized above,      above, potential potential key     "key" assumptions (i.e.,(Le., those those that that could impact impact the   the NFPA NFPA 805   805 application) application) were identified       identified to        to include:
associated with quantification frequency) at a truncation limit of The quantitative results has already been addressed. 1.0E-09 for CDF and 1.0E-1 0 for are summarized in the One source of uncertainty is LERF, there should not be a Fire PRA Quantification the selection of the truncation significant truncation and Summary Notebook.
include: non-suppress non-suppression   ion probabilities associatedassociated with     with thethe cable cable damage damage time,      time, human human error error probabilities probabilities,, fire fire ignition ignition binbin frequencies frequencies (in      (in addition addition to    to the the sensitivity sensitivity analysis analysis required required by by the use of the use      of NUREG/CR NUREG/CR-6850      -6850 Supplement Supplement 11 (EPRI)      (EPRI) ignition ignition frequencies frequencies for           for all  bins), and  assumed        cable all bins), and assumed cable routings. routings.
limit.
Sensitivity Sensitivity analysis analysis are are performed performed for    for each each of        the potential of the     potential key     key sources sources of     of uncertainty uncertainty identified identified above, above, and and these these sensitivity sensitivity casescases will will be  be re-performed re-performed with         with the the base base PAl     RAI Response       Fire PRA     Model. The     results Response Fire PRA Model. The results of these sensitivity   of these       sensitivity cases   cases willwill be be included included in         in the the updated updated revision     to the revision to    the Fire Fire PRA PRA Fire Fire Risk Risk Quantificatio Quantification       n andand Summary Summary Notebook    Notebook for           for the RAI the   RAI Response Response Fire  Fire PRA PRA Model.
contribution. These truncation limits are several orders of magnitude below the typical values calculated. Additionally, the final truncation values utilized in the integrated one-top model are compared to the PRA standard requirement of less than 5% change per decade of truncation and further discussed in the Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook. As such, the truncation values utilized are not identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.
Model.
Uncertainty and 15 Sensitivity Uncertainty and This task does not introduce N/A Analysis Sensitivity are discussed any new uncertainties but is in the Fire PRA intended to address how Quantification and uncertainties may impact the Summary Notebook.
Page Page 13  13 of of 18 18
fire risk.
Fire PRA 16 Documentation The FPRA is documented This task does not introduce The documentation task in a series of reports.
any new uncertainties to the compiles the results of the other fire risk. Uncertainty tasks. See specific technical considerations should be tasks above for a discussion of documented in a manner that their associated uncertainty and facilitates FPRA applications, sensitiVity.
upgrades, and peer review.
Based on the uncertainty and sensitivity review summarized above, potential "key" assumptions (Le., those that could impact the NFPA 805 application) were identified to include: non-suppression probabilities associated with the cable damage time, human error probabilities, fire ignition bin frequencies (in addition to the sensitivity analysis required by the use of NUREG/CR-6850 Supplement 1 (EPRI) ignition frequencies for all bins), and assumed cable routings.
Sensitivity analysis are performed for each of the potential key sources of uncertainty identified above, and these sensitivity cases will be re-performed with the base RAI Response Fire PRA Model. The results of these sensitivity cases will be included in the updated revision to the Fire PRA Fire Risk Quantification and Summary Notebook for the RAI Response Fire PRA Model.
Page 13 of 18  


==REFERENCES:==
==REFERENCES:==
: 1. Palisades Nuclear Plant Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment Fire Risk Quantification and Summary, ERIN Report 0247-07-0005.01, Revision 1, November 2012.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.q.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.q, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that the time delay method will replace the damage accrual method originally employed by the fire PRA. Note that in Section H. 1.5.2 of NUREG/CR-6850, the failure times reported in Table H-8 assume steady-state fire exposure conditions and are therefore, not applicable for use in calculating exposure conditions that evolve over time. Provide a technicaljustification for how the Wme delay method accounts for pre-heating of targets that occurs at heat fluxes prior to reaching the peak heat flux for the fire being analyzed including those below the target damage threshold, and those not already taken into account by Table H-8.
Provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30 that appropriately account for pre-heating or that conseivatively do not credit the time delay associated with the pre-heating period.
ENO RESPONSE Consistent with industry precedent (References 1, 2), PNP will revise the Fire PRA RAI Response Model to use the damage accrual method using elements of the Arrhenius methodology (Reference 3, 4). As such, technical justification of the time delay method is not provided. The updated risk results will be included in the response to RAI 30.
Due to the revised approach of using the damage accrual method, reference to the time delay method in the previously submitted responses for RAI FM 01.p and RAI FM 02.b is superseded.


==REFERENCES:==
==REFERENCES:==
: 1. Turkey Point NFPA 805 LAR RAI Responses 4-4-14
: 2. Turkey Point NFPA 805 LAR RAls 5-27-14 ML14132A081
: 3. User Need Request on the Acceptability of the Arrhenius Methodology for Environmental Qualification (EQ) for LOCA and POST-LOCA Environments, ML003701987, February 24, 2000 Page 14 of 18


1.1. Palisades Palisades Nuclear Nuclear Plant Plant Fire Fire Probabilistic Probabilistic RiskRisk Assessment Assessment Fire   Fire Risk Risk Quantification Quantification and    Summary, and Summary, ERIN     ERIN Report Report 0247-07-0005.01, 0247-07-0005.01, Revision  Revision 1, 1, November November 2012. 2012.
==REFERENCES:==
NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAI PRA      RAIO1.q.O1 01.q.01 The response The    response to    to PRA PRA RAIRAI 01.q, 01.q, inin the the letter letter dated     December 2, dated December           2, 2013, 2013, ADAMS ADAMS Accession      No. ML  13336A649, Accession No. ML13336A649, states that the  states  that  the "time time delay delay method" method will will replace replace the the damage accrual "damage       accrual method" method originally originally employed employed by   by the the fire fire PRA.
: 1. Palisades Nuclear Plant Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment Fire Risk Quantification and Summary, ERIN Report 0247-07-0005.01, Revision 1, November 2012.
PRA. NoteNote that that in in Section Section H. 1.5.2 of H.1.S.2     of NUREGICR-68S0, NUREG/CR-6850, the        the failure failure times times reported reported in  in Table Table H-8H-8 assume assume steady-steady-state   fire exposure     conditions and state fire exposure conditions              and are therefore, therefore, not not applicable for for use use in calculating calculating exposure conditions exposure        conditions that that evolve evolve over over time. Provide a technical time. Provide          technical justification for  for how thethe Wme    delay    method "time delay method" accounts  accounts for pre-heating of targets    targets that occurs at heat   heat fluxes fluxes prior to reaching to  reaching the  the peak peak heat flux for the fire being analyzed including those below the target  damage target damage         threshold,   and those not already taken into account by Table H-8.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI 01.q.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.q, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that the "time delay method" will replace the "damage accrual method" originally employed by the fire PRA. Note that in Section H.1.S.2 of NUREGICR-68S0, the failure times reported in Table H-8 assume steady-state fire exposure conditions and are therefore, not applicable for use in calculating exposure conditions that evolve over time. Provide a technical justification for how the "time delay method" accounts for pre-heating of targets that occurs at heat fluxes prior to reaching the peak heat flux for the fire being analyzed including those below the target damage threshold, and those not already taken into account by Table H-8.
Provide updated Provide      updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk  change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA     RAI in PRA RAI 30    30   that appropriately     account for pre-heating or that conservatively conseivatively do not credit the credit    the time time delay delay associated with the pre-heating period.
Provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30 that appropriately account for pre-heating or that conservatively do not credit the time delay associated with the pre-heating period.
ENO    RESPONSE ENO RESPONSE Consistent Consistent with industry precedent (References 1,                    1, 2), PNP will revise the Fire PRA RAI
ENO RESPONSE Consistent with industry precedent (References 1, 2), PNP will revise the Fire PRA RAI Response Model to use the 'damage accrual' method using elements of the Arrhenius methodology (Reference 3,4). As such, technical justification of the 'time delay' method is not provided. The updated risk results will be included in the response to RAI
 
: 30.
===Response===
Due to the revised approach of using the 'damage accrual' method, reference to the  
Response Model  Model to use the damage
'time delay' method in the previously submitted responses for RAI FM 01.p and RAI FM 02.b is superseded.  
                                        'damage accrual accrual' method using elements of            of the Arrhenius methodology methodology (Reference (Reference 3,     4). As such, 3,4).        such, technical justification justification of of the time
                                                                                                  'time delay delay' method      is  not method is not provided.
provided. The The updated updated risk results will   will be be included included in  in the response to   to RAI RAI 30.
30.
Due Due to to the the revised revised approach approach of  of using using the the damage
                                                          'damage accrual accrual' method, method, reference reference to to the the time
'time delay delay' method method in  in the the previously previously submitted submitted responses responses for  for RAI RAI FMFM 0101.p  and    RAI
                                                                                                      .p and RAI FM  FM 02.b   is superseded.
02.b is superseded.
REFERENC


