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| issue date = 01/20/2015
| issue date = 01/20/2015
| title = Petitioners' Combined Reply in Support of Amended Petition to Intervene and for a Public Adjudication Hearing of Entergy License Amendment Request for Authorization to Implement 10 CFR Section 50.61a, 'Alternate Fracture Toughness Requireme
| title = Petitioners' Combined Reply in Support of Amended Petition to Intervene and for a Public Adjudication Hearing of Entergy License Amendment Request for Authorization to Implement 10 CFR Section 50.61a, 'Alternate Fracture Toughness Requireme
| author name = Lodge T J
| author name = Lodge T
| author affiliation = Beyond Nuclear, Don't Waste Michigan, Michigan Safe Energy Future - Shoreline Chapter (MSEF), Nuclear Energy Information Service
| author affiliation = Beyond Nuclear, Don't Waste Michigan, Michigan Safe Energy Future - Shoreline Chapter (MSEF), Nuclear Energy Information Service
| addressee name =  
| addressee name =  
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=Text=
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{{#Wiki_filter:UNITED STAT ES O F AMERICA NUCLEAR REG ULATORY COMMISSION Before the At om ic Saf ety and Licensin g Board I n the Matter of
{{#Wiki_filter:UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board In the Matter of:                                     )       Docket No. 50-255 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.                      )
: Enterg y Nuclea r Ope rations, I nc.(Palisades Nuc lear Plant)Oper ating L icense Amendment Reque st)   Docke t No. 50-255
(Palisades Nuclear Plant)
))           January 20, 2015)     *****PETITIONERS' COMB INED REPLY IN SUPPORT OF AMENDED PETITION TO INTERV ENE AND FOR A PUBLIC ADJUDICATION HEA RING OF ENTERGY LICENSE AMENDMENT RE QUEST FOR A UTHORIZATION TO IMPLEMENT 10 CFR
                                                      )       January 20, 2015 Operating License Amendment Request
§50.61a, 'ALTERNATE F RAC TURE TOUGHNESS R EQUIREME NTS FOR PROTECTION AGAINST PR ESS URIZED  THER MAL SH OCK EV ENTS'Now come Be y ond Nuclea r ("BN"), D on't Waste Michig an ("DWM"), Michig an Safe Energ y Future - Shoreline Chapte r ("MSEF"), and the Nuc lear Energ y I nformation Servic e ("N EI S") (he rea fter c ollectively called "Petitioners"), a nd reply in support of their "A mended Petition t o I nterve ne and f or a Public Adjudica tion Hear ing of Enterg y L icense Request for Authorization to I mplement 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, 'A lternate Fr actur e Toug hness Requireme nts for Protection Ag ainst Pressurized Therma l Shock Events.'" Spec ifically , Petitioners respond in opposition t o "Enter g y's Answe r Opposing Petition t o I nterve ne and Re quest for H ear ing"("Ente rg y Answer") a nd the "NRC Staff Answ er to Petition to I nterve ne and Re quest for a Hea ring Filed by Be y ond Nuclea r, Don't Waste Michig an, Michig an Safe Energ y Future-Shoreline Chapter , and the Nuc lear Energ y I nformation Servic e" ("NRC Answer
                                                      )
").I. INTRODUCTION The NRC Staff a nd Enterg y Nuclea r Ope rations, I nc. ("Enterg y") ha ve set for th by way of answe r to the Petition, a threadba re ta pestry of misrepre sentations, unsupported attorne y opinions passed of f as e x pert c ontradictions, and ba re a ssertions of wha t the 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a alter nate fra cture toughne ss require ments for prote ction ag ainst pressurized therma l shock eve nts supposedly mean, a ll as part of a strateg y aimed at ke eping Palisades Nucle ar Plant ("
PETITIONERS COMBINED REPLY IN SUPPORT OF AMENDED PETITION TO INTERVENE AND FOR A PUBLIC ADJUDICATION HEARING OF ENTERGY LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST FOR AUTHORIZATION TO IMPLEMENT 10 CFR
PNP") in opera tion as the most embrittled reac tor pressur e vesse l in the America n nuclea r industry. I t is not a positive attribute to be identified a s an outlier among the most thermal shock-e ndang ere d rea ctor pre ssure ve ssels. Yet as this memorandum will show, Palisades is truly in a ca teg ory of its own, wher e it has bec ome the butt of g allows humor at the Advisory Commi ttee on Rea ctor Safeg uards. Petitioners see nothing f unny about Palisades as a laug hingstoc k, and believe that they should be g rante d an opportunity to expl ore the dang ers of Palisades' e mbrittlement problem throug h sworn witnesses in a n eff ort to avoid serious future drama.II. RESPONSES T O THE STAFF ANSWER A. Standing The NRC Staff a g ree s that Petiti oners ha ve esta blished standing, a lthough they advanc e the quaint but bizarre a rg ument that the one-pag e dec lara tions submi tted by individuals li ving within the 50-mile dang er r adius around Palisade s must articulate c laims in the one-page standing declarations themselves which ra ise admissible contentions. Staff Answe r p. 5 fn. 15.
        §50.61a, ALTERNATE FRACTURE TOUGHNESS REQUIREMENTS FOR PROTECTION AGAINST PRESSURIZED THERMAL SHOCK EVENTS Now come Beyond Nuclear (BN), Dont Waste Michigan (DWM), Michigan Safe Energy Future - Shoreline Chapter (MSEF), and the Nuclear Energy Information Service (NEIS) (hereafter collectively called Petitioners), and reply in support of their Amended Petition to Intervene and for a Public Adjudication Hearing of Entergy License Request for Authorization to Implement 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, Alternate Fracture Toughness Requirements for Protection Against Pressurized Thermal Shock Events. Specifically, Petitioners respond in opposition to Entergys Answer Opposing Petition to Intervene and Request for Hearing (Entergy Answer) and the NRC Staff Answer to Petition to Intervene and Request for a Hearing Filed by Beyond Nuclear, Dont Waste Michigan, Michigan Safe Energy Future-Shoreline Chapter, and the Nuclear Energy Information Service (NRC Answer).
Given that Petitioners ar e re prese nted by counsel who submitted on their be halves a 21-pag e enumer ation of g rounds for a hear ing, a long w ith evidentiary attachme nts, including a serious, expert-supported c ontention, the ASL B c an disreg ard the Staff's f ussiness, resolve its dissonant positions and find that Petit ioners have demonstrated suf ficient g rounds for sta nding to a llow them to proce ed to the admissibility question.
I. INTRODUCTION The NRC Staff and Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (Entergy) have set forth by way of answer to the Petition, a threadbare tapestry of misrepresentations, unsupported attorney opinions passed off as expert contradictions, and bare assertions of what the 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a alternate fracture toughness requirements for protection against pressurized thermal shock events supposedly mean, all as part of a strategy aimed at keeping Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) in operation as the most embrittled reactor pressure vessel in the American nuclear industry. It is not a positive attribute to be identified as an outlier among the most thermal shock-endangered reactor pressure vessels. Yet as this memorandum will show, Palisades is truly in a category of its own, where it has become the butt of gallows humor at the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards. Petitioners see nothing funny about Palisades as a laughingstock, and believe that they should be granted an opportunity to explore the dangers of Palisades embrittlement problem through sworn witnesses in an effort to avoid serious future drama.
B. Claimed Impe rmissible Chall enges to NRC Regulations The NRC Staff launc hes (Staff Answer p. 14) into the objection that Petitioners "fa il[] t o specify any particula r def iciency in the L AR, . . . raise[] num erous matter s that are not the subject of the instant L AR and ar e bey ond the per missibl e scope of this proce eding , and . . .
II. RESPONSES TO THE STAFF ANSWER A. Standing The NRC Staff agrees that Petitioners have established standing, although they advance the quaint but bizarre argument that the one-page declarations submitted by individuals living within the 50-mile danger radius around Palisades must articulate claims in the one-page standing declarations themselves which raise admissible contentions. Staff Answer p. 5 fn. 15.
constitute[]
Given that Petitioners are represented by counsel who submitted on their behalves a 21-page enumeration of grounds for a hearing, along with evidentiary attachments, including a serious, expert-supported contention, the ASLB can disregard the Staffs fussiness, resolve its dissonant positions and find that Petitioners have demonstrated sufficient grounds for standing to allow them to proceed to the admissibility question.
an impermissible cha lleng e to the Commissi on's re g ulations.To bac k up this asser tion, the Staff cites a host of statements made by Petitioners' expert, Arnold Gunde rsen, which it claims impermissibly challeng e NRC reg ulations.1 So the Staff attempts to shut down this l icense amendment inter vention by arg uing tha t mere disag ree ment with the calc ulations, methods and assemblag e of da ta being submitt ed for a presumably discretionar y 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a ruling from the Dir ector of Nuc lear Reac tor Reg ulation is heresy ag ainst the reg ulatory reg ime. The Staff
B. Claimed Impermissible Challenges to NRC Regulations The NRC Staff launches (Staff Answer p. 14) into the objection that Petitioners fail[] to specify any particular deficiency in the LAR, . . . raise[] numerous matters that are not the subject of the instant LAR and are beyond the permissible scope of this proceeding, and . . .
's interpre tation is a spoof of the rule; 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a c lear ly contemplates a discretionar y deter mination by the Dire ctor of For exa m ple , see Sta ff Answe r a t p. 17: "Fo r e xample, a r ecu rr ing th eme in t he P et it ion er s'1 ar gum ent s i s t hat Pal is ade s s houl d no t b e a ll owed to use § 50.61a bec aus e § 50.6 1a, unl ike § 5 0.61 , re li es on 'est imates' a nd l acks 'sci ent if ic ri gor.' T his ar gum ent , howe ver, ch al le nges § 5 0.61 a, n ot Ent er gy's LAR.And St af f An swer at 18: "T he P et it ion er s' exp er t, Dr. Gund er sen , m akes t his ar gum ent suc ci nct ly, 'Unt il a n ew ca psu le sa m ple is re m oved an d an al yz ed, the ana lyti cal as sumpti ons cr eat ed f or the pr opos ed l ic ens e a m end m ent ar e un abl e t o be vali dat ed a nd veri fi ed.' Nowhe re , howe ver, do th e Pet it ion er s po int to any pr ovisi on i n t he NRC's r ule s t hat impose suc h a re qui re m ent. T o t he c ont ra ry, by ar guing tha t s om e a ddi ti ona l r equ ir ement must b e i m pos ed t o en abl e Pa li sad es to use th e a lt er nat e re qui re m ent s i n § 5 0.61 a, t he P et it ion er s a re , in fa ct , ch al le nging the ade qua cy of t he r ule it sel f, r at her tha n t he a deq uac y of Ent er gy's li cen se amendm ent re que st."And St af f An swer at pp. 18-19: "T he P et it ion er s' ar gum ent th at Ent er gy m ust re m ove sur veill anc e c aps ule s f rom the re act or bef ore usi ng § 50.6 1a t hus cha ll enges t he r ule , whi ch d oes not re qui re th e r emov al of add it ion al sur veill anc e c aps ule s be yond th ose wit hdr awn u nde r t he P ar t 5 0, Appen dix H wit hdr awal sc hed ule."And St af f An swer at p. 2 0: "T he P et it ion er s' app ar ent cha ll enge t o t he a ppr oved ca psu le wit hdr awal sc hed ule is in admissi ble , as it re la te s t o a pri or app roval pur sua nt to 10 C.F.R. Pa rt 50, Appen dix H, not th e a m end m ent at is sue in th is pr oce edi ng.Th e Pe ti ti one rs m ay not use th is amendm ent pro cee din g as a b ackdoor to fi le a c hal le nge to the app roved modif ie d wi thd ra wal sc hed ule."
constitute[] an impermissible challenge to the Commissions regulations. To back up this assertion, the Staff cites a host of statements made by Petitioners expert, Arnold Gundersen, which it claims impermissibly challenge NRC regulations.1 So the Staff attempts to shut down this license amendment intervention by arguing that mere disagreement with the calculations, methods and assemblage of data being submitted for a presumably discretionary 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a ruling from the Director of Nuclear Reactor Regulation is heresy against the regulatory regime. The Staffs interpretation is a spoof of the rule; 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a clearly contemplates a discretionary determination by the Director of 1
NRR. W here there is discretion vested in the r eg ulator, diffe renc es of opinion, interpre tation, and expert ana ly sis are le g itimate bases for challeng ing the decision bec ause the decision is potentially arr ived at in an a dversa rial manne
For example, see Staff Answer at p. 17: For example, a recurring theme in the Petitioners arguments is that Palisades should not be allowed to use § 50.61a because § 50.61a, unlike § 50.61, relies on estimates and lacks scientific rigor. This argument, however, challenges § 50.61a, not Entergys LAR.
: r. See , for e x ample, § 50.61a( c)(1) (RT MAX-X values a ssessment "must specify the base s for the pr ojected va lue of RT M A X-X for e ach r eac tor vessel beltline mater ial, including the assumptions reg arding future pla nt opera tion"); § 50.61a ( c)(2) ("Ea ch license e shall per form an e x amination and an a ssessment of flaw s in the rea ctor vessel beltline as r equire d by para g raph (e) of this section" - a nd (e) require s disclosure of te sts perf ormed but, ag ain, detailed e x planation of the me thodology underly ing N DE unce rtainties assumptions, and adjustments must be disclosed. This is merely a re cog nition that even 2 objective da ta, once interpre ted, may be examined to asce rtain the objec tivity or inappropr iate bias which may have oc curr ed in the mea ns of ana ly sis which have be en applied to it.
And Staff Answer at 18: The Petitioners expert, Dr. Gundersen, makes this argument succinctly, Until a new capsule sample is removed and analyzed, the analytical assumptions created for the proposed license amendment are unable to be validated and verified. Nowhere, however, do the Petitioners point to any provision in the NRCs rules that impose such a requirement. To the contrary, by arguing that some additional requirement must be imposed to enable Palisades to use the alternate requirements in § 50.61a, the Petitioners are, in fact, challenging the adequacy of the rule itself, rather than the adequacy of Entergys license amendment request.
I ndeed, the final sec tion of § 50.61a, subsec tion (f)(7), require s that "The lice nsee shall repor t any information that sig nificantly influence s the RT M A X-X value to the Dir ector in acc ordanc e with the re quirements of pa rag raphs (c)(1) and (d)(1) of this section.The require ment clea rly introduces subjec tive judgme nt and choice into the decision of wha t data is to be provided to the D irec tor of NRR. Henc e for Petitioners to provide their expert's c ritique of the means by which the § 50.61a investiga tion was conduc ted, and the w eakne sses or biase s in the under ly ing da ta, assumptions and manipulations of information ca nnot be construe d as a§ 50.61a sa ys in p ar t: "T he metho dol ogy to ac cou nt for NDE-re la te d un cer ta int ie s must b e ba sed 2 on s ta ti st ic al dat a f rom the qua li fi cat ion te st s a nd a ny othe r t est s t hat m eas ure th e di ff er enc e be twe en t he act ual fl aw s ize an d t he NDE det ect ed f la w si ze. Lic ens ees who a dj ust th ei r t est dat a t o ac cou nt for NDE-re la te d un cer ta int ie s t o veri fy conf ormance wit h t he val ues in T abl es 2 an d 3 s hal l p re par e a nd s ubmit t he m et hodo logy used to est imate t he NDE unc er ta int y, the s ta ti st ic al dat a us ed t o ad j ust th e t est dat a a nd a n exp la nat ion of how t he d at a was ana lyzed for re view an d ap pro val by the Dir ect or in acc ord anc e wi th par agraph s (c)(2) and (d)(2) of thi s s ect ion."
And Staff Answer at pp. 18-19: The Petitioners argument that Entergy must remove surveillance capsules from the reactor before using § 50.61a thus challenges the rule, which does not require the removal of additional surveillance capsules beyond those withdrawn under the Part 50, Appendix H withdrawal schedule.
frontal a ssault on the reg ulatory citadel, but must instead be se en, for purposes of the admissibili ty deter mination, as an expose' of the f laws ca used by stray ing a way from knowa ble scienc e.C. Surveillance Data Disputes The Staff persists in the arg ument that "sister plant surve illance da ta," viz., scientific evidenc e of e mbrittlement from completely differ ent ty pes of nuc lear rea ctors, ca n be compa red, apples-to-apples, with destruc tive testing da ta g leane d from metal c oupons retrie ved fr om the Palisades RPV. The Staff ur g es that the § 50.61a (10) de finition of "surveillanc e data" includes other plants' infor mation within it s sweep, a nd that ever y ref ere nce to surve illance da ta automatically means not just Palisades, but other plants.
And Staff Answer at p. 20: The Petitioners apparent challenge to the approved capsule withdrawal schedule is inadmissible, as it relates to a prior approval pursuant to 10 C.F.R. Part 50, Appendix H, not the amendment at issue in this proceeding.The Petitioners may not use this amendment proceeding as a backdoor to file a challenge to the approved modified withdrawal schedule.
Only throug h such a misleading 3 insistence ca n the Staff pr oclaim (Staff Answer pp. 21-22) that "
NRR. Where there is discretion vested in the regulator, differences of opinion, interpretation, and expert analysis are legitimate bases for challenging the decision because the decision is potentially arrived at in an adversarial manner. See, for example, § 50.61a( c)(1) (RTMAX-X values assessment must specify the bases for the projected value of RTMAX-X for each reactor vessel beltline material, including the assumptions regarding future plant operation); § 50.61a
I f these [§ 50.61a(f
( c)(2) (Each licensee shall perform an examination and an assessment of flaws in the reactor vessel beltline as required by paragraph (e) of this section - and (e) requires disclosure of tests performed but, again, detailed explanation of the methodology underlying NDE uncertainties assumptions,2 and adjustments must be disclosed. This is merely a recognition that even objective data, once interpreted, may be examined to ascertain the objectivity or inappropriate bias which may have occurred in the means of analysis which have been applied to it.
)(6)] criteria are met, the rule r equire s the applica nt to use the surveillanc e data to verify that its predicted ref ere nce te mpera tures ar e appr opriate."But no matter how obfusca tory its arg uments, the Staff c annot g et ar ound the fa ct that 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(f
