ML20126F022
| ML20126F022 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Vallecitos File:GEH Hitachi icon.png |
| Issue date: | 02/25/1981 |
| From: | Cady G, Halterman H AFFILIATION NOT ASSIGNED, FRIENDS OF THE EARTH |
| To: | NRC OFFICE OF THE EXECUTIVE LEGAL DIRECTOR (OELD) |
| References | |
| ISSUANCES-SC, NUDOCS 8103050662 | |
| Download: ML20126F022 (23) | |
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BEFORE THE ATO'iIC 5/JETY AC LIr .3:,.s ggAq9 e @
In the "atter of ) & occKLED
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1E*EML ELCCTRIC COMPA"Y Ducket No. 50-70 5, MM 2 19 5 > ',l (Show Cause) .,
("ALLECITOS Nuclear Center - ) Of0ce citht!'cretM C: eral Electric Test Reactor 0;: , ting License .40. 70 1)
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- 1. :q;ervecors are filing this joint r:W.nse in view of :he ': nt. sched.:le for u; dating discovery answers, as * 'a c .e sse of tne %- 'Swe of Glenn W. Cady, Esq. as Counsel for :r ter. . 3 Friends of t, e _ r - a: -
"s. Barbara Shortley .
This filing procat e is cleared crall /, b; telerhcre,
.i th Coursel fcr the ';RC staff on Februsrv H. 21.
This .'c i nt #ilirig should'not be . 30 ^s a ;:,ncession t9at d IG <:
3re unified in this proceedirn and each :nt:rve s.it.its tee lcir: - '
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- 2. 'd t #oll cis 3re t* e NPC S taf f 's Cu e3;': ns .'c Int er'icNr5 ' v c 3, ti t r 93 ::ard's re"aest:
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. What the pr;oer seismic and geologic design bases for the SET 5 ; i ' i ty shculd be.
1-1.a. .pn what person or tersom dC yOJ rf'f to s.dstanti?te j; r 00 5 'n scue 1?
? "S'iE R : :arrell 4 erd Earl Eratb, sillin Ell: .th, :obert '2rris, " ark 3cnilla, Ja es Dev h.e, other US15 scientists w are- 'tten r.il<ses cf tse eartr 3'es -
in Calif: nia since the shutdown of the T: >
>ses cf .ne 1971 San :ernc,do 9 A cuake; Dr. Ja"es Brune, Dr. 9 Trifuna:. . c io ns s W. Jcvner, Dr. 3r.:e Bolt, Dr. T. McEvilly and Richard Jahr- 03 C u.
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1-: . b. Identify w ich of tha abov ,2rsens yoJ 'r*eqd to ; ail 3s witrq;S(I in j this proceeding. 3 ANSWER: The ASLB "emorandum and Order of February 3,19S1 states that "7he Eeerd requested (in the prehearing conference in January 1931) that :he Staff att cot to have those naried experts (Messrs. Herd, Brabb and Morris) and others who have verted on this project for the Geok 3f cal Survey available For coastioning at the hearing, notwithstanding that they ay not be the,w!'.r. esses offered b Staff on this issue." Intervences intend to call Messrs 4eri, 9rabb, E!1:wcrth und Soni.lla as witnesses in this proceeding. e view them .;
.. <irq ccesul'u,Lt to the staff and, therefore, as hostile to Intervenors. In acci ti kr, 'nte , ces intend to offer Dr. M. Trifunac as a hostile witness, due to nis significant ,
consultations to the NRC-ACRS proceeding. It is our h:;e that the h;C Staff .?ll alss make available Dr. Trivunac for cuestior,ing dJr.no .he iearf og. (: ee, fe 'hc .
in .cer to 1-1.d.)
1-1:c. Proiide the eddresses and =? ;catier.al and proc esc e nal cual-J<c3-io 3 of any .terscns named above.
V: SHER: "essrs Herd. Brabb, Ellsworth, Scnilla. J yr.er cra tqe ot'er JSGS scient'sts .;ho analy:e Calif:rnia earthquakes are all locate 0 at tne U5a5 offices at 345 Midclefield Road, Menlo Park, California 9:005. Messrs. Morris and Devine are located at the USGS office at National Heedt.arter< , 'JSGS, Reston, Virginia ?2092. All of their edacational and 'rofresional 7Jalifications are available to the NRC readily from the USGS.
Messrs. Brune and Sinons are seis ologists at the University of California, San Diego's Scripps Institute of Oceanography's Institute of 7eophysics and Planetary Physics (UCSD-SIO-IGPP) in La Jolla, California 92037. Dr. Trifunac is a professor at the University of Scuth California's Department of Civil l l
Engineering in Los Angeles, Calif;rnia ??C37. 'iessrs. Bolt and '4cEvillv are l seismologists at the University of California, Berkeley's Seisrciogy Laboratory Berkeley, California 94720. Dr. Jahrs is at the Stanford Univeristy, Earth .
