ML20133N947
ML20133N947 | |
Person / Time | |
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Issue date: | 10/28/1996 |
From: | Rogers K NRC COMMISSION (OCM) |
To: | Hoyle J NRC OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY (SECY) |
Shared Package | |
ML20133N913 | List: |
References | |
SECY-96-218-C, NUDOCS 9701240036 | |
Download: ML20133N947 (3) | |
Text
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NOTATION VOTE RESPONSE SHEET TO: John C. Hoyle, Secretary FROM: COMMISSIONER ROGERS
SUBJECT:
SECY-96-218 - QUARTERLY STATUS UPDATE FOR THE PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT (PRA)
IMPLEMENTATION PLAN, INCLUDING A DISCUSSION OF FOUR EMERGING POLICY ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITII RISK-INFORMED PEFORMANCE-BASED REGULATION
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Release Vote /
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/ dDATE 2 ( / [b Withhold Vote / /
Entered on "AS" Yes x No 9701240036 970122 PDR COMMS NRCC CORRESPONDENCE PDR
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Comments of Commissioner Rogers on SECY-96-218 October 28, 1996 l
l A. THE ROLE OF PERFORMANCE BASED REGULATION IN THE PRA IMPLEMENTATION PLAN I endorse neither Alternative 1 nor Alternative 2 i completely. I propose that a modified version of Alternative 2 l be adopted. The highest priority for the use of staff resources l
should be assigned to completing the PRA Implementation Plan on the schedule already established with the development of performance based regulation in the context of PRA as stated in the staf f's Alternative 1. However, staf f shot.ld announce its plans to phase into the PRA Implementation Plan at a later date e.g. early 1998, an effort to solicit from the industry (or to i
1 develop on their own) additional performance based objectives l that are not amenable to mathematical probabilistic analysis, but could be ranked according to a relative hazard analysis. Using this approach the CONS of Alternative 2 could be significantly reduced.
I believe that if Alternative 1 is unreservedly approved by j the Commission, performance-based regulation will be entirely j confined to those matters for which PRA's can be carried out, and other applications of a performance-based approach, but not amenable to PRA, will never receive sufficient staff attention to become worthy of serious consideration.
I like the staff's effort to define four key elements of a risk-informed performance-based regulatory approach and their comments on performance-based regulation without use of risk insights. However, I share Commissioner Diaz's concern on the wording of the fourth key element of performance-based regulation. The phrase " intolerable outcome" is too vague. On the other hand, I would not be in favor or introducing the NRC's Safety Goal Quantitative Health Objectives into a definition of what the NRC means by the term Performance-Based Regulation, because to do so would set an entirely new standard for all regulations if they were to become stated in non-prescriptive terms. Staff should attempt to find terminology that avoids these problems.
B. PLANT-SPECIFIC APPLICATION OF SAFETY GOALS I approve the staff's recommendation of Alternative 1. In this connection the staff should explore the legal ramifications of the use of numericel guidelines for plant-specific regulatory decisions and prepare a legal analysis of the issues for the Commission.
(contd)...SECY-96-218(Comm. Rogers) 2 C. RISK NEUTRAL VS. INCREASES IN RISK Provided that greater specificity is given by the staff to definitions of the terms "small" and "under certain conditions", ;
and the establishment by the staff of procedures for accurately I tracking the cumulative changes in risk for a given nuclear facility over time, I approve Alternative 1 which would " Allow 1 l
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small increases in risk under certain conditions, for proposed changes to a plant's licensing basis".
The staff should develop a methodology for assessing changes in risk that uses recognized mathematical statistical concepts and definitions of mean values and uncertainties.
D. IMPLEMENTATION OF CHANGES TO RISK-INFORMED IST AND ISI
! REQUIREMENTS l
In I approve the staff's recommendation of Alternative 2.
pursuing this alternative the staff should strive to work closely with ASME and with the Code consensus process so as to i harmoniously expedite changes to the Code involving ISI and IST. J
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