Indeed, the final section of § 50.61a, subsection (f)(7), requires that The licensee shall report any information that significantly influences the RTMAX-X value to the Director in accordance with the requirements of paragraphs (c)(1) and (d)(1) of this section. The requirement clearly introduces subjective judgment and choice into the decision of what data is to be provided to the Director of NRR. Hence for Petitioners to provide their experts critique of the means by which the § 50.61a investigation was conducted, and the weaknesses or biases in the underlying data, assumptions and manipulations of information cannot be construed as a 2
)(6)(i) re quires that "(A) The surveillance materia l must be a hea t-specif ic M AX-X match for one or more of the mate rials for w hich RT is being calc ulated."  G underse n has attested to the lac k of proof that the metals fr om the various RPVs match.
          § 50.61a says in part: The methodology to account for NDE-related uncertainties must be based on statistical data from the qualification tests and any other tests that measure the difference between the actual flaw size and the NDE detected flaw size. Licensees who adjust their test data to account for NDE-related uncertainties to verify conformance with the values in Tables 2 and 3 shall prepare and submit the methodology used to estimate the NDE uncertainty, the statistical data used to adjust the test data and an explanation of how the data was analyzed for review and approval by the Director in accordance with paragraphs (c)(2) and (d)(2) of this section.
The Staff manipulates eng ineer Gunder sen's testimony by selec tively citing (Staff Answer p. 21) his observa tion that "an exhaustive revie w of NRC reg ulations has not unveiled any reg ulations that allow for such c omparisons, and no re cord of scientific va lidation of such Sta ff Answe r p. 21: "T hus , when ever t he t er m 's urvei ll anc e da ta' i s us ed i n § 5 0.61 a, i t i ncl ude s 3 sur veill anc e da ta fr om ot her pl ant s."
frontal assault on the regulatory citadel, but must instead be seen, for purposes of the admissibility determination, as an expose of the flaws caused by straying away from knowable science.
methodology
C. Surveillance Data Disputes The Staff persists in the argument that sister plant surveillance data, viz., scientific evidence of embrittlement from completely different types of nuclear reactors, can be compared, apples-to-apples, with destructive testing data gleaned from metal coupons retrieved from the Palisades RPV. The Staff urges that the § 50.61a(10) definition of surveillance data includes other plants information within its sweep, and that every reference to surveillance data automatically means not just Palisades, but other plants.3 Only through such a misleading insistence can the Staff proclaim (Staff Answer pp. 21-22) that If these [§ 50.61a(f)(6)] criteria are met, the rule requires the applicant to use the surveillance data to verify that its predicted reference temperatures are appropriate.
.The Staff then ter ms this an inappropriate c halleng e to NRC reg ulations and, adding injury to that insult , acc uses Gunder sen and Petitioners (Staf f Answe r p. 22) of say ing"that Enter g y should not be allowed to ana ly ze sister-plant data a t all."But the Staff omits t o respond -
But no matter how obfuscatory its arguments, the Staff cannot get around the fact that 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(f)(6)(i) requires that (A) The surveillance material must be a heat-specific match for one or more of the materials for which RTMAX-X is being calculated. Gundersen has attested to the lack of proof that the metals from the various RPVs match.
delibera tely , one must conclude - to Gunder sen's fur ther opinion, cited at Petitioners' Amende d Petition p. 15, where in a se ction entitled "The Comparable Plants Are Not Apples-to-A pples Comparisons," Gunde rsen of fer s these conclusions:
The Staff manipulates engineer Gundersens testimony by selectively citing (Staff Answer p. 21) his observation that an exhaustive review of NRC regulations has not unveiled any regulations that allow for such comparisons, and no record of scientific validation of such 3
These pla nts, which he say s "thus far have not e x hibited significa nt signs of rea ctor meta l embrittlement," ar e poor c ompara bles bec ause. . . the dra matically differ ent nuclea r cor e desig n and oper ational power char acte ristics make a n acc urate compar ison imposs ible. The diff ere nce be tween the Westinghouse nuc lear core s and the Combustion Enginee ring nuclea r cor e impacts the neutron f lux on eac h rea ctor ve ssel, thus making a n acc urate compar ison of neutron bombar dment and embr ittlement impos sible.Id. at p. 10, ¶ 27.
Staff Answer p. 21: Thus, whenever the term surveillance data is used in § 50.61a, it includes surveillance data from other plants.
I t is thus m isrepre sentative for the Staff to maintain that Gunde rsen did not cr itique the surveillance samples from other plants acc ording to § 50.61a(f)
methodology. The Staff then terms this an inappropriate challenge to NRC regulations and, adding injury to that insult, accuses Gundersen and Petitioners (Staff Answer p. 22) of saying that Entergy should not be allowed to analyze sister-plant data at all.
(6) c riteria.Even if the A SL B w ere to conclude tha t Arnold Gunder sen wa s incorre ct in asser ting that no rule g overns the c omparison of Palisades' embrittlement data w ith that from other nuc lear rea ctors, a c ontention about a matter not cover ed by a spec ific rule ne ed only alleg e that the matter poses a signific ant safe ty problem. That is suffic ient to raise a n issue under the g ener al require ment for ope rating licenses, 10 C.F.R. § 50.57(a)(3), for a finding of re asonable assura nce of oper ation without endang ering the hea lth and safe ty of the public.
But the Staff omits to respond - deliberately, one must conclude - to Gundersens further opinion, cited at Petitioners Amended Petition p. 15, where in a section entitled The Comparable Plants Are Not Apples-to-Apples Comparisons, Gundersen offers these conclusions:
Duke Power Co. (Catawba Nuclea r Station, Units 1 & 2), L BP-82-116, 16 NRC 1937, 1946 (1982).
These plants, which he says thus far have not exhibited significant signs of reactor metal embrittlement, are poor comparables because
Related to this dispute, the Staff points out (Staff Answe r p. 19 fn. 80) that Arnold Gunder sen incorr ectly attributed to the ACRS these statements - "
                . . . the dramatically different nuclear core design and operational power characteristics make an accurate comparison impossible. The difference between the Westinghouse nuclear cores and the Combustion Engineering nuclear core impacts the neutron flux on each reactor vessel, thus making an accurate comparison of neutron bombardment and embrittlement impossible.
the use of a ll possibl e phy sical samples is important to an acc urate outcome" . . . "
Id. at p. 10, ¶ 27.
the vehicle for doing that is doing a statistical compar ison of a par ticular re actor's plant specific surveillance data with the g ener al trends."
It is thus misrepresentative for the Staff to maintain that Gundersen did not critique the surveillance samples from other plants according to § 50.61a(f)(6) criteria.
Petitioners acknowle dg e that they mistakenly believed the se we re state ments made by a member of the Advisory Commi ttee on Rea ctor Safe g uards, a nd they admit their err or. The spe aker is the principal NRC staff e x pert on e mbrittlement, Mark Kirk of the NRC Office of Reg ulatory Resear ch and long time point person on this iss ue. Kirk is the pr imary author of § 50.61a , so coming from him, the ac knowledg ment that the use of "
Even if the ASLB were to conclude that Arnold Gundersen was incorrect in asserting that no rule governs the comparison of Palisades embrittlement data with that from other nuclear reactors, a contention about a matter not covered by a specific rule need only allege that the matter poses a significant safety problem. That is sufficient to raise an issue under the general requirement for operating licenses, 10 C.F.R. § 50.57(a)(3), for a finding of reasonable assurance of operation without endangering the health and safety of the public. Duke Power Co. (Catawba Nuclear Station, Units 1 & 2), LBP-82-116, 16 NRC 1937, 1946 (1982).
all possible phy sical samples is important to an ac cura te outcome" bolsters Petitioners' ca se eve n more than if it we re a statement by an ACRS member being briefe d by an NRC staff e x pert.D. Staff Pretensions At Expertise After dispensing w ith the Staff's dising enuous conte ntion that every expert conclusion proff ere d by Petitioners is an impermissible challeng e to NRC reg ulations, an underly ing wea kness to the ag ency's ar g uments is ex posed: the NRC Staff has not met Petitioners' e x pert's conclusions with its own ex pert e vidence. Presumably , qualified NRC eng ineer s are vetting Enterg y's L icense Amendment Reque st, but they
Related to this dispute, the Staff points out (Staff Answer p. 19 fn. 80) that Arnold Gundersen incorrectly attributed to the ACRS these statements - the use of all possible physical samples is important to an accurate outcome . . . the vehicle for doing that is doing a statistical comparison of a particular reactors plant specific surveillance data with the general trends.
're nowher e in sig ht in the Staff's Answe r.I nstead, the Staff
Petitioners acknowledge that they mistakenly believed these were statements made by a member of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, and they admit their error. The speaker is the principal NRC staff expert on embrittlement, Mark Kirk of the NRC Office of Regulatory Research and longtime point person on this issue. Kirk is the primary author of § 50.61a, so coming from him, the acknowledgment that the use of all possible physical samples is important to an accurate outcome bolsters Petitioners case even more than if it were a statement by an ACRS member being briefed by an NRC staff expert.
's tactic is to float unsupporte d conclusions, faux expert repr esenta tions, tender ed via law y ers. For example, the Staff cr iticiz es Arnold Gunde rsen's testimony on the subject of e rror band over lap at its Answer , p. 25 in this way
D. Staff Pretensions At Expertise After dispensing with the Staffs disingenuous contention that every expert conclusion proffered by Petitioners is an impermissible challenge to NRC regulations, an underlying weakness to the agencys arguments is exposed: the NRC Staff has not met Petitioners experts conclusions with its own expert evidence. Presumably, qualified NRC engineers are vetting Entergys License Amendment Request, but theyre nowhere in sight in the Staffs Answer.
: The Petitioners asse rt that it is difficult to compare the data f rom Palisades with data f rom four othe r plants, bec ause of the nee d to assure tha t the "20% e rror band[s]"overla p. Acc ording to the Petitioners, 'To compar e this differ ent data w ithout assurance that the 1
Instead, the Staffs tactic is to float unsupported conclusions, faux expert representations, tendered via lawyers.
ó varia nce [sic] from eac h plant overla ps the other plants lac ks scientific validity.' I n addition, in discussing the diff ere nces in flux and fluenc e fr om cy cle-to-cy cle at Palisades, the Petitioners ar g ue that it is 'mathematica lly implausible' that the nee ded deviation was obta ined. The Petitioners ther efor e ar g ue that additional testing and analy sis is needed to 'support r elicensur e.'But in fa ct, Gunder sen stated a scientific c riticism with reg ulatory-violation overtones, i.e., that there is a nee d for c onsistency in comparing the 20% e rror band among the sister plants and that under 10 C.F.R. §50.61a, Enterg y has not made tha t showing. B y its very construction, Gunder sen's opinion is predica ted on ade quate f acts take n from the L icense Amendment Reque st ("L AR"): Whil e '[a] 1ó analy sis appear s to be binding w ithin the Palis ades da ta, . . . the NRC lowers the bar when c omparing data f rom similar sister plants that are included in Enterg y's ana ly sis of the Palisades re actor vessel without requiring the same 1
For example, the Staff criticizes Arnold Gundersens testimony on the subject of error band overlap at its Answer, p. 25 in this way:
ó varia nce with Palisades.'
The Petitioners assert that it is difficult to compare the data from Palisades with data from four other plants, because of the need to assure that the 20% error band[s]
Id. at p. 12, ¶ 32. Gunde rsen a dds: 'There can be no assura nce tha t the 20% er ror ba nd at Palisades enc ompasses the 20% e rror band at the Robinson or I ndian Point pl ants. To compar e this differ ent data w ithout assurance that the 1
overlap. According to the Petitioners, To compare this different data without assurance that the 1ó variance [sic] from each plant overlaps the other plants lacks scientific validity. In addition, in discussing the differences in flux and fluence from cycle-to-cycle at Palisades, the Petitioners argue that it is mathematically implausible that the needed deviation was obtained. The Petitioners therefore argue that additional testing and analysis is needed to support relicensure.
ó varia nce f rom eac h plant overla ps the other plants lac ks scientific va lidity.' Id. at p. 12, ¶ 33.
But in fact, Gundersen stated a scientific criticism with regulatory-violation overtones, i.e., that there is a need for consistency in comparing the 20% error band among the sister plants and that under 10 C.F.R. §50.61a, Entergy has not made that showing. By its very construction, Gundersens opinion is predicated on adequate facts taken from the License Amendment Request (LAR):
While [a] 1ó analysis appears to be binding within the Palisades data, . . . the NRC lowers the bar when comparing data from similar sister plants that are included in Entergys analysis of the Palisades reactor vessel without requiring the same 1ó variance with Palisades. Id. at p. 12, ¶ 32. Gundersen adds: There can be no assurance that the 20% error band at Palisades encompasses the 20% error band at the Robinson or Indian Point plants. To compare this different data without assurance that the 1ó variance from each plant overlaps the other plants lacks scientific validity. Id. at p. 12, ¶ 33.
Amended Petition p. 18.
Amended Petition p. 18.
I n support of the c ontinuity and consistenc y of Petitioners' conte ntion, their expert Gunder sen found that ther e is "e x traordina ry varia bility betwee n the neutron f lux acr oss the nuclea r cor e in this Combus tion Engine ering rea ctor" beca use of a "flux variation of as much as 300% be tween the 45-deg ree seg ment and the 75-deg ree seg ment," ca lling it "mathema tically implausible that a 20% devia tion is poss ible when the ne utron flux i tself var ies by 300%." Id. at p. 12, ¶ 34. Gunde rsen's final opinion on this poi nt is: The Westinghouse Analy sis delineates that a 20% var iation is mandatory , y et the eff ective f luence varia bility can be as hig h as 300%, ther efor e, the analytical data does not support relicensure without destructive testing and complete embrittlement analysis of additional capsule samples
In support of the continuity and consistency of Petitioners contention, their expert Gundersen found that there is extraordinary variability between the neutron flux across the nuclear core in this Combustion Engineering reactor because of a flux variation of as much as 300% between the 45-degree segment and the 75-degree segment, calling it mathematically implausible that a 20% deviation is possible when the neutron flux itself varies by 300%. Id. at
.Gunder sen Report a t p. 16, ¶ 39.
: p. 12, ¶ 34. Gundersens final opinion on this point is:
At another place in the Staff Answe r, at pp. 26-27, the Staff proje cts a scie ntific conclusion without g oing to the tr ouble of sponsoring it through a n expert:  
The Westinghouse Analysis delineates that a 20% variation is mandatory, yet the effective fluence variability can be as high as 300%, therefore, the analytical data does not support relicensure without destructive testing and complete embrittlement analysis of additional capsule samples.
. . . [I]n t heir a rg ument conce rning flux varia bility at Palisades and the difficulty in assuring the nec essar y standard de viation, the Petitioners and Dr. G underse n do not provide a ny basis for their asser tion that fluence cannot be predic ted bec ause the fluenc e per c y cle c hang es. Signific antly , the Petitioners do not point to any thing in the a pplication which would indicate that Enterg y failed to c onsider the va riability betwee n cy cles whe n compar ing me asure d data with ca lculational data in the L AR.Which unidentified eng ineer ing e x pert law y er f or the NRC Staff is testify ing he re tha t "the fluenc e per cy cle c hang es"? Tec hnical ana ly ses offe red in e vidence must be sponsored by an expert who c an be examined on the reliability of the fa ctual asse rtions and soundness of the sc ientific opinions found in the docume nts. Southern Cal. Edison C
Gundersen Report at p. 16, ¶ 39.
: o. (San Onofr e Nuc lear Gene rating Station, Units 2 & 3), A L AB-717, 17 NRC 346, 367 (1983), c iting Duke Power Co. (Will iam B.McGuire Nuclea r Station, Units 1 & 2), AL AB-669, 15 NRC 453, 477 (1982).
At another place in the Staff Answer, at pp. 26-27, the Staff projects a scientific conclusion without going to the trouble of sponsoring it through an expert:
See Clev eland Elec. I lluminating C
                . . . [I]n their argument concerning flux variability at Palisades and the difficulty in assuring the necessary standard deviation, the Petitioners and Dr. Gundersen do not provide any basis for their assertion that fluence cannot be predicted because the fluence per cycle changes. Significantly, the Petitioners do not point to anything in the application which would indicate that Entergy failed to consider the variability between cycles when comparing measured data with calculational data in the LAR.
: o. (Perr y Nuclea r Power Plant, Units 1 &
Which unidentified engineering expert lawyer for the NRC Staff is testifying here that the fluence per cycle changes?
2), AL AB-443, 6 NRC 741, 754-56 (1977);
Technical analyses offered in evidence must be sponsored by an expert who can be examined on the reliability of the factual assertions and soundness of the scientific opinions found in the documents. Southern Cal. Edison Co. (San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station, Units 2 & 3), ALAB-717, 17 NRC 346, 367 (1983), citing Duke Power Co. (William B.
Philadelphia Elec. Co. (L imerick Ge nera ting Station, Units 1 & 2), A L AB-836, 23 NRC 479, 494 n.22 (1986);
McGuire Nuclear Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-669, 15 NRC 453, 477 (1982). See Cleveland Elec. Illuminating Co. (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-443, 6 NRC 741, 754-56 (1977); Philadelphia Elec. Co. (Limerick Generating Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-836, 23 NRC 479, 494 n.22 (1986); Pub. Serv. Co. of N.H. (Seabrook Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-891, 27 NRC 341, 350-51 (1988). The Staff has omitted to sponsor its expert opinions through a bona fide expert witness, which undermines - not just at this point in their Answer, but at other places - the validity of their arguments against admissibility.
