ML19044A772

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Exhibit 3 to Saouma Declaration: Sauoma, Experimental and Numerical Investigation of Alkali Silica Reaction in Nuclear Reactors, Final Summary Report
ML19044A772
Person / Time
Site: Seabrook NextEra Energy icon.png
Issue date: 02/13/2019
From:
C-10 Research & Education Foundation, Harmon, Curran, Harmon, Curran, Spielberg & Eisenberg, LLP
To:
NRC/SECY
SECY RAS
Shared Package
ML19044A766 List:
References
50-443-LA-2, 50-443-LAR, ASLBP 17-953-02-LA-BD01, RAS 54795
Download: ML19044A772 (23)


Text

Saouma Dec. Ex. 3 Experimental and Numerical Investigation of Alkali Silica Reaction in Nuclear Reactors Grant No.: NRC-HQ-60-14-G-0010 Oct. 2014 - Dec. 2017

($703,197)

Final (Public) Summary Report*

December 2017 Principal Investigator Victor E. Saouma University of Colorado, Boulder NRC Technical Contact Madhumita Sircar

  • Synthesis of Confidential Reports:

1-A: Design of an AAR Prone Concrete Mix for Large Scale Testing 1-B: AAR Expansion; Effect of Reinforcement, Specimen Type, and Temperature 1-C: Effect of AAR on Shear Strength of Panels 2: Diagnosis & Prognosis of AAR in Existing Structures 3-a: Risk Based Assessment of the Effect of AAR on Shear Walls Strength 3-b: Probabilistic Based Nonlinear Seismic Analysis of Nuclear Containment Vessel Structures with AAR

NOTES This report provides a synthesis of the following confidential documents submitted to the NRC:

1-A: Design of an AAR-Prone Concrete Mix for Large-Scale Testing (93 pages).

1-B: AAR Expansion; Effect of Reinforcement, Specimen Type, and Temperature (123 pages).

1-C: Effect of AAR on the Shear Strength of Panels (90 pages).

2: Diagnosis & Prognosis of AAR in Existing Structures (191 pages).

3-A: Risk-Based Assessment of the Effect of AAR on Shear Wall Strength (25 pages).

3-B: Probabilistic-Based Nonlinear Seismic Analysis of Nuclear Containment Vessel Structures with AAR (216 pages).

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Examples of analysis performed within this report are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world analytic products as they are based only on very limited and dated open source information.

2

Contents 1 Introduction 5 1.1 Objectives and Main Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2 Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.3 PI Credentials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2 Research Tasks 6 2.1 Task 1: Shear Strength Degradation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2.1.1 Task 1-A: Concrete Mix Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2.1.2 Task 1-B: Expansion Monitoring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1.3 Task 1-C*: Shear Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.2 Task 2: Prognosis for Future Expansion/RILEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.3 Task 3: Finite Element Simulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.3.1 Task 3-A: Risk-Based Assessment of Shear Walls . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.3.2 Task 3-B: Risk Assessment of an NCVS Subjected to AAR and Seismic Excitation . . 16 3 Synthesis and Conclusion 21 4 Recommendations for Future Work 21 List of Figures 1 Expansion of mortar bar tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2 14 x 14 x 14 blocks with various reinforcements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 3 Storage of specimens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 4 Examples of recorded measurements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 5 Example of an expansion measurement analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 6 Experimental Set-up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 7 Interaction between model and specimens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 8 Compressive strength vs. tensile splitting strength . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 9 Test Matrix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 10 Experimental and numerical results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 11 FEA simulations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 12 Test set-up for the shear wall . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 13 Structural response of shear wall under cyclic displacement (without ASR) . . . . . . . . . . 15 14 Results of shear wall analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 15 Geometry and model idealization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 16 Loads imposed on the NCVS analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 17 Response of NPP under an AAR analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 18 Response of NCVS under AAR and seismic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 19 Principal stress-time histories from the seismic analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 20 Crack profile from seismic analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 21 Dynamic testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 3

List of Tables 1 Standards used for aggregate and concrete testing programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2 Statistical analysis of results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 4

1 Introduction 1.1 Objectives and Main Conclusion 1 This project has addressed the two most important questions raised by a nuclear containment vessel structure (NCVS) subjected to Alkali-Aggregate Reaction (AAR):

1. How fast will the reaction evolve, and what is the anticipated maximum expansion?
2. Is the resilience (i.e. ability to safely withstand an earthquake) affected and, if so, by how much?

Those are critical question the beyond 60 possible life extension of NCVS.

2 It will be shown herein that based on the tests (high expansion of 0.6%) and analyses (moderate expansion of 0.3%) performed, a 20% degradation is likely to occur in both cases.

1.2 Tasks 3 In recognition of the fact that this is a complex coupled problem requiring expertise in both materials (understanding, testing) and structures (ability to conduct credible analyses), a holistic approach has been implemented to complete the following tasks:

Task 1: Two subtasks are summarized in the reports:

1-A: Mix Design Design a concrete mix (with locally available aggregates) that will expand by approximately 0.5% in 6 months, has a compressive strength of around 4,500 psi, a 3 slump and low air content.

1-B Expansion Monitoring: Cast not only 16 shear specimens but many others as well1 (such as specimens with various uniaxial, biaxial or triaxial reinforcements), cure them under controlled conditions and assess both expansion and crack indices.

1-C Shear tests*: assess shear strength degradation of plain and structural concrete subjected to AAR.

