CP-201201534, Kld TR-589, Rev. 1, Comanche Peak Nuclear Power Plant Development of Evacuation Time Estimates
| ML123630564 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Comanche Peak  |
| Issue date: | 12/31/2012 |
| From: | KLD Engineering, PC |
| To: | Luminant Generation Co, Luminant Power, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| References | |
| CP-201201534, TXX-12205 KLD TR-589, Rev 1 | |
| Download: ML123630564 (524) | |
Text
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableofContents1INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................................1 11.1OverviewoftheETEProcess......................................................................................................1 21.2TheComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantLocation..................................................................1 31.3PreliminaryActivities.................................................................................................................1 51.4ComparisonwithPriorETEStudy..............................................................................................1 92STUDYESTIMATESANDASSUMPTIONS.............................................................................................2 12.1DataEstimates...........................................................................................................................2 12.2StudyMethodologicalAssumptions..........................................................................................2 22.3StudyAssumptions.....................................................................................................................2 53DEMANDESTIMATION.......................................................................................................................3 13.1PermanentResidents.................................................................................................................3 23.2ShadowPopulation....................................................................................................................3 83.3TransientPopulation................................................................................................................3 113.4Employees...............................................................................................................................
.3 163.5MedicalFacilities......................................................................................................................3 203.6TotalDemandinAddi tiontoPermanentPopulation..............................................................3 203.7SpecialEvent............................................................................................................................3 203.8SummaryofDemand...............................................................................................................3 224ESTIMATIONOFHIGHWAYCAPACITY................................................................................................4 14.1CapacityEstimationsonApproachestoIntersections..............................................................4 24.2CapacityEstimationalongSectionsofHighway........................................................................4 44.3ApplicationtotheCPNPPStudyArea........................................................................................4 64.3.1Two LaneRoads.................................................................................................................4 64.3.2Multi LaneHighway...........................................................................................................4 64.3.3Freeways............................................................................................................................4 74.3.4Intersections......................................................................................................................4 84.4SimulationandCapacityEstimation..........................................................................................4 85ESTIMATIONOFTRIPGENERATIONTIME..........................................................................................5 15.1Background...............................................................................................................................
.5 15.2Fundam entalConsiderations.....................................................................................................5 35.3EstimatedTimeDistributionsofActivitiesPrecedingEvent5...................................................5 65.4CalculationofTripGenerationTimeDistribution....................................................................5 115.4.1StatisticalOutliers............................................................................................................5 125.4.2StagedEvacuationTripGeneration.................................................................................5 145.4.3TripGenerationforWaterwaysandRecreationalAreas.................................................5 166DEMANDESTIMATIONFOREVACUATIONSCENARIOS.....................................................................6 17GENERALPOPULATIONEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES(ETE)..........................................................7 17.1VoluntaryEvacuationandShadowEvacuation.........................................................................7 17.2StagedEvacuation......................................................................................................................7 17.3PatternsofTrafficCongestionduringEvacuation.....................................................................7 27.4EvacuationRates........................................................................................................................7 4 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17.5EvacuationTimeEstimate(ETE)Results....................................................................................7 47.6StagedEvacuationResults.........................................................................................................7 57.7GuidanceonUsingETETables...................................................................................................7 68TRANSITDEPENDENTANDSPECIALFACILITYEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES.................................8 18.1TransitDependentPeopleDemandEstimate............................................................................8 28.2SchoolPopulation-TransitDemand.........................................................................................8 48.3SummerDayCampsandRetreats-TransitDemand................................................................8 48.4MedicalFacilityDemand............................................................................................................8 58.5EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTransitDependentPeople.......................................................8 58.6SpecialNeedsPopulation.........................................................................................................8 128.7CorrectionalFacilities...............................................................................................................8 149TRAFFICMANAGEMENTSTRATEGY...................................................................................................9 110EVACUATIONROUTES..................................................................................................................10 111SURVEILLANCEOFEVACUATIONOPERATIONS...........................................................................11 112CONFIRMATIONTIME..................................................................................................................12 1ListofAppendicesA.GLOSSARYOFTRAFFICENGINEERINGTERMS..................................................................................A 1B.DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENTANDDISTRIBUTIONMODEL.........................................................B 1C.DYNEVTRAFFICSIMULATIONMODEL...............................................................................................C 1C.1Methodology..............................................................................................................................C 5C.1.1TheFundamentalDiagram.................................................................................................C 5C.1.2TheSimulationModel........................................................................................................C 5C.1.3LaneAssignment..............................................................................................................C 12C.2Implementation.......................................................................................................................C 12C.2.1ComputationalProcedure................................................................................................C 12C.2.2InterfacingwithDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTRAD)...................................................C 15D.DETAILEDDESCRIPTIONOFSTUDYPROCEDURE..............................................................................D 1E.SPECIALFACILITYDATA......................................................................................................................E 1F.TELEPHONESURVEY...........................................................................................................................F 1F.1Introduction...............................................................................................................................F 1F.2SurveyInstrumentandSamplingPlan.......................................................................................F 2F.3SurveyResults............................................................................................................................F 3F.3.1HouseholdDemographicResults...........................................................................................F 3F.3.2EvacuationResponse.............................................................................................................F 7F.3.3TimeDistributionResults.......................................................................................................F 9F.4Conclusions..............................................................................................................................F 11G.TRAFFICMANAGEMENTPLAN..........................................................................................................G 1G.1TrafficControlPoints................................................................................................................G 1G.2AccessControlPoints................................................................................................................G 1 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantiiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1HEVACUATIONREGIONS.....................................................................................................................H 1J.REPRESENTATIVEINPUTSTOANDOUTPUTSFROMTHEDYNEVIISYSTEM.....................................J 1K.EVACUATIONROADWAYNETWORK..................................................................................................K 1L.ZONEBOUNDARIES............................................................................................................................L 1M.EVACUATIONSENSITIVITYSTUDIES.............................................................................................M 1M.1EffectofChangesinTripGenerationTimes............................................................................M 1M.2EffectofCha ngesintheNumberofPeopleintheShadowRegionWhoRelocate.................M 2M.3EffectofChangesinEPZResidentPopulation.........................................................................M 3M.4EvacuatingVehiclesSensitivityStudy......................................................................................M 4N.ETECRITERIACHECKLIST...................................................................................................................N 1Note:AppendixIintentionallyskipped ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantivKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ListofFiguresFigure1 1.CPNPPLocation.......................................................................................................................1 4Figure1 2.CPNPPLinkNodeAnalysisNetwork.......................................................................................1 7Figure2 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology.......................................................................................2 4Figure3 1.CPNPPEPZ...............................................................................................................................3 3Figure3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationbySector.............................................................................3 6Figure3 3.PermanentResidentVehiclesbySector.................................................................................3 7Figure3 4.ShadowPopulationbySector.................................................................................................3 9Figure3 5.ShadowVehiclesbySector...................................................................................................3 10Figure3 6.TransientPopulationbySector.............................................................................................3 14Figure3 7.TransientVehiclesbySector.................................................................................................3 15Figure3 8.EmployeePopulationbySe ctor............................................................................................3 18Figure3 9.EmployeeVehiclesbySector................................................................................................3 19Figure4 1.FundamentalDiagrams............................................................................................................4 9Figure5 1.EventsandActivitiesPrecedingtheEvacuationTrip..............................................................5 5Figure5 2.EvacuationMobilizationActivities........................................................................................5 10Figure5 3.ComparisonofDataDistributionandNormalDistribution.......................................................5 13Figure5 4.ComparisonofTripGenerationDistributions.......................................................................5 18Figure5 5.ComparisonofStagedandUn stagedTripGenerationDistributionsinthe2to5MileRegion....................................................................................................................................5 20Figure6 1.CPNPPEPZZones....................................................................................................................6 9Figure7 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology.....................................................................................7 29Figure7 2.CPNPPShadowRegion..........................................................................................................7 30Figure7 3.CongestionPatternsat30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate....................................7 31Figure7 4.CongestionPatternsat1HouraftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate............................................7 32Figure7 5.CongestionPa tternsat1Hour,30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate........................7 33Figure7 6.CongestionPatternsat2HoursaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate..........................................7 34Figure7 7.CongestionPatternsat3Hours,5MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate........................7 35Figure7 8.CongestionPa tternsat3Hours,20MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate......................7 36Figure7 9.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario1forRegionR03......................................................7 37Figure7 10.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario2forRegionR03....................................................7 37Figure7 11.EvacuationTi meEstimatesScenario3forRegionR03....................................................7 38Figure7 12.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario4forRegionR03....................................................7 38Figure7 13.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario5forRegionR03....................................................7 39Figure7 14.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario6forRegionR03....................................................7 39Figure7 15.EvacuationTi meEstimatesScenario7forRegionR03....................................................7 40Figure7 16.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario8forRegionR03....................................................7 40Figure7 17.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario9forRegionR03....................................................7 41Figure7 18.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario10forRegionR03..................................................7 41Figure7 19.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario11forRegionR03..................................................7 42Figure7 20.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario12forRegionR03..................................................7 42Figure8 1.ChronologyofTransitEvacuationOperations......................................................................8 15Figure8 2.Transit DependentBusRoutes.............................................................................................8 16Figure10 1.GeneralPopulationReceptionCenters,HostSchoolsandCongregateCareCenters........10 2Figure10 2.EvacuationRouteMap........................................................................................................10 3FigureB 1.FlowDiagramofSimulation DTRADInterface........................................................................B 5FigureC 1.RepresentativeAnalysisNetwork...........................................................................................C 4 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantvKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 2.FundamentalDiagrams...........................................................................................................C 6FigureC 3.AUNITProblemConfigurationwitht 1>0..............................................................................C 6FigureC 4.FlowofSimulationProcessing(SeeGlossary:TableC 3)....................................................C 14FigureD 1.FlowDiagramofActivities.....................................................................................................D 5FigureE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ..........................................................................................................E 12FigureE 2.PreschoolsandDaycareswithintheEPZ..............................................................................E 13FigureE 3.DaycampswithintheEPZ......................................................................................................E 14FigureE 4.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ..........................................................................................E 15FigureE 5.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZ...........................................................................................E 16FigureE 6.CampgroundswithintheEPZ................................................................................................E 17FigureE 7.RecreationalFacilitieswithintheEPZ...................................................................................E 18FigureE 8.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZOverview........................................................................E 19FigureE 9.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ-HoodCounty..................................................................E 20FigureE 10.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ-SomervellCounty........................................................E 21FigureE 11.MajorRetailFacilitieswithintheEPZ..................................................................................E 22FigureE 12.CorrectionalFacilitieswithintheEPZ.................................................................................E 23FigureF 1.HouseholdSizeintheEPZ.......................................................................................................F 4FigureF 2.HouseholdVehicleAvailability................................................................................................F 4FigureF 3.VehicleAvailability1to4PersonHouseholds......................................................................F 5FigureF 4.VehicleAvailability5to8PersonHouseholds......................................................................F 5FigureF 5.CommutersinHouseholdsintheEPZ.....................................................................................F 6FigureF 6.ModesofTravelintheEPZ.....................................................................................................F 7FigureF 7.NumberofVehiclesUsedforEvacuation...............................................................................F 8FigureF 8.HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets...........................................................................................F 8FigureF 9.TimeRequiredtoPreparetoLeaveWork/School..................................................................F 9FigureF 10.WorktoHomeTravelTime.................................................................................................F 10FigureF 11.TimetoPrepareHomeforEvacuation................................................................................F 11FigureG 1.TrafficControlPointsfortheCPNPPSite..............................................................................G 2FigureG 2.A ccessControlPointsfortheCPNPPSite..............................................................................G 3FigureH 1.RegionR01.............................................................................................................................H 5FigureH 2.RegionR02.............................................................................................................................H 6FigureH 3.RegionR03.............................................................................................................................H 7FigureH 4.RegionR04.............................................................................................................................H 8FigureH 5.RegionR05.............................................................................................................................H 9FigureH 6.RegionR06...........................................................................................................................H 10FigureH 7.RegionR07...........................................................................................................................H 11FigureH 8.RegionR08...........................................................................................................................H 12FigureH 9.RegionR09...........................................................................................................................H 13FigureH 10.RegionR10.........................................................................................................................H 14FigureH 11.RegionR11.........................................................................................................................H 15FigureH 12.RegionR12.........................................................................................................................H 16FigureH 13.RegionR13.........................................................................................................................H 17FigureH 14.RegionR14.........................................................................................................................H 18FigureH 15.RegionR15.........................................................................................................................H 19FigureH 16.RegionR16.........................................................................................................................H 20FigureH 17.RegionR17.........................................................................................................................H 21FigureH 18.RegionR18.........................................................................................................................H 22 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantviKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 19.RegionR19.........................................................................................................................H 23FigureH 20.RegionR20.........................................................................................................................H 24FigureH 21.RegionR21.........................................................................................................................H 25FigureH 22.RegionR22.........................................................................................................................H 26FigureH 23.RegionR23.........................................................................................................................H 27FigureH 24.RegionR24.........................................................................................................................H 28FigureH 25.RegionR25.........................................................................................................................H 29FigureH 26.RegionR26.........................................................................................................................H 30FigureH 27.RegionR27.........................................................................................................................H 31FigureH 28.RegionR28.........................................................................................................................H 32FigureH 29.RegionR29.........................................................................................................................H 33FigureH 30.RegionR30.........................................................................................................................H 34FigureH 31.RegionR31.........................................................................................................................H 35FigureH 32.RegionR32.........................................................................................................................H 36FigureH 33.RegionR33.........................................................................................................................H 37FigureH 34.RegionR34.........................................................................................................................H 38FigureH 35.RegionR35.........................................................................................................................H 39FigureH 36.RegionR36.........................................................................................................................H 40FigureH 37.RegionR37.........................................................................................................................H 41FigureH 38.RegionR38.........................................................................................................................H 42FigureH 39.RegionR39.........................................................................................................................H 43FigureH 40.RegionR40.........................................................................................................................H 44FigureH 41.RegionR41.........................................................................................................................H 45FigureH 42.RegionR42.........................................................................................................................H 46FigureH 43.RegionR43.........................................................................................................................H 47FigureH 44.RegionR44.........................................................................................................................H 48FigureH 45.RegionR45.........................................................................................................................H 49FigureH 46.RegionR46.........................................................................................................................H 50FigureH 47.RegionR47.........................................................................................................................H 51FigureH 48.RegionR48.........................................................................................................................H 52FigureH 49.RegionR49.........................................................................................................................H 53FigureH 50.RegionR50.........................................................................................................................H 54FigureH 51.RegionR51.........................................................................................................................H 55FigureH 52.RegionR52.........................................................................................................................H 56FigureH 53.RegionR53.........................................................................................................................H 57FigureH 54.RegionR54.........................................................................................................................H 58FigureH 55.RegionR55.........................................................................................................................H 59FigureH 56.RegionR56.........................................................................................................................H 60FigureH 57.RegionR57.........................................................................................................................H 61FigureH 58.RegionR58.........................................................................................................................H 62FigureH 59.RegionR59.........................................................................................................................H 63FigureH 60.RegionR60.........................................................................................................................H 64FigureH 61.RegionR61.........................................................................................................................H 65FigureH 62.RegionR62.........................................................................................................................H 66FigureH 63.RegionR63.........................................................................................................................H 67FigureH 64.RegionR64.........................................................................................................................H 68FigureH 65.RegionR65.........................................................................................................................H 69 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantviiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 66.RegionR66.........................................................................................................................H 70FigureH 67.RegionR67.........................................................................................................................H 71FigureH 68.RegionR68.........................................................................................................................H 72FigureH 69.RegionR69.........................................................................................................................H 73FigureH 70.RegionR70.........................................................................................................................H 74FigureH 71.RegionR71.........................................................................................................................H 75FigureH 72.RegionR72.........................................................................................................................H 76FigureH 73.RegionR73.........................................................................................................................H 77FigureH 74.RegionR74.........................................................................................................................H 78FigureH 75.RegionR75.........................................................................................................................H 79FigureH 76.RegionR76.........................................................................................................................H 80FigureH 77.RegionR77.........................................................................................................................H 81FigureH 78.RegionR78.........................................................................................................................H 82FigureH 79.RegionR79.........................................................................................................................H 83FigureH 80.RegionR80.........................................................................................................................H 84FigureH 81.RegionR81.........................................................................................................................H 85FigureH 82.RegionR82.........................................................................................................................H 86FigureH 83.RegionR83.........................................................................................................................H 87FigureH 84.RegionR84.........................................................................................................................H 88FigureH 85.RegionR85.........................................................................................................................H 89FigureH 86.RegionR86.........................................................................................................................H 90FigureH 87.RegionR87.........................................................................................................................H 91FigureH 88.RegionR88.........................................................................................................................H 92FigureH 89.RegionR89.........................................................................................................................H 93FigureH 90.RegionR90.........................................................................................................................H 94FigureH 91.RegionR91.........................................................................................................................H 95FigureH 92.RegionR92.........................................................................................................................H 96FigureJ 1.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario1)..............J 8FigureJ 2.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)...............................J 8FigureJ 3.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario3)..............J 9FigureJ 4.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)..............................J 9FigureJ 5.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario5)..............................................................................................................................................J 10FigureJ 6.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario6)..............J 10FigureJ 7.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)...............................J 11FigureJ 8.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario8).............................J 11FigureJ 9.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario9)...............................J 12FigureJ 10.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario10)........J 12FigureJ 11.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather,SpecialEvent(Scenario11)............................................................................................................................................J 13FigureJ 12.ETEandTripGeneration:Su mmer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather,RoadwayImpact(Scenario12)............................................................................................................................................J 13FigureK 1.CPNPPLinkNodeAnalysisNetwork.......................................................................................K 2FigureK 2.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid1.....................................................................................K 3FigureK 3.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid2.....................................................................................K 4FigureK 4.Li nk NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid3.....................................................................................K 5FigureK 5.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid4.....................................................................................K 6 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantviiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 6.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid5.....................................................................................K 7FigureK 7.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid6.....................................................................................K 8FigureK 8.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid7.....................................................................................K 9FigureK 9.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid8...................................................................................K 10FigureK 10.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid9.................................................................................K 11FigureK 11.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid10...............................................................................K 12FigureK 12.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid11...............................................................................K 13FigureK 13.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid12...............................................................................K 14FigureK 14.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid13...............................................................................K 15FigureK 15.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid14...............................................................................K 16FigureK 16.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid15...............................................................................K 17FigureK 17.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid16...............................................................................K 18FigureK 18.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid17...............................................................................K 19FigureK 19.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid18...............................................................................K 20FigureK 20.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid19...............................................................................K 21FigureK 21.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid20...............................................................................K 22FigureK 22.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid21...............................................................................K 23FigureK 23.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid22...............................................................................K 24FigureK 24.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid23...............................................................................K 25FigureK 25.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid24...............................................................................K 26FigureK 26.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid25...............................................................................K 27FigureK 27.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid26...............................................................................K 28FigureK 28.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid27...............................................................................K 29FigureK 29.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid28...............................................................................K 30FigureK 30.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid29...............................................................................K 31FigureK 31.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid30...............................................................................K 32FigureK 32.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid31...............................................................................K 33FigureK 33.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid32...............................................................................K 34 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantixKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ListofTablesTable1 1.StakeholderInteraction...........................................................................................................1 1Table1 2.HighwayCharacteristics...........................................................................................................1 5Table1 3.ETEStudyComparisons............................................................................................................1 9Table2 1.EvacuationScenarioDefinitions...............................................................................................2 3Table2 2.ModelAdjustmentforAdverseWeather.................................................................................2 7Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulation.......................................................................................3 4Table3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationandVehiclesbyZone...........................................................3 5Table3 3.ShadowPopulationandVehiclesbySector.............................................................................3 8Table3 4.SummaryofTransientsandTransientVehicles.....................................................................3 13Table3 5.SummaryofNon EPZResidentEmployeesandEmployeeVehicles......................................3 17Table3 6.CPNPPEPZExternalTraffic......................................................................................................3 21Table3 7.SummaryofPopulationDemand...........................................................................................3 23Table3 8.SummaryofVehicleDemand.................................................................................................3 24Table5 1.EventSequenceforEvacuationActivities................................................................................5 3Table5 2.TimeDistributionforNotifyingthePublic...............................................................................5 6Table5 3.TimeDistributionforEmployeestoPreparetoLeaveWork...................................................5 7Table5 4.TimeDistributionforCommuterstoTravelHome..................................................................5 8Table5 5.TimeDistributionforPopulationtoPreparetoEvacuate.......................................................5 9Table5 6.MappingDistri butionstoEvents............................................................................................5 11Table5 7.DescriptionoftheDistributions.............................................................................................5 11Table5 8.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforUn stagedEvacuation....................5 17Table5 9.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforStagedEvacuation.........................5 19Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRe gions-RegionsR01throughR17..............................................6 3Table6 2.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-Regions18throughR33................................................6 4Table6 3.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR34throughR47..............................................6 5Table6 4.DescriptionofEvacuationRe gions-RegionsR48throughR63..............................................6 6Table6 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR64throughR78..............................................6 7Table6 6.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR79throughR92..............................................6 8Table6 7.EvacuationScenarioDefinitions.............................................................................................6 10Table6 8.PercentofPopulationGroupsEvacuatingforVariousScenarios..........................................6 11Table6 9.VehicleEstimatesbyScenario................................................................................................6 12Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulation...........................7 9Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulation.......................7 13Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegion............................7 17Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegion..........................7 20Table7 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR01throughR17............................................7 23Table7 6.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR18throughR33............................................7 24Table7 7.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR34throughR47............................................7 25Table7 8.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR48throughR63............................................7 26Table7 9.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR64throughR78............................................7 27Table7 10.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR79throughR92..........................................7 28Table8 1.TransitDependentPopulationEstimates..............................................................................8 17Table8 2.SchoolandPres chool/DaycarePopulationDemandEstimates.............................................8 18Table8 3.HostSchoolsandDaycareReceptionCenters.......................................................................8 19Table8 4.MedicalFacilityTransitDemand............................................................................................8 20Table8 5.SummaryofTransportationResources..................................................................................8 21 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantxKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 6.BusRouteDescriptions..........................................................................................................8 23Table8 7.SchoolandDaycareEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather.........................................8 25Table8 8.SchoolandDaycareEvacuationTimeEstimatesRain..........................................................8 26Table8 9.DaycampEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeather.........................................................8 27Table8 10.DaycampEvacuationTim eEstimates-Rain.......................................................................8 27Table8 11.SummaryofTransitDependentBusRoutes........................................................................8 28Table8 12.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather........................................8 29Table8 13.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesRain.........................................................8 30Table8 14.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather.............................................8 31Table8 15.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimates-Rain.............................................................8 32Table8 16.HomeboundSpecialNeedsPopulationEvacuationTimeEstimates....................................8 33Table8 17.CorrectionalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimates.................................................................8 33Table12 1.EstimatedNumberofTelephoneCallsRequiredforConfirmationofEvacuation..............12 2TableA 1.GlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTerms....................................................................................A 1TableC 1.SelectedMeasuresofEffectivenessOutputbyDYNEVII........................................................C 2TableC 2.InputRequirementsfortheDYNEVIIModel...........................................................................C 3TableC 3.Glossary....................................................................................................................................C 7TableE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ.............................................................................................................E 2TableE 2.Daycares/PreschoolswithintheEPZ........................................................................................E 3TableE 3.Daycampswithinth eEPZ.........................................................................................................E 3TableE 4.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ..............................................................................................E 4TableE 5.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZ..............................................................................................E 5TableE 6.CampgroundswithintheEPZ...................................................................................................E 6TableE 7.ParkswithintheEPZ.................................................................................................................E 7TableE 8.GolfCourseswithintheEPZ.....................................................................................................E 8TableE 9.MarinaswithintheEPZ............................................................................................................E 8TableE 10.OtherRecreationalAreaswithintheEPZ...............................................................................E 8TableE 11.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ............................................................................................E 9TableE 12.MajorRetailFacilitieswithintheEPZ...................................................................................E 11TableE 13.CorrectionalFacilitieswithintheEPZ...................................................................................E 11TableF 1.CPNPPTelephoneSurveySamplingPlan.................................................................................F 2TableH 1.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR01throughR33..................................H 2TableH 2.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR34throughR63..................................H 3TableH 3.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR64throughR92..................................H 4TableJ 1.CharacteristicsoftheTenHi ghestVolumeSignalizedIntersections........................................J 2TableJ 2.SampleSimulationModelInput...............................................................................................J 4TableJ 3.SelectedModelOutputsfortheEvacuationoftheEntireEPZ(RegionR03)...........................J 5TableJ 4.AverageSpeed(mph)andTravelTime(min)forMajorEvacuationRoutes(RegionR03,Scenario1).................................................................................................................................................J 6TableJ 5.SimulationModelOutputsatNetworkExitLinksforRegionR03,Scenario1.........................J 7TableK 1.EvacuationRoadwayNetworkCharacteristics......................................................................K 35TableK 2.NodesintheLink NodeAnalysisNetworkwhichareControlled...........................................K 88TableM 1.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTripGenerationSensitivityStudy.......................................M 1TableM 2.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforShadowSensitivityStudy....................................................M 2TableM 3.ETEVariationwithPopulationChange.................................................................................M 4TableM 4.EvacuatingVehiclesSensitivityAnalysis...............................................................................M 5TableN 1.ETEReviewCriteriaChecklist.................................................................................................N 1 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
ThisreportdescribestheanalysesundertakenandtheresultsobtainedbyastudytodevelopEvacuationTimeEstimates(ETE)fortheComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant(CPNPP)locatedinSomervellCounty,Texas.ETEarepartoftherequiredplanningbasisandprovideLuminantGenerationCompanyandStateandlocalgovernmentswit hsitespecificinformationneededforProtectiveActiondecision making.Intheperformanceofthiseffort,guidanceisprovidedbydocumentspublishedbyFederalGovernmentalagencies.Mostimportantoftheseare: CriteriaforDevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimateStudies,NUREG/CR 7002,November2011. CriteriaforPreparationandEvaluationofRadi ologicalEmergencyResponsePlansandPreparednessinSupportofNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG0654/FEMA REP 1,Rev.1,November1980. DevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimatesforNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG/CR 6863,January2005. EmergencyPlanningandPreparednessforProductionandUtilizationFacilities,10CFR50,AppendixE.OverviewofProjectActivitiesThisprojectbeganinApril,2012andextendedoveraperiodof8months.Themajoractivitiesperformedarebrieflydescribedinchronologicalsequence: AttendedprojectkickoffmeetingwithLuminantGenerationCompanypersonnelandemergencymanagementpersonnelrepresentingstateandcountygovernments. AccessedU.S.CensusBureaudatafilesfortheyear2010.StudiedGeographicalInformationSystems(GIS)mapsoftheareainthevicinityoftheCPNPP,thenconductedadetailedfieldsurveyofthehighwaynetwork. Synthesizedthisinformationtocreateananal ysisnetworkrepresentingthehighwaysystemtopologyandcapacitieswithintheEmergencyPlanningZone(EPZ),plusaShadowRegioncoveringtheregionbetweenth eEPZboundaryandapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant. DesignedandsponsoredatelephonesurveyofresidentswithintheEPZtogatherfocuseddataneededforthisETEstudythatwerenotcontainedwithinthecensusdatabase.Thesurveyinstrumentwasreviewedandmodifiedbythelicenseeandoffsiteresponseorganization(ORO)personnelpriortothesurvey(surveyfr omthe2007COLAwasusedsinceEPZdemographicsdidnotsignificantlychange).
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 AdataneedsmatrixwasdistributedtotheOROsatthekickoffmeeting.Thenecessarydatapertainingtoemployment,transients,andspecialfacilitiesineachcountywasprovidedaccordingly. Thetrafficdemandandtrip generationratesofevacuatingvehicleswereestimatedfromthegathereddata.Thetripgenerationratesreflectedtheestimatedmobilizationtime(i.e.,thetimerequiredbyevacueestopreparefortheevacuationtrip)computedusingtheresultsofatelephonesurveyofEPZresidentsconductedin2007aspartofthepreviousETEstudy. Followingfederalguidelines,theEPZissubdividedinto31Zones.TheseZonesareth engroupedwithincircularareasor"keyhole"configurations(circlesplusradialsectors)thatdefineatotalof92EvacuationRegions. Thetime varyingexternalcircumstancesarerepresentedasEvacuationScenarios,eachdescribedintermsofthefollowingfactors:(1)Season(Summer,Winter);(2)DayofWeek(Midweek,Weekend);(3)TimeofDay(Midday,Evening);and(4)Weather(Good,Rain).OnespecialeventscenarioinvolvingFourthofJulyinGranburywasconsidered.OneroadwayimpactscenariowasconsideredwhereinasinglelanewasclosedonUS 377NBfromTX 144tojusteastofFM167andasinglelanewascl osedonUS 67NBfromFM205toTX 144andSomervellCR316toJohnsonCR1119.Theseclosureswereconsideredforthedurationoftheevacuation. Stagedevacuationwasconsideredforthoseregionswhereinthe2mileradiusandsectorsdownwindto5mileswereevacuated. AsperNUREG/CR 7002,thePlanningBasisforthecalculationofETEis: Arapidlyescalatingaccidentatth eCPNPPthatquicklyassumesthestatusofGeneralEmergencysuchthattheAdvisorytoEvacuatefollowsthesirenalertinatimelymanner,andnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplemented. Whileanunlikelyaccidentscenario,thisplanningbasiswillyieldETE,measuredastheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthestatedpercentageofthepopulationexitstheimpactedRegion,thatrepresent"upperbound"estimates.ThisconservativePlanningBasisisapplicableforallinitiatingevents. Iftheemer gencyoccurswhileschoolsandpreschools/daycaresareinsession,theETEstudyassumesthatthechildrenwillbeevacuatedbybusdirectlytohostschoolsorreceptioncenterslocatedoutsidetheEPZ.Parents,relatives,andneighborsareadvisedtonotpickuptheirchildrenatschoolpriortothearrivalofthebuse sdispatchedforthatpurpose.TheETEforschoolchildrenarecalculatedseparately. Evacueeswhodonothaveaccesstoaprivatevehiclewilleitherride sharewithrelatives,friendsorneighbors,orbeevacuatedbybusesprovidedasspecifiedinthecountyevacuationplans.Thoseinspecialfacilitieswilllikewisebeevacuatedwithpublictransit,asneeded:bus,van,orambulance,asrequired.SeparateETEare ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1calculatedforthetransit dependentevacuees,forhomeboundspecialneedspopulation,andforthoseevacuatedfromspecialfacilities.ComputationofETEAtotalof1,104ETEwerecomputedfortheevacuationofthegeneralpublic.EachETEquantifiestheaggregateevacuationtimeestimatedforthepopulationwithinoneofthe92EvacuationRegionstoevacuatefromthatRegion,underthecircumstancesdefinedforoneofthe12EvacuationScenarios(92x12=1,104).SeparateETEarecalculat edfortransit dependentevacuees,includingschoolchildrenforapplicablescenarios.ExceptforRegionR03,whichistheevacuationoftheentireEPZ,onlyaportionofthepeoplewithintheEPZwouldbeadvisedtoevacuate.Thatis,theAdvisorytoEvacuateappliesonlytothosepeopleoccupyingthespecifiedimpactedregion.Itisassumedthat100percentofthepeoplewithintheimpactedregionwillevacuateinresponsetothisAdvisory.ThepeopleoccupyingtheremainderoftheEPZoutsidetheimpactedregionmaybeadvisedtotakeshelter.ThecomputationofETEassumesthat20%ofthepopulationwithintheEPZbutoutsidetheimpactedregion,willel ectto"voluntarily"evacuate.Inaddition,20%ofthepopulationintheShadowRegionwillalsoelecttoevacuate.Thesevoluntaryevacueescouldimpedethosewhoareevacuatingfromwithintheimpactedregion.TheimpedancethatcouldbecausedbyvoluntaryevacueesisconsideredinthecomputationofETEfo rtheimpactedregion.Stagedevacuationisconsideredwhereinthosepeoplewithinthe2 mileregionevacuateimmediately,whilethosebeyond2miles,butwithintheEPZ,shelter in place.Once90%ofthe2 mileregionisevacuated,thosepeoplebeyond2milesbegintoevacuate.Asperfederalguidance,20%ofpeoplebeyond2mileswillev acuate(non compliance)eventhoughtheyareadvisedtoshelter in place.Thecomputationalprocedureisoutlinedasfollows: Alink noderepresentationofthehighwaynetworkiscoded.Eachlinkrepresentsaunidirectionallengthofhighway;ea chnodeusuallyrepresentsanintersectionormergepoint.Thecapacityofeachlinkisestimatedbasedonthefieldsurveyobservationsandonestablishedtrafficengineeringprocedures. Theevacuationtripsaregeneratedatlocationscalled"zonalcentroids"locatedwithintheEPZandShadowRegion.Thetripgenerationratesvaryovertimereflectingthemobilizationprocess,andfromonelocation(centroid)toanotherdependingonpopulationdensityandonwhetheracentroidiswithin,oroutside,theimpactedarea. Theevacuationmodelcomputestheroutingpatternsforevacuatingvehiclesthatarecompliantwithfederalguidelines(outboundrelativetothelocationoftheplant),thensimulatethetrafficflowmovementsoverspaceandtime.Thissimulationprocessestimatestheratethattrafficflowexitstheimpactedregion.TheETEstatisticsprovidetheelapsedtimesfor90percentand100percent,respectively,ofthepopulationwithintheimpactedregion,toevacuatefromwithintheimpactedregion.These ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1statisticsarepresentedintabularandgraphicalformats.The90 thpercentileETEhavebeenidentifiedasthevaluesthatshouldbeconsideredwhenmakingprotectiveactiondecisionsbecausethe100 thpercentileETEareprolongedbythoserelativelyfewpeoplewhotakelongertomobilize.Thisisreferredtoasthe"evacuationtail"inSection4.0ofNUREG/CR 7002.TrafficManagementThisstudyreferencesthecomprehensivetrafficmanagementplansprovidedbyHoodandSomervellCountiesandidentifiescriticalintersections.Theexistingtrafficmanagementplansareadequateandnoadditionaltrafficoraccesscontrolmeasureshavebeenidentifiedasaresultofthisstudy.SelectedResultsAcompilationofselectedinformationispresentedonthefollowingpagesintheformofFiguresandTablesextractedfromthebodyofthereport;thesearedescribedbelow. Figure6 1displaysamapoftheCPNPPEPZshowingthelayoutofthe31Zonesthatcomprise,inaggregate,theEPZ. Table3 1presentstheestimatesofpermanentresidentpopulationineachZonebasedonthe2010Censusdata. Table6 1throughTable6 6defineeachofthe92EvacuationRegionsintermsoftheirrespectivegroupsofZones. Table6 7liststheEvacuationScenarios. Tables7 1and7 2arecompilationsofETE.The sedataarethetimesneededtocleartheindicatedregionsof90and100percentofthepopulationoccupyingtheseregions,respectively.ThesecomputedETEincludeconsiderationofmobilizationtimeandofestimatedvoluntaryevacuationsfromotherregionswithintheEPZandfromtheShadowRegion. Tables7 3and7 4presentETEforthe2 mileregionforun stagedandstagedevacuationsforthe90 thand100 thpercentiles,respectively. Table8 7presentsETEfortheschoolchildreningoodweather. Table8 12presentsETEforthetransit dependentpopulationingoodweather. FigureH 8presentsanexampleofanEvacuationRegion(RegionR08)tobeevacuatedunderthecircumstancesdefinedinTable6 1throughTable6 6.Mapsofallre gionsareprovidedinAppendixH.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Conclusions GeneralpopulationETEwerecomputedfor1,104uniquecases-acombinationof92uniqueEvacuationRegionsand12uniqueEvacuationScenarios.Table7 1andTable7 2documenttheseETEforthe90 thand100 thpercentiles.TheseETErangefrom1:25(hr:min)to2:45atthe90 thpercentile.The100 thpercentileETEaredictatedbytripmobilizationofresidents,i.e.,thetimeittakestopreparetoevacuate.TheseETErangefrom4:00(hr:min)to4:10atthe100 thpercentile. InspectionofTable7 1andTable7 2indicatesthattheETEforthe100 thpercentilearesignificantlylongerthanthoseforthe90 thpercentile.Thisistheresultofthelongtripgeneration"tail".Asthesestragglersmobilize,theaggregaterateofegressslowssincemanyvehicleshavealreadylefttheEPZ.Towardstheendoftheprocess,relativelyfewevacuationroutesservicetheremainingdemand.SeeFigures7 9through7 20. InspectionofTable7 3andTable7 4indicatesthatastagedevacuat ionprovidesnobenefitstoevacueesfromwithinthe2mileregionandunnecessarilydelaystheevacuationofthosebeyond2miles(compareRegionsR64throughR78withRegionsR02andR04throughR17,respectively,forthreesectors;compareRe gionsR79throughR92withRegionsR02andR34throughR47,respectively,forfivesectors). ComparisonofScenarios3(summer,weekend,midday)and11(summer,weekend,midday)inTable7 1indicatesthatthespecialevent-FourthofJulyinGranbury-doeshaveamaterialimpactonthe90 thpercentile,withupto20minuteincreasesinETE.Theadditional3,768vehiclesintensifiestrafficcongestioninGranburyandprolongsETE.The100 thpercentileisunaffectedbytheadditionalvehiclesevacuatingfromthespecialeventasindicatedinTable7 2whencomparingScenarios3and11. ComparisonofScenarios1and12inTable7 1indicatesthattheroadwayclosure-US 377NBfromTX 144tojusteastofFM167andasinglelanewascl osedonUS 67NBfromFM205toTX 144andSomervellCR316toJohnsonCR1119-increaseETEatthe90 thpercentilebyatmost15minutes.ThelaneclosureonUS 67doesnotimpactETE;however,thelaneclosurealongUS 377compoundscongestioninGranburyandintheShadowRegiontothenortheast,prolongingETE.The100 thpercentileisunaffectedbyeitheroftheselaneclosuresasindicatedinTable7 2whencomparingScenarios1and12. GranburyandTolararethetwomostcongestedareasduringanevacuation.ThelastlocationintheEPZtoexhibittrafficcongestionisUS 377southboundinTolar;thisistheresultofaspeeddropenteringth ecitylimitsofTolar.AllcongestionwithintheEPZclearsby3hoursand20minutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.SeeSection7.3andFigures7 3through7 8. SeparateETEwerecomputedforschoolsanddaycares,daycamps,medicalfacilit ies,transit dependentpersons,homeboundspecialneedspersonsandcorrectionalfacilities.Theaveragesingle waveETEforschoolsanddaycares,daycampsandcorrectionalfacilitiesarecomparabletothe90 thpercentileforthegeneralpopulation;averagesingle waveETEfortransit dependentpersons,medicalfacilitiesandhomeboundspecialneedspersonsaregreaterthanthe90 thpercentileforthegeneral ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1population.TheaveragesinglewaveETEforhomeboundspecialneedspersonsistheonlypopulationgroupthatexceedsthe100 thpercentileforthegeneralpopulation.SeeSection8. Table8 5indicatesthatthereareenoughbusesandambulancesavailabletoevacuatethetransit dependentpopulationwithintheEPZinasinglewave;however,therearenotenoughwheelchairaccessiblevehiclestoevacuatethewheelchair boundpopulationinasinglewave.Threewavesofevacuationserviceareneededtoevacuatethewheelchairboundpopulation.Thethree waveETEforwheelchairaccessiblevehiclesexceedsthegeneralpopulationETEatboththe90 thand100 thpercentile.SeeSections8.5and8.6. ThegeneralpopulationETEatthe90 thpercentileisinsensitivetoreductionsinthebasetripgenerationtimeof4hoursduetothetrafficcongestionwithintheEPZ.CongestionwithintheEPZpersistsfor3hoursand20minutesaftertheATEandwilldictatethe100 thpercentileifresidentsmobilizebeforethiscongestionhascleared.SeeTableM 1. ThegeneralpopulationETEisrelativelyinsensitivetothevoluntaryevacuationofvehiclesintheShadowRegion(triplingtheshadowevacuationpercentageonlyincreases90 thpercentileETEby5minutes).The100 thpercentileETEisunchangedbythenumberofevacuatingshadowvehicles.SeeTableM 2. Populationchangesof25%orgreaterresultinETEchangeswhichmeettheNRCcriteriaforupdatingETEbetweendecennialCensuses.SeeSectionM.3. AsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminehowanincreaseinthenumberofevacuatingpermanentresidentvehicleswouldimpactETE.Thenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhousehold(1.29)isadaptedfromthetelephonesurvey.Thissensitivitystudyusedtheaveragenumberofvehiclesavailableperhousehold(1.95).This51%(1.95/1.29)increaseinevacuatingvehiclesincreasesthe90 thand100 thpercentileETEforthefullEPZ(Region03)by50minutesand25minutes,respectively-asignificantchange.SeeSectionM.4.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure6 1.CPNPPEPZZones ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulationZone2000Population 12007Population 12010PopulationCP2224661A6076836721B2182453371C5,0725,7066,8711D10,01711,26810,7852A3003287362B1231343642C3453774662D5756286952E5358702F1241361152G2730162H3433754312J1,1231,2281,2023A1671821343B8391833C3033315463D2572813633E951041113F2082273094A3640594B2602931044C2382681234D84951814E5155792,7474F1,2901,4511,6064G3894385234H596673GlenRose2,2652,4762,291Granbury4,3224,8622,459Tolar383431661TOTAL29,90333,43535,199EPZPopulationGrowth(2000 2010):17.71%EPZPopulationGrowth(2007 2010):5.28%12007COLAETE2000Censusextrapolatedto2007basedoncountygrowthratesobtainedfromtheStateofTexas ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR01throughR17CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR01 2MileRadius xxR02 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR03FullEPZxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxCP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR04A SxxxxxxR05BSSWxxxxxxR06C SWxxxxxxxxxR07DWSWxxxxxxx xR08E W xxxxxxR09FWNW xxxxxx xR10G NW xxxxx xR11H,JNNW,N xxxx xR12K NNE xxxx x xR13L NE xx xxxR14MENE xx xxx xR15N E xxxx xR16PESE xx x xR17Q,RSE,SSE xx x xShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionZoneEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:Zone ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 2.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-Regions18throughR33CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR18A Sxxxxxxxxxx xR19BSSWxxxxxx xxxx xR20C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxR21DWSWxxxxxxxxxx xR22E WxxxxxxxxxxR23FWNW xxxxxxxxx xR24G NW xxxxxxxx xR25HNNW xxxxxxxxx xR26J N xxxxxxxx xR27KNNE xxxxxxxxx xR28L NE xx x x x xxxxR29M ENE x xxxxxxxxxR30N E x x x xxxxxxR31PESE x xxxxxx xR32Q SE xx x x x xxxR33R SSE xx x xxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)Evacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 3.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR34throughR47CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR34A SxxxxxxxR35BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR36C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR37E Wxxxxxxxx x xR38FWNW xxxxxxx xR39G NW xxxxxx x xR40HNNW xxxxx x xR41J N xxxx x xR42K NNE xxxxxxxR43L NE xxxxxxxxR44M,NENE,E xx xxx xR45PESE x x x xxxR46Q SE x x xxxR47R SSExxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)Shelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescription ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 4.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR48throughR63CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR48A Sxxxxxx xxxxxxxxR49BSSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR50C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR51DWSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR52E Wxxxxxxxxxxxxx x xR53FWNWxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR54G NW xxxxxxxxxxxxx xR55HNNW xxxxxxxxxxx xR56J N xxxxxxxxxxx xR57KNNE xxxxxxxxxx xxxR58L NE xxxxxxxxxxxxxxR59M ENE x xxxxxxxxxxxR60N E x xxxxxxxxxx xR61PESE x x xxxxxxxxx xR62Q SE xxxxxxxxxxxxR63R SSExxxxxxxxxxxxxZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR64throughR78CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR64 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR65A SxxxxxxR66BSSWxxxxxxR67C SWxxxxxxxxxR68DWSWxxxxxxxxR69E W xxxxxxR70FWNW xxxxxx xR71G NW xxxxx xR72H,JNNW,N xxxx xR73KNNE xxxx x xR74L NE xx xxxR75M ENE xx xxx xR76N E xxxx xR77PESE xx x xR78Q,RSE,SSE xx x xDescriptionZoneStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)Shelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 6.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR79throughR92CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARN/A 5MileRadiusR79A SxxxxxxxR80BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR81C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR82E Wxxxxxxxx x xR83FWNW xxxxxxx xR84G NW xxxxxx x xR85HNNW xxxxx x xR86J N xxxx x xR87KNNE xxxxxxxR88L NE xxxxxxxxR89M,NENE,E xx xxx xR90PESE x x x xxxR91Q SE x x xxxR92R SSExxxxxxShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneRefertoRegionR64 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 7.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 1DayofWeekTimeofDayWeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone9WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone10WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone11SummerWeekendMiddayGoodFourthofJulyinGranbury12SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosureonUS 377NBandonUS 67NB1Wintermeansthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summermeansthatschoolisnotinsession.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR011:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R021:451:451:401:501:351:451:452:002:101:551:401:45R032:252:402:252:352:102:252:402:252:352:152:402:402 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R041:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R051:351:351:301:301:301:351:351:301:301:301:301:35R061:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:451:501:401:501:50R071:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:501:501:401:501:50R081:501:551:501:501:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R091:451:501:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R101:451:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R111:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R121:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R131:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R141:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R151:301:301:251:301:301:301:301:251:301:301:301:30R161:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R171:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:302 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)R182:252:352:202:352:102:252:352:152:302:102:402:35R192:202:302:202:252:102:202:302:152:252:052:352:30R202:102:102:052:052:002:102:102:052:052:002:102:10R212:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:05R222:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:05R231:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR241:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R251:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:152:001:451:50R261:451:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R271:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R281:501:501:501:551:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R291:501:551:501:501:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R301:551:551:501:501:401:551:551:501:551:451:501:55R311:552:001:501:551:451:552:001:501:551:451:501:55R322:002:001:451:501:402:002:051:451:451:401:452:00R332:252:402:202:402:052:252:302:152:252:002:352:352 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R341:351:351:301:301:301:351:351:301:301:301:301:35R351:501:501:451:451:351:501:501:451:451:351:451:50R361:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:501:501:401:501:50R371:451:451:451:451:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R381:451:451:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R391:451:451:451:501:351:451:452:052:102:001:451:45R401:451:451:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R411:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R421:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R431:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R441:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R451:301:301:251:251:251:301:351:251:251:251:251:30R461:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R471:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:302 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)R482:302:452:252:352:102:252:452:202:352:102:402:40R492:252:452:252:352:152:252:402:202:302:102:402:40 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR502:202:302:202:302:102:152:252:152:202:052:352:35R512:052:052:002:002:002:052:052:002:001:552:052:10R522:002:002:002:001:552:002:002:052:102:052:002:00R532:002:002:002:001:552:002:052:052:102:052:002:00R541:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R551:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R561:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:152:001:451:50R571:451:501:451:451:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R581:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R591:551:551:551:551:451:551:551:551:551:451:551:55R601:552:001:551:551:451:552:001:551:551:451:551:55R611:552:051:501:501:402:002:001:501:501:401:502:00R622:252:352:202:352:052:252:352:202:302:002:402:40R632:252:402:252:352:102:252:402:202:302:052:402:35StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R642:002:052:002:051:552:002:052:102:152:052:002:00R651:551:551:501:502:002:002:001:501:552:001:502:00R661:501:501:551:551:551:501:501:551:551:551:551:50R671:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R681:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R691:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R702:002:001:552:001:552:002:002:102:152:051:552:00R712:002:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:552:00R721:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R731:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R741:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R751:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R761:501:551:501:551:551:501:551:501:551:551:551:50 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR771:451:551:501:551:551:451:551:501:551:551:551:50R781:451:551:501:502:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:45StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R792:002:001:552:002:001:552:001:552:002:001:552:00R801:552:001:552:002:002:002:001:552:002:001:552:00R811:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R822:002:002:002:001:552:002:002:102:152:052:002:00R832:002:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:552:00R841:552:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:551:55R851:552:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:551:55R861:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R871:501:551:501:551:501:551:552:052:102:001:501:55R881:501:551:501:551:501:551:552:052:102:001:501:55R891:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R901:501:551:501:552:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:50R911:501:551:501:502:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:50R921:551:551:501:502:002:002:001:501:552:001:502:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R024:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R034:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:102 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R044:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R064:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R074:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R084:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R094:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R104:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R114:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R124:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R134:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R144:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R154:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R164:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R174:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:052 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)R184:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R194:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R204:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R214:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R224:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R234:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR244:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R254:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R264:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R274:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R284:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R294:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R304:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R314:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R324:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R334:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:102 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R344:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R354:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R364:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R374:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R384:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R394:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R404:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R414:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R424:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R434:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R444:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R454:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R464:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R474:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:052 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)R484:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R494:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR504:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R514:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R524:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R534:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R544:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R554:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R564:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R574:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R584:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R594:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R604:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R614:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R624:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R634:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R644:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R654:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R664:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R674:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R684:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R694:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R704:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R714:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R724:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R734:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R744:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R754:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R764:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR774:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R784:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R794:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R804:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R814:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R824:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R834:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R844:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R854:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R864:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R874:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R884:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R894:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R904:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R914:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R924:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR011:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R021:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R041:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R051:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R061:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R071:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R081:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R091:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R101:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R111:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R121:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R131:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R141:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R151:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R161:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R171:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R341:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R351:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R361:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R371:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R381:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R391:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R401:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR411:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R421:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R431:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R441:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R451:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R461:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R471:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation5 MileRegionR641:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R651:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R661:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R671:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R681:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R691:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R701:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R711:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R721:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R731:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R741:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R751:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R761:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R771:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R781:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R791:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R801:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R811:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR821:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R831:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R841:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R851:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R861:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R871:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R881:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R891:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R901:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R911:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R921:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R024:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R044:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R054:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R064:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R074:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R084:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R094:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R104:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R114:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R124:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R134:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R144:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R154:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R164:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R174:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R344:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R354:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R364:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R374:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R384:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R394:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R404:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR414:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R424:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R434:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R444:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R454:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R464:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R474:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation5 MileRegionR644:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R654:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R664:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R674:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R684:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R694:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R704:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R714:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R724:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R734:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R744:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R754:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R764:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R774:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R784:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R794:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R804:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R814:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR824:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R834:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R844:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R854:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R864:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R874:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R884:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R894:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R904:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R914:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R924:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 7.SchoolEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)HOODCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESMambrinoElementarySchool10105.040.080:30PremierHighSchool90151.913.091:55BrawnerIntermediateSchool10101.925.740:25EmmaRobersonElementarySchool10101.722.940:25TolarHighSchool90150.337.211:50TolarElementarySchool90151.023.531:50TolarJr.HighSchool90151.023.531:50Rainbow'sPromise90158.925.7212:10CrosstownPreschool90153.06.3282:15LittlePeople'sPlayhouse90150.713.431:50SOMERVELLCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESHappyHillFarmAcademy90159.740.0152:00BrazosRiverCharterSchool90153.240.051:50GlenRoseElementarySchool10109.140.0140:35GlenRoseHighSchool10108.740.0130:35GlenRoseIntermediateSchool10109.040.0140:35GlenRoseJuniorHighSchool101010.140.0150:35FirstUnitedMethodistPreschool90159.040.0142:00MaximumforEPZ:2:15AverageforEPZ:1:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table812.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoRec.Ctr(miles)TravelTimetoRec.Ctr(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)501 39010.215.041302:4523.83651066305:154 610510.216.338302:5523.83651066305:257 912010.222.827303:0023.83651066305:30511 29017.315.268303:1020.83151083305:50310517.314.472303:3020.83151083306:10412017.315.567303:4020.83151083306:20521 2906.614.228302:3019.73051053304:403 41056.622.917302:3519.73051053304:4551206.628.814302:4519.73051053304:555319014.640.022302:2513.12051063304:35210514.640.022302:4013.12051063304:50312014.640.022302:5513.12051063305:05MaximumETE:3:40MaximumETE:6:20AverageETE:2:55AverageETE:5:20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantES 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 8.RegionR08 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11 INTRODUCTIONThisreportdescribestheanalysesundertakenandtheresultsobtainedbyastudytodevelopEvacuationTimeEstimates(ETE)fortheComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant(CPNPP),locatedinSomervellCounty,Texas.ETEprovideStateandlocalgovernmentswithsite specificinformationneededforProtectiveActiondecision making.Intheperformanceofthiseffort,guidanceisprovidedbydocumentspublishedbyFederalGovernmentalagencies.Mostimportantoftheseare:* CriteriaforDevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimateStudies,NUREG/CR 7002,November2011.* CriteriaforPreparationandEvaluationofRadiologicalEmergencyResponsePlansandPreparednessinSupportofNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG0654/FEMAREP1,Rev.1,November1980.* AnalysisofTechniquesforEstimatingEvacuationTimesforEmergencyPlanningZones,NUREG/CR1745,November1980.* DevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimatesforNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG/CR 6863,January2005.Theworkeffortreportedhereinwassupportedandguidedbylocalstakeholderswhocontributedsuggestions,critiques,andthelocalknowledgebaserequired.Table1 1presentsasummaryofstakeholdersandinteractions.Table1 1.StakeholderInteractionStakeholderNatureofStakeholderInteractionLuminantGenerationCompanyemergencyplanningpersonnelMeetingstodefinedatarequirementsandsetupcontactswithlocalgovernmentagencies.Reviewandapprovalofkeyprojectassumptions.Attendedfinalmeeting.HoodandSomervellCountyEmergencyManagementOfficesMeetingtodefinedatarequirementsandsetupcontactswithlocalgovernmentagencies.Obtainlocalemergencyplans,specialfacilitydata,andtransientdata.Reviewandapprovalofkeyprojectassumptions.Attendedfinalmeeting.TexasDepartmentofEmergencyManagementMeetingtodefinedatarequirements.Attendedfinalmeeting.LocalandStatePoliceAgenciesTexasDepartmentofTransportation(TXDOT)Meetingtodefinedatarequirements.ObtainGISdata.Attendedfinalmeeting.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.1 OverviewoftheETEProcessThefollowingoutlinepresentsabriefdescriptionoftheworkeffortinchronologicalsequence:1. InformationGathering:a. DefinedthescopeofworkindiscussionswithrepresentativesfromLuminantGenerationCompany.b. AttendedaprojectkickoffmeetingwithemergencyplannersfromHoodandSomervellCountiesandtheStat eofTexastoidentifyissuestobeaddressedandresourcesavailable.c. ConductedadetailedfieldsurveyofthehighwaysystemandofareatrafficconditionswithintheEmergencyPlanningZone(EPZ)andShadowRegion.d. Obtaineddemographicdatafromthe2010Census.e. AdaptedtheresultsofarandomsampletelephonesurveyofEPZresidentsconductedin2007fo rthepreviousETEstudydoneinsupportoftheCombinedLicenseApplication(COLA)forCPNPPUnits3and4.f. Conductedadatacollectionefforttoidentifyanddescribeschools,specialfacilities,transientattractions,majoremployers,transportationproviders,andotherimportantinformation.2. EstimateddistributionsofTripGenerationtimesrepresentingthetimerequiredbyvariouspopulationgroups(permanentresidents,employees,andtransients)toprepare(mobilize)fortheevacuationtrip.Theseestimatesareprimarilybasedupontherandomsampletelephonesurvey.3. DefinedEvacuationScenarios.Thesescenariosreflectthevariationindemand,intripgenerationdistributionandinhighwaycapacities,associatedwithdiff erentseasons,dayofweek,timeofdayandweatherconditions.4. Reviewedtheexistingtrafficmanagementplantobeimplementedbylocalandstatepoliceintheeventofanincidentattheplant.Trafficcontrolisappliedatspecif iedTrafficControlPoints(TCP)locatedwithintheEPZ.5. UsedexistingZonestodefineEvacuationRegions.TheEPZispartitionedintoalongjurisdictionalandgeographicboundaries."Regions"aregroupsofcontiguousZonesforwhichETEarecalculated.TheconfigurationsoftheseRegionsreflectwinddirectionandtheradialextentoftheimpactedarea.EachRegion,otherthanthosethatapproximatecircularareas,approximatesa"key holesection"withintheEPZasrecommendedbyNUREG/CR 7002.6. Estimateddemandfortransitservicesforpersonsatspecialfacilitiesandfortransit dependentpersonsathome.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17. PreparedtheinputstreamsfortheDYNEVIIsystem.a. Estimatedtheevacuationtrafficdemand,basedontheavailableinformationderivedfromCensusdata,andfromdataprovidedbylocalandstateagencies,LuminantGenerationCompanyandfromthetelephonesurvey.b. Appliedtheproceduresspecifiedinthe2010HighwayCapa cityManual(HCM 1)tothedataacquiredduringthefieldsurvey,toestimatethecapacityofallhighwaysegmentscomprisingtheevacuationroutes.c. Developedthelink noderepresentationoftheevacuationnetwork,whichisusedasthebasisforthecomputeranalysisthatcalculatestheETE.d. CalculatedtheevacuatingtrafficdemandforeachRegionandforeachScenario.e. Specifiedselectedcand idatedestinationsforeach"origin"(locationofeach"source"whereevacuationtripsaregeneratedoverthemobilizationtime)tosupportevacuationtravelconsistentwithoutboundmovementrelativetothelocationoftheCPNPP.8. ExecutedtheDYNEVIImodeltodetermineoptimalevacuat ionroutingandcomputeETEforallresidents,transientsandemployees("generalpopulation")withaccesstoprivatevehicles.GeneratedacompletesetofETEforallspecifiedRegionsandScenarios.9. DocumentedETEinformatsinaccordancewithNUREG/CR 7002.10. CalculatedtheETEforalltransitactivitiesincludingthoseforspecialfacilities(schools,medicalfacilities,etc.),forthetransit dependentpopulationandforhomeboundspecialneedspopulation.1.2 TheComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantLocationTheCPNPPislocatedalongtheshoresoftheSquawCreekReservoirinSomervellCounty,Texas.Thesiteisapproximately40milessouthwestofFortWorth,TX.TheEPZconsistsofpartsofSomervellandHoodCountiesinTexas.Figure1 1displaystheareasurroundingtheCPNPP.ThismapshowsthelocationoftheplantandEPZre lativetoFortWorth,andidentifiesthecommunitiesintheareaandthemajorroads.1HighwayCapacityManual(HCM2010),TransportationResearchBoard,NationalResearchCouncil,2010.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure1 1.CPNPPLocation ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.3 PreliminaryActivitiesTheseactivitiesaredescribedbelow.FieldSurveysoftheHighwayNetworkKLDpersonneldrovetheentirehighwaysystemwithintheEPZandtheShadowRegionwhichconsistsoftheareabetweentheEPZboundaryandapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant.Thecharacteristicsofeachsectionofhighwaywererecorded.ThesecharacteristicsareshowninTable1 2:Table1 2.HighwayCharacteristics Numberoflanes Postedspeed Lanewidth Actualfreespeed Shouldertype&width Abuttinglanduse Interchangegeometries Controldevices Lanechannelization&queuingcapacity(includingturnbays/lanes) Intersectionconfiguration(includingroundaboutswhereapplicable) Geometrics:curves,grades(>4%) Trafficsignaltype Unusualcharacteristics:Narrowbridges,sharpcurves,poorpavement,floodwarningsigns,inadequatedelineations,tollbooths,etc.Videoandaudiorecordingequipmentwereusedtocaptureapermanentrecordofthehighwayinfrastructure.Noattemptwasmadetometiculouslymeasuresuchattributesaslanewidthandshoulderwidth;estimatesofthesemeasuresbasedonvisualobservationandrecordedimageswereconsideredappropriateforthepurposeofestimatingthecapacityofhighwaysections.Forexample,Exhibit15 7intheHCMindicatesthatareductioninlanewidthfrom12feet(the"base"value)to10feetcanreducefreeflowspeed(FFS)by1.1mph-notamaterialdifference-fortwo lanehighways.Exhibit15 30intheHCMshowslittlesensitivityfortheestimatesofServiceVolumesatLevelofService(LOS)E(nearcapacity),withrespecttoFFS,fortwo lanehighways.Thedatafromtheaudioandvideorecordingswereusedtocreatedetailedgeographicalinformationsystems(GIS)shapefilesanddatabasesoftheroadwaycharacteristicsandofthetrafficcontroldevicesobservedduringtheroadsurvey;thisinformationwasreferencedwhilepreparingtheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIISystem.Asdocumentedonpage15 5oftheHCM2010,thecapacityofatwo lanehighwayis1,700passengercarsperhourinonedirection.Forfreewa ysections,avalueof2,250vehiclesperhourperlaneisassigned,asperExhibit11 17oftheHCM2010.Theroadsurveyhasidentifiedseveralsegmentswhicharecharacterizedbyadversegeometricsontwo lanehighwayswhicharereflectedinreducedvaluesforbothcapacityandspeed.TheseestimatesareconsistentwiththeservicevolumesforLOSEpresentedinHCMExhibit15 30.Theselinksmaybe ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1identifiedbyreviewingAppendixK.LinkcapacityisaninputtoDYNEVIIwhichcomputestheETE.FurtherdiscussionofroadwaycapacityisprovidedinSection4ofthisreport.Trafficsignalsareeitherpre timed(signaltimingsarefixedovertimeanddonotchangewiththetrafficvolumeoncompetingapproaches),orareactuated(signaltimingsvaryovertimebasedonthechangingtrafficvolumesoncompetingap proaches).Actuatedsignalsrequiredetectorstoprovidethetrafficdatausedbythesignalcontrollertoadjustthesignaltimings.Thesedetectorsaretypicallymagneticloopsintheroadway,orvideocamerasmountedonthesignalmastsandpointedtowardtheinters ectionapproaches.Ifdetectorswereobservedontheapproachestoasignalizedintersectionduringtheroadsurvey,detailedsignaltimingswerenotcollectedasthetimingsvarywithtrafficvolume.TCPsatlocationswhichhavecontroldevicesarerepresentedasactuatedsignalsintheDYNEVIIsystem.Ifnodetectorswereob served,thesignalcontrolattheintersectionwasconsideredpre timed,anddetailedsignaltimingsweregatheredforseveralsignalcycles.ThesesignaltimingswereinputtotheDYNEVIIsystemusedtocomputeETE,asperNUREG/CR 7002guidance.Figure1 2presentsth elink nodeanalysisnetworkthatwasconstructedtomodeltheevacuationroadwaynetworkintheEPZandShadowRegion.ThedirectionalarrowsonthelinksandthenodenumbershavebeenremovedfromFigure1 2toclarifythefigure.ThedetailedfiguresprovidedinAppendixKdepicttheanal ysisnetworkwithdirectionalarrowsshownandnodenumbersprovided.Theobservationsmadeduringthefieldsurveywereusedtocalibratetheanalysisnetwork.TelephoneSurveyAsdiscussedabove,atelephonesurveywasundertakenduringthe2007COLAETEstudytogathernecessarydemographicinformation.AppendixFpresentsthesurveyinstrument,theproceduresusedandtabulationsofdatacompiledfromthesurveyreturns.Thesedatawereutilizedtodevelopestimatesofvehicleoccupancytoestimatethenumberofevacuatingvehiclesduringanevacuationandtoestimateelementsofthemobilizationprocess.Thisdatabasewasalsoreferencedtoestimatethenumberoftransit dependentresidents.ComputingtheEvacuationTimeEstimatesTheoverallstudyprocedureisoutlinedinAppendixD.Demographicdatawereobtainedfromseveralsources,asdetailedlaterinthisreport.Thesedatawereanalyzedandconvertedintovehicledemanddata.Thevehicledemandwasloadedontoappropriate"source"linksoftheanalysisnetworkusingGISmappingsoftware.TheDYNEVIIsystemwasthenusedtocomput eETEforallRegionsandScenarios.AnalyticalToolsTheDYNEVIISystemthatwasemployedforthisstudyiscomprisedofseveralintegratedcomputermodels.OneoftheseistheDYNEV(DYnamicNetworkEVacuation)macroscopicsimulationmodel,anewversionoftheIDYNEVmodelthatwasdevelopedbyKLDundercontractwiththeFederalEmergencyManagementAgency(FEMA).
