ML14276A088
| ML14276A088 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Watts Bar  |
| Issue date: | 06/05/2014 |
| From: | James Shea Tennessee Valley Authority |
| To: | Document Control Desk, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| References | |
| CNL 14-092, L44 140605 002 | |
| Download: ML14276A088 (82) | |
Text
L44 140605 002 Tennessee Valley Authority, 1101 Market Street, Chattanooga, Tennessee 37402 CNL 14-092 June 5, 2014 10 CFR 50.4 10 CFR 50, Appendix E U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ATTN: Document Control Desk Washington, D.C. 20555-0001 Watts Bar Nuclear Plant, Unit 1 Facility Operating License NPF-90 NRC Docket No. 50-390 Watts Bar Nuclear Plant, Unit 2 Construction Permit No. CPPR-92 NRC Docket No. 50-391
Subject:
WATTS BAR NUCLEAR PLANT UNITS 1 AND 2 - UPDATED EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES
References:
- 1.
Tennessee Valley Authority letter to NRC, Evacuation Time Estimates, dated December 18, 2012 (ML12362A464).
- 2.
Tennessee Valley Authority letter to NRC, Watts Bar Nuclear Plant (WBN) Unit 1 - Revised Evacuation Time Estimates, dated August 16, 2013 (ML13234A356).
In Reference 1, the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) provided an Evacuation Time Estimate (ETE) for Watts Bar Nuclear Plant (WBN) Unit 1. In reference 2, TVA submitted a revised ETE based on comments provided by the NRC in a June 6, 2013 teleconference on the Reference 1 submittal.
The purpose of this submittal is to provide an addendum to the ETE that addresses changes to the population in the evacuation zone, the impact of peak construction staffing for WBN Unit 2 in 2014, and the expected evacuation times during the first operating year of WBN Unit 2 in 2016. In no case has the longest ETE value for the 2-mile zone or 5-mile zone, including all affected Emergency Response Planning areas, or for the entire 10-mile Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ), increased by more than 25% or 30 minutes (10 CFR 50 Appendix E.IV.6).
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Page 2 June 5, 2014 By submitting this addendum, TVA is providing an ETE that supports construction of WBN Unit 2 and is applicable to the operation of both WBN Units 1 and 2. This addendum should be used in conjunction with Reference 2.
There are no new regulatory commitments contained in this letter.
If you have any questions or comments, please contact Gordon Arent at (423) 365-2004.
ea President, Nuclear Licensing
Enclosure:
Evacuation Time Estimate Addendum for Watts Bar Nuclear Plant.
cc (Enclosure):
U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission-Region II NRC Resident Inspector WBN Unit 1 NRC Resident Inspector WBN Unit 2 NRR Project Manager-Watts Bar Nuclear Plant
ENCLOSURE TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY WATTS BAR NUCLEAR PLANT EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATE ADDENDUM FOR WATTS BAR NUCLEAR PLANT
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Table B-1 ETE Review Criteria Checklist Watts Bar Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE AnalYsis
~
(Yes/No) 1.0 l;ntroduction
- a. The emergency planning zone (EPZ} and surrounding area yes Sect 1.2 of 2013 ETE study (2013}
should be described.
- b. A map should be included that identifies primary features of yes Figures 1-1,1-2, and 1-3 of2013 ETE study.
the site, including major roadways, significant topographical features, boundaries of counties, and population centers Figures 1 and 2 of Addendum study.
within the EPZ.
- c. A comparison of the current and previous ETE should be provided and includes similar information as identified in yes Table 1-3 of 2013 ETE study I Table 2 Addendum Table 1-1, "ETE Comparison," of NUREGICR-7002.
1.1 Approach
- a. A discussion of the approach and level of detail obtained during the field survey of the roadway network should be yes Section 4.3 and Appendix D of 2013 ETE study provided.
- b. Sources of demographic data for schools, special facilities, yes Sect. 2.1, Sect. 3 of 2013 ETE study large employers, and special events should be identified.
