ML20094A693

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Affidavit of Ds Mileti on Eddleman Contention 57-C-3 Re Emergency Planning/Public Response.Related Correspondence
ML20094A693
Person / Time
Site: Harris Duke Energy icon.png
Issue date: 11/02/1984
From: Mileti D
CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT CO., COLORADO STATE UNIV., FORT COLLINS, CO, NORTH CAROLINA MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCIES
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Text

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PELATED CC.TT;2L UnuifiCE, J o.vemberg, 1984' 3v4 i UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

'BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD In the Matter of

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CAROLINA POWER & LIGHT COMPANY

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and NORTH CAROLINA EASTERN

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Docket No. 50-400 OL MUNICIPAL POWER AGENCY

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(Shearon Harris Nuclear Power

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Plant)

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AFFIDAVIT OF DENNIS S.

MILETI ON.EDDLEMAN 57-C-3 County of Denver

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State of Colorado

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DENNIS S. MILETI, being duly sworn, deposes and says:

1.

I am presently an Associate Professor in the Depart-ment of Sociology and Director of the Hazards Assessment Labo-ratory at Colorado State University, specializing in those areas of study dealing with complex organizations, hazards, policy and methods (with a particular emphasis on public emer-gency response).

A current statement of my professional quali-fications and experience is attached hereto.

My business address is Departrent of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523.

I have personal knowledge of the matters stated herein and believe them to be true and correct.

I make this affidavit in response to Eddleman Contention 57-C-3.

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2.

Public response to emergency information and warnings.

y; Lof. impending disasters has been a topic of investigation by so-cial scientists for almost three decades.

Many studies have been performed on the subject in a variety of emergencies stemming from geological, climatological, and technological phenomena, and have been documented in a vast body of emergency literature.

This research1 record provides evidence about a wide range of emergency warning /public response phenomena, including public notification and ccmmunication between members of the public in an area at risk.

3.

A clear conclusion of this research is that people generally seek out additional information upon receipt of an initial warning, before' acting on that warning.

The end result is that, historically, many people in emergencies have first learned of emergencies from other members of the public.

There are two reasons why this is the case.

First, emergency warn-ing/public response is an evolving process; and, second, people generally do not respond to emergency warnings as individuals

-- rather, emergency response is largely a group activity.

These two fundamental generalizations were established early on in disaster and emergency research conducted in the 1950's and 1960's; they were substantiated in subsequent research, and they have been consistently confirmed in contemporary researci investigations.

4.

The initial response of most people to a warning of an impending emergency is to seek out more information, and/or r

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engagetintadditional communication with others.. This need to

-engag'e in' a confirmation process is perhaps one of ~ the best documented phenomena-in warning / response research..For most

. people,1 hearing aEvarning does not automatically'and instanta-neously' lead to protective' action.

.Rather, hearing a warning is typically ~followed bylformulating an understanding of that.

warning;7 understanding is followed by believing; believing is.

'followed by personalizing the' warning; personalizing is fol-lowed by making a decision about what to do; and the decision is followed by actual protective action response behavior.

'Thus, this step-by-step sequence (which can be completed quickly) involves engaging in a process of confirming the warn-ing information that is first received.-

5.

Confirmation of warning'information can and does occur in a variety of ways;'for exampl~e, people may turn to different radio or TV stations to hear the warning several times, check with friends and neighbors to ask if they heard the same message, and talk the situation over with others.

One consequence of the behaviors in which people engage as they seek confirmation of warning information is that they actually can and do become part of the warning dissemination effort, al-beit informally, through social networking.

In other words, in the event of an emergency at the Harris plant, the seeking of confirmation would lead people to contact others who might or might not as yet have learned of the emergency. -

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People' rarely, if ever, respond to emergency warnings of an impending disaster _as social isol'ates, and most people in l

- most-emergencies ~do not respond as individuals. ' People gener-ally respond to emergency warnings in. groups'. 'Accordingly, be-cause emergency: response is largely group behavior, emergencies p

transform the order of a community'into one in which people act l

towards one another in ways which are more altruistic and-caring than the patterns of' interpersonal interaction which form routine, day-to-day community life.

Some exemplary conse-quences of this are that, in an emergency, neighbors, friends and family -- and even total strangers -- check on one another and offer assistance if it is needed.

One obvious result of this tendency of people in emergencies to form groups and to offer aid and assistance to one another is that it causes peo-pie to be in communication with other members of the public who might not as yet have learned of the emergency.

Thus, for ex-ample, people who have been awakened in the night and received notification of an emergency at Harris generally can be expect-ed to notify neighbors whose houses are still dark and where no one appears to be stirring.

7.

Finally, the high level of activity whi.ch would be associated with an emergency at Harris would have a strong

" ripple effect," generally alerting members of the public to seek additional information about the events taking place, even if they had not been directly warned by either the fixed si-rens, the mobile alerting system, or another member of the L.

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a public.

In other words, the activities of other resi' dents.who have already received notification (turning on the lights in

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4their homes, perhaps preparing to evacuate, or even the stream of' traffic driving out.of-the EPZ).would awaken (if necessary) and alert-most members of the public who may not yet have been warned, and cause them :to seek additional information about

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what is going on (for example, by turning on the 1n/ or radio, or by talking 1to neighbors).

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In summary, emergency'public warnings elicit communi-cations between members of the public who are the target of of-

'ficial emergency warnings.