==REFERENCES:==
==REFERENCES:==
ES:
: 1. Turkey Point - NFPA 805 LAR RAI Responses 4-4-14
1.
: 2. Turkey Point - NFPA 805 LAR RAls 5-27-14 ML14132A081
: 1. Turkey Turkey PointPoint - NFPA NFPA 805 805 LAR LAR RAIRAI Responses Responses 4-4-14 4-4-14 2.
: 3. User Need Request on the Acceptability of the Arrhenius Methodology for Environmental Qualification (EQ) for LOCA and POST -LOCA Environments, ML003701987, February 24, 2000 Page 14 of 18
: 2. Turkey Turkey PointPoint - NFPA NFPA 805 805 LAR LAR RAls RAls 5-27-14 5-27-14 ML14132A0 ML14132A081    81 3.
: 4. PLP-RPT-00057, Attachment PRA-RAI-Ol.q.01 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.r.O1 The response to PRA RAI Olr, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that a one-minute time delay will be applied for credited automatic detection systems.
: 3. User User Need Need Request Request on on the the Acceptability Acceptability of  of the the Arrhenius Arrhenius Methodology Methodology for     for Environment      al Qualification Environmental Qualification (EQ)       (EQ) for for LOCA LOCA and  and POST-LOCA POST-LOCA Environment Environments,   s, ML00370198 ML003701987,      7, February February 24,  24, 2000 2000 Page Page 14 14of  of 18 18
: a. How is the probability of failure of automatic detection included in the PRA?
: 4. PLP-RPT-00057, Attachment
b.
: 4. PLP-RPT-00057,             Attachment PRA-RAI-01.q.01 PRA-RAI-Ol .q.01 NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAI01.r.01 PRA      RAI O1.r.O1 The response The    response to    to PRA PRA RAIRAI 01 Olr,   in the r, in  the letter letter dated   December 2, dated December           2, 2013, 2013, ADAMS ADAMS Accession Accession No. ML No. ML13336A649, states that a one-minute time 13336A649,      states  that    a  one-minute      time delay delay will will be be applied applied forfor credited credited automatic detection automatic        detection systems.
If the automatic detection fails, is manual detection then credited?
systems.
c.
: a. How
When manual detection is credited after automatic detection fails, is the 15 minute delay used?
: a. How is  is the the probability probability ofof failure failure of     automatic detection of automatic    detection included included in in the the PRA?
d.
PRA?
If a logical scenario of detection failure, manual detection with 15 minute delay, and attempted manual suppression is not included in the PRA. Evaluate the impact on the results of not including this scenario or add it to the PRA.
: b. If
ENO RESPONSE
: b. If the the automatic automatic detection detection fails, fails, is manual manual detection detection thenthen credited?
: a. The fire PRA model is being updated to include the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in the calculation of manual non-suppression probabilities (NSPs). As stated in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, no automatic detection systems were credited in support of the activation of automatic suppression systems as the automatic suppression systems are all wet-pipe systems.
credited?
In order to account for the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in support of manual suppression, two sets of manual non-suppression probabilities are being calculated for each applicable set of fire scenarios.;
When manual
: 1) The first set is calculated assuming the automatic detection system fails and the corresponding manual detection time is used (e.g. 15 minutes).
: c. When         manual detection is credited credited after automatic detection fails, is the 15            15 minute delay used?
: 2) The second set is calculated assuming the automatic detection is successful and the corresponding time to detection is used (e.g. 1 minute).
delay    used?
These two sets of NSPs are pro-rated by the automatic detection system success/failure rates. The first set of NSPs are multiplied by the automatic detection system failure probability (e.g. 0.05) and the second set of NSPs are multiplied by the complement of the failure probability (e.g. 0.95). The pro-rated NSPs from each set are summed and applied to the appropriate fire scenarios.
: d. If
Page 15 of 18
: d.          logical scenario of detection failure, manual detection with 15 minute delay, and If a logical attempted attempted manual suppression is not included in the PRA. Evaluate the impact on the results the    results ofof not including this scenario or add it to the PRA.
: 4. PLP-RPT-00057, Attachment PRA-RAI-01.q.01 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.r.01 The response to PRA RAI 01 r, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that a one-minute time delay will be applied for credited automatic detection systems.
ENO RESPONSE ENO
: a. How is the probability of failure of automatic detection included in the PRA?
: a. The fire PRA model is being updated to include the failure probability of automatic a.
: b. If the automatic detection fails, is manual detection then credited?
detection systems credited in the calculation of manual non-suppression detection                                                                      non-suppression probabilities (NSPs). As stated in the response to PRA RAI 01                          01.r,
: c. When manual detection is credited after automatic detection fails, is the 15 minute delay used?
                                                                                              .r, no automatic detection systems were credited in support of the activation of automatic suppression systems as the automatic suppression systems are all wet-pipe systems. In      In order to account for the failure probability of automatic detection          detection systems credited in support of manual suppression, two sets of manual non-                             non-suppression suppression probabilities are being calculated for each                 each applicable applicable set set of of fire scenarios.;
: d. If a logical scenario of detection failure, manual detection with 15 minute delay, and attempted manual suppression is not included in the PRA. Evaluate the impact on the results of not including this scenario or add it to the PRA.
scenarios. ;
ENO RESPONSE
1)
: a. The fire PRA model is being updated to include the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in the calculation of manual non-suppression probabilities (NSPs). As stated in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, no automatic detection systems were credited in support of the activation of automatic suppression systems as the automatic suppression systems are all wet-pipe systems. In order to account for the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in support of manual suppression, two sets of manual non-suppression probabilities are being calculated for each applicable set of fire scenarios. ;
: 1) The The first first set set is is calculated assuming assuming the  the automatic automatic detection detection system system fails fails and and the  correspondin the corresponding     g manual manual detection detection time time isis used used (e.g.
: 1) The first set is calculated assuming the automatic detection system fails and the corresponding manual detection time is used (e.g. 15 minutes).
(e.g. 1515 minutes).
: 2) The second set is calculated assuming the automatic detection is successful and the corresponding time to detection is used (e.g. 1 minute).
minutes).
These two sets of NSPs are pro-rated by the automatic detection system success/failure rates. The first set of NSPs are multiplied by the automatic detection system failure probability (e.g. 0.05) and the second set of NSPs are multiplied by the complement of the failure probability (e.g. 0.95). The pro-rated NSPs from each set are summed and applied to the appropriate fire scenarios.
2)
Page 15 of 18
: 2) The The second second set     is calculated set is  calculated assuming assuming the the automatic automatic detection detection is is successful successful and and the the correspondin corresponding     g time time toto detection detection is is used used (e.g.
: b. Yes, manual detection is credited if automatic detection fails as discussed in the response to part a) above.
(e.g. 11 minute).
c.
minute).
Yes, as discussed in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, the application of a 15 minute manual detection time is applied when appropriate, If manual detection is not considered credible, manual suppression will not be credited when the automatic detection system is assumed to fail or is nonexistent.
These These two two sets sets of of NSPs NSPs areare pro-rated pro-rated by by the the automatic automatic detection detection system system success/failu success/failure   re rates.
: d. As discussed in the response to part a) above, the fire PRA model is being updated so that the NSPs applied to fire scenarios crediting automatic detection also take into account the failure probabilities of these automatic detection systems, and the resulting impact on the detection times. An evaluation of the impact of not including these scenarios is therefore not required.
rates. The The first first set set of of NSPs NSPs areare multiplied multiplied by  by the the automatic automatic detection detection system system failure failure probability probability (e.g.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.yOl The response to PRA RAI O1.y, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, appears to indicate that the barrier failure probability is defined by the most limiting barrier (e.g., non-rated barrier, door, damper, or wall) and not the sum of the types of barriers present.
(e.g. 0.05) 0.05) and and the the second second set set of of NSPs NSPs are are multiplied multiplied byby the the complement complement of    of the the failure failure probability probability (e.g.
Demonstrate that the impact on the results is not significant or provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, summing the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrierpresent per NUREG/CR-6850.
(e.g. 0.95).
ENO RESPONSE In response to this RAI, the multi-compartment barrier failure probability is being updated to sum the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850. The risk results provided with the response to PRA RAI 30 will reflect this change.
0.95). TheThe pro-rated pro-rated NSPs NSPs from from each each set set areare summed summed and  and applied applied to    to the the appropriate appropriate fire fire scenarios.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI 12.01 The ASME PRA standard calls for a focused scope peer review for PRA upgrades, where PRA upgrade is defined in the standard as:
scenarios.
The incorporation into a PRA model of a new methodology or significant changes in scope or capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences.
Page Page 15 15 of of 18 18
Page 16 of 18
: b. Yes,
: b. Yes, manual detection is credited if automatic detection fails as discussed in the response to part a) above.
: b. Yes, manual manual detection detection isis credited credited ifif automatic automatic detection detection fails fails as as discussed discussed inin the the response response to partto  part a)    above.
: c. Yes, as discussed in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, the application of a 15 minute manual detection time is applied when appropriate. If manual detection is not considered credible, manual suppression will not be credited when the automatic detection system is assumed to fail or is nonexistent.
a) above.
: d. As discussed in the response to part a) above, the fire PRA model is being updated so that the NSPs applied to fire scenarios crediting automatic detection also take into account the failure probabilities of these automatic detection systems, and the resulting impact on the detection times. An evaluation of the impact of not including these scenarios is therefore not required.
: c. Yes,
NRC REQUEST PRA RAJ 01.y.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.y, in the {{letter dated|date=December 2, 2013|text=letter dated December 2, 2013}}, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, appears to indicate that the barrier failure probability is defined by '1he most limiting barrier (e.g., non-rated barrier, door, damper, or wall)" and not the sum of the types of barriers present.
: c. Yes, as      discussed in as discussed          in the the response response to    to PRA PRA RAI RAI 01.r, 01 .r, the the application application of of aa 15 15 minute minute manual detection manual        detection timetime isis applied applied whenwhen appropriate.
Demonstrate that the impact on the results is not significant or provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, summing the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850.
appropriate, IfIf manual manual detection detection isis notnot considered credible, considered        credible, manual manual suppression suppression will  will not not be be credited credited when when thethe automatic automatic detection system detection      system isis assumed assumed to        fail or to fail  or isis nonexistent.
ENO RESPONSE In response to this RAI, the multi-compartment barrier failure probability is being updated to sum the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850. The risk results provided with the response to PRA RAI 30 will reflect this change.
nonexistent.
NRC REQUEST PRA RAJ 12.01 The ASME PRA standard calls for a focused scope peer review for PRA upgrades, where PRA upgrade is defined in the standard as:
: d. As
'The incorporation into a PRA model of a new methodology or significant changes in scope or capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences. "
: d.        discussed in As discussed        in the the response response to   to part part a) a) above, above, thethe fire fire PRA PRA model model isis being being updated updated so that so    that the the NSPs NSPs applied applied to  to fire fire scenarios scenarios crediting crediting automatic automatic detection detection also take also  take into  account into account the          failure probabilities the failure      probabilities of  of these these automatic automatic detection detection systems, systems, and  and the the resulting impact resulting      impact on  on thethe detection detection times.
Page 16 of 18
times. An evaluation evaluation of of the the impact impact of   not  including of not including these scenarios these    scenarios is    is therefore therefore not  not required.
required.
NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAJ PRA            O1.yOl RAI 01.y.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.y, The                                      O1.y, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649,13336A 649, appears to indicate that the barrier failure probability is defined by '1he defined          the most limiting barrier (e.g., non-rated barrier, door, damper, or wall)"                    wall) and not the sum of the types of barriers present.
Demonstrate that the impact on the results is not significant or provide updated risk Demonstrate results as part of the aggregate change-in-ris  change-in-risk      k analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, summing summing the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR NUREG/CR-6850.    -6850.
ENO ENO RESPONSE


===RESPONSE===
The response to RAI 12 states, the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the HEP analysis is also not warranted. The response to RA123.e states, the use of NUREG 1921 methods for screening, scoping and detailed HEP values constitutes data and methods not included in the fire PRA peer review. However, these data and methods are considered acceptable for use.
In In response to this RAI, the multi-compa  multi-compartment rtment barrier failure probability is being    being updated updated to  to sum    the barrier sum the    barrier failure probabilities probabilities for  for each each type type ofof barrier barrier present present per  per NUREG/CR NUREG/CR-6850.    -6850. The risk    risk results provided provided with  with the the response to PRA  PRA RAIRAI 30 30 will will reflect reflect this this change.
a.
change.
Clarify these conflicting statements considering that using data and methods acceptable for use is unrelated to the need for a peer review.
NRC NRC REQUEST REQUEST PRA PRA RAI RAJ 12.01 12.01 The The ASME ASME PRA    PRA standard standard calls        for aa focused calls for      focused scopescope peer peer review review for for PRA PRA upgrades, upgrades, where    PRA    upgrade      is where PRA upgrade is defined in thedefined    in  the standard standard as:  as:
: b. Describe the method that will be used to ensure that any PRA upgrade will be peer reviewed.
The
ENO RESPONSE
        'The incorporation incorporation into    into aa PRA PRA model model of  ofaa new new methodology methodology or    orsignificant significant changes changes in  scope    or capability        that impacts in scope or capability that impacts the significant the    significant accident accident sequences sequences or    or the the significant significant accident accidentprogression progression sequences.
: a. The response to PRA RAI 12 should be clarified as:
sequences. "
the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the detailed HEP methodology is also not warranted.
Page Page 16  16 of of 18 18
The response to PRA RAI 23.e should be clarified as:
 
the use of NUREG-1921 methods for scoping HEP values constitutes a method not included in the fire PRA peer review. Therefore, the new methods are considered to require a focused scope peer review.
The response The    response to      RAI 12 to RAI    12 states, states, "the the detailed detailed HEP HEP methodology methodology was  was reviewed reviewedby  by the the peer    review peer review and  and has has not not been been changed.
A focused scope peer review on the use of NUREG-1921 scoping methods will be performed consistent with ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009. Any findings and their resolution will be described in the response to PRA RAI 30.
changed. As  As such, such, aa focused focused scope scope review review of of the the HEP HEP analysis isis also analysis        also not   warranted. The not warranted."        The response response to     RA123.e states, to RA123.e      states, 'Yhe  use of the use  ofNUREG-NUREG 1921    methods    for screening, 1921 methods for screening, scoping      scoping and and detailed detailed HEP HEP values values constitutes constitutes data data and and methods not methods      not included included in in the the fire fire PRA PRA peer peer review.
review. However, However, these these data data and  methods and methods are considered are    considered acceptable acceptable for for use.
use."
a.a. Clarify Clarify these these conflicting conflicting statements statements considering considering thatthat using using data data and and methods methods acceptable for acceptable      for use use isis unrelated unrelated to to the the need need for for aa peer peer review.
review.
: b. Describe the
: b. Describe       the method method thatthat will will be be used used toto ensure ensure thatthat any any PRA PRA upgrade upgrade will will be be peer peer reviewed.
reviewed.
ENO RESPONSE ENO      RESPONSE
: a. The
: a. The response response to  to PRA RAI RAI 1212 should be  be clarified as:
the detailed HEP
              ''the              HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the detailed HEP been methodology is also not warranted."
methodology                      warranted.
The response The  response to PRA RAI 23.e should be clarified as:
the use
              ''the  use of NUREG-1921 NUREG-1921 methods for scoping HEP values constitutes a method not included in the fire PRA peer review. Therefore, the new method methods are considered to require a focused scope peer review."
methods                                                                      review.
A A focused focused scope scope peer review on the use of NUREG-192  NUREG-1921     1 scoping methods will be performed      consistent performed consistent with ASME/ANS ASMEIANS RA-Sa-2009 RA-Sa-2009.. Any findings and their resolution will will be be described described in  in the response to PRA    PRA RAI RA130.30.
b.
b.
: b. ENOEND PRAPRA configuration configuration control procedure EN-DC-151  EN-OC-151 ensures ensures that that any PRA PRA upgrades upgrades     receive   appropriate appropriate peer peer reviews.
ENO PRA configuration control procedure EN-DC-151 ensures that any PRA upgrades receive appropriate peer reviews.
REFERENC