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' l All of these individ;als are faniliar to the '3C Staff's Geosciences Erarch 1
because of their involvement in this and other 100 proceedings. l 1-1.d. Identify which of those persons identified in b. above you articipate will appear voluntarily and which under subpoena.
ANSWER: Intervenors anticipate that he U MS scientists will appear /cluntarily at the request of the **C Staff, as recested by the ASLB. If the Staff does not make these USGS scientists available or if the USGS seeks to assian the'r to duties which will be in conflict with their ability to appear at the Mrin, Intervenors will subpoena then to appear as hostile witnesses. If the NRC ::es not call Dr. Trifunac during the hearings, then Intervenors will subcoena him.
Intervenors anticipate that the Licensee will submit testinony from its consulta ts bit, "cEvilly snd Jahns, which Intervenors .vould be able to tross-eucire on.
If these persors are not presented as wi tnesses. Intervenors will sub cana them as "x til e .si ~ess es .
1-2. Provide st.raries of the views, psitions or pro,?osed testi.woy on IIsue 1 of all persons nr ed in response to Interrogatory ",orber 1-1, that jou ir. tend te eresent durina this proceeding.
ANSNER: Interveners hereby incorporate by reference, as a ',eans of pro'. iding the sumaries of the views, positions, end proposed testinony, all docwents prepared by the UMS scientists that are relevant t:. this proceedino, in: lading but not limited to the following: The :riginal *ap by Darrell Herd of Sepember l 19:'7; the written and oral co~ents and reports and reviews by USGS scientists 1
regarding the Vallecitos site since the publication of the new 1977 USS map; J and the NRC Staff reports regarding seismic and geologic design bases since the beginning of the site review in 1977, including the Staff SER inputs fro"1 the Geosciences Branch (which include US$$ reports as appendices and references) dated 1977,1973,1979,1980 and 1931; and the testimony and transcripts l
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1 i-1 frr the ACRS subcommittee and full comittee eetings regarding the Vallecitos site. '!e expect the USGS scientists and Dr. Trifunac to testify as to the com-pleteress and accu %cy of the statements nede in those documents.
1-3. What do you recommend as the proper design basis for surface displacenent at the site?
o.';SWER: Intervenors recommend the r. coper design basis for sur' ace displacement as 2.5 neters or more, on a strand of the Verona Thrust Fault ZorIe directly be-neath the GETR.
1 a. What do you recommend as the ;rc;,er design basis for vibratory ground motion at the site?
ANSWER: Intervenors recommend that the proper design basis for vibratory creand notion at the site be greater than 1.15 g horizontal and greater than 1.74 g vertical.
1-5 ,Nhat do you recomend as the troper design bases for the combined ef'ects of surf ace displacement and vibratory ground motion? Include in this respo se the time secuence of these events that you postulate.
A*:SWER: Intervenors recor. mend that the 2.5 meters of surf ace displacement beneath the GER will occur simultaneously with the horizontal and vertical accelerations in excess of 1.15 g horizontal and 1.74 g vertical.
1-6. State all bases, calculations, and references used (for example, trench logs, maps, well data, published works, etc.) or that you intend to use during this proceedings, for supporting the positions stated in response to Interroga-tories 1-3,1-4, and 1-5, as appropriate. Specify the interrogatory response number which the individuals sources were used for. For calculations furnished, include, for exanole, the amount and direction of surface offset, the maximum vibratory .
ground motion,and the probability associated with the ground moticn that you assume.
ANSWE.R: Because the GETR is located in the Verona Thrust Fault Zone, with thrust l faults disc 3vered since 1977 on both sides of and beneath the reactor Intervenors
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1 c* -j tha t the seisivic and geolegic design 'sestfor the GL TR incluce a sLr- I4 face rupture displacenent of 2.5 meters mininum with larger displacer.ents possible 1 l
and si.multaneous peak ground accelerations (frce field instrumeatal) of greater than 1.74 g vertical and greater than 1.15 g' horizontal. The reasons, bases, calculations, and references used for these opinions are discussed in detail in the NRC Staff SER inputs and the USG5 reports penduced in 1977, 1978, 1979, 1980 in this pecceeding. Furthermore, the 2.5 meters surface rupture and the 1.15 g horizontal accelerations are based on the data set and reports by the USGS and other scientists regarding the San Fernando Earthquake of February 1371. The 1.7a g vertical value is based on the data set and analyses and reports regarding the Imperial Valley Earthquake of October 1979. The NRC Staff Geosciences Branch is very familiar with the data sets and reports and analyses regarding both of those earthquakes because of the extensive amounts of referencing of them done in the NRC proceedings before ASLBs and I; peals Boards in the Diablo raryon and Ten ?nofre Nuclear React?r Site Licensi g ?roceedirgs in Califcrnia. Since she time of the GETR shutd wn, there have been many meetings and hearings involving the f,RC Geosciences Branch and various parameters and earthquakes that are rele-vant at the GETR site.
