ML20133C017

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Urges Support in Expeditious Resolution of Nuclear Accident Radiation Source Term Issue.Original Source Term Has No Technical Basis for Being So High.Final Source Term Must Be Selected Soon
ML20133C017
Person / Time
Site: Beaver Valley, Davis Besse, Perry, 05000000
Issue date: 10/14/1983
From: Johnson W
TOLEDO EDISON CO.
To: Roberts T
NRC COMMISSION (OCM)
Shared Package
ML20132B257 List:
References
FOIA-85-199 NUDOCS 8507200422
Download: ML20133C017 (2)


Text

-p O t.' w TMR October 14, 1983 DO Mr. Thomas M. Roberts Nuclear Regulatory Commission WENDELL A. JOHNSON Matomic Building Zwe 1717 H Street, N.W.

Washington, D. C.

20553

Dear Commissioner Roberts:

The Toledo Edison Company has been an active participant in the nuclear Power Station, now in operation near Port Clinton, Ohio. power in also extend to include major ownership percentages in the construction of Our interests the_ Perry Nuclear Units _of Cleveland Electric illuminating and Duqu Light's Renver Vallev Unit 2-esne Our confidence in the ability of nuclear power to make a major contribution to the supply of safe and economic electricity to our customers is a major factor in our commitment to this aggressive program.

This letter is to urge your support of an expeditious resolution of the nuclear accident radiation source term issue that the industry and the Over the years, however, we have had to deal with the stig arisen as a result of " worst case" accident analyses.

relates to the evaluations that have lead to a public perception that aSpecifically, this The assumed consequences, as a result of the source term. ar '

LM1y high, resulting in an overstatement of public risk - unraaliE-These evaluations, of course, were the results of the approach the nuclear community often uses in " bounding" the worst case consequences which can be postulated, no matter how low the probability nor how large the unknowns These evaluations are usually multiply-compounded in their conservatism used to simplify the calculations.

Although the,carlier evaluations accomplished their desired functions at the timef? the tremendously conser-vative assumptions have left unrealistic dire predictions of risk as a public perception.

These predictions have constantly been used in the public debate of recent years against the development of commercial nuclear power.

and confidence in the nuclear industry, resulting in increase This overstatement complexity and substantially higher costs.

An opportunity now is available to substantially refine our previous calculations to more accurately, but still conservatively, evaluate the potential public risk associated with nuclear power plant accidents.

Nuclear industry programs in the United States are examining the radiation source term associated with accident releases.

THE TOLEDO EDISON CCMPANY EDISON PLAZA 3DO MADISON AVENUE TOLEDO. OHIO 43652 F5072OO422 850528 PDR FOIA BELAIR85-199 PDR

a Mr. Thomas M. Roberts Nuclear Regulatory Commission October 14, 1983 Page 2

.The use of over=i=alified comouter cada= arossly overestimates the consequences of a nuclear accident. These overestimates can probably be T acea to two separate issues. The first is the incomplete assessment of chemical and/or physical chemical processes and the natural attenuation in release fractions they provide. The second cause seems to be the treatment of releases occurring instantaneously, whereas in real life the releases occur over time. The reduction in the resultant consequences of these releases truly is significant and needs to be finalized.

This opportunity is presented in two areas. The first is, of course, the i

revised public perception of risk to the public located near commercial nuclear facilities.

Public confidence in th-

==fa aanaration is essential for all of us to progress over the next several decades.

The second opportunity has to do with improved management of our business. Never hafore h==

it been so important to efficiently and

_ economically==nmee the electric utility businaam as it is now-and for

_the next few decades.

Priority in decision-making, regulation, and operation are essential to providing an economically viable energy supply. _ Accurate risk and risk comparison techniones are a cornerstone, in our futura intaraction as regulator and oneratar to insure adean=t=,

but not excessive, controls on our industry. With these refined tools we can cooperate to provide both safe and economically available power, for the Nation's future.

The NRC has been working on the source term issue since 1980. The Accident Source Term Program Office was set up in 1982 to integrate the issue into the regulatory framework suggesting a revised source term.

_The NRC schedule for the selection of a new interim source term by the end of 1983 and the selection of a final source term in the middle of 1954 appears to be in jeopardy.

As an operating plant licensee, we place a very high priority on the NRC achieving a technically-sound and early resolution of the source term issue.

Since the original source term value has no technical basis for being so high, a revised source term based on scientific knowledge and experience to replace the current one based on overly-conservative assumptions cannot be overemphasized.

i, gIurgeyouasaCommissionertoplaceahighpriorityonachievinga technically-sound and early' resolution on this source term issue.

i Sincerely, EldNQ Y

Wendell A..J nson, President The Toledo dison Company WAJ/pm

_ - _,