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure1 2.CPNPPLink NodeAnalysisNetwork ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DYNEVIIconsistsoffoursub models: Amacroscopictrafficsimulationmodel(fordetails,seeAppendixC). ATripDistribution(TD),modelthatassignsasetofcandidatedestination(D)nodesforeach"origin"(O)locatedwithintheanalysisnetwork,whereevacuationtripsare"generated"overtime.ThisestablishesasetofO Dtables. ADynamicTrafficAssignment(DT A),modelwhichassignstripstopathsoftravel(routes)whichsatisfytheO Dtables,overtime.TheTDandDTAmodelsareintegratedtoformtheDTRAD(DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistribution)model,asdescribedinAppendixB. AMyopicTrafficDiversionmodelwh ichdivertstraffictoavoidintense,localcongestion,ifpossible.AnothersoftwareproductdevelopedbyKLD,namedUNITES(UNIfiedTransportationEngineeringSystem)wasusedtoexpeditedataentryandtoautomatetheproductionofoutputtables.Thedynamicsoftrafficflowoverthenetworkaregraphicallyanimatedusingthesoftwareproduct,EVAN(EVacuationANimator),developedbyKLD.EVANisGISbased,anddisplaysstatisticssuchasLOS,vehiclesdischarged,averagespeed,andpercentofvehiclesevacuated,outputbytheDYNEVIISystem.TheuseofaGISframeworkenablestheusertozoominonareasofcongestionandqueryroadname,townnameandothergeographicalinformation.TheprocedureforapplyingtheDYNEVIISystemwithintheframeworkofdevelopingETEisoutlinedinAppendixD.AppendixAisaglossaryofterms.Forthereaderinterestedinanevaluationoftheoriginalmodel,I DYNEV,thefollowingreferencesaresuggested: NUREG/CR 4873-BenchmarkStudyoftheI DYNEVEvacuationTimeEstimateComputerCode NUREG/CR 4874-TheSensitivityofEvacuati onTimeEstimatestoChangesinInputParametersfortheI DYNEVComputerCodeTheevacuationanalysisproceduresarebasedupontheneedto: RoutetrafficalongpathsoftravelthatwillexpeditetheirtravelfromtheirrespectivepointsoforigintopointsoutsidetheEPZ. Restrictmovementtowardtheplanttotheextentpracticable,anddispersetrafficdemandsoastoavoidfocusingdemandonalimitednumberofhighways. Movetrafficindirectionsthataregenerallyoutbound,relativetothelocationoftheCPNPP.DYNEVIIprovidesadetaileddescriptionoftrafficoperationsontheevacuationnetwork.Thisdescriptionenablestheanalysttoidentifybottlenecksandtodevelopcountermeasuresthataredesignedtorepresentthebehavioralresponsesofevacuees.Theeffectsofthesecountermeasuresmaythenbetestedwiththemodel.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.4 ComparisonwithPriorETEStudyTable1 3presentsacomparisonofthepresentETEstudywiththe2007COLAETEstudythatwasalsocompletedbyKLD.The90 thpercentileETEincreasedby15minutes,whichistheresultofthe5%growthinpermanentresidentpopulationcoupledwiththe31%growthintransientpopulation.Table1 3.ETEStudyComparisonsTopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudyResidentPopulationBasisArcViewGISSoftwareusing2000USCensusblocksandarearatiomethod.Populationextrapolatedto2007usingblockspecificpopulationgrowthrates.2007EPZPopulation=33,435ArcGISSoftwareusing2010USCensusblocks;arearatiomethodused.Population=35,199ResidentPopulationVehicleOccupancy2.21persons/household,1.29evacuatingvehicles/householdyielding:1.71persons/evacuatingvehicle.2.21persons/household,1.29evacuatingvehicles/householdyielding:1.71persons/evacuatingvehicle.EmployeePopulationEmployeeandtransientestimatesbasedoninformationprovidedbythecounties.1.02employees/vehiclebasedonphonesurveyresults.Employees=1,409EmployeeestimatesbasedoninformationprovidedaboutmajoremployersinEPZ.1.02employeespervehiclebasedontelephonesurveyresults.Employees=1,382TransitDependentPopulationDefinedashouseholdswith0vehicles+householdswith1vehiclewithcommuterswhodonotreturnhome+householdswith2vehicleswithcommuterswhodonotreturnhome.Telephonesurveyresultsusedtoestimatetransitdependentpopulation.Atotalof593peoplewhodonothaveaccesstoavehicle,requiring20busestoevacuate.EstimatesbaseduponU.S.Censusdataandtheresultsofthetelephonesurvey.Atotalof627peoplewhodonothaveaccesstoavehicle,requiring21busestoevacuate.Anadditional80homeboundspecialneedspersonsneededspecialtransportationtoevacuate(44requireabus,36requireawheelchairaccessiblevehicle).TransientPopulationTransientestimatesbasedoninformationfromcounty,phonecallstolocalfacilities,andinternetsearches.Transientvehicleoccupancyvaries.Transients=13,541TransientestimatesbaseduponinformationprovidedabouttransientattractionsinEPZ.Transients=17,787 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudySpecialFacilitiesPopulationSpecialfacilitypopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Currentcensus=729BusesRequired=20WheelchairBusesRequired=18WheelchairVansRequired=7AmbulancesRequired=30SpecialfacilitypopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Currentcens us=891BusesRequired=15MinibusesRequired=61WheelchairBusesRequired=4WheelchairVansRequired=1AmbulancesRequired=5SchoolPopulationSchoolpopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Schoolenrollment=4,681BusRunsRequired=87SchoolpopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Schoolenrollment=4,171Busesrequired=79Daycarepopulation=217Busesrequired=5VoluntaryevacuationfromwithinEPZinareasoutsideregiontobeevacuated50percentofpopulationwithinthecircularportionoftheregion;35percent,inannularringbetweenthecircleandtheEPZboundary(SeeFigure2 1ofRev.3of2007COLA).20percentofthepopulationwithintheEPZ,butnotwithinth eEvacuationRegion(seeFigure2 1)ShadowEvacuation30percentofpeopleoutsideoftheEPZwithintheShadowRegion20percentofpeopleoutsideoftheEPZwithintheShadowRegion(seeFigure7 2)NetworkSize1,079Links;748Nodes.1,308links;876nodesRoadwayGeometricDataFieldsurveysconductedin2007.Majorintersectionswerevideoarchived.Signallocationsandroadwaycharacteristicsrecorded.Roadcapacitiesbasedon2000HCM.FieldsurveysconductedinApril2012.Roadsandintersectionswerevideoarchived.Roadcapacitiesbasedon2010HCM.SchoolEvacuationDirectevacuationtodesignatedHostSchool/ReceptionCenter.ReceptionCenterfirstformonitoring,thentoaHostSchool.Ridesharing50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillrideoutwithaneighboroffriend.50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillevacuatewithaneighbororfriend.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant1 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudyTripGenerationforEvacuationBasedonresidentialtelephonesurveyofspecificpre tripmobilizationactivities:Residentswithcommutersreturningleavebetween15and240minutes.Residentswithoutcommutersreturningleavebetween15and180minutes.Employeesandtransientsleavebetween15and120minutes.AlltimesmeasuredfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Basedonresi dentialtelephonesurveyofspecificpre tripmobilizationactivities:Residentswithcommutersreturningleavebetween30and240minutes.Residentswithoutcommutersreturningleavebetween15and180minutes.Employeesandtransientsleavebetween15and105minutes.AlltimesmeasuredfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.WeatherNormalorRain.Thecapacityandfreeflowspeedofalllinksinthenetworkarereducedby10%intheeventofrain.NormalorRain.Thecapacityandfreeflowspeedofalllinksinthenetworkarereducedby10%intheeventofrain.ModelingIDYNEVSystem:TRADandPC DYNEV.DYNEVIISystem-Version4.0.13.0SpecialEventsThreeconsidered-ConstructionofnewunitatCPNPPsite,majoreventattheTexasAmphitheatreandtheFourthofJulyCelebrationinGranbury.4 thofJulyinGranburySpecialEventPopulation=11,303additionaltransientsEvacuationCases63Regions(centralsectorwinddirectionandadjacentsector(s)techniqueused)and13Scenariosproducing819uniquecases.92Regions(centralsectorwinddirectionandeachadjacentsectortechniqueused)and12Scenariosproducing1,104uniquecases.EvacuationTimeEstimatesReportingETEreportedfor50 th ,90 th ,95 th ,and100 thpercentilepopulation.ResultspresentedbyRegionandScenario.ETEreportedfor90 thand100 thpercentilepopulation.ResultspresentedbyRegionandScenario.EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortheentireEPZSummerWeekday,Midday,Goodweather:100 thpercentile=4:2090 thpercentile=2:10SummerWeekday,Midday,Goodweather:100 thpercentile=4:1090 thpercentile=2:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12 STUDYESTIMATESANDASSUMPTIONSThissectionpresentstheestimatesandassumptionsutilizedinthedevelopmentoftheevacuationtimeestimates.2.1 DataEstimates1. PopulationestimatesarebaseduponCensus2010data.2. EstimatesofemployeeswhoresideoutsidetheEPZandcommutetoworkwithintheEPZarebasedupondataobtainedfromlocal/stateemergencymanagementagencies.3. Populationestimatesatspecialfacilitiesarebasedonavailabledatafromcountyemergencymanagementagencies.4. RoadwaycapacityestimatesarebasedonfieldsurveysandtheapplicationoftheHighwayCapacityManual2010.5. Populationmobilizationtimesarebasedonastatisticalanal ysisofdataacquiredfromarandomsampletelephonesurveyofEPZresidents(seeSection5andAppendixF).6. Therelationshipbetweenresidentpopulationandevacuatingvehiclesisdevelopedfromthetelephonesurvey.Averagevaluesof2.21personsperhouseholdand1.29evacuatingvehiclesperhouseholdareused.Therelationshipbetweenpersonsandvehiclesfortransientsandemployeesisasfollows:a. Employees:1.02employeespervehicle(telephonesurveyresults)forallmajoremployers.b. Campgrounds:Vehicleoccupancyvariesbasedupondataprovidedbycountyemergencymanagementagencies.c. Parks:Vehicleoccupancyvariesbasedupondataprovidedbycountyemergencymanagemen tagencies.d. SomervellCountyExpoCenterandTexasAmphitheatre:Vehicleoccupancyfromthepreviousstudy(2007Rev.3)basedondiscussionswithrepresentativesforthesefacilitieswasapplied.Valuesof2.9and3.2transientspervehiclewereapplied,respectively.e. GolfCoursesandMarinas:Vehicleoccupancyvariesbasedupondataprovidedbycountyemergencymanagementagenci es.SeeAppendixE.f. SpecialEvent:DataprovidedbytheGranburyChamberofCommerceindicatedthattransientsattendingFourthofJulyinGranburyhaveavehicleoccupancyof3personspervehicle.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12.2 StudyMethodologicalAssumptions1. ETEarepresentedfortheevacuationofthe90 thand100 thpercentilesofpopulationforeachRegionandforeachScenario.ThepercentileETEisdefinedastheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateissuedtoaspecificRegionoftheEPZ,tothetimethatRegionisclearoftheindicatedpercentileofevacuees.ARegionisdefinedasagroupofZonesthatisissuedanAdvisorytoEvacuate.Ascenarioisacombinationofcircumstances,includingtimeofday,dayofweek,season,andweatherconditions.2. TheETEarecomputedandpresentedintabularformatandgraphically,inaformatcompliantwithNUREG/CR 7002.3. Evacuationmovements(pathsoftravel)aregenerallyoutboundrelativetotheplanttotheextentpermittedbythehighwaynetwork.Allmajorevacuationroutesareusedintheanalysis.4. Regionsaredefinedbytheunderlying"keyhole"orcircularconfigurationsasspecifiedinSection1.4ofNUREG/CR 7002.Th eseRegions,asdefined,displayirregularboundariesreflectingthegeographyoftheZonesincludedwithintheseunderlyingconfigurations.5. AsindicatedinFigure2 2ofNUREG/CR 7002,100%ofpeoplewithintheimpacted"keyhole"evacuate.Twentypercent(20%)ofthosepeoplewithintheEPZ,notwithintheimpactedkeyhole,willvoluntarilyevacuate.Twentypercent(20%)ofthosepeoplewithintheShadowRegionwillvoluntarilyevacuate.SeeFigure2 1foragraphicalrepresentationoftheseevacuationpercentages.SensitivitystudiesexploretheeffectonETEofincreasingthepercentageofvoluntaryevacueesintheShadowRegion(seeAppendixM).6. Atotalof12"Scenarios"representingdifferenttemporalvariations(season,timeofday,dayofweek)andweatherco nditionsareconsidered.TheseScenariosareoutlinedinTable2 1.7. Scenario12considerstheclosureofasinglelaneonUS 377NBfromTX 144tojusteastofFM167andasinglelaneonUS 67NBfromFM205toTX 144andSomervellCR316toJohnsonCR1119.8. ThemodelsoftheI DYNEVSystemwererecognizedasstateoftheartbytheAtomicSafety&LicensingBoard(ASLB)inpasthearings.(Sources:AtomicSafety&LicensingBoardHearingsonSeabrookandShoreham;Urbanik 1).ThemodelshavecontinuouslybeenrefinedandextendedsincethosehearingsandwereindependentlyvalidatedbyaconsultantretainedbytheNRC.ThenewDYNEVIImodelincorporatesthelatesttechnologyintrafficsimulationandindynamictrafficassignment.TheDYNEVIISystemisusedtocomputeETEinthisstudy.1Urbanik,T.,et.al.BenchmarkStudyoftheIDYNEVEvacuationTimeEstimateComputerCode,NUREG/CR4873,NuclearRegulatoryCommission,June,1988.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table2 1.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 2DayofWeekTimeofDayWeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone9WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone10WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone11SummerWeekendMiddayGoodFourthofJulyinGranbury12SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosureonUS 377NBandonUS 67NB2Wintermeansthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summermeansthatschoolisnotinsession.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure2 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12.3 StudyAssumptions1. ThePlanningBasisAssumptionforthecalculationofETEisarapidlyescalatingaccidentthatrequiresevacuation,andincludesthefollowing:a. TheAdvisorytoEvacuatewillbeannouncedinatimelymanner,followingthesirenalert.b. Mobilizationofthegeneralpopulationwillcommencewithin15minutesaftersirennotification.c. ETEaremeasuredrelativetotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.2. ItisassumedthateveryonewithinthegroupofZonesformingaRegionthatisissuedanAdvisorytoEvacuatewill,infact,respondandevacuateingeneralaccordwiththeplannedroutes.3. 40percentofthehouseholdsintheEPZhaveatleast1co mmuter;45percentofthosehouseholdswithcommuterswillawaitthereturnofacommuterbeforebeginningtheirevacuationtrip,basedonthetelephonesurveyresults.Therefore18percent(40%x45%=18%)ofEPZhouseholdswillawaitthereturnofacommuter,priortobeginningtheirevacuationtrip.4. TheETEwillalsoincludeconsiderationof"through"(External External)tripsduringthetimethatsuchtrafficispermittedtoentertheevacuatedRegion."Normal"trafficflowisassumedtobepresentwithintheEPZatthestartoftheemergen cy.5. AccessControlPoints(ACP)willbestaffedwithinapproximately120minutesfollowingthesirennotifications,todiverttrafficattemptingtoentertheEPZ.EarlieractivationofACPlocationscoulddelayreturningcommuters.ItisassumedthatnothroughtrafficwillentertheEPZafterthis120minutetimeperiod.6. TrafficControlPoints(TCP)withintheEPZwillbestaffedovertime,beginningattheAdvisorytoEvacuate.TheirnumberandlocationwilldependontheRegiontobeevacuatedandresourcesavailable.TheobjectivesoftheseTCPare:a. Facilitatethemovementsofall(mostlyevacuating)vehiclesatthelocation.b. Discourageinadvertentvehiclemovementstowardstheplant.c. Provideassuranceandguidancetoanytrav elerwhoisunsureoftheappropriateactionsorrouting.d. Actaslocalsurveillanceandcommunicationscenter.e. Provideinformationtotheemergencyoperationscenter(EOC)asneeded,basedondirectobservationoroninformationprovidedbytravelers.IncalculatingETE,itisassumedthatevacueeswilldrivesafely,travelindirectionsidentifiedintheplan,andobeyallcontroldevicesandtrafficguides.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17. Buseswillbeusedtotransportthosewithoutaccesstoprivatevehicles:a. Ifschoolsareinsession,transport(buses)willevacuatestudentstoareceptioncenterfirstformonitoring,thentoahostschoolastheirfinaldestination.b. Itisassumedthatdaycaresforwhichthecountiesprovidetransportationassistancew illevacuatetotheirrespectivereceptioncenter.Parentswillpickuptheirchildrenatallotherdaycarespriortoevacuating.c. Buses,minibuses,wheelchairbuses,wheelchairvansandambulanceswillevacuatepatientsatmedicalfacilitiesandatanyseniorfacilitieswithintheEPZ,asneeded.d. Transit dependentgeneralpopulationwillbeevacuatedtoreceptioncenters.e. Schoolchildren,ifschoolisinsession,aregivenpriorityinassignin gtransitvehicles.f. BusmobilizationtimeisconsideredinETEcalculations.g. Analysisofthenumberofrequiredround trips("waves")ofevacuatingtransitvehiclesispresented.h. Transportoftransit dependentev acueesfromreceptioncenterstocongregatecarecentersisnotconsideredinthisstudy.8. Provisionsaremadeforevacuatingthetransit dependentportionofthegeneralpopulationtoreceptioncentersbybus,basedontheassumptionthatsomeofthesepeoplewillride sharewithfamily,neighbors,andfriends,thusreducingthedemandforbuses.Weassumethatthepercentageofpeoplewhorideshareis50percent.Thisassumptionisbaseduponreportedexperienceforotheremergencies 3 ,andonguidanceinSection2.2ofNUREG/CR 7002.9. Onetypeofadverseweatherscenariosisconsidered.Rainmayoccurforeitherwinterorsummerscenarios.Itisassumedthattherainbeginsearlierorataboutthesametimetheevacuationadvisoryisissued.Noweather relatedreductioninthenumberoftransientswhomaybepresentinth eEPZisassumed.Adverseweatherscenariosaffectroadwaycapacityandthefreeflowhighwayspeeds.ThefactorsappliedfortheETEstudyarebasedonrecentresearchontheeffectsofweatheronroadwayoperations 4;thefactorsareshowninTable2 2.
3InstituteforEnvironmentalStudies,UniversityofToronto,THEMISSISSAUGAEVACUATIONFINALREPORT,June1981.Thereportindicatesthat6,600peopleofatransitdependentpopulationof8,600peoplesharedrideswithotherresidents;aridesharerateof76%(Page510).4Agarwal,M.et.al.ImpactsofWeatheronUrbanFreewayTrafficFlowCharacteristicsandFacilityCapacity,Proceedingsofthe2005Mid ContinentTransportationResearchSymposium,August,2005.TheresultsofthispaperareincludedasExhibit10 15intheHCM2010.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant2 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.110. Schoolbusesusedtotransportstudentsareassumedtotransport65studentsperbusforelementaryschoolsand50studentsperbusformiddleandhighschools,basedondiscussionswithcountyofficesofemergencymanagement.Transitbusesusedtotransportthetransit dependentgeneralpopulationareassumedtotransport30peopleperbus.Table2 2.ModelAdjustmentforAdverseWeatherScenarioHighwayCapacity*FreeFlowSpeed*MobilizationTimeforGeneralPopulationRain90%90%NoEffect*Adverseweathercapacityandspeedvaluesaregivenasapercentageofgoodweatherconditions.Roadsareassumedtobepassable.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13 DEMANDESTIMATIONTheestimatesofdemand,expressedintermsofpeopleandvehicles,constituteacriticalelementindevelopinganevacuationplan.Theseestimatesconsistofthreecomponents:1. AnestimateofpopulationwithintheEPZ,stratifiedintogroups(resident,employee,transient).2. Anestimate,foreachpopulationgroup,ofmeanoccupancyperevacuatingvehicle.Thisestimateisusedtodeterminethenumberofevacuatingvehicles.3. Anestimateofpotentialdouble countingofvehicles.AppendixEpresentsmuchofthesourcematerialforthepopulationestimates.Ourprimarysourceofpopulationdata,the2010Census,however,isnotadequatefordirectlyestimatingsometransientgroups.Throughouttheyear,v acationersandtouristsentertheEPZ.Thesenon residentsmaydwellwithintheEPZforashortperiod(e.g.afewdaysoroneortwoweeks),ormayenterandleavewithinoneday.Estimatesofthesizeofthesepopulationcomponentsmustbeobtained,sothattheassociatednumberofevacuatingvehiclescanbeas certained.Thepotentialfordouble countingpeopleandvehiclesmustbeaddressed.Forexample: AresidentwhoworksandshopswithintheEPZcouldbecountedasaresident,againasanemployeeandonceagainasashopper. Avisitorwhostaysatahotelandspendstimeatapark,the ngoesshoppingcouldbecountedthreetimes.Furthermore,thenumberofvehiclesatalocationdependsontimeofday.Forexample,motelparkinglotsmaybefullatdawnandemptyatnoon.Similarly,parkinglotsatareaparks,whicharefullatnoon,maybealmostem ptyatdawn.EstimatingcountsofvehiclesbysimplyaddingupthecapacitiesofdifferenttypesofparkingfacilitieswilltendtooverestimatethenumberoftransientsandcanleadtoETEthataretooconservative.AnalysisofthepopulationcharacteristicsoftheCPNPPEPZindicatestheneedtoidentifythreedistinctgroups: PermanentresidentspeoplewhoareyearroundresidentsoftheEPZ. TransientspeoplewhoresideoutsideoftheEPZwhoentertheareaforaspecificpurpose(shopping,recreation)andthenleavethearea. EmployeespeoplewhoresideoutsideoftheEPZandcommutetobusinesseswithintheEPZonadailybasis.EstimatesofthepopulationandnumberofevacuatingvehiclesforeachofthepopulationgroupsarepresentedforeachZoneandbypolarcoordinaterepresentation(populationrose).TheCPNPPEPZissubdividedinto31Zones.Th eEPZisshowninFigure3 1.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.1 PermanentResidentsTheprimarysourceforestimatingpermanentpopulationisthelatestU.S.Censusdata.Theaveragehouseholdsize(2.21persons/household-SeeFigureF 1)andthenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhousehold(1.29vehicles/household-SeeFigureF 7)wereadaptedfromthetelephonesurveyresults.PopulationestimatesarebaseduponCensus2010data.TheestimatesarecreatedbycuttingthecensusblockpolygonsbytheZoneandEPZboundaries.Aratiooftheoriginalareaofeachcensusblockandtheupdatedarea(aftercutting)ismultipliedbythetotalblockpopulationtoestimatewhatthepopulationiswithintheEPZ.Thismethodologyassumesthatthepopulationisevenlydistributedacrossacensusblock.Table3 1providesthepermanentresidentpopulationwithintheEPZ,byZonebasedonthismethodology.Theyear2010permanentresidentpopulationisdividedbytheaveragehouseholdsizeandthenmultipliedbytheaveragenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhouseholdinordertoestimatenumberofvehicles.PermanentresidentpopulationandvehicleestimatesarepresentedinTable3 2.Figure3 2andFigure3 3presentthepermanentresidentpopulationandpermanentresidentvehicleestimatesbysectoranddistancefromCPNPP.This"rose"wasconstructedusingGISsoftware.Itcanbeargue dthatthisestimateofpermanentresidentsoverstates,somewhat,thenumberofevacuatingvehicles,especiallyduringthesummer.Itiscertainlyreasonabletoassertthatsomeportionofthepopulationwouldbeonvacationduringthesummerandwouldtravelelsewhere.Aroughestimateofthisreductionca nbeobtainedasfollows: Assume50percentofallhouseholdsvacationforatwoweekperiodoverthesummer. Assumethesevacations,inaggregate,areuniformlydispersedover10weeks,i.e.10percentofthepopulationisonvacationduringeachtwo weekinterval. Assumehalfofthesevacationersleavethearea.Onthisbasi s,thepermanentresidentpopulationwouldbereducedby5percentinthesummerandbyalesseramountintheoffseason.Giventheuncertaintyinthisestimate,weelectedtoapplynoreductionsinpermanentresidentpopulationforthesummerscenariostoaccountfo rresidentswhomaybeoutofthearea.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 1.CPNPPEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulationZone2000Population 12007Population 12010PopulationCP2224661A6076836721B2182453371C5,0725,7066,8711D10,01711,26810,7852A3003287362B1231343642C3453774662D5756286952E5358702F1241361152G2730162H3433754312J1,1231,2281,2023A1671821343B8391833C3033315463D2572813633E951041113F2082273094A3640594B2602931044C2382681234D84951814E5155792,7474F1,2901,4511,6064G3894385234H596673GlenRose2,2652,4762,291Granbury 24,3224,8622,459Tolar383431661TOTAL29,90333,43535,199EPZPopulationGrowth(2000 2010):17.71%EPZPopulationGrowth(2007 2010):5.28%12007COLAETE2000Censusextrapolatedto2007basedoncountygrowthratesobtainedfromtheStateofTexas2 ZoneboundaryforGranburyasprovidedbyHoodCountyGISistheareaboundedbyUS377andUS377Business.PreviousZoneboundariesincludedpopulationnorthofUS 377BusinessandcitylimitsofGranbury.ThisresultsinthesizeabledifferencebetweenCensusyears.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationandVehiclesbyZoneZone2010Population2010ResidentVehiclesCP66421A6723931B3371971C6,8714,0121D10,7856,2992A7364282B3642122C4662722D6954062E70402F115672G16102H4312532J1,2027023A134793B83493C5463153D3632123E111673F3091814A59344B104614C123734D1811054E2,7471,6064F1,6069404G5233054H7342GlenRose2,2911,344Granbury2,4591,438Tolar661383TOTAL35,19920,567 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 3.PermanentResidentVehiclesbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.2 ShadowPopulationAportionofthepopulationlivingoutsidetheevacuationareaextendingto15milesradiallyfromtheCPNPP(intheShadowRegion)mayelecttoevacuatewithouthavingbeeninstructedtodoso.BaseduponNUREG/CR 7002guidance,itisassumedthat20percentofthepermanentresidentpopulation,basedonU.S.CensusBureaudata,inthisShadowRegionwillelecttoevacuate.Shadowpopulationcharacteristics(householdsize,evacuatingvehiclesperhousehold,mobilizationtime)areassumedtobethesameasthatfortheEPZpermanentresidentpopulation.Table3 3,Figure3 4,andFigure3 5presentestimatesoftheshadowpopulationandvehicles,bysector.Table3 3.ShadowPopulationandVehiclesbySectorSectorPopulationEvacuatingVehiclesN8,5364,984NNE7,5764,430NE1,296760ENE8651E506296ESE16698SE179105SSE240140S13680SSW10463SW13377WSW10463W358210WNW493288NW322189NNW2,6891,571TOTAL22,92413,405 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 4.ShadowPopulationbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 5.ShadowVehiclesbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.3 TransientPopulationTransientpopulationgroupsaredefinedasthosepeople(whoarenotpermanentresidents,norcommutingemployees)whoentertheEPZforaspecificpurpose(e.g.shopping,recreation).Transientsmayspendlessthanonedayorstayovernightatcampingfacilities,hotelsandmotels.TheCPNPPEPZhasanumberofareasandfacilitiesthatattracttransients,including: Campgrounds Parks GolfCoursesandMarinas SomervellCountyExpoCenterandTexasAmphitheatre Lodgingfacilities MajorretailfacilitiesDataprovidedbyHoodCountyforcampgroundsandRVparkswithintheEPZincludedth enumberofcampsites,peakoccupancy,andthenumberofvehiclesandpeoplepercampsiteforeachfacilit y.DataprovidedbySomervellCountyincludedthemaximumnumberofpeopleandvehiclesthateachfacilitycanholdaswellastheaveragenumberofindividualsvisitingeachfacility.BasedupondiscussionswithLuminant,theaveragevalueswereusedtoestimatethenumberoftransientsandevacuatingvehiclesateachofthesefacilities.Atotalof1,555transientsand817vehiclesareassignedtocampgroundsandRVParks.SeeTableE 6ofAppendixEforabreakdownoffacilities.Someofthecampingfacilitieshave1 2weeklongsummercamps.Individualsattendingthesecampsareeitherdroppedoffbyparentsorbussedtoth efacility.TheETEforcampsiscomputedseparatelyinSection8,sincethechildrenatthesecampsaretransitdependents.DataprovidedbyBrazosRiverAuthorityincludedthenumberoftransientsvisitingvariousparkslocatedonLakeGranburywithintheHoodCountyportionoftheEPZ.DataprovidedbySomervellCountyincludedthemaximumnumberofpeopleandvehiclesthateachfacilitycanholdaswellastheaveragenumberofindividualsvisitingeachfacility.BasedupondiscussionswithLuminant,theaveragevalueswereusedtoestimatethenumberoftransientsandevacuatingvehiclesateachofthesefacilities.Atotalof1,884transientsand817vehiclesareassignedtoparks.SeeTableE 7ofAppendixEforabreakdownoffacilities.ThereisonegolfcoursewithintheEPZ.DataprovidedbySomervellCountyincludedth emaximumnumberofgolfersandvehiclesatthefacility.Atotalof150transientsand150vehiclesareassignedtotheSquawValleyGolfCourse.ThereisonemarinawithintheEPZ.DataprovidedbyHoodCountyincludedthemaximumnumberofpeopleandvehiclesatthefacility.Atotalof48transientsand24vehiclesareassignedtotheDockonLakeGranbury.ThetwofacilitieswhichattractthelargestnumberoftransientsintotheEPZaretheSomervellCountyExpoCenterandTexasAmphitheatre.LocatedinGlenRose,theExpoCenterisamulti purposeeventcenterwhichhostsavarietyofevents,suchashorseshows,exhibits,concerts, ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1dances,andstageshows.Ithasalargeindoorarena,ashowbarn,equestrianfields,twooutdoorarenas,andapavilion(multi purposeareainwhichportablestalls,cattlepensoranarenacanbeconstructed).Ithasanexpositionhallwhichmaybeusedforbanquets,weddingreceptions,andmeetings.TheExpoCenterisusedyear roundonweek endsandweekdays.Thecombinedcapacityofthearena,showbarn,andbanquethall,isapproximately6,000people,someofwhomareresidents.ItwasestimatedbyLuminantthat75 80%ofthesepeoplearetransients,therefore80%x6,000=4,800transientsthatwereallocatedtotheExpoCenter.Anaveragevehicleoccupancyof2.9peoplepervehiclefromthe2007COLA(Rev.3)ETEstudy(basedondiscussionswithrepresentativesofthefacility)wasapplied,thus1,655vehiclesareassignedtothisfacility.TheTexasAmphitheatreisusedforspecialeventsandisonlyconsideredduringwinterweek endscenariossincethefacilityisonlyopenonweekendsbetweenSeptemberandNovember.Ithas3,250fixedseatsbutcanholdupto5,000peoplewiththeuseofbleachersandstandingareas.Applyingtheaforementioned80%transientpercentageyields4,000transients.Anaveragevehicleoccupancyof3.2peoplepervehiclefr omthe2007COLA(Rev.3)ETEstudy(basedondiscussionswithrepresentativesofthefacility)wasapplied,thus1,250vehiclesareassignedtothisfacility.TherearenumerouslodgingfacilitieslocatedwithinbothHoodandSomervellCounties.DataprovidedbyHoodCountyincludedthenumberofrooms,percentageofoccupiedroomsatpeaktimes,andthenumberofpeopleandvehiclesperroomforeachfacility.DataprovidedbySomervellCountyincludedthemaximumnumberofpeopleandvehiclesateachfacility.Thesedatawereusedtoestimatethenumberoftransientsandevacuatingvehiclesateachofthesefacilities.Atotalof3,934transientsand1,923vehiclesareassignedtolodgingfa cilities.SeeTableE 11ofAppendixEforabreakdownoffacilities.Finally,thereareseveralmajorretailfacilitieswithintheHoodCountyportionoftheEPZ.DataprovidedbyHoodCountyincludedthenumberofpeopleandanestimatedpercentag eofpeoplewhoarelocalresidents.Avehicleoccupancyof1.5peoplewasalsoprovidedbythecounty.Atotalof1,416transientsand943vehiclesareassignedtomajorretailfacilities.SeeTableE 12ofAppendixEforabreakdownoffacilities.Table3 4presentstrans ientpopulationandtransientvehicleestimatesbyZone.Figure3 6andFigure3 7presentthesedatabysectoranddistancefromtheplant.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 4.SummaryofTransientsandTransientVehiclesZoneTransientsTransientVehiclesCP001A001B001C198901D2,6311,4282A002B50502C742D2942262E150502F50362G002H002J8944383A003B6463093C003D144773E003F345984A2901584B004C004D004E004F004G004H00GlenRose10,1833,497Granbury1,9051,118Tolar00TOTAL17,7877,579 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 6.TransientPopulationbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 7.TransientVehiclesbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.4 EmployeesEmployeeswhoworkwithintheEPZfallintotwocategories: ThosewholiveandworkintheEPZ ThosewholiveoutsideoftheEPZandcommutetojobswithintheEPZ.Thoseofthefirstcategoryarealreadycountedaspartofthepermanentresidentpopulation.Toavoiddoublecounting,wefocusonlyonthoseemployeescommutingfromoutsidetheEPZwhowillevacuatealongwiththepermanentresidentpopulation.DataprovidedbyHoodandSomervellCountieswereusedtoestimatethenumberofemployeescommutingintotheEPZforthoseemployerswhodidnotprovidesufficientdata.InTableE 5,theEmployees(MaxShift)ismultipliedbythepercentNon EPZfactortodeterminethenumberofemployeeswhoarenotresidentsoftheEPZ.Avehicleoccupancyof1.02employeespervehicleobtainedfromthetelephonesurvey(SeeFigureF 6)wasusedtodeterminethenumberofevacuatingemployeevehiclesforallmajorem ployers.Table3 5presentsnon EPZResidentemployeeandvehicleestimatesbyZone.Figure3 8andFigure3 9presentthesedatabysector.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 5.SummaryofNon EPZResidentEmployeesandEmployeeVehiclesZoneEmployeesEmployeeVehiclesCP8778601A001B001C001D3193132A002B002C002D37362E002F002G002H002J003A003B003C003D003E003F33324A004B004C004D004E004F004G004H00GlenRose3534Granbury8181Tolar00TOTAL1,3821,356 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 8.EmployeePopulationbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 9.EmployeeVehiclesbySector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.5 MedicalFacilitiesDatawereprovidedbythecountiesforeachofthemedicalfacilitieswithintheEPZ.TableE 4inAppendixEsummarizesthedatagathered.Section8detailstheevacuationofmedicalfacilitiesandtheirpatients.Thenumberandtypeofevacuatingvehiclesthatneedtobeprovideddependonthepatients'stateofhealth.Basedupondataprovided,itisestimatedthatwheelchairaccessibleminibusescantransportupto15ambulatoryand4wheelchair boundpersons;wheelchairvans,upto4people;wheelchairbusesupto15people;andambulances,upto2people.3.6 TotalDemandinAdditiontoPermanentPopulationVehicleswillbetravelingthroughtheEPZ(external externaltrips)atthetimeofanaccident.AftertheAdvisorytoEvacuateisannounced,thesethrough travelerswillalsoevacuate.ThroughvehicleswereconsideredalongthetwomajorroutestraversingtheEPZ-US 377andUS 67.ItisassumedthatthistrafficwillcontinuetoentertheEPZduringthefirst120minutesfollowingtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.AverageAnnualDailyTraffic(A ADT)datawasobtainedfromtheFederalHighwayAdministrationtoestimatethenumberofvehiclesperhourontheaforementionedroutes.TheAADTwasmultipliedbytheK Factor,whichistheproportionoftheAADTonaroadwaysegmentorlinkduringthedesignhour ,resultinginthedesignhourvolume(DHV).Thedesignhourisusuallythe30 thhighesthourlytrafficvolumeoftheyear,measuredinvehiclesperhour(vph).TheDHVisthenmultipliedbytheDFactor,whichistheproportionoftheDHVoccurringinthepeakdirectionoftravel(alsoknownasthedirectionalsplit).Theresultingvaluesarethedirectionaldesignhourlyvolumes(DDHV),an darepresentedinTable3 6,foreachoftheroutesconsidered.TheDDHVisthenmultipliedby2hours(accesscontrolpoints-ACP-areassumedtobeactivatedat120minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuate)toestimatethetotalnumberofexternalvehiclesloadedontheanalysisnetwork.Asindicated,th ereare3,324vehiclesenteringtheEPZasexternal externaltripspriortotheactivationoftheACPandthediversionofthistraffic.Thisnumberisreducedby60%foreveningscenarios(Scenarios5and10)asdiscussedinSection6.3.7 SpecialEventOnespecialevent(Scenario11)isconsideredfortheETEstudy-4thofJulycelebrationinGranbury.Base dupondataprovidedbyGranburyChamberofCommerce,theeventistypicallyamulti dayeventheldinconjunctionwiththe4 thofJulyweekend.TheeventisheldatvariouslocationsinGranbury,includingHistoricalSquareandthesurroundingarea.Peakpopulationforthemulti dayeventis50,000peoplewithanaveragedailypopulationthatrangesbetween20,000and30,000people.Thisstudyassumesapeakdailypopulationof25,000.Dataprovidedindicatedthat50%ofeventattendeesaretravelingfromoutsideoftheEPZ.TransientsstayinlocalhotelsinGranburywhileothershaveweekendhomesorrentalpropertiesonLakeGranbury.TransientsalreadyincludedatlodgingfacilitieswithinHood ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1County(excludingtheGranburyConventionCenter)aresubtractedoutastoavoiddoublecounting.Thesefactorsresultinatotaladditionaltransientpopulationof11,303people.TheChamber'sdataindicatedavehicleoccupancyof3peoplepervehicle,yieldinganadditional3,768vehiclesassignedtovariousroadwayswithinGranbury.Publictransportationisnotprovide dforthiseventandwasnotconsideredinthespecialeventanalysis.
Table3 6.CPNPPEPZExternalTrafficUpstreamNodeDownstreamNodeRoadNameDirectionHPMS 1AADTK Factor 2D Factor 2HourlyVolumeExternal Traffic82611007US 377Northbound7,5790.1180.54478948103903US 377Southbound7,5790.1180.54478948285285US 67Northbound6,5000.1180.53847688607606US 67Southbound6,5000.1180.5384768TOTAL: 3,3241HighwayPerformanceMonitoringSystem(HPMS),FederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA),Washington,D.C.,20122 HCM2010 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.8 SummaryofDemandAsummaryofpopulationandvehicledemandisprovidedinTable3 7andTable3 8,respectively.Thissummaryincludesallpopulationgroupsdescribedinthissection.Additionalpopulationgroups-transit dependent,specialfacilityandschoolpopulation-aredescribedingreaterdetailinSection8.Atotalof64,891pe opleand35,887vehiclesareconsideredinthisstudy.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 7.SummaryofPopulationDemandZoneResidentsTransitDe pendentTransientsEmployeesSpecialFacilitiesSchoolsShadowPo pulation ExternalTraffic TotalCP661087700009441A672120000006841B33760000003431C6,87112219800669007,8601D10,7851932,631319841500014,1622A736130000007492B364750000004212C46687000004812D69512294370110001,1482E701150000002212F115250000001672G160000000162H4318000123005622J1,20222894000002,1183A13420000001363B831646000007303C546100000005563D3636144000005133E11120000001133F30963453300006934A591290000003504B10420000001064C12320000001254D18130000001844E2,747490045963003,8044F1,6062900960001,7314G5239000225007574H73100000074GlenRose2,2914110,183352471,6810014,478Granbury2,459441,9058145170005,010Tolar66112000397001,070Shadow0000004,58504,585Total35,19962717,7871,3829234,3884,585064,891NOTE:Specialfacilitiesincludesmedicalfacilities(notincludingLakeGranburyMedicalCenterwhichshelters in place)andSomervellCountyJail;Schoolsincludedaycaresandpreschools.NOTE:ShadowPopulationhasbeenreducedto20%.RefertoFigure2 1foradditionalinformation.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant3 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 8.SummaryofVehicleDemandZoneResidentsTransitDependentTransientsEmployeesSpecialFacilitiesSchoolsShadowPopulationExternalTrafficTotalCP420086000009021A39300000003931B19700000001971C4,01210900022004,1341D6,299141,428313206008,0802A42800000004282B212050000002622C27204000002762D40602263606006742E4005000000902F67036000001032G100000000102H25300006002592J7022438000001,1423A790000000793B490309000003583C31500000003153D212077000002893E670000000673F1810983200003114A340158000001924B610000000614C730000000734D10500000001054E1,6066001232001,6564F940200160009584G305000010003154H42000000042GlenRose1,34443,497344266004,987Granbury1,43841,11881804002,725Tolar38300001600399Shadow0000002,6813,3246,005Total20,567427,5791,3561701682,6813,32435,887NOTE:SpecialfacilitiesincludemedicalfacilitiesandSomervellCountyJail;Schoolsincludedaycaresandpreschools;Busesrepresentedastwopassengervehicles.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14 ESTIMATIONOFHIGHWAYCAPACITYTheabilityoftheroadnetworktoservicevehicledemandisamajorfactorindetermininghowrapidlyanevacuationcanbecompleted.Thecapacityofaroadisdefinedasthemaximumhourlyrateatwhichpersonsorvehiclescanreasonablybeexpectedtotraverseapointoruniformsectionofalaneofroad wayduringagiventimeperiodunderprevailingroadway,trafficandcontrolconditions,asstatedinthe2010HighwayCapacityManual(HCM2010).Indiscussingcapacity,differentoperatingconditionshavebeenassignedalphabeticaldesignations,AthroughF,toreflecttherangeoftrafficoperationalcharacteristics.Thesedesignationshavebeentermed"LevelsofService"(LOS).Forexample,LOSAconnotesfree flowandhigh speedoperatingconditions;LOSFrepresentsaforcedflowcondition.LOSEdescribestrafficoperatingatornearcapacity.Anotherconcept,closelyassociatedwithcapacity,is"ServiceVolume"(SV).Servicevolumeisdefinedas"Themaximu mhourlyrateatwhichvehicles,bicyclesorpersonsreasonablycanbeexpectedtotraverseapointoruniformsectionofaroadwayduringanhourunderspecificassumedconditionswhilemaintainingadesignatedlevelofservice."Thisdefinitionissimilartothatforcapacity.Themajordistinctionisthatva luesofSVvaryfromoneLOStoanother,whilecapacityistheservicevolumeattheupperboundofLOSE,only.ThisdistinctionisillustratedinExhibit11 17oftheHCM2010.Asindicatedthere,theSVvarieswithFreeFlowSpeed(FFS),andLOS.TheSViscalculatedbytheDYNEVIIsimulationmodel,basedonthespecifiedlinkattributes,FFS,capacity,controldeviceandtrafficdemand.Otherfactorsalsoinfluencecapacity.Theseinclude,butarenotlimitedto: Lanewidth Shoulderwidth Pavementcondition Horizontalandverticalalignment(curvatureandgrade) Percenttrucktraffic Controldevice(andtiming,ifitisasignal) Weatherconditions(rain,snow,fog,windspeed,ice)Thesefactorsareconsideredduringtheroadsurveyandinthecapacityestimationprocess;somefactorshavegreaterinfluenceoncapacitythanothers.Forexample,laneandshoulderwidthhaveonlyalimitedinfluenceonBaseFreeFlowSpeed(BFFS 1)accordingtoExhibit15 7oftheHCM.Consequently,laneandshoulderwidthsatthenarrowestpointswereobservedduringtheroadsurveyandtheseobservationswererecorded,butnodetailedmeasurementsoflaneorshoulderwidthweretaken.HorizontalandverticalalignmentcaninfluencebothFFSandcapacity.TheestimatedFFSweremeasuredusingth esurveyvehicle'sspeedometerandobservinglocaltraffic,underfreeflowconditions.Capacityisestimatedfromtheproceduresof1AveryroughestimateofBFFSmightbetakenasthepostedspeedlimitplus10mph(HCM2010Page1515)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1the2010HCM.Forexample,HCMExhibit7 1(b)showsthesensitivityofServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLOSDtograde(capacityistheServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLOSE).AsdiscussedinSection2.3,itisnecessarytoadjustcapacityfigurestorepresenttheprevailingconditionsduringinclementweather.Basedonlimitedempiricaldata,weatherconditionssuchasrainreducethevaluesoffreespeedandofhighwaycapacitybyapproximately10percent.Overthelastdecadenewstudieshavebeenmadeontheeffectsofrainontrafficcapacity.Thesestudiesindicatearangeofeffectsbetween5and20percentdependingonwindspeedandprecipitationrates.AsindicatedinSection2.3,weemployareductioninfreespeedandinhighwaycapacityof10percent.Sincecongestionarisingfromevacuationmaybesignificant,estimatesofroadwaycapacitymustbedeterminedwithgreatcare.Becauseofitsimportance,abriefdiscussionofthemajorfactorsthatinfluencehighwaycapacityispresentedinthissection.Ruralhighwaysgenerallyconsistof:(1)oneormoreuniformsectionswithlimitedaccess(driveways,parkingareas)characterizedby"uninterrupted"flow;and(2)approachestoat gradeintersectionswhereflowcanbe"interrupted"byacontroldeviceorbyturningorcrossingtrafficattheintersection.Duetothesedifferences,separateestimatesofcapacitymustbemadeforeachsection.Often,theapproachtotheintersectioniswidenedbytheadditionofoneormorelanes(turnpocketsorturnbays),tocompensa teforthelowercapacityoftheapproachduetothefactorstherethatcaninterrupttheflowoftraffic.TheseadditionallanesarerecordedduringthefieldsurveyandlaterenteredasinputtotheDYNEVIIsystem.4.1 CapacityEstimationsonApproachestoIntersectionsAt gradeintersectionsareapttobe comethefirstbottlenecklocationsunderlocalheavytrafficvolumeconditions.Thischaracteristicreflectstheneedtoallocateaccesstimetotherespectivecompetingtrafficstreamsbyexertingsomeformofcontrol.Duringevacuation,controlatcriticalintersectionswilloftenbeprovidedbytrafficcontrolpersonnelassignedforthatpurpose,whosedirectionsmaysupersedetrafficcontroldevices.Theex istingtrafficmanagementplansdocumentedinthecountyemergencyplansareextensiveandwereadoptedwithoutchange.Theperlanecapacityofanapproachtoasignalizedintersectioncanbeexpressed(simplistically)inthefollowingform:where:Qcap,m=Capacityofasinglelaneoftrafficonanapproach,whichexecutes ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1movement,m ,uponenteringtheintersection;vehiclesperhour(vph)h m=Meanqueuedischargeheadwayofvehiclesonthislanethatareexecutingmovement,m;secondspervehicleG=MeandurationofGREENtimeservicingvehiclesthatareexecutingmovement,m ,foreachsignalcycle;secondsL=Mean"losttime"foreachsignalphaseservicingmovement,m;secondsC=Durationofeachsignalcycl e;secondsP m=ProportionofGREENtimeallocatedforvehiclesexecutingmovement,m ,fromthislane.Thisvalueisspecifiedaspartofthecontroltreatment.m=Themovementexecutedbyvehiclesaftertheyentertheintersection:through,left turn,right turn,anddiagonal.Theturn movement specificmeandischargeheadwayh m ,dependsinacomplexwayuponmanyfactors:roadwaygeometrics,turnpercentages,theextentofconflictingtrafficstreams,thecontroltreatment,andothers.Aprimaryfactoristhevalueof"saturationqueuedischargeheadway",h sat ,whichappliestothroughvehiclesthatarenotimpededbyotherconflictingtrafficstreams.Thisvalue,itself,dependsuponmanyfactorsincludingmotoristbehavior.Formally,wecanwrite,where:h sat=Saturationdischargeheadwayforthroughvehicles;secondspervehicleF 1 ,F 2=Thevariousknownfactorsinfluencingh mf m ()=Complexfunctionrelatingh mtotheknown(orestimated)valuesofh sat ,F 1 ,F 2 ,-Theestimationofh mforspecifiedvaluesofh sat ,F 1 ,F 2 ,...isundertakenwithintheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelbyamathematicalmodel 2.Theresultingvaluesforh malwayssatisfythecondition:
2 Lieberman,E.,"DeterminingLateralDeploymentofTrafficonanApproachtoanIntersection",McShane,W.&Lieberman,E.,"ServiceRatesofMixedTrafficonthefarLeftLaneofanApproach".BothpapersappearinTransportationResearchRecord772,1980.Lieberman,E.,Xin,W.,"MacroscopicTrafficModelingForLarge ScaleEvacuationPlanning",presentedattheTRB2012AnnualMeeting,January22 26,2012 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Thatis,theturn movement specificdischargeheadwaysarealwaysgreaterthan,orequaltothesaturationdischargeheadwayforthroughvehicles.Theseheadways(oritsinverseequivalent,"saturationflowrate"),maybedeterminedbyobservationorusingtheproceduresoftheHCM2010.TheabovediscussionisnecessarilybriefgiventhescopeofthisETEreportandthecomplexityofthesubjectofintersectioncapacity.Infact,Chapters18,19and20intheHCM2010addressthistopic.Thefactors,F 1 ,F 2 ,-,influencingsaturationflowrateareidentifiedinequation(18 5)oftheHCM2010.ThetrafficsignalswithintheEPZandShadowRegionaremodeledusingrepresentativephasingplansandphasedurationsobtainedaspartofthefielddatacollection.Trafficresponsivesignalinstallationsallowtheproportionofgreentimeallocated(P m)foreachapproachtoeachintersectiontobedeterminedbytheexpectedtrafficvolumesoneachapproachduringevacuationcircumstances.Theamountofgreentime(G)allocatedissubjecttomaximumandminimumphasedurationconstraints;2secondsofyellowtimeareindicatedforeachsignalphaseand1secondofall redtimeisassignedbetweensignalphases,typically.Ifasignalispre timed,theyellowandall redtimesobservedduringtheroadsurveyareused.Alosttime(L)of2.0secondsisusedforeachsignalphaseintheanalysis.4.2 CapacityEstimationalongSectionsofHighwayThecapacit yofhighwaysectionsasdistinctfromapproachestointersectionsisafunctionofroadwaygeometrics,trafficcomposition(e.g.percentheavytrucksandbusesinthetrafficstream)and,ofcourse,motoristbehavior.Thereisafundamentalrelationshipwhichrelatesservicevolume(i.e.thenumberofvehiclesservicedwithinauniformhighwaysectioninagiventimeperiod)totrafficdensity.ThetopcurveinFigure4 1illustratesthisrelationship.Asindicated,therearetw oflowregimes:(1)FreeFlow(leftsideofcurve);and(2)ForcedFlow(rightside).IntheFreeFlowregime,thetrafficdemandisfullyserviced;theservicevolumeincreasesasdemandvolumeanddensityincrease,untiltheservicevolumeattainsit smaximumvalue,whichisthecapacityofthehighwaysection.Astrafficdemandandtheresultinghighwaydensityincreasebeyondthis"critical"value,therateatwhichtrafficcanbeserviced(i.e.theservicevolume)canactuallydeclinebelowcapacity("capacitydrop").Therefore,inordertorealisticallyrepresenttrafficperformanceduringcongestedconditions(i.e.whendemandexceedscapacity),itisnecessarytoestimatetheservicevolume,V F ,undercongestedconditions.ThevalueofV Fcanbeexpressedas:where:R=Reductionfactorwhichislessthanunity ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1WehaveemployedavalueofR=0.90.Theadvisabilityofsuchacapacityreductionfactorisbaseduponempiricalstudiesthatidentifiedafall offintheserviceflowratewhencongestionoccursat"bottlenecks"or"chokepoints"onafreewaysystem.ZhangandLevinson 3describearesearchprogramthatcollecteddatafromacomputer basedsurveillancesystem(loopdetectors)installedontheInterstateHighwaySystem,at27activebottlenecksinthetwincitiesmetroareainMinnesotaovera7 weekperiod.Whenflowbreakdownoccurs,queuesareformedwhichdischargeatlowerflowratesthanthemaximumcapacitypriortoobservedbreakdown.Thesequeuedischargeflow(QDF)ratesvaryfromonelocationtothenextandalsovarybydayofweekandtimeofdaybaseduponlocalcircumstances.ThecitedreferencepresentsameanQDFof2,016passengercarsperhourperlane(pcphpl).Thisfigurecompar eswiththenominalcapacityestimateof2,250pcphplestimatedfortheETEandindicatedinAppendixKforfreewaylinks.Theratioofthesetwonumbersis0.896whichtranslatesintoacapacityreductionfactorof0.90.Sincetheprincipalobjectiveofevacuationtimeestimateanalysesistodevelopa"realistic"estimateofevacuationtimes,useoftherepresentativevalueforthiscapacityreductionfactor(R=0.90)isjustified.Thisfactorisappliedonlywhenflowbreaksdown,asdeterminedbythesimulationmodel.Ruralroads,likefreeways,areclassifiedas"uninterruptedflow"facilities.(Thisisincontrastwithurbanstreetsystemswhichhavecloselyspacedsignalizedinters ectionsandareclassifiedas"interruptedflow"facilities.)Assuch,trafficflowalongruralroadsissubjecttothesameeffectsasfreewaysintheeventtrafficdemandexceedsthenominalcapacity,resultinginqueuingandlowerQDFrates.Asapracticalmatter,ruralroadsrarelybreakdownatlocationsawayfromintersections.Anybreakdownsonruralroadsaregenerallyexperiencedatintersectionswhereothermodellogicapplies,oratlanedropswhichreducecapacitythere.Therefore,theapplicationofafactorof0.90isappropriateonruralroads,butrarely,ifever,activated.Theestimatedvalueofcapacit yisbasedprimarilyuponthetypeoffacilityandonroadwaygeometrics.Sectionsofroadwaywithadversegeometricsarecharacterizedbylowerfree flowspeedsandlanecapacity.Exhibit15 30intheHighwayCapacityManualwasreferencedtoestimatesaturationflowrates.Theimpactofnarrowlanesandshould ersonfree flowspeedandoncapacityisnotmaterial,particularlywhenflowispredominantlyinonedirectionasisthecaseduringanevacuation.Theprocedureusedherewastoestimate"section"capacity,V E ,basedonobservationsmadetravelingovereachsectionoftheevacuationnetwork,basedonthepostedspeedlimitsandtravelbehaviorofothermotoristsandbyreferencetothe2010HCM.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodeldeterminesforeachhighwaysection,representedasanetworklink,whetheritscapacitywouldbelimitedbythe"section specific"servicevolume,V E ,orbytheintersection specificcapacity.Foreachlink,themodelselectsthelowervalueofcapacity.3 LeiZhangandDavidLevinson,"SomePropertiesofFlowsatFreewayBottlenecks,"TransportationResearchRecord1883,2004.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14.3 ApplicationtotheCPNPPStudyAreaAspartofthedevelopmentofthelink nodeanalysisnetworkforthestudyarea,anestimateofroadwaycapacityisrequired.Thesourcematerialforthecapacityestimatespresentedhereiniscontainedin:2010HighwayCapacityManual(HCM)TransportationResearchBoardNationalResearchCouncilWashington,D.C.Thehighwaysysteminthestudyareaconsistsprimarilyofthreecategoriesofroadsand,ofcourse,intersections: Two Laneroads:Local,State Multi LaneHighways(at grade) FreewaysEachoftheseclassificationswillbediscussed.4.3.1 Two LaneRoadsRef:HCMChapter15TwolaneroadscomprisethemajorityofhighwayswithintheEPZ.Theperlanecapacityofatwo lanehighwayisestimatedat1700passengercarsperhour(pc/h).Thisestimateisessentiallyindependentofthedirectionaldistributionoftrafficvolumeexceptthat,forextendeddistances,thetwo waycapacitywillnotexceed3200pc/h.Th eHCMproceduresthenestimateLevelofService(LOS)andAverageTravelSpeed.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelacceptsthespecifiedvalueofcapacityasinputandcomputesaveragespeedbasedonthetime varyingdemand:capacityrelations.Basedonthefieldsurveyandonexpectedtrafficoperationsassociatedwithevacuationscenarios: Mostsectionsoftwo laneroadswithintheEPZareclassifiedas"Clas sI",with"levelterrain";someare"rollingterrain". "ClassII"highwaysaremostlythosewithinurbanandsuburbancenters.4.3.2 Multi LaneHighwayRef:HCMChapter14Exhibit14 2oftheHCM2010presentsasetofcurvesthatindicateaper lanecapacityrangingfromapproximately1900to2200pc/h,forfree speedsof45to60mph,respectively.Basedonobservation,themulti lanehighwaysoutsideofurbanareaswithintheEPZservicetrafficwithfree speedsinthisrang e.Theactualtime varyingspeedscomputedbythesimulationmodelreflectthedemand:capacityrelationshipandtheimpactofcontrolatintersections.A ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1conservativeestimateofper lanecapacityof1,900pc/hisadoptedforthisstudyformulti lanehighwaysoutsideofurbanareas,asshowninAppendixK.4.3.3 FreewaysRef:HCMChapters10,11,12,13Chapter10oftheHCM2010describesaprocedureforintegratingtheresultsobtainedinChapters11,12and13,whichcomputecapacityandLOSforfreewa ycomponents.Chapter10alsopresentsadiscussionofsimulationmodels.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelautomaticallyperformsthisintegrationprocess.Chapter11oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapacityandLOSfor"BasicFreewaySegments".Exhibit11 17oftheHCM2010presentscapacit yvs.freespeedestimates,whichareprovidedbelow.FreeSpeed(mph):55606570+Per LaneCapacity(pc/h):2250230023502400Theinputstothesimulationmodelarehighwaygeometrics,free speedsandcapacitybasedonfieldobservations.Thesimulationlogiccalculatesactualtime varyingspeedsbasedondemand:capacityrelationships.Aconservativeestimateofper lanecapacityof2250pc/hisadoptedforthisstudyforfreeways,asshowninAppendixK.Chapter12oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapa city,speed,densityandLOSforfreewayweavingsections.Thesimulationmodelcontainslogicthatrelatesspeedtodemandvolume:capacityratio.ThevalueofcapacityobtainedfromthecomputationalproceduresdetailedinChapter12dependsonthe"Type"andgeometricsoftheweavingsegmentan donthe"VolumeRatio"(ratioofweavingvolumetototalvolume).Chapter13oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapacitiesoframpsandof"merge"areas.Therearethreesignificantfactorstothedeterminationofcapacityofarampfreewayjunction:Thecapacityofthefreewayimmediatelydownstreamofanon ramporimmediatelyupstreamofanoff ramp;thecapacityoftheramproadway;andthemaximumflowrateenteringtherampinfluencearea.Inmostcases,thefreewaycapacityisthecontrollingfactor.ValuesofthismergeareacapacityarepresentedinExhibit13 8oftheHCM2010,anddependonthenumberoffreewaylanesandonthefreewayfreespeed.RampcapacityispresentedinExhibit13 10andisafunctionoftherampfreeflowspeed.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodellogicsimulatesthemergingoperationsoftherampandfreewaytrafficinaccordwiththeproceduresinCh apter13oftheHCM2010.Ifcongestionresultsfromanexcessofdemandrelativetocapacity,thenthemodelallocatesserviceappropriatelytothetwoenteringtrafficstreamsandproducesLOSFconditions(TheHCMdoesnotaddressLOSFexplicitly).