Pub. Serv. Co. of N.H. (Seabr ook Station, Units 1 & 2), AL AB-891, 27 NRC 341, 350-51 (1988). The Staff has omitted to sponsor its ex pert opinions throug h a bona fide expert witness, which under mines - not just at this poi nt in their Answer , but at other place s - the validity of their a rg uments ag ainst admissibil ity.Testimony based upon "
Testimony based upon subjective belief or unsupported speculation rather than the methods and procedures of science, and not grounded upon sufficient facts or data to be the product of applying reliable principles and methods to the facts cannot suffice as evidence of the merits in a licensing dispute. Duke Cogema Stone & Webster (Savannah River Mixed Oxide Fuel Fabrication Facility), LBP-05-4, 61 NRC 71, 98-99 (2005). Neither mere speculation nor bare or conclusory assertions, even by an expert, which allege that a matter should be considered, can suffice to cause admission of a proffered contention. USEC, Inc. (Am. Centrifuge Plant), CLI 10, 63 NRC 451, 472 (2006); Fansteel, Inc. (Muskogee, Oklahoma Site), CLI-03-13, 58 NRC 195, 203 (2003). Presumably the NRC Staff is likewise bound, in opposing proffered content-ions, to avoid mere speculation and bare/conclusory assertions, and worse for them, they identify no expert making such assertions. Consequently, the penalty for the Staffs repeated uses of lawyers as proxy embrittlement experts in its Answer should be forfeiture of their arguments.
subjective be lief or unsupporte d specula tion" rathe r than the "methods and pr ocedur es of sc ience ," and not g rounded upon suf ficient fa cts or data to be the product of a pply ing r eliable pr inciples and methods to the fa cts ca nnot suffice as evide nce of the merits in a licensing dispute.
E. Claimed Irrelevance/Unchallenged Earlier Licensing Decisions The Staff repeatedly engages in a ploy, treating Petitioners evidentiary references which tend to prove that 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a has been improvidently or incorrectly invoked, instead, as out-of-bounds facts which Petitioners may not use. For instance:
Duke Cogema Stone &
Finally, in Section IV.C.3 of the Amended Petition, the Petitioners argue that fluence data from Surveillance Capsule A-60, which was excluded from the licensees surveillance program in the early 1980s, exceeded the 1ó variation [sic] described above. The Petitioners maintain that this data would have shown that Palisades must be shut down, and that disregarding Capsule A-60 distorts the analytical basis for continued operation. However, as is the case with many of Petitioners arguments, their concerns with Capsule A-60 have no relevance to the present proceeding. Entergy is not relying on Capsule A-60 at any point in its LAR. Capsule A-60 was deleted from the Reactor Vessel Surveillance Capsule Program over 30 years ago, and the Reactor Vessel Surveillance Coupon Removal Schedule was modified to provide the option of removing an equivalent capsule instead of the primary capsule in a separate licensing action.
W ebster (Savanna h River Mix ed Oxide Fuel Fa brica tion Fac ility), L BP-05-4, 61 NRC 71, 98-99 (2005). Ne ither mere specula tion nor bare or conclusory asser tions, even by an expert, which a lleg e that a ma tter should be conside red, c an suffice to cause admission of a prof fer ed conte ntion. USEC, Inc. (Am. Centrifug e Plant), CL I-06-10, 63 NRC 451, 472 (2006);
Staff Answer p. 27. This is the Staffs attempt to transform a purely evidentiary observation into a regulatory brick wall. By arguing that Capsule A-60 is irrelevant as having been deleted from the surveillance program 30 years ago, the Staff obviously hopes to conceal evidence. That evidence arguably showed that the degree of RPV embrittlement in the 1980's was greatly advanced, given the then-short operational age of the reactor. In a similar vein, Entergy proposes to proceed through the 16 years from 2003 to 2019 without testing a coupon, which is rather akin to throwing out an inconveniently revelatory test result that might prove the too-fragile-to-operate state of Palisades RPV. By referring to Capsule A-60, Petitioners are both pointing to evidence that might be pertinent, as well as alerting the Licensing Board to an ongoing course by Entergy to evade scientific validation of the true circumstances of embrittlement of the Palisades RPV. By concealing, or not pursuing, scientific evidence now, Entergy can move with less controversy to the probabilistic assessment, mostly-theoretical path afforded by 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a.
Fansteel, Inc
E. Misconstrued Evidentiary Value Of The LAR-EMA The NRC Staff often defends by taking a discursive view of Petitioners evidence, piecemealing it down to disjoint facts, followed by the assertion that such anomie is beyond the regulatory pale. That remains true respecting the ruckus raised by the Staff from Petitioners reference to a License Amendment Request pertaining to revisions of the Equivalent Margins Analysis for Palisades.
. (Muskog ee, O klahoma Site), CL I-03-13, 58 NRC 195, 203 (2003). Pre sumably the NRC Staff is likewise bound, in opposing pr offe red c ontent-ions, to avoid mere spe culation and ba re/c onclusory asser tions, and worse f or them, they identify no expert making such asse rtions. Consequently , the pena lty for the Staf f's re peate d uses of lawy ers a s proxy embrittlement experts in its Answer should be for feiture of their a rg uments. E. Claimed Irrelev ance/Unc hallenged Earlier Licensing Dec isions The Staff repe atedly eng ag es in a ploy , trea ting Petitioners' e videntiary ref ere nces w hich tend to prove tha t 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a has be en improvidently or incorr ectly invoked, instead, a s out-of-bounds f acts whic h Petitioners may not use. For instance:
Arnold Gundersen notes (Gundersen Declaration ¶ 46) that
Finally , in Section I V.C.3 of the Amende d Petition, t he Petitioners ar g ue that fluenc e data from Surveillanc e Capsule A-60, which wa s excluded from the lice nsee's surveillance prog ram in the e arly 1980s, exceede d the "1ó varia tion" [si c] describe d above. T he Petitioners maintain that this data would have shown that Palisades must be shut down, and that disreg arding Capsule A-60 distorts the ana ly tical basis for c ontinued opera tion. However , as is the ca se with many of Petitioners' ar g uments, their conc erns with Capsule A-60 ha ve no re levanc e to the pre sent proce eding. Enterg y is not rely ing on Capsule A-60 a t any point in it s L AR. Capsule A-60 wa s deleted f rom the Reac tor Vesse l Surveillance Capsule Prog ram ove r 30 y ear s ag o, and the Rea ctor Ve ssel Surveillance Coupon Removal Schedule wa s modified to provide the option of re moving a n equivalent capsule instead of the pr imary capsule in a sepa rate licensing action.Staff Answe r p. 27. This is the Staff's a ttempt to transform a pur ely evidentiar y observa tion into a re g ulatory brick wa ll. By arg uing tha t Capsule A-60 is "irr eleva nt" as ha ving be en "de leted"from the surve illance pr og ram 30 y ear s ag o, the Staff obviously hopes to conc eal e vidence. That evidenc e ar g uably showed that the de g ree of RPV embrittlement in the 1980' s was g rea tly advanc ed, g iven the then-short opera tional ag e of the rea ctor. I n a similar vein, Enter g y proposes to proce ed throug h the 16 y ear s from 2003 to 2019 without testing a c oupon, which is rathe r akin to throwing out an inconvenie ntly reve latory test result that might prove the too-fr ag ile-to-opera te state of Palisade s' RPV. By ref err ing to Capsule A
                  . . . prior evaluations suggest that three portions of the nuclear reactor vessel will not meet the NRC required 50 ft-lb ductility stress limit. It also appears, from the five documents attached to the LAR, that Westinghouse has re-analyzed and manipulated the Palisades data so that the final calculations keep the reactor vessel within the regulatory acceptable range above the minimum 50 ft-lb ductility stress limit.
-60, Petitioners are both pointing to evidenc e that mig ht be per tinent, as well as a lerting the L icensing Boa rd to an ong oing c ourse by Enterg y to evade scientific va lidation of the true c ircumstance s of embrittlement of the Palisade s RPV. By conce aling , or not pursuing , scientific e vidence now, Enterg y can move with less controve rsy to the probabilistic assessment, mostly-theore tical path af forde d by 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a.E. Misconstrued Ev identiary Value Of The LAR-EM A The NRC Staff ofte n defe nds by taking a discursive view of Petitioners' e vidence , piece mealing it down to disj oint facts, followe d by the asser tion that such anomie is bey ond the reg ulatory pale. Tha t remains true respe cting the ruc kus raised by the Staff f rom Petitioners' ref ere nce to a L icense Amendment Reque st pertaining to revisions of the Equivale nt Marg ins Analy sis for Palisades.
Gundersen considers the LAR EMA request to be red flag evidence that Entergy is proposing to operate its Palisades NPP well outside the norm by proposing to re-analyze the deteriorating metallurgical conditions without using the readily available physical samples that are designed specifically for this purpose. Id. at ¶ 48. And therein lies the distinction between Petitioners and the Staff: it is of evidentiary value to point out that Entergy is engaged in a wider campaign to, once again, move the goal posts back by raising the permissible limits for embrittlement so that the astonishingly serious shatter capabilities of the Palisades RPV remain camouflaged in alleged regulatory protections. Irrespective of the separate pendency of the EMA license amendment request, the request involves the very same RPV. Petitioners expert may rightfully expose the facts on which the request is based, and their pertinence to this hearing petition.
Arnold Gunde rsen notes (Gunder sen De clar ation ¶ 46) that . . . prior eva luations sugg est that three portions of the nucle ar r eac tor vessel will not meet the NRC require d 50 ft-lb ductility stress limit. I t also appea rs, from the f ive documents attac hed to the L AR, that Westinghouse ha s re-analy zed and manipulated the Palisades data so tha t the final ca lculations keep the rea ctor ve ssel within the reg ulatory acc eptable r ang e above the minimum 50 ft-lb ductili ty stress limit.
F. The Lack Of Thermal Shield Is Relevant Evidence Petitioners have the same response concerning the Staffs bickering that mentioning the lack of a thermal shield is not relevant to whether superficial paperwork requirements have been met concerning 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a. Petitioners are urging none of what the Staff alleges - that is, Petitioners are not trying to predicate a contention on what Palisades prior owner should have done. The lack of a thermal shield emphasizes the unfettered neutron fluence to which the RPV has been continuously exposed for over 43 years. It tends to prove that a science-based regulatory determination of Palisades embrittlement may be preferable to the use of probabilistic risk assessment in the circumstances of this reactor.
Gunder sen consider s the L AR EMA reque st to be "re d flag" evide nce tha t "Enterg y is proposing to opera te its Palisades NPP well outsi de the nor m by proposing to re-a naly ze the deter iorating metallurg ical conditions without using the r eadily available phy sical samples that a re de signe d specific ally for this purpose."
G. Prior License Amendments Enabling More Embrittlement Are Relevant Evidence For the Staff to seriously posit that the multiple past increases of the trigger temperature (the Staffs term) are not admissible evidence is laughable. Their objection pertains to the forthcoming adjudication of this matter which should be held. It is incumbent upon an expert to disclose the bases for his/her opinion. Quite rationally, Arnold Gundersens analysis was that the date at which the trigger temperature was exceeded kept getting longer. The rollbacks were of the date and also the temperature. The pattern of those rollbacks is of importance to scrutinizing and understanding the pending § 50.61a application. Too, a 230 degrees F. increase in the trigger temperature over 43+ years is relevant information. The regulation - 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(d)(1) -
Id. at ¶ 48. And the rein lies the distinction betwee n Petitioners and the Staff: it is of evidentiar y value to point out that Enterg y is eng ag ed in a wide r ca mpaig n to, once a g ain, move the g oal posts back by raising the per missibl e limits for embrittlement so that the astonishingly serious shatter capa biliti es of the Palisade s RPV remain ca mouflag ed in alleg ed reg ulatory protec tions. I rre spective of the "se para te" pe ndency of the EMA lice nse ame ndment reque st, the reque st involves the very same RPV. Petitioners' expert may rig htfully expose the fac ts on which the re quest is based, a nd their per tinence to this hea ring petition.
makes it relevant:
F. The Lack Of Thermal Shield Is Re levant Ev idence Petitioners have the sa me re sponse conc erning the Staff' s bickering that mentioning the lack of a ther mal shield is not relevant to whe ther super ficial pa perw ork re quirements have been met conce rning 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a. Petitioners ar e urg ing none of wha t the Staff alleg es - that is, Petitioners are not try ing to pr edica te a c ontention on what Palisades' pr ior owner should have done. The lack of a ther mal shield emphasizes the unfetter ed neutr on fluenc e to which the RPV has bee n continuously exposed for over 43 y ear s. I t tends to prove that a sc ience-base d reg ulatory deter mination of Palisades' embr ittlement may be pre fer able to the use of proba bilist ic risk assessment in the cir cumstance s of this reac tor.G. Prior License Ame ndments Enabling More Em brittl eme nt Are Rele vant Evide nce For the Staff to ser iously posit that the mult iple past incre ases of the "trig g er te mpera ture"(the Staff
Whenever there is a significant change in projected values of RTMAX-X, so that the previous value, the current value, or both values, exceed the screening criteria before the expiration of the plant operating license; or upon the licensees request for a change in the expiration date for operation of the facility; a re-assessment of RTMAX-X values documented consistent with the requirements of paragraph (c)(1) and (c)(3) of this section must be submitted in the form of a license amendment for review and approval by the Director. (Emphasis added).
's term) a re not a dmissibl e evide nce is laug hable. The ir objection per tains to the forthcoming adjudication of this matter w hich should be held. I t is incumbent upon an expert to disclose the base s for his/her opinion. Quite ra tionally , Arnold Gunde rsen's analy sis was that the date a t which the trig g er te mpera ture wa s exceede d kept g etting long er. The rollbacks we re of the date a nd also the temper ature. The pa ttern of those r ollbacks is of importance to scrutinizi ng and understanding the pending
III. Responses To Entergys Answer A. Standing Entergy hints that there is no meaningful relief that would follow a decision adverse to its interests on the License Amendment Request. Entergy Answer at p. 14/37 of .pdf. Given the stage of Palisades operating life and the severe, undeniable embrittlement of the reactor pressure vessel, it is possible that the ASLB could overturn or deny recourse to Entergy under 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, which would force a decision on the utility to undertake the annealing of the RPV, or perhaps, if the economics of that remedy were prohibitive, for the reactor to be permanently shutdown, and decommissioned. If the former relief were ordered or followed from a denial of § 50.61a amendment, Petitioners would benefit from safety enhancements to Palisades operations.
§ 50.61a applica tion. Too, a 230 deg ree s F. incr ease in the trig g er tempera ture ove r 43+ y ear s is releva nt information. The re g ulation - 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(d)
If the latter relief occurred, they would benefit even more since the risks from decommissioning would principally attend management of spent fuel at the reactor site as well as the cleanup of radioactive contamination.
(1) -makes it rele vant: Whenever there is a signif icant cha ng e in projec ted values of RT M A X-X , so that the prev ious value, the c urrent value, or both value s, exc eed the scree ning criteria before the ex piration of the plant operating license
Entergy urges that the Petitioners are not entitled to rely on the proximity presumption to establish standing. Even if the ASLB were to accept the proposition that a through-wall crack or shattering of the Palisades RPV cannot conceivably form the heart of a dangerous nuclear reactor accident, residence or activities within 10 miles of a facility (and in one case 17 miles from a facility) have been found sufficient to establish standing in a case involving the proposed expansion in capacity of a spent fuel pool. See Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Corp. (Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Station), LBP-87-7, 25 NRC 116, 118 (1987); see also Florida Power &
; or upon the license e's r equest for a cha ng e in the expiration date for ope ration of the f acility; a re-asse ssment of RT M A X-X values documented c onsistent with the requireme nts of para g raph (c)(1) and (c)(3) of this section must be submitt ed in the for m of a lice nse ame ndment for r eview a nd approva l by the Direc tor. (Emphasis adde d).III. Responses To E ntergy's Answ er A. Standing Enterg y hints that there is no meaning ful relief that would follow a de cision adver se to its interests on the L icense Amendment Reque st. Enterg y Answer at p. 14/37 of .pdf. Give n the stag e of Palisade s' oper ating life and the sever e, undenia ble embrittlement of the r eac tor pressur e vessel, it is possibl e that the ASL B c ould overturn or deny rec ourse to Enter g y under 10 C.F.R. §50.61a, which w ould force a dec ision on the util ity to undertake the anne aling of the RPV, or perha ps, if the ec onomics of that re medy wer e prohibitive, for the re actor to be per manently shutdown, and dec ommissi oned. I f the for mer re lief we re or dere d or followed f rom a de nial of §50.61a ame ndment, Petitioners would benef it from safe ty enhanc ements to Palisades' ope rations. I f the latter relief occur red, the y would benef it even more since the r isks from decommissioning would principally attend mana g ement of spe nt fuel at the r eac tor site as we ll as the clea nup of radioa ctive conta mination.Enterg y urg es that the Petitioners ar e not entitled to rely on the "pr ox imity presumption" to establish standing. Eve n if the ASL B w ere to acc ept the proposition that a throug h-wa ll crac k or shatter ing of the Palisades RPV cannot c onceiva bly form the he art of a dang erous nuc lear rea ctor a ccide nt, residenc e or a ctivities within 10 m iles of a f acility (and in one case 17 miles from a f acility) have been f ound sufficie nt to establish standing in a c ase involving the proposed expansion in capac ity of a spe nt fuel pool.
Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), LBP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452-454-55 (1988),
See V ermont Y ankee Nuclear Power Corp. (Ve rmont Yanke e Nuc lear Power Station), L BP-87-7, 25 NRC 116, 118 (1987);
affd, ALAB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988); Carolina Power & Light Co. (Shearon Harris Nuclear Power Plant), LBP-99-25, 50 NRC 25, 29-31 (1999); Northeast Nuclear Energy Co. (Millstone Nuclear Power Station, Unit 3), LBP-00-2, 51 NRC 25 (2000). Maynard Kaufman, one of the individuals who has provided a declaration and is represented by Michigan Safe Energy Future-Shoreline Chapter, lives within 10 miles of Palisades. Bette Pierman, represented by Beyond Nuclear, lives within 15 miles. Gail Snyder, represented by Nuclear Energy Information Service, camps and picnics on property she owns about 15 miles from Palisades. At least these three intervening organizations thus overcome a reduced radius (Alice Hirt, represented by Dont Waste Michigan, lives 35 miles from the reactor). In a proceeding reviewing an extended power uprate application, an organization had representational standing where its representative members each lived within 15 miles of the plant. Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee, L.L.C. and Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Station), LBP-04-28, 60 NRC 548, 553-54 (2004).
see also Florida Power &
Moreover, residence within 30-40 miles of a reactor site has been held to be sufficient to show the requisite interest in raising safety questions. Virginia Electric & Power Co. (North Anna Power Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-146, 6 AEC 631, 633-634 (1973); Louisiana Power &
Light C o. (St. L ucie Nuc lear Power Plant, Unit 1), L BP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452-454-55 (1988)
Light Co. (Waterford Steam Electric Station, Unit 3), ALAB-125, 6 AEC 371, 372 n.6 (1973);
, aff'd, AL AB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988);
Northern States Power Co. (Prairie Island Nuclear Generating Plant, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-107, 6 AEC 188, 190, 193, reconsid. den., ALAB-110, 6 AEC 247, affd, CLI-73-12, 6 AEC 241 (1973); Florida Power and Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), LBP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452, 454-55 (1988), affd on other grounds, ALAB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988).
Carolina Pow er & Light C o. (Shear on Har ris Nuclea r Power Plant), L BP-99-25, 50 NRC 25, 29-31 (1999);
Turning to Entergys other standing objections, the utility suggests (Entergy Answer p.
Northeast Nuclear Energy Co. (Millstone Nuclea r Power Station, Unit 3), L BP-00-2, 51 NRC 25 (2000). May nard K aufma n, one of the individuals who has provided a decla ration and is re prese nted by Michig an Safe Energ y Future-Shoreline Chapter , lives within 10 mi les of Palisades. B ette Pierman, r epre sented by Be y ond Nuclea r, lives within 15 miles. Gail Sny der, r epre sented by Nuclea r Ener g y I nformation Servic e, camps a nd picnics on prope rty she owns about 15 miles fr om Palisades. At least these thr ee intervening org anizations thus overcome a reduc ed ra dius (Alice Hir t, repre sented by Don't Waste Michiga n, lives 35 miles from the re actor). I n a proc eeding revie wing an extended powe r uprate application, an or g anization had repr esenta tional standing w here its repre sentative members e ach lived w ithin 15 mi les of the plant.
13/37) that Petitioners are making a general objection to the plants operations. That is incorrect.
Entergy Nucle ar Vermont Y ankee , L.L.C. and Entergy Nucle ar Operations, Inc. (Ve rmont Yanke e Nuc lear Power Station), L BP-04-28, 60 NRC 548, 553-54 (2004).
The contention raised by Petitioners is quite particular, in that it is an objection to any further weakening of pressurized thermal shock (PTS) safety standards. The chain of causation which Entergy maintains has not been made is that if there were a PTS event, it could cause RPV failure and core meltdown, accompanied by containment failure, followed by catastrophic radioactivity release. Safety concerns which carry the potential for offsite consequences enable standing.
Moreove r, re sidence within 30-40 mil es of a rea ctor site has be en held to be suf ficient to show the re quisite interest in raising safe ty questions.
Cleveland Elec. Illuminating Co. (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), CLI-93-21, 38 NRC 87, 95-96 (1993). In ruling on claims of proximity standing, the Commission determines the radius beyond which it believes there is no longer an obvious potential for offsite consequences by taking into account the nature of the proposed action and the significance of the radioactive source. Entergy Nuclear Operations and Entergy Nuclear Palisades, LLC (Palisades Nuclear Plant), CLI-08-19, 68 NRC 251, 254 (2008).
Virginia Electric &
Petitioners submit here that a pressurized thermal shock-caused failure of a reactor pressure vessel raises an obvious potential for offsite consequences. Even in license amendment cases involving allegations of management's lack of the required character and competence, there is deemed to be an obvious potential for offsite cónsequences, so standing is analogous to that in an operating license case. Florida Power and Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Units 1 and 2), CLI-89-21, 30 NRC 325 (1989).
Power Co. (North Anna Power Station, Units 1 & 2), AL AB-146, 6 AEC 631, 633-634 (1973); Louisi ana Power &
IV. CONCLUSION There is no genuine issue but that Petitioners have successfully established standing based on the prospects of a through-wall accident from the extraordinary state of embrittlement of the Palisades RPV. The NRC Staff has not sincerely proven that any of the opinions and conclusions proffered by Petitioners expert witness comprise an impermissible attack on NRC regulations. The historical evidence of the increasingly severe and advance pressurized thermal shock concern at Palisades which is cited by Petitioners and through their expert constitutes facially relevant evidence and may not be discarded merely because of earlier regulatory decisions which touch upon it.
Light C o. (Waterf ord Steam Elec tric Station, Unit 3), AL AB-125, 6 AEC 371, 372 n.6 (1973)
Finally, two additional facts warrant the ASLB to note the severity of the PTS problem at Palisades and the companion matter of the still rather unsettled, inchoate nature of NRC regulations governing embrittlement, notwithstanding the existence of 10 C.F.R. §§ 50.61 and 50.61a.
;
A. ACRS Subcommittee Minutes One is the dark view maintained by certain members of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, Metallurgy and Reactor Fuels subcommittee, manifested in recent official transcribed minutes of Subcommittee proceedings. On October 16, 2014, this colloquy took place:
Northern States Power Co. (Prairie I sland Nucle ar G ener ating Plant, Units 1 & 2), AL AB-107, 6 AEC 188, 190, 193, reconsid. den
MEMBER BANERJEE: Yes, but I mean what is special about Palisades? That's what I was going to ask.
., AL AB-110, 6 AEC 247, af f'd, CL I-73-12, 6 AE C 241 (1973); Florida Power and Li ght Co. (St. L ucie Nuc lear Power Plant, Unit 1), L BP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452, 454-55 (1988), aff'd on other grounds , AL AB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988).
MR. KIRK: Well, there are so many things that are special about Palisades.
Turning to Enterg y's other standing objections, the utility sug g ests (Enter g y Answer p. 13/37) that Petitioners are making a g ener al objection to the plant's ope rations. That is incorr ect. The c ontention raised by Petitioners is quit e par ticular, in that it is an objection to any further wea kening of pre ssurized thermal shock ("
MEMBER BANERJEE: There's nothing special about Palisades, though, than you exposed it to a lot of risk?
PTS") safe ty standards. The chain of causa tion which Enterg y maintains has not been ma de is that if there wer e a PTS eve nt, it could cause RPV fa ilure and cor e meltdown, ac companied by containment fa ilure, followed by cata strophic ra dioactivity rele ase. Saf ety conce rns which c arr y the potential for of fsite conse quence s enable standing.Cleveland Elec. Illuminating Co. (Perr y Nuclea r Power Plant, Unit 1), CL I-93-21, 38 NRC 87, 95-96 (1993). I n ruling on claims of "pr ox imity standing ," the Commission determines the ra dius bey ond which it believes the re is no long er a n "obvious potential for of fsite conse quence s" by"taking into account the na ture of the proposed a ction and the sig nificanc e of the radioa ctive source." Entergy Nucle ar Operations and Entergy Nuclear Palisades, LLC (Palisades Nuc lear Plant), CL I-08-19, 68 NRC 251, 254 (2008).
MR. KIRK: A higher level of embrittlement, yes.
Petitioners submit here that a pre ssurized thermal shock-c aused f ailure of a re actor pressure vessel ra ises an "obvious potential for offsite c onsequenc es." Eve n in license amendment c ases involving alleg ations of manag ement's lack of the require d char acte r and competenc e, ther e is dee med to be an obvious potential for offsite c
Official Transcript of Proceedings, ADAMS No. ML14296A342, pp. 30-31 (pp. 31-32 of 168 on
ónsequenc es, so standing is analog ous to that in an opera ting lice nse ca se. Florida Power and Li ght Co. (St. L ucie Nuc lear Power Plant, Units 1 and 2), CL I-89-21, 30 NRC 325 (1989).
.pdf counter).
IV. CONCLUSION There is no ge nuine issue but that Petitioners have suc cessf ully established standing based on the prospec ts of a throug h-wa ll accide nt from the extraordinar y state of e mbrittlement of the Palisades RPV. The N RC S taff ha s not sincere ly proven tha t any of the opinions and conclusions proff ere d by Petitioners' expert witness comprise a n impermissible attack on NRC reg ulations. The historical evide nce of the incre asing ly sever e and a dvance pressurized ther mal shock conc ern a t Palisades which is cited by Petitioners and throug h their expert constitutes fac ially rele vant evidenc e and ma y not be discar ded mer ely beca use of e arlier reg ulatory decisions which touch upon it.
Also:
Finally , two additional fac ts warr ant the ASL B to note the sever ity of the PTS problem at Palisades and the c ompanion matter of the still rathe r unsettled, inchoa te nature of NRC reg ulations gove rning embrittlement, notwithstanding the e x istence of 10 C.F.R. §§ 50.61 and 50.61a. A. ACRS Subcommittee Minutes One is the da rk view ma intained by cer tain members of the Advisory Commi ttee on Reac tor Safeg uards, Me tallurg y and Rea ctor F uels subcommittee, manife sted in rec ent offic ial transcr ibed minutes of Subcommittee proce eding s. On Octobe r 16, 2014, this colloquy took place: MEMBER B ANERJ EE: Yes, but I mean wha t is special about Palisades?
CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: Where is Palisades in 80 years if you can convert that to fluence?
That's what I was g oing to a sk.MR. KI RK: W ell, there are so many things that a re spe cial about Palisade s.MEMBER B ANERJ EE: There's nothing spec ial about Palisades, thoug h, than y ou exposed it t o a lot of risk?
MR. KIRK: Well, it's probably over hereish.
MR. KI RK: A highe r leve l of embrittlement, y es.Offic ial Transc ript of Proce eding s, ADAMS No. ML 14296A342, pp. 30-31 (pp. 31-32 of 168 on.pdf counte r). Also: CHAI RMAN BA L L I NGER: Where is Palisades in 80 y ear s if y ou can c onvert that to fluence
CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: Okay.
?MR. KI RK: W ell, it's proba bly over he reish.CHAI RMAN BA L L I NGER: Okay
MR. KIRK: Right. I know that doesn't go well into the transcript but that's probably about the accuracy.
.MR. KI RK: Right. I know that doesn' t go w ell into the transcr ipt but that's probably about the ac cura cy.CHAI RMAN BA L L I NGER: But it' s less than one times ten to the minus six , let us hope.MR. KI RK: Yeah.Id., p. 32 (33 of 168 on .pdf counter).And additionally
CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: But it's less than one times ten to the minus six, let us hope.
: MR. KI RK: W e don't - we didn' t incorpora te a g ener ic way to deal with flaw s that don't meet the fla w tables.CHAI RMAN BA L L I NGER: That' s why I was kind of ping ing on y ou about the Palisades and B eave r Va lley and how -
MR. KIRK: Yeah.
wher e they wer e likely to ge t hung up.
Id., p. 32 (33 of 168 on .pdf counter).
MR. STEVENS: Our experience , and we did look at better than a dozen flaw evalua tions or - I
And additionally:
'm sorry , inspection results for pla nts that we we re a ble to look at throug h submitt als or par t of the re view of the NRR activity associate d with ext ending RPV inspection from 10 to 20 y ear s, and our e x perie nces w e have y et to see a ny plants that challeng e the f law tables in this rule.
MR. KIRK: We don't - we didn't incorporate a generic way to deal with flaws that don't meet the flaw tables.
So another re ason I think we chose a re alistic not to address that comment is first off is a lot of differ ent possibilit ies on flaws tha t could exis t that might cha lleng e those limits, and then se cond, we just didn't see -
CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: That's why I was kind of pinging on you about the Palisades and Beaver Valley and how - where they were likely to get hung up.
it seemed to us that to have a fair pr obability that that would occur so we didn' t see the ne ed to spend the r esourc e to cha se that bec ause our experience was we don't see pe ople having trouble satisfy ing the flaw r eg s.Id., pp. 54-55 (pp. 55-56 of .pdf c ounter).Finally: MR. KI RK: So, y ou know, that' s the other thing and that' s why we tend to de fer to the g ener ic trends is there
MR. STEVENS: Our experience, and we did look at better than a dozen flaw evaluations or - I'm sorry, inspection results for plants that we were able to look at through submittals or part of the review of the NRR activity associated with extending RPV inspection from 10 to 20 years, and our experiences we have yet to see any plants that challenge the flaw tables in this rule.
's rea lly just not t hat much plant-spe cific da ta to g o on, in most case s.I f in some other unive rse, whic h we don't exi st in, there wa s a hundre d plant-spec ific data points I think, y ou know, quite clea rly we'd just use that trend. B ut that's not what we ha ve.So, really , we're looking here for the limited data -
So another reason I think we chose a realistic not to address that comment is first off is a lot of different possibilities on flaws that could exist that might challenge those limits, and then second, we just didn't see - it seemed to us that to have a fair probability that that would occur so we didn't see the need to spend the resource to chase that because our experience was we don't see people having trouble satisfying the flaw regs.
we're looking at the limited data that we have to f lag big inc onsistencies betwe en the e mbrittlement trends in a particula r vesse l weld plate f org ing w ith what we use. Id., p. 60 (61/168 of .pdf)
Id., pp. 54-55 (pp. 55-56 of .pdf counter).
.B. The NRC Staff
Finally:
's Unannounce d Succor For Em brittl ed Nuclear Power Plant Owners W hen Compliance Ev en W ith § 50.61a Is A Bridge Too Far I n the end, f or extremely-embrittled RPVs, 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a contains a n obscure , littl e-noticed by pass provision wher eby the NRC Direc tor of NRR may allow selec ted embrittled rea ctors to oper ate be y ond the PTS scree ning c riteria. A t the 619th Meeting of the Advisory Commi ttee on Rea ctor Safe g uards, Ma rk Kirk of the Off ice of Nuclea r Reg ulatory Resear ch and the principa l author of 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, prese nted a slide show, "
MR. KIRK: So, you know, that's the other thing and that's why we tend to defer to the generic trends is there's really just not that much plant-specific data to go on, in most cases.
Tec hnical B rief on Reg ulatory Guidance on the Alterna tive PTS R ule (10 C.F.R. § 50.61a
If in some other universe, which we don't exist in, there was a hundred plant-specific data points I think, you know, quite clearly we'd just use that trend. But that's not what we have.
)." O fficia l Transc ript of Procee dings, A DAMS No. ML 14321A542, commenc ing a t p. 202/268 of .pdf. The slide a t p.242 of the tra nscript contains the f ollowing infor mation: Use of 10 CF R 50.61a PTS screening criter ia re quires submittal for re view and approva l by Direc tor, NRR.For plants that do not satisfy PTS S cre ening Criteria, plant-spe cific PTS assessment is requir ed.Must be submitt ed for revie w and a pproval by Direc tor, NRR.Guidance is not provided for this case Subsequent requir ements (i.e., afte r submittal) are define d in para g raph (d) of 10 CFR 50.61a. (Empha sis suppli ed).Thus even a s the NRC St aff and Enter g y castig ate Petitioners for not strictly following pleading require ments and flay public repr esenta tives for "
So, really, we're looking here for the limited data - we're looking at the limited data that we have to flag big inconsistencies between the embrittlement trends in a particular vessel weld plate forging with what we use.
impermissibly
Id., p. 60 (61/168 of .pdf).
" tra mpling on reg ulations which are "strict by desig n," the a g ency quietly maintains "pre ssurized thermal shock reg ulatory relief valve" thera py for de serving nuclea r powe r plant cor porations which a ppear s to be outside the Atomic Ene rg y Act and unc halleng eable by the public..
B. The NRC Staffs Unannounced Succor For Embrittled Nuclear Power Plant Owners When Compliance Even With § 50.61a Is A Bridge Too Far In the end, for extremely-embrittled RPVs, 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a contains an obscure, little-noticed bypass provision whereby the NRC Director of NRR may allow selected embrittled reactors to operate beyond the PTS screening criteria. At the 619th Meeting of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, Mark Kirk of the Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research and the principal author of 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, presented a slide show, Technical Brief on Regulatory Guidance on the Alternative PTS Rule (10 C.F.R. § 50.61a). Official Transcript of Proceedings, ADAMS No. ML14321A542, commencing at p. 202/268 of .pdf. The slide at p.
 
