ML20267A200

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Sean Peters - IDHEAS 9-23-2020_ACRS_Subcommittee_Presentation
ML20267A200
Person / Time
Issue date: 09/23/2020
From: Sean Peters
Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards
To:
Sean Peters, Carmen Franklin
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Download: ML20267A200 (13)


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The Integrated Human Event Analysis System (IDHEAS) Program Introduction Sean E. Peters Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards Reliability and PRA Subcommittee Meeting September 23, 2020

Why are we here?

SRM-M061020 The Committee should work with the staff and external stakeholders to evaluate the different Human Reliability models in an effort to propose either a single model for the agency to use or guidance on which model(s) should to be used in specific circumstances.

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Timeline of HRA Development PRA Policy IDHEAS At-Power Evaluation of Statement HRA Methods HRA Cognitive Basis HRA Good vs Good International HRA U.S. Empirical Study Practices Practices Empirical Study 2011 2020 1995 2005 2006 2009-2014 2016 2017 SRM M061020 Fukushima IDHEAS-G Daiichi IDHEAS-ECA Expert Elicitation FLEX HRA 3

Timeline References

  • PRA Policy Statement " (60 FR 42622) - The use of PRA technology should be increased in all regulatory matters to the extent supported by the state of the art in PRA methods and data, and in a manner that complements the NRC's deterministic approach and supports the NRC's traditional defense-in-depth philosophy.
  • NUREG-2127 - The International HRA Empirical Study: Lessons Learned from Comparing HRA Methods Predictions to HAMMLAB Simulator Data (ML14227A197)
  • RIL 2020-02, Integrated Human Event Analysis System for Event and Condition Assessment (IDHEAS-ECA) (ML20016A481) 4

IDHEAS Development Process

  • US and International Benchmarking Projects -

determined existing methods strengths and weaknesses

  • Cognitive Basis Report

- Extensive Literature Review, Scientific Basis for Structure

- Industry/NRC Collaboration - goal of reducing variability

  • Fukushima 5

Development Process (cont.)

  • IDHEAS-G

- Guidance for developing application-specific HRA methods or tools

- Framework to generalize and integrate human error data

- Structure to analyze human events and identify human failures and root causes

  • IDHEAS-ECA

- Built from IDHEAS-G to handle all NRC applications

- Can be used for in/ex control room activities and other nuclear/non-nuclear domains (human centered method)

- Quantification model and software tool included 6

Development Process (cont.)

  • IDHEAS-Data

- Data basis for IDHEAS quantification

- Constantly evolving and tied to NRC data collection activities

  • Scenario Authoring, Characterization, and Debriefing Application - SACADA
  • NRCs Human Performance Test Facility
  • Halden 7

IDHEAS Reviews

  • IDHEAS-G

- Multiple ACRS Subcommittee reviews

- 2 external peer reviews, 1 internal peer review

- Tested on: Fukushima, US Benchmarking Events, Fuel Cycle Facility Events

  • IDHEAS-ECA

- Tested on FLEX Scenarios (NRC and industry studies), ASP and SDP Events

- Currently taking user comments to incorporate into revised report/tool

  • IDHEAS-DATA

- Data review (underway), peer review possible thereafter

- Plans for regular updates 8

The Integrated Human Event Analysis System (IDHEAS) Program Path Forward Sean E. Peters Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards Reliability and PRA Subcommittee Meeting September 23, 2020

IDHEAS Future Work

  • IDHEAS-G - Publication
  • IDHEAS-ECA - Refinement/Rollout

- Dependency

- Recovery

- Timing

- Integrate with SAPHIRE/SPAR Models

- Publication of revision

  • IDHEAS-DATA

- Completion

- Peer review

- Publication

- Revision 10

Other HRA Work

  • Minimum joint human error probabilities
  • Data!
  • Wish List

- Errors of commission

- Org Factors

- Security (Physical and Cyber) 11

Path Forward for the ACRS

  • Complete/Practical HRA Method
  • Improvement to the current state of practice at the NRC
  • Human-centered, scientific and data-based
  • Program for continuous updates based on user feedback and data
  • Can be applied to all NRC applications
  • Closure of SRM-M061020?

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QUESTIONS/DISCUSSION 13