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14.3.4 IntersectionsRef:HCMChapters18,19,20,21ProceduresforestimatingcapacityandLOSforapproachestointersectionsarepresentedinChapter18(signalizedintersections),Chapters19,20(un signalizedintersections)andChapter21(roundabouts).Thecomplexityofthesecomputationsisindicatedbytheaggregatelengthofthesechapters.TheDYNEVIIsimulationlogicislikewisecomplex.Thesimulationmodelexplicitlymodelsintersections:Stop/yieldcontrolledintersections(both2 wayandall way)andtrafficsignalcontrolledintersections.Whereintersectionsarecontrolledbyfixedtimecontrollers,trafficsignaltimingsaresettoreflectaverage(non evacuation)trafficconditions.Actuatedtrafficsignalsettingsrespondtothetime varyingdemandsofevacuationtraffictoadjusttherelativecapacitiesofthecompetingintersect ionapproaches.AlltrafficsignalswithintheCPNPPstudyarea(EPZandShadowRegion)areactuated.Defaultcyclelengthof75secondswasusedforeachofthesesignals.Themodelisalsocapableofmodelingthepresenceofmannedtrafficcontrol.Atspecificlocationswhereitisadvisableorwhereexistingplanscallforoverridingexistingtrafficcontroltoimplementmannedcontrol,themodelwilluseactuatedsignaltimingsthatreflectthepresenceoftrafficguides.Atlocationswhereaspecialtrafficcontrolstrategy(continuousleft turns,contr a flowlanes)isused,thestrategyismodeledexplicitly.Whereapplicable,thelocationandtypeoftrafficcontrolfornodesintheevacuationnetworkarenotedinAppendixK.ThecharacteristicsofthetenhighestvolumesignalizedintersectionsaredetailedinAppendixJ.4.4 SimulationandCapacityEstimationChapter6oftheHCMisentitled,"HCMandAlternativeAnalysisTools."Thechapterdiscussestheuseofalternativetoolssuchassimulationmodelingtoevaluatetheoperationalperformanceofhighwaynetworks.AmongthereasonscitedinChapter6toconsiderusingsimulationasanalternativeanalysistoolis:"Thesystemunderst udyinvolvesagroupofdifferentfacilitiesortravelmodeswithmutualinteractionsinvokingseveralproceduralchaptersoftheHCM.Alternativetoolsareabletoanalyzethesefacilitiesasasinglesystem."ThisstatementsuccinctlydescribestheanalysesrequiredtodeterminetrafficoperationsacrossanareaencompassinganEPZoperatingunderevacuationconditions.Themodelutilizedforthisstudy,DYNEVII,isfurtherdescribedinAppendixC.ItisessentialtorecognizethatsimulationmodelsdonotreplicatethemethodologyandproceduresoftheHCM-theyreplacetheseproceduresbydescribingthecomplexinteractionsoftrafficflowandcomputingMeasuresofEffectiven ess(MOE)detailingtheoperationalperformanceoftrafficovertimeandbylocation.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelincludessomeHCM2010proceduresonlyforthepurposeofestimatingcapacity.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant4 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Allsimulationmodelsmustbecalibratedproperlywithfieldobservationsthatquantifytheperformanceparametersapplicabletotheanalysisnetwork.Twoofthemostimportantoftheseare:(1)Freeflowspeed(FFS);and(2)saturationheadway,h sat.Thefirstoftheseisestimatedbydirectobservationduringtheroadsurvey;thesecondisestimatedusingtheconceptsoftheHCM2010,asdescribedearlier.TheseparametersarelistedinAppendixK,foreachnetworklink.
Figure4 1.FundamentalDiagrams ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15 ESTIMATIONOFTRIPGENERATIONTIMEFederalGovernmentguidelines(seeNUREGCR 7002)specifythattheplannerestimatethedistributionsofelapsedtimesassociatedwithmobilizationactivitiesundertakenbythepublictopreparefortheevacuationtrip.Theelapsedtimeassociatedwitheachactivityisrepresentedasastatisticaldistributionreflectingdifferencesbetweenmembersofthepublic.Thequantificationoftheseactivity baseddistributionsrelieslargelyontheresultsofthetelephonesurvey.WedefinethesumofthesedistributionsofelapsedtimesastheTripGenerationTimeDistribution.5.1 BackgroundIngeneral,anaccidentatanuclearpowerplantischaracterizedbythefollowingEmergencyClassificationLevels(seeAppendix1ofNUREG0654fordetails):1. UnusualEvent2. Alert3. SiteAreaEmergency4. GeneralEmergencyAteachlevel,theFederalguidelinesspecifyasetofActionstobeundertakenbyth eLicensee,andbyStateandLocaloffsiteauthorities.AsaPlanningBasis,wewilladoptaconservativeposture,inaccordancewithSection1.2ofNUREG/CR 7002,thatarapidlyescalatingaccidentwillbeconsideredincalculatingtheTripGenerationTime.Wewillassume:1. TheAdvisorytoEvacuatewillbeannouncedinatimelymanner,followingthesirenalert.2. Mobilizationofthegeneralpopulationwillcommencewithin15minutesafterth esirennotification.3. ETEaremeasuredrelativetotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Weemphasizethattheadoptionofthisplanningbasisisnotarepresentationthattheseeventswilloccurwithintheindicatedtimeframe.Rather,theseassumptionsarenecessaryinorderto:1. EstablishatemporalframeworkforestimatingtheTripGenerationdistributionintheformatrecommendedinSection2.13ofNUREG/CR 6863.2. Identifytemporalpointsofreferencethatuniquelydefine"ClearTime"andETE.Itislikelythatalongertimewillel apsebetweenthevariousclassesofanemergency.Forexample,supposeonehourelapsesfromthesirenalerttotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Inthiscase,itisreasonabletoexpectsomedegreeofspontaneousevacuationbythepublicduringthisone hourperiod.Asaresult,thepopulationwithintheEPZwillbelowerwhenth eAdvisorytoEvacuateisannounced,thanatthetimeofthesirenalert.Inaddition,manywillengageinpreparationactivitiestoevacuate,inanticipationthatanAdvisorywillbebroadcast.Thus,thetimeneededtocompletethemobilizationactivitiesandthenumberofpeople ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1remainingtoevacuatetheEPZaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate,willbothbesomewhatlessthantheestimatespresentedinthisreport.Consequently,theETEpresentedinthisreportarehigherthantheactualevacuationtime,ifthishypotheticalsituationweretotakeplace.Thenotificationprocessconsistsoftwoevents:1. TransmittinginformationusingthealertnotificationsystemsavailablewithintheEPZ(e.g.sirens,tonealerts,EASbroadcasts,loudspeakers).2. Receivingandcorrectlyinterpretingtheinformationthatistransmitted.ThepopulationwithintheEPZisdispersedoveranareaof316squaremilesandisengagedinawidevarietyofactivities.Itmustbeanticipatedthatsometimewillelapsebetweenthetransmissionandreceiptoftheinformationadvisingthepublicofanaccident.Theamountofelapsedtimewillvaryfromonei ndividualtothenextdependingonwherethatpersonis,whatthatpersonisdoing,andrelatedfactors.Furthermore,somepersonswhowillbedirectlyinvolvedwiththeevacuationprocessmaybeoutsidetheEPZatthetimetheemergencyisdeclared.Thesepeoplemaybecommuters,shoppersandothertr avelerswhoresidewithintheEPZandwhowillreturntojointheotherhouseholdmembersuponreceivingnotificationofanemergency.AsindicatedinSection2.13ofNUREG/CR 6863,theestimatedelapsedtimesforthereceiptofnotificationcanbeexpressedasadistributionreflectingthedifferentnotificationtimesfordifferentpeoplewithin,andoutside,theEPZ.Byusingtimedistributions,itisalsopossibletodistinguishbetweendifferentpopulationgroupsanddifferentday of weekandtime of dayscenarios,sothataccurateETEmaybecomputed.Forexample,peopleathomeoratworkwithintheEPZwillbenotifiedbysiren,and/ortonealertand/orradio(ifavailable).ThosewelloutsidetheEPZwillbenotifiedbyteleph one,radio,TVandword of mouth,withpotentiallylongertimelags.Furthermore,thespatialdistributionoftheEPZpopulationwilldifferwithtimeofdayfamilieswillbeunitedintheevenings,butdispersedduringtheday.Inthisrespect,weekendswilldifferfromweekdays.AsindicatedinSection4.1ofNUREG/CR 7002,theinformationrequiredtocomputetripgenerationtimesistypicallyobtainedfromatelephonesurveyofEPZresidents.SuchasurveywasconductedinsupportofthisETEstudy.AppendixFpresentsthesurveysamplingplan,surveyinstrument,andrawsurveyresults.Itisimportanttonotethattheshapeanddurationoftheevacuationtripmobilizationdistributionisimportantatsiteswheretrafficcongestionisnotexpectedtocausetheevacuationtimeestimatetoextendintimewellbeyondthetripgenerationperiod.Theremainingdiscussionwillfocusonth eapplicationofthetripgenerationdataobtainedfromthetelephonesurveytothedevelopmentoftheETEdocumentedinthisreport.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.2 FundamentalConsiderationsTheenvironmentleadinguptothetimethatpeoplebegintheirevacuationtripsconsistsofasequenceofeventsandactivities.Eachevent(otherthanthefirst)occursataninstantintimeandistheoutcomeofanactivity.Activitiesareundertakenoveraperiodoftime.Activitiesmaybein"series"(i.e.toundertakeanactivityimpliesthecompletionofallprecedingevents)ormaybeinparallel(twoormoreactivitiesmaytakeplaceoverthesameperiodoftime).Activitiesconductedinseriesarefunctionallydependentonthecom pletionofprioractivities;activitiesconductedinparallelarefunctionallyindependentofoneanother.Therelevanteventsassociatedwiththepublic'spreparationforevacuationare:EventNumberEventDescription1Notification2AwarenessofSituation3DepartWork4ArriveHome5DepartonEvacuationTripAssociatedwitheachsequenceofeventsareoneormoreactivities,asoutlinedbelow:Table5 1.EventSequenceforEvacuationActivitiesEventSequenceActivityDistribution12ReceiveNotification 123PreparetoLeaveWork 22,34TravelHome 32,45PreparetoLeavetoEvacuate 4 TheserelationshipsareshowngraphicallyinFigure5 1. AnEventisa'state'thatexistsatapointintime(e.g.,departwork,arrivehome) AnActivityisa'process'thattakesplaceoversomeelapsedtime(e.g.,preparetoleavework,travelhome)Assuch,acompletedActivitychangesthe'state'ofanindividual(e.g.theactivity,'travelhome'changesthestatefrom'departwork'to'arrivehome').Therefore,anActivitycanbedescribedasan'EventSequence';theelapsedtimestoperformaneventsequencevaryfromonepersontothenextandaredescribedasstatisticaldistributionsonthefollowingpages.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1AnemployeewholivesoutsidetheEPZwillfollowsequence(c)ofFigure5 1.AhouseholdwithintheEPZthathasoneormorecommutersatwork,andwillawaittheirreturnbeforebeginningtheevacuationtripwillfollowthefirstsequenceofFigure5 1(a).AhouseholdwithintheEPZthathasnocommutersatwork,orthatwillnotawaitthereturnofanycommuters,willfollowthesecondsequenceofFigure5 1(a),regardlessofdayofweekortimeofday.Householdswithnocommutersonweekendsorintheevening/night time,willfollowtheapplicablesequenceinFigure5 1(b).Transientswillalwaysfollowon eofthesequencesofFigure5 1(b).Sometransientsawayfromtheirresidencecouldelecttoevacuateimmediatelywithoutreturningtotheresidence,asindicatedinthesecondsequence.ItisseenfromFigure5 1,thattheTripGenerationtime(i.e.thetotalelapsedtimefromEvent1toEvent5)dependsonthescenarioandwillvaryfromonehouseholdtothenext.Furthermore,Event5depends,inacomplicatedway,onthetimedistributionsofallactivitiesprecedingthatevent.Thatis,toestimatethetimedistributionofEvent5,wemustobtainestimatesofthetimedistributionsofallprecedingevents.Forthi sstudy,weadopttheconservativeposturethatallactivitieswilloccurinsequence.Insomecases,assumingcertaineventsoccurstrictlysequential(forinstance,commuterreturninghomebeforebeginningpreparationtoleave)canresultinratherconservative(thatis,longer)estimatesofmobilizationtimes.Itisreasonabletoexpectthatatleastsomepartsoftheseeventswilloverlapformanyhouseholds,butthatassumptionisnotmadeinthisstudy.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 1.EventsandActivitiesPrecedingtheEvacuationTripHouseholds wait for Commuters 1 Residents 12345EVENTS 1. Notification 2. Aware of situation 3. Depart work 4. Arrive home 5. Depart on evacuation trip (a) Accident occurs during midweek, at midday; year round Households without Commuters and households who do not wait for Commuters Residents 125Residents, Transients at Residence 125 (b) Accident occurs during weekend or during the evening 2 (c) Employees who live outside the EPZ Residents, Transients away from Residence 124 5 123,5Return to residence, then evacuate Residents at home; transients evacuate directly 1 Applies for evening and weekends also if commuters are at work.
2 Applies throughout the year for transients.
- ACTIVITIES 1 2 Receive Notification 2 3 Prepare to Leave Work 2, 3 4 Travel Home 2, 4 5 Prepare to Leave to Evacuate Activities Consume Time ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.3 EstimatedTimeDistributionsofActivitiesPrecedingEvent5Thetimedistributionofaneventisobtainedby"summing"thetimedistributionsofallpriorcontributingactivities.(This"summing"processisquitedifferentthananalgebraicsumsinceitisperformedondistributions-notscalarnumbers).TimeDistributionNo.1,NotificationProcess:Activity12Inaccordancewiththe2012FederalEmergencyManagementAgency(FEMA)RadiologicalEmergencyPreparednessProgramManual,100%ofthepopulationisnotifiedwithin45minutes.Itisassumed(basedonthepresenceofsirenswithintheEPZ)that87percentofthosewithintheEPZwillbeawareoftheaccidentwithin30minuteswiththeremaindernotifiedwithinthefollowing15minutes.Thenotificationdistributionisgivenbelow:Table5 2.TimeDistributionforNotifyingthePublicElapsedTime(Minutes)PercentofPopulationNotified0 0%5 7%10 13%15 27%20 47%25 66%30 87%35 92%40 97%45 100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.2,PreparetoLeaveWork:Activity23ItisreasonabletoexpectthatthevastmajorityofbusinessenterpriseswithintheEPZwillelecttoshutdownfollowingnotificationandmostemployeeswouldleaveworkquickly.Commuters,whoworkoutsidetheEPZcould,inallprobability,alsoleavequicklysincefacilitiesoutsidetheEPZwouldremainopenandotherpersonnelwouldremain.Personnelorfarmersresponsibleforequipment/livestockwouldrequireadditionaltimetosecuretheirfacility.ThedistributionofActivity23showninTable5 3reflectsdataobtainedbythetelephonesurvey.ThisdistributionisplottedinFigure5 2.Table5 3.TimeDistributionforEmployeestoPreparetoLeaveWorkElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentEmployeesLeavingWork00%544.5%1061.2%1569.9%2074.2%2575.3%3086.3%3586.6%4087.0%4588.6%5089.0%5589.0%6097.0%75100.0%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response.Thatis,thesamplewasreducedinsizetoincludeonlythosehouseholdswhorespondedtothisquestion.Theunderlyingassumptionisthatthedistributionofthisactivityforthe"Don'tknow"responders,iftheeventtakesplace,wouldbethesameasthoseresponderswhoprovidedestimates.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.3,TravelHome:Activity34Thesedataareprovideddirectlybythosehouseholdswhichrespondedtothetelephonesurvey.ThisdistributionisplottedinFigure5 2andlistedinTable5 4.Table5 4.TimeDistributionforCommuterstoTravelHomeElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentReturningHome00 514.1%1029.1%1547.1%2060.6%2565.6%3078.2%3580.6%4082.9%4588.8%5090.3%5590.3%6092.9%7595.0%9097.6%10598.2%120100.0%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.4,PreparetoLeaveHome:Activity2,45Thesedataareprovideddirectlybythosehouseholdswhichrespondedtothetelephonesurvey.ThisdistributionisplottedinFigure5 2andlistedinTable5 5.Table5 5.TimeDistributionforPopulationtoPreparetoEvacuateElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentReadytoEvacuate0 0%15 39.6%30 69.0%45 79.2%60 89.8%75 94.6%90 95.7%105 95.7%120 97.8%135 99.1%150 100.0%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 2.EvacuationMobilizationActivities0%20%40%
60%
80%100%0306090120150 PercentofPopulationCompletingMobilizationActivityElapsedTimefromStartofMobilizationActivity(min)MobilizationActivitiesNotification PreparetoLeaveWork TravelHome PrepareHome ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.4 CalculationofTripGenerationTimeDistributionThetimedistributionsforeachofthemobilizationactivitiespresentedhereinmustbecombinedtoformtheappropriateTripGenerationDistributions.Asdiscussedabove,thisstudyassumesthatthestatedeventstakeplaceinsequencesuchthatallprecedingeventsmustbecompletedbeforethecurrenteven tcanoccur.Forexample,ifahouseholdawaitsthereturnofacommuter,thework to hometrip(Activity34)mustprecedeActivity45.Tocalculatethetimedistributionofaneventthatisdependentontwosequentialactivities,itisnecessaryto"sum"thedistributionsassociatedwiththeseprioractivities.Thedistributionsummingalgorithmisappliedrepeatedlyasshowntoformtherequireddistribution.Asanoutcomeofthisprocedure,newtimedistributionsareformed;weassign"letter"designationstotheseintermediatedistributionstodescribetheprocedure.Table5 6presentsthesummingpr oceduretoarriveateachdesignateddistribution.Table5 6.MappingDistributionstoEventsApply"Summing"AlgorithmTo:DistributionObtainedEventDefinedDistributions1and2DistributionAEvent3DistributionsAand3DistributionBEvent4DistributionsBand4DistributionCEvent5Distributions1and4DistributionDEvent5Table5 7presentsadescriptionofeachofthefinaltripgenerationdistributionsachievedafterthesummingprocessiscompleted.Table5 7.DescriptionoftheDistributionsDistributionDescriptionATimedistributionofcommutersdepartingplaceofwork(Event3).AlsoappliestoemployeeswhoworkwithintheEPZwholiveoutside,andtoTransientswithintheEPZ.BTimedistributionofcommutersarrivinghome(Event4).CTimedistributionofresidentswithcommuterswhoreturnhome,leavinghometobegintheevacuationtrip(Event5).DTimedistributionofresidentswithoutcommutersreturninghome,leavinghometobegintheevacuationtrip(Event5).
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.4.1 StatisticalOutliersAsalreadymentioned,someportionofthesurveyrespondentsanswer"don'tknow"tosomequestionsorchoosetonotrespondtoaquestion.Themobilizationactivitydistributionsarebaseduponactualresponses.But,itisthenatureofsurveysthatafewnumericresponsesareinconsistentwiththeoverallpatternofresults.Anexamplewouldbeacaseinwhichfor500responses,almostallofthemestimatelessthantwohoursforagivenanswer,but3say"fourhours"and4say"sixormorehours".These"outliers"mustbeconsidered:aretheyvalidresponses,orsoatypicalthattheyshouldbedroppedfromthesample?Inassessingoutliers,therearethreealternatestoconsider:1)Someresponseswithverylongtimesmaybevalid,butreflecttherealitythattherespondentreallyneedstobeclassifiedinadifferentpopulationsubgroup,baseduponspecialneeds;2)Otherresponse smaybeunrealistic(6hourstoreturnhomefromcommutingdistance,or2daystopreparethehomefordeparture);3)Somehighvaluesarerepresentativeandplausible,andonemustnotcutthemaspartoftheconsiderationofoutliers.Theissueofcourseishowtomakethedecisionthatagivenresponseorsetofresponsesaretobeconsidered"outliers"forthecomponentmobilizationactivities,usingamethodthatobjectivelyquantifiestheprocess.Thereisconsiderablestatisticalliteratureontheidentificationandtreatmentofoutlierssinglyoringroups,muchofwhichassumesthedataisnormallydistributedandsomeofwhichusesnonparametricmethodstoavoidthatassumption.Theliteraturecitesthatlimitedworkhasbeendonedirectlyonoutliersinsamplesurveyresponses.Inestablishingtheoverallmobilizationtime/tripgenerationdistributions,thefollowingprinciplesareused:1) Itisrecognizedthattheoveralltripgenerationdistributionsareconservativeestimates,becausetheyassumeahouseholdwilldothemobilizationactivitiessequentially,withnooverlapofactivities;2) Theindividualmobilizationactivities(preparetoleavework,travelhome,preparehome)arereviewedforoutliers,andthentheoveralltripgenerationdistributionsarecreated(seeFigure5 1,Table5 6,Table57);3) Outlierscanbeeliminatedeitherbecausetheresponsereflectsaspecialpopulation(e.g.specialneeds,transitdependent)orlackofrealism,becausethepurposeistoestimatetripgenerationpatternsforpersonalvehicles; ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14) Toeliminateoutliers,a) themeanandstandarddeviationofthespecificactivityareestimatedfromtheresponses,b) themedianofthesamedataisestimated,withitspositionrelativetothemeannoted,c) thehistogramofthedataisinspected,andd) allvaluesgreaterthan3.5standarddeviationsareflaggedforattention,takingspecialnoteofwhethertherearegaps(categorieswithzeroentries)inthehistogramdisplay.Ingeneral,onlyflaggedvaluesmorethan4standarddeviationsfromthemeanareallowedtobeconsideredoutliers,withgapsinthehistogramexpected.Whenflaggedvaluesareclassifiedasoutliersanddropped,steps"a"to"d"arerepeated.5) Asapracticalmatter,evenwithoutlierseliminatedbytheabove,theresultanthistogram,viewedasacumulativedistribution,isnotanormaldistribution.AtypicalsituationthatresultsisshownbelowinFigure5 3.0.0%10.0%20.0%
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70.0%
80.0%
90.0%100.0%2.5 7.512.5 17.5 22.527.532.5 37.542.547.5 52.557.567.582.597.5112.5 CumulativePercentage(%)CenterofInterval(minutes)CumulativeData CumulativeNormalFigure5 3.ComparisonofDataDistributionandNormalDistribution ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.16) Inparticular,thecumulativedistributiondiffersfromthenormaldistributionintwokeyaspects,bothveryimportantinloadinganetworktoestimateevacuationtimes: Mostoftherealdataistotheleftofthe"normal"curveabove,indicatingthatthenetworkloadsfasterforthefirst80 85%ofthevehicles,potentiallycausingmore(andearlier)congestionthanotherwisemodeled; Thelast10 15%oftherealdata"tailsoff"slowerthanthecomparable"normal"curve,indicatingthatthereissignificanttrafficstillloadingatlatertimes.Becausethesetwofeaturesareimportanttopreserve,itisthehistogramofthedatathatisusedtodescribethemobilizationactivities,nota"normal"curvefittothedata.Onecouldconsiderotherdistributions,butusingtheshapeoftheactualdatacurveisunambiguousandpreservestheseimportantfeatures;7) WiththemobilizationactivitieseachmodeledaccordingtoSteps1 6,includingpreservingthefeaturescitedinStep6,theoverall(ortotal)mobilizationtimesareconstructed.Thisisdonebyusingthedatasetsanddistributionsunderdifferentscenarios(e.g.commuterreturning,nocommuterreturning).Ingeneral,theseareadditive,usingweightingbasedupontheprobabilitydistributionsofeachelement;Figure5 4presentsthecombinedtripgenerationdistributionsdesignatedA,C,D.Thesedistributionsarepresentedonthesametimescale.(Asdiscussedearlier,theuseofstrictlyadditiveactivitiesisaconservativeapproach,becauseitmakesallactivitiessequential-preparationfordeparturefollowsthereturnofthecommuter.Inpractice,itisreasonablethatsomeoftheseactivitiesaredoneinparallel,atleasttosomeextent-forinstance,preparationtodepartbeginsbyahouseholdmemberathomewhilethecommuterisstillontheroad.)Themobilizationdistributionsthatresultareusedintheirtabular/graphicalformasdirectinputstolatercomputationsthatleadtotheETE.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelisdesignedtoacceptvaryingratesofvehicletripgenerationforeachorigincentroid,expressedintheformofhistograms.Thesehistograms,whichrepresentDistributionsA,C,Dproperlydisplacedwithrespecttooneanother,aretabulatedinTable5 8(DistributionB,ArriveHome,omittedforclarity).Thefinaltimeperiod(15)is600minuteslong.Thistimeperiodisaddedtoallowtheanalysisnetworktoclear,intheeventcongestionpersistsbeyondthetripgenerationperiod.Notethattherearenotripsgeneratedduringthisfinaltimeperiod.5.4.2 StagedEvacuationTripGenerationAsdefinedinNUREG/CR 7002,stag edevacuationconsistsofthefollowing:1. Zonescomprisingthe2mileregionareadvisedtoevacuateimmediately2. Zonescomprisingregionsextendingfrom2to5milesdownwindareadvisedtoshelterin placewhilethe2mileregioniscleared ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13. Asvehiclesevacuatethe2mileregion,shelteredpeoplefrom2to5milesdownwindcontinuepreparationforevacuation4. Thepopulationshelteringinthe2to5mileregionareadvisedtobeginevacuatingwhenapproximately90%ofthoseoriginallywithinthe2mileregionevacuateacrossthe2mileregionboundary5. Non compliancewiththeshelterrecommendationisthesameastheshadowevacuationpercentageof20%Assumptions1. TheEPZpopulationinzonesbeyond5mileswillreactasdoesthepopulationinthe2to5mileregion;thatistheywillfirstshelter,thenevacuateafterthe90 thpercentileETEforthe2mileregion2. ThepopulationintheshadowregionbeyondtheEPZboundary,extendingtoapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant,willreactastheydoforallnonstagedevacuationscenarios.Thatis20%ofthesehouseholdswillelecttoevacuatewithnoshelterdelay.3. Thetransientpopulationwillnotbeexpectedtostagetheirevacuationbecauseofthelimitedshelteringoptionsavailabletopeoplewhomaybeatparks,onabeach,oratothervenues.Also,notifyingthetransientpopulationofastagedevacuationwouldprovedifficult.4. Employeeswillalsobeassumedtoevacuatewithoutfirstsheltering.Procedure1. Tripgenerationforpopulationgroupsinthe2mileregionwillbeascomputedbasedupontheresultsofthetelephonesurveyandanalysis.2. Tripgenerationforthepopulationsubjecttostagedevacuationwillbeformulatedasfollows:a. Identifythe90 thpercentileevacuationtimeforthezonescomprisingthetwomileregion.Thisvalue,T Scen*,isobtainedfromsimulationresults.Itwillbecomethetimeatwhichtheregionbeingshelteredwillbetoldtoevacuateforeachscenario.b. Theresultanttripgenerationcurvesforstagingarethenformedasfollows:i. Thenonsheltertripgenerationcurveisfolloweduntilamaximumof20%ofthetotaltrip saregenerated(toaccountforshelternon compliance).ii. NoadditionaltripsaregenerateduntiltimeT Scen*iii. FollowingtimeT Scen*,thebalanceoftripsaregenerated:1. bysteppingupandthenfollowingthenonsheltertripgenerationcurve(ifTScen*is<maxtripgenerationtime)or2. bysteppingupto100%(ifT Scen*is>maxtripgenerationtime)c. Note:Thisprocedureimpliesthattheremaybedifferentstagedtripgenerationdistributionsfordifferentscenarios.NUREG/CR 7002usesthestatement ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"approximately90 thpercentile"asthetimetoendstagingandbeginevacuating.ThevalueofTScen*is1:253. Stagedtripgenerationdistributionsarecreatedforthefollowingpopulationgroups:a. Residentswithreturningcommutersb. ResidentswithoutreturningcommutersFigure5 5presentsthestagedtripgenerationdistributionsforbothresidentswithandwithoutreturningcommuters;the90 thpercentiletwo mileevacuationtimeis85minutesforgoodweather.Duetotheuseof15minutetimeperiodsinthisanalysis,T Scen*wasroundedtothenearest15minuteincrement-90minutes.Atthe90 thpercentileevacuationtime,20%ofthepopulation(whonormallywouldhavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivitiesforanun stagedevacuation)advisedtoshelterhasneverthelessdepartedthearea.Thesepeopledonotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory.Alsoincludedontheplotarethetripgenerationdistributionsforthesegroupsasappliedtotheregionsadvisedtoevacuateimmediately.Sincethe90 thpercentileevacuationtimeoccursbeforetheendofthetripgenerationtime,aftertheshelteredregionisadvisedtoevacuate,thesheltertripgenerationdistributionrisestomeetthebalanceofthenonstagedtripgenerationdistribution.FollowingtimeTScen*,thebalanceofstagedevacuationtripsthatarereadytodepartarereleasedwithin15minutes.AfterT Scen*+15,theremainderofevacuationtripsaregeneratedinaccordancewiththeunstagedtripgenerationdistribution.Table5 9providesthetripgenerationhistogramsforstagedevacuation.5.4.3 TripGenerationforWaterwaysandRecreationalAreasSection4.1.1.4ofCPNPPEmergencyPlanManualstatesthat"SquawCreekParkshallbeevacuatedusinginstructionintheSquawCreekParkEmergencyPlan",whichstatesthatparkpersonnelwouldnotifyanyonethatisinthepark.AsindicatedinTable5 2,thisstudyassumes100%notificationin45minutesinaccordancewiththeFEMAREPprogrammanual.Table5 8indicatesthatalltransientswillhavemobilizedwithin1hourand45minutes.Itisassumedtha tthistimeframeissufficienttimeforboaters,campersandothertransientstoreturntotheirvehiclesandbegintheirevacuationtrip.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table5 8.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforUn stagedEvacuationTimePeriodDuration(Min)PercentofTotalTripsGeneratedWithinIndicatedTimePeriodEmployees(DistributionA)Transients(DistributionA)ResidentswithCommuters(DistributionC)ResidentsWithoutCommuters(DistributionD)1157%7%0%3%21533%33%1%17%31532%32%5%31%41513%13%14%21%5156%6%17%12%6156%6%16%7%7153%3%13%4%8150%0%11%1%9150%0%7%1%10150%0%5%1%11150%0%4%1%12150%0%3%1%13300%0%3%0%14300%0%1%0%156000%0%0%0%NOTE: Shadowvehiclesareloadedontotheanalysisnetwork(Figure1 2)usingDistributionC. SpecialeventvehiclesareloadedusingDistributionA.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 4.ComparisonofTripGenerationDistributions0 20 40 60 80100 060120180240 PercentofPopulationBeginningEvacuationTripElapsedTimefromEvacuationAdvisory(min)TripGenerationDistributions Employees/TransientsResidentswithCommutersResidentswithnoCommuters ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table5 9.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforStagedEvacuationTimePeriodDuration(Min)PercentofTotalTripsGeneratedWithinIndicatedTimePeriod*ResidentswithCommuters(DistributionC)ResidentsWithoutCommuters(DistributionD)1 15 0%1%2 15 0%3%3 15 1%6%4 15 3%4%5 15 3%3%6 15 4%1%7 15 55%77%8 15 11%1%9 15 7%1%10 15 5%1%11 15 4%1%12 15 3%1%13 30 3%0%14 30 1%0%15600 0%0%*TripGenerationforEmployeesandTransients(seeTable5 8)isthesameforUn stagedandStagedEvacuation.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant5 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 5.ComparisonofStagedandUn stagedTripGenerationDistributionsinthe2to5MileRegion0 20 40 60 801000306090120150180210240
%ofPopulationBeginningEvacuationTripElapsedTimefromEvacuationAdvisory(min)StagedandUnstagedEvacuationTripGeneration Employees/TransientsResidentswithCommutersResidentswithnoCommutersStagedResidentswithCommutersStagedResidentswithnoCommuters ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.16 DEMANDESTIMATIONFOREVACUATIONSCENARIOSAnevacuation"case"definesacombinationofEvacuationRegionandEvacuationScenario.Thedefinitionsof"Region"and"Scenario"areasfollows:RegionAgroupingofcontiguousevacuatingZonesthatformseithera"keyhole"sector basedarea,oracircularareawithintheEPZ,thatmustbeevacuatedinresponsetoaradiologicalemergenc y.ScenarioAcombinationofcircumstances,includingtimeofday,dayofweek,season,andweatherconditions.Scenariosdefinethenumberofpeopleineachoftheaffectedpopulationgroupsandtheirrespectivemobilizationtimedistributions.Atotalof92RegionsweredefinedwhichencompassallthegroupingsofZonesconsidered.TheseRegionsaredefinedinTable6 1throughTable6 6.TheZoneconfigurationsareidentifiedinFigure6 1.Eachkeyholesector basedareaconsistsofacentralcirclecenteredatthepowerplant,andthreeorfiveadjoiningsectors,eachwithacentralangleof22.5degrees,asperNUREG/CR 7002guidance.Thecentralsectorcoincideswiththewinddirection.Thesesectorsextendto5milesfromtheplant(RegionsR04throughR17andRegionsR34throughR47)ortotheEPZboundary(RegionsR18throughR33andRegionsR48throughR63).RegionsR01,R02andR03representevacuationsofcircula rareaswithradiiof2,5and10miles,respectively.RegionsR64throughR78areidenticaltoRegionsR02,andR04throughR17,respectivelyforathreesectorkeyhole;RegionsR64,andR79throughR92areidenticaltoRegionsR02,andR34throughR47,respectivelyforafivesectorkeyhole.However,thoseZonesbetween2milesand5milesarestageduntil90%ofthe2 mileregion(RegionR01)hasevacuated.Atotalof12ScenarioswereevaluatedforallRegions.Thus,thereareatotalof92x12=1,104evacuationcases.Table6 7isadescriptionofallScenarios.Eachcombi nationofregionandscenarioimpliesaspecificpopulationtobeevacuated.Table6 8presentsthepercentageofeachpopulationgroupestimatedtoevacuateforeachscenario.Table6 9presentsthevehiclecountsforeachscenarioforanevacuationofRegionR03-theentireEPZ.ThevehicleestimatespresentedinSection3arepeakvalues.Thesepeakvaluesareadjusteddependingonthescenarioandregionbeingconsidered,usingscenarioandregionspecificpercentages,suchthattheaveragepopulationisconsideredforeachevacuationcase.ThescenariopercentagesarepresentedinTable6 8,whiletheregionalpercentagesareprovidedinTableH 1throughTableH 3.ThepercentagespresentedinTable6 8weredeterminedasfollows:Thenumberofresidentswithcommutersduringtheweek(whenworkforceisatitspeak)isequaltotheproductof40%(thenumberofho useholdswithatleastonecommuter)and45%(thenumberofhouseholdswithacommuterthatwouldawaitthereturnofthecommuter ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1priortoevacuating).Seeassumption3inSection2.3.Itisestimatedforweekendandeveningscenariosthat10%ofhouseholdswithreturningcommuterswillhaveacommuteratworkduringthosetimes.Employmentisassumedtobeatitspeakduringthewinter,midweek,middayscenarios.Employmentisreducedslightly(96%)forsummer,midweek,middayscenarios.Thisisbasedontheestimationthat50%oftheemployeescommutingintotheEPZwillbeonvacationforaweekduringtheapproximate12weeksofsummer.Itisfurtherestimatedthatthosetakingvacationwillbeuniformlydispersedthroughoutthesummerwithapproximately4%ofemployeesvacationingeachweek.Itisfurtherestimatedthatonly10%oftheemployeesareworkingintheeveningsandduringtheweekends.Transientactivityisestimatedtobepeakat90%duringsummerweekendsandisless(70%)duringtheweek.Transientsdonotpeakat100%becausedifferentfacilitiespeakatdifferenttimes.AsshowninAppendixE,thereisasignificantamountoflodgingandcampgroundsofferingovernightaccommodationsintheEPZ;thus,transientactivityisestimatedtobehighduringeveninghours-80%forsummerand70%forwinter.Transientactivityislessduringthewinter-60%duringtheweekand75%onweekends.AsnotedintheshadowfootnotetoTable6 8,theshadowpercentagesarecomputedusingabaseof20%(seeassumption5inSection2.2);toincludetheemployeeswithintheshadowregionwhomaychoosetoevacuate,thevoluntaryevacuationismultipliedbyascenario specificproportionofemployeestopermanentresidentsintheshadowregion.Forexample,usingthevaluesprovidedinTable6 9forScenario1,theshadowpercentageiscomputedasfollows:Onespecialevent-FourthofJulyinGranbury-wasconsideredasScenario11.Thus,thespecialeventtrafficis100%evacuatedforScenario11,and0%forallotherscenarios.Itisestimatedthatsummerschoolenrollmentisapproximately10%ofenrollmentduringtheregularschoolyearforsummer,midweek,middayscenarios.Schoolisno tinsessionduringweekendsandevenings,thusnobusesforschoolchildrenareneededunderthosecircumstances.AsdiscussedinSection7,schoolsareinsessionduringthewinterseason,midweek,middayand100%ofbuseswillbeneededunderthosecircumstances.Transitbusesforthetransit dependentpopulationaresetto100%forallscenariosasitisassumedthatthetransit dependentpopulationispresentintheEPZforallscenarios.Externaltrafficisestimatedtobereducedby60%duringeveningscenariosandis100%forallotherscenarios.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR01throughR17CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR01 2MileRadius xxR02 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR03FullEPZxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxCP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR04A SxxxxxxR05BSSWxxxxxxR06C SWxxxxxxxxxR07DWSWxxxxxxx xR08E W xxxxxxR09FWNW xxxxxx xR10G NW xxxxx xR11H,JNNW,N xxxx xR12K NNE xxxx x xR13L NE xx xxxR14MENE xx xxx xR15N E xxxx xR16PESE xx x xR17Q,RSE,SSE xx x xShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionZoneEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:Zone ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 2.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-Regions18throughR33 CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR18A Sxxxxxxxxxx xR19BSSWxxxxxx xxxx xR20C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxR21DWSWxxxxxxxxxx xR22E WxxxxxxxxxxR23FWNW xxxxxxxxx xR24G NW xxxxxxxx xR25HNNW xxxxxxxxx xR26J N xxxxxxxx xR27KNNE xxxxxxxxx xR28L NE xx x x x xxxxR29M ENE x xxxxxxxxxR30N E x x x xxxxxxR31PESE x xxxxxx xR32Q SE xx x x x xxxR33R SSE xx x xxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)Evacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 3.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR34throughR47
CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR34A SxxxxxxxR35BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR36C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR37E Wxxxxxxxx x xR38FWNW xxxxxxx xR39G NW xxxxxx x xR40HNNW xxxxx x xR41J N xxxx x xR42KNNE xxxxxxxR43L NE xxxxxxxxR44M,NENE,E xx xxx xR45PESE x x x xxxR46Q SE x x xxxR47R SSExxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)Shelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescription ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 4.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR48throughR63 CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR48A SxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR49BSSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR50C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR51DWSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR52E Wxxxxxxxxxxxxx x xR53FWNWxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR54G NW xxxxxxxxxxxxx xR55HNNW xxxxxxxxxxx xR56J N xxxxxxxxxxx xR57KNNE xxxxxxxxxx xxxR58L NE xxxxxxxxxxxxxxR59M ENE xx x x x xxx x x x xR60N E x xxxxxxxxxx xR61PESE x x xxxxxxxxx xR62Q SE xxxxxxxxxxxxR63R SSExxxxxxxxxxxxxZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR64throughR78
CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR64 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR65A SxxxxxxR66BSSWxxxxxxR67C SWxxxxxxxxxR68DWSWxxxxxxxxR69E W xxxxxxR70FWNW xxxxxx xR71G NW xxxxx xR72H,JNNW,N xxxx xR73KNNE xxxx x xR74L NE xx xxxR75M ENE xx xxx xR76N E xxxx xR77PESE xx x xR78Q,RSE,SSE xx x xDescriptionZoneStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)Shelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 6.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR79throughR92CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARN/A 5MileRadiusR79A SxxxxxxxR80BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR81C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR82E Wxxxxxxxx x xR83FWNW xxxxxxx xR84G NW xxxxxx x xR85HNNW xxxxx x xR86J N xxxx x xR87KNNE xxxxxxxR88L NE xxxxxxxxR89M,NENE,E xx xxx xR90PESE x x x xxxR91Q SE x x xxxR92R SSExxxxxxShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneRefertoRegionR64 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure6 1.CPNPPEPZZones ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 7.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 1DayofWeekTimeofDayWeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone9WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone10WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone11SummerWeekendMiddayGoodFourthofJulyinGranbury12SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosureonUS 377NBandonUS 67NB1Wintermeansthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summermeansthatschoolisnotinsession.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 8.PercentofPopulationGroupsEvacuatingforVariousScenariosScenarioHouseholdsWithReturningCommutersHouseholdsWithoutReturningCommutersEmployees Transients ShadowGranburyFourthofJulyTexasAmphitheatreSchoolBusesTransitBusesExternalThroughTraffic118%82%96%70%21%0%0%10%100%100%218%82%96%70%21%0%0%10%100%100%32%98%10%90%20%0%0%0%100%100%42%98%10%90%20%0%0%0%100%100%52%98%10%80%20%0%0%0%100%40%618%82%100%60%21%0%0%100%100%100%718%82%100%60%21%0%0%100%100%100%82%98%10%75%20%0%100%0%100%100%92%98%10%75%20%0%100%0%100%100%102%98%10%70%20%0%100%0%100%40%112%98%10%90%20%100%0%0%100%100%1218%82%96%70%21%0%0%10%100%100%ResidentHouseholdswithCommuters........HouseholdsofEPZresidentswhoawaitthereturnofcommuterspriortobeginningtheevacuationtrip.ResidentHouseholdswithNoCommuters...HouseholdsofEPZresidentswhodonothavecommutersorwillnotawaitthereturnofcommuterspriortobeginningtheevacuationtrip.Employees..................................................EPZemployeeswh oliveoutsidetheEPZTransients...................................................PeoplewhoareintheEPZatthetimeofanaccidentforrecreationalorother(nonemployment)purposes.Shadow......................................................Residentsandemployeesintheshadowregion(outsideoftheEPZ)whowillspontaneouslydecidetorelocateduringtheevacuation.Thebasisforthevaluesshownisa20%relocationofshadowresidentsalongwithaproportionalpercentageofshadowemployees.GranburyFourthofJuly..............................AdditionalvehiclesintheEPZduetotheidentifiedspecialevent.TexasAmphitheatreFacilityisopenonweekendsduringthemonthsofSeptemberthroughNovember,thereforeitwasonlyconsideredonwinterweekends.SchoolandTransitBuses.............................Vehicleequivalentspresentontheroadduringevacuationservicingschoolsandtransitdependentpeople(1busisequivalentto2passengervehicles).ExternalThroughTraffic..............................Trafficonmajorarterialroadsatthestartoftheevacuation.Thistrafficisstoppedbyaccesscontrolapproximately2hoursaftertheevacuationbegins.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant6 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 9.VehicleEstimatesbyScenarioScenarioHouseholdsWithReturningCommutersHouseholdsWithoutReturningCommutersEmployees Transients Shadow GranburyFourthofJulyTexasAmphitheatre SchoolBusesTransitBusesExternalThroughTrafficTotalScenarioVehicles 13,70316,8641,3024,4302,85117463,32432,537 23,70316,8641,3024,4302,85117463,32432,537 337020,1971365,6962,699463,32432,468 437020,1971365,6962,699463,32432,468 537020,1971365,0632,699461,33029,841 63,70316,8641,3563,7972,858168463,32432,116 73,70316,8641,3563,7972,858168463,32432,116 837020,1971364,7472,6991,250 463,32432,769 937020,1971364,7472,6991,250 463,32432,769 1037020,1971364,4302,6991,250 461,33030,458 1137020,1971365,6962,6993,768 463,32436,236 123,70316,8641,3024,4302,85117463,32432,537 Notes:VehicleestimatesareforanevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)TransitBusesincludethe2buses(4passengercarequivalents)forSomervellCountyJail.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17 GENERALPOPULATIONEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES(ETE)ThissectionpresentstheETEresultsofthecomputeranalysesusingtheDYNEVIISystemdescribedinAppendicesB,CandD.Theseresultscover92regionswithintheCPNPPEPZandthe12EvacuationScenariosdiscussedinSection6.TheETEforallEvacuatio nCasesarepresentedinTable7 1andTable7 2.ThesetablespresenttheestimatedtimestocleartheindicatedpopulationpercentagesfromtheEvacuationRegionsforallEvacuationScenarios.TheETEforthe2 mileregioninbothstagedandun stagedregionsarepresentedinTable7 3andTable7 4.Table7 5throughTable7 10definetheEvacuationRegionsconsidered.ThetabulatedvaluesofETEareobtainedfromtheDYNEVIISystemoutputswhicharegeneratedat5 minuteintervals.7.1 VoluntaryEvacuationandShadowEvacuation"Voluntaryevacuees"arepeoplewithintheEPZinaZoneforwhichanAdvisorytoEvacuat ehasnotbeenissued,yetwhoelecttoevacuate."Shadowevacuation"isthevoluntaryoutwardmovementofsomepeoplefromtheShadowRegion(outsidetheEPZ)forwhomnoprotectiveactionrecommendationhasbeenissued.Bothvoluntaryandshadowevacuationsareassumedtotakeplaceoverthesametimeframeastheevacuationfromwithinth eimpactedEvacuationRegion.TheETEfortheCPNPPEPZaddressestheissueofvoluntaryevacueesinthemannershowninFigure7 1.WithintheEPZ,20percentofpeoplelocatedinZonesoutsideoftheevacuatio nregion,whoarenotadvisedtoevacuate,areassumedtoelecttoevacuate.Similarly,itisassumedthat20percentofthosepeopleintheShadowRegionwillchoosetoleavethearea.Figure7 2presentstheareaidentifiedastheShadowRegion.ThisregionextendsradiallyfromtheplanttocoveraregionbetweentheEPZboundaryandapproximately15miles.ThepopulationandnumberofevacuatingvehiclesintheShadowRegionwereestimatedusingthesamemethodologythatwasusedforpermanentresidentswithintheEPZ(seeSection3.1).AsdiscussedinSection3.2,itisestimatedthatatotalof22,924peopleresideintheShadowRegion;20percentofthemwouldevacuate.SeeTable6 9fo rthenumberofevacuatingvehiclesfromtheShadowRegion.TrafficgeneratedwithinthisShadowRegion,travelingawayfromtheCPNPPlocation,hasthepotentialforimpedingevacuatingvehiclesfromwithintheEvacuationRegion.AllETEcalculationsincludethisshadowtrafficmovement.7.2 StagedEvacuationAsdefinedinNUREG/CR 7002,stagedevacuationconsistsofthefollowing:1. Zonescomprisingthe2mileregionareadvisedtoevacuateimmediately.2. Zonescomprisingregionsextendingfrom2to5milesdownwindareadvisedtoshelterin placewhilethe2mileregioniscleared.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13. Asvehiclesevacuatethe2mileregion,peoplefrom2to5milesdownwindcontinuepreparationforevacuationwhiletheyshelter.4. Thepopulationshelteringinthe2to5mileregionisadvisedtoevacuatewhenapproximately90%ofthe2mileregionevacuatingtrafficcrossesthe2mileregionboundary.5. Non compliancewithth eshelterrecommendationisthesameastheshadowevacuationpercentageof20%.SeeSection5.4.2foradditionalinformationonstagedevacuation.7.3 PatternsofTrafficCongestionduringEvacuationFigure7 3throughFigure7 8illustratethepatternsoftrafficcongestionthatariseforthecasewhentheentireEPZ(RegionR03)isadvisedtoevacuateduringthesummer,midweek,middayperiodundergoodweatherconditions(Scenario1).Trafficcongestion,asthetermisusedhere,isdefinedasLevelofService(LOS)F.LOSFisdefinedasfollows(HCM2010,page5 5):TheHCMus esLOSFtodefineoperationsthathaveeitherbrokendown(i.e.,demandexceedscapacity)orhaveexceededaspecifiedservicemeasurevalue,orcombinationofservicemeasurevalues,thatmostuserswouldconsiderunsatisfactory.However,particularlyforplanningapplicationswheredifferentalternativesmaybecompared,analystsmaybeinterestedinknowingjusthowbadtheLOSFconditionis.Severalmeasuresareavailabletodescribeindividually,orincombination,theseverityofaLOSFcondition:*Demand to capacityratiosdescribetheextenttowhichcapacityisexceededduringtheanalysisperiod(e.g.,by1%,15%,etc.);*DurationofLOSFdescribeshowlongtheconditionpersists(e.g.,15min,1h,3h);and*SpatialextentmeasuresdescribetheareasaffectedbyLOSFconditions.Theseincludemeasuressuchasthebackofqueue,andtheidentificationofthespecificintersectionapproachesorsystemelementsexperiencingLOSFconditions.Allhighway"links"whichexperienceLOSFaredelineatedinthesefiguresbyathickredline;allothersarelightlyindicated.Congestiondevelopsrapidlyaroundconcentrationsofpopulationandtrafficbottlenecks.Figure7 3displaysthetrafficcongestionpatterns30minutesaftertheATEonTX 144justeastofGranburyontheapproachestoUS 377andalongUS 377northbound.LOSFisalsoexperien cedonthosesidestreetsapproachingUS 67inGlenRose.Manyotherroadsinthestudyareahavesignificanttrafficvolume(TX 144southbound,FarmtoMarket(FM)51northbound),butareoperatingatorbelowcapacity(LOSE).AtonehouraftertheATE(Figure7 4),trafficcongestionwithintheEPZhasintensified.AllthemajorpopulationcentersintheEPZ(GlenRose,GranburyandTolar)arecongestedatthistime.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FM56northboundandUS 377southboundarebothoperatingatLOSFinTolar.TX144northboundtowardsGranburyiscongestedasareallwestboundlocalroadsapproachingTX 144.MostoftheroadsinGranburyarecongested.TheShadowRegiontothenorthandeastofGranburyisalsoexperiencingtrafficcongestion,especiallyalongFM51northbound,US 377northboundandFM167northboundattheintersectionwithUS 377.MostoftheroadsinGlenRosearecongestedaswell.US 67northboundnearNemoisoperatingatLOSF.ThereistrafficvolumeonFM56northboundfromtheplanttoTolar,whicharemostlyplantemployeesevacuating.Thispathisonlycongestedattheinterch angewithFM51whereFM56jogswestboundalongFM51beforecontinuingnorthbound.Notethatthereisnotrafficcongestionwithinthe2mileregionatanytime.Figure7 5displaysthetrafficcongestionpatternsand1hourand30minutesaftertheATE.MostroadwaysinGlenRoseareoperatingatcapacityorbelow.CongestioninTolarhasintensified.SometrafficisdivertingwestboundoffFM56alonglocalroadstoaccessFM2870.CongestioninGranburyissimilartothepatternsat1hour.Tr afficisdivertingwestboundalongNeriRdfromTX 144toaccessFM51northboundtowardGranburyandbypassthecongestionalongTX 144northbound.ThereistrafficcongestionalongMonticelloDrleavingPecanPlantation.PlanttrafficalongFM56isdissipating.Allplantemployeeshavemobilizedatthistime.At2hoursafterth eATE,asshowninFigure7 6,thereisnocongestionsouthoftheplantwithallroadwaysoperatingatLOSA.TrafficcongestioninTolarandGranburyisstillsignificant.FM167northboundthroughDecordovaintheShadowRegionisoperatingatLOSFforseveralmilesasevacuatingvehiclesfromPecanPlantationmixwithshadowevacuees.FM4eastboundisalsocongestedinthisareaassomeevacueesdiverteastboundtoavoidcongestionattheintersectionofFM167andUS 377.Allcongestedroadwaysareabout10milesfromCPNPP,orwithintheShadowRegion.Figure7 7showsthattrafficcongestionwithinGranburyhasclearedat3hoursand5minutesaftertheATE.TrafficcongestioninTolarisdissipatingwithonlyasmallportionofUS 377stilloperatingatLOSF;theremaininghighwayswithintheEPZareuncongested.Congestionisdissipatingbutisstillsignificantwith intheShadowRegiontothenortheastoftheplant.Finally,Figure7 8displaysanEPZthatiscompletelyclearoftrafficcongestionat3hoursand20minutesaftertheATE(wellbeforethecompletionofmobilizationtimeat4hours),withallroadwaysintheEPZoperatingatLOSA.SomecongestionremainsintheShadowRegiontothenortheastoftheplant.Thiscongestionclears35minuteslaterat3hoursand55minutesaftertheATE.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17.4 EvacuationRatesEvacuationisacontinuousprocess,asimpliedbyFigure7 9throughFigure7 20.ThesefiguresindicatetherateatwhichtrafficflowsoutoftheindicatedareasforthecaseofanevacuationofthefullEPZ(RegionR03)undertheindicatedconditions.Onefigureispresentedforeachscenarioco nsidered.AsindicatedinFigure7 9,thereistypicallyalong"tail"tothesedistributions.Vehiclesbegintoevacuateanareaslowlyatfirst,aspeoplerespondtotheATEatdifferentrates.Thentrafficdemandbuildsrapidly(slopesofcurvesincrease).Whenthesystembecomescongested,trafficexitstheEPZatratessomewhatbelowcapacityuntilsomeevacuationrouteshavecleared.Asmoreroutesclear,theaggregaterateofegressslowssincemanyvehicleshavealreadylefttheEPZ.Towardstheendoftheprocess,relativelyfewevacuationroutesservicetheremainingdemand.Thisdeclineinaggregateflowrate,towardstheendoftheprocess,ischaracterizedbythesecurvesflatteningandgraduallybecominghorizontal.Ideally,itwouldbedesirabletofullysaturateallevacuationroutesequallysothatallwillservicetrafficnearcapacitylevelsandallwillclearatthesametime.Forthisidealsituation,allcurveswouldretainthesameslopeunti ltheend-thusminimizingevacuationtime.Inreality,thisidealisgenerallyunattainablereflectingthespatialvariationinpopulationdensity,mobilizationratesandinhighwaycapacityovertheEPZ.7.5 EvacuationTimeEstimate(ETE)ResultsTable7 1andTable7 2presenttheETEvaluesforall92EvacuationRegionsandall12EvacuationScenarios.Table7 3andTable7 4presenttheETEvaluesforthe2 mileregionforbothstagedandun stagedkeyholeregionsdownwindto5miles.Thetablesareorganizedasfollows:TableContents 7 1ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor90percentofthepopulationwithinaRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegion.AllScenariosareconsidered,aswellasStagedEvacuationscenarios.7 2ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor100percentofthepopulationwithinaRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegion.AllScenariosareconsidered,aswellasStagedEvacuationscenarios.7 3ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor90percentofthepopulationwithinthe2 mileRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegionwithbothConcurrentandStagedEvacuations.7 4ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor100percentofthepopulationwithinthe2 mileRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegionwithbothConcurrentandStagedEvacuations.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TheanimationsnapshotsdescribedabovereflecttheETEstatisticsfortheconcurrent(un staged)evacuationscenariosandregions,whicharedisplayedinFigure7 3throughFigure7 8.MostofthecongestionislocatedintheEPZpopulationcenterswhicharebeyondthe2 mileregion;thisisreflectedintheETEstatistics: The90 thpercentileETEforthe2 mileregion(R01)is1:25forallscenarios,whichisthetimeneededtomobilize90%ofplantemployees(SeeFigure5 4). The90 thpercentileETEforthe5 mileregion(R02)isabout20minuteslongerthanR01duetothelimitedtrafficcongestioninGlenRose,formostscenarios. The90 thpercentileETEforRegionsR03(fullEPZ)andR33(whichextendstotheEPZboundary)areupto2:40duetocongestioninTolarandGranbury.The100 thpercentileETEforallRegionsandforallScenariosareequaltothemobilizationtime(4hours)plusthetimetotraveltotheregionboundary(5minuteswhenevacuatingto5milesand10minuteswhenevacuatingtotheEPZboundary)atLOSA,wellaftercongestionwithintheEPZdissipates.ComparisonofScenario s3and11inTable7 1indicatesthattheSpecialEvent-FourthofJulyinGranbury-increasesETEatthe90 thpercentilebyupto20minutes.The100 thpercentileETE(Table7 2)areunaffected.AsdiscussedinSection7.3andshowninFigure7 7andFigure7 8,thelastroadwaytoclearintheEPZisUS 377throughTolar.Theadditional3,768vehiclespresentfortheFourthofJulyholidayincreaselocalcongestioninGranburywhichclea rslaterthanthebottleneckinTolar.ComparisonofScenarios1and12inTable7 1indicatesthattheroadwayclosure-US 377NBfromTX 144tojusteastofFM167plusasinglelaneclosureonUS 67NBfromFM205toTX 144andSomervellCR316toJohnsonCR1119-increaseETEatthe90 thpercentilebyatmost15minutesforRegion03.The100 thpercentileETEareunaffected.SincetrafficcongestionalongUS 67clearsaboutanhourandahalfbeforecongestioninGranbury,thelaneclosurealongUS 67doesnotimpactETE.ThelaneclosurealongUS 377compoundscongestioninGranburyandintheShadowRegiontothenortheast,lengtheningtheETE.Theresultsoftheroadwayimpactscenarioind icatethateventssuchasadverseweather(rain)ortrafficaccidentswhichclosealaneonUS 377orUS 67canincrease90percentileETEbyupto15minutes.Stateandlocalpolicecouldconsidertrafficmanagementtacticssuchasusingtheshoulderoftheroadwayasatravellaneorre routingoftrafficalongotherevacuationroutestoavoidoverwhelmingtheseroutes.7.6 StagedEvacuationResultsTable7 3andTable7 4presentacomparisonoftheETEcompiledfortheconcurrent(un staged)andstagedevacuationstudies.NotethatRegionsR64throughR78ar ethesamegeographicareasasRegionsR02andR04throughR17,respectively.Also,RegionsR79throughR92areidenticaltoRegionsR02andR34throughR47,respectively.Todeterminewhetherthestagedevacuationstrategyisworthyofconsideration,onemust ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1showthattheETEforthe2 mileregioncanbereducedwithoutsignificantlyaffectingtheregionbetween2milesand5miles.InallcasesforCPNPP,asshowninthesetables,theETEforthe2mileregionisunchangedwhenastagedevacuationisimplemented.Thereasonforthisisthatcongestionwithinthe5 milere gionoccurstoalimitedextentatadistanceofabout5milesfromCPNPPanddoesnotextendupstreamtopenetratetowithin2milesoftheCPNPP.Consequently,thereisnomaterialimpedanceexperiencedbyevacueesfromwithinthe2 milearea,duetocongestionwithinthe5 mileregion ,thatmateriallyinfluencesthe90 thpercentileETEforthe2 milearea.Therefore,stagingtheevacuationtosharplyreducecongestionwithinthe5 mileregionwhilethosewithinthe2 mileregionareevacuating,providesnobenefitstotheseevacueesfromwithinthe2mileregion.The100 percentileETEarenotinfluencedbystagingtheevacuation.Whilefailin gtoprovideassistancetoevacueesfromwithin2milesoftheCPNPP,stagingcanincreasetheETEforthoseevacuatingfromwithinthe5 milearea.AcomparisonofETEbetweenRegionsR64throughR78withRegionsR02andR04throughR17,respectively,andR79throughR92withRegionsR02andR34throughR47,respect ively,indicatesthatETEcanincreasebyasmuchas25minuteswithinthe5 milearea,whenimplementingastagedevacuation.ThislongerETEisduetothedelayinbeginningtheevacuationtripexperiencedbythosewhoshelter,plusthepotentialeffectofthetrip generation"spike"(significantvolumeoftrafficbeginningtheevacuationtripatthesametime-seeFigure5 5)thatfollowstheirdelayedATE,increatingcongestionwithintheEPZareabeyond2miles.Insummary,thestagedevacuationprotectiveactionstrategyprovidesnomaterialbenefitstoevacueesfromwithinthe2 milere gionofCPNPPandcoulddelaytheevacuationofmanyevacueeslocatedbeyond2milesfromtheCPNPP.7.7 GuidanceonUsingETETablesTheuserfirstdeterminesthepercentileofpopulationforwhichtheETEissought(TheNRCguidancecallsforthe90 thpercentile).TheapplicablevalueofETEwithintheappropriateTablemaythenbeidentifiedusingthefollowingprocedure:1. IdentifytheapplicableScenario:* Season Summer Winter(alsoAutumnandSpring)* DayofWeek Midweek Weekend* TimeofDay Midday Evening* WeatherCondition GoodWeather Rain ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1* SpecialEvent FourthofJulyinGranbury LaneClosure(AlaneUS 377northboundandalaneonUS 67northboundisclosed) N/A* EvacuationStaging No,StagedEvacuationisnotconsidered Yes,StagedEvacuationisconsideredWhiletheseScenariosaredesigned,inaggregate,torepresentconditionsthroughouttheyear,somefurtherclarificationiswarranted:* Theconditionsofasummerevening(eithermidweekorweekend)andrainarenotexplicitlyidentifiedintheTables.Fortheseconditions,Scenarios(2)and(4)apply.* Theconditionsofawinterevening(eithermidweekorweekend)andrainarenotexplicitlyidentifiedintheTables.Fortheseconditions,Scenarios(7)and(10)apply.* Theseasonsaredefinedasfollows: Summerassumesthatpublicschoolsarenotinsession. Winter(includesSpringandAutumn)considersthatpublicschoolsareinsession.* TimeofDay:Middayimpliesthetimeoverwhichmostcommutersareatworkoraretravellin gto/fromwork.2. WiththedesiredpercentileETEandScenarioidentified,nowidentifytheEvacuationRegionandtheNumberofSectors(3or5)usedtodefineakeyholeRegion:* Determinetheprojectedazimuthdirectionoftheplume(coincidentwiththewinddirection).Thisdirectionisexpressedintermsofcompassorientation:fromN,NNE,NE,-* DeterminethedistancethattheEvacuationRegionwillextendfromthenuclearpowerplant.TheapplicabledistancesandtheirassociatedcandidateRegionsaregivenbelow: 2Miles(RegionR01) To5Miles(RegionsR02,R04-R17,R34-R47orR64-R78andR79-R92) ToEPZBoundary(RegionsR03,R18-R33orR48-R63)* EnterTable7 5throughTable7 10andidentifytheapplicablegroupofcandidateRegionsbasedonthedistancethattheselectedRegionextendsfromtheCPNPP.Selectth eEvacuationRegionidentifierinthatrow,basedontheazimuthdirectionoftheplume,fromthefirstcolumnoftheTable.3. DeterminetheETETablebasedontheETEpercentileselected.Then,fortheScenarioidentifiedinStep1andtheRegionandNumberofSectorsidentifiedinStep2,proceedasfollows:* ThecolumnsofTable7 1arelabeledwiththeScenarionumbers.IdentifythepropercolumnintheselectedTableusingtheScenarionumberdefinedinStep1.* IdentifytherowinthistablethatprovidesETEvaluesfortheRegionidentifiedinStep2.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1* TheuniquedatacelldefinedbythecolumnandrowsodeterminedcontainsthedesiredvalueofETEexpressedinHours:Minutes.ExampleItisdesiredtoidentifytheETEforthefollowingconditions:* Sunday,August10 that4:00AM.* Itisraining.* Winddirectionisfromthenortheast(NE).* Windspeedissuchthatthedistancetobeevacuatedisjudgedtobea2 mileradiusanddownwindto10miles(toEPZboundary)withawidthof3sectors.* ThedesiredETEisthatvalueneededtoevacuate90percentofthepopul ationfromwithintheimpactedRegion.* Astagedevacuationisnotdesired.Table7 1isapplicablebecausethe90 thpercentileETEisdesired.Proceedasfollows:1. IdentifytheScenarioassummer,weekend,eveningandraining.EnteringTable7 1,itisseenthatthereisnomatchforthesedescriptors.However,theclarificationgivenaboveassignsthiscombinationofcircumstancestoScenario4.2. EnterTable7 6andlocatetheRegiondescribedas"Evacuate2 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)"forwinddirectionfromtheNE.ReadRegionR28inthefirstcolumnofthatrow.3. EnterTable7 1tolocatethedatacellcontainingthevalueofETEforScenario4andRegionR28.Thisdatace llisincolumn(4)andintherowforRegionR28;itcontainstheETEvalueof1:55.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR011:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R021:451:451:401:501:351:451:452:002:101:551:401:45R032:252:402:252:352:102:252:402:252:352:152:402:402 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R041:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R051:351:351:301:301:301:351:351:301:301:301:301:35R061:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:451:501:401:501:50R071:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:501:501:401:501:50R081:501:551:501:501:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R091:451:501:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R101:451:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R111:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R121:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R131:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R141:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R151:301:301:251:301:301:301:301:251:301:301:301:30R161:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R171:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:302 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)R182:252:352:202:352:102:252:352:152:302:102:402:35R192:202:302:202:252:102:202:302:152:252:052:352:30R202:102:102:052:052:002:102:102:052:052:002:102:10R212:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:05R222:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:052:05R231:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR241:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R251:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:152:001:451:50R261:451:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R271:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R281:501:501:501:551:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R291:501:551:501:501:401:501:551:501:501:401:501:50R301:551:551:501:501:401:551:551:501:551:451:501:55R311:552:001:501:551:451:552:001:501:551:451:501:55R322:002:001:451:501:402:002:051:451:451:401:452:00R332:252:402:202:402:052:252:302:152:252:002:352:352 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R341:351:351:301:301:301:351:351:301:301:301:301:35R351:501:501:451:451:351:501:501:451:451:351:451:50R361:501:501:501:501:401:501:501:501:501:401:501:50R371:451:451:451:451:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R381:451:451:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R391:451:451:451:501:351:451:452:052:102:001:451:45R401:451:451:451:501:351:451:502:052:102:001:451:45R411:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R421:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R431:451:451:401:451:351:451:452:052:102:001:401:45R441:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R451:301:301:251:251:251:301:351:251:251:251:251:30R461:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:30R471:301:301:251:251:251:301:301:251:251:251:251:302 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)R482:302:452:252:352:102:252:452:202:352:102:402:40R492:252:452:252:352:152:252:402:202:302:102:402:40 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR502:202:302:202:302:102:152:252:152:202:052:352:35R512:052:052:002:002:002:052:052:002:001:552:052:10R522:002:002:002:001:552:002:002:052:102:052:002:00R532:002:002:002:001:552:002:052:052:102:052:002:00R541:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R551:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R561:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:152:001:451:50R571:451:501:451:451:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:45R581:501:501:451:501:351:501:502:052:102:001:451:50R591:551:551:551:551:451:551:551:551:551:451:551:55R601:552:001:551:551:451:552:001:551:551:451:551:55R611:552:051:501:501:402:002:001:501:501:401:502:00R622:252:352:202:352:052:252:352:202:302:002:402:40R632:252:402:252:352:102:252:402:202:302:052:402:35StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R642:002:052:002:051:552:002:052:102:152:052:002:00R651:551:551:501:502:002:002:001:501:552:001:502:00R661:501:501:551:551:551:501:501:551:551:551:551:50R671:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R681:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R691:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R702:002:001:552:001:552:002:002:102:152:051:552:00R712:002:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:552:00R721:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R731:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R741:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R751:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R761:501:551:501:551:551:501:551:501:551:551:551:50 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR771:451:551:501:551:551:451:551:501:551:551:551:50R781:451:551:501:502:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:45StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R792:002:001:552:002:001:552:001:552:002:001:552:00R801:552:001:552:002:002:002:001:552:002:001:552:00R811:551:551:551:551:501:551:551:551:551:501:551:55R822:002:002:002:001:552:002:002:102:152:052:002:00R832:002:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:552:00R841:552:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:551:55R851:552:001:552:001:551:552:002:102:152:051:551:55R861:501:551:501:551:501:501:552:052:102:001:501:50R871:501:551:501:551:501:551:552:052:102:001:501:55R881:501:551:501:551:501:551:552:052:102:001:501:55R891:451:501:501:501:501:451:501:501:501:501:501:45R901:501:551:501:552:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:50R911:501:551:501:502:001:501:551:501:502:001:501:50R921:551:551:501:502:002:002:001:501:552:001:502:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R024:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R034:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:102 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R044:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R064:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R074:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R084:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R094:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R104:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R114:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R124:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R134:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R144:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R154:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R164:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R174:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:052 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)R184:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R194:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R204:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R214:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R224:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R234:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR244:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R254:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R264:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R274:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R284:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R294:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R304:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R314:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R324:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R334:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:102 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R344:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R354:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R364:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R374:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R384:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R394:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R404:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R414:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R424:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R434:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R444:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R454:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R464:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R474:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:052 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)R484:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R494:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR504:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R514:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R524:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R534:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R544:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R554:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R564:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R574:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R584:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R594:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R604:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R614:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R624:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10R634:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:104:10StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R644:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R654:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R664:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R674:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R684:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R694:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R704:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R714:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R724:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R734:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R744:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R754:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R764:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR774:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R784:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R794:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R804:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R814:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R824:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R834:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R844:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R854:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R864:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R874:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R884:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R894:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R904:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R914:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05R924:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:054:05 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR011:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R021:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R041:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R051:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R061:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R071:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R081:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R091:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R101:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R111:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R121:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R131:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R141:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R151:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R161:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R171:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R341:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R351:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R361:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R371:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R381:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R391:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R401:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR411:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R421:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R431:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R441:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R451:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R461:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R471:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation5 MileRegionR641:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R651:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R661:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R671:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R681:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R691:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R701:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R711:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R721:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R731:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R741:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R751:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R761:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R771:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R781:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R791:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R801:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R811:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR821:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R831:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R841:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R851:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R861:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R871:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R881:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R891:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R901:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R911:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25R921:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:251:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R024:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R044:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R054:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R064:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R074:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R084:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R094:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R104:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R114:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R124:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R134:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R144:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R154:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R164:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R174:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R344:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R354:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R364:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R374:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R384:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R394:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R404:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR414:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R424:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R434:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R444:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R454:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R464:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R474:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation5 MileRegionR644:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)R654:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R664:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R674:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R684:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R694:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R704:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R714:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R724:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R734:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R744:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R754:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R764:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R774:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R784:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)R794:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R804:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R814:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR824:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R834:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R844:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R854:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R864:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R874:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R884:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R894:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R904:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R914:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00R924:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:004:00 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR01throughR17CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR01 2MileRadius xxR02 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR03FullEPZxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxCP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR04A SxxxxxxR05BSSWxxxxxxR06C SWxxxxxxxxxR07DWSWxxxxxxx xR08E W xxxxxxR09FWNW xxxxxx xR10G NW xxxxx xR11H,JNNW,N xxxx xR12K NNE xxxx x xR13L NE xx xxxR14MENE xx xxx xR15N E xxxx xR16PESE xx x xR17Q,RSE,SSE xx x xShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionZoneEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:Zone ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 6.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR18throughR33CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR18A Sxxxxxxxxxx xR19BSSWxxxxxx xxxx xR20C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxR21DWSWxxxxxxxxxx xR22E WxxxxxxxxxxR23FWNW xxxxxxxxx xR24G NW xxxxxxxx xR25HNNW xxxxxxxxx xR26J N xxxxxxxx xR27K NNE xxxxxxxxx xR28L NE xx x x x xxxxR29MENE x xxxxxxxxxR30N E x x x xxxxxxR31PESE x xxxxxx xR32Q SE xx x x x xxxR33R SSE xx x xxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)Evacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 7.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR34throughR47CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR34A SxxxxxxxR35BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR36C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR37E Wxxxxxxxx x xR38FWNW xxxxxxx xR39G NW xxxxxx x xR40HNNW xxxxx x xR41J N xxxx x xR42K NNE xxxxxxxR43L NE xxxxxxxxR44M,NENE,E xx xxx xR45PESE x x x xxxR46Q SE x x xxxR47R SSExxxxxxEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)Shelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescription ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 8.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR48throughR63CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR48A Sxxxxxx xxxxxxxxR49BSSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR50C SWxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR51DWSWxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR52E Wxxxxxxxxxxxxx x xR53FWNWxxxxxxxxxxxxx xR54G NW xxxxxxxxxxxxx xR55HNNW xxxxxxxxxxx xR56J N xxxxxxxxxxx xR57K NNE xxxxxxxxxx xxxR58L NE xxxxxxxxxxxxxxR59MENE xx x x x xxx x x x xR60N E x xxxxxxxxxx xR61PESE x x xxxxxxxxx xR62Q SE xxxxxxxxxxxxR63R SSExxxxxxxxxxxxxZoneRegionSitePARCentralSectorDescriptionShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 9.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR64throughR78CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR64 5MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxR65A SxxxxxxR66BSSWxxxxxxR67C SWxxxxxxxxxR68DWSWxxxxxxx xR69E W xxxxxxR70FWNW xxxxxx xR71G NW xxxxx xR72H,JNNW,N xxxx xR73K NNE xxxx x xR74L NE xx xxxR75MENE xx xxx xR76N E xxxx xR77PESE xx x xR78Q,RSE,SSE xx x xDescriptionZoneStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)Shelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSector ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table710.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions-RegionsR79throughR92CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARN/A 5MileRadiusR79A SxxxxxxxR80BSSWxxxxxxxxxxR81C,DSW,WSWxxxxxxxxxR82E Wxxxxxxxx x xR83FWNW xxxxxxx xR84G NW xxxxxx x xR85HNNW xxxxx x xR86J N xxxx x xR87K NNE xxxxxxxR88L NE xxxxxxxxR89M,NENE,E xx xxx xR90PESE x x x xxxR91Q SE x x xxxR92R SSExxxxxxShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateZone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSectorWindDirectionFrom:ZoneRefertoRegionR64 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 2.CPNPPShadowRegion ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 3.CongestionPatternsat30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 4.CongestionPatternsat1HouraftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 5.CongestionPatternsat1Hour,30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 6.CongestionPatternsat2HoursaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 7.CongestionPatternsat3Hours,5MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 8.CongestionPatternsat3Hours,20MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 9.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario1forRegionR03Figure710.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario2forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good(Scenario1)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure711.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario3forRegionR03Figure712.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario4forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario3)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure713.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario5forRegionR03Figure714.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario6forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario5)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Midday,Good(Scenario6)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 40KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure715.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario7forRegionR03Figure716.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario8forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario8)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 41KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure717.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario9forRegionR03Figure718.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario10forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario9)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario10)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant7 42KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure719.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario11forRegionR03Figure720.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario12forRegionR030 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 400306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good,SpecialEvent(Scenario11)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350306090120150180210240270 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good,RoadwayImpact(Scenario12)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18 TRANSIT DEPENDENTANDSPECIALFACILITYEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATESThissectiondetailstheanalysesappliedandtheresultsobtainedintheformofevacuationtimeestimatesfortransitvehicles.Thedemandfortransitservicereflectstheneedsofthreepopulationgroups:(1)residentswithnovehiclesavailable;(2)residentsofspecialfacilitiessuchasschoolsanddaycar es,daycamps,medicalfacilities,andcorrectionalfacilities;and(3)homeboundspecialneedspopulation.Thesetransitvehiclesmixwiththegeneralevacuationtrafficthatiscomprisedmostlyof"passengercars"(pc's).ThepresenceofeachtransitvehicleintheevacuatingtrafficstreamisrepresentedwithinthemodelingparadigmdescribedinAppendixDasequivalenttotwopc's.Thisequivalencefactorrepresentsthelongersizeandmoresluggishoperatingcharacteristicsofatransitvehicle,relativetothoseofapc.Transitvehiclesmustbemobilizedinpreparationfortheirrespectiveevacuationmissions.Specifically:* Busdriversmustbealerted* Theymusttraveltothebusdepot* Theymustbebriefedthereandassignedtoarouteorfacilit yTheseactivitiesconsumetime.Basedondiscussionwiththeoffsiteagencies,itisestimatedthatbusmobilizationtimewillaverage90minutes(withtheexceptionofGlenRoseISDandGranburyISD,whichwillaverag e10minutes)extendingfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate,tothetimewhenbusesfirstarriveatthefacilitytobeevacuated.Duringthismobilizationperiod,othermobilizationactivitiesaretakingplace.Oneoftheseistheactiontakenbyparents,neighbors,relativesandfriendstopickupchildrenfromschoolpriortothearrivalofbuses,sothattheymayjointheirfamilies.Virtuallyallstudiesofevacuationshaveconcludedthatthis"bonding"processofunitingfamiliesisuniversallyprevalentduringemergenciesandshouldbeanticipatedintheplanningprocess.ThecurrentpublicinformationdisseminatedtoresidentsoftheCPNPPEPZindicatesthatschoolchildrenwillbeevacuatedtoareceptioncenterfirstformonitoring,thentoahostschoolastheirfinaldestination(childrenatdaycarefacilitiesareevacuatedtoreceptioncentersorcongregatecarecenters)atemergencyactionclassificationsofSiteAreaEmergencyorhigher,andthatparentsshouldpickschoolchildrenupathostschoolsorreceptioncenters.AsdiscussedinSection2,thisstudyassumesafast breakinggeneralemergency.Therefore,childrenareevacuatedtohostschools.Pickingupchildrenatschoolcouldaddtotrafficcongestionattheschools,delayingthedepartureofth ebusesevacuatingschoolchildren.Thesebusesmayhavetoreturninasubsequent"wave"totheEPZtoevacuatethetransit dependentpopulation.Thisreportprovidesestimatesofthenumberofbusesrequired,undertheassumptionthatnochildrenwillbepickedupbytheirparents(inaccordancewit hNUREG/CR 7002),topresentanupperboundestimateofbusesrequired.Itisassumedthatchildrenatdaycarecentersthatdonotcurrentlyreceivetransportationassistancefromthe ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1counties,arepickedupbyparentsorguardiansandthatthetimetoperformthisactivityisincludedinthetripgenerationtimesdiscussedinSection5.Theprocedureforcomputingtransit dependentETEisto:* Estimatedemandfortransitservice.* Estimatetimetoperformalltransitfunctions.* Estimatero utetraveltimestotheEPZboundaryandtothereceptioncenters.8.1 TransitDependentPeopleDemandEstimateThetelephonesurvey(seeAppendixF)resultswereusedtoestimatetheportionofthepopulationrequiringtransitservice:* Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdonothaveavehicleavailable.* Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdohavevehicle(s)thatwouldnotbeavailabl eatthetimetheevacuationisadvised.Inthelattergroup,thevehicle(s)maybeusedbyacommuter(s)whodoesnotreturn(orisnotexpectedtoreturn)hometoevacuatethehousehold.Table8 1presentsestimatesoftransit dependentpeople.Note:* Estimatesofpersonsrequiringtransitvehiclesincludeschoolchildren.Forthoseevacuationscenarioswherechildrenareatschoolwhenanevacuationisordered,separatetransportationisprovidedfortheschoolchildren.Theactualneedfortransitvehiclesbyresidentsforthesescenariosistherebylessthanthegivenestimates.However,estimatesoftransitvehiclesarenotreducedwhenschoolsareinsession.* Itisreasonableandappropriatetoconsiderthatmanytransit dependentpersonswillevacuat ebyride sharingwithneighbors,friendsorfamily.Forexample,nearly80percentofthosewhoevacuatedfromMississauga,Ontariowhodidnotusetheirowncars,sharedarid ewithneighborsorfriends.Otherdocumentsreportthatapproximately70percentoftransitdependentpersonswereevacuatedviaridesharing.Wewilladoptaconservativeestimatethat50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillrideshare,inaccordancewithNUREG/CR 7002.Theestimatednumberofbustripsneededtoservicetransit dependentpersonsisbasedonanestimateofaveragebusoccupancyof30personsattheconclusionofthebusrun.Transi tvehicleseatingcapacitiestypicallyequalorexceed60childrenonaverage(roughlyequivalentto40adults).Iftransitvehicleevacueesaretwothirdsadultsandonethirdchildren,thenthenumberof"adultseats"takenby30personsis20+(2/3x10)=27.Onthisbasis,theaverageloadfactoranticipatedis(27/40)x100=68percent.Thus,iftheactualdemandforserviceexc eedstheestimatesofTable8 1by50percent,thedemandforservicecanstillbeaccommodatedbytheavailablebusseatingcapacity.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 1indicatesthattransportationmustbeprovidedfor627people.Therefore,atotalof21busrunsarerequiredtotransportthispopulationtoreceptioncenters.Toillustratethisestimationprocedure,wecalculatethenumberofpersons,P,requiringpublictransitorride share,andthenumberofbuses,B,requiredfortheCPNPPEPZ:Where,A=PercentofhouseholdswithcommutersC=PercentofhouseholdswhowillnotawaitthereturnofacommuterThesecalculationsareexplainedasfollows:* Allmembers(1.11avg.)ofhouseholds(HH)withnovehicles(3.5%)willevacuatebypublictransitorride share.Theterm15,927(numberofhouseholds)x0.035x1.11,accountsforthesepeople.* ThemembersofHHwith1vehicleaway(27.5%),whoareathome,equal(1.531).ThenumberofHHwherethecommuterwillnotreturnhomeisequalto(15,927x0.275x0.40x0.55,as40%ofEPZhouseholdshaveacommuter,55%ofwhichwouldnotreturnhomeintheeventofanemergency.Thenumberofpersonswhowillevacuatebypublictransitorride shareisequaltotheproductofthesetwoterms.* ThemembersofHHwith2vehiclesthatareaway(49.0%),whoareathome,equal(2.33-2).ThenumberofHHwhereneithercommuterwillreturnhomeisequalto15,927x0.490x(0.40x0.55)2.Thenumberofpersonswhowillevacuatebypublictransitorride shareisequaltotheproductofthesetwoterms(thelasttermissquaredtorepresenttheprobabilitythatneithercommuterwillreturn).* Householdswith3ormorevehiclesareassumedtohavenoneedfortransitvehicles.* ThetotalnumberofpersonsrequiringpublictransitisthesumofsuchpeopleinHHwithnovehi cles,orwith1or2vehiclesthatareawayfromhome.Theestimateoftransit dependentpopulationinTable8 1farexceedsthenumberofregisteredtransit dependentpersonsintheEPZasprovidedbythecounties(discussedbelowinSection8.6).ThisisconsistentwiththefindingsofNUREG/CR 6953,Volume2,inthatalargemajorityofthetransit dependentpopulationwithintheEPZsofU.S.nuclearplantsdoesnotregisterwiththeirlocalemergencyresponseagency.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18.2 SchoolPopulation-TransitDemandTable8 2presentstheschoolanddaycarepopulationandtransportationrequirementsforthedirectevacuationofallschoolsanddaycarefacilitieswithintheEPZforthe2011 2012schoolyear.Thisinformationwasprovidedbythelocalcountyemergencymanagementagencies.ThecolumninTable8 2entitled"Buse sRequired"specifiesthenumberofbusesrequiredforeachschoolunderthefollowingsetofassumptionsandestimates:* Nostudentswillbepickedupbytheirparentspriortothearrivalofthebuses.* Whilemanyhighschoolstudentscommutetoschoolusingprivateauto mobiles(asdiscussedinSection2.4ofNUREG/CR 7002),theestimateofbusesrequiredforschoolevacuationdonotconsidertheuseoftheseprivatevehicles.* Buscapacity,expressedinstudentsperbus,issetto65forprimaryschoolsand50formiddleandhighschools.* Thosestaffmemberswhodonotaccompanythestudentswillevacu ateintheirprivatevehicles.* Noallowanceismadeforstudentabsenteeism,typically3percentdaily.CountiesintheEPZcouldintroduceprocedureswherebytheschoolsarecontactedpriortothedispatchofbusesfromthedepottoascertainthecurrentestimateofstudentstobeevacuated.Inthisway,thenumberofbusesdispatchedtotheschoolswillreflecttheactualnumberneeded.Theneedforbuseswouldbereducedbyanyhighschoolstudentswhohaveevacuatedusingprivateautomobiles(ifpermittedbyschoolauthorities).Thosebusesoriginallyallocatedtoevacuateschoolchildrenthatarenotneed edduetochildrenbeingpickedupbytheirparents,canbegainfullyassignedtoserviceotherfacilitiesorthosepersonswhodonothaveaccesstoprivatevehiclesortoride sharing.Table8 3presentsalistofthehostschoolsandreceptioncentersforeachschoolandpreschool/daycareintheEPZ.Studentswillbetransportedtothesefacilitieswheretheywillbesubsequentlyretrievedbytheirrespectivefamilies.8.3 SummerDayCampsandRetreats-TransitDemandThereareseveralrecreationalareaswithintheEPZthathostsummercamps,weekendcampsandfrequentpublicevents.Thefa miliesandindividualswhovisittheserecreationalareasintheirpersonalvehiclesareincludedastransients.However,peopleatsummercamparriveinbuses,andarethustransit dependent.ItisprudenttocalculateanETEforthesetransit dependents.Assumption10inSection2.3statesthatschoolbuseshaveacapacit yof65studentsperbusforelementaryschoolsand50studentsperbusformiddleandhighschools.Basedontheagerangesprovidedforthefacilitiesbelow,acapacityestimateof50childrenperbusisusedforeachfacilityexceptStevensRanchontheBrazos,where65childrenperbusisused.ThefollowingsummarizesthepeakpopulationatthesummercampsandretreatsintheEPZ(TableE 3),andthenumberofbusesneededtoevacuatethesefacilities:
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1* CampArrowhead-asmanyas450children(ages6 17),9busesneeded* StevensRanchontheBrazos-asmanyas171children,3busesneeded* RiverBendRetreatCenter-asmanyas900children(ages8 17),18busesneeded* GlenLakeCamp-asmanyas600children,12busesneededSincethesecampsandretreatsoperateinthesummeroronweekends,whenschoolisnotinsession,schoolbusesintheareawillbeavailabletoevacuatethetransit dependentsateachfacility.8.4 MedicalFacilityDemandTable8 4presentsthecensusofmedicalfacilit iesintheEPZ.Eighthundredninety one(891)peoplehavebeenidentifiedaslivingin,orbeingtreatedinthesefacilities.Thecapacityandcurrentcensusforeachfacilitywereprovidedbythecountyemergencymanagementagencies.Thisdataincludethenumberofambulatory,wheelchair boundandbedriddenpatientsateachfacility.ThetransportationrequirementsforthemedicalfacilitypopulationarealsopresentedinTable8 4.Basedupondataprovided,minibusescanaccommodate15ambulatoryand4wheelchair boundpersonseach.Thenumberofambulancerunsisdeterminedbyassumingthat2patientscanbeaccommodatedperambulancetrip;thenumberofbusrunsassumes30ambulatorypeoplepertrip;thenumberofwheelchairbusrunsassumes15wheelchairspertrip;and,thenumberofwheelchairvanrunsassumes4wheelchairspertrip.8.5 EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTransitDependentPeopleEPZbusresourcesareassignedtoevacuatingschoolchildren(ifschoolisinsessionatthetimeoftheATE)asthefirstpriorityinth eeventofanemergency.Intheeventthattheallocationofbusesdispatchedfromthedepotstothevariousfacilitiesandtothebusroutesissomewhat"inefficient",orifthereisashortfallofavailabledrivers,thentheremaybeaneedforsomebusestoreturntotheEPZfromthereceptioncenteraftercompletingtheirfirstevacuationtrip,tocompletea"secondwave"ofprovidingtransportservicetoevacuees.Forthisreason,theETEforthetransit dependentpopulationwillbecalculatedforbothaonewavetransitevacuationandfortwowaves.Ofcourse,iftheimpactedEvacuationRegionisotherthanR03(theentireEPZ),orifschoolsarenotinsession,thentherewilllikelybeampletransitresourcesrelativetodemandintheimpactedRegionandthisdiscussionofasecondwavewouldlikelynotapply.Whenschoolevacuationneedsaresatisfied,subsequentassignmentsofbusestoservicethetransit dependentpopulationshouldbesensitivetotheirmobilizationtime.Clearly,thebusesshouldbedispatchedafterpeoplehavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivitiesandareinapositiontoboardthebuseswhentheyarrive.EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortransittripsweredevelopedusingbothgoodweatherandadverseweatherconditions.Figure8 1presentsthechronologyofeventsrelevanttotransit ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1operations.TheelapsedtimeforeachactivitywillnowbediscussedwithreferencetoFigure8 1.Activity:MobilizeDrivers(A B C)MobilizationistheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthetimethebusesarriveatthefacilitytobeevacuated.Basedondiscussionswiththeoffsiteagencies,forarapidlyescalatingradiologicalemergencywithnoobservableindicationbeforethefact,schoolbusdriverswouldrequire90minutestobecontacted,totraveltothedepot,bebriefed,andtotraveltoth etransit dependentfacilities(10minutesforGlenRoseISD).Mobilizationtimeisslightlylongerinadverseweather-100minuteswhenraining(20minutesforGlenRoseISDandGranburyISD).Activity:BoardPassengers(C D)Basedondiscussionswithoffsiteagencies,aloadingtimeof15minutes(20minutesforrain)forschoolbusesisused.Aloadingtimeof10minutes(15minutesforrain)wasusedforGlenRoseISDandGranburyISD.Formultiplestopsalongapick uproute(transit dependentbusroutes)estimationoftraveltimemustallowforthedelayassociatedwithstoppingandstartingateachpick uppoint.Thetime,t,requiredforabustodecelerateatarate,"a",expressedinft/sec/sec,fromaspeed,"v",expressedinft/sec,toastop,ist=v/a.Assumingthesameaccelerationrateandfinalspeedfollowingthestopyieldsatotaltime,T,toserviceboardingpassengers:,WhereB=Dwelltimetoservicepassengers.Thetotaldistance,"s"infeet,travelledduringthedecelerationandaccelerationactivitiesis:s=v 2/a.Ifthebushadnotstoppedtoservicepassengers,buthadcontinuedtotravelatspeed,v,thenitstraveltimeoverthedistance,s,wouldbe:s/v=v/a.Thenthetotaldelay(i.e.pickuptime,P)toservicepassengersis:Assigningreasonableestimates:* B=50seconds:agenerousvalueforasinglepassenger,carryingpersonalitems,toboardperstop* v=25mph=37ft/sec* a=4ft/sec/sec,amoderateaveragerateThen,P1minuteperstop.Allowing30minutespick uptimeperbusrunimplies30st opsperrun,forgoodweather.Itisassumedthatbusaccelerationandspeedwillbelessinrain;totalloadingtimeis40minutesperbusinrain.Activity:TraveltoEPZBoundary(D E)SchoolEvacuationTransportationresourcesavailablewereprovidedbytheEPZcountyemergencymanagementagenciesandaresummarizedinTable8 5.Alsoincludedinthetablearethenumberofbuses ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1neededtoevacuateschools,daycares,medicalfacilities,transit dependentpopulation,homeboundspecialneeds(discussedbelowinSection8.6)andcorrectionalfacilities(discussedbelowinSection8.7).Thecapacityforbusesandwheelchairaccessiblevehiclesvariedbetweenthedifferenttransportationproviders,thereforethetotalnumberofambulatoryandwheelchair boundindividualsthatcanbeservicedbyea chentityisalsoprovidedinTable8 5.Thesenumbersindicatetherearesufficientresourcesavailabletoevacuateeveryoneinasinglewave,withtheexceptionofthewheelchair boundpopulationwithintheEPZ,whichrequiresthreewavesofwheelchair boundaccessibletransportation.Thelimitingfactoristhewheelch air boundaccessiblevehicles.Thecountiescancollectivelyprovide29wheelchairaccessibleminibuses,2wheelchairbusesand1wheelchairvan,servicingatotaldemandof145wheelchair boundindividuals.Thebusesservicingtheschoolsarereadytobegintheirevacuationtripsat105minutes(20minutesforGlenRoseISDandGr anburyISD)aftertheadvisorytoevacuate-90minutesmobilizationtimeplus15minutesloadingtime(10minutesmobilizationtimeplus10minutesloadingtimeforGlenRoseISDandGranburyISD)-ingoodweather.TheUNITESsoftwarediscussedinSection1.3wasusedtodefinebusroutesalongthemostlikelypathfromaschoolordaycarebeingevacu atedtotheEPZboundary,travelingtowardtheappropriatehostschoolorreceptioncenterThisisdoneinUNITESbytheanalystinteractivelyspecifyingthesequenceofnodesthatdefinethebusroutefromtheschooltotheEPZboundary.EachbusrouteisgivenanidentificationnumberandiswrittentotheDYNEVIIinputstream.DYNEVcomputestheroutelengthandoutputstheaveragespeedforeach5minuteintervalduringtheevacuation,foreachbusroute.ThespecifiedbusroutesaredocumentedinTable8 6(refertothemapsofthelink nodeanalysisnetworkinAppendixKfornodelocations).DataprovidedbyDYNEVduringtheappropriatetimeframedependingonthemobilizationandloadingtimes(i.e.,100to105minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuateforgoodweather)wereusedtocomputetheaveragespeedforeachroute,asfollows:Theaveragespeedcomputed(usingthismethodology)forthebusesservicingeachoftheschoolsanddaycaresintheEPZisshowninTable8 7andTable8 8forschoolanddaycareevacuation.Table8 9andTable8 10provideETEfortheschoolbusesevacuatingsummerdaycamps,whicharediscussedlaterandTable8 12andTable8 13,forthetransitvehiclesevacuatingtransit dependentpersons,whicharealsodiscussedlater.Thetraveltimetothe ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1EPZboundarywascomputedforeachbususingthecomputedaveragespeedoftrafficandthedistancetotheEPZboundaryalongthemostlikelyrouteoutoftheEPZ.ThetraveltimefromtheEPZboundarytothehostschoolorreceptioncenterwascomputedassuminganaveragespeedof40mphand36mphforgoodweatherandrain,respectively.Section548.201oftheTexasTransportationCodeindicatesthat50mphisthemaximumspeedthatschoolbuseswit houtacommercialmotorvehicle(CMV)inspectioncantravelonahighwaynumberedbytheUnitedStatesorStateofTexas,includingFarmtoMarketroadways.Informationprovidedbylocallawenforcementfurtherindicatedthatschoolbusestravelonaverage40mphwithinthestudyarea.SpeedswerereducedinTable8 7throughTable8 10andinTable8 12andTable8 13to40mph(36mphforrain-10%decrease)forthosecalculatedbusspeedswhichexceed40mph.Table8 7(goodweather)andTable8 8(rain)presentthefollowingevacuationtimeestimates(roundeduptothenearest5minutes)forschoolsanddaycaresintheEPZ:(1)TheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthebusexitstheEPZ;and(2)Theelapsedtimeuntilthebusreachesthehostschool/receptioncenter.TheevacuationtimeoutoftheEPZcanbecomputedasthesumoftimesassociatedwithActivitiesA B C,C D,andD E(Forexample:10min.+10+8=0:30forMambrinoElemen tarySchool,withgoodweather).DaycampEvacuationThepeakcampseasoniswhenschoolsarenotinsession,thusschoolbuseswillbeavailabletoevacuatethedaycampsinasinglewave.Table8 9andTable8 10presentthesinglewaveETEforcamps.Thebusmobilizationtimeisestimatedas90minutes.Thebusesareassumedtotraveltothenearestreceptioncenter,whichistheCleburneSeniorCenter.Table8 9(goodweather)andTable8 10(rain)presentthefollowingevacuationtimeestimates(roundeduptothenearest5minutes)fordaycampsintheEPZ:(1)TheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthebusexitstheEPZ;and(2)Theelapsedtimeuntilthebusreachesthereceptioncenter.TheevacuationtimeoutoftheEPZcanbecomputedasthesumoftimesassociatedwithActivitiesA B C,C D,andD E(Forexample:90min.+15+10=1:55forCampArro whead,withgoodweather).TheevacuationtimetothereceptioncenterisdeterminedbyaddingthetimeassociatedwithActivityE F(discussedbelow),tothisEPZevacuationtime.EvacuationofTransit DependentPopulationThebusesdispatchedfromthedepotstoservicethetransit dependentevacueeswillbescheduledsothattheyarriveattheirrespectiveroutesaftertheirpassengershavecompletedtheirmobilization.AsshowninFigure5 4(ResidentswithnoCommuters),90percentoftheevacueeswillcompletetheirmobilizationwhenthebuseswillbegintheirroutes,approximately90minutesaftertheAd visorytoEvacuate.Zone1DandGranburyhavethehighesttransit dependentpopulationandrequiremorebusesthananyotherZones(seeTable8 11).Thoserouteswithmultiplebuseshavebeenassignedsuchthatindividualbusesorgroupsofbusesaredispatchedat15minuteheadwaysasshowninTable8 12andTable8 13.Theuseofbusheadwaysensuresthatthosepeoplewhotake ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1longertomobilizewillbepickedup.Mobilizationtimeis10minuteslongerinraintoaccountforslowertravelspeedsandreducedroadwaycapacity.Thosebusesservicingthetransit dependentevacueeswillfirsttravelalongtheirpick uproutes,thenproceedoutoftheEPZ.Thecountyemergencyplansdonotidentifypr e definedbusroutesorpick uppointstoservicethetransit dependentpopulationintheEPZ.The4busroutesshowngraphicallyinFigure8 2anddescribedinTable8 11weredesignedaspartofthisstudytoservicethemajorroutesthroughvariouscommunitieswithintheEPZ.Itisassumedthatresidentswillwalktothenearestmajorroadwayandflagdownapassingbus,andthattheycanarriveattheroadwaywithinthe90minutebusmobilizationtime(goodweather).Aspreviouslydiscussed,apickuptimeof30minutes(goodweather)isestimatedfor30individualstopstopickuppassengers,withanaverageofoneminuteofdelayassociatedwitheachstop.Alongerpickuptimeof40minutesisusedforrain.Thetraveldistancealongtherespectivepick uprouteswithintheEPZisestimatedusingtheUNITESsoftware.BustraveltimeswithintheEPZarecomputedusingaveragespeedscomputedbyDYNEV,usingtheaforementi onedmethodologythatwasusedforschoolevacuation.Table8 12andTable8 13presentthetransit dependentpopulationevacuationtimeestimatesforeachbusroutecalculatedusingtheaboveproceduresforgoodweatherandrain.Forexample,theETEforthefirstgroupof3busesservicingRoute50Zone1DandGranbury-iscomputedas90+41+30=2:45forgoodweather(roundeduptonearest5minutes).Here,41minutesisthetimetotravel10.2milesat15.0mph,theaverag espeedoutputbythemodelforthisroutestartingat90minutes.TheETEforasecondwave(discussedbelow)ispresentedintheeventthereisashortfallofavailablebusesorbusdrivers,aspreviouslydiscussed.Activity:TraveltoReceptionCenters(E F)ThedistancesfromtheEPZboundarytothereceptioncentersaremeasuredusingGISsoftwarealongthemostlikelyroutefromtheEPZexitpointtothereceptioncenter.ThereceptioncentersaremappedinFigure10 1.Foraonewaveevacuation,thistraveltimeoutsidetheEPZdoesnotcontributetotheETE.Foratwo waveevacuation,theETEforbusesmustbeconsideredseparately,sinceitcouldexc eedtheETEforthegeneralpopulation.Assumedbusspeedsof40mphand36mphforgoodweatherandrain,willbeappliedforthisactivityforbusesservicingthetransit dependentpopulation.Activity:PassengersLeaveBus(F G)Abuscanemptywithin5minutes.Thedrivertakesa10minutebreak.Activity:BusReturnstoRouteforSecondWaveEvacuation(G C)ThebusesassignedtoreturntotheEPZtoperforma"secondwave"evacuationoftransit dependentevacueeswillbethosethathavealreadyevacuatedtransit dependentpeoplewhomobilizedmorequickly.Thefirstwaveoftransit dependentpeopledepartthebus,andthebusthenreturnstotheEPZ,travelstoitsrouteandproceedstopickupmor etransit ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1dependentevacueesalongtheroute.ThetraveltimebacktotheEPZisequaltothetraveltimetothereceptioncenter.Thesecond waveETEforthefirstgroupof3busesrouteservicingRoute50-Zone1DandGranbury-iscomputedasfollowsforgoodweather:* Busarrivesatreceptioncenterat3:21ingoodweather(2:45toexitEPZ+36minutetraveltimetoreceptioncenter).* Busdischargespassengers(5minutes)anddrivertakesa10minuterest:15minutes.* BusreturnstoEPZ,drivestothestartoftherouteandcompletessecondroute:36minutes(equaltotraveltimetoreceptioncenter)+15minutes(equaltotraveltimetostartofroute,i.e.,10.2miles@40mph)+15minutes(equaltotraveltimeforsecondroundofservicealongtheroute)=66minutes* Buscompletespick upsalongroute:30minutes.