242 of the transcript contains the following information:
  /s/ Terry J. L odg e Terr y J. L odg e (O H #0029271) 316 N. Michig an St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fa x (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge 50@y ahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners UNITED STAT ES O F AMERICA NUCLEAR REG ULATORY COMMISSION Before the At om ic Saf ety and Licensin g Board I n the Matter of
Use of 10 CFR 50.61a PTS screening criteria requires submittal for review and approval by Director, NRR.
: Enterg y Nuclea r Ope rations, I nc.(Palisades Nuc lear Plant)Oper ating L icense Amendment Reque st)  Docke t No. 50-255
For plants that do not satisfy PTS Screening Criteria, plant-specific PTS assessment is required.
))           January 20, 2015)     *****CERTIFIC ATE OF SERVICE I here by cer tify that copies of the fore g oing "PETI TI ONERS' COMBI NED REPL Y I N SUPP ORT OF A MENDED PETI TI ON TO I NTERVENE A ND F OR A PUBL I C ADJUDI CATI ON HEA RI NG OF ENTERGY L I CENSE AMENDMENT REQUE ST FOR AUTHO RI Z ATI ON TO I MPL EMENT 10 CFR §50.61a, '
Must be submitted for review and approval by Director, NRR.
AL TERNATE F RACTURE TOUGH NESS REQUI REMENTS FOR PROTECTI ON AGA I NST PRES SURI Z ED THERMAL SHOCK EVENTS" wa s serve d by me upon the par ties to this proceeding via the NRC's Electronic I nformation Exchang e sy stem this 20th day of January , 2015.   /s/ Terry J. L odg e Terr y J. L odg e (O H #0029271) 316 N. Michig an St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fa x (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge 50@y ahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners }}
Guidance is not provided for this case Subsequent requirements (i.e., after submittal) are defined in paragraph (d) of 10 CFR 50.61a. (Emphasis supplied).
Thus even as the NRC Staff and Entergy castigate Petitioners for not strictly following pleading requirements and flay public representatives for impermissibly trampling on regulations which are strict by design, the agency quietly maintains pressurized thermal shock regulatory relief valve therapy for deserving nuclear power plant corporations which appears to be outside the Atomic Energy Act and unchallengeable by the public..
                                                /s/ Terry J. Lodge Terry J. Lodge (OH #0029271) 316 N. Michigan St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fax (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge50@yahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board In the Matter of:                                       )       Docket No. 50-255 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc.                        )
(Palisades Nuclear Plant)
                                                        )      January 20, 2015 Operating License Amendment Request
                                                        )
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that copies of the foregoing PETITIONERS COMBINED REPLY IN SUPPORT OF AMENDED PETITION TO INTERVENE AND FOR A PUBLIC ADJUDICATION HEARING OF ENTERGY LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST FOR AUTHORIZATION TO IMPLEMENT 10 CFR §50.61a, ALTERNATE FRACTURE TOUGHNESS REQUIREMENTS FOR PROTECTION AGAINST PRESSURIZED THERMAL SHOCK EVENTS was served by me upon the parties to this proceeding via the NRCs Electronic Information Exchange system this 20th day of January, 2015.
                                                  /s/ Terry J. Lodge Terry J. Lodge (OH #0029271) 316 N. Michigan St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fax (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge50@yahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners
                                                  }}