People rarely translate warnings into personal protective actions without first seeking and en-gaging in confirmatory communication; rather, people draw into groups, and consult with and warn others.

These phenomena are natural, predictable responses to emergency warnings, and can be relied upon in emergency planning as a component of public notification in the event of an actual emergency.

In: addition, 4

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ihe; generally _high ' level--of.activityLassociated'with-~an emer-

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_gency a er s mem ers o.t e_ general public, even'_if they are

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lnot directly warned-by.either the official warning systems, or by another member of the public.

I am confident that-these general principles of. emergency warning /public response -- well established through decades of research and investigation --

would be applicable in the ev'ent of an emergency at the Harris plant.

7 Dennis S. Mileti Sworn to and subscribed before me this day of November, 1984.

Notary Public -

My Commission expires:

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ACADEMIC VITA OF DENNIS S. MILETI Augu,st, 1984 PERSONAL Office:

Department of Sociology Hazards Assessment Laboratory Colorado State University Aylesworth Hall Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 EDUCATION University of Colorado, Boulder: PhD, Sociology, 1974 California State University, Los Angeles: MA, Sociology, 1971 University of California, Los Angeles: BA, Scciology, 1968 SEECIALTZATIONS Complex Organizations, Applied (Hazards and Policy), Methods APPOINTMENTS 1984-date Director, Hazards Assessment Laboratory, Colorado State University 1984-date Committee on Natural Disasters, National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences 1981-year Policy Analyst, Seismic Safety Commission, State of California, Sacramento (on leave from university) 1978-date Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, Col.orado State University, Fort Collins 1975-year V1. siting Assistant Professor, University of Southern California, Graduate School of Public Administration, Intensive Seminar Program 1978-1979 Invited Instructor, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Chautauga Short Course Program 1974-1978 Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins 1971-1972 Instructor, Department of Sociology, Univer-sity of Colorado, Boulder MARDS 1983-1984 Alumni Honor Faculty Award, Colorado State University Alumni Association for excellence in teaching, research and service 1981-year Cited in Outstanding Young Men of America 1978-1977 Cited for excellence in teaching, research and service by the Dean, College of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences MEMBERSHIPS American Sociological Association, International Sociologi-cal Association, Pacific Sociological Association, Midwest i

Sociological Society, American Association for the Advance-ment of Science, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Western Social Science Association, National Coordinating l

Council on Emergency Management 1

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RESEARCH GRANTS &HQ CONTRACTS _

  • X j-1984-date Associate Investigator, " Stat'e-of-the-Art
Assessment: Evacuation," subcontract from Oak Ridge National Laboratories for-the' Federal Emergency Management Agency.-

1984-date

' Associate Investigator, " International Study

' of - Disaster Impact on. Domestic Assets," sub-contract from the University of Georgia for the National Science Foundation.

.1983-1984, Principal ~ Investigator, "Research and

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Applications for. Emergency Preparedness,"

contract. for Long Island Lighting Company.

.1983-1984-Principal Investigator," Intended and p

j Forgotten Audiences for Emergency Warnings,"

' quick-response grant' from the~ Natural Hazards Research Applications and Information' Center.

1982-1983 Associate Investigator," Organizational Interface.for Nuclear Reactor Emergency Pre--

1 paredness," subcontract ~ f rom Oak Ridge-National Laboratories for; the. Nuclear Regu-latory Commission.

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1981-year Principal Investigator,. " Nuclear Hazard -

Warnings and Emergency Evacuation Prepared-ness," contract for Pacific Gas and' Electric Company.

1980-1983 Principal Investigator,. " Local ~ Land Use Policy 3

Decisions," Colorado State University Experi-i ment Station.

F 1979-1982 Principal Investigator, " Behavioral Aspects of the Three Mile Island Incident and Re-l start," contract for General' Public Utilities via Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

1977-1980 Principal Investigator, " Migration Impacts of Non-metropolitan Areas in the West,". Colorado l

State University Experiment Station.

1977-1979 Principal Investigator, " Adoption and Organiza-tional Implementation of Policy for Land Use j

Regulations," grtnt' from the National Science Foundation.

1975-1977 Coprincipal Investigator, Socioeconomic, Organizational and Political Consequences of j~

Earthquake Prediction," grant from the i

National Science Foundation.

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1972-1974 Research Sociologist,. " Assessment of Research on Natural-Hazards," grant from the National l

Science Foundation.

COMMITTEE MEMBERSHIPS 1983-date Front. Range Consortium on Natural Hazards Studies, Colorado State University, Univer-j' sity of Colorado, University of. Denver.

1983-date International Sociological Association, Research Committee.on Disasters.

1982-1983 Pacific Sociological Association, Nominations 2

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-Committee for the Standing Committees for.1983.

1982-date Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Chair, Committee on' Social. Science Research,

-Berkeley.

-1981-1983

. U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological-Survey, Advisory Panel onlthe Earthquake Studies Program.- '

- 1981-1982 Pacific Sociological Association, Program Committee for.the 1982 Annual Meetings in San-Diego..

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1981-1982:

Governor's Emergency -Task Force on Earthquakes,.. Threat.and Reconstruction Committees, State of California, Sacremento.-

1980-1981 Governor's Science and Technology. Advisory

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Council, Committee ~ on the - Relocation of i

Uranium Mill Tailings, State of Colorado.