==REFERENCES:==
==REFERENCES:==
ES:
1.
1.
: 1. NUREG-1 NUREG-1921,  921, Fire "Fire Human Human Reliability Reliability Analysis Analysis Guidelines, Guidelines", Final Final Report, Report, EPRI EPRI 1023001, 1023001, EPRI/NRC-R EPRI/NRC-RES,    ES, July2012.
NUREG-1 921, Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Final Report, EPRI 1023001, EPRI/NRC-RES, July2012.
July 2012.
: 2. ASME/ANS RA-Sa2009, Standard for Level 1/Large Early Release Frequency Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plant Applications, ASME/ANS RA-S Committee and ASME, February 2009.
2.
: 2. ASME/ANS ASME/ANS RA-Sa200 RA-Sa-2009,    9, Standard "Standard for  for Level   1/Large Early Level1/Large      Early Release Release Frequency Frequency Probabilistic Probabilistic RiskRisk Assessment Assessment for   for Nuclear Nuclear Power Power PlantPlant Applications Applications",  ASME/ANS
                                                                                              , ASME/ANS RA-S RA-S Committee Committee and  and ASME, ASME, February February 2009.2009.
3.
3.
: 3. EN-DC-151, EN-OC-151, Revision Revision 5, 5, PSA "PSA Maintenance Maintenance and  and Update, Update", Nuclear Nuclear Management Management Manual, Manual, November November 2013. 2013.
EN-DC-151, Revision 5, PSA Maintenance and Update, Nuclear Management Manual, November 2013.
Page Page 1717 of of 18 18
Page 17 of 18 The response to RAI 12 states, "the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the HEP analysis is also not warranted." The response to RA123.e states, 'Yhe use of NUREG-1921 methods for screening, scoping and detailed HEP values constitutes data and methods not included in the fire PRA peer review. However, these data and methods are considered acceptable for use. "
: a. Clarify these conflicting statements considering that using data and methods acceptable for use is unrelated to the need for a peer review.
: b. Describe the method that will be used to ensure that any PRA upgrade will be peer reviewed.
ENO RESPONSE
: a. The response to PRA RAI 12 should be clarified as:
''the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the detailed HEP methodology is also not warranted."
The response to PRA RAI 23.e should be clarified as:
''the use of NUREG-1921 methods for scoping HEP values constitutes a method not included in the fire PRA peer review. Therefore, the new methods are considered to require a focused scope peer review."
A focused scope peer review on the use of NUREG-1921 scoping methods will be performed consistent with ASMEIANS RA-Sa-2009. Any findings and their resolution will be described in the response to PRA RA130.
: b. END PRA configuration control procedure EN-OC-151 ensures that any PRA upgrades receive appropriate peer reviews.
 
==REFERENCES:==
: 1. NUREG-1921, "Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines", Final Report, EPRI 1023001, EPRI/NRC-RES, July 2012.
: 2. ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009, "Standard for Level1/Large Early Release Frequency Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plant Applications", ASME/ANS RA-S Committee and ASME, February 2009.
: 3. EN-OC-151, Revision 5, "PSA Maintenance and Update", Nuclear Management Manual, November 2013.
Page 17 of 18  


NRC REQUEST NRC      REQUEST PRA RAI31 PRA      RAI31 The responses The    responses toto several several PRA PRA RAls RAIs (e.g.,
NRC REQUEST PRA RAI31 The responses to several PRA RAIs (e.g., 01.g, 01.cc, and 03) are contingent on the development of a new all-inclusive fire response procedure. Describe if there is an Implementation Item in table S-3 that addresses the development and implementation of this procedure. If not, describe the method that will be used to ensure development of the procedure.
(e.g., 01.g, 01.g, 01.cc, 01.cc, and and 03)
ENO RESPONSE The completion of a new all-inclusive procedure is an implementation action.
: 03) are contingent on are contingent    on the the development of development      ofaa new new '~II-inclusive" all-inclusive fire fire response response procedure.
Implementation item 1, in Table S-3 of the PNP NFPA 805 LAR, Attachment S, addresses the development and implementation of the new all-inclusive fire response procedure. Completion of this implementation item is controlled via the PNP Commitment Tracking Process, specifically under LO-LAR-201 3-00052.
procedure. Describe Describe ifif there  is an there is an Implementation Item Implementation      Item in in table table 5-3 S-3 that that addresses addresses thethe development development and and implementation implementation of  this procedure.
Page 18 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI31 The responses to several PRA RAls (e.g., 01.g, 01.cc, and 03) are contingent on the development of a new '~II-inclusive" fire response procedure. Describe if there is an Implementation Item in table 5-3 that addresses the development and implementation of this procedure. If not, describe the method that will be used to ensure development of the procedure.
of this procedure. IfIf not, not, describe describe thethe method method that that will will be be used used to to ensure ensure development development of of the  procedure.
ENO RESPONSE The completion of a new 'all-inclusive' procedure is an implementation action.
the procedure.
Implementation item 1, in Table 5-3 of the PNP NFPA 805 LAR, Attachment 5, addresses the development and implementation of the new "all-inclusive" fire response procedure. Completion of this implementation item is controlled via the PNP Commitment Tracking Process, specifically under LO-LAR-2013-00052.
ENO RESPONSE ENO    RESPONSE The completion The    completion of of aa new new 'all-inclusive' all-inclusive procedure procedure is is an an implementation implementation action.
Page 18 of 18}}
action.
Implementat    ion  item Implementation item 1, in   1, in  Table   S-3 5-3 ofof the PNP  NFPA PNP NFPA 805  805 LAR, LAR, Attachment 5,    S, addresses the development and addresses                            and implementation implementation of the new  new "all-inclusive" all-inclusive fire response response procedure. Completion procedure. Completion of this implementation implementation itemitem isis controlled via the PNP PNP Commitment Tracking Process, specifically under LO-LAR-2013-00052.
Commitment                                                      LO-LAR-201 3-00052.
Page Page 1818 of of 18 18}}

Latest revision as of 20:20, 10 January 2025

Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors
ML14169A046
Person / Time
Site: Palisades Entergy icon.png
Issue date: 06/17/2014
From: Vitale A
Entergy Nuclear Operations
To:
Document Control Desk, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
PNP 2014-063
Download: ML14169A046 (21)


Text

Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.

Palisades Nuclear Plant 27780 Blue Star Memorial Highway Entergy 4:o953o Anthony J Vitale Site Vice President PNP 201 4-063 June 17, 2014 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, DC 20555-0001

SUBJECT:

Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors Palisades Nuclear Plant Docket 50-255 License No. DPR-20

References:

1.

ENO letter, PNP 2012-106, License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated December 12, 2012 (ADAMS Accession Number ML12348A455) 2.

ENO letter, PNP 2013-013, Response to Clarification Request

License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated February 21, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13079A090) 3.

NRC electronic mail of August 8, 2013, Palisades

- Requests for Additional Information Regarding Transition to the Fire Protection Program to NFPA Standard 805 (TAC No. MF0382) (ADAMS Accession Number ML13220B131) 4.

ENO letter, PNP 2013-075, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated September 30, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number MLI 3273A469) 5.

ENO letter, PNP 2013-079, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated October 24, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13298A044)

~ Entergy PNP 2014-063 June 17, 2014 U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, DC 20555-0001 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.

Palisades Nuclear Plant 27780 Blue Star Memorial Highway Covert, MI 49043-9530 Tel 269 764 2000 Anthony J Vitale Site Vice President

SUBJECT:

Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors Palisades Nuclear Plant Docket 50-255 License No. DPR-20

References:

1. ENO letter, PNP 2012-106, "License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors," dated December 12, 2012 (ADAMS Accession Number ML12348A455)
2. ENO letter, PNP 2013-013, "Response to Clarification Request-License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors," dated February 21, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13079A090)
3. NRC electronic mail of August 8, 2013, "Palisades - Requests for Additional Information Regarding Transition to the Fire Protection Program to NFPA Standard 805 (TAC No. MF0382)" (ADAMS Accession Number ML13220B131 )
4. ENO letter, PNP 2013-075, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated September 30,2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13273A469)
5. ENO letter, PNP 2013-079, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated October 24,2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13298A044)

PNP 2014-063 Page 2 of 3 6.

END letter, PNP 2013-083, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated December 2, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13336A649) 7.

NRC electronic mail of March 11, 2014, Requests for Additional Information Palisades NFPA 805 Project LAR

- MF0382 (ADAMS Accession Number ML14118A293) 8.

END letter, PNP 20 14-035, Revised Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated April 2, 2014 9.

END letter, PNP 2014-050, Response to Request for Additional Information License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors, dated May 7, 2014

10. NRC electronic mail of May 21, 2014, Requests for Additional Information PRA

- Palisades NFPA 805 LAR

- MF0382 (ADAMS Accession Number ML14142A104)

Dear Sir or Madam:

In Reference 1, Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (END) submitted a license amendment request to adopt the NFPA 805 performance-based standard for fire protection for light water reactors. In Reference 2, ENO responded to a clarification request. In Reference 3, END received electronic mail Request for Additional Information (RAls).

In Reference 4, ENO submitted the 60-day RAI responses.

In Reference 5, END submitted the revised 90-day RAI responses.

In Reference 6, END submitted the 120-day RAI responses. In Reference 7, END received electronic mail RAts on Fire Modeling.

In Reference 8, END submitted the revised response to RAI SSA 07.

In Reference 9, END submitted responses to the Fire Modeling RAls.

In Reference 10, END received electronic mail RAts on Fire PRA. Per discussion with the NRC, the RAI response schedule for the RAls in Reference 10 is as follows:

PRA RAls due in 30 days (no later than June 20, 2014):

PRA 01.e.01, PRA 01.f.01, PRA 01.h.01, PRA 01.h.02, PRA 01.k.01, PRA 01.mm.01, PRA 01.q.01, PRA 01.r.01, PRA 01.y.01, PRA 12.01, PRA 31 PNP 2014-063 Page 2 of 3

6. ENO letter, PNP 2013-083, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated December 2, 2013 (ADAMS Accession Number ML13336A649)
7. NRC electronic mail of March 11,2014, "Requests for Additional Information - Palisades - NFPA 805 Project LAR - MF0382" (ADAMS Accession Number ML14118A293)
8. ENO letter, PNP 2014-035, "Revised Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated April 2, 2014
9. ENO letter, PNP 2014-050, "Response to Request for Additional Information - License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors", dated May 7,2014
10. NRC electronic mail of May 21, 2014, "Requests for Additional Information - PRA - Palisades - NFPA 805 LAR - MF0382" (ADAMS Accession Number ML14142A104)

Dear Sir or Madam:

In Reference 1, Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (ENO) submitted a license amendment request to adopt the NFPA 805 performance-based standard for fire protection for light water reactors. In Reference 2, ENO responded to a clarification request. In Reference 3, ENO received electronic mail Request for Additional Information (RAls). In Reference 4, ENO submitted the 60-day RAI responses. In Reference 5, ENO submitted the revised 90-day RAI responses. In Reference 6, ENO submitted the 120-day RAI responses. In Reference 7, ENO received electronic mail RAls on Fire Modeling. In Reference 8, ENO submitted the revised response to RAI SSA 07. In Reference 9, END submitted responses to the Fire Modeling RAls. In Reference 10, ENO received electronic mail RAls on Fire PRA. Per discussion with the NRC, the RAI response schedule for the RAls in Reference 10 is as follows:

PRA RAls due in 30 days (no later than June 20, 2014):

PRA 01.e.01, PRA 01.f.01, PRA 01.h.01, PRA 01.h.02, PRA 01.k.01,

PRA 01.mm.01, PRA 01.q.01, PRA 01.r.01, PRA 01.y.01, PRA 12.01, PRA 31

PNP 2014-063 Page 3 of 3 PRA RAIs due in 90 days (no later than August 19, 2014):

PRAO1.j.01, PRAO1.LO1, PRA 17.b.01, PRA2O.01, PRA23.01, PRA 23.a.01, PRA 23.c.01, PRA 28.a.01, PRA 30 In Attachment 1, ENO is providing 30-day responses to the RAIs noted above.