Latest revision as of 15:15, 5 February 2020

Petitioners' Combined Reply in Support of Amended Petition to Intervene and for a Public Adjudication Hearing of Entergy License Amendment Request for Authorization to Implement 10 CFR Section 50.61a, 'Alternate Fracture Toughness Requireme
ML15020A740
Person / Time
Site: Palisades Entergy icon.png
Issue date: 01/20/2015
From: Lodge T
Beyond Nuclear, Don't Waste Michigan, Michigan Safe Energy Future - Shoreline Chapter (MSEF), Nuclear Energy Information Service
To:
Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
SECY RAS
References
50-255-LA, Pending, RAS 27097
Download: ML15020A740 (20)


Text

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board In the Matter of: ) Docket No. 50-255 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. )

(Palisades Nuclear Plant)

) January 20, 2015 Operating License Amendment Request

)

PETITIONERS COMBINED REPLY IN SUPPORT OF AMENDED PETITION TO INTERVENE AND FOR A PUBLIC ADJUDICATION HEARING OF ENTERGY LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST FOR AUTHORIZATION TO IMPLEMENT 10 CFR

§50.61a, ALTERNATE FRACTURE TOUGHNESS REQUIREMENTS FOR PROTECTION AGAINST PRESSURIZED THERMAL SHOCK EVENTS Now come Beyond Nuclear (BN), Dont Waste Michigan (DWM), Michigan Safe Energy Future - Shoreline Chapter (MSEF), and the Nuclear Energy Information Service (NEIS) (hereafter collectively called Petitioners), and reply in support of their Amended Petition to Intervene and for a Public Adjudication Hearing of Entergy License Request for Authorization to Implement 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, Alternate Fracture Toughness Requirements for Protection Against Pressurized Thermal Shock Events. Specifically, Petitioners respond in opposition to Entergys Answer Opposing Petition to Intervene and Request for Hearing (Entergy Answer) and the NRC Staff Answer to Petition to Intervene and Request for a Hearing Filed by Beyond Nuclear, Dont Waste Michigan, Michigan Safe Energy Future-Shoreline Chapter, and the Nuclear Energy Information Service (NRC Answer).

I. INTRODUCTION The NRC Staff and Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (Entergy) have set forth by way of answer to the Petition, a threadbare tapestry of misrepresentations, unsupported attorney opinions passed off as expert contradictions, and bare assertions of what the 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a alternate fracture toughness requirements for protection against pressurized thermal shock events supposedly mean, all as part of a strategy aimed at keeping Palisades Nuclear Plant (PNP) in operation as the most embrittled reactor pressure vessel in the American nuclear industry. It is not a positive attribute to be identified as an outlier among the most thermal shock-endangered reactor pressure vessels. Yet as this memorandum will show, Palisades is truly in a category of its own, where it has become the butt of gallows humor at the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards. Petitioners see nothing funny about Palisades as a laughingstock, and believe that they should be granted an opportunity to explore the dangers of Palisades embrittlement problem through sworn witnesses in an effort to avoid serious future drama.

II. RESPONSES TO THE STAFF ANSWER A. Standing The NRC Staff agrees that Petitioners have established standing, although they advance the quaint but bizarre argument that the one-page declarations submitted by individuals living within the 50-mile danger radius around Palisades must articulate claims in the one-page standing declarations themselves which raise admissible contentions. Staff Answer p. 5 fn. 15.

Given that Petitioners are represented by counsel who submitted on their behalves a 21-page enumeration of grounds for a hearing, along with evidentiary attachments, including a serious, expert-supported contention, the ASLB can disregard the Staffs fussiness, resolve its dissonant positions and find that Petitioners have demonstrated sufficient grounds for standing to allow them to proceed to the admissibility question.

B. Claimed Impermissible Challenges to NRC Regulations The NRC Staff launches (Staff Answer p. 14) into the objection that Petitioners fail[] to specify any particular deficiency in the LAR, . . . raise[] numerous matters that are not the subject of the instant LAR and are beyond the permissible scope of this proceeding, and . . .

constitute[] an impermissible challenge to the Commissions regulations. To back up this assertion, the Staff cites a host of statements made by Petitioners expert, Arnold Gundersen, which it claims impermissibly challenge NRC regulations.1 So the Staff attempts to shut down this license amendment intervention by arguing that mere disagreement with the calculations, methods and assemblage of data being submitted for a presumably discretionary 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a ruling from the Director of Nuclear Reactor Regulation is heresy against the regulatory regime. The Staffs interpretation is a spoof of the rule; 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a clearly contemplates a discretionary determination by the Director of 1

For example, see Staff Answer at p. 17: For example, a recurring theme in the Petitioners arguments is that Palisades should not be allowed to use § 50.61a because § 50.61a, unlike § 50.61, relies on estimates and lacks scientific rigor. This argument, however, challenges § 50.61a, not Entergys LAR.

And Staff Answer at 18: The Petitioners expert, Dr. Gundersen, makes this argument succinctly, Until a new capsule sample is removed and analyzed, the analytical assumptions created for the proposed license amendment are unable to be validated and verified. Nowhere, however, do the Petitioners point to any provision in the NRCs rules that impose such a requirement. To the contrary, by arguing that some additional requirement must be imposed to enable Palisades to use the alternate requirements in § 50.61a, the Petitioners are, in fact, challenging the adequacy of the rule itself, rather than the adequacy of Entergys license amendment request.

And Staff Answer at pp. 18-19: The Petitioners argument that Entergy must remove surveillance capsules from the reactor before using § 50.61a thus challenges the rule, which does not require the removal of additional surveillance capsules beyond those withdrawn under the Part 50, Appendix H withdrawal schedule.

And Staff Answer at p. 20: The Petitioners apparent challenge to the approved capsule withdrawal schedule is inadmissible, as it relates to a prior approval pursuant to 10 C.F.R. Part 50, Appendix H, not the amendment at issue in this proceeding.The Petitioners may not use this amendment proceeding as a backdoor to file a challenge to the approved modified withdrawal schedule.