1979-year American Association for the Advancement of Science, Committee on -Intergo.vernmental Research and Development on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness, Washington, D.C.

1976-1978 National - Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Commission on Sociotechni-cal Systems, Committee on Socioeconomic 3

Effects of Earthquake Prediction, Washington, D.C.

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PUBLICATIONS Books and Monoaraphs (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

The Order of Chaos in Disasters (in progress).

Mileti, Dennis S., John Schneider and D. Stanley Eitzen Graduate Research Methods in the Social Sciences (in progress).

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Technostructures and Interorganizational Relations, r

Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 Organizational Response ta Chancino Community Systeria Kent, Ohio: Kent State University Press.

Chacters (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1986 "Research methods and disaster research."

In Russell R.

Dynes and Carlo Pelanda (Eds.). Sociola.9% 0.1 Disasters: Contributions gf Sociolocy Lq Disaster Research. Italy: Franco Angeli (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S., and John H. Sorensen 1985 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards."

In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouraging Self-Protection Behavicr (forthcoming).

Sorensen, John H. and Dennis S. Mileti 1985 " Protective actions for natural hazards: a review of programs to stimulate public adoption." In Neil Weinstein (Ed.). Encouracina Self-Protection Behavior (forthcoming).

Button, Janice, John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Earthquake prediction and public reaction." Pp. 129-166 in T.

Rikitake (Ed.).

Current Research in Earthquake Prediction. Boston: Reidel Publishing Company, Tokyo: Center for Academic Publications.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1981 " Planning initiatives for seismic hazard mitigation."

Pp. 44-53 in J.

Isenberg (Ed.). Social and Economic

' apact Of Earthquakes gn Utility J.ifelines. New York:

ierican Society of Civil Engineers.

M nd Chapters (quasi-refereed) 1., and Joanne Nigg al science earthquake investigations." In Roger sll (Ed.). Lessons Learned f rom Recent Earthcuakes, durkeley: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (forthcoming).

'anel of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Plan 34 National Earthcuake Hazards Reduction Procram: Five Year Procram Plan. Washington, D.C.: Federal Emergency Management Agency (forthcoming).

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Mileti,' Dennis S.

3 982 "A bibliography for graduate research methods." Pp.

249-255 in Russel Schutt, Alan Orenstein and Theodore C. Wagenaar (Ede.). Research Methods Coursen Syllabi, Assignments apM Projects. Washington, D.C.: American Sociological Association..

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice Hutton and' John Sorensen 1981 Earthquake Erg. diction Response and Qotions fg Public Policy. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 28.

Santopolo, Frank, and Dennis S. Milati 19G0 Imoacts of Ponulation Growth in Acricultural Colorado Committees. Fort Collins: Colorado State University Experiment Station BC letin.

Committee on Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness 1979 Fire Safety and Disaster Preparedness. Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science.

Committee on Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Prediction 1978 A Procram Of Studies an thg Socioeconomic Ef fects 21 Earthquake Prediction.

Washington, D.C.:

National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.

Mileti,. Dennis, S., Thomas E. Drabek and J. Eugene Haas 1973 R W a Systems in Extreme Environments: A Scciolocical Perspective. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 21.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1975 Natural Hazard Warnino Systems in the united States.

Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science, Monograph 12.

Portions reprinted in Joseph Perry and Meredith Pugh, Collective Behavign Resoonse 12 Stress,1978.

Erickson, NI), John Sorensen and Dennis S. Mileti 1975 Landslide Hazards in the United States: A Research Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1975 Disaster Relief and Rehabilitation in tha United States. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Ayre, Robert, Dennis S. Mileti and Patricia Trainer 1975 Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards in th2 United States: A H2.SADI.G.h Assessment. Boulder: Institute of Behavioral Science.

Journal Articles: Discioline Focus (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "The human equation in earthquake prediction and warning," Policy Studies Review (accepted and forth-coming).

Mileti, Dennis S.,

Donald Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1984 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study ot behavioral indicators of human stress." Mass Emergencies and e

Disasters (accepted and forthcoming).

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Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Societal comparisons of organizational response to earthquake prediction: Japan vs the United States."

Mass Emergencies ans! Disasters 1(3):399-414.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Structure and process in the implementation of public policy," Political Science Egylag 21(1):1-34.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "A review of research on public policy adoption,"

. j Public Administration Review (accepted and forth-j coming).

Mileti, Dennis S., Doug Timmer and David F. Gillespie 1982 " Intra and interorganizational determinants of

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decentralization," Eittifi.q. Sociolooical Egylgg 25(2):163-183.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1981 "The multidimensionality of organizational size,"

Socioloov ansi Sg.gial Research 65(4):400-414.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1981 " Heterogeneous samples in organizational research,"

Sociolooical Methods ansi Research 9(3):327-388.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human adjustment to the risk of environmental extremes," Socioloav ansi Social Research 64(3):327-347.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Determinants of planning in organizations,"

Administrative Science Review 10(3):21-32.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1980 " Organizational and technological interdependencies,"

Journal of Contemocrary Socioloov-17(3-4):132-158.

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Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry and Dennis S. Mileti 1930 " Stress and transformation," Journal 9.1 Social Research 21(2):139-147.