The 2.5 meter surface rupture at the GETR site is based on a comparison with the San Fernando earthquake of 1971, which was on a thrust fault of similar rupture length to the mapped Verona Fault. The surface rupture during the futare Vallecitos carthquake would be simultaneous with the peak ground acceleratiSos, both vertical and horizontal. The San Fernando quake ("agnitude 6.5) caused 2.4 meters of sur-face rupture for 12 kilometers, with a peak acceleration of 1.15 g horizontal at the Pacoima Dam.
Another Magnitude 6.5 quake struck California on October 15, 1979 in the Imperial Valley. (Hereinaf ter referred to as IV 79.) Prior to that quake, there
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was very little data on near field ground acceleration measurements. The IV 79 quake was the best instrumented quake in history and it may become one of the most J
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anal yed M d: ri t t.; i d Nou t. Tor'*e a't: Orcr4 of sci,entific reparts,_eitM r oublished or in preparation, wh ich describe its- characteristics and re evance. l l
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. ca :nors hereby incorporate by Reference all scientific papers wnich have -
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Leen published er which are in preparation by the USGS, the California Division of Mines and Geology and scientists at the tiniversity of California, California State Universities and the California Institute of Technology regarding the -
IV 79 quake. The peak ground ' acceleration there was 1.74 g vertical.
- that Another interesting characteristic of the IV 79 quake was/the vertical .
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accelerations exceed / horizontal ones, contrary to basic assum'.tions ; made by-the~
NRC Staff in the establishment of seismic design criteria for nuclear raaetors in the United States. Corroboration of this phenomenon was available af ter the June 1980 Victoria quake in Baja California which recorded several ground accel-erations exceeding 1.0 g, with' verticals exceeding horizontals.
4 In January 1980, the Vallecitos Nuclear Center was shaken by earthcuakes in the Livermore Valley, adjacent to Vallecitos Valley, That cue ke was s trong ,
confirnation of the natural seismic phenomena of seismic focusing or directivity ,
- hich can cause amplification of groundmotions in the direction of seismic rupture propagation. This phenomena can contribute to higner ground accelera-tions at the GETR site during a future quake.
In August 1978, an earthquake offshore from Santa Barbara, California also confirmed the phenomena of seismic focusing or directivity. In August 1979, the Calaveras Fault was the source of a Magnitude 5.9 quake now known as the Coyote Lake quake. That quake shook all of Northern California, and is one of several which have occurred along the Calaveras Fault since the shutdown of"the GETR by the Commission's Show Cause Order. This recent seismicity demons trates that the current activity and capable nature of the Calaveras Fault Zone. The Calaveras Fault Zone is capable of a Magnitude 7.5 quake at ang time and the
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probability of that quake occuring is higher now than it has been since the 19th Century when the Calaveras experienced several major quakes. A major quake is overdue on the Calaveras. It is currently in a state of seismic gap. The next
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major gas.e on tk.e Calaveras could Occur between the Boarc's decis.cc cn this OSC hear.ing and the Board's decision at the relicensino hearings.
NRC 1UESTION =2: RE: COM'4ISS10N ISSUE CJMBER 2.
Whether the design of GETR structures, systems and components important to safety requires modification considering the seismic design bases determined in issue (1) above, and, if so, whether any codifica tir.n(s) can be made so that GETR structures, systems and cor.penents imocetant to safety can remain functional in light of the design bases determined in issue (1) above.
2-1. a. Upon what person or persons do you rely tc subs:Sntiate your care on Issue 2?
ANSWER: The Intervenors' case on Issue 2 is substantiated by the professional
- pinions of several engineers. These include three Calif:rnia licensed structural '
engineers whose names are Gary Gray, Jim Caid 3rd Jchn Puther'ord. In addition, u til i ze .
we will/ analyses provided by Dr. Davic Erillincer, Chair of the Statistics
- e;antment at the University of Califerr.;a, Ber.e'ey, Serbeley, CA M720.
2-1.b. Identify which of the persons identified in a. je; intend to call as witness in this proceeding.
A':Sv:ER: Intervencrs intend to introduce as witnesses in this proceeding 'fessrs.
Rutherford and Gray and Dr. Brillinger.
Unfortunately schedule conflicts prevent the personal appearance of Mr.
Dutherford at the hearings. Because we intend to intraduce written testimony fro i "r. Rutherford and he will be unable to personally appear at the hearings due to a previous cornitment to present a technical paper at a conference in Stockholm, Sweden on June 5,1981 (and he is scheduled '.o leave the c:untry prior to this date), Intervenors are prepared to make available Mr. Rutherford for cross-examination by deposition. Intervenors will be amenable to attempting to provide Mr. Rutherford's testimony ahead of the deadline for filing written testi-mcny in order to facilitate such examination.
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C Intervenors reserve the right to introiuce testimony by Mr. Jim Caid, althcagh at pre'sent it is not our intent. ion to do so. We will advise all parties to the proceeding of our intention as soon as a final determination is made.
