ML17193B279

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Adverse Weather Evacuation Time Estimates
ML17193B279
Person / Time
Site: Dresden  
Issue date: 03/31/1981
From:
COMMONWEALTH EDISON CO.
To:
Shared Package
ML17193B276 List:
References
NUDOCS 8104060760
Download: ML17193B279 (5)


Text

. 81040607&0 APPENDIX C.

ADVERSE WEATHF.R C.VACUATIOO TIME ESTIMATES DRESDEN STATIOO March, 1981

Introduction APPENDIX C ADVERSE WEATHER EVACUATIOO TIME ESTIMATES

  • This appendix supplements the "Preliminary I:.Yacuation TiiiE Study of the 10-Mile. Radius Emergeocy Planning Zone. at the Dresden Station".

Presented i.r1 this appendix is. an as5essment

  • of the effect on the previously developed
  • evacuation time estimates of *adverse weather considerations.

This assessment compliments the Preliminary Evacuation Time. Study and conforms to the background; methodology and. asslllTptions used in it~

Assunptions The basic. irethodologies used for this adverse. weather evacuation as5essirent are as disclissed in Appendix A to the original study.

The*

adverse weather assessment uses the sane evacuation sectors ** arid*. *

  • evacuation routes as well as the
  • sane number of veh.lcles to be evacuated as used in the or ir::J inal study.

For this assessirent, the evacuation travel times associated with the fair

\\.Yeather. best estimate evacuation times for the general population wer~

. rOOciified to. reflect a 30% deerease in roadway capacity due to tncleirent weather circwn5tances.

The evacuation travel tines for special facilities in the original, study were m:xlified to reflect a 30% decrease in. evacuation travel* speeas due to. incleirent weather cii:cumstances.

These assumptions have the advantage of being able. to represent a range of different adverse weather conditions -

  • snoW, fog, ice, etc. -

rather than just a single weather scenario.

Results The.estimated.times for the. evacuation of the general. population during adverse Weather within the 10-mile EPZ around Dresden Station are presented in Table C-1.

The notification and m:>blization times are the.

sarre as

  • those used. in the original study.

The evacuation. travel times were develof)ed assuming a 30% decrease in the traffic capacity of the evacuation routes due to adverse we~ther circumstances.

The estimated evacuation travel. times for. evacuating

.the special facilities, during adverse weather, within the 10-mile EPZ around Dresden Statibn are presented in* Table C-2.

The evacuation travel times were develoPed assuming a 30% decrease in the evacuation speed used in* the original study due to adverse \\i.'eathercircumstances.

C-1

0...:2 Miles

. *.3ector I

. sector II o-5 Miles sectbrs I.;i:II.

  • sectors I,VII
  • sectors II,IV sectors I I, v.
  • SeCtors II,VI

. TABLE C-1.

DRESDEN STATION FS'fIMATED EVACUATION TIME OF T"rlE GENERAL POPUI.ATION DURIN3 ADVERSE WEA'I'HER WITHIN 10 MILES OF.THE DRESDEN STATION Es.timated 1980 Evacuatfori Populat:Jon 910 Estl.lllated Adverse Weather Evac.uat1on. TDre

  • Estimated Notification
  • Tine In Excess Of 15 Minutes *(Minutes)*

. 15-30 15-30 Estimated.

M::>bilizatiori Tine (Minutes)

  • 20
20.

Estimated.

Evacuation Travel Tine Adverse

. Weather (Hours) 7.6

. Estirna ted Total Evacuation Time Adverse

'. Weather

    • (Hmirs) **

6

. 9.

  • See Table 3-1 in original study.
  • Rounded to the nearest hour.

{._

1' '*

TABLE C-,1. (continued).

.

  • DRESDEN sTATION Es*rrMATED EVACUATION '.l'IME OF THE GENERAL FOPUIATION DURit-K; ADVERSE WFATHER wr*rnrN 10 MILES OF THE DRESDEN STAT!~

Estimated Adverse Weather Evacuation Tim:!

Zone/Seetor.

  • 0-10 Miles Sectors IiIII,VlII Sectors I,VII;XII
  • Sectors II, IV,JX Sectors II, V,X
  • Sectors II,VI,XI Estimated

.*1980**

Evacuation Poi)ulation 13,920 11,850

- 10,690 4,380 7,920.

  • Estimated Notification Tine In Excess.of 15 Minut~s (Mim.ites)~ ~

15-30 15...:30 30-45 30-45 15-30 See Table 3-1 in original study~*

Rounded to the nearest hour.

. Estimated z.bbilizatfon.

Tine (Minutes)*

. 20*

....

  • 20 20 20 20 Estimated Evacuation Travel
  • Ture Advei::se weather
  • (Hours)..
  • 6.3 7.4 8.1 8.9 9.3 Estimated Total Evacuati6n Tiine Adverse Weather** *

.. *. (Hours)**.*

7 8

9 10 10

Zone

. 0-2 Miles*

0-5 Miles*

0-10 Miles

  • e TABLE C-2 DRESDEN STATION SPB:IAL FACILITIES ~ ESTIMATED EVACUATION TRAVEL TIMES

.: DURI~ ADVERSE WEATHER Schools 0.60 Estimated Evacuation Tinte* (Hours)

Hospitals*

Day Care 0.45..

0.30 0.45 0.30 Senior

  • *
  • Nursing.*

Citizens

.*. 0.15.*

.. 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Recreation 0.85.

  • *vehicle speeds are assumed to be 14 aph -*Refer to Table A~4* ih original study.

\\.