ML18003A425
| ML18003A425 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Clinch River |
| Issue date: | 12/15/2017 |
| From: | James Shea Tennessee Valley Authority |
| To: | Office of New Reactors |
| Fetter A | |
| References | |
| TVACLINCHRIVERESP, TVACLINCHRIVERESP.SUBMISSION.4, CRN.P.PART03, CRN.P.PART03.1 | |
| Download: ML18003A425 (35) | |
Text
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-1 Revision 1 2.5 SOCIOECONOMICS Construction and operation of two or more small modular reactors (SMRs) at the Clinch River Nuclear (CRN) Site has the potential to affect the social and economic characteristics of the region surrounding the CRN Site. This section describes the socioeconomic characteristics potentially affected by the Clinch River (CR) SMR Project, including demography, community characteristics, historic properties, and environmental justice.
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) analyzed regional socioeconomic data to determine the appropriate geographical area of interest, which is defined by the areas where construction and operations workforce and their families would reside, spend their income, and use their benefits, thereby affecting the economic conditions of the region. The geographical area of interest identified for the proposed CR SMR Project is the four-county area (Anderson, Knox, Loudon, and Roane counties, Tennessee) where approximately 87 percent of the federal and contractor employees at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Oak Ridge facilities reside (Reference 2.5.1-1). The DOE employee residence statistics were used as an indication of the potential pattern of residence for the proposed CR SMR Project workforce because the DOE mission is primarily nuclear in nature and employs highly trained technical workers, similar to the proposed CR SMR Project. Socioeconomic analyses were also conducted, as appropriate, for the 50-mile (mi) CRN Site region.
2.5.1 Demography This subsection describes the following demographic characteristics: population data by sector, population data by political jurisdiction, population density, and transient populations. The demography within the geographical area of interest and the 50-mi radius are characterized in the following subsections.
2.5.1.1 Population Data by Sector The population distribution surrounding the CRN Site, up to a 50-mi radius, is estimated based upon the 2010 U.S. Census Bureau decennial census data. The population distribution is estimated in fifteen concentric bands at 0 to 0.3 mi, 0.3 to 1 mi, 1 to 2 mi, 2 to 3 mi, 3 to 4 mi, 4 to 5 mi, 5 to 6 mi, 6 to 7 mi, 7 to 8 mi, 8 to 9 mi, 9 to 10 mi, 10 to 20 mi, 20 to 30 mi, 30 to 40 mi, and 40 to 50 mi from the CRN Site center point. These bands are subdivided into 16 directional sectors, each centered on one of the 16 compass directions and consisting of 22.5 degrees.
Population sectors out to 2 mi are shown in Figure 2.5.1-3, population sectors out to 10 mi are shown in Figure 2.5.1-1, and population sectors out to 50 mi are shown in Figure 2.5.1-2.
The population projections are derived from county estimates obtained from the states and based on cohort component (Kentucky and Tennessee) and cohort survey (North Carolina) methodologies. The counties that were used for the population projections are listed in Table 2.5.1-1. Using linear or polynomial regression, an equation was derived to analyze population growth for each county. The equation was used in conjunction with the 2010 census data to
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-2 Revision 1 produce a growth ratio. Ratios were calculated for each county and for each year, then weighted by area and summed into sectors. The ratio set was then used to produce a sector-level population projection ratio set for the 50-mi region. For a county with a projected negative growth rate, the 2010 population values for that county are held constant to produce conservative results without overestimating (a growth ratio of one is used). For counties predicting a decline at the end of the states projection data set, the highest population value in the projection period is held constant (i.e., the ratio calculated for the last data point of the states data set was used for the remaining projected years).
The census population counts were then sorted into the radial grid. In instances where census blocks were divided by sector boundary lines, the population was weighted by area to produce proportionate data values. These values were summed and multiplied by their projection ratio to produce the final permanent population radial grid maps (Figures 2.5.1-1, 2.5.1-2, and 2.5.1-3).
The years selected for the projection period represent the 2010 census, calculation development year (2013), projected start of construction date (2021), projected commencement of operation date for the last unit (2027), and 40 years (yr) beyond the last date.
Permanent population is projected to 40 yr beyond the projected 2027 commencement of operation date for the last unit. Table 2.5.1-2 shows the projected permanent population for each sector out to 10 mi, for the years 2010, 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067.
Population for all sectors in the 10-mi radius for each projected year is shown in Table 2.5.1-3.
Table 2.5.1-4 shows the projected permanent population for each sector in the 10- to 50-mi region for the years 2010, 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067. The total number of people in the 10- to 50-mi region for each projected year is shown in Table 2.5.1-5.
2.5.1.2 Population Data by Political Jurisdiction The region within 50 mi of the CRN Site includes all or part of 33 counties in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Kentucky (Table 2.5.1-1). Knoxville is the largest city within 50 mi, with a 2010 population of 178,874, followed by Oak Ridge with 29,330 and Maryville with 27,465 (Reference 2.5.1-2). Smaller cities within the region include Sevierville (14,807), Athens (13,458), Crossville (10,795), La Follette (7456), Dayton (7191), Fairfield Glade (6989), Pigeon Forge (5875),
Sweetwater (5764), Rockwood (5562), Madisonville (4577), Etowah (3490) and Norris (1491)
(Reference 2.5.1-3; Reference 2.5.1-2). Many other smaller towns and cities are distributed within the region. Figure 2.1-1 illustrates the location of these cities and towns in relation to the CRN Site.
Most of the nine-county Knoxville, Tennessee metropolitan statistical area (MSA) is located within the 50-mi CRN Site region, including all of Anderson, Blount, Knox, Loudon, Morgan, and Roane counties, Tennessee; most of Campbell and Union counties, Tennessee; and a portion of Grainger County, Tennessee (Reference 2.5.1-4). The Knoxville, Tennessee MSA has a 2010 population of 837,571 and an estimated 2013 population of 852,715 (Reference 2.5.1-5).
Small portions of the Cleveland, Tennessee and Morristown, Tennessee MSAs are located in the southwest and northeast areas, respectively, of the 50-mi region (Reference 2.5.1-4).
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-3 Revision 1 Historic and projected population levels for the geographical area of interest and the State of Tennessee are presented in Table 2.5.1-6. Population levels for 1970 through 2010 included in Table 2.5.1-6 are U.S. Census Bureau decennial census data. From 2000 to 2010, Roane and Anderson counties grew at an annual average annual growth rate of 0.44 percent and 0.53 percent, respectively, and Knox and Loudon counties grew at annual average annual growth rates of 1.31 percent and 2.42 percent, respectively. During the same period, the State of Tennessee grew at an average annual growth rate of 1.15 percent. (Reference 2.5.1-6)
Population projections for the state and counties of Tennessee were developed by the University of Tennessee Center for Business and Economic Research. Between 2010 and 2040, the annual growth rates for Anderson, Knox, Loudon, and Roane counties as well as the State of Tennessee are projected to decline, indicating a slowing in population growth. By 2035, Roane County is projected to begin decreasing in population. (Reference 2.5.1-7)
Table 2.5.1-7 presents the age and gender distribution in 2010 for the populations in Anderson, Knox, Loudon, and Roane counties, Tennessee, as well as for the State of Tennessee.
