ML21064A456
| ML21064A456 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Issue date: | 02/22/2021 |
| From: | NRC/RES/DRA/FRB |
| To: | |
| Aird, Tom - 301 415-2442 | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML210645A395 | List: |
| References | |
| Download: ML21064A456 (7) | |
Text
6th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop Via MS Teams, February 22-25, 2021 (Start Time: 10:00AM EST)
Main Workshop Microsoft Teams Meeting (All days)*
Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,427071835# USA, Maryland, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 427 071 835#
Find a local number
- Note: For Wednesday afternoon Poster Session, each poster has an individual MS Teams meeting DAY 1 AGENDA: MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22, 2021 Session 1A: Introduction Session Chair: Tom Aird, NRC/RES 10:00 - 10:10 Welcome, Webinar Logistics 1A-0 Kenneth Hamburger*, NRC/RES 10:10 - 10:25 Opening Remarks 1A-1 Ray Furstenau*, Director, NRC Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (NRC/RES) 10:25 - 10:45 NRC PFHA Research Program Overview 1A-2 Joseph Kanney*, NRC/RES 10:45 - 11:05 U.S. Geological Survey Flooding-Related Programs and Recent Activities 1A-3 Julie Kiang*, Robert Mason, U.S. Geological Survey 11:05 - 11:25 Committee on the Safety of Nuclear Installations (CSNI) Working Group on 1A-4 External Events (WGEV)
John Nakoski*, NRC/RES (WGEV Chair) 11:25 - 11:40 Break Session 1B: Climate Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 11:40 - 12:10 KEYNOTE - Seasonally Dependent Changes in Multimodel and Large 1B-1 Ensemble Simulations Lai-Yung (Ruby) Leung*, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 12:10 - 12:40 Challenges Associated with Multi-Hazard Characterization of Landfalling 1B-2 Hurricanes Scott Weaver*, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST);
Dereka-Caroll Smith, Joint NIST-UMD-NCAR Research Associate 12:40 - 13:10 Quantifying Shifts in Joint Rainfall-Surge Hazard due to Future Climate 1B-3 Warming Avantika Gori*, Ning Lin, Princeton University
- denotes speaker
13:10 - 13:30 Climate Panel Discussion 1B-4 All Speakers 13:30 - 14:30 Lunch Session 1C: Precipitation Session Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES 14:30 - 15:00 KEYNOTE- On the Applicability of Kilometer-Scale Heavy Precipitation in 1C-1 Flood Risk Assessments Andreas Prein*, Jordan Powers, Erin Towler, David Ahijevych, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) 15:00 - 15:25 Tropical Cyclone Rainfall-driven Flood Risk Assessment 1C-2 Ali Sarhadi*, Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) 15:25 - 15:55 Does PMP have an AEP? CO-NM REPS findings bridge deterministic and 1C-3 probabilistic approaches Bill McCormick*, Mark Perry, Colorado Division of Water Resources; Kelly Mahoney Rob Cifelli, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 15:55 - 16:20 Local Intense Precipitation (LIP) Flooding PFHA Pilot Study 1C-4 Rajiv Prasad*, Yong Yuan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 16:20 - 16:30 Break 16:30 - 16:50 Precipitation Panel Discussion 1C-5 All Speakers 16:50 - 17:00 Session 1D: Day 1 Wrap-up Discussion
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DAY 2 AGENDA: TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 23, 2021 10:00 - 10:05 Day 2 Welcome Session 2A: Riverine Flooding Session Chair: Mark Fuhrmann, NRC/RES 10:05 - 10:35 KEYNOTE - Estimating Flood Frequency using Stochastic Storm 2A-1 Transposition, Gridded Precipitation Data, and Physics-based Modeling Daniel Wright*, Guo Yu, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Kathleen Holman, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) 10:35 - 11:05 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment for a Small Watershed in Eastern 2A-2 Tennessee: Methodology and Lessons Learned Periandros Samothrakis*, Craig Talbot, Kit Ng, and Stewart Taylor, Bechtel Corporation 11:05 - 11:30 Probabilistic Assessment of Multi-mechanism Floods in Inland Watersheds 2A-3 Due to Snowmelt-Driven Extreme Streamflow Events Shih-Chieh Kao*, Scott T. DeNeale, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL); Michelle Bensi, Somayeh Mohammadi, University of Maryland (UMD); Elena Yegorova, Joseph Kanney, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission(NRC); Meredith Carr, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory (USACE/ERDC/CHL) 11:30 - 11:45 Break 11:45 - 12:15 Updating design flood estimates at sites with changing variability 2A-4 Jory S Hecht*, Nancy A. Barth, Karen R Ryberg and Angela E Gregory, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) 12:15 - 12:45 Historical and Paleoflood Analyses for Probabilistic Flood Hazard 2A-5 AssessmentsApproaches and Review Guidelines Karen Ryberg*, Tessa Harden, Jonathan Friedman and Jim O'Connor, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) 12:45 - 13:05 Riverine Flooding Panel Discussion 2A-6 All Speakers 13:05 - 14:05 Lunch
- denotes speaker 3
Session 2B: Coastal Flooding Session Chair: Meredith Carr, USACE/ERDC/CHL 14:05 - 14:35 KEYNOTE - A Risk Analysis Framework for Tropical Cyclones (RAFT) 2B-1 Karthik Balaguru*, Wenwie Xu, David Judi, Lai-Yung (Ruby) Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 14:35 - 15:05 Storm Surge Modeling Uncertainty 2B-2 Victor M. Gonzalez*, Norberto C. Nadal Caraballo, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory (USACE/ERDC/CHL) 15:05 - 15:35 Coastal Flooding PFHA Pilot Study 2B-3 Karlie Wells*, Victor M. Gonzalez, Norberto C. Nadal Caraballo, U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory (USACE/ERDC/CHL) 15:35 - 16:05 Probabilistic assessment of multi-mechanism floods in coastal areas due to 2B-4 hurricane-induced storm surge and river flow Somayeh Mohammadi*, Michelle Bensi, University of Maryland (UMD);