* BusexitsEP Zattime2:45+0:36+0:15+1:06+0:30=5:15(roundeduptonearest5minutes)aftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.TheETEforthecompletionofthesecondwaveforalltransit dependentbusroutesareprovidedinTable8 12andTable8 13.TheaverageETEforatwo waveevacuat ionoftransit dependentpeopleexceedstheETEforthegeneralpopulationatthe90 thpercentile.Therelocationoftransit dependentevacueesfromthereceptioncenterstocongregatecarecenters,ifthecountiesdecidetodoso,isnotconsideredinthisstudy.EvacuationofMedicalFacilitiesTheevacuationofthesefacilitiesissimilartoschoolevacuationexcept:* Busesareassignedonthebasisof30personstoallowforstafftoaccompanythepatients.Minibusesareassignedonthebasisof15ambulatoryand4wheelchair boundpervehicle.Wheelchairbusescanaccommodate15patients,wheelchairvanscanaccomm odate4patientsandambulancescanaccommodate2patients.* Loadingtimesof1minute,5minutes,and15minutesperpatientareassumedforambulatorypatients,wheelchairboundpatients,andbedriddenpatients,respectively.Table8 4indicatesthat15busruns,61minibusruns,4wheelchairbusruns,1wheelchairvanrunand5ambulancerunsareneededtoserviceallofthemedicalfacilitiesintheEPZ.AccordingtoTable8 5,thecountiescancollectivelyprovide153buses,29minibuses,2wheelchairbuses,1wheelchairvanand8ambulances.Thus,therearesufficientresourcestoevacuatetheambulatoryandbedriddenfromthemedicalfacilitiesinasinglewave,butathree waveevacuationisneededforwheelchair boundpatients.Asisdonefortheschools,itisestimatedthatmobilizationtimeaverages90minutes.Speciallytrainedmedicalsupportstaff(workingtheirregularshift)willbeon sitetoassistintheevacuationofpatients.Additionalstaff(ifneed ed)couldbemobilizedoverthissame90minutetimeframe.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 14andTable8 15summarizetheETEformedicalfacilitieswithintheEPZforgoodweatherandrain.AveragespeedsoutputbythemodelforScenario6(Scenario7forrain)Region3,cappedat40mph(36mphforrain),areusedtocomputetraveltimetoEPZboundary.Thetraveltimetoth eEPZboundaryiscomputedbydividingthedistancetotheEPZboundarybytheaveragetravelspeed.TheETEisthesumofthemobilizationtime,totalpassengerloadingtime,andtraveltimeoutoftheEPZ.Concurrentloadingonmultiplebuses,minibuses,wheelchairbuses/vans,andambulancesatcapacityisassumedsuchthatthemaximumloadingtimesforbuses,minibuses,wheelchairbusesandambulancesare30,35,75and30minutes,respectively.AllETEareroundeduptothenearest5minutes.Forexample,thecalculationofETEfortheCourtyardsatLakeGranburywith44ambula toryand30wheelchair boundresidents(assumingconcurrentloadingofmultiplevehicles)duringgoodweatheris:ETE:90+15x1+4x5+10=135min.or2:15roundeduptothenearest5minutes.ThefollowingoutlinestheETEcalculationsforasecondwaveforminibusesthatwillservicewheelch air boundpersons:a. ETEtotheEPZboundary(averagewheelchair boundETEfromTable8 14):2:25b. ApproximatelytwothirdsofthemedicalhostfacilitiesareoneofthegeneralpopulationreceptioncentersandtheremainingarelocatednearthecitylimitsofFortWorth.Theaveragedistanceof30milesfromtheEPZtoth ehostfacilityforallmedicalfacilitiesisapplied.Itisestimatedthat45minutes,onaverage,wouldbeneededtotravelfromtheEPZboundarytoahostmedicalfacility(i.e.,30miles@40mph).c. Minibusdischargespassengers(20minutesanddrivertakesa10 minuterest):30minutesd. MinibusreturnstoEPZanddrivestothemedicalfacility:45minutes(equaltoestimatedtraveltimetohostfacility)+7minutes(equaltoaveragetraveltimebacktomedicalfacility,i.e.,4.5miles-averagedistanceofmedi calfacilitiestoEPZboundary-@40mph)=52minutese. LoadingTime:20minutes(4persons@5minuteseach)f. TraveltimetoEPZboundary:Minibusisreadytoleavemedicalfacilityattime2:25+0:45+0:30+0:52+0:20=4:55.AsdiscussedinSection7.3,alltrafficcongestionwithi ntheEPZisclearatthistime.Thus,minibuseswouldbeabletotravelatfreeflowspeed-assume40mphonaverage-atthistimeandcouldtravelthe4.5milesonaveragetotheEPZboundaryin7minutesETE:2:25+0:45+0:30+0:52+0:20+0:07=5:00aftertheAdvi sorytoEvacuate(roundeduptonearest5minutes).Thus,asecondwaveofwheelchairtransportevacuationrequiresanadditional1hourand35minutes(5:00-2:25)onaverage.Assumingathirdwav ewouldbesimilar,threewavesofevacuationwouldrequireabout6andahalfhourstocomplete,whichexceedsthegeneralpopulationETEatthe90 thpercentile.Countyemergencymanagementagenciescouldtakethisintoconsiderationwhenmakingaprotectiveactiondecision.Also,mutualaidagreementswithneighboringcountiesandtransportationproviderscouldprovideadditionalwheelchair ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1accessibletransportationresourcestoevacuatethewheelchair boundpopulationinamorereasonabletimeframe.NotethatthisisaconservativeestimatewhereinallmedicalfacilitiesintheentireEPZareevacuatedatonce.Itisassumedthatmedicalfacilitypopulationisdirectlyevacuatedtoappropriatehostmedicalfacilities.Relocationofthispopulat iontopermanentfacilitiesand/orpassingthroughthereceptioncenterbeforearrivingatthehostfacilityisnotconsideredinthisanalysis.8.6 SpecialNeedsPopulationThecountyemergencymanagementagencieshaveacombinedregistrationfortransit dependentandhomeboundspecialneedspersons.Basedondataprovidedbythecounties,thereareanestimated48homeboundspecialneedspeople(23ambulatoryand25wheelch air bound)withintheHoodCountyportionoftheEPZand32homeboundspecialneedspeople(21ambulatoryand11wheelchairbound)whorequiretransportationassistancetoevacuate.Thisresultsin44ambulatorypersonsand36wheelchair boundpersonsforatotalspecialneedspopulationof80people.ETEforHomeboundSpecialNeedsPersonsTable8 16summarizestheETEforhomeboundspecialneedspeople.Thetableiscategorizedbytypeofvehiclerequiredandthenbrokendownbyweathercondition.Thetabletakesintoconsiderationthedeploymentofmultiplevehiclestoreducethenumberofstopspervehicle.Itisconservativelyassumedthatambulatoryandwheelch airboundspecialneedshouseholdsarespaced3milesapart.Vanandbusspeedsapproximate20mphbetweenhouseholds(10%slowerinrain.Mobilizationtimesof90minuteswereused(100minutesforrain)forbusesservicingambulatoryhomeboundspecialneedsindividuals.Minibusesservicingthewheelchair boundpopulationmustwaituntilminibuseshavecompletedasecondwaveforevacuatingmedicalfacilities.Mobilizationtimeiscomputedasfollows:a. ETEtotheEPZboundary(averagesecondwaveETEforwheelchair bound):5:00b. Itisagainestimatedthat45minutes,onaverage,wouldbeneededtotravelfromtheEPZboundarytoahostmedica lfacility(i.e.,30miles@40mph).c. Minibusdischargespassengers(20minutesanddrivertakesa10 minuterest):30minutesd. MinibusreturnstoEPZandbeginsevacuatingwheelchair boundhomeboundspecialneedspopulation:45minutes(equaltoassumedtraveltimetohostfacility)+8minutes(equaltoestimatedtraveltimefro mEPZtohomeboundspecialneedshousehold,i.e.,5miles@40mph)=53minutesMinibusisreadytobeginevacuatingthewheelchair boundhomeboundspecialneedspopulationattime5:00+0:45+0:30+0:53=7:10ThelastHHisassumedtobe5milesfromtheEPZboundary,andthenetwork wideaverag espeed,cappedat40mph(36mphforrain),afterthelastpickupisusedtocomputetraveltime.ETEiscomputedbysummingmobilizationtime,loadingtimeatfirsthousehold,travelto ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1subsequenthouseholds,loadingtimeatsubsequenthouseholds,andtraveltimetoEPZboundary.AllETEareroundedtothenearest5minutes.Forexample,assumingnomorethanonespecialneedspersonperHHimpliesthat44ambulatoryhouseholdsneedtobeserviced.Whileonly2busesareneededfromacapacityperspective,if7busesaredeployedtoservicethesespecialneedsHH,theneachwouldrequireabout7stops.ThefollowingoutlinestheETEcalculations:1. Assume7busesaredeployed,eachwithatmost7stops,toserviceatotalof44HH.2. TheETEiscalculatedasfollows:a. Busesarriveatthefirstpickuplocation:90minutesb. LoadHHmembersatfirs tpickup:5minutesc. Traveltosubsequentpickuplocations:6@9minutes=54minutesd. LoadHHmembersatsubsequentpickuplocations:6@5minutes=30minutese. TraveltoEPZboundary:13minutes(5miles@22.6mph).ETE:1:30+0:05+0:54+0:30+0:13=3:15roundedtothenearest5minutesForexample,assumingnomorethanonespecialneedspersonperHHimplies36wheelchair boundhouseholdsneedtobeserviced.Nineminibusesareneededfromacapacit ystandpointtoservicetheentirewheelchair boundhomeboundspecialneedspopulation.ThefollowingoutlinestheETEcalculations:1. Assume9minibusesaredeployed,eachwith4stops,toserviceatotalof36HH.2. TheETEiscalculatedasfollows:a. Busesarriveatthefirstpickuplocation:430minutesb. LoadHHmembersatfirs tpickup:5minutesc. Traveltosubsequentpickuplocations:3@9minutes=27minutesd. LoadHHmembersatsubsequentpickuplocations:3@5minutes=15minutese. TraveltoEPZboundary:8minutes(5miles@40mph).ETE:7:10+0:05+0:27+0:15+0:08=8:05roundedtothenearest5minutesDuetothelimitednumberofwheelchairaccessiblebuses,theETEforthehomeboundspecialneedswhoareconfinedtowheelchairsisestimatedatabout8hours.Toreducethi sETE,itwillbenecessarytoevacuatesomewheelchairboundpersonsonstandardbuses.Thiscanbeaccomplishedbyprovidingassistancetotheseevacueesinboardingabus(essentiallycarryingthemontothebus,ifnecessary),andfoldingthewheelchairsandloadingthemontothebussothattheseevacueescanaccessthematthereceptioncenters.Itisestimatedthatsome15evacuees,alongwiththeirwheelchairs,canbetransportedonastandardbus.Ifthisoptionisimplemented,thenthehomebounddisabledcanbeevacuatedduringthesecondwaveofminibuses,ratherthanthethirdwave.ThiswouldreducetheirETEtoabout5hoursfromthepresentETEofabout8hours,ascurrentlycalculated.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18.7 CorrectionalFacilitiesAsdetailedinTableE 13,thereisonecorrectionalfacilitywithintheEPZ-SomervellCountyJail.Thetotalinmatepopulationatthisfacilityis32persons.Atotalof2busesareneededtoevacuatethisfacility,basedonacapacityof30inmatesperbus.Mobilizationtimeisassumedtobe90minutes(100minutesinrain).Itisestimatedthatittakes30minutestoloadtheinmatesontoabus,andthat2busescanbeloadedinparallel.Thus,totalloadingtimeisestimatedatapproximately30minutes.Dependingonavailablebedspaceofthesurroundingcountiesthatthefacilit yhasMOUswith,inmateswouldmostlikelybetransportedtodifferenthostfacilities.ForpurposesofcalculatingETE,evacuatingbuseswilltravelalongUS 67northboundinthedirectionoftheJohnsonCountyCorrectionalFacility.UsingGISsoftware,theshortestroutefromthefacilitytotheEPZboundary,travelingawayfromtheplant,is8.1miles.Thetraveltimetotraverse8.1milesis12minutes(40mphat2:30)ingoodweatherand14minutes(36mphat2:40)inrain.AllETEareroundedtothenearest5minutes.Table8 17summarizestheETEfortheSomervellCountyJail.ETE:1:30+0:30+0:12=2:15RainETE:1:40+0:30+0:14=2:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Event AAdvisorytoEvacuate BBusDispatchedfromDepot CBusArrivesatFacility/Pick upRoute DBusDepartsforReceptionCenter EBusExitsRegion FBusArrivesatReceptionCenter/HostFacilityGBusAvailablefor"SecondWave"EvacuationService Activity A B DriverMobilization B C TraveltoFacilityortoPick upRoute C D PassengersBoardtheBus D E BusTravelsTowardsRegionBoundary E F BusTravelsTowardsReceptionCenterOutsidetheEPZ F G PassengersLeaveBus;DriverTakesaBreakFigure8 1.ChronologyofTransitEvacuationOperationsA B C D E F G Time(SubsequentWave)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure8 2.Transit DependentBusRoutes ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 1.TransitDependentPopulationEstimates2010EPZPopulationSurveyAverageHHSizewithIndicatedNo.ofVehiclesEstimatedNo.ofHouseholds SurveyPercentHHwithIndicatedNo.ofVehicles SurveyPercentHH withCommuters SurveyPercentHH withNon ReturningCommuters TotalPeopleRequiringTransportEstimatedRidesharingPercentagePeopleRequiring PublicTransitPercentPopulationRequiringPublicTransit0120 1 2 35,1991.111.532.3315,9273.5%27.5%49.0%40%55%1,25450%6271.8%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 2.SchoolandPreschool/DaycarePopulationDemandEstimatesZoneSchoolName Enrollment BusesRequired1CMambrinoElementarySchool 604101DPremierHighSchool 15032DHappyHillFarmAcademy 11034EBrawnerIntermediateSchool 40074EEmmaRobersonElementarySchool 50184GTolarHighSchool 2255TOTolarElementarySchool 2655TOTolarJr.HighSchool 13232HBrazosRiverCharterSchool 1233GLGlenRoseElementarySchool 4057GLGlenRoseHighSchool 50211GLGlenRoseIntermediateSchool 3776GLGlenRoseJuniorHighSchool 3778SchoolSubtotal 4,17179ZonePreschool/DaycareName Enrollment BusesRequired1CRainbow'sPromise 6514ECrosstownPreschool 621GRLittlePeople'sPlayhouse 702GLFirstUnitedMethodistPreschool 201Preschool/DaycareSubtotal 2175TOTAL: 4,38884 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 3.HostSchoolsandDaycareReceptionCentersSchoolHostSchool/ReceptionCenterMambrinoElementarySchoolActonMiddleSchoolCrosstownPreschoolBenbrookYMCABrazosRiverCharterSchoolCleburneHighSchoolHappyHillFarmAcademyFirstUnitedMethodistPreschool CleburneSeniorCenterEmmaRobersonElementarySchool CrosslandNinthGradeCenterLittlePeople'sPlayhouseGranburyFirstUnitedMethodistChurch BrawnerIntermediateSchoolGranburyMiddleSchoolGlenRoseJuniorHighSchoolHendersonJrHighSchoolGlenRoseElementarySchoolGlenRoseIntermediateSchoolGlenRoseHighSchoolPremierHighSchoolHoodCountySeniorCenterRainbow'sPromiseSchool'sOutTolarHighSchoolStephenvilleRecreationHallTolarElementarySchoolTolarJr.HighSchool ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 4.MedicalFacilityTransitDemandZoneFacilityNameMunicipalityCapacityCurrentCensusAmbulatoryWheelchairBoundBedriddenBusRunsMinibusRunsWheel chairBusRunsWheel chairVanRunsAmbu lanceHOODCOUNTYMEDICALFACILITIES1DCourtyardsatLakeGranburyGranbury827444300080001DSouthernConceptsMeadowlarkGranbury44400100001DSouthernConceptsSouthTownGranbury66600100004EArborHouseAssistedLivingGranbury524522230060004FGranburyVillaNursingCenterGranbury956221383023024FLakeGranburyMedicalCenter 1Granbury83161213Shelter in Place4FQuailParkAssistedLivingGranbury2218171011000GRGranburyCareCenterGranbury18114559842021001GRSouthernConceptsTorreyHouseGranbury6660010000GRTheEstatesGranbury208907811130101GRTheWatermarkGranbury21021018624076000HoodCountySubtotal:94967645521291444404SOMERVELLCOUNTYMEDICALFACILITIESGLCherokeeRoseManorGlenRose1021028121006000GLGlenRoseMedicalCenterHospitalGlenRose271073010010GLGlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHomeGlenRose12010360412011001SomervellCountySubtotal:249215148652117011TOTAL:1,1988916032771115614151 VehicletotalsdonotincludeLakeGranburyMedicalCenterwhichshelters in place(1busrun,1minibusrunand2ambulancerunswouldberequiredtoevacuate)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 5.SummaryofTransportationResourcesTransportationResourceBuses Mini busesWheel chairVan VansCars Ambu lances TotalFleetCapacity Wheel chairBuses Ambu latoryWheelchair Bound Bedridden ResourcesAvailableGranburyISD64150 001104,109600TolarISD1200 000084300GlenRoseISD2900 02701,79800AledoISD3700 00002,22000HappyHillFarmAcademy300 0100027300BrazosRiverCharterSchool200 00002800LittlePeople'sPlayhouse200 000012000Rainbow'sPromise000 03004500TransitSystemHoodCounty090 0100105360TransitSystemSomervellCounty050 010065200CherokeeRoseManor000 01001600CherokeeRoseManorGranbury100 00003000CherokeeRoseManorStephenville000 01001200SouthernConceptsSouthTown000 0100600SouthernConceptsTorreyHouse000 0100600CourtyardsatLakeGranbury100 00001400GranburyVillaNursingCenter011 00000100GlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHome000 1000040TheWatermark100 00002200QuailParkAssistedLiving100 01001500ArborHouseAssistedLiving000 0100600TheEstates011 00000150PecanPlantationEMS000 0003006TexasEMS000 0003006NorthCentralTexasTraumaRegionalAdvisoryCouncil(NCTTRAC)00000020042TOTAL:153 29 2 1 2318 89,733145 54 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TransportationResourceBuses Mini busesWheel chairVan VansCars Ambu lances TotalFleetCapacity Wheel chairBuses Ambu latoryWheelchair Bound BedriddenResourcesNeededSchoolsandDaycares(Table8 2):840000004,38800MedicalFacilities(Table8 4):1561410055912768Transit DependentPopulation(Table811):2100000062700HomeboundSpecialNeeds(Table816):790000044360CorrectionalFacilities(Table817):20000003200TOTALTRANSPORTATIONNEEDS:12970410055,6823128 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 6.BusRouteDescriptionsBusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary1PremierHighSchool179,175,176,174,172,155,154,161,162,160,963,149,145,143,148,1322MambrinoElementarySchool436,437,457,458,477,478,479,480,487,449,450 3BrawnerIntermediateSchool511,510,507,505,166,165,153,159,160,963,149,145,143,146,147 4EmmaRobersonElementarySchool519,511,510,507,505,166,165,153,159,160,963,149,145,143 5TolarHighSchool1032,262,255 6TolarElementarySchool,TolarJrHighSchool708,244,2557GlenRoseJuniorHighSchool341,340,960,978,356,339,323,974,322,321,320,319,1059,318,958,302,301,300,299,298,297,292,914 8GlenRoseElementarySchool,GlenRoseIntermediateSchool358,357,356,339,323,974,322,321,320,319,1059,318,958,302,301,300,299,298,297,292,914 10GlenRoseHighSchool357,356,339,323,974,322,321,320,319,1059,318,958,302,301,300,299,298,297,292,91411BrazosRiverCharterSchool595,594,592,593,603,60412HappyHillFarmAcademy399,392,393,383,382,402,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,60413LittlePeople'sPlayhouse146,143,148,132 14Rainbow'sPromise432,431,419,997,418,998,784,420,452,421,422,509,514,513,508,507,505,166,165,153,159,160,963,149,145,143,148,13215FirstUnitedMethodistPreschool1004,373,374,375,376,1003,377,409,1001,1000,379,380,403,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,60416CrosstownPreschool511,510,507,505,166,506,170,171,173,174,176,175,127,188,121,772,125,11220StevensRanchontheBrazos595,594,592,593,603,60421GlenLakeCamp376,1003,377,409,1001,378,1000,379,380,403,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,604 22CampArrowhead726,725,724,723,722,721,593,603,604 23RiverBendRetreatCenter582,583,633 50TransitDependentZones1D,Granbury429,1053,1052,420,452,421,422,509,514,513,508,507,505,166,165,153,159,164,156,157,168 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1BusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary51TransitDependentZones4E,4F,Tolar789,790,791,792,793,794,556,555,554,551,550,553,552,549,548,912,512,150,962,149,963,160,159,164,156,157,168,169,1056,224,226,231,229,230,232,238,237,236,235,1019,234,247,244,255 52TransitDependentZone1C469,440,441,442 53TransitDependentZones2J,GlenRose333,332,331,325,324,975,323,339,356,978,960,340,360,332,333,1004,373,374,375,376,1003,377,409,1001,1000,379,380,403,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,604 30GranburyCareCenter149,963,160,159,153,165,166,506,170,171,173,174,176,175,127,188,121,772,125,11231SouthernConceptsSouthTown113,122,123,126,128,129,130,131,132 32CourtyardsatLakeGranbury772,125,112 33GranburyVillaNursingCenter553,552,549,548,912,512,150,962,149,145,143,148,132 34SouthernConceptsTorreyHouse132,131,130,129,128,126,123,124,772,125,112 35GlenRoseMedicalCenterHospital409,1001,1000,379,380,403,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,60436GlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHome375,374,373,1004,333,334,335,336,576,338,587,934 37SouthernConceptsMeadowlark185,127,188,121,772,125,11238QuailParkAssistedLiving553,552,549,548,912,512,150,962,149,963,160,159,153,165,166,506,170,171,173,174,176,175,127,188,121,772,125,11239ArborHouseAssistedLiving1051,505,166,165,153,159,160,963,149,145,143,148,132 40TheEstates175,127,188,121,772,125,11241CherokeeRoseManor765,379,1000,378,1002,341,340,960,978,356,339,323,974,322,321,320,319,1059,318,958,302,301,300,299,298,297,292,914 42TheWatermark130,131,132,148,143,146,147,221,223,225,227,226,231,229,230,232,238,237,236,235,1019,234,247,244,255 60SomervellCountyJail771,765,379,380,403,381,404,384,971,969,385,968,386,591,592,593,603,604 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 7.SchoolandDaycareEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeatherSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)HOODCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESMambrinoElementarySchool10105.040.080:30PremierHighSchool90151.913.091:55BrawnerIntermediateSchool10101.925.740:25EmmaRobersonElementarySchool10101.722.940:25TolarHighSchool90150.337.211:50TolarElementarySchool90151.023.531:50TolarJr.HighSchool90151.023.531:50Rainbow'sPromise90158.925.7212:10CrosstownPreschool90153.06.3282:15LittlePeople'sPlayhouse90150.713.431:50SOMERVELLCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESHappyHillFarmAcademy90159.740.0152:00BrazosRiverCharterSchool90153.240.051:50GlenRoseElementarySchool10109.140.0140:35GlenRoseHighSchool10108.740.0130:35GlenRoseIntermediateSchool10109.040.0140:35GlenRoseJuniorHighSchool101010.140.0150:35FirstUnitedMethodistPreschool90159.040.0142:00MaximumforEPZ:2:15AverageforEPZ:1:25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 8.SchoolandDaycareEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)HOODCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESMambrinoElementarySchool20155.035.290:45PremierHighSchool100201.910.9102:10BrawnerIntermediateSchool20151.98.6130:50EmmaRobersonElementarySchool20151.77.6130:50TolarHighSchool100200.329.712:05TolarElementarySchool100201.034.122:05TolarJr.HighSchool100201.034.122:05Rainbow'sPromise100208.924.7222:25CrosstownPreschool100203.06.0302:30LittlePeople'sPlayhouse100200.712.042:05SOMERVELLCOUNTYSCHOOLSANDDAYCARESHappyHillFarmAcademy100209.736.0162:20BrazosRiverCharterSchool100203.236.052:05GlenRoseElementarySchool20159.136.0150:50GlenRoseHighSchool20158.736.0150:50GlenRoseIntermediateSchool20159.036.0150:50GlenRoseJuniorHighSchool201510.136.0170:55FirstUnitedMethodistPreschool100209.036.0152:15MaximumforEPZ:2:30AverageforEPZ:1:40 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 9.DaycampEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherDaycampDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoRec.Ctr(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoRec.Ctr(min)ETEtoRec.Ctr(hr:min)SOMERVELLCOUNTYDAYCAMPSCampArrowhead90156.540.0101:5513.1202:15StevensRanchontheBrazos90154.140.061:5513.1202:15RiverBendRetreatCenter90152.940.041:5023.4352:25GlenLakeCamp90158.540.0132:0013.1202:20MaximumforEPZ:2:00Maximum:2:25AverageforEPZ:1:55Average:2:20Table810.DaycampEvacuationTimeEstimates-RainDaycampDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoRec.Ctr(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoRec.Ctr(min)ETEtoRec.Ctr(hr:min)SOMERVELLCOUNTYDAYCAMPSCampArrowhead100206.536.0112:1513.1222:40StevensRanchontheBrazos100204.136.072:1013.1222:35RiverBendRetreatCenter100202.936.052:0523.4392:45GlenLakeCamp100208.536.0142:1513.1222:40MaximumforEPZ:2:15Maximum:2:45AverageforEPZ:2:15Average:2:40 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table811.SummaryofTransit DependentBusRoutesRouteNo.ofBusesZone(s)Serviced RouteDescriptionLength(mi.)5091D,GranburyWilliamsonRdtoTX 144NtoUS 377StoUS 377BusinessNthroughGranburytoUS 377NthentoReceptionCenter10.25144E,4F,TolarNeriRdtoFM51NtoTX 144StoUS 377SthentoReceptionCenter17.35251CRavenswoodRdthroughPecanPlantationtoMonticelloDrtoFallCreekHwytoCR306toFM4thentoReceptionCenter6.65332J,GlenRose FM56NtoTX 144NtoSWBarnardcirculatingGlenRosetoUS 67NthentoReceptionCenter14.6Total:21 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table812.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeatherRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoRec.Ctr(miles)TravelTimetoRec.Ctr(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)501 39010.215.041302:4523.83651066305:154 610510.216.338302:5523.83651066305:257 912010.222.827303:0023.83651066305:30511 29017.315.268303:1020.83151083305:50310517.314.472303:3020.83151083306:10412017.315.567303:4020.83151083306:20521 2906.614.228302:3019.73051053304:403 41056.622.917302:3519.73051053304:4551206.628.814302:4519.73051053304:555319014.640.022302:2513.12051063304:35210514.640.022302:4013.12051063304:50312014.640.022302:5513.12051063305:05MaximumETE:3:40MaximumETE:6:20AverageETE:2:55AverageETE:5:20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table813.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoRec.Ctr(miles)TravelTimetoRec.Ctr(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)501 310010.214.941403:0523.84051072405:554 611510.219.531403:1023.84051072406:007 913010.225.824403:1523.84051072406:05511 210017.312.385403:4520.83551089406:45311517.312.583404:0020.83551089407:00413017.313.179404:1020.83551089407:10521 21006.617.323402:4519.73351057405:103 41156.624.816402:5519.73351057405:2051306.626.115403:0519.73351057405:3053110014.636.024402:4513.12251068405:10211514.636.024403:0013.12251068405:25313014.636.024403:1513.12251068405:40MaximumETE:4:10MaximumETE:7:10AverageETE:3:15AverageETE:5:55 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table814.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeatherMedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)Loading Rate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)CourtyardsatLakeGranburyAmbulatory 90 1 44 350.6 102:15Wheelchairbound 90 5 30 0.6 102:15SouthernConceptsMeadowlarkAmbulatory901441.0201:55SouthernConceptsSouthTownAmbulatory901662.541:40ArborHouseAssistedLivingAmbulatory 90 1 22 351.4 72:15Wheelchairbound 90 5 23 1.4 72:15GranburyVillaNursingCenterAmbulatory 90 12115 2.5 91:55Wheelchairbound 90 53875 2.5 42:50Bedridden90 15 3 30 2.5 92:10 QuailParkAssistedLivingAmbulatory 90 11715 4.4 302:15Wheelchairbound 905154.4 402:15GranburyCareCenterAmbulatory 90 1 59 353.0 182:25Wheelchairbound 90 5 84 3.0 182:25Bedridden90 15 2 30 3.0 222:25SouthernConceptsTorreyHouseAmbulatory901662.3131:50TheEstatesAmbulatory 90 17815 1.4 242:10Wheelchairbound 90 51155 1.4 52:30Bedridden90 15 1 15 1.4 242:10 TheWatermarkAmbulatory 90 11863012.0 633:05Wheelchairbound 90 5242012.0 642:55 CherokeeRoseManorAmbulatory 90 1 81 3510.6 162:25Wheelchairbound 90 5 2110.6 162:25 GlenRoseMedicalCenterHospitalAmbulatory 901778.2 121:50Wheelchairbound 9053 15 8.2 122:00 GlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHomeAmbulatory 90 1 60 356.5 102:15Wheelchairbound 90 5 41 6.5 102:15Bedridden90 15 2 30 6.5 102:10MaximumETE:3:05AverageETE:2:20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table815.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimates-RainMedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)LoadingRate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)CourtyardsatLakeGranburyAmbulatory100 1 44 350.6 92:25Wheelchairbound100 5 30 0.6 92:25SouthernConceptsMeadowlarkAmbulatory1001441.0182:05SouthernConceptsSouthTownAmbulatory1001662.551:55ArborHouseAssistedLivingAmbulatory100 1 22 351.4 102:25Wheelchairbound100 5 23 1.4 102:25GranburyVillaNursingCenterAmbulatory100 121152.5 102:05Wheelchairbound100 538752.5 83:05Bedridden100 15 3 302.5 102:20 QuailParkAssistedLivingAmbulatory100 117154.4 302:25Wheelchairbound1005154.4 302:15GranburyCareCenterAmbulatory100 1 59 353.0 172:35Wheelchairbound100 5 84 3.0 172:35Bedridden100 15 2 303.0 232:35SouthernConceptsTorreyHouseAmbulatory1001662.3142:00TheEstatesAmbulatory100 178151.4 282:25Wheelchairbound100 511201.4 242:25Bedridden100 15 1 151.4 282:25 TheWatermarkAmbulatory100 11863012.0 763:30Wheelchairbound100 5242012.0 813:25 CherokeeRoseManorAmbulatory100 1 81 3510.6 182:35Wheelchairbound100 5 2110.6 182:35 GlenRoseMedicalCenterHospitalAmbulatory1001778.2 142:05Wheelchairbound10053 158.2 142:10 GlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHomeAmbulatory100 1 60 356.5 112:30Wheelchairbound100 5 41 6.5 112:30Bedridden100 15 2 306.5 112:25MaximumETE:3:30AverageETE:2:30 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant8 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table816.HomeboundSpecialNeedsPopulationEvacuationTimeEstimatesVehicleTypePeopleRequiringVehicleVehiclesdeployedStopsWeatherConditionsMobiliza tionTime(min)LoadingTimeat1 stStop(min)TraveltoSubsequentStops(min)TotalLoadingTimeatSubsequentStops(min)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)Bus4477Good9055430133:15Rain10060163:35Minibus3694Good4305271588:05Rain4403088:20MaximumETE:8:20AverageETE:5:50Table817.CorrectionalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesCorrectionalFacilityWeatherConditionsMobilization(min)NumberofBusesLoadingRate(minperperson)NumberofInmatesTotalLoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary (min)ETE(hr:min)SomervellCountyJailGood902132308.1122:15Rain100142:25MaximumETE:2:25AverageETE:2:20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant9 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.19 TRAFFICMANAGEMENTSTRATEGYThissectiondiscussesthesuggestedtrafficcontrolandmanagementstrategythatisdesignedtoexpeditethemovementofevacuatingtraffic.Theresourcesrequiredtoimplementthisstrategyinclude:* Personnelwiththecapabilitiesofperformingtheplannedcontrolfunctionsoftrafficguides(preferably,notnecessarily,lawenforcementofficers).* TrafficControlDevicestoassistthesepersonnelintheperformanceoftheirtasks.ThesedevicesshouldcomplywiththeguidanceoftheManualofUniformTrafficControlDevices(MUTCD)publishedbytheFederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA)oftheU.S.D.O.T.AllstateandmostcountytransportationagencieshaveaccesstotheMUTCD,whichisav ailableon line:http://mutcd.fhwa.dot.govwhichprovidesaccesstotheofficialPDFversion.* Aplanthatdefinesalllocations,providesnecessarydetailsandisdocumentedinaformatthatisreadilyunderstoodbythoseassignedtoperformtrafficcontrol.Thefunctionstobeperformedinthefieldare:1. Facilitat eevacuatingtrafficmovementsthatsafelyexpeditetraveloutoftheEPZ.2. Discouragetrafficmovementsthatmoveevacuatingvehiclesinadirectionwhichtakesthemsignificantlyclosertothepowerplant,orwhichinterfereswiththeefficientflowofotherevacuees.Theterms"facilitate"and"discourage"areemployedratherthan"enforce"and"prohibit"toindicatetheneedforflexibilityinperformingthetrafficcontrolfunction.Therearealwayslegitimatereasonsforadrivertopreferadirectionotherthanthatindicated.Forex ample:* Adrivermaybetravelinghomefromworkorfromanotherlocation,tojoinotherfamilymemberspriortoevacuating.* Anevacuatingdrivermaybetravellingtopickuparelative,orotherevacuees.* Thedrivermaybeanemergencyworkerenroutetoperformanimportantactivity.Theimplementationofaplanmustalsobeflexibleenoughfortheapplicationofsoundjudgmentbythetrafficguide.Thetrafficmanagementplanistheoutcomeofthefollowingprocess:1. TheexistingTCPsandACPsidentifiedbytheoffsiteagenciesintheirexistingemergencyplansserveasthebasisofthetrafficmanagementplan,asperNUREG/CR 7002.2. TheexistingTCPsandACPsandhowtheywereappliedinthisstudyarediscussedinAppendixG.3. Computeranalysisoftheevacuationtrafficflowenvironment(seeFigures7 3through7 8).ThesefiguresshowthattrafficcongestionispredictedinthemajorpopulationcentersintheEPZ-GlenRose,GranburyandTolar.FiguresG 1andG 2inAppendixGshowtheexistingtraff icandaccesscontrolpointsfromtheoffsiteagencyplans,respectively.TheexistingTCPsareidentifiedatthecriticalintersectionswithinthese ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant9 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1populationcenters.TheACPsarelocatedontheperipheryofthesepopulationcentersandblockaccesstotheroadwayswithinthepopulationcenters.NoadditionalTCPsorACPsareidentifiedasaresultofthisstudy;theexistingtrafficmanagementplansareadequate.4. PrioritizationofTCPsandACPs.ApplicationoftrafficandaccesscontrolatsomeTCPsandACPswillhaveamorepronouncedinfluenceonexpeditingtrafficmovementsthanatotherTCPsandACPs.Forexample,TCPscontrollingtrafficoriginatingfromareasincloseproximitytothepowerplantcouldhaveamorebeneficialeffectonminimizingpotentialexposuretoradioactivitythanthoseTCPslocatedfarfromth epowerplant.AsshowninFigures7 3through7 8,thelastofthetrafficcongestionintheEPZisinTolarandGranbury.IfthereareshortfallsinmanpowerorequipmentduringanevacuationsuchthatallTCPsandACPscouldnotbemanned,prioritycouldbegiventothosepointsinTolarandGranbury.TheuseofIntelligentTransportationSystems(ITS)tech nologies(ifavailable)canreducemanpowerandequipmentneeds,whilestillfacilitatingtheevacuationprocess.DynamicMessageSigns(DMS)canbeplacedwithintheEPZtoprovideinformationtotravelersregardingtrafficconditions,routeselection,andreceptioncenterinformation.DMScanalsobeplacedo utsideoftheEPZtowarnmotoriststoavoidusingroutesthatmayconflictwiththeflowofevacueesawayfromthepowerplant.HighwayAdvisoryRadio(HAR)canbeusedtobroadcastinformationtoevacueesenroutethroughtheirvehiclestereosystems.AutomatedTravelerInformationSystems(ATIS)canalsobeusedtoprovideevacueeswithinformation.Internetwebsitescanprovidetrafficandevacuationrouteinformationbeforetheevacueebeginstheirtrip,whileonboardnavigationsystems(GPSunits),cellphones,andpagerscanbeusedtoprovideinformationenroute.TheseareonlyseveralexamplesofhowITStechnologiescanbenefittheevacuationprocess.ConsiderationshouldbegiventhatITStechnologiesbeusedtofacilitatetheevacuationprocess,andanyadditionalsignageplacedshouldconsiderevacuationneeds.TheETEanalysistreatedallcontrolledintersectionsthatareexistingTCPlocationsintheoffsiteagencyplansasbeingcontrolledbyactuatedsignals.Chapters2Nand5G,andPart6ofthe2009MUTCDareparticularlyrelevantandcouldbereviewedduringemergencyresponsetraining.TheETEcalculationsreflecttheassumptionthatall"externalexternal"tripsareinterdictedanddivertedafter120minuteshaveelapsedfromtheATE.AlltransitvehiclesandotherrespondersenteringtheEPZtosupporttheevacuationareassumedtobeunhinderedbypersonnelmanningACPsandTCPs.StudyAssumptions5and6inSection2.3discussACPandTCPstaffingschedulesandoperations.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant10 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.110 EVACUATIONROUTESEvacuationroutesarecomprisedoftwodistinctcomponents:* RoutingfromaZonebeingevacuatedtotheboundaryoftheEvacuationRegionandthenceoutoftheEPZ.* Routingoftransit dependentevacueesfromtheEPZboundarytoreceptioncenters.EvacueeswillselectrouteswithintheEPZinsuchawayastominimizetheirexposuretorisk.ThisexpectationismetbytheDYNEVIImodelroutingtrafficawayfromthelocationoftheplant,totheextentpracticable.TheDTRADmodelsatisfiesthisbehaviorbyroutingtrafficsoastobalancetrafficdemandrelativetotheavailablehighwaycapa citytotheextentpossible.SeeAppendicesBthroughDforfurtherdiscussion.Theroutingoftransit dependentevacueesfromtheEPZboundarytoreceptioncentersisdesignedtominimizetheamountoftraveloutsidetheEPZ,fromthepointswheretheseroutescrosstheEPZboundary.Figure10 1presentsamapshowingthegeneralpopulationreceptioncentersandhostschoolsforschoolch ildren.ThemajorevacuationroutesfortheEPZarepresentedinFigure10 2.Itisassumedthatallschoolanddaycareevacueeswillbetakentotheappropriatehostschoolorreceptioncenterandsubsequentlypickedupbyparentsorguar dians.Transit dependentevacueesaretransportedtothenearestreceptioncenterforeachcounty.Thisstudydoesnotconsiderthetransportofevacueesfromreceptioncenterstocongregatecarecenters,ifthecountiesdomakethedecisiontorelocateevacuees.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant10 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure10 1.GeneralPopulationReceptionCenters,HostSchoolsandCongregateCareCenters ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant10 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure10 2.EvacuationRouteMap ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant11 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.111 SURVEILLANCEOFEVACUATIONOPERATIONSThereisaneedforsurveillanceoftrafficoperationsduringtheevacuation.Thereisalsoaneedtoclearanyblockageofroadwaysarisingfromaccidentsorvehicledisablement.Surveillancecantakeseveralforms.1. Trafficcontrolpersonnel,locatedatTrafficControlandAccessControlpoints,providefixed pointsurveillance.2. Groundpatrolsmaybeundertakenalongwell definedpathstoensurecoverageofthosehighwaysthatserveasmajorevacuationroutes.3. Aerialsurveillanceofevacuationoperationsmayalsobeconductedusinghelicopterorfixed wingaircraft,ifavailable.4. Cellularphonecalls(ifcellularcoverageexists)frommotoristsmayalsoprovidedirectfieldreportsofroadblockages.TheseconcurrentsurveillanceproceduresaredesignedtoprovidecoverageoftheentireEPZaswellastheareaarounditsperiphery.Itistheresponsibilityofthecountiestosupportanemergencyresponsesystemthatcanreceivemessagesfromthefieldandbeinapositiontorespondtoanyreportedproblemsinatimelymanner.Thiscoverageshouldquic klyidentify,andexpeditetheresponsetoanyblockagecausedbyadisabledvehicle.TowVehiclesInalow speedtrafficenvironment,anyvehicledisablementislikelytoariseduetoalow speedcollision,mechanicalfailureortheexhaustionofitsfuelsupply.Inanycase,thedisabledvehiclecanbepushedontotheshoulder,therebyrestoringtrafficflow.Pastexperienceinotheremergenciesindicatesthatevacueeswhoareleavinganareaoftenperformactivitiessuchaspushingadisabledvehicletothesideoftheroadwithoutprom pting.Whiletheneedfortowvehiclesisexpectedtobelowunderthecircumstancesdescribedabove,itisstillprudenttobepreparedforsuchaneed.Considerationshouldbegiventhattowtruckswithasupplyofgasolinebedeployedatstrategiclo cationswithin,orjustoutside,theEPZ.Theselocationsshouldbeselectedsothat: Theypermitaccesstokey,heavilyloaded,evacuationroutes. Respondingtowtruckswouldmostlikelytravelcounter flowrelativetoevacuatingtraffic.Considerationshouldalsobegiventhatthestateandlocalemergencymanagementagenciesencouragegasstationstoremainopenduringtheevacuation.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant12 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.112 CONFIRMATIONTIMEItisnecessarytoconfirmthattheevacuationprocessiseffectiveinthesensethatthepubliciscomplyingwiththeAdvisorytoEvacuate.TheEmergencyManagementPlansforHoodCountyandSomervellCountybothstatethattheauthoritieswilloperateundertheassumptionthatmostpeople(80+%)atriskwillev acuatewhenlocalofficialsrecommendthattheydoso,thoughtheydonotdiscussaprocedureforconfirmingevacuation.Shouldproceduresnotalreadyexist,thefollowingalternativeorcomplementaryapproachissuggested.Thesuggestedprocedureemploysastratifiedrandomsampleandatelephonesurvey.ThesizeofthesampleisdependentontheexpectednumberofhouseholdsthatdonotcomplywiththeAdvisorytoEvacuate.Itisreasonabletoassumeforthepurposeofestimatingsamplesizethatatleast80percentofthepopulationwithintheEPZwillcomplywiththeAdvisorytoEvacuate.Onthisbasis,ananalysiscouldbeundertaken(seeTable12 1)toyieldanestimatedsamplesizeofapproximately300.Theconfirmationprocessshouldstartatabout2:15aftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate,whichiswhenapproximately90percentofevacueeshavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivities(seeTable5 9).Atthistime,virtuallyallevacueesw illhavedepartedontheirrespectivetripsandthelocaltelephonesystemwillbelargelyfreeoftraffic.AsindicatedinTable12 1,approximately71/2personhoursareneededtocompletethetelephonesurvey.Ifsixpeopleareassignedtothistask,eachdialingadifferentsetoftelephoneexchanges(e.g.,eachpersoncanbeassignedadifferentsetofZones),thentheconfirmationprocesswillextendoveratimeframeofabout75minutes.Thu s,theconfirmationshouldbecompletedbeforetheevacuatedareaiscleared.Ofcourse,fewerpeoplewouldbeneededforthissurveyiftheEvacuationRegionwereonlyaportionoftheEPZ.Useofmodernautomatedcomputercontrolleddialingequipmentorothertechnologies(e.g.,reverse911orequivalentifavailable)cansignificantlyreducethemanpowerrequirementsandthetimerequiredtoundertakethistypeofconfirmationsurvey.Ifthismethodisindeedusedbytheoffsiteagencies,consid erationshouldbegiventomaintainalistoftelephonenumberswithintheEPZintheEOCatalltimes.Suchalistcouldbepurchasedfromvendorsandcouldbeperiodicallyupdated.Asindicatedabove,theconfirmationprocessshouldnotbeginuntil2:15aftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate,toensurethathouseholdshavehadenoughtimetomobilize.This2:15timeframewillenabletelephoneoperatorstoarriveattheirworkplace,obtainacalllistandpreparetomakethenecessaryphonecalls.Shouldthenumberoftelephoneresponses(i.e.,peoplestillathome)exceed20percent,thenthetelepho nesurveyshouldberepeatedafteranhour'sintervaluntiltheconfirmationprocessiscompleted.Othertechniquescouldalsobeconsidered.Aftertrafficvolumesdecline,thepersonnelmanningTCPscanberedeployedtotravelthroughresidentialareastoobserveandtoconfirmevacuationactivities.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlant12 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table12 1.EstimatedNumberofTelephoneCallsRequiredforConfirmationofEvacuationProblemDefinitionEstimatenumberofphonecalls,n,neededtoascertaintheproportion,Fofhouseholdsthathavenotevacuated.
Reference:
Burstein,H.,AttributeSampling,McGrawHill,1971Given: No.ofhouseholdsplusotherfacilities,N,withintheEPZ(est.)=16,000 Est.proportion,F,ofhouseholdsthatwillnotevacuate=0.20 Allowableerrormargin,e:0.05 Confidencelevel,:0.95(impliesA=1.96)ApplyingTable10ofcitedreference,Finitepopulationcorrection:
Thus,some300telephonecallswillconfirmthatapproximately20percentofthepopulationhasnotevacuated.Ifonly10percentofthepopulationdoesnotcomplywiththeAdvisorytoEvacuate,thentherequiredsamplesize,n F=213.
Est.PersonHourstocomplete300telephonecallsAssume: Timetodialusingtouchtone(randomselectionoflistednumbers):30seconds Timefor6rings(noanswer):36seconds Timefor4ringsplusshortconversation:60sec. Intervalbetweencalls:20sec.PersonHours:
APPENDIXAGlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTerms ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantA 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1A. GLOSSARYOFTRAFFICENGINEERINGTERMSTableA 1.GlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTermsTermDefinitionAnalysisNetworkAgraphicalrepresentationofthegeometrictopologyofaphysicalroadwaysystem,whichiscomprisedofdirectionallinksandnodes.LinkAnetworklinkrepresentsaspecific,one directionalsectionofroadway.Alinkhasbothphysical(length,numberoflanes,topology,etc.)andoperational(turnmovementpercentages,servicerate,free flowspeed)characteristics.MeasuresofEffectiven essStatisticsdescribingtrafficoperationsonaroadwaynetwork.NodeAnetworknodegenerallyrepresentsanintersectionofnetworklinks.Anodehascontrolcharacteristics,i.e.,theallocationofservicetimetoeachapproachlink.OriginAlocationattachedtoanetworklink,withintheEPZorShadowRegion,wheretripsaregeneratedataspecifiedrateinvehiclesperhour(vph).Thesetripsentertheroadwaysystemtotraveltotheirrespectivedestinations.PrevailingRoadwayandTrafficConditionsRelatestothephysicalfeaturesoftheroadway,thenature(e.g.,composition)oftrafficontheroadwayandtheambientconditions(weather,visibility,pavementconditions,etc.).ServiceRateMaximumrateatwhichvehicles,executingaspecificturnmaneuver,canbedischargedfromasectionofroadwayattheprevailingconditions,expressedinvehiclespersecond(vps)orvehiclesperhour(vph).ServiceVolumeMaximumnumberofvehicleswhichcanpassoverasectionofroadwayinonedirectionduringaspecifiedtimeperiodwithoperatingconditionsataspecifiedLevelofService(TheServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLevelofService,E,equalsCapacity).ServiceVolumeisusuallyexpressedasvehiclesperhour(vph).SignalCycl eLengthThetotalelapsedtimetodisplayallsignalindications,insequence.Thecyclelengthisexpressedinseconds.SignalIntervalAsinglecombinationofsignalindications.Theintervaldurationisexpressedinseconds.Asignalphaseiscomprisedofasequenceofsignalintervals,usuallygreen ,yellow,red.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantA 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TermDefinitionSignalPhaseAsetofsignalindications(andintervals)whichservicesaparticularcombinationoftrafficmovementsonselectedapproachestotheintersection.Thephasedurationisexpressedinseconds.Traffic(Trip)AssignmentAprocessofassigningtraffictopathsoftravelinsuchawayastosatisfyalltripobjectives(i.e.,thedesireofeac hvehicletotravelfromaspecifiedorigininthenetworktoaspecifieddestination)andtooptimizesomestatedobjectiveorcombinationofobjectives.Ingeneral,theobjectiveisstatedintermsofminimizingageneralized"cost".Forexample,"cost"maybeexpressedintermsoftraveltime.TrafficDensityThenumberofvehiclesthatoccupyonelaneofaroadwaysectionofspecifiedlengthatapointintime,expressedasvehiclespermile(vpm).Traffic(Trip)Distribution Aprocessfordeterminingthedestinationsofal ltrafficgeneratedattheorigins.TheresultoftentakestheformofaTripTable,whichisamatrixoforigin destinationtrafficvolumes.TrafficSimulationAcomputermodeldesignedtorepl icatethereal worldoperationofvehiclesonaroadwaynetwork,soastoprovidestatisticsdescribingtrafficperformance.ThesestatisticsarecalledMeasuresofEffectiven ess.TrafficVolumeThenumberofvehiclesthatpassoverasectionofroadwayinonedirection,expressedinvehiclesperhour(vph).Whereapplicable,trafficvolumemaybestratifiedbyturnmovement.TravelModeDistinguishesbetweenprivateauto,bus,rail,pedestrianandairtravelmodes.TripTableorOrigin DestinationMatrixArect angularmatrixortable,whoseentriescontainthenumberoftripsgeneratedateachspecifiedorigin,duringaspecifiedtimeperiod,thatareattractedto(andtraveltoward)eachofitsspecifieddestinations.Thesevaluesareexpressedinvehiclesperhour(vph)orinvehicles.TurningCapacityThecapacit yassociatedwiththatcomponentofthetrafficstreamwhichexecutesaspecifiedturnmaneuverfromanapproachatanintersection.
APPENDIXBDTRAD:DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistributionModel ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantB 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1B. DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENTANDDISTRIBUTIONMODELThissectiondescribestheintegrateddynamictripassignmentanddistributionmodelnamedDTRAD(DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistribution)thatisexpresslydesignedforuseinanalyzingevacuationscenarios.DTRADemployslogitbasedpath choiceprinciplesandisoneofthemodelsoftheDYNEVIISystem.TheDTRADmoduleimplementspath basedDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTA)sothattimedependentOrigin Destination(OD)tripsare"assigned"toroutesoverthenetworkbasedonprevailingtrafficconditions.ToapplytheDYNEVIISystem,th eanalystmustspecifythehighwaynetwork,linkcapacityinformation,thetime varyingvolumeoftrafficgeneratedatallorigincentroidsand,optionally,asetofaccessiblecandidatedestinationnodesontheperipheryoftheEPZforselectedorigins.DTRADcalculatestheoptimaldynamictripdistribution(i.e.,tripdestin ations)andtheoptimaldynamictripassignment(i.e.,triprouting)ofthetrafficgeneratedateachoriginnodetravelingtoitssetofcandidatedestinationnodes,soastominimizeevacueetravel"cost."OverviewofIntegratedDistributionandAssignmentModelTheunderlyingpremiseisthattheselectionofdestinationsandroutesisintrinsicallycoupledinanevacuationscenario.Thatis,peopleinvehiclesseektotraveloutofanareaofpotentialriskasrapidlyaspossiblebyselectingthe"best"routes.Themodelisdesignedtoidentifythese"best"routesinamannerthatrealisticallydistributesvehiclesfromoriginstodestinationsandroutesthemoverthehighwaynetwork,inaconsistentandoptimalmanner,reflectingevacueebehavior.Foreachorigin,asetof"candidatedestinationnodes"isselectedbythesoftwarelogicandbytheanalysttoreflectthedesirebyevacueestotravelawayfromthepowerplantandtoaccessmajorhighways.Thespecificdestinationnodeswithinthissetthatareselectedbytravelersandtheselectionoftheconnectingpathsoftravel,arebothdeterminedbyDTRAD.ThisdeterminationismadebyalogitbasedpathchoicemodelinDTRAD,soastominimizethetrip"cost",asdiscussedlater.Thetrafficloadingonthenetworkandtheconsequentoperationaltrafficenvironmentofthenetwork(density,speed,throughputoneachlink)varyovertimeastheevacuationtakesplace.TheDTRADmodel,whichisinterfacedwiththeDYNEVsimu lationmodel,executesasuccessionof"sessions"whereinitcomputestheoptimalroutingandselectionofdestinationnodesfortheconditionsthatexistatthattime.InterfacingtheDYNEVSimulationModelwithDTRADTheDYNEVIIsystemreflectsNRCguidancethatevacueeswillseektotravelinageneraldirectionawayfromthelocationofthehazardousevent.AnalgorithmwasdevelopedtosupporttheDTRADmodelindynamicallyvaryingtheTripTable(O Dmatrix)overtimefromoneDTRADsessiontothenext.Anothe ralgorithmexecutesa"mapping"fromthespecified"geometric"network(link nodeanalysisnetwork)thatrepresentsthephysicalhighwaysystem,toa"path"networkthatrepresentsthevehicle[turn]movements.DTRADcomputationsareperformedonthe"path"network:DYNEVsimulationmodel,onthe"geometric"network.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantB 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DTRADDescriptionDTRADistheDTAmodulefortheDYNEVIISystem.Whentheroadnetworkunderstudyislarge,multipleroutingoptionsareusuallyavailablebetweentriporiginsanddestinations.TheproblemofloadingtrafficdemandsandpropagatingthemoverthenetworklinksiscalledNetworkLoadingandisaddressedbyDYNEVIIusingmacroscopictrafficsimulationmodeling.TrafficassignmentdealswithcomputingthedistributionofthetrafficovertheroadnetworkforgivenO Ddemandsandisamodeloftheroutechoiceofthedrivers.Traveldemandchangessignificantlyovertime,andtheroadnetworkmayhavetimedependentcharacteristics,e.g.,time varyingsignaltimingorreducedroadcapacitybecauseoflaneclosure,ortrafficcongestion.Toconsiderthesetimedependencies,DTAproceduresarerequired.TheDTRADDTAmodulerepresentsthedynamicroutechoicebehaviorofdrivers,usingthespecificationofdynamicorigindestinationmatricesasflowinput.Driverschoosetheirroutesthroughthenetworkbasedonthetravelcosttheyexperience(asdeterminedbyth esimulationmodel).Thisallowstraffictobedistributedoverthenetworkaccordingtothetime dependentconditions.ThemodelingprinciplesofD TRADinclude: Itisassumedthatdriversnotonlyselectthebestroute(i.e.,lowestcostpath)butsomealsoselectlessattractiveroutes.ThealgorithmimplementedbyDTRADarchivesseveral"efficient"routesforeachO Dpairfromwhichthedriverschoose. Thechoiceofonerouteoutofasetofpossibleroutesisanoutcomeof"discretechoicemodeling".Givenasetofroutesandtheirgeneralizedcosts,thepercentagesofdriversthatchooseeachrouteiscomputed.Themostprevalentmodelfordiscretechoicemodelingisthelogitmodel.DTRADusesavariantofPath Size Logitmodel(PSL).PSLovercomesthedrawbackofthetraditionalmultinomiallogitmodelbyincorporatinganadditionaldeterministicpathsizecorrectiontermtoaddresspathoverlappingintherandomutilityexpr ession. DTRADexecutestheTAalgorithmonanabstractnetworkrepresentationcalled"thepathnetwork"whichisbuiltfromtheactualphysicallink nodeanalysisnetwork.Thisexecutioncontinuesuntilastablesituationisreached:thevolumesandtraveltimesontheedgesofthepathnetworkdonotchangesignificantlyfromoneiterationtothenext.Thecriteriaforthisconvergencearedefinedbytheuser. Travel"cost"playsacrucialroleinroutechoice.InDTRAD,pathcostisalinearsummationofthegeneralizedcostofeachlinkthatcomprisesthepath.Thegeneralizedcostforalink,a,isexpressedasaaaactls,where a c isthegeneralizedcostforlinka,and , ,and arecostcoefficientsforlinktraveltime,distance,andsupplementalcost,respectively.Distanceandsupplementalcostsaredefinedasinvariantpropertiesofthenetworkmodel,whiletraveltimeisadynamicpropertydictatedbyprevailingtrafficconditions.TheDYNEVsimulationmodel ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantB 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1computestraveltimesonalledgesinthenetworkandDTRADusesthatinformationtoconstantlyupdatethecostsofpaths.Theroutechoicedecisionmodelinthenextsimulationiterationusestheseupdatedvaluestoadjusttheroutechoicebehavior.Thisway,trafficdemandsaredynamicallyre assignedbasedontimedependentconditions.TheinteractionbetweentheDTRADtrafficassignmentandDYNEVIIsimulationmodelsisdepictedinFigureB 1.EachroundofinteractioniscalledaTrafficAssignmentSession(TAsession).ATAsessioniscomposedofmultipleiterations,markedasloopBinthefigure. Thesupplementalcostisbasedonthe"survivaldistribution"(avariationoftheexponentialdistribution).TheInverseSurvivalFunctionisa"cost"terminDTRADtorepresentthepotentialriskoftraveltowardtheplant:s a=
ln(p),0pl; 0p=d n=Distanceofnode,n,fromtheplantd 0=Distancefromtheplantwherethereiszerorisk=ScalingfactorThevalueofd o=15miles,theouterdistanceoftheshadowregion.Notethatthesupplementalcost,s a,oflink,a,is(high,low),ifitsdownstreamnode,n,is(near,farfrom)thepowerplant.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantB 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NetworkEquilibriumIn1952,JohnWardropwrote:Underequilibriumconditionstrafficarrangesitselfincongestednetworksinsuchawaythatnoindividualtripmakercanreducehispathcostsbyswitchingroutes.Theabovestatementdescribesthe"UserEquilibrium"definition,alsocalledthe"SelfishDriverEquilibrium".Itisahypothesisthatrepres entsa[hopeful]conditionthatevolvesovertimeasdriverssearchoutalternativeroutestoidentifythoseroutesthatminimizetheirrespective"costs".Ithasbeenfoundthatthis"equilibrium"objectivetominimizecostsislargelyrealizedbymostdriverswhoroutinelytakethesametripoverthesamenetworkatthesametime(i.e.,commuters).Effectively,suchdrivers"learn"whichroutesarebestforthemovertime.Thus,thetrafficenvironment"settlesdown"toanear equilibriumstate.Clearly,sinceanemergencyevacuationisasudden,uniqueevent,itdoesnotconstitutealong termlearningexperiencewhichcanachieveanequilibriu mstate.Consequently,DTRADwasnotdesignedasanequilibriumsolution,buttorepresentdriversinanewandunfamiliarsituation,whorespondinaflexiblemannertoreal timeinformation(eitherbroadcastorobserved)insuchawayastominimizetheirrespectivecostsoftravel.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantB 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureB 1.FlowDiagramofSimulationDTRADInterfaceStartofnextDTRADSession Set Clocktime.ArchiveSystemStateatDefinelatestLinkTurnPercentagesExecuteSimulationModelfromtime,(burntime)ProvideDTRADwithlinkMOEattime,ExecuteDTRADiteration; GetnewTurnPercentagesRetrieveSystemStateat;ApplynewLinkTurnPercentsDTRADiterationconverges?