Task 2*: Develop a diagnosis and prognosis tool based on the accelerated test in order to assess residual expansion over time. More specifically: a) Diagnosis to estimate the degree of reaction in concrete along with the corresponding expansion; b) Prognosis to predict future and ultimate ASR expansion; and c) provide results in a format suitable for proper finite element simulation.

Task 3: Numerical simulations using our Merlin finite element code and its constitutive model for AAR, which has been adopted by many researchers and practitioners. Two subtasks are included:

3-A: Risk-Based Assessment of a shear wall subjected to a reverse cyclic load and tested at the University of Toronto. These steps were carried out within the scope of an ASCET round robin.

3-B Impact of AAR on Seismic Response* of an NCVS.

Each of these tasks will be summarized separately. Those identified by an

  • directly address the scope of the project, others are supportive tasks.

1.3 PI Credentials 4 Victor Saouma is a Professor of Civil Engineering at the University of Colorado in Boulder; Chair of RILEMs Committee on the Prognosis of deterioration and loss of serviceability in structures affected by alkali-silica reactions; past President of FraMCoS (Fracture Mechanics of Concrete); conducted AAR related research for the Swiss federal dam safety agency, the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO), the Oak 1 Note: The contract called for 8 specimens, with no monitoring of additional specimens.

5

Ridge National Laboratory; Member of the Materials Aging and Degradation (MAaD) External Review Committee (ORNL, Light Water Reactor Sustainability R&D Program); past member of the Expanded Proactive Materials Degradation Analysis Expert Panel (PMDA) for concrete in nuclear reactors; Reviewer of the French research program MACENA (associated with VeRCoRs); recently published an EPRI report on the numerical modeling of NCVS; is about to launch a major 3-year research program on AAR for the Bureau of Reclamation; published a book on Numerical Modeling of AAR; has published over 30 papers on AAR, chloride diffusion, Seismic Analysis and Stochastic Analyses (his paper on an AAR constitutive model is probably the most widely copied and cited); has pioneered dynamic testing (real-time hybrid simulation);

is also the Managing Partner of a recently formed consulting company X-Elastica.

2 Research Tasks 2.1 Task 1: Shear Strength Degradation 2.1.1 Task 1-A: Concrete Mix Design 5 Assessment of the impact of AAR through a laboratory testing campaign hinges on our ability to replicate a mix design that is representative of the one used in NCVS. For starters, reactive aggregates had to be identified in Colorado, then the concrete mix design had to be developed.

6 Two sources of aggregates were first identified, and expansion mortar tests were performed on variously-sized aggregates, Fig. 1. Both sources yielded highly reactive aggregates, and one was selected.

1.5 Expansion [%]

1 0.5 0

120 B 3/4 100 A 3/8 80 B Sand 60 A 3/4 40 20 A 3/8 Time [day] 0 A Sand Aggregate Figure 1: Expansion of mortar bar tests 7 Following the selection of an aggregate source, a concrete mix design with: a minimum compressive strength of 4,000 psi [27.6 MPa], a slump2 of 5 in. [12.7 cm], an air content set at 3%, and, most importantly, the expansion target for reactive samples set at a relatively high 0.5% (to be reached within approximately 6 months under 95% RH and 38 C temperature) had to be designed.

8 In order to enhance the reaction, cement with a high natural alkalinity was selected and then the alkalinity was further raised by adding sodium hydroxide.

9 Control specimens used the same reactive aggregates3 ; however, they were (successfully) enriched with lithium, which inhibited the reaction.

10 Throughout this task, ASTM standards were strictly respected, Table 1.

2 The slump value is slightly higher than normal; however, most specimens had to receive closely-spaced reinforcements and moreover no superplasticizer was used so as not to interfere with either the sodium hydroxide or lithium, which were introduced to enhance or inhibit the AAR reaction.

3 It is the P.I. firm conviction that using a different non-reactive aggregate, or fly ash, can be very misleading when interpreting results.

6

Table 1: Standards used for aggregate and concrete testing programs Aggregate Tests Standard Concrete Test Standard Coarse aggregate relative density ASTM C127 Slump ASTM C173 Fine aggregate relative density ASTM C128 Unit Weight ASTM C138 Coarse aggregate bulk density ASTM C29 Air Content ASTM C231 Fineness modulus/gradation ASTM C136 Temperature ASTM C1064 Moisture content ASTM C566 Compressive Strength ASTM C39 ASR Expansion Modified ASTM C1293 11 A petrographic analysis of the concrete prism and two mortar bars was conducted to verify that the expansion observed was indeed a result of expansive gels due to ASR. The reactive aggregates were identified as a reactive mix of porous and semi-porous flint-like grains, metamorphic, sedimentary and magmatic rock types.

12 Average expansions of the cast concrete are shown below in Fig. 4(a) for specimens stored in the fog room (average RH 95%, T =38 C) 2.1.2 Task 1-B: Expansion Monitoring 13 16 concrete panels were to be cast for testing once sufficient expansion had occurred. It was thus decided to pour a total of 37 additional specimens in order to monitor expansion under different conditions (10 6x6x14, 12 4x4x16 prisms, and 15 14x14x14 blocks). These various specimens were stored under different temperatures, and some were fitted with strain and temperature gages.

14 In an attempt to further elucidate the impact of isotropic or anisotropic reinforcement on expansion, the 14 x 14 x 14 blocks were assigned different reinforcement ratios using #3 or # 4 steel reinforcement, Fig. 2.