A copy of this response has been provided to the designated representative of the State of Michigan.

This letter contains no new commitments and no revisions to existing commitments.

I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on June 17, 2014.

Sincerely,

Attachment:

1. Response to Request for Additional Information Regarding License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors cc:

Administrator, Region Ill, USNRC Project Manager, Palisades, USN RC Resident Inspector, Palisades, USNRC State of Michigan ajv/jpm PNP 2014-063 Page 3 of 3 PRA RAls due in 90 days (no later than August 19, 2014):

PRA 01.j.01, PRA 01.1.01, PRA 17.b.01, PRA 20.01, PRA 23.01, PRA 23.a.01, PRA 23.c.01, PRA 28.a.01, PRA 30 In Attachment 1, END is providing 30-day responses to the RAls noted above.

A copy of this response has been provided to the designated representative of the State of Michigan.

This letter contains no new commitments and no revisions to existing commitments.

I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. Executed on June 17, 2014.

Sincerely, ajv/jpm

Attachment:

1. Response to Request for Additional Information Regarding License Amendment Request to Adopt NFPA 805 Performance-Based Standard for Fire Protection for Light Water Reactors cc:

Administrator, Region III, USNRC Project Manager, Palisades, USNRC Resident Inspector, Palisades, USNRC State of Michigan

ATTACHMENT 1 RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST TO ADOPT NFPA 805 PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARD FOR FIRE PROTECTION FOR LIGHT WATER REACTORS NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.e.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.e, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML13336A649, stated that the primary coolant pump (PCP) seal failure model used the methodology presented in WCAP-15749-P, Revision 1, Guidance for the Implementation of the Combustion Engineering Owners Group (CEOG) Model for Failure of Reactor Coolant Pump Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), December 2008. This topical has not been endorsed by the NRC.

Describe whether the PCP seal failure is the same for both the compliant and the post-transition PRA models such that the impact of this model on the change in risk estimates is minimal. If the PCP seal model differs between the compliant and post-transition PRA models, or if the model has a substantive impact on the change in risk estimates, provide a summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA.

ENO RESPONSE The primary coolant pump seal failure model is based on the topical report generated by the owners group and endorsed by the NRC (WCAP-16175-P-A).

As part of a model update the revised topical report WCAP-15749-P, was reviewed for impact on the implementation of the seal model. WCAP-1 5749-P provides guidance on implementation of the seal model as developed per WCAP-1 6175-P-A. The review of WCAP-15749-P documented that no changes to the existing seal model were required and none were made.

Therefore, the existing seal model remains consistent with the consensus model as endorsed by the NRC as documented in WCAP-16175-P-A.

The seal model incorporated into the PRA model consists of two principal elements.

The first element is development and incorporation of seal failure probabilities into the PRA model. The second element includes the plant specific elements with respect to maintaining seal cooling, instrument and control related to primary coolant pump operation and the human error probability for failure to trip the primary coolant pumps.

Page 1 of 18 ATTACHMENT 1 RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST TO ADOPT NFPA 805 PERFORMANCE-BASED STANDARD FOR FIRE PROTECTION FOR LIGHT WATER REACTORS NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.e.01 The response to PRA RAJ 01.e, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML13336A649, stated that the primary coolant pump (PCP) seal failure model used the methodology presented in WCAP-15749-P, Revision 1, IIGuidance for the Implementation of the Combustion Engineering Owners Group (CEOG) Model for Failure of Reactor Coolant Pump Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083)': December 2008. This topical has not been endorsed by the NRC.

Describe whether the PCP seal failure is the same for both the compliant and the post-transition PRA models such that the impact of this model on the change in risk estimates is minimal. If the PCP seal model differs between the compliant and post-transition PRA models, or if the model has a substantive impact on the change in risk estimates, provide a summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA.

ENO RESPONSE The primary coolant pump seal failure model is based on the topical report generated by the owners group and endorsed by the NRC (WCAP-16175-P-A).

As part of a model update the revised topical report WCAP-157 49-P, was reviewed for impact on the implementation of the seal model. WCAP-15749-P provides guidance on implementation of the seal model as developed per WCAP-16175-P-A. The review of WCAP-15749-P documented that no changes to the existing seal model were required and none were made.

Therefore, the existing seal model remains consistent with the consensus model as endorsed by the NRC as documented in WCAP-16175-P-A.

The seal model incorporated into the PRA model consists of two principal elements.

The first element is development and incorporation of seal failure probabilities into the PRA model. The second element includes the plant specific elements with respect to maintaining seal cooling, instrument and control related to primary coolant pump operation and the human error probability for failure to trip the primary coolant pumps.

Page 1 of 18

The seal failure probabilities were developed per and remain consistent with the criteria of WCAP-1 6175-P-A. The probability of seal failure based on the seal model is the same for both the compliant and post-transition plant. The probability of seal failure was not altered in the post transition plant results.

The probability of failure of support systems required for seal cooling and instrument and control necessary to trip the pumps is a plant specific input to the PRA model logic and is not governed by the consensus model. This element of the model is based on plant specific features with one exception. The human error probability for tripping the primary coolant pumps is based on the time available to accomplish the action defined by WCAP-1 6175-P-A.

Modification S2-5 (Provide Alternate Method of Tripping Primary Coolant Pumps during Fire Event) as described in Attachment S Table S-2 of the original PNP LAR is being implemented as part of transition to NFPA 805. This modification will provide an alternate capability to trip the primary coolant pumps from the control room.

Implementation of the modification impacts the plant specific inputs to the seal model.

Therefore, the difference between the variant and post-transition plant in the PRA model with respect to primary coolant pump seals is in the instrument and control logic associated with pump operation. The variant plant represents the existing plant (no modification). The post transition plant model includes the alternative capability to trip the pumps from the control room. The post-transition plant is compliant with respect to the requirement to ensure primary coolant pumps can be tripped from the control room following a fire. Consequently there is no difference between the compliant and post transition plant.

The modification reduces the risk associated with the existing pump control circuits which may preclude the ability to trip the pumps due to fire affects. Logic associated with the proposed modification is the only difference between the variant and post-transition plant with respect to the pump seal model.

A summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA are not required because the difference in the seal model is:

in the plant specific element of the model, related to a modification to improve plant capability, and NOT related to the probability that the seal will fail on loss of cooling

REFERENCES:

1. WCAP-1 6175-P-A (Formerly CE NPSD 1199 P, Revision 1), Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling in CE NSSS Plants, March 2007.
2. WCAP-1 5749-P, Guidance for the Implementation of the CEOG Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), Revision 1, December 2008.

Page 2 of 18 The seal failure probabilities were developed per and remain consistent with the criteria of WCAP-16175-P-A. The probability of seal failure based on the seal model is the same for both the compliant and post-transition plant. The probability of seal failure was not altered in the post transition plant results.

The probability of failure of support systems required for seal cooling and instrument and control necessary to trip the pumps is a plant specific input to the PRA model logic and is not governed by the consensus model. This element of the model is based on plant specific features with one exception. The human error probability for tripping the primary coolant pumps is based on the time available to accomplish the action defined by WCAP-16175-P-A.

Modification S2-5 (Provide Alternate Method of Tripping Primary Coolant Pumps during Fire Event) as described in Attachment STable S-2 of the original PNP LAR is being implemented as part of transition to NFPA 805. This modification will provide an alternate capability to trip the primary coolant pumps from the control room.

Implementation of the modification impacts the plant specific inputs to the seal model.

Therefore, the difference between the variant and post-transition plant in the PRA model with respect to primary coolant pump seals is in the instrument and control logic associated with pump operation. The variant plant represents the existing plant (no modification). The post transition plant model includes the altemative capability to trip the pumps from the control room. The post-transition plant is compliant with respect to the requirement to ensure primary coolant pumps can be tripped from the control room following a fire. Consequently there is no difference between the 'compliant' and 'post-transition' plant.

The modification reduces the risk associated with the existing pump control circuits which may preclude the ability to trip the pumps due to fire affects. Logic associated with the proposed modification is the only difference between the variant and post-transition plant with respect to the pump seal model.

A summary of the method and the quantitative results that are used in the PRA are not required because the difference in the seal model is:

in the plant specific element of the model, related to a modification to improve plant capability, and NOT related to the probability that the seal will fail on loss of cooling

REFERENCES:

1. WCAP-16175-P-A (Formerly CE NPSD 1199 P, Revision 1), Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling in CE NSSS Plants, March 2007.
2. WCAP-15749-P, Guidance for the Implementation of the CEOG Model for Failure of RCP Seals Given Loss of Seal Cooling (Task 2083), Revision 1, December 2008.

Page 2 of 18

NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.f.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.f in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649 indicates that the circuit analysis of identified instrumentation for dominant operator actions has been completed and will be incorporated into the transition fire PRA risk results, which is to be provided in response to PRA RAI 30.

a. Discuss what is meant by dominant relative to AG 1.200s, An Approach For Determining The Technical Adequacy Of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Results For Risk-Informed Activities, definition of a significant basic event and whether these non-dominant actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA.

b.

If not assumed to be failed, justify this treatment by discussing the risk significance of the credited non-dominant operator actions on the transition risk results.

ENO RESPONSE a.

Dominant operator actions in the context of the discussion provided in the original response to 01.f was related to a set of operator actions which would be required to be maintained as detailed human error probabilities (HEPs) to offset increases in core damage frequency (ODE) resulting from the assignment of screening or scoping HEPs to other human failure events (HEEs).

In addition, the discussion does not mean that other (non dominant) actions did not already have instrumentation supporting the operator action included in the model. The discussion was only meant to convey that some actions in the dominant set did not have instrumentation available at that time.

b.

It is not the case that all non dominant operator actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA. The group of non-dominant operator actions includes two subsets comprised of HFEs assigned either scoping or screening values. HFEs assigned a screening value (1.0), are assumed failed in the fire PRA. Events assigned scoping values are analyzed in the same manner as the dominant HFEs to the extent that instrumentation is included in the model, fire induced impacts are considered; access to the area where the action is to be completed is required, operator ability to complete the action is required and instrumentation availability impacts are considered.

Scoping HFEs without supporting instrumentation included in the model or those for which the fire fails the instrumentation would be failed in the fire PRA. Revised risk results reflecting the implementation of the above process for incorporation of operator actions will be provided in response to RAI 30.

Page 3 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.f.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.f in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649 indicates that the circuit analysis of identified instrumentation for Iidominant" operator actions has been completed and will be incorporated into the transition fire PRA risk results, which is to be provided in response to PRA RAI 30.

a. Discuss what is meant by Iidominant" relative to RG 1.200's, I~n Approach For Determining The Technical Adequacy Of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Results For Risk-Informed Activities", definition of a significant basic event and whether these non-11dominant" actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA.
b. If not assumed to be failed, justify this treatment by discussing the risk significance of the credited non-dominant operator actions on the transition risk results.

ENO RESPONSE

a. 'Dominant' operator actions in the context of the discussion provided in the original response to 01.f was related to a set of operator actions which would be required to be maintained as detailed human error probabilities (HEPs) to offset increases in core damage frequency (CDF) resulting from the assignment of screening or scoping HEPs to other human failure events (HFEs). In addition, the discussion does not mean that other (non 'dominant') actions did not already have instrumentation supporting the operator action included in the model. The discussion was only meant to convey that some actions in the dominant set did not have instrumentation available at that time.
b. It is not the case that all non 'dominant' operator actions are assumed to be failed in the fire PRA. The group of non-'dominant' operator actions includes two subsets comprised of HFEs assigned either scoping or screening values. HFEs assigned a screening value (1.0), are assumed failed in the fire PRA. Events assigned scoping values are analyzed in the same manner as the 'dominant' HFEs to the extent that instrumentation is included in the model, fire induced impacts are considered; access to the area where the action is to be completed is required, operator ability to complete the action is required and instrumentation availability impacts are considered. Scoping HFEs without supporting instrumentation included in the model or those for which the fire fails the instrumentation would be failed in the fire PRA. Revised risk results reflecting the implementation of the above process for incorporation of operator actions will be provided in response to RAI 30.