Nextiteration Simulatefrom(DTAsessionduration)SetClockto ABA Yes No B APPENDIXCDYNEVTrafficSimulationModel ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C. DYNEVTRAFFICSIMULATIONMODELTheDYNEVtrafficsimulationmodelisamacroscopicmodelthatdescribestheoperationsoftrafficflowintermsofaggregatevariables:vehicles,flowrate,meanspeed,volume,density,queuelength,oneachlink ,foreachturnmovement,duringeachTimeInterval(simulationtimestep).Themodelgeneratestripsfr om"sources"andfromEntryLinksandintroducesthemontotheanalysisnetworkatratesspecifiedbytheanalystbasedonthemobilizationtimedistributions.Themodelsimulatesthemovementsofallvehiclesonallnetworklinksovertimeuntilthenetworkisempty.Atintervals,themodeloutputsMeasuresofEffectiveness(MOE)suchasthoselistedinTableC 1.ModelFeat uresInclude: Explicitconsiderationistakenofthevariationindensityoverthetimestep;aniterativeprocedureisemployedtocalculateanaveragedensityoverthesimulationtimestepforthepurposeofcomputingameanspeedformovingvehicles. Multipleturnmovementscanbeservicedononelink;aseparatealgorithmisusedtoestimateth enumberof(fractional)lanesassignedtothevehiclesperformingeachturnmovement,based,inpart,ontheturnpercentagesprovidedbytheDTRADmodel. Atanypointintime,trafficflowonalinkissubdividedintotwoclassifications:queuedandmovingvehicles.Thenumberofvehiclesineachclassificationiscomputed.Vehiclespillback,stratifiedbyturnmovementforeachnetworklink,isexplicitlyconsideredandquantified.Thepropagationofstoppingwavesfromlinktolinkiscomputedwithineachtimestepofthesimulation.Thereisno"verticalstacking"ofqueuesonalink. Anylinkca naccommodate"sourceflow"fromzonesviasidestreetsandparkingfacilitiesthatarenotexplicitlyrepresented.Thisflowrepresentstheevacuatingtripsthataregeneratedatthesource. Therelat ionbetweenthenumberofvehiclesoccupyingthelinkanditsstoragecapacityismonitoredeverytimestepforeverylinkandforeveryturnmovement.Iftheavailablestoragecapacityonalinkisexceededbythedemandforservice,thenthesimulatorappliesa"metering"ratetotheenteringtrafficfromboththeupstreamfeedersandsourcenodetoensurethattheavailablestoragecapacit yisnotexceeded. A"pathnetwork"thatrepresentsthespecifiedtrafficmovementsfromeachnetworklinkisconstructedbythemodel;thispathnetworkisutilizedbytheDTRADmodel. Atwo wayinterfacewithDTRAD:(1)provideslinktraveltimes;(2)receivesdatatha ttranslatesintolinkturnpercentages. ProvidesMOEtoanimationsoftware,EVAN CalculatesETEstatistics ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Alltrafficsimulationmodelsaredata intensive.TableC 2outlinesthenecessaryinputdataelements.Toprovideanefficientframeworkfordefiningthesespecifications,thephysicalhighwayenvironmentisrepresentedasanetwork.Theunidirectionallinksofthenetworkrepresentroadwaysections:rural,multi lane,urbanstreetsorfreeways.Thenodesofth enetworkgenerallyrepresentintersectionsorpointsalongasectionwhereageometricpropertychanges(e.g.alanedrop,changeingradeorfreeflowspeed).FigureC 1isanexampleofasmallnetworkrepresentation.Thefreewayisdefinedbythesequenceoflinks,(20,21),(21,22),and(22,23).Links(8001,19)and(3,8011)areEntryandExi tlinks,respectively.Anarterialextendsfromnode3tonode19andispartiallysubsumedwithinagridnetwork.Notethatlinks(21,22)and(17,19)aregrade separated.TableC 1.SelectedMeasuresofEffectivenessOutputbyDYNEVIIMeasureUnitsAppliesToVehiclesDischargedVehiclesLink,Network,ExitLinkSpeedMiles/Hours(mph)Link,NetworkDensityVehicles/Mile/LaneLinkLevelofServiceLOSLinkContentVehiclesNetworkTravelTimeVehicle hoursNetworkEvacuatedVehiclesVehiclesNetwork,ExitLinkTripTravelTimeVehicleminutes/tripNetworkCapacityUtilizationPercentExitLinkAttractionPercentoftotalevacuatingvehiclesExitLinkMaxQueueVehiclesNode,ApproachTimeofMaxQueueHours:minutesNode,ApproachRouteStatisticsLength(mi);MeanSpeed(mph);TravelTime(min)RouteMeanTravelTimeMinutesEvacuationTrips;Network ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableC 2.InputRequirementsfortheDYNEVIIModelHIGHWAYNETWORK Linksdefinedbyupstreamanddownstreamnodenumbers Linklengths Numberoflanes(upto9)andchannelization Turnbays(1to3lanes) Destination(exit)nodes Networktopologydefinedintermsofdownstreamnodesforeachreceivinglink NodeCoordinates(X,Y) NuclearPowerPlantCoordinates(X,Y)GENERATEDTRAFFICVOLUMES Onallentrylinksandsourcenodes(origins),byTimePeriodTRAFFICCONTROLSPECIFICATIONS Trafficsignals:link specific,turnmovementspecific Signalcontroltreatedasfixedtimeoractuated Locationoftrafficcontrolpoints(thesearerepresentedasactuatedsignals) StopandYieldsigns Right turn on red(RTOR) Routediversionspecifications Turnrestrictions Lanecontrol(e.g.laneclosure,movement specific)DRIVER'SANDOPERATIONALCHARACTERISTICS Driver's(vehicle specific)responsemechanisms:free flowspeed,dischargeheadway Busroutedesignation.DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENT Candidatedestinationnodesforeachorigin(optional) DurationofDTAsessions Durationofsimulation"burntime" DesirednumberofdestinationnodesperoriginINCIDENTS IdentifyandScheduleofclosedlanes IdentifyandScheduleofclosedlinks ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 1.RepresentativeAnalysisNetwork 8001 8011 3 6 9 12 14 15 16 19 17 2 8107 8 8012 13 22 8009 8010 8005 23 8003 8104 5 10 11 8014 25 24 21 8008 80078006 8004 8024 208002 Entry,ExitNodesarenumbered8xxx ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C.1 MethodologyC.1.1 TheFundamentalDiagramItisnecessarytodefinethefundamentaldiagramdescribingflow densityandspeed densityrelationships.Ratherthan"settlingfor"atriangularrepresentation,amorerealisticrepresentationthatincludesa"capacitydrop",(I R)atthecriticaldensitywhenflowconditionsentertheforcedflowregime,isdevelopedandcalibratedforeachlink.Thisrepresentation,showninFigureC 2,assertsaconstantfreespeeduptoadensity, ,andthenalinearreductioninspeedintherange,thedensityatcapacity.Intheflow densityplane,aquadraticrelationshipisprescribedintherange,whichroughlyrepresentsthe"stop and go"conditionofseverecongestion.Thevalueofflowrate,correspondingtoisapproximatedatAlinearrelationshipbetweencompletesthediagramshowninFigureC 2.TableC 3isaglossaryofterms.Thefundamentaldiagramisappliedtomovingtrafficoneverylink.Thespecifiedcalibrationvaluesforeachlinkare:(1)Freespeed,;(2)Capacity,;(3)Criticaldensity, (4)CapacityDropFactor,R=0.9;(5)Jamdensity,Then,SettingthenforItcanbeshownthatC.1.2 TheSimulationModelThesimulationmodelsolvesasequenceof"unitproblems".Eachunitproblemcomputesthemovementoftrafficonalink,foreachspecifiedturnmovement,overaspecifiedtimeinterval(TI)whichservesasthesimulationtimestepforalllinks.FigureC 3isarepresentationoftheunitprobleminthetime distanceplane.TableC 3isaglossaryoftermsthatarereferencedinthefollowingdescriptionoftheunitproblemprocedure.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 2.FundamentalDiagramsFigureC 3.AUNITProblemConfigurationwitht 1>0 meDistanceDownUp ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableC 3.GlossaryCapThemaximumnumberofvehicles,ofaparticularmovement,thatcandischargefromalinkwithinatimeinterval.EThenumberofvehicles,ofaparticularmovement,thatenterthelinkoverthetimeinterval.Theportion,E TI ,canreachthestop barwithintheTI.G/CThegreentime:cycletimeratiothatservicesthevehiclesofaparticularturnmovementonalink.hThemeanqueuedischargeheadway,seconds.kDensityinvehiclesperlanepermile.TheaveragedensityofmovingvehiclesofaparticularmovementoveraTI,onalink.LThelengthofthelinkinfeet.Thequeuelengthinfeetofaparticularmovement,atthe[beginning,end]ofatimeinterval.LNThenumberoflanes,expressedasafloatingpointnumber,allocatedtoserviceaparticularmovementonalink.Themeaneffectivelength ofaqueuedvehicleincludingthevehiclespacing,feet.MMeteringfactor(Multiplier):1.Thenumberofmovingvehiclesonthelink,ofaparticularmovement,thataremovingatthe[beginning,end]ofthetimeinterval.Thesevehiclesareassumedtobeofequalspacing,overthelengthoflinkupstreamofthequeue.OThetotalnumberofvehiclesofaparticularmovementthataredischargedfromalinkoveratimeinterval.Thecomponentsofthevehiclesofaparticularmovementthataredischargedfromalinkwithinatimeinterval:vehiclesthatwereQueuedatthebeginningoftheTI;vehiclesthatwereMovingwithinthelinkatthebeginningoftheTI;vehiclesthatEnteredthelinkduringtheTI.Thepercentage,expressedasafraction,ofthetotalflowonthelinkthatexecutesaparticularturnmovement,x.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Thenumberofqueuedvehiclesonthelink,ofaparticularturnmovement,atthe[beginning,end]ofthetimeinterval.Themaximumflowratethatcanbeservicedbyalinkforaparticularmovementintheabsenceofacontroldevice.Itisspecifiedbytheanalystasanestimateoflinkcapacity,baseduponafieldsurvey,withreferencetotheHCM.RThefactorthatisappliedtothecapacityofalinktorepresentthe"capacitydrop"whentheflowconditionmovesintotheforcedflowregime.Thelowercapacityatthatpointisequalto.RCapTheremainingcapacityavailabletoservicevehiclesofaparticularmovementafterthatqueuehasbeencompletelyserviced,withinatimeinterval,expressedasvehicles.Servicerateformovementx,vehiclesperhour(vph).Vehiclesofaparticularturnmovementthatenteralinkoverthefirstsecondsofatimeinterval,canreachthestop bar(intheabsenceofaqueuedown stream)withinthesametimeinterval.TIThetimeinterval,inseconds,whichisusedasthesimulationtimestep.vThemeanspeedoftravel,infeetpersecond(fps)ormilesperhour(mph),ofmovingvehi clesonthelink.ThemeanspeedofthelastvehicleinaqueuethatdischargesfromthelinkwithintheTI.Thisspeeddiffersfromthemeanspeedofmovingvehicles,v.WThewidthoftheintersectioninfeet.Thisisthedifferencebetweenthelinklengthwhichextendsfromstop bartostop barandtheblocklength.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Theformulationandtheassociatedlogicpresentedbelowaredesignedtosolvetheunitproblemforeachsweepoverthenetwork(discussedbelow),foreachturnmovementservicedoneachlinkthatcomprisestheevacuationnetwork,andforeachTIoverthedurationoftheevacuation. 1. Forthefirstsweep,s=1,ofthisTI,getinitialestimatesofmeandensity,theR-factor,andenteringtraffic,usingthevaluescomputedforthefinalsweepofthepriorTI.Foreachsubsequentsweep,aretherelevantturnpercentagesfromfeederlink,i,anditstotaloutflow(possiblymetered)overthisTI;Sisthetotalsourceflow(possiblymetered)duringthecurrentTI.Setiterationcounter,n=0,2. usingtheanalyticalrepresentationsofthefundamentaldiagram.3. 4. 5. Endif6. 7.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 9.10.EndifEndifEndif11. where=densityatthebeginningoftheTI=densityattheendoftheTI=densityatthemid pointoftheTIAllvaluesofdensityapplyonlytothemovingvehicles.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TIt 3Q'et 1L 3vQ e vv QQ bM b12. EndifComputationofunitproblemisnowcomplete.Checkforexcessiveinflowcausingspillback.13. Thenumberofexcessvehiclesthatcausespillbackis:whereWisthewidthoftheupstreamintersection.Topreventspillback,metertheoutflowfromthefeederapproachesandfromthesourceflow,S,duringthisTIbytheamount,SB.Thatis,setThismeteringfactorisassignedappropriatelytoallfeederlinksandtothesourceflow,tobeappliedduringthenextnetworksweep,discussedlater.AlgorithmAThisanalysisaddressestheflowenvironmentoveraTIduringwhichmovingvehiclescanjoinastandingordischargingqueue.Forthecaseshown,aqueueoflength,formedbythatportionofthatreachesthestop barwithintheTI,butcouldnotdischargeduetoinadequatecapacity.Thatis,Thisqueuelength,canbeextendedtobytrafficenteringtheapproachduringthecurrentTI,travelingatspeed,v,andreachingtherearofthequeuewithintheTI.Aportionoftheenteringvehicles,willlikelyjointhequeue.ThisanalysiscalculatesfortheinputvaluesofL,TI,v,E,t, ,LN,.
Recognizingthatthefirsttwotermsontherighthandsidecancel,solvefortoobtain:
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Ifthedenominator,ThecompleteAlgorithmAconsidersallflowscenarios;spacelimitationprecludesitsinclusion,here.C.1.3 LaneAssignmentThe"unitproblem"issolvedforeachturnmovementoneachlink.Thereforeitisnecessarytocalculateavalue,ofallocatedlanesforeachmovement,x.Ifinfactalllanesarespecifiedby,say,arrowspaintedonthepavement,eitherasfulllanesoraslaneswithinaturnbay,thentheproblemisfullydefined.Ifhoweverthereremainun channelizedlanesonalink,thenananalysisisundertakentosubdi videthenumberofthesephysicallanesintoturnmovementspecificvirtuallanes,LN x.C.2 ImplementationC.2.1 ComputationalProcedureThecomputationalprocedureforthismodelisshownintheformofaflowdiagramasFigureC 4.Asdiscussedearlier,thesimulationmodelprocessestrafficflowforeachlinkindependentlyoverTIthattheanalystspecifies;itisusually60secondsorlonger.Thefirststepistoexecut eanalgorithmtodefinethesequenceinwhichthenetworklinksareprocessedsothatasmanylinksaspossibleareprocessedaftertheirfeederlinksareprocessed,withinthesamenetworksweep.Sinceageneralnetworkwillhavemanyclosedloops,itisnotpossibletoguaranteethateverylinkprocessedwillhaveallofitsfeederlinksprocessedearlier.Theprocessingthencontinuesasasuccessionoftimestepsofduration,TI,untilthesimulationiscompleted.Withineachtimestep,theprocessingperformsaseriesof"sweeps"overallnetworklinks;thisisnecessarytoensurethatthetrafficflowissynchronousovertheentirenetwork.Specifically,thesweepensurescontinuityofflowamongallthenetworklinks;inthecontextofthismodel,thismeansthatthevaluesofE,M,andSareal ldefinedforeachlinksuchthattheyrepresentthesynchronousmovementoftrafficfromeachlinktoallofitsoutboundlinks.Thesesweepsalsoservetocomputethemeteringratesthatcontrolspillback.Withineachsweep,processingsolvesthe"unitproblem"foreachturnmovementoneachlink.WiththeturnmovementpercentagesforeachlinkprovidedbytheDTRADmodel,analgorithm ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1allocatesthenumberoflanestoeachmovementservicedoneachlink.Thetimingatasignal,ifany,appliedatthedownstreamendofthelink,isexpressedasaG/Cratio,thesignaltimingneededtodefinethisratioisaninputrequirementforthemodel.Themodelalsohasthecapabilityofrepresenting,withmacroscopicfidelity,theactionsofactuatedsignalsrespondingtothetime varyingcompetingdemandsontheapproachestotheintersection.Thesolutionoftheunitproblemyieldsthevaluesofthenumberofvehicles,O,thatdischargefromthelinkoverthetimeintervalandthenumberofvehiclesthatremainonthelinkattheendofthetimeintervalasstrat ifiedbyqueuedandmovingvehicles:Theprocedureconsiderseachmovementseparately(multi piping).Afterallnetworklinksareprocessedforagivennetworksweep,theupdatedconsistentvaluesofenteringflows,E;meteringrates,M;andsourceflows,Saredefinedsoastosatisfythe"nospillback"condition.Theprocedurethenperformstheunitproblemsolutionsforallnetworklinksduringthefollowingsweep.Experiencehasshownthatthesystemconverges(i.e.thevaluesofE,MandS"settledown"forallnetworklinks)injusttwosweepsifthenetworkisentirelyunder saturatedorinfoursweepsinthepresenceofextensivecongestionwithlinkspillback.(Theinitialsweepoverea chlinkusesthefinalvaluesofEandM,ofthepriorTI).AtthecompletionofthefinalsweepforaTI,theprocedurecomputesandstoresallmeasuresofeffectivenessforeachlinkandturnmovementforoutputpurposes.ItthenpreparesforthefollowingtimeintervalbydefiningthevaluesofforthestartofthenextTIasbeingthosevaluesofattheendofthepriorTI.Inthismanner,thesimulationmodelprocessesthetrafficflowovertimeuntiltheendoftherun.Notethatthereisnospace discretizationotherthanthespecificationofnetworklinks.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 4.FlowofSimulationProcessing(SeeGlossary:TableC 3) SequenceNetworkLinksNextTime step,ofduration,TINextsweep;DefineE,M,SforallLinksNextLinkNextTurnMovement,x Getlanes,ServiceRate,;GetinputstoUnitProblem:,ESolveUnitProblem:LastMovement?LastLink?LastSweep?Calc.,storeallLinkMOESetupnextTI:LastTime-step?DONE ABCDDCBANo No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantC 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C.2.2 InterfacingwithDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTRAD)TheDYNEVIIsystemreflectsNRCguidancethatevacueeswillseektotravelinageneraldirectionawayfromthelocationofthehazardousevent.Thus,analgorithmwasdevelopedtoidentifyanappropriatesetofdestinationnodesforeachoriginbasedonitslocationandontheexpecteddirectionoftravel.ThisalgorithmalsosupportstheDTRADmodelindynamicallyvaryingtheTripTable(O Dmatrix)overtimefromoneDTRADsessiontothenext.FigureB 1depictstheinteractionofthesimulationmodelwiththeDTRADmodelintheDYNEVIIsystem.Asindicated,DYNEVIIperformsasuccessionofDTRAD"sessions";eachsuchsessioncomputestheturnlinkpercentagesforeachlinkthatremainconstantforthesessionduration,specifiedbytheanalyst.Theendproductistheassignmentoftrafficvolumesfromeachorigintopathsconnectingitwithitsdestinationsinsuchawayastominimizethenetwork widecostfunction.TheoutputoftheDTRADmodelisasetofupdatedlinkturnpercentageswhichrepresentthisassignmentoftraffic.AsindicatedinFigureB 1,thesimu lationmodelsupportstheDTRADsessionbyprovidingitwithoperationallinkMOEthatareneededbythepathchoicemodelandincludedintheDTRADcostfunction.TheseMOErepresenttheoperationalstateofthenetworkatatime,whichlieswithinthesessionduration,.This"burntime",isselectedbytheanalyst.ForeachDTRADiteration,thesimulationmodelcomputesthechangeinnetworkoperationsoverthisburntimeusingthelatestsetoflinkturnpercentagescomputedbytheDTRADmodel.UponconvergenceoftheDTRADiterativeprocedure,thesimulationmodelacceptsthelatestturnpercentagesprovidedbytheDTAmodel,returnstotheorigintime,andexecutesuntilitarrivesattheendoftheDTRADsessiondurationattime,AtthistimethenextDTAsessionislaunchedandthewholeprocessrepeatsuntiltheendoftheDYNEVIIrun.AdditionaldetailsarepresentedinAppendixB.
APPENDIXDDetailedDescriptionofStudyProcedure ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantD 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1D. DETAILEDDESCRIPTIONOFSTUDYPROCEDUREThisappendixdescribestheactivitiesthatwereperformedtocomputeEvacuationTimeEstimates.TheindividualstepsofthiseffortarerepresentedasaflowdiagraminFigureD 1.Eachnumberedstepinthedescriptionthatfollowscorrespondstothenumberedelementintheflowdiagram.Step1ThefirstactivitywastoobtainEPZboundaryinformationandcreateaGISbasemap.ThebasemapextendsbeyondtheShadowRegionwhichextendsapproximately15miles(radially)fromthepowerplantlocation.Thebasemapincorporatesthelocalroadwaytopology,asuitabletopographicbackgroundandtheEPZboundary.Step22010CensusblockinformationwasobtainedinGISformat.ThisinformationwasusedtoestimatetheresidentpopulationwithintheEPZandShadowRegionandtodefinethespatialdistributionanddemographiccharacteristicsofthepopulationwithinthestudyarea.Employeeandtransientdatawasobtainedfromlocal/stateemergencymanagementagencies.Informationconcerningschools,daycares,medicalandcorrectionalfacilitieswithintheEPZwasobtainedfromlocal/stateemergencymanagementagencies.AlldataprovidedwasatdirectcoordinationofLuminantGenerationCompany.Step3Akickoffmeetingwasconductedwithmajorstakeholders(stateandlocalemergencymanagers,on siteandoff siteutilityemergencymanagers,localandstatelawenforcementagencies).Thepurposeofthekickoffmeetingwastopresentanoverviewoftheworkeffort,identifykeyagencypersonnel,andindicatethedatarequirementsforthestudy.Specificrequestsforinformationwerepresentedtolocalemergencymanagers.UniquefeaturesofthestudyareawerediscussedtoidentifythelocalconcernsthatshouldbeaddressedbytheETEstudy.Step4Next,aphysicalsurveyoftheroadwaysysteminthestudyareawasconductedtodeterminethegeometricpropertiesofthehighwaysections,thechannelizationoflanesoneachsectionofroadway,whetherthereareanyturnrestrictionsorspecialtreatmentoftrafficatintersections,thetypeandfunctioningoftrafficcontroldevices,gatheringsignaltimingsforpre timedtrafficsignals,andtomakethenecessaryobservationsneededtoestimaterealisticvaluesofroadwaycapacity.Step5AtelephonesurveyofhouseholdswithintheEPZwasconductedtoidentifyhouseholddynamics,tripgenerationcharacteristics,andevacuation relateddemographicinformationoftheEPZpopulation.Thisinformationwasusedtodetermineimportantstudyfactorsincluding ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantD 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1theaveragenumberofevacuatingvehiclesusedbyeachhousehold,andthetimerequiredtoperformpre evacuationmobilizationactivities.Step6Acomputerizedrepresentationofthephysicalroadwaysystem,calledalink nodeanalysisnetwork,wasdevelopedusingtheUNITESsoftwaredevelopedbyKLD.Oncethegeometryofthenetworkwascompleted,thenetworkwascalibratedusingtheinformationgatheredduringtheroadsurvey(Step4).Estimatesofhighwaycapacityforeachlinkandotherlink specificcharacteristicswereintroducedtothenetworkdescription.Trafficsignaltimingswereinputaccordingly.Thelink nodeanalysisnetworkwasimportedintoaGISmap.2010Censusdatawereoverlaidinthemap,andorigincentroidswheretripswouldbegeneratedduringtheevacuationprocesswereassignedtoappropriatelinks.Step7TheEPZissubdividedinto31Zones.Basedonwinddirectionandspeed,Regions(groupingsofZones)thatmaybeadvisedtoevacuate,weredeveloped.Theneedforevacuationcanoccuroverarangeoftime of day,day of week,seasonalandweather relatedconditions.Scenariosweredevelopedtocapturethevariationinevacuationdemand,highwaycapa cityandmobilizationtime,fordifferenttimeofday,dayoftheweek,timeofyear,andweatherconditions.Step8TheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIImodel,whichintegratesthedynamictrafficassignmentanddistributionmodel,DTRAD,withtheevacuationsimulationmodel,wascreatedforaprototypeevacuationcase-theevacuationoftheentireEPZforarepresentativescenario.Step9Aftercreatingthisinputstream,theDYNEVIISystemwasexecutedontheprototypeevacuationcasetocomputeevacuatingtrafficroutingpatternsconsistentwiththeappropriateNRCguidelines.DYNEVIIcontainsanextensivesuiteofdatadiagnosticswhichcheckthecompletenessandconsistencyoftheinputdataspecified.Theanalystreviewsallwarninganderrormessagesproducedbythemodelandthencorrectsthedatabasetocreateaninputstreamthatproperlyexecutestocompletion.Themodelassignsdestinationstoallorigincent roidsconsistentwitha(general)radialevacuationoftheEPZandShadowRegion.Theanalystmayoptionallysupplementand/orreplacethes emodel assigneddestinations,basedonprofessionaljudgment,afterstudyingthetopologyoftheanalysishighwaynetwork.Themodelproduceslinkandnetwork widemeasuresofeffectivenessaswellasestimatesofevacuationtime.Step10Theresultsgeneratedbytheprototypeevacuationcasearecriticallyexamined.Theexaminationincludesobservingtheanimatedgraphics(usingtheEVANsoftwarewhichoperatesondataproducedbyDYNEVII)andreviewingthestatisticsoutputbythemodel.This ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantD 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1isalaborintensiveactivity,requiringthedirectparticipationofskilledengineerswhopossessthenecessarypracticalexperiencetointerprettheresultsandtodeterminethecausesofanyproblemsreflectedintheresults.Essentially,theapproachistoidentifythosebottlenecksinthenetworkthatrepresentlocationswherecongestedconditionsarepronouncedandtoidentifytheca useofthiscongestion.Thiscausecantakemanyforms,eitherasexcessdemandduetohighratesoftripgeneration,improperrouting,ashortfallofcapacity,orasaquantitativeflawinthewaythephysicalsystemwasrepresentedintheinputstream.Thisexaminationleadstooneoftwoconclusions: Theresultsaresatisfactory;or Theinputstreammustbemodifiedaccordingly.Thisdecisionrequires,ofcourse,theapplicationoftheuser'sjudgmentandexperiencebasedupontheresultsobtainedinpreviousapplicationsofthemodelandacomparisonoftheresultsofthelatestprototypeevacuationcaseiterationwiththepreviousones.Iftheresultsaresatisfactoryintheopinionoftheuser,thentheprocesscontinueswithStep13.Otherwise,proceedtoStep11.Step11Therearemany"treatments"availabletotheuserinresolvingapparentproblems.Thesetreatmentsrangefromdecisionstoreroutethetrafficbyassigningadditionalevacuationdestinationsforoneormoresources,imposingturnrestrictionswheretheycanproducesignificantimprovementsincapacity,changingthecontroltreatmentatcriticalintersectionssoastoprovideimprovedserviceforoneormoremovements,orinprescribingspecifictreatmentsforchannelizingtheflowsoastoexpeditethemovementoftrafficalongmajorroadwaysystems.Such"treatments"taketheformofmodificationstotheoriginalprototypeevacuationcaseinputstream.Alltreatmentsaredesignedtoimprovetherepr esentationofevacuationbehavior.Step12Asnotedabove,thechangestotheinputstreammustbeimplementedtoreflectthemodificationsundertakeninStep11.Atthecompletionofthisactivity,theprocessreturnstoStep9wheretheDYNEVIISystemisagainexecuted.Step13Evacuationoftransit dependentevacueesandspecialfacilitiesareincludedintheevacuationanalysis.Fixedroutingfortransitbusesandforschoolbuses,ambulances,andothertransitvehiclesareintroducedintothefinalprototypeevacuationcasedataset.DYNEVIIgeneratesroutespecificspeedsovertimeforuseintheestimationofevacuationtimesforthetransitdependentandspecialf acilitypopulationgroups.Step14Theprototypeevacuationcasewasusedasthebasisforgeneratingallregionandscenario specificevacuationcasestobesimulated.ThisprocesswasautomatedthroughtheUNITESuser ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantD 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1interface.Foreachspecificcase,thepopulationtobeevacuated,thetripgenerationdistributions,thehighwaycapacityandspeeds,andotherfactorsareadjustedtoproduceacustomizedcase specificdataset.Step15AllevacuationcasesareexecutedusingtheDYNEVIISystemtocomputeETE.Onceresultswereavailable,qualitycontrolprocedureswereusedtoassuretheresultswereconsistent,dynamicroutingwasreasonable,andtrafficcongestion/bottleneckswereaddressedproperly.Step16Oncevehicularevacuationresultsareaccepted,averagetravelspeedsfortransitandspecialfacilityrouteswereusedtocomputeevacuationtimeestimatesfortransit dependentpermanentresidents,schools,hospitals,andotherspecialfacilities.Step17Thesimulationresultsareanalyzed,tabulatedandgraphed.Theresultswerethendocumented,asrequiredbyNUREG/CR 7002.Step18Followingthecompletionofdocumentationactivities,theETEcriteriachecklist(seeAppendixN)wascompleted.Anappropriatereportreferenceisprovidedforeachcriterionprovidedinthechecklist.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantD 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 FigureD 1.FlowDiagramofActivitiesCreateGISBaseMap GatherCensusBlockandDemographicDataforStudyArea FieldSurveyofRoadwayswithinStudyAreaConductKickoffMeetingwithStakeholdersCreateandCalibrateLinkNodeAnalysisNetwork DevelopEvacuationRegionsandScenariosCreateandDebugDYNEVIIInputStreamConductTelephoneSurveyandDevelopTripGenerationCharacteristics ExecuteDYNEVIIforPrototypeEvacuationCase B A Step1 Step2 Step3 Step4 Step5 Step6 Step7 Step8 Step9 ExamineResultsofPrototypeEvacuationCaseusingEVANandDYNEVIIOutputModifyEvacuationDestinationsand/orDevelopTrafficControlTreatments A BModifyDatabasetoReflectChangestoPrototypeEvacuationCaseEstablishTransitandSpecialFacilityEvacuationRoutesandUpdateDYNEVIIDatabase GenerateDYNEVIIInputStreamsforAllEvacuationCases ExecuteDYNEVIItoComputeETEforAllEvacuationCases UseDYNEVIIAverageSpeedOutputtoComputeETEforTransitandSpecialFacilityRoutes DocumentationCompleteETECriteriaChecklist ResultsSatisfactory Step10 Step11 Step12 Step13 Step14 Step15 Step16 Step17 Step18 APPENDIXESpecialFacilityData ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1E. SPECIALFACILITYDATAThefollowingtableslistpopulationinformation,asofAugust2012,forspecialfacilities,transientattractionsandmajoremployersthatarelocatedwithintheCPNPPEPZ.Specialfacilitiesaredefinedasschools,daycares/preschools,daycamps,hospitalsandothermedicalcarefacilities,andcorrectionalfacilities.Transientpopulationdataisincludedinth etablesforcampgrounds,parks,golfcourses,marinas,otherrecreationalareas,lodgingfacilitiesandmajorretailfacilities.Employmentdataisincludedinthetablesformajoremployers.Eachtableisgroupedbycounty.Thelocationofthefacilityisdefinedbyitsstraight linedistance(miles)anddirection(magneticbearing)fromthecent erpointoftheplant.Mapsofeachschool,daycare/preschool,daycamp,medicalfacility,majoremployer,campground,park,golfcourse,marina,otherrecreationalarea,lodgingfacility,majorretailfacilityandcorrectionalfacilityarealsoprovided.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionSchoolNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentStaffHOODCOUNTY1C7.0NEMambrinoElementarySchool3835MambrinoHwyGranbury(817)4084900604701D9.4NPremierHighSchool919EHwy377#1Granbury(817)5730435150NA4E9.1NBrawnerIntermediateSchool1520SMeadowDrGranbury(817)4084950400454E8.9NEmmaRobersonElementarySchool1500MistyMeadowDrGranbury(817)4084500501524G10.3WNWTolarHighSchool301RockChurchRdTolar(254)835431622531TO9.8NWTolarElementarySchool401E7thStTolar(254)835402826526TO9.8NWTolarJr.HighSchool401E7thStTolar(254)835520713219HoodCountySubtotals:2,277243SOMERVELLCOUNTY2D3.1EHappyHillFarmAcademy3846NHwy144Granbury(254)8976470110802H8.5ESEBrazosRiverCharterSchool1964SFM199Nemo(254)898922612320GL4.9SSEGlenRoseElementarySchool601StadiumDrGlenRose(254)898350040556GL4.8SSEGlenRoseHighSchool900StadiumDrGlenRose(254)898380050270GL4.9SSEGlenRoseIntermediateSchool201AllenDrGlenRose(254)898360037750GL4.5SSEGlenRoseJuniorHighSchool805CollegeStGlenRose(254)898370037750SomervellCountySubtotals:1,894326TOTAL:4,171569 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 2.Daycares/PreschoolswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionSchoolNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentStaffHOODCOUNTY1C6.7NNERainbow'sPromise2727MambrinoHwyGranbury(817)279679465134E9.1NCrosstownPreschool1400NMeadowsDrGranbury(817)57350116211GR10.0NLittlePeople'sPlayhouse1107WPearlStGranbury(817)57331887011HoodCountySubtotals:19735SOMERVELLCOUNTYGL4.6SSEFirstUnitedMethodistPreschool411NEBarnardStGlenRose(254)8972572202SomervellCountySubtotals:202TOTAL:21737TableE 3.DaycampswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentSOMERVELLCOUNTY2E4.5ECampArrowhead5236FM199Cleburne(254)89723234502H8.4ESEStevensRanchontheBrazos4602FM200Nemo(817)86907361712J8.4SERiverBendRetreatCenter1232CR411BGlenRose(254)8974011900GL4.7SSEGlenLakeCamp1102NEBarnardStGlenRose(254)8972247600SomervellCountySubtotals:2,121TOTAL:2,121Daycampstypicallylast1 2weeksduringthesummer.RefertoSection8fortheETEcalculationforthesetransitdependents ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 4.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneCapacityCurrentCensusAmbul atoryPatientsWheel chairPatientsBedriddenPatientsHOODCOUNTY1D9.6NCourtyardsatLakeGranbury801CalincoDrGranbury(817)73643008274443001D9.4NSouthernConceptsMeadowlark900MeadowlarkLnGranbury(817)5736922444001D9.4NSouthernConceptsSouthTown1400FifthStGranbury(817)5736922666004E9.3NArborHouseAssistedLiving900AutumnRidgeDrGranbury(817)57377205245222304F8.8NGranburyVillaNursingCenter2124PaluxyHwyGranbury(817)27976009562213834F9.2NLakeGranburyMedicalCenter 11310PaluxyHwyGranbury(817)2197373831612134F8.5NNWQuailParkAssistedLiving2310PaluxyHwyGranbury(817)279960722181710GR9.8NGranburyCareCenter301SouthParkStGranbury(817)573372618114559842GR9.8NSouthernConceptsTorreyHouse400TorreyStGranbury(817)573692266600GR9.6NTheEstates916EHwy377Granbury(817)57312142089078111GR9.9NTheWatermark100WatermarkBlvdGranbury(877)3060051210210186240HoodCountySubtotals:9496764552129SOMERVELLCOUNTYGL4.3SECherokeeRoseManor203BoGibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)897736110210281210GL4.5SSEGlenRoseMedicalCenterHospital1021HoldenStGlenRose(254)65980812710730GL4.5SSEGlenRoseMedicalCenterNursingHome1021HoldenStGlenRose(254)659808112010360412SomervellCountySubtotals:249215148652TOTAL:1,11587559127681EmergencyplanscallforthisfacilitytoShelter In Place ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 5.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEmployees (maxshift)%Non EPZEmployees (NonEPZ)HOODCOUNTY1D9.1NBrookshires1301SouthMorganStGranbury(817)2791338655%31D9.3NHomeDepot#6571415EHwy377Granbury(817)57900507530%231D9.3NWal MartSupercenter735EHwy377Granbury(817)573379132590%293GR9.8NGranburyCareCenter 1301SouthParkStGranbury(817)57337265048%24GR9.7NKrogerGrocery1420EHwy377Granbury(817)573888710020%20GR9.5NLowe's1021E.Hwy377Granbury(817)73670006025%15GR9.9NTheWatermark 1100WatermarkBlvdGranbury(877)30600514648%22HoodCountySubtotals:721400SOMERVELLCOUNTYCP0.0CPNPPHillCityHwyGlenRose(254)89764701,20173%8772D6.7ESEHeckmannWaterResources(CVR),Inc.5383EHwy67Rainbow(254)89884104092%373F7.0SEarthPromiseDBAFossilRim2155CR2008GlenRose(254)89842396948%33GL4.3SECherokeeRoseManor203BoGibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)8977361400%0GL4.1SEQuicksilverResources,Inc.310BoGibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)898810535100%35SomervellCountySubtotals:1,385982TOTAL:2,1061,3821 Anaverageof48%non EPZemployees(baseduponthosefacilitieswhichdidprovidedetaileddata)wasappliedtothosefacilitieswhichdidnotprovidedetaileddata ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 6.CampgroundswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesHOODCOUNTY1D8.8NLakeGranburyMarinaRVPark2323SMorganStGranbury(817)279100060304A2.8NEMidwayPinesRVPark9322GlenRoseHwyGranbury(817)279792532304A2.9NENubbinRidgeGrocery&RVPark8905GlenRoseHwyGranbury(817)573533188HoodCountySubtotals:10068SOMERVELLCOUNTY2B2.8EJurassicRVPark4621GlenRoseHwyGlenRose(254)897122350502D4.0ECamp'N'Fish2790CR304Rainbow(254)8981069100502E4.5ECampArrowhead5236FM199Cleburne(254)8972323150502F9.8ECedarBreakRVPark8895Hwy67CleburneNA50362J8.4SERiverBendRetreatCenter1232CR411BGlenRose(254)89740116003062J5.0SETresRiosRVResort2322CR312GlenRose(254)22100182001003B4.2SSEFlintCanyonRVPark1321NFM56GlenRose(817)933057125183D5.2SChambersRVPlace1607Hwy67GlenRose(254)396156425253D7.0SCedarRidgeRVPark4475WHwy67GlenRose(254)89734109544GL4.7SBStreetRVPark1900SWBarnardStGlenRose(254)39665345020GL4.7SSEGlenLakeCamp1102NEBarnardStGlenRose(254)897224711050SomervellCountySubtotals:1,455749TOTAL:1,555817
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 7.ParkswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesHOODCOUNTY1C7.7NEDeCordovaDamPark6801JohnGeeCtGranbury(817)5733212198901D8.4NRoughCreekParkRoughCreekEstatesGranbury(817)5733212175794A2.2NSquawCreekPark2300CR213Granbury(817)5737053250120GR10.0NGranburyCityPark116WBridgeStGranbury(817)573554814063HoodCountySubtotals:763352SOMERVELLCOUNTY3B3.7SSWDinosaurValleyStatePark1629ParkRd59GlenRose(254)89745884211913B4.1SSWDinosaurWorld1058ParkRd59GlenRose(254)89815262001003F8.2SEarthPromiseDBAFossilRimWildlifeCenter2299CR2008GlenRose(254)897296030083GL4.7SSEOakdalePark1019NEBarnardStGlenRose(254)897232120091SomervellCountySubtotals:1,121465TOTAL:1,884817 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 8.GolfCourseswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesSOMERVELLCOUNTY2D4.6SESquawValleyGolfCourse2439Hwy67GlenRose(254)8977956150150SomervellCountySubtotals:150150TOTAL:150150TableE 9.MarinaswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesHOODCOUNTY1D9.4NTheDockonLakeGranbury1003WhiteCliffGranbury(817)98809254824HoodCountySubtotals:4824TOTAL:4824TableE10.OtherRecreationalAreaswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesSOMERVELLCOUNTYGL4.3SESomervellCountyExpoCenter202BoGibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)89745094,8001,655 GL4.3SETexasAmphitheatre5000TexasDrGlenRose(254)89745094,0001,250SomervellCountySubtotals:8,8002,905TOTAL:8,8002,905 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE11.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesHOODCOUNTY1D9.8NBaymontInnandSuites1515NPlazaDrGranbury(817)5799977211961D9.8NBestWestern1517NPlazaDrGranbury(817)5734239165551D9.6NClassicInn1209NPlazaDrGranbury(817)573887444221D9.5NComfortSuites903HarborLakesDrGranbury(817)5795559208691D9.5NDaysInnGranbury1201NPlazaDrGranbury(817)5732611108501D7.7NDinosaurTrailCabins&Cottages2800TX144Granbury(817)5733023531D9.7NGranburyInnandSuites1339NPlazaDrGranbury(817)573269180401D9.4NLaQuintaInnandSuites880HarborLakesDrGranbury(817)573200717157GR9.9NAlfonso'sLoftB&B137EPearlStGranbury(817)219155221GR9.7NBakerSt.HarbourB&B511SBakerStGranbury(817)5798811168GR9.9NGranburyConventionCenter621EPearlStGranbury(817)89435271,500885GR9.9NHiltonGardenInn635EPearlStGranbury(817)57938009374GR9.8NInnonLakeGranbury205WDoyleStGranbury(817)5730046189GR9.9NManorofTimeB&B121WBluffStGranbury(817)975117421GR9.9NPlantationInn1451EPearlStGranbury(817)57388467437HoodCountySubtotals:2,6971,407SOMERVELLCOUNTY2C2.9SSEPopejoyHausB&B1943CR321GlenRose(254)8973521742D5.2ESEGlenRoseCottage3279EHwy67Rainbow(254)8977198422D7.2ESERiversideCottagesontheBrazos1140CR315GlenRose(254)485530040242J6.0SECedarsontheBrazos2920CR413GlenRose(254)89810003062J7.8SSECJ'sCountryCabins3454FM56SouthGlenRose(254)898953364263D4.9SHuffmanCabins1443WHwy67GlenRose(254)89823321643D4.5SPaluxyRiverBedCabins1319FM205GlenRose(254)8979425843F7.7SEarthPromise:SafariCamp3022CR2010GlenRose(254)89729602073F7.7SEarthPromise:TheLodge3022CR2010GlenRose(254)8972960258GL4.5SEAmericasBestValueInn&Suites1614NBigBendTrailGlenRose(254)897211110053GL4.5SEBestWesternDinosaurValleyInn&Suites1311NEBigBendTrailGlenrose(254)897481820060 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesGL4.7SSEBussey'sSomethingSpecialB&B202HerefordGlenRose(254)897484365GL4.4SEComfortInn&Suites1615NEBigBendTrailGlenRose(254)898890020080GL4.7SSECountryWoodsInn420GrandAveGlenRose(254)39652484512GL5.1SSEGlenRoseHouse704PaluxyStGlenRose(972)317764142GL4.6SSEGlenRoseInn&Suites300SWBigBendTrailGlenRose(254)89729409560GL4.4SEHolidayInnExpress113PaluxySummitBlvdGlenRose(254)89899007171GL4.8SSEInnOnTheRiver205SWBarnardStGlenRose(254)89729296030GL4.4SSELaQuintaInn&SuitesGlenRose101WestBoGibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)898067924258SomervellCountySubtotals:1,237516TOTAL:3,9341,923 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE12.MajorRetailFacilitieswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneNon EPZ%TransientsVehiclesHOODCOUNTY1D9.1NBrookshires1301SouthMorganStGranbury(817)27913385%23151D9.3NHomeDepot#6571415EHwy377Granbury(817)57900505%3022011D9.3NShowbizCinema1201WatersEdgeDrGranbury(817)573731830%20131D9.3NWal MartSupercenter735EHwy377Granbury(817)573080075%1,011674GR9.7NKrogerGrocery1420EHwy377Granbury(817)573888720%6040HoodCountySubtotals:1,416943TOTAL:1,416943TableE13.CorrectionalFacilitieswithintheEPZZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneCap acityCensusSOMERVELLCOUNTYGL4.0SSESomervellCountyJail750GibbsBlvdGlenRose(254)89722425432SomervellCountySubtotal:5432TOTAL:5432 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 2.PreschoolsandDaycareswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 3.DaycampswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 4.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 5.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 6.CampgroundswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 7.RecreationalFacilitieswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 8.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZOverview ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 9.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ-HoodCounty ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE10.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ-SomervellCounty ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE11.MajorRetailFacilitieswithintheEPZ ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantE 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE12.CorrectionalFacilitieswithintheEPZ APPENDIXFTelephoneSurvey ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F. TELEPHONESURVEYF.1 IntroductionThedevelopmentofevacuationtimeestimatesfortheCPNPPEPZrequirestheidentificationoftravelpatterns,carownershipandhouseholdsizeofthepopulationwithintheEPZ.DemographicinformationcanbeobtainedfromCensusdata.Theuseofthisdatahasseverallimitationswhenappliedtoemergencyplanning.First,theCensusdatadonotencompasstherangeofinformationneededtoidentifythetimerequiredforpreliminaryactivities(mobilization)thatmustbeundertakenpriortoevacuatingthearea.Secondly,CensusdatadonotcontainattitudinalresponsesneededfromthepopulationoftheEPZandconsequentlymaynotaccuratelyrepresenttheanticipatedbehavioralcharacteristicsoftheevacuatingpopulace.TheseconcernsareaddressedbyconductingatelephonesurveyofarepresentativesampleoftheEPZpopulation.Thesurveyisdesignedtoelicitinformationfromthepublicconcerningfamilydemographicsandestimatesofresponsetimestowelldefinedevents.Thedesignofthesurveyincludesalimitednumberofquestionsoftheform"Whatwouldyoudoif-?"andotherquestionsregardingactivitieswithwhichtherespondentisfamiliar("Howlongdoesittakeyouto-?")
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F.2 SurveyInstrumentandSamplingPlanAttachmentApresentsthefinalsurveyinstrumentusedinthisstudy.Adraftoftheinstrumentwassubmittedtostakeholdersforcomment.Commentswerereceivedandthesurveyinstrumentwasmodifiedaccordingly,priortoconductingthesurvey.Followingthecompletionoftheinstrument,asamplingplanwasdeveloped.Asamplesizeofapproximately550completedsurveyformsyi eldsresultswithasamplingerrorof+/-4%atthe95%confidencelevel.ThesamplemustbedrawnfromtheEPZpopulation.Consequently,alistofzipcodesintheEPZwasdevelopedusingGISsoftware.ThislistisshowninTableF 1.Alongwitheachzipcode,anestimateofthepopulationandnumberofhouseholdsineachareawasdeterminedbyoverlayingCensusdataandtheEPZboundary,againusingGISsoftware.Theproportionalnumberofdesiredcompletedsurveyinterviewsforeachareawasidentified,asshowninTableF 1.NotethattheaveragehouseholdsizecomputedinTableF 1wasanestimateforsamplingpurposesandwasnotuse dintheETEstudy.Thecompletedsurveyadheredtothesamplingplan.TableF 1.CPNPPTelephoneSurveySamplingPlanZipCodePopulationwithinEPZ(2004)HouseholdsRequiredSample760334021615760433,4951,23738760441,891628207604818,5577,2612257604917,1216,838213760702884951576077546726237647692535211Total43,22517,698550AverageHouseholdSize: 2.44TotalSampleRequired: 550Thesurveydiscussedhereinwasperformedin2007forthepreparationofaCOLAlicensingeffort.TheEPZpopulationhasincreasedbyabout5percent(1,764people)betweenthe2007studyand2010Census(seeTable3 1).Intheinterveningperiod,thenatureoftheEPZhasnotchanged.Itconsistsprimarilyofranchlandan dscatteredhousing.Consequently,theuseof2007telephonesurveyresultscanbejustifiedonthisbasis.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F.3 SurveyResultsTheresultsofthesurveyfallintotwocategories.First,thehouseholddemographicsoftheareacanbeidentified.Demographicinformationincludessuchfactorsashouseholdsize,automobileownership,andautomobileavailability.Thedistributionsofthetimetoperformcertainpre evacuationactivitiesarethesecondcategoryofsurveyresults.Thesedataareprocessedtodevelopthetripgenerationdistributionsusedintheevacuationmodelingeffort,asdiscussedinSection5.Areviewofthesurveyinstrumentrevealsthatseveralquestionshavea"don'tknow"(DK)or"refused"entryforaresponse.Itisacceptedpracticeinconductingsurveysofthi stypetoaccepttheanswersofarespondentwhooffersaDKresponseforafewquestionsorwhorefusestoanswerafewquestions.ToaddresstheissueofoccasionalDK/refusedresponsesfromalargesample,thepracticeistoassumethatthedistributionoftheseresponsesisthesameasth eunderlyingdistributionofthepositiveresponses.Ineffect,theDK/refusedresponsesareignoredandthedistributionsarebaseduponthepositivedatathatisacquired.F.3.1 HouseholdDemographicResultsHouseholdSizeFigureF 1presentsthedistributionofhouseholdsizewithintheEPZ.Theaveragehouseholdcontains2.21people.Theestimatedhouseholdsize(2.44persons)usedtodeterminethesurveysample(TableF 1)wasdrawnfromCensusdataandis10.4%higherthanthesurveyresults,welloutsidethesurveysamplingerrorof+/-4%.Onelik elyexplanationforthisdifferenceisthatolderpopulationismorelikelytohavelandlinephones(thetelephonesurveyonlysampledlandlinephones).Recentresearchhasfoundthatcellphoneusagedropssignificantlybeyond50yearsofage 1.Thus,itismorelikelythatpopulationbeyond50yearsofageparticipatedinthesurvey.Atthisage,mostmarriedcoupleslivealonewithchildrenhavingmovedoutandstartedtheirownfamilies.Thiswouldexplainthesurveyresultsbeingcloserto2peopleperhouseholdthantheCensuspredicts.Theloweraveragehouseholdsize(2.21people)fro mthesurveyisconservative,resultinginmorehouseholdsandmoreevacuatingvehicles.1http://pewinternet.org/Reports/2011/Cell Phones/Section 1.aspx ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 1.HouseholdSizeintheEPZAutomobileOwnershipTheaveragenumberofautomobilesavailableperhouseholdintheEPZis1.95.Itshouldbenotedthatapproximately3.5percentofhouseholdsdonothaveaccesstoanautomobile.ThedistributionofautomobileownershipispresentedinFigureF 2.FigureF 3andFigureF 4presenttheautomobileavailabilitybyhouseholdsize.Notethatthemajorityofhouseholdswithoutaccesstoacararesinglepersonhouseholds.Asexpected,nearlyallhouseholdsof2ormorepeoplehaveaccesstoatleastonevehicle.FigureF 2.HouseholdVehicleAvailability0%10%20%30%
40%
50%60%12345678910+
%ofHouseholds HouseholdSize ComanchePeakHouseholdSize 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%0123456789+
%ofHouseholds NumberofVehicles ComanchePeakVehicleAvailability ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 3.VehicleAvailability1to4PersonHouseholdsFigureF 4.VehicleAvailability5to8PersonHouseholds 0%20%40%60%80%100%01234567%ofHouseholds VehiclesDistributionofVehiclesbyHHSize 1 4PersonHouseholds 1Person 2People 3People 4People 0%20%
40%60%80%100%01234567%ofHouseholds VehiclesDistributionofVehiclesbyHHSize 6 8PersonHouseholds 5People 6People 7People 8People ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1CommutersFigureF 5presentsthedistributionofthenumberofcommutersineachhousehold.Commutersaredefinedashouseholdmemberswhotraveltoworkorcollegeonadailybasis.Thedatashowsanaverageof0.66commutersineachhouseholdintheEPZ,and40%ofhouseholdshaveatleastonecommuter.FigureF 5.CommutersinHouseholdsintheEPZ0%10%20%30%
40%50%60%
70%01234+%ofHouseholds NumberofCommuters ComanchePeakCommuters ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1CommuterTravelModesFigureF 6presentsthemodeoftravelthatcommutersuseonadailybasis.Thevastmajorityofcommutersusetheirprivateautomobilestotraveltowork.Thedatashowsanaverageof1.02employeespervehicle,assuming2peoplepervehicle-onaverage-forcarpools.FigureF 6.ModesofTravelintheEPZF.3.2 EvacuationResponseSeveralquestionswereaskedtogaugethepopulation'sresponsetoanemergency.Thesearenowdiscussed:"Howmanyofthevehicleswouldyourhouseholduseduringanevacuation?"TheresponseisshowninFigureF 7.Onaverage,evacuatinghouseholdswoulduse1.29vehicles."Wouldyourfamilyawaitthereturnofotherfamilymemberspriortoevacuatingthearea?"Ofthesurveyparticipantswhoresponded,45percentsaidtheywouldawaitthereturnofotherfamilymembersbeforeevacuatingand55percentindicatedthattheywouldnotawaitthereturnofotherfamilymembers."Ifyouhadahouseholdpet,wouldyoutakeyourpetwithyouifyouwereaskedtoevacuatethearea?"Basedontheresponsestothesurvey,75percentofhouseholdshaveafamilypet.Ofthehouseholdswithpets,70percentofthemindicatedthattheywouldtaketheirpetswiththem,asshowninFigur eF 8.0.6%1.1%2.5%93.6%2.2%0%20%40%60%80%100%RailBusWalk/BikeDriveAloneCarpool(2+)%ofCommuters ModeofTravel ComanchePeakTravelModetoWork ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 7.NumberofVehiclesUsedforEvacuationFigureF 8.HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets0%20%40%60%80%100%0123456789+
%ofHouseholds NumberofVehiclesVehiclesUsedforEvacuation 0%20%40%
60%80%100%YesNo%ofHouseholds HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F.3.3 TimeDistributionResultsThesurveyaskedseveralquestionsabouttheamountoftimeittakestoperformcertainpre evacuationactivities.Theseactivitiesinvolveactionstakenbyresidentsduringthecourseoftheirday to daylives.Thus,theanswersfallwithintherealmoftheresponder'sexperience.ThemobilizationdistributionsprovidedbelowaretheresultofhavingappliedtheanalysisdescribedinSection5.4.1onthecomponentactivitiesofthemobilization."Howlongdoesittakethecommutertocompletepreparationforleavingwork?"FigureF 9presentsthecumulativedistribution;inallcases,theactivityiscompletedby75minutes.Approximately86percentcanleavewithin30m inutes.FigureF 9.TimeRequiredtoPreparetoLeaveWork/School 0%20%40%60%80%100%01530456075
%ofCommuters PreparationTime(min)TimetoPreparetoLeaveWork ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"Howlongwouldittakethecommutertotravelhome?"FigureF 10presentstheworktohometraveltimefortheEPZ.About80percentofcommuterscanarrivehomewithin30minutesofleavingwork;allwithin120minutes.FigureF10.WorktoHomeTravelTime0%20%40%
60%
80%100%0153045607590105120
%ofCommuters TravelTime(min)WorktoHomeTravel ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"Howlongwouldittakethefamilytopackclothing,securethehouse,andloadthecar?"FigureF 11presentsthetimerequiredtoprepareforleavingonanevacuationtrip.Inmanywaysthisactivitymimicsafamily'spreparationforashortholidayorweekendawayfromhome.Hence,theresponsesrepresenttheexperienceoftheresponderinperformingsimilaractivities.ThedistributionshowninFigureF 11hasalong"tail."About90percentofhouseholdscanbereadytoleavehomewithin60minutes;theremaininghouseholdsrequireuptoanadditionalninetyminutes.FigureF11.TimetoPrepareHomeforEvacuationF.4 ConclusionsThetelephonesurveyprovidesvaluable,relevantdataassociatedwiththeEPZpopulation,whichhavebeenusedtoquantifydemographicsspecifictotheEPZ,and"mobilizationtime"whichcaninfluenceevacuationtimeestimates.0%20%40%60%80%100%020406080100120140160
%ofHouseholds PreparationTime(min)TimetoPreparetoLeaveHome ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ATTACHMENTATelephoneSurveyInstrument ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TelephoneSurveyInstrumentSurvey Instrument Hello, my name is _______________ and I'm working COL.1 Unused on a survey being made for [insert marketing firm COL.2 Unused name] designed to identify local travel patterns COL.3 Unused in your area. The information obtained will be COL.4 Unused used in a traffic engineering study and in COL.5 Unused connection with an update of the county's emergency response plans. Your participation in this
survey will greatly enhance the county's emergency preparedness program. Sex COL. 8 1 Male 2 Female
INTERVIEWER: ASK TO SPEAK TO THE HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD OR THE SPOUSE OF THE HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD.
(Terminate call if not a residence)
__________________________________________________________________________________________
DO NOT ASK:
1A. Record area code. To Be Determined
COL. 9-11 1B. Record exchange number. To Be Determined
COL. 12-14
__________________________________________________________________________________________ 2. What is your home Zip Code Col. 15-19
- 3. In total, how many cars, or other vehicles COL.20 are usually available to the household? 1 ONE (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.) 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN 8 EIGHT 9 NINE OR MORE 0 ZERO (NONE)
X REFUSED
__________________________________________________________________________________________
- 4. How many people usually live in this COL.21 COL.22 household? (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.) 1 ONE 0 TEN 2 TWO 1 ELEVEN 3 THREE 2 TWELVE 4 FOUR 3 THIRTEEN 5 FIVE 4 FOURTEEN 6 SIX 5 FIFTEEN 7 SEVEN 6 SIXTEEN 8 EIGHT 7 SEVENTEEN 9 NINE 8 EIGHTEEN 9 NINETEEN OR MORE X REFUSED 5. How many children living in this COL.23 household go to local public, 0 ZERO private, or parochial schools? 1 ONE (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.) 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN 8 EIGHT 9 NINE OR MORE X REFUSED
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 6. How many people in the household COL.24 SKIP TO commute to a job, or to college, 0 ZERO Q. 12 at least 4 times a week? 1 ONE Q. 7 2 TWO Q. 7 3 THREE Q. 7 4 FOUR OR MORE Q. 7 5 DON'T KNOW/REFUSED Q. 12
INTERVIEWER: For each person identified in Question 6, ask Questions 7, 8, 9, and 10.
- 7. Thinking about commuter #1, how does that person usually travel to work or college? (REPEAT QUESTION FOR EACH COMMUTER.)
Commuter #1 Commuter #2 Commuter #3 Commuter #4 COL.25 COL.26 COL.27 COL.28 Rail 1 1 1 1
Bus 2 2 2 2
Walk/Bicycle 3 3 3 3
Driver Car/Van 4 4 4 4
Park & Ride (Car/Rail, Xpress_bus) 5 5 5 5
Driver Carpool-2 or more people 6 6 6 6
Passenger Carpool-2 or more people 7 7 7 7
Taxi 8 8 8 8 Refused 9 9 9 9
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 8. What is the name of the city, town or community in which Commuter #1 works or attends school? (REPEAT QUESTION FOR EACH COMMUTER.) (FILL IN ANSWER.)
COMMUTER #1 COMMUTER #2 COMMUTER #3 COMMUTER #4
_________ _____ _________ _____ _________ _____ _________ _____
City/Town State City/Town State City/Town State City/Town State COL.29 COL.30 COL.31 COL.32 COL.33 COL.34 COL.35 COL.36 COL.37 COL.38 COL.39 COL.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9. How long would it take Commuter #1 to travel home from work or college? (REPEAT QUESTION FOR EACH COMMUTER.) (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.)
COMMUTER #1 COMMUTER #2 COL.41 COL.42 COL.43 COL.44 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 31 MINUTES AND 1 31 MINUTES AND 1 HOUR 45 MINUTES HOUR 45 MINUTES 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 46 MINUTES AND 46 MINUTES AND 2 HOURS 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS (SPECIFY _____) (SPECIFY _____)
9 9 0 0 X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 COMMUTER #3 COMMUTER #4 COL.45 COL.46 COL.47 COL.48 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 31 MINUTES AND 1 31 MINUTES AND 1 HOUR 45 MINUTES HOUR 45 MINUTES 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 46 MINUTES AND 46 MINUTES AND 2 HOURS 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS (SPECIFY _____) (SPECIFY _____)
9 9 0 0 X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED
- 10. Approximately how long does it take Commuter #1 to complete preparation for leaving work or college prior to starting the trip home? (REPEAT QUESTION FOR EACH COMMUTER.) (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.)
COMMUTER #1 COMMUTER #2 COL. 49 COL.50 COL.51 COL. 52 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 31 MINUTES AND 1 31 MINUTES AND 1 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 HOUR 45 MINUTES HOUR 45 MINUTES 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 46 MINUTES AND 46 MINUTES AND 2 HOURS 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS (SPECIFY _____) (SPECIFY _____)
9 9 0 0 X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED COMMUTER #3 COMMUTER #4 COL. 53 COL. 54 COL. 55 COL. 56 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 1 5 MINUTES OR LESS 1 46-50 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 2 6-10 MINUTES 2 51-55 MINUTES 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 3 11-15 MINUTES 3 56 - 1 HOUR 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 4 16-20 MINUTES 4 OVER 1 HOUR, BUT 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 5 21-25 MINUTES LESS THAN 1 HOUR 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 6 26-30 MINUTES 15 MINUTES 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 31-35 MINUTES 5 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 8 36-40 MINUTES 16 MINUTES AND 1 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 9 41-45 MINUTES HOUR 30 MINUTES 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 6 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 31 MINUTES AND 1 31 MINUTES AND 1 HOUR 45 MINUTES HOUR 45 MINUTES 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 7 BETWEEN 1 HOUR 46 MINUTES AND 46 MINUTES AND 2 HOURS 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS 8 OVER 2 HOURS (SPECIFY _____) (SPECIFY _____)
9 9 0 0 X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED X DON'T KNOW/REFUSED
- 11. When the commuters are away from home, is there a vehicle at home that is available for evacuation during any emergency?
Col. 57 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't Know/Refused
- 12. Would you await the return of family members prior to evacuating the area?
Col. 58 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't Know/Refused ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantF 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 13. How many of the vehicles that are usually available to the household would your family use during an evacuation?
COL.59 (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.) 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN 8 EIGHT 9 NINE OR MORE 0 ZERO (NONE) X REFUSED
- 14. How long would it take the family to pack clothing, secure the house, load the car, and complete preparations prior to evacuating the area? (DO NOT READ ANSWERS.)
