ML19345A722

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Affidavit Re Analysis of short-term Relative Concentration for DBE Described in Section 2.3.4 of June,1975 Ser.Since Use of X/Q Value in SER Produced Acceptable Doses,Use of Direction Dependent Method Does Not Alter Conclusion
ML19345A722
Person / Time
Site: 05000471
Issue date: 11/19/1980
From: James M. Levine
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
To:
Shared Package
ML19345A720 List:
References
NUDOCS 8011250033
Download: ML19345A722 (5)


Text

pC UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 11/19/80 NUCLEAR REGULAT0D.Y COMMISSION BEFORE THE ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSIN'i BOARD In the Matter of

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BOSTON EDISON COMPANY, e_t_ _al.

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Docket No. 50-471

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(Pilgrim Nuclear Generating Station,

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Unit 2)

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AFFIDAVIT OF JOSEPH LEVINE I, Joseph Levine, being duly sworn, do state as follows:

1.

I am employed by the Meteorology Section, Accident Evaluation Branch, Division of Systems integration, Office of Nuclear Reactor Reaulation, United States Nuclear Regulatory Comission. A statement of my pro-fessional qualifications is attached to this affidavit.

2.

The analysis of short-term relative concentration (X/0) for design basis accident evaluation at the Pilgrim-2 plant described in Section 2.3.4 of the Safety Evaluation Report, June 1975, predates the method for direction-dependent analysis published in Regulatory Guide 1.145 in August 1979. The analysis used in this accident evaluation followed the method outlined in Standard Review Plan 2.3.4 which is a direction-independent determination of relative concentration (X/0) at an ex-clusion radius of 441 meters.

The X/0 value by this method is equal

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to 4.0 x 10 sec/m.

Only diffusion conditions with winds blowing i

in an onshore direction were utilized for the analysis.

Thus, approxi-l mately 385 of the neteorological data were eliminated from the determina-tion of the X/Q that would be exceeded 55 of the total time.

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The recognition of the existence of improved meteorological monitoring, plume characteristics that deviated from theory under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and the existence of variable exclusion area boundaries led to th development of Regulatory Guide 1.145 which allows evaluation of X/O's at all, or any, onshore and offshore dis-tances and directions for the site.

4.

An analysis of X/Q using the direction-dependent model and meteoro-logical data from May 1974 through April 1975 at an exclusion radius of 441 meters resulted in the highest equivalent five percent X/0 for

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0-2 hours equal to 5.6 x 10 sedm in a northeast direction which is over Cape Cod Bay. When the wind is blowing onshore, the highest 0-2 hour X/0 at the 441 meter radius occurred in both the northwest and south-southeast sectors and is 2.3 x 10-4 sec/m.

Since there was a 3

potential problem for offshore control in the event of an accidental release, Boston Edison (BECo) has identified an arrangement with the U. S. Coast Guard for evacuating offshore areas out to a distance which will provide lower X/Q values than those foi onshore airflow conditions.

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Thus, evaluation of the X/Q at 441 meters using the direction-dependent model and one year of recent onsite data results in a lower value of X/0 in an onshore direction than was published in the SER.

In the off-shore directions, north-northwest clockwise through east-southeast, the control bevond 441 meters by the Coast Guard will ensure limitation of access to distances where the X/0 is greater than the onshore value.

. Since use of the X/0 value in the SER produced acceptable consequences (dosti,}, utilization of the direction-dependent method of evaluating X/Q does not alter that conclusion.

The foregoing is true and correct to the best of my knowledge.

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Jossph Levine Subscribed and sworn to before me this 19th day of November,1980 Notary Public M;> Comission expires: July 1, 1932

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... m e i e,:y co t'cn

. int r. valuation Braoch fice of f.'uclear Reactor Reculation Professinnal Qualifications

. y name is Joseph Richard Levine.

I have been a ict corologist with the Uf fice of fluclear Reactor Regulation,sirce Oc1ohcr 1974

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I received ny B.S. degree from the Ci'y College of New York in June 1962 sith a r ajor in Leteorology.

