ML123630578

Kld TR-506, Rev. 1, Harris Nuclear Plant Development of Evacuation Time Estimates

ML123630578
Person / Time
Site:	Harris
Issue date:	12/13/2012
From:	KLD Engineering, PC
To:	Carolina Power & Light Co, Duke Energy Carolinas, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
HNP-12-139 KLD TR-506, Rev 1
Download: ML123630578 (565)

Text

December2012FinalReport,Rev.1KLDTR-506 HarrisNuclearPlantDevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimatesWorkperformedforDukeEnergy,by:KLDEngineering,P.C.43CorporateDriveHauppauge,NY11788mailto:kweinisch@kldcompanies.com SIGNATURE LIST ________ __J/ l d.-)3 Duke Energy Date Project Lead, Eme r gency Pr epa r edness A !f-JrJI-' A _-------__ __,/ 12-. I 2. l tl-K LD Enginee ring , P.C.-Sento r Project Manager Harr is Nucl ea r Pl ant Eva cua tion Ti me Es timat e tz./zlc?-Date KLD Eng i neering, P.C. Rev. 1 HarrisNuclearPlantiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableofContents1INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................................1 11.1OverviewoftheETEProcess......................................................................................................1 21.2TheHarrisNuclearPlantLocation..............................................................................................1 41.3PreliminaryActivities.................................................................................................................1 61.4ComparisonwithPriorETEStudy............................................................................................1 102STUDYESTIMATESANDASSUMPTIONS.............................................................................................2 12.1DataEstimates...........................................................................................................................2 12.2StudyMethodologicalAssumptions..........................................................................................2 22.3StudyAssumptions.....................................................................................................................2 53DEMANDESTIMATION.......................................................................................................................3 13.1PermanentResidents.................................................................................................................3 23.2ShadowPopulation....................................................................................................................3 73 93.3TransientPopulation................................................................................................................3 103.4Employees...............................................................................................................................

.3 153.5MedicalFacilities......................................................................................................................3 193.6TotalDemandinAddi tiontoPermanentPopulation..............................................................3 193.7SpecialEvent............................................................................................................................3 193.8SummaryofDemand...............................................................................................................3 224ESTIMATIONOFHIGHWAYCAPACITY................................................................................................4 14.1CapacityEstimationsonApproachestoIntersections..............................................................4 24.2CapacityEstimationalongSectionsofHighway........................................................................4 44.3ApplicationtotheHNPStudyArea............................................................................................4 64.3.1Two LaneRoads.................................................................................................................4 64.3.2Multi LaneHighway...........................................................................................................4 64.3.3Freeways............................................................................................................................4 74.3.4Intersections......................................................................................................................4 84.4SimulationandCapacityEstimation..........................................................................................4 85ESTIMATIONOFTRIPGENERATIONTIME..........................................................................................5 15.1Background...............................................................................................................................

.5 15.2FundamentalConsiderations.....................................................................................................5 35.3EstimatedTimeDistributionsofActivitiesPrecedingEvent5...................................................5 65.4CalculationofTripGenerationTimeDistribution....................................................................5 115.4.1StatisticalOutliers............................................................................................................5 125.4.2StagedEvacuationTripGeneration.................................................................................5 155.4.3TripGenerationforWaterwaysandRecreationalAreas.................................................5 166DEMANDESTIMATIONFOREVACUATIONSCENARIOS.....................................................................6 17GENERALPOPULATIONEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES(ETE)..........................................................7 17.1VoluntaryEvacuationandShadowEvacuation.........................................................................7 17.2StagedEvacuation......................................................................................................................7 1 HarrisNuclearPlantiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17.3PatternsofTrafficCongestionduringEvacuation.....................................................................7 27.4EvacuationRates........................................................................................................................7 47.5EvacuationTimeEstimate(ETE)Results....................................................................................7 47.6StagedEvacuationResults.........................................................................................................7 67.7GuidanceonUsingETETables...................................................................................................7 78TRANSITDEPENDENTANDSPECIALFACILITYEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES.................................8 18.1TransitDependentPeopleDemandEstimate............................................................................8 28.2SchoolPopulation-TransitDemand.........................................................................................8 48.3MedicalFacilityDemand............................................................................................................8 48.4EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTransitDependentPeople.......................................................8 58.5SpecialNeedsPopulation.........................................................................................................8 119TRAFFICMANAGEMENTSTRATEGY...................................................................................................9 110EVACUAT IONROUTES..................................................................................................................10 1ListofAppendicesA.GLOSSARYOFTRAFFICENGINEERINGTERMS..................................................................................A 1B.DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENTANDDISTRIBUTIONMODEL.........................................................B 1C.DYNEVTRAFFICSIMULATIONMODEL...............................................................................................C 1C.1Methodology..............................................................................................................................C 5C.1.1TheFundamentalDiagram.................................................................................................C 5C.1.2TheSimulationModel........................................................................................................C 5C.1.3LaneAssignment..............................................................................................................C 13C.2Implementation.......................................................................................................................C 13C.2.1ComputationalProcedure................................................................................................C 13C.2.2InterfacingwithDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTRAD)...................................................C 16D.DETAILEDDESCRIPTIONOFSTUDYPROCEDURE..............................................................................D 1E.FACILITYDATA....................................................................................................................................E 1F.TELEPHONESURVEY...........................................................................................................................F 1F.1Introduction...............................................................................................................................F 1F.2SurveyInstrumentandSamplingPlan.......................................................................................F 2F.3SurveyResults............................................................................................................................F 3F.3.1HouseholdDemographicResults...........................................................................................F 3F.3.2EvacuationResponse.............................................................................................................F 8F.3.3TimeDistributionResults.....................................................................................................F 10F.4Conclusions..............................................................................................................................F 12G.TRAFFICMANAGEMENTPLAN..........................................................................................................G 1G.1TrafficControlPoints................................................................................................................G 1G.2Securi tyRoadBlocks.................................................................................................................G 2HEVACUATIONREGIONS.....................................................................................................................H 1 HarrisNuclearPlantiiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1J.REPRESENTATIVEINPUTSTOANDOUTPUTSFROMTHEDYNEVIISYSTEM.....................................J 1K.EVACUATIONROADWAYNETWORK..................................................................................................K 1L.SUB ZONEBOUNDARIES....................................................................................................................L 1M.EVACUATIONSENSITIVITYSTUDIES.............................................................................................M 1M.1EffectofChangesinTripGenerationTimes............................................................................M 1M.2EffectofChangesintheNumberofPeopleintheShadowRegionWhoRelocate.................M 2M.3EffectofChangesinEPZResidentPopulation.........................................................................M 3M.4Effectof50%ReductioninCapacityandFreeFlowSpeedforIceScenarios..........................M 5M.5EffectofAdditionalConstructionEmployeesatPeakConstructionYearof2022..................M 5N.ETECRITERIACHECKLIST...................................................................................................................N 1Note:AppendixIintentio nallyskipped HarrisNuclearPlantivKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ListofFiguresFigure1 1.HNPLocation...........................................................................................................................1 5Figure1 2.HNPLink NodeAnalysisNetwork...........................................................................................1 8Figure2 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology.......................................................................................2 4Figure3 1.HNPEPZ..................................................................................................................................3 3Figure3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationbySector.............................................................................3 5Figure3 3.PermanentRe sidentVehiclesbySector.................................................................................3 6Figure3 4.ShadowPopulationbySector.................................................................................................3 8Figure3 5.ShadowVehiclesbySector.....................................................................................................3 9Figure3 6.TransientPopulationbySector.............................................................................................3 13Figure3 7.TransientVehiclesbySector.................................................................................................3 14Figure3 8.EmployeePopulationbySe ctor............................................................................................3 17Figure3 9.EmployeeVehiclesbySector................................................................................................3 18Figure4 1.FundamentalDiagrams..........................................................................................................4 10Figure5 1.EventsandActivitiesPrecedingtheEvacuationTrip..............................................................5 5Figure5 2.EvacuationMobilizationActivities........................................................................................5 10Figure5 3.ComparisonofDa taDistributionandNormalDistribution.......................................................5 13Figure5 4.ComparisonofTripGenerationDistributions.......................................................................5 19Figure5 5.ComparisonofStagedandUn stagedTripGenerationDistributionsinthe2to5MileRegion...................................................................................................................................5 21Figure6 1.HNPEPZSubZones.................................................................................................................6 7Figure7 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology.....................................................................................7 17Figure7 2.HNPShadowRegion.............................................................................................................7 18Figure7 3.CongestionPatternsat30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate....................................7 19Figure7 4.CongestionPatternsat1HouraftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate............................................7 20Figure7 5.CongestionPa tternsat1Hour30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.........................7 21Figure7 6.CongestionPatternsat2Hours30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.......................7 22Figure7 7.CongestionPatternsat3Hours25MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.......................7 23Figure7 8.CongestionPatternsat4HoursaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate..........................................7 24Figure7 9.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario1forRegionR03......................................................7 25Figure7 10.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario2forRegionR03....................................................7 25Figure7 11.EvacuationTi meEstimatesScenario3forRegionR03....................................................7 26Figure7 12.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario4forRegionR03....................................................7 26Figure7 13.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario5forRegionR03....................................................7 27Figure7 14.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario6forRegionR03....................................................7 27Figure7 15.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario7forRegionR03....................................................7 28Figure7 16.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario8forRegionR03....................................................7 28Figure7 17.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario9forRegionR03....................................................7 29Figure7 18.EvacuationTi meEstimatesScenario10forRegionR03..................................................7 29Figure7 19.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario11forRegionR03..................................................7 30Figure7 20.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario12forRegionR03..................................................7 30Figure7 21.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario13forRegionR03..................................................7 31Figure7 22.EvacuationTi meEstimatesScenario14forRegionR03..................................................7 31Figure8 1.ChronologyofTransitEvacuationOperations......................................................................8 13Figure8 2.Transit DependentBusRoutes.............................................................................................8 14Figure10 1.GeneralPopulationReceptionCentersandRelocationSchools........................................10 2 HarrisNuclearPlantvKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure10 2.EvacuationRoutes..............................................................................................................10 3FigureB 1.FlowDiagramofSimulation DTRADInterface........................................................................B 5FigureC 1.RepresentativeAnalysisNetwork...........................................................................................C 4FigureC 2.FundamentalDiagrams...........................................................................................................C 6FigureC 3.AUNITProblemConfigurationwitht 1>0..............................................................................C 7FigureC 4.FlowofSimulationProcessing(SeeGlossary:TableC 3)....................................................C 15FigureD 1.FlowDiagramofActivities.....................................................................................................D 5FigureE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ..........................................................................................................E 14FigureE 2.OverviewofChildCareCenterswithintheEPZ....................................................................E 15FigureE 3.ChildCareCenterswithinSub ZoneE..................................................................................E 16FigureE 4.ChildCareCenterswithinSub ZonesFandG.......................................................................E 17FigureE 5.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ..........................................................................................E 18FigureE 6.OverviewofMajorEmployerswithintheEPZ......................................................................E 19FigureE 7.MajorEmployerswithinSub ZoneE.....................................................................................E 20FigureE 8.MajorEmployerswithinSub ZonesFandG.........................................................................E 21FigureE 9.CampgroundswithintheEPZ................................................................................................E 22FigureE 10.OverviewofParksandCommunityCenterswithintheEPZ...............................................E 23FigureE 11.ParksandCommunityCenterswithinSub ZoneE.............................................................E 24FigureE 12.ParksandCommunityCenterswithinSub ZonesFandG..................................................E 25FigureE 13.GolfCourseswithintheEPZ................................................................................................E 26FigureE 14.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ.........................................................................................E 27FigureF 1.HouseholdSizeintheEPZ.......................................................................................................F 4FigureF 2.HouseholdVehicleAvailability................................................................................................F 4FigureF 3.VehicleAvailability1to5PersonHouseholds......................................................................F 5FigureF 4.VehicleAvailability6to9+PersonHouseholds....................................................................F 5FigureF 5.HouseholdRidesharingPreference.........................................................................................F 6FigureF 6.CommutersinHouseholdsintheEPZ.....................................................................................F 7FigureF 7.ModesofTravelintheEPZ.....................................................................................................F 8FigureF 8.NumberofVehiclesUsedforEvacuation...............................................................................F 9FigureF 9.HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets...........................................................................................F 9FigureF 10.TimeRequiredtoPreparetoLeaveWork/School..............................................................F 11FigureF 11.WorktoHomeTravelTime.................................................................................................F 11FigureF 12.TimetoPrepareHomeforEvacuation................................................................................F 12FigureG 1.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlocksfortheHNPSite.........................................G 3FigureG 2.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSub ZoneE.....................................G 4FigureG 3.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSub ZonesEandF..........................G 5FigureG 4.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSub ZoneG.....................................G 6FigureG 5.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHighway55&HighHouseRd......................................G 7FigureG 6.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHighway55&WilbonRd............................................G 8FigureG 7.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHi ghway55&USHighway64(West)Ramps..............G 9FigureG 8.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1415&HWY401...............................G 10FigureG 9.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1427&HWY401...............................G 11FigureG 10.Existin gTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1443&HWY401.............................G 12FigureG 11.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&HWY401.............................G 13FigureG 12.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&HWY210.............................G 14FigureG 13.Existin gTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&SR1513...............................G 15FigureG 14.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-HWY210&HWY401&HWY421.......G 16 HarrisNuclearPlantviKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 15.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1412&HWY401.............................G 17FigureG 16.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1431&SR1412...............................G 18FigureG 17.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-2529HarnettCentralRd......................G 19FigureG 18.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC 540TOLL&GreenLevelWestRd............................G 20FigureG 19.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-USHWY64&KellyRd...................................................G 21FigureG 20.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC55&NC 540TOLL....................................................G 22FigureG 21.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC 540TOLL&OldUSHWY1.......................................G 23FigureG 22.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-USHWY64&NC540TOLL............................................G 24FigureG 23.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC55BYPASS&NC 540TOLL.......................................G 25FigureG 24.ProposedSecurityRoadBlock-NC55&NC 540TOLL.....................................................G 26FigureH 1.RegionR01.............................................................................................................................H 4FigureH 2.RegionR02.............................................................................................................................H 5FigureH 3.RegionR03.............................................................................................................................H 6FigureH 4.RegionR04.............................................................................................................................H 7FigureH 5.RegionR05.............................................................................................................................H 8FigureH 6.RegionR06.............................................................................................................................H 9FigureH 7.RegionR07...........................................................................................................................H 10FigureH 8.RegionR08...........................................................................................................................H 11FigureH 9.RegionR09...........................................................................................................................H 12FigureH 10.RegionR10.........................................................................................................................H 13FigureH 11.RegionR11.........................................................................................................................H 14FigureH 12.RegionR12.........................................................................................................................H 15FigureH 13.RegionR13.........................................................................................................................H 16FigureH 14.RegionR14.........................................................................................................................H 17FigureH 15.RegionR15.........................................................................................................................H 18FigureH 16.RegionR16.........................................................................................................................H 19FigureH 17.RegionR17.........................................................................................................................H 20FigureH 18.RegionR18.........................................................................................................................H 21FigureH 19.RegionR19.........................................................................................................................H 22FigureH 20.RegionR20.........................................................................................................................H 23FigureH 21.RegionR21.........................................................................................................................H 24FigureH 22.RegionR22.........................................................................................................................H 25FigureH 23.RegionR23.........................................................................................................................H 26FigureH 24.RegionR24.........................................................................................................................H 27FigureH 25.RegionR25.........................................................................................................................H 28FigureH 26.RegionR26.........................................................................................................................H 29FigureH 27.RegionR27.........................................................................................................................H 30FigureH 28.RegionR28.........................................................................................................................H 31FigureH 29.RegionR29.........................................................................................................................H 32FigureH 30.RegionR30.........................................................................................................................H 33FigureH 31.RegionR31.........................................................................................................................H 34FigureH 32.RegionR32.........................................................................................................................H 35FigureH 33.RegionR33.........................................................................................................................H 36FigureH 34.RegionR34.........................................................................................................................H 37FigureH 35.RegionR35.........................................................................................................................H 38FigureH 36.RegionR36.........................................................................................................................H 39FigureJ 1.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario1)..............J 9 HarrisNuclearPlantviiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 2.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)...............................J 9FigureJ 3.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario3)............J 10FigureJ 4.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)............................J 10FigureJ 5.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario5).............................................................................................................................................J 11FigureJ 6.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario6)..............J 11FigureJ 7.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)...............................J 12FigureJ 8.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Ice(Scenario8)..................................J 12FigureJ 9.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario9)..............J 13FigureJ 10.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario10)...........................J 13FigureJ 11.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,We ekend,Midday,Ice(Scenario11).............................J 14FigureJ 12.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario12)...........................................................................................................................................J 14FigureJ 13.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather,SpecialEvent(Scenario13)............................................................................................................................................J 15FigureJ 14.ETEandTripGeneration:Su mmer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather,RoadwayImpact(Scenario14)............................................................................................................................................J 15FigureK 1.HarrisLinkNodeAnalysisNetwork........................................................................................K 2FigureK 2.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid1.....................................................................................K 3FigureK 3.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Gri d2.....................................................................................K 4FigureK 4.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid3.....................................................................................K 5FigureK 5.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid4.....................................................................................K 6FigureK 6.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid5.....................................................................................K 7FigureK 7.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid6.....................................................................................K 8FigureK 8.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid7.....................................................................................K 9FigureK 9.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid8...................................................................................K 10FigureK 10.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid9.................................................................................K 11FigureK 11.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid10...............................................................................K 12FigureK 12.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid11...............................................................................K 13FigureK 13.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid12...............................................................................K 14FigureK 14.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid13...............................................................................K 15FigureK 15.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid14...............................................................................K 16FigureK 16.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid15...............................................................................K 17FigureK 17.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid16...............................................................................K 18FigureK 18.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid17...............................................................................K 19FigureK 19.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid18...............................................................................K 20FigureK 20.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid19...............................................................................K 21FigureK 21.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid20...............................................................................K 22FigureK 22.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid21...............................................................................K 23FigureK 23.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid22...............................................................................K 24FigureK 24.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid23...............................................................................K 25FigureK 25.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid24...............................................................................K 26FigureK 26.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid25...............................................................................K 27FigureK 27.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid26...............................................................................K 28FigureK 28.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid27...............................................................................K 29FigureK 29.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid28...............................................................................K 30FigureK 30.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid29...............................................................................K 31 HarrisNuclearPlantviiiKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 31.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid30...............................................................................K 32FigureK 32.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid31...............................................................................K 33FigureK 33.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid32...............................................................................K 34FigureK 34.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid33...............................................................................K 35FigureK 35.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid34...............................................................................K 36FigureK 36.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid35...............................................................................K 37FigureK 37.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid36...............................................................................K 38FigureK 38.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid37...............................................................................K 39FigureK 39.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid38...............................................................................K 40FigureK 40.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid39...............................................................................K 41FigureK 41.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid40...............................................................................K 42FigureK 42.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid41...............................................................................K 43FigureK 43.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid42...............................................................................K 44FigureK 44.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid43...............................................................................K 45 HarrisNuclearPlantixKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ListofTablesTable1 1.StakeholderInteraction...........................................................................................................1 1Table1 2.HighwayCharacteristics...........................................................................................................1 6Table1 3.ETEStudyComparisons..........................................................................................................1 11Table2 1.EvacuationScenarioDefinitions...............................................................................................2 3Table2 2.ModelAdjustmentforAdverseWeather.................................................................................2 7Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulation.......................................................................................3 4Table3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationandVehiclesbySubZone....................................................3 4Table3 3.ShadowPopulationandVehiclesbySector.............................................................................3 7Table3 4.SummaryofTransientsandTransientVehicles.....................................................................3 12Table3 5.SummaryofNon EPZResidentEmployeesandEmployeeVehicles......................................3 16Table3 6.HNPEPZExternalTraffic.........................................................................................................3 21Table3 7.SummaryofPopulationDemand...........................................................................................3 23Table3 8.SummaryofVehicleDemand.................................................................................................3 24Table5 1.EventSequenceforEvacuationActivities................................................................................5 3Table5 2.TimeDistributionforNotifyingthePublic...............................................................................5 6Table5 3.TimeDistributionforEmployeestoPreparetoLeaveWork...................................................5 7Table5 4.TimeDistributionforCommuterstoTravelHome..................................................................5 8Table5 5.TimeDistributionforPopulationtoPreparetoEvacuate.......................................................5 9Table5 6.MappingDistri butionstoEvents............................................................................................5 11Table5 7.DescriptionoftheDistributions.............................................................................................5 11Table5 8.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforUn stagedEvacuation....................5 18Table5 9.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforStagedEvacuation.........................5 20Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRe gions...........................................................................................6 6Table6 2.EvacuationScenarioDefinitions...............................................................................................6 8Table6 3.PercentofPopulationGroupsEvacuatingforVariousScenarios............................................6 9Table6 4.VehicleEstimatesbyScenario................................................................................................6 10Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulation.........................7 10Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulation.......................7 12Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegion............................7 14Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegion..........................7 15Table7 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegions.........................................................................................7 16Table8 1.TransitDependentPopulationEstimates..............................................................................8 15Table8 2.SchoolPopulationDemandEstimates...................................................................................8 16Table8 3.RelocationSchoolsforSchoolsandChildCareCenters.........................................................8 18Table8 4.MedicalFacilityTransitDemand............................................................................................8 20Table8 5.Su mmaryofTransportationResources..................................................................................8 22Table8 6.BusRouteDescriptions..........................................................................................................8 24Table8 7.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather..........................8 28Table8 8.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesRain..........................................8 31Table8 9.SchoolandChil dCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesIce.............................................8 34Table8 10.SummaryofTransitDependentBusRoutes........................................................................8 37Table8 11.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather........................................8 38Table8 12.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesRain.........................................................8 40Table8 13.Tran sitDependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesIce...........................................................8 42Table8 14.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeather.............................................8 44 HarrisNuclearPlantxKLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 15.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesRain..............................................................8 46Table8 16.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesIce.................................................................8 48Table8 17.HomeboundSpecialNeedsPopulationEvacuationTimeEstimates....................................8 50TableA 1.GlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTerms....................................................................................A 1TableC 1.SelectedMeasuresofEffectivenessOutputbyDYNEVII........................................................C 2TableC 2.InputRequirementsfortheDYNEVIIModel...........................................................................C 3TableC 3.Glossary....................................................................................................................................C 8TableE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ.............................................................................................................E 2TableE 2.ChildCareCenterswithintheEPZ............................................................................................E 3TableE 3.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ..............................................................................................E 5TableE 4.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZ..............................................................................................E 7TableE 5.CampgroundswithintheEPZ.................................................................................................E 10TableE 6.ParksandCommunityCenterswithintheEPZ.......................................................................E 11TableE 7.GolfCourseswithinth eEPZ...................................................................................................E 13TableE 8.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ............................................................................................E 13TableF 1.HarrisTelephoneSurveySamplingPlan...................................................................................F 2TableH 1.PercentofSub ZonePopulationEvacuatingforEachRegion................................................H 2TableJ 1.CharacteristicsoftheTenHi ghestVolumeSignalizedIntersections........................................J 2TableJ 2.SampleSimulationModelInput...............................................................................................J 4TableJ 3.SelectedModelOutputsfortheEvacuationoftheEntireEPZ(RegionR03)...........................J 5TableJ 4.AverageSpeed(mph)andTravelTime(min)forMajorEvacuationRoutes(RegionR03,Scenario1)...........................................................................................................................J 6TableJ 5.SimulationModelOutputsatNetworkExitLinksforRegionR03,Scenario1.........................J 7TableK 1.EvacuationRoadwayNetworkCharacteristics......................................................................K 46TableK 2.NodesintheLink NodeAnalysisNetworkwhichareControlled.........................................K 148TableM 1.EvacuationTi meEstimatesforTripGenerationSensitivityStudy.......................................M 1TableM 2.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforShadowSensitivityStudy....................................................M 2TableM 3.ETEVariationwithPopulationChange.................................................................................M 4TableM 4.ETEVariationfor50%IceReduction-Scenario8................................................................M 5TableM 5.ETEVariationfor50%IceReduction-Scenario11..............................................................M 5TableM 6.ETEforPeakConstructionYear2022...................................................................................M 6TableN 1.ETEReviewCriteriaChecklist.................................................................................................N 1

HarrisNuclearPlantES 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1EXECUTIVE

SUMMARY

ThisreportdescribestheanalysesundertakenandtheresultsobtainedbyastudytodevelopEvacuationTimeEstimates(ETE)fortheHarrisNuclearPlant(HNP)locatedinWakeCounty,NorthCarolina.ETEprovideDukeEnergyandStateandlocalgovernmentswithsite specificinformationneededforProtectiveActiondecision making.Intheperformanceofthiseffort,guidanceisprovidedbydocumentspublishedbyFederalGovernmentalagencies.Mostimportantoftheseare: CriteriaforDevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimateStudies,NUREG/CR 7002,December2011. CriteriaforPreparationandEvaluationofRadiologicalEmergencyResponsePlansandPreparednessinSupportofNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG 0654/FE MA REP 1,Rev.1,November1980. DevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimatesforNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG/CR 6863,January2005. EmergencyPlanningandPreparednessforProductionandUtilizationFacilities,10CFR50,AppendixE.OverviewofProjectActivitiesThisprojectbeganinMarch,2012andextendedoveraperiodof9months.Themajoractivitiesperformedarebrieflydescribedinchronologicalsequence: Attended"kick off"meetingwithDukeEnergypersonnelandemergencymanagementpersonnelrepresentingstateandcountygovernments. AccessedU.S.CensusBureaudatafilesfortheyear2010. StudiedGeographicalInformationSystems(GIS)mapsoftheareainthevicinityoftheHNP,thenconductedadetailedfieldsurveyofth ehighwaynetwork. SynthesizedthisinformationtocreateananalysisnetworkrepresentingthehighwaysystemtopologyandcapacitieswithintheEmergencyPlanningZone(EPZ),plusaShadowRegioncoveringtheregionbetweenth eEPZboundaryandapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant. DesignedandsponsoredatelephonesurveyofresidentswithintheEPZtogatherfocuseddataneededforthisETEstudythatwerenotcontainedwithinthecensusdatabase.Thesurveyinstrumentwasreviewedandmodifiedbythelicenseeandoffsiteresponseorganization(ORO)personnelpriortothesurvey. AdataneedsmatrixwasprovidedtotheOROsatthekickoffmeeting.TheOROsprovidedallavailabledatapertainingtoemployment,transients,andsp ecialfacilitiesintheEPZ.

HarrisNuclearPlantES 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 Thetrafficdemandandtrip generationratesofevacuatingvehicleswereestimatedfromthegathereddata.Thetripgenerationratesreflectedtheestimatedmobilizationtime(i.e.,thetimerequiredbyevacueestopreparefortheevacuationtrip)computedusingtheresultsofthetelephonesurveyofEPZresidents. Followingfederalguidelines,theEPZissubdividedinto14Sub Zones.TheseSubZonesarethengroupedwithincircularareasor"keyhole"configurations(circlesplusradialsectors)thatdefineatotalof36EvacuationRegions. Thetime varyingexternalcircumstancesarerepresentedasEvacuationScenarios,eachdescribedintermsofthefollowingfactors:(1)Season(Summer,Winter);(2)DayofWeek(Midweek,Weekend);(3)TimeofDay(Midday,Evening);and(4)Weather(Good,Rain,Ice).OnespecialeventscenarioforFourthofJulyonJordanLakewasconsidered.OneroadwayimpactscenariowasconsideredwhereinasinglelanewasclosedonUS 1northbound(fromNewHillHollemanRdtoI 40)andUS 64eastbound(fromNC 751toI 40)fo rthedurationoftheevacuation. Stagedevacuationwasconsideredforthoseregionswhereinthe2mileradiusandsectorsdownwindto5milesareevacuated. AsperNUREG/CR 7002,thePlanningBasisforthecalculationofETEis: Arapidlyes calatingaccidentattheHNPthatquicklyassumesthestatusofarapidlyescalatingeventattheplantwhereinevacuationisorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplementedsuchthattheAdvisorytoEvacuateisvirtuallycoincidentwiththesirenalert,an dnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplemented. Whileanunlikelyaccidentscenario,thisplanningbasiswillyieldETE,measuredastheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthestatedpercentageofthepopulationexitstheimpactedRegion,thatrepresent"upperbound"estimates.ThisconservativePlanningBasisisapplicableforallinitiatingevents. Iftheemergencyoccurswhileschoolsareinsession,theETEstudyassumesthatthechildrenwillbeevacuatedbybusdirectlytoreceptioncentersorhostschoolslocatedoutsidetheEPZ.Parents,relatives,andneighborsareadvisedtono tpickuptheirchildrenatschoolpriortothearrivalofthebusesdispatchedforthatpurpose.TheETEforschoolchildrenarecalculatedseparately. Evacueeswhodonothaveaccesstoaprivatevehiclewilleitherride sharewithrelatives,friendsorneighbors,orbeevacuatedbybusesprovidedasspecifiedinthecountyevac uationplans.Thoseinspecialfacilitieswilllikewisebeevacuatedwithpublictransit,asneeded:bus,minivan,passengercar,wheelchairtransportorambulance,asrequired.SeparateETEarecalculatedforthetransit dependentevacuees,forhomeboundspecialneedspopulation,andforthoseevacuatedfr omspecialfacilities.

HarrisNuclearPlantES 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 Attended"final"meetingwithDukeEnergypersonnelandemergencymanagementpersonnelrepresentingstateandcountygovernmentstopresentresultsfromthestudy.ComputationofETEAtotalof504ETEwerecomputedfortheevacuationofthegeneralpublic.EachETEquantifiestheaggregateevacuationtimeestimatedforthepopulationwithinoneofthe36EvacuationRegionstoevacuatefromthatRegion,underthecircumstancesdefinedforoneofthe14EvacuationScenarios(36x14=504).Sepa rateETEarecalculatedfortransit dependentevacuees,includingschoolchildrenforapplicablescenarios.ExceptforRegionR03,whichistheevacuationoftheentireEPZ,onlyaportionofthepeoplewithintheEPZwouldbeadvisedtoevacuate.Thatis,theAdvisorytoEvacuateappliesonlytothosepeopleoccupyingthespecifiedimpactedregion.Itisassumedthat100percentofthepeoplewithintheimpactedregionwillevacuateinresponsetothisAdvisory.ThepeopleoccupyingtheremainderoftheEPZoutsidetheimpactedregionmaybeadvisedtotakeshelter.ThecomputationofETEassumesthat20%ofthepopulationwithintheEPZbutoutsidetheimpactedregion,willel ectto"voluntarily"evacuate.Inaddition,20%ofthepopulationintheShadowRegionwillalsoelecttoevacuate.Thesevoluntaryevacueescouldimpedethosewhoareevacuatingfromwithintheimpactedregion.TheimpedancethatcouldbecausedbyvoluntaryevacueesisconsideredinthecomputationofETEfo rtheimpactedregion.Stagedevacuationisconsideredwhereinthosepeoplewithinthe2 mileregionevacuateimmediately,whilethosebeyond2miles,butwithintheEPZ,shelter in place.Once90%ofthe2 mileregionisevacuated,thosepeoplebeyond2milesbegintoevacuate.Asperfederalguidance,20%ofpeoplebeyond2mileswillev acuateeventhoughtheyareadvisedtoshelter in place.Thecomputationalprocedureisoutlinedasfollows: Alink noderepresentationofthehighwaynetworkiscoded.Eachlinkrepresentsaunidirectionallengthofhighway;ea chnodeusuallyrepresentsanintersectionormergepoint.Thecapacityofeachlinkisestimatedbasedonthefieldsurveyobservationsandonestablishedtrafficengineeringprocedures. Theevacuationtripsaregeneratedatlocationscalled"zonalcentroids"locatedwithintheEPZandShadowRegion.Thetripgenerationratesvaryovertimereflectingthemobilizationprocess,andfromonelocation(centroid)toanotherdependingonpopulationdensityandonwhetheracentroidiswithin,oroutside,theimpactedarea. Theevacuationmodelcomputestheroutingpatternsforevacuatingvehiclesthatarecompliantwithfederalguidelines(outboundrelativetothelocationoftheplant),th ensimulatethetrafficflowmovementsoverspaceandtime.Thissimulationprocessestimatestheratethattrafficflowexitstheimpactedregion.TheETEstatisticsprovidetheelapsedtimesfor90percentand100percent,respectively,ofthepopulationwithintheimpactedregion,toevacuatefromwithintheimpactedregion.These HarrisNuclearPlantES 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1statisticsarepresentedintabularandgraphicalformats.The90 thpercentileETEhavebeenidentifiedasthevaluesthatshouldbeconsideredwhenmakingprotectiveactiondecisionsbecausethe100 thpercentileETEareprolongedbythoserelativelyfewpeoplewhotakelongertomobilize.Thisisreferredtoasthe"evacuationtail"inSection4.0ofNUREG/CR 7002.TrafficManagementThisstudyreferencesthecomprehensiveexistingtrafficmanagementplansprovidedbyChatham,Harnett,LeeandWakeCounties.SeveraladditionaltrafficcontrolpointsaresuggestedinAppendixGtofacilitatetrafficflowtothenewlyconstructedNC 540Tollhighway.Theseadditionaltrafficcontrolmeasureshavebeenreviewedandapprovedbytheemergencymanagementagencies.SelectedResultsAcompilationofselectedinformationispresentedonthefollowingpagesintheformoffiguresandtablesextractedfromthebodyofthereport;thesearedescribedbelow. Figure6displaysamapoftheHNPEPZshowingthelayoutofthe14Sub Zonesthatcomprise,inaggregate,theEPZ. Table3pr esentstheestimatesofpermanentresidentpopulationineachSub Zonebasedonthe2010Censusdata. Table6 1defineseachofthe36EvacuationRegionsintermsoftheirrespectivegroupsofSubZones. Table6 2liststheEvacuationScenarios. Tables7 1and7 2arecompilationsofETEforthegeneralpopulation.Thesedataarethetimesneededtocleartheindicatedregionsof90and100percentofthepopul ationoccupyingtheseregions,respectively.ThesecomputedETEincludeconsiderationofmobilizationtimeandofestimatedvoluntaryevacuationsfromotherre gionswithintheEPZandfromtheShadowRegion. Tables7 3and7 4presentETEforthe2 mileregionforun stagedandstagedevacuationsforthe90 thand100 thpercentiles,respectively. Table8 7presentsETEfortheschoolchildreningoodweather. Table8 11presentsETEforthetransit dependentpopulationingoodweather. FigureH 8presentsanexampleofanEvacuationRegion(RegionR08)tobeevacuatedunderthecircumstancesdefinedinTable6 1.Mapsofal lregionsareprovidedinAppendixH.Conclusions GeneralpopulationETEwerecomputedfor504uniquecases.Table7 1andTable7 2documenttheseETEforthe90 thand100 thpercentiles.TheseETErangefrom1:00(hr:min)to3:40atthe90 thpercentile. InspectionofTable7 1andTable7 2indicatesthattheETEforthe100 thpercentilearesignificantlylongerthanthoseforthe90 thpercentile.ThisistheresultofthecongestionwithintheEPZ.Whenthesystembecomescongested,trafficexitstheEPZatrates HarrisNuclearPlantES 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1somewhatbelowcapacityuntilsomeevacuationrouteshavecleared.Asmoreroutesclear,theaggregaterateofegressslowssincemanyvehicleshavealreadylefttheEPZ.Towardstheendoftheprocess,relativelyfewevacuationroutesservicetheremainingdemand.SeeFigures7 9through7 22. InspectionofTable7 3andTable7 4indicatesthatastagedevacuat ionprovidesnobenefitstoevacueesfromwithinthe2mileregionandunnecessarilydelaystheevacuationofthosebeyond2miles(compareRegionsR02andR04throughR12withRegionsR27throughR36,respectively,inTable7 1).SeeSection7.6fo radditionaldiscussion. ComparisonofScenarios5(summer,midweek/weekend,evening)and13(summer,weekend,evening)inTable7 2indicatesthatthespecialeventdoesnotmateriallyaffecttheETE.SeeSection7.5foradditionaldiscussion. ComparisonofScenarios1and14inTable7 1indicatesthattheroadwayclosure-onelanenorthboundonUS 1andonelaneeastboundonUS 64-doesnothaveamaterialimpacton90 thpercentileETE.Bothroadwaysareoperatingbelowcapacitythroughoutthedurationoftheevacuation,withtheexceptionofsomesignalizedintersectionsalongUS 64experiencingLOSF.Availablecapacityonothermajorevacuationroutes,mostnotablyNC 540TollandNC 55northboundalleviatesanynotablenegativeimpactcausedbyclosingonelan eonbothUS 1andUS 64.SeeSection7.5foradditionaldiscussion. ThepopulationcentersofApex,HollySpringsandFuquay Varinaarethemostcongestedareasthroughouttheevacuation.ThelastlocationintheEPZtoexhibittrafficcongestionisFuquay Varina;thisistheresultoftwomajorevacuationroutes,NC 55andUS 401comingtogetherinthecitycent erofFuquay VarinaasevacueesmaketheirwayoutoftheEPZ.AllcongestionwithintheEPZclearsby3hoursand30minutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.SeeSection7.3andFigures7 3through7 8. Separat eETEwerecomputedforschoolsandchildcarecenters,medicalfacilities,transit dependentpersonsandhomeboundspecialneedspersons.Theaveragesingle waveETEforhomeboundspecialneedspersonsarecomparabletothegenerationpopulationETEatthe90 thpercentile;averagesingle waveETEformedicalfacilitiesandschoolsandchildcarecentersarelessthanthe90 thpercentileforthegeneralpopulation;and,averagesingle waveETEfortransitdependentpersonsaregreaterthanthe90 thpercentileforthegeneralpopulation.SeeSection8. Table8 5indicatesthatthereareenoughbus,wheelchairtransport,passengercarandambulanceresourcesavailabletoevacuateeveryoneinasinglewave;however,therearenotenoughminivanstoevacuatemedicalfacilitiesinasinglewave.Therearesurplusbusesandpassengercarsavailabletosupplementtheshortageinminivanssuchthatallpeoplecanevac uateinasinglewave.SeeSections8.4and8.5. ThegeneralpopulationETEatthe90 thpercentileisinsensitivetoreductionsinthebasetripgenerationtimeof41/2hoursduetothetrafficcongestionwithintheEPZ.SeeTableM 1. ThegeneralpopulationETEisrelativelyinsensitivetothevoluntaryevacuationofvehiclesintheShadowRegion(triplingtheshadowevacuationpercentageonly HarrisNuclearPlantES 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1increases90 thpercentileETEby5minutes).100%shadowevacuationincreasestheETEby20minutesforthe90 thpercentile.SeeTableM 2. Anincreaseinpermanentresidentpopulation(EPZplusShadowRegion)of14%ormoreresultsinETEchangeswhichmeetthecriterionforupdatingETEbetweendecennialCensuses.SeeSectionM.3. Asevereicestormresultingina50%reductioninlinkcapacityandfreeflowspeedincreasesETEforthe2 Mileand5 MileRegionsbyatmost5minutes;however,increasesthe90 thpercentilefortheentireEPZbyupto1hourand25minutesandupto2hoursand35minutesatthe100 thpercentileETE.SeeSectionM 4 Projectingthestudyarea(EPZplusShadowRegion)permanentresidentpopulationtothepeakconstructionyearof2022forthenewplantsiteincreasesthe90 thpercentileETEby5minutesforthe2 mileregionand5 mileregionand25minutesforthefullEPZ.Addingthe3,271constructionworkervehiclesfurtherincreasesthe90 thpercentileETEby1hourand40minutesforthe2 mileregion,55minutesforthe5 mileregionand5minutesforthefullEPZ.SeeSectionM 5.

HarrisNuclearPlantES 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure6 1.HNPEPZSubZones HarrisNuclearPlantES 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulationSub Zone2000Population2007Population(Estimated) 12010PopulationA143180134B1,2341,3971,257C3314162,086D258319346E26,08232,87945,269F10,76413,53422,342G12,86415,49721,463H2,9063,4443,868I804947963J1,1451,3481,126K619763688L708874815M1,4401,7781,753N584721851TOTAL59,88274,097102,961EPZPopulationGrowth(2000 2010):71.9%EPZPopulationGrowth(2007 2010):39.0%1Rev.42007COLAETE2000Censusextrapolatedto2007basedonaverageannualcountygrowthratesfrom20052007 HarrisNuclearPlantES 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRegionsRegionDescriptionSitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR012 MileRadius2 MileRadiusxR025 MileRadius5 MileRadiusxxxxxxR03FullEPZ10 MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxEvacuate2 MileRadiusandDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR04NNW,N327°010°xxxR05NNE,NE011°056°xxR06ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR07SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR08SSW192°214°xxR09SW,WSW215°259°xxxR10260°281°xxR11W,WNW282°304°xxxR12NW305°326°xxEvacuate5 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundaryRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR13N348°034°xxxxxxxxR14NNExxxxxxxxxR15NExxxxxxxxR16ENE035°079°xxxxxxxxxR17E,ESE080°101°xxxxxxxxR18102°124°xxxxxxxR19SE125°146°xxxxxxxxR20SSE147°191°xxxxxxxxxR21S,SSWxxxxxxxxR22192°236°xxxxxxxR23SW237°259°xxxxxxxxR24WSW,WxxxxxxxxxR25WNW260°326°xxxxxxxxxR26NW,NNW327°347°xxxxxxxxStagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR275 MileRadiusxxxxxxR28NNW,N327°010°xxxR29NNE,NE011°056°xxR30ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR31SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR32SSW192°214°xxR33SW,WSW215°259°xxxR34260°281°xxR35W,WNW282°304°xxxR36NW305°326°xxShelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateSub Zone(s)Shelter in PlaceSub Zone(s)Evacuate HarrisNuclearPlantES 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 2.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 2DayofWeekTimeofDayWeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterMidweekMiddayIceNone9WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone10WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone11WinterWeekendMiddayIceNone12WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone13SummerWeekendEveningGoodFourthofJulyonJordanLake14SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosuresonUS 1andUS 642Wintermeansthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summermeansthatschoolisnotinsession.

HarrisNuclearPlantES 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR011:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R021:451:451:301:301:451:501:501:501:351:351:351:551:401:45R032:503:002:402:502:402:503:003:102:402:503:052:402:402:552 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR041:351:351:301:301:451:401:401:401:351:351:351:551:451:35R051:301:301:301:301:451:301:351:351:351:351:351:501:451:30R061:201:201:151:151:301:201:201:201:151:151:151:401:251:20R071:301:301:201:201:351:301:301:301:201:201:201:401:301:30R081:451:451:351:351:451:451:451:451:351:351:351:501:451:45R092:002:001:451:451:552:052:052:051:501:501:502:001:552:00R101:501:501:401:401:501:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:501:50R111:551:551:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:55R121:201:201:151:151:251:201:201:201:151:151:151:301:251:205 MileRegionandKeyholetoEPZBoundaryR132:002:001:401:401:552:002:002:001:451:451:452:001:452:00R142:002:001:401:401:552:052:052:051:451:451:452:001:502:00R151:551:551:351:351:501:551:551:551:401:401:402:001:451:55R161:551:551:351:351:502:002:002:001:451:451:452:001:401:55R171:501:501:351:351:502:002:002:001:401:401:402:001:401:50R181:501:501:301:301:451:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:401:50R191:501:501:351:351:451:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:401:50R202:252:302:202:252:202:302:352:452:202:252:302:202:202:30R212:252:352:202:252:202:302:352:402:252:252:302:202:202:30R222:252:352:202:252:202:302:352:402:252:252:302:202:202:30R232:352:402:302:352:302:352:402:502:302:352:402:302:302:40 HarrisNuclearPlantES 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR242:402:552:352:452:352:452:553:052:352:452:552:352:352:50R252:553:152:503:052:453:003:153:302:503:003:202:452:503:00R263:003:202:553:152:503:053:203:402:553:103:302:502:553:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR271:451:451:301:301:451:501:501:501:351:351:351:551:401:45R281:351:351:301:301:451:401:401:401:351:351:351:551:451:35R291:301:301:301:301:451:351:351:351:351:351:351:501:451:30R301:201:201:201:201:301:251:251:251:201:201:201:401:251:20R311:301:301:201:201:351:301:301:301:201:201:201:401:301:30R321:451:451:351:351:451:451:451:451:351:351:351:501:451:45R332:002:001:451:451:552:052:052:051:501:501:502:001:552:00R341:501:501:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:50R351:551:551:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:55R361:201:201:151:151:251:201:201:201:201:201:201:301:251:20 HarrisNuclearPlantES 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend MidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend Weekend MidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R024:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R034:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:402 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR044:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R054:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R064:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R074:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R084:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R094:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R104:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R114:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R124:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:355 MileRegionandKeyholetoEPZBoundaryR134:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R144:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R154:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R164:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R174:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R184:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R194:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R204:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R214:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R224:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R234:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40 HarrisNuclearPlantES 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend MidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend Weekend MidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR244:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R254:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R264:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR274:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R284:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R294:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R304:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R314:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R324:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R334:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R344:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R364:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35

HarrisNuclearPlantES 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR011:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R021:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeto5 MilesR041:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R051:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R061:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R071:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R081:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R091:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R101:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R111:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R121:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR271:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R281:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R291:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R301:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R311:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R321:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R331:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R341:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R351:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R361:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05 HarrisNuclearPlantES 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR014:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R024:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeto5 MilesR044:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R054:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R064:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R074:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R084:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R094:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R104:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R114:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R124:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR274:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R284:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R294:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R314:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R324:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R334:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R344:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R354:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R364:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30 HarrisNuclearPlantES 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 7.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool90154.745.071:558.4122:10HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 190150.00.001:453.961:55LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 190150.00.001:458.8122:00WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool90153.041.251:5017.3242:15ApexElementarySchool90153.345.051:5014.7202:10ApexMiddleSchool90152.945.041:5017.1232:15ApexSeniorHighSchool90150.84.2122:0015.9222:25LufkinRoadMiddleSchool90151.245.021:5017.1232:15OliveChapelElementarySchool90153.38.0252:1017.4242:35St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool90154.940.581:5510.6152:10ThalesAcademy90152.936.351:5014.7202:10HollyGroveElementarySchool90158.330.7172:0513.5192:25HollyGroveMiddleSchool90158.230.7172:0524.9342:40HollyRidgeElementarySchool90153.211.4172:0524.7332:40HollyRidgeMiddleSchool90153.211.4172:0524.7332:40HollySpringsElementarySchool90153.77.7302:1524.7332:50HollySpringsHighSchool90158.730.7172:0513.5192:25NewSchool,Inc.Montessori90152.721.781:5513.4182:15Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool90150.93.9142:0028.4382:40Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool90153.335.361:5527.0372:35LincolnHeightsElementarySchool90151.73.6292:1528.4382:55SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool90153.13.2582:4512.8183:05 HarrisNuclearPlantES 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids90151.545.031:5016.1222:15ApexBaptistChurchPreschool90152.718.491:5514.7202:15ApexChildCarewithDebbie90153.036.351:5014.7202:10ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool90152.718.491:5514.7202:15EarthAngel'sDayCareHome90151.839.131:5016.1222:15EdithFranklinDayCareHome90152.718.491:5514.7202:15GoddardSchoolApex90152.718.491:5514.7202:15GraceChurchPreschool90151.545.031:5016.1222:15GrowingYearsLearningCenter90152.718.491:5514.7202:15HopeChapelPreschool90151.411.381:5515.9222:20Judy'sHomeCare90150.84.2122:0015.9222:25Karin' 4 Kidz90154.426.2112:0014.7202:20Lori'sFamilyDayCare90151.042.821:5014.7202:10MoravicFamilyDayCare90151.042.821:5014.7202:10PlayCare90153.219.2112:0015.9222:25Vickie'sDayCareHome90152.718.491:5514.7202:15WoodhavenBaptistPre school90151.545.031:5016.1222:15HollySpringsLearningCenter90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare90158.330.7172:0513.5192:25KiddieAcademyofHollySprings90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25LittleDreamersPreschool90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20Sisters'ChildCareServices90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25StellaLowerySmallDayCare90151.521.651:5013.4182:10SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool90152.721.781:5513.4182:15 HarrisNuclearPlantES 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25AMother'sLove90152.94.0442:3012.8182:50ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina90151.13.1222:1013.0182:30Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare90150.83.9132:0013.0182:20Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith90150.83.9132:0013.0182:20GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown90151.13.1222:1013.0182:30LittleAngelsPreparatory90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00LittleMiracles90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00ReadyOrNotHereIGrow90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25ShiningStarChildCareHome90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00SouthWakePreschool&Academy90153.13.2582:4512.8183:05SpinningWheelsLearningCenter90151.439.031:5011.2152:05VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25MaximumforEPZ:2:45Maximum:3:05AverageforEPZ:2:05Average:2:25Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow HarrisNuclearPlantES 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 8.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool100204.741.072:108.4132:25HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 1100200.00.002:003.962:10LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 1100200.00.002:008.8132:15WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool100203.035.062:1017.3262:40ApexElementarySchool100203.341.052:0514.7222:30ApexMiddleSchool100202.941.052:0517.1262:35ApexSeniorHighSchool100200.85.1102:1015.9242:35LufkinRoadMiddleSchool100201.241.022:0517.1262:35OliveChapelElementarySchool100203.38.1252:2517.4262:55St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool100204.936.492:1010.6162:30ThalesAcademy100202.936.752:0514.7222:30HollyGroveElementarySchool100208.331.1162:2013.5202:40HollyGroveMiddleSchool100208.231.1162:2024.9373:00HollyRidgeElementarySchool100203.212.1162:2024.7373:00HollyRidgeMiddleSchool100203.212.1162:2024.7373:00HollySpringsElementarySchool100203.77.6302:3024.7373:10HollySpringsHighSchool100208.731.1172:2013.5202:40NewSchool,Inc.Montessori100202.727.072:1013.4202:30Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool100200.92.9182:2028.4423:05Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool100203.334.962:1027.0402:50LincolnHeightsElementarySchool100201.72.9362:4028.4423:25SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool100203.13.0613:0512.8193:25 HarrisNuclearPlantES 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids100201.541.032:0516.1242:30ApexBaptistChurchPreschool100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40ApexChildCarewithDebbie100203.036.752:0514.7222:30ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40EarthAngel'sDayCareHome100201.835.442:0516.1242:30EdithFranklinDayCareHome100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40GoddardSchoolApex100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40GraceChurchPreschool100201.541.032:0516.1242:30GrowingYearsLearningCenter100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40HopeChapelPreschool100201.44.9182:2015.9242:45Judy'sHomeCare100200.85.1102:1015.9242:35Karin' 4 Kidz100204.440.472:1014.7222:35Lori'sFamilyDayCare100201.036.522:0514.7222:30MoravicFamilyDayCare100201.036.522:0514.7222:30PlayCare100203.29.9202:2015.9242:45Vickie'sDayCareHome100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40WoodhavenBaptistPre school100201.541.032:0516.1242:30HollySpringsLearningCenter100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation100204.530.792:1013.5202:30HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare100208.331.1162:2013.5202:40KiddieAcademyofHollySprings100204.530.792:1013.5202:30Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45LittleDreamersPreschool100204.530.792:1013.5202:30Sisters'ChildCareServices100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45StellaLowerySmallDayCare100201.522.542:0513.4202:25SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool100202.727.072:1013.4202:30 HarrisNuclearPlantES 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45AMother'sLove100202.94.4402:4012.8193:00ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina100201.12.4302:3013.0202:50Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare100200.82.9182:2013.0202:40Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith100200.82.9182:2013.0202:40GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown100201.12.4302:3013.0202:50LittleAngelsPreparatory100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20LittleMiracles100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20ReadyOrNotHereIGrow100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45ShiningStarChildCareHome100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20SouthWakePreschool&Academy100203.13.0613:0512.8193:25SpinningWheelsLearningCenter100201.435.832:0511.2172:25VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45MaximumforEPZ:3:05Maximum:3:25AverageforEPZ:2:20Average:2:45Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow

HarrisNuclearPlantES 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 9.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesIceSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool110254.736.082:258.4142:40HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 1110250.00.002:153.972:25LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 1110250.00.002:158.8152:30WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool110253.031.762:2517.3292:55ApexElementarySchool110253.336.062:2514.7252:50ApexMiddleSchool110252.936.052:2017.1292:50ApexSeniorHighSchool110250.85.492:2515.9272:55LufkinRoadMiddleSchool110251.236.022:2017.1292:50OliveChapelElementarySchool110253.38.1252:4017.4293:10St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool110254.935.892:2510.6182:45ThalesAcademy110252.932.662:2514.7252:50HollyGroveElementarySchool110258.325.7202:3513.5233:00HollyGroveMiddleSchool110258.225.7202:3524.9423:20HollyRidgeElementarySchool110253.210.7182:3524.7423:20HollyRidgeMiddleSchool110253.210.7182:3524.7423:20HollySpringsElementarySchool110253.77.1322:5024.7423:35HollySpringsHighSchool110258.727.8192:3513.5233:00NewSchool,Inc.Montessori110252.719.992:2513.4232:50Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool110250.92.9182:3528.4483:25Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool110253.328.572:2527.0463:15LincolnHeightsElementarySchool110251.72.2473:0528.4483:55SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool110253.13.1593:1512.8223:40 HarrisNuclearPlantES 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids110251.536.032:2016.1272:50ApexBaptistChurchPreschool110252.723.182:2514.7252:50ApexChildCarewithDebbie110253.032.562:2514.7252:50ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool110252.723.182:2514.7252:50EarthAngel'sDayCareHome110251.831.042:2016.1272:50EdithFranklinDayCareHome110252.723.182:2514.7252:50GoddardSchoolApex110252.723.182:2514.7252:50GraceChurchPreschool110251.536.032:2016.1272:50GrowingYearsLearningCenter110252.723.182:2514.7252:50HopeChapelPreschool110251.44.1212:4015.9273:10Judy'sHomeCare110250.85.492:2515.9272:55Karin' 4 Kidz110254.436.082:2514.7252:50Lori'sFamilyDayCare110251.033.522:2014.7252:45MoravicFamilyDayCare110251.033.522:2014.7252:45PlayCare110253.28.0252:4015.9273:10Vickie'sDayCareHome110252.723.182:2514.7252:50WoodhavenBaptistPre school110251.536.032:2016.1272:50HollySpringsLearningCenter110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare110258.325.7202:3513.5233:00KiddieAcademyofHollySprings110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00LittleDreamersPreschool110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50Sisters'ChildCareServices110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00StellaLowerySmallDayCare110251.518.452:2013.4232:45SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool110252.719.992:2513.4232:50 HarrisNuclearPlantES 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00AMother'sLove110252.94.0443:0012.8223:25ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina110251.12.6272:4513.0223:10Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare110250.82.9182:3513.0223:00Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith110250.82.9182:3513.0223:00GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown110251.12.6272:4513.0223:10LittleAngelsPreparatory110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45LittleMiracles110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45ReadyOrNotHereIGrow110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05ShiningStarChildCareHome110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45SouthWakePreschool&Academy110253.13.1593:1512.8223:40SpinningWheelsLearningCenter110251.431.932:2011.2192:40VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05MaximumforEPZ:3:20Maximum:3:55AverageforEPZ:2:35Average:3:05Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow HarrisNuclearPlantES 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table811.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 312020.245.027303:0010.01351067305:054 613520.245.027303:1510.01351067305:206 915020.245.027303:3010.01351067305:35411 312014.710.584303:5512.81751056305:554 613014.711.378304:0012.81751056306:006 914014.712.570304:0012.81751056306:009 1215014.713.963304:0512.81751056306:05421 312013.045.017302:506.5951044304:304 613013.045.017303:006.5951044304:406 914013.045.017303:106.5951044304:509 1115013.045.017303:206.5951044305:00431 512017.219.254303:2514.72051066305:406 1012517.221.847303:2514.72051066305:4011 1513017.222.546303:3014.72051066305:4516 2013517.223.544303:3014.72051066305:4521 2514017.226.539303:3014.72051066305:4526 2914517.227.737303:3514.72051066305:5030 3315017.230.534303:3514.72051066305:50441 412020.519.862303:3513.41851073305:555 712520.520.560303:3513.41851073305:558 1013020.521.358303:4013.41851073306:0011 1313520.524.151303:4013.41851073306:0014 1614020.525.349303:4013.41851073306:0017 1914520.526.746303:4513.41851073306:0520 2215020.527.844303:4513.41851073306:05 HarrisNuclearPlantES 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41208.35.787304:0013.71851043305:505 71308.36.182304:0513.71851043305:558 101358.36.379304:0513.71851043305:5511 131408.36.576304:1013.71851043306:0014 161458.36.873304:1013.71851043306:0017 191508.37.170304:1013.71851043306:0046112014.345.019302:5024.23251070305:20215014.345.019303:2024.23251070305:5047112017.335.929303:0018.82551071305:25213517.339.027303:1518.82551071305:40315017.338.927303:3018.82551071305:554811206.045.08302:4010.51451030304:104911209.945.013302:457.41051036304:2021509.945.013303:157.41051036304:50MaximumETE:4:10MaximumETE:6:05AverageETE:3:35AverageETE:5:40 HarrisNuclearPlantES 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table812.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 313020.241.030403:2010.01551074405:454 614520.241.030403:3510.01551074406:006 916020.241.030403:5010.01551074406:15411 313014.79.593404:2512.81951062406:454 614014.710.287404:3012.81951062406:506 915014.711.080404:3512.81951062406:559 1216014.712.173404:3512.81951062406:55421 313013.041.019403:106.5951047405:054 614013.041.019403:206.5951047405:156 915013.041.019403:306.5951047405:259 1116013.041.019403:406.5951047405:35431 513017.219.553403:4514.72151071406:156 1013517.220.251403:5014.72151071406:2011 1514017.221.049403:5014.72151071406:2016 2014517.223.644403:5014.72151071406:2021 2515017.224.742403:5514.72151071406:2526 2915517.227.138403:5514.72151071406:2530 3316017.228.237404:0014.72151071406:30441 413020.518.666404:0013.42051080406:355 713520.519.364404:0013.42051080406:358 1014020.521.757404:0013.42051080406:3511 1314520.522.854404:0013.42051080406:3514 1615020.523.952404:0513.42051080406:4017 1915520.524.949404:0513.42051080406:4020 2216020.527.445404:0513.42051080406:40 HarrisNuclearPlantES 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41308.34.8105404:3513.72051047406:405 71408.35.099404:4013.72051047406:458 101458.35.296404:4513.72051047406:5011 131508.35.493404:4513.72051047406:5014 161558.35.590404:5013.72051047406:5517 191608.35.787404:5013.72051047406:5546113014.341.021403:1524.23551077406:05216014.341.021403:4524.23551077406:3547113017.330.134403:2518.82751078406:05214517.335.030403:3518.82751078406:15316017.335.329403:5018.82751078406:304811306.041.09403:0010.51551033404:454911309.940.815403:057.41151040404:5521609.941.014403:357.41151040405:25MaximumETE:4:50MaximumETE:6:55AverageETE:4:00AverageETE:6:20