Figure 2: 14 x 14 x 14 blocks with various reinforcements 15 The fog room arrangement for specimens stored at 95 F and 90% RH was carefully planned (due to limited size), Fig. 3(a).

16 The leaching (caused by a difference in alkalinity between specimen and ambient air) of alkalinity from the concrete was a major potential problem. It was addressed by wrapping specimens in burlap and continuously wetting them with a 1M aqueous sodium hydroxide (NaOH) solution, Fig. 3(b).

17 A total of 147 expansion readings were recorded periodically, stored in a database and then analyzed.

The expansion readings were continuously recorded, Fig. 4(a).

7

(a) Installation of reactive and non- (b) Sprinkler system wetting the reactive shear specimens, blocks, burlap-wrapped shear specimen prisms and cylinders in the fog room Figure 3: Storage of specimens 18 Likewise, some 160 crack index readings were recorded at age 520 days (with 0.005 resolution), Fig. 4(b).

0.8 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 Crack Index [%]

0.6 P14-M-1; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; FR 0.6 P14-M-1; Reb: 1; TG: 11; SG: 11; FR P14-M-1; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; Lab 0.4 P14-M-1; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; Lab 0.5 P14-M-2; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; Lab P14-M-2; Reb: 0; TG: 12; SG: 0; Lab 0.2 P14-M-3; Reb: 0; TG: 13; SG: 0; FR 0.4 P14-M-3; Reb: 1; TG: 0; SG: 13; FR Expansion [%]

P14-M-3; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; Lab 0

P14-M-3; Reb: 0; TG: 0; SG: 0; Lab 0.3 E- V2 E- V1 A: 2 X0 E- H 1

0.2 Y E- H D X0 0Z

X B-V2 6- 4Y 4Z Y 0 B- V1 1- B: A B- B-8- :X0 4Z4 4 0.1 H 2 3- A- H 11 C:X Y0 4 A- V2 1

13 -A: 0Y Z0 5-A-

A-H V1 0 -F X0 3Z H 2

X Y 3 16 l1 6 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 r1 7 17 17 l1 7 17 17 17 17 17 4Y 0Z 1 Ju n Ju Au g

Au g O ct O

ct D

ec D

ec Ja n

M ar Ap M

ay Ju n Ju Au g p Se O ct N

ov D

ec 3Z 0 01 01 01 31 01 31 01 31 31 03 02 03 02 03 02 02 02 02 03 34 (a) Expansions of all 6 x 6 x 14-inch prisms (P14) (b) Crack Indices for Cubes Figure 4: Examples of recorded measurements 19 The extensive (multi-variable) database was then analyzed and various effects were quantified, Fig. 5.

Temperature Effects on 4"x4"x16" Prims 1

Fog Room C:X0Y3Z3 0.6 P16-lb-nr 0.9 AAR Strain [%]

X rho = 0 Normalized Expansion wrt X 0.8 Y rho = 0.34 0.4 y = 0.58 x Z rho = 0.34 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.5 0

0.4 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 days Reference AAR Strain (P16-fr-nr) [%]

(a) Normalized expansions for various (b) Effect of Temperature on Prisms reinforcement ratios Figure 5: Example of an expansion measurement analysis 8

2.1.3 Task 1-C*: Shear Tests 20 This is one of the two most important tasks: the experimental assessment of the impact of AAR on the shear strength of both plain and reinforced concrete. The former is a material characterization, while the latter involves a structural characterization.

21 The shear strength assessment should not be corrupted by flexural stresses4 . On the other hand, perfect shear tests are mechanically impossible, yet they may be closely approximated through a complex set-up.

22 The test concept is illustrated in Fig. 6(a). A 10x30x40-inch concrete block (plain or reinforced) is first placed inside a stiff cage, or shear box (shown in blue) and is then subjected to: a) a constant lateral confinement force (simulating the vertical stress at the simulated location); and b) two opposing vertical forces applied through eccentrically placed pads (shown in black), thus the vertical forces are ultimately imposing shear forces. As a result, a diagonal crack will develop within the (red) band. Finally, the shear box is placed within the confines of a one million-pound (previously calibrated) MTS testing machine, Fig.

6(b).

4" MTS Head 10" 30" MTS Head 21" (a) Concrete panel inside the shear box. (b) Shear box inside the testing machine Figure 6: Experimental Set-up 23 For the structural assessment, the panels must be correlated with an actual NCVS within the limits of testing constraints. Conceptually speaking, the model may be viewed as extracted from the NCVS, rotated 90 degrees and then inserted into the load frame for testing, Fig. 7.

24 It is important to note that the circumferential reinforcement (shown in blue) corresponds to the short transverse steel rods in the specimen, while the vertical (red) rods correspond to the axial reinforcements in the specimen.

25 Prior to testing, the 28-day compressive strength was correlated with the one-year tensile splitting strength, revealing noticeable deterioration in the latter for the reactive concrete, Fig. 8.

26 Six groups of specimens (labeled A through H) were tested, Fig. 9. Most specimens where subjected to a 4 For this reason, shear strength cannot reliably be assessed using beams.

9

Figure 7: Interaction between model and specimens 750 Batch 1 (AAR)

Batch 2 (AAR) 700 Batch 3 (AAR)

Control 650 600

~1 year f t [psi]

550 500 450 400 350 300 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 28 days f c [psi]

Figure 8: Compressive strength vs. tensile splitting strength baseline confining force (based on the concrete weight above the level considered), while others were tested at lower or higher values to assess their impact on strength. The test matrix can be better visualized (and understood) by means of Fig. 9.