2.5.1.3 Transient Population Transient populations are defined as people (other than those just passing through the area)
[who] work, reside part-time, or engage in recreational activities, and are not permanent residents of the area as described in U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Regulatory Guidance 4.7, General Site Suitability for Nuclear Power Stations. Though relatively rural in nature, the region surrounding the CRN Site has numerous tourist attractions and events that contribute to the transient population. The 50-mi region includes both large cities (e.g.,
Knoxville) and smaller cities (e.g., Pigeon Forge and Sevierville) that are well known for their transient attractions.
Major contributors to the regional total transient population include events and attractions, one commercial airport, and state and national parks. Each of these is discussed in the following paragraphs.
Transient data for recreational activities were gathered through personal communications with businesses, event coordinators, local chambers of commerce, and tourism departments within the region. This method for collecting transient data provides an accurate assessment of people visiting the area and a precise location of transient contributors. The events and attractions that contribute to the transient population in the CRN Site region are shown in Table 2.5.1-8.
Transient data are not generally available at a city level. One city, Pigeon Forge, which is located near the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, has developed a comprehensive report that includes visitor counts from 1987 through 2012. According to this report, Pigeon Forge had a total annual visitor count of 2,856,682 in 2012. This value was used to calculate the daily visitor estimate (7826 persons) of this city for inclusion into the transient population calculation.
Pigeon Forge is home to numerous transient attractions, including Dollywood, Titanic Museum Attraction, and WonderWorks.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-4 Revision 1 There are 14 events and attractions within 10 mi of the CRN Site that contribute approximately 15,556 peak daily visitors to the transient population. The City of Kingston, located about 7.2 mi west, hosts several events throughout the year. The largest of these events is the Smokin the Water Celebration, which occurs over a two-day period during the July 4th holiday and contributes approximately 12,000 peak daily visitors. The second largest is the Kingston Country Fair. This event occurs the first Saturday in October and hosts approximately 980 people (see Table 2.5.1-8).
Within the 10- to 50-mi radii, there are over 100 events and attractions contributing approximately 500,000 peak daily visitors to the total transient population. The top two attractions, each contributing over 100,000 peak daily visitors, are Neyland Stadium and the Rossini Festival located in Knoxville. Neyland Stadium, located approximately 25.9 mi east, is the University of Tennessees football stadium and home to the Tennessee Volunteers (Reference 2.5.1-8). The Rossini Festival, located approximately 26 mi east, is a single day event that occurs in April of each year (see Table 2.5.1-8).
There is one large commercial airport, McGhee Tyson Airport, in the CRN Site region. The Bureau of Transportation Statistics reports that in 2013, McGhee Tyson Airport hosted approximately 813,000 arrival passengers and 817,000 departure passengers. (Reference 2.5.1-9) To develop a realistic peak daily visitor count for this facility, the maximum occupancy of the airport terminal (3587 people) was used. McGhee Tyson Airport is located approximately 22.0 mi east-southeast of the CRN Site in Alcoa, Tennessee.
Outdoor recreation is an important pastime in Tennessee and a large draw for transient population into the region. Table 2.5.1-9 lists the national and state parks located within the region that maintain visitor counts. There are 10 Tennessee state parks and three national parks that maintain visitor counts located within the 50-mi region. The state park with the largest daily peak visitor estimate is the Cumberland Mountain State Park with approximately 3944 daily visitors. The Hiwassee / Ocoee Scenic River State Park, Big Ridge State Park, Cove Lake State Park and Indian Mountain State Park also significantly contribute to the total transient population with 3763, 2894, 1849, and 1678 peak daily visitors, respectively. The remaining five state parks each have peak daily visitor estimates ranging from approximately 650 to 300 persons. The three national parks that maintain visitor counts within the region are Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area, Obed Wild and Scenic River, and Great Smoky Mountains National Park. The national park with the largest transient population is the Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Located approximately 31 mi southeast, the Great Smoky Mountains National Park recorded an annual visitor count of 9,685,829 persons (Reference 2.5.1-10). The peak daily visitor estimates for state and national parks within the region that contributed to the total transient population are listed in Table 2.5.1-9.
The transient population projections are derived from the survey data collected to identify the events, facilities, parks, and attractions that contribute to the total transient population estimate.
The transient population data were converted into a common persons/day format. The location of each event was identified so that the data could be integrated into the appropriate sector. For
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-5 Revision 1 areas such as parks and public lands, an even spatial distribution of the transient populations was assumed, and those populations were divided into sectors. The transient population is summed for each sector and used as a base transient population. A ratio of transient population and the 2010 permanent population was produced. The projected transient population was calculated by multiplying the 2010 base population by the county projection ratio for the years of interest and then multiplying that result by the transient ratio. The result was a final projected transient population for each sector by the year of interest.
Transient population is projected to 40 yr beyond the 2027 projected commencement of operation date for the last unit. Table 2.5.1-10 shows the projected transient population for each sector for the years 2013, 2021, 2027, 2037, 2047, 2057, and 2067 for the non-zero sectors.
The sectors that have zero values are not illustrated in the table. The population values shown represent the peak or calculated peak daily population for each sector and year. The total projected transient population estimates for each projected year are represented in the total field of Table 2.5.1-10. The estimated peak daily transient population for 2013 for the CRN Site region is 573,138 persons.
The population of transient workers entering the region for work also was evaluated. This population consists of individuals who reside in one county and work in another. The U.S.
Census Bureau tracks worker flows in and out of counties; data are available representing the five-year period 2006-1010 (Reference 2.5.1-11). The transient worker discussion includes those 17 counties whose land area is primarily (at least 50 percent) within the 50-mile radius of the CRN Site. Table 2.5.1-11 identifies the number of workers who travel into each of those 17 counties for work. Workers traveling from one county to another within the 17 counties are not counted as transients. A total of 30,868 workers were identified as traveling into the 17 counties for work.
A notable special population source within 10 mi of the CRN Site is the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) located within the City of Oak Ridge. ORNL employs a total of 4400 staff and 3200 guest researchers per year (Reference 2.5.1-12). While these employees are counted by the U.S. Census at their residences, it is noted that the daily fluctuation associated with this workforce increases the temporary population of the City of Oak Ridge.