HarrisNuclearPlantES 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table813.TransitDependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesIceRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 314020.236.034503:4510.01751084506:354 615520.236.034504:0010.01751084506:506 917020.236.034504:1510.01751084507:05411 314014.78.6102504:5512.82151070507:354 615014.79.395504:5512.82151070507:356 916014.711.180504:5012.82151070507:309 1217014.712.173504:5512.82151070507:35421 314013.036.022503:356.51151054505:454 615013.036.022503:456.51151054505:556 916013.036.022503:556.51151054506:059 1117013.036.022504:056.51151054506:15431 514017.217.659504:1014.72451081507:006 1014517.218.257504:1514.72451081507:0511 1515017.219.154504:1514.72451081507:0516 2015517.221.249504:1514.72451081507:0521 2516017.222.047504:2014.72451081507:1026 2916517.223.943504:2014.72451081507:1030 3317017.224.642504:2514.72451081507:15441 414020.516.475504:3013.42251090507:305 714520.516.973504:3013.42251090507:308 1015020.518.866504:3013.42251090507:3011 1315520.519.463504:3013.42251090507:3014 1616020.520.261504:3513.42251090507:3517 1916520.520.959504:3513.42251090507:3520 2217020.522.954504:3513.42251090507:35 HarrisNuclearPlantES 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41408.33.9128505:2013.72351054507:455 71508.34.1122505:2513.72351054507:508 101558.34.2120505:2513.72351054507:5011 131608.34.3117505:3013.72351054507:5514 161658.34.4114505:3013.72351054507:5517 191708.35.689505:1013.72351054507:3546114014.336.024503:3524.24051088506:50217014.336.024504:0524.24051088507:2047114017.324.443503:5518.83151089507:00215517.331.034504:0018.83151089507:05317017.332.032504:1518.83151089507:204811406.034.211503:2510.51751037505:254911409.935.917503:307.41251045505:3521709.936.017504:007.41251045506:05MaximumETE:5:30MaximumETE:7:55AverageETE:4:25AverageETE:7:05 HarrisNuclearPlantES 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 8.RegionR08 HarrisNuclearPlant1 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11 INTRODUCTIONThisreportdescribestheanalysesundertakenandtheresultsobtainedbyastudytodevelopEvacuationTimeEstimates(ETE)fortheHarrisNuclearPlant(HNP),locatedinWakeCounty,NC.ETEprovidesDukeEnergyandstateandlocalgovernmentswithsite specificinformationneededforProtectiveActiondecision making.Intheperformanceofthiseffort,guidanceisprovidedbydocumentspublishedbyFederalGovernmentalagencies.Mostimportantoftheseare:* CriteriaforDevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimateStudies,NUREG/CR 7002,November2011.* CriteriaforPreparationandEvaluationofRadiologicalEmergencyResponsePlansandPreparednessinSupportofNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG0654/FEMAREP1,Rev.1,November1980.* AnalysisofTechniquesforEstimatingEvacuationTimesforEmergencyPlanningZones,NUREG/CR1745,November1980.* DevelopmentofEvacuationTimeEstimatesforNuclearPowerPlants,NUREG/CR 6863,January2005.Theworkeffortreportedhereinwassupportedandguidedbylocalstakeholderswhocontributedsuggestions,critiques,andthelocalknowledgebaserequired.Table1 1presentsasummaryofstakeholdersandinteractions.Table1 1.StakeholderInteractionStakeholderNatureofStakeholderInteractionDukeEnergyMeetingstodefinedatarequirementsandsetupcontactswithlocalgovernmentagencies.Reviewedandapprovedallprojectassumptions.Attendedfinalmeeting.ChathamCountyEmergencyManagementMettodiscussprojectmethodology,keyprojectassumptionsandtodefinedataneeds.Obtaincountyemergencyplans,specialfacilitydataandexistingtrafficmanagementplansthroughe mailandphonecalls.Reviewedandapprovedallprojectassumptions.HarnettCountyEmergencyManagementMettodiscussprojectmethodology,keyprojectassumptionsandtodefinedataneeds.Obtaincountyemergencyplans,specialfacilitydataandexistingtrafficmanagementplansthroughe mailandphonecalls.Reviewedandapprovedallprojectassumption.Attendedfinalmeeting.LeeCountyOfficeofEmergencyServices HarrisNuclearPlant1 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1StakeholderNatureofStakeholderInteractionWakeCountyEmergencyManagementMettodiscussprojectmethodology,keyprojectassumptionsandtodefinedataneeds.Obtaincountyemergencyplan,GISdata,specialfacilitydataandexistingtrafficmanagementplansthroughe mailandphonecalls.Reviewedandapprovedallprojectassumptions.Attendedfinalmeeting.NorthCarolinaEmergencyManagementMettodiscussprojectmethodology,keyprojectassumptionsandtodefinedataneeds.Obtainstateemergencyplans.Reviewedandapprovedallprojectassumptions.Attendedfinalmeeting.OfficesofJordanLakeStateRecreationArea(SRA)ObtaintransientdataforJordanLakeNorthCarolinaDepartmentofTransportationandNorthCarolinaTurnpikeAuthorityObtainroadwayandinterchangeinformationforNC 540Toll.1.1 OverviewoftheETEProcessThefollowingoutlinepresentsabriefdescriptionoftheworkeffortinchronologicalsequence:1. InformationGathering:a. DefinedthescopeofworkindiscussionswithrepresentativesfromDukeEnergy.b. AttendedmeetingswithemergencyplannersfromChathamCountyEmergencyManagement,HartnettCountyEmergencyManagement,LeeCountyOfficeofEmergencyServices,WakeCountyEmergencyManagementandNorthCarolinaEmergencyManagementtoidentifyissuestobeaddressedandresourcesavailable.c. ConductedadetailedfieldsurveyofthehighwaysystemandofareatrafficconditionswithintheEmergencyPlanningZone(EPZ)1andShadowRegion.d. Obtaineddemographicdatafromthe2010census.e. ConductedarandomsampletelephonesurveyofEPZresidents.f. Conductedadatacollectionefforttoidentifyanddescribeschoolsandchildcarecenters,medicalfacilities,transientattractions,majoremployers,transportationresourcesavailable,andotherimportantinformation.2. Estimateddistributionsoftripgenerationtimesrepresentingthetimerequiredbyvariouspopulationgroups(permanentresidents,employees,andtransients)toprepare(mobilize)fortheevacuationtrip.Theseestimatesareprimarilybasedupontherandomsampletelephonesurvey.1AllreferencestoEmergencyPlanningZoneorEPZrefertotheplumeexposurepathwayEPZ.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13. DefinedEvacuationScenarios.Thesescenariosreflectthevariationindemand,intripgenerationdistributionandinhighwaycapacities,associatedwithdifferentseasons,dayofweek,timeofdayandweatherconditions.4. Reviewedtheexistingtrafficmanagementplantobeimplementedbylocalandstatepoliceintheeventofanincidentattheplant.Trafficcontrolisappliedatspecif iedTrafficControlPoints(TCP)locatedwithintheEPZ.5. UsedexistingSub Zonestodefineevacuationregions.TheEPZispartitionedinto14Sub Zonesalongjurisdictionalandgeographicboundaries."Regions"aregroupsofcontiguousSub ZonesforwhichETEarecalculate d.TheconfigurationsoftheseRegionsreflectwinddirectionandtheradialextentoftheimpactedarea.EachRegion,otherthanthosethatapproximatecircularareas,approximatesa"key holesection"withintheEPZasrecommendedbyNUREG/CR 7002.6. Estimateddemandfortransitservicesforpersonsatspecialfacilitiesandfortransit dependentpersonsatho me.7. PreparedtheinputstreamsfortheDYNEVIIsystemwhichcomputesETE(SeeAppendicesBandC).a. Estimatedtheevacuationtrafficdemand,basedontheavailableinformationderivedfromCensusdata,andfromdataprovidedbylocalandstateagencies,DukeEnerg yandfromthetelephonesurvey.b. Appliedtheproceduresspecifiedinthe2010HighwayCapacityManual(HCM 2)tothedataacquiredduringthefieldsurvey,toestimatethecapacityofallhighwaysegmentscomprisingtheevacuationroutes.c. Developedthelink noderepresentationoftheevacuationnetwork,whichisusedasthebasisforthecomputeranalysisthatcalculatestheETE.d. CalculatedtheevacuatingtrafficdemandforeachRegionandforeachScenario.e. Specifiedselectedcand idatedestinationsforeach"origin"(locationofeach"source"whereevacuationtripsaregeneratedoverthemobilizationtime)tosupportevacuationtravelconsistentwithoutboundmovementrelativetothelocationoftheHNP.8. ExecutedtheDYNEVIImodeltodetermineoptimalevacuat ionroutingandcomputeETEforallresidents,transientsandemployees("generalpopulation")withaccesstoprivatevehicles.GeneratedacompletesetofETEforallspecifiedRegionsandScenarios.9. DocumentedETEinformatsinaccordancewithNUREG/CR 7002.10. CalculatedtheETEforalltransitactivitiesincludingthoseforspecialfacilities(schools,childcarecenters,andmedicalfacilities),forthetransit dependentpopulationandforhomeboundspecialneedspopulation.2HighwayCapacityManual(HCM2010),TransportationResearchBoard,NationalResearchCouncil,2010.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.2 TheHarrisNuclearPlantLocationTheHNPislocatedonLakeHarrisapproximately20milessouthwestofRaleigh,NorthCarolina.TheEPZconsistsofpartsofChatham,Harnett,LeeandWakeCounties.AmajorityofthenorthwesternportionoftheEPZismadeupofBEverettJordanLake.Figure1 1displaystheareasurroundingtheHNP.Thismapidentifiesthecommunitiesintheareaan dthemajorroads.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure1 1.HNPLocation HarrisNuclearPlant1 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.3 PreliminaryActivitiesTheseactivitiesaredescribedbelow.FieldSurveysoftheHighwayNetworkKLDpersonneldrovetheentirehighwaysystemwithintheEPZandtheShadowRegionwhichconsistsoftheareabetweentheEPZboundaryandapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant.Thecharacteristicsofeachsectionofhighwaywererecorded.ThesecharacteristicsareshowninTable1 2:Table1 2.HighwayCharacteristics Numberoflanes Postedspeed Lanewidth Actualfreespeed Shouldertype&width Abuttinglanduse Interchangegeometries Controldevices Lanechannelization&queuingcapacity(includingturnbays/lanes) Intersectionconfiguration(includingroundaboutswhereapplicable) Geometrics:curves,grades(>4%) Trafficsignaltype Unusualcharacteristics:Narrowbridges,sharpcurves,poorpavement,floodwarningsigns,inadequatedelineations,tollbooths,etc.Videoandaudiorecordingequipmentwereusedtocaptureapermanentrecordofthehighwayinfrastructure.Noattemptwasmadetometiculouslymeasuresuchattributesaslanewidthandshoulderwidth;estimatesofthesemeasuresbasedonvisualobservationandrecordedimageswereconsideredappropriateforthepurposeofestimatingthecapacityofhighwaysections.Forexample,Exhibit15 7intheHCMindicatesthatareductioninlanewidthfrom12feet(the"base"value)to10feetcanreducefreeflowspeed(FFS)by1.1mph-notamaterialdifference-fortwo lanehighways.Exhibit15 30intheHCMshowslittlesensitivityfortheestimatesofServiceVolumesatLevelofService(LOS)E(nearcapacity),withrespecttoFFS,fortwo lanehighways.Thedatafromtheaudioandvideorecordingswereusedtocreatedetailedgeographicalinformationsystems(GIS)shapefilesanddatabasesoftheroadwaycharacteristicsandofthetrafficcontroldevicesobservedduringtheroadsurvey;thisinformationwasreferencedwhilepreparingtheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIISystem.Asdocumentedonpage15 5oftheHCM2010,thecapacityofatwo lanehighwayis1,700passengercarsperhourinonedirection.Forfreewa ysections,avalueof2,250vehiclesperhourperlaneisassigned,asperExhibit11 17oftheHCM2010.Theroadsurveyhasidentifiedseveralsegmentswhicharecharacterizedbyadversegeometricsontwo lanehighwayswhicharereflectedinreducedvaluesforbothcapacityandspeed.TheseestimatesareconsistentwiththeservicevolumesforLOSEpresentedinHCMExhibit15 30.Theselinksmaybe HarrisNuclearPlant1 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1identifiedbyreviewingAppendixK.LinkcapacityisaninputtoDYNEVIIwhichcomputestheETE.FurtherdiscussionofroadwaycapacityisprovidedinSection4ofthisreport.Trafficsignalsareeitherpre timed(signaltimingsarefixedovertimeanddonotchangewiththetrafficvolumeoncompetingapproaches),orareactuated(signaltimingsvaryovertimebasedonthechangingtrafficvolumesoncompetingap proaches).Actuatedsignalsrequiredetectorstoprovidethetrafficdatausedbythesignalcontrollertoadjustthesignaltimings.Thesedetectorsaretypicallymagneticloopsintheroadway,orvideocamerasmountedonthesignalmastsandpointedtowardtheinters ectionapproaches.Ifdetectorswereobservedontheapproachestoasignalizedintersectionduringtheroadsurvey,detailedsignaltimingswerenotcollectedasthetimingsvarywithtrafficvolume.TCPsatlocationswhichhavecontroldevicesarerepresentedasactuatedsignalsintheDYNEVIIsystem.Ifnodetectorswereob served,thesignalcontrolattheintersectionwasconsideredpre timed,anddetailedsignaltimingsweregatheredforseveralsignalcycles.ThesesignaltimingswereinputtotheDYNEVIIsystemusedtocomputeETE,asperNUREG/CR 7002guidance.Figure1 2presentsth elink nodeanalysisnetworkthatwasconstructedtomodeltheevacuationroadwaynetworkintheEPZandShadowRegion.ThedirectionalarrowsonthelinksandthenodenumbershavebeenremovedfromFigure1 2toclarifythefigure.ThedetailedfiguresprovidedinAppendixKdepicttheanal ysisnetworkwithdirectionalarrowsshownandnodenumbersprovided.Theobservationsmadeduringthefieldsurveywereusedtocalibratetheanalysisnetwork.TelephoneSurveyAtelephonesurveywasundertakentogatherinformationneededfortheevacuationstudy.AppendixFpresentsthesurveyinstrument,theproceduresusedandtabulationsofdatacompiledfromthesurveyreturns.Thesedatawereutilizedtodevelopestimatesofvehicleoccupancytoestimatethenumberofevacuatingvehiclesduringanevacuationandtoestimateel ementsofthemobilizationprocess.Thisdatabasewasalsoreferencedtoestimatethenumberoftransit dependentresidents.ComputingtheEvacuationTimeEstimatesTheoverallstudyprocedureisoutlinedinAppendixD.Demographicdatawereobtainedfromseveralsources,asdetailedlaterinthisreport.Thesedatawereanalyzedandconvertedintovehicledemanddata.Thevehicledemandwasloadedontoappropriate"source"linksoftheanalysisnetworkusingGISmappingsoftware.TheDYNEVIIsystemwasthenusedtocomput eETEforallRegionsandScenarios.AnalyticalToolsTheDYNEVIISystemthatwasemployedforthisstudyiscomprisedofseveralintegratedcomputermodels.OneoftheseistheDYNEV(DYnamicNetworkEVacuation)macroscopicsimulationmodel,anewversionoftheIDYNEVmodelthatwasdevelopedbyKLDundercontractwiththeFederalEmergencyManagementAgency(FEMA).

HarrisNuclearPlant1 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure1 2.HNPLink NodeAnalysisNetwork HarrisNuclearPlant1 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DYNEVIIconsistsoffoursub models: Amacroscopictrafficsimulationmodel(fordetails,seeAppendixC). ATripDistribution(TD),modelthatassignsasetofcandidatedestination(D)nodesforeach"origin"(O)locatedwithintheanalysisnetwork,whereevacuationtripsare"generated"overtime.ThisestablishesasetofO Dtables. ADynamicTrafficAssignment(DT A),modelwhichassignstripstopathsoftravel(routes)whichsatisfytheO Dtables,overtime.TheTDandDTAmodelsareintegratedtoformtheDTRAD(DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistribution)model,asdescribedinAppendixB. AMyopicTrafficDiversionmodelwh ichdivertstraffictoavoidintense,localcongestion,ifpossible.AnothersoftwareproductdevelopedbyKLD,namedUNITES(UNIfiedTransportationEngineeringSystem)wasusedtoexpeditedataentryandtoautomatetheproductionofoutputtables.Thedynamicsoftrafficflowoverthenetworkaregraphicallyanimatedusingthesoftwareproduct,EVAN(EVacuationANimator),developedbyKLD.EVANisGISbased,anddisplaysstatisticssuchasLOS,vehiclesdischarged,averagespeed,andpercentofvehiclesevacuated,outputbytheDYNEVIISystem.TheuseofaGISframeworkenablestheusertozoominonareasofcongestionandqueryroadname,townnameandothergeographicalinformation.TheprocedureforapplyingtheDYNEVIISystemwithintheframeworkofdevelopingETEisoutlinedinAppendixD.AppendixAisaglossaryofterms.Forthereaderinterestedinanevaluationoftheoriginalmodel,I DYNEV,thefollowingreferencesaresuggested: NUREG/CR 4873-BenchmarkStudyoftheI DYNEVEvacuationTimeEstimateComputerCode NUREG/CR 4874-TheSensitivityofEvacuati onTimeEstimatestoChangesinInputParametersfortheI DYNEVComputerCodeTheevacuationanalysisproceduresarebasedupontheneedto: RoutetrafficalongpathsoftravelthatwillexpeditetheirtravelfromtheirrespectivepointsoforigintopointsoutsidetheEPZ. Restrictmovementtowardtheplanttotheextentpracticable,anddispersetrafficdemandsoastoavoidfocusingdemandonalimitednumberofhighways. Movetrafficindirectionsthataregenerallyoutbound,relativetothelocationoftheHNP.DYNEVIIprovidesadetaileddescriptionoftrafficoperationsontheevacuationnetwork.Thisdescriptionenablestheanalysttoidentifybottlenecksandtodevelopcountermeasuresthataredesignedtorepresentthebehavioralresponsesofevacuees.Theeffectsofthesecountermeasuresmaythenbetestedwiththemodel.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.4 ComparisonwithPriorETEStudyTable1 3presentsacomparisonofthepresentETEstudywiththeprevious(2007)study.ThemajorfactorscontributingtothedifferencesbetweentheETEvaluesobtainedinthisstudyandthoseofthepreviousstudycanbesummarizedasfollows: ChangeswhichcauseanincreaseinETE:o Significant(39%)increaseinpermanentresidentpopulationo Adecreaseintheaveragevehicleoccupancy(1 2%)whichresultsin12%moreevacuatingvehicleso Residentswithcommuterstake30minuteslongertomobilizeo Residentswithoutcommuterstake45minuteslongertomobilize ChangeswhichcauseadecreaseinETE:o Adecrease(13%)inemployeescommutingintotheEPZo Adecrease(23%)intransientswithintheEPZ.The2007studyconsideredthe4 thofJulypeaktransientlevelsatJordanLakeastheaveragetransientpopulation.ThisstudyusesaveragesummertransientpopulationatJordanLake.o Adecreaseinshadowandvoluntaryevacuationbyasmuchas30%.o Theproceduresoutlinedinthe2010HCMresultinslightlyhigherbaselineroadwaycapacitiesthantheproceduresintheHCM2000.o Increasedroadwayca pacity-thenewlyconstructedNC 540TollandJuddParkwayprovidesignificantcapacityimprovementsinthestudyareao Transientsandemployeesmobilize35minutesfaster.o Evacuationmodelimprovements-theDYNEVIIsystemusesDynamicTrafficAssignment(SeeAppendicesBan dC)whichadjustsroutingtoavoidtrafficcongestiontotheextentfeasible(similartoamodernGPS).Thesignificantincreaseinpermanentresidentpopulationcoupledwiththesignificantdecreaseinvehicleoccupancyresultsinmanymoreevacuatingvehiclesinthisstudythaninthepreviousstudy,whichwouldtypicallyleadtosignificant(greaterthan30minutes)increasesinETE.However,thevariousfactorsthatdecreaseETE,especiallytheadditionalroadwaycapacit yprovidedbyNC 540TollandJuddParkway,helptooffsetthesignificantincreaseinevacuatingvehicles.Theendresultisa15minuteincreaseinETEatthe90 thpercentileforwinterweekdaycasesanda25minuteincreaseforsummerweekendcases.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table1 3.ETEStudyComparisonsTopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudyResidentPopulationBasisArcGISSoftwareusing2000USCensusblocks;blockcentroidmethodused;populationextrapolatedto2007.Population=74,097ArcGISSoftwareusing2010USCensusblocks;arearatiomethodused.Population=102,961ResidentPopulationVehicleOccupancy3.05persons/household,1.33evacuatingvehicles/householdyielding:2.29persons/vehicle.2.82persons/household,1.39evacuatingvehicles/householdyielding:2.02persons/vehicle.EmployeePopulationEmployeestreatedasseparatepopulationgroup.EmployeeestimatesbasedoninformationprovidedaboutmajoremployersinEPZ,supplementedbyobservationsofcommercialpropertyinEPZfromaerialimagery.1.08employees/vehiclebasedontelephonesurveyresults.Employees=3,984EmployeeestimatesbasedoninformationprovidedaboutmajoremployersinEPZ.1.07employeespervehiclebasedontelephon esurveyresults.Employees=3,467TransitDependentPopulationDefinedashouseholdswith0vehicles.Telephonesurveyresultsusedtoestimatetransitdependentpopulation.Atotalof345peoplerequiring12busestoevacuate.Anadditional99homeboundspecialneedspersonsneedspecialtransportationtoevacuate(76requireabus,17requireawheelchair accessiblevehicle,and6requireanambulance).EstimatesbaseduponU.S.Censusdataandtheresultsofthetelephonesurvey.Includeshouseholdswith0vehiclesandhouseholdswith1or2vehicleswhichareusedbyacommuterwhowouldnotreturnhome.Atotalof3,419peoplewhodonothaveaccesstoavehicle,requiring114busestoevacuate.Anadditional103homeboundspecialneedspersonsneedspecialtransportationtoevacuate(75requireabus,19requireawheelchair accessiblevehicle,and9requireanambulance).TransientPopulationTransientestimatesbasedoninformationfromcountyandinternetsearcheswereusedtoobtainmoredetailedinformation.Transients=14,831TransientestimatesbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Transients=11,442 HarrisNuclearPlant1 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudyMedicalFacilityPopulationMedicalfacilitypopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.MedicalFacilityPopulation=686Vehiclesoriginatingatspecialfacilities=78SpecialfacilitypopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.MedicalFacilityPopulation=896Vehiclesoriginatingatspecialfacilities=143SchoolPopulationSchoolpopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.Schoolenrollment=16,850Busesrequired=309SchoolpopulationbasedoninformationprovidedbyeachcountywithintheEPZ.ChildCareCentersincludedintheseestimates.Schoolenrollment=23,530Busesrequired=445VoluntaryevacuationfromwithinEPZinareasoutsideregiontobeevacuated50%ofpopulationwithinthecircularportionoftheregion;35%,inannularringbetweenthecircleandtheEPZboundary.20%ofthepopulationwithintheEPZ,butnotwithintheEvacuationRegion(seeFigure2 1)ShadowEvacuation30%ofpeopleoutsideoftheEPZwithintheshadowregion.20%ofpeopleoutsideoftheEPZwithintheShadowRegion(seeFigure7 2)NetworkSize1,720Links;1,234Nodes.2,311links;1,613nodesRoadwayGeometricDataFieldsurveysconductedin2006.Majorintersectionswerevideoarchived.GISshape filesofsignallocationsandroadwaycharacteristicscreatedduringroadsurvey.RoadcapacitiesbasedonHCM2000.FieldsurveysconductedinMarch2012.Roadsandintersectionswerevideoarchived.Roadcapacitiesbasedon2010HCM.SchoolEvacuationDirectevacuationtodesignatedRelocationSchool.DirectevacuationtodesignatedRelocationSchool.Ridesharing50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillevacuatewithaneighboroffriend.50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillevacuatewithaneighbororfriend.

HarrisNuclearPlant1 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TopicPreviousETEStudyCurrentETEStudyTripGenerationforEvacuationBasedonresidentialtelephonesurveyofspecificpre tripmobilizationactivities:Residentswithcommutersleavebetween30and240minutes.Householdswithoutcommutersleavebetween15and180minutes.Employeesandtransientsleavebetween15and150minutes.AlltimesmeasuredfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Basedonresidentialtelephonesurveyofspecificpre tripmobilizationactivities:Residentswithcommutersreturningleavebetween30and270minutes.Residentswithoutcommutersreturningleavebetween15and225minutes.Employeesandtransientsleavebetween15and105minutes.AlltimesmeasuredfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.WeatherNormal,Rain,orIce.Thecapacityandfreeflowspeedofalllinksinthenetworkarereducedby10%intheeventofrainand20%forice.Normal,Rain,orIce.Thecapacityandfreeflowspeedofalllinksinthenetworkarereducedby10%intheeventofrainand20%forice.ModelingI DYNEVSystem:TRADandPC DYNEV.DYNEVIISystem-Version4.0.10.0SpecialEventsNewPlantConstruction.SpecialEventPopulation:3,500additionalemployeesFourthofJulyonJordanLakeSpecialEventPopulation=7,112additionaltransientsEvacuationCases25Regions(centralsectorwinddirectionandeachadjacentsectortechniqueused)and12Scenariosproducing300uniquecases36Regions(centralsectorwinddirectionandeachadjacentsectortechniqueused)and14Scenariosproducing504uniquecases.EvacuationTimeEstimatesReportingETEreportedfor50 th ,90 th ,95 th ,and100 thpercentilepopulation.ResultspresentedbyRegionandScenario.ETEreportedfor90 thand100 thpercentilepopulation.ResultspresentedbyRegionandScenario.EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortheentireEPZ,90 thpercentileWinterWeekdayMiddayGoodWeather=2:35SummerWeekendMiddayGoodWeather=2:15WinterWeekdayMidday,GoodWeather=2:50SummerWeekend,Midday,GoodWeather=2:40 HarrisNuclearPlant2 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12 STUDYESTIMATESANDASSUMPTIONSThissectionpresentstheestimatesandassumptionsutilizedinthedevelopmentoftheevacuationtimeestimates.NUREG/CR 7002wasusedasthebasisformostoftheassumptionsprovidedinthissection.KLDhasbeendoingETEstudiesforU.S.nuclearpowerplantsforover30years,including16newplantapplicationsduringthelast5years.Duringthattime,KLDhasworkedwithmorethan100stateandcountyemergencymanagementagencies.ThenewplantapplicationETEstudieswerereviewedextensivelybytheU.S.NuclearRegulatoryCommission(NRC)andrefinedthroughtheRequestforAdditionalInformation(RAI)process.KLDdevelopedalistofkeyprojectass umptionsbasedonNUREG/CR 7002,onyearsofETEexperienceandinteractionwithoffsiteagencies,andonfeedbackfromtheNRCthroughRAIs.Thelistwasdiscussedwithstakeholdersattheprojectkickoffmeeting.Thelistwasthenrefinedbasedoninputsfromstakeholdersanddocumentedinatechnicalme mo.ThememowasapprovedbyallstakeholderspriortocomputingETE.2.1 DataEstimates1. PermanentresidentpopulationestimatesarebaseduponCensus2010data.2. EstimatesofemployeeswhoresideoutsidetheEPZandcommutetoworkwithintheEPZarebasedupondataprovidedbycountyemergencymanagementdepartments.3. Populationestimatesatspecialfacilitiesarebasedonavailabledatafromcountyemergencymanagementdepartments.4. RoadwaycapacityestimatesarebasedonfieldsurveysandtheapplicationoftheHighwayCapacityManual2010.5. Populationmobilizationtimesarebasedonastatisticalanal ysisofdataacquiredfromarandomsampletelephonesurveyofEPZresidents(seeSection5andAppendixF).6. TherelationshipbetweenresidentpopulationandevacuatingvehiclesisdevelopedfromtheU.S.Censusandthetelephonesurvey(SeeAppendixF).Averagevaluesof2.82peopleperhouseholdand1.39evacuatingvehiclespe rhouseholdareused.Therelationshipbetweenpersonsandvehiclesfortransientsandemployeesisasfollows:a. Employees:1.07employeespervehicle(telephonesurveyresults)forallmajoremployers.b. Campgrounds,parks,communitycenters,golfcoursesandlodgingfacilities:Vehicleoccupancyvariesbasedupondataprovidedforlocaltransientfacilities.SeeAppendixE.c. SpecialEv ent:VehicleoccupancyfortransientsattendingFourthofJulyonJordanLakewasderivedfromdataprovidedbytheofficesoftheJordanLakeStateRecreationAreaforeachJordanLakefacility.Vehicleoccupancyvariesbyfacilityandtheoverallaverageis3.5peoplepervehicle.11DatafromRevision4ofthe2007COLAETEstudywasappliedtooneoftheJordanLakeFacilities(Poe'sRidge)

HarrisNuclearPlant2 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12.2 StudyMethodologicalAssumptions1. ETEarepresentedfortheevacuationofthe90 thand100 thpercentilesofpopulationforeachRegionandforeachScenario.ThepercentileETEisdefinedastheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateissuedtoaspecificRegionoftheEPZ,tothetimethatRegionisclearoftheindicatedpercentileofevacuees.ARegionisdefinedasagroupofSub ZonesthatisissuedanAdvisorytoEvacuate.Ascenarioisacombinationofcircumstances,includingtimeofday,dayofweek,season,andweatherconditions.2. Evacuationmovements(pathsoftravel)aregenerallyoutboundrelativetotheplanttotheextentpermittedbythehighwaynetwork.Allmajorevacuationroutesareusedintheanalysis.3. Regionsaredefinedbytheunderlying"keyhole"orcircularconfigurationsasspecifiedinSection1.4ofNUREG/CR 7002.Th eseRegions,asdefined,displayirregularboundariesreflectingthegeographyoftheSubZonesincludedwithintheseunderlyingconfigurations.4. AsindicatedinFigure2 2ofNUREG/CR 7002,100%ofpeoplewithintheimpacted"keyhole"evacuate.Twentypercent(20%)ofthosepeoplewithintheEPZ,notwithintheimpactedkeyhole,willvoluntarilyevacuate.Twentypercent(20%)ofthosepeoplewithintheShadowRegionwillvoluntarilyevacuate.SeeFigure2 1foragraphicalrepresentationoftheseevacuationpercentages.SensitivitystudiesexploretheeffectonETEofincreasingthepercentageofvoluntaryevacueesintheShadowRegion(seeAppendixM).5. Atotalof14"Scenarios"representingdifferenttemporalvariations(season,timeofday,dayofweek)andweatherconditionsareconsidered.TheseScenariosareou tlinedinTable2 1.6. Scenario14considerstheclosureofonelanenorthboundonUS 1fromjusteastoftheinterchangewithNewHillHollemanRd(Exit89)totheinterchangewithI 40(Exit1A)andonelaneeastboundonUS 64fromNewHillOliveChapelRd/NC 751totheinterchang ewithI 40(Exit1A).

HarrisNuclearPlant2 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table2 1.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 2DayofWeekTimeofDay WeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterMidweekMiddayIceNone9WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone10WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone11WinterWeekendMiddayIceNone12WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone13SummerWeekendEveningGoodFourthofJulyonJordanLake14SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosuresonUS 1andUS 64

2Winterassumesthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summerassumesthatschoolisnotinsession.

HarrisNuclearPlant2 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure2 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology HarrisNuclearPlant2 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12.3 StudyAssumptions1. ThePlanningBasisAssumptionforthecalculationofETEisarapidlyescalatingeventattheplantwhereinevacuationisorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplementedthatrequiresevacuation,andincludesthefollowing:a. AdvisorytoEvacuateisannouncedcoincidentwiththesirennotification.b. Mobilizationofthegeneralpopulationwillcommencewithin15minutesaftersirennotification.c. ETEaremeasuredrelativetotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.2. ItisassumedthateveryonewithinthegroupofSubZonesformingaRegionthatisissuedanAdvisorytoEvacuatewill,infact,respondandevacuateingeneralaccordwiththeplannedroutes.3. 68percentofthehouseholdsintheEPZhaveatleast1commuter;41percentofthosehouseholdswithcommuterswillawaitthereturnofacommuterbeforebeginningtheirevacuationtrip,basedonthetelephonesurveyresults.Therefore28percent(68%x41%=28%)ofEPZhouseholdswillawaitthereturnofacommuter,priortobeginningtheirevacua tiontrip.Itisassumedthattheresponsestothetelephonesurveyregardingthereturnofcommuterspriortoevacuatingareapplicableforthisstudy.4. TheETEwillalsoincludeconsiderat ionof"through"(External External)tripsduringthetimethatsuchtrafficispermittedtoentertheevacuatedRegion."Normal"trafficflowisassumedtobepresentwithintheEPZatthestartoftheemergency.5. SecurityRoadBlocks(SRB)willbestaffedwithinapproximately30minutesfollowingthesirennotifications(basedupondataprovidedbyemergencymanagementagencies),todiverttrafficattemptingtoentertheEPZ.EarlieractivationofSRBlocationscoulddelayreturningcommuters.ItisassumedthatnothroughtrafficwillentertheEPZafterthis30minutetimeperiod.6. TrafficControlPoints(TCP)withintheEPZwillbestaffedovertime,beginningatth eAdvisorytoEvacuate.TheirnumberandlocationwilldependontheRegiontobeevacuatedandresourcesavailable.TheobjectivesoftheseTCPare:a. Facilitatethemovementsofall(mostlyevacuating)vehiclesatthelocation.b. Discourageinadvertentvehiclemovementstowardstheplant.c. Provideassuranceandguidancetoanytrav elerwhoisunsureoftheappropriateactionsorrouting.d. Actaslocalsurveillanceandcommunicationscenter.e. Provideinformationtotheemergencyoperationscenter(EOC)asneeded,basedondirectobservationoroninformationprovidedbytravelers.7. TheETEarecomputedandpresentedintabularformatandgraphically,inaformatcompliantwithNUREG/CR 7002.

HarrisNuclearPlant2 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18. ThemodelsoftheI DYNEVSystemwererecognizedasstateoftheartbytheAtomicSafety&LicensingBoard(ASLB)inpasthearings.(Sources:AtomicSafety&LicensingBoardHearingsonSeabrookandShoreham;Urbanik 3).ThemodelshavecontinuouslybeenrefinedandextendedsincethosehearingsandwereindependentlyvalidatedbyaconsultantretainedbytheNRC.ThenewDYNEVIImodelincorporatesthelatesttechnologyintrafficsimulationandindynamictrafficassignment.TheDYNEVIISystemisusedtocomputeETEinthisstudy.InformationprovidedbylocallawenforcementandcountyemergencymanagementdepartmentsindicatedthatPriority1TCPcouldbemannedwithin30minutesandallotherTCPcouldbemannedwithin120minutes.IncalculatingETE,itisassumedthatevacueeswilldrivesafely,travelindirectionsidentifiedintheplan,andobeyallcontroldevicesandtrafficguides.9. Buses,vans,ambulances,andminivanswillbeus edtotransportthosewithoutaccesstoprivatevehicles:a. Ifschoolsareinsession,transport(buses)willevacuatestudentsdirectlytothedesignatedrelocationschools.b. Studentsatprivateschoolsandchildcarecenterswillevacuatedirectlytothedesignatedrelocationschools.c. Buses,wheelchairvansandambulanceswillevacuatepatientsatmedicalfacilitiesandatanyseniorfacilitieswithintheEPZ,asneeded.d. Transit dependentgeneralpopulationwillbeevacuatedtoreceptioncenters.e. Schoolchildren,ifschoolsandchildcarecentersareinsession,aregivenpriorityinassigningtransitvehicles.f. BusmobilizationtimeisconsideredinETEcalculations.g. Analysisofthenumberofrequiredround trips("waves")ofevacuatingtransitvehiclesispresented.h. Transportoftransit dependentev acueesfromreceptioncenterstocongregatecarecentersisnotconsideredinthisstudy.10. Provisionsaremadeforevacuatingthetransit dependentportionofthege neralpopulationtoreceptioncentersbybus,basedontheassumptionthatsomeofthesepeoplewillride sharewithfamily,neighbors,andfriends,thusreducingthedemandforbuses.Weassumethatthepercentageofpeoplewhorideshareis50percent.Thisassumptionisbaseduponreportedexperienceforotheremergencies 4 ,andonguidanceinSection2.2ofNUREG/CR 7002.3Urbanik,T.,et.al.BenchmarkStudyoftheIDYNEVEvacuationTimeEstimateComputerCode,NUREG/CR4873,NuclearRegulatoryCommission,June,1988.4InstituteforEnvironmentalStudies,UniversityofToronto,THEMISSISSAUGAEVACUATIONFINALREPORT,June1981.Thereportindicatesthat6,600peopleofatransitdependentpopulationof8,600peoplesharedrideswith HarrisNuclearPlant2 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.111. Twotypesofadverseweatherscenariosareconsidered.Rainmayoccurforeitherwinterorsummerscenarios;iceoccursinwinterscenariosonly.Itisassumedthattherainoricebeginsearlierorataboutthesametimetheevacuationadvisoryisissued.Noweather relatedreductioninthenumberoftransientswhomaybepresentintheEPZisassumed.Itisassumedthatroadsarepassableandthattheappropriateagenci esareclearingtheroadsastheywouldnormallywhenicyconditionsarepresent.Adverseweatherscenariosaffectroadwaycapacityandthefreeflowhighwayspeeds.ThefactorsappliedfortheETEstudyarebasedonrecentresearchontheeffectsofweatheronroadwayoperations 5;thefactorsareshowninTable2 2.12. Schoolbusesusedtotransportstudentsareassumedtotransport70studentsperbusforelementaryschoolsand50studentsperbusformiddleandhighschools,basedondiscussionswithcountyofficesofemergencymanagement.Transitbusesusedtotransportthetransit dependentgeneralpopulationareassumedtotransport30peopleperbus.ItisassumedthatdriversforvehiclesidentifiedinTable8 5ar eavailable.13. Schoolbuseswillbeloadedin15minutes.Busesformedicalfacilitiesandseniorfacilitieswillrequire2minutesofloadingtimeperpassengerandwheelchairtransportvehicleswillrequire7minutesofloadingtimeperpassenger.Ambulanceswillrequire15minutesofloadingtimeperpassenger.Table2 2.ModelAdjustmentforAdverseWeatherScenarioHighwayCapacity*FreeFlowSpeed*MobilizationTimeforGeneralPopulationMobilizationTimeforTransitVehiclesRain90%90%NoEffect10minuteincreaseIce80%80%NoEffect20minuteincreaseIce(Sensitivity) 650%50%NoEffectN/ATransitdependentETEnotconsideredforthissensitivitystudy*Adverseweathercapacityandspeedvaluesaregivenasapercentageofgoodweatherconditions.Roadsareassumedtobepassable.otherresidents;aridesharerateof76%(Page510).5Agarwal,M.et.al.ImpactsofWeatheronUrbanFreewayTrafficFlowCharacteristicsandFacilityCapacity,Proceedingsofthe2005Mid ContinentTransportationResearchSymposium,August,2005.TheresultsofthispaperareincludedasExhibit10 15intheHCM2010.6Asensitivitystudywasconsideredforamajoricestormwitha50%reductionincapacityandfreeflowspeed.SeeAppendixM.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13 DEMANDESTIMATIONTheestimatesofdemand,expressedintermsofpeopleandvehicles,constituteacriticalelementindevelopinganevacuationplan.Theseestimatesconsistofthreecomponents:1. AnestimateofpopulationwithintheEPZ,stratifiedintogroups(resident,employee,transient).2. Anestimate,foreachpopulationgroup,ofmeanoccupancyperevacuatingvehicle.Thisestimateisusedtodeterminethenumberofevacuatingvehicles.3. Anestimateofpotentialdouble countingofvehicles.AppendixEpresentsmuchofthesourcematerialforthepopulationestimates.Ourprimarysourceofpopulationdata,the2010Census,however,isnotadequatefordirectlyestimatingsometransientgroups.Throughouttheyear,v acationersandtouristsentertheEPZ.Thesenon residentsmaydwellwithintheEPZforashortperiod(e.g.afewdaysoroneortwoweeks),ormayenterandleavewithinoneday.Estimatesofthesizeofthesepopulationcomponentsmustbeobtained,sothattheassociatednumberofevacuatingvehiclescanbeas certained.Thepotentialfordouble countingpeopleandvehiclesmustbeaddressed.Forexample: AresidentwhoworksandshopswithintheEPZcouldbecountedasaresident,againasanemployeeandonceagainasashopper. Avisitorwhostaysatahotelandspendstimeatapark,the ngoesshoppingcouldbecountedthreetimes.Furthermore,thenumberofvehiclesatalocationdependsontimeofday.Forexample,motelparkinglotsmaybefullatdawnandemptyatnoon.Similarly,parkinglotsatareaparks,whicharefullatnoon,maybealmostem ptyatdawn.EstimatingcountsofvehiclesbysimplyaddingupthecapacitiesofdifferenttypesofparkingfacilitieswilltendtooverestimatethenumberoftransientsandcanleadtoETEthataretooconservative.AnalysisofthepopulationcharacteristicsoftheHNPEPZindicatestheneedtoidentifythreedistinctgroups: PermanentresidentspeoplewhoareyearroundresidentsoftheEPZ. TransientspeoplewhoresideoutsideoftheEPZwhoentertheareaforaspecificpurpose(shopping,recreation)andthenleavethearea. EmployeespeoplewhoresideoutsideoftheEPZandcommutetoworkwithintheEPZonadailybasis.EstimatesofthepopulationandnumberofevacuatingvehiclesforeachofthepopulationgroupsarepresentedforeachSub Zoneandbypolarcoordinaterepresentation(populationdistribution).TheHNPEP Zissubdividedinto14Sub Zones.TheEPZisshowninFigure3 1.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.1 PermanentResidentsTheprimarysourceforestimatingpermanentpopulationisthelatestU.S.Censusdata.Theaveragehouseholdsize(2.82persons/householdwasestimatedusingU.S.Censusdata-seeSectionF.3.1).Thenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhousehold(1.39vehicles/household-SeeFigureF 8)wasadaptedfromthetelephonesurveyresults.PopulationestimatesarebaseduponCensus2010data.TheestimatesarecreatedbycuttingthecensusblockpolygonsbytheSub ZoneandEPZboundariesusingGISsoftware.Aratiooftheoriginalareaofeachcensusblockandtheupdatedarea(aftercutting)ismultipliedbythetotalblockpopulationtoestimatethepopulationwithintheEPZ.Thismethodologyassumesthatthepopulationisevenlydistributedacr ossacensusblock.Table3 1providesthepermanentresidentpopulationwithintheEPZbySub Zonebasedonthismethodology.Theyear2010permanentresidentpopulationisdividedbytheaveragehouseholdsizeandthenmultipliedbytheaveragenumberofevacuatingvehiclesperhouseholdinordertoestimatenumberofvehicles.PermanentresidentpopulationandvehicleestimatesarepresentedinTable3 2.Figure3 2andFigure3 3presentthepermanentresidentpopulationandpermanentresidentvehicleestimatesbysectoranddistancefromHNP.ThispopulationdistributionwasconstructedusingGISsoftware.Itcanbeargue dthatthisestimateofpermanentresidentsoverstates,somewhat,thenumberofevacuatingvehicles,especiallyduringthesummer.Itiscertainlyreasonabletoassertthatsomeportionofthepopulationwouldbeonvacationduringthesummerandwouldtravelelsewhere.Aroughestimateofthisreductioncanbeobtainedasfollows: Assume50percentofallhouseholdsvacationforaperiodoverthesummer. Assumethesevacations,inaggregate,areuniformlydispersedover10weeks,i.e.10percentofthepopulationisonvacationduringeachtwo weekinterval. Assumehalfofthesevacationersleavethearea.Onthisbasis,thepermanentresidentpopulationwouldbereducedby5percentinthesummerandbyalesseramountintheoffseason.Giventheuncertaintyinthisestimate,weelectedtoapplynoreductionsinpermanentresidentpopulationforthesummerscenariostoaccountfo rresidentswhomaybeoutofthearea.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 1.HNPEPZ HarrisNuclearPlant3 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 1.EPZPermanentResidentPopulationSub Zone2000Population2007Population(Estimated) 12010PopulationA143180134B1,2341,3971,257C3314162,086D258319346E26,08232,87945,269F10,76413,53422,342G12,86415,49721,463H2,9063,4443,868I804947963J1,1451,3481,126K619763688L708874815M1,4401,7781,753N584721851TOTAL59,88274,097102,961EPZPopulationGrowth(2000 2010):71.9%EPZPopulationGrowth(2007 2010):39.0%Table3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationandVehiclesbySubZoneSub Zone2010Population2010ResidentVehiclesA13464B1,257618C2,0861,026D346168E45,26922,279F22,34210,993G21,46310,556H3,8681,902I963473J1,126552K688336L815399M1,753858N851415TOTAL102,96150,6391Rev.42007COLAETE2000Censusextrapolatedto2007basedonaverageannualcountygrowthratesfrom2005 2007 HarrisNuclearPlant3 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 2.PermanentResidentPopulationbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 3.PermanentResidentVehiclesbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.2 ShadowPopulationAportionofthepopulationlivingoutsidetheevacuationareaextendingto15milesradiallyfromtheHNP(intheShadowRegion)mayelecttoevacuatewithouthavingbeeninstructedtodoso.BaseduponNUREG/CR 7002guidance,itisassumedthat20percentofthepermanentresidentpopulation,basedonU.S.CensusBureaudata,inthisShadowRegionwillelecttoevacuate.Shadowpopulationcharacteristics(householdsize,evacuationvehiclesperhousehold,mobilizationtime)areassumedtobethesameasthosefortheEPZpermanentresidentpopulation.Table3 3,Figure3 4,andFigure3 5presentestimatesoftheshadowpopulationandvehicles,bysector.Table3 3.ShadowPopulationandVehiclesbySectorSectorPopulationEvacuatingVehiclesN6,3743,138NNE49,71524,478NE57,32128,239ENE22,33810,995E16,9958,365ESE11,4145,611SE6,0362,966SSE1,965969S1,777874SSW3,5061,723SW2,9151,428WSW2,9181,434W1,236605WNW4,9822,438NW2,9111,429NNW5,6872,798TOTAL198,09097,490

HarrisNuclearPlant3 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 4.ShadowPopulationbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 5.ShadowVehiclesbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.3 TransientPopulationTransientpopulationgroupsaredefinedasthosepeople(whoarenotpermanentresidents,norcommutingemployees)whoentertheEPZforaspecificpurpose(shopping,recreation).Transientsmayspendlessthanonedayorstayovernightatcampingfacilities,hotelsandmotels.TheHNPEPZhasanumberofareasandfacilitiesth atattracttransients,including: Campgrounds Parks CommunityCenters GolfCourses LodgingFacilitiesJordanLakeStateRecreationAreaistheprimarytransientattractionwithintheEPZ.JordanLakeisa46,768acrelakelocatedinthenorthwesternportionoftheEPZ,occupyingpartsofSub ZonesL,M,andN.TheJordanLakeStateRecreationAreaconsistsof12separatefacilities(11ofwhichareintheEPZwithCrosswindsCampgroundandMarinaaccountingfor2facilities)thatoffercamping,fishing,swimming,andboating.ThereareeightcampgroundswithintheEPZ.DataprovidedbyChathamCountyandtheofficesoftheJordanLakeStateRecreationAreaincludedthenumberofcampsites,peakoccupancyandthenumberofvehiclesandpeoplepercampsiteforeachfacility.Thesedatawereusedtoestimatethenumberofevacuatingvehiclesfortransientsateachofthesefacilities.Atotalof4,060transi entsand1,338vehicleshavebeenassignedtocampgroundswithintheEPZ.Themajority,3,775transientsand1,161vehiclesareattributedtothefivedifferentJordanLakecampgroundfacilities(NewHopeOverlook,PoplarPoint,VistaPoint,CrosswindsCampgroundandMarina,andParker'sCreek).TherearenumerousparksandcommunitycenterswithintheEPZ.FiveofthefacilitiesareJordanLakeStateRecreationAreas(EbenezerChurch,Poe'sRidge,RobesonCreek,SeaforthandWhiteOak).DataprovidedbyChatham,HarnettandWakeCountiesandtheofficesoftheJordanLakeStateRecreationAreaincludedthenumberoftransientsandvehiclesvisitingeachfacilityonapeakday.Atotalof6,296transientsand2,234vehicleshavebeenassignedtoparksandcommunitycenterswithintheEPZ.3,337transientsand873vehiclesareattributedtothefivedifferentJordanLakeparkfacilities.TherearethreegolfcourseswithintheEPZ.DataprovidedbyWakeCountyincludedthenumberofgolfersandvehiclesateachfacilityonapeakday,andthenumberofgolfersthattravelsfromoutsidethearea.Atotalof620transientsand410vehiclesareassignedtogolfcourseswithintheEPZ.ThereareninelodgingfacilitieswithintheEPZ.DataprovidedbyWakeCountyincludedth enumberofrooms,percentageofoccupiedroomsatpeaktimes,andthenumberofpeopleandvehiclesperroomforeachfacility.Thesedatawereusedtoestimatethenumberoftransientsandevacuatingvehiclesateachofthesefacilities.Atotalof466transientsin402vehiclesareassignedtolodgingfacilitiesintheEPZ.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1AppendixEsummarizesthetransientdatathatwasestimatedfortheEPZ.TableE 5presentsthenumberoftransientsvisitingcampgrounds,TableE 6presentsthenumberoftransientsatparksandcommunitycenters,TableE 7presentsthenumberoftransientsatgolfcoursesandTableE 8presentsthenumberoftransientsatlodgingfacilitieswithintheEPZ.Table3 4presentstran sientpopulationandtransientvehicleestimatesbySub Zone.Figure3 6andFigure3 7presentthesedatabysectoranddistancefromtheplant.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 4.SummaryofTransientsandTransientVehiclesSub ZoneTransientsTransientVehiclesA401182B289131C7030D224102E1,230771F703428G824375H8052I00J00K440210L2,767909M2,306667N2,108527TOTAL11,4424,384 HarrisNuclearPlant3 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 6.TransientPopulationbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 7.TransientVehiclesbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.4 EmployeesEmployeeswhoworkwithintheEPZfallintotwocategories: ThosewholiveandworkintheEPZ ThosewholiveoutsideoftheEPZandcommutetojobswithintheEPZ.Thoseofthefirstcategoryarealreadycountedaspartofthepermanentresidentpopulation.Toavoiddoublecounting,wefocusonlyonthoseemployeescommutingfromoutsidetheEPZwhowillevacuatealongwiththepermanentresidentpopulation.DataprovidedbyChathamandWakeCountieswereusedtoestimatethenumberofemployeescommutingintotheEPZforthoseemployerswhodidnotprovidedata.AccordingtoNUREG/CR 7002,employeesareconsideredtransients.Forthisstud y,transientsandemployeescommutingfromoutsideoftheEPZareconsideredseparately.Employeesandtransientshavedifferentscenariopercentages(seeTable6 3).Forexample,employeespeakduringthewinter,weekday,middayscenarioswhiletransientspeakduringsummerweekends.Forthisreason,employeesweretreatedseparatelyfromtransients.InTableE 4,theE mployees(MaxShift)aremultipliedbythepercentNon EPZfactortodeterminethenumberofemployeeswhoarenotresidentsoftheEPZ.Avehicleoccupancyof1.07employeespervehicleobtainedfromthetelephonesurvey(SeeFigureF 7)wasusedtodeterminethenumberofevacuatingemployeevehiclesforallmajoremployers.Table3 5presentsnon EPZResidentemployeeandvehicleestimatesbySub Zone.Figure3 8andFigure3 9presentthesedatabysector.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 5.SummaryofNon EPZResidentEmployeesandEmployeeVehiclesSub ZoneEmployeesEmployeeVehiclesA519485B00C00D00E1,2281,150F789739G582545H00I00J5753K247230L4542M00N00TOTAL3,4673,244 HarrisNuclearPlant3 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 8.EmployeePopulationbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure3 9.EmployeeVehiclesbySector HarrisNuclearPlant3 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.5 MedicalFacilitiesDatawereprovidedbythecountiesforeachofthemedicalfacilitieswithintheEPZ.TableE 3inAppendixEsummarizesthedatagathered.Section8detailstheevacuationofmedicalfacilitiesandtheirpatients.Thenumberandtypeofevacuatingvehiclesthatneedtobeprovideddependonthepatients'stateofhealth.Itisestimatedthatbusescantransportupto30people;wheelchairvans,upto4people;wheelchairbusesupto15people;minivansupto5people;passengercarsupto4peopleandambulances,upto2people.3.6 TotalDemandinAdditiontoPermanentPopulationVehicleswillbetravelingthroughtheEPZ(externalexternaltrips)atthetimeofanemergencyevent.AftertheAdvisorytoEvacuateisannounced,thesethrough travelerswillalsoevacuate.Thesethroughvehiclesareassumedtotravelonthemajorroutestraversingthestudyarea-US 1,US 64,US 401,US 421andI 40).Emergencymanagementagenciesindicatedthatthistrafficwillcontinuetoenterthestudyduringthefirst30minutesfollowingtheAdvisorytoEvacuate.AverageAnnualDailyTraffic(AADT)datawasobtainedfromFederalHighwayAdministrationtoestimatethenumberofvehiclesperhourontheaforementionedroutes.Th eAADTwasmultipliedbytheKFactor,whichistheproportionoftheAADTonaroadwaysegmentorlinkduringthedesignhour,resultinginthedesignhourvolume(DHV).Thedesignhourisusuallythe30 thhighesthourlytrafficvolumeoftheyear,measuredinvehiclesperhour(vph).TheDHVisthenmultipliedbytheD Factor,whichistheproportionoftheDHVoccurringinthepeakdirectionoftravel(alsoknownasthedirectionalsplit).Theresultingvaluesarethedirectionaldesignhourlyvolumes(DDHV),an darepresentedinTable3 6,foreachoftheroutesconsidered.TheDDHVisthenmultipliedby1/2hour(SecurityRoadBlocks-SRB-areassumedtobeactivatedat30minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuatebasedupondataprovidedbyemergencymanagementagencies)toestimatethetotalnumberofexternalvehiclesloadedontheanalysisnetwork.Asindicated,thereare6,963vehiclesenteringthestudyareaasexternal externaltripspriortotheactivationoftheSRBandthediversionofthistraffic.Thisnumberisreducedby60%foreveningscenarios(Scenarios5and12)asdiscussedinSection6.3.7 SpecialEventDuringtheprojectkickoffmeeting,theoffsiteagenciesdiscussedtwospecialeventsinthestudyarea.EventsattheKokaBoothAmphitheatre(locatedinCaryjustoutsidetheEPZ)canattractatmost31,000people,15%ofwhomaretransientsforatotalof4,650transients(dataprovidedbyWakeCounty).DataprovidedbytheOfficesofJordanLakeSRAindicatedthat75%ofindividualsvisitingJordanLakefacilitiesaretransients,resultinginpermanentresidentswithintheEPZmakinguptheremaining25%.ThefireworksdisplayduringFourthofJulyonJordanLakeattracts14,224people,factoringoutthepermanentresidents.Basedonfederalguidance,Four thofJulywaschosenasthespecialevent(Scenario13)becauseithasthelargest HarrisNuclearPlant3 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1transientpopulation.Peopleattendingthefireworksshowaredispersedbetweenthe11differentJordanLakefacilitieswithintheEPZ.DatawereobtainedfromtheofficesoftheJordanLakeSRA.Accordingtothedataprovided,the14,224peopleattendingthefireworkstravelin4,067vehicles.Fiftypercent(50%)ofthesetransientsarealreadypresentonJordanLakeduringanaveragesummerweekend.Thus,thereareanadditional7,112transientstravelinginapproximately2,033vehiclesforthespecialevent.TheseadditionalvehicleswereloadedontoappropriateroadwaysintheanalysisnetworkateachofthedifferentJordanLakefacilities.Thespecialeventvehicletripswer egeneratedutilizingthesamemobilizationdistributionsfortransients.Publictransportationisnotprovidedforthiseventandwasnotconsideredinthespecialeventanalysis.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 6.HNPEPZExternalTrafficUpstreamNodeDownstreamNodeRoadNameDirectionHPMS 1AADTK Factor 2DFactor 2HourlyVolumeExternalTraffic8590590US 1NB17,0000.1160.254932478375375US 1SB17,0000.1160.59864938137137US 64EB17,0000.1160.254932478375375US 64WB17,0000.1160.59864938222222US 401NB11,0000.1160.56383198224224US 401SB11,0000.1160.563831981031103US 421EB5,7000.1180.53361688666666US 421WB5,7000.1180.5336168802020I 40EB110,0000.0820.54,5102,2558359359I 40WB110,0000.0820.54,5102,255TOTAL 6,9631 HighwayPerformanceMonitoringSystem(HPMS),FederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA),Washington,D.C.,20122 HCM2010 HarrisNuclearPlant3 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.13.8 SummaryofDemandAsummaryofpopulationandvehicledemandisprovidedinTable3 7andTable3 8,respectively.ThissummaryincludesallpopulationgroupsdescribedinthissectionandSection8.Additionalpopulationgroups-transit dependent,specialfacilityandschoolpopulation-aredescribedingreaterdetailinSection8.Atotalof185,323peopleand86,017vehiclesareconsideredinthisstudy.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 7.SummaryofPopulationDemandSubZoneResidentsTransitDependent TransientsEmployees Special Facilities SchoolsShadowPopulationExternal TrafficTotalA1344401519440001,102B1,25742289000001,588C2,0866970030002,228D3461122400000581E45,2691,5041,2301,2282618,8890058,376F22,342743703789447,9360032,552G21,4637138245824075,0020028,991H3,86812880000004,076I96332000000995J1,126370571370001,357K6882344024700001,398L815272,7674500003,654M1,753582,30600285004,402N851282,108000002,987Shadow000001,418 239,618041,036Total102,9613,41911,4423,46789623,53039,6180185,323NOTE:ShadowPopulationhasbeenreducedto20%.RefertoFigure2 1foradditionalinformation.NOTE:SpecialFacilitiesonlyincludesmedicalfacilities.