NRR. Where there is discretion vested in the regulator, differences of opinion, interpretation, and expert analysis are legitimate bases for challenging the decision because the decision is potentially arrived at in an adversarial manner. See, for example, § 50.61a( c)(1) (RTMAX-X values assessment must specify the bases for the projected value of RTMAX-X for each reactor vessel beltline material, including the assumptions regarding future plant operation); § 50.61a

( c)(2) (Each licensee shall perform an examination and an assessment of flaws in the reactor vessel beltline as required by paragraph (e) of this section - and (e) requires disclosure of tests performed but, again, detailed explanation of the methodology underlying NDE uncertainties assumptions,2 and adjustments must be disclosed. This is merely a recognition that even objective data, once interpreted, may be examined to ascertain the objectivity or inappropriate bias which may have occurred in the means of analysis which have been applied to it.

Indeed, the final section of § 50.61a, subsection (f)(7), requires that The licensee shall report any information that significantly influences the RTMAX-X value to the Director in accordance with the requirements of paragraphs (c)(1) and (d)(1) of this section. The requirement clearly introduces subjective judgment and choice into the decision of what data is to be provided to the Director of NRR. Hence for Petitioners to provide their experts critique of the means by which the § 50.61a investigation was conducted, and the weaknesses or biases in the underlying data, assumptions and manipulations of information cannot be construed as a 2

§ 50.61a says in part: The methodology to account for NDE-related uncertainties must be based on statistical data from the qualification tests and any other tests that measure the difference between the actual flaw size and the NDE detected flaw size. Licensees who adjust their test data to account for NDE-related uncertainties to verify conformance with the values in Tables 2 and 3 shall prepare and submit the methodology used to estimate the NDE uncertainty, the statistical data used to adjust the test data and an explanation of how the data was analyzed for review and approval by the Director in accordance with paragraphs (c)(2) and (d)(2) of this section.

frontal assault on the regulatory citadel, but must instead be seen, for purposes of the admissibility determination, as an expose of the flaws caused by straying away from knowable science.

C. Surveillance Data Disputes The Staff persists in the argument that sister plant surveillance data, viz., scientific evidence of embrittlement from completely different types of nuclear reactors, can be compared, apples-to-apples, with destructive testing data gleaned from metal coupons retrieved from the Palisades RPV. The Staff urges that the § 50.61a(10) definition of surveillance data includes other plants information within its sweep, and that every reference to surveillance data automatically means not just Palisades, but other plants.3 Only through such a misleading insistence can the Staff proclaim (Staff Answer pp. 21-22) that If these [§ 50.61a(f)(6)] criteria are met, the rule requires the applicant to use the surveillance data to verify that its predicted reference temperatures are appropriate.

But no matter how obfuscatory its arguments, the Staff cannot get around the fact that 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(f)(6)(i) requires that (A) The surveillance material must be a heat-specific match for one or more of the materials for which RTMAX-X is being calculated. Gundersen has attested to the lack of proof that the metals from the various RPVs match.

The Staff manipulates engineer Gundersens testimony by selectively citing (Staff Answer p. 21) his observation that an exhaustive review of NRC regulations has not unveiled any regulations that allow for such comparisons, and no record of scientific validation of such 3

Staff Answer p. 21: Thus, whenever the term surveillance data is used in § 50.61a, it includes surveillance data from other plants.

methodology. The Staff then terms this an inappropriate challenge to NRC regulations and, adding injury to that insult, accuses Gundersen and Petitioners (Staff Answer p. 22) of saying that Entergy should not be allowed to analyze sister-plant data at all.

But the Staff omits to respond - deliberately, one must conclude - to Gundersens further opinion, cited at Petitioners Amended Petition p. 15, where in a section entitled The Comparable Plants Are Not Apples-to-Apples Comparisons, Gundersen offers these conclusions:

These plants, which he says thus far have not exhibited significant signs of reactor metal embrittlement, are poor comparables because

. . . the dramatically different nuclear core design and operational power characteristics make an accurate comparison impossible. The difference between the Westinghouse nuclear cores and the Combustion Engineering nuclear core impacts the neutron flux on each reactor vessel, thus making an accurate comparison of neutron bombardment and embrittlement impossible.

Id. at p. 10, ¶ 27.

It is thus misrepresentative for the Staff to maintain that Gundersen did not critique the surveillance samples from other plants according to § 50.61a(f)(6) criteria.

Even if the ASLB were to conclude that Arnold Gundersen was incorrect in asserting that no rule governs the comparison of Palisades embrittlement data with that from other nuclear reactors, a contention about a matter not covered by a specific rule need only allege that the matter poses a significant safety problem. That is sufficient to raise an issue under the general requirement for operating licenses, 10 C.F.R. § 50.57(a)(3), for a finding of reasonable assurance of operation without endangering the health and safety of the public. Duke Power Co. (Catawba Nuclear Station, Units 1 & 2), LBP-82-116, 16 NRC 1937, 1946 (1982).

Related to this dispute, the Staff points out (Staff Answer p. 19 fn. 80) that Arnold Gundersen incorrectly attributed to the ACRS these statements - the use of all possible physical samples is important to an accurate outcome . . . the vehicle for doing that is doing a statistical comparison of a particular reactors plant specific surveillance data with the general trends.

Petitioners acknowledge that they mistakenly believed these were statements made by a member of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, and they admit their error. The speaker is the principal NRC staff expert on embrittlement, Mark Kirk of the NRC Office of Regulatory Research and longtime point person on this issue. Kirk is the primary author of § 50.61a, so coming from him, the acknowledgment that the use of all possible physical samples is important to an accurate outcome bolsters Petitioners case even more than if it were a statement by an ACRS member being briefed by an NRC staff expert.

D. Staff Pretensions At Expertise After dispensing with the Staffs disingenuous contention that every expert conclusion proffered by Petitioners is an impermissible challenge to NRC regulations, an underlying weakness to the agencys arguments is exposed: the NRC Staff has not met Petitioners experts conclusions with its own expert evidence. Presumably, qualified NRC engineers are vetting Entergys License Amendment Request, but theyre nowhere in sight in the Staffs Answer.

Instead, the Staffs tactic is to float unsupported conclusions, faux expert representations, tendered via lawyers.

For example, the Staff criticizes Arnold Gundersens testimony on the subject of error band overlap at its Answer, p. 25 in this way:

The Petitioners assert that it is difficult to compare the data from Palisades with data from four other plants, because of the need to assure that the 20% error band[s]

overlap. According to the Petitioners, To compare this different data without assurance that the 1ó variance [sic] from each plant overlaps the other plants lacks scientific validity. In addition, in discussing the differences in flux and fluence from cycle-to-cycle at Palisades, the Petitioners argue that it is mathematically implausible that the needed deviation was obtained. The Petitioners therefore argue that additional testing and analysis is needed to support relicensure.

But in fact, Gundersen stated a scientific criticism with regulatory-violation overtones, i.e., that there is a need for consistency in comparing the 20% error band among the sister plants and that under 10 C.F.R. §50.61a, Entergy has not made that showing. By its very construction, Gundersens opinion is predicated on adequate facts taken from the License Amendment Request (LAR):

While [a] 1ó analysis appears to be binding within the Palisades data, . . . the NRC lowers the bar when comparing data from similar sister plants that are included in Entergys analysis of the Palisades reactor vessel without requiring the same 1ó variance with Palisades. Id. at p. 12, ¶ 32. Gundersen adds: There can be no assurance that the 20% error band at Palisades encompasses the 20% error band at the Robinson or Indian Point plants. To compare this different data without assurance that the 1ó variance from each plant overlaps the other plants lacks scientific validity. Id. at p. 12, ¶ 33.

Amended Petition p. 18.

In support of the continuity and consistency of Petitioners contention, their expert Gundersen found that there is extraordinary variability between the neutron flux across the nuclear core in this Combustion Engineering reactor because of a flux variation of as much as 300% between the 45-degree segment and the 75-degree segment, calling it mathematically implausible that a 20% deviation is possible when the neutron flux itself varies by 300%. Id. at

p. 12, ¶ 34. Gundersens final opinion on this point is:

The Westinghouse Analysis delineates that a 20% variation is mandatory, yet the effective fluence variability can be as high as 300%, therefore, the analytical data does not support relicensure without destructive testing and complete embrittlement analysis of additional capsule samples.

Gundersen Report at p. 16, ¶ 39.

At another place in the Staff Answer, at pp. 26-27, the Staff projects a scientific conclusion without going to the trouble of sponsoring it through an expert:

. . . [I]n their argument concerning flux variability at Palisades and the difficulty in assuring the necessary standard deviation, the Petitioners and Dr. Gundersen do not provide any basis for their assertion that fluence cannot be predicted because the fluence per cycle changes. Significantly, the Petitioners do not point to anything in the application which would indicate that Entergy failed to consider the variability between cycles when comparing measured data with calculational data in the LAR.

Which unidentified engineering expert lawyer for the NRC Staff is testifying here that the fluence per cycle changes?

Technical analyses offered in evidence must be sponsored by an expert who can be examined on the reliability of the factual assertions and soundness of the scientific opinions found in the documents. Southern Cal. Edison Co. (San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station, Units 2 & 3), ALAB-717, 17 NRC 346, 367 (1983), citing Duke Power Co. (William B.

McGuire Nuclear Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-669, 15 NRC 453, 477 (1982). See Cleveland Elec. Illuminating Co. (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-443, 6 NRC 741, 754-56 (1977); Philadelphia Elec. Co. (Limerick Generating Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-836, 23 NRC 479, 494 n.22 (1986); Pub. Serv. Co. of N.H. (Seabrook Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-891, 27 NRC 341, 350-51 (1988). The Staff has omitted to sponsor its expert opinions through a bona fide expert witness, which undermines - not just at this point in their Answer, but at other places - the validity of their arguments against admissibility.

Testimony based upon subjective belief or unsupported speculation rather than the methods and procedures of science, and not grounded upon sufficient facts or data to be the product of applying reliable principles and methods to the facts cannot suffice as evidence of the merits in a licensing dispute. Duke Cogema Stone & Webster (Savannah River Mixed Oxide Fuel Fabrication Facility), LBP-05-4, 61 NRC 71, 98-99 (2005). Neither mere speculation nor bare or conclusory assertions, even by an expert, which allege that a matter should be considered, can suffice to cause admission of a proffered contention. USEC, Inc. (Am. Centrifuge Plant), CLI 10, 63 NRC 451, 472 (2006); Fansteel, Inc. (Muskogee, Oklahoma Site), CLI-03-13, 58 NRC 195, 203 (2003). Presumably the NRC Staff is likewise bound, in opposing proffered content-ions, to avoid mere speculation and bare/conclusory assertions, and worse for them, they identify no expert making such assertions. Consequently, the penalty for the Staffs repeated uses of lawyers as proxy embrittlement experts in its Answer should be forfeiture of their arguments.

E. Claimed Irrelevance/Unchallenged Earlier Licensing Decisions The Staff repeatedly engages in a ploy, treating Petitioners evidentiary references which tend to prove that 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a has been improvidently or incorrectly invoked, instead, as out-of-bounds facts which Petitioners may not use. For instance:

Finally, in Section IV.C.3 of the Amended Petition, the Petitioners argue that fluence data from Surveillance Capsule A-60, which was excluded from the licensees surveillance program in the early 1980s, exceeded the 1ó variation [sic] described above. The Petitioners maintain that this data would have shown that Palisades must be shut down, and that disregarding Capsule A-60 distorts the analytical basis for continued operation. However, as is the case with many of Petitioners arguments, their concerns with Capsule A-60 have no relevance to the present proceeding. Entergy is not relying on Capsule A-60 at any point in its LAR. Capsule A-60 was deleted from the Reactor Vessel Surveillance Capsule Program over 30 years ago, and the Reactor Vessel Surveillance Coupon Removal Schedule was modified to provide the option of removing an equivalent capsule instead of the primary capsule in a separate licensing action.

Staff Answer p. 27. This is the Staffs attempt to transform a purely evidentiary observation into a regulatory brick wall. By arguing that Capsule A-60 is irrelevant as having been deleted from the surveillance program 30 years ago, the Staff obviously hopes to conceal evidence. That evidence arguably showed that the degree of RPV embrittlement in the 1980's was greatly advanced, given the then-short operational age of the reactor. In a similar vein, Entergy proposes to proceed through the 16 years from 2003 to 2019 without testing a coupon, which is rather akin to throwing out an inconveniently revelatory test result that might prove the too-fragile-to-operate state of Palisades RPV. By referring to Capsule A-60, Petitioners are both pointing to evidence that might be pertinent, as well as alerting the Licensing Board to an ongoing course by Entergy to evade scientific validation of the true circumstances of embrittlement of the Palisades RPV. By concealing, or not pursuing, scientific evidence now, Entergy can move with less controversy to the probabilistic assessment, mostly-theoretical path afforded by 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a.

E. Misconstrued Evidentiary Value Of The LAR-EMA The NRC Staff often defends by taking a discursive view of Petitioners evidence, piecemealing it down to disjoint facts, followed by the assertion that such anomie is beyond the regulatory pale. That remains true respecting the ruckus raised by the Staff from Petitioners reference to a License Amendment Request pertaining to revisions of the Equivalent Margins Analysis for Palisades.

