ML17193B278

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Adverse Weather Evacuation Time Estimates
ML17193B278
Person / Time
Site: Dresden, Quad Cities  
Issue date: 03/31/1981
From:
COMMONWEALTH EDISON CO.
To:
Shared Package
ML17193B276 List:
References
NUDOCS 8104060756
Download: ML17193B278 (5)


Text

. *,

81~4oso756 APPENDIX C ADvERsE WFATHER E.VACUATION TIME ESTIMATES QUAD CITIES ST~fION March, 1981

.. ~..

Introduction APPENDIX C ADVERSE WEATHER t.VACUATICN

. TIME ESTIMA'IBS This

  • appendix supplements the * "Preliffiinary Evacuation Time Study of the 10-Mile Radius Elretgeocy Planning Zone at. the Quad *Cities Station".

Presented in this appenctix is an * ~ssessrrent of tne etf ect on the previously developed evacuatiOn t~ *estimates of adverse weather considerations.

This assessment compliments the* Preliminary Evacuation Tirne Study and conforms to the background,. methodology and asswtptions used in it.

ASSLlllEtions The *.basic methodologies used for this* adverse weather evacuation ass~ssrilent are as discussed

  • in Appendix A to. the. original. study.

The adverse weather assessment uses the: same* evacuation

  • sectors and evacuation routes as well as the sane number of vehicles to be' evacuated as used in the.original study.

For. this assessment, the evacuation travel *times associated with the fair weather. best estimate evacuation* times *for.the general. population were mxiified to reflect a.30% decrease in roadWay capacity due. to inclement weather circumstances.

The evacuation travel. times for. special facilities in.the original study were IOOC.lified to x:eflect a 30% decrease' in evacuation travel. speeds due. *to

  • incle!'rent weather circwilstances.

These assl.Jrnptions have the: advantage of being.. able to represent a range of different adverse weather.conditions -

snow~ fog, ice, etc..:.. rather than jl.lst a single*. weather* see*nario.

Results The estimated times for the evacuation of the general pcipulation during adverse weather within the 10-mile EPZ around Quad Cities StatiOn are presented in Table C-1.

  • The notification arid noblization times *are the
  • same as those used in* the original.study.

The evacuation travel times

-were. developed assuming a 30% decrease in_ the traffic capacity* of the evacuation routes due*. to adverse weather circumstances.*

The estimated evacuation travel. tifnes for> ev~cuating the special

. f ac ili ties, during adverse weather, within the 10-mile EPZ around Quad Cities Station are presented* in Table c-2~

  • The evacuation travel times were* developed assuming a 30% decrea5e ** in the evacuation speed used in thE! original study due to adverse weather circumstances.

c-1

TABLE C-1 QUAD cirIES sTATI0N E.5'1'IMATED l!.VACUATION 'rIME OE'. THE GENERAL POPULATION DURING ADVERSE WEATHER WI'l'HIN 10 MILES OF THE QUAD C.ITIES STATIOO Estimated Adverse Weather Evacuation Time

  • Estimated Estimated Evacuation Total Estimat~

. Travel Evaeuation 1980 Estimated Notification Estimated Time Adverse Time Adverse Evacuation Time In 'Excess Of

~bilization Weather Weather Zone/Sector Population

  • 15 Minutes (Mi11utes)
  • Time (Minutes)*

(Hours)

(Hours)**

~~~~~~~~~~~----"--~~~~~~~----"-

0-2 Miles

. SeCtoi. *I.

' '45 Sector II

'. 995 0-:-5 Miles Sectors I,v

.1, 350 Sectors !,VI 3;115 sectors II,iII

  • J,560 Sectors II~ IV
  • 2,200
  • ~

Table 3-1 in original study.

    • .. Rounded to the nearest hour~

20 2.3 3

60 5.2 7

90 20 7.3 9

70 20 8.3 10

85.

20 8.6 11 100 20 6.5 9

e

'l'ABLE C.;...l (continued)

.QUAD.CITIES.STATION

. L::~*1*11vU\\'I'ED EVACUA'rION 'rIME OF THE GENEf~. PGPUIA'I'ION DURING ADVERSE wEATHER WITHIN 10 i'1ILFS

... OF. THE. QUAD crrrns.S1'ATICN.

Estimated Adverse Weather Evacuation Time 0-10 Niles.

  • Estimated 1980 Evacuation Population

. ----=-------.--*.---------'-___.---:-----

Sectors I, V, IX S,310 Sr~r.ors I, VI,X 47,925

)*::-:::::.Jrs TI, III, VI 2, 3.60 se.:::t*)i:s H,lV,VIII 8~115.

Estimated Notif ica:tion

'i'ime In Excess Of

  • 15 Minutes (Minutes)*

100

.95

. 110

. 85

  • . See Table 3-1 in *original study.
  • ** Rounded.. to the nearest hour.
  • Estimated Mobilization*

Ti.rra: (Minutes)*

Estimated

  • Evacuation Travel Time Adverse

.Weather (Hours)

Estimated*

Total Evacuation Time Adverse Weather (Hours)**

20 20

  • 20 20 9.4 14.3 9.8.

8.9

12.

16 12 11

'rAHLE C-2 QUAD crrrn.s 'S'fATION,*'

SPEX:IAL FACILITIES' F.s'rI~rED 'INACUATION *r.RAVEL TIMES DURit-.G ADVERSE WEATHER Maxiinurn Travel Facility Type

. Distance (Miles)

  • School 8.5 Day Care*

2.4 Recreation Area

  • 5.0 Estineted Travel Tii~* (Hours) 0.60' 0.20 0.35
  • Based on an assumed 14 nph. travel speed.:.. Hefer *to Table A-4 in original study.