2TherearetwoschoolsintheShadowthatevacuate-DeepRiverElementarySchoolinLeeCountyandLafayetteElementarySchoolinHarnettCounty.CountyemergencyplanscallforthesefacilitiestobeevacuatedbecauseoftheircloseproximitytotheEPZboundary.

HarrisNuclearPlant3 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table3 8.SummaryofVehicleDemandSubZoneResidentsTransitDependent TransientsEmployees Special Facilities SchoolsShadowPopulationExternal TrafficTotalA6421824857000740B618213100000751C1,026430010001,061D168210200000272E22,2791007711,150563420024,696F10,99348428739132960012,515G10,55648375545701980011,792H1,902852000001,962I4732000000475J552205328000635K33622102300000778L39929094200001,352M85846670010001,539N415252700000944Shadow000004419,4986,96326,505Total50,6392284,3843,24417589019,4986,96386,017NOTE:Busesrepresentedastwopassengervehicles.RefertoSection8foradditionalinformation.

HarrisNuclearPlant4 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14 ESTIMATIONOFHIGHWAYCAPACITYTheabilityoftheroadnetworktoservicevehicledemandisamajorfactorindetermininghowrapidlyanevacuationcanbecompleted.Thecapacityofaroadisdefinedasthemaximumhourlyrateatwhichpersonsorvehiclescanreasonablybeexpectedtotraverseapointoruniformsectionofalaneofroad wayduringagiventimeperiodunderprevailingroadway,trafficandcontrolconditions,asstatedinthe2010HighwayCapacityManual(HCM2010).Indiscussingcapacity,differentoperatingconditionshavebeenassignedalphabeticaldesignations,AthroughF,toreflecttherangeoftrafficoperationalcharacteristics.Thesedesignationshavebeentermed"LevelsofService"(LOS).Forexample,LOSAconnotesfree flowandhigh speedoperatingconditions;LOSFrepresentsaforcedflowcondition.LOSEdescribestrafficoperatingatornearcapacity.Anotherconcept,closelyassociatedwithcapacity,is"ServiceVolume"(SV).Servicevolumeisdefinedas"Themaximu mhourlyrateatwhichvehicles,bicyclesorpersonsreasonablycanbeexpectedtotraverseapointoruniformsectionofaroadwayduringanhourunderspecificassumedconditionswhilemaintainingadesignatedlevelofservice."Thisdefinitionissimilartothatforcapacity.Themajordistinctionisthatva luesofSVvaryfromoneLOStoanother,whilecapacityistheservicevolumeattheupperboundofLOSE,only.ThisdistinctionisillustratedinExhibit11 17oftheHCM2010.Asindicatedthere,theSVvarieswithFreeFlowSpeed(FFS),andLOS.TheSViscalculatedbytheDYNEVIIsimulationmodel,basedonthespecifiedlinkattributes,FFS,capacity,controldeviceandtrafficdemand.Otherfactorsalsoinfluencecapacity.Theseinclude,butarenotlimitedto: Lanewidth Shoulderwidth Pavementcondition Horizontalandverticalalignment(curvatureandgrade) Percenttrucktraffic Controldevice(andtiming,ifitisasignal) Weatherconditions(rain,snow,fog,windspeed,ice)Thesefactorsareconsideredduringtheroadsurveyandinthecapacityestimationprocess;somefactorshavegreaterinfluenceoncapacitythanothers.Forexample,laneandshoulderwidthhaveonlyalimitedinfluenceonBaseFreeFlowSpeed(BFFS 1)accordingtoExhibit15 7oftheHCM.Consequently,laneandshoulderwidthsatthenarrowestpointswereobservedduringtheroadsurveyandtheseobservationswererecorded,butnodetailedmeasurementsoflaneorshoulderwidthweretaken.HorizontalandverticalalignmentcaninfluencebothFFSandcapacity.TheestimatedFFSweremeasuredusingth esurveyvehicle'sspeedometerandobservinglocaltraffic,underfreeflowconditions.Capacityisestimatedfromtheproceduresof1AveryroughestimateofBFFSmightbetakenasthepostedspeedlimitplus10mph(HCM2010Page1515)

HarrisNuclearPlant4 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1the2010HCM.Forexample,HCMExhibit7 1(b)showsthesensitivityofServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLOSDtograde(capacityistheServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLOSE).AsdiscussedinSection2.3,itisnecessarytoadjustcapacityfigurestorepresenttheprevailingconditionsduringinclementweather.Basedonlimitedempiricaldata,weatherconditionssuchasrainreducethevaluesoffreespeedandofhighwaycapacitybyapproximately10percent.Overthelastdecadenewstudieshavebeenmadeontheeffectsofrainontrafficcapacity.Thesestudiesindicatearangeofeffectsbetween5and20percentdependingonwindspeedandprecipitationrates.AsindicatedinSection2.3,weemployareductioninfreespeedandinhighwaycapacityof10percentand20percentforrainandice,respectively.Sincecongestionarisingfromevacuationmaybesignificant,estimatesofroadwaycapacit ymustbedeterminedwithgreatcare.Becauseofitsimportance,abriefdiscussionofthemajorfactorsthatinfluencehighwaycapacityispresentedinthissection.Ruralhighwaysgenerallyconsistof:(1)oneormoreuniformsectionswithlimitedaccess(driveways,parkingareas)characterizedby"uninterrupted"flow;and(2)approachestoat gradeinters ectionswhereflowcanbe"interrupted"byacontroldeviceorbyturningorcrossingtrafficattheintersection.Duetothesedifferences,separateestimatesofcapacitymustbemadeforeachsection.Often,theapproachtotheintersectioniswidenedbytheadditionofoneormorelanes(turnpocketsortur nbays),tocompensateforthelowercapacityoftheapproachduetothefactorstherethatcaninterrupttheflowoftraffic.TheseadditionallanesarerecordedduringthefieldsurveyandlaterenteredasinputtotheDYNEVIIsystem.4.1 CapacityEstimationsonApproachestoIntersectionsAt gradeintersectionsareapttobecomethefirstbottlenecklocationsunderlocalheavytrafficvolumeconditions.Thischaracteristicreflectstheneedtoallocateaccesstimetotherespectivecompetingtrafficstreamsbyexertingsomeformofcontrol.Duringevacuation,controlatcriticalintersectionswilloftenbeprovidedbytrafficcontrolpersonnelassignedforthatpurpose,whosedirectionsmaysupersedetrafficcontroldevices.Theex istingtrafficmanagementplansdocumentedinthecountyemergencyplansareextensiveandwereupdatedbaseduponconstructionofNC 540TollandthecompletionofJuddPkwyinFuquay Varina.SeeAppendixGformoreinformation.Theper lan ecapacityofanapproachtoasignalizedintersectioncanbeexpressed(simplistically)inthefollowingform:where:

HarrisNuclearPlant4 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Qcap,m=Capacityofasinglelaneoftrafficonanapproach,whichexecutesmovement,m ,uponenteringtheintersection;vehiclesperhour(vph)h m=Meanqueuedischargeheadwayofvehiclesonthislanethatareexecutingmovement,m;secondspervehicleG=MeandurationofGREENtimeservicingvehiclesthatareexecutingmovement,m ,foreachsignalcycle;secondsL=Mean"losttime"foreachsignalphaseservicingmovement,m;secondsC=Durationofeachsignalcycl e;secondsP m=ProportionofGREENtimeallocatedforvehiclesexecutingmovement,m ,fromthislane.Thisvalueisspecifiedaspartofthecontroltreatment.m=Themovementexecutedbyvehiclesaftertheyentertheintersection:through,left turn,right turn,anddiagonal.Theturn movement specificmeandischargeheadwayh m ,dependsinacomplexwayuponmanyfactors:roadwaygeometrics,turnpercentages,theextentofconflictingtrafficstreams,thecontroltreatment,andothers.Aprimaryfactoristhevalueof"saturationqueuedischargeheadway",h sat ,whichappliestothroughvehiclesthatarenotimpededbyotherconflictingtrafficstreams.Thisvalue,itself,dependsuponmanyfactorsincludingmotoristbehavior.Formally,wecanwrite,where:h sat=Saturationdischargeheadwayforthroughvehicles;secondspervehicleF 1 ,F 2=Thevariousknownfactorsinfluencingh mf m ()=Complexfunctionrelatingh mtotheknown(orestimated)valuesofh sat ,F 1 ,F 2 ,-Theestimationofh mforspecifiedvaluesofh sat ,F 1 ,F 2 ,...isundertakenwithintheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelbyamathematicalmodel 2.Theresultingvaluesforh malwayssatisfythecondition:2 Lieberman,E.,"DeterminingLateralDeploymentofTrafficonanApproachtoanIntersection",McShane,W.&Lieberman,E.,"ServiceRatesofMixedTrafficonthefarLeftLaneofanApproach".BothpapersappearinTransportationResearchRecord772,1980.Lieberman,E.,Xin,W.,"MacroscopicTrafficModelingForLarge ScaleEvacuationPlanning",presentedattheTRB2012AnnualMeeting,January22 26,2012 HarrisNuclearPlant4 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Thatis,theturn movement specificdischargeheadwaysarealwaysgreaterthan,orequaltothesaturationdischargeheadwayforthroughvehicles.Theseheadways(oritsinverseequivalent,"saturationflowrate"),maybedeterminedbyobservationorusingtheproceduresoftheHCM2010.TheabovediscussionisnecessarilybriefgiventhescopeofthisETEreportandthecomplexityofthesubjectofintersectioncapacity.Infact,Chapters18,19and20intheHCM2010addressthistopic.Thefactors,F 1 ,F 2 ,-,influencingsaturationflowrateareidentifiedinequation(18 5)oftheHCM2010.ThetrafficsignalswithintheEPZandShadowRegionaremodeledusingrepresentativephasingplansandphasedurationsobtainedaspartofthefielddatacollection.Trafficresponsivesignalinstallationsallowtheproportionofgreentimeallocated(P m)foreachapproachtoeachintersectiontobedeterminedbytheexpectedtrafficvolumesoneachapproachduringevacuationcircumstances.Theamountofgreentime(G)allocatedissubjecttomaximumandminimumphasedurationconstraints;2secondsofyellowtimeareindicatedforeachsignalphaseand1secondofall redtimeisassignedbetweensignalphases,typically.Ifasignalispre timed,theyellowandall redtimesobservedduringtheroadsurveyareused.Alosttime(L)of2.0secondsisusedforeachsignalphaseintheanalysis.4.2 CapacityEstimationalongSectionsofHighwayThecapacit yofhighwaysectionsasdistinctfromapproachestointersectionsisafunctionofroadwaygeometrics,trafficcomposition(e.g.percentheavytrucksandbusesinthetrafficstream)and,ofcourse,motoristbehavior.Thereisafundamentalrelationshipwhichrelatesservicevolume(i.e.thenumberofvehiclesservicedwithinauniformhighwaysectioninagiventimeperiod)totrafficdensity.ThetopcurveinFigure4 1illustratesthisrelationship.Asindicated,therearetw oflowregimes:(1)FreeFlow(leftsideofcurve);and(2)ForcedFlow(rightside).IntheFreeFlowregime,thetrafficdemandisfullyserviced;theservicevolumeincreasesasdemandvolumeanddensityincrease,untiltheservicevolumeattainsit smaximumvalue,whichisthecapacityofthehighwaysection.Astrafficdemandandtheresultinghighwaydensityincreasebeyondthis"critical"value,therateatwhichtrafficcanbeserviced(i.e.theservicevolume)canactuallydeclinebelowcapacity("capacitydrop").Therefore,inordertorealisticallyrepresenttrafficperformanceduringcongestedconditions(i.e.whendemandexceedscapacity),itisnecessarytoestimatetheservicevolume,V F ,undercongestedconditions.ThevalueofV Fcanbeexpressedas:where:R=Reductionfactorwhichislessthanunity HarrisNuclearPlant4 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1WehaveemployedavalueofR=0.90.Theadvisabilityofsuchacapacityreductionfactorisbaseduponempiricalstudiesthatidentifiedafall offintheserviceflowratewhencongestionoccursat"bottlenecks"or"chokepoints"onafreewaysystem.ZhangandLevinson 3describearesearchprogramthatcollecteddatafromacomputer basedsurveillancesystem(loopdetectors)installedontheInterstateHighwaySystem,at27activebottlenecksinthetwincitiesmetroareainMinnesotaovera7 weekperiod.Whenflowbreakdownoccurs,queuesareformedwhichdischargeatlowerflowratesthanthemaximumcapacitypriortoobservedbreakdown.Thesequeuedischargeflow(QDF)ratesvaryfromonelocationtothenextandalsovarybydayofweekandtimeofdaybaseduponlocalcircumstances.ThecitedreferencepresentsameanQDFof2,016passengercarsperhourperlane(pcphpl).Thisfigurecompar eswiththenominalcapacityestimateof2,250pcphplestimatedfortheETEandindicatedinAppendixKforfreewaylinks.Theratioofthesetwonumbersis0.896whichtranslatesintoacapacityreductionfactorof0.90.Sincetheprincipalobjectiveofevacuationtimeestimateanalysesistodevelopa"realistic"estimateofevacuationtimes,useoftherepresentativevalueforthiscapacityreductionfactor(R=0.90)isjustified.Thisfactorisappliedonlywhenflowbreaksdown,asdeterminedbythesimulationmodel.Ruralroads,likefreeways,areclassifiedas"uninterruptedflow"facilities.(Thisisincontrastwithurbanstreetsystemswhichhavecloselyspacedsignalizedinters ectionsandareclassifiedas"interruptedflow"facilities.)Assuch,trafficflowalongruralroadsissubjecttothesameeffectsasfreewaysintheeventtrafficdemandexceedsthenominalcapacity,resultinginqueuingandlowerQDFrates.Asapracticalmatter,ruralroadsrarelybreakdownatlocationsawayfromintersections.Anybreakdownsonruralroadsaregenerallyexperiencedatintersectionswhereothermodellogicapplies,oratlanedropswhichreducecapacitythere.Therefore,theapplicationofafactorof0.90isappropriateonruralroads,butrarely,ifever,activated.Theestimatedvalueofcapacit yisbasedprimarilyuponthetypeoffacilityandonroadwaygeometrics.Sectionsofroadwaywithadversegeometricsarecharacterizedbylowerfree flowspeedsandlanecapacity.Exhibit15 30intheHighwayCapacityManualwasreferencedtoestimatesaturationflowrates.Theimpactofnarrowlanesandshould ersonfree flowspeedandoncapacityisnotmaterial,particularlywhenflowispredominantlyinonedirectionasisthecaseduringanevacuation.Theprocedureusedherewastoestimate"section"capacity,V E ,basedonobservationsmadetravelingovereachsectionoftheevacuationnetwork,basedonthepostedspeedlimitsandtravelbehaviorofothermotoristsandbyreferencetothe2010HCM.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodeldeterminesforeachhighwaysection,representedasanetworklink,whetheritscapacitywouldbelimitedbythe"section specific"servicevolume,V E ,orbytheintersection specificcapacity.Foreachlink,themodelselectsthelowervalueofcapacity.3 LeiZhangandDavidLevinson,"SomePropertiesofFlowsatFreewayBottlenecks,"TransportationResearchRecord1883,2004.

HarrisNuclearPlant4 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14.3 ApplicationtotheHNPStudyAreaAspartofthedevelopmentofthelink nodeanalysisnetworkforthestudyarea,anestimateofroadwaycapacityisrequired.Thesourcematerialforthecapacityestimatespresentedhereiniscontainedin:2010HighwayCapacityManual(HCM)TransportationResearchBoardNationalResearchCouncilWashington,D.C.Thehighwaysysteminthestudyareaconsistsprimarilyofthreecategoriesofroadsand,ofcourse,intersections: Two Laneroads:Local,State Multi LaneHighways(at grade) FreewaysEachoftheseclassificationswillbediscussed.4.3.1 Two LaneRoadsRef:HCMChapter15TwolaneroadscomprisethemajorityofhighwayswithintheEPZ.Theperlanecapacityofatwo lanehighwayisestimatedat1700passengercarsperhour(pc/h).Thisestimateisessentiallyindependentofthedirectionaldistributionoftrafficvolumeexceptthat,forextendeddistances,thetwo waycapacitywillnotexceed3200pc/h.Th eHCMproceduresthenestimateLevelofService(LOS)andAverageTravelSpeed.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelacceptsthespecifiedvalueofcapacityasinputandcomputesaveragespeedbasedonthetime varyingdemand:capacityrelations.Basedonthefieldsurveyandonexpectedtrafficoperationsassociatedwithevacuationscenarios: Mostsectionsoftwo laneroadswithintheEPZareclassifiedas"Clas sI",with"levelterrain";someare"rollingterrain". "ClassII"highwaysaremostlythosewithinurbanandsuburbancenters.4.3.2 Multi LaneHighwayRef:HCMChapter14Exhibit14 2oftheHCM2010presentsasetofcurvesthatindicateaper lanecapacityrangingfromapproximately1900to2200pc/h,forfree speedsof45to60mph,respectively.Basedonobservation,themulti lanehighwaysoutsideofurbanareaswithintheEPZservicetrafficwithfree speedsinthisrang e.Theactualtime varyingspeedscomputedbythesimulationmodelreflectthedemand:capacityrelationshipandtheimpactofcontrolatintersections.A HarrisNuclearPlant4 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1conservativeestimateofper lanecapacityof1900pc/hisadoptedforthisstudyformulti lanehighwaysoutsideofurbanareas,asshowninAppendixK.4.3.3 FreewaysRef:HCMChapters10,11,12,13Chapter10oftheHCM2010describesaprocedureforintegratingtheresultsobtainedinChapters11,12and13,whichcomputecapacityandLOSforfreewa ycomponents.Chapter10alsopresentsadiscussionofsimulationmodels.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelautomaticallyperformsthisintegrationprocess.Chapter11oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapacityandLOSfor"BasicFreewaySegments".Exhibit11 17oftheHCM2010presentscapacit yvs.freespeedestimates,whichareprovidedbelow.FreeSpeed(mph):55606570+Per LaneCapacity(pc/h):2250230023502400Theinputstothesimulationmodelarehighwaygeometrics,free speedsandcapacitybasedonfieldobservations.Thesimulationlogiccalculatesactualtime varyingspeedsbasedondemand:capacityrelationships.Aconservativeestimateofper lanecapacityof2250pc/hisadoptedforthisstudyforfreeways,asshowninAppendixK.Chapter12oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapa city,speed,densityandLOSforfreewayweavingsections.Thesimulationmodelcontainslogicthatrelatesspeedtodemandvolume:capacityratio.ThevalueofcapacityobtainedfromthecomputationalproceduresdetailedinChapter12dependsonthe"Type"andgeometricsoftheweavingsegmentan donthe"VolumeRatio"(ratioofweavingvolumetototalvolume).Chapter13oftheHCM2010presentsproceduresforestimatingcapacitiesoframpsandof"merge"areas.Therearethreesignificantfactorstothedeterminationofcapacityofarampfreewayjunction:Thecapacityofthefreewayimmediatelydownstreamofanon ramporimmediatelyupstreamofanoff ramp;thecapacityoftheramproadway;andthemaximumflowrateenteringtherampinfluencearea.Inmostcases,thefreewaycapacityisthecontrollingfactor.ValuesofthismergeareacapacityarepresentedinExhibit13 8oftheHCM2010,anddependonthenumberoffreewaylanesandonthefreewayfreespeed.RampcapacityispresentedinExhibit13 10andisafunctionoftherampfreeflowspeed.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodellogicsimulatesthemergingoperationsoftherampandfreewaytrafficinaccordwiththeproceduresinCh apter13oftheHCM2010.Ifcongestionresultsfromanexcessofdemandrelativetocapacity,thenthemodelallocatesserviceappropriatelytothetwoenteringtrafficstreamsandproducesLOSFconditions(TheHCMdoesnotaddressLOSFexplicitly).

HarrisNuclearPlant4 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14.3.4 IntersectionsRef:HCMChapters18,19,20,21ProceduresforestimatingcapacityandLOSforapproachestointersectionsarepresentedinChapter18(signalizedintersections),Chapters19,20(un signalizedintersections)andChapter21(roundabouts).Thecomplexityofthesecomputationsisindicatedbytheaggregatelengthofthesechapters.TheDYNEVIIsimulationlogicislikewisecomplex.Thesimulationmodelexplicitlymodelsintersections:Stop/yieldcontrolledintersections(both2 wayandall way)andtrafficsignalcontrolledintersections.Whereintersectionsarecontrolledbyfixedtimecontrollers,trafficsignaltimingsaresettoreflectaverage(non evacuation)trafficconditions.Actuatedtrafficsignalsettingsrespondtothetime varyingdemandsofevacuationtraffictoadjusttherelativecapacitiesofthecompetingintersect ionapproaches.Themodelisalsocapableofmodelingthepresenceofmannedtrafficcontrol.Atspecificlocationswhereitisadvisableorwhereexistingplanscallforoverridingexistingtrafficcontroltoimplementmannedcontrol,themodelwilluseactuat edsignaltimingsthatreflectthepresenceoftrafficguides.Atlocationswhereaspecialtrafficcontrolstrategy(continuousleft turns,contra flowlanes)isused,thestrategyismodeledexplicitly.Whereapplicable,thelocationandtypeoftrafficcontrolfornodesintheevacuationnetworkarenotedinAppendixK.ThecharacteristicsofthetenhighestvolumesignalizedintersectionsaredetailedinAppendixJ.4.4 SimulationandCapacityEstimationChapter6oftheHCMisentitled,"HCMandAlternativeAnalysisTools."Thechapterdiscussestheuseofalternativetoolssuchassimulationmodelingtoevaluatetheoperationalperformanceofhighwaynetworks.AmongthereasonscitedinChap ter6toconsiderusingsimulationasanalternativeanalysistoolis:"ThesystemunderstudyinvolvesagroupofdifferentfacilitiesortravelmodeswithmutualinteractionsinvokingseveralproceduralchaptersoftheHCM.Alternativetoolsareabletoanalyzethesefacilitiesasasinglesystem."ThisstatementsuccinctlydescribestheanalysesrequiredtodeterminetrafficoperationsacrossanareaencompassinganEPZoperatingunderevacuationconditions.Themodelutilizedforthisstudy,DYNEVII,isfurtherdescribedinAppendixC.Itisessentialtorecognizethatsimulationmodelsdonotreplicat ethemethodologyandproceduresoftheHCM-theyreplacetheseproceduresbydescribingthecomplexinteractionsoftrafficflowandcomputingMeasuresofEffectiveness(MOE)detailingtheoperationalperformanceoftrafficovertimeandbylocation.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelincludessomeHCM2010proceduresonlyforthepurposeofestimatingcapacity.Allsimulationmodelsmustbecalibratedproperlywithfieldobservationsthatquantifytheperformanceparametersapplicabletotheanalysisnetwork.Twoofthemostimportantof HarrisNuclearPlant4 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1theseare:(1)Freeflowspeed(FFS);and(2)saturationheadway,h sat.Thefirstoftheseisestimatedbydirectobservationduringtheroadsurvey;thesecondisestimatedusingtheconceptsoftheHCM2010,asdescribedearlier.TheseparametersarelistedinAppendixK,foreachnetworklink.

HarrisNuclearPlant4 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure4 1.FundamentalDiagrams HarrisNuclearPlant5 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15 ESTIMATIONOFTRIPGENERATIONTIMEFederalGovernmentguidelines(seeNUREG/CR 7002)specifythattheplannerestimatethedistributionsofelapsedtimesassociatedwithmobilizationactivitiesundertakenbythepublictopreparefortheevacuationtrip.Theelapsedtimeassociatedwitheachactivityisrepresentedasastatisticaldistributionreflectingdifferencesbetweenmembersofthepublic.Thequantificationoftheseactivity baseddistributionsrelieslargelyontheresultsofthetelephonesurvey.WedefinethesumofthesedistributionsofelapsedtimesastheTripGenerationTimeDistribution.5.1 BackgroundAsaPlanningBasis,wewilladoptaconservativeposture,inaccordancewithSection1.2ofNUREG/CR 7002,thatarapidlyescalatingeventattheplantwhereinevacuationisorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplementedwillbeconsideredincalculatingtheTripGenerationTime.Wewillassume:1. TheAdvisorytoEvacuatewillbeannouncedcoincidentwiththesirennotification.2. Mobilizationofthegeneralpopulationwillcommencewithin15minutesafterthesirennotification.3. ETEaremeasuredrelativetotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Weemphasizethattheadoptionofthisplanningbasisisnotarepresentationthattheseeventswilloccurwithintheindicatedtimeframe.Rather,theseassumptionsarenecessaryinorderto:1. EstablishatemporalframeworkforestimatingtheTripGenerationdistributionintheformatrecommendedinSection2.13ofNUREG/CR 6863.2. Identifytemporalpointsofreferencethatuniquelydefine"ClearTime"andETE.Forexample,supposeonehourelapsesfromthesirenalerttotheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Inthi scase,itisreasonabletoexpectsomedegreeofspontaneousevacuationbythepublicduringthisone hourperiod.Asaresult,thepopulationwithintheEPZwillbelowerwhentheAdvisorytoEvacuateisannounced,thanatthetimeofthesirenal ert.Inaddition,manywillengageinpreparationactivitiestoevacuate,inanticipationthatanAdvisorywillbebroadcast.Thus,thetimeneededtocompletethemobilizationactivitiesandthenumberofpeopleremainingtoevacuatetheEPZaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate,willbothbesomewhatlessthantheestimatespresentedinthisreport.Consequently,theETEpresentedinthisreportarelikelytobehigherthantheactualevacuationtime,ifthishypotheticalsituationweretotakeplace.Thenotificationprocessconsistsoftwoevents:1. TransmittinginformationusingthealertandnotificationsystemsavailablewithintheEPZ(e.g.sirens,tonealerts,EASbroadcasts,loudspeakers).2. Receivingandcorrectlyinterpretingtheinformationthatistransmitted.ThepopulationwithintheEPZisdispersedoveranareaof330squaremilesandisengagedina HarrisNuclearPlant5 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1widevarietyofactivities.Itmustbeanticipatedthatsometimewillelapsebetweenthetransmissionandreceiptoftheinformationadvisingthepublicofanaccident.Theamountofelapsedtimewillvaryfromoneindividualtothenextdependingonwherethatpersonis,whatthatpersonisdoing,andrelatedfactors.Furthermore,somepersonswhowillbedirectlyinvolvedwiththeevac uationprocessmaybeoutsidetheEPZatthetimetheemergencyisdeclared.Thesepeoplemaybecommuters,shoppersandothertravelerswhoresidewithintheEPZandwhowillreturntojointheotherhouseholdmembersuponreceivin gnotificationofanemergency.AsindicatedinSection2.13ofNUREG/CR 6863,theestimatedelapsedtimesforthereceiptofnotificationcanbeexpressedasadistributionreflectingthedifferentnotificationtimesfordifferentpeoplewithin,andoutside,theEPZ.Byusingtimedistributions,itisalsopossibletodistinguishbetweendifferentpopulationgroupsanddifferentday of weekandtime of dayscenarios,sothataccurateETEmaybecomputed.Forexample,peopleathomeoratworkwithintheEPZwillbenotifiedbysiren,and/ortonealertand/orradio(ifavailable).ThosewelloutsidetheEPZwillbenotifiedbyteleph one,radio,TVandword of mouth,withpotentiallylongertimelags.Furthermore,thespatialdistributionoftheEPZpopulationwilldifferwithtimeofdayfamilieswillbeunitedintheevenings,butdispersedduringtheday.Inthisrespect,weekendswilldifferfromweekdays.AsindicatedinSection4.1ofNUREG/CR 7002,theinformationrequiredtocomputetripgenerationtimesistypicallyobtainedfromatelephonesurveyofEPZresidents.SuchasurveywasconductedinsupportofthisETEstudy.AppendixFpresentsthesurveysamplingplan,surveyinstrument,andrawsurveyresults.TheremainingdiscussionwillfocusontheapplicationofthetripgenerationdataobtainedfromthetelephonesurveytothedevelopmentoftheETEdocumentedinthisreport.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.2 FundamentalConsiderationsTheenvironmentleadinguptothetimethatpeoplebegintheirevacuationtripsconsistsofasequenceofeventsandactivities.Eachevent(otherthanthefirst)occursataninstantintimeandistheoutcomeofanactivity.Activitiesareundertakenoveraperiodoftime.Activitiesmaybein"series"(i.e.toundertakeanactivityimpliesthecompletionofallprecedingevents)ormaybeinparallel(twoormoreactivitiesmaytakeplaceoverthesameperiodoftime).Activitiesconductedinseriesarefunctionallydependentonthecom pletionofprioractivities;activitiesconductedinparallelarefunctionallyindependentofoneanother.Therelevanteventsassociatedwiththepublic'spreparationforevacuationare:EventNumberEventDescription1Notification2AwarenessofSituation3DepartWork4ArriveHome5DepartonEvacuationTripAssociatedwitheachsequenceofeventsareoneormoreactivities,asoutlinedbelow:Table5 1.EventSequenceforEvacuationActivitiesEventSequenceActivityDistribution12ReceiveNotification 123PreparetoLeaveWork 22,34TravelHome 32,45PreparetoLeavetoEvacuate 4 TheserelationshipsareshowngraphicallyinFigure5 1. AnEventisa'state'thatexistsatapointintime(e.g.,departwork,arrivehome) AnActivityisa'process'thattakesplaceoversomeelapsedtime(e.g.,preparetoleavework,travelhome)Assuch,acompletedActivitychangesthe'state'ofanindividual(e.g.theactivity,'travelhome'changesthestatefrom'departwork'to'arrivehome').Therefore,anActivitycanbedescribedasan'EventSequence';theelapsedtimestoperformaneventsequencevaryfromonepersontothenextandaredescribedasstatisticaldistributionsonthefollowingpages.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1AnemployeewholivesoutsidetheEPZwillfollowsequence(c)ofFigure5 1.AhouseholdwithintheEPZthathasoneormorecommutersatwork,andwillawaittheirreturnbeforebeginningtheevacuationtripwillfollowthefirstsequenceofFigure5 1(a).AhouseholdwithintheEPZthathasnocommutersatwork,orthatwillnotawaitthereturnofanycommuters,willfollowthesecondsequenceofFigure5 1(a),regardlessofdayofweekortimeofday.Householdswithnocommutersonweekendsorintheevening/night time,willfollowtheapplicablesequenceinFigure5 1(b).Transientswillalwaysfollowon eofthesequencesofFigure5 1(b).Sometransientsawayfromtheirresidencecouldelecttoevacuateimmediatelywithoutreturningtotheresidence,asindicatedinthesecondsequence.ItisseenfromFigure5 1,thattheTripGenerationtime(i.e.thetotalelapsedtimefromEvent1toEvent5)dependsonthescenarioandwillvaryfromonehouseholdtothenext.Furthermore,Event5depends,inacomplicatedway,onthetimedistributionsofallactivitiesprecedingthatevent.Thatis,toestimatethetimedistributionofEvent5,wemustobtainestimatesofthetimedistributionsofallprecedingevents.Forthi sstudy,weadopttheconservativeposturethatallactivitieswilloccurinsequence.Insomecases,assumingcertaineventsoccurstrictlysequential(forinstance,commuterreturninghomebeforebeginningpreparationtoleave)canresultinratherconservative(thatis,longer)estimatesofmobilizationtimes.Itisreasonabletoexpectthatatleastsomepartsoftheseeventswilloverlapformanyhouseholds,butthatassumptionisnotmadeinthisstudy.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 1.EventsandActivitiesPrecedingtheEvacuationTripHouseholds wait for Commuters 1 Residents 12345EVENTS 1. Notification 2. Aware of situation 3. Depart work 4. Arrive home 5. Depart on evacuation trip (a) Accident occurs during midweek, at midday; year round Households without Commuters and households who do not wait for Commuters Residents 125Residents, Transients at Residence 125 (b) Accident occurs during weekend or during the evening 2 (c) Employees who live outside the EPZ Residents, Transients away from Residence 124 5 123,5Return to residence, then evacuate Residents at home; transients evacuate directly 1 Applies for evening and weekends also if commuters are at work.

2 Applies throughout the year for transients.

1. ACTIVITIES 1 2 Receive Notification 2 3 Prepare to Leave Work 2, 3 4 Travel Home 2, 4 5 Prepare to Leave to Evacuate Activities Consume Time HarrisNuclearPlant5 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.3 EstimatedTimeDistributionsofActivitiesPrecedingEvent5Thetimedistributionofaneventisobtainedby"summing"thetimedistributionsofallpriorcontributingactivities.(This"summing"processisquitedifferentthananalgebraicsumsinceitisperformedondistributions-notscalarnumbers).TimeDistributionNo.1,NotificationProcess:Activity12Inaccordancewiththe2012FederalEmergencyManagementAgency(FEMA)RadiologicalEmergencyPreparednessProgramManual,100%ofthepopulationisnotifiedwithin45minutes.Itisassumed(basedonthepresenceofsirenswithintheEPZ)thatabout87percentofthosewithintheEPZwillbeawareoftheaccidentwithin30minuteswiththeremaindernotifiedwithinthefollowing15minutes.Thenotificationdistributionisgivenbelow:Table5 2.TimeDistributionforNotifyingthePublicElapsedTime(Minutes)PercentofPopulationNotified0 0.0%5 7.1%10 13.3%15 26.5%20 46.9%25 66.3%30 86.7%35 91.8%40 96.9%45 100.0%

HarrisNuclearPlant5 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.2,PreparetoLeaveWork:Activity23ItisreasonabletoexpectthatthevastmajorityofbusinessenterpriseswithintheEPZwillelecttoshutdownfollowingnotificationandmostemployeeswouldleaveworkquickly.Commuters,whoworkoutsidetheEPZcould,inallprobability,alsoleavequicklysincefacilitiesoutsidetheEPZwouldremainopenandotherpersonnelwouldremain.Personnelorfarmersre sponsibleforequipment/livestockwouldrequireadditionaltimetosecuretheirfacility.ThedistributionofActivity23showninTable5 3reflectsdataobtainedbythetelephonesurvey.Thisdistributionisalsoapplicableforresidentstoleavestores,restaurants,parksandotherlocationswithintheEPZ.Thisdi stributionisplottedinFigure5 2.Table5 3.TimeDistributionforEmployeestoPreparetoLeaveWorkElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentEmployeesLeavingWorkElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentEmployeesLeavingWork00.0%4090.0%542.9%4592.2%1063.7%5092.6%1575.4%5592.6%2079.8%6098.8%2580.6%7599.2%3088.6%90100.0%3589.2%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response.Thatis,thesamplewasreducedinsizetoincludeonlythosehouseholdswhorespondedtothisquestion.Theunderlyingassumptionisthatthedistributionofthisactivityforthe"Don'tknow"responders,iftheeventtakesplace,wouldbethesameasthoseresponderswhoprovidedestimates.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.3,TravelHome:Activity34Thesedataareprovideddirectlybythosehouseholdswhichrespondedtothetelephonesurvey.ThisdistributionisplottedinFigure5 2andlistedinTable5 4.Table5 4.TimeDistributionforCommuterstoTravelHomeElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentReturningHomeElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentReturningHome00.0%4087.3%59.0%4594.0%1022.4%5094.8%1534.6%5594.8%2050.8%6098.7%2557.4%7599.8%3078.5%90100.0%3580.9%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response

HarrisNuclearPlant5 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DistributionNo.4,PreparetoLeaveHome:Activity2,45Thesedataareprovideddirectlybythosehouseholdswhichrespondedtothetelephonesurvey.ThisdistributionisplottedinFigure5 2andlistedinTable5 5.Table5 5.TimeDistributionforPopulationtoPreparetoEvacuateElapsedTime(Minutes)CumulativePercentReadytoEvacuate00.0%1515.8%3056.4%4565.3%6079.8%7587.2%9088.7%10589.2%12093.7%13597.6%15098.0%16598.0%18098.7%195100.0%NOTE:Thesurveydatawasnormalizedtodistributethe"Don'tknow"response HarrisNuclearPlant5 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 2.EvacuationMobilizationActivities0%10%20%30%40%

50%

60%70%80%

90%100%0153045607590105120135150165180195

%ofHouseholdsCompletingActivityElapsedTimefromStartofMobilizationActivity(min)MobilizationActivitiesNotification PreparetoLeaveWork TravelHome PrepareHome HarrisNuclearPlant5 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.4 CalculationofTripGenerationTimeDistributionThetimedistributionsforeachofthemobilizationactivitiespresentedhereinmustbecombinedtoformtheappropriateTripGenerationDistributions.Asdiscussedabove,thisstudyassumesthatthestatedeventstakeplaceinsequencesuchthatallprecedingeventsmustbecompletedbeforethecurrenteven tcanoccur.Forexample,ifahouseholdawaitsthereturnofacommuter,thework to hometrip(Activity34)mustprecedeActivity45.Tocalculatethetimedistributionofaneventthatisdependentontwosequentialactivities,itisnecessaryto"sum"thedistributionsassociatedwiththeseprioractivities.Thedistributionsummingalgorithmisappliedrepeatedlyasshowntoformtherequireddistribution.Asanoutcomeofthisprocedure,newtimedistributionsareformed;weassign"letter"designationstotheseintermediatedistributionstodescribetheprocedure.Table5 6presentsthesummingpr oceduretoarriveateachdesignateddistribution.Table5 6.MappingDistributionstoEventsApply"Summing"AlgorithmTo:DistributionObtainedEventDefinedDistributions1and2DistributionAEvent3DistributionsAand3DistributionBEvent4DistributionsBand4DistributionCEvent5Distributions1and4DistributionDEvent5Table5 7presentsadescriptionofeachofthefinaltripgenerationdistributionsachievedafterthesummingprocessiscompleted.Table5 7.DescriptionoftheDistributionsDistributionDescriptionATimedistributionofcommutersdepartingplaceofwork(Event3).AlsoappliestoemployeeswhoworkwithintheEPZwholiveoutside,andtoTransientswithintheEPZ.BTimedistributionofcommutersarrivinghome(Event4).CTimedistributionofresidentswithcommuterswhoreturnhome,leavinghometobegintheevacuationtrip(Event5).DTimedistributionofresidentswithoutcommutersreturninghome,leavinghometobegintheevacuationtrip(Event5).

HarrisNuclearPlant5 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.4.1 StatisticalOutliersAsalreadymentioned,someportionofthesurveyrespondentsanswer"don'tknow"tosomequestionsorchoosetonotrespondtoaquestion.Themobilizationactivitydistributionsarebaseduponactualresponses.But,itisthenatureofsurveysthatafewnumericresponsesareinconsistentwiththeoverallpatternofresults.Anexamplewouldbeacaseinwhichfor500responses,almostallofthemestimatelessthantwohoursforagivenanswer,but3say"fourhours"and4say"sixormorehours".These"outliers"mustbeconsidered:aretheyvalidresponses,orsoatypicalthattheyshouldbedroppedfromthesample?Inassessingoutliers,therearethreealternatestoconsider:1)Someresponseswithverylongtimesmaybevalid,butreflecttherealitythattherespondentreallyneedstobeclassifiedinadifferentpopulationsubgroup,baseduponspecialneeds;2)Otherresponse smaybeunrealistic(6hourstoreturnhomefromcommutingdistance,or2daystopreparethehomefordeparture);3)Somehighvaluesarerepresentativeandplausible,andonemustnotcutthemaspartoftheconsiderationofoutliers.Theissueofcourseishowtomakethedecisionthatagivenresponseorsetofresponsesaretobeconsidered"outliers"forthecomponentmobilizationactivities,usingamethodthatobjectivelyquantifiestheprocess.Thereisconsiderablestatisticalliteratureontheidentificationandtreatmentofoutlierssinglyoringroups,muchofwhichassumesthedataisnormallydistributedandsomeofwhichusesnonparametricmethodstoavoidthatassumption.Theliteraturecitesthatlimitedworkhasbeendonedirectlyonoutliersinsamplesurveyresponses.Inestablishingtheoverallmobilizationtime/tripgenerationdistributions,thefollowingprinciplesareused:1) Itisrecognizedthattheoveralltripgenerationdistributionsareconservativeestimates,becausetheyassumeahouseholdwilldothemobilizationactivitiessequentially,withnooverlapofactivities;2) Theindividualmobilizationactivities(preparetoleavework,travelhome,preparehome)arereviewedforoutliers,andthentheoveralltripgenerationdistributionsarecreated(seeFigure5 1,Table5 6,Table57);3) Outlierscanbeeliminatedeitherbecausetheresponsereflectsaspecialpopulation(e.g.specialneeds,transitdependent)orlackofrealism,becausethepurposeistoestimatetripgenerationpatternsforpersonalvehicles; HarrisNuclearPlant5 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.14) Toeliminateoutliers,a) themeanandstandarddeviationofthespecificactivityareestimatedfromtheresponses,b) themedianofthesamedataisestimated,withitspositionrelativetothemeannoted,c) thehistogramofthedataisinspected,andd) allvaluesgreaterthan3.5standarddeviationsareflaggedforattention,takingspecialnoteofwhethertherearegaps(categorieswithzeroentries)inthehistogramdisplay.Ingeneral,onlyflaggedvaluesmorethan4standarddeviationsfromthemeanareallowedtobeconsideredoutliers,withgapsinthehistogramexpected.Whenflaggedvaluesareclassifiedasoutliersanddropped,steps"a"to"d"arerepeated.5) Asapracticalmatter,evenwithoutlierseliminatedbytheabove,theresultanthistogram,viewedasacumulativedistribution,isnotanormaldistribution.AtypicalsituationthatresultsisshownbelowinFigure5 3.

0.0%10.0%20.0%

30.0%

40.0%50.0%60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%100.0%2.5 7.512.5 17.5 22.527.532.5 37.542.547.5 52.557.567.582.597.5112.5 CumulativePercentage(%)CenterofInterval(minutes)CumulativeData CumulativeNormalFigure5 3.ComparisonofDataDistributionandNormalDistribution HarrisNuclearPlant5 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.16) Inparticular,thecumulativedistributiondiffersfromthenormaldistributionintwokeyaspects,bothveryimportantinloadinganetworktoestimateevacuationtimes: Mostoftherealdataistotheleftofthe"normal"curveabove,indicatingthatthenetworkloadsfasterforthefirst80 85%ofthevehicles,potentiallycausingmore(andearlier)congestionthanotherwisemodeled; Thelast10 15%oftherealdata"tailsoff"slowerthanthecomparable"normal"curve,indicatingthatthereissignificanttrafficstillloadingatlatertimes.Becausethesetwofeaturesareimportanttopreserve,itisthehistogramofthedatathatisusedtodescribethemobilizationactivities,nota"normal"curvefittothedata.Onecouldconsiderotherdistributions,butusingtheshapeoftheactualdatacurveisunambiguousandpreservestheseimportantfeatures;7) WiththemobilizationactivitieseachmodeledaccordingtoSteps1 6,includingpreservingthefeaturescitedinStep6,theoverall(ortotal)mobilizationtimesareconstructed.Thisisdonebyusingthedatasetsanddistributionsunderdifferentscenarios(e.g.commuterreturning,nocommuterreturningineach).Ingeneral,theseareadditive,usingweightingbasedupontheprobabilitydistributionsofeachelement;Figure5 4presentsthecombinedtripgenerationdistributionsdesignatedA,CandD.Thesedistributionsarepresentedonthesametimescale.(Asdiscussedearlier,theuseofstrictlyadditiveactivitiesisaconservativeapproach,becauseitmakesallactivitiessequential-preparationfordeparturefollowsthereturnofthecommuter,andsoforth.Inpractice,itisreasonablethatsomeoftheseactivitiesaredoneinparallel,atleasttosomeextent-forinstance,preparationtodepartbeginsbyahouseholdmemberathomewhilethecommuterisstillontheroad.)Themobilizationdistributionsthatresultareusedintheirtabular/graphicalformasdirectinputstolatercomputationsthatleadtotheETE.TheDYNEVIIsimulationmodelisdesignedtoacceptvaryingratesofvehicletripgenerationforeachorigincentroid,expressedintheformofhistograms.Thesehistograms,whichrepresentDistributionsA,CandD,properlydisplacedwithrespecttooneanother ,aretabulatedinTable5 8(DistributionB,ArriveHome,omittedforclarity).Thefinaltimeperiod(15)is600minuteslong.Thistimeperiodisaddedtoallowtheanalysisnetworktoclear,intheeventcongestionpersistsbeyondthetripgenerationperiod.Notethattherearenotripsgeneratedduringthisfinaltimeperiod.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.15.4.2 StagedEvacuationTripGenerationAsdefinedinNUREG/CR 7002,stagedevacuationconsistsofthefollowing:1. Sub Zonescomprisingthe2mileregionareadvisedtoevacuateimmediately2. Sub Zonescomprisingregionsextendingfrom2to5milesdownwindareadvisedtoshelterin placewhilethe2mileregioniscleared3. Asvehiclesevacuatethe2mileregion,shelteredpeoplefrom2to5milesdownwindcontinuepreparationforevacuation4. Thepopulationshelteringinthe2to5mileregionareadvisedtobeginevacuatingwhenapproximately90%ofthoseoriginallywithinthe2mileregionevacuateacrossthe2mileregionboundary5. Non compliancewiththeshelterrecommendationisthesameastheshadowevacuationpercentageof20%Assumptions1. TheEPZpopulationinSub Zonesbeyond5mileswillreactasdoesthepopulationinthe2to5mileregion;thatistheywillfirstshelter,thenevacuateafterthe90 thpercentileETEforthe2mileregion2. ThepopulationintheshadowregionbeyondtheEPZboundary,extendingtoapproximately15milesradiallyfromtheplant,willreactastheydoforallnonstagedevacuationscenarios.Thatis20%ofthesehouseholdswillelecttoevacuatewithnoshelterdelay.3. Thetransientpopulationwillnotbeexpectedtostagetheirevacuationbecauseofthelimitedshelteringoptionsavailabletopeoplewhomaybeatparks,onabeach,oratothervenues.Also,notifyingthetransientpopulationofastagedevacuationwouldprovedifficult.4. Employeeswillalsobeassumedtoevacuatewithoutfirstsheltering.Procedure1. Tripgenerationforpopulationgroupsinthe2mileregionwillbeascomputedbasedupontheresultsofthetelephonesurveyandanalysis.2. Tripgenerationforthepopulationsubjecttostagedevacuationwillbeformulatedasfollows:a. Identifythe90 thpercentileevacuationtimefortheSubZonescomprisingthetwomileregion.Thisvalue,T Scen*,isobtainedfromsimulationresults.Itwillbecomethetimeatwhichtheregionbeingshelteredwillbetoldtoevacuateforeachscenario.b. Theresultanttripgenerationcurvesforstagingarethenformedasfollows:i. Thenonsheltertripgenerationcurveisfolloweduntilamaximumof20%ofthetotaltrip saregenerated(toaccountforshelternon compliance).

HarrisNuclearPlant5 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ii. NoadditionaltripsaregenerateduntiltimeT Scen*iii. FollowingtimeT Scen*,thebalanceoftripsaregenerated:1. bysteppingupandthenfollowingthenonsheltertripgenerationcurve(ifTScen*is<maxtripgenerationtime)or2. bysteppingupto100%(ifT Scen*is>maxtripgenerationtime)c. Note:Thisprocedureimpliesthattheremaybedifferentstagedtripgenerationdistributionsfordifferentscenarios,however,thatwasnotthecaseforthissite.NUREG/CR 7002usesthestatement"approximately90 thpercentile"asthetimetoendstagingandbeginevacuating.ThevalueofTScen*is1:00forallscenarios.d. Note:Sinceapproximately90%ofthe2mileregion(Sub ZoneA)iscomprisedofemployeesandtransients,theTScen*valueof1:00isdictatedbythetripgenerationofthesepopulationgroupsasopposedtothetripgenerationofresidents.3. Stagedtripgenerationdistributionsarecreatedforthefollowingpopulationgroups:a. Residentswithreturningcommutersb. ResidentswithoutreturningcommutersFigure5 5presentsthestagedtripgenerationdistributionsforbothresidentswithandwithoutreturningcommutersandemployees/transients;the90 thpercentiletwo mileevacuationtimeisapproximately1hourforallscenarios.Atthe90 thpercentileevacuationtime,20%ofthepopulation(whonormallywouldhavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivitiesforanun stagedevacuation)advisedtoshelterhasneverthelessdepartedthearea.Thesepeopledonotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory.Alsoincludedontheplotarethetripgenerationdistributionsforthesegroupsasappliedtotheregionsadvisedtoevacuateimmediately.Sincethe90 thpercentileevacuationtimeoccursbeforetheendofthetripgenerationtime,aftertheshelteredregionisadvisedtoevacuate,thesheltertripgenerationdistributionrisestomeetthebalanceofthenonstagedtripgenerationdistribution.FollowingtimeTScen*,thebalanceofstagedevacuationtripsthatarereadytodepartarereleasedwithin15minutes.AfterT Scen*+15,theremainderofevacuationtripsaregeneratedinaccordancewiththeunstagedtripgenerationdistribution.Table5 9providesthetripgenerationhistogramsforstagedevacuation.5.4.3 TripGenerationforWaterwaysandRecreationalAreasAppendix2toAnnexGoftheNorthCarolinaRadiologicalEmergencyResponsePlan(January2012)establishesthebasicproceduresandorganizationalresponsibilitiesfortheemergencyalertandnotificationonHarrisandJordanLakes,theHaw,DeepandCapeFearRiversinadditiontoassociatedrecreationalsites,surroundingareasandotherfacilitieswithinthe10 mileEPZ.IndividualsonJordanLake,UpperCapeFear,DeepandHawRiverswillbenotifiedbytheChatha mCountyEmergencyManagementOffice,assistedbytheMoncureFireDepartment,NCWildlifeResourcesCommission,NCDepartmentofEnvironmentandNaturalResources(DENR),UnitedStatesArmyCorpsofEngineers(USACE)fromB.EverettJordanLakeandDamfieldofficeandtheCommunicationsandLogisticsSectionandSpecial HarrisNuclearPlant5 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Operations/AviationUnitoftheNCHighwayPatrol.IndividualsonHarrisLakewillbenotifiedbytheWakeCountyEmergencyManagement,assistedbytheWakeCountySheriff'sDepartment,CommunicationsandLogisticsSectionandSpecialOperations/AviationUnitoftheNCHighwayPatrol,ChathamCountyEmergencyManagementOfficeandNCWildlifeResourcesCommission.IndividualsontheLowerCapeFearRiverwillbenotifiedbyHarnettCountyEmergencyManagement,assistedbytheCommunicationsandLogisticsSectionandSpecialOperations/AviationUnitoftheNCHighwayPatrol.AsindicatedinTable5 2,thisstudyassumes100%notificationin45minuteswhichisconsistentwiththeFEMAREPManual.Table5 8indicatesthatalltransientswillhavemobilizedwithin1hour45minutes.Itisassumedthatthistimeframeissufficienttimeforboaters,campersan dothertransientstoreturntotheirvehiclesorlodgingfacilitiesandbegintheirevacuationtrip.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table5 8.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforUn stagedEvacuationTimePeriodDuration(Min)PercentofTotalTripsGeneratedWithinIndicatedTimePeriodEmployees(DistributionA)Transients(DistributionA)ResidentswithCommuters(DistributionC)ResidentsWithoutCommuters(DistributionD)1157%7%0%1%21535%35%0%9%31534%34%2%24%41513%13%8%24%5155%5%15%14%6154%4%18%10%7152%2%15%5%8150%0%13%2%9150%0%8%3%10300%0%10%5%11300%0%6%1%12300%0%3%2%13150%0%1%0%14300%0%1%0%156000%0%0%0%NOTE: Shadowvehiclesareloadedontotheanalysisnetwork(Figure1 2)usingDistributionCforgoodweather. SpecialeventvehiclesareloadedusingDistributionA.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 4.ComparisonofTripGenerationDistributions0 20 40 60 801000306090120150180210240270

%ofPopulationBeginningEvacuationTripElapsedTimefromEvacuatingAdvisory(min)TripGenerationDistributions Employees/TransientsResidentswithCommutersResidentswithnoCommuters HarrisNuclearPlant5 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table5 9.TripGenerationHistogramsfortheEPZPopulationforStagedEvacuationTimePeriodDuration(Min)PercentofTotalTripsGeneratedWithinIndicatedTimePeriod*ResidentswithCommuters(DistributionC)ResidentsWithoutCommuters(DistributionD)1150%0%2150%2%3150%5%4152%5%51523%60%61518%10%71515%5%81513%2%9158%3%103010%5%11306%1%12303%2%13151%0%14301%0%156000%0%*TripGenerationforEmployeesandTransients(seeTable5 8)isthesameforUn stagedandStagedEvacuation.