2-1.c. Provide the addresses and educational and professional cualifications of I any persons named above.
i APSWER: Dr. David R. Brtilinger, Chairman, Statistics. Deaartment, University of I California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720. A copy of Dr. Brillinger's biogriphy (two pages), listing of professional cornittee work and list of publications (five page's) are attached hereto and incorporated as a part of '.his answer.
Mr. Gary Gray is a licensed architect and a licensed structural engineer with l a B.S. in Civil Engineering from the University of California, Berkeley (1953) and a M.S. in Civil Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Techrology (1957).
He is a member of the American Institute of Architects, the American Society of Civil Engineers, the Consulting Engir.cers Association of Califcenia, and the Structural Engineers Association of Northern California. His address is 2001 "erced Street, Berkeley, CA 94707.
Mr. Jim Caid is a licensed civil and structural engineer who lives ar.d ',torks in California. More information will be provided regarding Mr. Caid if he is to be made available as a witness.
Mr. John Rutherford has been a licensed civil and structural engineer in tre State of California since 1958. He received his M.S. in Structural Engineering from the California Institute of Technology and his B.S. in Civil Engineering from Lehigh University.' Mr. Rutherford's address is 1141 Chestnut Street, San Francisco, CA 94109.
Mr. Rutherford has been professionally involved in hundreds of geologic inves-tigations as a structural engineer. He is experienced in seismic risk evaluations in the design and modification of structures subject to earthquake stres'ses. He is knowledgeable in the state of the art in both geological fault investigations and earthquake resistant design. He is experienced in analyses of soils investi-
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gations, f%nt ation designs, soil-structure interact 3cn an& lyses and the prep-aration of geologic hazards reports.
2-1.d. Indicate which of the persons identified in b. above that ycu anticipate will appear voluntarily and which under subpoena.
ANSWER: We anticipate that all of the persons listed in 2-1.b. above will appear voluntarily as witnesses for either consolidated Intervences Congressmen Dellums, Burton and Burton or consolidateo Inter <enors Friencs of the Earth and Ms. Earbara .
- Shockley or both groups.
2-2 Provide summaries of the views, positions, or prcposed testinony on Issue 2 of all persons named in response to Interrocatory .' umber 2-1, that you intend to present during this proceeding.
' 'S.ii ? : Intervenors anticipate that their structural engineerina experts will testify '. hat because of the possibility of surface rupture directly beneath the reactor tha NF.C and the Licensee of the GETR cannot guarantee that the public health'and safety will be protected fc11owing a fu ure earthcuake on the Caiave-as or Verona Fault Zones because the NRC and the Licensee ;strot prove or guarar, tee that there will be no structural damages to the GE Test Reactor during and fol-icwing that future Vallecitos Earthquake on the Calaveras or Verona Fault Zores.
That because the GETR and the Vallecitos Nuclear Center are located directly on top of an active capable thrust fault zone and because the GETR faces the possi-bility of surface rupture directly beneath the structure, accompanied by severe j seismic shai:ing, Intervenors will attempt to establish that there are no possible design nodifications to the GETR which would be adequate to protect the public l
r health and safety and, therefore, that the GiTR shculd remain shutdown as is -
currently the case and has been since October 1977.
Dr. Brillinger will testify that the use of probabiiity analysis should not be incorporated in the Safety Evaluation of the GETR without suitable carg. ins of I
error being included. And that the assumptions used in developing input factors for the probability equation are debatable and must be considered in greater depth. ~
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-:D-That, in turn, the conclusions reached by the probability analysis cannot be considered to have been established. And that as a result the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board should not utilize this analysis in reaching its determination as to whether it is safe to restart and continue to operate the GETR.
2-3 Which specific GETR structJres, systems and components important to safety require desigr. .nodification consjdering the seismic and design bases that you postulate in re:ponse to Interrogatories 1-3,1-4, and 1-5. In each case indicate the nature, extent and the types of nodifications that you recomand.
ANSWER: Considering the seismic and design bases that Intereenors described in detail in response to Staff Interrogatories 1-3,1-4, and 1-5, the Intervenors contend that no modifications to the SETR would be adequate to protect the public health and safety and therefore that the GETR should renain shutdown as it was ordered by the NRC in October 1977.
2-4 State the bases, calculations and references used fcr :unceting the posi-tions specified in response to Interrogatory 2-3 as to the folic ting:
- a. Why each structure, system and component specified is incertant tc plant safety;
- b. Why each structure, system and component specified needs modification.
ANSWER: This interrogatory asks the Intervenors to coment on the proposed modifications for the GETR structu es, systems and comconents specified by the NRC and the Licensee. However, considering the seis.aic and design bases that Intervenors described in detail in response to Staff Interrugatories 1-3,1-4, and the 1-5, and the explanations presented in 2-1,2-2, and 2-3, the Intervenors contend that no modifications are appropriate or adequate to protect the public.
2-5.a.
3 it jour position, or do you anticipate 7;at it will be year pos' tion at the . earing, that the modifications specified in response to Interrogatory 2-3 can be made so that GETR structures, systems and components important to safety can remain functional in light of the design bases determined in issue 1;
- b. If the answer to a. is no, state the specific bases, calculations, and references which support this conclusion.