COL.60 COL.61 1 LESS THAN 15 MINUTES 1 3 HOURS TO 3 HOURS 15 MINUTES 2 15-30 MINUTES 2 3 HOURS 16 MINUTES TO 3 HOURS 30 MINUTES 3 31-45 MINUTES 3 3 HOURS 31 MINUTES TO 3 HOURS 45 MINUTES 4 46 MINUTES - 1 HOUR 4 3 HOURS 46 MINUTES TO 4 HOURS 5 1 HOUR TO 1 HOUR 15 MINUTES 5 4 HOURS TO 4 HOURS 15 MINUTES 6 1 HOUR 16 MINUTES TO 1 HOUR 30 MINUTES 6 4 HOURS 16 MINUTES TO 4 HOURS 30 MINUTES 7 1 HOUR 31 MINUTES TO 1 HOUR 45 MINUTES 7 4 HOURS 31 MINUTES TO 4 HOURS 45 MINUTES 8 1 HOUR 46 MINUTES TO 2 HOURS 8 4 HOURS 46 MINUTES TO 5 HOURS 9 2 HOURS TO 2 HOURS 15 MINUTES 9 5 HOURS TO 5 HOURS 15 MINUTES 0 2 HOURS 16 MINUTES TO 2 HOURS 30 MINUTES 0 5 HOURS 16 MINUTES TO 5 HOURS 30 MINUTES X 2 HOURS 31 MINUTES TO 2 HOURS 45 MINUTES X 5 HOURS 31 MINUTES TO 5 HOURS 45 MINUTES Y 2 HOURS 46 MINUTES TO 3 HOURS Y 5 HOURS 46 MINUTES TO 6 HOURS COL.62 1 DON'T KNOW 15. Would you take household pets with you if you were asked to evacuate the area? Col. 58 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't Know/Refused
Thank you very much. _______________________________________
(TELEPHONE NUMBER CALLED)
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For Additional information
Contact your County Emergency Management Office APPENDIXGTrafficManagementPlan ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantG 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1G. TRAFFICMANAGEMENTPLANNUREG/CR 7002indicatesthattheexistingTCPsandACPsidentifiedbytheoffsiteagenciesshouldbeusedintheevacuationsimulationmodeling.ThetrafficandaccesscontrolplansfortheEPZwereprovidedbyeachcounty.TheseplanswerereviewedandtheTCPsandACPsweremodeledaccordingly.G.1 TrafficControlPointsAsdiscussedinSect ion9,trafficcontrolpointsatintersections(whicharecontrolled)aremodeledasactuatedsignals.Ifanintersectionhasapre timedsignal,stop,oryieldcontrol,andtheintersectionisidentifiedasatrafficcontrolpoint,thecontroltypewaschangedtoanactuatedsignalintheDYNE VIIsystem.TableK 2providesthecontroltypeandnodenumberforthosenodeswhicharecontrolled.IftheexistingcontrolwaschangedduetothepointbeingaTrafficControlPoint,thecontroltypeisindicatedasaTCPinTableK 2.FigureG 1mapstheTCPsidentifiedinthecountyemer gencyplans.ThesesTCPswouldbemannedduringevacuationbytrafficguideswhowoulddirectevacueesintheproperdirectionandfacilitatetheflowoftrafficthroughtheintersections.AsindicatedinSection9,thesepointsareconcentratedinthepopulationcenterswithintheEPZ.G.2 AccessControlPointsItisassumedthatACPswillbeestablishedwithin2hoursoftheadvisorytoevacuatetodiscouragethroughtravelersfromusingmajorthroughrouteswhichtraversetheEPZ.AsdiscussedinSection3.6,externaltrafficwasonlyconsideredontworouteswhichtraversetheEPZ-US 377andUS 67-inthisan alysis.Thegenerationoftheseexternaltripsceasedat2hoursaftertheadvisorytoevacuateinthesimulation.FigureG 2mapstheACPsidentifiedinthecountyemergencyplans.TheseACPSareconcentratedonroadwaysgivingaccesstotheEPZ.ThesesACPswouldbemannedduringevacuationbytrafficguideswhowoulddirectevacueesintheproperdirectionawayfromCPNPPandfacilitatetheflowoftrafficthroughtheintersections.AsindicatedinFigureG 2,thereareACPsalongUS 377andUS 67whichwouldstoptheflowofexternaltrafficintotheEPZ.ThisstudydidnotidentifyanyadditionalintersectionsthatshouldbedesignatedasTCPsorACPs.Theexistingcountytrafficma nagementplansareadequate.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantG 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 1.TrafficControlPointsfortheCPNPPSite ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantG 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 2.AccessControlPointsfortheCPNPPSite APPENDIXHEvacuationRegions ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1H EVACUATIONREGIONSThisappendixpresentstheevacuationpercentagesforeachEvacuationRegion(TableH 1throughTableH 3)andmapsofallEvacuationRegions.Thepercentagespresentedinthesetablesarebasedonthemethodologydiscussedinassumption5ofSection2.2andshowninFigure2 1.NotethebaselineETEstudyassumes20percentofhousehol dswillnotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory,asperSection2.5.2ofNUREG/CR 7002.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableH 1.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR01throughR33CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR01 2MileRadius100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R02 5MileRadius100%100%100%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R03FullEPZ100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
100%100%CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR04A S100%20%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R05BSSW100%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R06C SW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R07DWSW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R08E W100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R09FWNW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R10G NW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R11H,JNNW,N100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R12KNNE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R13L NE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R14MENE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R15N E100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R16PESE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R17Q,RSE,SSE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR18A S 100%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%100%20%R19BSSW100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%100%20%R20C SW100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R21DWSW100%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R22E W100%100%20%100%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R23FWNW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R24G NW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R25HNNW100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R26J N100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R27KNNE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R28L NE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%R29MENE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%R30N E100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%R31PESE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%100%R32Q SE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%R33RSSE100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%
100%100%Zone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateRegionSitePARCentralSecto rDescriptionZoneEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSecto rWindDirectionFrom:ZoneRegionSitePARCentralSecto rWindDirectionFrom:ZoneEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(3SectorGroups)
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableH 2.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR34throughR63CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR34A S100%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R35BSSW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R36C,DSW,WSW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R37E W100%100%100%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R38FWNW100%100%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R39G NW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R40HNNW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R41J N100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R42KNNE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R43L NE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R44M,NENE,E100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R45PESE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R46Q SE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R47RSSE100%20%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR48A S100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%R49BSSW100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%100%20%R50C SW100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%100%20%R51DWSW100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R52E W100%100%100%100%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R53FWNW100%100%20%100%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R54G NW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R55HNNW100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R56J N100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R57KNNE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R58L NE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%R59M EN E100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%R60N E100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%100%R61PESE100%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%100%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%100%R62Q SE100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%100%100%R63RSSE100%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%
100%100%Evacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindtoEPZBoundary(5SectorGroups)Zone(s)Shelter inPlaceZone(s)EvacuateEvacuate2MileRadiusandDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)ZoneWindDirectionFrom:SitePARCentralSecto rRegionRegionSitePARCentralSecto rWindDirectionFrom:Zone ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableH 3.PercentofZonePopulationEvacuatingforRegionsR64throughR92Note1 20%ofpopulationintheseZoneswillnotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory,asperSection2.5.2ofNUREG/CR7002.Once90%ofthe2 mileRegionhasevacuated,theremainingpopulationintheseZoneswillevacuate.CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARR64 5MileRadius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
20%20%CP1A1B1C1D2A2B2C2D2E2F2G2H2J3A3B3C3D3E3F4A4B4C4D4E4F4G4HGLENROSEGRANBURYTOLARN/A 5MileRadiusR79A S100%100%100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R80BSSW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R81C,DSW,WSW100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R82E W100%100%100%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R83FWNW100%100%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%
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
20%20%Zone(s)EvacuateStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(3SectorGroups)Zone(s)EvacuateStagedEvacuation2MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5Miles(5SectorGroups)RegionSitePARCentralSecto rWindDirectionFrom:ZoneRefertoRegionR6 4Zone(s)Shelter inPlaceShelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuate 1Shelter inPlaceuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuate 1Zone(s)Shelter inPlaceRegionSitePARCentralSecto rWindDirectionFrom:Zone ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 1.RegionR01 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 2.RegionR02 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 3.RegionR03 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 4.RegionR04 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 5.RegionR05 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 6.RegionR06 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 7.RegionR07 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 8.RegionR08 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 9.RegionR09 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH10.RegionR10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH11.RegionR11 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH12.RegionR12 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH13.RegionR13 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH14.RegionR14 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH15.RegionR15 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH16.RegionR16 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH17.RegionR17 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH18.RegionR18 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH19.RegionR19 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH20.RegionR20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH21.RegionR21 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH22.RegionR22 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH23.RegionR23 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH24.RegionR24 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH25.RegionR25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH26.RegionR26 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH27.RegionR27 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH28.RegionR28 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH29.RegionR29 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH30.RegionR30 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH31.RegionR31 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH32.RegionR32 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH33.RegionR33 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH34.RegionR34 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH35.RegionR35 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 40KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH36.RegionR36 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 41KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH37.RegionR37 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 42KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH38.RegionR38 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 43KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH39.RegionR39 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 44KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH40.RegionR40 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 45KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH41.RegionR41 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 46KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH42.RegionR42 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 47KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH43.RegionR43 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 48KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH44.RegionR44 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 49KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH45.RegionR45 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 50KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH46.RegionR46 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 51KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH47.RegionR47 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 52KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH48.RegionR48 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 53KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH49.RegionR49 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 54KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH50.RegionR50 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 55KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH51.RegionR51 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 56KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH52.RegionR52 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 57KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH53.RegionR53 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 58KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH54.RegionR54 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 59KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH55.RegionR55 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 60KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH56.RegionR56 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 61KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH57.RegionR57 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 62KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH58.RegionR58 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 63KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH59.RegionR59 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 64KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH60.RegionR60 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 65KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH61.RegionR61 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 66KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH62.RegionR62 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 67KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH63.RegionR63 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 68KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH64.RegionR64 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 69KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH65.RegionR65 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 70KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH66.RegionR66 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 71KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH67.RegionR67 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 72KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH68.RegionR68 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 73KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH69.RegionR69 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 74KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH70.RegionR70 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 75KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH71.RegionR71 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 76KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH72.RegionR72 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 77KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH73.RegionR73 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 78KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH74.RegionR74 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 79KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH75.RegionR75 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 80KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH76.RegionR76 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 81KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH77.RegionR77 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 82KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH78.RegionR78 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 83KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH79.RegionR79 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 84KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH80.RegionR80 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 85KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH81.RegionR81 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 86KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH82.RegionR82 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 87KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH83.RegionR83 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 88KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH84.RegionR84 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 89KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH85.RegionR85 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 90KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH86.RegionR86 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 91KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH87.RegionR87 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 92KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH88.RegionR88 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 93KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH89.RegionR89 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 94KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH90.RegionR90 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 95KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH91.RegionR91 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantH 96KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH92.RegionR92 APPENDIXJRepresentativeInputstoandOutputsfromtheDYNEVIISystem ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1J. REPRESENTATIVEINPUTSTOANDOUTPUTSFROMTHEDYNEVIISYSTEMThisappendixpresentsdatainputtoandoutputfromtheDYNEVIISystem.TableJ 1providesthevolumeandqueuesforthetenhighestvolumesignalizedintersectionsinthestudyarea.RefertoTableK 2andthefiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachintersection.TableJ 2providessource(vehicleloading)anddestinationinformationforseveralroadwaysegments(links)intheanalysisnetwork.RefertoTableK 1andthefiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachlink.TableJ 3providesnetwork-widestatistics(averagetraveltime,averagespeedandnumberofvehicles)foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)foreachscenario.Asexpected,Scenarios2,4,7and9,whicharerainscenarios,exhibittheslowestaveragespeedandlongestaveragetraveltimes.Scenario11(specialevent)hasalowernetworkwideaveragespeedandhighernetwork wideaveragetraveltimewhencomparedwithScenario3(summer,weekend,midday,goodweather).Scenario12(roadwayimpact)hasaslightlylowerspeedwhencomparedwithScenario1(summer,weekday,midday,goodweather).TableJ 4providesstatistics(averagespeedandtraveltime)forthemajorevacuationroutes-US 377,US 67,TX 144,FM4,FM56,FM51andFM205-foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)underScenario1conditions.AsdiscussedinSection7.3andshowninFigures7 3through7 8,congestionpersistswithintheEPZduringthefirst3hoursand20minutesoftheevacuation.Assuch,theaveragespeedsarecomparablyslower(andtraveltimeslonger)duringthistime.US 377northboundandsouthbound,andFM4southboundexhibitpronouncedcongestioninFigures7 3through7 8;theserouteshavetheslowestaveragespeedsofallroutes.TableJ 5providesthenumberofvehiclesdischargedandthecumulativepercentoftotalvehiclesdischargedforeachlinkexitingtheanalysisnetwork,foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)underScenario1conditions.RefertoTableK 1andth efiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachlink.FigureJ 1throughFigureJ 12plotthetripgenerationtimeversustheETEforeachofthe12Scenariosconsidered.ThedistancebetweenthetripgenerationandETEcurvesisthetraveltime.PlotsoftripgenerationversusETEarein dicativeoftheleveloftrafficcongestionduringevacuation.Forlowpopulationdensitysites,thecurvesareclosetogether,indicatingshorttraveltimesandminimaltrafficcongestion.Forhigherpopulationdensitysites,thecurvesarefartherapartindicatinglongertraveltimesandthepresenceoftrafficcongestion.AsseeninFigureJ 1throughFigureJ 12,thecurvesarespatiallyseparatedasaresultofthetrafficcongestionintheEPZ,whichwasdiscussedindetailinSection7.3.Themaximumtraveltimeisabout45minutesforweekda yscenariosand1hourforweekendscenarios.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 1.CharacteristicsoftheTenHighestVolumeSignalizedIntersectionsNodeLocationIntersection ControlApproach (UpNode)TotalVolume(Veh)Max.TurnQueue(Veh)101US 377&FM167TCPActuated9463,0391471039550105009484,0281026TOTAL8,022117US 377&FM4Actuated10996901105,90909456110TOTAL7,489119US 377&DavisRdActuated11097501124,1284989091,871208TOTAL6,974112US 377&ActonHwyTCPActuated1143521311997801255,472299TOTAL6,802689FM167&FM4TCPActuated9663,743910498576971,4106TOTAL6,138149TX 144&FM51TCPActuated14535709621,885516152009633,320512TOTAL5,562143US 377Business&TX 144Actuated146876201454,0722714431801481820TOTAL5,448166TX 144&US 377NBOn rampTCPActuated165500425054,756517TOTAL5,256 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeLocationIntersection ControlApproach (UpNode)TotalVolume(Veh)Max.TurnQueue(Veh)507TX 144&SMeadowsDrActuated505256255084,68232651029212TOTAL5,230234US 377&FM56TCPActuated10192,51352210491,6913602479860TOTAL5,190 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 2.SampleSimulationModelInputLinkNumberVehiclesEnteringNetworkonthisLinkDirectionalPreferenceDestination NodesDestinationCapacity2826NW82851,70082531,70082611,700163187N87061,70081033,80087071,70025246NW82531,70082611,70082761,7003576S89331,70045813W82851,70082931,700596153NE87061,70081033,80087071,70070295N81033,80087071,70082531,70077913W82531,70082611,70082761,70087917SW82851,70082931,7001006156SE82851,70082931,70089331,700 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 3.SelectedModelOutputsfortheEvacuationoftheEntireEPZ(RegionR03)Scenario123456789101112Network WideAverageTravelTime(Min/VehMi)2.73.22.93.32.72.73.22.83.22.73.22.7Network WideAverageSpeed(mph)22.419.021.018.222.022.619.021.818.922.318.621.9TotalVehiclesExitingNetwork34,51234,73534,52934,70231,30934,06934,25434,88935,09332,03638,55634,550 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 4.AverageSpeed(mph)andTravelTime(min)forMajorEvacuationRoutes(RegionR03,Scenario1)ElapsedTime(hours)1234EvacuationRouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)Travel Time (min)Speed TravelTimeSpeed Travel TimeSpeed Travel TimeUS 377NB7.317.824.713.033.714.430.558.07.6US 377SB11.134.819.216.041.626.525.266.510.0US 67NB10.737.817.163.010.263.110.267.19.6US 67SB10.647.813.363.510.066.29.671.09.0TX 144SB9.347.511.859.49.461.79.164.98.6FM56NB8.737.014.266.47.954.69.668.27.7FM51SB7.930.115.761.17.860.17.964.37.4FM4SB7.557.57.928.915.718.724.263.47.1FM205WB6.654.67.255.07.255.07.255.07.2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 5.SimulationModelOutputsatNetworkExitLinksforRegionR03,Scenario1NetworkExitLinkElapsedTime(hours)1234CumulativeVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTimeCumulativePercentofVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTime101,6113,5655,4926,65016%16%18%19%1861,0992,6353,6923,76411%11%12%11%2032316899049362%3%3%3%2867211,9402,8443,0427%8%9%9%2943077491,0221,1093%3%3%3%3141323373864131%1%1%1%3157031,5001,6791,6887%7%5%5%8299012,1242,3742,3889%9%8%7%8474528268558635%4%3%3%855842172362371%1%1%1%8623025515895943%2%2%2%9003801,0411,5701,5984%5%5%5%9387622,3784,0675,4088%10%13%16%9403908319851,0244%4%3%3%10879952,0932,2702,29610%9%7%7%12133185796206253%3%2%2%12305119261,6231,8735%4%5%5%
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 1.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario1)FigureJ 2.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good (Scenario1)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Rain (Scenario2)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 3.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario3)FigureJ 4.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)0%20%40%
60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good (Scenario3)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%
60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Midday,Rain (Scenario4)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 5.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario5)FigureJ 6.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario6)0%20%40%60%
80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good (Scenario5)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Midday,Good (Scenario6)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 7.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)FigureJ 8.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario8)0%20%40%
60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Midday,Rain (Scenario7)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%
80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Weekend,Midday,Good (Scenario8)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 9.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario9)FigureJ10.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario10)0%20%40%
60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Weekend,Midday,Rain (Scenario9)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good (Scenario10)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantJ 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ11.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather,SpecialEvent(Scenario11)FigureJ12.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather,RoadwayImpact(Scenario12)0%20%40%
60%
80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good,SpecialEvent (Scenario11)TripGenerationETE 0%20%
40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good,RoadwayImpact (Scenario12)TripGenerationETE ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1K. EVACUATIONROADWAYNETWORKAsdiscussedinSection1.3,alink nodeanalysisnetworkwasconstructedtomodeltheroadwaynetworkwithinthestudyarea.FigureK 1providesanoverviewofthelink nodeanalysisnetwork.Thefigurehasbeendividedupinto32moredetailedfigures(FigureK 2throughFigureK 33)whichshoweachofthelinksandnodesinthenetwork.TheanalysisnetworkwascalibratedusingtheobservationsmadeduringthefieldsurveyconductedinApril2012.TableK 1liststhecharacteristicsofeachroadwaysectionmodeledintheETEanalysis.Eachlinkisidentifiedbyitsroadnameandtheupstreamanddownstreamnodenumbers.ThegeographiclocationofeachlinkcanbeobservedbyreferencingthegridmapnumberprovidedinTableK 1.TheroadwaytypeidentifiedinTableK 1isgenerallybasedonthefollowingcriteria: Freeway:limitedaccesshighway,2ormorelanesineachdirection,highfreeflowspeeds Freewayramp:rampontooroffofalimitedaccesshighway Majorarterial:3ormorelanesineachdirection Minorarterial:2ormorelanesineachdirection Collector:singlelaneineachdirection Localroadways:singlela neineachdirection,localroadswithlowfreeflowspeedsTheterm,"No.ofLanes"inTableK 1identifiesthenumberoflanesthatextendthroughoutthelengthofthelink.Manylinkshaveadditionallanesontheimmediateapproachtoanintersection(turnpockets);thesehav ebeenrecordedandenteredintotheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIISystem.AsdiscussedinSection1.3,lanewidthandshoulderwidthwerenotphysicallymeasuredduringtheroadsurvey.Rather,estimatesofthesemeasureswerebasedonvisualobservationsandrecordedimages.TableK 2identifieseac hnodeinthenetworkthatiscontrolledandthetypeofcontrol(stopsign,yieldsign,pre timedsignal,actuatedsignal,trafficcontrolpoint)atthatnode.UncontrollednodesarenotincludedinTableK 2.Thelocationofeachnodecanbeobservedbyreferencingthegridmapnumberprovided.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 1.CPNPPLink NodeAnalysisNetwork ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 2.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid1 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 3.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 4.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid3 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 5.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid4 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 6.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid5 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 7.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid6 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 8.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid7 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 9.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid8 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK10.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid9 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK11.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK12.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid11 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK13.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid12 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK14.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid13 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK15.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid14 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK16.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid15 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK17.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid16 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK18.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid17 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK19.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid18 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK20.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid19 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK21.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK22.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid21 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK23.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid22 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK24.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid23 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK25.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid24 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK26.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid25 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK27.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid26 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK28.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid27 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK29.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid28 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK30.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid29 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK31.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid30 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK32.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid31 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK33.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid32 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableK 1.EvacuationRoadwayNetworkCharacteristicsLink#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 120667FM205COLLECTOR47191100170065182100574COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL9522123190050203101103US377MINORARTERIAL1766421210190070114101946US377MINORARTERIAL561021212190065115101948FM167COLLECTOR76681124170060116102109US377MINORARTERIAL228621212175060117102946US377MINORARTERIAL24421212190060118102947FM167COLLECTOR2111124170045119103101US377MINORARTERIAL17664212101750701110103903US377MINORARTERIAL685321210190070311104689FM167COLLECTOR179311211750351112104948FM167COLLECTOR74511241700451113105101MANDMRANCHRDLOCALROADWAY166311001750301114106107COUNTRYMEADOWSRDLOCALROADWAY86911001575351115107108FM167COLLECTOR67391120170060316107952FM167COLLECTOR129511201700601117108107FM167COLLECTOR67391120170060318108707FM167COLLECTOR49711120170060319109102US377MINORARTERIAL2286212121750601120109117US377MINORARTERIAL3440212121750601121110116CLEVELANDRDCOLLECTOR414111241700401122110117US377MINORARTERIAL1998212121750551123110119US377MINORARTERIAL3581212121750551124111109JAMESRDLOCALROADWAY1260112417504511 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 25112113US377MINORARTERIAL160621241900501026112114ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR55911201700451027112119US377MINORARTERIAL388821241750551028113121US377MINORARTERIAL118021241900501029113122US377OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP78211201700501030114112ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR55911201750451031114115ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR70611201700451032115114ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR70911201700451033115910ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR70311201700451034116110CLEVELANDRDCOLLECTOR414111241700401135116118ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR244611201700501136116120ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR421111201700501137117109US377MINORARTERIAL3440212121750601138117110US377MINORARTERIAL1998212121900551139117945FM4MINORARTERIAL329212101900601140118945FM4MINORARTERIAL4756212101900601141118964FM4MINORARTERIAL3963212101750601142119110US377MINORARTERIAL3581212121900551143119112US377MINORARTERIAL388821241750551044119909DAVISRDCOLLECTOR279711001700401045120116ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR421111201700501146120678ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR75411201700501047120909DAVISRDCOLLECTOR128011001700401148121188US377MINORARTERIAL101021241750501049121772US377FREEWAY689212422504510 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 50122123US377BUSCOLLECTOR137911261700501051122124US377OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP14011201350301052123124US377BUSCOLLECTOR127711261700501053123126US377BUSCOLLECTOR55411261700501054124121US377SON RAMPFREEWAYRAMP49011201575351055124772US377NON RAMPFREEWAYRAMP55011241700451056125112US377MINORARTERIAL140821241750501057126123US377BUSCOLLECTOR55411261700501058126128US377BUSCOLLECTOR71711261700501059127175US377MINORARTERIAL166821241750501060127188US377MINORARTERIAL206621241750501061128126US377BUSCOLLECTOR71711261700501062128129US377BUSCOLLECTOR83411261700501063129128US377BUSCOLLECTOR83411261700501064129130US377BUSCOLLECTOR168811261900501065130129US377BUSCOLLECTOR168811261700501066130131US377BUSCOLLECTOR249711241700401067131130US377BUSCOLLECTOR249711241700401068131132US377BUSLOCALROADWAY32211241575351069131135NCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY37711201575351070132131US377BUSLOCALROADWAY32211241575351071132136FM4LOCALROADWAY36711241350301072132148US377BUSLOCALROADWAY95211201575351073133131SCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY35311201350301074134132SHOUSTONSTLOCALROADWAY321112013503010 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 75135131NCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY37711201350301076135136EBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY37211201575351077135190NCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY105911201575351078136132FM4LOCALROADWAY36711241350301079136135EBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY37211201575351080136189FM4LOCALROADWAY106211241350301081136192WBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY63511201575351082137139FM51COLLECTOR160311241575351083137675FM4COLLECTOR156311211700401084139141FM51COLLECTOR24861124170050885140137NLIPANDRLOCALROADWAY41811201575351086141142FM51COLLECTOR18681124170050887142194FM51COLLECTOR19371124175050888143144NMORGANSTLOCALROADWAY3341120190030989143145TX144MINORARTERIAL3702124190040990143146US377BUSCOLLECTOR8531124170040991143148US377BUSLOCALROADWAY11531120157535992144143NMORGANSTLOCALROADWAY3341120175030993144192WBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY14251120135030994145143TX144MINORARTERIAL3702124175040995145149TX144MINORARTERIAL15052124175040996146143US377BUSCOLLECTOR8531124175040997146147US377BUSCOLLECTOR11351124170040998147146US377BUSCOLLECTOR11351124170040999147221US377BUSCOLLECTOR184711241700459 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 100148132US377BUSLOCALROADWAY952112015753510101148143US377BUSLOCALROADWAY115311201750359102149145TX144MINORARTERIAL150521241900409103149962FM51COLLECTOR9011251700509104149963TX144MINORARTERIAL9421241900459105150512FM51COLLECTOR171711251700509106150962FM51COLLECTOR85911251750509107152149ATCHLEYDRLOCALROADWAY42611201750359108153159TX144MINORARTERIAL8321241750409109153165TX144MINORARTERIAL26421241750409110154156US377FREEWAY123221282250609111154161US377OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP53111241900309112155154US377FREEWAY414212822506010113156157US377FREEWAY44521282250609114157167US377FREEWAY50721282250609115157168US377MINORARTERIAL333521281750609116159153TX144MINORARTERIAL8321241900409117159160TX144MINORARTERIAL6521241900459118159164US377SON 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150178175TAHITIDRLOCALROADWAY538110017502510151178177TAHITIDRLOCALROADWAY1939110011252510152179175OLDCLEBURNERDCOLLECTOR921212417504010153179184OLDCLEBURNERDCOLLECTOR4077112417004010154181182HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1510112411252510155181188HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY3208112417503010156182181HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1510112411252510157182183HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1295112411252510158183182HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1295112411252510159183184HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1913112413503010160184179OLDCLEBURNERDCOLLECTOR4077112417004010161184183HARBORLAKESDRLOCALROADWAY1913112413503010162185127HILLBLVDLOCALROADWAY638112017502510163186127HILLBLVDLOCALROADWAY426112017502510164187176SHOPPINGCENTERCOLLECTOR508312417503510165188121US377MINORARTERIAL1010212419005010166188127US377MINORARTERIAL2066212417505010167189136FM4LOCALROADWAY1062112413503010168189137FM4LOCALROADWAY905112415753510169189190ERUCKERSTLOCALROADWAY378112015753510170189191RUCKERSTLOCALROADWAY630112015753510171190135NCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY1059112015753510172190140NCROCKETSTLOCALROADWAY921112013503010173190189ERUCKERSTLOCALROADWAY378112015753510174191189RUCKERSTLOCALROADWAY630112015753510 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 42KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 175191193FMRD4LOCALROADWAY1569112017004510176192136WBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY635112015753510177192144WBRIDGESTLOCALROADWAY142511201350309178192191FMRD4LOCALROADWAY1125112013503010179193203FMRD4LOCALROADWAY145111201700459180194195FM51COLLECTOR2346112101700608181194201HoodCR402COLLECTOR2057112101700608182195196FM51COLLECTOR2330112101700608183196197FM51COLLECTOR3860112101700607184197198FM51COLLECTOR4241112101700657185198954FM51COLLECTOR2678112101700652186199200FM51COLLECTOR3079112101700702187201194HoodCR402COLLECTOR2057112101750608188201202HoodCR402COLLECTOR5309112101750607189202201HoodCR402COLLECTOR5309112101700607190202205FM4COLLECTOR211411211700607191203204FM4COLLECTOR313611211700507192204202FM4COLLECTOR2348112117505571932051028FM4COLLECTOR216711211700607194206207FM4COLLECTOR3447112117005071952061030OAKTRAILDRLOCALROADWAY237411101350307196207208FM4COLLECTOR457111281700557197207209FM2580COLLECTOR200611211700657198208670FM4COLLECTOR395411281700656199209210FM2580COLLECTOR413211211700657 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 43KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 200210220FM2580COLLECTOR202111211700656201211212FM2580COLLECTOR261411211700656202212213FM2580COLLECTOR430811211700651203213214FM2580COLLECTOR203911211700651204215216MIMOSADRLOCALROADWAY807111011252572052151029HILLTOPRDLOCALROADWAY165711101350407206216215MIMOSADRLOCALROADWAY80711101125257207216217MISTLETOESTLOCALROADWAY208311101575357208217216MISTLETOESTLOCALROADWAY208311101575357209217218WOAKTRAILLOCALROADWAY156211101350307210218217WOAKTRAILLOCALROADWAY156211101350307211218219WOAKTRAILLOCALROADWAY428711101350307212219218WOAKTRAILLOCALROADWAY4287111013503072132191030SOAKTRAILLOCALROADWAY5731110900207214220211FM2580COLLECTOR3218112117006562152201029HILLTOPRDLOCALROADWAY205911101350406216221147US377BUSCOLLECTOR184711241700459217221223US377BUSCOLLECTOR172611241700459218222228US377MINORARTERIAL124621281900609219223221US377BUSCOLLECTOR172611241700459220223225US377BUSCOLLECTOR45411241700459221224226US377COLLECTOR477112417005092222241057US377BUSMINORARTERIAL17221241900459223225223US377BUSCOLLECTOR45411241700459224225227US377BUSMINORARTERIAL49121241900459 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 44KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 225226231US377COLLECTOR58811241700459226227226US377BUSFREEWAYRAMP85611241700359227228169US377MINORARTERIAL1369212819006092282281058US377BUSCOLLECTOR41011241700459229229222US377COLLECTOR1451124900209230229230US377COLLECTOR50511241700509231230222US377COLLECTOR49411281700609232230232US377COLLECTOR213811281750609233231229US377COLLECTOR73611241700459234232230US377COLLECTOR213811281700609235232238US377COLLECTOR3917112817006092362321020TX567LOOPCOLLECTOR1197112101700709237233223HOWARDCLEMENSRDLOCALROADWAY55711101350309238234247US377COLLECTOR4611120170050142392341019US377COLLECTOR1652112817005014240235236US377COLLECTOR27951128170075142412351019US377COLLECTOR1265112817005514242236235US377COLLECTOR2790112817007514243236237US377COLLECTOR9705112817007514244237236US377COLLECTOR9705112817007514245237238US377COLLECTOR1178111281700756246238232US377COLLECTOR391711281750609247238237US377MINORARTERIAL11781212819007562482391049FM56COLLECTOR1292112117005014249240239FM56COLLECTOR1596112117006014 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 45KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 250241240FM56COLLECTOR858112117006014251242241FM56COLLECTOR4181112117007014252243242FM56COLLECTOR14191121170070142532431060RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR6271112017005014254244245FM56LOCALROADWAY1015112413503014255244247US377COLLECTOR1286112817005014256244255US377COLLECTOR3819112817505014257245244FM56LOCALROADWAY10151124135030142582451031FM56COLLECTOR14861110170045142592461017E4THSTLOCALROADWAY39618011252514260247234US377COLLECTOR461112017505014261247244US377COLLECTOR1286112817005014262248249FM56COLLECTOR3104111017006514263249254FM56COLLECTOR10201110170065142642501015FM56COLLECTOR215711101700606265251252FM56COLLECTOR7396111017006552662521016FM56COLLECTOR151411201700605267254250FM56COLLECTOR237311101700656268255244US377COLLECTOR38191128170050142692551014US377COLLECTOR75051128170060142702561011US377COLLECTOR380111210170075132712561014US377MINORARTERIAL4732212219007513272257258US377COLLECTOR507111210170075132732571012US377COLLECTOR1081112217007513274258257US377COLLECTOR50681121017007513 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 46KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 2752581009US377COLLECTOR14661121017007513276259260US377COLLECTOR8151128170045132772591008US377COLLECTOR965112817004513278260259US377COLLECTOR815112817004513279260261US377COLLECTOR1040112817005013280260265FM2481LOCALROADWAY1344112315753513281261260US377COLLECTOR1040112817005013282261264US377COLLECTOR3691112817006013283262255FM2870COLLECTOR19591110175035142842631032FM2870COLLECTOR4066111017006014285264261US377COLLECTOR36911128170060132862641007US377COLLECTOR2714112817006513287265260FM2481LOCALROADWAY1344112315753513288265266FM2481LOCALROADWAY1659112315753513289266265FM2481LOCALROADWAY1659112315753513290266267FM2481COLLECTOR4432112317005013291267266FM2481COLLECTOR4432112317005013292267274FM2481COLLECTOR7269112017007018293268269FM2481COLLECTOR2979112017007018294268276FM205COLLECTOR2694110017006518295268277FM2481COLLECTOR1934112017006018296269268FM2481COLLECTOR2979112017007018297269270FM2481COLLECTOR1700112017007018298270269FM2481COLLECTOR1700112017007018299270271FM2481COLLECTOR2527112017007018 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 47KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 300271270FM2481COLLECTOR2527112017007018301271272FM2481COLLECTOR2053112017007018302272271FM2481COLLECTOR2053112017007018303272273FM2481COLLECTOR4989112017007018304273272FM2481COLLECTOR4989112017007018305273274FM2481COLLECTOR5469112017007018306274267FM2481COLLECTOR7269112017007018307274273FM2481COLLECTOR5469112017007018308275268FM205COLLECTOR3300110017005518309277278FM2481COLLECTOR1163112017006018310278279FM2481COLLECTOR1495112017006018311279280FM2481COLLECTOR1134112017006018312280281FM2481COLLECTOR4787112017007018313281282FM2481COLLECTOR3826112017007024314282283FM2481COLLECTOR2240112017007024315284285US67COLLECTOR5901112817007524316284286US67COLLECTOR5994112817007524317285284US67COLLECTOR5901112817007524318286284US67COLLECTOR59941128170075243192861005US67COLLECTOR6093112817007525320287286US67COLLECTOR6436112817007525321287288US67COLLECTOR25761128170075253222871006TX220COLLECTOR401112417007025323288287US67COLLECTOR2576112817007525324288913US67COLLECTOR1592112817007525 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 48KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 325289290US67COLLECTOR3909112817007525326289913US67COLLECTOR1706112817007525327290289US67COLLECTOR3908112817007525328290291US67COLLECTOR3219112817007525329291290US67MINORARTERIAL3219212819007525330291914US67COLLECTOR3266112817007525331292297US67COLLECTOR4288112817007525332292914US67MINORARTERIAL816212819007525333294292FM51COLLECTOR1317111017503525334295294FM51COLLECTOR141811109002025335296295FM51COLLECTOR1414111017004025336297292US67MINORARTERIAL4288212817507525337297298US67COLLECTOR1992112817007525338298297US67COLLECTOR1992112817007525339298299US67COLLECTOR5346112817007525340299298US67COLLECTOR5346112817007525341299300US67COLLECTOR3539112817007526342300299US67COLLECTOR3539112817007526343300301US67COLLECTOR3342112817007526344300915FM203COLLECTOR2278112017004026345301300US67COLLECTOR3342112817007526346301302US67COLLECTOR4718112817007526347302301US67COLLECTOR4718112817007526348302958US67COLLECTOR1381112817007526349303917FM203COLLECTOR698112017005026 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 49KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 350304918FM203COLLECTOR2430112017006026351305919FM203COLLECTOR561112017004026352306920FM203COLLECTOR619112017004026353307308FM203COLLECTOR1588112017006026354308921FM203COLLECTOR2331112017006026355309310FM203COLLECTOR2064112017006031356310922FM203COLLECTOR2978112017004031357311312FM203COLLECTOR2106112017004031358312923FM203COLLECTOR1963112017004031359313924FM203COLLECTOR1029112117006031360314925FM203COLLECTOR1213112117006031361315926FM203COLLECTOR1048112117006031362316928FARMRD203COLLECTOR939112117005531363317932FARMRD203COLLECTOR5033112117007031364318958US67COLLECTOR26651128170075263653181059US67COLLECTOR1592112817007526366319320US67COLLECTOR48631128170075263673191059US67MINORARTERIAL1264212819007526368320319US67MINORARTERIAL4866212819007526369320321US67COLLECTOR2142112817007526370321320US67MINORARTERIAL2142212819007526371321322US67COLLECTOR3583112817007526372322321US67MINORARTERIAL3583212819007526373322974US67MINORARTERIAL1180212819006026374323326FM205COLLECTOR2440112117004526 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 50KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 375323339US67MINORARTERIAL800212019005526376323974US67MINORARTERIAL258212419005526377323975FM205COLLECTOR125112117004026378324325FM205COLLECTOR2924112117005026379324975FM205COLLECTOR1203112117005026380325324FM205COLLECTOR2922112117005026381325331FM205COLLECTOR1409112115753526382326323FM205COLLECTOR2440112117504526383326327FM205COLLECTOR3393112117006520384327326FM205COLLECTOR3393112117006520385327328FM205COLLECTOR2737112117006526386328327FM205COLLECTOR2737112117006526387328329FM205COLLECTOR1937112117004526388329328FM205COLLECTOR1937112117004526389329330FM205COLLECTOR1108112115753526390330329FM205COLLECTOR1108112115753526391330935FM205COLLECTOR656112115753526392331325FM205COLLECTOR1407112115753526393331332FM205COLLECTOR1759112115753526394332331FM205COLLECTOR1759112115753526395332333FM205COLLECTOR643112115753526396332360FM56LOCALROADWAY864112313503026397333332FM205COLLECTOR643112115753526398333334TX144COLLECTOR12451121135030263993331004TX144LOCALROADWAY986112115753526 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 51KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 400334335TX144COLLECTOR1206112415753526401335336TX144COLLECTOR1961112417004526402336337FM56COLLECTOR4808112019006026403336576TX144COLLECTOR3964112417005026404337577FM56COLLECTOR1046112019005027405338587TX144COLLECTOR12098112417507026406339323US67MINORARTERIAL800212017505526407339356US67MINORARTERIAL979212019005526408340341US67MINORARTERIAL2049212119005020409340360FM56LOCALROADWAY910112419003026410340959FM56COLLECTOR183112617005026411340960US67MINORARTERIAL215212419004526412341340US67MINORARTERIAL2049212117505020413341889BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY7971120170040204143411002US67MINORARTERIAL3949212119005020415342361FM56COLLECTOR2547112617005020416342959FM56COLLECTOR1547112617505020417343935FM205COLLECTOR1138112117004526418343936FM205COLLECTOR1230112117004520419344936FM205COLLECTOR463112117004520420344937FM205COLLECTOR1778112117005020421345938FM205COLLECTOR1094112117005026422346347FM205COLLECTOR1015112117006026423346734SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR168211006751520424347939FM205COLLECTOR1038112117006026 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 52KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 425348940FM205COLLECTOR2749112117006519426349350FM205COLLECTOR2598112117006019427349753SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY1518110015753519428350351FM205COLLECTOR2209112117006019429351352FM205COLLECTOR2413112117006019430352353FM205COLLECTOR2725112117006019431353354FM205COLLECTOR3526112117006019432354651FM51COLLECTOR3573112017006019433354652FM51COLLECTOR1636111017005019434355344PARKRD59COLLECTOR907112017004520435356339US67MINORARTERIAL979212019005526436356357STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY1320113013503026437356978US67MINORARTERIAL1606212019005526438357356STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY1320113013503026439357358STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY808113013503026440358357STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY808113013503026441358359STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY830113013503026442359358STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY830113013503026443359976STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY526112013503026444359979MARYLYNNDRLOCALROADWAY632112013503026445360332FM56LOCALROADWAY864112313503026446360340FM56LOCALROADWAY910112417504526447360977WALKERSTLOCALROADWAY826112013503026448361342FM56COLLECTOR2547112617005020449361362FM56COLLECTOR2471112617005520 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 53KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 450362361FM56COLLECTOR2471112617005520451362363FM56COLLECTOR3972112617007020452363362FM56COLLECTOR3972112617007020453363364FM56COLLECTOR5016112617007020454364363FM56COLLECTOR5016112617007020455364365FM56COLLECTOR6144112617007020456365364FM56COLLECTOR6144112617007020457365366FM56COLLECTOR4025112617007020458366365FM56COLLECTOR4025112617007020459366957FM56COLLECTOR1443112617007020460367368FM56COLLECTOR1427112617007020461368571FM56COLLECTOR3981112617007020462369569FM56COLLECTOR12766112617007519463370367FM56MINORARTERIAL695212619007020464370957FM56MINORARTERIAL1138212619007020465371570COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL1664212319005020466372575COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL1968212319005020467373374TX144LOCALROADWAY8081121170040204683731004TX144LOCALROADWAY357112111252520469374373TX144LOCALROADWAY808112117004020470374375TX144LOCALROADWAY769112117004020471375374TX144LOCALROADWAY769112117004020472375376TX144LOCALROADWAY1066112117004020473376375TX144LOCALROADWAY10631121170040204743761003TX144LOCALROADWAY933112117004020 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 54KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 475377409TX144LOCALROADWAY7151121170040204763771003TX144LOCALROADWAY3981121135030214773781000US67MINORARTERIAL1932121190050204783781001TX144LOCALROADWAY1731121170040204793781002US67MINORARTERIAL191212119005020480379380US67MINORARTERIAL1513212119005021481379765BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY6191120135030214823791000US67MINORARTERIAL865212119005021483380379US67MINORARTERIAL1513212117505021484380403US67MINORARTERIAL1856212119005521485381401TX144COLLECTOR414112117004521486381402TX144COLLECTOR645112617005021487381403US67MINORARTERIAL7362121019005521488381404US67MINORARTERIAL6942121019005521489382383TX144COLLECTOR1882112617007021490382402TX144COLLECTOR1742112617007021491383382TX144COLLECTOR1882112617007021492383393TX144COLLECTOR1778112617007021493384404US67MINORARTERIAL19803121019007021494384971US67COLLECTOR17191121017007021495385968US67COLLECTOR5911121017007021496385969US67COLLECTOR1731121017007021497385970FM200COLLECTOR133112015753521498386591US67COLLECTOR79141121017007021499386968US67COLLECTOR36121121017006021 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 55KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 500387973FM200COLLECTOR1533112017006021501388387FM200COLLECTOR463112011252521502389988FM200COLLECTOR2159112017006021503390389FM200COLLECTOR944112017005021504391390FM200COLLECTOR2656112017006021505392393TX144COLLECTOR3131112617007021506392399TX144COLLECTOR2010112417007021507392989FM200COLLECTOR3214112017006021508393383TX144COLLECTOR1778112617007021509393392TX144COLLECTOR3138112617007021510394987FM200COLLECTOR1228112017005021511395396FM200COLLECTOR2060112017005521512396397FM200COLLECTOR1327112017005521513397986FM200COLLECTOR811112017004521514398598FM200COLLECTOR2191112017006021515399392TX144COLLECTOR2010112417007021516399990TX144COLLECTOR4536112417007021517400412TX144COLLECTOR5637112417007021518400990TX144COLLECTOR695112417007021519401381TX144COLLECTOR414112117504521520401405TX144COLLECTOR802112117004021521402381TX144COLLECTOR645112617505021522402382TX144COLLECTOR1742112617007021523403380US67MINORARTERIAL1856212119005521524403381US67MINORARTERIAL7362121017505521 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 56KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 525404381US67MINORARTERIAL6942121017505521526404384US67MINORARTERIAL19802121019007021527405401TX144COLLECTOR802112117004521528405406SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1124112017004521529406405SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1124112017004521530406407SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1273112017004521531407406SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1273112017004521532407408SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1477112015753521533408407SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1477112015753521534408409SomervellCR312COLLECTOR1046112015753521535409377TX144LOCALROADWAY715112117004020536409408SomervellCR312COLLECTOR10461120157535215374091001TX144LOCALROADWAY353112117004020538410992FM2425COLLECTOR133112617005015539410993TX144COLLECTOR123112417007015540410994TX144COLLECTOR126112417007015541411412TX144COLLECTOR5563112417007020542411993TX144COLLECTOR3573112417007015543412400TX144COLLECTOR5637112417007021544412411TX144COLLECTOR5563112417007020545413894TX144COLLECTOR5073112417507015546413999TX144MINORARTERIAL2202212419007015547414417FM2425COLLECTOR3697112617007016548414992FM2425COLLECTOR6055112617007015549415433FM2425COLLECTOR5316112617007016 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 57KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 550415995FM2425COLLECTOR3268112617007016551417414FM2425COLLECTOR3697112617007016552417995FM2425COLLECTOR475112617004516553418997FM2425COLLECTOR542112817004015554418998TX144MINORARTERIAL400212419007015555418999TX144MINORARTERIAL2095212419007015556419431FM2425COLLECTOR3356112817006515557419997FM2425COLLECTOR5131112817006515558420452TX144MINORARTERIAL5991212419007515559420784TX144MINORARTERIAL5318212419007515560421422TX144MINORARTERIAL1347212017506015561421452TX144MINORARTERIAL2518212419007515562422421TX144MINORARTERIAL1356212019006015563422509TX144MINORARTERIAL1936212019006015564423527HoodCR310COLLECTOR1038112013503015565424423EBLUEBONNETDRLOCALROADWAY790112013503015566425423HoodCR310COLLECTOR1195112013503015567425424EBLUEBONNETDRLOCALROADWAY708112011252515568427425HoodCR310COLLECTOR32711120170040155694271055HoodCR310COLLECTOR887112013503015570428430HoodCR310COLLECTOR6651120135030155714281055HoodCR310COLLECTOR3275112015753515572429430HoodCR310COLLECTOR23491120170040155734291053WILLIAMSONRDCOLLECTOR1127112017004015574430428HoodCR310COLLECTOR665112013503015 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 58KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 575430429HoodCR310COLLECTOR2349112017004015576431419FM2425COLLECTOR3356112817006515577431429HoodCR310COLLECTOR5020112017004015578431432FM2425COLLECTOR1012112817006515579432431FM2425COLLECTOR1012112817006515580432433FM2425COLLECTOR3453112617007015581432434FM3210COLLECTOR8372112817007016582433415FM2425COLLECTOR5316112617007016583433432FM2425COLLECTOR3453112617007015584434432FM3210COLLECTOR8372112817007016585434435FM3210COLLECTOR2932112617005516586435434FM3210COLLECTOR2932112617005516587435436FM3210COLLECTOR1056112617005516588436435FM3210COLLECTOR1056112617005516589436437FM3210COLLECTOR1460112617005516590437436FM3210COLLECTOR1460112617005516591437457FM3210COLLECTOR3467112617006516592438458WWEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY969112411252516593438459WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY1039112411252516594438462CHEROKEEDRLOCALROADWAY1246112411252516595439440WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY2179112411252516596439470WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY2149112411252516597440439WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY2179112411252516598440441MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY3085112413503016599441440MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY3085112413503016 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 59KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 600441442MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2762112413503016601442441MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2762112413503016602442443MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1787112413503016603443442MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1787112413503016604443444MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1237112413503016605444443MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1237112413503016606444445MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2264112413503016607445444MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2264112413503016608445446MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2668112415753516609445476WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1863112411252516610446445MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY2668112415753516611446447MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY940112415753516612447446MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY940112415753516613447448MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1347112415753516614448447MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY1347112415753516615448449FM167COLLECTOR1022112117005016616448451FM167COLLECTOR1469112117005016617449448FM167COLLECTOR1022112117005016618449450FM167COLLECTOR3329112117006016619450489FM167COLLECTOR977112117004516620451906FM167COLLECTOR1431112117005016621452420TX144MINORARTERIAL5991212419007515622452421TX144MINORARTERIAL2518212419007515623453434POWERPLANTCTLOCALROADWAY936110015753516624454453POWERPLANTCTLOCALROADWAY1416110017004016 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 60KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 625455454POWERPLANTCTLOCALROADWAY1264110017004016626456996POWERPLANTCTLOCALROADWAY855110015753516627457437FM3210COLLECTOR3467112617006516628457458FM3210COLLECTOR2551112617006516629458438WWEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY969112411252516630458457FM3210COLLECTOR2551112617006516631458477RAINEYCTLOCALROADWAY1113112011252516632459438WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY1039112411252516633459462WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1089112411252516634459470WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY3583112411252516635460459WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY787112411252516636461460BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1251112411252516637462438CHEROKEEDRLOCALROADWAY1246112411252516638462463WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY2630112411252516639463462WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY2630112411252516640463471WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY741112411252516641464461BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1590112411252516642465464BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1392112411252516643465470WOODLAWNDRLOCALROADWAY1973112413503016644466465BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1290112411252516645467466BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1979112411252516646468467BELLCHASERDLOCALROADWAY1093112411252516647469440MONTICELLODRLOCALROADWAY395112413503016648470439WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY2149112411252516649470459WEDGEFIELDRDLOCALROADWAY3583112411252516 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 61KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 650471463WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY741112411252516651471472WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY2365112411252516652472471WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY2365112411252516653472473WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY843112411252516654473472WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY843112411252516655473474WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1686112411252516656474473WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1686112411252516657474475WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1524112411252516658475474WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1524112411252516659475476WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1530112411252516660476445WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1863112411252516661476475WESTOVERDRLOCALROADWAY1530112411252516662477478RAINEYCTLOCALROADWAY1493112011252516663478479RAINEYCTLOCALROADWAY882112011252516664479480RAINEYCTLOCALROADWAY1232112013503016665480481RAINEYCTLOCALROADWAY3700112013503016666480487ROLLINSRDLOCALROADWAY6073112017004016667481482GEERDLOCALROADWAY5425112013504016668482483GEERDLOCALROADWAY1000112013503016669483484GEERDLOCALROADWAY2538112013503016670484485GEERDLOCALROADWAY1432112013503016671485486GEERDLOCALROADWAY2021112013504016672486501FM167COLLECTOR2831112117006011673487449ROLLINSRDLOCALROADWAY4368112017004016674487488JOHNSONRDLOCALROADWAY3866112013503016 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 62KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 