HarrisNuclearPlant5 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure5 5.ComparisonofStagedandUn stagedTripGenerationDistributionsinthe2to5MileRegion0 20 40 60 801000306090120150180210240270

%ofPopulationBeginningEvacuationTripElapsedTimefromEvacuatingAdvisory(min)StagedandUnstagedEvacuationTripGeneration Employees/TransientsResidentswithCommutersResidentswithnoCommutersStagedResidentswithCommutersStagedResidentswithnoCommuters HarrisNuclearPlant6 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.16 DEMANDESTIMATIONFOREVACUATIONSCENARIOSAnevacuation"case"definesacombinationofEvacuationRegionandEvacuationScenario.Thedefinitionsof"Region"and"Scenario"areasfollows:RegionAgroupingofcontiguousevacuatingSub Zonesthatformseithera"keyhole"sector basedarea,oracircularareawithintheEPZ,thatmustbeevacuatedinresponsetoaradiologicalemergenc y.ScenarioAcombinationofcircumstances,includingtimeofday,dayofweek,season,andweatherconditions.Scenariosdefinethenumberofpeopleineachoftheaffectedpopulationgroupsandtheirrespectivemobilizationtimedistributions.Adescriptionofeachscenarioisprovidedbelow:1. SummerMidweekMidday(normal):ThisscenariorepresentsatypicalnormalweatherdaytimeperiodwhenpermanentresidentsaregenerallydispersedwithintheEPZperformingdailyactivitiesandmajorworkplacesareattypicaldaytimelevels.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;summerschoolisinsession;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragesummerlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareataveragesummerdaytimelevels.2. SummerMidweekMidday(adverse):ThisscenariorepresentsanadverseweatherdaytimeperiodwhenpermanentresidentsaregenerallydispersedwithintheEPZperformingdailyactivitiesandmajorworkplacesareattypicaldaytimelevels.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;summerschoolsareinsession;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragesummerlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareataveragesummerdaytimelevels.3. SummerWeekendMidday(normal):ThisscenariorepresentsatypicalnormalweatherweekendperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarebothathomeanddispersedwithintheEPZperformingtypicalsummerweekendactivities.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathomeorwiththeirfamilies;workplacesarestaffedattypicalweek endlevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragesummerweekendlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareataveragesummerweekendlevels.4. SummerWeekendMidday(adverse):Thisscenariorepresentsanadverse(rain)weatherweekendperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarebothathomeanddispersedwithintheEPZperformingtypicalsummerweekendactivities.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathomeorwiththeirfamilies;workplacesarestaffedattypicalweekendlevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataverage HarrisNuclearPlant6 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1summerweekendlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareataveragesummerweekendlevels.5. SummerMidweekandWeekendEvening(normal):ThisscenariorepresentsatypicalnormalweathermidweekandweekendeveningperiodwhenpermanentresidentsaregenerallyathomewithfewerdispersedwithintheEPZperformingeveningactivities.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathome;workplacesarestaffedattypicaleveninglevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragesummerlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareataveragesummereveninglevels.Externaltrafficisreduced.6. WinterMidweekMidday(normal):Thisscenariorepresent satypicalnormalweatherweekdayperiodduringthewinterwhenschoolisinsessionandtheworkforceisatafulldaytimelevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;studentswillevacuatedirectlyfromtheschools;workplacesar efullystaffedattypicaldaytimelevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterdaytimelevels.7. WinterMidweekMidday(adverse):Thisscenariorepresentsanadverse(rain)weatherweekdayperiodduringthewinterwhenschoolisinsessionandthewor kforceisatafulldaytimelevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;studentswillevacuatedirectlyfromtheschools;workplacesarefullystaffedattypicaldaytimelevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterdaytimelevels.8. WinterMidweekMidday(adverse):Thisscenariorepresentsanadverse(ice)weatherweekdayperiodduringthewinterwhenschoolisinsessionandtheworkforceisatafulldaytimelevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;studentswillevacuatedirectlyfromtheschools;workplacesar efullystaffedattypicaldaytimelevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterdaytimelevels.9. WinterWeekendMidday(normal):ThisscenarioreflectsatypicalnormalweatherwinterweekendperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarebothathomeanddispersedwithintheEPZ,andtheworkforceisataweekendlevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathome;workplacesarestaffedattypicalweek endlevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterweekendlevelsandrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterweekendlevels.10. WinterWeekendMidday(adverse):Thisscenarioreflectsanadverse(rain)weatherwinterweekendperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarebothathomeanddispersedwithintheEPZ,andtheworkforceisataweek endlevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence; HarrisNuclearPlant6 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathome;workplacesarestaffedattypicalweekendlevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterweekendlevelsandrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterweekendlevels.11. WinterWeekendMidday(adverse):Thisscenarioreflectsanadverse(ice)weatherwinterweekendperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarebot hathomeanddispersedwithintheEPZ,andtheworkforceisataweekendlevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathome;workplacesarestaffedattypicalweekendlevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterweekendlevelsandrecreationalfacilitiesareatwinterweekendlevels.12. WinterMidweekandWeekendEvening(normal):Thisscenarioreflectsatypicalnormalmidweekandweekendeveningperiodwhenpermanentresidentsarehomeandtheworkforceisatanighttimelevel.Thisscenarioincludesassumptionsthatpermanentresidentswillevacuatefromtheirplaceofresidence;schoolsareclosedandstudentsareathome;workplacesarestaffedattypicalnighttimelevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedataveragewinterlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareatwintereveninglevels.13. SpecialEvent,SummerWeekendEvening(normal):ThisscenarioreflectsaspecialeventactivitywherepeaktouristpopulationsarepresentwithintheEPZ.AssumptionsmadeareindicatedinSection3.7.ThepopulationattendingtheeventisdevelopedconsideringbothtransientsandpermanentEPZresidentswhoareinattendancetoavoiddouble countingresidents.Theremainingpermanentresidentpercentage,thosenotattendingtheevent,willbeassumedtoevacuatefromtheirresidence.Workplaceswillbestaffedattypicallevels;hotelandmotelfacilitiesareoccupiedatpeakspecialeventlevels;andrecreationalfacilitiesareatappropriatelevelsbasedontheeventandtimeofyear.14. RoadwayImpact,SummerMidweekMidday(normal):Theintentofthisscenarioistorepresentavarietyofconditionsthatmayimpactaroadwaysegmentsuchasconstruction,flooding,vehicleaccidents,etc.Theroadwayimpactscenarioassumedthatduringasummermidweeknormalweatherdaytimescenario,onelaneonUS 1andonelaneonUS 64wasclosedthroughoutth eEPZ.Atotalof36RegionsweredefinedwhichencompassallthegroupingsofSubZonesconsidered.TheseRegionsaredefinedinTable6 1.TheSub ZoneconfigurationsareidentifiedinFigure6 1.Eachkeyholesector basedareaconsistsofacentralcirclecenteredatthepowerplant,andthreeadjoiningsectors,eachwithacentralangleof22.5degrees,asperNUREG/CR 7002guidance.Thecentralsectorcoincideswiththewinddirection.Thesesectorsextendto5milesfromtheplant(RegionsR04throughR12)ortotheEPZboundary(RegionsR13throughR26).RegionsR01,R02andR03representevacuationsofcircularareaswithradiiof2,5and10miles,respectively.RegionsR27throughR36areidenticaltoRegionsR02andR04throughR12,respectively;however,thoseSub Zonesbetween2milesand5milesarestageduntil90%ofthe2 milere gion(RegionR01)hasevacuated.

HarrisNuclearPlant6 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Atotalof14ScenarioswereevaluatedforallRegions.Thus,thereareatotalof36x14=504evacuationcases.Table6 2providesisadescriptionofallScenarios.Eachcombinationofregionandscenarioimpliesaspecificpopulationtobeevacuated.ThepopulationdataprovidedinSection3andAppendixEarepeakpopulationvalu es.Table6 3presentsthepercentageofeachpopulationgroupestimatedtoevacuateforeachscenario.Table6 4presentsthevehiclecountsforeachscenarioforanevacuationofRegionR03-theentireEPZ.ThepopulationandvehicleestimatespresentedinSection3andAppendixEarepeakvalues.Thesepeakvaluesareadjusteddependingonthescenarioandregionbeingconsidered,usingscenarioandregionspecificpercentages,suchthattheaveragepopulationisconsideredforeachevacuationcase.ThescenariopercentagesarepresentedinTable6 3,whiletheregionalpercentagesareprovidedinTableH 1.Th epercentagespresentedinTable6 3weredeterminedasfollows:Thenumberofresidentswithcommutersduringtheweek(whenworkforceisatitspeak)isequaltotheproductof68%(thenumberofhouseholdswithatleastonecommuter)and41%(thenumberofhouseholdswithacommutertha twouldawaitthereturnofthecommuterpriortoevacuating).Seeassumption3inSection2.3.Itisestimatedforweekendandeveningscenariosthat10%ofhouseholdswithreturningcommuterswillhaveacommuteratworkduringthosetimes.Employmen tisassumedtobeatitspeakduringthewinter,midweek,middayscenarios.Employmentisreducedslightly(96%)forsummer,midweek,middayscenarios.Thisisbasedontheestimationthat50%oftheemployeescommutingintotheEPZwillbeonvacationforaweekduringtheapproximate12weeksofsummer.Itisfurtherestimatedthatthosetakingvacationwillbeuniformlydispersedthroughoutthesummerwithapproximately4%ofemployeesvacationingeachweek.Itisfurtherestimatedthatonly10%oftheemployeesareworkingintheeveningsandduringtheweekends.Transientactivityisestimatedtobeatitspeakduringsummerweeken dsandless(65%)duringtheweek.AsshowninAppendixE,therearemanycampgroundsandlodgingfacilitiesofferingovernightaccommodationsintheEPZ,offsetbyothertransientfacilitiesinwhicheveninguseisminimal(parksandcommunitycenters);thus,eveningtransientactivityisestimatedtobe50%forsummerand20%fo rwinter.Transientactivityonwinterweekendsisestimatedtobe40%andless(25%)duringtheweek.AsnotedintheshadowfootnotetoTable6 3,theshadowpercentagesarecomputedusingabaseof20%(seeassumption5inSection2.2);toincludetheemployeeswithintheshadowregionwhomaychoosetoevacuate,thevoluntaryevacuationismultipliedbyascenario specificproportionofemployeestopermanentresidentsintheshadowregion.Forexample,usingthevaluesprovidedinTable6 4forScenario1,theshadowpercentageiscomputedasfollows:

HarrisNuclearPlant6 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Onespecialevent-FourthofJulyonJordanLake-wasconsideredasScenario13.Thus,thespecialeventtrafficis100%evacuatedforScenario13,and0%forallotherscenarios.Basedondataprovidedbycountyemergencymanagementdepartments,summerschoolenrollmentisapproximately28%ofenrollmentduringtheregularschoolyearformidweek ,middayscenarios.Schoolisnotinsessionduringweekendsandevenings,thusnobusesforschoolchildrenareneededunderthosecircumstances.AsdiscussedinSection7,schoolsareinsessionduringthewinterseason,midweek,middayand100%ofbuseswillbeneededunderthosecircumstances.Transitbusesforthetransit dependentpopulationaresetto100%forallscenariosasitisassumedthatthetransit dependentpopulationispresentintheEPZatalltimes.Externaltrafficisestimatedtobereducedby60%duringeveningscenariosandis100%forallotherscenarios.

HarrisNuclearPlant6 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 1.DescriptionofEvacuationRegionsRegionDescriptionSitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR012 MileRadius2 MileRadiusxR025 MileRadius5 MileRadiusxxxxxxR03FullEPZ10 MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxEvacuate2 MileRadiusandDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR04NNW,N327°010°xxxR05NNE,NE011°056°xxR06ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR07SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR08SSW192°214°xxR09SW,WSW215°259°xxxR10260°281°xxR11W,WNW282°304°xxxR12NW305°326°xxEvacuate5 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundaryRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR13N348°034°xxxxxxxxR14NNExxxxxxxxxR15NExxxxxxxxR16ENE035°079°xxxxxxxxxR17E,ESE080°101°xxxxxxxxR18102°124°xxxxxxxR19SE125°146°xxxxxxxxR20SSE147°191°xxxxxxxxxR21S,SSWxxxxxxxxR22192°236°xxxxxxxR23SW237°259°xxxxxxxxR24WSW,WxxxxxxxxxR25WNW260°326°xxxxxxxxxR26NW,NNW327°347°xxxxxxxxStagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR275 MileRadiusxxxxxxR28NNW,N327°010°xxxR29NNE,NE011°056°xxR30ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR31SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR32SSW192°214°xxR33SW,WSW215°259°xxxR34260°281°xxR35W,WNW282°304°xxxR36NW305°326°xxShelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateSub Zone(s)Shelter in PlaceSub Zone(s)Evacuate HarrisNuclearPlant6 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure6 1.HNPEPZSubZones HarrisNuclearPlant6 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 2.EvacuationScenarioDefinitionsScenarioSeason 1DayofWeekTimeofDayWeatherSpecial1SummerMidweekMiddayGoodNone2SummerMidweekMiddayRainNone3SummerWeekendMiddayGoodNone4SummerWeekendMiddayRainNone5SummerMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone6WinterMidweekMiddayGoodNone7WinterMidweekMiddayRainNone8WinterMidweekMiddayIceNone9WinterWeekendMiddayGoodNone10WinterWeekendMiddayRainNone11WinterWeekendMiddayIceNone12WinterMidweek,WeekendEveningGoodNone13SummerWeekendEveningGoodFourthofJulyonJordanLake14SummerMidweekMiddayGoodRoadwayImpact-LaneClosuresonUS 1andUS 641Wintermeansthatschoolisinsession(alsoappliestospringandautumn).Summermeansthatschoolisnotinsession.

HarrisNuclearPlant6 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 3.PercentofPopulationGroupsEvacuatingforVariousScenariosScenarioHouseholdsWithReturningCommutersHouseholdsWithoutReturningCommutersEmployees TransientsShadowSpecialEventsSchoolBusesTransitBusesExternalThroughTraffic128%72%96%65%21%0%28%100%100%228%72%96%65%21%0%28%100%100%33%97%10%100%20%0%0%100%100%43%97%10%100%20%0%0%100%100%53%97%10%50%20%0%0%100%40%628%72%100%25%21%0%100%100%100%728%72%100%25%21%0%100%100%100%828%72%100%25%21%0%100%100%100%93%97%10%40%20%0%0%100%100%103%97%10%40%20%0%0%100%100%113%97%10%40%20%0%0%100%100%123%97%10%20%20%0%0%100%40%133%97%10%50%20%100%0%100%40%1428%72%96%65%21%0%28%100%100%ResidentHouseholdswithCommuters.......HouseholdsofEPZresidentswhoawaitthereturnofcommuterspriortobeginningtheevacuationtrip.ResidentHouseholdswithNoCommuters..HouseholdsofEPZresidentswhodonothavecommutersorwillnotawaitthereturnofcommuterspriortobeginningtheevacuationtrip.Employees.................................................EPZemployeeswh oliveoutsidetheEPZTransients..................................................PeoplewhoareintheEPZatthetimeofanaccidentforrecreationalorother(nonemployment)purposes.Shadow......................................................Residentsandemployeesintheshadowregion(outsideoftheEPZ)whowillspontaneouslydecidetorelocateduringtheevacuation.Thebasisforthevaluesshownisa20%relocationofshadowresidentsalongwithaproportionalpercentageofshadowemployees.SpecialEvents............................................AdditionalvehiclesintheEPZduetotheidentifiedspecialevent.SchoolandTransitBuses............................Vehicleequivalentspresentontheroadduringevacuationservicingschoolsandtransitdependentpeople(1busisequivalentto2passengervehicles).ExternalThroughTraffic.............................Trafficoninterstates/freewaysandmajorarterialroadsatthestartoftheevacuation.Thistrafficisstoppedbysecurityroadblocks30minutesaftertheevacuationbegins.

HarrisNuclearPlant6 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table6 4.VehicleEstimatesbyScenarioScenarioHouseholdsWithReturningCommutersHouseholdsWithoutReturningCommutersEmployeesTransientsShadow SpecialEventsSchoolBusesTransitBusesExternalThroughTrafficTotalScenarioVehicles 114,11536,5243,1142,85020,69702492286,96384,740214,11536,5243,1142,85020,69702492286,96384,74031,41249,2273244,38419,623002286,96382,16141,41249,2273244,38419,623002286,96382,16151,41249,2273242,19219,623002282,78575,791614,11536,5243,2441,09620,74708902286,96383,807714,11536,5243,2441,09620,74708902286,96383,807814,11536,5243,2441,09620,74708902286,96383,80791,41249,2273241,75419,623002286,96379,531101,41249,2273241,75419,623002286,96379,531111,41249,2273241,75419,623002286,96379,531121,41249,22732487719,623002282,78574,476131,41249,2273242,19219,6232,03302282,78577,8241414,11536,5243,1142,85020,69702492286,96384,740Note:VehicleestimatesareforanevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)

HarrisNuclearPlant7 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17 GENERALPOPULATIONEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES(ETE)ThissectionpresentstheETEresultsofthecomputeranalysesusingtheDYNEVIISystemdescribedinAppendicesB,CandD.Theseresultscover36regionswithintheHNPEPZandthe14EvacuationScenariosdiscussedinSection6.TheETEforallEvacuatio nCasesarepresentedinTable7 1andTable7 2.ThesetablespresenttheestimatedtimestocleartheindicatedpopulationpercentagesfromtheEvacuationRegionsforallEvacuationScenarios.TheETEofthe2 mileregioninbothstagedandunstagedregionsarepresentedinTable7 3andTabl e7 4.Table7 5definestheEvacuationRegionsconsidered.ThetabulatedvaluesofETEareobtainedfromtheDYNEVIISystemoutputswhicharegeneratedat5 minuteintervals.7.1 VoluntaryEvacuationandShadowEvacuation"Voluntaryevacuees"arepeoplewithintheEPZinSub ZonesforwhichanAdvisorytoEvacuatehasnotbeenissued,yetwhoelecttoevacuate."Shadowevacuation"isthevolunt aryoutwardmovementofsomepeoplefromtheShadowRegion(outsidetheEPZ)forwhomnoprotectiveactionrecommendationhasbeenissued.Bothvoluntaryandshadowevacuationsareassumedtotakeplaceoverthesametimeframeastheevacuationfromwithinth eimpactedEvacuationRegion.TheETEfortheHNPEPZaddressestheissueofvoluntaryevacueesinthemannershowninFigure7 1.WithintheEPZ,20percentofpermanentresidentslocatedinSub Zonesoutsideoftheevacuationregionwhoarenotadvisedtoevacuate,areassumedtoelecttoevacuate.Similarly,itisassumedtha t20percentofthosepermanentresidentsintheShadowRegionwillchoosetoleavethearea.Figure7 2presentstheareaidentifiedastheShadowRegion.ThisregionextendsradiallyfromtheplanttocoveraregionbetweentheEPZboundaryandapproximately15miles.ThepopulationandnumberofevacuatingvehiclesintheShadowRegionwereestimatedusingthesamemethodologythatwasusedforpermanentresidentswithintheEPZ(seeSection3.1).AsdiscussedinSection3.2,itisestimatedthatatotalof198,090peopleresideintheShadowRegion;20percentofthemwouldevacuate.SeeTable6 4fo rthenumberofevacuatingvehiclesfromtheShadowRegion.TrafficgeneratedwithinthisShadowRegion(includingexternalexternaltraffic),travelingawayfromtheHNPlocation,hasthepotentialforimpedingev acuatingvehiclesfromwithintheEvacuationRegion.AllETEcalculationsincludethisshadowtrafficmovement.7.2 StagedEvacuationAsdefinedinNUREG/CR 7002,stagedevacuationconsistsofthefollowing:1. Sub Zonescomprisingthe2mileregionareadvisedtoevacuateimmediately.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.12. Sub Zonescomprisingregionsextendingfrom2to5milesdownwindareadvisedtoshelterin placewhilethetwomileregioniscleared.3. Asvehiclesevacuatethe2mileregion,peoplefrom2to5milesdownwindcontinuepreparationforevacuationwhiletheyshelter.4. Thepopulationshelteringinthe2to5mileregionisadvisedtoevacuatewhenapproximately90%ofth e2mileregionevacuatingtrafficcrossesthe2mileregionboundary.5. Non compliancewiththeshelterrecommendationisthesameastheshadowevacuationpercentageof20%.SeeSection5.4.2foradditionalinformationonstagedevacuation.7.3 PatternsofTrafficCongestionduringEvacuationFigure7 3throughFigure7 8illustratethepatternsoftrafficcongestionthatariseforthecasewhentheentireEPZ(RegionR03)isadvisedtoevacuateduringthesummer,midweek,middayperiodundergoodweatherconditions(Scenario1).Trafficcongestion,asthetermisusedhere,isdefinedasLevelofService(LOS)F.LOSFisdefinedasfollows(HCM2010,page5 5):TheHCMus esLOSFtodefineoperationsthathaveeitherbrokendown(i.e.,demandexceedscapacity)orhaveexceededaspecifiedservicemeasurevalue,orcombinationofservicemeasurevalues,thatmostuserswouldconsiderunsatisfactory.However ,particularlyforplanningapplicationswheredifferentalternativesmaybecompared,analystsmaybeinterestedinknowingjusthowbadtheLOSFconditionis.Severalmeasuresareavailabletodescribeindividually,orincombination,theseverityofaLOSFcondition:*Demand to capacityratiosdescribetheextenttowhichcapacityisexceededduringtheanalysisperiod(e.g.,by1%,15%,etc.);*DurationofLOSFdescribeshowlongtheconditionpersists(e.g.,15min,1h,3h);and*SpatialextentmeasuresdescribetheareasaffectedbyLOSFconditions.Theseincludemeasuressuchasthebackofqueue,andtheidentificationofthespecificintersectionapproachesorsystemelementsexperiencingLOSFconditions.Allhighway"links"whichexperienceLOSFaredelineatedintheseFiguresbyathickredline;allothersarelightlyindicated.Congestiondevelopsrapidlyaroundconcentrationsofpopulationandtrafficbottlenecks.Figure7 3displayscon gestionpatternswithinthestudyareaat30minutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate(ATE).Thereistrafficvolumeineachofthethreemajorpopulationcenters(Apex,Fuquay VarinaandHollySprings)intheEPZ,asindicatedbytheprevalen ceofcoloredlinks.Thisistobeexpectedasthepopulationdensityintheseareasishighandtherearemanyvehiclesbeginningtheirevacuationtripsfromthesecities.Theonly HarrisNuclearPlant7 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1roadwaysexperiencingpronouncedtrafficcongestion(LOSF)atthistimeareHollySpringsRdnorthbound,US 64eastboundandLauraDuncanRdnorthboundattheintersectionofthesetworoads,US 64westboundandBeaverCreekRdnorthbound(transientsevacuatingfromJordanLakeStateRecreationArea)attheintersectionofthesetworoads,Par ker'sCreekRecreationAreaRdsouthboundapproachtoUS 64andSeaforthRecreationAreaRdnorthboundapproachtoUS 64(transientsevacuatingfromJordanLake).At1houraftertheATE,Figure7 4indicatesthattrafficcongestionwithinthestudyareahasintensified.AllofthemajorevacuationroutesservicingthethreepopulationcentersareexperiencingLOSFconditions.SeveralroadsintheShadowRegionarealsooperatingatLOSF,includingUS 401southboundleavingFuquay Varina,Ten TenRdeastboundleavingHollySprings,NC 55northboundleavingApex,andUS 64westboundinPittsboro.Notethatallroadwaysinthe2and5 MileRegion sarenotcongested(LOSA)atthistime.At1hourand30minutesaftertheATE,asshowninFigure7 5,trafficcongestioninthestudyareapeaks.Allroutesleavingthethreepopulationcentersareheavilycongested.Allroadswhichhaveinterchang eswithUS 1inWakeCountyarecongested.SeveralroadsintheShadowRegionareoperatingatLOSF,includingNC 55northbound,US 401southbound,Ten TenRdeastbound,andPennyRdeastbound.Thesecongestionpatternsreflectthelargenumberofevacuatingvehiclesfromthethreepopulationcent erstryingtoaccessthemajorevacuationroutes-US 1,US 64,US 401,I 40,I 440andI 540-leavingthearea.Figure7 6displaysthecongestionpatternsat2hoursand30minutesaftertheATE.TrafficcongestioninApexandHollySpringsisdissipating,withonlyafewroutesoperatingatLOSF.Trafficcong estioninFuquay Varinaisalsodissipating,thoughallmajorevacuationroutesinthecityarestilloperatingatLOSF.CongestionintheShadowRegionisalsodissipating-Ten TenRdeastboundisclearing.LOSFconditionsexistatthistimealongHollySpringsRd/WalnutStattheinterchangewithUS 1/US 64,OptimistFarmRdeastbound,US 401southbound,LauraDuncanRdnorthboundandOldRaleighRdnorthbound.Overthenexthour,trafficcongestionclearsinApexandHollySprings.Figure7 7displaysthecongestionpatternsat3hoursand25minutesaftertheATE.ThelastofthecongestionintheEPZisinFuquay VarinaattheintersectionsofJuddParkwayandSunsetLakeRdwithUS 401.US 401isoperatingatLOSFsouthboundintheShadowRe gion,andLOSBnorthbound.HollySpringsRd/WalnutStattheinterchangewithUS 1/US 64isstilloperatingatLOSFintheShadowRegion.Finally,Figur e7 8displaysastudyareathatisessentiallyclearofevacuatingtraffic,at4hoursaftertheATE,whichis30minutespriortothecompletionofthetrip generation(mobilization)time.Thelastofthecongestioninth eEPZ,inFuquay Varina,clearsat3hoursand30minutesaftertheATE.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17.4 EvacuationRatesEvacuationisacontinuousprocess,asimpliedbyFigure7 9throughFigure7 22.TheseFiguresindicatetherateatwhichtrafficflowsoutoftheindicatedareasforthecaseofanevacuationofthefullEPZ(RegionR03)undertheindicatedconditions.Onefigureispresentedforeachscenarioco nsidered.AsindicatedinFigure7 9,thereistypicallyalong"tail"tothesedistributions.Vehiclesbegintoevacuateanareaslowlyatfirst,aspeoplerespondtotheATEatdifferentrates.Thentrafficdemandbuildsrapidly(slopesofcurvesincrease).Whenthesystembecomescongested,trafficexitstheEPZatratessomewhatbelowcapacityuntilsomeevacuationrouteshavecleared.Asmoreroutesclear,theaggregaterateofegressslowssincemanyvehicleshavealreadylefttheEPZ.Towardstheendoftheprocess,relativelyfewevacuationroutesservicetheremainingdemand.Thisdeclineinaggregateflowrate,towardstheendoftheprocess,ischaracterizedbythesecurvesflatteningandgraduallybecominghorizontal.Ideally,itwouldbedesirabletofullysaturateallevacuationroutesequallysothatallwillservicetrafficnearcapacitylevelsandallwillclearatthesametime.Forthisidealsituation,allcurveswouldretainthesameslopeunti ltheend-thusminimizingevacuationtime.Inreality,thisidealisgenerallyunattainablereflectingthespatialvariationinpopulationdensity,mobilizationratesandinhighwaycapacityovertheEPZ.7.5 EvacuationTimeEstimate(ETE)ResultsTable7 1throughTable7 2presenttheETEvaluesforall36Evacua tionRegionsandall14EvacuationScenarios.Table7 3throughTable7 4presenttheETEvaluesforthe2 Mileregionforbothstagedandun stagedkeyholeregionsdownwindto5miles.Theyareorganizedasfollows:TableContents 7 1ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor90percentofthepopulationwithinaRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegion.AllScenariosareconsidered,aswellasStagedEvacuationscenarios.7 2ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor100percentofthepopulationwithinaRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegion.AllScenariosareconsidered,aswellasStagedEvacuationscenarios.7 3ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor90percentofthepopulationwithinthe2 mileRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegionwithbothConcurrentandStagedEvacuations.7 4ETErepresentstheelapsedtimerequiredfor100percentofthepopulationwithinthe2 mileRegion,toevacuatefromthatRegionwithbothConcurrentandStagedEvacuations.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TheanimationsnapshotsdescribedabovereflecttheETEstatisticsfortheconcurrent(un staged)evacuationscenariosandregions,whicharedisplayedinFigure7 3throughFigure7 8.Allofthecongestionislocatedbeyondthe5 mileradius;thisisreflectedintheETEstatistics: The2 mileRegion(R01)consistsofmorethan90%employeesandtransients.Thereisnocongestionwithinthisregion,whichmeansthatETEisdictatedbymobilizationti me.Assuch,the90 thpercentileETEforthisregionisequaltothe90 thpercentilemobilizationtimeforemployeesandtransients-about1:00(hr:min)onaverage. The5 mileRegion(R02)alsohasnocongestion,buthasmanymoreresidentvehiclesthanR01,whichincreasesthemobilizationtime(seeFigure5 4-mobilizationtimeislongerforresidentsthanforemployeesandtransients).The90 thpercentileETEforRegionR02isabout1:45onaverage. The90 thpercentileETEforRegionsR03(fullEPZ)andR13-R26(whichextendtotheEPZboundary)areapproximatelyanhourlonger,onaverage,duetothecongestionbeyondthe5 mileradius.The100 thpercentileETEforallRegionsandforallScenariosaretheequaltomobilizationtime.ThisfactimpliesthatthecongestionwithintheEPZdissipatespriortotheendofmobilization,asisdisplayedinFigure7 8.ComparisonofScenarios5and13inTable7 1indicatesthattheSpecialEvent-Fo urthofJulyfireworksonJordanLake-doesnotmateriallyimpactthe90 thpercentileETE.TheETEincreasesbyatmost15minutes.AsshowninFigure7 3throughFigure7 8anddiscussedinSection7.3,thecongestionwithintheEPZispredominantlytotheeastoftheplantnearthemajorpopulationcenters.Theadditional2,033vehiclespresentforthespecialeventarelocatedwes toftheplantandpredominantlyevacuatewestonUS 64.ThereissufficientadditionalcapacityonUS 64toservicetheseadditionalvehicles,whichexplainswhyETEarenotmateriallyaffected.ComparisonofScenarios1and14inTable7 1indicatesthattheroadwayclosure-onelanenorthboundonUS 1fromjusteastoftheinterchangewithNewHillHollemanRd(Exit89)totheinterch angewithI 40(Exit1A)andonelaneeastboundonUS 64fromNewHillOliveChapelRd/NC 751totheinterchangewithI 40(Exit1A)-causesatmosta10minuteincreaseinETE.Thisisnotamateri alchange.AsshowninFigure7 3throughFigure7 8,US 1northboundisoperatingbelowcapacity(LOSAthroughD),whilemostofUS 64eastboundisalsooperatingbelowcapacity(LOSFatsomesignalizedintersections).TherampstoUS 1havelimitedcapacityandthusmeterthetrafficenteringthemainthoroughfareofUS 1.Asaresult,thereisunusedcapacityonUS 1forallnon roadwayimpactscenarios.Thus,closingalanedoesnothaveanimpact.Inaddition,thereareotheralternateroutes-mostnotablyNC 55northboundandNC 540Tolleastboundwhichhaveavailablecapacity.SomevehiclesrerouteontotheseroadwaysasaresultofthelaneclosuresonUS 1andUS 64,offsettinganysubstantialincreaseinETE.NUREG/CR 7002recommendsthattheETEstudyconsiderpotentialenhancementsthatcouldimproveETE.AccordingtotheInstituteofNuclearPowerOperations(INPO)timelineforthe HarrisNuclearPlant7 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1March2011accidentattheFukushimaDaiichiPowerStation,nearly18hourselapsedbetweenthelossofpoweratthesiteandthefirstreleasetotheatmosphere.The90 thpercentileETEforanevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)islessthan4hoursforallscenarios.ThepossiblecountermeasurestoreduceETEare: Reducethenumberofvehiclesontheroadbyeducatingthepublictousefewervehiclestoevacuate.Thisisverydifficulttoimplementasevacueesareunlikelytoleaveasignificanteconomicassetsuchasapersonalvehiclebehind. Usecontrafloworreverse laning.Thistechniqueissomanpowerandequipmentintensive,90percentofevacueeswillhavealreadylefttheEPZbythetimecontraflowisestablished.Assuch,ETEbenefitswouldbeminimal.Also,contraflowisasignificantliabilityinth atvehiclesaretravelingthewrongwayonaroad.Mostoffsiteagenciesarehesitanttousecontraflowforthisreasonalone. Identifyspecialtreatmentsatcriticalintersections-i.e.ifnorthboundandeastboundarebothviableevacuationdirectionsfromtheplant,conesandbarricadescouldbeusedtochannelizetheintersectionsuchthatonetrafficstreamisdirectednorthboundandtheothereastboundtoeliminateanyvehicleconflictattheintersectionandkeeptheintersectionflowingcontinuously.ThisisalsomanpowerandequipmentdependentandwillhavelittleimpactonETE.7.6 StagedEvacuationResultsTable7 3andTable7 4presentacomparisonoftheETEcompiledfortheconcurrent(un staged)andstagedevacuationstudies.NotethatRegionsR27throughR36arethesamegeographicareasasRegionsR02andR04throughR12,respectively.Todeterminewhetherthestagedevacuationstrategyisworthyofconsideration,onemustshowthattheETEforthe2mil eregioncanbereducedwithoutsignificantlyaffectingtheregionbetween2milesand5miles.Inallcases,asshowninthesetables,theETEforthe2mileregionisunchangedwhenastagedevacuationisimplemented.AsdiscussedinSection7.3,thereisnocongestionwithinthe2and5 mileregions.Inaddition,thecongestionbeyond5milesdoesnotextendupstreamtotheextentthatitpenetratestowithin2or5milesoftheHNP.Consequently,evacueesfromwithinthe2 mileregionareunimpeded.Therefore,stagingtheevacuati onprovidesnobenefitstoevacueesfromwithinthe2mileregion.Whilefailingtoprovideassistancetoevacueesfromwithin2milesoftheHPP,stagingproducesanegativeimpactontheETEforthoseevacuatingfromwithinthe5 milearea.AcomparisonofETEbetweenRegionsR02andR04throughR12withRegionsR27throughR36revealsthatstagingretardsthe90 thpercentileevacuationtimeforthoseinthe2to5 mileareaby5minutes(seeTable7 1)forsomecases.ThisextendingofETEisduetothedelayinbeginningtheevacuationtrip,experiencedbythosewhoshelter.Insummary,thestagedevacuationoptionprovidesnobenefitsandadverselyimpactssomeevacueeslocatedbeyond2milesfromtheHNP.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.17.7 GuidanceonUsingETETablesTheuserfirstdeterminesthepercentileofpopulationforwhichtheETEissought(TheNRCguidancecallsforthe90 thpercentile).TheapplicablevalueofETEwithinthechosenTablemaythenbeidentifiedusingthefollowingprocedure:1. IdentifytheapplicableScenario:* Season Summer Winter(alsoAutumnandSpring)* DayofWeek Midweek Weekend* TimeofDay Midday Evening* WeatherCondition GoodWeather Rain Ice* SpecialEven t FourthofJulyonJordanLake* RoadwayImpact-LaneClosureonUS 1andUS 64* EvacuationStaging No,StagedEvacuationisnotconsidered Yes,StagedEvacuationisconsideredWhiletheseScenariosaredesigned,inaggregat e,torepresentconditionsthroughouttheyear,somefurtherclarificationiswarranted:* Theconditionsofasummerevening(eithermidweekorweekend)andrainarenotexplicitlyidentifiedintheTables.Fortheseconditions,Scenarios(2)and(4)apply.* Theconditionsofawinterevening(eithermidweekorweekend)andrainarenotexplicitlyidentifiedintheTables.Fortheseconditions,Scenarios(7)and(10)forrainapply.* Theconditionsofawinterevening(eithermidweekorweekend)andicearenotexplicitlyidentifiedintheTables.Fortheseconditions,Scenarios(8)and(11)foriceapply.* Theseasonsaredefinedasfollows: Summerassumesthatpublicschoolsarenotinsession. Winter(includesSpringandAutumn)considersthatpublicschoolsareinsession.* TimeofDay:Middayimpliesthetimeoverwhichmostcommutersareatworkoraretravellingto/fromwork.2. WiththedesiredpercentileETEandScenarioidentified,nowidentifytheEvacuationRegion:* Determinetheprojectedazimuthdirectionoftheplume(coincidentwiththewind HarrisNuclearPlant7 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1direction).Thisdirectionisexpressedintermsofcompassorientation-fromN,NNE,NE-orindegrees.* DeterminethedistancethattheEvacuationRegionwillextendfromthenuclearpowerplant.TheapplicabledistancesandtheirassociatedcandidateRegionsaregivenbelow: 2Miles(RegionR01) To5Miles(RegionR02,R04throughR12) ToEPZBoundary(RegionsR03,R13throughR26)* EnterTable7 5andidentifytheap plicablegroupofcandidateRegionsbasedonthedistancethattheselectedRegionextendsfromtheHNP.SelecttheEvacuationRegionidentifierinthatrow,basedontheazimuthdirectionofth eplume,fromthefirstcolumnoftheTable.3. DeterminetheETETablebasedonthepercentileselected.Then,fortheScenarioidentifiedinStep1andtheRegionidentifiedinStep2,proceedasfollows:* ThecolumnsofTable7 1arelabeledwiththeScenarionumbers.IdentifythepropercolumnintheselectedTableusingtheScenarionumberdefinedinStep1.* IdentifytherowinthistablethatprovidesETEvaluesfortheRegionidentifiedinStep2.* TheuniquedatacelldefinedbythecolumnandrowsodeterminedcontainsthedesiredvalueofETEexpressedinHours:Minutes

.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ExampleItisdesiredtoidentifytheETEforthefollowingconditions:* Sunday,August10 that4:00AM.* Itisraining.* Winddirectionisfromthe180.* Windspeedissuchthatthedistancetobeevacuatedisjudgedtobea5 mileradiusanddownwindto10miles(toEPZboundary).* ThedesiredETEisthatvalueneededtoevacuate90percentofthepopul ationfromwithintheimpactedRegion.* Astagedevacuationisnotdesired.Table7 1isapplicablebecausethe90 thpercentileETEisdesired.Proceedasfollows:1. IdentifytheScenarioassummer,weekend,eveningandraining.EnteringTable7 1,itisseenthatthereisnomatchforthesedescriptors.However,theclarificationgivenaboveassignsthiscombinationofcircumstancestoScenario4.2. EnterTable7 5andlocatetheRegiondescribedas"Evacuate5 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundary"forwinddirectionfrom180andreadRegionR20inthefirstcolumnofthatrow.3. EnterTable7 1tolocatethedatacellcontainingthevalueofETEforScenario4andRegionR20.Thisdatace llisincolumn(4)andintherowforRegionR20;itcontainstheETEvalueof2:25.

HarrisNuclearPlant7 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 1.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof90PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR011:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R021:451:451:301:301:451:501:501:501:351:351:351:551:401:45R032:503:002:402:502:402:503:003:102:402:503:052:402:402:552 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR041:351:351:301:301:451:401:401:401:351:351:351:551:451:35R051:301:301:301:301:451:301:351:351:351:351:351:501:451:30R061:201:201:151:151:301:201:201:201:151:151:151:401:251:20R071:301:301:201:201:351:301:301:301:201:201:201:401:301:30R081:451:451:351:351:451:451:451:451:351:351:351:501:451:45R092:002:001:451:451:552:052:052:051:501:501:502:001:552:00R101:501:501:401:401:501:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:501:50R111:551:551:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:55R121:201:201:151:151:251:201:201:201:151:151:151:301:251:205 MileRegionandKeyholetoEPZBoundaryR132:002:001:401:401:552:002:002:001:451:451:452:001:452:00R142:002:001:401:401:552:052:052:051:451:451:452:001:502:00R151:551:551:351:351:501:551:551:551:401:401:402:001:451:55R161:551:551:351:351:502:002:002:001:451:451:452:001:401:55R171:501:501:351:351:502:002:002:001:401:401:402:001:401:50R181:501:501:301:301:451:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:401:50R191:501:501:351:351:451:551:551:551:401:401:401:551:401:50R202:252:302:202:252:202:302:352:452:202:252:302:202:202:30R212:252:352:202:252:202:302:352:402:252:252:302:202:202:30R222:252:352:202:252:202:302:352:402:252:252:302:202:202:30R232:352:402:302:352:302:352:402:502:302:352:402:302:302:40 HarrisNuclearPlant7 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactR242:402:552:352:452:352:452:553:052:352:452:552:352:352:50R252:553:152:503:052:453:003:153:302:503:003:202:452:503:00R263:003:202:553:152:503:053:203:402:553:103:302:502:553:00StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR271:451:451:301:301:451:501:501:501:351:351:351:551:401:45R281:351:351:301:301:451:401:401:401:351:351:351:551:451:35R291:301:301:301:301:451:351:351:351:351:351:351:501:451:30R301:201:201:201:201:301:251:251:251:201:201:201:401:251:20R311:301:301:201:201:351:301:301:301:201:201:201:401:301:30R321:451:451:351:351:451:451:451:451:351:351:351:501:451:45R332:002:001:451:451:552:052:052:051:501:501:502:001:552:00R341:501:501:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:50R351:551:551:401:401:501:551:551:551:451:451:451:551:501:55R361:201:201:151:151:251:201:201:201:201:201:201:301:251:20 HarrisNuclearPlant7 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 2.TimetoCleartheIndicatedAreaof100PercentoftheAffectedPopulationSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend MidweekWeekendMidweekWeekend Weekend MidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegion,5MileRegion,andEPZR014:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R024:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R034:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:402 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR044:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R054:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R064:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R074:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R084:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R094:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R104:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R114:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R124:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:355 MileRegionandKeyholetoEPZBoundaryR134:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R144:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R154:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R164:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R174:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R184:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R194:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R204:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R214:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R224:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R234:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40 HarrisNuclearPlant7 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1R244:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R254:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40R264:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:404:40StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR274:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R284:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R294:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R304:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R314:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R324:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R334:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R344:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35R364:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:354:35 HarrisNuclearPlant7 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 3.TimetoClear90Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR011:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R021:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeto5 MilesR041:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R051:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R061:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R071:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R081:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R091:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R101:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R111:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R121:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR271:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R281:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R291:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R301:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R311:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R321:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R331:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R341:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R351:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05R361:051:051:001:001:101:051:051:051:001:001:001:151:101:05 HarrisNuclearPlant7 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 4.TimetoClear100Percentofthe2 MileAreawithintheIndicatedRegionSummerSummerSummerWinterWinterWinterSummerSummerMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendMidweekWeekendWeekendMidweekScenario:(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)(13)(14)RegionMiddayMiddayEveningMiddayMiddayEveningEveningMiddayGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherRainGoodWeatherGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherRainIceGoodWeatherSpecialEventRoadwayImpactEntire2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionR014:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R024:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30UnstagedEvacuation2MileRegionandKeyholeto5 MilesR044:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R054:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R064:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R074:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R084:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R094:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R104:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R114:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R124:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30StagedEvacuation2 MileRegionandKeyholeto5MilesR274:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R284:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R294:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R314:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R324:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R334:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R344:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R354:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30R364:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:304:30 HarrisNuclearPlant7 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table7 5.DescriptionofEvacuationRegionsRegionDescriptionSitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR012 MileRadius2 MileRadiusxR025 MileRadius5 MileRadiusxxxxxxR03FullEPZ10 MileRadiusxxxxxxxxxxxxxxEvacuate2 MileRadiusandDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR04NNW,N327°010°xxxR05NNE,NE011°056°xxR06ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR07SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR08SSW192°214°xxR09SW,WSW215°259°xxxR10260°281°xxR11W,WNW282°304°xxxR12NW305°326°xxEvacuate5 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundaryRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR13N348°034°xxxxxxxxR14NNExxxxxxxxxR15NExxxxxxxxR16ENE035°079°xxxxxxxxxR17E,ESE080°101°xxxxxxxxR18102°124°xxxxxxxR19SE125°146°xxxxxxxxR20SSE147°191°xxxxxxxxxR21S,SSWxxxxxxxxR22192°236°xxxxxxxR23SW237°259°xxxxxxxxR24WSW,WxxxxxxxxxR25WNW260°326°xxxxxxxxxR26NW,NNW327°347°xxxxxxxxStagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR275 MileRadiusxxxxxxR28NNW,N327°010°xxxR29NNE,NE011°056°xxR30ENE,E,ESE057°124°xxxR31SE,SSE,S125°191°xxxR32SSW192°214°xxR33SW,WSW215°259°xxxR34260°281°xxR35W,WNW282°304°xxxR36NW305°326°xxShelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuateSub Zone(s)Shelter in PlaceSub Zone(s)Evacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 1.VoluntaryEvacuationMethodology HarrisNuclearPlant7 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 2.HNPShadowRegion HarrisNuclearPlant7 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 3.CongestionPatternsat30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 4.CongestionPatternsat1HouraftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 5.CongestionPatternsat1Hour30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 6.CongestionPatternsat2Hours30MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 7.CongestionPatternsat3Hours25MinutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 8.CongestionPatternsat4HoursaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate HarrisNuclearPlant7 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure7 9.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario1forRegionR03Figure710.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario2forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good(Scenario1)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure711.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario3forRegionR03Figure712.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario4forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario3)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure713.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario5forRegionR03Figure714.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario6forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario5)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Midday,Good(Scenario6)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure715.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario7forRegionR03Figure716.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario8forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Midday,Ice(Scenario8)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure717.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario9forRegionR03Figure718.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario10forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Weekend,Midday,Good(Scenario9)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario10)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure719.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario11forRegionR03Figure720.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario12forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Weekend,Midday,Ice(Scenario11)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesWinter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good(Scenario12)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant7 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure721.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario13forRegionR03Figure722.EvacuationTimeEstimatesScenario14forRegionR030 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Weekend,Evening,Good,SpecialEvent(Scenario13)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700306090120150180210240270300 VehiclesEvacuating(Thousands)ElapsedTimeAfterEvacuationRecommendation(min)EvacuationTimeEstimatesSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good,RoadwayImpact (Scenario14)2MileRegion 5MileRegion EntireEPZ90%100%

HarrisNuclearPlant8 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18 TRANSIT DEPENDENTANDSPECIALFACILITYEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATESThissectiondetailstheanalysesappliedandtheresultsobtainedintheformofevacuationtimeestimatesfortransitvehicles(buses,ambulances,andwheelchairtransportvehicles).Thedemandfortransitservicereflectstheneedsofthreepopulationgroups:(1)residentswithnovehiclesavailable;(2)residentsofspecialfacilitiessuchasschoolsandmedica lfacilities;and(3)homeboundspecialneedspopulation.Thesetransitvehiclesmixwiththegeneralevacuationtrafficthatiscomprisedmostlyof"passengercars"(pc's).ThepresenceofeachtransitvehicleintheevacuatingtrafficstreamisrepresentedwithinthemodelingparadigmdescribedinAppendixDasequivalenttotwopc's.Thisequivalencefactorrepresentsthelongersizeandmoresluggishoperatingcharacteristicsofatransitvehicle,relativetothoseofapc.Transitvehiclesmustbemobilizedinpreparationfortheirrespectiveevacuationmissions.Specifically:* Busdriversmustbealerted* Theymusttraveltothebusdepot* Theymustbebriefedthereandassignedtoarouteorfacilit yTheseactivitiesconsumetime.Basedondiscussionwiththeoffsiteagencies,itisestimatedthatbusmobilizationtimewillaverageapproximately90minutesextendingfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate,tothetimewhenbusesfirstarriveatthefacilitytobeevacuated.Thelocationofbusdepotsimpactsthetimetotravelfromthebusdepotstothefacilitiesbeingevacuated.Locationsofbusdepotswerenotidentifiedinthisstudy.Rather,theoffsiteagencieswereaskedtofactorthelocationofthedepotsandthedistancetotheEPZintotheestimateofmobilizationtime.Duringthismobilizationperiod,othermobilizat ionactivitiesaretakingplace.Oneoftheseistheactiontakenbyparents,neighbors,relativesandfriendstopickupchildrenfromschoolpriortothearrivalofbuses,sothattheymayjointh eirfamilies.Virtuallyallstudiesofevacuationshaveconcludedthatthis"bonding"processofunitingfamiliesisuniversallyprevalentduringemergenciesandshouldbeanticipatedintheplanningprocess.ThecurrentpublicinformationdisseminatedtoresidentsoftheHNPEPZindicatesthatschoolchildren(includesprivateschoolsandchildcarecenters)willbeevacuatedtorelocationschoolswheretheycanbepickedupbytheirparents.AsdiscussedinSection2,thisstudyassumesarapidlyescalatingeventattheplantwhereinevacuationisorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplemented.Therefore,childrenareevacuatedtorelocationschools.Pickingupchildrenatschoolcouldaddtotrafficcongestionattheschools,delayingthedepartureofthebusesevacuatingschoolchildren,whichmayhavetoreturninasubsequent"wave"totheEPZtoevacuatethetransit dependentpopulation.Thisreportprovidesestimatesofbusesundertheassumptionthatnochildrenw illbepickedupbytheirparents(inaccordancewithNUREG/CR 7002),topresentanupperboundestimateofbusesrequired.Itisassumedthatchildrenatday carecentersarepickedupbyparentsorguardiansandthatthe HarrisNuclearPlant8 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1timetoperformthisactivityisincludedinthetripgenerationtimesdiscussedinSection5.Theprocedureforcomputingtransit dependentETEisto:* Estimatedemandfortransitservice* Estimatetimetoperformalltransitfunctions* EstimateroutetraveltimestotheEPZboundaryandtothereceptioncenters8.1 TransitDependentPeopleDemandEstimateThetelephonesurvey(seeAppendixF)resultswereusedtoestimatetheportionofthepopulationrequiringtransitservice:* Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdonothaveavehicleavailable.* Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdohavevehicle(s)thatwouldnotbeavailabl eatthetimetheevacuationisadvised.Inthelattergroup,thevehicle(s)maybeusedbyacommuter(s)whodoesnotreturn(orisnotexpectedtoreturn)hometoevacuatethehousehold.Table8 1presentsestimatesoftransit dependentpeople.Note:* Estimatesofpersonsrequiringtransitvehiclesincludeschoolchildren.Forthoseevacuationscenarioswherechildrenareatschoolwhenanevacuationisordered,separatetransportationisprovidedfortheschoolchildren.Theactualneedfortransitvehiclesbyresidentsistherebylessthanthegivenestimates.However,estimatesoftransitvehiclesarenotreducedwhenschoolsareinsession.* Itisreasonableandappropriatetoconsiderthatmanytransit dependentpersonswillevacuat ebyride sharingwithneighbors,friendsorfamily.Forexample,nearly80percentofthosewhoevacuatedfromMississauga,Ontariowhodidnotusetheirowncars,sharedaridewithneighborsorfriends.Otherdocumentsreportthatapproximately70percentoftransitdependentpersonswereevacuatedviaridesharing.Wewilladoptaconservativeestimatethat50percentoftransitdependentpersonswillrideshare,inaccordancewithNUREG/CR 7002.Theestimatednumberofbustripsneededtoservicetransit dependentpersonsisbasedonanestimateofaveragebusoccupancyof30personsattheconclusionofthebusrun.Transi tvehicleseatingcapacitiestypicallyequalorexceed60childrenonaverage(roughlyequivalentto40adults).Iftransitvehicleevacueesaretwothirdsadultsandonethirdchildren,thenthenumberof"adultseats"takenby30personsis20+(2/3x10)=27.Onthisbasis,theaverag eloadfactoranticipatedis(27/40)x100=68percent.Thus,iftheactualdemandforserviceexceedstheestimatesofTable8 1by50percent,thedemandforservicecanstillbeaccommoda tedbytheavailablebusseatingcapacity.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 1indicatesthattransportationmustbeprovidedfor3,419people.Therefore,atotalof114busrunsarerequiredtotransportthispopulationtoreceptioncenters.Toillustratethisestimationprocedure,wecalculatethenumberofpersons,P,requiringpublictransitorride share,andthenumberofbuses,B,requiredfortheHNPEPZ:Where,A=PercentofhouseholdswithcommutersC=PercentofhouseholdswhowillnotawaitthereturnofacommuterThesecalculationsareexplainedasfollows:* Allmembers(2.00avg.)ofhouseholds(HH)withnovehicles(1.9%)willevacuatebypublictransitorride share.Theterm36,511(numberofhouseholds)x0.019x2.00,accountsforthesepeople.* ThemembersofHHwith1vehicleaway(19.0%),whoareathome,equal(1.86 1).ThenumberofHHwherethecomm uterwillnotreturnhomeisequalto(36,511x0.190x0.68x0.59),as68%ofEPZhouseholdshaveacommuter,59%ofwhichwouldnotreturnhomeintheeventofanemergency.Thenumberofpersonswhowillevacuatebypublictransitorride shareisequaltotheproductofthesetwoterms.* ThemembersofHHwith2vehiclesthatareaway(51.5%),whoareathome,equal(3.01-2).ThenumberofHHwhereneithercommuterwillreturnhomeisequalto36,511x0.515x(0.68x0.59)2.Thenumberofpersonswhowillevacuatebypublictransitorride shareisequaltotheproductofthesetwoterms(thelasttermissquaredtorepresenttheprobabilitythatneithercommuterwillreturn).* Householdswith3ormorevehiclesareassumedtohavenoneedfortransitvehicles.* ThetotalnumberofpersonsrequiringpublictransitisthesumofsuchpeopleinHHwithnovehi cles,orwith1or2vehiclesthatareawayfromhome.Theestimateoftransit dependentpopulationinTable8 1farexceedsthenumberofregisteredtransit dependentpersonsintheEPZasprovidedbythecounties(discussedbelowinSection8.5).ThisisconsistentwiththefindingsofNUREG/CR 6953,Volume2,inthatalargemajorityofthetransit dependentpopulationwithintheEPZsofU.S.nuclearplantsdoesnotregisterwiththeirlocalemergencyresponseagency.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18.2 SchoolPopulation-TransitDemandTable8 2presentstheschoolpopulationandtransportationrequirementsforthedirectevacuationofallschoolsandchildcarecenterswithintheEPZforthe2011 2012schoolyear.Thisinformationwasprovidedbythelocalcountyemergencymanagementagencies.ThecolumninTable8 2entitled"BusesRequired"specifiesthenumberofbusesrequiredforeachschoolunde rthefollowingsetofassumptionsandestimates:* Nostudentswillbepickedupbytheirparentspriortothearrivalofthebuses.* Whilemanyhighschoolstudentscommutetoschoolusingprivateautomobiles(asdiscussedinSection2.4ofNUREG/CR 7002),theestimateofbusesrequiredforschoolevacuationdoesnotconsidertheuseoftheseprivatevehicles.* Buscapacity,expressedinstudentsperbus,issetto70forprimaryschoolsandchildcarecentersand50formiddleandhighschools.* Thosestaffmemberswhodonotaccompanythestudentswillevacuateintheirprivatevehicles.* Noallowanceismadeforstudentabsenteeism,typically3percentdaily.Implementationofaprocesstoconfirmindividualschooltransportationneedspriortobusdispatchmayimprovebusutilization.Inthisway,thenumberofbusesdispatchedtotheschoolswillreflecttheactualnumberneeded.Theneedforbuseswouldbereducedbyanyhighschoolstudentswhohaveevacuatedusingprivateautomobiles(ifpermittedbyschoolauthorities).Thosebusesoriginallyallocatedtoevacuateschoolchildrenthatarenotneededduetochildrenbeingpickedupbytheirparents,canbegainfullyassignedtoserviceotherfacilitiesorthosepersonswhodonothaveacces stoprivatevehiclesortoride sharing.Table8 3presentsalistoftherelocationschoolsforeachevacuatingschoolandchildcarecenterintheEPZ.Studentswillbetransportedtotheserelocationschoolswheretheywillbesubsequentlyretrievedbytheirrespectivefamilies.8.3 MedicalFacilityDemandTable8 4presentsthecensusofmedicalfacilitiesintheEPZ.896peoplehavebeenidentifiedaslivingin,orbeingtreatedin,thesefacilities.Sincetheaveragenumberofpatien tsasthesefacilitiesfluctuatesoften,thecapacity,currentcensusandbreakdownofambulatory,wheelchairboundandbedriddenpatientsforeachfacilitywereprovidedbythecountyemergencymanagementagencies.ThetransportationrequirementsforthemedicalfacilitypopulationarealsopresentedinTable8 4.Thenumberofambulancerunsisdeterminedbyassumingth at2patientscanbeaccommodatedperambulancetrip;thenumberofwheelchairbusrunsassumes15wheelchairspertrip;thenumberofwheelchairvanrunsassumes4wheelchairspertrip;thenumberofminivanrunsassumes5patientspertrip;thenumberofpassengercarrunsassumes4patientspertripandthenumberofbusrunsestimatedassumes30ambulatorypatientspertrip.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18.4 EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTransitDependentPeopleEPZbusresourcesareassignedtoevacuatingschoolchildren(ifschoolisinsessionatthetimeoftheATE)asthefirstpriorityintheeventofanemergency.Intheeventthattheallocationofbusesdispatchedfromthedepotstothevariousfacilitiesandtothebusroutesissomewhatinefficient,orifthereisashortfallofavailabledrivers,thentheremaybeaneedforsomebusestoreturntotheEPZfromthereceptioncenteraftercompletingtheirfirstevacuationtrip,tocompletea"secondwave"ofprovidingtransportservicetoevacuees.Forthisreason,theETEforthetransit dependentpopulationwascalculatedforbothaonewavetransitevacuationandfortwowaves.Ofcourse,iftheimpactedEvacuationRegionisotherthanR03(theentireEPZ),thentherewilllikelybeampletransitresourcesrelativetodemandintheimpactedRegionandthisdiscussionofasecondwavewouldlikelynotapply.Itisassumedth atthereareenoughdriversavailabletomanallresourceslistedinTable8 5.Whenschoolevacuationneedsaresatisfied,subsequentassignmentsofbusestoservicethetransit dependentshouldbesensitivetotheirmobilizationtime.Clearly,thebusesshouldbedispatchedafterpeoplehavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivitiesandareinapositiontoboardthebuseswhentheyaredispatchedtothevariousroutesdescribedbelow.EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortransittripsweredevelopedusingbothgoodweatherandadverseweatherconditions.Figure8 1presentsthechronologyofeventsrelevanttotransitoperations.TheelapsedtimeforeachactivitywillnowbediscussedwithreferencetoFigure8 1.Activity:MobilizeDrivers(A B C)MobilizationistheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthetimethebusesarriveatthefacilitytobeevacuated.Basedondiscussionswiththecountyemergencymanagementagencies,driverswouldlikelyrequire90minutestobecontacted,totraveltothedepot,bebriefed,andtotraveltothetransit dependentfacilitiesforarapidlyescalatingradiologicalemergenc ywithnoobservableindicationbeforethefact.Mobilizationtimeisslightlylongerinadverseweather-100minuteswhenraining,110minuteswithice.Activity:BoardPassengers(C D)Basedondiscussionswiththeoffsiteagencies,aloadingtimeof15minutes(20minutesforrainand25minutesforice)forschoolbusesisused.Formultiplestopsalongapick uproute(transit dependentbusroutes)estimationoftraveltimemustallowforthedelayassociatedwithstoppingandstartingateachpick uppoint.Thetime,t,requiredforabustodecelerateatarate,"a",expressedinft/sec/sec,fromaspeed,"v",expressedinft/sec,toastop,ist=v/a.Assumingthesameaccelerationrateandfinalspeedfollowingthestopyieldsatotaltime,T,toserviceboardingpassengers:,WhereB=Dwelltimetoservicepassengers.Thetotaldistance,"s"infeet,travelledduringthedecelerationandaccelerationactivitiesis:s=v 2/a.Ifthebushadnotstoppedtoservice HarrisNuclearPlant8 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1passengers,buthadcontinuedtotravelatspeed,v,thenitstraveltimeoverthedistance,s,wouldbe:s/v=v/a.Thenthetotaldelay(i.e.pickuptime,P)toservicepassengersis:Assigningreasonableestimates:* B=50seconds:agenerousvalueforasinglepassenger,carryingpersonalitems,toboardperstop* v=25mph=37ft/sec* a=4ft/sec/sec,amoderateaveragerateThen,P1minuteperstop.Allowing30minutespick uptimeperbusrunimplies30st opsperrun,forgoodweather.Itisassumedthatbusaccelerationandspeedwillbelessinrain;totalloadingtimeis40minutesperbusinrain,50minutesinice.Activity:TraveltoEPZBoundary(D E)SchoolEvacuationTransportationresourcesavailablewereprovidedbytheEPZcountyemergencymanagementagenciesandaresummarizedinTable8 5.Alsoincludedinthetablearethenumberofbusesneededtoevacuateschoolsandchildcarecenters,medicalfacilities,transit dependentpopulationandhomeboundspecialneedspersons(discussedbelowinSection8.5).Thesenumbersin dicatetherearesufficientbus,wheelchairtransport,passengercarandambulanceresourcesavailabletoevacuateeveryoneinasinglewave.Therearenotenoughminivanstoevacuateinasinglewave.Therearesurplusbusesandpassengercarsavailabletosupplementtheshortageinminivanssuchthatallpeopleca nevacuateinasinglewave.Thebusesservicingtheschoolsarereadytobegintheirevacuationtripsat105minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuate-90minutesmobilizationtimeplus15minutesloadingtime-ingoodweather.TheUNITESsoftwarediscussedinSection1.3wasusedtodefinebusrout esalongthemostlikelypathfromaschoolbeingevacuatedtotheEPZboundary,travelingtowardtheappropriateschoolreceptioncenter.ThisisdoneinUNITESbyinteractivelyselectingtheseriesofnodesfromtheschooltotheEPZboundary.Eachbusrouteisgivenanidentificationnumberandiswrittentoth eDYNEVIIinputstream.DYNEVcomputestheroutelengthandoutputstheaveragespeedforeach5minuteinterval,foreachbusroute.ThespecifiedbusroutesaredocumentedinTable8 6(refertothemapsofthelink nodeanalysisnetworkinAppendixKfornodelocations).DataprovidedbyDYNEVduringtheappropriatetimeframedependingonthemobilizationandloadingtimes(i.e.,100to105minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuateforgoodweather)wereusedtocomputetheaveragespeedforeachroute,asfollows:

