ML20041C339
| ML20041C339 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Fermi  |
| Issue date: | 02/26/1982 |
| From: | Urbanik T NRC, TEXAS A&M UNIV., COLLEGE STATION, TX |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20041C335 | List: |
| References | |
| NUDOCS 8203010185 | |
| Download: ML20041C339 (6) | |
Text
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY C0tNISSION 2 /90/5 2 BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD In the Hatter of DETROIT EDIS0N COMPANY
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Docket No. 50-341 (Enrico Fermi Atomic Power Plant, Unit 2)
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TESTIMONY OF THOMAS URBANIK, II CONCERNING TIME ESTIMATE STUDY FOR EVACUATION OF THE STONY POINTE RESIDENTIAL AREA Q.1. Please state your name and association with the NRC.
A.
My name is Thomas Urbanik, II.
I am a consultant on time estimates for evacuation routes for the NRC in its review of applicants' Emergency Plans. A copy of my professional qualifications is attached.
Q.2. What is the purpose of your testimony?
A.
The purpose of ny testimony is to provide the time estimates I have developed for evacuation of the Stony Pointe, Michigan Area in partial response to Contention 8 which reads as follows:
CEE is concerned over whether there is a feasible escape route for the residents of the Stony Pointe Area which is adjacent to the Femi-2 site. The i
only road leading to and from the area, Pointe Aux l
Peaux Road, lies very close to the reactor site.
In case of an accident, the residents would have to travel towards the accident before they could move away from it.
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Q.3. Have you personally investigated Pointe Aux Peaux Road and the Stony Pointe residential area?
A.
Yes.
Q.4. What time estimates have you developed?
A.
The residents of the Stony Pointe Area could leave the immediate area within 11 to 21 hours2.430556e-4 days <br />0.00583 hours <br />3.472222e-5 weeks <br />7.9905e-6 months <br /> of being ready to evacuate, depending on weather conditions and traffic from the plant.
Q.5. Explain how you developed these estimates.
A.
U.S. Geological survey data based on 1973 aerial photography was useo to estimate the number of dwelling units that would have to use Pointe Aux Peaux Road during an evacuation. The number of dwelling units identified and used for this analysis was 750. According to Detroit Edison data, the actual number of dwelling units is currently less than the number existing in 1973.
It was assumed that 1.5 vehicles would be used from each household to account for beach visitors and families using more than one vehicle.
For this analysis the critical point is the intersection of Pointe Aux Peaux Road and Dixie Highway.' Two possible scenarios were examined. The first scenario assumed that the 1000 evacuees from.
the power plant (this is the estiraated number of workers and other personnel that would leave during a refueling) would evacuate to the north. The second scenario assumes that the 1000 vehicles from the power plant have to evacuate to the south.
Under the first scenario with no conflicting traffic on Dixie Highway and stop control on Pointe Aux Peaux Road, the capacity for traffic turning left from Pointe Aux Peaux Road onto Dixie Highway would be approximately 900 vehicles per hour. The 1150 evacuating vehicles from Stony Pointe could be accommodated in li hours.
The more difficult situation occurs when the 1000 vehicles from the power plant would be required to evacuate to the south. Under this scenario, traffic control would be required at the intersection of Pointe Aux Peaux Road and Dixie Highway. Without traffic control, the capacity on Pointe Aux Peaux Road would be about 100 vehicles per hour during the first hour when the 1000 vehicles were evacuating from the plant on the North Dixie Highway with capacity increasing afterwards. Without traffic control, the time required for evacuation would be a little over 2 hours2.314815e-5 days <br />5.555556e-4 hours <br />3.306878e-6 weeks <br />7.61e-7 months <br />. With traffic control, the time required could be reduced to about li hours.
l The time estimate for adverse weather, including rain or light snow, would increase about 20 percent to a little more than 21 hours2.430556e-4 days <br />0.00583 hours <br />3.472222e-5 weeks <br />7.9905e-6 months <br /> with no traffic control and plant traffic evacuating to the south. Severe weather (heavy snow) would increase times by the amount of time re-l quired to clear the roads. Table 1 is a summary of the evacuation l
time est,imates for the various scenarios examined.
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l Table 1.
Evacuation Time Estimates for Stony Pointe (Hours)
Scenario Normal Weather Adverse Weather Stony Pointe Only; No Traffic li li Control.
Stony Pointe and Plant Traffic; 21 21 No Traffic Control.
Stony Pointe Only; with Traffic 1
1 Control.
Stony Pointe and Plant Traffic li 1 3/4 with Traffic Control.