Control (No AAR)

Confinement Low Normal High 13, 14 Reinforcement F 16 15 No Reinforcement G H A/F Effect of AAR for reinforced concrete, normal confinement D/G Effect of AAR on plain concrete, normal 10 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 11 confinement Reinforcement B 9 A C B/A Effect of low confinement on AAR reinforced concrete 4, 8 12 C/A Effect of high confinement on AAR reinforced No Reinforcement D E concrete E/D Effect of high confinement on AAR plain concrete E/H Effect of AAR on plain concrete high confinement Confinement Low Normal High H/G Effect of high confinement on plain concrete i S[ecimens ID AAR Figure 9: Test Matrix 27 For the previously defined test matrix, the 7 following questions were investigated:

Effect of AAR on material and structural responses:

1. A-F What is the effect of AAR on reinforced concrete (structure) subjected to a base confinement?

10

2. D-G What is the effect of AAR on plain concrete (material) subjected to a base confinement?
3. E-H What is the effect of AAR on plain concrete (material) subjected to high confinement?

Effect of Confinements under various scenarios. This will nullify (to some extent) the impact of the selected baseline normal traction and moreover confirm the result of whether a higher confinement yields a higher failure shear force:

4. B-A What is the effect of low confinement on reinforced concrete with AAR?
5. C-A What is the effect of high confinement on reinforced concrete with AAR?
6. E-D What is the effect of high confinement on plain concrete with AAR?
7. H-G What is the effect of high confinement on plain concrete without AAR?

28 At the time of testing, the AAR expansion was about 0.6%, Fig. 4(a).

29 Fig. 10(a) summarizes all of the 16 individual experimental and numerical (to be discussed further below) results in a single diagram. In absolute value terms, these results are relatively insignificant, as they would need to be normalized (as dictated by the questions raised above). Fig. 10(b) shows the normalized means (when more than one data point exists) with respect to the reference means (as indicated in Fig. 9).

(a) Raw results (b) Normalized experimental and numerical results Figure 10: Experimental and numerical results 11

30 A statistical summary of these test results is provided in Table 2, along with an attempt at normalizing shear forces with fc0 , fc0 and ft0 (lets recall herein that the ACI shear strength equation is a function of p

p fc0 ).

Table 2: Statistical analysis of results P1 P2 P3 P4 p

Exp. Pmax P 1/ fc0 P 1/fc0 P 1/ft A, B, C, D, E Cumulative Mean 202.64 91.11 41.15 549.20 std/Mean 16% 16% 19% 22%

F, G, H Cumulative Mean 247.65 103.73 43.45 364.19 std/Mean 18% 18% 18% 18%

31 A finite element simulation of the tests was performed using the code named Merlin. The numerically computed load-displacement curves are shown in Figs. 11(a) and 11(b), while the corresponding experimental results are simply presented as an asymptotic horizontal peak value5 . Fig. 11(c) shows the extent of internal cracking, corresponding to various points along the load-displacement curve.

1.5 1

0.8 Load [MN] Load [MN]

1 0.6 Norm conf. - With Reinf.

0.4 Norm conf. - No Reinf.

0.5 Norm conf. - With Reinf.

Norm conf. - No Reinf Low conf. - With Reinf.

0.2 High conf. - No Reinf. High conf. - With Reinf.

0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 0.5 1 1.5 Displacement [mm] Displacement [mm]

(a) Control specimens (b) AAR 1.5 1.2 Load [kN]

0.9 0.6 0.3 0

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Displacement [mm]

(c) Computed internal cracking, in terms of the load-displacement curve Figure 11: FEA simulations.

32 Based on the above, the following observations can be proposed:

1. Test results are remarkably close within a given group. The normalized standard deviations for series A, D and F (where more than one test is available) are 5.0, 2.0 and 0.58 percent, respectively. This finding reinforces the reliability of our test program.

5 Experimentally speaking, the measured actuator stroke included substantial elastic deformation of the blue cage housing the specimen, Fig. 6(a).

12

2. The finite element simulations accurately replicated the experimental results. Hence, a similar simula-tion could assess with good reliability the shear degradation corresponding to different levels of AAR expansion.
3. The AAR causes a 20% reduction in shear strength for reinforced concrete specimens (i.e. structural effect) under base confinement; A/F.
4. The AAR causes a 20% reduction in shear strength for non-reinforced concrete specimens (i.e. ma-terial effect) under base confinement; D/G.
5. The AAR causes a 20% reduction in shear strength for non-reinforced concrete specimens (i.e. ma-terial effect) under high confinement; E/H.
6. A reduction in confinement for reinforced concrete panels with AAR resulted in a 20% reduction in shear strength; B/A.
7. An increase in confinement for reinforced concrete panels with AAR resulted in a 10% increase in shear strength; C/A. This effect is not accurately replicated numerically.
8. An increase in confinement for non-reinforced concrete panels with AAR resulted in an 10%increase in shear strength of; E/D.
9. An increase in confinement for non-reinforced concrete panels without AAR resulted in a 20% increase in shear strength; H/G.

fc0 , fc0 and ft (P 2, P 3, and P 4, p

10. When experimental shear strength P 1 is normalized with respect to respectively) for all test series, see Table 2, the lowest normalized standard deviations are associated with P 1 and P 2. Non-reactive concrete exhibits slightly higher values (18% vs. 16%); however, this effect may be due to the limited number of data points (4 instead of 12).
11. The shear strength degradation of 20% is less than the splitting tensile strength decrease (50%),

Fig. 8.