HarrisNuclearPlant8 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Theaveragespeedcomputed(usingthismethodology)forthebusesservicingeachoftheschoolsandchildcarecentersintheEPZisshowninTable8 7throughTable8 9forschoolandchildcarecenterevacuation,andinTable8 11throughTable8 13forthetransitvehiclesevacuatingtransit dependentpersons,whicharediscussedlater.ThetraveltimetotheEPZboundarywascomputedforeachbususingthecomputedaveragespeedandthedistancetotheEPZboundaryalongthemostlikelyrouteoutoftheEPZ.ThetraveltimefromtheEPZboundarytothereloca tionschoolwascomputedassuminganaveragespeedof45mph,41mph,and36mphforgoodweather,rainandice,respectively.SpeedswerereducedinTable8 7throughTable8 9andinTable8 11throughTable8 13to45mph(41mphforrain-10%decrease-and36mphforice-20%decrease)forthosecalculatedbusspeedswhichexceed45mph,astheschoolbusspeedlimitinNorthCarolinais45mph.Table8 7(goodweather),Table8 8(rain)andTable8 9(ice)presentthefollowingevacuationtimeestimates(roundeduptothenearest5minutes)forschoolsintheEPZ:(1)Th eelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthebusexitstheEPZ;and(2)Theelapsedtimeuntilthebusreachestherelocationschool.TheevacuationtimeoutoftheEPZcanbecomputedasthesumoftimesassociatedwithActivitiesA B C,C D,andD E(Forexample:90min.+15+7=1:55forMoncureElementarySchool,ingoodweather).TheevacuationtimetotherelocationschoolisdeterminedbyaddingthetimeassociatedwithActivityE F(discussedbelow),tothisEPZevac uationtime.NotetheaveragesinglewaveETEforschoolsandchildcarecentersislessthanthe90 thpercentileETEforRegionR03forthegeneralpopulation.Therefore,theevacuationofschoolsandchildcarecenterswillnotimpactprotectiveactiondecisionmakingasthegeneralpopulationtakeslongertoevacuate.EvacuationofTransit DependentPopulationThebusesdispatchedfromthedepotstoservicethetransit dependentevacueeswillbescheduledsothattheyarriveattheirrespectiveroutesaftertheirpassengershavecompletedtheirmobilization.AsshowninFigure5 4(ResidentswithnoCommuters),90percentoftheevacueeswillcompletetheirmobilizationwhenthebuseswillbegintheirroutes,approximately120minutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.Sub ZonesE,FandGhavehightransit dependentpopulationsandrequiremorebusesthananyotherSub Zones(Table8 10).Assuch,separateroutescircu latingApex,HollySpringsandFuquay Varina(Sub ZonesE,FandG,respectively)

HarrisNuclearPlant8 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1havebeenidentified.OtherroutesservicingSub Zoneswithalowertransit dependentpopulationwerealsoidentified.Thoserouteswithmultiplebuseshavebeendesignedsuchthatindividualbusesorgroupsofbusesaredispatchedusingvaryingheadways(5to30minutes),asshowninTable8 11throughTable8 13.Theuseofbusheadwaysensuresthatthosepeoplewhotakelongertomobilizewillbepickedup.Mobilizationtimeis10minuteslongerinra in(20minutesinice)toaccountforslowertravelspeedsandreducedroadwaycapacity.Thosebusesservicingthetransit dependentevacueeswillfirsttravelalongtheirpick uproutes,thenproceedoutofth eEPZtotheirrespectiveReceptionCenter.Thecountyemergencyplansdonotidentifypredefinedbusroutesorpick uppointstoservicethetransit dependentpopulationintheEPZ.The10busroutesshowngraphicallyinFigure8 2anddescribedinTable8 10weredesignedbyKLDtoservicethemajo rroutesthrougheachSub Zone.Itisassumedthatresidentswillwalktothenearestmajorroadwayandflagdownapassingbus,andthattheycanarriveattheroadwaywithinthe120minutebusmobilizationtime(goodweather).Aspreviouslydiscussed,apickuptimeof30minutes(goodweather)isestimatedfor30individualstopstopickuppassengers,withanaverageofoneminuteofdelayassociatedwitheachstop.Longerpickuptimesof40minutesand50m inutesareusedforrainandice,respect ively.Thetraveldistancealongtherespectivepick uprouteswithintheEPZisestimatedusingtheUNITESsoftware.BustraveltimeswithintheEPZarecomputedusingaveragespeedscomputedbyDYNEV,usingtheaforementionedmethodologythatwasusedforschoolevacuation.Table8 11throughTable8 13presentthetransit dependentpopulationevacuationtimeestimatesforeachbusroutecalculatedusingtheaboveproceduresforgoodweather,rainandice,respectively.Forexample,theETEforthefirstgroupof3busesservicingthesouthernportionoftheEPZ(Route40-NC 42spanningSub ZonesG,H,Ian dK)iscomputedas120+27+30=3:00forgoodweather(roundeduptonearest5minutes).Here,27minutesisthetimetotravel20.2milesat45.0mph,theaveragespeedoutputbythemodelforthisroutestartingat120minutes.TheETEforasecondwave(discussedbelow)ispresentedintheeventthereisashortfallofavailablebusesorbusdrivers;however,thisisunlikelygiventheampletransportationresourcesspreadbetweenthefourcountiesasshowninTable8 5.Activity:TraveltoRelocationSchoolsandReceptionCenters(E F)ThedistancesfromtheEPZboundarytotherelocationschoolsandreceptioncentersaremeasuredusingGISsoftwarealongthemostlikelyroutefromtheEPZexitpointtothereceptioncenter.TherelocationschoolsandreceptioncentersaremappedinFigure10 1.Foraone waveevacuation,thistraveltimeoutsidetheEPZdoesnotcontributetotheETE.Foratwo waveevacuation,theETEforbusesmustbeconsider edseparately,sinceitcouldexceedtheETEforthegeneralpopulation.Assumedbusspeedsof45mph,41mph,and36mphforgoodweather,rain,andice,respectively,w illbeappliedforthisactivityforbusesservicingthe HarrisNuclearPlant8 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1transit dependentpopulation.Activity:PassengersLeaveBus(F G)Abuscanemptywithin5minutes.Thedrivertakesa10minutebreak.Activity:BusReturnstoRouteforSecondWaveEvacuation(G C)ThebusesassignedtoreturntotheEPZtoperforma"secondwave"evacuationoftransit dependentevacueeswillbethosethathavealreadyevacuatedtransit dependentpeoplewhomobilizedmorequickly.Thefirstwaveoftransit dependentpeopledepartthebus,andthebusthenreturnstotheEPZ,travelstoitsrouteandproceedstopickupmor etransit dependentevacueesalongtheroute.ThetraveltimebacktotheEPZisequaltothetraveltimetothereceptioncenter.Thesecond waveETEforRoute40(NC 42spanningSub ZonesG,H,IandK)iscomputedasfollowsfo rgoodweather:* Busarrivesatreceptioncenterat3:13ingoodweather(3:00toexitEPZ+13minutetraveltimetoreceptioncenter).* Busdischargespassengers(5minutes)anddrivertakesa10minuterest:15minutes.* BusreturnstoEPZ,drivestothestartoftherouteandco mpletessecondroute:13minutes(equaltotraveltimetoreceptioncenter)+27minutes(equaltotraveltimetostartofroute,i.e.,20.2miles@45mph)+27minutes(equaltotraveltimeforsecondroute)=67minutes* Buscompletespick upsalongroute:30minutes.* BusexitsEP Zattime3:00+0:13+0:15+1:07+0:30=5:05(roundedtonearest5minutes)aftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.TheETEforthecompletionofthesecondwaveforalltransit dependentbusroutesareprovidedinTable8 11throughTable8 13.NotetheaveragesinglewaveETEforthetransit dependentpopulationisgreaterthanthe90 thpercentileETEforRegionR03forthegeneralpopulation.Therefore,theevacuationoftransit dependentscouldimpactprotectiveactiondecisionmakingandshouldbeconsidered.TheaverageETEforatwo waveevacuationoftransit dependentpeoplealsoexceedstheETEforthegeneralpopulationatthe90 thpercentileandcouldalsoimpactprotectactiondecisionmaking.Therelocationoftransit dependentevacueesfromthereceptioncenterstocongregatecarecenters,ifthecountiesdecidetodoso,isnotconsideredinthisstudy.EvacuationofMedicalFacilitiesTheevacuationofthesefacilitiesissimilartoschoolevacuationexcept:* Busesareassignedonthebasisof30patientstoallowforstafftoaccompanythepatients.Wheelchairbusescanaccommodate15patients;wheelchairvans-4patients;ambulances-2patients;minivans-5patients,passengerscars-4patients.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1* Basedonfeedbackfromthecountyemergencymanagementagencies,loadingtimesof2minutes,7minutes,and15minutesperpatientareusedforambulatory,wheelchairbound,andbedriddenpatients,respectively.Thevehiclesownedby/availabletoeachmedicalfacilitywereprovidedbythecountyemergencymanagementagencies.Itisassumedthatfacilitieswithahighwheelchair boundpopulationwillevacuateusingawheelchairbusandthatwheelchairvanswillevacuatethosefacilitieswithasmallerwheelchair boundpopulation.ItisassumedthatWakeCountymedicalfacilitieswithalowambulatorycensuswillevacuateviaminivansandpassengercars,sincethosearethetransportationassetsthosefacilitieshaveon site.Usingthedataprovided,theseassumptions,andtheaforementionedvehiclecapacities,Table8 4indicatesthat17busruns,15wheelchairbusruns,18wheelchairvanruns,27minivanruns,10passengercarrunsand56ambulancerunsareneededtoserviceallofthemedi calfacilitiesintheEPZ.Aspreviouslydiscussedtheshortfallinminivanscanbesupplementedbythesurplusbusandpassengercarresourcesavailable.Asisdonefortheschools,itisestimatedthatmobilizationtimeaverages90minutesingoodweather(100inrain,110inice).Speciallytrainedmedicalsupportstaff(workingtheirregularshift)willbeonsitetoassistintheevacuationofpatients.Additionalstaff(ifneeded)couldbemobilizedoverthissame90minutetimeframe.Table8 14throughTable8 16summarizetheETEformedicalfacilitieswithintheEPZforgoodweather,rain,andice.ThedistancesfromthemedicalfacilitiestotheEPZboundarywereestimatedusingGISsoftware.AveragespeedsoutputbythemodelforScenario6(Scenario7forrainandScenario8forice)Region3,cappedat45mph(41mphforrainand36mphforice),areusedtocomputetraveltimetoEPZboundary.ThetraveltimetotheEPZboundaryiscomputedbydividingthedistancetotheEPZboundarybytheaveragetravelspeed.TheETEisthesumofthemobilizationtime,totalpassengerloadingtime,andtraveltimeoutoftheEPZ.Concurrentloadingonmultiplebuses,wheelchairbuses/vans,minivans,passengercarsandambulancesatcapacityisassumedsuchthatthemaximumloadingtimesforbuses(maximumcapacityof30times2minutesperpassenger),minivans(5times2),passengercars(4times2),wheelchairbuses(15times7),wheelchairvans(4times7),andambulances(2times15)are60,10,8,105,28and30mi nutes,respectively.AllETEareroundedtothenearest5minutes.Forexample,thecalculationofETEforSanfordHealth&Rehabwith41ambulatoryresidentsduringgoodweatheris:ETE:90+30x2+3=153min.or2:35roundedtothenearest5minutes.Itisassumedthatmedi calfacilitypopulationisdirectlyevacuatedtoappropriatehostmedicalfacilities.Relocationofthispopulationtopermanentfacilitiesand/orpassingthroughthereceptioncenterbeforearrivingatthehostfacilityarenotconsideredinthisanalysis.AverageETEformedicalfacilitiesarelessthanthe90 thpercentileETEfortheevacuationofthegeneralpopulationfromRegionR03andwillnotimpactprotectiveactiondecisionmaking.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18.5 SpecialNeedsPopulationThecountyemergencymanagementagencieshaveacombinedregistrationfortransit dependentandhomeboundspecialneedspersons.Basedondataprovidedbythecounties,thereareanestimated19homeboundspecialneedspeople(14ambulatory,4wheelchair boundand1bedridden)withintheChathamCountyportionoftheEPZ;12homeboundspecialneedspeople(8ambulatory,3wheelchair boundand1bedridden)withintheHarnettCountyportionoftheEPZ;3homeboundspecialneedspeople(allambulatory)withintheLeeCountyportionoftheEPZand69homeboundspecialneedspeople(50ambulatory,12wheelchair boundand7bedridden)withinth eWakeCountyportionoftheEPZ.Thisresultsin75ambulatorypersons,19wheelchair boundpersonsand9bedriddenpersonsforatotalspecialneedspopulationof103people.Parentsareencouragedtoregistertheirchildreniftheywouldneedarideatanytimetoevacuate.Assuch,itisassumedth atlatchkeychildren,childrenwhoareathomewhilebothparentsareatwork,areincludedinthisdata.ETEforHomeboundSpecialNeedsPersonsTable8 17summarizestheETEforhomeboundspecialneedspeople.Thetableiscategorizedbytypeofvehiclerequiredandthenbrokendownbyweathercondition.Thetabletakesintoconsiderationthedeploymentofmultiplevehicles(notfilledtocapacity)toreducethenumberofstopspervehicle.DuetothelimitationsondrivingforHomeboundSpecialNeedsPersons,itassumedtheywillbepickedupfromtheirhomes.Furthermore,itisconservativelyassumedthatambulatoryandwheel chairboundspecialneedshouseholdsarespaced3milesapartandbedriddenhouseholdsarespaced5milesapart.Vanandbusspeedsapproximate20mphbetweenhouseholdsandambulancespeedsap proximate30mphingoodweather(10%slowerinrain,20%slowerinice).Mobilizationtimesof90minuteswereused(100minutesforrain,and110minutesforice).ThelastHHisassumedtobe5milesfromtheEPZboundary,andthenetwork wideaveragespeed,cappedat45mp h(41mphforrainand36mphforice),afterthelastpickupisusedtocomputetraveltime.ETEiscomputedbysummingmobilizationtime,loadingtimeatfirsthousehold,traveltosubsequenthouseholds,loadingtimeatsubsequenthouseholds,andtraveltimetoEPZboundary.AllETEareroundedtothenearest5minutes.Forexampl e,assumingnomorethanonespecialneedspersonperHHimpliesthat75ambulatoryhouseholdsneedtobeserviced.Whileonly3busesareneededfromacapacityperspective,if10busesaredeployedtoservicethesespecialneedsHH,theneachwouldrequireatmost8stops.ThefollowingoutlinestheETEcalculations:1. Assume10busesaredeployed,eachwithatmost8stops,toserviceatotalof75HH.2. TheETEiscalculatedasfollows:a. Busesarriveatthefirstpickuplocation:90minutesb. LoadHHmembersatfirs tpickup:5minutesc. Traveltosubsequentpickuplocations:7@9minutes(3miles@20mph)=63minutesd. LoadHHmembersatsubsequentpickuplocations:7@5minutes=35minutese. TraveltoEPZboundary:12minutes(5miles@24.5mph).

HarrisNuclearPlant8 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ETE:90+5+63+35+12=3:25roundedtothenearest5minutesTheaverageETEforhomeboundspecialneedspopulationiscomparabletothe90 thpercentileETEforevacuationofthegeneralpopulationinRegionR03andwillnotimpactprotectiveactiondecisionmaking.

HarrisNuclearPlant8 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Event AAdvisorytoEvacuate BBusDispatchedfromDepot CBusArrivesatFacility/Pick upRoute DBusDepartsforReceptionCenter/RelocationSchoolEBusExitsRegion FBusArrivesatReceptionCenter/RelocationSchoolGBusAvailablefor"SecondWave"EvacuationServiceActivity A BDriverMobilization B CTraveltoFacilityortoPick upRoute C DPassengersBoardtheBus D EBusTravelsTowardsRegionBoundary E FBusTravelsTowardsReceptionCenter/RelocationSchoolOutsidetheEPZ F GPassengersLeaveBus;DriverTakesaBreak Figure8 1.ChronologyofTransitEvacuationOperationsA B C D E F G Time(SubsequentWave)

HarrisNuclearPlant8 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure8 2.Transit DependentBusRoutes HarrisNuclearPlant8 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 1.TransitDependentPopulationEstimates2010EPZPopulationSurveyAverageHHSizewithIndicatedNo.ofVehiclesEstimatedNo.ofHouseholdsSurveyPercentHHwithIndicatedNo.ofVehiclesSurveyPercentHH withCommutersSurveyPercentHH withNonReturning CommutersTotalPeopleRequiringTransportEstimatedRidesharing PercentagePeopleRequiringPublicTransitPercentPopulationRequiringPublicTransit012012102,9612.001.863.0136,5111.9%19.0%51.5%68%59%6,83850%3,4193.3%

HarrisNuclearPlant8 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 2.SchoolPopulationDemandEstimatesSubZoneSchoolNameEnrollment BusesRequiredEA.V.BaucomElementarySchool96214EApexElementarySchool67010EApexMiddleSchool1,08622EApexSeniorHighSchool2,30046ELufkinRoadMiddleSchool1,01021EOliveChapelElementarySchool93314ESt.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool70411EThalesAcademy3197FHollyGroveElementarySchool98014FHollyGroveMiddleSchool1,13623FHollyRidgeElementarySchool72411FHollyRidgeMiddleSchool1,03321FHollySpringsElementarySchool1,12117FHollySpringsHighSchool2,10843FNewSchool,Inc.Montessori1803GFuquay VarinaMiddleSchool90319GFuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool1,92539GHerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool86713GLincolnHeightsElementarySchool4747GSouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool1193MMoncureElementarySchool2855S.R.DeepRiverElementarySchool63810S.R.LafayetteElementarySchool78012SchoolSubtotal 21,257385SubZoneChildCareCenterNameEnrollment BusesRequiredEAllAboutKids1252EApexBaptistChurchPreschool1743EApexChildCarewithDebbie51EApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool782EGraceChurchPreschool822EHopeChapelPreschool752EWoodhavenBaptistPre school1022EEarthAngel'sDayCareHome81EEdithFranklinDayCareHome51ELori'sFamilyDayCare21 HarrisNuclearPlant8 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SubZoneSchoolNameEnrollment BusesRequiredEPlayCare61EVickie'sDayCareHome51EGoddardSchoolApex1202EGrowingYearsLearningCenter1002EJudy'sHomeCare51EKarin' 4Kidz81EMoravicFamilyDayCare51FHollySpringsLearningCenter1593FHollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation882FHomeAwayFromHomeChildcare51FKiddieAcademyofHollySprings1453FKris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare51FLittleDreamersPreschool1112FSisters'ChildCareServices201FStellaLowerySmallDayCareHome51FSunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool661FTheCarolinaSchool501GAMother'sLove51GChildcareNetwork-Fuquay Varina1132GFuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare982GFuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith1803GGingerbreadLittleversity Downtown992GLittleAngelsPreparatory501GLittleMiracles41GReadyOrNotHereIGrow922GShiningStarChildCareHome51GSouthWakePreschool&Academy371GSpinningWheelsLearningCenter241GVanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome71ChildCareCenterSubtotal 2,27360TOTAL: 23,530445 HarrisNuclearPlant8 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 3.RelocationSchoolsforSchoolsandChildCareCentersSchool/ChildCareCenterRelocationSchoolDeepRiverElementarySchoolBenjaminT.BullockElementarySchoolSt.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchoolCardinalGibbonsHighSchoolFuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchoolGarnerHighSchoolAMother'sLoveChildcareNetwork-Fuquay VarinaFuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCareFuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaithGingerbreadLittleversity DowntownLittleAngelsPreparatoryLittleMiraclesReadyOrNotHereIGrowShiningStarChildCareHomeSouthWakePreschool&AcademySouthernWakeAcademyHighSchoolSpinningWheelsLearningCenterVanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHomeLafayetteElementarySchoolHarnettCentralMiddleSchoolHollyGroveMiddleSchoolKnightdaleHighSchoolHollyRidgeElementarySchoolHollyRidgeMiddleSchoolHollySpringsElementarySchoolA.V.BaucomElementarySchoolLeesvilleHighSchoolApexMiddleSchoolLufkinRoadMiddleSchoolOliveChapelElementarySchoolFuquay VarinaMiddleSchoolMillbrookHighSchoolHerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchoolLincolnHeightsElementarySchoolMoncureElementarySchoolNorthwoodHighSchoolApexElementarySchoolSandersonHighSchoolAllAboutKidsApexBaptistChurchPreschoolApexChildCarewithDebbieApexSeniorHighSchoolApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschoolEarthAngel'sDayCareHome HarrisNuclearPlant8 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1School/ChildCareCenterRelocationSchoolEdithFranklinDayCareHomeGoddardSchoolApexSandersonHighSchoolGraceChurchPreschoolGrowingYearsLearningCenterHopeChapelPreschoolJudy'sHomeCareKarin' 4KidzLori'sFamilyDayCareMoravicFamilyDayCarePlayCareThalesAcademyVickie'sDayCareHomeWoodhavenBaptistPre schoolHollyGroveElementarySchoolSoutheastRaleighHighSchoolHollySpringsHighSchoolHollySpringsLearningCenterHollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducationHomeAwayFromHomeChildcareKiddieAcademyofHollySpringsKris'HomeSweetHomeDaycareLittleDreamersPreschoolNewSchool,Inc.MontessoriSisters'ChildCareServicesStellaLowerySmallDayCareHomeSunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschoolTheCarolinaSchool HarrisNuclearPlant8 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 4.MedicalFacilityTransitDemandSubZoneFacilityNameCapacity CurrentCensusAmbulatoryWheelchairBoundBedridden BusRunsWheelchairBusRunsWheel chairVanRunsMinivanRunsCarRuns Ambu lanceLEECOUNTYMEDICALFACILITIESJSanfordHealth&Rehab1371374169272500014LeeCountySubtotal:1371374169272500014WAKECOUNTYMEDICALFACILITIESABrown'sFamilyCareHome66600100000AJamesRestHome403828100103000CMurchisonResidentialCorpHome33300000010EAzaleaGardensMentalHealth66600000200EBrookridgeAssistedLiving555240120203000EFavourHome66600000020EKingsGroupHomeforChildren44400000010ELockleyRoadHome66600000200EMasonStreetGroupHome66600000200EOliveHome66600000200ERexRehab&NursingCenterofApex107902040301300015ESeagravesFamilyCareHome64400000100EShackletonHome33300000010ESpringArborofApex766647190205000 HarrisNuclearPlant8 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SubZoneFacilityNameCapacity CurrentCensusAmbulatoryWheelchairBoundBedridden BusRunsWheelchairBusRunsWheel chairVanRunsMinivanRunsCarRuns Ambu lanceEWakeMedApexHealthplex 11212741101001FAventFerryHome66600000200FBassLakeHome66600000020FCountryLaneGroupHome66600000200FHerbertReidHome55500000100FHickoryAvenueHome66600000200FSt.Mark'sManor99900000200FTrotter'sBluff66600000200GCreekwayHome66600000200GEvans WalstonHome33300000010GFuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderly80626020201000GHopeHouse44400000010GKintonCourtHome16161600000400GLifeSkillsIndependentCare#144400000100GMim'sFamilyCareHome62200000010GWakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacility363502015005008GWindsorPointContinuingCare300275140100355700018WakeCountySubtotal:84175947120781151018271042TOTAL:978896512276108171518271056Notes:1Thisfacilityisastand aloneEmergencyDepartmentwithaconstantlychangingbreakdownofpatients.Anaverageofthe%breakdownofothermedicalfacilitieswasapplied HarrisNuclearPlant8 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 5.SummaryofTransportationResourcesTransportationResourceBusesWheelchair BusesWheelchair VansMinivansPassengerCarsAmbulances MedevacHelicopterResourcesAvailableWakeCountyPublicSchoolSystem883WakeCountyEMSApex3WakeCountyEMSFuquay Varina2WakeCountyEMSHollySprings2EasternWakeandCaryAreaEMS139WakeMedCriticalCare201RexHealthcare4AventFerryHome1AzaleaGardensMentalHealth1BassLakeHome1BrookridgeAssistedLiving2CountryLaneGroupHome1CreekwayHome1Evans WalstonHome1FavourHome4Fuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderly1HerbertReidHome1HickoryAvenueHome1HopeHouse1KingsGroupHomeforChildren4KintonCourtHome2LifeSkillsIndependentCare#11LockleyRoadHome1MasonStreetGroupHome1Mim'sFamilyCareHome1MurchisonResidentialCorpHome1OliveHome1 HarrisNuclearPlant8 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TransportationResourceBusesWheelchair BusesWheelchair VansMinivansPassengerCarsAmbulances MedevacHelicopterSeagravesFamilyCareHome1ShackletonHome1SpringArborofApex1St.Mark'sManor1Trotter'sBluff1WindsorPointContinuingCare1ChathamTransit131122ChathamCountyEMSStationsFirstHealth8MoncureElementarySchool5LeeCounty1308CentralCarolinaHospital(CCH)1CountyofLeeTransitSystem(COLTS)1518SanfordHealth&Rehab1HarnettCounty2572HarnettAreaTransitSystem1AndersonCreekEmergencyServices3ErwinFireRescue2CoatsGroveFireDepartment2TOTAL: 1,27719351917931ResourcesNeededSchoolsandChildCareCenters(Table8 2): 443MedicalFacilities(Table8 4): 171518271056TransitDependentPopulation(Table8 10): 114HomeboundSpecialNeeds(Section8.5): 1055TOTALTRANSPORTATIONNEEDS: 58415242710610 HarrisNuclearPlant8 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 6.BusRouteDescriptionsBusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary1ApexElementarySchool1276,1275,757,320,734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,6012ApexSeniorHighSchool,Judy'sHomeCare1018,1450,1203ApexMiddleSchool319,320,734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,6014A.V.BaucomElementarySchool694,1282,710,669,665,660,325,326,327,396,15786LufkinRoadMiddleSchool447,60,692,6017OliveChapelElementarySchool296,299,1541,1542,1539,1544,434,1543,1343,1532,15318St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool1010,291,1277,292,1276,294,319,320,734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60110HollyGroveElementarySchool,HollyGroveMiddleSchool,HollySpringsHighSchool,HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare156,140,1319,21,33,32,31,30,24,26,25,1566,1564,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60111HollyRidgeElementarySchool,HollyRidgeMiddleSchool555,715,716,52,790,520,522,524,525,51112HollySpringsElementarySchool439,555,715,716,52,790,520,522,524,525,51113SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool,SouthWakePreschool&Academy431,1032,1573,1033,1257,1254,1256,1255,125814NewSchool,Inc.MontessoriSunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool,StellaLowerySmallDayCareHome50,1463,51,52,790,520,522,524,525,51115Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool,ReadyOrNotHereIGrow,VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome1031,1253,424,226,1574,20216Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool957,226,1574,20217LincolnHeightsElementarySchool894,228,959,204,203,1030,226,1574,20218MoncureElementarySchool74,261,770,771,77219HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool789,47,1462,1461,46,44,43,126120ThalesAcademy,ApexChildCarewithDebbie1450,1018,585,1019,1376,704,581,1220,60,692,60140TransitDependentSouthernEPZ872,873,874,875,807,866,809,808,810,811,839,840,841,842 HarrisNuclearPlant8 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1BusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary41TransitDependentEasternEPZ31,32,33,21,35,435,1264,615,431,1032,1573,1033,1257,1254,1256,1255,1258,126342TransitDependentNorthernEPZ128,641,129,130,466,1024,1598,1025,135,620,65543TransitDependentApex315,314,306,299,303,304,1280,694,297,703,1378,585,1018,1450,120,587,122,123,1582,672,126,326,325,660,665,669,710,1282,694,702,294,319,320,734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60144TransitDependentHollySprings439,441,1036,443,444,25,26,24,30,31,32,33,21,35,438,1320,1321,439,555,715,716,52,790,520,522,524,525,51145TransitDependentFuquay Varina957,958,229,1250,228,1504,957,226,1030,203,204,959,228,1250,229,1100,1099,1499,1249,1501,1502,1575,20246TransitDependentSub ZonesA,B278,632,436,282,283,235,239,241,243,244,245,246,249,251,128,433,1539,1544,434,1543,1343,1532,153147TransitDependentSub ZonesC,D1318,156,140,1319,21,33,3248TransitDependSub ZoneJ1580,913,915,914,916,918,917,91949TransitDependentSub ZoneM281,280,279,277,27550MajorEvacuationRouteNC 540TollNB1551,1346,1345,1545,1344,1546,1543,1343,1532,1531,1533,1568,1342,1341,1338,1337,134051MajorEvacuationRouteUS 64EB641,128,433,1539,1544,434,127,1584,1593,126,672,1582,123,122,587,120,119,116,1011,583,58452MajorEvacuationRouteUS 64WB128,641,129,130,466,1024,1598,1025,135,620,655,61853MajorEvacuationRouteUS 1NB76,1138,73,72,1557,1555,1560,582,1552,71,690,759,691,1583,692,60154MajorEvacuationRouteUS 1SB76,579,577,575,10,6,1,592,22,78,630,83,8455MajorEvacuationRouteNC 42WB872,873,874,875,807,866,809,808,810,811,839,840,84156MajorEvacuationRouteNC 55NB33,32,31,30,24,26,25,1566,1564,28,27,762,445,68,758,1273,1271,1274,734,320,319,294,702,694,1282,710,669,665,660,325,326,327,396,157859Mim'sFamilyCareHome893,894,228,959,204,203,1030,226,157460Brown'sFamilyCareHome,JamesRestHome452,75,73,72,1557,1555,1560,582,1552,71,690,759,691,1583,692,601 HarrisNuclearPlant8 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1BusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary62RexRehab&NursingCenterofApex734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60163SpringArborofApex304,1280,694,297,298,1281,670,671,123,122,587,12071Fuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderly206,1100,1099,1499,1249,1501,1502,1575,20272WindsorPointContinuingCare1033,425,1031,1253,424,226,1574,20273SanfordHealth&Rehab83,84,87,8974WakeMedApexHealthplex665,660,325,126,672,1582,123,122,587,12075AventFerryHome,CountryLaneGroupHome,Trotter'sBluff1319,21,33,32,31,30,24,26,25,1566,1564,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60176BassLakeHome439,555,715,716,52,790,520,522,524,52577BrookridgeAssistedLiving1276,294,319,320,734,1274,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60179CreekwayHome1499,1249,150180Evans WalstonHome44,43,1261,4281FavourHome444,29,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60182HerbertReidHome,St.Mark'sManor54,53,791,52,790,520,522,524,52583HickoryAvenueHome438,1320,1321,439,441,1036,443,444,29,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,60184KintonCourtHome229,1250,228,959,204,203,1030,226,1574,20285MasonStreetHome1378,585,1019,1376,704,581,1220,60,692,60187SeagravesFamilyCareHome294,1451,703,297,1454,1018,1450,12090WakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacility1100,229,1250,228,959,204,203,1030,226,1574,20291AzaleaGardensMentalHealth,MasonStreetGroupHome,OliveHome1019,1376,704,581,1220,60,692,60192HopeHouse1254,1256,1255,1258,1263,20293KingsGroupHomeforChildren299,1541,1542,1539,1544,434,127,1584,1593,126,672,1582,123,122,587,12094LifeSkillsIndependentCare#11262,1259,1258,1263,202,1576,4295LockleyRoadHome790,520,522,524,52596MurchisonResidentialCorpHome158,156,140,1319,21,33,32,31,30,24,26,25,1566,1564,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,601,693 HarrisNuclearPlant8 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1BusRouteNumberDescriptionNodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary97ShackletonHome1272,1271,1273,758,68,690,759,691,1583,692,601,693110Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare,Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith957,226,1574,202111LittleAngelsPreparatory,LittleMiracles,ShiningStarChildCareHome1100,1099,1499,1249112ChildcareNetworkFuquay Varina,GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown959,204,203,1030,226,1574,202113AMother'sLove1032,1573,1033,1257,1254,1256,1255,1258114SpinningWheelsLearningCenter48,47,56115HollySpringsLearningCenter,Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare,Sisters'ChildCareServices,TheCarolinaSchool555,715,716,52,790,520,519,518,517,1436,454,717,459116HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation,KiddieAcademyofHollySprings,LittleDreamersPreschool443,444,29,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,601117Karin' 4Kidz444,29,28,27,762,445,68,690,759,691,1583,692,601118AllAboutKids,GraceChurchPreschool,WoodhavenBaptistPre school517,1436,454,717,459119EarthAngel'sDayCareHome1211,1063,728,727,1374,454,717,459120ApexBaptistChurchPreschool,ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool,EdithFranklinDayCareHome,GoddardSchoolApex,GrowingYearsLearningCenter,Vickie'sDayCareHome294,1451,703,1378,585,1019,1376,704,581,1220,60,692,601121PlayCare682,1283,684,660,325,126,672,1582,123,122,587,120122Lori'sFamilyDayCare,MoravicFamilyDayCare1221,1220,60,692,601123HopeChapelPreschool301,1009,673,671,123,122,587,120 HarrisNuclearPlant8 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 7.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeatherSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool90154.745.071:558.4122:10HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 190150.00.001:453.961:55LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 190150.00.001:458.8122:00WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool90153.041.251:5017.3242:15ApexElementarySchool90153.345.051:5014.7202:10ApexMiddleSchool90152.945.041:5017.1232:15ApexSeniorHighSchool90150.84.2122:0015.9222:25LufkinRoadMiddleSchool90151.245.021:5017.1232:15OliveChapelElementarySchool90153.38.0252:1017.4242:35St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool90154.940.581:5510.6152:10ThalesAcademy90152.936.351:5014.7202:10HollyGroveElementarySchool90158.330.7172:0513.5192:25HollyGroveMiddleSchool90158.230.7172:0524.9342:40HollyRidgeElementarySchool90153.211.4172:0524.7332:40HollyRidgeMiddleSchool90153.211.4172:0524.7332:40HollySpringsElementarySchool90153.77.7302:1524.7332:50HollySpringsHighSchool90158.730.7172:0513.5192:25NewSchool,Inc.Montessori90152.721.781:5513.4182:15Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool90150.93.9142:0028.4382:40Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool90153.335.361:5527.0372:35LincolnHeightsElementarySchool90151.73.6292:1528.4382:55SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool90153.13.2582:4512.8183:05 HarrisNuclearPlant8 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids90151.545.031:5016.1222:15ApexBaptistChurchPreschool90152.718.491:5514.7202:15ApexChildCarewithDebbie90153.036.351:5014.7202:10ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool90152.718.491:5514.7202:15EarthAngel'sDayCareHome90151.839.131:5016.1222:15EdithFranklinDayCareHome90152.718.491:5514.7202:15GoddardSchoolApex90152.718.491:5514.7202:15GraceChurchPreschool90151.545.031:5016.1222:15GrowingYearsLearningCenter90152.718.491:5514.7202:15HopeChapelPreschool90151.411.381:5515.9222:20Judy'sHomeCare90150.84.2122:0015.9222:25Karin' 4 Kidz90154.426.2112:0014.7202:20Lori'sFamilyDayCare90151.042.821:5014.7202:10MoravicFamilyDayCare90151.042.821:5014.7202:10PlayCare90153.219.2112:0015.9222:25Vickie'sDayCareHome90152.718.491:5514.7202:15WoodhavenBaptistPre school90151.545.031:5016.1222:15HollySpringsLearningCenter90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare90158.330.7172:0513.5192:25KiddieAcademyofHollySprings90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25LittleDreamersPreschool90154.520.7132:0013.5192:20Sisters'ChildCareServices90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25StellaLowerySmallDayCare90151.521.651:5013.4182:10SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool90152.721.781:5513.4182:15 HarrisNuclearPlant8 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool90154.417.0162:0515.0202:25AMother'sLove90152.94.0442:3012.8182:50ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina90151.13.1222:1013.0182:30Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare90150.83.9132:0013.0182:20Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith90150.83.9132:0013.0182:20GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown90151.13.1222:1013.0182:30LittleAngelsPreparatory90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00LittleMiracles90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00ReadyOrNotHereIGrow90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25ShiningStarChildCareHome90151.11.3552:4013.7193:00SouthWakePreschool&Academy90153.13.2582:4512.8183:05SpinningWheelsLearningCenter90151.439.031:5011.2152:05VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome90151.14.0172:0513.0182:25MaximumforEPZ:2:45Maximum:3:05AverageforEPZ:2:05Average:2:25Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow

HarrisNuclearPlant8 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 8.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool100204.741.072:108.4132:25HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 1100200.00.002:003.962:10LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 1100200.00.002:008.8132:15WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool100203.035.062:1017.3262:40ApexElementarySchool100203.341.052:0514.7222:30ApexMiddleSchool100202.941.052:0517.1262:35ApexSeniorHighSchool100200.85.1102:1015.9242:35LufkinRoadMiddleSchool100201.241.022:0517.1262:35OliveChapelElementarySchool100203.38.1252:2517.4262:55St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool100204.936.492:1010.6162:30ThalesAcademy100202.936.752:0514.7222:30HollyGroveElementarySchool100208.331.1162:2013.5202:40HollyGroveMiddleSchool100208.231.1162:2024.9373:00HollyRidgeElementarySchool100203.212.1162:2024.7373:00HollyRidgeMiddleSchool100203.212.1162:2024.7373:00HollySpringsElementarySchool100203.77.6302:3024.7373:10HollySpringsHighSchool100208.731.1172:2013.5202:40NewSchool,Inc.Montessori100202.727.072:1013.4202:30Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool100200.92.9182:2028.4423:05Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool100203.334.962:1027.0402:50LincolnHeightsElementarySchool100201.72.9362:4028.4423:25SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool100203.13.0613:0512.8193:25 HarrisNuclearPlant8 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids100201.541.032:0516.1242:30ApexBaptistChurchPreschool100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40ApexChildCarewithDebbie100203.036.752:0514.7222:30ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40EarthAngel'sDayCareHome100201.835.442:0516.1242:30EdithFranklinDayCareHome100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40GoddardSchoolApex100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40GraceChurchPreschool100201.541.032:0516.1242:30GrowingYearsLearningCenter100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40HopeChapelPreschool100201.44.9182:2015.9242:45Judy'sHomeCare100200.85.1102:1015.9242:35Karin' 4 Kidz100204.440.472:1014.7222:35Lori'sFamilyDayCare100201.036.522:0514.7222:30MoravicFamilyDayCare100201.036.522:0514.7222:30PlayCare100203.29.9202:2015.9242:45Vickie'sDayCareHome100202.715.5112:1514.7222:40WoodhavenBaptistPre school100201.541.032:0516.1242:30HollySpringsLearningCenter100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation100204.530.792:1013.5202:30HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare100208.331.1162:2013.5202:40KiddieAcademyofHollySprings100204.530.792:1013.5202:30Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45LittleDreamersPreschool100204.530.792:1013.5202:30Sisters'ChildCareServices100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45StellaLowerySmallDayCare100201.522.542:0513.4202:25SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool100202.727.072:1013.4202:30 HarrisNuclearPlant8 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool100204.415.0182:2015.0222:45AMother'sLove100202.94.4402:4012.8193:00ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina100201.12.4302:3013.0202:50Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare100200.82.9182:2013.0202:40Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith100200.82.9182:2013.0202:40GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown100201.12.4302:3013.0202:50LittleAngelsPreparatory100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20LittleMiracles100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20ReadyOrNotHereIGrow100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45ShiningStarChildCareHome100201.11.3522:5513.7213:20SouthWakePreschool&Academy100203.13.0613:0512.8193:25SpinningWheelsLearningCenter100201.435.832:0511.2172:25VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome100201.13.2212:2513.0202:45MaximumforEPZ:3:05Maximum:3:25AverageforEPZ:2:20Average:2:45Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow HarrisNuclearPlant8 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table8 9.SchoolandChildCareCenterEvacuationTimeEstimatesIceSchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)CHATHAMCOUNTYSCHOOLSMoncureElementarySchool110254.736.082:258.4142:40HARNETTCOUNTYSCHOOLSLafayetteElementarySchool 1110250.00.002:153.972:25LEECOUNTYSCHOOLSDeepRiverElementarySchool 1110250.00.002:158.8152:30WAKECOUNTYSCHOOLSA.V.BaucomElementarySchool110253.031.762:2517.3292:55ApexElementarySchool110253.336.062:2514.7252:50ApexMiddleSchool110252.936.052:2017.1292:50ApexSeniorHighSchool110250.85.492:2515.9272:55LufkinRoadMiddleSchool110251.236.022:2017.1292:50OliveChapelElementarySchool110253.38.1252:4017.4293:10St.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool110254.935.892:2510.6182:45ThalesAcademy110252.932.662:2514.7252:50HollyGroveElementarySchool110258.325.7202:3513.5233:00HollyGroveMiddleSchool110258.225.7202:3524.9423:20HollyRidgeElementarySchool110253.210.7182:3524.7423:20HollyRidgeMiddleSchool110253.210.7182:3524.7423:20HollySpringsElementarySchool110253.77.1322:5024.7423:35HollySpringsHighSchool110258.727.8192:3513.5233:00NewSchool,Inc.Montessori110252.719.992:2513.4232:50Fuquay VarinaMiddleSchool110250.92.9182:3528.4483:25Fuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05HerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool110253.328.572:2527.0463:15LincolnHeightsElementarySchool110251.72.2473:0528.4483:55SouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool110253.13.1593:1512.8223:40 HarrisNuclearPlant8 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)WAKECOUNTYCHILDCARECENTERSAllAboutKids110251.536.032:2016.1272:50ApexBaptistChurchPreschool110252.723.182:2514.7252:50ApexChildCarewithDebbie110253.032.562:2514.7252:50ApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool110252.723.182:2514.7252:50EarthAngel'sDayCareHome110251.831.042:2016.1272:50EdithFranklinDayCareHome110252.723.182:2514.7252:50GoddardSchoolApex110252.723.182:2514.7252:50GraceChurchPreschool110251.536.032:2016.1272:50GrowingYearsLearningCenter110252.723.182:2514.7252:50HopeChapelPreschool110251.44.1212:4015.9273:10Judy'sHomeCare110250.85.492:2515.9272:55Karin' 4 Kidz110254.436.082:2514.7252:50Lori'sFamilyDayCare110251.033.522:2014.7252:45MoravicFamilyDayCare110251.033.522:2014.7252:45PlayCare110253.28.0252:4015.9273:10Vickie'sDayCareHome110252.723.182:2514.7252:50WoodhavenBaptistPre school110251.536.032:2016.1272:50HollySpringsLearningCenter110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00HollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50HomeAwayFromHomeChildcare110258.325.7202:3513.5233:00KiddieAcademyofHollySprings110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50Kris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00LittleDreamersPreschool110254.528.7102:2513.5232:50Sisters'ChildCareServices110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00StellaLowerySmallDayCare110251.518.452:2013.4232:45SunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool110252.719.992:2513.4232:50 HarrisNuclearPlant8 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1SchoolDriverMobilizationTime(min)LoadingTime(min)Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)AverageSpeed(mph)TravelTimetoEPZBdry(min)ETE(hr:min)Dist.EPZBdrytoR.S.(mi.)TravelTimefromEPZBdrytoR.S.(min)ETEtoR.S.(hr:min)TheCarolinaSchool110254.414.5192:3515.0253:00AMother'sLove110252.94.0443:0012.8223:25ChildcareNetworkFuquayVarina110251.12.6272:4513.0223:10Fuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare110250.82.9182:3513.0223:00Fuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith110250.82.9182:3513.0223:00GingerbreadLittleversity Downtown110251.12.6272:4513.0223:10LittleAngelsPreparatory110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45LittleMiracles110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45ReadyOrNotHereIGrow110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05ShiningStarChildCareHome110251.11.1613:2013.7233:45SouthWakePreschool&Academy110253.13.1593:1512.8223:40SpinningWheelsLearningCenter110251.431.932:2011.2192:40VanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome110251.13.2222:4013.0223:05MaximumforEPZ:3:20Maximum:3:55AverageforEPZ:2:35Average:3:05Notes:1-NotincludedincalculationforMaximumandAverageETEvaluessinceschoolresidesintheShadow HarrisNuclearPlant8 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table810.SummaryofTransit DependentBusRoutesRouteNo.ofBusesRouteDescriptionSub ZonesServicedLength(mi.)409SouthernEPZ:NC 42fromFuquay VarinawestoutoftheEPZtowardSanfordG(10%)+H+I+K20.24112EasternEPZ:NC 55southboundfromentranceintoEPZthroughHollySpringsandFuquay VarinaE(15%)+F(10%)+G(10%)14.74211NorthernEPZ:US 64westboundfromintersectionwithSalemSt(SR1011)outofEPZtowardsPittsboroE(20%)+N13.04333CirculatethroughApex,theneastoutofEPZtoReceptionCentersE(65%)17.24422CirculatethroughHollySprings,thennortheastoutofEPZtoReceptionCentersF(90%)20.54519CirculatethroughFuquay Varina,thensouthoutofEPZtoReceptionCentersG(80%)8.3462Sub ZonesA,B:OldUS 1eastboundtoNewHillOliveRdnorthbound,thenoutoftheEPZalongUS 64WBtoNC 540TollA+B14.3473Sub ZonesC,D:CassHoltRdeastboundtowardsHollySprings,thenalongHollySpringsNewHillRdwestbound.ExitsEPZalongUS 1eastboundtoReceptionCentersC+D17.3481Sub ZoneJ:PicksupevacueesalongLowerMoncureRdsouthbound,thenoutofEPZtowardsSanfordJ6.0492Sub ZoneM:OldUS 1inMoncuretoMoncurePittsboroRdnorthbound,toGumSpringsChurchRdoutoftheEPZtowardsPittsboroM9.9Total:114 HarrisNuclearPlant8 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table811.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeatherRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 312020.245.027303:0010.01351067305:054 613520.245.027303:1510.01351067305:206 915020.245.027303:3010.01351067305:35411 312014.710.584303:5512.81751056305:554 613014.711.378304:0012.81751056306:006 914014.712.570304:0012.81751056306:009 1215014.713.963304:0512.81751056306:05421 312013.045.017302:506.5951044304:304 613013.045.017303:006.5951044304:406 914013.045.017303:106.5951044304:509 1115013.045.017303:206.5951044305:00431 512017.219.254303:2514.72051066305:406 1012517.221.847303:2514.72051066305:4011 1513017.222.546303:3014.72051066305:4516 2013517.223.544303:3014.72051066305:4521 2514017.226.539303:3014.72051066305:4526 2914517.227.737303:3514.72051066305:5030 3315017.230.534303:3514.72051066305:50441 412020.519.862303:3513.41851073305:555 712520.520.560303:3513.41851073305:558 1013020.521.358303:4013.41851073306:0011 1313520.524.151303:4013.41851073306:0014 1614020.525.349303:4013.41851073306:0017 1914520.526.746303:4513.41851073306:0520 2215020.527.844303:4513.41851073306:05 HarrisNuclearPlant8 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41208.35.787304:0013.71851043305:505 71308.36.182304:0513.71851043305:558 101358.36.379304:0513.71851043305:5511 131408.36.576304:1013.71851043306:0014 161458.36.873304:1013.71851043306:0017 191508.37.170304:1013.71851043306:0046112014.345.019302:5024.23251070305:20215014.345.019303:2024.23251070305:5047112017.335.929303:0018.82551071305:25213517.339.027303:1518.82551071305:40315017.338.927303:3018.82551071305:554811206.045.08302:4010.51451030304:104911209.945.013302:457.41051036304:2021509.945.013303:157.41051036304:50MaximumETE:4:10MaximumETE:6:05AverageETE:3:35AverageETE:5:40 HarrisNuclearPlant8 40KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table812.Transit DependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 313020.241.030403:2010.01551074405:454 614520.241.030403:3510.01551074406:006 916020.241.030403:5010.01551074406:15411 313014.79.593404:2512.81951062406:454 614014.710.287404:3012.81951062406:506 915014.711.080404:3512.81951062406:559 1216014.712.173404:3512.81951062406:55421 313013.041.019403:106.5951047405:054 614013.041.019403:206.5951047405:156 915013.041.019403:306.5951047405:259 1116013.041.019403:406.5951047405:35431 513017.219.553403:4514.72151071406:156 1013517.220.251403:5014.72151071406:2011 1514017.221.049403:5014.72151071406:2016 2014517.223.644403:5014.72151071406:2021 2515017.224.742403:5514.72151071406:2526 2915517.227.138403:5514.72151071406:2530 3316017.228.237404:0014.72151071406:30441 413020.518.666404:0013.42051080406:355 713520.519.364404:0013.42051080406:358 1014020.521.757404:0013.42051080406:3511 1314520.522.854404:0013.42051080406:3514 1615020.523.952404:0513.42051080406:4017 1915520.524.949404:0513.42051080406:4020 2216020.527.445404:0513.42051080406:40 HarrisNuclearPlant8 41KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41308.34.8105404:3513.72051047406:405 71408.35.099404:4013.72051047406:458 101458.35.296404:4513.72051047406:5011 131508.35.493404:4513.72051047406:5014 161558.35.590404:5013.72051047406:5517 191608.35.787404:5013.72051047406:5546113014.341.021403:1524.23551077406:05216014.341.021403:4524.23551077406:3547113017.330.134403:2518.82751078406:05214517.335.030403:3518.82751078406:15316017.335.329403:5018.82751078406:304811306.041.09403:0010.51551033404:454911309.940.815403:057.41151040404:5521609.941.014403:357.41151040405:25MaximumETE:4:50MaximumETE:6:55AverageETE:4:00AverageETE:6:20 HarrisNuclearPlant8 42KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table813.TransitDependentEvacuationTimeEstimatesIceRouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)401 314020.236.034503:4510.01751084506:354 615520.236.034504:0010.01751084506:506 917020.236.034504:1510.01751084507:05411 314014.78.6102504:5512.82151070507:354 615014.79.395504:5512.82151070507:356 916014.711.180504:5012.82151070507:309 1217014.712.173504:5512.82151070507:35421 314013.036.022503:356.51151054505:454 615013.036.022503:456.51151054505:556 916013.036.022503:556.51151054506:059 1117013.036.022504:056.51151054506:15431 514017.217.659504:1014.72451081507:006 1014517.218.257504:1514.72451081507:0511 1515017.219.154504:1514.72451081507:0516 2015517.221.249504:1514.72451081507:0521 2516017.222.047504:2014.72451081507:1026 2916517.223.943504:2014.72451081507:1030 3317017.224.642504:2514.72451081507:15441 414020.516.475504:3013.42251090507:305 714520.516.973504:3013.42251090507:308 1015020.518.866504:3013.42251090507:3011 1315520.519.463504:3013.42251090507:3014 1616020.520.261504:3513.42251090507:3517 1916520.520.959504:3513.42251090507:3520 2217020.522.954504:3513.42251090507:35 HarrisNuclearPlant8 43KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RouteNumberBusNumberOne WaveTwo WaveMobilization(min)RouteLength(miles)Speed(mph)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)DistancetoR.C.(miles)TravelTimetoR.C.(min)Unload(min)DriverRest(min)RouteTravelTime(min)PickupTime(min)ETE(hr:min)451 41408.33.9128505:2013.72351054507:455 71508.34.1122505:2513.72351054507:508 101558.34.2120505:2513.72351054507:5011 131608.34.3117505:3013.72351054507:5514 161658.34.4114505:3013.72351054507:5517 191708.35.689505:1013.72351054507:3546114014.336.024503:3524.24051088506:50217014.336.024504:0524.24051088507:2047114017.324.443503:5518.83151089507:00215517.331.034504:0018.83151089507:05317017.332.032504:1518.83151089507:204811406.034.211503:2510.51751037505:254911409.935.917503:307.41251045505:3521709.936.017504:007.41251045506:05MaximumETE:5:30MaximumETE:7:55AverageETE:4:25AverageETE:7:05 HarrisNuclearPlant8 44KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table814.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimates-GoodWeatherMedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)LoadingRate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary (min)ETE(hr:min)SanfordHealth&RehabAmbulatory90241601.932:35Wheelchairbound907691051.933:20Bedridden 90152730 1.9 32:05 Brown'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory9026123.341:50JamesRestHomeAmbulatory90228563.342:30Wheelchairbound 90 71028 3.3 42:05 MurchisonResidentialCorpHomeAmbulatory902369.7202:00AzaleaGardensMentalHealthAmbulatory9026102.131:45BrookridgeAssistedLivingAmbulatory90240603.652:35Wheelchairbound 90 71228 3.6 52:05 FavourHomeAmbulatory902684.6151:55KingsGroupHomeforChildrenAmbulatory902484.6222:00LockleyRoadHomeAmbulatory9026101.781:50MasonStreetGroupHomeAmbulatory9026102.131:45OliveHomeAmbulatory9026102.131:45RexRehab&NursingCenterofApexAmbulatory90220402.642:15Wheelchairbound907401052.643:20Bedridden 90153030 2.6 42:05 SeagravesFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory902483.5362:15ShackletonHomeAmbulatory902363.041:40SpringArborofApexAmbulatory90247602.982:40Wheelchairbound90719282.9162:15 HarrisNuclearPlant8 45KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)LoadingRate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary (min)ETE(hr:min)WakeMedApexHealthplexAmbulatory9027142.991:55Wheelchairbound9074282.982:10Bedridden 90 15 1 15 2.9 91:55 AventFerryHomeAmbulatory9026107.4121:55BassLakeHomeAmbulatory902684.1372:15CountryLaneGroupHomeAmbulatory 9026 10 7.4 121:55 HerbertReidHomeAmbulatory9025103.3111:55HickoryAvenueHomeAmbulatory 9026 10 6.8 362:20 St.Mark'sManorAmbulatory9029103.3111:55Trotter'sBluffAmbulatory9026107.4121:55CreekwayHomeAmbulatory9026100.4162:00Evans WalstonHomeAmbulatory902362.5131:50Fuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderlyAmbulatory90260601.4463:20Wheelchairbound9072141.4632:50HopeHouseAmbulatory902481.7242:05KintonCourtHomeAmbulatory90216101.7332:15LifeSkillsIndependentCare#1Ambulatory902480.8111:50Mim'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory902245.1462:20WakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacilityAmbulatory902001.9282:00Wheelchairbound90720281.9252:25Bedridden 90151530 1.9 252:25 WindsorPointContinuingCareAmbulatory902140601.3132:45Wheelchairbound9071001051.333:20Bedridden 90153530 1.3 192:20MaximumETE:3:20AverageETE:2:15Notes:1-RefertoTable8 4.Somefacilitiesuseminivansandpassengercarstoevacuate.Loadingtimesarelessforthesevehiclesthanforbuses HarrisNuclearPlant8 46KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table815.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesRainMedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)LoadingRate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)SanfordHealth&RehabAmbulatory100241601.932:45Wheelchairbound1007691051.933:30Bedridden1001527301.932:15Brown'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory10026123.352:00JamesRestHomeAmbulatory100228563.352:45Wheelchairbound100710283.352:15MurchisonResidentialCorpHomeAmbulatory1002369.7222:10AzaleaGardensMentalHealthAmbulatory10026102.131:55BrookridgeAssistedLivingAmbulatory100240603.652:45Wheelchairbound100712283.652:15FavourHomeAmbulatory1002684.672:00KingsGroupHomeforChildrenAmbulatory1002484.6322:20LockleyRoadHomeAmbulatory10026101.752:00MasonStreetGroupHomeAmbulatory10026102.131:55OliveHomeAmbulatory10026102.131:55RexRehab&NursingCenterofApexAmbulatory100220402.642:25Wheelchairbound1007401052.643:30Bedridden1001530302.642:15SeagravesFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory1002483.5392:30ShackletonHomeAmbulatory1002363.041:50SpringArborofApexAmbulatory100247602.9112:55Wheelchairbound100719282.962:30 HarrisNuclearPlant8 47KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)LoadingRate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)WakeMedApexHealthplexAmbulatory10027142.9202:15Wheelchairbound10074282.9152:25Bedridden100151152.9202:15AventFerryHomeAmbulatory10026107.4112:05BassLakeHomeAmbulatory1002684.1382:30CountryLaneGroupHomeAmbulatory10026107.4112:05HerbertReidHomeAmbulatory10025103.392:00HickoryAvenueHomeAmbulatory10026106.8342:25St.Mark'sManorAmbulatory10029103.362:00Trotter'sBluffAmbulatory10026107.4112:05CreekwayHomeAmbulatory10026100.4152:05Evans WalstonHomeAmbulatory1002362.5142:00Fuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderlyAmbulatory100260601.4583:40Wheelchairbound10072141.4602:55HopeHouseAmbulatory1002481.7252:15KintonCourtHomeAmbulatory100216101.7352:30LifeSkillsIndependentCare#1Ambulatory1002480.8122:00Mim'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory1002245.1622:50WakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacilityWheelchairbound100720281.9122:50Bedridden1001515301.9392:50WindsorPointContinuingCareAmbulatory1002140601.3193:00Wheelchairbound10071001051.393:35Bedridden1001535301.3192:30MaximumETE:3:40AverageETE:2:30Notes:1-RefertoTable8 4.Somefacilitiesuseminivansandpassengercarstoevacuate.Loadingtimesarelessforthesevehiclesthanforbuses HarrisNuclearPlant8 48KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table816.MedicalFacilityEvacuationTimeEstimatesIceMedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)Loading Rate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)SanfordHealth&RehabAmbulatory110241601.932:55Wheelchairbound1107691051.933:40Bedridden1101527301.932:25Brown'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory11026123.352:10JamesRestHomeAmbulatory110228563.352:55Wheelchairbound110710283.352:25MurchisonResidentialCorpHomeAmbulatory1102369.7262:25AzaleaGardensMentalHealthAmbulatory11026102.142:05BrookridgeAssistedLivingAmbulatory110240603.663:00Wheelchairbound110712283.662:25FavourHomeAmbulatory1102684.682:10KingsGroupHomeforChildrenAmbulatory1102484.6342:35LockleyRoadHomeAmbulatory11026101.7102:10MasonStreetGroupHomeAmbulatory1102662.142:05OliveHomeAmbulatory11026102.142:05RexRehab&NursingCenterofApexAmbulatory110220402.642:35Wheelchairbound1107401052.643:40Bedridden1101530302.642:25SeagravesFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory1102483.5312:30ShackletonHomeAmbulatory1102363.052:05SpringArborofApexAmbulatory110247602.9113:05Wheelchairbound110719282.962:40 HarrisNuclearPlant8 49KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MedicalFacilityPatientMobilization(min)Loading Rate(minperperson)PeopleTotalLoadingTime(min)1Dist.ToEPZBdry(mi)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)WakeMedApexHealthplexAmbulatory11027142.9242:30Wheelchairbound11074282.9202:40Bedridden110151152.9242:30AventFerryHomeAmbulatory11026107.4122:15BassLakeHomeAmbulatory1102684.1422:45CountryLaneGroupHomeAmbulatory11026107.4122:15HerbertReidHomeAmbulatory11025103.3142:15HickoryAvenueHomeAmbulatory11026106.8332:35St.Mark'sManorAmbulatory11029103.3102:15Trotter'sBluffAmbulatory11026107.4122:15CreekwayHomeAmbulatory11026100.4182:20Evans WalstonHomeAmbulatory1102362.5162:15Fuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderlyAmbulatory110260601.4643:55Wheelchairbound11072141.4653:10HopeHouseAmbulatory1102481.7252:25KintonCourtHomeAmbulatory110216101.7472:50LifeSkillsIndependentCare#1Ambulatory1102480.8122:10Mim'sFamilyCareHomeAmbulatory1102245.1953:30WakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacilityWheelchairbound110720281.9583:20Bedridden1101515301.9583:20WindsorPointContinuingCareAmbulatory1102140601.3223:15Wheelchairbound11071001051.3183:55Bedridden1101535301.3232:45MaximumETE:3:55AverageETE:2:40Notes:1-RefertoTable8 4.Somefacilitiesuseminivansandpassengercarstoevacuate.Loadingtimesarelessforthesevehiclesthanforbuses HarrisNuclearPlant8 50KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Table817.HomeboundSpecialNeedsPopulationEvacuationTimeEstimatesVehicleTypePeopleRequiringVehicleVehiclesdeployedStopsWeatherConditionsMobiliza tionTime(min)LoadingTimeat1 stStop(min)TraveltoSubsequentStops(min)TotalLoadingTimeatSubsequentStops(min)TravelTimetoEPZBoundary(min)ETE(hr:min)Buses75108Good9056335123:25Rain10070153:45Ice11077184:05WheelchairVans1954Good9072721122:40Rain10030152:55Ice11033183:10Ambulances952Good90151015122:25Rain10011152:40Ice11013172:50MaximumETE:4:05AverageETE:3:10 HarrisNuclearPlant9 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.19 TRAFFICMANAGEMENTSTRATEGYThissectiondiscussesthesuggestedtrafficcontrolandmanagementstrategythatisdesignedtoexpeditethemovementofevacuatingtraffic.Theresourcesrequiredtoimplementthisstrategyinclude:* Personnelwiththecapabilitiesofperformingtheplannedcontrolfunctionsoftrafficguides(preferably,notnecessarily,lawenforcementofficers).* TheManualofUnifor mTrafficControlDevices(MUTCD)publishedbytheFederalHighwayAdministration(FHWA)oftheU.S.D.O.T.providesguidanceforTrafficControlDevicestoassistthesepersonnelintheperformanceoftheirtasks.AllstateandmostcountytransportationagencieshaveaccesstotheMUTCD,whichisavailableon line:http://mutcd.fhwa.dot.govwhichprovidesaccesstotheofficialPDFversion.* Aplanthatdefinesalllocations,providesnecessarydetailsandisdocumentedinaformatthatisreadilyunderstoodbythoseassignedtoperformtrafficcontrol.Thefunctionstobeperformedinthefieldare:1. FacilitateevacuatingtrafficmovementsthatsafelyexpeditetraveloutoftheEPZ.2. Discouragetrafficmovementsthatmoveevacuatingvehiclesinadirectionwhichtakesthemsignificantlyclosertothepowerplant,orwhichinterfereswiththeefficientflowofotherevacuees.Theterms"facilitate"and"discourage"areemployedratherthan"enforce"and"prohibit"toindicatetheneedforflexibilityinperformingthetrafficcontrolfunction.Therearealwayslegitimatereasonsforadrivertopreferadirectionotherthanthatindicated.Forex ample:* Adrivermaybetravelinghomefromworkorfromanotherlocation,tojoinotherfamilymemberspriortoevacuating.* Anevacuatingdrivermaybetravellingtopickuparelative,orotherevacuees.* Thedrivermaybeanemergencyworkerenroutetoperformanimportantactivity.Theimplementationofaplanmustalsobeflexibleenoughfortheapplicationofsoundjudgmentbythetrafficguide.