Page 3 of 18

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.h.O1 In the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, the response to PRA RAIO1.h, subsection 3) Justifications forAssumptions Identified as Non-Conseivative in the licensees analysis describes that the treatment of location in the dependency analysis differs from the guidance in NUREG-1921, EPRI/NRC-RES Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Draft Report for Comment NUREG-1921 guidance does not negate the possibility of success of all subsequent actions after failure of an action in the main control room as stated in the RAI response but does state that there would be high dependence between all actions. Simply stating that the approach is not realistic is not sufficientjustification to deviate from the NUREG. It also appears that the timing decision branch of Figure 6-1 of NUREG-1921 is not utilized by the dependency analysis for sequential actions due to this deviation.

Provide a time and distance justification for each set of control room actions considered to be in different locations or conform to the accepted method. Identify the final approach used in the response to PRA RAI 30.

ENO RESPONSE Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) will follow the NUREG-1 921 guidance and treat all actions taken in the control room as taking place within a single (same) location. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.h.02 The dependency analysis described in response to PRA RAI 01.h does not indicate that a minimum value was utilized for the joint probability of multiple human failure events (HFE) and the response. The statement, e.g., for zero dependence, the conditional human error probabilities (HEP) is equal to the independent HEP implies thatjoint HEPs may take on any value. Section 6.2 of NUREG 1921 addresses the need to consider a minimum (floor) value for the joint probability of multiple HFEs. Each value less than the floor value should be individuallyjustified.

Considering this guidance, describe andjustify thatjoint HEP values that appear in fire PRA cutsets including any values less than the floor value, If a HEP floor for cutsets was not used consistent with NUREG-1921 (i.e., 1 E-5 with justifications for lower values), provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, which is consistent with NUREG-1921 guidance.

Page 4 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.h.01 In the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, the response to PRA RAI 01.h, subsection 3) 'ljustifications for Assumptions Identified as Non-Conservative in the licensee's analysis" describes that the treatment of location in the dependency analysis differs from the guidance in NUREG-1921, "EPRIINRC-RES Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Draft Report for Comment". NUREG-1921 guidance does not "negate the possibility of success of all subsequent actions" after failure of an action in the main control room as stated in the RAI response but does state that there would be high dependence between all actions. Simply stating that the approach is not realistic is not sufficient justification to deviate from the NUREG. It also appears that the timing decision branch of Figure 6-1 of NUREG-1921 is not utilized by the dependency analysis for sequential actions due to this deviation.

Provide a time and distance justification for each set of control room actions considered to be in different locations or conform to the accepted method. Identify the final approach used in the response to PRA RAI 30.

ENO RESPONSE Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) will follow the NUREG-1921 guidance and treat all actions taken in the control room as taking place within a single (same) location. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.h.02 The dependency analysis described in response to PRA RAI 01.h does not indicate that a minimum value was utilized for the joint probability of multiple human failure events (HFE) and the response. The statement, "e.g., for zero dependence, the conditional human error probabilities (HEP) is equal to the independent HEP" implies that joint HEPs may take on any value. Section 6.2 of NUREG 1921 addresses the need to consider a minimum ("f1oor'? value for the joint probability of multiple HFEs. Each value less than the floor value should be individually justified.

Considering this guidance, describe and justify that joint HEP values that appear in fire PRA cutsets including any values less than the floor value. If a HEP floor for cutsets was not used consistent with NUREG-1921 (i.e., 1E-5 with justifications for lower values), provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RA130, which is consistent with NUREG-1921 guidance.

Page 4 of 18

ENO RESPONSE PNP will follow the guidance of NUREG-1 921 and utilize a floor value of 1 E-5 for all conditional joint HEPs. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAIOLk.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.k, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that main control room (MCR) abandonment is only postulated for those fires resulting in a loss of MCR habitability; however, the response to PRA RAI 03, in the letter mentioned above, states that the RAI Response Fire PRA Model will include additional scenarios that model MCR abandonment due to equipment damage, with control being transferred to other locations, such as the alternate shutdown panel If the intent is to credit MCR abandonment due to loss of control, provide a description of the method and its technicaljustification. Include an explanation of the supporting analysis, work performed, and process followed in the technicaljustification.

ENO RESPONSE The response to PRA RAI 01.k was intended to indicate that control room abandonment due to loss of control or function is not explicitly modeled in the Fire PRA. That is, specific identification of those fire events which lead to loss of control or function is not part of the fire scenario development and initial quantification process. Only scenarios that result in control room abandonment due to loss of habitability are explicitly identified as control room abandonment scenarios.

However, the Fire PRA model does include credit for operator deployment for local actions (including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel) as potential success paths in the accident sequence development. Use of these alternate success paths is not limited to control room abandonment scenarios due to loss of habitability.

The response to PRA RAI 03 for FSS-B1-01 was intended to indicate that additional control room scenarios are being added to the RAI Response Fire PRA model. These additional scenarios also credit operator deployment for local actions including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel. The intent is not to explicitly identify and credit control room abandonment due to loss of control.

Page 5 of 18 ENO RESPONSE PNP will follow the guidance of NUREG-1921 and utilize a floor value of 1 E-5 for all conditional joint HEPs. The impact of these changes will be reflected in the quantification results documented in response to PRA RAI 30.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.k.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.k, in the letter dated December 2,2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that main control room (MeR) abandonment is only postulated for those fires resulting in a loss of MeR habitability; however, the response to PRA RAI 03, in the letter mentioned above, states that lithe RAI Response Fire PRA Model will include additional scenarios that model MeR abandonment due to equipment damage, with control being transferred to other locations, such as the alternate shutdown panel".

If the intent is to credit MeR abandonment due to loss of control, provide a description of the method and its technical justification. Include an explanation of the supporting analysis, work performed, and process followed in the technical justification.

ENO RESPONSE The response to PRA RAI 01.k was intended to indicate that control room abandonment due to loss of control or function is not explicitly modeled in the Fire PRA. That is, specific identification of those fire events which lead to loss of control or function is not part of the fire scenario development and initial quantification process. Only scenarios that result in control room abandonment due to loss of habitability are explicitly identified as control room abandonment scenarios.

However, the Fire PRA model does include credit for operator deployment for local actions (including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel) as potential success paths in the accident sequence development. Use of these alternate success paths is not limited to control room abandonment scenarios due to loss of habitability.

The response to PRA RAI 03 for FSS-B1-01 was intended to indicate that additional control room scenarios are being added to the RAI Response Fire PRA model. These additional scenarios also credit operator deployment for local actions including local actions at the alternate shutdown panel. The intent is not to explicitly identify and credit control room abandonment due to loss of control.

Page 5 of 18

NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.mm.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.mm, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that key assumptions and sources of uncertainty were identified. Provide a table that describes these key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that assesses their impact on the NFPA 805 application.

ENO RESPONSE In the development of each Fire PRA report, a section was included that identified assumptions related to each of the associated Fire PRA tasks included in that specific notebook. For each of the identified assumptions, a qualitative assessment was documented regarding the potential quantitative impact as it applies to the base fire PRA model which serves as part of the characterization of the assumptions. In the PNP Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook [1], these assumptions were reviewed to develop a table that identified sources of uncertainty by each NUREG/CR-6850 task and assessed the sensitivity of their impact on the NFPA 805 application. A modified version of this table is provided below, It has been updated to account for the status of the RAI Response Fire PRA model and updated to specifically identify the potential key assumptions associated with the sources of uncertainty.

Page 6 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.mm.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.mm, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, indicates that key assumptions and sources of uncertainty were identified. Provide a table that describes these key assumptions and sources of uncertainty that assesses their impact on the NFPA 805 application.

ENO RESPONSE In the development of each Fire PRA report, a section was included that identified assumptions related to each of the associated Fire PRA tasks included in that specific notebook. For each of the identified assumptions, a qualitative assessment was documented regarding the potential quantitative impact as it applies to the base fire PRA model which serves as part of the characterization of the assumptions. In the PNP Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook [1], these assumptions were reviewed to develop a table that identified sources of uncertainty by each NUREG/CR-6850 task and assessed the sensitivity of their impact on the NFPA 805 application. A modified version of this table is provided below. It has been updated to account for the status of the RAI Response Fire PRA model and updated to specifically identify the potential key assumptions associated with the sources of uncertainty.

Page 6 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Plant Boundary The fire PRA analysis This task posed a limited During scenario development, D

d boundary was opportunity for the the zone of influence was not e ml ion an determined, and the plant identification of potentially limited to the physical analysis Partitioning was partitioned into key assumptions and related unit boundary for most discrete physical analysis sources of uncertainty compartment scenarios.

If the units (PAUs) based on beyond the credit taken for zone of influence included the physical the physical presence of targets in adjacent fire characteristics of the boundaries and partitions.

areas/zones, these targets were various areas.

also included, regardless of their fire area/zone location. In addition, a multi-compartment analysis further reduced uncertainty by addressing the potential impact of failure of partition elements on quantification.

2 Fire PRA The fire PRA components This task posed perhaps the The potential for uncertainty was C

were selected by highest potential for error if reduced as a result of multiple omponen reviewing the not uncertainty. The overlapping tasks including the Selection components in the FPIE mapping of basic events to MSO expert panel process PRA model and the components required not combined with reviews of equipment included in the only the consideration of screening initiating events, deterministic Nuclear failure modes (active versus screened containment Safety Capability passive) but an penetrations, and screened Assessment (NSCA) understanding of the ISLOCA scenarios. Additional analysis. The data were Appendix RJNSCA functions internal reviews and the change analyzed with respect to not previously considered evaluation process provided the their suitability to be risk significant in the FPIE opportunity to further reduce included in the fire PRA model.

uncertainty in this task.

model. Additional considerations, including the potential effects of Multiple Spurious Operations (MSO5), were used to evaluate the need to include additional cornponents.

Page 7 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 1

Plant Boundary The fire PRA analysis This task posed a limited During scenario development, Definition and boundary was opportunity for the the zone of influence was not determined, and the plant identification of potentially limited to the physical analysis Partitioning was partitioned into key assumptions and related unit boundary for most discrete physical analysis sources of uncertainty compartment scenarios. If the units (PAUs) based on beyond the credit taken for zone of influence included the physical the physical presence of targets in adjacent fire characteristics of the boundaries and partitions.

areas/zones, these targets were various areas.

also included, regardless of their fire area/zone location. In addition, a multi-compartment analysis further reduced uncertainty by addressing the potential impact of failure of partition elements on quantification.

2 Fire PRA The fire PRA components This task posed perhaps the The potential for uncertainty was Component were selected by highest potential for error if reduced as a result of multiple reviewing the not uncertainty. The over1apping tasks including the Selection components in the FPIE mapping of basic events to MSO expert panel process PRA model and the components required not combined with reviews of equipment included in the only the consideration of screening initiating events, deterministic Nuclear failure modes (active versus screened containment Safety Capability passive) but an penetrations, and screened Assessment (NSCA) understanding of the ISLOCA scenarios. Additional analYSis. The data were Appendix R1NSCA functions internal reviews and the change analyzed with respect to not previously considered evaluation process provided the their suitability to be risk significant in the FPIE opportunity to further reduce included in the fire PRA model.

uncertainty in this task.

model. Additional considerations, including the potential effects of Multiple Spurious Operations (MSOs), were used to evaluate the need to include additional components.

Page 7 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK K

TIE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

TAS TI DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire PRA Cable Cables were assigned to No treatment of uncertainty is The cable selection approach S

I the components based typically required for this task was based on the failure fault e ec IOfl on existing Fire Safe beyond the understanding of consequences identified for each Shutdown cable the cable selection approach cable relative to the operation of evaluations and for the various iterations of the associated component.

additional cable cable identification tasks.

These fault consequences were identification.. Tasks 2 Additionally, PRA credited identified in the original Appendix and 3 were performed components for which cable R data. A seperate effort was iteratively with the Plant routing information was not performed to review this data in Fire Induced Risk Model provided (credit by exclusion) light of current practices to (Task 5).

represents a potential key assure its fidelity. Since assumption and source of Palisades has undergone an uncertainty. Recognizing extensive effort to identify cables that the potential exists to for components beyond those improperly credit these addressed in Appendix R, components where their uncertainty associated with cables are located (non-unknown cable locations (UNL conservative), it can be components) has been greatly assumed that these reduced.

In order to eliminate components are failed excessive conservatism, UNL unnecessarily (conservative),

components were credited by exclusion either explicitly or based on assumed cable routing.