- c.
Discussion should be presented on use of traffic control yes Sect 2.1 (2013} I Sec 4.1 Addendum plans in the analysis.
- d. Traffic simulation models used for the analyses should be yes Sect 5.5.2 and Table 1-3 (2013} I Section 1.1 identified by name and version.
- e. Methods used to address data uncertainties should be yes Sect 2.1, 6.6, 6. 7 of 2013 ETE study described.
1.2 Assumptions
- a. The planning basis for the ETE includes the assumption that the evacuation is ordered promptly and no early protective yes Sect 2.1, 3, 5.4 of 2013 ETE study actions have been implemented.
- b. Assumptions consistent with Table 1-2, "General Assumptions," of NUREGICR-7002 should be provided and yes Sect 2.1 of 2013 and Addendum studies include the basis to support their use.
1.3 Scenario Development
- a. The ten scenarios in Table 1-3, Evacuation Scenarios, should be developed for the ETE analysis, or a reason yes All scenarios updated except special event should be provided for use of other scenarios.
OJ N
1.3.1 Staged Evacuation
- a. A discussion should be provided on the approach used in development of a staged evacuation.
1.4 Evacuation Planning Areas
- b. A table should be provided identifying the ERPAs considered for each ETE calculation by downwind direction in each sector.
- c. A table similar to Table 1-4, "Evacuation Areas for a Staged Evacuation Keyhole," of NUREG/CR-7002 should be provided and includes the complete evacuation of the 2, 5, and 10 mile areas and for the 2 mile area/5 mile keyhole evacuations.
2.0 Demand Estimation
- a. Demand estimation should be developed for the four population groups, including permanent residents of the EPZ, transients, special facilities, and schools.
2.1. Permanent Residents and Transient Population
- a. The US Census should be the source of the population values, or another credible source should be provided.
- b. Population values should be adjusted as necessary for
_growth to reflect population estimates to the year of the ETE.
- c. A sector diagram should be included, similar to Figure 2-1, "Population by Sector," of NUREG/CR-7002, showing the population distribution for permanent residents.
2.1.1 Permanent Residents with Vehicles
- a. The persons per vehicle value should be between 1 and 2 or justification should be provided for other values.
- b. Major employers should be listed.
2.1.2 Transient Population
- a. A list of facilities which attract transient populations should be included, and peak and average attendance for these facilities should be listed. The source of information used to develop attendance values should be provided.
- b. The aver~ge popula1ion during the season should be used, Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE AnalySis (Yes/No) yes Sect 6.4 of 2013 ETE study I Section 6.2 Addendum yes Figure 1-2 (2013} I Figure 1 Addendum yes Table 5-1 of2013 ETE study /Table 10 Addendum yes Table 5-1 of 2013 ETE study I Table 10 Addendum I
Table 3-1 thru 3-4 (2013} I Table 8 Addendum I
yes yes Sect 2.1 in both the 2013 and Addendum studies yes Table 1 and Sect 2.1 of Addendum yes Appendix C of2013 ETE study yes Sect 3.1.1 of 2013 ETE study I Sect 2.3 Addendum I yes Table B-1 of 2013 ETE stud_y_
yes Table B-2 of 2013 ETE study I yes Sect 3.2 of 2013 ETE study
Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE Ana:lysis (Yes/No) itemized and totaled for each scenario.
- c. The percent of permanent residents assumed to be at yes Sect 3.3 of 2013 ETE study facilities should be estimated.
- d. The number of people per vehicle should be provided.
Numbers may vary by scenario, and if so, discussion on why yes Sect 2.1, 3.3, Tables B-1, B-2 of 2013 ETE study values vary should be provided.
- e. A sector diagram should be included, similar to Figure 2-1 of NUREG/CR-7002, showing the population distribution for yes Table 3-2 of 2013 ETE study the transient population.
2.2 Transit *Dependent Permanent Residents
- a. The methodology used to determine the number of transit yes Sect 3.1.2 of 2013 ETE study dependent residents should be discussed.