Mileti, Dennis S.,

David F. Gillespie and Stan Eitzen 1979" Structure and decision making in corprate organizations," Sociolm gasi Social Research 63(4):723-744.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti m

1979 " Action and contingency postulates in organization-environment relations," Human Relations 32(3):261-271.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and Elizabeth Morrissey 1978 " Technology and organizations: methodological deficiencies and lucunae," Technoloay ansi culture 19(1):83-92.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Organizational technology and environment adaptation-manipulation," Sgqttish 1q. arnal qi Socioloav 2(2):205-3 219.

Mileti, Dennis S., David F. Gillespie and J. Eugene Haar, 1977 " Size and structure in complex organizations," Social Forces 56(1):208-217.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Technology and the study of organizations: an overview and appraisal," Academy 91 Manacement Review 2(1):6-19.

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L Reprinted in BraMnas en Egg Managers Manage. Englewood Cliffs, New Jarsey: Prentice Hall,-1982.

Mileti, Dennis S.,'and David F. Gillespie 1976"An integrated. formalization 'of organization-

- l environment - interdependencies," Human Relations 129(1):80-100.

Gillespie, David F.', and Dennis-S. Mileti 1976" Organizational. adaptations to changing cultural contingencies,"-Socioloaical Tnouiry 46(2):135-141.

Gillespie,-David F., Roy Lotz, Dennis S. Mileti and Ronald Perry 1976 " Historical and paradigmatic differences in the use of the goal concept,": International neview gi History And Political Science 8(30):1-14.

Gillespie, David F., and Lennis S. Mileti' i

1976 '"A refined model of differentiation -in organizations,"'

socioloav and Social Research 6063):263-278._.

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie, Roy Lotz and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 '" Attitudinal variables as estimates of behavior,"

European Journal'gf Social Psycholoav 6(1):74-90.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Elwood M. Beck 1975 " Explaining evacuation symbolically: communication in crisis," Communication Research 2(1):24-49.

Gillespie, David F., Ronald Perry,. Dennis S. Mileti and Roy Lotz

' 1975 " Organizational tensions and decentralization: the interactive effect on member commitment," International Journal gi Group Tensions 5(2):26-37.

Perry, Ronald, David F. Gillespie and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " Collective stress and community transformation," lhynan Relations 27(8):767-788.

Mileti, Dennis S.

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1974 " Change ratios in age-specific percenc contridacticnc to fertility: a new method with applications to the United States," Pacific Sociolocical Review 17(1):3-26.

First Prize, student paper competition', Pacific Sociological Association, 1974.-

Mileti,-Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "An integrative approach to the study of organizational technology, structure and behavior," current Sociolocy 23(1):189-200.

Gillespie, David-F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 " System stress and the persistence of emergent organizations," Socioloaical Inouiry 44(2):111-119.

i Mileti, Dennis S.,

and Larry Barnett.

1972 "Nine demographic factors and their relationship toward abortion legalization," Focial Bioloav 19(2):43-50.

JQuKnal Articles: Acolied Focus (refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Role conflict in emergency workers," Emeroency Management Review-(accepted and forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Earthquakes and human behavior,"- Spectra (accepted and

-forthcoming).

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1983."Public perceptions of seismic hazards and critical facilities," Bulletin d thg Setemaloaical Society g-America 72(6)l3-18 Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey,.

1978 " Correcting.for the human factor in tornedo warnings,"

pinaster. Preparedness 2(February):5-9.

Haas,'J.iEugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "Sociocconomic and political consequences of earthquake:

prediction," Journal d thg Physical Earth 25(4):283 1 293.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis'S. Mileti 1977" Earthquake prediction. and its ansequences,"

california holoav 30(7):147-157, Revised and reprinted in Egg Franciscq 20(4).60 c,

978.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis'S..Mileti.

1976 " Earthquake prediction and. other. adjustments to earthquakes," an11etin. d tha Hag zealand Society f.gr Parthernake Encineering 9(4):183-194 Journal Rejoinders: Discipline Focus-(refereed)

Gillespie, David F.,

and Dennis S. Mileti 1982 " Differentiation in organizations: a comment on Miller i and'Conaty," Social Forces 60(4):1172-1175.

M11eti, Dennis S., Ronald Perry and David F. Gillespie 1975 "The analytical use of case study materials in the study of organi ations: a rejoinder to Griffin and Griffin," Sociolooical Inouiry 45(4):72-50.

Book Reviews (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "A review of Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes by Barclay G. Jones and Miha Tomazevic (Eds.). Ithaca:

Program in Urban and Regional Studies,1983." Mass Emergencies and Disasters (forthcoming).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982"A review of Unequal Care.: Interorganizational Relations in Health Care by M. Milner,.Jr. N(w York:

Columbia University Press, 1980." Social Fo rces 60(3):943-944.

Mileti,-Dennis S.

1982 "A review of Whistle Blowing: Loyalty and Dissent in the Corporation by Alan Weotin (Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill, 19B1." Sociolocy: A Review d Egg Books 7(2).

Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 "A' review of Aftermath: Communities After Natural Disasters by H. Paul Friesema et al. Beverly Hills:

Sage Publications,1979 and Af ter the Clean-up: Long Range Effects of Natural Disasters by James Wright and Peter Rossi et al. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, 1979." Journal g thg American Plannino Association 8

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.Mileti, Dennis S.

1976 "A review of A Sociology of Organizations by J.

Eldridge and n. Crombie.

New York: International Publications, 1375." CgDt e rary Socioloov 5(6):784.