In any event, the assumed cable routing is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Qualitative A small number of plant Structures from the global No structure with credited PRA S

areas met all of the analysis boundary, and components was excluded. This creening criteria necessary for ignition sources deemed to exclusion criterion is not subject qualitative screening.

have no impact on the FPRA, to uncertainty. In the event that were excluded from the a structure which could lead to a quantification based on plant trip was excluded qualitative screening criteria.

incorrectly, its contribution to The only assumptions CDF would be small (with a subject to uncertainty are the CCDP commensurate with base judgments regarding the risk) and would likely be more potential for plant trip used than offset by inclusion of the as part of the screening additional ignition sources and process.

the subsequent reduction of other scenario frequencies. A similar argument can be made for ignition sources for which scenario refinement was deemed unnecessary.

Page 8 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 3

Fire PRA Cable Cables were assigned to No treatment of uncertainty is The cable selection approach Selection the components based typically required for this task was based on the failure fault on existing Fire Safe beyond the understanding of consequences identified for each Shutdown cable the cable selection approach cable relative to the operation of evaluations and for the various iterations of the associated component.

additional cable cable identification tasks.

These fault consequences were identification.. Tasks 2 Additionally, PRA credited identified in the original Appendix and 3 were performed components for which cable R data. A seperate effort was iteratively with the Plant routing information was not performed to review this data in Fire Induced Risk Model provided (credit by exclusion) light of current practices to (Task 5).

represents a potential key assure its fidelity. Since assumption and source of Palisades has undergone an uncertainty. Recognizing extensive effort to identify cables that the potential exists to for components beyond those improperly credit these addressed in Appendix R, components where their uncertainty associated with cables are located (non-unknown cable locations (UNL conservative), it can be components) has been greatly assumed that these reduced. In order to eliminate components are failed excessive conservatism, UNL unnecessarily (conservative). components were credited by exclusion - either explicitly or based on assumed cable routing.

In any event, the assumed cable routing is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

4 Qualitative A small number of plant Structures from the global No structure with credited PRA Screening areas met all of the analysis boundary, and components was excluded. This criteria necessary for ignition sources deemed to exclusion criterion is not subject qualitative screening.

have no impact on the FPRA, to uncertainty. In the event that were excluded from the a structure which could lead to a quantification based on plant trip was excluded qualitative screening criteria.

incorrectly, its contribution to The only assumptions CDF would be small (with a subject to uncertainty are the CCDP commensurate with base judgments regarding the risk) and would likely be more potential for plant trip used than offset by inclusion of the as part of the screening additional ignition sources and process.

the subsequent reduction of other scenario frequencies. A similar argument can be made for ignition sources for which scenario refinement was deemed unnecessary.

Page 8 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX The PNP fire PRA model was developed using applicable portions of the FPIE model. The model was expanded as necessary to include additional sequences associated with fire events. Cables were linked with basic events in the model and associated to plant locations allowing evaluation of fire-induced circuit failures on a per scenario basis.

The construction of the FPRA plant response model itself is a source of uncertainty. The same sources of uncertainty/sensitivity that are applicable to the base model are applicable to the FPRA. However, these are judged to be minor in the context of the overall Fire PRA model development process in the context of the NFPA 805 application.

Some 9,000+ failure modes (random and fire) are included in the FPRA plant response model. This includes a highly detailed representation of potential failures (e.g., down to the contact pair level) and fully developed common cause failure modeling. Several thousand cables are mapped to the associated basic events.

The bookkeeping challenge of managing this amount of data introduces potential error.

FPIE and FPRA peer reviews (including the F&0 resolution process and the subsequent RAI resolution process), internal assessments, and the change evaluation process are useful in exercising the model and identifying weaknesses. In addition, the FPRA model changes are incorporated into the FPIE model. This assures that these sequences are exercised and reviewed continually not just for fire PRA applications.

The potential for managing this amount of data was addressed by employing different industry codes that were used to validate the quantified results. By employing different codes, problems with input are better captured as each code provides different reports, different diagnostic capabilities, etc.

The detailed modeling employed in the Palisades analyses ensures better rigor, insights, and reduces errors, and reduces the epistemic uncertainty.

Moreover, such detailed modeling results in conservative numerical results as failures are double counted; however, this increases the aleatory uncertainty.

It is considered that the importance of reducing the epistemic uncertainty at the expense of increasing the aleatory uncertainty greatly benefits the development of additional risk insights.

5 POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Plant Fire Induced Risk Model Page 9 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 5

Plant Fire The PNP fire PRA model The construction of the FPIE and FPRA peer reviews Induced Risk was developed using FPRA plant response model (including the F&O resolution applicable portions of the itself is a source of process and the subsequent RAI Model FPIE model. The model uncertainty. The same resolution process), intemal was expanded as sources of assessments, and the change necessary to include uncertainty/sensitivity that evaluation process are useful in additional sequences are applicable to the base exercising the model and associated with fire model are applicable to the identifying weaknesses. In events. Cables were FPRA. However, these are addition, the FPRA model linked with basic events judged to be minor in the changes are incorporated into in the model and context of the overall Fire the FPIE mode/. This assures associated to plant PRA model development that these sequences are locations allowing process in the context of the exercised and reviewed evaluation of fire-induced NFPA 805 application.

continually - not just for fire PRA circuit failures on a per Some 9,000+ failure modes applications.

scenario basis.

(random and fire) are The potential for managing this included in the FPRA plant amount of data was addressed response mode/. This by employing different industry includes a highly detailed codes that were used to validate representation of potential the quantified results. By failures (e.g., down to the employing different codes, contact pair level) and fully problems with input are better developed common cause captured as each code provides failure modeling. Several different reports, different thousand cables are mapped diagnostic capabilities, etc.

to the associated basic The detailed modeling employed events.

in the Palisades analyses The bookkeeping challenge ensures better rigor, insights, of managing this amount of and reduces errors, and reduces data introduces potential the epistemic uncertainty.

error.

Moreover, such detailed modeling results in conservative numerical results as failures are double counted; however, this increases the aleatory uncertainty. It is considered that the importance of reducing the epistemic uncertainty at the expense of increasing the aleatory uncertainty greatly benefits the development of additional risk insights.

Page 9 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE TASK TITLE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 6

Fire Ignition A fire ignition frequency The frequency values from A Bayesian update process for was estimated for each NUREG/CR-6850 and EPRI PNP events after 2000 was Frequency plant compartment based Report 1016735 include applied to the generic on fixed sources and uncertainty to account for frequencies taken from transient factors. The variability among plants NUREG/CR-6850 and the EPRI frequencies were along with some significant 1016735 data.

ultimately applied on a conservatism in defining the scenario basis. The frequencies, and their The applicabilIty of the ignition approtionment of the fire associated heat release frequency data is identified as a frequency was done in rates, based on limited potential key source of uncertainty.

accordance with detailed data.

NUREG/CR-6850 guidance and associated A potential key assumption is FAQ5.

that the fire ignition frequency data is applicable and provides an accepted estimate of the fire frequency for PNP.

Quantitative An initial quantification of Other than the conservative Quantitative screening was the fire PRA model was treatment asscoiated with limited to refraining from further Screening performed to identify the retaining all scenarios, there scenario refinement of those relative risk contribution is no uncertainty from this scenarios with a resulting CDF /

of each physical analysis task on the FPRA results.

LERF below the screening unit (PAU). No actual threshold. All of the results were screening was performed retained in the cumulative CDF /

as all PAUs were LERF.

retained in the quantification. This step was used to identify compartments where detailed analyses would be appropriate.

8 Scoping Fire Scoping fire modeling is a This task by itself does not The employment of generic fire coarse approach used to contribute to uncertainty, modeling solutions did not Modeling bound the fire effects of However, the approach taken introduce any significant certain ignition sources.

for this task included: 1) conservatism. Detailed fire A more refined approach, generic fire modeling modeling was performed on generic modeling, was treatments used in lieu of those scenarios which otherwise employed at PNP. A conservative scoping would have been notable risk detailed analysis was analysis techniques and 2) contributorsand applied where performed for typical limited detailed fire modeling the reduction in conservatism ignition sources based on performed to refine the was likely to have a measurable their physical properties scenarios developed using impact.

and prescribed heat the generic fire modeling release rates. This solutions. The primary The NUREG/CR-6850 heat analysis yielded a conservatism introduced by release rates introduce guideline for the this task is associated with significant conservatism given evaluation of fire damage the heat release rates the limited fire test data available effects for the various specified in NUREG/CR-to define the heat release rates ignition sources. This 6850.

and the associated fire enabled the development development timeline. However, of a basic scenario for alternative treatments are not many sources that could currently accepted.

be treated as bounding.

Page 10 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 6

Fire Ignition A fire ignition frequency The frequency values from A Bayesian update process for Frequency was estimated for each NUREG/CR-6850 and EPRI PNP events after 2000 was plant compartment based Report 1016735 include applied to the generic on fixed sources and uncertainty to account for frequencies taken from transient factors. The variability among plants NUREG/CR-6850 and the EPRI frequencies were along with some significant 1016735 data.

ultimately applied on a conservatism in defining the The applicablilty of the ignition scenario basis. The frequencies, and their approtionment of the fire associated heat release frequency data is identified as a frequency was done in rates, based on limited potential key source of accordance with detailed data.

uncertainty.

NUREG/CR-6850 A potential key assumption is guidance and associated FAQs.

that the fire ignition frequency data is applicable and provides an* accepted estimate of the fire frequency for PNP.

7 Quantitative An initial quantification of Other than the conservative Quantitative screening was Screening the fire PRA model was treatment asscoiated with limited to refraining from further performed to identify the retaining all scenarios, there scenario refinement of those relative risk contribution is no uncertainty from this scenarios with a resulting CDF /

of each physical analysis task on the FPRA results.

LERF below the screening unit (PAU). No actual threshold. All of the results were screening was performed retained in the cumulative CDF /

as all PAUs were LERF.

retained in the quantification. This step was used to identify compartments where detailed analyses would be appropriate.

8 Scoping Fire Scoping fire modeling is a This task by itself does not The employment of generic fire Modeling coarse approach used to contribute to uncertainty.

modeling solutions did not bound the fire effects of However, the approach taken introduce any significant certain ignition sources.

for this task included: 1) conservatism. Detailed fire A more refined approach, generic fire modeling modeling was performed on generic modeling, was treatments used in lieu of those scenarios which otherwise employed at PNP. A conservative scoping would have been notable risk detailed analysis was analysis techniques and 2) contributorsand applied where performed for typical limited detailed fire modeling the reduction in conservatism ignition sources based on performed to refine the was likely to have a measurable their physical properties scenarios developed using impact.

and prescribed heat the generic fire modeling The NUREG/CR-6850 heat release rates. This solutions. The primary analYSis yielded a conservatism introduced by release rates introduce guideline for the this task is associated with Significant conservatism given evaluation of fire damage the heat release rates the limited fire test data available effects for the various specified in NUREGlCR-to define the heat release rates ignition sources. This 6850.

and the associated fire enabled the development development timeline. However, of a basic scenario for alternative treatments are not many sources that could currently accepted.

be treated as bounding.

Page 10 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

TASK TITLE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Circuit Circuit failures were Uncertainty considerations Circuit analysis was performed evaluated on a failure are limited to errors in circuit as part of the Fire Safe Failure Analysis mode basis using the failure analysis where a Shutdown / NSCA analysis and data provided in the cable was deemed incapable supplemental circuit selection original Appendix R of causing loss of a particular efforts. Refinements in the analysis and additional function credited in the application of the circuit analysis cable data selection FPRA. Similar to Task 2 results to the fire PRA were efforts. In many cases (with the exception of the performed on a case by case additional circuit reviews MSO process), this task has basis where the scenario risk were necessary to no associated uncertainty if quantification was large enough determine the specific performed correctly.

to warrant further analysis.

failure consequences of cables on individual equipment.

10 Circuit Failure Circuit failures based off The uncertainty associated Circuit failure mode likelihood M d L ih d

the failure mode were with the applied conditional analysis was generally limited to 0 e i,e I 00 evaluated in Task 9. In failure probabilities posed those components where Analysis some cases, additional competing considerations.

spurious operation could not be circuit failure likelihood On the one hand, a failure caused by the generation of a analysis was needed. If probability for spurious spurious signal. This approach applicable, failure operation could be applied limited the introduction of non-probabilities were applied based solely on cable scope conservative uncertainties.

to specific cable failure without consideration of less Additional refinement to this modes.

direct fire effects (e.g., a approach was performed on risk failure likelihood applied to significant scenarios. Given this the spurious operation of an treatment, the application of MOV without consideration of circuit failure probabilities is not the fire-induced generation of considered to be a potential key spurious signal to close or source of uncertainty.

open the MOV). On the other hand, a failure probability for spurious operation could be applied despite the absence of cables capable of causing spurious operation in that location.