- b. Transportation resources needed to evacuate this group yes Sect 3.1.2 and Table 3-5 of 2013 ETE study should be quantified.
- c. The county/local evacuation plans for transit dependent yes Sect 3.1.2 of 2013 ETE study residents should be used in the analysis.
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- d. The methodology used to determine the number of people yes Sect 3.1.2 of 2013 ETE study with disabilities and those with access and functional needs who may need assistance and do not reside in special I
facilities should be provided. Data from local/county I
registration programs should be used in the estimate, but should not be the only_ set of data.
- e. Capacities should be provided for all types of transportation resources. Bus seating capacity of 50% should be used or yes Sect 2.1 of 2013 ETE study justification should be provided for higher values.
- f.
An estimate of this population should be provided and information should be provided that the existing registration yes Sect 3.1.2 of 2013 ETE study
_Qrograms were used in developing the estimate.
- g. A summary table of the total number of buses, ambulances, yes Table 3-5 of2013 ETE study or other transport needed to support evacuation should be provided and the quantification of resources should be detailed enough to assure double counting has not occurred.
2.3 Special Facility Residents
- a. A list of special facilities, including the type of facility, location, and average population should be provided.
yes Table B-4 of2013 ETE study S~ecial facility staff should be included in the total s~ecial
Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE Analysis (Yes/Ho) facility_Qopulation.
- b. A discussion should be provided on how special facility data yes Sect 3.4 of 2013 ETE study I Sect 2.3 Addendum was obtained.
- c.
The number of wheelchair and bed-bound individuals should Table B-4 of 2013 ETE study be provided.
yes
- d. An estimate of the number and capacity of vehicles needed yes Table B-4 of2013 ETE study to support the evacuation of the facility should be Q_rovided.
- e. The logistics for mobilizing specially trained staff (e.g.,
NIA Part of 2013 ETE study medical support or security support for prisons, jails, and other correctional facilities} should be discussed when appropriate.
2A Schools
- a. A list of schools including name, location, student yes Sect 3.4.2, Table 3-3 & Table B-3 of 2013 ETE study population, and transportation resources required to support the evacuation, should be provided. The source of this information should be provided.
t:D
~
- b. Transportation resources for elementary and middle schools yes Sect 3.4.2, Table B-3 of 2013 ETE study are based on 100% of the school capacity.
- c. The estimate of high school students who will use their personal vehicle to evacuate should be provided and a basis yes Sect 3 of 2013 ETE study for the values used should be _Q_rovided.
I
- d. The need for return trips should be identified if necessary.
I yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE stu~
2.5. 1 Speciall!vents
- a. A complete list of special events should be provided and I
includes information on the population, estimated duration, yes Sect 6.9 of 2013 ETE study I
and season of the event.
- b. The special event that encompasses the peak transient I
population should be analyzed in the ETE.
yes Sect 6.9 of 2013 ETE study
- c.
The percent of permanent residents attending the event Sect 6.9 of2013 ETE study should be estimated.
yes 2.. 5.2 Shadow Evacuation
- a. A shadow evacuation of 20 percent should be included for areas outside the evacuation area extending to 15 miles yes Sect 1.2, 1.4, 6.4 (2013} I Sect 2.1 Addendum from the NPP.
- b. Population estimates for the shadow evacuation in the 1 0 to Appendix C of 2013 ETE study 15 mlle area beyong.the E:PZ are provided by sector.
yes
Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE Ana:lysls (YesiNo)
- c. The loading of the shadow evacuation onto the roadway network should be consistent with the trip generation time yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies generated for the permanent resident population.
2.5.3 Background and Pass Through Traffic
- a. The volume of background traffic and pass-through traffic should be based on the average daytime traffic. Values may yes Sect 2.1, 4.3 of 2013 ETE study be reduced for nighttime scenarios.