2.5.1.4 Total Permanent and Transient Populations Tables 2.5.1-2 through 2.5.1-5 show contributors to the transient population in the 50-mi region.
Table 2.5.1-10 summarizes the total transient population by sector and year of interest. The peak daily transient population for the region in 2013 is approximately 573,138 people. The estimated permanent population for 2013 in the region is approximately 1,199,275 people. The total 2013 projected population for the region is approximately 1,772,413 people. Using a calculated growth rate of 0.72, the estimated cumulative total population for 2067 is 2,643,269 people.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-6 Revision 1 2.5.1.5 Population Density Information on population density and distribution in the area surrounding the CRN Site is useful for conducting the socioeconomic analysis in this Environmental Report. NUREG-1437, Generic Environmental Impact Statement for License Renewal of Nuclear Plants, Rev. 1, provides a population characterization methodology based on two factors: sparseness and proximity.
Sparseness describes population density and city size within 20 mi of a site, and proximity describes population density and city size within 50 mi of a site. Demographic categories based on sparseness and proximity are presented in Table 2.5.1-12. In accordance with NUREG-1437, the matrix presented in Table 2.5.1-13 is used to rank the population density category of an area as low, medium, or high.
The 2010 census data were used to characterize the population density within the CRN Site region. A total of 331,238 people live within 20 mi of the CRN Site (Tables 2.5.1-3 and 2.5.1-5).
A 20-mi radius area contains 1257 square miles (sq mi); therefore the population density is approximately 264 persons per sq mi. This population density is classified as a Category 4 sparseness (greater than or equal to 120 persons per sq mi within 20 mi).
Based on the 2010 census data, 1,158,026 people live within 50 mi of the CRN Site (Tables 2.5.1-3 and 2.5.1-5). A 50-mi radius area contains 7854 sq mi; therefore the population density is approximately 147 persons per sq mi. This population density is classified as Category 3 proximity (one or more cities with 100,000 or more persons and less than 190 persons per sq mi within 50 mi). Because the CRN Site is classified as a Category 4 sparseness and Category 3 proximity, the NUREG-1437 matrix indicates the CRN Site is located in a high population area.
2.5.1.6 References Reference 2.5.1-1. U.S. Department of Energy, DOE-Related Employment, Payroll, and Residence Statistics for Oak Ridge Area, December 31, 2012, Website:
http://www.oakridge.doe.gov/external/portals/0/hr/12-31-12%20payroll%20&%20residence.pdf; 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-2. U.S. Department of Commerce, Tennessee: 2010 Population and Housing Unit Counts - Table 10. Rank by 2010 Population and Housing Units: 2000 and 2010, Website:
http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/cph-2-44.pdf, September, 2012.
Reference 2.5.1-3. U.S. Census Bureau, Community Facts: Oak Ridge City, Tennessee, Website: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/community_facts.xhtml, 2010.
Reference 2.5.1-4. Executive Office of the President and Office of Management and Budget, Revised Delineations of Metropolitan Statistical Areas, Micropolitan Statistical Areas, and Combined Statistical Areas, and Guidance on Uses of the Delineations of These Areas; OMB Bulletin No. 13-01, Website: http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/bulletins/2013/b-13-01.pdf, February 28, 2013.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-7 Revision 1 Reference 2.5.1-5. U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Estimates of the Resident Population: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2013 - United States - Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Area; and for Puerto Rico - 2013 Population Estimates, Website:
http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/searchresults.xhtml?refresh=t, 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-6. U.S. Census Bureau, Profile of General Demographic. Table DP-1. Census 2000 Summary File 1 (SF 1) 100-Percent Data., Website: www.census.gov, 2000.
Reference 2.5.1-7. Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, Population Projections for the State of Tennessee, Website:
http://www.state.tn.us/tacir/population.html, 2014.
Reference 2.5.1-8. University of Tennessee Athletics, Neyland Stadium, Website:
http://www.utsports.com/facilities/neyland_stadium.html, 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-9. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Transportation Statistics: Knoxville, TN:
McGhee Tyson (TYS), Website:
http://www.transtats.bts.gov/airports.asp?pn=1&Airport=TYS&Airport_Name=Knoxville,%20TN:
%20McGhee%20Tyson&carrier=FACTS, 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-10. National Park Service, Welcome to Visitor Use Statistics, Website:
https://irma.nps.gov/Stats/, August 28, 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-11. U.S. Census Bureau, Metropolitan and Micropolitan, Website:
http://www.census.gov/population/metro/data/other.html, May 6, 2013.