HarrisNuclearPlant9 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Thetrafficmanagementplanistheoutcomeofthefollowingprocess:1. TheexistingTCPsandSRBsidentifiedbytheoffsiteagenciesintheirexistingemergencyplansserveasthebasisofthetrafficmanagementplan,asperNUREG/CR 7002.2. Computeranalysisoftheevacuationtrafficflowenvironment.Thisanalysisidentifiesthebestroutingandthosecriticalintersectionstha texperiencepronouncedcongestion.AnycriticalintersectionsthatarenotidentifiedintheexistingoffsiteplansaresuggestedasadditionalTCPsandSRBs3. Afieldsurveyofthehighwaynetworkwithin15milesofthepowerplant.Theschematicsdescribingtrafficandaccesscontrolatsuggeste dadditionalTCPsandSRBs,whicharepresentedinAppendixG,arebasedondatacollectedduringfieldsurveys,uponlargescalemaps,andonoverheadphotos.4. Consultationwithemergencymanagementandlawenforcementpersonnel.Trainedpersonnelwhoareexperiencedincontrollingtrafficandareawareofthelik elyevacuationtrafficpatternshavereviewedthecontroltacticsatthesuggestedadditionalTCPsandSRBs.5. PrioritizationofTCPsandSRBs.ApplicationoftrafficandaccesscontrolatsomeTCPsandSRBswillhaveamorepronouncedinfluenceonexpeditingtrafficmovementsthanatotherTCPsandSRBs.Forexampl e,TCPscontrollingtrafficoriginatingfromareasincloseproximitytothepowerplantcouldhaveamorebeneficialeffectonminimizingpotentialexposuretoradioactivitythanthoseTCPslocatedfarfromthepowerplant.Theseprioritieshavebeenreviewedandapprovedbystate/countyemergencymanagementrepresentativesandbylawenforcementpersonnel.Basedonthecomputeranalysis,rev isionstothreeTCPs,additionofsixnewTCPs,andadditionofonenewSRBarerecommended-seeAppendixG.ThecontroltacticsidentifiedintheschematicsinAppendixGhavebeenreviewedandapprovedbythestateandcountyemergencyplanners,an dlocalandstatelawenforcement.AsdiscussedinSection7.5,theroadwayimpactscenarioresultedinatmosta10 minuteincreaseinETE.ThisisnotasignificantchangeinETE.Thus,notrafficmanagementtacticsarenecessarytomitigatetheimpactsofapotentialroadwayclosurealongUS 1northboundorUS 64eastbound.TheETEanalysistreatedallcontrolledintersectionsthatareexistingTCPlocationsintheoffsiteagencyplansasbeingcontrolledbyactuatedsignals.TheETEcalculationsreflecttheassumptionthatall"externalexternal"tripsareinterdictedanddivertedafter30minuteshaveelapsedfromtheATE.AlltransitvehiclesandotherrespondersenteringtheEPZtosupporttheevacuationareassumedtobeunhinderedbypersonnelmanningSRBsandTCPs.StudyAssumptions5and6inSection2.3discussSRBandTCPstaffingschedulesandoperations.

HarrisNuclearPlant10 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.110 EVACUATIONROUTESEvacuationroutesarecomprisedoftwodistinctcomponents:* RoutingfromaSub ZonebeingevacuatedtotheboundaryoftheEvacuationRegionandthenceoutoftheEPZ.* Routingoftransit dependentevacueesfromtheEPZboundarytoreceptioncenters.EvacueeswillselectrouteswithintheEPZinsu chawayastominimizetheirexposuretorisk.ThisexpectationismetbytheDYNEVIImodelroutingtrafficawayfromthelocationoftheplant,totheextentpracticable.TheDTRADmodelsatisfiesthisbehaviorbyroutingtrafficsoastobalancetrafficdemandrelativetotheavailablehighwaycapa citytotheextentpossible.SeeAppendicesBthroughDforfurtherdiscussion.Theroutingoftransit dependentevacueesfromtheEPZboundarytoreceptioncentersisdesignedtominimizetheamountoftraveloutsidetheEPZ,fromthepointswheretheseroutescrosstheEPZboundary.Figure10 1mapsthegeneralpopulationrecept ioncentersandrelocationschoolsforevacuees.ThemajorevacuationroutesfortheEPZarepresentedinFigure10 2.Itisassumedthatallschoolevacueeswillbetakentotheappropriaterelocationschoolandsubsequentlybepickedupbyparentsorguardians.Transit dependentevacueesaretransportedtothenearestreceptioncenterforeachcounty.Thisstudydoesnotconsiderthetransportofevacueesfromreceptioncenterstocongregatecarecenters,ifthecountiesdomakethedecisiontorelocateevacuees.

HarrisNuclearPlant10 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure10 1.GeneralPopulationReceptionCentersandRelocationSchools HarrisNuclearPlant10 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Figure10 2.EvacuationRoutes APPENDIXAGlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTerms HarrisNuclearPlantA 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1A. GLOSSARYOFTRAFFICENGINEERINGTERMSTableA 1.GlossaryofTrafficEngineeringTermsTermDefinitionAnalysisNetworkAgraphicalrepresentationofthegeometrictopologyofaphysicalroadwaysystem,whichiscomprisedofdirectionallinksandnodes.LinkAnetworklinkrepresentsaspecific,one directionalsectionofroadway.Alinkhasbothphysical(length,numberoflanes,topology,etc.)andoperational(turnmovementpercentages,servicerate,free flowspeed)characteristics.MeasuresofEffectiven essStatisticsdescribingtrafficoperationsonaroadwaynetwork.NodeAnetworknodegenerallyrepresentsanintersectionofnetworklinks.Anodehascontrolcharacteristics,i.e.,theallocationofservicetimetoeachapproachlink.OriginAlocationattachedtoanetworklink,withintheEPZorShadowRegion,wheretripsaregeneratedataspecifiedrateinvehiclesperhour(vph).Thesetripsentertheroadwaysystemtotraveltotheirrespectivedestinations.PrevailingRoadwayandTrafficConditionsRelatestothephysicalfeaturesoftheroadway,thenature(e.g.,composition)oftrafficontheroadwayandtheambientconditions(weather,visibility,pavementconditions,etc.).ServiceRateMaximumrateatwhichvehicles,executingaspecificturnmaneuver,canbedischargedfromasectionofroadwayattheprevailingconditions,expressedinvehiclespersecond(vps)orvehiclesperhour(vph).ServiceVolumeMaximumnumberofvehicleswhichcanpassoverasectionofroadwayinonedirectionduringaspecifiedtimeperiodwithoperatingconditionsataspecifiedLevelofService(TheServiceVolumeattheupperboundofLevelofService,E,equalsCapacity).ServiceVolumeisusuallyexpressedasvehiclesperhour(vph).SignalCycl eLengthThetotalelapsedtimetodisplayallsignalindications,insequence.Thecyclelengthisexpressedinseconds.SignalIntervalAsinglecombinationofsignalindications.Theintervaldurationisexpressedinseconds.Asignalphaseiscomprisedofasequenceofsignalintervals,usuallygreen ,yellow,red.

HarrisNuclearPlantA 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TermDefinitionSignalPhaseAsetofsignalindications(andintervals)whichservicesaparticularcombinationoftrafficmovementsonselectedapproachestotheintersection.Thephasedurationisexpressedinseconds.Traffic(Trip)AssignmentAprocessofassigningtraffictopathsoftravelinsuchawayastosatisfyalltripobjectives(i.e.,thedesireofeac hvehicletotravelfromaspecifiedorigininthenetworktoaspecifieddestination)andtooptimizesomestatedobjectiveorcombinationofobjectives.Ingeneral,theobjectiveisstatedintermsofminimizingageneralized"cost".Forexample,"cost"maybeexpressedintermsoftraveltime.TrafficDensityThenumberofvehiclesthatoccupyonelaneofaroadwaysectionofspecifiedlengthatapointintime,expressedasvehiclespermile(vpm).Traffic(Trip)Distribution Aprocessfordeterminingthedestinationsofal ltrafficgeneratedattheorigins.TheresultoftentakestheformofaTripTable,whichisamatrixoforigin destinationtrafficvolumes.TrafficSimulationAcomputermodeldesignedtorepl icatethereal worldoperationofvehiclesonaroadwaynetwork,soastoprovidestatisticsdescribingtrafficperformance.ThesestatisticsarecalledMeasuresofEffectiven ess.TrafficVolumeThenumberofvehiclesthatpassoverasectionofroadwayinonedirection,expressedinvehiclesperhour(vph).Whereapplicable,trafficvolumemaybestratifiedbyturnmovement.TravelModeDistinguishesbetweenprivateauto,bus,rail,pedestrianandairtravelmodes.TripTableorOrigin DestinationMatrixArect angularmatrixortable,whoseentriescontainthenumberoftripsgeneratedateachspecifiedorigin,duringaspecifiedtimeperiod,thatareattractedto(andtraveltoward)eachofitsspecifieddestinations.Thesevaluesareexpressedinvehiclesperhour(vph)orinvehicles.TurningCapacityThecapacit yassociatedwiththatcomponentofthetrafficstreamwhichexecutesaspecifiedturnmaneuverfromanapproachatanintersection.

APPENDIXBDTRAD:DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistributionModel HarrisNuclearPlantB 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1B. DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENTANDDISTRIBUTIONMODELThissectiondescribestheintegrateddynamictripassignmentanddistributionmodelnamedDTRAD(DynamicTrafficAssignmentandDistribution)thatisexpresslydesignedforuseinanalyzingevacuationscenarios.DTRADemployslogitbasedpath choiceprinciplesandisoneofthemodelsoftheDYNEVIISystem.TheDTRADmoduleimplementspath basedDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTA)sothattimedependentOrigin Destination(OD)tripsare"assigned"toroutesoverthenetworkbasedonprevailingtrafficconditions.ToapplytheDYNEVIISystem,th eanalystmustspecifythehighwaynetwork,linkcapacityinformation,thetime varyingvolumeoftrafficgeneratedatallorigincentroidsand,optionally,asetofaccessiblecandidatedestinationnodesontheperipheryoftheEPZforselectedorigins.DTRADcalculatestheoptimaldynamictripdistribution(i.e.,tripdestin ations)andtheoptimaldynamictripassignment(i.e.,triprouting)ofthetrafficgeneratedateachoriginnodetravelingtoitssetofcandidatedestinationnodes,soastominimizeevacueetravel"cost".OverviewofIntegratedDistributionandAssignmentModelTheunderlyingpremiseisthattheselectionofdestinationsandroutesisintrinsicallycoupledinanevacuationscenario.Thatis,peopleinvehiclesseektotraveloutofanareaofpotentialriskasrapidlyaspossiblebyselectingthe"best"routes.Themodelisdesignedtoidentifythese"best"routesinamannerthatrealisticallydistributesvehiclesfromoriginstodestinationsandroutesthemoverthehighwaynetwork,inaconsistentandoptimalmanner,reflectingevacueebehavior.Foreachorigin,asetof"candidatedestinationnodes"isselectedbythesoftwarelogicandbytheanalysttoreflectthedesirebyevacueestotravelawayfromthepowerplantandtoaccessmajorhighways.Thespecificdestinationnodeswithinthissetthatareselectedbytravelersandtheselectionoftheconnectingpathsoftravel,arebothdeterminedbyDTRAD.ThisdeterminationismadebyalogitbasedpathchoicemodelinDTRAD,soastominimizethetrip"cost",asdiscussedlater.Thetrafficloadingonthenetworkandtheconsequentoperationaltrafficenvironmentofthenetwork(density,speed,throughputoneachlink)varyovertimeastheevacuationtakesplace.TheDTRADmodel,whichisinterfacedwiththeDYNEVsimu lationmodel,executesasuccessionof"sessions"whereinitcomputestheoptimalroutingandselectionofdestinationnodesfortheconditionsthatexistatthattime.InterfacingtheDYNEVSimulationModelwithDTRADTheDYNEVIIsystemreflectsNRCguidancethatevacueeswillseektotravelinageneraldirectionawayfromthelocationofthehazardousevent.AnalgorithmwasdevelopedtosupporttheDTRADmodelindynamicallyvaryingtheTripTable(O Dmatrix)overtimefromoneDTRADsessiontothenext.Anothe ralgorithmexecutesa"mapping"fromthespecified"geometric"network(link nodeanalysisnetwork)thatrepresentsthephysicalhighwaysystem,toa"path"networkthatrepresentsthevehicle[turn]movements.DTRADcomputationsareperformedonthe"path"network:DYNEVsimulationmodel,onthe"geometric"network.

HarrisNuclearPlantB 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1DTRADDescriptionDTRADistheDTAmodulefortheDYNEVIISystem.Whentheroadnetworkunderstudyislarge,multipleroutingoptionsareusuallyavailablebetweentriporiginsanddestinations.TheproblemofloadingtrafficdemandsandpropagatingthemoverthenetworklinksiscalledNetworkLoadingandisaddressedbyDYNEVIIusingmacroscopictrafficsimulationmodeling.TrafficassignmentdealswithcomputingthedistributionofthetrafficovertheroadnetworkforgivenO Ddemandsandisamodeloftheroutechoiceofthedrivers.Traveldemandchangessignificantlyovertime,andtheroadnetworkmayhavetimedependentcharacteristics,e.g.,time varyingsignaltimingorreducedroadcapacitybecauseoflaneclosure,ortrafficcongestion.Toconsiderthesetimedependencies,DTAproceduresarerequired.TheDTRADDTAmodulerepresentsthedynamicroutechoicebehaviorofdrivers,usingthespecificationofdynamicorigindestinationmatricesasflowinput.Driverschoosetheirroutesthroughthenetworkbasedonthetravelcosttheyexperience(asdeterminedbyth esimulationmodel).Thisallowstraffictobedistributedoverthenetworkaccordingtothetime dependentconditions.ThemodelingprinciplesofD TRADinclude: Itisassumedthatdriversnotonlyselectthebestroute(i.e.,lowestcostpath)butsomealsoselectlessattractiveroutes.ThealgorithmimplementedbyDTRADarchivesseveral"efficient"routesforeachO Dpairfromwhichthedriverschoose. Thechoiceofonerouteoutofasetofpossibleroutesisanoutcomeof"discretechoicemodeling".Givenasetofroutesandtheirgeneralizedcosts,thepercentagesofdriversthatchooseeachrouteiscomputed.Themostprevalentmodelfordiscretechoicemodelingisthelogitmodel.DTRADusesavariantofPath Size Logitmodel(PSL).PSLovercomesthedrawbackofthetraditionalmultinomiallogitmodelbyincorporatinganadditionaldeterministicpathsizecorrectiontermtoaddresspathoverlappingintherandomutilityexpr ession. DTRADexecutestheTAalgorithmonanabstractnetworkrepresentationcalled"thepathnetwork"whichisbuiltfromtheactualphysicallink nodeanalysisnetwork.Thisexecutioncontinuesuntilastablesituationisreached:thevolumesandtraveltimesontheedgesofthepathnetworkdonotchangesignificantlyfromoneiterationtothenext.Thecriteriaforthisconvergencearedefinedbytheuser. Travel"cost"playsacrucialroleinroutechoice.InDTRAD,pathcostisalinearsummationofthegeneralizedcostofeachlinkthatcomprisesthepath.Thegeneralizedcostforalink,a,isexpressedasaaaactls,where a c isthegeneralizedcostforlinka,and , ,and arecostcoefficientsforlinktraveltime,distance,andsupplementalcost,respectively.Distanceandsupplementalcostsaredefinedasinvariantpropertiesofthenetworkmodel,whiletraveltimeisadynamicpropertydictatedbyprevailingtrafficconditions.TheDYNEVsimulationmodel HarrisNuclearPlantB 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1computestraveltimesonalledgesinthenetworkandDTRADusesthatinformationtoconstantlyupdatethecostsofpaths.Theroutechoicedecisionmodelinthenextsimulationiterationusestheseupdatedvaluestoadjusttheroutechoicebehavior.Thisway,trafficdemandsaredynamicallyre assignedbasedontimedependentconditions.TheinteractionbetweentheDTRADtrafficassignmentandDYNEVIIsimulationmodelsisdepictedinFigureB 1.EachroundofinteractioniscalledaTrafficAssignmentSession(TAsession).ATAsessioniscomposedofmultipleiterations,markedasloopBinthefigure. Thesupplementalcostisbasedonthe"survivaldistribution"(avariationoftheexponentialdistribution).TheInverseSurvivalFunctionisa"cost"terminDTRADtorepresentthepotentialriskoftraveltowardtheplant:s a=

ln(p),0pl; 0p=d n=Distanceofnode,n,fromtheplantd 0=Distancefromtheplantwherethereiszerorisk=ScalingfactorThevalueofd o=15miles,theouterdistanceoftheshadowregion.Notethatthesupplementalcost,s a,oflink,a,is(high,low),ifitsdownstreamnode,n,is(near,farfrom)thepowerplant.

HarrisNuclearPlantB 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NetworkEquilibriumIn1952,JohnWardropwrote:Underequilibriumconditionstrafficarrangesitselfincongestednetworksinsuchawaythatnoindividualtripmakercanreducehispathcostsbyswitchingroutes.Theabovestatementdescribesthe"UserEquilibrium"definition,alsocalledthe"SelfishDriverEquilibrium".Itisahypothesisthatrepres entsa[hopeful]conditionthatevolvesovertimeasdriverssearchoutalternativeroutestoidentifythoseroutesthatminimizetheirrespective"costs".Ithasbeenfoundthatthis"equilibrium"objectivetominimizecostsislargelyrealizedbymostdriverswhoroutinelytakethesametripoverthesamenetworkatthesametime(i.e.,commuters).Effectively,suchdrivers"learn"whichroutesarebestforthemovertime.Thus,thetrafficenvironment"settlesdown"toanear equilibriumstate.Clearly,sinceanemergencyevacuationisasudden,uniqueevent,itdoesnotconstitutealong termlearningexperiencewhichcanachieveanequilibriu mstate.Consequently,DTRADwasnotdesignedasanequilibriumsolution,buttorepresentdriversinanewandunfamiliarsituation,whorespondinaflexiblemannertoreal timeinformation(eitherbroadcastorobserved)insuchawayastominimizetheirrespectivecostsoftravel.

HarrisNuclearPlantB 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureB 1.FlowDiagramofSimulationDTRADInterfaceStartofnextDTRADSession Set Clocktime.ArchiveSystemStateatDefinelatestLinkTurnPercentagesExecuteSimulationModelfromtime,(burntime)ProvideDTRADwithlinkMOEattime,ExecuteDTRADiteration; GetnewTurnPercentagesRetrieveSystemStateat;ApplynewLinkTurnPercentsDTRADiterationconverges?

Nextiteration Simulatefrom(DTAsessionduration)SetClockto ABA Yes No B APPENDIXCDYNEVTrafficSimulationModel HarrisNuclearPlantC 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C. DYNEVTRAFFICSIMULATIONMODELTheDYNEVtrafficsimulationmodelisamacroscopicmodelthatdescribestheoperationsoftrafficflowintermsofaggregatevariables:vehicles,flowrate,meanspeed,volume,density,queuelength,oneachlink ,foreachturnmovement,duringeachTimeInterval(simulationtimestep).Themodelgeneratestripsfr om"sources"andfromEntryLinksandintroducesthemontotheanalysisnetworkatratesspecifiedbytheanalystbasedonthemobilizationtimedistributions.Themodelsimulatesthemovementsofallvehiclesonallnetworklinksovertimeuntilthenetworkisempty.Atintervals,themodeloutputsMeasuresofEffectiveness(MOE)suchasthoselistedinTableC 1.ModelFeat uresInclude: Explicitconsiderationistakenofthevariationindensityoverthetimestep;aniterativeprocedureisemployedtocalculateanaveragedensityoverthesimulationtimestepforthepurposeofcomputingameanspeedformovingvehicles. Multipleturnmovementscanbeservicedononelink;aseparatealgorithmisusedtoestimateth enumberof(fractional)lanesassignedtothevehiclesperformingeachturnmovement,based,inpart,ontheturnpercentagesprovidedbytheDTRADmodel. Atanypointintime,trafficflowonalinkissubdividedintotwoclassifications:queuedandmovingvehicles.Thenumberofvehiclesineachclassificationiscomputed.Vehiclespillback,stratifiedbyturnmovementforeachnetworklink,isexplicitlyconsideredandquantified.Thepropagationofstoppingwavesfromlinktolinkiscomputedwithineachtimestepofthesimulation.Thereisno"verticalstacking"ofqueuesonalink. Anylinkca naccommodate"sourceflow"fromzonesviasidestreetsandparkingfacilitiesthatarenotexplicitlyrepresented.Thisflowrepresentstheevacuatingtripsthataregeneratedatthesource. Therelat ionbetweenthenumberofvehiclesoccupyingthelinkanditsstoragecapacityismonitoredeverytimestepforeverylinkandforeveryturnmovement.Iftheavailablestoragecapacityonalinkisexceededbythedemandforservice,thenthesimulatorappliesa"metering"ratetotheenteringtrafficfromboththeupstreamfeedersandsourcenodetoensurethattheavailablestoragecapacit yisnotexceeded. A"pathnetwork"thatrepresentsthespecifiedtrafficmovementsfromeachnetworklinkisconstructedbythemodel;thispathnetworkisutilizedbytheDTRADmodel. Atwo wayinterfacewithDTRAD:(1)provideslinktraveltimes;(2)receivesdatatha ttranslatesintolinkturnpercentages. ProvidesMOEtoanimationsoftware,EVAN CalculatesETEstatistics HarrisNuclearPlantC 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Alltrafficsimulationmodelsaredata intensive.TableC 2outlinesthenecessaryinputdataelements.Toprovideanefficientframeworkfordefiningthesespecifications,thephysicalhighwayenvironmentisrepresentedasanetwork.Theunidirectionallinksofthenetworkrepresentroadwaysections:rural,multi lane,urbanstreetsorfreeways.Thenodesofth enetworkgenerallyrepresentintersectionsorpointsalongasectionwhereageometricpropertychanges(e.g.alanedrop,changeingradeorfreeflowspeed).FigureC 1isanexampleofasmallnetworkrepresentation.Thefreewayisdefinedbythesequenceoflinks,(20,21),(21,22),and(22,23).Links(8001,19)and(3,8011)areEntryandExi tlinks,respectively.Anarterialextendsfromnode3tonode19andispartiallysubsumedwithinagridnetwork.Notethatlinks(21,22)and(17,19)aregrade separated.TableC 1.SelectedMeasuresofEffectivenessOutputbyDYNEVIIMeasureUnitsAppliesToVehiclesDischargedVehiclesLink,Network,ExitLinkSpeedMiles/Hours(mph)Link,NetworkDensityVehicles/Mile/LaneLinkLevelofServiceLOSLinkContentVehiclesNetworkTravelTimeVehicle hoursNetworkEvacuatedVehiclesVehiclesNetwork,ExitLinkTripTravelTimeVehicleminutes/tripNetworkCapacityUtilizationPercentExitLinkAttractionPercentoftotalevacuatingvehiclesExitLinkMaxQueueVehiclesNode,ApproachTimeofMaxQueueHours:minutesNode,ApproachRouteStatisticsLength(mi);MeanSpeed(mph);TravelTime(min)RouteMeanTravelTimeMinutesEvacuationTrips;Network HarrisNuclearPlantC 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableC 2.InputRequirementsfortheDYNEVIIModelHIGHWAYNETWORK Linksdefinedbyupstreamanddownstreamnodenumbers Linklengths Numberoflanes(upto9)andchannelization Turnbays(1to3lanes) Destination(exit)nodes Networktopologydefinedintermsofdownstreamnodesforeachreceivinglink NodeCoordinates(X,Y) NuclearPowerPlantCoordinates(X,Y)GENERATEDTRAFFICVOLUMES Onallentrylinksandsourcenodes(origins),byTimePeriodTRAFFICCONTROLSPECIFICATIONS Trafficsignals:link specific,turnmovementspecific Signalcontroltreatedasfixedtimeoractuated Locationoftrafficcontrolpoints(thesearerepresentedasactuatedsignals) StopandYieldsigns Right turn on red(RTOR) Routediversionspecifications Turnrestrictions Lanecontrol(e.g.laneclosure,movement specific)DRIVER'SANDOPERATIONALCHARACTERISTICS Driver's(vehicle specific)responsemechanisms:free flowspeed,dischargeheadway Busroutedesignation.DYNAMICTRAFFICASSIGNMENT Candidatedestinationnodesforeachorigin(optional) DurationofDTAsessions Durationofsimulation"burntime" DesirednumberofdestinationnodesperoriginINCIDENTS IdentifyandScheduleofclosedlanes IdentifyandScheduleofclosedlinks HarrisNuclearPlantC 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 1.RepresentativeAnalysisNetwork 8001 8011 3 6 9 12 14 15 16 19 17 2 8107 8 8012 13 22 8009 8010 8005 23 8003 8104 5 10 11 8014 25 24 21 8008 80078006 8004 8024 208002 Entry,ExitNodesarenumbered8xxx HarrisNuclearPlantC 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C.1 MethodologyC.1.1 TheFundamentalDiagramItisnecessarytodefinethefundamentaldiagramdescribingflow densityandspeed densityrelationships.Ratherthan"settlingfor"atriangularrepresentation,amorerealisticrepresentationthatincludesa"capacitydrop",(I R)atthecriticaldensitywhenflowconditionsentertheforcedflowregime,isdevelopedandcalibratedforeachlink.Thisrepresentation,showninFigureC 2,assertsaconstantfreespeeduptoadensity, ,andthenalinearreductioninspeedintherange,thedensityatcapacity.Intheflow densityplane,aquadraticrelationshipisprescribedintherange,whichroughlyrepresentsthe"stop and go"conditionofseverecongestion.Thevalueofflowrate,correspondingtoisapproximatedatAlinearrelationshipbetweencompletesthediagramshowninFigureC 2.TableC 3isaglossaryofterms.Thefundamentaldiagramisappliedtomovingtrafficoneverylink.Thespecifiedcalibrationvaluesforeachlinkare:(1)Freespeed,;(2)Capacity,;(3)Criticaldensity, (4)CapacityDropFactor,R=0.9;(5)Jamdensity,Then,SettingthenforItcanbeshownthatC.1.2 TheSimulationModelThesimulationmodelsolvesasequenceof"unitproblems".Eachunitproblemcomputesthemovementoftrafficonalink,foreachspecifiedturnmovement,overaspecifiedtimeinterval(TI)whichservesasthesimulationtimestepforalllinks.FigureC 3isarepresentationoftheunitprobleminthetime distanceplane.TableC 3isaglossaryoftermsthatarereferencedinthefollowingdescriptionoftheunitproblemprocedure.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 2.FundamentalDiagrams HarrisNuclearPlantC 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 3.AUNITProblemConfigurationwitht 1>0 meDistanceDownUp HarrisNuclearPlantC 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableC 3.GlossaryCapThemaximumnumberofvehicles,ofaparticularmovement,thatcandischargefromalinkwithinatimeinterval.EThenumberofvehicles,ofaparticularmovement,thatenterthelinkoverthetimeinterval.Theportion,E TI ,canreachthestop barwithintheTI.G/CThegreentime:cycletimeratiothatservicesthevehiclesofaparticularturnmovementonalink.hThemeanqueuedischargeheadway,seconds.kDensityinvehiclesperlanepermile.TheaveragedensityofmovingvehiclesofaparticularmovementoveraTI,onalink.LThelengthofthelinkinfeet.Thequeuelengthinfeetofaparticularmovement,atthe[beginning,end]ofatimeinterval.LNThenumberoflanes,expressedasafloatingpointnumber,allocatedtoserviceaparticularmovementonalink.Themeaneffectivelength ofaqueuedvehicleincludingthevehiclespacing,feet.MMeteringfactor(Multiplier):1.Thenumberofmovingvehiclesonthelink,ofaparticularmovement,thataremovingatthe[beginning,end]ofthetimeinterval.Thesevehiclesareassumedtobeofequalspacing,overthelengthoflinkupstreamofthequeue.OThetotalnumberofvehiclesofaparticularmovementthataredischargedfromalinkoveratimeinterval.Thecomponentsofthevehiclesofaparticularmovementthataredischargedfromalinkwithinatimeinterval:vehiclesthatwereQueuedatthebeginningoftheTI;vehiclesthatwereMovingwithinthelinkatthebeginningoftheTI;vehiclesthatEnteredthelinkduringtheTI.Thepercentage,expressedasafraction,ofthetotalflowonthelinkthatexecutesaparticularturnmovement,x.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Thenumberofqueuedvehiclesonthelink,ofaparticularturnmovement,atthe[beginning,end]ofthetimeinterval.Themaximumflowratethatcanbeservicedbyalinkforaparticularmovementintheabsenceofacontroldevice.Itisspecifiedbytheanalystasanestimateoflinkcapacity,baseduponafieldsurvey,withreferencetotheHCM.RThefactorthatisappliedtothecapacityofalinktorepresentthe"capacitydrop"whentheflowconditionmovesintotheforcedflowregime.Thelowercapacityatthatpointisequalto.RCapTheremainingcapacityavailabletoservicevehiclesofaparticularmovementafterthatqueuehasbeencompletelyserviced,withinatimeinterval,expressedasvehicles.Servicerateformovementx,vehiclesperhour(vph).Vehiclesofaparticularturnmovementthatenteralinkoverthefirstsecondsofatimeinterval,canreachthestop bar(intheabsenceofaqueuedown stream)withinthesametimeinterval.TIThetimeinterval,inseconds,whichisusedasthesimulationtimestep.vThemeanspeedoftravel,infeetpersecond(fps)ormilesperhour(mph),ofmovingvehi clesonthelink.ThemeanspeedofthelastvehicleinaqueuethatdischargesfromthelinkwithintheTI.Thisspeeddiffersfromthemeanspeedofmovingvehicles,v.WThewidthoftheintersectioninfeet.Thisisthedifferencebetweenthelinklengthwhichextendsfromstop bartostop barandtheblocklength.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Theformulationandtheassociatedlogicpresentedbelowaredesignedtosolvetheunitproblemforeachsweepoverthenetwork(discussedbelow),foreachturnmovementservicedoneachlinkthatcomprisestheevacuationnetwork,andforeachTIoverthedurationoftheevacuation. 1. Forthefirstsweep,s=1,ofthisTI,getinitialestimatesofmeandensity,theR-factor,andenteringtraffic,usingthevaluescomputedforthefinalsweepofthepriorTI.Foreachsubsequentsweep,aretherelevantturnpercentagesfromfeederlink,i,anditstotaloutflow(possiblymetered)overthisTI;Sisthetotalsourceflow(possiblymetered)duringthecurrentTI.Setiterationcounter,n=0,2. usingtheanalyticalrepresentationsofthefundamentaldiagram.3. 4. 5. Endif6. 7.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 9.10.EndifEndifEndif11. where=densityatthebeginningoftheTI=densityattheendoftheTI=densityatthemid pointoftheTIAllvaluesofdensityapplyonlytothemovingvehicles.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TIt 3Q'et 1L 3vQ e vv QQ bM b12. EndifComputationofunitproblemisnowcomplete.Checkforexcessiveinflowcausingspillback.13. Thenumberofexcessvehiclesthatcausespillbackis:whereWisthewidthoftheupstreamintersection.Topreventspillback,metertheoutflowfromthefeederapproachesandfromthesourceflow,S,duringthisTIbytheamount,SB.Thatis,setThismeteringfactorisassignedappropriatelytoallfeederlinksandtothesourceflow,tobeappliedduringthenextnetworksweep,discussedlater.AlgorithmAThisanalysisaddressestheflowenvironmentoveraTIduringwhichmovingvehiclescanjoinastandingordischargingqueue.Forthecaseshown,aqueueoflength,formedbythatportionofthatreachesthestop barwithintheTI,butcouldnotdischargeduetoinadequatecapacity.Thatis,Thisqueuelength,canbeextendedtobytrafficenteringtheapproachduringthecurrentTI,travelingatspeed,v,andreachingtherearofthequeuewithintheTI.Aportionoftheenteringvehicles,willlikelyjointhequeue.ThisanalysiscalculatesfortheinputvaluesofL,TI,v,E,t, ,LN,.

Recognizingthatthefirsttwotermsontherighthandsidecancel,solvefortoobtain:

HarrisNuclearPlantC 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Ifthedenominator,ThecompleteAlgorithmAconsidersallflowscenarios;spacelimitationprecludesitsinclusion,here.C.1.3 LaneAssignmentThe"unitproblem"issolvedforeachturnmovementoneachlink.Thereforeitisnecessarytocalculateavalue,ofallocatedlanesforeachmovement,x.Ifinfactalllanesarespecifiedby,say,arrowspaintedonthepavement,eitherasfulllanesoraslaneswithinaturnbay,thentheproblemisfullydefined.Ifhoweverthereremainun channelizedlanesonalink,thenananalysisisundertakentosubdi videthenumberofthesephysicallanesintoturnmovementspecificvirtuallanes,LN x.C.2 ImplementationC.2.1 ComputationalProcedureThecomputationalprocedureforthismodelisshownintheformofaflowdiagramasFigureC 4.Asdiscussedearlier,thesimulationmodelprocessestrafficflowforeachlinkindependentlyoverTIthattheanalystspecifies;itisusually60secondsorlonger.Thefirststepistoexecut eanalgorithmtodefinethesequenceinwhichthenetworklinksareprocessedsothatasmanylinksaspossibleareprocessedaftertheirfeederlinksareprocessed,withinthesamenetworksweep.Sinceageneralnetworkwillhavemanyclosedloops,itisnotpossibletoguaranteethateverylinkprocessedwillhaveallofitsfeederlinksprocessedearlier.Theprocessingthencontinuesasasuccessionoftimestepsofduration,TI,untilthesimulationiscompleted.Withineachtimestep,theprocessingperformsaseriesof"sweeps"overallnetworklinks;thisisnecessarytoensurethatthetrafficflowissynchronousovertheentirenetwork.Specifically,thesweepensurescontinuityofflowamongallthenetworklinks;inthecontextofthismodel,thismeansthatthevaluesofE,M,andSareal ldefinedforeachlinksuchthattheyrepresentthesynchronousmovementoftrafficfromeachlinktoallofitsoutboundlinks.Thesesweepsalsoservetocomputethemeteringratesthatcontrolspillback.Withineachsweep,processingsolvesthe"unitproblem"foreachturnmovementoneachlink.WiththeturnmovementpercentagesforeachlinkprovidedbytheDTRADmodel,analgorithm HarrisNuclearPlantC 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1allocatesthenumberoflanestoeachmovementservicedoneachlink.Thetimingatasignal,ifany,appliedatthedownstreamendofthelink,isexpressedasaG/Cratio,thesignaltimingneededtodefinethisratioisaninputrequirementforthemodel.Themodelalsohasthecapabilityofrepresenting,withmacroscopicfidelity,theactionsofactuatedsignalsrespondingtothetime varyingcompetingdemandsontheapproachestotheintersection.Thesolutionoftheunitproblemyieldsthevaluesofthenumberofvehicles,O,thatdischargefromthelinkoverthetimeintervalandthenumberofvehiclesthatremainonthelinkattheendofthetimeintervalasstrat ifiedbyqueuedandmovingvehicles:Theprocedureconsiderseachmovementseparately(multi piping).Afterallnetworklinksareprocessedforagivennetworksweep,theupdatedconsistentvaluesofenteringflows,E;meteringrates,M;andsourceflows,Saredefinedsoastosatisfythe"nospillback"condition.Theprocedurethenperformstheunitproblemsolutionsforallnetworklinksduringthefollowingsweep.Experiencehasshownthatthesystemconverges(i.e.thevaluesofE,MandS"settledown"forallnetworklinks)injusttwosweepsifthenetworkisentirelyunder saturatedorinfoursweepsinthepresenceofextensivecongestionwithlinkspillback.(Theinitialsweepoverea chlinkusesthefinalvaluesofEandM,ofthepriorTI).AtthecompletionofthefinalsweepforaTI,theprocedurecomputesandstoresallmeasuresofeffectivenessforeachlinkandturnmovementforoutputpurposes.ItthenpreparesforthefollowingtimeintervalbydefiningthevaluesofforthestartofthenextTIasbeingthosevaluesofattheendofthepriorTI.Inthismanner,thesimulationmodelprocessesthetrafficflowovertimeuntiltheendoftherun.Notethatthereisnospace discretizationotherthanthespecificationofnetworklinks.

HarrisNuclearPlantC 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureC 4.FlowofSimulationProcessing(SeeGlossary:TableC 3) SequenceNetworkLinksNextTime step,ofduration,TINextsweep;DefineE,M,SforallLinksNextLinkNextTurnMovement,x Getlanes,ServiceRate,;GetinputstoUnitProblem:,ESolveUnitProblem:LastMovement?LastLink?LastSweep?Calc.,storeallLinkMOESetupnextTI:LastTime-step?DONE ABCDDCBANo No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes HarrisNuclearPlantC 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1C.2.2 InterfacingwithDynamicTrafficAssignment(DTRAD)TheDYNEVIIsystemreflectsNRCguidancethatevacueeswillseektotravelinageneraldirectionawayfromthelocationofthehazardousevent.Thus,analgorithmwasdevelopedtoidentifyanappropriatesetofdestinationnodesforeachoriginbasedonitslocationandontheexpecteddirectionoftravel.ThisalgorithmalsosupportstheDTRADmodelindynamicallyvaryingtheTripTable(O Dmatrix)overtimefromoneDTRADsessiontothenext.FigureB 1depictstheinteractionofthesimulationmodelwiththeDTRADmodelintheDYNEVIIsystem.Asindicated,DYNEVIIperformsasuccessionofDTRAD"sessions";eachsuchsessioncomputestheturnlinkpercentagesforeachlinkthatremainconstantforthesessionduration,specifiedbytheanalyst.Theendproductistheassignmentoftrafficvolumesfromeachorigintopathsconnectingitwithitsdestinationsinsuchawayastominimizethenetwork widecostfunction.TheoutputoftheDTRADmodelisasetofupdatedlinkturnpercentageswhichrepresentthisassignmentoftraffic.AsindicatedinFigureB 1,thesimu lationmodelsupportstheDTRADsessionbyprovidingitwithoperationallinkMOEthatareneededbythepathchoicemodelandincludedintheDTRADcostfunction.TheseMOErepresenttheoperationalstateofthenetworkatatime,whichlieswithinthesessionduration,.This"burntime",isselectedbytheanalyst.ForeachDTRADiteration,thesimulationmodelcomputesthechangeinnetworkoperationsoverthisburntimeusingthelatestsetoflinkturnpercentagescomputedbytheDTRADmodel.UponconvergenceoftheDTRADiterativeprocedure,thesimulationmodelacceptsthelatestturnpercentagesprovidedbytheDTAmodel,returnstotheorigintime,andexecutesuntilitarrivesattheendoftheDTRADsessiondurationattime,AtthistimethenextDTAsessionislaunchedandthewholeprocessrepeatsuntiltheendoftheDYNEVIIrun.AdditionaldetailsarepresentedinAppendixB.

APPENDIXDDetailedDescriptionofStudyProcedure HarrisNuclearPlantD 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1D. DETAILEDDESCRIPTIONOFSTUDYPROCEDUREThisappendixdescribestheactivitiesthatwereperformedtocomputeEvacuationTimeEstimates.TheindividualstepsofthiseffortarerepresentedasaflowdiagraminFigureD 1.Eachnumberedstepinthedescriptionthatfollowscorrespondstothenumberedelementintheflowdiagram.Step1ThefirstactivitywastoobtainEPZboundaryinformationandcreateaGISbasemap.ThebasemapextendsbeyondtheShadowRegionwhichextendsapproximately15miles(radially)fromthepowerplantlocation.Thebasemapincorporatesthelocalroadwaytopology,asuitabletopographicbackgroundandtheEPZboundary.Step22010CensusblockinformationwasobtainedinGISformat.ThisinformationwasusedtoestimatetheresidentpopulationwithintheEPZandShadowRegionandtodefinethespatialdistributionanddemographiccharacteristicsofthepopulationwithinthestudyarea.Dataforemployees,transients,schools,andotherfacilitieswereobtainedfromthecountyemergencymanagementdepartments.Step3Akickoffmeetingwasconductedwithmajorstakeholders(stateandlocalemergencymanagers,on siteandoff siteutilityemergencymanagers,localandstatelawenforcementagencies).Thepurposeofthekickoffmeetingwastopresentanoverviewoftheworkeffort,identifykeyagencypersonnel,andindicatethedatarequirementsforthestudy.Specificrequestsforinformationwerepres entedtocountyemergencymanagers.UniquefeaturesofthestudyareawerediscussedtoidentifythelocalconcernsthatshouldbeaddressedbytheETEstudy.Step4Next,aphysicalsurveyoftheroadwaysysteminthestudyareawasconductedtodeterminethegeometricpropertiesofthehighwaysections,thechannelizationoflanesoneachsectionofroadway,whetherthereareanyturnrestrictionsorspecialtreatmentoftrafficatintersections,thetypeandfunctioningoftrafficcontroldevices,gatheringsignaltimingsforpre timedtrafficsignals,andtomakethenecessaryobservationsneededtoestimaterealisticvaluesofroadwaycapacity.Step5AtelephonesurveyofhouseholdswithintheEPZwasconductedtoidentifyhouseholddynamics,tripgenerationcharacteristics,andevacuation relateddemographicinformationoftheEPZpopulation.Thisinformationwasusedtodetermineimportantstudyfactorsincludingtheaveragenumberofevacuatingvehiclesusedbyeachhousehold,andthetimerequiredtoperformpre evacuationmobilizationactivities.

HarrisNuclearPlantD 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Step6Acomputerizedrepresentationofthephysicalroadwaysystem,calledalink nodeanalysisnetwork,wasdevelopedusingtheUNITESsoftwaredevelopedbyKLD.Oncethegeometryofthenetworkwascompleted,thenetworkwascalibratedusingtheinformationgatheredduringtheroadsurvey(Step4).Estimatesofhighwaycapacityforeachlinkandotherlink specificcharacteristicswereintroducedtothenetworkdescription.Trafficsignaltimingswereinputaccordingly.Thelink nodeanalysisnetworkwasimportedintoaGISmap.2010Censusdatawereoverlaidinthemap,andorigincentroidswheretripswouldbegeneratedduringtheevacuationprocesswereassignedtoappropriatelinks.Step7TheEPZissubdividedinto14sub zones.Basedonwinddirectionandspeed,Regions(groupingsofsub zones)thatmaybeadvisedtoevacuate,weredeveloped.Theneedforevacuationcanoccuroverarangeoftime of day,day of week,seasonalandweather relatedconditions.Scenariosweredevelopedtocapturethevariationinevacuationdemand,highwaycapa cityandmobilizationtime,fordifferenttimeofday,dayoftheweek,timeofyear,andweatherconditions.Step8TheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIImodel,whichintegratesthedynamictrafficassignmentanddistributionmodel,DTRAD,withtheevacuationsimulationmodel,wascreatedforaprototypeevacuationcase-theevacuationoftheentireEPZforarepresentativescenario.Step9Aftercreatingthisinputstream,theDYNEVIISystemwasexecutedontheprototypeevacuationcasetocomputeevacuatingtrafficroutingpatternsconsistentwiththeappropriateNRCguidelines.DYNEVIIcontainsanextensivesuiteofdatadiagnosticswhichcheckthecompletenessandconsistencyoftheinputdataspecified.Theanalystreviewsallwarninganderrormessagesproducedbythemodelandthencorrectsthedatabasetocreateaninputstreamthatproperlyexecutestocompletion.Themodelassignsdestinationstoallorigincent roidsconsistentwitha(general)radialevacuationoftheEPZandShadowRegion.Theanalystmayoptionallysupplementand/orreplacethes emodel assigneddestinations,basedonprofessionaljudgment,afterstudyingthetopologyoftheanalysishighwaynetwork.Themodelproduceslinkandnetwork widemeasuresofeffectivenessaswellasestimatesofevacuationtime.Step10Theresultsgeneratedbytheprototypeevacuationcasearecriticallyexamined.Theexaminationincludesobservingtheanimatedgraphics(usingtheEVANsoftwarewhichoperatesondataproducedbyDYNEVII)andreviewingthestatisticsoutputbythemodel.Thisisalaborintensiveactivity,requiringthedirectparticipationofskilledengineerswhopossessthenecessarypracticalexperien cetointerprettheresultsandtodeterminethecausesofanyproblemsreflectedintheresults.

HarrisNuclearPlantD 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Essentially,theapproachistoidentifythosebottlenecksinthenetworkthatrepresentlocationswherecongestedconditionsarepronouncedandtoidentifythecauseofthiscongestion.Thiscausecantakemanyforms,eitherasexcessdemandduetohighratesoftripgeneration,improperrouting,ashortfallofcapacity,orasaquantitativeflawinthewaythephysicalsystemwasrepresentedintheinputstream.Thisexaminationleadstooneoftwoconclusions: Theresultsaresatisfactory;or Theinputstreammustbemodifiedaccordingly.Thisdecisionrequires,ofcourse,theapplicationoftheuser'sjudgmentandexperiencebasedupontheresultsobtainedinpreviousapplicationsofthemodelandacomparisonoftheresultsofthelatestprototypeevacuationcaseiterationwiththepreviousones.Iftheresultsaresatisfactoryintheopinionoftheuser,thentheprocesscontinueswithStep13.Otherwise,proceedtoStep11.Step11Therearemany"treatments"availabletotheuserinresolvingapparentproblems.Thesetreatmentsrangefromdecisionstoreroutethetrafficbyassigningadditionalevacuationdestinationsforoneormoresources,imposingturnrestrictionswheretheycanproducesignificantimprovementsincapacity,changingthecontroltreatmentatcriticalintersectionssoastoprovideimprovedserviceforoneormoremovements,orinprescribingspecifictreatmentsforchannelizingtheflowsoastoexpeditethemovementoftrafficalongmajorroadwaysystems.Such"treatments"taketheformofmodificationstotheoriginalprototypeevacuationcaseinputstream.Alltreatmentsaredesignedtoimprovetherepr esentationofevacuationbehavior.Step12Asnotedabove,thechangestotheinputstreammustbeimplementedtoreflectthemodificationsundertakeninStep11.Atthecompletionofthisactivity,theprocessreturnstoStep9wheretheDYNEVIISystemisagainexecuted.Step13Evacuationoftransit dependentevacueesandspecialfacilitiesareincludedintheevacuationanalysis.Fixedroutingfortransitbusesandforschoolbuses,ambulances,andothertransitvehiclesareintroducedintothefinalprototypeevacuationcasedataset.DYNEVIIgeneratesroutespecificspeedsovertimeforuseintheestimationofevacuationtimesforthetransitdependentandspecialf acilitypopulationgroups.Step14Theprototypeevacuationcasewasusedasthebasisforgeneratingallregionandscenario specificevacuationcasestobesimulated.ThisprocesswasautomatedthroughtheUNITESuserinterface.Foreachspecificcase,thepopulationtobeevacuated,thetripgenerationdistributions,thehighwaycapacityandspeeds,andotherfactorsareadjustedtoproduceacustomizedcase specificdataset.

HarrisNuclearPlantD 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Step15AllevacuationcasesareexecutedusingtheDYNEVIISystemtocomputeETE.Onceresultswereavailable,qualitycontrolprocedureswereusedtoassuretheresultswereconsistent,dynamicroutingwasreasonable,andtrafficcongestion/bottleneckswereaddressedproperly.Step16Oncevehicularevacuationresultsareaccepted,averagetravelspeedsfortransitandspecialfacilityrouteswereusedtocomputeevacuationtimeestimatesfortransit dependentpermanentresidents,schools,hospitals,andotherspecialfacilities.Step17Thesimulationresultsareanalyzed,tabulatedandgraphed.Theresultswerethendocumented,asrequiredbyNUREG/CR 7002.Step18Followingthecompletionofdocumentationactivities,theETEcriteriachecklist(seeAppendixN)wascompleted.Anappropriatereportreferenceisprovidedforeachcriterionprovidedinthechecklist.

HarrisNuclearPlantD 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 FigureD 1.FlowDiagramofActivitiesCreateGISBaseMap GatherCensusBlockandDemographicDataforStudyArea FieldSurveyofRoadwayswithinStudyAreaConductKickoffMeetingwithStakeholdersCreateandCalibrateLinkNodeAnalysisNetwork DevelopEvacuationRegionsandScenariosCreateandDebugDYNEVIIInputStreamConductTelephoneSurveyandDevelopTripGenerationCharacteristics ExecuteDYNEVIIforPrototypeEvacuationCase B A Step1 Step2 Step3 Step4 Step5 Step6 Step7 Step8 Step9 ExamineResultsofPrototypeEvacuationCaseusingEVANandDYNEVIIOutputModifyEvacuationDestinationsand/orDevelopTrafficControlTreatments A BModifyDatabasetoReflectChangestoPrototypeEvacuationCaseEstablishTransitandSpecialFacilityEvacuationRoutesandUpdateDYNEVIIDatabase GenerateDYNEVIIInputStreamsforAllEvacuationCases ExecuteDYNEVIItoComputeETEforAllEvacuationCases UseDYNEVIIAverageSpeedOutputtoComputeETEforTransitandSpecialFacilityRoutes DocumentationCompleteETECriteriaChecklist ResultsSatisfactory Step10 Step11 Step12 Step13 Step14 Step15 Step16 Step17 Step18 APPENDIXEFacilityData HarrisNuclearPlantE 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1E. FACILITYDATAThefollowingtableslistpopulationinformation,asofAugust2012,forspecialfacilities,transientattractionsandmajoremployersthatarelocatedwithintheHNPEPZ.Specialfacilitiesaredefinedasschools,childcarecenters,hospitalsandothermedicalcarefacilities.Transientpopulationdataisincludedinthetablesforcampgrounds,parksandcommunitycenters,golfcoursesan dlodgingfacilities.Employmentdataisincludedinthetablesformajoremployers.Eachtableisgroupedbycounty.Thelocationofthefacilityisdefinedbyitsstraight linedistance(miles)anddirection(magneticbearing)fromthecenterpointoftheplant.Mapsofeachschool,childcarecent er,medicalfacility,majoremployer,campground,parkandcommunitycenter,golfcourseandlodgingfacilityarealsoprovided.