33 All these results had been anticipated but, prior to this present research program, were not yet quantifiable.

2.2 Task 2: Prognosis for Future Expansion/RILEM 34 A RILEM Committee chaired by the P.I. is dedicated to this task. The roughly 36-member committee contains all the renowned leaders in this specific field of concern.

35 Working Groups:

WG1: - Diagnosis and prognosis of AAS in existing structures Prognosis The report will address:

1) Diagnoses based on petrographic and microscopic interpretation to estimate the degree of past ex-pansion ; 2) Accelerated residual testing to predict future ultimate expansions that can be achieved in laboratory conditions; 3) Procedure to use the above as input data for a finite element simulation; and 4) Sample reports for each method. Part 1 has been completed, and Part 2 is nearly completed6 .

Parts 3 and 4 have just gotten underway.

WG-2: Numerical Benchmark/Round-Robin Analyses Lists about 12 simple problems (related to both materials and structures) to be analyzed by FEA codes for validation. This report is complete and, to the best of our understanding, the P.I. is the only to have completed all analyses.

WG3: - Field Assessment and Monitoring The first part, dealing with NDE and written by Giannini, Jacobs and Rivard, is now complete. Currently, Courtois and Grimal (Electricite de France) will be 6 Contributors: Canada-Laval-Fournier, Canada-Ottawa-Sanchez, France-IFSTTAR-LCPC-Martin, France-Toulouse-Sellier, Japan-Katayama, Spain-Torroja-Menendez, Switzerland-EMPA-Leeman, UK-Wood.

13

revising and upgrading the document to address field assessments.

WG4: Impacts of ASR on Hydraulic Structures and Nuclear Power Plants Problems and Research Needs. The initial version was written by Amberg (Lombardi, Switzerland) and Gocevski (HydroQue-bec) for the hydro and nuclear fields, respectively. This document will be revised and edited by Grimmal (Electricite de France).

36 Our next annual meeting will be held May 21-22 at the Bureau of Reclamation in Denver (NRC staff is hereby invited).

23rd Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology 37 The committee should wrap up its work in 2019. Manchester, United Kingdom - August 10-14, 2015 Division I 2.3 Task 3: Finite Element Simulations Seven LVDTs were used to measure the horizontal displacement along the height of the specimen from bottom beam to the top beam on both sides of the specimen. The Force - Displacement plot was obtained 2.3.1 Task 3-A: Risk-Based Assessment of Shear Walls of the forces from both actuators against displacement of top of the shear wall using the summation (bottom of the top beam) with respect to the top of the lower beam.

38 OECD/NEA/CSNI has released a benchmark problem centered on a shear walls tested at the University of Toronto. Shear walls, Fig. 12, with and without AAR were tested. Results (load displacement curve) after a 260 days expansion were made23rdavailable, Conference on and participants Structural were Mechanics in Reactor requested to predict response at 1,000 days.

Technology Manchester, United Kingdom - August 10-14, 2015 By general consensus, the data provided by the University of Toronto Division I were incomplete and questionable.

39 CU Seven LVDTsBoulder were usednevertheless participated to measure the horizontal displacementin along thisthe exercise and height of the spentfrom specimen a substantial (and unallocated) amount bottom beam to the top beam on both sides of the specimen. The Force - Displacement plot was obtained of time using completing the summation the from of the forces exercise. The against both actuators originality of the displacement analysis of top of the shearwas wallits probabilistic basis embedded into a (bottom of the top beam) with respect to the top of the lower beam.

comprehensive report. All other reports were deterministic. Figure 3: Schematic drawing showing the test setup for shear walls Figure 3: Schematic drawing showing the test setup for shear walls Figure 4: Test setup of a shear wall showing the top frame and loading beam Figure 12: Test set-up for the shear wall The specimens were loaded using the two actuators working simultaneously. The rate of loading began with 0.005 mm/sec and was increased to a maximum of 0.15 mm/sec as cycles progressed. The first two cycles applied 0.2 mm lateral displacement in the plane of the wall in each direction and the subsequent 40 A preliminary deterministic analysis yielded the cycles resultswereshown at maximum indisplacements Fig. 13. of 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 1, 1.4, 1.8, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 4.5, 5.5, 6, and 7 mm. For each displacement two complete cycles were applied. For the Regular shear wall, after completing 2 cycles at 7 mm, the load was increased monotonically until the wall could not maintain the axial load of 41 Prior to conducting a probabilistic analysis, a sensitivity 800 kN which analysis happened at was performed.

a displacement of 8.2 mm. 15In potential the case of thevariables ASR wall, the specimen was pushed in one direction by 7 mm in the first cycle and then in the opposite direction. During this part of were selected, each one assigned a probability distribution function, and 31 analyses were then performed.

the cycle, the axial load started to drop as the lateral displacement increased and needed constant increase in load. At 7 mm displacement, it was decided to continue load monotonically and at 7.1 mm, the wall Sensitivities were then sorted, and these results arefailed shown in the to maintain theaxialformat load. The of a so-called test was Tornado terminated at that point. Diagram, Fig. 14(a). The corresponding prediction is displayed in Fig.