Page 11 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY 9

Detailed Circuit Circuit failures were Uncertainty considerations Circuit analysis was performed Failure Analysis evaluated on a failure are limited to errors in circuit as part of the Fire Safe mode basis using the failure analysis where a Shutdown / NSCA analysis and data provided in the cable was deemed incapable supplemental circuit selection original Appendix R of causing loss of a particular efforts. Refinements in the analYSis and additional function credited in the application of the circuit analysis cable data selection FPRA. Similar to Task 2 results to the fire PRA were efforts. In many cases (with the exception of the performed on a case by case additional circuit reviews MSO process), this task has basis where the scenario risk were necessary to no associated uncertainty if quantification was large enough determine the specific performed correctly.

to warrant further analysis.

failure consequences of cables on individual equipment.

10 Circuit Failure Circuit failures based off The uncertainty associated Circuit failure mode likelihood Mode Likelihood the failure mode were with the applied conditional analysis was generally limited to evaluated in Task 9. In failure probabilities posed those components where Analysis some cases, additional competing considerations.

spurious operation could not be circuit failure likelihood On the one hand, a failure caused by the generation of a analysis was needed. If probability for spurious spurious signal. This approach applicable, failure operation could be applied limited the introduction of non-probabilities were applied based solely on cable scope conservative uncertainties.

to specific cable failure without consideration of less Additional refinement to this modes.

direct fire effects (e.g., a approach was performed on risk failure likelihood applied to significant scenarios. Given this the spurious operation of an treatment, the application of MOV without consideration of circuit failure probabilities is not the fire-induced generation of considered to be a potential key spurious signal to close or source of uncertainty.

open the MOV). On the other hand, a failure probability for spurious operation could be applied despite the absence of cables capable of causing spurious operation in that location.

Page 11 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE TASK TITLE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Fire 1 1 Modeling The application of Utlimately, the treatment of Detailed fire modeling was detailed fire modeling these issues has evolved performed only on those was limited to the Main through the various RAIs and scenarios which otherwise would Control Room (MCR) subsequent model have been notable risk abandonment scenario, refinements to reduce the contributors and only where and a few risk significant number of potential key removal of conservatism in the areas (e.g., in the 1 C and assumptions.

generic fire modeling solution 1 D swithcgear rooms).

was likely to provide benefit The majority of the other The analysis methodology either via a smaller zone of scenarios were analyzed conservatism is primarily influence or to credit automatic using the generic fire associated with conservatism suppression.

modeling treatments, in the heat release rates specified in NUREG/CR-Additional refinement of the fire This task also includes 6850.

scenarios was pursued using the devleopment of a multi-point analysis of the heat multi-compartment The primary potential key release rates as opposed to the analysis and structural assumption and related use of a bounding fire for most steel analysis.

source of uncertainty in this scenarios. Additional fire task is in the area of the time modeling was pursued in areas delay associated with cable of high risk, notably the damage that resulted in switchgear rooms.

several different related RAIs.

The time delay associated with cable damage that was incorporated into the fire modeling is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Post-Fire Human 12 Reliability The post-fire HRA was Human error probabilities Detailed fire HEP values have Analysis (HRA) performed by developing represent a potentially large not been developed in all cases, a post-fire human error uncertainty for the FPRA and screening or scoping HEP probability (HEP) for each given the importance of values have been applied to credited action. For human actions in the base some of the less risk significant cases where detailed model. A potential key HEPs. This approach should post-fire HEPs were not assumption is that the HRA help reduce the impacts of developed, screening or methods utilized for PNP uncertainty associated with this scoping values were provide representative HEP issue.

used consistent with the values in the analysis guidance provided in commensurate with their In any event, the human error NUREG-1 921.

importance.

probabilities used in the Fire PRA model are identifed as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Seismic Fire 13 Interactions A qualitative seismic-fire Since this is a qualitative Seismic-fire interaction has no review was performed evaluation, there is no impact on fire risk quantification.

and documented.

quantitative impact with respect to the uncertainty of this task.

Page 12 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESUL TS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Detailed Fire 11 Modeling The application of Utlimately, the treatment of Detailed fire modeling was detailed fire modeling these issues has evolved performed only on those was limited to the Main through the various RAls and scenarios which otherwise would Control Room (MCR) subsequent model have been notable risk abandonment scenario, refinements to reduce the contributors and only where and a few risk significant number of potential key removal of conservatism in the areas (e.g., in the 1C and assumptions.

generic fire modeling solution 1 D swithcgear rooms).

The analysis methodology was likely to provide benefit The majority of the other either via a smaller zone of scenarios were analyzed conservatism is primarily influence or to credit automatic using the generic fire associated with conservatism suppression.

modeling treatments.

in the heat release rates specified in NUREGlCR-Additional refinement of the fire This task also includes 6850.

scenarios was pursued using the devleopment of a The primary potential key multi-point analysis of the heat multi-compartment release rates as opposed to the analysis and structural assumption and related use of a bounding fire for most steel analysis.

source of uncertainty in this scenarios. Additional fire task is in the area of the time modeling was pursued in areas delay associated with cable of high risk, notably the damage that resulted in switchgear rooms.

several different related RAls.

The time delay associated with cable damage that was incorporated into the fire modeling is identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Post-Fire Human 12 Reliability The post-fire HRA was Human error probabilities Detailed fire HEP values have Analysis (HRA) performed by developing represent a potentially large not been developed in all cases, a post-fire human error uncertainty for the FPRA and screening or seoping HEP probability (HEP) for each given the importance of values have been applied to credited action. For human actions in the base some of the less risk significant cases where detailed model. A potential key HEPs. This approach should post-fire HEPs were not assumption is that the HRA help reduce the impacts of developed, screening or methods utilized for PNP uncertainty associated with this scoping values were provide representative HEP issue.

used consistent with the values in the analysis In any event, the human error guidance provided in commensurate with their NUREG-1921.

importance.

probabilities used in the Fire PRA model are identifed as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Seismic Fire 13 Interactions A qualitative seismic-fire Since this is a qualitative Seismic-fire interaction has no review was performed evaluation, there is no impact on fire risk quantification.

and documented.

quantitative impact with respect to the uncertainty of this task.

Page 12 of 18

FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK IT TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

T LE DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire Risk 14 Quantification The fire PRA was As the culmination of other Since the fire PRA solves for quantified using the tasks, most of the uncertainty CCDP (prior to the application of FRANC analysis tool.

associated with quantification frequency) at a truncation limit of The quantitative results has already been addressed.

1.OE-09 for CDF and 1.OE-1O for are summarized in the One source of uncertainty is LERF, there should not be a Fire PRA Quantification the selection of the truncation significant truncation and Summary Notebook.

limit, contribution. These truncation limits are several orders of magnitude below the typical values calculated. Additionally, the final truncation values utilized in the integrated one-top model are compared to the PRA standard requirement of less than 5% change per decade of truncation and further discussed in the Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook. As such, the truncation values utilized are not identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Uncertainty and 15 Sensitivity Uncertainty and This task does not introduce N/A Analysis Sensitivity are discussed any new uncertainties but is in the Fire PRA intended to address how Quantification and uncertainties may impact the Summary Notebook, fire risk.

Fire PRA 16 Documentation The FPRA is documented This task does not introduce The documentation task in a series of reports.

any new uncertainties to the compiles the results of the other fire risk. Uncertainty tasks. See specific technical considerations should be tasks above for a discussion of documented in a manner that their associated uncertainty and facilitates FPRA applications, sensitivity.

upgrades, and peer review.

Based on the uncertainty and sensitivity review summarized above, potential key assumptions (i.e., those that could impact the NFPA 805 application) were identified to include: non-suppression probabilities associated with the cable damage time, human error probabilities, fire ignition bin frequencies (in addition to the sensitivity analysis required by the use of NUREG/CR-6850 Supplement 1 (EPRI) ignition frequencies for all bins), and assumed cable routings.

Sensitivity analysis are performed for each of the potential key sources of uncertainty identified above, and these sensitivity cases will be re-performed with the base PAl Response Fire PRA Model. The results of these sensitivity cases will be included in the updated revision to the Fire PRA Fire Risk Quantification and Summary Notebook for the RAI Response Fire PRA Model.

Page 13 of 18 FPRA UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY MATRIX POTENTIAL KEY SENSITIVITY OF THE TASK TASK TITLE TASK ASSUMPTIONS RESULTS TO THE NO.

DESCRIPTION AND SOURCES OF SOURCE(S) OF UNCERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY Fire Risk 14 Quantification The fire PRA was As the culmination of other Since the fire PRA solves for quantified using the tasks, most of the uncertainty CCDP (prior to the application of FRANC analysis tool.

associated with quantification frequency) at a truncation limit of The quantitative results has already been addressed. 1.0E-09 for CDF and 1.0E-1 0 for are summarized in the One source of uncertainty is LERF, there should not be a Fire PRA Quantification the selection of the truncation significant truncation and Summary Notebook.

limit.

contribution. These truncation limits are several orders of magnitude below the typical values calculated. Additionally, the final truncation values utilized in the integrated one-top model are compared to the PRA standard requirement of less than 5% change per decade of truncation and further discussed in the Fire PRA Quantification and Summary Notebook. As such, the truncation values utilized are not identified as a potential key source of uncertainty.

Uncertainty and 15 Sensitivity Uncertainty and This task does not introduce N/A Analysis Sensitivity are discussed any new uncertainties but is in the Fire PRA intended to address how Quantification and uncertainties may impact the Summary Notebook.

fire risk.

Fire PRA 16 Documentation The FPRA is documented This task does not introduce The documentation task in a series of reports.

any new uncertainties to the compiles the results of the other fire risk. Uncertainty tasks. See specific technical considerations should be tasks above for a discussion of documented in a manner that their associated uncertainty and facilitates FPRA applications, sensitiVity.

upgrades, and peer review.

Based on the uncertainty and sensitivity review summarized above, potential "key" assumptions (Le., those that could impact the NFPA 805 application) were identified to include: non-suppression probabilities associated with the cable damage time, human error probabilities, fire ignition bin frequencies (in addition to the sensitivity analysis required by the use of NUREG/CR-6850 Supplement 1 (EPRI) ignition frequencies for all bins), and assumed cable routings.

Sensitivity analysis are performed for each of the potential key sources of uncertainty identified above, and these sensitivity cases will be re-performed with the base RAI Response Fire PRA Model. The results of these sensitivity cases will be included in the updated revision to the Fire PRA Fire Risk Quantification and Summary Notebook for the RAI Response Fire PRA Model.

Page 13 of 18

REFERENCES:

1. Palisades Nuclear Plant Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment Fire Risk Quantification and Summary, ERIN Report 0247-07-0005.01, Revision 1, November 2012.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAIO1.q.O1 The response to PRA RAI 01.q, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that the time delay method will replace the damage accrual method originally employed by the fire PRA. Note that in Section H. 1.5.2 of NUREG/CR-6850, the failure times reported in Table H-8 assume steady-state fire exposure conditions and are therefore, not applicable for use in calculating exposure conditions that evolve over time. Provide a technicaljustification for how the Wme delay method accounts for pre-heating of targets that occurs at heat fluxes prior to reaching the peak heat flux for the fire being analyzed including those below the target damage threshold, and those not already taken into account by Table H-8.

Provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30 that appropriately account for pre-heating or that conseivatively do not credit the time delay associated with the pre-heating period.

ENO RESPONSE Consistent with industry precedent (References 1, 2), PNP will revise the Fire PRA RAI Response Model to use the damage accrual method using elements of the Arrhenius methodology (Reference 3, 4). As such, technical justification of the time delay method is not provided. The updated risk results will be included in the response to RAI 30.

Due to the revised approach of using the damage accrual method, reference to the time delay method in the previously submitted responses for RAI FM 01.p and RAI FM 02.b is superseded.