Reference 2.5.1-12. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Fact Sheet, Website: http://www.ornl.gov/about-ornl, 2015.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-8 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-1 Counties Wholly or Partially Within the 50-Mile Radius State Counties Kentucky McCreary Whitley North Carolina Cherokee Graham Swain Tennessee Anderson Meigs Bledsoe Monroe Blount Morgan Bradley Overton Campbell Pickett Claiborne Polk Cumberland Putnam Fentress Rhea Grainger Roane Hamilton Scott Jefferson Sevier Knox Union Loudon Van Buren McMinn White Note: See Figure 2.5.1-2
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-9 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-2 (Sheet 1 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Year Direction Sector 0-0.3 (mi)
Sector 0.3-1 (mi)
Sector 1-2 (mi)
Sector 2-3 (mi)
Sector 3-4 (mi)
Sector 4-5 (mi)
Sector 5-10 (mi)
Sector 0-10 (mi)
North 2010 0
0 0
0 0
104 2591 2695 2013 0
0 0
0 0
106 2633 2739 2021 0
0 0
0 0
109 2725 2834 2027 0
0 0
0 0
109 2762 2871 2037 0
0 0
0 0
110 2788 2898 2047 0
0 0
0 0
110 2803 2913 2057 0
0 0
0 0
110 2819 2929 2067 0
0 0
0 0
110 2850 2960 North-Northeast 2010 0
0 0
0 0
0 7644 7644 2013 0
0 0
0 0
0 7763 7763 2021 0
0 0
0 0
0 8022 8022 2027 0
0 0
0 0
0 8155 8155 2037 0
0 0
0 0
0 8298 8298 2047 0
0 0
0 0
0 8395 8395 2057 0
0 0
0 0
0 8511 8511 2067 0
0 0
0 0
0 8678 8678 Northeast 2010 0
5 0
0 0
0 1287 1292 2013 0
5 0
0 0
0 1309 1314 2021 0
5 0
0 0
0 1360 1365 2027 0
5 0
0 0
0 1393 1398 2037 0
5 0
0 0
0 1436 1441 2047 0
5 0
0 0
0 1466 1471 2057 0
5 0
0 0
0 1503 1508 2067 0
5 0
0 0
0 1555 1560 East-Northeast 2010 0
8 8
1 0
0 1084 1101 2013 0
8 8
1 0
0 1119 1136 2021 0
8 9
1 0
0 1207 1225 2027 0
8 9
1 0
0 1270 1288
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-10 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-2 (Sheet 2 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Year Direction Sector 0-0.3 (mi)
Sector 0.3-1 (mi)
Sector 1-2 (mi)
Sector 2-3 (mi)
Sector 3-4 (mi)
Sector 4-5 (mi)
Sector 5-10 (mi)
Sector 0-10 (mi) 2037 0
8 9
1 0
0 1368 1386 2047 0
8 9
1 0
0 1464 1482 2057 0
8 9
1 0
0 1568 1586 2067 0
8 9
1 0
0 1670 1688 East 2010 0
7 13 110 34 85 5276 5525 2013 0
7 13 113 35 88 5491 5747 2021 0
8 14 118 38 94 6060 6332 2027 0
8 14 121 40 98 6467 6748 2037 0
8 14 123 41 103 7110 7399 2047 0
8 14 125 43 106 7748 8044 2057 0
8 14 127 45 110 8438 8742 2067 0
8 14 130 47 116 9101 9416 East-Southeast 2010 0
6 37 92 112 262 6686 7195 2013 0
6 38 94 118 278 7075 7609 2021 0
6 39 99 135 317 8076 8672 2027 0
6 39 102 147 344 8740 9378 2037 0
6 39 104 161 377 9603 10,290 2047 0
6 39 106 172 404 10,278 11,005 2057 0
6 39 109 185 434 11,068 11,841 2067 0
6 39 112 203 475 12,098 12,933 Southeast 2010 0
8 40 81 214 200 12,408 12,951 2013 0
8 40 82 222 211 13,139 13,702 2021 0
8 42 84 241 241 15,017 15,633 2027 0
8 42 85 253 260 16,262 16,910 2037 0
8 42 85 267 285 17,867 18,554 2047 0
8 42 85 278 304 19,108 19,825 2057 0
8 42 85 290 327 20,567 21,319 2067 0
8 42 85 307 357 22,492 23,291
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-11 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-2 (Sheet 3 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Year Direction Sector 0-0.3 (mi)
Sector 0.3-1 (mi)
Sector 1-2 (mi)
Sector 2-3 (mi)
Sector 3-4 (mi)
Sector 4-5 (mi)
Sector 5-10 (mi)
Sector 0-10 (mi)
South-Southeast 2010 0
7 57 64 223 264 1661 2276 2013 0
7 57 65 226 275 1759 2389 2021 0
7 59 67 232 301 2010 2676 2027 0
7 59 67 234 318 2177 2862 2037 0
7 59 67 234 338 2391 3096 2047 0
7 59 67 234 353 2557 3277 2057 0
7 59 67 234 372 2753 3492 2067 0
7 59 67 234 396 3010 3773 South 2010 0
12 27 36 143 183 1546 1947 2013 0
12 28 36 145 186 1616 2023 2021 0
13 28 37 148 195 1792 2213 2027 0
13 29 38 150 199 1904 2333 2037 0
13 29 38 150 203 2044 2477 2047 0
13 29 38 150 205 2152 2587 2057 0
13 29 38 150 209 2279 2718 2067 0
13 29 38 150 213 2446 2889 South-Southwest 2010 0
13 29 39 142 140 1123 1486 2013 0
13 30 40 144 142 1142 1511 2021 0
14 30 41 148 145 1183 1561 2027 0
14 31 41 149 147 1200 1582 2037 0
14 31 41 150 147 1211 1594 2047 0
14 31 41 150 147 1219 1602 2057 0
14 31 41 150 147 1229 1612 2067 0
14 31 41 150 147 1242 1625 Southwest 2010 0
12 49 66 126 252 919 1424 2013 0
13 50 67 128 256 932 1446 2021 0
13 51 69 131 263 957 1484 2027 0
13 51 69 132 265 964 1494
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-12 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-2 (Sheet 4 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Year Direction Sector 0-0.3 (mi)
Sector 0.3-1 (mi)
Sector 1-2 (mi)
Sector 2-3 (mi)
Sector 3-4 (mi)
Sector 4-5 (mi)
Sector 5-10 (mi)
Sector 0-10 (mi) 2037 0
13 51 69 132 265 965 1495 2047 0
13 51 69 132 265 965 1495 2057 0
13 51 69 132 265 965 1495 2067 0
13 51 69 132 265 965 1495 West-Southwest 2010 0
15 65 164 144 355 5814 6557 2013 0
15 65 166 146 360 5893 6645 2021 0
16 67 171 150 369 6052 6825 2027 0
16 68 172 151 372 6099 6878 2037 0
16 68 172 151 373 6105 6885 2047 0
16 68 172 151 373 6105 6885 2057 0
16 68 172 151 373 6105 6885 2067 0
16 68 172 151 373 6105 6885 West 2010 0
17 102 153 174 706 4666 5818 2013 0
17 104 156 176 716 4729 5898 2021 0
17 107 160 181 735 4857 6057 2027 0
18 107 161 182 741 4895 6104 2037 0
18 107 161 183 742 4900 6111 2047 0
18 107 161 183 742 4900 6111 2057 0
18 107 161 183 742 4900 6111 2067 0
18 107 161 183 742 4900 6111 West-Northwest 2010 0
20 85 237 82 210 5050 5684 2013 0
21 86 240 84 213 5119 5763 2021 0
21 88 246 86 218 5257 5916 2027 0
21 89 248 87 220 5298 5963 2037 0
21 89 248 87 220 5303 5968 2047 0
21 89 248 87 220 5303 5968 2057 0
21 89 248 87 220 5303 5968 2067 0
21 89 248 87 220 5303 5968
