ML20267A195

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James Chang - IDHEAS-ECA for ACRS
ML20267A195
Person / Time
Issue date: 09/23/2020
From: Chang Y
NRC/RES/DRA/HFRB
To:
Sean Peters, Carmen Franklin
Shared Package
ML20267A193 List:
References
Download: ML20267A195 (11)


Text

IDHEAS-ECA Y. James Chang RES/DRA/HFRB Presented at the ACRS Subcommittee Meeting 9/23/2020 1

Scientific Cognitive Basis for HRA Literature (NUREG-2114)

SACADA and all data sources

Research, operation IDHEAS General Methodology IDHEAS-experience (IDHEAS-G) (NUREG-2198) DATA IDHEAS Internal IDHEAS-ECA At-power Application (RIL-2020-02)

(NUREG-2199)

HRA applications HRA applications 2

IDHEAS-ECA

  • A human reliability analysis (HRA) method for event and condition assessment (ECA) in NRCs risk-informed regulation.
  • A HRA process to
  • Identify human failure events, critical tasks, and corresponding contexts
  • Calculate human error probabilities (HEPs)
  • A software tool to implement HEP calculations and documentation
  • A method aimed for all HRA applications
  • Developed based on IDHEAS-G
  • Data were documented in IDHEAS-DATA
  • Workshops conducted to evaluate the use for FLEX actions 3

HEP Quantification Elements Element Factors Pt Time sufficiency (Normal pace and performed as planned)

Cognitive errors in performing critical tasks Pc 5 Cognitive Failure Modes (CFMs): Detection, Understanding, Decisionmaking, Action Execution, and Interteam Coordination Error Recovery Credit the resources not available for normal team responses (e.g., extended time available)

Dependency A task failure affects the reliability of the subsequent tasks 4

IDHEAS-ECAs HRA Process PIF attributes of every CFM Scenario for every CT PRA context and Step 5: Calculate model list of applicable Step 4: Assess PIFs Step 1: Determine PIFs applicable to every scenario context CFM List of Step 1: HFE and its applicable Step 7:

Develop scenario narrative definition CFM(s) for Calculate Develop scenario timeline the CT(s) overall HEP HFE and its Step 2: List of CT(s) Step 3: Characterize the Step 1: Identify HFE definition Analyze tasks CT(s) and select applicable Step 2: Define HFE and identify CFMs CT(s) in HFE HFE and its definition Step 6: Estimate parameters and Step 6: Analyze HFE timeline of distribution (subset of scenario timeline, if there are Step 6: Calculate multiple HFEs in the scenario)

Step 6: Estimate parameters of distribution and CFM = cognitive failure mode = error probability due to CFMs CT = critical task = error probability due to uncertainty in and HEP = human error probability = time available HFE = human failure event = time required PIF = performance-influencing factor and = mean and standard deviation of 5 PRA = probabilistic risk assessment and = mean and standard deviation of

HFEs HEP Quantification Structure HFE Time (Pt) Cognition (Pc)

Critical Critical Critical Task Task Task Action Interteam Detection Understanding Decisionmaking Execution coordination PIFs - PIF Attributes 6

Calculate Pt 7

Calculate Pc 8

Critical Task, CFMs, PIF, and PIF Attributes (As Implemented in IDHEAS-ECA Tool)

PIF &

PIF Attributes 9

IDHEAS-ECA Tool Demo 10

Error Recovery & Dependency

  • Error recovery: Only credit resources that are normally not available, e.g., extended time available, with combination of credible recovery opportunities
  • Dependency: IDHEAS-Gs dependency assessment process 11