ANSWER: Intervenors 'did not specify any codifications in response to Interrog-atory 2-3 because it is the Intervenors' position that the GETR structures, systems and components necessary to protect the public health and safety car. net be guarar. teed to remain functional during and following surface rupture, seismic shaking, and vertical and horizontal ground accelerations at the GETR site.
NRC QUESTION 43: RE: COMMISSION ISSUE NUMBER 3.
Whether activities under Operating License No. TR-1 should continue to :e susoended c'ending resolution of the foregoing.
3-1.a. Upon what person or persens do you rely to substantiate jour case on Cor.ission !ssue Number 3?
- b. Identify which of the persons identified in a. you intend to call as witnesses in this proceeding,
- c. Provide the addresses and educational and professional qualifications of any persons naned above.
- d. Indicate which of the persons identified in b. above that you anticipate will appear voluntarily and which under subpoena. .
ANSWER: It is the position of the Intervenors that activities under OL # TR-1 should continue to be suspended because of reasons described in detail above.
Intervenors' responses to 3-1.a. b, c and d incorporate Intervenors' responses to 1.la, b, c and d and 2.1.a, b, c, and d above.
3-1.a. J. Gl enn Barlow 3-1.b. Intervenors intend to call Glenn Barlow as a witness in this proceeding.
3-1.c. Mr. Barlow's address is Glenn Barlew, Friends of the Earth,124 Spear St. , San Francisco, CA 94105
0 Mr. Barlow attended Yale University and received a degree in Communications from the University of California at San Diego.
Mr. Barlow worked for s u eral years as environmental investigative reporter and nuclear documentary producer with the Pacifica' FM Radio Network.
Mr. Barlow is currently a Research Consultant for the Intervenors.
Mr. Barlow is particularly qualified in relation to the issues in this Proceeding because he has been a Communications expert for the Intervenors in regard to the GETR since 1976. Glenn Barlow has reviewed and anlyzed all of the communications between the NRC staff and the Licensee re the GETR and the Vallecitos Nuclear Center. Mr. Barlow has attended the meetings held in California between the NRC staff and the Licensee since 1977.
Mr. Earlow participated, as a Representative of the Intervenors, dJring the field trip's in 1977,1978 and 1979 in visits to the trenches and other Geoscience Investigations that were conducted for these Froceedings.
Mr. Barlow is the Comunica icns expert for the Intsrvencrs .;ho witnessed the oral and verbal communications (durina these field trics and meetings) between the various scientists and staffpersons from the NRC staff, the USGS, and the Licensee and their consultants.
3-1.d. Mr. Barlow will appear voluntarily.
3-2. Provide summaries of the views, positions, or proposed testimony on Conmission Issue Number 3 of all persons names in response to Interro-gatory No. 3-1, that you intend to present during this proceeding.
ANSWER: Intervenors' responses to 3-2 incorporate Intervenors' responses to
- 1. 2, 1. 3, 1. 4, 1. 5, and 1. 6 and 2. 2, 2. 3, 2. 4 and 2. 5.
3-2. A sunmary of Mr. Barlow's proposed testimony on Commission Issue Number 3 is that activities under Operating License "o TR-1 should continue to be suspended.
. 4 of 3- 3 . State the specific bases, calculctions and references upon which the persons named in response to Interrogatory No. 3-1 rely to substantiate their views regarding Commission Issue 3.
For all references requested in these ir.terrogatories, identify them by author, title, date of publication and publisher if the reference is published, and if it is not published, identify the document by the author, title, the date it was written, the qualifications v# the author relevant to this Proceeding, and where a copy of the document may be obtained. Include copies of all references, or make available for Staff inspection and copying, all references.
AN5WER: Intervenors' responses to 3.3 incorporates the Intervenors' responses to all of the Interrogatories in this :.rrent set.
3-3. Activities under Oper ating License No. T:.-l should :entinue to be susper.ded.
(1 ) Because of the possibility of surface r;;ture beneath the GETR; (2) Because of the large horizontal and vertical accelerations expected during future quakes on the Verona and Calaveras Fault Zones; (3) Because the GETR was not designed for surface rupture and large ground accel . era tions ;
(4) Because a major quake (M7.5) could strike the Calaveras Fault at any
, time and be accompanied by sympathetic ground rotions and surface rupture on the Verona Fault Zone; (5) Because no modifications would be adequate to protect the public health and safety.
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Respectfully submitted.
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Glenn W. Cady, Counsel for Interv'enors Friends of the Earth and Barbara Shockley
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H. Lee Halter an, Counsel for Intervenors Dellums, Barton and Burton February 25, 1981
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BICCEA?HY OF DAVID R. ERILLINGER .