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-13 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-2 (Sheet 5 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Year Direction Sector 0-0.3 (mi)
Sector 0.3-1 (mi)
Sector 1-2 (mi)
Sector 2-3 (mi)
Sector 3-4 (mi)
Sector 4-5 (mi)
Sector 5-10 (mi)
Sector 0-10 (mi)
Northwest 2010 0
19 24 48 13 80 1574 1758 2013 0
19 24 49 13 81 1602 1788 2021 0
19 25 50 14 83 1664 1855 2027 0
20 25 50 14 84 1692 1885 2037 0
20 25 50 14 84 1714 1907 2047 0
20 25 50 14 84 1728 1921 2057 0
20 25 50 14 84 1743 1936 2067 0
20 25 50 14 84 1771 1964 North-Northwest 2010 0
0 1
0 0
149 1700 1850 2013 0
0 1
0 0
151 1739 1891 2021 0
0 1
0 0
155 1831 1987 2027 0
0 1
0 0
156 1883 2040 2037 0
0 1
0 0
156 1936 2093 2047 0
0 1
0 0
156 1972 2129 2057 0
0 1
0 0
156 2008 2165 2067 0
0 1
0 0
156 2077 2234 Totals 2010 0
149 537 1091 1407 2990 61,029 67,203 2013 0
151 544 1109 1437 3063 63,060 69,364 2021 0
155 560 1143 1504 3225 68,070 74,657 2027 0
157 564 1155 1539 3313 71,161 77,889 2037 0
157 564 1159 1570 3403 75,039 81,892 2047 0
157 564 1163 1594 3469 78,163 85,110 2057 0
157 564 1168 1621 3549 81,759 88,818 2067 0
157 564 1174 1658 3654 86,263 93,470 Note: Based on 2010 USCB data. See Section 2.5.1.1 for methodology used to generate permanent population projections. No permanent population distribution is within the exclusion area boundary.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-14 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-3 Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 0 to 10 Miles (0 to 16 km)
Cumulative Totals 0-0.3 (mi) 0-1 (mi) 0-2 (mi) 0-3 (mi) 0-4 (mi) 0-5 (mi) 0-10 (mi) 2010 0
149 686 1777 3184 6174 67,203 2013 0
151 695 1804 3241 6304 69,364 2021 0
155 715 1858 3362 6587 74,657 2027 0
157 721 1876 3415 6728 77,889 2037 0
157 721 1880 3450 6853 81,892 2047 0
157 721 1884 3478 6947 85,110 2057 0
157 721 1889 3510 7059 88,818 2067 0
157 721 1895 3553 7207 93,470 Note: Based on 2010 USCB data. See Section 2.5.1.1 for methodology used to generate permanent population projections.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-15 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-4 (Sheet 1 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Year Direction Sector 10-20 (mi)
Sector 20-30 (mi)
Sector 30-40 (mi)
Sector 40-50 (mi)
Sector 10-50 (mi)
North 2010 2059 516 5058 6279 13,912 2013 2102 522 5111 6346 14,081 2021 2205 538 5261 6517 14,521 2027 2270 546 5330 6604 14,750 2037 2352 553 5387 6680 14,972 2047 2409 556 5398 6693 15,056 2057 2472 559 5406 6704 15,141 2067 2574 570 5499 6828 15,471 North-Northeast 2010 8698 10,535 25,119 9337 53,689 2013 8847 10,647 25,224 9397 54,115 2021 9191 10,977 25,808 9650 55,626 2027 9,413 11,132 25,910 9716 56,171 2037 9705 11,308 25,914 9742 56,669 2047 9911 11,432 25,917 9743 57,003 2057 10,157 11,581 25,921 9744 57,403 2067 10,509 11,793 25,926 9793 58,021 Northeast 2010 32,319 22,447 11,747 10,948 77,461 2013 32,879 22,977 11,995 11,187 79,038 2021 34,168 24,289 12,577 11,722 82,756 2027 35,001 25,189 12,891 11,985 85,066 2037 36,106 26,521 13,189 12,147 87,963 2047 36,891 27,706 13,379 12,157 90,133 2057 37,824 29,024 13,588 12,177 92,613 2067 39,148 30,477 13,808 12,290 95,723 East-Northeast 2010 63,674 172,503 47,676 21,238 305,091 2013 65,974 179,276 49,522 22,012 316,784 2021 72,026 197,268 54,409 23,911 347,614 2027 76,378 210,290 57,928 25,109 369,705
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-16 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-4 (Sheet 2 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Year Direction Sector 10-20 (mi)
Sector 20-30 (mi)
Sector 30-40 (mi)
Sector 40-50 (mi)
Sector 10-50 (mi) 2037 83,326 231,277 63,557 26,575 404,735 2047 90,257 252,501 69,232 27,642 439,632 2057 97,744 275,348 75,340 28,853 477,285 2067 104,860 296,672 81,037 30,684 513,253 East 2010 75,605 58,268 36,761 46,774 217,408 2013 78,598 60,614 38,599 49,636 227,447 2021 86,527 66,761 43,398 57,086 253,772 2027 92,255 71,167 46,816 62,351 272,589 2037 101,408 77,966 51,999 70,213 301,586 2047 110,528 84,330 56,718 77,246 328,822 2057 120,319 91,086 61,690 84,628 357,723 2067 129,684 98,239 67,225 93,135 388,283 East-Southeast 2010 15,702 71,929 7738 3236 98,605 2013 16,397 74,935 8067 3406 102,805 2021 18,187 82,625 8909 3834 113,555 2027 19,437 88,039 9502 4137 121,115 2037 21,215 95,720 10,346 4599 131,880 2047 22,676 101,710 11,010 5014 140,410 2057 24,228 107,836 11,690 5443 149,197 2067 26,220 116,490 12,639 5938 161,287 Southeast 2010 6322 13,059 309 2602 22,292 2013 6665 13,617 321 2672 23,275 2021 7547 15,039 352 2868 25,806 2027 8139 16,026 373 3017 27,555 2037 8918 17,396 402 3263 29,979 2047 9522 18,450 425 3509 31,906 2057 10,211 19,544 448 3754 33,957 2067 11,132 21,114 481 4000 36,727
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-17 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-4 (Sheet 3 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Year Direction Sector 10-20 (mi)
Sector 20-30 (mi)
Sector 30-40 (mi)
Sector 40-50 (mi)
Sector 10-50 (mi)