Note: Adverse weather is rain or light snow Q.6. What is your conclusion regarding the use of Pointe Aux Peaux Road for evacuation of Stony Pointe residents?
A.
The evacuation of Stony Pointe does not appear to cause any unusual or unmanageable traffic problems. Traffic control would be desir-able under certain conditions at the intersection of Dixie Highway and Pointe Aux Peaux Road.
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....o BIOGRAPHICAL DATA URBANIX II, Thomas May 1981 Assistant Research Engineer, Texas Transportation Institute Address / Phone: Transport Operation Program (713) 845-1535 Texas Transportation Institute Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843 EDUCATION' Ph.D. Candidate'in Civil Engineering (Transportation), Texas A&M University M.S., Civil Engineering (Transportation), Purdue University,1971 B.S., Civil Engineering, Syracuse University,1969 B.S., Forest Engineering, State University of New York,1968 EXPERIENCE Assistant Research Engineer, Texas Transportation Institute, Texas A&M University, 1977 to Present.' i Traffic Engineer, City of Arn Arbor, Ann Arbor, MicFigan, 1972-1976.
Transportation Planning Engineer, City of Ann Arbon, Anr. Arbor, Michigan
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1971-1972.
Research Assistant, Joint Highway Research Project, Purdue University, 1970-1971.
PROFESSIONAL LICENSE Registered Professional Engineer,' Texas and Michigan EMBERSHIPS Institute of Transportation Engineers Transportation Research Board Sigma Xi Chi Epsilon L
SIGNIFICANT REPORTS AND. PUBLICATIONS Evacuation Planning Urbanik, T., et.al., Analysis of Techniques for Estimating Evacuation Times for Emergency Planning Zones.
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comission,
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NUREG/CR-1745, November 1980.
Urbanik, T., Analysis of Evacuation Times Around 52 Nuclear Power Plant Sites.
U.S. Nucle'ar. Regulatory Comission, NUREG/CR-1856 Volume,1, October 1980.
Urbanik T., Hurricane Evacuation Demand and Capacity Estimation.
Florida Sea Grant College, Report Number 33, April 1980.
Urbanik T., Texas Hurricane Evacuation Study.
Texas Transportation Institute, September 1978.
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21dertj and Handicapp:d Tmnsportation Bullard, D. L. and T. Urbanik, Evaluation of Selected Human Services Trans-portation Providers.
Texas Transportation Institute, August 1980.
Urbanik, T. and Jose' A. Soegaard, Cost-Effectiveness of Accessible Fixed-Route Buses in Texass.. Texas Transportation Institute, Technical Report 1061-1F, September 1979.
Urbanik, T. and Jose' A. Soegaard, Transportation of the Elderly and Handi-capped in Texas: A Case Study.
Texas. Transportation Institute.
Technical Report 1056-2F, September 1979.
Urbanik, T., Total Accessibility Versus. Equivalent Mobility of the Handicapped.
' Institute of Transportation Engineers', Compendium of Technical Papers, 49th Annual Meeting, 1979.
Urbanik, T. et.al., Survey'of Vehicles 'and Equipment for Elderly and Handi-capped Transportation. Texas Transportation Institute, Technical Report 1056-1. September 1978.
Urbanik, T. and R. W. Holder,. Corpus Christi Elderly.and Handicapped Trans-portation Study.
Texas Transportation Institute, September.1978.
Public Tmnaportation Urbanik, T., Bryan-College Station Energy Contingency Study. Texas Transpor-tation Institute, August 1980.
Urbanik, T., Bryan-College Station Transit Improvement Plan. Texas Transpor-tationInstitute, September 1971 Urbanik, T., et.al., Ann Arbor Dial-A-Ride Project Final Report, Ann Arbor Transportation Author.ity, April 1973.
Urbanik, T., Ann Arbor Dial-A-Ride bperations, Highway Research Board Special Report 136, 1973.
Urbanik, T.', et.al., The Greater Lafayett Area Bus Transit Study.
Joint Highway Research Project, Purdue University, April 1971.
Traffic Engineering Urbanik, T., Priority Treatment of Buses at Traffic Signals.
Transportation l
Engineering, November 19,77.
Urbanik, T. and R.W. Holder, Priority Treatment of High Occupancy Vehicles l
on Arterial Streets.
Texas Transportation Institute, Report 205-5,
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July 1977.
Urbanik, T. and R. W. Holder',' Evaluation of Alternative Concepts for Priority Use of Urban Freeways in Texas.
Texas Transportatio'n Institute, March 1977.
Urbanik, T. and-K. W. Heathing. ton, Driver Information Systems for Highway-l l
Railway Grade Crossings. ' Highway Research Record Number 4 14, 1972.
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