- b. Pass-through traffic should be assumed to have stopped Sect 2.1, 4.3 of 2013 ETE study entering the EPZ about two hours after the initial notification.
yes 2.6 Su:mmary of Demand Estimation
- a. A summary table should be provided that identifies the total yes Table 3-1 thru 3-4 of 2013 ETE study populations and total vehicles used in the analysis for permanent residents, transients, transit dependent residents, special facilities, schools, shadow population, and And Table 8 of Addendum pass-through demand used in each scenario.
3.0 Roadway Capacity OJ I
- a. The method(s) used to assess roadway capacity should be yes Sect 4 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies discussed.
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3.1 Roadway Characteristics
- a. A field survey of key routes within the EPZ has been yes Sect 4.1 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies conducted.
- b. Information should be provided describing the extent of the survey, and types of information gathered and used in the yes Sect 4.3 of 2013 ETE study I Sect 4.1 Addendum analysis.
- c. A table similar to that in Appendix A, "Roadway yes Appendix D of 2013 ETE study Characteristics," of NUREGICR-7002 should be _pJOVided.
- d. Calculations for a representative roadway segment should yes Appendix D of 2013 ETE study be provided.
- e. A legible map of the roadway system that identifies node yes Figure 4-1 plus map in Appendix D of 2013 ETE study numbers and segments used to develop the ETE should be provided and should be similar to Figure 3-1, "Roadway Figure 2 Addendum Network Identifying Nodes and Segments," of NUREGICR-7002.
3.2 CapacitY Analysis
- a. The approach used to calculate the roadway capacity for the yes Sect 4.3 of 2013 ETE study I Sect 4.1 Addendum transportation network should be described in detail and
OJ a, identifies factors that are expressly used in the modeling.
- b. The capacity analysis identifies where field information should be used in the ETE calculation.
3.3 Intersection Control
- a. A list of intersections should be provided that includes the total numbers of intersections modeled that are unsignalized, signalized, or manned b_y res_Qonse _Qersonnel.
- b. Characteristics for the 10 highest volume intersections within the EPZ are provided including the location, signal cycle length, and turn lane queue capacity.
- c.
Discussion should be provided on how time signal cycle is used in the calculations.
3.4 Adverse Weather
- a. The adverse weather condition should be identified and the effect of adverse weather on mobilization should be considered.
- b. The speed and capacity reduction factors identified in Table 3-1, "Weather Capacity Factors," of NUREGICR-7002 should be used or a basis should be provided for other values.
- c. The study identifies assumptions for snow removal on streets and driveways, when applicable.
4.0 Development of Evacuation Times 4.1 Trip Generation Time
- a. The process used to develop trip generation times should be identified.
- b. When telephone surveys are used, the scope of the survey, area of the survey, number of participants, and statistical relevance should be provided.
- c.
Data obtained from telephone surveys should be summarized.
- d. The trip generation time for each population group should be developed from site specific information.
4.1.1 Permanent Residents and Transient Population
- a. Permanent residents are assumed to evacuate from their homes but are not assumed to be at home at all times. Trip_
Criterion Addressed In Comments ETE Ana,lysis (YesJNo) yes Sect 4.3 of 2013 ETE study I Sect 4.1 Addendum yes Sect 7 of 2013 and Addendum studies yes Table 7-1 of 2013 ETE study I Table 23 Addendum yes Sect 4.3 of 2013 ETE study yes Sect 2.4 of 2013 ETE study I Updated ETE provided yes Sect 2.4 of 2013 ETE study NIA Moderate conditions assumed; no snow removal req'd yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies yes Appendix E of 2013 ETE study yes Appendix E of 2013 ETE study yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies
Criterion Addressed In Comments ETE Analysis (Yes/No) r generation time includes the assumption that a percentage of residents will need to return home prior to evacuating.
- b. Discussion should be provided on the time and method used to notify transients. The trip generation time discusses any yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies difficulties notifying persons in hard to reach areas such as on lakes or in campgrounds.