Technical Reports (not refereed)

' Mileti, Dennis S,.

1983 Human Response Scenarios:. Lag jllpforcement Applications and findia Iglications. Sacramento: California Division

. of Mines and Geology.

I5ileti, Dennis S.

-1982 Oroanizational Behavior and Interoraanizational

' Relations: Imolicationg igI Nuclgar Power flant Emeroencies and Preparedness.- Oak Ridge, Tennessee:

Oak Ridge National Laboritories.

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough and Patti Hadson 1982 The Three Mile Island Incident: A Study.91 Behaviorgl l

Indicators 91 Human Stress. Washington, D.C.: Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge.

Mileti, Dennis S.,'and Arthur Svenson 1981 Earthquake Prediction-Warnina Resoonse Eg1 Emercency_

Orcanizations ig,.t;hg Prediction Terminoloav. Van Nuys:

Southern California Earthquake Preparedness Project.

Et.hton, Janice, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 Analysis 91 Adoption and Tmolementation gi Community Land.Qgg Reculations igI Ploodolains. San Francisco:

Woodward-Clyde.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 Socioeconomic Imoact 91 Earthcuake Prediction gn 1

Government. Businese and Community. Boulder: Institute j

of Behavioral Science.

l Mileti, Dennis, S., and David F. Gillespie I

1976 Interorcanizational Relations and Community Service Delivery Systama. Boulder: Center for Action Research.

Publications.in Proceedincs (not refereed) 4 Mileti, Dennis S.

1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction." Pp. 36-56 in Walter Hays (Ed.). Proceedinas gf thg Conferences gn Earthauake Prediction Information. Menlo Park:

U.S.

Geological Survey. Paper presented at the January,1980 Conference on Earthquake Prediccion Information, Los Angeles.

Milc:ti, Dennis S., and Janice Hutton 1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes." Pp.

179-192 in FroceedinEE 91 thg Second International Conference on Eicrozonation.

San Francisco: National Science Foundation. Paper presented at the November, 1978 Conference on the State of the Art in Microzonation for Earthquake Hazards Reduction, San Francisco.

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1978 " Socioeconomic effects of earthquake prediction' on state policy." Pp. in Proceedinos gf j;hg National Conference gn Earthouake Related Hazards. Lexington, i

Kentucky: Council of State Governments. Speech presented at the November,1977 Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder.

Other Published Commenta (invited and refereed)

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "The character of traffic in an emergency," Bulletin 6 (1) :5.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 "Disasterous warnings," Omni (March):24,44,152.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Hazards ' reduction work: the next. era," National Hazards Observer 6 (4) :1-2. Reprinted in Earthouakg Information Bulletin 14(2):60, 1982.

.Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Sociological aspects of earthquake prediction,"

Earthquake Information Bulletin 11(3):102-105.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Earthquake prediction response," Time (January 24):83.

Haas, J. Eugene, Thomas Drabek and Dennis S. Mileti-1976 " Individual and organizational response to threat,"

Mass Emeraencies 1(4):247.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1976'" Social scientists and applied research," The American Sociologist 11(4):220-221.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1974 " Response to research and national needs," Footnotes 4

2(October):6.

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PROFESSIONAL PAPERS MQ PRESENTATIONS Conference Papers Mileti, Dennis S., Rick Hufnagel and David Gillespie 1984" Regulation of the firm:

toward a theory of consequences," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio: - August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Social and political obstacles. to the use of nonstructural flood loss mitigation measures," paper presented to the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: October.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 "Why people take precautions against natural hazards,"

paper presented to the Conference on. Encouraging Self-Protection Behavior, Rutgers University: July.

.Mileti, Dennis S.

1984 " Sociology in litigation: applications of disaster

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research," paper presented to the Sociology of Disasters Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Seattle: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1983 " Social impact and use of earthquake prediction-warnings," paper presented to the US-Japan Seminar on Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning, Tokyo: November.

Frey, R.

Scott, Thomas Dietz, Dennis S.

Mileti, and Debra-Cornelius 1983 " Structural determinants of community adoption of the National Flood Insurance Program," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Lexington: July.

Mileti, Dennis S., Donald M. Hartsough, Patti Madson and Rick Hufnagel 1983 "The Three Mile Island incident: a study of unobtrusive indicators of human stress," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Kansas City: April.

Hufnagel, Rick, and Dennis S. Mileti 1983 " Organizational and environmental catastrophe: factors affecting organizational response to a predicted earthquake," paper presented to the Disasters and Hazards Research Session of the Western Social Science Association, Alburquque: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "Earchquake prediction response: cultural comparisons between Japan and the United States," paper presented to the Disaster Research Session of the International Sociological Association, Mexico City: August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 " Influencing cc'rporate decisions on the use of microzonation iaformation," paper presented to the Third International conference on Microzonation, Seattle: June..

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1Mileti,-Dennis S..

1982" Earthquake. prediction and warnings:' the human

- equation," paper presented to the Conference on Hazards Research, Policy. Development, and Implementation Incen-

. tives:. Focus - on. Urban Earthquakes, Policy Research Center at the University of Redlands,.Redlands: June.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1982 "Public perception of seismic hazards,"_ paper presented

- to. the seismological Society of America, Anaheim: April.

Williams,-Gary, Frank Santopolo and Dennis S..Mileti 1980 " Perception.of growth impacts in energy impacted communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society,.Ithaca: August.