675488482GEERDLOCALROADWAY577112013503016676489486FM167COLLECTOR1983112117006016677490907FM167COLLECTOR1227112113503016678491492HoodCR306COLLECTOR1313110017004016679491773HoodCR306COLLECTOR1019110017004016680492493HoodCR306COLLECTOR1577110017004016681493494HoodCR306COLLECTOR661110013503017682494495HoodCR306COLLECTOR1127110017004017683495496HoodCR306COLLECTOR1457110017004012684496497HoodCR306COLLECTOR1531110015753512685497498HoodCR306COLLECTOR1178110013503012686498499HoodCR306COLLECTOR2370110013503012687499500HoodCR306COLLECTOR2778110013503012688500698FM4COLLECTOR2271112017006512689501905FM167COLLECTOR1017112117005011690502503FM167COLLECTOR621112117005011691503504FM167COLLECTOR2540112117506011692504692FM167COLLECTOR4585112117005011693505166TX144MINORARTERIAL92421201750409694505507TX144MINORARTERIAL134721201750409695506170US377NON RAMPFREEWAYRAMP34711341700459696507505TX144MINORARTERIAL134721201750409697507508TX144MINORARTERIAL3275212017505010698507510SMEADOWSDRLOCALROADWAY102411201575359699508507TX144MINORARTERIAL3275212017505010 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 63KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 700508513TX144MINORARTERIAL497212419003510701509422TX144MINORARTERIAL1936212017506015702509514TX144MINORARTERIAL1639212019005510703510507SMEADOWSDRLOCALROADWAY102411201750359704510511NMEADOWSDRCOLLECTOR63811201700409705511510NMEADOWSDRCOLLECTOR63811201700409706511512NMEADOWSDRCOLLECTOR244811201700409707512150FM51COLLECTOR171711251700509708512511NMEADOWSDRCOLLECTOR244811201700409709512912FM51COLLECTOR213911251700509710513508TX144MINORARTERIAL497212417504510711513514TX144MINORARTERIAL1029212019005510712514509TX144MINORARTERIAL1639212019005510713514513TX144MINORARTERIAL1029212019005510714515508SPANISHTRAILDRLOCALROADWAY436112017503010715516508ROUGHCREEKESTATESLOCALROADWAY334112017503010716517515SPANISHTRAILDRLOCALROADWAY396112013503010717518517SPANISHTRAILDRLOCALROADWAY129111201350309718519511MISTYMEADOWSDRLOCALROADWAY85711201575359719520519SPANISHOAKDRLOCALROADWAY65211201350309720521514HERITAGETRAILLOCALROADWAY874112013503010721522514HoodCR317LOCALROADWAY422112013503010722523521HERITAGETRAILLOCALROADWAY579112013503010723524523HERITAGETRAILLOCALROADWAY357112011252510724525524HERITAGETRAILLOCALROADWAY44011201350309 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 64KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 725526525HERITAGETRAILLOCALROADWAY3801120900209726527422HoodCR310COLLECTOR1673112017504015727528425HoodCR310BLOCALROADWAY3309112011252515728529528HoodCR310BLOCALROADWAY2996112011252515729530529HoodCR310BLOCALROADWAY1180112011252510730534545WAPACHETRAILLOCALROADWAY712110013503015731537423WBLUEBONNETDRLOCALROADWAY613112013503015732538452KNOBHILLDRLOCALROADWAY2132112013503015733538537MOUNTAINVISTADRLOCALROADWAY1436112011252515734539538MOUNTAINVISTADRLOCALROADWAY581112011252515735540429WILLIAMSONRDCOLLECTOR31261120170040157365411054CHRISTINEDRLOCALROADWAY1681112017004015737542541WATERFIELDDRLOCALROADWAY843112013503015738543542WATERFIELDDRLOCALROADWAY667112013503015739544541CHRISTINEDRLOCALROADWAY494112017004015740545546WAPACHETRAILLOCALROADWAY703110013503015741546425WAPACHETRAILLOCALROADWAY1745110013503015742547534IRONHORSETRAILLOCALROADWAY928110013503015743548549FM51COLLECTOR112111251700609744548912FM51COLLECTOR140611251700609745549548FM51COLLECTOR112111251700609746549552FM51COLLECTOR89311251700609747550551FM51COLLECTOR350911251700709748550553FM51COLLECTOR112811251700709749551550FM51COLLECTOR350911251700709 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 65KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 750551554FM51COLLECTOR2683112517007015751552549FM51COLLECTOR89311251700609752552553FM51COLLECTOR146011251700609753553550FM51COLLECTOR112811251700709754553552FM51COLLECTOR146011251700609755554551FM51COLLECTOR2683112517007015756554555FM51COLLECTOR5169112517007015757555554FM51COLLECTOR5169112517007015758555556FM51COLLECTOR5057112517007015759556555FM51COLLECTOR5057112517007015760556794FM51COLLECTOR1159112517007015761557558FM51COLLECTOR5481112517007014762557794FM51COLLECTOR7981112517007015763558557FM51COLLECTOR5481112517007014764558559FM51COLLECTOR5488112517007014765559558FM51COLLECTOR5488112517007014766559566FM51COLLECTOR367112417004514767561563FM56COLLECTOR1360112117005019768561565FM51COLLECTOR2397112017005014769561639FM51COLLECTOR1349112017006019770562243FM56COLLECTOR7813112117007014771563564FM56COLLECTOR1732112117007014772564562FM56COLLECTOR7929112117007014773565561FM51COLLECTOR2397112017005014774565566FM51COLLECTOR1307112017005014 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 66KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 775566565FM51COLLECTOR1307112017005014776566961FM51COLLECTOR237112017504514777567961FM56COLLECTOR153112417506014778568567FM56COLLECTOR541112617007514779569568FM56COLLECTOR1529112617007514780570370COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL705212317505020781571369FM56COLLECTOR1549112617007020782572372COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL1645212319005020783573572COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL1867212319005020784574573COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL1568212319005020785575371COMANCHEPEAKSTATIONMINORARTERIAL874212319005020786576338TX144COLLECTOR3629112417007026787577578FM56COLLECTOR1624112019005027788578579FM56COLLECTOR8296112019006027789579580FM56COLLECTOR796112017004027790580581FM202COLLECTOR2938112017006527791580582FM56COLLECTOR1293112017006527792581580FM202COLLECTOR2938112017006527793581584FM202COLLECTOR2187112017006527794582583FM56COLLECTOR3193112017006527795583633FM56COLLECTOR5900112017006527796584581FM202COLLECTOR2187112017006527797584981FM202COLLECTOR2027112017006527798585980FM202COLLECTOR1288112017006527799585981FM202COLLECTOR1363112017005027 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 67KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 800586587FM202COLLECTOR2338112017506526801586980FM202COLLECTOR1156112017005027802587586FM202COLLECTOR2338112017006526803587934TX144COLLECTOR5219112417007026804588589TX144COLLECTOR2155112417007031805589590TX144COLLECTOR6342112417007031806590631TX144COLLECTOR10375112417007031807591386US67COLLECTOR79141121017007021808591592US67MINORARTERIAL45412121017507021809592591US67MINORARTERIAL45412121019007021810592593US67MINORARTERIAL12752121019007021811592594FM199COLLECTOR1417112117004521812593592US67MINORARTERIAL12752121017507021813593603US67MINORARTERIAL35772121019007021814594592FM199COLLECTOR1416112117504521815594595FM199COLLECTOR3330112117505021816595594FM199COLLECTOR3335112117004521817595985FM200COLLECTOR519112017004521818596595FM200COLLECTOR1656112017505021819597596FM200COLLECTOR5524112017006021820598597FM200COLLECTOR2661112017006021821599600FM200COLLECTOR1428112017005521822600601FM200COLLECTOR841112017005521823601602FM200COLLECTOR2559112117006521824602608FM200COLLECTOR2989112117006521 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 68KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 825603593US67MINORARTERIAL35772121019007021826603604US67MINORARTERIAL13445212019007022827604603US67COLLECTOR134451121017007022828604607US67COLLECTOR84631121017007022829605606US67COLLECTOR77381121017007022830605607US67COLLECTOR72831121017007022831606605US67COLLECTOR77381121017007022832607604US67COLLECTOR84631121017007022833607605US67COLLECTOR72831121017007022834608609FM200COLLECTOR2985112117006522835609610FM200COLLECTOR4933112117006528836610611FM200COLLECTOR2976112117006528837611612FM200COLLECTOR4548112117006528838612613FM200COLLECTOR3101112117006528839613614FM200COLLECTOR2268112117006528840614615FM200COLLECTOR3345112117006528841615616FM200COLLECTOR5582112117006522842616617FM200COLLECTOR2410112117006522843617618FM200COLLECTOR2117112117006522844618619PARKRD21COLLECTOR4538112417006522845618622FM1434COLLECTOR2045112017006522846619620PARKRD21COLLECTOR4289112417006522847620621PARKRD21COLLECTOR6271112417006522848622623FM1434COLLECTOR2618112017006528849623624FM1434COLLECTOR2844112017006528 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 69KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 850624625FM1434COLLECTOR1929112017006528851625626FM1434COLLECTOR2917112017006528852626627FM1434COLLECTOR2718112017006528853627628FM1434COLLECTOR1909112017006528854628629FM1434COLLECTOR2601112017006528855629630FM1434COLLECTOR2387112017006528856631931TX144COLLECTOR4056112417007031857632932TX144COLLECTOR4020112617006031858633634FM56COLLECTOR7108112017006527859634982FM56COLLECTOR2790112017006027860635984FM56COLLECTOR2253112017005528861636637FM56COLLECTOR7073112217006528862637638FM56COLLECTOR6146112217006528863639640FM51COLLECTOR1790112017006019864640641FM51COLLECTOR1721112017006519865641642FM51COLLECTOR2611112017006519866642643FM51COLLECTOR3248112017006519867643644FM51COLLECTOR2822112017006519868644645FM51COLLECTOR2976112017006019869645646FM51COLLECTOR2216112017006519870646647FM51COLLECTOR10371120170050198716471048FM51COLLECTOR169112017006519872648649FM51COLLECTOR2603112017006519873649650FM51COLLECTOR4403112017006019874649663FM205COLLECTOR2311110017006519 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 70KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 875650649FM51COLLECTOR4403112017006019876650651FM51COLLECTOR2026112017006019877651354FM51COLLECTOR3573112017006019878651650FM51COLLECTOR20251120170060198796521033FM51COLLECTOR1006111017004025880653654FM51COLLECTOR13191110170055258816541034FM51COLLECTOR1064111017004025882655656FM51COLLECTOR24021110170050258836561035FM51COLLECTOR29611109002025884657658FM51COLLECTOR2480111017005025885658659FM51COLLECTOR1228111017004025886659660FM51COLLECTOR2041111017004025887660661FM51COLLECTOR2486111017005025888661662FM51COLLECTOR1520111017004025889662296FM51COLLECTOR2459111017005025890663664FM205COLLECTOR2904110017006519891664665FM205COLLECTOR2286110017006519892665666FM205COLLECTOR492511001700651989366620FM205COLLECTOR4644110017506518894667668FM205COLLECTOR3304110017006518895668669FM205COLLECTOR5753110017006518896669275FM205COLLECTOR41521100170065188976701023FM4COLLECTOR255911281700656898671672FM4COLLECTOR902511281700756899672673FM4COLLECTOR276811281700706 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 71KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 900673674FM4COLLECTOR265111281700756901675203FM4COLLECTOR120511211700409902676910ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR714112017004510903676911ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR571112017004010904677120HoodCR303COLLECTOR2109112017005011905678120ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR7541120170050109066781024ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR519112017004010907679677HoodCR303COLLECTOR2390112017005011908680681CARLACTLOCALROADWAY1199112015753511909681683RHEARDCOLLECTOR2916112017004511910681688BOBWHITEDRCOLLECTOR49511120170045119116831025RHEARDCOLLECTOR643112015753511912684685RHEARDCOLLECTOR12351120170045119136851026NORTHGATERDLOCALROADWAY1265112015753511914686687NORTHGATERDLOCALROADWAY1688112015753511915687697NORTHGATERDLOCALROADWAY2468112015753511916688116BOBWHITEDRCOLLECTOR3348112015753511917689104FM167COLLECTOR1793112119004011918689697FM167COLLECTOR294112115753511919690105MANDMRANCHRDLOCALROADWAY349110013503011920691692FM167COLLECTOR453112117004011921691697FM167COLLECTOR2619112117004011922691888WALNUTCREEKPKWYLOCALROADWAY1327110015753511923692691FM167COLLECTOR453112117004011924692904FM4COLLECTOR2756112017006011 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 72KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 925693694FM4COLLECTOR3128112017006511926694695FM4COLLECTOR5536112017006511927695696FM4COLLECTOR3713112017006512928696500FM4COLLECTOR2795112017006512929697689FM167COLLECTOR294112117503511930697691FM167COLLECTOR2619112117004011931698699FM4COLLECTOR1839112017006512932699700FM4COLLECTOR2285112017006512933700701FM4COLLECTOR2366112017006512934701702FM4COLLECTOR4786112017006512935702703FM4COLLECTOR2968112017006517936703704FM4COLLECTOR4076112017006017937704908FM4COLLECTOR1236112017005017938705706FM4COLLECTOR3519112017006017939707108FM167COLLECTOR497111201700603940707953FM167COLLECTOR121311201700503941708244TOLARCEMETARYRDLOCALROADWAY1383111013503014942709708TOLARCEMETARYRDLOCALROADWAY2422111013503014943710263FM2870COLLECTOR3170111017006514944711710FM2870COLLECTOR3164111017006513945712711FM2870COLLECTOR4722111017006513946713712FM2870COLLECTOR3416111017006513947714713FM2870COLLECTOR4958111017006518948715716FM2870COLLECTOR1397111017006518949716717FM2870COLLECTOR2345111017006518 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 73KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 950717718FM2870COLLECTOR514711101700651895171820FM2870COLLECTOR2917111017505518952719714FM2870COLLECTOR2815111017006518953719715FM2870COLLECTOR1242111017006518954720719GLENNCEMETARYRDCOLLECTOR1594110017004018955721593FM199COLLECTOR1179112117006021956722721FM199COLLECTOR3567112117006021957723722FM199COLLECTOR2572112117006021958724723FM199COLLECTOR5128112117006021959725724FM199COLLECTOR2435112117006021960726725FM199COLLECTOR44391121170060219617271042JohnsonCR1120COLLECTOR793112011252522962728727JohnsonCR1120COLLECTOR22481120170045229637291040JohnsonCR1120COLLECTOR36791120157535229647301039HoodCR325COLLECTOR2102110017004517965731730HoodCR325COLLECTOR5506110017005517966732731FM2174COLLECTOR3224112117005016967733732HoodCR326COLLECTOR8717112117006016968734735SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR2299110017004020969735736SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR123711006751520970736737SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR2203110015753520971737738SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR1945110017004020972738739SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR3881110017004019973739740SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR1561110017004019974740741SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR2777110013503019 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 74KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 975741742SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR88911009002019976742743SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR2544110017004019977743744SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR2861110017004019978744745SomervellCR1008COLLECTOR14001100170040199797451047HoodCR220COLLECTOR974110011252519980746647HoodCR220COLLECTOR3770110017004019981747748HoodCR220COLLECTOR1840110017004019982748749HoodCR220COLLECTOR1081110017004019983749750HoodCR220COLLECTOR4012110017004019984750751HoodCR220COLLECTOR3922110017004019985751752HoodCR220COLLECTOR3606110017004019986752717HoodCR220COLLECTOR4934110017005018987753754SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY1746110015753525988754755SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY1829110017004525989755756SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY2629110017004525990756757SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY2472110017004525991757758SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY3651100135030259927581038SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY12811100170045259937591037SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY23681100170045259947601036SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY39811009002025995761762SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY574110013503025996762763SomervellCR1004LOCALROADWAY568110013503025997763764SomervellCR1005LOCALROADWAY1643110015753525998764661SomervellCR1005LOCALROADWAY2446110015753525999765379BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY620112017503021 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 75KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1000765771BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY4391120135030201001766767SomervellCR313LOCALROADWAY30371110135030201002767768SomervellCR313LOCALROADWAY11991110157535201003768769SomervellCR313LOCALROADWAY20281110170045201004769393SomervellCR313LOCALROADWAY47201110170045211005770410HOLLYCTCOLLECTOR24691120175040151006771765BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY43911201350302010077711046BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY27741120135030201008772125US377MINORARTERIAL6893124190050101009773774HoodCR306COLLECTOR9701100170040161010774775HoodCR306COLLECTOR7411100170040171011775776HoodCR306COLLECTOR12121100170040171012776777HoodCR306COLLECTOR25261100170040171013777778HoodCR306COLLECTOR46511100170050171014778779JohnsonCR306COLLECTOR20751100135030171015779780JohnsonCR306COLLECTOR11031100135030171016780781JohnsonCR1131COLLECTOR46701120170040171017781782JohnsonCR1131COLLECTOR13521120170040171018782783JohnsonCR1131COLLECTOR28621120170040171019783703JohnsonCR1131COLLECTOR10811120157535171020784420TX144MINORARTERIAL53182124190075151021784785NERIRDCOLLECTOR31981120170045151022784998TX144MINORARTERIAL8332124190070151023785786NERIRDCOLLECTOR21371120135030151024786787NERIRDCOLLECTOR931112013503015 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 76KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1025787788NERIRDCOLLECTOR12261120135030151026788789NERIRDCOLLECTOR44861120170045151027789790NERIRDCOLLECTOR17001120135030151028790791NERIRDCOLLECTOR37031120170045151029791792NERIRDCOLLECTOR18001120170045151030792793NERIRDCOLLECTOR16121120135030151031793794NERIRDCOLLECTOR29011120170045151032794556FM51COLLECTOR11591125170070151033794557FM51COLLECTOR79811125170070151034888104WALNUTCREEKPKWYLOCALROADWAY29981100157535111035889341BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY7971120170040201036889890BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY14631120170040201037890889BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY14641120170040201038890891BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY7351120170040201039891890BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY7351120170040201040891892BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY9241120170040201041892891BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY92411201700402010428921046BOGIBBSBLVDLOCALROADWAY12111120135030201043893355PARKRD59COLLECTOR8041120170045201044894413TX144COLLECTOR50731124170070151045894994TX144COLLECTOR33641124170070151046895894HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY28201100175040151047896895HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY38441100170040151048897896HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY30281100170040151049898897HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY649110015753520 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 77KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1050899898HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY7991100157535201051900899HoodCR213LOCALROADWAY6251100112525201052903103US377MINORARTERIAL68532121019007031053904693FM4COLLECTOR28121120170060111054905502FM167COLLECTOR6351121170050111055906490FM167COLLECTOR15341121170050161056907491FM167COLLECTOR8291121135030161057908705FM4COLLECTOR17721120170050171058909119DAVISRDCOLLECTOR27971100175040101059909120DAVISRDCOLLECTOR12801100170040111060910115ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR7011120170045101061910676ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR7141120170045101062911676ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR57011201700401010639111024ACTONHWYCOLLECTOR19641120170050101064912512FM51COLLECTOR2139112517005091065912548FM51COLLECTOR1406112517006091066913288US67COLLECTOR15901128170075251067913289US67COLLECTOR17061128170075251068914291US67MINORARTERIAL32662128190075251069914292US67COLLECTOR8161128175075251070915916FM203COLLECTOR18441120170040261071916303FM203COLLECTOR12211120170050261072917304FM203COLLECTOR5111120170050261073918305FM203COLLECTOR5781120170040261074919306FM203COLLECTOR641112017004026 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 78KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1075920307FM203COLLECTOR13561120170040261076921309FM203COLLECTOR16151120170060311077922311FM203COLLECTOR15061120170040311078923313FM203COLLECTOR40771120170070311079924314FM203COLLECTOR35641121170070311080925315FM203COLLECTOR10451121170060311081926927FARMRD203COLLECTOR12981121170060311082927316FARMRD203COLLECTOR72851121170070311083928929FARMRD203COLLECTOR9801121170055311084929317FARMRD203COLLECTOR29461121170070311085930632TX144COLLECTOR21161124170070311086931930TX144COLLECTOR13191124170070311087932933TX144COLLECTOR11221120170060311088934588TX144COLLECTOR22931124170070261089935330FM205COLLECTOR6571121157535261090935343FM205COLLECTOR11381121170045261091936343FM205COLLECTOR12301121170045201092936344FM205COLLECTOR4641121170045201093937345FM205COLLECTOR13491121170050201094938346FM205COLLECTOR13491121170050261095939348FM205COLLECTOR39421121170065201096940349FM205COLLECTOR39661121170065191097941942NPLAZADRLOCALROADWAY7421150157535101098942943NPLAZADRLOCALROADWAY6301150157535101099943114NPLAZADRLOCALROADWAY1162115015753510 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 79KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1100944941CALINCODRLOCALROADWAY3211100135030101101945117FM4MINORARTERIAL32911210175060111102945118FM4MINORARTERIAL475621210190060111103946101US377MINORARTERIAL561021212175065111104946102US377MINORARTERIAL24421212175060111105946947FM167LOCALROADWAY2601120135030111106947102FM167COLLECTOR2111124175050111107947949FM167COLLECTOR20431120170055111108948101FM167COLLECTOR76681124175060111109948104FM167COLLECTOR7441124170045111110949947FM167COLLECTOR20431120170055111111949950FM167COLLECTOR33871120170060111112950949FM167COLLECTOR33871120170060111113950951FM167COLLECTOR4581120170050111114951950FM167COLLECTOR4581120170050111115951952FM167COLLECTOR23391120170055111116952107FM167COLLECTOR12951120170060111117952951FM167COLLECTOR23391120170055111118953707FM167COLLECTOR1212112017005031119954199FM51COLLECTOR13911121017007021120955956TX567LOOPCOLLECTOR598711210170070911219561050TX567LOOPCOLLECTOR40441121017507071122957366FM56COLLECTOR14431126170070201123957370FM56MINORARTERIAL11382126175070201124958302US67COLLECTOR1381112817007526 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 80KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1125958318US67COLLECTOR26651128170075261126959340FM56COLLECTOR1831126175050261127959342FM56COLLECTOR15471126170050201128959960FM56COLLECTOR1821120135030261129960340US67MINORARTERIAL2152124175045261130960978US67MINORARTERIAL9642120190055261131961559FM51COLLECTOR1981120170060141132961566FM51COLLECTOR2371120170045141133962149FM51COLLECTOR90112517505091134962150FM51COLLECTOR859112517005091135962963FM51COLLECTOR90112013503091136963149TX144MINORARTERIAL94312417504591137963160TX144MINORARTERIAL731212419004591138964966FM4MINORARTERIAL443321210190060111139965964JAMESRDCOLLECTOR7181120175045111140966689FM4MINORARTERIAL12432120175050111141967504FAIRWAYDRLOCALROADWAY6021120175035111142968385US67COLLECTOR59111210170070211143968386US67MINORARTERIAL36122120190060211144969385US67COLLECTOR17311210170070211145969970US67COLLECTOR2411120135030211146969971US67COLLECTOR377111210170070211147970972FM200COLLECTOR2911120157535211148971384US67COLLECTOR171911210170070211149971969US67COLLECTOR37711121017007021 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 81KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1150972394FM200COLLECTOR9661120170050211151973385FM200COLLECTOR10661120170060211152974322US67COLLECTOR11801128170060261153974323US67MINORARTERIAL2582124175055261154974975US67COLLECTOR2611124135030261155975323FM205COLLECTOR1251121175040261156975324FM205COLLECTOR12031121170050261157976359STADIUMDRLOCALROADWAY5261120135030261158976977NANCYDRLOCALROADWAY2001120135030261159977360WALKERSTLOCALROADWAY8261120135030261160977976NANCYDRLOCALROADWAY2001120135030261161978356US67MINORARTERIAL16062120190055261162978960US67MINORARTERIAL9642120190055261163978979MARYLYNNDRLOCALROADWAY7081120135030261164979359MARYLYNNDRLOCALROADWAY6321120135030261165979978MARYLYNNDRLOCALROADWAY7081120135030261166980585FM202COLLECTOR12881120170065271167980586FM202COLLECTOR11561120170050271168981584FM202COLLECTOR20271120170065271169981585FM202COLLECTOR13651120170050271170982983FM56COLLECTOR151171120170065271171983635FM56COLLECTOR21671120170060281172984636FM56COLLECTOR45831122170065281173985599FM200COLLECTOR6011120170045211174986398FM200COLLECTOR1038112017004521 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 82KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1175987395FM200COLLECTOR7081120170045211176988388FM200COLLECTOR4301120135030211177989391FM200COLLECTOR6771120170040211178990399TX144COLLECTOR45341124170070211179990400TX144COLLECTOR6921124170070211180991990HAPPYHILLSFARMACADEMYLOCALROADWAY9321120157535211181992410FM2425COLLECTOR1331126175050151182992414FM2425COLLECTOR60551126170070151183992994FM2425LOCALROADWAY1941120135030151184993410TX144COLLECTOR1231124175070151185993411TX144COLLECTOR35721124170070151186993992TX144LOCALROADWAY1731120135030151187994410TX144COLLECTOR1261124175070151188994894TX144COLLECTOR33631124175070151189995415FM2425COLLECTOR32681126170070161190995417FM2425COLLECTOR4821126170045161191996455POWERPLANTCTLOCALROADWAY5121100157535161192997418FM2425COLLECTOR5421128175040151193997419FM2425COLLECTOR51311128170065151194997998FM2425COLLECTOR6171120135030151195998418TX144MINORARTERIAL4002124175070151196998784TX144MINORARTERIAL8332124190070151197999413TX144MINORARTERIAL22022124190070151198999418TX144MINORARTERIAL2095212417507015 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 83KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 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ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 86KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 127410531052WILLIAMSONRDCOLLECTOR157411201700401512751054540CHRISTINEDRLOCALROADWAY2171120900201512761055427HoodCR310COLLECTOR88711201350301512771055428HoodCR310COLLECTOR327511201575351512781056224US377COLLECTOR1461124170050912791057225US377BUSFREEWAYRAMP7601124170045912801058224US377BUSMINORARTERIAL982124190045912811059318US67COLLECTOR159211281700752612821059319US67COLLECTOR1264112817007526128310601061RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR349112013503014128410611062RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR325112013503014128510621063RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR356112013503014128610631064RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR1991112017005014128710641065RAINBOWHILLRDCOLLECTOR153811201700501412881065263HoodCR218COLLECTOR348511201700501412898103903US377MINORARTERIAL2658212101900704129082611007US377COLLECTOR209211281700651312918285285US67COLLECTOR1434112817007529ExitLink10078261US377COLLECTOR2092112817006513ExitLink6308630FM1434COLLECTOR1750112017006528ExitLink9538707FM167COLLECTOR212511201700603ExitLink2768276FM205COLLECTOR1415110017006518 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 87KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLane Width(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber ExitLink2838284FM2481COLLECTOR2389112017007024ExitLink2148214FM2580COLLECTOR136811211700651ExitLink6748674FM4COLLECTOR159311281700756ExitLink7068706FM4COLLECTOR1797112017005017ExitLink2008200FM51COLLECTOR2426112101700702ExitLink6388637FM56COLLECTOR3322112217006532ExitLink2538253FM56COLLECTOR214211201700605ExitLink6218621PARKRD21COLLECTOR2953112417006523ExitLink9338933TX144COLLECTOR762112017006031ExitLink2938293TX220COLLECTOR5316112417007029ExitLink9038103US377MINORARTERIAL2658212101900704ExitLink6068607US67COLLECTOR31491121017007023ExitLink2858285US67COLLECTOR1434112817007529 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 88KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableK 2.NodesintheLink NodeAnalysisNetworkwhichareControlledNodeXCoordinate (ft)1YCoordinate (ft)1ControlTypeGridMapNumber2021338056783315TCPActuated1810122157666855968TCPActuated1110222108626852772TCPActuated1110422189706848303Stop1110722077366861781Stop1110922089656851496Actuated1111022044316848492Stop1111221980596844608TCPActuated1011421983446844127Stop1011622064686844887Stop1111722060976849595Actuated1111822088736845335Stop1111922014646846487Actuated1012022028286842769Stop1112121955516843398Yield1012421956986843842Yield1012721927186842207Actuated1013121886006844868Stop1013221881946844851Stop1013521885816845140Stop1013621881806845132Stop1013721881196846997Stop1014321861256844836Actuated914421861256845119Stop914921861116842781TCPActuated915921861346841892TCPActuated916021861316841956Yield916521861386841545Actuated916621861416841469TCPActuated916821817896842110Actuated917021868316841735Yield917521910976841816Actuated1017621889426841796Actuated1018421934736837432Stop1018821946486842945Actuated1018921881506846092Stop1019021885286846100Stop10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 89KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)1YCoordinate (ft)1ControlTypeGridMapNumber19121875216846108Stop1019421884526854621TCPActuated820221818146851891TCPActuated720321862226848830Stop920621789926856575TCPActuated720721755706856165TCPUncontrolled721521720846862264Stop722021690726860092Stop622221780406841850Yield922321809136843075Stop922421797026842411Stop922621792266842442Yield923221756096840845Actuated923421488256825390TCPActuated1424421471106825057Stop1424521469196826054Stop1425521434386824009TCPActuated1426021159156811120Stop1326321416826815220Stop1426821135516778515Stop1828721473556738941TCPUncontrolled2529221593376749602TCPActuated2530021736036753360TCPUncontrolled2632321926266767975TCPActuated2633221984166768586Stop2633321986786769173TCPUncontrolled2634021968976769501TCPActuated2634121985506770711Stop2034421822856770669Stop2035421520786770632Stop1935621942396768672Stop2635821960446767548Stop2635921966536768113Stop2636021976696769020Stop2637021795826791424Actuated2037822021646772730TCPActuated2037922030626773286TCPActuated2138122066616775253TCPActuated21 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 90KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)1YCoordinate (ft)1ControlTypeGridMapNumber38522140486779104Stop2139222054286784252Yield2139322054916781132Stop2140922024496772288Stop2041021986266804769TCPActuated1541821923886815966TCPActuated1542021900876822098Stop1542221873076831378Actuated1542321897906830418Stop1542521908826830121Stop1542921979196824064Stop1543222014906820029Stop1543422087086824271Stop1643822191266817685Stop1644022270086813709Stop1644422305336821538Yield1644522308476823780Yield1644822284176828098Stop1644922274286827840Stop1645221880036827715Stop1545922200166817150Yield1646022198386816384Stop1646222202546818213Stop1647022230416815230Stop1648122167276825402Stop1648622251496833360Stop1149122336516830742Stop1650022392536839834Stop1250422227266840192Actuated1150521862206840548Actuated950721864456839220Actuated950821878416836258Actuated1051121850416839012Stop951221839736841215Stop951421881186834786Stop1051921842606838659Stop953421939976830412Stop1554022005476825757Stop15 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 91KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)1YCoordinate (ft)1ControlTypeGridMapNumber54122020846826836Stop1556621651316803229Yield1458022101826754342TCPUncontrolled2758722008266746056TCPActuated2659222300406783068TCPActuated2159322311706783659Stop2159522316366778623TCPActuated2160722550306791918Stop2261822609176771604Stop2264721534046784103Stop1966121573466755769Stop2568122109196837908Stop1168522137206842369Stop1168922183696846614TCPActuated1169222205806844244TCPUncontrolled1169722183206846324Stop1170322523406831003Stop1771721351336791148Stop1871921357566796094Stop1872322279276790058Stop2179421744626818713Stop1589221986496773856Stop2089421967996807742TCPActuated1593222003026708231Stop3194722108116852977Yield1196021966996769415Yield2696121653646803277TCPActuated1496321861106842687Yield996422128146845535Actuated1197022141226778995Yield2197521926986767873Yield2697621970436768465Stop2697821957796769126Stop2699022050676790755Stop2199221987486804822Yield1599421985626804877Yield1599821922696816348Yield15100022023396772811Yield20 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantK 92KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)1YCoordinate (ft)1ControlTypeGridMapNumber100122022546772583Yield20100621470976738634Stop25101721475986826183Stop14101821472676826105Stop14102622148456842948Stop11102921707056861345Stop6106521434086812192Stop141 CoordinatesareintheNorthAmericanDatumof1983TexasNorthCentralStatePlaneZone APPENDIXLZoneBoundaries ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1L. ZONEBOUNDARIESCPNPPCounty:HoodandSomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:CPNPPBoundaryZone1ACounty:HoodandSomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM2425andRiverCountryLaneEast:BrazosRiverSouth:BrazosRiverandHood/SomervellCountyLineWest:Highway144Zone1BCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM2425East:FM2425South:FM2425West:Highway144Zone1CCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM3210,PowerPlantCt,andLakeGranburyEast:BrazosRiverandFM167South:RiverCountryLaneandBrazosRiverWest:FM2425andBrazosRiverZone1DCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Highway377,10 milelimitandnorthboundaryofDescordovaBenddevelopment East:10 milelimit,FM167South:MambrinoHighwayWest:Highway144 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Zone2ACounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:CPNPPboundaryEast:CountyRoad302South:CountyRoad318and313West:FM56Zone2BCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Somervell/HoodCountyLineEast:Highway144South:CountyRoad302West:CountyRoad303andCPNPPboundaryZone2CCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:CountyRoad318and313East:CountyRoad302andHighway144South:GlenRosenortherncitylimitsWest:FM56Zone2DCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Somervell/HoodCountyLineEast:BrazosRiverSouth:BrazosRiverandHighway67West:Highway144Zone2ECounty:HoodandSomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:BrazosRiverEast:FM199South:Highway67West:BrazosRiver ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Zone2FCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Somervell/HoodCountyLineEast:JohnsonCountyLineSouth:Highway67West:FM199Zone2GCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:BrazosRiverEast:JohnsonCountyLineSouth:HoodCountyLineWest:BrazosRiverZone2HCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Highway67andBrazosRiverEast:10 milelimitSouth:BrazosRiverand10 milelimitWest:BrazosRiverZone2JCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:GlenRosesoutherncitylimitsandHighway67East:BrazosRiverSouth:10 milelimitWest:Highway144Zone3ACounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Somervell/HoodCountyLineEast:FM56South:CountyRoad1007West:CountyRoad1008 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Zone3BCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:CountyRoad1007East:FM56South:FM205andGlenRosenortherncitylimitsWest:CountyRoad1007Zone3CCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:GlenRosesoutherncitylimitsEast:Highway144South:10 milelimitWest:CountyRoad1008andHighway67Zone3DCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM205East:Highway67South:Highway67West:CountyRoad1004andFM51Zone3ECounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Somervell/HoodCountyLineandCountyRoad1008East:CountyRoad1004andFM51South:CountyRoad1004and10 milelimitWest:Somervell/HoodCountyLineand10 milelimitZone3FCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Highway67East:CountyRoad2008South:10 milelimitWest:Highway67and10 milelimit ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Zone4ACounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:CoatesRoadEast:Highway144South:CPNPPboundaryandHood/SomervellCountyLineWest:CPNPPboundaryZone4BCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:CrippleCreekCourtandNeriRoadEast:Highway144South:CoatesRoadWest:CPNPPboundaryandCrippleCreekCourtZone4CCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM51andNeriRoadEast:CPNPPwesternboundarySouth:Hood/SomervellCountyLineWest:Highway56andFM51Zone4DCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM51East:FM56South:Hood/SomervellCountyLineWest:FM51andEdwardsRoadZone4ECounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:GranburysoutherncitylimitsEast:Highway144South:NeriRoadWest:FM51 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantL 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Zone4FCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:10 milelimitEast:FM51andGranburywesterncitylimitsSouth:FM51West:FM56Zone4GCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:Tolarsoutherncitylimits,10 mileringEast:FM56South:FM51,BakersCrossingRoadWest:10 milelimitZone4HCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:FM51,BakersCrossingRoadEast:EdwardsRoadSouth:Hood/SomervellCountyLineWest:10 milelimitGlenRoseCounty:SomervellDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:CityLimitsGranburyCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:North:PearlStreetand10 milelimitEast:Highway377and10 milelimitSouth:Highway377West:PearlStreetTolarCounty:HoodDefinedastheareawithinthefollowingboundary:CityLimits
APPENDIXMEvacuationSensitivityStudies ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantM 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M. EVACUATIONSENSITIVITYSTUDIESThisappendixpresentstheresultsofaseriesofsensitivityanalyses.TheseanalysesaredesignedtoidentifythesensitivityoftheETEtochangesinsomebaseevacuationconditions.M.1 EffectofChangesinTripGenerationTimesAsensitivitystudywasperformedtodeterminewhetherchangesintheestimatedtripgenerationtimehaveaneffectontheETEfortheentireEPZ.Specifically,ifthetailofthemobilizationdistributionweretruncated(i.e.,ifthosewhorespondedmostslowlytotheAdvisorytoEvacuate,couldbepersuadedtorespondmuchmorerapidly),howwouldtheETEbeaffected?ThecaseconsideredwasScenario1,Region3;asummer,midweek,midday,goodweatherevacuationoftheentireEPZ.TableM 1presentstheresultsofthisstudy.TableM 1.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTripGenerationSensitivityStudyTripGenerationPeriodEvacuationTimeEstimateforEntireEPZ90 thPercentile100 thPercentile2Hours2:253:153Hours2:253:304Hours(Base)2:254:10Theresultsconfirmtheimportanceofaccuratelyestimatingthetripgeneration(mobilization)times.TheETEforthe100 thpercentilecloselymirrorthevaluesforthetimethelastevacuationtripisgenerated.AsindicatedinSection7.3,trafficcongestionintheEPZpersistsfor3hoursand20minutesaftertheATEandwilldictatethe100 thpercentileETEifresidentsmobilizebeforethiscongestionhascleared.The90 thpercentileETEisinsensitivetotruncatingthetailofthemobilizationtimedistribution.Thisjustifiestheguidancetoemploythe[stable]90 thpercentileETEforprotectiveactiondecisionmaking.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantM 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M.2 EffectofChangesintheNumberofPeopleintheShadowRegionWhoRelocateAsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminetheeffectonETEofchangesinthepercentageofpeoplewhodecidetorelocatefromtheShadowRegion.ThecaseconsideredwasScenario1,Region3;asummer,midweek,midday,go odweatherevacuationfortheentireEPZ.ThemovementofpeopleintheShadowRegionhasthepotentialtoimpedevehiclesevacuatingfromanEvacuationRegionwithintheEPZ.RefertoSections3.2and7.1foradditionalinformationonpopulationwithintheshadowregion.TableM 2presentstheevacuationtimeestimatesforeachofthecasesconsidered.TheresultsshowthattheETEisnotimpactedbyshadowevacuationfrom0%to20%.Triplingtheshadowpercentageincreasesthe90 thpercentileETEby5minutes,whichisinsignificant,and100 thpercentileETEisunchanged.TableM 2.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforShadowSensitivityStudyPercentShadowEvacuationEvacuatingShadowVehiclesEvacuationTimeEstimateforEntireEPZ90 thPercentile100 thPercentile002:254:10152,1382:254:1020(Base)2,8512:254:10608,5522:304:10 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantM 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M.3 EffectofChangesinEPZResidentPopulationAsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminetheeffectonETEofchangesintheresidentpopulationwithinthestudyarea(EPZplusShadowRegion).Aspopulationinthestudyareachangesovertime,thetimerequiredtoevacuatethepublicmayincrease,decrease,orremainthesame.Sinc etheETEisrelatedtothedemandtocapacityratiopresentwithinthestudyarea,changesinpopulationwillcausethedemandsideoftheequationtochange.Thesensitivitystudywasconductedusingthefollowingplanningassumptions:1. Thepercentchangeinpopulationwithinthestudyareawa sincreasedbyasmuchas25%.Changesinpopulationwereappliedtopermanentresidentsonly(asperfederalguidance),inboththeEPZandintheShadowRegion.2. Thetransportationinfrastructureremainedfixed;thepresenceofnewroadsorhighwaycapacityimprovementswerenotconsidered.3. Thestudywa sperformedforthe2 MileRegion(R01),the5 MileRegion(R02)andtheentireEPZ(R03).4. ThegoodweatherscenariowhichyieldedthehighestETEvalueswasselectedasthecasetobeconsideredinthissensitivitystudy(Scenario1).TableM 3presentstheresultsofthesensitivitystudy.SectionIVofAppendixEto10CFRPart50,andNUREG/CR 7002,Section5.4,requirelicenseestoprovideanupdatedETEanalysistotheNRCwh enapopulationincreasewithintheEPZcausesETEvalues(forthe2 MileRegion,5 MileRegionorentireEPZ)toincreas eby25percentor30minutes,whicheverisless.NotethatthebaseETEvaluesforthe100 thpercentilecasesaswellasthe90 thpercentileforthefullEPZaregreaterthan2hours;therefore,30minutesisthelesserandisthecriterionforupdatingthesecases.Twentyfivepercentofthe90 thpercentileETEforthe2 MileRegion(1:25)andthe5 Mileregion(1:45)are21and26minutes,respectively.Botharelessthan30minutes.ThosepercentpopulationchangeswhichresultinETEchangesgreaterthanthecriterionoutlinedabovearehighlightedinredinTableM 3-a25%increaseintheEPZpopulation.LuminantwillhavetoestimatetheEPZpopulationonanannualbasis.IftheEPZpopulationincreasesby25%ormore,anupdatedETEanalysiswillbeneeded.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantM 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableM 3.ETEVariationwithPopulationChangeEPZ and Shadow Resident Population Base Population Change 15% 20% 25% 39,784 45,752 47,741 49,730 ETE for 90 th Percentile Region Population Change Base 15% 20% 25%
2-Mile 1:25 1:30 1:30 1:30 5-MILE 1:45 1:45 1:45 1:45 FULL EPZ 2:25 2:40 2:45 2:55 ETE for 100 th Percentile Region Base Population Change 15% 20% 25%
2-Mile 4:00 4:00 4:00 4:00 5-MILE 4:05 4:05 4:05 4:05 FULL EPZ 4:10 4:10 4:10 4:10 M.4 EvacuatingVehiclesSensitivityStudyAccordingtothetelephonesurveyconductedin2007,theaveragenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhouseholdis1.29,seeSectionF.3.2.Alongwiththeaveragehouseholdsize,thenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhouseholdwasusedtodeterminethenumberofevacuatingvehiclesfortheEPZandShadowRegionpopulation-seeSection3.1.AsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminehowanincreaseinthenumberofevacuatingpermanentresidentvehicleswouldimpactETE.Theaveragehouseholdsize(2.21persons/household-SeeFigureF 1)andtheaveragenumberofvehiclesavailableperhousehold(1.95vehicles/household-Se eFigureF 2)wereadaptedfromthetelephonesurveyresults.Theyear2010permanentresidentpopulationisdividedbytheaveragehouseholdsizeandthenmultipliedbytheaveragenumberofvehiclesavailableperhouseholdinordertoestimatethenumberofevacuatingvehiclesforthissensitivitystudy.Thisresultsinanincreaseof10, 523EPZresidentvehiclesand6,858ShadowRegionresidentvehicles(ofwhich20%willvoluntarilyevacuate).Asummer,midweek,midday,goodweatherscenariowaschosentoconductthissensitivitystudy(Scenario1).The90 thand100 thpercentileETEforthe2 MileRegion,5 MileRegion,andfullEPZforthebaseandsensitivitycasearepresentedinTableM 4.
ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantM 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableM 4.EvacuatingVehiclesSensitivityAnalysisRegionBaseETEIncreasedVehicleETE90 thPercentileETE2 MileRegion1:251:305 MileRegion1:451:50FullEPZ2:253:15100 thPercentileETE2 MileRegion4:004:005 MileRegion4:054:05FullEPZ4:104:35TableM 4indicatesanincreaseinpermanentresidentevacuatingvehiclesby51%(1.95/1.29)doesnothaveasignificantimpactonthe90 thor100 thpercentileETEforRegionsR01andR02withincreasesofupto5minutes.Theincreaseinpermanentresidentevacuatingvehiclesincreasesthe90 thand100 thpercentileETEforthefullEPZ(RegionR03)by50minutesand25minutesrespectively-asignificantchange.ThisisduetothefactthatcongestionintheEPZpersistsforjustover3hours.A51%increaseinevacuatingvehiclesprolongsthiscongestionbyupto50minutes.
APPENDIXNETECriteriaChecklist ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1N. ETECRITERIACHECKLISTTableN 1.ETEReviewCriteriaChecklistNRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments1.0Introductiona. Theemergencyplanningzone(EPZ)andsurroundingareashouldbedescribed.YesSection1b. Amapshouldbeincludedthatidentifiesprimaryfeaturesofthesite,includingmajorroadways,significanttopographicalfeatures,boundariesofcounties,andpopulationcenterswithintheEPZ.YesFigure1 1,Figure3 1,Figure6 1c. AcomparisonofthecurrentandpreviousETEshouldbeprovidedandincludessimilarinformationasidentifiedinTable1 1,"ETEComparison,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesTable1 31.1Approacha. Adiscussionoftheapproachandlevelofdetailobtainedduringthefieldsurveyoftheroadwaynetworkshouldbeprovided.YesSection1.3b. Sourcesofdemographicdataforschools,specialfacilities,largeemployers,andspecialeventsshouldbeidentified.YesSection2.1,Section3,Section8c. Discussionshouldbepresentedonuseoftrafficcontrolplansintheanalysis.YesSection1.3,Section2.3,Section9,AppendixGd. Trafficsimulationmodelsusedfortheanalysesshouldbeidentifiedbynameandversion.YesSection1.3,Table1 3,AppendixB,AppendixC ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentse. Methodsusedtoaddressdatauncertaintiesshouldbedescribed.YesSection3-avoiddoublecountingSection5,AppendixF-4%samplingerrorat95%confidenceintervalfortelephonesurvey1.2Assumptionsa. TheplanningbasisfortheETEincludestheassumptionthattheevacuationshouldbeorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplemented.YesSection2.3-Assumption1Section5.1b. AssumptionsconsistentwithTable1 2,"GeneralAssumptions,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovidedandincludethebasistosupporttheiruse.YesSection2.2,Section2.31.3ScenarioDevelopmenta. ThetenscenariosinTable1 3,EvacuationScenarios,shouldbedevelopedfortheETEanalysis,orareasonshouldbeprovidedforuseofotherscenarios.YesTable2 1,Table6 71.3.1StagedEvacuationa. Adiscussionshouldbeprovidedontheapproachusedindevelopmentofastagedevacuation.YesSection5.4.2,Section7.21.4EvacuationPlanningAreasa. AmapofEPZwithemergencyresponseplanningareas(ERPAs)shouldbeincluded.YesFigure6 1b. AtableshouldbeprovidedidentifyingtheERPAsconsideredforeachETEcalculationbydownwinddirectionineachsector.YesTable6 1throughTable6 6Table7 5throughTable7 10TableH 1throughTableH 3 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsc. AtablesimilartoTable1 4,"EvacuationAreasforaStagedEvacuationKeyhole,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovidedandincludesthecompleteevacuationofthe2,5,and10mileareasandforthe2milearea/5milekeyholeevacuations.YesTable6 1throughTable6 6Table7 5throughTable7 10TableH 1throughTableH 32.0DemandEstimationa. Demandestimationshouldbedevelopedforthefourpopulationgroups,includingpermanentresidentsoftheEPZ,transients,specialfacilities,andschools.YesPermanentresidents,employees,transients-Section3,AppendixESpecialfacilities,schools,daycamps-Section8,AppendixE2.1PermanentResidentsandTransientPopulationa. TheUSCensusshouldbethesourceofthepopulationvalues,oranothercrediblesourceshouldbeprovided.YesSection3.1b. PopulationvaluesshouldbeadjustedasnecessaryforgrowthtoreflectpopulationestimatestotheyearoftheETE.Yes2010usedasthebaseyearforanalysis.c. Asectordiagramshouldbeincluded,similartoFigure2 1,"PopulationbySector,"ofNUREG/CR 7002,showingthepopulationdistributionforpermanentresidents.YesFigure3 22.1.1PermanentResidentswithVehiclesa. Thepersonspervehiclevalueshouldbebetween1and2orjustificationshouldbeprovidedforothervalues.Yes1.71personspervehicle-Table1 3b. Majoremployersshouldbelisted.YesAppendixE-TableE 5 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments2.1.2TransientPopulationa. Alistoffacilitieswhichattracttransientpopulationsshouldbeincluded,andpeakandaverageattendanceforthesefacilitiesshouldbelisted.Thesourceofinformationusedtodevelopattendancevaluesshouldbeprovided.YesSection3.3,Section3.4,AppendixEb. Theaveragepopulationduringtheseasonshouldbeused,itemizedandtotaledforeachscenario.YesTables3 4,3 5andAppendixEitemizethetransientpopulationandemployeeestimates.TheseestimatesaremultipliedbythescenariospecificpercentagesprovidedinTable6 8toestimatetransientpopulationbyscenario.c. Thepercentofpermanentresidentsassumedtobeatfacilitiesshouldbeestimated.YesSection3.3,Section3.4d. Thenumberofpeoplepervehicleshouldbeprovided.Numbersmayvarybyscenario,andifso,discussiononwhyvaluesvaryshouldbeprovided.YesSection3.3,Section3.4e. Asectordiagramshouldbeincluded,similartoFigure2 1ofNUREG/CR 7002,showingthepopulationdistributionforthetransientpopulation.YesFigure3 6-transientsFigure3 8-employees2.2TransitDependentPermanentResidentsa. Themethodologyusedtodeterminethenumberoftransitdependentresidentsshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.1,Table8 1b. Transportationresourcesneededtoevacuatethisgroupshouldbequantified.YesSection8.1,Table8 5,Table8 11c. Thecounty/localevacuationplansfortransitdependentresidentsshouldbeusedintheanalysis.YesSection8.1,Section8.6 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsd. Themethodologyusedtodeterminethenumberofpeoplewithdisabilitiesandthosewithaccessandfunctionalneedswhomayneedassistanceanddonotresideinspecialfacilitiesshouldbeprovided.Datafromlocal/countyregistrationprogramsshouldbeusedintheestimate,butshouldnotbetheonlysetofdata.YesSection8.6e. Capacitiesshouldbeprovidedforalltypesoftransportationresources.Busseatingcapacityof50%shouldbeusedorjustificationshouldbeprovidedforhighervalues.YesSection2.3-Assumption10Section3.5,Section8.1,Section8.2,Section8.3,Section8.4f. Anestimateofthispopulationshouldbeprovidedandinformationshouldbeprovidedthattheexistingregistrationprogramswereusedindevelopingtheestimate.YesTable8 1-transitdependentsSection8.3daycampsSection8.5-transitdependentsSection8.6-specialneedspopulationg. Asummarytableofthetotalnumberofbuses,ambulances,orothertransportneededtosupportevacuationshouldbeprovidedandthequantificationofresourcesshouldbedetailedenoughtoassuredoublecountinghasnotoccurred.YesSection8.5-page8 7Table8 5Section8.32.3SpecialFacilityResidentsa. Alistofspecialfacilities,includingthetypeoffacility,location,andaveragepopulationshouldbeprovided.Specialfacilitystaffshouldbeincludedinthetotalspecialfacilitypopulation.YesAppendixE,TableE 4-listfacilities,type,location,andpopulation ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Adiscussionshouldbeprovidedonhowspecialfacilitydatawasobtained.YesSection8.4,Section3.5-medicalfacilitiesSection8.7-correctionalfacilityc. Thenumberofwheelchairandbed boundindividualsshouldbeprovided.YesTable8 4TableE 4d. Anestimateofthenumberandcapacityofvehiclesneededtosupporttheevacuationofthefacilityshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4,Section8.6Table8 4,Table8 5e. Thelogisticsformobilizingspeciallytrainedstaff(e.g.,medicalsupportorsecuritysupportforprisons,jails,andothercorrectionalfacilities)shouldbediscussedwhenappropriate.YesSection8.5,Section8.72.4Schoolsa. Alistofschoolsincludingname,location,studentpopulation,andtransportationresourcesrequiredtosupporttheevacuation,shouldbeprovided.Thesourceofthisinformationshouldbeprovided.YesTable8 2,Table8 3Section8.2b. Transportationresourcesforelementaryandmiddleschoolsshouldbebasedon100%oftheschoolcapacity.YesTable8 2c. Theestimateofhighschoolstudentswhowillusetheirpersonalvehicletoevacuateshouldbeprovidedandabasisforthevaluesusedshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsd. Theneedforreturntripsshouldbeidentifiedifnecessary.YesTherearesufficientresourcestoevacuateschoolsanddaycaresinasinglewave.However,Section8.5andFigure8 1discussthepotentialforamultiplewaveevacuation2.5.1SpecialEventsa. Acompletelistofspecialeventsshouldbeprovidedandincludesinformationonthepopulation,estimatedduration,andseasonoftheevent.YesSection3.7b. ThespecialeventthatencompassesthepeaktransientpopulationshouldbeanalyzedintheETE.YesSection3.7c. Thepercentofpermanentresidentsattendingtheeventshouldbeestimated.YesSection3.72.5.2ShadowEvacuationa. Ashadowevacuationof20percentshouldbeincludedforareasoutsidetheevacuationareaextendingto15milesfromtheNPP.YesSection2.2-Assumption5Figure2 1,Figure7 1Section3.2b. Populationestimatesfortheshadowevacuationinthe10to15mileareabeyondtheEPZareprovidedbysector.YesSection3.2Figure3 4Table3 3c. Theloadingoftheshadowevacuationontotheroadwaynetworkshouldbeconsistentwiththetripgenerationtimegeneratedforthepermanentresidentpopulation.YesSection5-Table5 8Figure1 2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments2.5.3BackgroundandPassThroughTraffica. Thevolumeofbackgroundtrafficandpassthroughtrafficisbasedontheaveragedaytimetraffic.Valuesmaybereducedfornighttimescenarios.YesSection3.6Table3 6Section6Table6 8,Table6 9b. PassthroughtrafficisassumedtohavestoppedenteringtheEPZabouttwohoursaftertheinitialnotification.YesSection2.3-Assumption5(offagenciesindicatedpassthroughtrafficwouldbedivertedwithin2hours)Section3.6Table6 8-ExternalThroughTrafficfootnote2.6SummaryofDemandEstimationa. Asummarytableshouldbeprovidedthatidentifiesthetotalpopulationsandtotalvehiclesusedinanalysisforpermanentresidents,transients,transitdependentresidents,specialfacilities,schools,shadowpopulation,andpass throughdemandusedineachscenario.YesTables3 7,Table3 83.0RoadwayCapacitya. Themethod(s)usedtoassessroadwaycapacityshouldbediscussed.YesSection43.1RoadwayCharacteristicsa. AfieldsurveyofkeyrouteswithintheEPZhasbeenconducted.YesSection1.3,AppendixD ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Informationshouldbeprovideddescribingtheextentofthesurvey,andtypesofinformationgatheredandusedintheanalysis.YesSection1.3,AppendixDc. AtablesimilartothatinAppendixA,"RoadwayCharacteristics,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovided.YesAppendixK,TableK 1d. Calculationsforarepresentativeroadwaysegmentshouldbeprovided.YesSection4e. AlegiblemapoftheroadwaysystemthatidentifiesnodenumbersandsegmentsusedtodeveloptheETEshouldbeprovidedandshouldbesimilartoFigure3 1,"RoadwayNetworkIdentifyingNodesandSegments,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesAppendixK,FiguresK 1throughK 33presenttheentirelink nodeanalysisnetworkatascalesuitabletoidentifyalllinksandnodes3.2CapacityAnalysisa. Theapproachusedtocalculatetheroadwaycapacityforthetransportationnetworkshouldbedescribedindetailandidentifiesfactorsthatshouldbeexpresslyusedinthemodeling.YesSection4b. ThecapacityanalysisidentifieswherefieldinformationshouldbeusedintheETEcalculation.YesSection1.3,Section43.3IntersectionControla. Alistofintersectionsshouldbeprovidedthatincludesthetotalnumberofintersectionsmodeledthatareunsignalized,signalized,ormannedbyresponsepersonnel.YesAppendixK,TableK 2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Characteristicsforthe10highestvolumeintersectionswithintheEPZareprovidedincludingthelocation,signalcyclelength,andturnlanequeuecapacity.YesTableJ 1,Section4.3.4c. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonhowsignalcycletimeisusedinthecalculations.YesSection4.1,AppendixC3.4AdverseWeathera. Theadverseweatherconditionshouldbeidentifiedandtheeffectsofadverseweatheronmobilizationtimeshouldbeconsidered.YesTable2 2,Section2.3-Assumption9Mobilizationtime-Table2 2b. ThespeedandcapacityreductionfactorsidentifiedinTable3 1,"WeatherCapacityFactors,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeusedorabasisshouldbeprovidedforothervalues.YesTable2 2-basedonHCM2010.ThefactorsprovidedinTable3 1ofNUREG/CR 7002arefromHCM2000.c. Thestudyidentifiesassumptionsforsnowremovalonstreetsanddriveways,whenapplicable.N/ANotapplicable4.0DevelopmentofEvacuationTimes4.1TripGenerationTimea. Theprocessusedtodeveloptripgenerationtimesshouldbeidentified.YesSection5b. Whentelephonesurveysareused,thescopeofthesurvey,areaofsurvey,numberofparticipants,andstatisticalrelevanceshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixFc. Dataobtainedfromtelephonesurveysshouldbesummarized.YesAppendixF ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsd. Thetripgenerationtimeforeachpopulationgroupshouldbedevelopedfromsitespecificinformation.YesSection5,AppendixF4.1.1PermanentResidentsandTransientPopulationa. Permanentresidentsareassumedtoevacuatefromtheirhomesbutarenotassumedtobeathomeatalltimes.Tripgenerationtimeincludestheassumptionthatapercentageofresidentswillneedtoreturnhomepriortoevacuating.YesSection5discussestripgenerationforhouseholdswithandwithoutreturningcommuters.Table6 8presentsthepercentageofhouseholdswithreturningcommutersandthepercentageofhouseholdseitherwithoutreturningcommutersorwithnocommuters.AppendixFpresentsthepercenthouseholdswhowillawaitthereturnofcommuters.Section2.3-Assumption3b. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonthetimeandmethodusedtonotifytransients.Thetripgenerationtimediscussesanydifficultiesnotifyingpersonsinhardtoreachareassuchasonlakesorincampgrounds.YesSection5.4.3c. Thetripgenerationtimeaccountsfortransientspotentiallyreturningtohotelspriortoevacuating.YesSection5,Figure5 1d. Effectofpublictransportationresourcesusedduringspecialeventswherealargenumberoftransientsshouldbeexpectedshouldbeconsidered.YesSection3.7e. Thetripgenerationtimeforthetransientpopulationshouldbeintegratedandloadedontothetransportationnetworkwiththegeneralpublic.YesSection5,Table5 8 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments4.1.2TransitDependentResidentsa. Ifavailable,existingplansandbusroutesshouldbeusedintheETEanalysis.IfnewplansshouldbedevelopedwiththeETE,theyhavebeenagreeduponbytheresponsibleauthorities.YesSection8.5-page8 8and8 9.Pre establishedbusroutesdonotexist.BasicbusroutesweredevelopedfortheETEanalysis-seeFigure8 2,Table8 11.StateandlocalemergencyagenciesshouldreviewtheETEstudyincludingtheseprescribedroutes.b. Discussionshouldbeincludedonthemeansofevacuatingambulatoryandnonambulatoryresidents.YesSection8.4,Section8.5,Section8.6c. Thenumber,location,andavailabilityofbuses,andotherresourcesneededtosupportthedemandestimationshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5,Table8 5d. Logisticaldetails,suchasthetimetoobtainbuses,briefdrivers,andinitiatethebusrouteshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5,Figure8 1e. Discussionshouldidentifythetimeestimatedfortransitdependentresidentstoprepareandtraveltoabuspickuppoint,anddescribestheexpectedmeansoftraveltothepickuppoint.YesSection8.5,page8 6and8 9f. Thenumberofbusstopsandtimeneededtoloadpassengersshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.5g. Amapofbusroutesshouldbeincluded.YesFigure8 2 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsh. Thetripgenerationtimefornonambulatorypersonsincludesthetimetomobilizeambulancesorspecialvehicles,timetodrivetothehomeofresidents,loadingtime,andtimetodriveoutoftheEPZshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.6i. Informationshouldbeprovidedtosupportsanalysisofreturntrips,ifnecessary.YesSection8.5Figure8 1Table8 12,Table8 134.1.3SpecialFacilitiesa. Informationonevacuationlogisticsandmobilizationtimesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8 5Table8 14,Table8 15-medicalfacilitiesTable8 17-correctionalfacilityb. Discussionshouldbeprovidedontheinboundandoutboundspeeds.YesSection8 5-medicalfacilitiesSection8 7-correctionalfacilityc. Thenumberofwheelchairandbed boundindividualsshouldbeprovided,andthelogisticsofevacuatingtheseresidentsshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.5,Table8 4Table8 14,Table8 15d. TimeforloadingofresidentsshouldbeprovidedYesSection8.5,Section8.7e. Informationshouldbeprovidedthatindicateswhethertheevacuationcanbecompletedinasingletriporifadditionaltripsshouldbeneeded.YesSection8.5-pages8 10and8 11Table8 5f. Ifreturntripsshouldbeneeded,thedestinationofvehiclesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5-pages8 10and8 11 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsg. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonwhetherspecialfacilityresidentsareexpectedtopassthroughthereceptioncenterpriortobeingevacuatedtotheirfinaldestination.YesSection8-page8 1Section8.5h. Supportinginformationshouldbeprovidedtoquantifythetimeelementsforthereturntrips.YesSection8.5-pages8 10and8 114.1.4Schoolsa. Informationonevacuationlogisticsandmobilizationtimeshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5Table8 7,Table8 8b. Discussionshouldbeprovidedontheinboundandoutboundspeeds.YesSchoolbusroutesarepresentedinTable8 6.SchoolbusspeedsarepresentedinTables8 7(goodweather),and8 8(rain).Section8.5discussesinboundandoutboundspeedsc. Timeforloadingofstudentsshouldbeprovided.YesTable8 7,Table8 8,DiscussioninSection8.5d. Informationshouldbeprovidedthatindicateswhethertheevacuationcanbecompletedinasingletriporifadditionaltripsareneeded.YesSection8.5-page8 7e. Ifreturntripsareneeded,thedestinationofschoolbusesshouldbeprovided.YesReturntripsarenotneeded ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsf. Ifused,receptioncentersshouldbeidentified.Discussionshouldbeprovidedonwhetherstudentsareexpectedtopassthroughthereceptioncenterpriortobeingevacuatedtotheirfinaldestination.YesSchoolchildrenevacuatetoareceptioncenterfirstformonitoring,thentoahostschoolastheirfinaldestination.Section2.3-Assumption7aSection8,page8 1g. Supportinginformationshouldbeprovidedtoquantifythetimeelementsforthereturntrips.YesReturntripsarenotneeded.4.2ETEModelinga. GeneralinformationaboutthemodelshouldbeprovidedanddemonstratesitsuseinETEstudies.YesDYNEVII(Ver.4.0.13.0).Section1.3,Table1 3,AppendixB,AppendixCb. IfatrafficsimulationmodelisnotusedtoconducttheETEcalculation,sufficientdetailshouldbeprovidedtovalidatetheanalyticalapproachused.Allcriteriaelementsshouldhavebeenmet,asappropriate.NoNotapplicableasatrafficsimulationmodelwasused.4.2.1TrafficSimulationModelInputa. Trafficsimulationmodelassumptionsandarepresentativesetofmodelinputsshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixBandAppendixCdescribethesimulationmodelassumptionsandalgorithmsTableJ 2-modelinputs ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Aglossaryoftermsshouldbeprovidedforthekeyperformancemeasuresandparametersusedintheanalysis.YesAppendixATableC 1,TableC 24.2.2TrafficSimulationModelOutputa. AdiscussionregardingwhetherthetrafficsimulationmodelusedmustbeinequilibrationpriortocalculatingtheETEshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixBb. Theminimumfollowingmodeloutputsshouldbeprovidedtosupportreview:1. TotalvolumeandpercentbyhourateachEPZexitnode.2. Networkwideaveragetraveltime.3. Longestqueuelengthforthe10intersectionswiththehighesttrafficvolume.4. Totalvehiclesexitingthenetwork.5. AplotthatprovidesboththemobilizationcurveandevacuationcurveidentifyingthecumulativepercentageofevacueeswhohavemobilizedandexitedtheEPZ.6. AveragespeedforeachmajorevacuationroutethatexitstheEPZ.Yes1. TableJ 5.2. TableJ 3.3. TableJ 1.4. TableJ 3.5. FiguresJ 1throughJ 12(oneplotforeachscenarioconsidered
).6. TableJ 4.NetworkwideaveragespeedalsoprovidedinTableJ 3.c. Colorcodedroadwaymapsshouldbeprovidedforvarioustimes(i.e.,at2,4,6hrs.,etc.)duringafullEPZevacuationscenario,identifyingareaswherelongqueuesexistincludinglevelofservice(LOS)"E"andLOS"F"conditions,iftheyoccur.YesFigure7 3throughFigure7 8 ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments4.3EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortheGeneralPublica. TheETEshouldincludethetimetoevacuate90%and100%ofthetotalpermanentresidentandtransientpopulationYesTable7 1,Table7 2b. TheETEfor100%ofthegeneralpublicshouldincludeallmembersofthegeneralpublic.Anyreductionsortruncateddatashouldbeexplained.YesSection5.4.1-truncatingsurveydatatoeliminatestatisticaloutliersTable7 2-100 thpercentileETEforgeneralpublicc. Tablesshouldbeprovidedforthe90and100percentETEssimilartoTable4 3,"ETEsforStagedEvacuationKeyhole,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesTable7 3,Table7 4d. ETEsshouldbeprovidedforthe100percentevacuationofspecialfacilities,transitdependent,andschoolpopulations.YesSection8.5Table8 7,Table8 8-schoolsanddaycares Table8 9,Table8 10-daycampsTable8 12,Table8 13-transitdependentsTable8 14,Table8 15-medicalfacilities5.0OtherConsiderations5.1DevelopmentofTrafficControlPlansa. Informationthatresponsibleauthoritieshaveapprovedthetrafficcontrolplanusedintheanalysisshouldbeprovided.YesSection9AppendixGb. AdiscussionofadjustmentsoradditionstothetrafficcontrolplanthataffecttheETEshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixG ComanchePeakNuclearPowerPlantN 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments5.2EnhancementsinEvacuationTimea. Theresultsofassessmentsforimprovementofevacuationtimeshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixMb. Astatementordiscussionregardingpresentationofenhancementstolocalauthoritiesshouldbeprovided.YesResultsoftheETEstudywereformallypresentedtolocalauthoritiesatthefinalprojectmeeting.Recommendedenhancementswerediscussed.5.3StateandLocalReviewa. Alistofagenciescontactedandtheextentofinteractionwiththeseagenciesshouldbediscussed.YesTable1 1b. InformationshouldbeprovidedonanyunresolvedissuesthatmayaffecttheETE.YesTherearenooutstandingissues.5.4ReviewsandUpdatesa. AdiscussionofwhenanupdatedETEanalysisisrequiredtobeperformedandsubmittedtotheNRC.YesAppendixM,SectionM.35.5ReceptionCentersandCongregateCareCentera. Amapofcongregatecarecentersandreceptioncentersshouldbeprovided.YesFigure10 1b. Ifreturntripsarerequired,assumptionsusedtoestimatereturntimesforbusesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5discussesamulti waveevacuationprocedureFigure8 1c. Itshouldbeclearlystatedifitisassumedthatpassengersareleftatthereceptioncenterandaretakenbyseparatebusestothecongregatecarecenter.YesSection2.3-Assumption7hSection10