South-Southeast 2010 13,319 6959 1896 543 22,717 2013 14,054 7237 1970 555 23,816 2021 15,933 7923 2151 587 26,594 2027 17,165 8345 2262 608 28,380 2037 18,725 8813 2382 635 30,555 2047 19,895 9081 2448 654 32,078 2057 21,268 9386 2523 674 33,851 2067 23,172 10,035 2693 707 36,607 South 2010 9010 16,818 13,722 4509 44,059 2013 9460 17,453 14,161 4620 45,694 2021 10,595 19,004 15,228 4889 49,716 2027 11,326 19,948 15,869 5042 52,185 2037 12,220 20,970 16,553 5188 54,931 2047 12,851 21,526 16,929 5257 56,563 2057 13,588 22,166 17,378 5352 58,484 2067 14,716 23,614 18,360 5583 62,273 South-Southwest 2010 3443 10,838 28,433 12,972 55,686 2013 3596 11,097 29,031 13,273 56,997 2021 3978 11,720 30,463 14,013 60,174 2027 4220 12,084 31,282 14,462 62,048 2037 4517 12,464 32,112 14,984 64,077 2047 4736 12,685 32,586 15,367 65,374 2057 4993 12,970 33,226 15,838 67,027 2067 5357 13,526 34,477 16,533 69,893 Southwest 2010 2802 4804 9786 22,268 39,660 2013 2841 4908 10,047 22,877 40,673 2021 2920 5139 10,661 24,315 43,035 2027 2945 5253 11,028 25,188 44,414
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-18 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-4 (Sheet 4 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Year Direction Sector 10-20 (mi)
Sector 20-30 (mi)
Sector 30-40 (mi)
Sector 40-50 (mi)
Sector 10-50 (mi) 2037 2948 5333 11,442 26,202 45,925 2047 2948 5377 11,749 26,984 47,058 2057 2948 5428 12,093 27,856 48,325 2067 2948 5502 12,551 28,953 49,954 West-Southwest 2010 4599 5117 4656 8054 22,426 2013 4661 5281 4809 8219 22,970 2021 4787 5683 5183 8597 24,250 2027 4824 5942 5424 8815 25,005 2037 4829 6272 5712 9031 25,844 2047 4829 6518 5901 9136 26,384 2057 4829 6793 6125 9310 27,057 2067 4829 7185 6495 9635 28,144 West 2010 11,651 3396 27,389 8304 50,740 2013 11,920 3572 28,824 8720 53,036 2021 12,543 4017 32,446 9765 58,771 2027 12,858 4294 34,703 10,418 62,273 2037 13,127 4575 37,002 11,098 65,802 2047 13,254 4696 37,989 11,406 67,345 2057 13,399 4842 39,175 11,764 69,180 2067 13,772 5254 42,542 12,745 74,313 West-Northwest 2010 3926 4808 7666 8927 25,327 2013 4046 5021 8025 9278 26,370 2021 4348 5560 8924 10,141 28,973 2027 4537 5899 9478 10,662 30,576 2037 4756 6262 10,038 11,222 32,278 2047 4900 6446 10,277 11,516 33,139 2057 5047 6653 10,566 11,867 34,133 2067 5335 7165 11,394 12,665 36,559
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-19 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-4 (Sheet 5 of 5)
Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Year Direction Sector 10-20 (mi)
Sector 20-30 (mi)
Sector 30-40 (mi)
Sector 40-50 (mi)
Sector 10-50 (mi)
Northwest 2010 5348 3228 2918 10,824 22,318 2013 5520 3332 3006 11,088 22,946 2021 5957 3596 3223 11,692 24,468 2027 6238 3765 3355 11,990 25,348 2037 6572 3967 3502 12,195 26,236 2047 6796 4102 3587 12,167 26,652 2057 7024 4240 3680 12,211 27,155 2067 7461 4504 3885 12,657 28,507 North-Northwest 2010 5558 575 6223 7076 19,432 2013 5735 589 6337 7203 19,864 2021 6182 623 6606 7490 20,901 2027 6470 645 6767 7646 21,528 2037 6814 669 6927 7775 22,185 2047 7043 683 6983 7784 22,493 2057 7278 697 7041 7806 22,822 2067 7726 731 7287 8041 23,785 Totals 2010 264,035 405,800 237,097 183,891 1,090,823 2013 273,295 421,078 245,049 190,489 1,129,911 2021 297,094 460,762 265,599 207,077 1,230,532 2027 313,476 488,564 278,918 217,750 1,298,708 2037 337,538 530,066 296,464 231,549 1,395,617 2047 359,446 567,799 310,528 242,275 1,480,048 2057 383,329 608,153 325,890 253,981 1,571,353 2067 409,443 652,871 346,299 270,187 1,678,800 Note: Based on 2010 USCB data. See Section 2.5.1.1 for methodology used to generate permanent population projections.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-20 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-5 Projected Permanent Population for Each Sector 10 to 50 Miles (16 to 80 km)
Cumulative Totals 10-20 (mi) 10-30 (mi) 10-40 (mi) 10-50 (mi) 2010 264,035 669,835 906,932 1,090,823 2013 273,295 694,373 939,422 1,129,911 2021 297,094 757,856 1,023,455 1,230,532 2027 313,476 802,040 1,080,958 1,298,708 2037 337,538 867,604 1,164,068 1,395,617 2047 359,446 927,245 1,237,773 1,480,048 2057 383,329 991,482 1,317,372 1,571,353 2067 409,443 1,062,314 1,408,613 1,678,800 Note: Based on 2010 USCB data. See Section 2.5.1.1 for methodology used to generate permanent population projections.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-21 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-6 Historical and Projected Population Anderson County Knox County Loudon County Roane County State of Tennessee Population Annual Percent Growth Population Annual Percent Growth Population Annual Percent Growth Population Annual Percent Growth Population Annual Percent Growth 1970 60,300 NA 276,293 NA 24,266 NA 38,881 NA 3,923,687 NA 1980 67,346 1.17 319,694 1.57 28,553 1.77 48,425 2.45 4,591,120 1.70 1990 68,250 0.13 335,749 0.50 31,255 0.95 47,227
-0.25 4,877,185 0.62 2000 71,330 0.45 382,032 1.38 39,086 2.51 51,910 0.99 5,689,283 1.67 2010 75,129 0.53 432,226 1.31 48,556 2.42 54,181 0.44 6,346,105 1.15 2015 77,285 0.57 460,612 1.31 53,324 1.96 55,411 0.45 6,735,022 1.23 2020 79,061 0.46 488,993 1.23 57,923 1.72 56,301 0.32 7,107,296 1.11 2025 80,713 0.42 516,603 1.13 62,151 1.46 56,805 0.18 7,460,624 0.99 2030 82,202 0.37 543,302 1.03 65,869 1.20 56,897 0.03 7,799,933 0.91 2035 83,444 0.30 569,659 0.97 68,918 0.93 56,583
-0.11 8,127,930 0.84 2040 84,438 0.24 595,787 0.92 71,421 0.73 55,948
-0.22 8,449,472 0.79 Note:
NA = Not Applicable
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-22 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-7 Age and Gender Distribution, 2010 Age Groups Anderson County Knox County Loudon County Roane County Tennessee Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Under 5 years 4212 5.6 26,168 6.1 2560 5.3 2699 5.0 407,813 6.4 5 to 14 years 9205 12.3 52,681 12.2 5552 11.4 6521 12.0 831,122 13.1 15 to 24 years 8804 11.7 65,816 15.2 4978 10.3 5825 10.8 863,430 13.6 25 to 44 years 17,706 23.6 116,712 27.0 10,553 21.7 12,118 22.4 1,678,127 26.4 45 to 64 years 22,138 29.5 114,358 26.5 14,479 29.8 16,963 31.3 1,712,151 27.0 65 years and over 13,064 17.4 56,491 13.1 10,434 21.5 10,055 18.6 853,462 13.4 TOTAL 75,129 100.0 432,226 100.0 48,556 100.0 54,181 100.0 6,346,105 100.0 Median Age (years) 42.6 37.2 46.0 44.9 38.0 Gender Male 36,308 48.3 210,085 48.6 23,828 49.1 26,628 49.1 3,093,504 48.7 Female 38,821 51.7 222,141 51.4 24,728 50.9 27,553 50.9 3,252,601 51.3