REFERENCES:

1. Turkey Point NFPA 805 LAR RAI Responses 4-4-14
2. Turkey Point NFPA 805 LAR RAls 5-27-14 ML14132A081
3. User Need Request on the Acceptability of the Arrhenius Methodology for Environmental Qualification (EQ) for LOCA and POST-LOCA Environments, ML003701987, February 24, 2000 Page 14 of 18

REFERENCES:

1. Palisades Nuclear Plant Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment Fire Risk Quantification and Summary, ERIN Report 0247-07-0005.01, Revision 1, November 2012.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI 01.q.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.q, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that the "time delay method" will replace the "damage accrual method" originally employed by the fire PRA. Note that in Section H.1.S.2 of NUREGICR-68S0, the failure times reported in Table H-8 assume steady-state fire exposure conditions and are therefore, not applicable for use in calculating exposure conditions that evolve over time. Provide a technical justification for how the "time delay method" accounts for pre-heating of targets that occurs at heat fluxes prior to reaching the peak heat flux for the fire being analyzed including those below the target damage threshold, and those not already taken into account by Table H-8.

Provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30 that appropriately account for pre-heating or that conservatively do not credit the time delay associated with the pre-heating period.

ENO RESPONSE Consistent with industry precedent (References 1, 2), PNP will revise the Fire PRA RAI Response Model to use the 'damage accrual' method using elements of the Arrhenius methodology (Reference 3,4). As such, technical justification of the 'time delay' method is not provided. The updated risk results will be included in the response to RAI

30.

Due to the revised approach of using the 'damage accrual' method, reference to the

'time delay' method in the previously submitted responses for RAI FM 01.p and RAI FM 02.b is superseded.

REFERENCES:

1. Turkey Point - NFPA 805 LAR RAI Responses 4-4-14
2. Turkey Point - NFPA 805 LAR RAls 5-27-14 ML14132A081
3. User Need Request on the Acceptability of the Arrhenius Methodology for Environmental Qualification (EQ) for LOCA and POST -LOCA Environments, ML003701987, February 24, 2000 Page 14 of 18
4. PLP-RPT-00057, Attachment PRA-RAI-Ol.q.01 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.r.O1 The response to PRA RAI Olr, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that a one-minute time delay will be applied for credited automatic detection systems.
a. How is the probability of failure of automatic detection included in the PRA?

b.

If the automatic detection fails, is manual detection then credited?

c.

When manual detection is credited after automatic detection fails, is the 15 minute delay used?

d.

If a logical scenario of detection failure, manual detection with 15 minute delay, and attempted manual suppression is not included in the PRA. Evaluate the impact on the results of not including this scenario or add it to the PRA.

ENO RESPONSE

a. The fire PRA model is being updated to include the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in the calculation of manual non-suppression probabilities (NSPs). As stated in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, no automatic detection systems were credited in support of the activation of automatic suppression systems as the automatic suppression systems are all wet-pipe systems.

In order to account for the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in support of manual suppression, two sets of manual non-suppression probabilities are being calculated for each applicable set of fire scenarios.;

1) The first set is calculated assuming the automatic detection system fails and the corresponding manual detection time is used (e.g. 15 minutes).
2) The second set is calculated assuming the automatic detection is successful and the corresponding time to detection is used (e.g. 1 minute).

These two sets of NSPs are pro-rated by the automatic detection system success/failure rates. The first set of NSPs are multiplied by the automatic detection system failure probability (e.g. 0.05) and the second set of NSPs are multiplied by the complement of the failure probability (e.g. 0.95). The pro-rated NSPs from each set are summed and applied to the appropriate fire scenarios.

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4. PLP-RPT-00057, Attachment PRA-RAI-01.q.01 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI01.r.01 The response to PRA RAI 01 r, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, states that a one-minute time delay will be applied for credited automatic detection systems.
a. How is the probability of failure of automatic detection included in the PRA?
b. If the automatic detection fails, is manual detection then credited?
c. When manual detection is credited after automatic detection fails, is the 15 minute delay used?
d. If a logical scenario of detection failure, manual detection with 15 minute delay, and attempted manual suppression is not included in the PRA. Evaluate the impact on the results of not including this scenario or add it to the PRA.

ENO RESPONSE

a. The fire PRA model is being updated to include the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in the calculation of manual non-suppression probabilities (NSPs). As stated in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, no automatic detection systems were credited in support of the activation of automatic suppression systems as the automatic suppression systems are all wet-pipe systems. In order to account for the failure probability of automatic detection systems credited in support of manual suppression, two sets of manual non-suppression probabilities are being calculated for each applicable set of fire scenarios. ;
1) The first set is calculated assuming the automatic detection system fails and the corresponding manual detection time is used (e.g. 15 minutes).
2) The second set is calculated assuming the automatic detection is successful and the corresponding time to detection is used (e.g. 1 minute).

These two sets of NSPs are pro-rated by the automatic detection system success/failure rates. The first set of NSPs are multiplied by the automatic detection system failure probability (e.g. 0.05) and the second set of NSPs are multiplied by the complement of the failure probability (e.g. 0.95). The pro-rated NSPs from each set are summed and applied to the appropriate fire scenarios.

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b. Yes, manual detection is credited if automatic detection fails as discussed in the response to part a) above.

c.

Yes, as discussed in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, the application of a 15 minute manual detection time is applied when appropriate, If manual detection is not considered credible, manual suppression will not be credited when the automatic detection system is assumed to fail or is nonexistent.

d. As discussed in the response to part a) above, the fire PRA model is being updated so that the NSPs applied to fire scenarios crediting automatic detection also take into account the failure probabilities of these automatic detection systems, and the resulting impact on the detection times. An evaluation of the impact of not including these scenarios is therefore not required.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI O1.yOl The response to PRA RAI O1.y, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, appears to indicate that the barrier failure probability is defined by the most limiting barrier (e.g., non-rated barrier, door, damper, or wall) and not the sum of the types of barriers present.

Demonstrate that the impact on the results is not significant or provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, summing the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrierpresent per NUREG/CR-6850.

ENO RESPONSE In response to this RAI, the multi-compartment barrier failure probability is being updated to sum the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850. The risk results provided with the response to PRA RAI 30 will reflect this change.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI 12.01 The ASME PRA standard calls for a focused scope peer review for PRA upgrades, where PRA upgrade is defined in the standard as:

The incorporation into a PRA model of a new methodology or significant changes in scope or capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences.

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b. Yes, manual detection is credited if automatic detection fails as discussed in the response to part a) above.
c. Yes, as discussed in the response to PRA RAI 01.r, the application of a 15 minute manual detection time is applied when appropriate. If manual detection is not considered credible, manual suppression will not be credited when the automatic detection system is assumed to fail or is nonexistent.
d. As discussed in the response to part a) above, the fire PRA model is being updated so that the NSPs applied to fire scenarios crediting automatic detection also take into account the failure probabilities of these automatic detection systems, and the resulting impact on the detection times. An evaluation of the impact of not including these scenarios is therefore not required.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAJ 01.y.01 The response to PRA RAI 01.y, in the letter dated December 2, 2013, ADAMS Accession No. ML13336A649, appears to indicate that the barrier failure probability is defined by '1he most limiting barrier (e.g., non-rated barrier, door, damper, or wall)" and not the sum of the types of barriers present.

Demonstrate that the impact on the results is not significant or provide updated risk results as part of the aggregate change-in-risk analysis requested in PRA RAI 30, summing the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850.

ENO RESPONSE In response to this RAI, the multi-compartment barrier failure probability is being updated to sum the barrier failure probabilities for each type of barrier present per NUREG/CR-6850. The risk results provided with the response to PRA RAI 30 will reflect this change.

NRC REQUEST PRA RAJ 12.01 The ASME PRA standard calls for a focused scope peer review for PRA upgrades, where PRA upgrade is defined in the standard as:

'The incorporation into a PRA model of a new methodology or significant changes in scope or capability that impacts the significant accident sequences or the significant accident progression sequences. "

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The response to RAI 12 states, the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the HEP analysis is also not warranted. The response to RA123.e states, the use of NUREG 1921 methods for screening, scoping and detailed HEP values constitutes data and methods not included in the fire PRA peer review. However, these data and methods are considered acceptable for use.

a.

Clarify these conflicting statements considering that using data and methods acceptable for use is unrelated to the need for a peer review.

b. Describe the method that will be used to ensure that any PRA upgrade will be peer reviewed.

ENO RESPONSE

a. The response to PRA RAI 12 should be clarified as:

the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the detailed HEP methodology is also not warranted.

The response to PRA RAI 23.e should be clarified as:

the use of NUREG-1921 methods for scoping HEP values constitutes a method not included in the fire PRA peer review. Therefore, the new methods are considered to require a focused scope peer review.

A focused scope peer review on the use of NUREG-1921 scoping methods will be performed consistent with ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009. Any findings and their resolution will be described in the response to PRA RAI 30.

b.

ENO PRA configuration control procedure EN-DC-151 ensures that any PRA upgrades receive appropriate peer reviews.

REFERENCES:

1.

NUREG-1 921, Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines, Final Report, EPRI 1023001, EPRI/NRC-RES, July2012.

2. ASME/ANS RA-Sa2009, Standard for Level 1/Large Early Release Frequency Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plant Applications, ASME/ANS RA-S Committee and ASME, February 2009.

3.

EN-DC-151, Revision 5, PSA Maintenance and Update, Nuclear Management Manual, November 2013.

Page 17 of 18 The response to RAI 12 states, "the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the HEP analysis is also not warranted." The response to RA123.e states, 'Yhe use of NUREG-1921 methods for screening, scoping and detailed HEP values constitutes data and methods not included in the fire PRA peer review. However, these data and methods are considered acceptable for use. "

a. Clarify these conflicting statements considering that using data and methods acceptable for use is unrelated to the need for a peer review.
b. Describe the method that will be used to ensure that any PRA upgrade will be peer reviewed.

ENO RESPONSE

a. The response to PRA RAI 12 should be clarified as:

the detailed HEP methodology was reviewed by the peer review and has not been changed. As such, a focused scope review of the detailed HEP methodology is also not warranted."

The response to PRA RAI 23.e should be clarified as:

the use of NUREG-1921 methods for scoping HEP values constitutes a method not included in the fire PRA peer review. Therefore, the new methods are considered to require a focused scope peer review."

A focused scope peer review on the use of NUREG-1921 scoping methods will be performed consistent with ASMEIANS RA-Sa-2009. Any findings and their resolution will be described in the response to PRA RA130.

b. END PRA configuration control procedure EN-OC-151 ensures that any PRA upgrades receive appropriate peer reviews.

REFERENCES:

1. NUREG-1921, "Fire Human Reliability Analysis Guidelines", Final Report, EPRI 1023001, EPRI/NRC-RES, July 2012.
2. ASME/ANS RA-Sa-2009, "Standard for Level1/Large Early Release Frequency Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plant Applications", ASME/ANS RA-S Committee and ASME, February 2009.
3. EN-OC-151, Revision 5, "PSA Maintenance and Update", Nuclear Management Manual, November 2013.

Page 17 of 18

NRC REQUEST PRA RAI31 The responses to several PRA RAIs (e.g., 01.g, 01.cc, and 03) are contingent on the development of a new all-inclusive fire response procedure. Describe if there is an Implementation Item in table S-3 that addresses the development and implementation of this procedure. If not, describe the method that will be used to ensure development of the procedure.

ENO RESPONSE The completion of a new all-inclusive procedure is an implementation action.

Implementation item 1, in Table S-3 of the PNP NFPA 805 LAR, Attachment S, addresses the development and implementation of the new all-inclusive fire response procedure. Completion of this implementation item is controlled via the PNP Commitment Tracking Process, specifically under LO-LAR-201 3-00052.

Page 18 of 18 NRC REQUEST PRA RAI31 The responses to several PRA RAls (e.g., 01.g, 01.cc, and 03) are contingent on the development of a new '~II-inclusive" fire response procedure. Describe if there is an Implementation Item in table 5-3 that addresses the development and implementation of this procedure. If not, describe the method that will be used to ensure development of the procedure.

ENO RESPONSE The completion of a new 'all-inclusive' procedure is an implementation action.

Implementation item 1, in Table 5-3 of the PNP NFPA 805 LAR, Attachment 5, addresses the development and implementation of the new "all-inclusive" fire response procedure. Completion of this implementation item is controlled via the PNP Commitment Tracking Process, specifically under LO-LAR-2013-00052.

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