RESULTS AND14(b)

OBSERVATIONS Figure 4: Test setup of a shear wall showing the top frame and loading beam 42 Following the sensitivity analysis, of the 15 potential variables, only 5 were selected, and a Monte Carlo-The specimens were loaded using the two actuators working simultaneously. The rate of loading began based with 0.005 simulation mm/sec and waswith Latin-Hypercube increased to a maximum of 0.15 mm/secsampling was as cycles carriedTheout.

progressed. first two cycles applied 0.2 mm lateral displacement in the plane of the wall in each direction and the subsequent cycles were at maximum displacements of 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 1, 1.4, 1.8, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 4.5, 5.5, 6, and 7 mm. For 43 This step was achieved through a special software developed in-house that starts with a spreadsheet each displacement two complete cycles were applied. For the Regular shear wall, after completing 2 cycles at 7 mm, the load was increased monotonically until the wall could not maintain the axial load of containing the variables and their distributions, then proceeds to generate the finite element meshes, runs 800 kN which happened at a displacement of 8.2 mm. In the case of the ASR wall, the specimen was pushed in one direction the analyses, by 7 mm in the first data-mines cycle the and thenand output in theultimately opposite direction. During this produce thepartdesired of results.

the cycle, the axial load started to drop as the lateral displacement increased and needed constant increase in load. At 7 mm displacement, it was decided to continue load monotonically and at 7.1 mm, the wall 44 A failed total of to maintain the100 analyses axial load. The test were performed, was terminated and the 16% and 84% fractile (corresponding to mean minus and at that point.

mean plus RESULTS AND one standard deviation)

OBSERVATIONS capacity curves were extracted, Fig. 14. Experimental results did indeed 14

Applied Displacement Applied Displacement 1500 1000 500 P [kN] 0

-500

-1000

-1500

-10 -5 0 5 10

[mm]

(a) Load-displacement under cyclic load (b) Deformed shapes; Contours show the maximum principal strains (c) Crack propagation in web and columns Figure 13: Structural response of shear wall under cyclic displacement (without ASR) fall within the narrow limits.

45 This analysis has provided the framework allowing for subsequent risk-based assessments, similar to this one, to be easily performed.

1500 Numerical 1000 Peak load Experimental 500 P [kN] 0

-500

-1000

-1500

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6

[mm]

(a) Tornado diagram (b) Capacity curves 1500 1500 16% and 84% 16% and 84%

1000 Median (50%) 1000 Median (50%)

Experimental 500 500 P [kN] 0 P [kN] 0

-500 -500

-1000 -1000

-1500 -1500

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6

[mm] [mm]

(c) SW (d) SW-1000 Figure 14: Results of shear wall analyses 15

2.3.2 Task 3-B: Risk Assessment of an NCVS Subjected to AAR and Seismic Excitation 46 One premise of this analysis is that AAR by itself will not jeopardize the structural integrity of an NCVS, at most its serviceability (through deterioration of the steel-concrete bond interface). On the other hand, AAR will degrade shear strength and thus may affect the resilience of the structure when subjected to lateral load (i.e. seismic excitation), especially since many NCVS are not fitted with shear reinforcement.

47 The report associated with this task is composed of two parts:

1. A very extensive coverage of the theories related to: AAR, nonlinear transient finite element analysis, seismic hazard analysis, and probabilistic-based analyses. To the best of our knowledge, this coverage is by far one the most extensive (more so than NUREG-1150).
2. Detailed 3D transient analysis of an NCVS subjected to 40 years of AAR expansion (up to 0.3%) and then subjected to seismic excitation.

. Following is a summary of the analysis.

48 The NCVS selected for our case study is heavily influenced by the one illustrated in NUREG-6706 and is schematically shown in Fig. 15(a).

49 Note that 56 of the total 122-high cylindrical part is below grade and only the concrete underneath it will be subjected to AAR (as a result of the high RH likely to be present in the surrounding foundation). A reinforcement ratio of 0.5% was assumed for both the vertical and horizontal directions.

50 For the seismic study of the NCVS to be properly performed, radiation must be damped and the effects of rocking mitigated.

51 Radiation damping was mitigated by placing Lysmer dashpots (also known as silent boundary condi-tions) at the end of the foundation.

52 Rocking is caused by the eccentricity of the center of mass, which is subjected to the lateral inertial force. Rocking (seldom addressed in published reports) affects the soil-structure interaction by potentially uplifting the base from the rock (especially if vertical excitation has been taken into account) and opening a gap between the structure and the adjacent rock. This phenomenon was mitigated by inserting zero-thickness joint elements around the container (and below it).

53 Another parasitic effect of rocking is the hammering of the base, which occurs along with a (nearly) linear uplifting of the foundation base. This effect was mitigated by first performing a static analysis with rigid vertical supports at the base and then (with the internal strains/stresses locked in) restarting initiation of the transient analysis. In this second analysis however, the supports are removed and the reactions are substituted by corresponding vertical forces (equal to the reactions). Thus the structure has no support whatsoever (only possible in dynamic analyses).

54 An analysis was performed using the Merlin finite element code, with the models shown in Figure 15(b).

The NCVS is 37 m high, has a base mat 3.0 m thick and an internal radius of 19.0 m. Potential separation due to rocking is shown in Fig. 15(c), and the foundation dimensions are given in Fig. 15(d). Also displayed in these figures are the 15 different color-coded material groups described in the next section.

