ML12340A648

Official Exhibit - NYS000430-00-BD01 - Revisions to Tables in ISR Report 13014-01-01: Review of Indian Point Severe Accident Off Site Consequences Analysis, Dec. 21, 2011 (Jun. 28, 2012)

ML12340A648
Person / Time
Site:	Indian Point
Issue date:	06/29/2012
From:	State of NY
To:	Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
SECY RAS
References
RAS 22882, 50-247-LR, 50-286-LR, ASBLP 07-858-03-LR-BD01
Download: ML12340A648 (6)

Text

These revised tables include the following changes that account for the differences with the ISR Report:Luna, Survey of CostsLightModerateHeavyLightModerateHeavy(2<DF<5) ($M/km 2)(5<DF<10)

($M/km 2)(DF>10) ($M/km 2)(2<DF<5) ($M/km 2)(5<DF<10)

($M/km 2)(DF>10) ($M/km 2)Residential0.287$20.8 $38.7 $36.0 8.98$186.7 $347.8 $323.0 Commercial0.164$21.4 $34.5 $57.8 8.98$192.3 $309.8 $518.6 Industrial0.068$33.3 $35.3 $59.3 1$33.3 $35.3 $59.3 Streets0.25$4.0 $4.6 $50.0 1$4.0 $4.6 $50.0 Vacant land0.238$19.3 $20.4 $21.8 1$19.3 $20.4 $21.8 Overall cost $98.7 $133.6 $224.8 $435.50 $717.86 $972.78 Table 2: Modified decontamination costs (2005 USD) for NYC using building density multiplierSite Restoration (Albuquerque)ISR Using Actual Building Densities (NYC)

Land UseArea Fraction in NYCBuilding Density MultiplierRevisions to Tables in ISR Report 13014-01-01: Review of Indian Point Severe Accident Off Site Consequence Analysis (21 Dec 2011)Exclusion of compensation costs from Site Restorationand Reichmuth data (Tables 2 and 5);Exclusion of surface water and farm area so that only nonfarm area is considered when determining CDNFRM (Tables 3-4, 7-10); andUpdateof conclusions as a result of these changes(Tables 11 and 13).

United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Official Hearing Exhibit In the Matter of

Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. (Indian Point Nuclear Generating Units 2 and 3)

ASLBP #:07-858-03-LR-BD01 Docket #:05000247 l 05000286 Exhibit #:

Identified:

Admitted: Withdrawn:

Rejected: Stricken: Other: NYS000430-00-BD01 10/15/2012 10/15/2012 NYS000430 Submitted: June 29, 2012 NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaNYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2 ($) from Site Restoration

/Survey of Costs4.36E+089.87E+079.73E+082.25E+08Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441 558 15441Total cost for the area ($)2.43E+111.52E+125.43E+113.47E+12Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaNYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2 ($) from Site Restoration

/Survey of Costs8.71E+081.97E+081.95E+094.50E+08Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441 558 15441Total cost for the area ($)4.86E+113.05E+121.09E+126.94E+12Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaNYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2, ($) (Annex C)Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441 558 15441Total cost for the area ($)1.55E+102.81E+117.31E+101.30E+12Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)Table 3: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)Table 4: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = 2 x cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)Table 7: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is class ified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD)19,228,71219,228,71215,42271,2552.78E+071.82E+071.31E+088.40E+072.97E+111.37E+1219,228,71219,228,712183,871417,561Light Decontamination(DF=3)Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)Light Decontamination (DF=3)Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)3.54E+128.03E+12208,78091,936 Light Decontamination (DF=3)Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)1.77E+124.01E+1219,228,71219,228,712 NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaNYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2, ($) (Annex C)Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441 558 15441Total cost for the area ($)3.13E+104.29E+111.47E+112.02E+12Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2 ($) (Annex C)5.46E+073.34E+07Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441Total cost for the area ($)3.05E+105.16E+11Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)NYC metroArea Outside NYC Metro AreaCost per km 2 ($)(Annex C)1.17E+085.46E+07Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km 2)558 15441Total cost for the area ($)6.53E+108.43E+11Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRMPer capita cost ($/person)Table 8: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is cl assified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD)Table 9: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is class ified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD)Table 10: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is cl assified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD)5.61E+072.78E+072.64E+081.31E+089.08E+1119,228,71247,2405.46E+1119,228,71228,405Light Decontamination(DF=3)19,228,71219,228,71223,952112,856Light Decontamination(DF=3)4.61E+112.17E+12Light Decontamination(DF=3)Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)

Target (population density)NYC 1.0E+4 Ci(10,000 persons/km2)(3.7E+14 Bq)Vancouver 1.0E+3 Ci(5,000 persons/km2)(3.7E+13 Bq)Personal communication with Dr. Steven M Short and Dr. Tom Cousins, April 27, 2012$97,000 Table 5: Summary of the decontamination costs (2005 USD) based on Reichmuth's studies6 km2$8 Billion$150,720 Cesium ActivityAffected AreaTotal Cost of RestorationCost per person of Decontamination (excl. compensation)60 km2$97 Billion

-Entergy (Sample Problem A)

ASite Restoration/Luna91,936-183,871208,780-417,561BReichmuth97,000-150,720CCONDO15,422-23,95271,255-112,856DRISO28,405-47,240

-Aggregate15,000

-184,00071,000

-418,00013,8245,184Not available Not available Table 11: Summary of ISRs decontamination costsCDNFRM ($/person, 2005)Light DecontaminationHeavy DecontaminationApproachReference or Source of Data ParameterDescriptionEntergy's valueMinimumMaximumMinimumMaximumCDNFRM (DF=3)Per capita cost of nonfarm light decontamination$5,184$15,000$184,0003.68E+051.18E+06CDNFRM (DF=15)Per capita cost of nonfarm heavy decontamination$13,824$71,000$418,000(1.74)(5.57)TIMDEC (DF=3)Time required for light decontamination 60 d 1 y 15 y4.43E+051.20E+06TIMDEC (DF=15)Time required for heavy decontamination 120 d 2 y 30 y(2.09)(5.66)1.87E+051.95E+05(0.88)(0.92)2.23E+054.41E+05(1.05)(2.08)6.34E+051.47E+06(2.99)(6.93)Using all of ISRs proposed input valuesNotes: a The ratio shown in brackets is the ratio of the ISR-calculated OECR to the Entergy-calculated OECR ($2.12E+05/yr).FRNFIMNonfarm wealth improvements fraction 80%90%2.19E+05POPCSTPer capita cost of long-term relocation$8,640DSRATESocietal discount rate for property 12%5%7%(1.03)$10,640$49,857 Per capita value of nonfarm wealth (2004 USD)

$208,838Depreciation rate 20%DPRATE 20%(1)2.51E+05$284,189(1.18)2.12E+05Table 13: Summary of ISR proposed inputs and calculated OECRs (costs in 2005 USD)VALWNFISR's proposed input valueISR's calculated OECR ($/yr) and ratio a