HarrisNuclearPlantE 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionSchoolNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentStaffCHATHAMCOUNTYM6.8WMoncureElementarySchool600MoncureSchoolRdMoncure(919)5423725285 45ChathamCountySubtotals:28545HARNETTCOUNTYS.R.112.5SELafayetteElementarySchool108LafayetteSchoolFuquay Varina(919)5524353780 80 HarnettCountySubtotals:78080LEECOUNTYS.R.111.1WSWDeepRiverElementarySchool4000DeepRiverRdSanford(919)7762722638100 LeeCountySubtotals:638100WAKECOUNTYE9.2NEA.V.BaucomElementarySchool400HunterSt Apex(919)3872168962100 E8.3NEApexElementarySchool700TingenRd Apex(919)3872150670 83 E8.8NEApexMiddleSchool400EMooreSt Apex(919)38721811,086150 E10.1NEApexSeniorHighSchool 21501LauraDuncanRdApex(919)38722082,300200 E9.3NELufkinRoadMiddleSchool1002LufkinRd Apex(919)38744651,010100 E7.8NNEOliveChapelElementarySchool1751OliveChapelRdApex(919)3874440933130 E7.7NESt.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool625MagdalaPl Apex(919)6574800704 65 E9.6NEThalesAcademy1177AmbergateSt Apex(919)3033108319 30 F5.9EHollyGroveElementarySchool1451AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)5771700980115 F6.1EHollyGroveMiddleSchool1401AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)56741771,136100 F8.0EHollyRidgeElementarySchool900HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)5771300724 80 F8.0EHollyRidgeMiddleSchool950HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)55726601,033100 F7.4EHollySpringsElementarySchool401HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)55726601,121126 F6.0EHollySpringsHighSchool5329CassHoltRd HollySprings(919)46386062,108150 F9.6ENewSchool,Inc.Montessori5617SunsetLakeRdHollySprings(919)3033636180 35 G9.7ESEFuquay VarinaMiddleSchool109NEnnisStFuquay Varina(919)5572727903 98 G9.2ESEFuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool201BengalDrFuquay Varina(919)55725111,925150 G8.7EHerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool2255HerbertAkinsRdFuquay Varina(919)5674100867 98 G8.8ESELincolnHeightsElementarySchool307BridgeStFuquay Varina(919)5572587474 95 G7.8ESouthernWakeAcademyHighSchool5108OldPowellRd HollySprings(919)5679955119 15WakeCountySubtotals:19,5542,020TOTAL:21,2572,245 HarrisNuclearPlantE 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 2.ChildCareCenterswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionSchoolNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentStaffWAKECOUNTYE9.9ENEAllAboutKids3901KildaireFarmRdCary(919)303776712530E8.9NEApexBaptistChurchPreschool110SouthSalemStApex(919)362617617424E9.4NEApexChildCarewithDebbie102BeechHollowPl Apex(919)363991152 E8.9NEApexUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool100S.HughesStApex(919)36278077825E9.5ENEEarthAngel'sDayCareHome2909EarthDrApex(919)362516681E9.0NEEdithFranklinDayCareHome501EChathamStApex(919)362775351E8.7ENEGoddardSchoolApex903OliveChapelRdApex(919)362399912026E10.1ENEGraceChurchPreschool 23725KildareFarmRdApex(919)36293558213E8.7NEGrowingYearsLearningCenter470WestWilliamsStApex(919)387818910014E10.2NEHopeChapelPreschool 26175OldJenksRdApex(919)38781897515E10.0NEJudy'sHomeCare1300LauraDuncanRdApex(919)362519151E7.9ENEKarin' 4 Kidz201RidgeLakeRdApex(919)387285182E10.3NELori'sFamilyDayCare 22610HaventreeCtApex(919)387141921E9.7NEMoravicFamilyDayCare1814MistyHollowLnApex(919)367757951E8.7NNEPlayCare1422FairfaxWoodsDrApex(919)303931561E8.8NEVickie'sDayCareHome410EChathamStApex(919)362770251E9.7ENEWoodhavenBaptistPre school4000KildareFarmRdApex(919)362390910215F8.3ENEHollySpringsLearningCenter1180HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)577611915930F7.5ENEHollySpringsSchoolForEarlyEducation101ArborCreekDrHollySprings(919)30390098823F6.2EHomeAwayFromHomeChildcare416ClineFallsDrHollySprings(919)538272551F7.5ENEKiddieAcademyofHollySprings150RosewoodCentreDrHollySprings(919)367008814525F7.3ENEKris'HomeSweetHomeDaycare420CaymanAveHollySprings(919)552400251F7.5ENELittleDreamersPreschool114HyannisDrHollySprings(919)303343411110F7.3ESisters'ChildCareServices400EarpStHollySprings(919)5529624204F9.7ENEStellaLowerySmallDayCareHome102OaklandDrApex(919)362131351 HarrisNuclearPlantE 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionSchoolNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEnroll mentStaffF9.3ENESunriseUnitedMethodistChurchPreschool5420SunsetLakeRdHollySprings(919)30337206616F8.0ENETheCarolinaSchool10308HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)55755055010G9.3EAMother'sLove524DogwoodCreekPlFuquay Varina(919)552544851G9.1ESEChildcareNetwork-Fuquay Varina350W.JonesStFuquay Varina(919)557121911319G9.6ESEFuquay VarinaBaptistWeeCare301NWoodrowStFuquay Varina(919)55295869823G9.7ESEFuquay VarinaUMCPreschoolSeedsofFaith100SJuddPkwySEFuquay Varina(919)557156818027G9.3ESEGingerbreadLittleversity Downtown211RailroadStFuquay Varina(919)55247239916G9.6ESELittleAngelsPreparatory724SMainStFuquay Varina(919)55255755010G10.2ESELittleMiracles 2428BarnViewCtFuquay Varina(919)557127241G9.0ESEReadyOrNotHereIGrow201PowhatanDrFuquay Varina(919)55233329215G9.0ESEShiningStarChildCareHome516NatureWalkRdFuquay Varina(919)567073851G8.3ESouthWakePreschool&Academy2275NGrasslandDrFuquay Varina(919)5771144377G9.8ESpinningWheelsLearningCenter6225SunsetLakeRdFuquay Varina(919)3427009247G9.0ESEVanessaBland'sSmallDayCareHome829AlderleafDrFuquay Varina(919)552098271WakeCountySubtotals:2,263419TOTAL:2,273422Notes1S.R.isShadowRegion.CountyplansevacuatethesetwofacilitiesduetotheircloseproximitytotheEPZboundary2Facilityislocatedgreaterthan10milesfromtheHNP,however,stillresideswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 3.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneCap acityCurrentCensusAmbul atoryPatientsWheelchairPatientsBedriddenPatientsLEECOUNTYJ10.4WSWSanfordHealth&Rehab 22702FarrellRdSanford(919)7769602137137416927LeeCountySubtotals:137137416927WAKECOUNTYA2.4NEBrown'sFamilyCareHome8416JamesRestHomeRdNewHill(919)362668666600A2.3NEJamesRestHome8420JamesRestHomeRdNewHill(919)3628856403828100C4.7EMurchisonResidentialCorpHome533TexannaWayHollySprings(919)557671233300E9.1NEAzaleaGardensMentalHealth413CulvertStApex(919)387139166600E8.4NEBrookridgeAssistedLiving312LynchStApex(919)3626266555240120E8.0ENEFavourHome202LindellDriveApex(919)362835366600E7.6NNEKingsGroupHomeforChildren109EveningStarDrApex(919)303500244400E9.2ENELockleyRoadHome4617LockleyRdHollySprings(919)303566566600E9.1NEMasonStreetGroupHome306N.MasonStApex(919)387588166600E9.0NEOliveHome707OliveStApex(919)387708066600E8.4NERexRehab&NursingCenterofApex911S.HughesStApex(919)363601110790204030E7.4NESeagravesFamilyCareHome1052IrongateDrApex(919)362855664400E8.0NEShackletonHome1105ShackletonRdApex(919)267575933300E8.7NESpringArborofApex901SpringArborCtApex(919)3039990766647190 HarrisNuclearPlantE 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneCap acityCurrentCensusAmbul atoryPatientsWheelchairPatientsBedriddenPatientsE8.7NEWakeMedApexHealthplex 1120HealthplexWayApex(919)38702281212741F6.5EAventFerryHome904AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)557633666600F7.8EBassLakeHome408BassLakeRdHollySprings(919)557384466600F6.6ECountryLaneGroupHome534CountryLnHollySprings(919)552545766600F8.5ENEHerbertReidHome3733HeritageMeadowsLnHollySprings(919)363531155500F7.0EHickoryAvenueHome112HickoryAveHollySprings(919)5525407666F8.6ENESt.Mark'sManor3735HeritageMeadowsLnHollySprings(919)363531199900F6.5ETrotter'sBluff912AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)557633766600G10.2ESECreekwayHome 2424CreekwayDrFuquay Varina(919)552435966600G9.5EEvans WalstonHome808HawksViewCtFuquay Varina(919)552131233300G9.8ESEFuquay VarinaHomesfortheElderly1012SMainStFuquay Varina(919)552367180626020G9.8EHopeHouse821BrookhannahCtFuquay Varina(919)557437144400G9.4ESEKintonCourtHome301SunsetDrFuquay Varina(919)55769671616 1600 G9.9ESELifeSkillsIndependentCare#1800PerryHowardRdFuquay Varina(919)577002144400G6.9SEMim'sFamilyCareHome6337MimsRdHollySprings(919)552645562200G9.4ESEWakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacility400RansomStFuquay Varina(919)3504600363502015G9.0ESEWindsorPointContinuingCare1221BroadStFuquay Varina(919)552458030027514010035WakeCountySubtotals:84175947120781TOTAL:978896512276108Notes1Thisfacilityisastand aloneEmergencyDepartmentwithaconstantlychangingbreakdownofpatients.Theaveragepercentagebreakdownofambulatory,wheelchairboundandbedriddenpatientsforallothermedicalfacilitieswasappliedforthisfacility.2Facilityislocatedgreaterthan10milesfromtheHNP,however,stillresideswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 4.MajorEmployerswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEmployees (maxshift)%Non EPZEmployees (NonEPZ)LEECOUNTY J10.4WSWSanfordHealth&Rehab 1,2,32702FarrellRdSanford(919)776960211052%57LeeCountySubtotals:11057CHATHAMCOUNTY K5.5WSWArclin790CorinthRdMoncure(919)5422526 2375%17 K6.1SWGeneralShaleBrickCompany300BrickPlantRdMoncure(919)7746533 4550%23 K5.6WSWMoncurePlywood306CorinthRdMoncure(919)5422311 9095%86 K5.1WPerformanceFibers338PeaRidgeRd NewHill(919)542220018060%108 K2.9WTriangleBrickCompany294KingRdMoncure(919)2265622 5025%13 L7.2NBuildersFirstSource 23RedCedarWay Apex(919)3634956 9050%45ChathamCountySubtotals:478292 WAKECOUNTY A1.8NWDomtarPaperCompany7634OldUSHwy1NewHill(919)36796963050%15A2.2NEHarrisE&ECenter3932NewHillHollemanRdNewHill(919)362326110063%63A0.0HarrisNuclearPlant5421ShearonHarrisRdNewHill(919)363056070063%441E9.2NEA.V.BaucomElementarySchool 1400HunterStApex(919)387216810052%52E8.3NEApexElementarySchool 1700TingenRdApex(919)38721508352%43E8.8NEApexMiddleSchool 1400EMooreStApex(919)387218115052%78E8.8NEApexPublicWorks105UpchurchStApex(919)36281664950%25E10.1NEApexSeniorHighSchool 1,31501LauraDuncanRdApex(919)387220820052%104E8.8NEApexToolGroup(CooperHandTools)1000LufkinRdApex(919)818585118050%90E9.3NEApexTownHall73HunterSt Apex(919)2493400 7250%36 E8.9NNECarrabba'sItalianGrill1201HaddonHallDr Apex(919)3876336 3050%15 E9.0NNEChili'sGrill&Bar1120BeaverCreekCommonsDrApex(919)38777013250%16E7.6ENEEMCCorp5800TechnologyDr Apex(919)362480040850%204 E9.4NEFoodLion620LauraDuncanRd Apex(919)3623904 3650%18 E8.9NEHarrisTeeter(Apex#58)750WWilliamsSt Apex(919)3623782 6250%31 E9.0NNEHomeDepotApex1000VisionDrApex(919)38765544050%20E8.9NNEKohl's1301BeaverCreekCommonsDrApex(919)38774997250%36 HarrisNuclearPlantE 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEmployees (maxshift)%Non EPZEmployees (NonEPZ)E8.7NELowe'sFoods(Apex#184)5400ApexPeakway Apex(919)3635376 7550%38 E8.9NNELowe'sHomeImprovement1101BeaverCreekCommonsDrApex(919)30342006050%30E9.3NELufkinRoadMiddleSchool 11002LufkinRdApex(919)387446510052%52E7.8NNEOliveChapelElementarySchool 11751OliveChapelRdApex(919)387444013052%68E8.6NEPottersIndustries,Inc.820LufkinRd Apex(919)3627574 6050%30 E8.8NNERedRobinGourmetBurgers1431BeaverCreekCommonsDrApex(919)36385993050%15E8.4NERexRehab&NursingCenterofApex 1911S.HughesSt.AApex(919)36360112252%11E7.7NESt.MaryMagdaleneCatholicSchool 1625MagdalaPlApex(919)65748006552%34E8.8NNETarget1201BeaverCreekCommonsDrApex(919)372140518650%93E9.4NETipperTieInc.2000LufkinRdApex(919)36288117550%38E8.7NEWakemedApexHealthplex120HealthplexWayApex(919)35009895050%25E7.7NEWalmart(Apex#3889)3151ApexPeakwayApex(919)36237375250%26F9.4NEFoodLion517NorthMainStHollySprings(919)55711753350%17F9.3ENEHarrisTeeter(HollySprings#118)5277SunsetLakeRdHollySprings(919)36330597250%36F6.6EHarrisTeeter(HollySprings#311)324VillageWalkDrHollySprings(919)55215965750%29F5.9EHollyGroveElementarySchool 11451AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)577170011552%60F6.1EHollyGroveMiddleSchool 11401AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)567417710052%52F8.0EHollyRidgeElementarySchool 1900HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)57713008052%42F8.0EHollyRidgeMiddleSchool 1950HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)557266010052%52F7.4EHollySpringsElementarySchool 1401HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)557266012652%66F6.0EHollySpringsHighSchool 15329CassHoltRdHollySprings(919)463860615052%78F7.0EHollySpringsTownHall128SouthMainStHollySprings(919)557390310550%53F5.8ENEIdealLandscaping131TraditionTrailHollySprings(919)56733256050%30 HarrisNuclearPlantE 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneEmployees (maxshift)%Non EPZEmployees (NonEPZ)F7.4ELowe'sFood(HollySprings#207)550HollySpringsRdHollySprings(919)57769716350%32F5.1ENENovartis475GreenOaksPkwyHollySprings(919)577500030050%150F6.7ERexExpressCareofHollySprings781AventFerryRdHollySprings(919)56761205550%28F6.9EWalmart(HollySprings#4458)7016GBAlfordHwyHollySprings(919)55791815250%26F6.1ENEWarpTechnologiesInc.601IrvingPkwyHollySprings(919)55223117550%38G8.5EBerk Tek(NexanCompany)100TechnologyParkLnFuquay Varina(919)57720235450%27G9.4ESEBobBarkerCompany134NorthMainStFuquay Varina(919)552989519050%95G9.4ESEFidelityBank100NMainStFuquay Varina(919)55222427050%35G9.7ESEFuquay VarinaMiddleSchool 1109NEnnisStFuquay Varina(919)55727279852%51G9.2ESEFuquay VarinaSeniorHighSchool 1201BengalDrFuquay Varina(919)557251115052%78G8.7EHerbertAkinsRoadElementarySchool 12255HerbertAkinsRdFuquay Varina(919)56741009852%51G10.0ESEHomeDepot-Fuquay Varina901EastBroadStFuquay Varina(919)55228815250%26G10.5ESEKrogerBakery 31371EastBroadStFuquay Varina(919)56774236550%33G8.8ESELincolnHeightsElementarySchool 1307BridgeStFuquay Varina(919)55725879552%49G9.4ESEWakeMedFuquaySkilledNursingFacility 1,2400RansomSt.Fuquay Varina(919)35046005652%29G10.2ESEWalmart(FuquayVarina#2836)31051EastBroadStFuquay Varina(919)56723505050%25G9.0ESEWindsorPointContinuingCare 1,21221BroadStFuquay Varina(919)552458016052%83WakeCountySubtotals:5,9303,118TOTAL:6,5183,467Notes1Anaverageof52%nonEPZemployees(baseduponthosefacilitieswhichdidprovidedetaileddata)wasappliedtothosefacilitieswhichdidnotprovidedetaileddata2Numberofem p lo y eesdurin gmaxshiftwasassumedtobethetotalnumberofem p lo y eesforthosefacilitieswhichdidnotp rovidedetaileddata3Facilityislocatedgreaterthan10milesfromtheHNP,however,stillresideswithintheEPZAllemployershavemorethan50totalemployees,despitesomehavingamaximumshiftlessthan50 HarrisNuclearPlantE 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 5.CampgroundswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesCHATHAMCOUNTYK5.0SWDickensRVPark2501CorinthRdMoncure(919)7088207216108L6.2WNWNewHopeOverlookCampground(JordanLake)HiddenFieldLnNCStateParks(919)362085633884L6.7NNWPoplarPointCampground(JordanLake)558BeaverCreekRdNCStateParks(919)36208561,302543M6.9WCotten'sRVCampground390CottenAcresMoncure(919)54826442525M6.9WJordanDamRVPark&Campground284MoncureSchoolRdMoncure(919)77068904444M7.3NWVistaPointCampground(JordanLake)NPeaRidgeRdNCStateParks(919)3620856420105N7.9NNWCrosswindsCampgroundandMarina(JordanLake)389FarringtonRdNCStateParks(919)3620856965241N8.9NNWParker'sCreekCampground(JordanLake)BigWoodsRdNCStateParks(919)3620586750188ChathamCountySubtotals:4,0601,338TOTAL:4,0601,338 HarrisNuclearPlantE 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 6.ParksandCommunityCenterswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesCHATHAMCOUNTYK4.2SSWHarrisLakeBoatLaunch(ChathamCounty)384CrossPointRdNewHill(919)7070010224102L6.3NWEbenezerChurchRecreationArea(JordanLake)EbenezerRdNCStateParks(919)36205861,127282M7.3WPoe'sRidgeRecreationArea(JordanLake)1MoncureSchoolRdU.S.ArmyCorpsofEng(919)54245019462M9.6NWRobesonCreekRecreationArea(JordanLake)HanksChapelRdNCStateParks(919)362058638997M7.7NWSeaforthRecreationArea(JordanLake)U.S.Highway64NCStateParks(919)36208561,334334N8.0NNWWhiteOakRecreationArea(JordanLake)U.S.Highway64NCStateParks(919)362085639398ChathamCountySubtotals:3,561975HARNETTCOUNTYH11.0SRavenRockStatePark2309RavenRockRoadLillington(910)89348888052HarnettCountySubtotals:8052WAKECOUNTYA2.0EHarrisLakeCountyPark2112CountyParkDrNewHill(919)3874342401182B5.1NNEGoldstarSoccerComplex2513OldUSHwy1Apex(919)7863056289131D2.0SSEHarrisLakeBoatLaunch4420BartleyHollemanRdNewHill(919)7070010224102E5.6NAmericanTobaccoTrail1309NewHill OliveChapelRdApex(919)3872117498226E9.3NEApexCommunityCenter53HunterStApex(919)24934022612E8.2NEApexElementarySchoolPark700TingenRdApex(919)856617063E9.1NEClaremontPark801EastChathamStApex(919)249340221E9.1NEHalleCulturalArtsCenter237NSalemStApex(919)24911203215E8.5NEJayceePark451NCHwy55Apex(919)2493402136E7.5NNEKellyGlenPark1701KellyGlenDrApex(919)249340221E7.6NNEKellyRoadPark1609KellyRdApex(919)2493402167E8.5NESueHeltonParkMatneyLnApex(919)249340221 HarrisNuclearPlantE 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesE8.5NEWestStreetPark108WestStApex(919)249340221F8.6EBassLakePark&RetreatCenter900BassLakeRdHollySprings(919)5572496104F6.8EHollySpringsLibrary&CulturalCenter300WBallentineStHollySprings(919)55796003215F7.3ENEJonesMemorialPark405SchoolDaysLnHollySprings(919)557960063F7.3EParrishWomblePark1201GrigsbyAveHollySprings(919)5579600240109F7.5ENEVeteransPark600BikramDrHollySprings(919)557960021F7.2EW.E.HuntCommunityCenter&Gym301StinsonAveHollySprings(919)55796003515G9.2ESEActionPark609WakeChapelRdFuquay Varina(919)5521400296135G9.6ESECarrollHowardJohnsonEEPark301WagstaffRdFuquay Varina(919)5521400115G9.9ESEFalconPark611EAcademyStFuquay Varina(919)55214003215G8.6ESEFlemingLoopSoccerComplex301FlemingLoopRdFuquay Varina(919)55214003215G9.5ESEFuquayMineralSpringPark105SpringStFuquay Varina(919)552140021G8.6EHerbertAkinsSchoolPark2255HerbertAkinsRdFuquay Varina(919)552140094G9.5ESEKintonSoccerField300WRansomStFuquay Varina(919)5521400167G9.0ESELawrenceStreetPark215LawrenceStFuquay Varina(919)552140084G9.6ESELibraryPark116SouthAikenStFuquay Varina(919)552140062G8.9ESEPineAcresCommunityCenter&Park402McleanStFuquay Varina(919)552140042G9.6ESESouthPark900SMainStFuquay Varina(919)5521400401182WakeCountySubtotals:2,6551,207TOTAL:6,2962,234Notes1DataobtainedfromRevision4of2007COLA2OnlyaportionoftheParkresidesintheEPZ,however,theentirefacilityevacuatesasaprecautionarymeasure HarrisNuclearPlantE 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableE 7.GolfCourseswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesWAKECOUNTYC5.1ENE12Oaks1001GreenOaksPkwyHollySprings91928536807030E9.8NEKnightsPlayGolfCenter2512Ten TenRdApex9193034653288200F8.6EDevilsRidgeGolfClub5107LinkslandDrHollySprings9193463631262180WakeCountySubtotals:620410TOTAL:620410TableE 8.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZSub ZoneDistance(miles)DirectionFacilityNameStreetAddressMunicipalityPhoneTransientsVehiclesWAKECOUNTYE8.5NEAmerica'sBestValueInn1400EWilliamsStApex(919)36286216052E8.8NNEB&BCountryGardenInn1041KellyRdApex(919)303800342E8.3NECandlewoodSuites1005MarcoDrApex(919)38785957666E8.6NEComfortInnApex1411EWilliamsStApex(919)38746006456E8.6NEHolidayInnExpress1006MarcoDrApex(919)38736362623E8.8NEValuePlaceHotel901LufkinRoadApex(919)387463611399F6.7EHamptonInn&SuitesHollySprings1516RalphStephensRdHollySprings(919)5527610116101G9.5ESEFuquayMineralSpringInnandGardenB&B333SouthMainStFuquay Varina(919)552378242G9.8ESEChateauBellevie1605SouthMainStFuquay Varina(919)622612831WakeCountySubtotals:466402TOTAL:466402 HarrisNuclearPlantE 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 1.SchoolswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 2.OverviewofChildCareCenterswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 3.ChildCareCenterswithinSubZoneE HarrisNuclearPlantE 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 4.ChildCareCenterswithinSubZonesFandG HarrisNuclearPlantE 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 5.MedicalFacilitieswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 6.OverviewofMajorEmployerswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 7.MajorEmployerswithinSubZoneE HarrisNuclearPlantE 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 8.MajorEmployerswithinSubZonesFandG HarrisNuclearPlantE 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE 9.CampgroundswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE10.OverviewofParksandCommunityCenterswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE11.ParksandCommunityCenterswithinSubZoneE HarrisNuclearPlantE 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE12.ParksandCommunityCenterswithinSubZonesFandG HarrisNuclearPlantE 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE13.GolfCourseswithintheEPZ HarrisNuclearPlantE 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureE14.LodgingFacilitieswithintheEPZ APPENDIXFTelephoneSurvey HarrisNuclearPlantF 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F. TELEPHONESURVEYF.1 IntroductionThedevelopmentofevacuationtimeestimatesfortheHNPEPZrequirestheidentificationoftravelpatterns,carownershipandhouseholdsizeofthepopulationwithintheEPZ.DemographicinformationcanbeobtainedfromCensusdata.Theuseofthisdatahasseverallimitationswhenappliedtoemergencyplanning.First,theCensusdatadonotencompasstherangeofinformationneededtoidentifythetimerequiredforpreliminaryactivities(mobilization)thatmustbeundertakenpriortoevacuatingthearea.Secondly,CensusdatadonotcontainattitudinalresponsesneededfromthepopulationoftheEPZandconsequentlymaynotaccuratelyrepresenttheanticipatedbehavioralcharacteristicsoftheevacuatingpopulace.TheseconcernsareaddressedbyconductingatelephonesurveyofarepresentativesampleoftheEPZpopulation.Thesurveyisdesignedtoelicitinformationfromthepublicconcerningfamilydemographicsandestimatesofresponsetimestowelldefinedevents.Thedesignofthesurveyincludesalimitednumberofquestionsoftheform"Whatwouldyoudoif-?"andotherquestionsregardingactivitieswithwhichtherespondentisfamiliar("Howlongdoesittakeyouto-?")

HarrisNuclearPlantF 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F.2 SurveyInstrumentandSamplingPlanAttachmentApresentsthefinalsurveyinstrumentusedinthisstudy.Adraftoftheinstrumentwassubmittedtostakeholdersforcomment.Commentswerereceivedandthesurveyinstrumentwasmodifiedaccordingly,priortoconductingthesurvey.Followingthecompletionoftheinstrument,asamplingplanwasdeveloped.Asamplesizeofapproximately500completedsurveyformsyi eldsresultswithasamplingerrorof+/-4.5%atthe95%confidencelevel.ThesamplemustbedrawnfromtheEPZpopulation.Consequently,alistofzipcodesintheEPZwasdevelopedusingGISsoftware.ThislistisshowninTableF 1.Alongwitheachzipcode,anestimateofthepopulationandnumberofhouseholdsineachareawasdeterminedbyoverlayingCensusdataandtheEPZboundary,againusingGISsoftware.Theproportionalnumberofdesiredcompletedsurveyinterviewsforeachareawasidentified,asshowninTableF 1.Thecompletedsurveyadheredtothesamplingplan.TableF 1.HarrisTelephoneSurveySamplingPlanZipCodePopulationwithinEPZ(2010)HouseholdsRequiredSample27312821 314 4273302,089 815 112750229,062 10,064 1392750570 21 02751749 17 0275183,513 1,182 1627519126 46 1275236,178 2,291 312752620,528 7,715 106275399,769 3,464 472754027,467 9,227 127275591,399 562 8275621,890 751 10Total102,961 36,469 500AverageHouseholdSize: 2.82TotalSampleRequired: 500 HarrisNuclearPlantF 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1F.3 SurveyResultsTheresultsofthesurveyfallintotwocategories.First,thehouseholddemographicsoftheareacanbeidentified.Demographicinformationincludessuchfactorsashouseholdsize,automobileownership,andautomobileavailability.Thedistributionsofthetimetoperformcertainpre evacuationactivitiesarethesecondcategoryofsurveyresults.Thesedataareprocessedtodevelopthetripgenerationdistributionsusedintheevacuationmodelingeffort,asdiscussedinSection5.Areviewofthesurveyinstrumentrevealsthatseveralquestionshavea"don'tknow"(DK)or"refused"entryforaresponse.Itisacceptedpracticeinconductingsurveysofthi stypetoaccepttheanswersofarespondentwhooffersaDKresponseforafewquestionsorwhorefusestoanswerafewquestions.ToaddresstheissueofoccasionalDK/refusedresponsesfromalargesample,thepracticeistoassumethatthedistributionoftheseresponsesisthesameasth eunderlyingdistributionofthepositiveresponses.Ineffect,theDK/refusedresponsesareignoredandthedistributionsarebaseduponthepositivedatathatisacquired.F.3.1 HouseholdDemographicResultsHouseholdSizeFigureF 1presentsthedistributionofhouseholdsizewithintheEPZ.Theaveragehouseholdcontains2.95people.Theestimatedhouseholdsize(2.82people)usedtodeterminethesurveysample(TableF 1)wasdrawnfromCensusdata.TheaveragehouseholdsizefoundinthesurveyagreeswiththeCensusdatawithinthesamplingerrorrange.AfterdiscussionswithDukeEnergyandcountyemergencymanagementagencies,itwasdecidedthattheU.S.Censusestimateof2.82peopleperhouseholdshouldbeusedforthisstudy.Thisresultsinamoreconservativeestimatewhendeterminingthenumberofhouseholdsandevacuatingvehicles.

HarrisNuclearPlantF 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 1.HouseholdSizeintheEPZAutomobileOwnershipTheaveragenumberofautomobilesavailableperhouseholdintheEPZis2.16.Itshouldbenotedthat1.8percentofhouseholdsdonothaveaccesstoanautomobile.ThedistributionofautomobileownershipispresentedinFigureF 2.FigureF 3andFigureF 4presenttheautomobileavailabilitybyhouseholdsize.Notethatthemajorityofhouseholdswithoutaccesstoacararesinglepersonhouseholds.Asexpected,nearlyallhouseholdsof2ormorepeoplehaveaccesstoatleastonevehicle.FigureF 2.HouseholdVehicleAvailability0%10%20%

30%40%12345678910+

%ofHouseholds HouseholdSize HarrisHouseholdSize 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%012345678%ofHouseholds NumberofVehicles HarrisVehicleAvailability HarrisNuclearPlantF 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 3.VehicleAvailability1to5PersonHouseholdsFigureF 4.VehicleAvailability6to9+PersonHouseholds 0%20%40%60%80%100%012345678%ofHouseholds VehiclesDistributionofVehiclesbyHHSize 1 5PersonHouseholds 1Person 2People 3People 4People 5People 0%20%

40%60%80%100%012345678%ofHouseholds VehiclesDistributionofVehiclesbyHHSize 6 9+PersonHouseholds 6People 7People 8People 9+People HarrisNuclearPlantF 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1RidesharingTheoverwhelmingproportion(89%)ofthehouseholdssurveyed(whodonotownavehicle)respondedthattheywouldsharearidewithaneighbor,relative,orfriendifacarwasnotavailabletothemwhenadvisedtoevacuateintheeventofanemergency.Note,however,thatonlythosehouseholdswithnoaccesstoaveh icle-18totaloutofthesamplesizeof500-answeredthisquestion.Thus,theresultsarenotstatisticallysignificant.Assuch,theNRCrecommendationof50%ridesharingisusedthroughoutthisstudy.FigureF 5presentsthisresponse.FigureF 5.HouseholdRidesharingPreference0%20%40%

60%

80%100%YesNo%ofHouseholds HarrisRidesharewithNeighbor/Friend HarrisNuclearPlantF 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1CommutersFigureF 6presentsthedistributionofthenumberofcommutersineachhousehold.Commutersaredefinedashouseholdmemberswhotraveltoworkorcollegeonadailybasis.Thedatashowsanaverageof1.14commutersineachhouseholdintheEPZ,and68%ofhouseholdshaveatleastonecommuter.FigureF 6.CommutersinHouseholdsintheEPZ0%10%20%30%

40%50%01234+%ofHouseholds NumberofCommuters HarrisCommuters HarrisNuclearPlantF 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1CommuterTravelModesFigureF 7presentsthemodeoftravelthatcommutersuseonadailybasis.Thevastmajorityofcommutersusetheirprivateautomobilestotraveltowork.Thedatashowsanaverageof1.07employeespervehicle,assuming2peoplepervehicle-onaverage-forcarpools.FigureF 7.ModesofTravelintheEPZF.3.2 EvacuationResponseSeveralquestionswereaskedtogaugethepopulation'sresponsetoanemergency.Thesearenowdiscussed:"Howmanyofthevehicleswouldyourhouseholduseduringanevacuation?"TheresponseisshowninFigureF 8.Onaverage,evacuatinghouseholdswoulduse1.39vehicles."Wouldyourfamilyawaitthereturnofotherfamilymemberspriortoevacuatingthearea?"Ofthesurveyparticipantswhoresponded,41percentsaidtheywouldawaitthereturnofotherfamilymembersbeforeevacuatingand59percentindicatedthattheywouldnotawaitthereturnofotherfamilymembers."Ifyouhadahouseholdpet,wouldyoutakeyourpetwithyouifyouwereaskedtoevacuatethearea?"Basedontheresponsestothesurvey,76percentofhouseholdshaveafamilypet.Ofthehouseholdswithpets,94percentofthemindicatedthattheywouldtaketheirpetswiththem,asshowninFigur eF 9.0.7%0.4%92.1%6.7%0%20%40%60%80%100%BusWalk/BikeDriveAloneCarpool(2+)%ofCommuters ModeofTravel HarrisTravelModetoWork HarrisNuclearPlantF 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureF 8.NumberofVehiclesUsedforEvacuationFigureF 9.HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets0%20%40%60%80%100%01234%ofHouseholds NumberofVehiclesVehiclesUsedforEvacuation 0%20%40%

60%80%100%YesNo%ofHouseholds HouseholdsEvacuatingwithPets HarrisNuclearPlantF 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"Emergencyofficialsadviseyoutotakeshelterathomeinanemergency.Wouldyou?"Thisquestionisdesignedtoelicitinformationregardingcompliancewithinstructionstoshelterinplace.Theresultsindicatethat84percentofhouseholdswhoareadvisedtoshelterinplacewoulddoso;theremaining16percentwouldchoosetoevacuateth earea.NotethebaselineETEstudyassumes20percentofhouseholdswillnotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory,asperSection2.5.2ofNUREG/CR 7002.Thus,thedataobtainedaboveisslightlylessthanthefederalguidance.AppendixM(TableM 2)includesasensitivitystudytoestimatetheimpactonETEofusingthelesser(16%)shadowevac uation(non complianceofshelteradvisory)basedonthetelephonesurveyresults."Emergencyofficialsadviseyoutotakeshelterathomenowinanemergencyandpossiblyevacuatelaterwhilepeopleinotherareasareadvisedtoevacuatenow.Wouldyou?"Thisquestionisdesignedtoelicitinformationspecificallyrelatedtothepossibilityofastagedevacuation.Thatis,askingapopulationtoshelterinplacenowandthentoevacuateafteraspecifiedperiodoftime.Resultsindicatethat74percentofhouseholdswouldfollowinstructionsanddelaythestartofevacuationuntilsoadvised,whileth ebalanceof26percentwouldchoosetobeginevacuatingimmediately.F.3.3 TimeDistributionResultsThesurveyaskedseveralquestionsabouttheamountoftimeittakestoperformcertainpre evacuationactivities.Theseactivitiesinvolveactionstakenbyresidentsduringthecourseoftheirday to daylives.Th us,theanswersfallwithintherealmoftheresponder'sexperience.ThemobilizationdistributionsprovidedbelowaretheresultofhavingappliedtheanalysisdescribedinSection5.4.1onthecomponentactivitiesofthemobilization.

HarrisNuclearPlantF 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"Howlongdoesittakethecommutertocompletepreparationforleavingwork?"FigureF 10presentsthecumulativedistribution;inallcases,theactivityiscompletedby90minutes.Ninetypercentcanleavewithin40minutes.FigureF10.TimeRequiredtoPreparetoLeaveWork/School"Howlongwouldittakethecommutertotravelhome?"FigureF 11presentstheworktohometraveltimefortheEPZ.Ninety fourpercentofcommuterscanarrivehomewithin45minutesofleavingwork;allwithin90minutes.FigureF11.WorktoHomeTravelTime0%20%40%60%80%100%0153045607590

%ofCommuters PreparationTime(min)TimetoPreparetoLeaveWork 0%20%40%

60%

80%100%0153045607590

%ofCommuters TravelTime(min)WorktoHomeTravel HarrisNuclearPlantF 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1"Howlongwouldittakethefamilytopackclothing,securethehouse,andloadthecar?"FigureF 12presentsthetimerequiredtoprepareforleavingonanevacuationtrip.Inmanywaysthisactivitymimicsafamily'spreparationforashortholidayorweekendawayfromhome.Hence,theresponsesrepresenttheexperienceoftheresponderinperformingsimilaractivities.ThedistributionshowninFigureF 12hasalong"tail."About87percentofhouseholdscanbereadytoleavehomewithin75minutes;theremaininghouseholdsrequireuptoanadditionaltwohours.FigureF12.TimetoPrepareHomeforEvacuationF.4 ConclusionsThetelephonesurveyprovidesvaluable,relevantdataassociatedwiththeEPZpopulation,whichhavebeenusedtoquantifydemographicsspecifictotheEPZ,and"mobilizationtime"whichcaninfluenceevacuationtimeestimates.0%20%40%60%80%100%0153045607590105120135150165180195

%ofHouseholds PreparationTime(min)TimetoPreparetoLeaveHome HarrisNuclearPlantF 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1ATTACHMENTATelephoneSurveyInstrument HarrisNuclearPlantF 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TelephoneSurveyInstrumentHello,mynameis___________andI'mworkingincooperationwithlocalemergencymanagementagenciestoidentifylocalbehaviorduringemergencysituations.Thisinformationwillbeusedforemergencyplanningandwillbesharedwithlocalofficialstoenhanceemergencyresponseplansinyourareaforallhazards;emergencyplanningforsomehazardsmayrequireevacuation.Yourresponseswillgreatlycontributetolocalemergencypreparedness.Iwillnotaskforyournameandthesurveyshalltakenomorethan10minutestocomplete.COL.1Unused COL.2Unused COL.3Unused COL.4Unused COL.5Unused SexCOL.81Male2FemaleINTERVIEWER:ASKTOSPEAKTOTHEHEADOFHOUSEHOLDORTHESPOUSEOFTHEHEADOFHOUSEHOLD.(Terminatecallifnotaresidence.)

DONOTASK:1A.Recordareacode.ToBeDeterminedCOL.9 111B.Recordexchangenumber.ToBeDeterminedCOL.12 142.Whatisyourhomezipcode?COL.15 193A.Intotal,howmanyrunningcars,orotherrunningvehiclesareusuallyavailabletothehousehold?(DONOTREADANSWERS)COL.20 1ONE2TWO3THREE4FOUR5FIVE6SIX7SEVEN8EIGHT9NINEORMORE0ZERO(NONE)XDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDSKIPTOQ.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.4Q.3BQ.3B3B.Inanemergency,couldyougetarideoutoftheareawithaneighbororfriend?COL.211YES2NOXDON'TKNOW/REFUSED4.Howmanypeopleusuallyliveinthishousehold?(DONOTREADANSWERS)COL.22 1ONE2TWO3THREE4FOUR5FIVE6SIX7SEVENCOL.230TEN1ELEVEN2TWELVE3THIRTEEN4FOURTEEN5FIFTEEN6SIXTEEN HarrisNuclearPlantF 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.18EIGH T 9NINE7SEVENTEEN8EIGHTEEN9NINETEENORMOREXDON'TKNOW/REFUSED5.Howmanyadultsinthehouseholdcommutetoajob,ortocollegeonadailybasis?COL.24 0ZERO1ONE2TWO3THREE4FOURORMORE5DON'TKNOW/REFUSEDSKIPTOQ.9Q.6Q.6Q.6Q.6Q.9INTERVIEWER:ForeachpersonidentifiedinQuestion5,askQuestions6,7,and8.6.Thinkingaboutcommuter#1,howdoesthatpersonusuallytraveltoworkorcollege?(REPEATQUESTIONFOREACHCOMMUTER)Commuter#1 COL.25Commuter#2 COL.26Commuter#3COL.27Commuter#4 COL.28Rail1 1 1 1Bus2 2 2 2Walk/Bicycle3 3 3 3DriveAlone4 4 4 4Park&Ride(Car/Rail,Xpressbus)5555Carpool 2ormorepeople6 6 6 6Taxi7 7 7 7Don'tknow/Refused8 8 8 8 7.Howmuchtimeonaverage,wouldittakeCommuter#1totravelhomefromworkorcollege?(REPEATQUESTIONFOREACHCOMMUTER)(DONOTREADANSWERS)COMMUTER#1COMMUTER#2COL.29COL.30COL.31 COL.3215MINUTESORLESS146 50MINUTES15MINUTESORLESS 146 50MINUTES 26 10MINUTES251 55MINUTES26 10MINUTES 251 55MINUTES 311 15MINUTES356-1HOUR 3 11 15MINUTES 356-1HOUR 416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR316 26 30MINUTES 6BETWEEN1HOUR31 HarrisNuclearPlantF 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTESMINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)941 45MINUTES99 41 45MINUTES 900XDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDXDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDCOMMUTER#3COMMUTER#4COL.33COL.34COL.35 COL.3615MINUTESORLESS146 50MINUTES15MINUTESORLESS 146 50MINUTES 26 10MINUTES251 55MINUTES26 10MINUTES 251 55MINUTES 311 15MINUTES356-1HOUR 3 11 15MINUTES 356-1HOUR 416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAN D2HOURS731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)941 45MINUTES99 41 45MINUTES 900XDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDXDON'TKNOW/REFUSED8.ApproximatelyhowmuchtimedoesittakeCommuter#1tocompletepreparationforleavingworkorcollegepriortostartingthetriphome?(REPEATQUESTIONFOREACHCOMMUTER)(DONOTREADANSWERS)COMMUTER#1COMMUTER#2COL.37COL.38COL.39 COL.4015MINUTESORLESS146 50MINUTES15MINUTESORLESS 146 50MINUTES 26 10MINUTES251 55MINUTES26 10MINUTES 251 55MINUTES 311 15MINUTES356-1HOUR 3 11 15MINUTES 356-1HOUR 416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1 HarrisNuclearPlantF 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.130MINUTES HOUR30MINUTES 626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)941 45MINUTES99 41 45MINUTES 900XDON'TKNOW/REFUSED XDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDCOMMUTER#3COMMUTER#4COL.41COL.42COL.43 COL.4415MINUTESORLESS146 50MINUTES15MINUTESORLESS 146 50MINUTES 26 10MINUTES251 55MINUTES26 10MINUTES 251 55MINUTES 311 15MINUTES356-1HOUR 3 11 15MINUTES 356-1HOUR 416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES416 20MINUTES4OVER1HOUR,BUTLESSTHAN1HOUR15MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES521 25MINUTES5BETWEEN1HOUR16MINUTESAND1HOUR30MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES626 30MINUTES6BETWEEN1HOUR31MINUTESAND1HOUR45MINUTES731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAN D2HOURS731 35MINUTES7BETWEEN1HOUR46MINUTESAND2HOURS836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)836 40MINUTES8OVER2HOURS(SPECIFY______)941 45MINUTES99 41 45MINUTES 900XDON'TKNOW/REFUSED XDON'TKNOW/REFUSED9.Ifyouwereadvisedbylocalauthoritiestoevacuate,howmuchtimewouldittakethehouseholdtopackclothing,medications,securethehouse,loadthecar,andcompletepreparationspriortoevacuatingthearea?(DONOTREADANSWERS)COL.45COL.46 1LESSTHAN15MINUTES13HOURSTO3HOURS15MINUTES215 30MINUTES23HOURS16MINUTESTO3HOURS30MINUTES 331 45MINUTES33HOURS31MINUTESTO3HOURS45MINUTES 446MINUTES-1HOUR43HOURS46MINUTESTO4HOURS51HOURTO1HOUR15MINUTES54HOURSTO4HOURS15MINUTES61HOUR16MINUTESTO1HOUR30MINUTES64HOURS16MINUTESTO4HOURS30MINUTES HarrisNuclearPlantF 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.171HOUR31MINUTESTO1HOUR45MINUTES74HOURS31MINUTESTO4HOURS45MINUTES 81HOUR46MINUTESTO2HOURS84HOURS46MINUTESTO5HOURS92HOURSTO2HOURS15MINUTES95HOURSTO5HOURS30MINUTES02HOURS16MINUTESTO2HOURS30MINUTES05HOURS31MINUTESTO6HOURSX2HOURS31MINUTESTO2HOURS45MINUTES XOVER6HOURS(SPECIFY_______)Y2HOURS46MINUTESTO3HOURSCOL.471 DON'TKNOW/REFUSED10.Pleasechooseoneofthefollowing(READANSWERS):Ifyouwereathomeandwereaskedtoevacuate,A.Iwouldawaitthereturnofhouseholdcommuterstoevacuatetogether.B.Iwouldevacuateindependentlyandmeetotherhouseholdmemberslater.COL.50 1A2BXDON'TKNOW/REFUSED 11.Howmanyvehicleswouldyourhouseholduseduringanevacuation?(DONOTREADANSWERS)COL.511ONE2 TWO3 THREE4FOUR5 FIVE6 SIX7SEVEN8 EIGHT9 NINEORMORE0 ZERO(NONE)X DON'TKNOW/REFUSED12.Ifyouhaveahouseholdpet,wouldyoutakeyourpetwithyouifyouwereaskedtoevacuatethearea?(READANSWERS)COL.541 DON'THAVEAPE T2 YES3 NOX DON'TKNOW/REFUSED13A.Emergencyofficialsadviseyoutotakeshelterathomeinanemergency.Wouldyou:(READANSWERS)A.SHELTER;orB.EVACUATECOL.52 1A 2B XDON'TKNOW/REFUSED HarrisNuclearPlantF 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.113B.Emergencyofficialsadviseyoutotakeshelterathomenowinanemergencyandpossiblyevacuatelaterwhilepeopleinareasofgreaterriskareadvisedtoevacuatenow.Wouldyou:(READANSWERS)A.SHELTER;orB.EVACUATECOL.53 1A 2B XDON'TKNOW/REFUSEDThankyouverymuch._______________________________(TELEPHONENUMBERCALLED)IFREQUESTED:Foradditionalinformation,contactyourCountyEmergencyManagementAgencyduringnormalbusinesshours.CountyEMAPhone Wake(919)8566480Chatham(919)5458160Lee(919)7184670Harnett(919)8937580 APPENDIXGTrafficManagementPlan HarrisNuclearPlantG 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1G. TRAFFICMANAGEMENTPLANNUREG/CR 7002indicatesthattheexistingTCPsandSRBsidentifiedbytheoffsiteagenciesshouldbeusedintheevacuationsimulationmodeling.ThetrafficandaccesscontrolplansfortheEPZwereprovidedbyeachcounty.TheseplanswerereviewedandtheTCPsandSRBsweremodeledaccordingly.G.1 TrafficControlPointsAsdiscussedinSection9,trafficcontrolpointsatintersections(whicharecontrolled)aremodeledasactuatedsignals.Ifanintersectionhasapre timedsignal,stop,oryieldcontrol,andtheintersectionisidentifiedasatrafficcontrolpoint,thecontroltypewaschangedtoanactuatedsignalintheDYNE VIIsystem.TableK 2providesthecontroltypeandnodenumberforthosenodeswhicharecontrolled.IftheexistingcontrolwaschangedduetothepointbeingaTrafficControlPoint,thecontroltypeisindicatedasaTCPinTableK 2.In2007,KLDdevelopedadetailedtrafficmanagementplaninsupportofanETEstudyconductedfortheCombinedLicenseApplication(COLA)forHarrisUnits2and3.TCPsandSRBswereidentifiedanddetailedschematicsweredrawnforeachintersection.MostoftheseTCPsandSRBswereincorporatedintothecountytrafficmana gementplans.FigureG 1throughFigureG 4maptheexistingTCPsandSRBsfortheHNPEPZ.AsdiscussedinSection1.4,twomajorroadwayshavebeenconstructedintheHNPEPZsincethe2007ETEstudy-NC 540TollandJuddParkway.Asaresultofthesenewroads,threeTCPshadtobeupdatedtoencourageevacuatingvehiclestousetheseroutes.TheschematicsfortheseTCPsareshowninFigureG 5throughFigureG 7.HarnettCountyhas10TCPsidentifiedintheirtrafficmanagementplan.TheseTCPswerenotidentifiedinthe2007ETEstudyan dschematicswerenotdrawn.AsperDukeEnergyandHarnettCounty'srequest,schematicsweredrawnfortheseTCPS,whicharepresentedinFigureG 8throughFigureG 17.SixnewTCPshavebeenidentifiedfortheinterchangeswiththenewlyconstructedNC 540Toll-seeFigureG 18throughFigureG 23.Section7.3indicatesthattrafficcongestionintheEPZclearsat3hoursand30minutesaftertheATE,30minutespriortothecompletionofmobilizationtime.DuetothelimiteddurationoftrafficcongestionwithintheEPZ,noadditionalTCPsarerecommendedotherthantheaforementionedinterchangesforNC 540Toll.

HarrisNuclearPlantG 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1G.2 SecurityRoadBlocksItisassumedthatSRBswillbeestablishedwithin30minutesoftheadvisorytoevacuatetodiscouragethroughtravelersfromusingmajorthroughrouteswhichtraversetheEPZ.AsdiscussedinSection3.6,externaltrafficwasconsideredonfiverouteswhichtraversethestudyarea-US 64,US 1,US 401,US 421andI 40-inthisanalysis.Thegenerationofthes eexternaltripsceasedat30minutes(basedupondataprovidedbytheemergencymanagementagencies)aftertheadvisorytoevacuateinthesimulation.AsshowninFigureG 1,existingTCPsandSRBsex istoneachoftheseroutesontheperipheryoftheEPZtostoptheflowoftrafficintotheEPZ.OneadditionalSRBisrecommendedasaresultofthisstudy-theinterchangeofNC 55andthenewlyconstructedNC 540Toll.FigureG 24providesaschematicofthisinterchang eandtheproposedaccesscontrolmeasurestostoptheflowoftrafficintotheEPZ.

HarrisNuclearPlantG 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 1.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlocksfortheHNPSite HarrisNuclearPlantG 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 2.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSub ZoneE HarrisNuclearPlantG 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 3.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSubZonesEandF HarrisNuclearPlantG 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureG 4.TrafficControlPointsandSecurityRoadBlockswithinSub ZoneG HarrisNuclearPlantG 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.11.Facilitate westbound traffic on Green Level Rd to access NC-540 Toll northbound2.Interdict and divert southbound traffic on STHY 55UPCHURCHState Highway 55 & High House Rd Q1-02TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN NMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 3Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic BarricadesGreen Level Rd WSTHY 55High House Rd1.Facilitate westbound traffic on Green Level Rd to access NC-540 Toll northbound2.Interdict and divert southbound traffic on STHY 55UPCHURCHState Highway 55 & High House Rd Q1-02TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN NMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 3Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic BarricadesGreen Level Rd WSTHY 55High House Rd FigureG 5.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHighway55&HighHouseRd HarrisNuclearPlantG 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):FUQUAY-VARINAState Highway 55 & Wilbon RdG-04 GTOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on STHY 552.Discourage southbound movement on STHY 55 to avoid rail crossing and bottlenecks in Fuquay-Varina3.Discourage westbound movement on WilbonRd4.Facilitate eastbound movement on N Judd Pkwy to bypass Fuquay-VarinaMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 15Traffic ConesSTHY 55Wilbon RdN Judd Pkwy NEMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):FUQUAY-VARINAState Highway 55 & Wilbon RdG-04 GTOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on STHY 552.Discourage southbound movement on STHY 55 to avoid rail crossing and bottlenecks in Fuquay-Varina3.Discourage westbound movement on WilbonRd4.Facilitate eastbound movement on N Judd Pkwy to bypass Fuquay-VarinaMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 15Traffic ConesSTHY 55Wilbon RdN Judd Pkwy NE FigureG 6.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHighway55&WilbonRd HarrisNuclearPlantG 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 APEXState Highway 55 & U.S. Highway 64 (West) Ramps E-15B ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to westbound USHY 64 westbound to access NC-540 TollMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)STHY 55USHY 64 (W)On-RampUSHY 64 (W)Off-RampAccess to NC-540 TollAPEXState Highway 55 & U.S. Highway 64 (West) Ramps E-15B ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to westbound USHY 64 westbound to access NC-540 TollMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)STHY 55USHY 64 (W)On-RampUSHY 64 (W)Off-RampAccess to NC-540 Toll FigureG 7.RevisedTrafficControlPoint-StateHighway55&USHighway64(West)Ramps HarrisNuclearPlantG 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 RAWLSSR 1415 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -1 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1415MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesPiney-Grove Rawls Rd (SR 1415)HWY 401RAWLSSR 1415 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -1 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1415MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesPiney-Grove Rawls Rd (SR 1415)HWY 401 FigureG 8.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1415&HWY401 HarrisNuclearPlantG 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 CHALYBEATE SPRINGSSR 1427 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -2 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1427MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesChalybeate Rd (SR 1427)HWY 401Light Flow Northbound(See HARNETTTCP-7)CHALYBEATE SPRINGSSR 1427 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -2 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1427MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesChalybeate Rd (SR 1427)HWY 401Light Flow Northbound(See HARNETTTCP-7)FigureG 9.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1427&HWY401 HarrisNuclearPlantG 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 CHALYBEATE SPRINGSSR 1443 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -3 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage eastbound movement on SR 1443MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesHWY 401Light Flow Northbound(See HARNETTTCP-7)CHALYBEATE SPRINGSSR 1443 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -3 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage eastbound movement on SR 1443MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesHWY 401Light Flow Northbound(See HARNETTTCP-7)FigureG10.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1443&HWY401 HarrisNuclearPlantG 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 KIPLINGSR 1403 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -4 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on Kipling RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 9Traffic ConesKipling RdHWY 401Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)HWY 401KIPLINGSR 1403 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -4 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on Kipling RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 9Traffic ConesKipling RdHWY 401Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)HWY 401 FigureG11.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&HWY401 HarrisNuclearPlantG 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERSR 1403 & HWY 210 HARNETT -TCP -5 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage westbound movement on SR 14032.Facilitate eastbound movement on SR 1403 to access the Reception Centers at Harnett Central Middle School and High SchoolMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 3Traffic ConesHWY 210Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)To Reception CentersMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERSR 1403 & HWY 210 HARNETT -TCP -5 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage westbound movement on SR 14032.Facilitate eastbound movement on SR 1403 to access the Reception Centers at Harnett Central Middle School and High SchoolMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s) 3Traffic ConesHWY 210Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)To Reception Centers FigureG12.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&HWY210 HarrisNuclearPlantG 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERSR 1403 & SR 1513 HARNETT -TCP -6TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate westbound movement on SR 1403 to access the Reception Centers at Harnett Central Middle School and High SchoolMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)NeillsCreek Rd (SR 1513)Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)To Reception CentersMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERSR 1403 & SR 1513 HARNETT -TCP -6TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate westbound movement on SR 1403 to access the Reception Centers at Harnett Central Middle School and High SchoolMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)NeillsCreek Rd (SR 1513)Harnett Central Rd(SR 1403)To Reception Centers FigureG13.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1403&SR1513 HarrisNuclearPlantG 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 1.Interdict and divert northbound traffic on HWY 401.LILLINGTONHWY 210 & HWY 401 & HWY 421 HARNETT -TCP -7 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN NMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 3Traffic Guide(s) 2Traffic BarricadesHWY 401HWY 401/421HWY 421HWY 2101.Interdict and divert northbound traffic on HWY 401.LILLINGTONHWY 210 & HWY 401 & HWY 421 HARNETT -TCP -7 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN NMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 3Traffic Guide(s) 2Traffic BarricadesHWY 401HWY 401/421HWY 421HWY 210 FigureG14.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-HWY210&HWY401&HWY421 HarrisNuclearPlantG 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 FUQUAY-VARINASR 1412 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -8 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1412MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesChristian Light Rd(SR 1412)HWY 401FUQUAY-VARINASR 1412 & HWY 401 HARNETT -TCP -8 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage northbound movement on Hwy 4012.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1412MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 6Traffic ConesChristian Light Rd(SR 1412)HWY 401 FigureG15.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1412&HWY401 HarrisNuclearPlantG 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 FUQUAY-VARINASR 1431 & SR 1412 HARNETT -TCP -9 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1412MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 3Traffic ConesBradley Rd (SR 1431)Christian Light Rd(SR 1412)FUQUAY-VARINASR 1431 & SR 1412 HARNETT -TCP -9 TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:KeyMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage westbound movement on SR 1412MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s) 3Traffic ConesBradley Rd (SR 1431)Christian Light Rd(SR 1412)FigureG16.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-SR1431&SR1412 HarrisNuclearPlantG 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERHarnett Central Rd at 2529 Harnett Central Rd HARNETT -TCP -10TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to Reception Centers at 2529 Harnett Central RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)2529 Harnett Central RdHarnett Central Rd(SR 1403)RECEPTION CENTERHarnett Central Middle SchoolMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):ANGIERHarnett Central Rd at 2529 Harnett Central Rd HARNETT -TCP -10TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to Reception Centers at 2529 Harnett Central RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 1Traffic Guide(s)2529 Harnett Central RdHarnett Central Rd(SR 1403)RECEPTION CENTERHarnett Central Middle School FigureG17.ExistingTrafficControlPoint-HarnettCounty-2529HarnettCentralRd HarrisNuclearPlantG 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):CARYNC-540 TOLL & GREEN LEVEL WEST RD NEW -2TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 TOLL northbound2.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 TOLL southbound3.Discourage westbound movement along Green Level West RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4Traffic Guide(s)10Traffic Barricades 12Traffic ConesNC-540 TOLLMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDE STOP SIGN TRAFFIC BARRICADE 2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):CARYNC-540 TOLL & GREEN LEVEL WEST RD NEW -2TOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 TOLL northbound2.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 TOLL southbound3.Discourage westbound movement along Green Level West RdMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4Traffic Guide(s)10Traffic Barricades 12Traffic ConesNC-540 TOLL FigureG18.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC540TOLL&GreenLevelWestRd HarrisNuclearPlantG 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 64 & KELLY RDNEW -3 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 64 westbound2.Discourage southbound movement along Kelly Rd3.Facilitate access to US Hwy 64 eastbound to access NC-540 TollMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s)6Traffic ConesUS HWY 64KELLY RDMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 64 & KELLY RDNEW -3 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 2ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 64 westbound2.Discourage southbound movement along Kelly Rd3.Facilitate access to US Hwy 64 eastbound to access NC-540 TollMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 2Traffic Guide(s)6Traffic ConesUS HWY 64KELLY RD FigureG19.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-USHWY64&KellyRd HarrisNuclearPlantG 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 1 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -4 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 1 southbound2.Discourage access to NC-540 Toll southbound3.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4 Traffic Guide(s)8 Traffic BarricadesNC-540 TOLLMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 1 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -4 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 1 southbound2.Discourage access to NC-540 Toll southbound3.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4 Traffic Guide(s)8 Traffic BarricadesNC-540 TOLL FigureG20.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC55&NC540TOLL HarrisNuclearPlantG 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXNC-540 TOLL & OLD US HWY 1NEW -5 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 TOLL northbound2.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 TOLL southbound3.Discourage westbound movement along Old US Hwy 1MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4Traffic Guide(s)10Traffic Barricades 6 Traffic ConesNC-540 TOLLMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXNC-540 TOLL & OLD US HWY 1NEW -5 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 TOLL northbound2.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 TOLL southbound3.Discourage westbound movement along Old US Hwy 1MANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4Traffic Guide(s)10Traffic Barricades 6 Traffic ConesNC-540 TOLL FigureG21.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC540TOLL&OldUSHWY1 HarrisNuclearPlantG 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 64 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -6 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 64 westbound2.Discourage access to NC-540 Toll southbound3.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4 Traffic Guide(s)8 Traffic BarricadesNC-540 TOLLMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):

APEXUS HWY 64 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -6 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft TCP**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Discourage access to US Hwy 64 westbound2.Discourage access to NC-540 Toll southbound3.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 4 Traffic Guide(s)8 Traffic BarricadesNC-540 TOLL FigureG22.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-USHWY64&NC540TOLL HarrisNuclearPlantG 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1 MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):HOLLY SPRINGSNC-55 BYPASS & NC-540 TOLLNEW -7 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY No manpower or equipment neededNC-540 TOLLNC-55 BYPASSRoad Under Construction TCPMOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTED TRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS)4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)

TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):HOLLY SPRINGSNC-55 BYPASS & NC-540 TOLLNEW -7 ETOWN:LOCATION:TCP ID:SUB-ZONE:Key8 ft 2 ft3 ft**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 3ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY No manpower or equipment neededNC-540 TOLLNC-55 BYPASSRoad Under Construction TCP FigureG23.ProposedTrafficControlPoint-NC55BYPASS&NC540TOLL HarrisNuclearPlantG 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):CARYNC-55 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -1 TOWN:LOCATION:SRB ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft SRB**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 Toll southbound2.Interdict and divert access to and movement along southbound NC-553.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 5 Traffic Guide(s)16 Traffic BarricadesNC-55MOVEMENT FACILITATEDMOVEMENT DISCOURAGED/DIVERTEDTRAFFIC GUIDESTOP SIGNTRAFFIC BARRICADE2 PER LANE (LOCAL ROADS AND RAMPS) 4 PER LANE (FREEWAY AND RAMPS)TRAFFIC SIGNALTRAFFIC CONES SPACED TODISCOURAGE TRAFFIC BUT ALLOW PASSAGE (3 PER LANE):CARYNC-55 & NC-540 TOLLNEW -1 TOWN:LOCATION:SRB ID:Key8 ft2 ft3 ft SRB**Traffic Guide should position himself safely 1ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN N1.Interdict and divert access to NC-540 Toll southbound2.Interdict and divert access to and movement along southbound NC-553.Facilitate access to NC-540 Toll northboundMANPOWER/EQUIPMENT ESTIMATELOCATION PRIORITY 5 Traffic Guide(s)16 Traffic BarricadesNC-55 FigureG24.ProposedSecurityRoadBlock-NC55&NC540TOLL APPENDIXHEvacuationRegions HarrisNuclearPlantH 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1H EVACUATIONREGIONSThisappendixpresentstheevacuationpercentagesforeachEvacuationRegion(TableH 1)andmapsofallEvacuationRegions.ThepercentagespresentedinTableH 1arebasedonthemethodologydiscussedinassumption5ofSection2.2andshowninFigure2 1.NotethebaselineETEstudyassumes20percentofhousehol dswillnotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory,asperSection2.5.2ofNUREG/CR 7002.