- c. The trip generation time accounts for transients potentially Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies returning to hotels prior to evacuating.
yes
- d. Effect of public transportation resources used during special events where a large number of transients are expected N/A No public transportation planned for event should be considered.
- e. The trip generation time for the transient population should be integrated and loaded onto the transportation network yes Sect 5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies with the general public.
4.1.2. Transit Dependent Residents m
I
- a. If available, existing plans and bus routes are used in the N/A Bus routes for transit dependent not developed.
ETE analysis. If new plans are developed with the ETE, they should have been agreed upon by the responsible Assumed buses take shortest path out of EPZ at authorities.
average evacuation travel speed
- b. Discussion should be included on the means of evacuating Sect 5.3 of 2013 ETE study ambulatory and non-ambulatory residents.
yes
- c.
The number, location and availability of buses, and other resources needed to support the demand estimation are N/A Table 3-5 of 2013 ETE study provided.
I
- d. Logistical details, such as the time to obtain buses, brief Sect 5.4.3, 6.8 of 2013 ETE study drivers and initiate the bus route are provided.
yes I
- e. Discussion should identify the time estimated for transit I
dependent residents to prepare and then travel to a bus yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study pickup point, and describes the expected means of travel to the pickup point.
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- f.
The number of bus stops and time needed to load Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study passengers should be discussed.
yes
- g. A map of bus routes should be included.
N/A Bus routes not developed; see 4.1.2a
- h. The trip generation time for non-ambulatory persons includes the time to mobilize ambulances or special yes Section 6.8 of 2013 ETE study
~....--- vehicles, time to drive to the home of residents, loading time,
Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE Analysis (Yes/No) and time to drive out of the EPZ should be provided.
- i.
Information should be provided to support analysis of return yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study trips, if necessa_nt.
4.1.3 Special FacHities
- a. Information on evacuation logistics and mobilization times yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study should be provided.
- b. Discussion should be provided on the inbound and outbound yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study speeds.
- c.
The number of wheelchair and bed-bound individuals should be provided, and the logistics of evacuating these residents yes Table B-4 of 2013 ETE study should be discussed.
- d. Time for loading of residents should be provided.
yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study
- e. Information should be provided that indicates whether the evacuation can be completed in a single trip or if additional yes Table 6-7 of 2013 ETE study trips are needed.
- f.
If return trips are needed, the destination of vehicles should N/A Return trips are not anticipated.
be provided.
- g. Discussion should be provided on whether special facility OJ I 00 residents are expected to pass through the reception center yes Sect 5.4.3 of 2013 ETE study
_prior to being evacuated to their final destination.
- h. Supporting information should be provided to quantify the yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study time elements for the return trips.
4.1.4 Schools
- a. Information on evacuation logistics and mobilization times yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study should be provided.
- b. Discussion should be provided on the inbound and outbound yes Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study speeds.
- c.
Time for loading of students should be provided.
lves Sect 6.8 of 2013 ETE study
- d. Information should be provided that indicates whether the evacuation can be completed in a single trip or if additional yes Table 6-8 of 2013 ETE study trips are needed.
- e. If return trips are needed, the destination of school buses N/A Return trips are not anticipated.
should be provided.
- f.
If used, reception centers should be identified. Discussion should be provided on whether students are expected to yes Sect 5.4.3 of 2013 ETE study Qass through the rece_Qtion center prior to being evacuated
Criterion Addressed in Comments ETE Analysis (Yes/No) to their final destination.
- g. Supporting information should be provided to quantify the N/A Return trips are not anticipated.
time elements for the return trips.
4.2 ETE Modelin,g
- a. General information about the model should be provided yes Sect 5.5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum Studies and demonstrates its use in ETE studies.
- b. If a traffic simulation model is not used to conduct the ETE N/A Traffic simulation model was used for this study calculation, sufficient detail should be provided to validate the analytical approach used. All criteria elements should have been met, as appropriate.
4.2.1 Traffic Simulation Model Input
- a. Traffic simulation model assumptions and a representative yes Sect 5.5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies set of model inputs should be provided.