1937 Born on 27 October at Toronto, Canada 1958 one of five highest ranked competitors in the Putnam Mathematical Competition 1959 3.A. in Pure Mathematics,' University of Toronto 1960 M.A. in rather.atics, Princeton University Associate of the Society of Actuaries 1961 Ph.D. in Mathematics, Princeton University 1061-1962 Social' Science Research Council Post Doctral Fellow at the London School of Economics 1962-1964 Lecturer in Mathematics at Princeton University Member of Technical Staff at Bell Telephone Laboratories, Eurray Hill, N. J.
1964-1966 Lecturer in Statistics at the London School of Economics 1966-1969 Reader in Statistics at the London School of Economics 1967-1968 Visiting Associate Professor of Statistics at the University of California, Berkeley 1968-1969 Me=ber, Research Section Ceceittee, Rcyal Statistical Society Member, Series 3 Editorial 3 card, Ecyal Statistical Seciety 1969 _
Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics Instructional Lecturer, Twelf th Ziennial Seminar. of the Canadian Mathematical Congress 1969- Professor of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley 1970-1972- Associate Editor, The Annals of Mathe=atical Statirties 1972-1978 Associate Editor, The Annals of Statisties 1972-1978 Associate Editor, The Annals of Probability 1972 Fellow of the American Statistical Association Summer censultant to the Institute of 31cmetry and Ccmmunity Medicine, University of Exeter, Exeter, England 1972- Analysis Advisory Committee of the Education Commission of the States
1 197}-1974 Miller Research Professor, University of California,. 3erkeley. j 1974-1977, Council' of the . Institute of Mathematical Statistics 1974 Member of the international Statis tic sl Ins titite 1975- Research Associate of .the Seismographic Statio 2 of the University- of California, Berkeley 1975-1979 Council of the 3ernoulli Society for Statistics and Probability 1975 1978 Editorial Board of. the Journal of Multivariate Ana1ysis 1975-1976 Guggenheim Fello#
Advicor en Graduate Studies in Matheratics to the Ccuncil of Ontario Universities 1976 . Visi ting Professor of. Ma thema tics , University of Auckland 1976- Editorial Board Springer-Verlag Series in Applied Statistics 1977-1980 Grant Selection Committee for Pure and Applied Mathematics, National Research Council of Canada 1977-1979 National Statistics Committee, National Researdi Council 1977- Associate Editor, Canadian Journal of Statistics 1977 Short term visitor (one month) Comn.onwealth Scientific and Industrial Crganisation ( Australia) 1977-1978 L: ember, Statis cal Tark Force, Weather Modification Adviscry 3 card ;
1979- Chairman, Statistics Department, University of California, 2erkeley 1979- Member, Panel on Fertility Determinants, National Research Council 4
1979 - Editorial Board of the Journal of Time Series Analysis 1980- Board of Editors, Journal of Theoretical Neurobiology 1981- Member, Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics, National Research Council e
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S PROFESSICNG COPJ:ITTES WORK OF DAVID, R. IRILLI?:GER 1975-1976 Editor Selection Committee, Institute of Mathecatical Statistics (Chairman in 1976) 1976 Chairman, Nomina ting Committee, Institute of Ea theca tical Statistics 1976-1979 Committee 'on the Integra tion of Statistics, Interna tional Statistical Ins titute 1976-1978 Publica tions Commit tee, Institute of Mathematical Sta tistics 1977-1979 Committee on Corporate Members, Ma theratical Associa tien of America 1977-1978 Chairman, Invited Papers Commi ttee, The Annals of Otatistics 1977-1980 Co-Chairman, Crcanicing Committee, Special Meeting on Time Ser es Analysis, Institute of Mathema tical Statis tics 1977-1978 Chairman, Advisory Committee, Survey Research Center, Universi ty cf California, 3erkeley 1978--1979 Member Regional Energy Activity and Ser:paphic Ecdel Review Commi.ttee, U.S. Dept. of Energ 198C-s Member International Statistical Institute Ccccittee to prepare Rester of Statisticians i
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I UEICA TIONS OF DAVID R. _3RILLI" DER, 1961a "A note on the definition of asyeptetic normslity for multidimensional random variables ," _Estadistica, Vol. 20, 371 1961b "A justification of some common laws of =ortality," Transact _ ions of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 13, 116-119 1961c- " Asymptotic means and variances in the k-dimensional case," ?h.D.
Thesis, Princeton University, 70 pp.
1962a "Eramples bearing on the definition of fiducial probability with a bibliogra phy," Annals of Matheca tical Statis tice, Vol . 33, 1349-1355 1962b "A note on the rate of convergence of a mean," Biometrika, Vol. 49, 574-576.
1963a "A note on the re-use of samples," Annals of Mathematical' Statistics, Vol. 34, 341-343 1963b "Necessary and sufficient conditions for a statistical problem to be invariant under the acticn of a Lie group," Annals of__ Mathematical Statictics, Vol. 34, 492-500.
1964a "A technique for measuring the spec tral density matrix of two signals,"
Proceedings of the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers, Vol . 52, 103-104 1964b "The asymptotic behavior of Tukey's general method of setting apprcximate confidence limits (the jackknife) when applied to maximum likelihoed .
estimates," Review of the International Statietical Institute, Vol.