Mileti, Dennis Si for seismic, hazard mitigation,"

1980 " Planning initiativet paper presented tc the Conference on Social and Economic Impacts of-Earthquakes on Critical Lifelines of the American Society of Civil Engineers, San Francisco: May.

Timmer, Doug, and Dennis S. Mileti 1980 "Interorganizational and structural determinants of decision making," paper presented to the Session on -

Complex Organizations of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee.

Williams, Gary, Dennis S. Mileti 1980 " Community growth and impacts," paper presented to the Western Social Science Association, Albuqurque: April.

Mileti, Dennis.S.

1980 " Human response to earthquake prediction," paper.

presented to the Status of Knowledge Session of the Conference on Earthquake Prediction Information, Los Angeles: January.

Williams, Gary, and Dennis S. Mileti 1979 " Perceptions of growth impacts in non-metropolitan Colorado," paper presented to the Impacts Session of the Conference on Regional Migration Trends, St. Louis:

October.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Gary Williams 1979 " Resident percpetions in growth impacted western agri-cultural communities," paper presented to the Rural Sociological Society, Vermont: August.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and Stan Eitzen 1979 "The epihenominality of organizational size," paper presented to the Session on Complex Organizat' ions of the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukjee: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., Janice R. Hutton and John Sorensen 1979 " Social factors and response to earthquake prediction,"

paper presented to the International' Symposium on

-Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.

Hutton, Janice R., Dennis S. Mileti, and John Sorensen 1979 " Factors affecting earthquake warning syst'em effective-ness," paper presented to the International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.

Sorensen, John, Janice R.-Hutton and Dennis S. Mileti 12 L_.

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1979 " Institutional management of risk.information following earthquake predictions," paper presented to the Inter-national Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, UNESCO, Paris: April.

Mileti, Dennis S.,

and Janice Hutton.

1978 " Social aspects of earthquakes," paper presented to the State of the Art Session of the Second International Conference on Microzonation, San Francisco: November.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1978 =" Organizational size, complexity and decision making,"

paper presented to the Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco:

September.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Corporate size as work," paper presented to the Orga-nization of Work Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: September.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F.-Gillespie 1978 " Action postulates in organization-environment rela-tions," paper presented to the Organizations-Environ-ment Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1978 " Size and organizational differentiation,' paper presented to the Formal and Complex ~ Organizations Session of.the Pacific Sociological Association, Spokane: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and Patricia Harvey' 1977 " Correcting for the human factor in tornado warnings,"

paper presented to the Conference on Severe Local Storms of the American Met'eorological Society, Omaha:

October.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 "Organizatioh and environment adaptation-manipulation,"

paper presented to the Organizational Relations Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago:

September.

Hutton, Janice R., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 "The uses and abuses of scenarios in policy research,"

paper presented to the Social Policy Session of the American Sociological Association, Chicago: September.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1977 " Organizational growth and managerial efficiency,"

paper presented to the Social Organization / Formal /

Complex Session of the Pacific Sociological Associa-tion, Sacramento: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1977 " Organizational manipulation and adaptation to complex environments," paper presented to the Complex Organiza-tions Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Minneapolis: April.

Gillespie, David F., Dennis S. Mileti and J. Eugene Haas 1976 " Size and structure in complex organizations," paper presented to the Organizational Change Session of the American Sociological Association, New York City:

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August.

Mileti, Dennis S.

1976 " Learning theory and disaster warning response," paper presented to the Issues in Environmental Analysis Session to the American Sociological. Association, New York City: August.-

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Consequences of earthquake prediction on other adjust-ments to earthquakes," paper presented to the Austral-ian Pcademy of Science, Canberra: May.

Mileti, Dennis S., and J. Eugene Haas 1976 "A methodology for future collective events," paper presented to the Collective Behavior Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.

Gillespie, David F., and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Operations technology and organizational structure,"

paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session-of the Midwest Sociological Society, St. Louis: April.

Haas, J. Eugene, and Dennis S. Mileti 1976 " Assessing the consequences of earthquake prediction,"

paper presented to the Social Risk Session of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Boston: February.

Mileti, Dennis S.,

and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technological uncertainty in organization-environment relations," paper presented to che Formal Organizations Session of the American Sociological Association, San Francisco: August.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975" A resolution of inconsictencies between size, complexity and the administrative component in organ-izations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Chicago:

April.

Mileti, Dennis S.,

and David F. Gillespie 1975 " Technology and the study of organizations," paper presented to the Formal Organizations Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, Victoria: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1975 "An interaction model for organization-environment relations," paper presented to the Interorganizational Relations Session of the Midwest Sociological Society, Omaha: April.

Mileti, Dennis S., and David F. Gillespie 1974 "A formalization of organization-environment dependencies," paper presented to the Formal Organiza-tions Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.

Farhar, Barbara, and Dennis S. Mileti 1974 "Value and role issues for the involved social scientist," paper presented to the Applied Session of the Pacific Sociological Association, San Jose: March.

l Mileti, Dennis S.

1973 "Drowing: a communications disease," paper presented to the Mass Communications and Public Opinion Session of 14

the Amer,ican Sociological Association, New York City:

August.

-Mileti, Dennis S., and Sigmund Krane 1973 " Response to impending system stress, paper presented to the What Do We Know Session on Human Behavior in Disaster of the American Sociological Association, New York City: August.

