ML19247B265

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Supplemental Testimony of Tl Winters Re Update of Costs to Reflect Schedule Changes.Testimony Based on Update of Fuel & Capital Plant Costs,Which Are 20% Higher than 1978 Estimates
ML19247B265
Person / Time
Site: Skagit
Issue date: 06/29/1979
From: Winters T
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
To:
Shared Package
ML19247B252 List:
References
NUDOCS 7908080263
Download: ML19247B265 (2)


Text

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e n-E SUPPLEMENTAL TESTIMONY OF TOBEY L. WINTERS ON STAFF UPDATE OF SKAGIT COSTS TO REFLECT SCHEDULE CHANGES The staff has updated previous estimates of Skagit nuclear costs in Table 1 due to the revision in applicant's schedule and costs.

Previous estimates of cost compari-sons (which are also shown in Table 1) showed close agreement between thb applicant's and staff's costs both in the original submission in 1977 (reflected in Table 2-2, Supplemental Testimony of Tobey L. Winters, Cost-Benefit Analysis) and the update in 1978 (reflected in applicant's answer to Interrogatory No. 7, January 6, 1978).

The staff has updated these costs again to reflect the applicant's testimony on Financial Qualifications dated 1 June 1979. The format for this latter submission is different than previous submissions by the applicant. For consistency, the staff has adjusted the applicant's finaricial data to reflect (1) scope changes; (2) esca-lation on new scope; (3) change from 1978 to 1979 dollars; and (4) increased escalation due to an 18-month rather 12-month schedule change. These changes were added to previous estimates of escalation and Allowance for Funds Used During Construction (AFDC).

The old staff estimates were then updated to reflect the same inflation and escalation factors of 6% and 7% based on previous staff estimates of escalation and capital.

The j

staff estimates of AFDC were retained, but applicant scope changes were added to the staft h previous estimates. With these adjustments, the staff finds that the appli-cant's estimates of costs are again in close agreement with staff's independent estimates and are, therefore, reasonable.

e Consequently, based on the staff's update of fuel (14.5 mills /kWh) and the appli-a cant's update of capital (40 mills /kWh), the staff now estimates the cost of Skagit x

at 54.5 mills /kWh.

This compares with the staff's estimate in 1977 of between 43 1

'^

to 46 mills /kWh and our estimate in 1978 of between 44 to 47 mills /kWh.

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TABLE 1 c3 Comparison of Estimates of Capital Cost:

Units 1 and 2

~~

A 6

(in 10 dollars) c~

Date of Operation for Units

.c Cost Item Total Direct and Indirect 6/84 & 6/86 3/85 & 3/87 9/87 & 9/88 Costs (at 0.35g), including c

Escalation and AFDC at time Applicant 52738

$2934

$3325.5 of operation 8

b d

Staff

$2724

$2827

$3191.1 Estimate of Total Levelized Applicant 33.1 35.4 40 Cost to Utility (Mills /kWh)

Staff 32.9 34.1 38.4 a

Based on December 1977 run of the CONCEPT Computer Code Based on staff estimate of updated costs as reflected in applicant's answer to Interrogatory No. 7 dated January 6, 1978 c

Extracted from applicant's testimony on financial qualifications, 1 June 1979, Tables 1-1 through 1-3.

Costs include new plant, percentage of new escalation attributable to new plant, inflation, and previous estimate of AFDC and escalation d

Includes applicant's adjustment factors for inflation, escalation, and plant costs with previous staff estimates

.