55 Essentially, this analysis seeks to first simulate 40 years of slow AAR expansion, followed by a few sec-onds of intense seismic lateral excitation, Fig. 16(a). The imposed AAR was a moderate 0.3% volumetric 16

expansion accumulated over 40 years, Fig. 16(b). Lastly, a synthetic ground motion of linearly increasing intensity was applied, Fig. 16(c) (six different accelerograms were actually applied).

56 The technique of applying relatively few linearly increasing accelerations is known as Endurance Time Analysis Functions (ETAF).

57 A preliminary analysis (as described above) was performed under the assumption of the absence of AAR.

Results will be contrasted with this baseline.

58 The structural response of the NCVS subjected to AAR only (Static + AAR) is shown in Fig. 17.

Note the impact of using joint elements at the base and around the vessel to allow for potential (hidden) delamination between the base mat and foundation.

59 The impact of AAR on the structural response of an NCVS can now be ascertained by comparing Static

+ Seismic and Static + AAR + Seismic for:

Displacements: The absolute values of the (horizontal) displacements corresponding to peaks in (the six) 2' 6" C.L.

19 m 63' (I.R) 0.76 m 4' 6" 63' 63' 1.4 m 66' Grade Level Grade level 122' 37 m 56' Z 3m 10' X

(a) Cross-section and geometry (b) Detailed geometry (c) Potential rocking and ensuing separation of container from foun-dation Mesh Material Location AAR Density Group Base Coarse 1 Y H Grade level Wall Below Grade Coarse 2 Y Wall Below Grade Fine 2 Y Wall Above Grade Fine 3 N 17 m Wall Above Grade Coarse 3 N Z Dome Coarse 4, [5] N Foundation Coarse 6 N Lateral Rock Coarse 7 N X Base Interface Elem. - 8, 10 N 118 m Side Interface Elem. - 9, 11 N Reinforcement (V) - 12 N Reinforcement (H) - 13 N Viscous Damper Coarse 14, 15 N 138.4 m (d) Model and accompanying material groups Figure 15: Geometry and model idealization 17

0.3 1.5 AAR 0.25 1

AAR expansion [%] acceleration [g]

Seismic 0.5 0.2 0.15 0 0.1 -0.5 0.05 -1 t [sec]

t [year]

0 -1.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0 5 10 15 20 time [year]

time [s]

(a) Schematic representation of (b) Imposed AAR expansion model (c) ETAF accelerogram the analysis Figure 16: Loads imposed on the NCVS analysis 1 2 3 (a) Swelling of the (b) Evolution of joint opening/sliding due to AAR contaminated zone (c) Internal cracking Figure 17: Response of NPP under an AAR analysis ETAF cases are shown in Fig. 18(a). This is a ramping curve since the ground acceleration is indeed defined as linearly increasing (Fig. 16(c)). Three sets of results are indicated, namely:

1. Ground motion without AAR
2. AAR with accompanying material degradation followed by ground motion.
3. AAR without material degradation followed by ground motion.

To better determine the impact of AAR, the responses have been normalized with respect to the analysis without AAR (i.e. ground motion only), Fig. 18(b).

It should be noted that the displacements are all plotted as ETA functions (expression of the maximum absolute values of EDP during the time interval from 0 to t, in terms of time). Hence, an ETA function increases over time in an engineering demand parameter (EDP-time coordinate system). Failure in this function corresponds to a (semi-) vertical line at t = tfailure .

Stresses The histograms of maximum principal stresses are shown in Fig. 19 for various locations. Results are presented for ground motion only without AAR (in blue), and AAR (with degradation) followed 18

250 40 Displ. Diff. wrt GM [%]

GM AAR(with Deg.)+GM Displacement [mm]

200 AAR(with Deg.)+GM AAR(No Deg.)+GM 30 AAR(No Deg.)+GM 150 20 100 10 50 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 time [s] time [s]

(a) Displacement profile at the top (b) Normalized displacements and mean differences Figure 18: Response of NCVS under AAR and seismic by ground motion.

I (topItop-wall) [MPa][MPa] (soilI level) 22 I (base)

Localized

[MPa][MPa] I (base) 2 2 Damage

[MPa][MPa]

(top top-wall) (soil level)

[MPa][MPa]

2 (top top-wall) (soil I (mid 1

I (mid 2 0 21 0

top-wall) 2 top-wall)

GMGM Damage 1 0

0 -2

-2 10 0 AAR(with Deg.)+GM AAR(with Deg.)+GM

[MPa]

[MPa] I I level)

(soil [MPa]

Damage I

GM 0

-2 0 GM 5

Damage 1010 1515 2020 00 55 10 15 20 (top top-wall)

-2 0 AAR(with 5 Deg.)+GM AAR(with Deg.)+GM 0 10 15 20

[MPa][MPa] I (base) time [s][s]

time time time[s]

[s]

I (base) 0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 level) [MPa]

[MPa] [MPa]

0 5 10 (a) Base 15 20 0 5 Grade elevation (b) 10 15 20 I (mid time [s][s]

time time [s]

time [s]

top-wall) 2 2 44 (mid top-wall)

Damage Localized I

Damage 2 21 1 44 Damage 22 Damage 1 10 0

22 I I 00 00 0 0 5 5 1010 1515 2020 00 55 10 10 15 15 20 20 time time [s][s] 00 time[s]

time [s]

0 0 5 5 1010 1515 20 20 00 55 10 15 15 20 20 time time [s][s] time [s]

(c) Mid-height above ground (d) Dome base Figure 19: Principal stress-time histories from the seismic analysis Cracking of the structure is shown in Fig. 20.

