ML12340A648

Official Exhibit - NYS000430-00-BD01 - Revisions to Tables in ISR Report 13014-01-01: Review of Indian Point Severe Accident Off Site Consequences Analysis, Dec. 21, 2011 (Jun. 28, 2012)

ML12340A648
Person / Time
Site:	Indian Point
Issue date:	06/29/2012
From:	State of NY
To:	Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
SECY RAS
References
RAS 22882, 50-247-LR, 50-286-LR, ASBLP 07-858-03-LR-BD01
Download: ML12340A648 (6)

Text

United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Official Hearing Exhibit NYS000430 Entergy Nuclear Operations, Inc. Submitted: June 29, 2012 In the Matter of:

(Indian Point Nuclear Generating Units 2 and 3)

ASLBP #: 07-858-03-LR-BD01 Docket #: 05000247 l 05000286 Exhibit #: NYS000430-00-BD01 Identified: 10/15/2012 Admitted: 10/15/2012 Withdrawn:

Rejected: Stricken:

Other:

Revisions to Tables in ISR Report 13014-01-01:

Review of Indian Point Severe Accident Off Site Consequence Analysis (21 Dec 2011)

These revised tables include the following changes that account for the differences with the ISR Report:

Exclusion of compensation costs from Site Restoration and Reichmuth data (Tables 2 and 5);

Exclusion of surface water and farm area so that only nonfarm area is considered when determining CDNFRM (Tables 3-4, 7-10); and Update of conclusions as a result of these changes (Tables 11 and 13).

Table 2: Modified decontamination costs (2005 USD) for NYC using building density multiplier Luna, Survey of Site Restoration (Albuquerque) ISR Using Actual Building Densities (NYC)

Costs Area Light Moderate Heavy Building Light Moderate Heavy Land Use Fraction in (2<DF<5) (5<DF<10) (DF>10) Density (2<DF<5) (5<DF<10) (DF>10)

NYC ($M/km2) ($M/km2) ($M/km2) Multiplier ($M/km2) ($M/km2) ($M/km2)

Residential 0.287 $20.8 $38.7 $36.0 8.98 $186.7 $347.8 $323.0 Commercial 0.164 $21.4 $34.5 $57.8 8.98 $192.3 $309.8 $518.6 Industrial 0.068 $33.3 $35.3 $59.3 1 $33.3 $35.3 $59.3 Streets 0.25 $4.0 $4.6 $50.0 1 $4.0 $4.6 $50.0 Vacant land 0.238 $19.3 $20.4 $21.8 1 $19.3 $20.4 $21.8 Overall cost $98.7 $133.6 $224.8 $435.50 $717.86 $972.78

Table 3: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination (DF=3) Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)

Area Outside NYC Area Outside NYC NYC metro NYC metro Metro Area Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) from Site 4.36E+08 9.87E+07 9.73E+08 2.25E+08 Restoration /Survey of Costs Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 2.43E+11 1.52E+12 5.43E+11 3.47E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 1.77E+12 4.01E+12 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 19,228,712 CDNFRM 91,936 208,780 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 4: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = 2 x cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination (DF=3) Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)

Area Outside NYC Area Outside NYC NYC metro NYC metro Metro Area Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) from Site 8.71E+08 1.97E+08 1.95E+09 4.50E+08 Restoration /Survey of Costs Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 4.86E+11 3.05E+12 1.09E+12 6.94E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 3.54E+12 8.03E+12 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 19,228,712 CDNFRM 183,871 417,561 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 7: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination Heavy Decontamination (DF=3) (DF=15)

Area Outside NYC Area Outside NYC NYC metro NYC metro Metro Area Metro Area Cost per km2, ($)

2.78E+07 1.82E+07 1.31E+08 8.40E+07 (Annex C)

Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 1.55E+10 2.81E+11 7.31E+10 1.30E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 2.97E+11 1.37E+12 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 19,228,712 CDNFRM 15,422 71,255 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 8: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination Heavy Decontamination (DF=3) (DF=15)

Area Outside NYC Area Outside NYC NYC metro NYC metro Metro Area Metro Area Cost per km2, ($)

5.61E+07 2.78E+07 2.64E+08 1.31E+08 (Annex C)

Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 3.13E+10 4.29E+11 1.47E+11 2.02E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 4.61E+11 2.17E+12 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 19,228,712 CDNFRM 23,952 112,856 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 9: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination (DF=3)

Area Outside NYC NYC metro Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) (Annex C) 5.46E+07 3.34E+07 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 3.05E+10 5.16E+11 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 5.46E+11 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 CDNFRM 28,405 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 10: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD)

Light Decontamination (DF=3)

Area Outside NYC NYC metro Metro Area Cost per km2 ($)(Annex C) 1.17E+08 5.46E+07 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius 558 15441 (km2)

Total cost for the area ($) 6.53E+10 8.43E+11 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($) 9.08E+11 Population over 50-mi radius 19,228,712 CDNFRM 47,240 Per capita cost ($/person)

Table 5: Summary of the decontamination costs (2005 USD) based on Reichmuth's studies Target Cost per person of Total Cost of Cesium Activity Affected Area Decontamination (excl.

(population density) Restoration compensation)

NYC 1.0E+4 Ci 60 km2 $97 Billion $97,000 (10,000 persons/km2) (3.7E+14 Bq)

Vancouver 1.0E+3 Ci 6 km2 $8 Billion $150,720 (5,000 persons/km2) (3.7E+13 Bq)

Personal communication with Dr. Steven M Short and Dr. Tom Cousins, April 27, 2012

Table 11: Summary of ISRs decontamination costs CDNFRM ($/person, 2005)

Approach Reference or Source of Data Light Decontamination Heavy Decontamination

- Entergy (Sample Problem A) 5,184 13,824 A Site Restoration /Luna 91,936 - 183,871 208,780 - 417,561 B Reichmuth Not available 97,000 - 150,720 C CONDO 15,422 - 23,952 71,255 - 112,856 D RISO 28,405 - 47,240 Not available

- Aggregate 15,000 - 184,000 71,000 - 418,000

Table 13: Summary of ISR proposed inputs and calculated OECRs (costs in 2005 USD)

ISR's calculated OECR ($/yr) and Parameter Description Entergy's value ISR's proposed input value ratioa Minimum Maximum Minimum Maximum Per capita cost of nonfarm light CDNFRM (DF=3) $5,184 $15,000 $184,000 3.68E+05 1.18E+06 decontamination Per capita cost of nonfarm heavy CDNFRM (DF=15) $13,824 $71,000 $418,000 (1.74) (5.57) decontamination Time required for light TIMDEC (DF=3) 60 d 1y 15 y 4.43E+05 1.20E+06 decontamination Time required for heavy TIMDEC (DF=15) 120 d 2y 30 y (2.09) (5.66) decontamination 2.51E+05 Per capita value of nonfarm VALWNF $208,838 $284,189 wealth (2004 USD)

(1.18) 2.12E+05 DPRATE Depreciation rate 20% 20%

(1) 1.87E+05 1.95E+05 DSRATE Societal discount rate for property 12% 5% 7%

(0.88) (0.92)

Per capita cost of long-term 2.23E+05 4.41E+05 POPCST $8,640 $10,640 $49,857 relocation (1.05) (2.08)

Nonfarm wealth improvements 2.19E+05 FRNFIM 80% 90%

fraction (1.03) 6.34E+05 1.47E+06 Using all of ISRs proposed input values (2.99) (6.93) a Notes: The ratio shown in brackets is the ratio of the ISR-calculated OECR to the Entergy-calculated OECR ($2.12E+05/yr).