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-23 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-8 (Sheet 1 of 4)
Contributors to Transient Population within the 50-Mile (80 km) Region1 Event or Location City Peak Daily Visitors2 Freedom Fest Alcoa 30,000 Spring Sprint Alcoa 452 Allardt Pumpkin Festival & Pumpkin Run Allardt 10,000 Benefit Dinner Athens 1500 James L. Robb Gym Athens 1000 Pumpkintown Festival Athens 8000 Sunshine Hollow Athens 100 Tennessee Wesleyan Halloween Festival Athens 1300 Tennessee Wesleyan Soccer Athens 150 Louie Bluie Festival Caryville 7500 International Cowpea Festival & Cookoff Charleston 3500 Autumn Acres Crossville 295 Clyde York 4-H Center Crossville 1500 Cumberland Chamber of Commerce Crossville 250 Deer Creek Golf Club Crossville 100 Lake Tansi Village Golf Crossville 122 Palace Theater Crossville 302 Stonehenge Golf Club Crossville 145 The Bear Trace at Cumberland Mountain Crossville 164 Dayton Horse & Carriage Parade Dayton 2000 Holiday Stroll Dayton 2000 PumpkinFest Dayton 5000 Scopes Festival Dayton 600 Strawberry Festival Dayton 700 Savannah Oaks Winery Delano 500 The Gem Players and Theater Etowah 525 Dorchester Golf Club Fairfield Glade 172 Druid Hills Golf Club Fairfield Glade 164 Heatherhurst Golf Club Fairfield Glade 370 Fontana Village Resort Fontana Dam 2500 W.E. Rock Eastern Series Graysville 1400 Emory Golf Course Harriman 150
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-24 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-8 (Sheet 2 of 4)
Contributors to Transient Population within the 50-Mile (80 km) Region1 Event or Location City Peak Daily Visitors2 Obrien Theatre Harriman 489 The Princess Theatre Harriman 540 Brimstone Recreation Huntsville 3333 Highland Manor Winery Jamestown 150 Pickett State Park Jamestown 1291 58 Landing Kingston 300 Colonial Christmas Candlelight Tour Kingston 122 Kingston City Park Kingston 300 Kingston Community Center Kingston 190 Kingston Country Fair Kingston 980 Ladd Delaney Park Kingston 300 Lakeside Golf Kingston 125 RedBones on the River Kingston 165 Roane County Healthy Schools 5k Kingston 106 Smokin the Water Kingston 12,000 Stormin the Fort Olympic Triathlon Kingston 161 The Gravel Pit Kingston 300 Barksdale Stadium Knoxville 2000 Bijou Theatre Knoxville 758 BUDDY'S Race Against Cancer Knoxville 5000 Civic Auditorium and Coliseum Knoxville 7141 Covenant Health Knoxville Marathon Knoxville 9200 Game on Against Cancer Knoxville 250 Knoxville Municipal Golf Course Knoxville 150 Komen Race for the Cure Knoxville 10,000 Light the Night Walk Knoxville 2000 Lindsey Nelson Stadium Knoxville 3800 Museum of Art Knoxville 250 Neyland Stadium Knoxville 102,455 Regal Soccer Stadium Knoxville 3000 Rossini Festival Knoxville 100,000
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-25 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-8 (Sheet 3 of 4)
Contributors to Transient Population within the 50-Mile (80 km) Region1 Event or Location City Peak Daily Visitors2 Sherri Parker Lee Stadium Knoxville 1622 Tennessee Theatre Knoxville 1638 Thompson-Boling Arena Knoxville 21,678 Tour de Rockytop Knoxville 380 Trideltathon Knoxville 260 Twinkle Toes 5k Run/Walk Knoxville 150 West Site Y Triathlon Knoxville 200 Christmas in Old Loudon Loudon 2000 Fall Pig Roast Loudon 500 Riverfest Loudon 5000 Fine Arts Blount Kite Festival Maryville 1500 Foothills Fall Festival Maryville 25,000 Foothills Sprint Triathlon Maryville 230 Ruby Tuesday's Triple Crown of Running Maryville 646 Smoky Mountains Softball Classic Maryville 1750 Spring Arts and Crafts Show Maryville 6750 Red Gate Rodeo Maynardville 2000 Union County Heritage Festival Maynardville 5000 River Glen Equestrian Park New Market 660 Butterflies for Hope 5k Oak Ridge 100 Butterflies for Hope Bike Ride Oak Ridge 130 Secret City Festival Oak Ridge 10,000 BSF Vintage Train Festival Oneida 5000 Spring Planting Festival Oneida 3000 Wings Over Big South Fork Oneida 20,000 World Pig Championship Pall Mall 100 Rockwood Event Center Rockwood 400 Rockwood Golf and Country Club Rockwood 240 Historic Rugby Visitor Centre Rugby 136
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-26 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-8 (Sheet 4 of 4)
Contributors to Transient Population within the 50-Mile (80 km) Region1 Event or Location City Peak Daily Visitors2 Tennessee Valley Theatre Spring City 300 Ride the Plains Strawberry Plains 250 National Muscadine Festival Sweetwater 10,000 The Lost Sea Sweetwater 411 Blue Springs Marina Ten Mile 900 Townsend Fall Festival Townsend 10,000 Tuckaleechee Caverns Townsend 500 Rarity Bay Golf Club Vonore 328 Fort Loudoun State Historic Area Vonore 2000 Sequoyah Birthplace Museum Vonore 3000 1 Events and locations listed in this table contributed > 100 daily visitors.
2 Values presented in this column represent the peak daily visitors. For events or locations where peak visitor data were not available, average daily visitors were calculated using seasonal and/or annual visitor information.