32, 202-206.
1965a "A property of low-pass filters," SI AM Review, Vol. 7, 65-67
- 1965b "A moving average representation for random variables covariance stationary on a finite time interval," Biometrika, Vol. 52, 295-297 1965c "An introduction to polyspectra," Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol . 36,1351-1374 1966a "The analyticity of the roots of a polynomial as functions of the coefficients," Mathematies Macuzine, Vol . 39, 14 5-147 1966b "The application of the jackknife to the analysis of sample surveys,"
Commentary, Vol . 8, 74-80.
1966c "An extremal property of the conditional expectation," Biometrika, Vol. 53, 594-595
. ,. . . .. - . _ . . . ~ . _ ,- . _ . _ . . , - . , . _ . _ . _ . _ . _ . . . . _ . . . _ . , __
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t 1967a (with M. Rosenblatt) " Asymptotic theory of estimates of k-th order' cpectra," Proceedings on the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., Vol. 57, 206-210 .
1967b (with M. Rosenblatt) "Asyrpto tic theory of estimates of k-th order spectra," pp. 153-188 in Advanced Seminar on Spectral Analysis (ed.
- 3. Harris), New York, . Wiley.
196Tc (with M. Rosenblatt) "Computa tion and interpre ta tion of k-th order spectra," pp. 189-232, Ibid.
1967d "3cunded polymeasure an'd associated translation commutative polynomial operators," Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society, 7el. 18, 487-491.
1968 " Estimation of the cross-spec trum of a stationary bivariate Caussian process from its zeros," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 3, Volg 30,145-159 '
1969a (with M. Hatanaka) "An harmonic analysis of. non-stationary multivariate economic processes," Econemetrica, Vol . 37, 131-141 .
1969b "The calculation of cumulants via conditioning," Annals of the Institute '
of Statistical Mathematics, Vol . 21, 215-218.
l?C9e "The canonical analysis of stationary time series," pp. 331-350 in "ultivariate Analysis - II (ed. P. R. Krishnaiah) New York, Acadceie.
19l9d "An asy=pto tic represen tation of the cample distribution func tion,"
f Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, Vol . 75, 545-547 E 1;/?e " Asymptotic properties of spectral estimates of second order,"
Biometrika, Vol. 56, 375-390.
1969f "A search for a relationship between monthly sunspot numbers and certain climatic series," Pul. Inter. Statist. Inst., Vol. 43, Book 1, 293-307 ,
1970a "The identification of polynomial systems by means of higher order spectra," Journal of Sound and Vibra _ tion, Vol. 12, 301-313 [
1970b (with M. Hatanaka) "A permanent income hypothesis relating to the aggregate demand for money," Economic Studiec Quarterly, Vol . 21, 44-71.
1970c "The frequency analysis of relations between stationary spa +ial series,"
pp. 39-81 in Proceedings of the Twelf th Biennial Seminar of the Canadian Mathematical Congress (ed. R. Pyke) Montreal, Canadian Math.
Congress. -
1972a "On the number of solutions of systems of random equationc," Annals ,
of Mathematical Statistics, Vol . 43, 534-540.
,.% , -y.._,, - , . .. - , _ ..,..n ,. ,.w-s - , , , - y - . . . . , - , - , . , ,..-W' 9y*-*r-*v7*"'*vve'-e'*M*--t*-'+-'7*w **vww, e., re ge , -- s . w w +w,=.re-
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1972b "The spec tral analysis of stationary in ter val functions," pp. 483-513 in Proceedings of the Sixth Berkeley Sympos,ium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, (eds. L. M. I eCam, J. Neyman, E. L.
Scott) 3erkeley, University of California Tress.' j 1973a " Estimating the mean of a stationary time series by sampling," Journal _
of Applied Probability, Vol. 10, 419-431 .
1973b "A power spectral estimate insensitive to transients," Technome tries ,
Vol. 15, 559-562 1973c "The analysis of time series collected in an experimental design,"
pp. 241-256 in Multivariate Analysis - III (ed. P. R. Krishr.aiah)
New York, Academic.
1973d "An empirical investigation of the Chandler wobble and two proposed excitation processes," Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, Vol. 45, Book 3, 413-434 1974a " Cross-spectral analysis of processes wi th stationary increments including the stationary G/G/m queue," Annals of Probability, Vol. 2, 815-827 1974b "TNe acymptotic distribution of the Whittaker periodogram and a related chi-squared statistic for stationary procecces," Eiccetrika, Vol . 61, 41?-422 1974c "The Fourier analysis of stationary processes," Froceedings of the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Enrineers, Vol . 62, 1628-1 o4 3 197!a Time Series : Data Analysis and Theory, New York, Hol t, Rinehart and Winston, 512 pp,.
1975b " Statistical inference for stationary point processes," pp. 55-99 in Stochastic Processes and Related Topics, (ed. M. L. Puri). New York, Academic.