Following gradu., tion I accepted a position

..ith 'he U. S. licether Bureau at its Richuond, Vir ginia airport station.

The dut ies at Richmnd included; meteorological observation, preparation and discenination of routine forecasts and severe weather bulletins,

,, r ai r (plF ?d.) : nd rc%r -operation.

In .e 1%3, I ent tred active duty with the 11 S. Army serving as a

.voic9 st research of ficer with the Elect ronics Research and Develop-i X

.n i ivity Aricena, located at Fort poachura Arizona.

During this time

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IL : led on varied het urological proble::s relat ed t o Army 0; erations mi dcrests.

During 1964 I spent approxic.it ely 511onths at the U. S.

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ical Corps Proving Ground, Dugway Ut.:h, as a ret eorological nderl. involved with the observing.a'id collecting of i et eoro- -

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ie legn al 6ta in surpart of varied field experiients.

  • .n J :,c '965 af ter cenpleting my milit ary service I returned to the U. S.

le.ther %reau, at the Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania airport office where I

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re; ared weather forecasts and severe weather bullet ins for Western

~c: syls ania, as well as for the Pittsburgh ret ropolitan area.

Until 2st ablish. ent of a separat e radar unit, I operated and interpreted ccat her radar during appropriate weather conditions.

Telepigone and in persen weather briefings were aise eisen to aviation i t erests as n

. sell as t he general public.

'n Septer-ber 1966, I lef t the 'leather Pt.reau t o at t end Rut gers t.niversity,

f t er being accept ed and offered a research a,ist.mt ship the p revious o.

.er.

My M.S. degree was granted in 19@ uit h a uajor in Dieorology.

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3 y f"k w e Ju u Ju)] S inia i

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1. ; >:a 2-rrofossional Qualificdiens s

' a posit ico seith the Atnosrheric Sciences Laboratory, Tcrt

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i & sey in July of 1958.

During the period 1968-1974 I ed in ':ork on various problems and tasks essigned to cur lnoratcry by hyh.r i.wfquarters as well as providing technical assist < nce 'o other fort "

-outh laboratories.

Thortly af ter a Ph.D. level prcgra.r> in rm hysical Fluid Dynamics began at Rutgers University, I was 9 o ;' 3d on a part time basis into

  • he pr ogram in t.hich I n nained unt il .e winter of 1973-74 when I t,s.:;"

'"d my activity in the p ogram.

I accepted my pre sent pos itien ba 'rg a

.er of 1914 and ':g.'.

rl in October of that year.

In ty ;csition, I assist the senior br ::h meteorologist in the eval

-t ion of the r ot, vrolc gical factors O:t ing nuclear p~ :r plc-nt sit es nd the effects of a plant on the local envit.

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t i crology and cl h,.f olc cy,

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In the ?n ing of 1915, I a' ten. fed the EPA course, " Diffusion of Air P:11,' ' n - Th. ery and Applicct ion" and in October of 1975, I atter.ded

'l e *; i. '. h e cnference on Se.cre 1 ocal Storas sponsored by the Arerican l'e' m' mical Society.

In. lune of 1916 I attended a week-long tornado m c d by the Texas Tech University and during September of

  • ie l'R 6 I s present at t he
  • arican ':et eurolegical Society sponsored Ta.

n on r r

c sta1."ete:, ology.

In

  • _ rs t 19//; I atta ded 'ho s..ek 1cng conferi nce on Alt.cnate Technialegios of 'b t r ic Pc..a r re-r. erat ion:

Their Overall fuel Cycles and Environner.tal Eff te, i.nld at the Univerc ity of California, Perteley.

In T cveid ar 1t17, ed a raper, cc-aut) ored with E. H. l'arkee, Jr. of faC, at the Fif th Cunierence on Probability and Statistics in Ainospheric Sciences.

The, ger d scribed the p'rcNbilistic evaluation r.ethod for atmospheric dif f :sien condit 'cus at nuclear res.er plant sites used by f.'RC.

Im a a G nf.ssienal l'e:Ser of the Merican l'et ecrological Society and an 'ssc cic t e "o-her of Sigra Xi !'ational Honor Society.

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