Note: Information collected by means of a transient population survey. See Section 2.5.1.3 for description of survey methodology.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-27 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-9 National and State Parks Within 50 Miles with Reported Visitor Data Tennessee State Parks Peak Daily Visitors1 Big Ridge State Park 2894 Bledsoe State Forest 612 Cove Lake State Park 1849 Cumberland Mountain State Park 3944 Cumberland Trail 504 Fort Loudoun State Historic Park 493 Frozen Head State Park and Natural Area 656 Hiwassee/Ocoee Scenic River State Park 3763 Indian Mountain State Park 1678 Norris Dam State Park 314 National Parks Peak Daily Visitors1 Great Smoky Mountains National Park 26,537 Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area 1644 Obed Wild Scenic River 582 1 Values presented in this column represent peak or calculated peak daily visitors.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-28 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-10 (Sheet 1 of 2)
Peak Daily Projected Transient Population for Each Sector 0 to 50 Miles (0 to 80 km)
Distance (mi)
Direction Year 2013 2021 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 4
E 7
8 8
9 9
9 10 7
WSW 127 130 131 131 131 131 131 8
W 12,660 13,002 13,103 13,116 13,116 13,116 13,116 8
SSE 529 605 655 720 770 829 906 9
W 775 796 803 803 803 803 803 9
WSW 1692 1737 1751 1753 1753 1753 1753 20 NNW 549 592 619 652 674 697 739 20 NW 27 29 31 33 34 35 37 20 WNW 557 598 624 654 674 694 734 20 W
1360 1431 1467 1497 1512 1528 1571 20 SW 913 938 946 947 947 947 947 20 SSE 7733 8767 9445 10,303 10,947 11,702 12,749 20 E
468 515 549 604 658 716 772 20 NE 10,407 10,815 11,079 11,429 11,677 11,973 12,392 20 N
16 17 18 18 19 19 20 30 NNW 88 93 97 100 102 104 109 30 NW 298 322 337 355 367 380 403 30 WNW 870 964 1023 1086 1118 1153 1242 30 W
226 254 272 290 297 307 333 30 SSW 10,238 10,814 11,149 11,500 11,703 11,966 12,480 30 S
431 469 492 517 531 547 583 30 SSE 5716 6258 6591 6961 7172 7413 7926 30 SE 25 28 29 32 34 36 39 30 ESE 72,837 80,312 85,575 93,040 98,863 104,817 113,229 30 E
67,159 73,970 78,852 86,386 93,436 100,922 108,848 30 ENE 250,589 275,737 293,940 323,275 352,941 384,877 414,683 30 NE 74 78 81 85 89 93 98 30 NNE 398 411 416 423 428 433 441 40 NNW 3704 3860 3955 4048 4081 4115 4259 40 NW 22 24 25 26 27 27 29 40 WNW 150 166 177 187 192 197 212 40 W
6736 7582 8109 8647 8877 9155 9941
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-29 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-10 (Sheet 2 of 2)
Peak Daily Projected Transient Population for Each Sector 0 to 50 Miles (0 to 80 km)
Distanc e (mi)
Direction Year 2013 2021 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 40 WSW 385 415 434 458 473 491 520 40 SW 103 109 113 117 120 124 128 40 SSW 12,349 12,958 13,307 13,660 13,862 14,134 14,666 40 S
571 614 640 667 682 700 740 40 SE 2374 2603 2759 2973 3138 3308 3557 40 ESE 12,587 13,901 14,827 16,144 17,180 18,241 19,721 40 NE 10,125 10,617 10,881 11,133 11,293 11,470 11,655 40 NNE 9214 9427 9464 9466 9467 9468 9470 50 NNW 24,252 25,220 25,747 26,181 26,211 26,285 27,076 50 NW 10,413 10,981 11,260 11,453 11,426 11,468 11,886 50 WNW 324 354 373 392 402 415 443 50 W
126 141 151 161 165 170 185 50 WSW 205 215 220 225 228 232 241 50 SW 12,089 12,850 13,311 13,846 14,260 14,721 15,301 50 SSW 4093 4321 4460 4620 4739 4884 5,098 50 S
3855 4080 4208 4329 4387 4467 4659 50 SE 4437 4762 5010 5418 5826 6233 6641 50 ESE 4958 5581 6022 6695 7299 7924 8645 50 E
8352 9606 10,492 11,815 12,998 14,241 15,672 50 ENE 943 1025 1076 1139 1184 1236 1315 50 NNE 1237 1270 1279 1282 1282 1283 1289 50 N
5060 5196 5266 5326 5337 5345 5444 Total 585,436 637,568 673,646 727,127 775,942 828,332 885,887 Note: See Section 2.5.1.3 for methodology used to generate transient population projections.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-30 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-11 Transient Workers Entering the 50-Mile Region, 2006-20101 Workplace County Number of Workers Residing Outside the Region and Traveling to Work Inside the Region North Carolina:
Graham 358 Tennessee:
Anderson 1047 Blount 857 Campbell 1164 Cumberland 1360 Fentress 288 Knox 13,294 Loudon 143 McMinn 1926 Meigs 134 Monroe 312 Morgan 49 Rhea 2734 Roane 373 Scott 553 Sevier 5807 Union 469 Total Transient Workers 30,868 1 Includes those counties with at least 50 percent of their area within the 50-mi radius.
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-31 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-12 Description of Sparseness and Proximity Demographic Categories Demographic Categories Based on Sparseness Category Description Most sparse
- 1. Less than 40 persons per sq. mi. and no community with 25,000 or more persons within 20 mi.
- 2. 40 to 60 persons per sq. mi. and no community with 25,000 or more persons within 20 mi.
- 3. 60 to 120 persons per sq. mi. or less than 60 persons per sq. mi. with at least one community with 25,000 or more persons within 20 mi.
Least sparse
- 4. Greater than or equal to 120 persons per sq. mi. within 20 mi.
Demographic Categories Based on Proximity Category Description Not in close proximity
- 1. No city with 100,000 or more persons and less than 50 persons per sq. mi. within 50 mi.
- 2. No city with 100,000 or more persons and between 50 and 190 persons per sq. mi. within 50 mi.
- 3. One or more cities with 100,000 or more persons and less than 190 persons per sq. mi. within 50 mi.
In close proximity
- 4. Greater than or equal to 190 persons per sq. mi. within 50 mi.
Source: NUREG-1437
Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report 2.5.1-32 Revision 1 Table 2.5.1-13 Generic Environmental Impact Statement Sparseness and Proximity Matrix Proximity Value 1
2 3
4 Sparseness Value 1
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 2
2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3
3.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 4
4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 Low Population Area Medium Population Area High Population Area Source: NUREG-1437
2.5.1-33 Revision 1 Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report Figure 2.5.1-1.
0 to 10 Mile Population Sector Map
2.5.1-34 Revision 1 Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report Figure 2.5.1-2.
10 to 50 Mile Population Sector Map
2.5.1-35 Revision 1 Clinch River Nuclear Site Early Site Permit Application Part 3, Environmental Report Figure 2.5.1-3.
0 to 2 Mile Population Sector Map