1975c "The identification of point process systems," Annals of probability, Vol . 3, 909-924 1975d " Estimation of product densities," pp. 431-438 in Computer Science and Statistics : 8th Annual Symposium (ed. J. W. Frane) UCLA .
1975e (with H. L. 3ryant and J. P. Segundo) " Identification of synaptic '
operators," Proceedines of the California Institute of Technology Conference (eds. J. McCann and P. Z. Marmarelis)r pp. 221-226
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1976a " Measuring the association of point proce ices : a case history,"
American Mathematical Monthly, Vol . 83, 16-22 1976b "Estication of the second-order intensities of. a bivariate stationary
. point process," , Journal of the Royal Statistical _Socie tl, 3, Vol . 30, 60-66 1976c "Some history of the data analysis of ' time series in the United States," History of Statistics in the. United States' (ed. D. 3. Owen), ,
ITew York,.Earcel Dekker, pp. 267-280 . ;
1976d (with H. L. Bryant and, J. P. Sepndo) "Iden tification of synaptic -f interactions," Biological Cybernetics, Vol . 22, 213-226 1976e " Approximate estimation of the standard errors of cceplex statistics based on - cample surveys," New Zealand Statistician, Vol.11, No. 2, 35-41 .
'1977 "The identification of a particular nonlinear time series system," '
3iometrika 64, 509-51 5 -
1978a " Comparative aspects of the study of ordinary time series and of point processes," Advances in Statistics, Vol. 1,33-133. New York, Academic. .
1978b "A note on a representation for the Gauss-Poisson process," Stech.
1 Proc. Appl. 6_, 135-137.
1978c (With W. A. Silveria) "On maximum wave heights of severe seas," Proc.
1978 offshore Technology Conference. Vol. III, 1563-1568.
1978d (With A. Udias and B. A. Bolt) "Un modelo probabilistico para la determinacion del mechanismo regional de los terremotos," II Asambla Geol. y Geof. Barcelona. IGN, 637-640. ;
1978e (With W. H. K. Lee) "A point process analysis of Chinese earthquake history," Proc. Conf. Seismic Gaps. Cambridge, MIT.
1978f (With L. V. Jones and J. W. Tukey) The Role of Statistics in Weather Resources Management, Volume II, The Management of Weather Resources.
Washington, Government Printing Office.
1978g "A note on the estimation of evoked response," Biological Cybernetics t 3,141-144.
1979a " Analyzing point processes subjected to random deletions," Canadian J. Statistics 7, 21-27.
P h
w,+- .--'--e- ~ ,..-~.,n,,e,i w,-*m,.r-e - + . . . - - s-+-rw- , ---e wv. -wew-ww--,,, - eer--.,e ....,4 r,-*-v.-.2-, .,e e+.,- y- e .erv , r -'m t t-w +e we *W-er"*- 1 4
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F 1979b "A continuous form of ;.ost-stratifimtion," Ann. Inst. Stat. Math.
31_, 271-277.
1979c (With G. Hung and L. Stark) " Interpretation of kernels. II. Sanc-si,.ed 1st and 2nd degree," Math. Bioscience '. 6, 159-187.
1979d (With B. A. Bolt) "Es timation of uncertainties in eigenspectral estimates from decaying geophysical time series," Ceephys. J. R. astr.' Soc. 39,,. '
593-603.
1979e (With J. P. Segundo) " Empirical exa.nination of the cl.reshold model of neuron firing," Biol. Cybernetics 35, 213 2220.
1979f " Confide n ce i tn ervals for the crosscovariance f-metton," Falecta Statistica Canadiana V.
1979g (With W. H. K. Lee) "On Chinese earthquake history an atte=pt to model e.n incomplete data set by point process analysis,"
Pure and Applied Geophysics 117,1229-1257 193Ca (With A. Udias and 3. A. 3olt) "A probability codel for reciznal
- focal mechanism solutiens," 2ul . Seismol . Sec. Amer.J,' 149-170 l 1980b (With J. Guekenheimer, P. Guttorp and G. Ceter) "T pirical ^
modelling of population tiee series dsta: the case cf age and dersity dependent vital rates," Prec. 1950 Sy.p. Seme Math.
r gestions in 3iolce.
1? scc "Analysi.s of variance proble=s under ti=e series codele," Handbeck cf Statistics Vol. 1 . North Holland. ,
1960d (With A. Udias, E. Bufern and B.A. Bolt) "A numerical method for '
individual and regional fault plane deteminations," Publ. Inst.
Geophys. Pol. Acad. Sc. A-10 (142), 87-94. ,
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1981a "The comparison of least squares and third-order periodogram procedures :
in the estimation of bifrequency," J. Time Series Analysis 1_. !
1981b "Some aspects of the analysis of evcked response experiments," Proc. ;
Internat. Symo. Statistics and Related Topics (Eds. A. Saleh, M. Csorgo, l D. Dawson and J. Rao). Amsterdam, North *11011and.
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