Arnold Gundersen notes (Gundersen Declaration ¶ 46) that

. . . prior evaluations suggest that three portions of the nuclear reactor vessel will not meet the NRC required 50 ft-lb ductility stress limit. It also appears, from the five documents attached to the LAR, that Westinghouse has re-analyzed and manipulated the Palisades data so that the final calculations keep the reactor vessel within the regulatory acceptable range above the minimum 50 ft-lb ductility stress limit.

Gundersen considers the LAR EMA request to be red flag evidence that Entergy is proposing to operate its Palisades NPP well outside the norm by proposing to re-analyze the deteriorating metallurgical conditions without using the readily available physical samples that are designed specifically for this purpose. Id. at ¶ 48. And therein lies the distinction between Petitioners and the Staff: it is of evidentiary value to point out that Entergy is engaged in a wider campaign to, once again, move the goal posts back by raising the permissible limits for embrittlement so that the astonishingly serious shatter capabilities of the Palisades RPV remain camouflaged in alleged regulatory protections. Irrespective of the separate pendency of the EMA license amendment request, the request involves the very same RPV. Petitioners expert may rightfully expose the facts on which the request is based, and their pertinence to this hearing petition.

F. The Lack Of Thermal Shield Is Relevant Evidence Petitioners have the same response concerning the Staffs bickering that mentioning the lack of a thermal shield is not relevant to whether superficial paperwork requirements have been met concerning 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a. Petitioners are urging none of what the Staff alleges - that is, Petitioners are not trying to predicate a contention on what Palisades prior owner should have done. The lack of a thermal shield emphasizes the unfettered neutron fluence to which the RPV has been continuously exposed for over 43 years. It tends to prove that a science-based regulatory determination of Palisades embrittlement may be preferable to the use of probabilistic risk assessment in the circumstances of this reactor.

G. Prior License Amendments Enabling More Embrittlement Are Relevant Evidence For the Staff to seriously posit that the multiple past increases of the trigger temperature (the Staffs term) are not admissible evidence is laughable. Their objection pertains to the forthcoming adjudication of this matter which should be held. It is incumbent upon an expert to disclose the bases for his/her opinion. Quite rationally, Arnold Gundersens analysis was that the date at which the trigger temperature was exceeded kept getting longer. The rollbacks were of the date and also the temperature. The pattern of those rollbacks is of importance to scrutinizing and understanding the pending § 50.61a application. Too, a 230 degrees F. increase in the trigger temperature over 43+ years is relevant information. The regulation - 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a(d)(1) -

makes it relevant:

Whenever there is a significant change in projected values of RTMAX-X, so that the previous value, the current value, or both values, exceed the screening criteria before the expiration of the plant operating license; or upon the licensees request for a change in the expiration date for operation of the facility; a re-assessment of RTMAX-X values documented consistent with the requirements of paragraph (c)(1) and (c)(3) of this section must be submitted in the form of a license amendment for review and approval by the Director. (Emphasis added).

III. Responses To Entergys Answer A. Standing Entergy hints that there is no meaningful relief that would follow a decision adverse to its interests on the License Amendment Request. Entergy Answer at p. 14/37 of .pdf. Given the stage of Palisades operating life and the severe, undeniable embrittlement of the reactor pressure vessel, it is possible that the ASLB could overturn or deny recourse to Entergy under 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, which would force a decision on the utility to undertake the annealing of the RPV, or perhaps, if the economics of that remedy were prohibitive, for the reactor to be permanently shutdown, and decommissioned. If the former relief were ordered or followed from a denial of § 50.61a amendment, Petitioners would benefit from safety enhancements to Palisades operations.

If the latter relief occurred, they would benefit even more since the risks from decommissioning would principally attend management of spent fuel at the reactor site as well as the cleanup of radioactive contamination.

Entergy urges that the Petitioners are not entitled to rely on the proximity presumption to establish standing. Even if the ASLB were to accept the proposition that a through-wall crack or shattering of the Palisades RPV cannot conceivably form the heart of a dangerous nuclear reactor accident, residence or activities within 10 miles of a facility (and in one case 17 miles from a facility) have been found sufficient to establish standing in a case involving the proposed expansion in capacity of a spent fuel pool. See Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Corp. (Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Station), LBP-87-7, 25 NRC 116, 118 (1987); see also Florida Power &

Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), LBP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452-454-55 (1988),

affd, ALAB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988); Carolina Power & Light Co. (Shearon Harris Nuclear Power Plant), LBP-99-25, 50 NRC 25, 29-31 (1999); Northeast Nuclear Energy Co. (Millstone Nuclear Power Station, Unit 3), LBP-00-2, 51 NRC 25 (2000). Maynard Kaufman, one of the individuals who has provided a declaration and is represented by Michigan Safe Energy Future-Shoreline Chapter, lives within 10 miles of Palisades. Bette Pierman, represented by Beyond Nuclear, lives within 15 miles. Gail Snyder, represented by Nuclear Energy Information Service, camps and picnics on property she owns about 15 miles from Palisades. At least these three intervening organizations thus overcome a reduced radius (Alice Hirt, represented by Dont Waste Michigan, lives 35 miles from the reactor). In a proceeding reviewing an extended power uprate application, an organization had representational standing where its representative members each lived within 15 miles of the plant. Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee, L.L.C. and Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Station), LBP-04-28, 60 NRC 548, 553-54 (2004).

Moreover, residence within 30-40 miles of a reactor site has been held to be sufficient to show the requisite interest in raising safety questions. Virginia Electric & Power Co. (North Anna Power Station, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-146, 6 AEC 631, 633-634 (1973); Louisiana Power &

Light Co. (Waterford Steam Electric Station, Unit 3), ALAB-125, 6 AEC 371, 372 n.6 (1973);

Northern States Power Co. (Prairie Island Nuclear Generating Plant, Units 1 & 2), ALAB-107, 6 AEC 188, 190, 193, reconsid. den., ALAB-110, 6 AEC 247, affd, CLI-73-12, 6 AEC 241 (1973); Florida Power and Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), LBP-88-10A, 27 NRC 452, 454-55 (1988), affd on other grounds, ALAB-893, 27 NRC 627 (1988).

Turning to Entergys other standing objections, the utility suggests (Entergy Answer p.

13/37) that Petitioners are making a general objection to the plants operations. That is incorrect.

The contention raised by Petitioners is quite particular, in that it is an objection to any further weakening of pressurized thermal shock (PTS) safety standards. The chain of causation which Entergy maintains has not been made is that if there were a PTS event, it could cause RPV failure and core meltdown, accompanied by containment failure, followed by catastrophic radioactivity release. Safety concerns which carry the potential for offsite consequences enable standing.

Cleveland Elec. Illuminating Co. (Perry Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 1), CLI-93-21, 38 NRC 87, 95-96 (1993). In ruling on claims of proximity standing, the Commission determines the radius beyond which it believes there is no longer an obvious potential for offsite consequences by taking into account the nature of the proposed action and the significance of the radioactive source. Entergy Nuclear Operations and Entergy Nuclear Palisades, LLC (Palisades Nuclear Plant), CLI-08-19, 68 NRC 251, 254 (2008).

Petitioners submit here that a pressurized thermal shock-caused failure of a reactor pressure vessel raises an obvious potential for offsite consequences. Even in license amendment cases involving allegations of management's lack of the required character and competence, there is deemed to be an obvious potential for offsite cónsequences, so standing is analogous to that in an operating license case. Florida Power and Light Co. (St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, Units 1 and 2), CLI-89-21, 30 NRC 325 (1989).

IV. CONCLUSION There is no genuine issue but that Petitioners have successfully established standing based on the prospects of a through-wall accident from the extraordinary state of embrittlement of the Palisades RPV. The NRC Staff has not sincerely proven that any of the opinions and conclusions proffered by Petitioners expert witness comprise an impermissible attack on NRC regulations. The historical evidence of the increasingly severe and advance pressurized thermal shock concern at Palisades which is cited by Petitioners and through their expert constitutes facially relevant evidence and may not be discarded merely because of earlier regulatory decisions which touch upon it.

Finally, two additional facts warrant the ASLB to note the severity of the PTS problem at Palisades and the companion matter of the still rather unsettled, inchoate nature of NRC regulations governing embrittlement, notwithstanding the existence of 10 C.F.R. §§ 50.61 and 50.61a.

A. ACRS Subcommittee Minutes One is the dark view maintained by certain members of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, Metallurgy and Reactor Fuels subcommittee, manifested in recent official transcribed minutes of Subcommittee proceedings. On October 16, 2014, this colloquy took place:

MEMBER BANERJEE: Yes, but I mean what is special about Palisades? That's what I was going to ask.

MR. KIRK: Well, there are so many things that are special about Palisades.

MEMBER BANERJEE: There's nothing special about Palisades, though, than you exposed it to a lot of risk?

MR. KIRK: A higher level of embrittlement, yes.

Official Transcript of Proceedings, ADAMS No. ML14296A342, pp. 30-31 (pp. 31-32 of 168 on

.pdf counter).

Also:

CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: Where is Palisades in 80 years if you can convert that to fluence?

MR. KIRK: Well, it's probably over hereish.

CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: Okay.

MR. KIRK: Right. I know that doesn't go well into the transcript but that's probably about the accuracy.

CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: But it's less than one times ten to the minus six, let us hope.

MR. KIRK: Yeah.

Id., p. 32 (33 of 168 on .pdf counter).

And additionally:

MR. KIRK: We don't - we didn't incorporate a generic way to deal with flaws that don't meet the flaw tables.

CHAIRMAN BALLINGER: That's why I was kind of pinging on you about the Palisades and Beaver Valley and how - where they were likely to get hung up.

MR. STEVENS: Our experience, and we did look at better than a dozen flaw evaluations or - I'm sorry, inspection results for plants that we were able to look at through submittals or part of the review of the NRR activity associated with extending RPV inspection from 10 to 20 years, and our experiences we have yet to see any plants that challenge the flaw tables in this rule.

So another reason I think we chose a realistic not to address that comment is first off is a lot of different possibilities on flaws that could exist that might challenge those limits, and then second, we just didn't see - it seemed to us that to have a fair probability that that would occur so we didn't see the need to spend the resource to chase that because our experience was we don't see people having trouble satisfying the flaw regs.

Id., pp. 54-55 (pp. 55-56 of .pdf counter).

Finally:

MR. KIRK: So, you know, that's the other thing and that's why we tend to defer to the generic trends is there's really just not that much plant-specific data to go on, in most cases.

If in some other universe, which we don't exist in, there was a hundred plant-specific data points I think, you know, quite clearly we'd just use that trend. But that's not what we have.

So, really, we're looking here for the limited data - we're looking at the limited data that we have to flag big inconsistencies between the embrittlement trends in a particular vessel weld plate forging with what we use.

Id., p. 60 (61/168 of .pdf).

B. The NRC Staffs Unannounced Succor For Embrittled Nuclear Power Plant Owners When Compliance Even With § 50.61a Is A Bridge Too Far In the end, for extremely-embrittled RPVs, 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a contains an obscure, little-noticed bypass provision whereby the NRC Director of NRR may allow selected embrittled reactors to operate beyond the PTS screening criteria. At the 619th Meeting of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, Mark Kirk of the Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research and the principal author of 10 C.F.R. § 50.61a, presented a slide show, Technical Brief on Regulatory Guidance on the Alternative PTS Rule (10 C.F.R. § 50.61a). Official Transcript of Proceedings, ADAMS No. ML14321A542, commencing at p. 202/268 of .pdf. The slide at p.

242 of the transcript contains the following information:

Use of 10 CFR 50.61a PTS screening criteria requires submittal for review and approval by Director, NRR.

For plants that do not satisfy PTS Screening Criteria, plant-specific PTS assessment is required.

Must be submitted for review and approval by Director, NRR.

Guidance is not provided for this case Subsequent requirements (i.e., after submittal) are defined in paragraph (d) of 10 CFR 50.61a. (Emphasis supplied).

Thus even as the NRC Staff and Entergy castigate Petitioners for not strictly following pleading requirements and flay public representatives for impermissibly trampling on regulations which are strict by design, the agency quietly maintains pressurized thermal shock regulatory relief valve therapy for deserving nuclear power plant corporations which appears to be outside the Atomic Energy Act and unchallengeable by the public..

/s/ Terry J. Lodge Terry J. Lodge (OH #0029271) 316 N. Michigan St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fax (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge50@yahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board In the Matter of: ) Docket No. 50-255 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. )

(Palisades Nuclear Plant)

) January 20, 2015 Operating License Amendment Request

)

CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that copies of the foregoing PETITIONERS COMBINED REPLY IN SUPPORT OF AMENDED PETITION TO INTERVENE AND FOR A PUBLIC ADJUDICATION HEARING OF ENTERGY LICENSE AMENDMENT REQUEST FOR AUTHORIZATION TO IMPLEMENT 10 CFR §50.61a, ALTERNATE FRACTURE TOUGHNESS REQUIREMENTS FOR PROTECTION AGAINST PRESSURIZED THERMAL SHOCK EVENTS was served by me upon the parties to this proceeding via the NRCs Electronic Information Exchange system this 20th day of January, 2015.

/s/ Terry J. Lodge Terry J. Lodge (OH #0029271) 316 N. Michigan St., Ste. 520 Toledo, OH 43604-5627 (419) 255-7552 Fax (419) 255-7552 Tjlodge50@yahoo.com Counsel for Petitioners