Mileti, Lennis S.

1973 "A paradigm and sociology of knowledge for theories of natural law," paper presented to the Theory Session of

.the Midwest Sociological Society, Milwaukee: April.

_Mileti, Dennis S.

1972 " Response to hazards warnings," paper presented to the Organizational and Community Response to Disaster Seminar at the Disaster Researct} Center of the Ohio State University, Columbus:. July. ~

Soeeches u d Guest Lectures

" Warnings: applying research in the private sector," Plenary Session on Hazards Research and Management: Assessments of a Maturing Field, Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1984.

" Human response to emergencies," Emergency Preparedness Executive Seminar for County Commissioners of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, GPU Nuclear Corporation, Harrisburg: March, 1984.

"The uses of earthquake prediction-warnings," Collogium on Earthquake Prediction Research in the UF, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyd: November, 1983.

" Human response in disasters," American Red Cross, Mile High l

Chapter, Boulder Region, Boulder: July, 1983.

" Integrated emergency management: challenges and opportunities,"

Plenary Session of the Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1983.

"Public rGOnse to flood disasters," Conference on the Need for Teamwork in Managing Flood Hazards, Association of State Floodplain Manager, Sacramento: April, 1983.

" Natural hazards, disasters and public policy," Environmental i

Management Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles: April, 19t,2.

" Myths of disaster response," Earthquake Planning Conference for Business and Industry, Los Angeles: May, 1982

" Communicating lessons learned from social science research on earthquakes," Workshop of Identifying and Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes," Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Los Altos: December, 1982.

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" Social causes of earthquake prediction-warning response:

implications for the design of California's warning system and information dissemination," Southern California. Earchquake

~ Preparedness Project, Van Nuys: October, 1981.

" Assessment of research on natural hazards: what have we learned and what problems demand further attention," Natural Hazardc Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: July, 1981.

" Disaster reconstruction: patterns to guide planning," Governor's Task Force for Earthquake Emergency Preparedness, Committee on Long Range Reconstruction, Sacremento, July, 1981.

"Socio-cultural dimensions of earthquake risk," Governor's I

Emergency Task Force on Earthquakes, General Assembly, Sacramento: May, 1981.

"Interorganizational relations and service delivery systems,"

Health Sciences Center, University of Colorado, Denver: October, 1980.

l

" Social response to earthquake prediction: local policy issues,"

j Southern California Emergency Services Association, Montebello:

February, 1980.

" Human response to weather-borne hazards warnings," Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University: October, 1979.

" Natural hazards, disasters and social research," Department of Sociology, University of Denver: December, 1980, 1979.

" Measuring implementation of public policy for floodplain land use controls," Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, Boulder: August, 1978.

" Socioeconomic eff ects of earthquake prediction and state policy," Conference on State Policy for Earthquake Prediction Technology, Boulder: November, 1977.

" Population, resources and policy for social change," College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University: September,1977; February, 1978; February, 1980.

"The behavior of government and corporate organizations in an earthquake prediction," American Society for Public Administration, Colorado Chapter, Denver: April, 1976.

"The social and economic aspects of scientifically credible earthquake predictions," California State Seminar on Emergency Preparedness and Earthquake Prediction, Palm Springs: June, 1976.

" Preparing to make use of earthquake predictions," Emergency Preparedness Commission for the County and Cities of Los Angeles, Montebello: February, 1976.

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"The social ' organization of hazard warning systems," Engineering Foundation Conference on Decision Making for Natural Hazards,'

Pacific Grove: March, 1976.

'" Briefing on the likely social and economic impacts of earthquake prediction," Governor's Conference Room, Sacramento: May, 1975; Mayor's Conference Room,-Los Angeles: October, 1975.

"- Social, economic and'1egal. aspects of earthquake prediction,"

. General Assembly of the International Union 'of Geodesy and Geophysics, Granoble: September, 1975.

" Earthquake prediction and its. implications for emergency preparedness," Center for Community Studies, Tokyo: September, 1975.

" Social impacts of earthquake predicti n: implications for

~

policy," California Water.and Power Earthquake Engineering Forum, San Francisco: April, 1975.

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e; 4

QTggE PROFESSIONAL SERVICE Organizer add Presider

.Sessio~n on Applied Sociology, ' Pacific Socio1'ogical Association, e

Seattle: April,1984; Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Dieso: April,s1984; Session on Methodological-Approaches' in the Study cf Health Care Delivery j;

Systems, _ Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April, 1984; Session on Erthquake Hazard Reduction: Is che National

Earthquake _ Hazard Reduction Program Meeting its Congressional Mandate, Seventh Annual Workshop on Natural _ Hazards.Research Applications, Boulder: July, 1982; Session;on Disasters and Cataclysms: Can Sociology Help, Pacific Sociological Association, San Diego: April,1982; session on Collective Behavior, American -

Sociological Association, New York: August, -1980; session on Complex Organizations, Pacific Sociological Association,. San

' Francisco: April,1980; Session _on Complex Organizations,. Western Social Science Association, Tempe, 1976.

Discussant Session on Theoretical Assessments, Western Social Science Association, San Diego: April,1984; Session on Societal Response.

to Hazards, American Sociological Association, San Antonio:

August, 1984; Session on Public Response to Earth Science Information, Natural Hazards Research Applications Workshop, d

Boulder: July, 1980; Session.on Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder: June,1976; Session on i

Warning Systems, National Conference on Natural Hazards, Boulder:

l July, 1975; Session on Disaster Relief and Warning Systems, t

National Conference on Natural Hazards, Estes Park: June, 1973.