Shih-Chieh Kao, Scott T. DeNeale, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL); Elena Yegorova, Joseph Kanney, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) 16:05 - 16:25 Coastal Flooding Panel Discussion 2B-5 All Speakers 16:25 - 16:40 Session 2C: Day 2 Wrap-up Discussion
- denotes speaker 4
DAY 3 AGENDA: WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24, 2021 10:00 - 10:05 Day 3 Welcome Session 3A: Modeling Frameworks Session Chair: Tom Nicholson, NRC/RES 10:05 - 10:35 KEYNOTE - Stochastic Hydrology in the Tennessee Valley 3A-1 Miles Yaw*, Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) 10:35 - 11:05 Riverine PFHA Pilot (WAT) 3A-2 William Lehman*, Sara O'Connell, Brennan Beam and David Ho, Leila Ostadrahimi, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE/HEC) 11:05 - 11:35 Structured Hazard Assessment Committee Process for Flooding (SHAC-F) for 3A-3 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA)
Rajiv Prasad*, Philip Meyer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL); Kevin Coppersmith, Coppersmith Consulting; Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo, Victor M. Gonzalez, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory (USACE/ERDC/CHL) 11:35 - 11:55 Modeling Frameworks Panel Discussion 3A-4 All Speakers 11:55 - 12:10 Break Session 3B: Flood Protection and Flooding Operating Experience Session Chair: Tom Aird, NRC/RES 12:10 - 12:40 KEYNOTE - Modeling of the May 2020 Michigan Dam Breaches 3B-1 Edward Stowasser*, Wesley Crosby and Christopher Warren, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) 12:40 - 13:10 Developing a Framework for Flood Barrier Testing Strategies 3B-2 Zhegang Ma*, Sai Zhang and Curtis L. Smith, Idaho National Laboratory (INL); Chad L. Pope, Idaho State University (ISU) 13:10 - 13:40 Qualitative Risk Ranking Process of External Flood Penetration Seals 3B-3 Marko Randelovic*, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) 13:40 - 14:00 Flood Protection and Flood Operating Experience Panel Discussion 3B-4 All Speakers 14:00 - 14:10 Session 3C: Day 3 Wrap-up Discussion 14:10 - 15:10 Lunch
- denotes speaker 5
Session 3D: Posters 15:10 - 16:30 Investigating Current and Future Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the 3D-1 State of Maryland: Challenges of Applying Machine Learning for Temporal Downscaling of Climate Model Projections Azin Al Kajbaf*, Michelle T. Bensi, Kaye L. Brubaker, University of Maryland (UMD)
Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,482312311# USA, MD, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 482 312 311#, Find a local number 15:10 - 16:30 Riverine Flooding HEC-WAT Pilot Project Dam Break Modeling 3D-2 Brennan Beam*, William Lehman, Sara O'Connell, David Ho, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE/HEC)
Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,278343030# USA, MD, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 278 343 030#, Find a local number 15:10 - 16:30 Nationwide (USA) Pluvial Flood Modeling via Telemac2D 3D-3 Max Kipp*, Leo Kreymborg, Mike DePue, Atkins North America Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,523372657# USA, MD, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 523 372 657#, Find a local number 15:10 - 16:30 Combining the best of both worlds, using detailed flood analyses to inform 3D-4 rainfall accumulation characteristics for the World-Record July 1942 Smethport Storm - Supporting PMP and flood frequency analyses Bill Kappel*, Applied Weather Associates (AWA); Joe Bellini, Aterra Solutions, LLC Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,159239222# USA, MD, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 159 239 222#, Find a local number 15:10 - 16:30 A Tale of Two Cores: harmonized paleoflood hydrologic data works best for 3D-5 estimating flood frequency and magnitude Ray Lombardi*, Lisa Davis, University of Alabama (UA)
Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer or mobile app: Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only): +1 301-576-2978,,871138817# USA, MD, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 871 138 817#, Find a local number
- denotes speaker 6
DAY 4 AGENDA: THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2021 10:00 - 10:05 Day 4 Welcome Session 4A: External Flooding PRA Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 10:05 - 10:35 Insights, limits and projections for EDFs external flooding PRAs 4A-1 Jeremy Gaudron*, Cecile Luzoir, Electricité de France (EDF) 10:35 - 11:05 Methodology developed for the Belgian External Flooding PSA 4A-2 Bogdan Golovchuk*, Filip Van Opstal, Tractebel ENGIE 11:05 - 11:35 External Flooding PRA Guidance 4A-3 Marko Randelovic*, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI); Raymond E. Schneider, Westinghouse Electric Company 11:35 - 11:50 Break 11:50 - 13:20 Session 4B: Special Panel Discussion - Drivers of Uncertainty in External Flood Probabilistic Risk Assessment Session Chair: Michelle (Shelby) Bensi, University of Maryland Panelists:
Fernando Ferrante, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)
Norberto Nadal-Carraballo, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE)
Kit Ng, Bechtel Corporation Jeremy Gaudron, Électricité de France (EDF)
Bogdan Golovchuk, Tractebel ENGIE Ray Schneider, Westinghouse Electric Company; Curtis Smith, Idaho National Laboratory (INL)
Jeff Mitman, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) 13:20 - 13:30 Break 13:30 - 13:50 Session 4C: Workshop Wrap-up Discussion
- denotes speaker 7