- b. A glossary of terms should be provided for the key performance measures and parameters used in the yes Sect 5.5, 6.7 of2013 ETE and Addendum studies analysis.
4.. 2.2 Tra,fflc SimuJation Model Output
- a. A discussion regarding whether the traffic simulation model Cl I co used must be in equilibration prior to calculating the ETE yes Sect 5.5 of 2013 ETE and Addendum studies should be provided.
- b. The minimum following model outputs should be provided to yes Sect 6 and Appendix F of 2013 ETE study I
support review:
- 1. Total volume and percent by hour at each EPZ exit mode.
Sect 6 of Addendum
- 2.
Network wide average travel time.
- 3.
Longest Queue length for the 1 0 intersections with the highest traffic volume.
- 4.
Total vehicles exiting the network.
- 5.
A plot that provides both the mobilization curve and evacuation curve identifying the cumulative percentage of evacuees who have mobilized and exited the EPZ.
- 6. Average speed for each major evacuation route that exits the EPZ.
- c.
Color coded roadway maps should be provided for various Appendix F of 2013 ETE study times (i.e., at 2, 4, 6 hrs., etc.) during a full EPZ evacuation yes scenario, identifying areas where long queues exist including level of service (LOS) "E" and LOS "F" conditions,
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0
- Criterion Adckessed in ETE Analvsls (YesiNo)
...r:-:1'.-*
if they occur.
4.3 Evacuation Time Estimates for the General Publ'ic
- a. The ETE should include the time to evacuate 90% and 1 00% of the total permanent resident and transient yes population.
- b. The ETE for 100% of the general public should include all members of the general public. Any reductions or truncated yes data should be explained.
- c.
Tables should be provided for the 90 and 100 percent ETEs similar to Table 4-3, "ETEs for Staged Evacuation Keyhole,"
yes of NUREGICR-7002.
- d. ETEs should be provided for the 100 percent evacuation of yes special facilities, transit dependent, and school populations.
5.0 Other Considerations 5.1 Development of Traffic Control Plans
- a. Information that responsible authorities have approved the yes traffic control plan used in the analysis should be provided.
- b. A discussion of adjustments or additions to the traffic control yes plan that affect the ETE should be provided.
5.2 Enhancements in Evacuation Ti.me
- a. The results of assessments for improvement of evacuation yes time should be provided.
- b. A statement or discussion regarding presentation of yes enhancements to local authorities should be provided.
5.3 State and Local Review
- a. A list of agencies contacted and the extent of interaction with yes these agencies should be discussed.
5.4 Reviews and Updates
- a. A discussion of when an updated ETE analysis is required to yes be performed and submitted to the NRC.
5.5. Reception Centers and Cong,regate Care Center
- a. A map of congregate care centers and reception centers yes should be provided.
- b. If return trips are reQuired, assumptions used to estimate NIA Comments Table 6-1 {2013) I Table 11 & 12 Addendum Table 6-1 {2013) I Table 11 & 12 Addendum Table 6-4 {2013) I Tables 13-18 Addendum Sect 6 of 2013 Study Sect 7 of both 2013 and Addendum studies Sect 7 of both 2013 and Addendum studies Sect 7 {2013 & Addendum) I Sect 4.1 Addendum Sect 7 {2013 & Addendum) I Sect 4.1 Addendum Sect 2 of 2013 Study No unresolved issues were identified Sect 6.6 of 2013 Study Figure 4-1 of2013 Study I Figure 2 Addendum Return trips not reQuired
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return times for buses should be provided.
- c.
It should be clearly stated if it is assumed that passengers are left at the reception center and are taken by separate buses to the congregate care center.
Technical Reviewer Thomas Montz 9A1
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Supervisory Review Akhil Chauhan Criterion Addressed In Comments ETE Analysis (Yes/No}
yes Sect 3.1.2 of 2013 Study Date 5 J 5 jt '-\\
Date sl.. 'f It r.