60 From the previous figures summarizing results, the following observations can be offered:

1. AAR (with material degradation) will soften the concrete, thus resulting in smaller lateral displace-ments.
2. If material degradation is ignored (which is an erroneous abstraction), displacements will still be 19

GM only t = 7.2 s t = 8.0 s t = 12.8 s t = 14.8 s t = 15.6 s t = 16.8 s t = 18.8 s AAR(with Deg.) +

GM t = 7.6 s t = 8.0 s t = 8.8 s t = 10.4 s t = 12.8 s AAR(No. Deg.) +

GM t = 7.6 s t = 8.0 s t = 8.8 s t = 10.4 s t = 12.8 s Figure 20: Crack profile from seismic analysis smaller than cases without AAR, but larger than AAR with degradation. Note that the discrepancy with respect to the case without AAR starts at around 9 sec (i.e. until this point, the AAR had little impact on deformation).

3. The impact of AAR (with and without degradation) is time-dependent due to the complexities of the internal stress states induced by AAR or resulting from the seismic excitation, Fig. 18(b). On average and for this case study, AAR with degradation results in a 20% change, whereas the case without degradation only yields an 8% variation with respect to the GM model.
4. The principal maximum stress history profile at various locations, Fig. 19, reveals that additional damage will be induced by AAR (with internal damage being taken into account).

(a) At the base, Fig. 19(a), maximum principal stresses are indeed positive and attenuate with time.

At first, stresses are lower in the presence of AAR expansion, but then suddenly increase with a localized damage at time 17 sec.

(b) At the grade elevation, stresses are much higher without AAR, and then gradually decrease with no indication of failure. Note that the tensile strength equals 3.1 MPa. On the other hand, in the presence of prior AAR expansion, the stresses are negative, and a sudden localized failure appears at t= 14 sec.

20

(c) For a point above grade, stresses are higher in the absence of AAR, and there is an indication of localized failure at t = 15 sec. In the presence of AAR, this failure is delayed to about 17 sec.

(d) At the base of the dome, the AAR stresses are substantially higher than with stresses absent, and localized failure occurs around 17 sec.

5. For this case, AAR has reduced stresses at the base but substantially increased them at the base of the dome.
6. The previous observations are qualitatively confirmed by the crack profiles shown in Fig. 20. Indeed, the damage index (DI), i.e. the ratio of cracked cross-sections to total area, is highest when AAR (with damage) has preceded the seismic expansion.
7. The AAR has a much greater impact on the portion of NCVS below grade than on that above grade (where no AAR has been modeled).

3 Synthesis and Conclusion 61 To the best of our knowledge, this study is the most comprehensive on the effect of AAR on the shear strength of concrete.

62 16 large specimens were carefully prepared and tested using a unique apparatus designed for shear testing.

It was determined that a 0.6% expansion reduces strength by 20%.

63 For this particular study, AAR (a relatively low 0.3%) reduced the resilience of an NCVS subjected to seismic excitation by approximately 20%.

64 It should also be noted that this reduction, associated with a 0.3% localized uniform expansion, is roughly equal to the reduction in shear strength experimentally observed for expansions of about 0.6 65 Our results imply that a material shear strength degradation of x % will have a larger percentual impact on the displacements and stresses when used in the nonlinear seismic analysis of a NCVS. In our study the material degradation was 20% corresponding to an AAR of 0.6%, whereas the finite analysis had a 20% degradation for an AAR of 0.3%.

66 Through the validated finite element code, parametric studies for different combinations could be con-ducted with a reasonable level of confidence.

4 Recommendations for Future Work 67 When such an extensive investigation is performed, invariably some points are found to require further clarification. These fall into two categories: desirable and critical.

Desirable topics include:

Numerical Repeat the finite element analysis:

1. Include a random distribution of the AAR-contaminated concrete so as to better reflect an actual case.
2. Include deconvolution, and possibly free-field attenuation of the excitation record.
3. Stochastic analysis resulting in fragility curves Experimental tests to include:
1. A more detailed experiment to study the effects of temperature, size and reinforcement on ASR expansion in concrete.

21

2. Study of the transition from accelerated laboratory tests (under constant high temperature and relative humidity) to an actual structure subjected to (typically lower) variable temper-ature and relative humidity.
3. Further study size effects, a greater number of specimens gradually increasing in size would be needed to derive a more definitive statement regarding its effect.

Critical Based on the P.I.s past experience with dynamic testing7 , Fig. 21(c), concrete exhibits a strength increase when subjected to a dynamic load. The P.I., in using a relatively unique facility at the University of Colorado (a set of three dynamic actuators controlled by custom software), Fig. 21(a) showed that for the columns tested, a 30% increase in strength was achieved. Accordingly, the test set-up laid out in Fig. 21(b) is highly recommended, but only if seeking to (partially) circumvent the deleterious effect of AAR on the shear strength of an NCVS subjected to seismic excitation (careful, as the failure mode may shift with a stronger concrete).

7 Not to be confused with slow reverse cyclic loading that some, very erroneously, label as a seismic load.

22

(a) Experimental set-up: constant vertical force, (b) Proposed test set-up zero top rotation, dynamic lateral displacement (c) Dynamic tests performed by the P.I.. To activate video: 1. Click on image; 2. When prompted by Options, select Trust this document always; 3. Click again on the image Figure 21: Dynamic testing 23