Particicant Panel on Disaster Research Its Funding and Future, American Sociological Association, San Antonio: August, 1984; Review Panel, Corresponding Member, Task Group on Social and Economic Aspects of Earthquakes, National Academy of Sciences,. National F

Research Council, Commission on Sociotechnical-Systems, Washington, D.C.: 1982; Workshop on Disseminating Lessons Learned from Recent Earthquakes, Earthquake Engineering Research l

Institute, Los. Altos: December,1982; Tennessee Valley Authority Flood Plain Evaluation Panel, Boulder: November,1982; Earthquake Piediction Warning Task Force Workshop, Southern California Etrthquake Preparedness Project, Asilomar: _ December, 1981;-

Symposium on Earthquake Prediction, Preparedness and Human Respona, San Fernando: June,1976; Seminar on Disaster Research, Colorado State University, Fort Collins: February, 1975; Symposium

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on Complex Organizations: Research_ and Applications, Western Social Science Association, El Paso: April, 1974.

Editorshios 18 l-I

C Corresponding editor on Hazards and Disaster, Environmental Socioloov, _ Newsletter 'of the Section on' Environmental Sociology of the American Sociological Association, 1981-date; Guest editor, special issue on Environmental Stress, Threat and Social System Response,-Haag E:::ercencies 1(4):247-346, 1976.

'Testimnnv

- Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffolk: December, 1983 through June, 1984; Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the matter of emergency planning at. the Wolf Creek generating station, Burlington, Kansas: January,1984; Nuclear-Regulatory Commission in the matter of pre-emergency public education and information for emergenc New Orleans: y planning at the Waterford Three nuclear reactor, February,1983; Suffolk County Legislature, State of New York, in the matter of emergency planning at the Shoreham nuclear reactor, Suffold: January,1983; Nuclear Regulatory.

Commission in the matter of emergency planning at the Diablo Canyon nuclear reactor, San Luis Obisbo: January, 1982; Senate Subcommittee on Science, Technology and Space in the matter of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act, Washington, D.C.:

April, 1980; Nuclear _ Regulatory ~ Commission in the matter of the impact of floating nuclear plants on tourist behavior, Bethesda:

May, 1977 and July, 1978.

4 Lecislative and Procram Reviews Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, U.S. Congerssional Panel, Federal Emergency Management-Agency, 1983-82; Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program of the U.S. Geological Survey,1982; Final Regulations for Floodplain Management and Protection of Wetlands, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Federal Register 176(45):59520-59538, 1980; Applied Research Program Evaluation, National Science Foundation, 1979-78.

Prooosal Reviews Societal Response Program of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National Science Foundation, 1984-81; Division of Policy Research

{

and Analysis, National Science Foundation, 1983; Sociology Program, National Science Foundation, 1982-81; Design Research Program, National Science Foundation, 1982; Division of Problem Focused Research, National Science Foundation,1980; Division of International Proarams, National Science Foundation, 1978; Division of Advanced Environmental Research and Technology, National Science Foundation, 1978-76.

Article Reviews

. Human Relations, 1984-83, 1978-77; Sociolacical Persoectives (Pacific Sociolooical Review),1984; Deviant Behavior, 1983; Risk Analysis,1983; Thg Environmental Professional, 1983-82; SociolocY and Social Research, 1982-81, 1979-78, 1976; Social Forces,1980; Thg Environmental Professional,1982; The Social 19

r Science Journal, 1981-77; Bulletin gf 1;he Seismoloaical Society 91 America,1982; Sociolocical. Focus,1980; Mass Emeraencies, 1978, 1976-75; Policy Analysis,1978; Thg Socioloaical Ouarterly, 1975; Current Research ja Earthauake Prediction, 1984.

Other Reviews L. Lave and D. Epple, " Future Scenarios," Chapter 21' in R. W.

Kates ( Ed.). Climate Impagt Assessment: Studies 21.t;ha Interaction gf Climate and Society. Geneva, for the International Council of Scientific Union's Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment,1982; Study gn Earthauake Hazards Information Dissemination: Charleston, South Carolina. Reston for the U. S.

Geological Survey, 1982.

Decart mant and University Service Department Executive Committee, 1984-82, 1980-77; Department ad hoc Committee on Research Space,1983; Department Five-Year Review Committee, 1982; Department Comprehensive Examination Committee, 1984-75; Department Evaluation of Independent Study Courses, 1978; University Committee on Ethnic Studies, 1976-74; University Committee on Latin American Studies, 1975-74.

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TEACHING Courses Taucht-(undergraduate)

Introduction to Sociology Complex Organizations Demographic Processes and Social Change Historical Sociological Theory Research Methods Sociology of Hazards and Disasters Courses Taucht (graduate)

Advanced Quantitative Analysis Multiple Regression and Path Analysis Research Methods I-Research Methods II Demography and Population Complex Organizations Graduate Theses and Dissertations Chair, Ph.D. Dissertation Committee, 5 Member, Ph.D. Committees, 12 Chair, M.A. Thesis Committees, 3 Member, M.A. Committees, 12 Student Evaluations Ranked as excellent by most students in most courses; evaluation summaries are available upon request.

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