HarrisNuclearPlantH 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableH 1.PercentofSubZonePopulationEvacuatingforEachRegionBasicRegionsRegionDescriptionSitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR012 MileRadius2 MileRadius100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R025 MileRadius5 MileRadius100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R03FullEPZ10 MileRadius100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%Evacuate2 MileRadiusandDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR04NNW,N327°010°100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%R05NNE,NE011°056°100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%R06ENE,E,ESE057°124°100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R07SE,SSE,S125°191°100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R08SSW192°214°100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R09SW,WSW215°259°100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R10260°281°100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R11W,WNW282°304°100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R12NW305°326°100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%Evacuate5 MileRadiusandDownwindtotheEPZBoundaryRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR13N348°034°100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%100%20%20%R14NNE100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%R15NE100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%20%R16ENE035°079°100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%100%20%R17E,ESE080°101°100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%20%R18102°124°100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%20%R19SE125°146°100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%R20SSE147°191°100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%100%100%R21S,SSW100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%100%R22192°236°100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R23SW237°259°100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R24WSW,W100%100%100%100%100%100%100%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R25WNW260°326°100%100%100%100%20%100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%20%R26NW,NNW327°347°100%100%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%20%100%100%20%20%

HarrisNuclearPlantH 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1StagedEvacuation2 MileRadiusEvacuates,thenEvacuateDownwindto5MilesRegionWindDirectionFrom:SitePARDescriptionSubZoneABCDEFGHIJKLMNR275 MileRadius100%100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R28NNW,N327°010°100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%R29NNE,NE011°056°100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%20%R30ENE,E,ESE057°124°100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%100%20%20%R31SE,SSE,S125°191°100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%100%20%20%R32SSW192°214°100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R33SW,WSW215°259°100%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R34260°281°100%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R35W,WNW282°304°100%20%100%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%R36NW305°326°100%20%20%100%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%20%Shelter in Placeuntil90%ETEforR01,thenEvacuate 1Sub Zone(s)Shelter in PlaceSub Zone(s)Evacuate

120%ofpopulationintheseSubZoneswillnotcomplywiththeshelteradvisory,asperSection2.5.2ofNUREG/CR7002.Once90%ofthe2mileRegionhasevacuated,theremainingpopulationintheseSub Zoneswillevacuate.

HarrisNuclearPlantH 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 1.RegionR01 HarrisNuclearPlantH 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 2.RegionR02 HarrisNuclearPlantH 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 3.RegionR03 HarrisNuclearPlantH 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 4.RegionR04 HarrisNuclearPlantH 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 5.RegionR05 HarrisNuclearPlantH 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 6.RegionR06 HarrisNuclearPlantH 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 7.RegionR07 HarrisNuclearPlantH 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 8.RegionR08 HarrisNuclearPlantH 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH 9.RegionR09 HarrisNuclearPlantH 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH10.RegionR10 HarrisNuclearPlantH 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH11.RegionR11 HarrisNuclearPlantH 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH12.RegionR12 HarrisNuclearPlantH 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH13.RegionR13 HarrisNuclearPlantH 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH14.RegionR14 HarrisNuclearPlantH 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH15.RegionR15 HarrisNuclearPlantH 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH16.RegionR16 HarrisNuclearPlantH 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH17.RegionR17 HarrisNuclearPlantH 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH18.RegionR18 HarrisNuclearPlantH 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH19.RegionR19 HarrisNuclearPlantH 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH20.RegionR20 HarrisNuclearPlantH 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH21.RegionR21 HarrisNuclearPlantH 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH22.RegionR22 HarrisNuclearPlantH 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH23.RegionR23 HarrisNuclearPlantH 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH24.RegionR24 HarrisNuclearPlantH 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH25.RegionR25 HarrisNuclearPlantH 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH26.RegionR26 HarrisNuclearPlantH 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH27.RegionR27 HarrisNuclearPlantH 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH28.RegionR28 HarrisNuclearPlantH 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH29.RegionR29 HarrisNuclearPlantH 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH30.RegionR30 HarrisNuclearPlantH 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH31.RegionR31 HarrisNuclearPlantH 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH32.RegionR32 HarrisNuclearPlantH 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH33.RegionR33 HarrisNuclearPlantH 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH34.RegionR34 HarrisNuclearPlantH 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH35.RegionR35 HarrisNuclearPlantH 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureH36.RegionR36 APPENDIXJRepresentativeInputstoandOutputsfromtheDYNEVIISystem HarrisNuclearPlantJ 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1J. REPRESENTATIVEINPUTSTOANDOUTPUTSFROMTHEDYNEVIISYSTEMThisappendixpresentsdatainputtoandoutputfromtheDYNEVIISystem.TableJ 1providesthevolumeandqueuesforthetenhighestvolumesignalizedintersectionsinthestudyarea.RefertoTableK 2andthefiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachintersection.TableJ 2providessource(vehicleloading)anddestinationinformationforseveralroadwaysegments(links)intheanalysisnetwork.RefertoTableK 1andthefiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachlink.TableJ 3providesnetwork-widestatistics(averagetraveltime,averagespeedandnumberofvehicles)foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)foreachscenario.Asexpected,Scenarios8and11,whichareicescenarios,exhibitsloweraveragespeedsandlongeraveragetraveltimesthangoodweatherandrainscenario s.TableJ 4providesstatistics(averagespeedandtraveltime)forthemajorevacuationroutes-NC 540Toll,US 64,US 1,NC 42,NC 55andUS 401-foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)underScenario1conditions.AsdiscussedinSection7.3andshowninFigures7 3through7 8,US 401iscongestedformostofth eevacuation.Assuch,theaveragespeedsarecomparablyslower(andtraveltimeslonger)thanothermajorevacuationroutes.TableJ 5providesthenumberofvehiclesdischargedandthecumulativepercentoftotalvehiclesdischargedforeachlinkexitingtheanalysisnetwork,foranevacuationoftheentireEPZ(RegionR03)underScenario1conditions.RefertoTableK 1andthefiguresinAppendixKforamapshowingthegeographiclocationofeachlink.FigureJ 1throughFigureJ 14plotthetripgenerationtimeversustheETEforeachofthe14Scenariosconsidered.ThedistancebetweenthetripgenerationandETEcurvesisthetraveltime.PlotsoftripgenerationversusETEarein dicativeoftheleveloftrafficcongestionduringevacuation.Forlowpopulationdensitysites,thecu rvesareclosetogether,indicatingshorttraveltimesandminimaltrafficcongestion.Forhigherpopulationdensitysites,thecurvesarefartherapartindicatinglongertraveltimesandthepresenceoftrafficcongestion.AsseeninFigureJ 1throughFigureJ 14,thecurvesarespatiallyseparatedasaresultofthetrafficcongestionintheEPZ,whichwasdiscussedindetailinSectio n7.3.

HarrisNuclearPlantJ 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 1.CharacteristicsoftheTenHighestVolumeSignalizedIntersectionsNodeLocationIntersection ControlApproach (UpNode)TotalVolume(Veh)Max.TurnQueue(Veh)193US 401andTenTenRdActuated5423,548131927,721172233280TOTAL11,597201US 401andNC 55Actuated14588,47703881,20509856330TOTAL10,3151458US 401andLakeshoreCommonsAveTCPActuated428,408020187901459680TOTAL9,355119US 64andOldRaleighRd/LakePineDrTCPActuated1203,9701011161,350013343,67815410173440TOTAL9,34242US 401andSunsetLakeRd/PurfoyRdTCPActuated15765,0191261458884012612,812141104557310TOTAL9,288120US 64andLauraDuncanRdTCPActuated1191,3301195873,6229614503,32024110221640TOTAL8,43661US 401andDonnyBrookRdActuated192429010426,0668215061,60443TOTAL8,099360DavisDrandMorrisvilleCarpenterRdActuated13861,4481913836,47946138700TOTAL7,927 HarrisNuclearPlantJ 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeLocationIntersection ControlApproach (UpNode)TotalVolume(Veh)Max.TurnQueue(Veh)68NC 55andUS 1NorthboundRampsTCPActuated4456,262071007581,3540TOTAL7,616202US 401andJuddPkwyTCPActuated15742,7003941576887015751,34013112632,09274TOTAL7,019 HarrisNuclearPlantJ 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 2.SampleSimulationModelInputLinkNumberVehiclesEnteringNetworkonthisLinkDirectionalPreferenceDestination NodesDestinationCapacity68644E83756,75083596,75082906,75028038W85906,75081033,80081271,700112386NE81941,70080413,80083596,750133515SW85906,75081373,80087881,700455296NE82906,75086673,80063686NE80206,75084303,40085893,810150528NE83596,75080206,75083756,750169534S81603,80089781,70087881,700902146NE83756,75083596,75082906,750183469N82981,700 HarrisNuclearPlantJ 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 3.SelectedModelOutputsfortheEvacuationoftheEntireEPZ(RegionR03)Scenario1234567891011121314Network WideAverageTravelTime(Min/VehMi)2.43.22.63.12.52.43.03.52.53.33.62.52.62.9Network WideAverageSpeed(mph)24.719.122.919.423.824.620.017.123.718.216.724.223.421.0TotalVehiclesExitingNetwork88,57989,55286,07286,71878,07187,62688,13088,81383,20084,17284,44876,73180,20688,740 HarrisNuclearPlantJ 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 4.AverageSpeed(mph)andTravelTime(min)forMajorEvacuationRoutes(RegionR03,Scenario1)ElapsedTime(hours)1234Route#Length(miles)Speed(mph)Travel Time (min)Speed TravelTimeSpeed Travel TimeSpeed Travel TimeNC 540TollNB8.770.07.470.07.469.57.569.37.5US 64Eastbound9.424.423.031.817.753.110.654.010.4US 64Westbound8.056.68.557.78.357.28.454.78.8US 1Northbound9.462.99.069.98.170.08.170.08.1US 1Southbound11.270.09.670.09.670.09.670.09.6NC 42Westbound7.052.28.052.28.053.17.952.28.0NC 55Northbound9.224.622.443.012.842.113.143.412.7US 401Northbound8.821.025.312.243.617.031.243.412.2US 401Southbound8.19.053.85.391.310.446.644.411.0 HarrisNuclearPlantJ 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableJ 5.SimulationModelOutputsatNetworkExitLinksforRegionR03,Scenario1EPZExitLinkElapsedTime(hours)1234CumulativeVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTimeCumulativePercentofVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTime262,8974,2365,0135,22813%7%6%6%1976051,5001,7471,8183%3%2%2%209701972622810%0%0%0%2461,3792,5913,0733,1486%4%4%4%3143949511,2051,2712%2%2%1%3709912,0733,1764,3764%4%4%5%3731,4194,0526,4827,8446%7%8%9%4341153103834111%1%0%0%5613,6696,2937,5187,82316%11%9%9%5713,64110,19515,06516,50216%17%19%19%10152254966356811%1%1%1%10527473,1564,2014,4973%5%5%5%1080383995696030%1%1%1%11315421,8022,9353,3552%3%4%4%11724346837557752%1%1%1%1207642202672810%0%0%0%12851813824404551%1%1%1%14342769511,2971,5131%2%2%2%

HarrisNuclearPlantJ 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1EPZExitLinkElapsedTime(hours)1234CumulativeVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTimeCumulativePercentofVehiclesDischargedbytheIndicatedTime14382098831,2431,4071%2%2%2%14686911,6562,3152,7583%3%3%3%1574911701921980%0%0%0%16144431,6692,3142,4712%3%3%3%16302466668729361%1%1%1%17704691,2301,5201,6332%2%2%2%18271,3684,1655,6815,9996%7%7%7%18335771,7382,5662,8503%3%3%3%19105262,8063,9614,1532%5%5%5%19142501,3611,8991,9921%2%2%2%19641051,1011,6341,7900%2%2%2%2244986128799590%1%1%1%

HarrisNuclearPlantJ 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 1.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario1)FigureJ 2.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario2)0%20%40%60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good (Scenario1)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Rain (Scenario2)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 3.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario3)FigureJ 4.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario4)0%20%40%60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Midday,Good (Scenario3)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Midday,Rain (Scenario4)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 5.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario5)FigureJ 6.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario6)0%20%40%60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good (Scenario5)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Midday,Good (Scenario6)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 7.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Rain(Scenario7)FigureJ 8.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Midday,Ice(Scenario8)0%20%40%

60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Midday,Rain (Scenario7)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Midday,Ice (Scenario8)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ 9.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,GoodWeather(Scenario9)FigureJ10.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Rain(Scenario10)0%20%40%

60%80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Weekend,Midday,Good (Scenario9)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%

60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Weekend,Midday,Rain (Scenario10)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ11.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Weekend,Midday,Ice(Scenario11)FigureJ12.ETEandTripGeneration:Winter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather(Scenario12)0%20%40%

60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Weekend,Midday,Ice (Scenario11)TripGenerationETE 0%20%

40%

60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationWinter,Midweek,Weekend,Evening,Good (Scenario12)TripGenerationETE HarrisNuclearPlantJ 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureJ13.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Weekend,Evening,GoodWeather,SpecialEvent(Scenario13)FigureJ14.ETEandTripGeneration:Summer,Midweek,Midday,GoodWeather,RoadwayImpact(Scenario14)0%20%40%60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Weekend,Evening,Good,SpecialEvent (Scenario13)TripGenerationETE 0%20%40%

60%

80%100%0306090120150180210240270300 PercentofTotalVehiclesElapsedTime(min)ETEandTripGenerationSummer,Midweek,Midday,Good,RoadwayImpact (Scenario14)TripGenerationETE APPENDIXKEvacuationRoadwayNetwork HarrisNuclearPlantK 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1K. EVACUATIONROADWAYNETWORKAsdiscussedinSection1.3,alink nodeanalysisnetworkwasconstructedtomodeltheroadwaynetworkwithinthestudyarea.FigureK 1providesanoverviewofthelink nodeanalysisnetwork.Thefigurehasbeendividedupinto43moredetailedfigures(FigureK 2throughFigureK 44)whichshoweachofthelinksandnodesinthenetwork.TheanalysisnetworkwascalibratedusingtheobservationsmadeduringthefieldsurveyconductedinMarch2012.TableK 1liststhecharacteristicsofeachroadwaysectionmodeledintheETEanalysis.Eachlinkisidentifiedbyit sroadnameandtheupstreamanddownstreamnodenumbers.ThegeographiclocationofeachlinkcanbeobservedbyreferencingthegridmapnumberprovidedinTableK 1.TheroadwaytypeidentifiedinTableK 1isgenerallybasedonthefollowingcriteria: Freeway:limitedaccesshighway,2ormorelanesineachdirection,highfreeflowspeeds Freewayramp:rampontooroffofalimitedaccesshighway Majorarterial:3ormorelanesineachdirection Minorarterial:2ormorelanesineachdirection Collector:singlelaneineachdirection Localroadways:singlela neineachdirection,localroadswithlowfreeflowspeedsTheterm,"No.ofLanes"inTableK 1identifiesthenumberoflanesthatextendthroughoutthelengthofthelink.Manylinkshaveadditionallanesontheimmediateapproachtoanintersection(turnpockets);thesehav ebeenrecordedandenteredintotheinputstreamfortheDYNEVIISystem.AsdiscussedinSection1.3,lanewidthandshoulderwidthwerenotphysicallymeasuredduringtheroadsurvey.Rather,estimatesofthesemeasureswerebasedonvisualobservationsandrecordedimages.TableK 2identifieseac hnodeinthenetworkthatiscontrolledandthetypeofcontrol(stopsign,yieldsign,pre timedsignal,actuatedsignal,trafficcontrolpoint)atthatnode.UncontrollednodesarenotincludedinTableK 2.Thelocationofeachnodecanbeobservedbyreferencingthegridmapnumberprovided.

HarrisNuclearPlantK 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 1.HarrisLink NodeAnalysisNetwork HarrisNuclearPlantK 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 2.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid1 HarrisNuclearPlantK 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 3.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid2 HarrisNuclearPlantK 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 4.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid3 HarrisNuclearPlantK 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 5.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid4 HarrisNuclearPlantK 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 6.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid5 HarrisNuclearPlantK 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 7.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid6 HarrisNuclearPlantK 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 8.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid7 HarrisNuclearPlantK 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK 9.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid8 HarrisNuclearPlantK 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK10.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid9 HarrisNuclearPlantK 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK11.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid10 HarrisNuclearPlantK 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK12.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid11 HarrisNuclearPlantK 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK13.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid12 HarrisNuclearPlantK 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK14.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid13 HarrisNuclearPlantK 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK15.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid14 HarrisNuclearPlantK 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK16.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid15 HarrisNuclearPlantK 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK17.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid16 HarrisNuclearPlantK 19KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK18.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid17 HarrisNuclearPlantK 20KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK19.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid18 HarrisNuclearPlantK 21KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK20.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid19 HarrisNuclearPlantK 22KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK21.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid20 HarrisNuclearPlantK 23KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK22.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid21 HarrisNuclearPlantK 24KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK23.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid22 HarrisNuclearPlantK 25KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK24.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid23 HarrisNuclearPlantK 26KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK25.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid24 HarrisNuclearPlantK 27KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK26.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid25 HarrisNuclearPlantK 28KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK27.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid26 HarrisNuclearPlantK 29KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK28.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid27 HarrisNuclearPlantK 30KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK29.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid28 HarrisNuclearPlantK 31KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK30.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid29 HarrisNuclearPlantK 32KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK31.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid30 HarrisNuclearPlantK 33KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK32.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid31 HarrisNuclearPlantK 34KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK33.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid32 HarrisNuclearPlantK 35KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK34.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid33 HarrisNuclearPlantK 36KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK35.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid34 HarrisNuclearPlantK 37KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK36.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid35 HarrisNuclearPlantK 38KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK37.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid36 HarrisNuclearPlantK 39KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK38.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid37 HarrisNuclearPlantK 40KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK39.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid38 HarrisNuclearPlantK 41KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK40.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid39 HarrisNuclearPlantK 42KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK41.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid40 HarrisNuclearPlantK 43KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK42.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid41 HarrisNuclearPlantK 44KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK43.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid42 HarrisNuclearPlantK 45KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1FigureK44.Link NodeAnalysisNetwork-Grid43 HarrisNuclearPlantK 46KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableK 1.EvacuationRoadwayNetworkCharacteristicsLink#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 116US 1FREEWAY11,855 213102,250702821592US 1FREEWAY9,416213102,2507027323CARYTOWNEBLVDCOLLECTOR1,20411301,7004512429I 40EONRAMPFROMCARYTOWNEBLVDFREEWAYRAMP97111441,7004512535I 40WONRAMPFROMCARYTOWNEBLVDFREEWAYRAMP1,12011441,7005012641US 1SONRAMPFROMPEARIDGERDFREEWAYRAMP89411541,7004527757I 40FREEWAY1,15631382,25070128517I 40FREEWAY3,02331382,2507012961US 1FREEWAY11,855 213102,250702810610US 1FREEWAY2,820213102,25070281175I 40FREEWAY1,15631382,250701212711I 40FREEWAY99931382,2507012138626US 1SONRAMPFROMOLDUS 1FREEWAYRAMP85811431,7004528148800OLDUS 1COLLECTOR7,82611101,700602815911I 40EONRAMPFROMCARYTOWNEBLVDFREEWAYRAMP40111441,700451216106US 1FREEWAY2,820213102,25070281710575US 1FREEWAY2,609213102,250702818117I 40FREEWAY99931382,25070121911349I 40FREEWAY2,05031382,2507012 HarrisNuclearPlantK 47KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 201213NC 54MINORARTERIAL1,62521311,9005512211319NC 54MINORARTERIAL2,23421311,7505512221417I 40EONRAMPFROMNC 54FREEWAYRAMP62711571,700501223141367NC 54MINORARTERIAL63331211,900401224151366I 40WONRAMPFROMNC 54FREEWAYRAMP79311501,3503012251614I 40OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,38611431,7504512261620I 40FREEWAY1,51031382,250701227161366I 40FREEWAY1,19431382,250701228175I 40FREEWAY3,03131382,250701229171366I 40FREEWAY74721382,250701230181105NC 54COLLECTOR2,48911211,700551231191365NC 54MINORARTERIAL1,32321311,9005512322016I 40FREEWAY1,51031382,2507012332133NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL4,02421331,7506029342135NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,22721331,7506029352278US 1FREEWAY4,670213102,25070273622592US 1FREEWAY1,732213102,2507027372322US 1SONRAMPFROMMONCUREPITTSBORORDFREEWAYRAMP75211241,7005027382426NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,49321331,9006029392430NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,37421331,9006029402526NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL1,91621331,90060224125444OLDSMITHFIELDRDCOLLECTOR2,23611101,7504022 HarrisNuclearPlantK 48KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 42251566NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL95421331,9006022432624NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,49321331,9006029442625NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL1,91621331,9006022452728NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,18521301,75050224627762NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,63321301,9005022472827NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,18521301,900502248281564NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL1,77621331,9006022492928NC 55COLLECTOR1,22811211,7504022503024NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,39021331,9006029513031NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,74321331,9006029523130NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,74321331,9006029533132NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL1,10421331,7506029543231NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL1,10421331,9006029553233NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,31021331,75060295632775WHOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,69311001,7004529573321NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL4,03521331,7506029583332NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,31021331,75060295934417US 1OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,68721441,75050206034597US 1FREEWAY6,669413102,250702061341401US 1FREEWAY1,544313102,2507020623521NC 55BYPASSMINORARTERIAL2,22721331,75060296335435NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,08621301,90060306435438NC 55COLLECTOR98811211,70040306536615DICKENSRDCOLLECTOR4,04511001,750403066361032JAMESSLAUGHTERRDCOLLECTOR3,98011201,7504030 HarrisNuclearPlantK 49KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 67371401US 1NONRAMPFROMSECARYPKWYFREEWAYRAMP65211201,350302068371402SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL16521301,75050206938615WADENASHRDCOLLECTOR2,56711001,75040307039957EACADEMYSTCOLLECTOR1,14111201,750303671391209EACADEMYSTCOLLECTOR1,03711201,35030367240355US 1FREEWAY1,761513102,250652073401111US 1FREEWAY723413102,25065207441196US 401MINORARTERIAL2,93721331,90055317541225US 401MINORARTERIAL2,56221331,900553076421045PURFOYRDCOLLECTOR1,37911331,750403677421458US 401MINORARTERIAL2,39621201,750503078421576US 401MINORARTERIAL71821201,750453079431261SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR4,31411101,7505030804443SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR1,60911101,70050308145598US 1FREEWAY4,091413102,250701982451401US 1FREEWAY848313102,250702083451402US 1OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,18011401,7505020844644SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,17211101,7005030854748SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR2,62511101,7004030864756HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR4,72711201,700453087471462SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR50911101,7004030884847SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR2,62511101,7504030894849SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,53011101,7004030904948SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,53011101,7004030 HarrisNuclearPlantK 50KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 914950SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,29211101,7004030925049SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,29211101,700403093501463SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR4,25711101,7504030945152SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR84921101,750403095511463SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR1,42311101,7504030965251SUNSETLAKERDMINORARTERIAL84921101,90040309752790HOLLYSPRINGSRDMINORARTERIAL73321201,90045309853791SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR4,06111101,7004530995453SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR1,68911101,70045231005554SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR2,30011101,7004523101561579HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR1,27511201,70045301025758HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR3,07111201,70045301035859HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR3,16511201,700453010459736HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR2,31411201,750403010560447TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR75511201,750501910660692US 1NONRAMPFROMTEN TENRDFREEWAYRAMP79011521,700501910761192US 401MINORARTERIAL3,33321331,9005031108611042US 401MINORARTERIAL1,20421331,75055311096263OLDJENKSRDCOLLECTOR6,07011001,700451811062301OLDJENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,37911001,75045181116362OLDJENKSRDCOLLECTOR6,07011001,700451811263396OLDJENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,31411001,750451811364396JENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,95411001,75040181146564JENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,81711001,7004018 HarrisNuclearPlantK 51KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1156665JENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,42811001,7004017116661537GREENLEVELCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR94511201,70040171176769SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,56621301,900401111868445NC 55MINORARTERIAL54221301,750502211968690US 1NONRAMPFROMNC 55FREEWAYRAMP79421241,700502212068758NC 55MINORARTERIAL69621301,750502212169389SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL87121301,900401112270742NEWELAMCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,4741901,75040281237168US 1OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,13421241,750452212471690US 1FREEWAY1,828213102,2507022125711552US 1FREEWAY8,133213102,25070221267273US 1FREEWAY9,943213102,2507029127721557US 1FREEWAY8,979213102,25070211287372US 1FREEWAY9,943213102,2507029129731137US 1OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP66011431,7504529130731138US 1FREEWAY1,039213102,250702913174261MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR1,31211201,7006027132741325MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR3,54311201,70060271337573US 1NONRAMPFROMNEWHILLHOLLEMANRDFREEWAYRAMP71911431,7005029 HarrisNuclearPlantK 52KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 13475452NEWHILLHOLLEMANRDCOLLECTOR5,08311111,7505029135751137NEWHILLHOLLEMANRDCOLLECTOR65711111,750502913676579US 1FREEWAY6,880213102,2507028137761138US 1FREEWAY8,607213102,25070281387774GUMSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR4,56411001,70050271397822US 1FREEWAY4,670213102,250702714078630US 1FREEWAY2,897213102,25070271417978US 1SONRAMPFROMOLDUS 1FREEWAYRAMP47211541,700502714279507DEEPRIVERRDCOLLECTOR2,19311101,70050271438081SMAINSTCOLLECTOR1,42711341,57535401448088NMAINSTCOLLECTOR1,22411341,57535401458182SMAINSTCOLLECTOR2,85711201,70045401468286SMAINSTCOLLECTOR1,53511201,70045411478384US 1FREEWAY2,099213102,250703314883630US 1FREEWAY7,691213102,25070271498483US 1FREEWAY2,099213102,25070331508487US 1FREEWAY9,152213102,25070331518584US 1SONRAMPFROMFARRELLRDFREEWAYRAMP1,21711321,700503315286997SEMINOLERDCOLLECTOR2,91011201,70045411538784US 1FREEWAY9,152213102,25070331548789US 1FREEWAY4,128213102,2507033 HarrisNuclearPlantK 53KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1558891NMAINSTCOLLECTOR1,33311201,70045401568987US 1FREEWAY4,128213102,25070331578992US 1FREEWAY6,291213102,25070321589089US 1SONRAMPFROMCOLONRDFREEWAYRAMP1,09911531,700503215990941COLONRDCOLLECTOR1,88811201,70060331609194NMAINSTCOLLECTOR3,82711201,70045401619289US 1FREEWAY6,299213102,25070321629293US 1FREEWAY5,183213102,25070321639392US 1FREEWAY5,183213102,250703216493100US 1FREEWAY4,740213102,25070321659495BROADWAYRDCOLLECTOR3,00211201,700454016695852BROADWAYRDCOLLECTOR4,59511201,75045401679680EHARRINGTONAVECOLLECTOR4,51811201,700404016897872CHRISTIANCHAPELCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR8,59611101,70040341699899POSTOFFICERDCOLLECTOR7,89211001,7004033170991520BRICKYARDRDCOLLECTOR37311001,350303217110093US 1FREEWAY4,737213102,25070321721001222US 1FREEWAY2,354313102,2507032173101102US 64FREEWAY1,62821432,2507015174101108US 64FREEWAY5,18221432,2507015175102101US 64FREEWAY1,62821432,2507015176102104US 64FREEWAY2,79121432,2507015177103106US 64BUSCOLLECTOR2,08011441,7004015 HarrisNuclearPlantK 54KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 178104102US 64FREEWAY2,78021432,2507015179104103US 64OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,51011441,7004015180104654US 64MINORARTERIAL4,30521421,9006015181105112US 1FREEWAY7,100313102,25070381821051123US 1FREEWAY412313102,2507032183106141US 64BUSCOLLECTOR4,25511201,7505015184107105US 1SONRAMPFROMUS 421BYPASSFREEWAYRAMP48011521,3503032185108101US 64FREEWAY5,18221432,2507015186108111US 64FREEWAY6,28921432,2507014187109110US 421MINORARTERIAL1,09621321,7504038188109589US 421MINORARTERIAL3,28721321,9004038189109629US 1SONRAMPFROMUS 421FREEWAYRAMP50711211,7004038190110109US 421MINORARTERIAL1,09621321,7504038191110557US 421MINORARTERIAL1,17121301,9004038192111108US 64FREEWAY6,27821432,2507014193111113US 64OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,51411431,7004514194111114US 64FREEWAY2,47021432,2507014195112105US 1FREEWAY7,101313102,2507038196112110US 1OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP83911211,7504538197112590US 1FREEWAY1,58531322,2507038198113114US 64WON RAMPFROMUS 15SFREEWAYRAMP1,18411431,70045141991131528US 15MINORARTERIAL21521221,7506014 HarrisNuclearPlantK 55KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 200114111US 64FREEWAY2,47021432,2507014201114115US 64FREEWAY4,04821432,2507014202115114US 64FREEWAY4,04921432,2507014203115117US 64FREEWAY3,54621432,2507014204116119US 64MINORARTERIAL2,30521391,75060192051161011US 64MINORARTERIAL1,34621391,7506019206117115US 64FREEWAY3,53821432,2507014207117124US 64FREEWAY3,51721432,2507014208118121US 64WON RAMPFROMNC 87FREEWAYRAMP94311441,7004514209118125NC 87COLLECTOR2,57811001,7006014210118783NC 87COLLECTOR2,73811001,7006014211119116US 64MINORARTERIAL2,30521391,9006019212119120US 64MINORARTERIAL4,35621391,75060192131191017LAKEPINEDRMINORARTERIAL78421301,9004519214120119US 64MINORARTERIAL4,35621391,7506019215120587US 64MINORARTERIAL1,21321391,90060182161201022LAURADUNCANRDCOLLECTOR86711001,70050182171201450LAURADUNCANRDCOLLECTOR3,66311001,7504018218121124US 64FREEWAY1,49121432,2507014219121131US 64FREEWAY3,72321432,2507014220122123US 64FREEWAY1,29021322,2506018221122587US 64FREEWAY1,87221322,2506018222123122US 64FREEWAY1,29021322,25060182231231582US 64FREEWAY1,05021322,2506018 HarrisNuclearPlantK 56KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 224124117US 64FREEWAY3,51721432,2507014225124121US 64FREEWAY1,49121432,2507014226125118NC 87COLLECTOR2,57811001,7006014227126326US 64OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP1,46211241,7504518228126672US 64FREEWAY4,45821322,25060182291261593US 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401COLLECTOR81211201,75030363822281504EACADEMYSTCOLLECTOR48811201,7503036 HarrisNuclearPlantK 63KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 3832291100US 401COLLECTOR2,53411201,75030363842291250US 401COLLECTOR65211201,7503036385230139NC 87COLLECTOR1,56111201,7005014386230146US 501COLLECTOR3,80311211,7504014387230148US 501COLLECTOR2,27811211,7004014388231227COOLSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR8,11311001,7004041389232231COOLSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,37511001,7004041390233143US 64BUSCOLLECTOR94611201,7503514391234606US 64BUSCOLLECTOR85211201,5753514392235239NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR2,72911111,7005021393235668NEWHILLHOLLEMANRDCOLLECTOR3,27411111,70050293942351323OLDUS 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403244245NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR2,12911111,7005016404245246NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR1,84111111,7005016405246249NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR3,25611111,7005016406247242BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR7,01011001,7004041407248842BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR1,74211001,7504040408249251NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR3,43611111,7005016409250248BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR2,54511001,7004041410251128NEWHILLOLIVECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR3,55011111,7504016411252250BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR4,33811001,7004041412253252BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR4,07511001,7004034413254253BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR2,22211001,7004034414255254BUCKHORNRDCOLLECTOR2,25811001,7004034415256805OLDUS 1COLLECTOR2,55111101,7004027416257633NC 751COLLECTOR2,28411111,7006016417258256MONCURESCHOOLRDCOLLECTOR3,93011001,7005027418259258MONCURESCHOOLRDCOLLECTOR2,47411001,7004027419260259JORDANDAMRDCOLLECTOR4,00711101,7004027420261262MTVIEWCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,48111001,7004027421261770MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR1,42611201,7005027422262263MTVIEWCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR3,65111001,7004027 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HarrisNuclearPlantK 68KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 493316317ECHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,88911201,7004012494316677NACADEMYSTCOLLECTOR1,49311201,7504011495316695WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR62711201,7503011496317318ECHATHAMSTMINORARTERIAL1,33521201,90040124973181106ECHATHAMSTMINORARTERIAL1,40921201,9004012498319294NC 55COLLECTOR92811301,7503518499319320NC 55COLLECTOR2,08911301,7503518500320319NC 55COLLECTOR2,08911301,7503518501320734NC 55COLLECTOR93911341,5753518502321330GREENLEVELWESTRDCOLLECTOR1,25221201,75050105033211535GREENLEVELWESTRDCOLLECTOR3,13811201,70050105043221342NC 540TOLLONRAMPFROMGREENLEVELWESTRDFREEWAYRAMP69311331,7004595053221535GREENLEVELWESTRDMINORARTERIAL45021201,7005010506323322GREENLEVELWESTRDMAJORARTERIAL75121201,7505095073231568NC 540TOLLONRAMPFROMGREENLEVELWESTRDFREEWAYRAMP51811331,3503095083241534GREENLEVELWESTRDCOLLECTOR3,10311201,700509509325126US 64EONRAMPFROMNC 55FREEWAYRAMP97811241,7005018510325326NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,00621201,7505018511325660NC 55MINORARTERIAL94021201,7505018512326325NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,00621201,7505018 HarrisNuclearPlantK 69KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 513326327NC 55MINORARTERIAL81021201,75050185143261594US 64WON RAMPFROMNC 55FREEWAYRAMP44611331,3503018515327326NC 55MINORARTERIAL81021201,7505018516327396NC 55MINORARTERIAL3,37321201,7505018517328324BEAVERDAMRDCOLLECTOR1,16211201,700459518329331GREENLEVELCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,14011201,700509519329343GREENLEVELCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,44911201,700509520330321GREENLEVELWESTRDCOLLECTOR1,25211201,7005010521330356HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL4,11421301,7505010522330569NC 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533339338SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL82021301,7505019534339707SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,90521301,9005011535340341GREENHOPESCHOOLRDCOLLECTOR1,17211201,7004010536341567GREENHOPESCHOOLRDCOLLECTOR2,86311201,7505010537342344SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,88421301,7505011538342586WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,66611241,7004511539343328GREENLEVELCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,69011201,700509540344345SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,51821301,90050105413451076SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,14621301,7505010542346335CARPENTERFIRESTATIONRDCOLLECTOR1,40411201,750407543347346CARPENTERFIRESTATIONRDCOLLECTOR7,04511201,700406544348351SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL2,51521301,750501154534911I 40FREEWAY2,05031382,2507012546349350I 40FREEWAY2,74231382,2507012547350349I 40FREEWAY2,74231382,2507012548350374I 40FREEWAY78721382,2507012549351381HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL2,37821301,9005011550351410NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,41621301,9005011551352351HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL72421301,7505011552353352HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL1,32021301,9005011553354408HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL2,70621301,7505010 HarrisNuclearPlantK 71KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 554354423DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL4,35521301,750501055535540US 1FREEWAY1,761413102,2506520556355361US 1FREEWAY1,209313102,25065125573551336US 1OFFRAMPTOI 40EFREEWAYRAMP70021241,7005012558356696HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL89521301,9005010559357359I 40FREEWAY1,94131382,2507020560357374I 40FREEWAY83031382,2507020561358332INDIANWELLSRDCOLLECTOR98911001,750357562358663MORRISVILLECARPENTERRDCOLLECTOR1,18511001,700407563359357I 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54COLLECTOR51121211,9005085803681360NC 54COLLECTOR78621211,75050115813681363NC 54MINORARTERIAL69821211,9005011582369370NC 54COLLECTOR1,90711211,70045115833691363NC 54COLLECTOR1,60311211,7005011584370369NC 54COLLECTOR1,90211211,7004511585370371NC 54COLLECTOR1,46411211,7004511586371370NC 54COLLECTOR1,46411211,7004511587371372NC 54MINORARTERIAL43821211,7504011588372371NC 54MINORARTERIAL43821211,9004011589372373NWMAYNARDRDMAJORARTERIAL46431301,7505011590372607NC 54MINORARTERIAL1,08621211,9004011591373970NWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,37821301,9005011592374350I 40FREEWAY78721382,2507012593374357I 40FREEWAY83031382,2507020594375361I 440FREEWAY1,51221302,2506512595376372NWMAYNARDRDMAJORARTERIAL44631301,7505011 HarrisNuclearPlantK 73KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 596377697HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL1,72121301,90050115973771420NWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,08121301,7505011598378387US 401MINORARTERIAL1,60521331,90055315993781446US 401MINORARTERIAL1,31021331,7505531600379377SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL77121301,7504011601380377HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL1,13221301,7505011602381380HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL2,55321301,9005011603382967WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,18311241,7004511604383382WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,16511241,7004511605384383WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,53511241,700451160638567SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL70721301,9004011607385312SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,08721301,7504011608385384WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,02111241,7004511609386385WCHATHAMSTCOLLECTOR1,65811241,7504511610387378US 401MINORARTERIAL1,60521331,90055316113871042US 401MINORARTERIAL3,10321331,7505531612388201US 401MINORARTERIAL6,57221331,7506030613388225US 401MINORARTERIAL5,68021331,90060306143891422SWMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL84021301,7504011615390621SEMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL2,79021301,90040126163901426KILDAIREFARMRDCOLLECTOR1,42711431,75040116173911587KILDAIREFARMRDCOLLECTOR57311431,7504011618392975NC 55COLLECTOR2,76911201,7004543619393394KILDAIREFARMRDCOLLECTOR25611241,1252511620393395CARYTOWNEBLVDCOLLECTOR99511301,7004012 HarrisNuclearPlantK 74KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 621394316SACADEMYSTCOLLECTOR1,58611401,7504011622395393CARYTOWNEBLVDCOLLECTOR99511301,7504012623395712CARYTOWNEBLVDMINORARTERIAL3,88321301,750401262439663OLDJENKSRDCOLLECTOR1,31411001,7004518625396327NC 55MINORARTERIAL3,37321201,75050186263961578NC 55MINORARTERIAL2,41821201,7505518627397709CARYTOWNEBLVDMINORARTERIAL1,22821301,90045126283971414SEMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,79021301,9005012629398397SEMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,51421201,7504512630398712WALNUTSTMINORARTERIAL1,57021301,75040126313981412WALNUTSTMINORARTERIAL1,14921301,7504012632399400NC 55MINORARTERIAL3,90521201,7506010633400330NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,38221201,7505510634401402DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,99321301,7505010635402404DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,72221301,9005010636403398SEMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL1,58421301,7504012637404405DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,90721301,75050106384051078WALDOROODBLVDCOLLECTOR1,43511201,70040106394051381DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL2,07621301,7505010640406865HIGHMEADOWDRCOLLECTOR55211141,7004019641406931KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,16521301,7504019642407421SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL74521301,75050196434071432KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL80021301,7504019644408353HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL1,22121301,9005010645409714SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,16621301,7505019 HarrisNuclearPlantK 75KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 646410412NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,88921301,9005011647411409SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL3,52221301,90050196484111069LAKEPINEDRCOLLECTOR57111341,70040196494111527LAKEPINEDRMINORARTERIAL21621301,9004519650412414NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL2,81521301,7505011651413411SWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL2,12821301,7505019652414418NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL70521301,9005011653415416WALNUTSTMINORARTERIAL1,77021301,75050126544161409WALNUTSTMAJORARTERIAL93731301,750502065541737SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,01731301,7505020656418420NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,60421301,75050116574191065SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,44821301,75050206584191591HAMPTONVALLEYRDCOLLECTOR1,03511301,7004020659420368NWCARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL67021301,7505011660421419SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,13621301,7505020661422861KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,47621301,7505019662423426DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL3,67321301,7505010663424226NC 55MINORARTERIAL40911301,75025306644241252BROADSTCOLLECTOR99011101,70040306654251029WAKECHAPELRDCOLLECTOR81711101,70040306664251031NC 55MINORARTERIAL73521301,90045306674261383DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,30721301,7505076684271355NC 54COLLECTOR1,53711211,7505086694271357NC 54COLLECTOR4,21111211,7005086704291391NHARRISONAVECOLLECTOR76321201,7505011 HarrisNuclearPlantK 76KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 6714311032NC 55MINORARTERIAL3,19321301,75050306724321416NEMAYNARDRDMINORARTERIAL85221301,9004012673433128US 64MINORARTERIAL8,77121391,75060176744331539US 64MINORARTERIAL7,15121391,9006017675434127US 64MINORARTERIAL2,38421391,75060186764341344NC 540TOLLONRAMPFROMUS 64EFREEWAYRAMP71711331,35030176774341543NC 540TOLLONRAMPFROMUS 64WFREEWAYRAMP88611331,70045176784341544US 64MINORARTERIAL87221391,900601767943535NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,08921301,75060306804351264NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,70421301,7506030681436282OLDUS 1COLLECTOR92211101,70045286824371306SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR4,70911101,70055286834381320NC 55COLLECTOR2,95611211,7004029684439441NC 55COLLECTOR2,21211211,7504029685439555HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR3,01511201,7504530686439775WHOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,77911001,7004529687440437SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR2,40411101,7005528688441439NC 55COLLECTOR2,21211211,75040296894411036NC 55COLLECTOR87411211,70040296904421307SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR48011101,7004528691443444NC 55COLLECTOR1,75311211,750502269244425OLDSMITHFIELDRDCOLLECTOR2,23911101,700402269344429NC 55COLLECTOR2,95611211,7005022 HarrisNuclearPlantK 77KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 69444455SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR4,51111101,700452369544568NC 55MINORARTERIAL54221301,7505022696445762NC 55MINORARTERIAL4,01421301,9005022697446448SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR2,90311101,70055296984461309SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR7211101,700452869944760TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR76111201,7505019700447449TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR3,09811201,7005023701448450SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR2,29311101,7005529702449447TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR3,09811201,75050237034491086TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR76011201,7005023704450452SHEARONHARRISRDCOLLECTOR2,31311101,7505529705451728TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR83111201,750502370645275NEWHILLHOLLEMANRDCOLLECTOR5,08411111,75050297074521131NEWHILLHOLLEMANRDCOLLECTOR3,88811111,7005029708453455BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR2,67111101,7005028709453456BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR1,63311101,7005028710454717KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL94221301,9005023711454729TEN TENRDMINORARTERIAL1,45721201,9005023712455278BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR1,06911101,7005028713456457BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR1,39611101,7006028714457458BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR4,76411101,7006016715458460BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR3,61811101,7006016716459461KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL2,34021301,9005023 HarrisNuclearPlantK 78KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 717459565PENNYRDMINORARTERIAL38121201,90045237184591443PENNYRDCOLLECTOR33711201,7004523719460462BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR4,61811101,7506016720461463KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL2,05521301,9005019721462464BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR1,41411101,7006016722463465KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,17021301,9005020723464749BEAVERCREEKRDCOLLECTOR1,19911101,7006016724465792KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL90121301,7505020725466130US 64MINORARTERIAL2,39521391,75060167264661024US 64MINORARTERIAL2,72121421,9006016727467655NPEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR2,29311001,7504015728468469KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,29021301,7505019729469470TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,26021301,7505020730469681TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,40921301,75050197314691434KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,04821301,7505019732470473TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,55221301,9005020733471467NPEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR2,82211001,7004015734472471NPEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR3,67311001,7004015735473474TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL2,67221301,7505020736474475SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL78721301,9005020737474481TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL2,03521301,7005020738474723SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL1,78821301,9005020739475474SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL78721301,7505020740475720SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL91821301,9005020 HarrisNuclearPlantK 79KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 741476477MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,83611101,7004015742476655MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR4,19311101,7504015743477476MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,83611101,7004015744477478MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,51911101,7004015745478480MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,48611101,70040157464791369TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,41021301,7505020747480482MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR5,52911101,700404748481832TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL44721301,7505020749482486MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR3,32711101,700404750483683TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,41121301,75050207514831040JONESFRANKLINRDCOLLECTOR1,16011101,7504520752484483JONESFRANKLINRDCOLLECTOR92111201,7504520753484685MACEDONIARDCOLLECTOR1,43311101,75045207544851040HOLLYSPRINGSRDMAJORARTERIAL41131211,7505020755486488MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,75111101,700404756487485HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,09411211,70050207574871404SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL17421301,9005020758488489MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,05311101,700404 HarrisNuclearPlantK 80KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 759489185US 15MINORARTERIAL2,35021221,900604760490188JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR3,77311201,750504761491490JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR1,14711201,7005047624921299JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR90311201,700504763493492JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR1,38511201,700554764494493JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR2,62711201,700554765494623JACKBENNETTRDCOLLECTOR4,21611201,700555766495487HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,15811211,7505020767496495HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,01111211,7005020768497496HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,17111211,7005020769498494BIGWOODSRDCOLLECTOR2,14011001,700405770499497HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,77111211,7005020771500499HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,92911211,7005024772501500HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,60511211,7005024773501566PENNYRDCOLLECTOR43711201,7004024774501726PENNYRDCOLLECTOR1,78011201,7005024775502498BIGWOODSRDCOLLECTOR2,62211001,700405776503502BIGWOODSRDCOLLECTOR5,39611001,700405777504503BIGWOODSRDCOLLECTOR1,52611001,700405778505504BIGWOODSRDCOLLECTOR5,09511001,700405779506501HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR92811211,7504524780507508DEEPRIVERRDCOLLECTOR2,60711101,7005027781508513DEEPRIVERRDCOLLECTOR2,21211101,7005027782509512HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,26411211,7004524783510509HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,73811211,7005024 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90KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1001655476MTGILDEADCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR4,19311101,70040151002655618US 64MINORARTERIAL2,25721421,90060151003655620US 64MINORARTERIAL2,08221421,90060151004656399LEWEYDRCOLLECTOR1,60811001,75040101005657400PARKSCENELNCOLLECTOR89111001,75040101006658400PARKINGLOTCOLLECTOR70511001,75040101007659740US 421MINORARTERIAL3,89511321,70060401008659862US 421MINORARTERIAL4,78511321,70060401009660325NC 55MINORARTERIAL94031201,75050181010660665NC 55MINORARTERIAL89921201,75050181011661996US 421MINORARTERIAL5,29011321,700604110126611053US 421MINORARTERIAL5,86911321,70060421013662666US 421MINORARTERIAL9,78611321,700604210146621053US 421MINORARTERIAL2,36611321,70060421015663358MORRISVILLECARPENTERRDCOLLECTOR1,18511001,7004071016663701MORRISVILLECARPENTERRDCOLLECTOR1,40211001,7504071017664739US 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TENRDCOLLECTOR1,71111201,700503111307331093LAKEWHEELERRDCOLLECTOR2,91811301,70050251131734320NC 55COLLECTOR93911341,750351811327341274NC 55COLLECTOR68011301,70050221133735212US 401COLLECTOR3,25711201,700454311347351240US 401COLLECTOR4,67311201,7006043113573641HILLTOPNEEDMORERDCOLLECTOR2,28111201,75040301136736550LAKEWHEELERRDCOLLECTOR2,53111301,70055301137736552LAKEWHEELERRDCOLLECTOR95611201,7004530 HarrisNuclearPlantK 96KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1138737225LAKEWHEELERRDCOLLECTOR86511201,70045301139738594US 421MINORARTERIAL6,97611321,70060411140738996US 421MINORARTERIAL6,49111321,70060411141739664US 421MINORARTERIAL2,31511321,75060401142739740US 421MINORARTERIAL5,02811321,70060401143740659US 421MINORARTERIAL3,89511321,70060401144740739US 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97KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 11637571571SHUGHESSTCOLLECTOR75011001,7503518116475868NC 55MINORARTERIAL69621301,7505022116575871US 1SONRAMPFROMNC 55FREEWAYRAMP1,42411531,700452211667581273NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,05021301,90050221167759690US 1FREEWAY1,017213102,25070221168759691US 1FREEWAY1,812313102,25070221169760761FARRINGTONPOINTRDCOLLECTOR5,14411001,70050511707611298FARRINGTONPOINTRDCOLLECTOR1,26811001,700455117176227NC 55MINORARTERIAL1,63321301,90050221172762445NC 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1182772773MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR4,09211201,70050271183773768MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR3,84111201,70050151184774776MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR6,18911201,7005014118577532WHOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,69311001,75045291186775439WHOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR1,77911001,75045291187776230MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR1,18411201,75040141188777555BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,35411201,75040301189778777BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR2,94811201,70040301190779778BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR1,05611201,70040301191779780BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR1,05911201,70040301192780781BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR97311201,70040301193781789BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR4,88311201,70040301194782144NC 87COLLECTOR1,12611001,750401411957821326NC 87COLLECTOR123113090020141196783118NC 87COLLECTOR2,73811001,700601411977831329NC 87COLLECTOR3,19711001,70060141198784138NC 87COLLECTOR2,57611201,70050141199784144NC 87COLLECTOR1,12711201,75040141200785138NC 87COLLECTOR79111201,70050141201785786NC 902COLLECTOR2,88611001,70050141202786785NC 902COLLECTOR2,88611001,70050141203786787NC 902COLLECTOR1,63311001,7006014 HarrisNuclearPlantK 99KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1204787786NC 902COLLECTOR1,63311001,70060141205787788NC 902COLLECTOR3,85611001,70060141206788787NC 902COLLECTOR3,85511001,7006014120778947BASSLAKERDCOLLECTOR3,90411201,75040301208790520HOLLYSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR2,46311201,7505030120979152SUNSETLAKERDCOLLECTOR71321101,75045301210792794KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL99421301,900502012117921441LOCHMEREDRCOLLECTOR2,84011101,70040201212793653US 15MINORARTERIAL2,80021221,9006041213794468KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL1,83821301,75050201214795168US 501COLLECTOR28811211,75030141215795234US 64BUSCOLLECTOR313115090020141216796143US 64BUSCOLLECTOR34511501,75020141217797798OLDUS 1COLLECTOR98411101,70060271218798801PEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR1,99211101,70050271219798803OLDUS 1COLLECTOR2,85711251,700602712207991305OLDUS 1COLLECTOR39411101,70045281221800799OLDUS 1COLLECTOR7,57811101,70060281222801802PEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR2,07511101,700502712238024PEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR3,30011101,70050271224803804OLDUS 1COLLECTOR4,02811101,70045271225804256OLDUS 1COLLECTOR1,55611101,7004527122680523MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR2,18011201,70050271227805806OLDUS 1COLLECTOR3,01111101,7505027 HarrisNuclearPlantK100KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 122880679DEEPRIVERRDCOLLECTOR1,81311101,70050271229807866NC 42COLLECTOR81211211,70060341230808810NC 42COLLECTOR89311211,70055341231809808NC 42COLLECTOR1,54211211,75055341232810811NC 42COLLECTOR1,64611211,70055341233811839NC 42COLLECTOR2,74111211,70060341234811939POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR3,13711001,70060341235812813POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,41011001,70050331236813814POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,99211001,70050331237814816POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,37811001,700503312388151439LOCHMEREDRCOLLECTOR25911101,57535201239816817POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,73411001,70050331240817818POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR4,99711001,70060331241818819POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR2,28311001,70060331242819820POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR3,00411001,70060331243820821POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,01511001,7005033 HarrisNuclearPlantK101KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1244821822POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,44711001,70050331245822823POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,70011001,70050331246823824POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,67511001,70060401247824825POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,57911001,70060401248825826SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR2,33711001,70040401249825848POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,24311001,70050401250826834SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR2,27411001,70040401251827828SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR3,08111001,70060401252828835SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR1,47311001,70060401253829830LOCHMEREDRCOLLECTOR2,71411101,75045201254830722SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL2,48421301,90050201255830723SECARYPKWYMINORARTERIAL64421301,90050201256830832PINEYPLAINSRDCOLLECTOR2,60711201,75040201257831838SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR1,53711001,70060401258832479TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL2,64821301,750502012598321037PINEYPLAINSRDMINORARTERIAL2,88021301,90050201260833837SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR1,00611001,70040401261834827SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR72911001,70040401262835831SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR2,15611001,70060401263836561SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR88411001,7504038 HarrisNuclearPlantK102KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1264837836SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR1,45211001,70040381265838833SAN LEEDRCOLLECTOR1,69311001,70040401266839840NC 42COLLECTOR4,21411211,70060331267840841NC 42COLLECTOR5,54911211,70060331268841842NC 42COLLECTOR1,49111211,75050401269842843NC 42COLLECTOR1,97911211,70050401270843844NC 42COLLECTOR5,77011211,70060401271844845NC 42COLLECTOR2,11111211,70060401272845846NC 42COLLECTOR3,32911211,70060401273846847NC 42COLLECTOR3,14711211,70060401274847852NC 42COLLECTOR2,34811211,75060401275848850POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR5,81211001,70050401276849792LOCHMEREDRCOLLECTOR72511101,75040201277850851POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,14511001,70050401278851847POPLARSPRINGSCHURCHRDCOLLECTOR1,97411001,70045401279852853NC 42COLLECTOR4,74311211,75050401280853856NC 42MINORARTERIAL1,63621211,750504012818541061NC 42COLLECTOR2,04911211,75050401282855540US 421MINORARTERIAL2,35821301,750404012838551027NC 78COLLECTOR2,26211201,700504012848551237US 421MINORARTERIAL3,11221301,7505040 HarrisNuclearPlantK103KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 12858561112US 421BYPASSON RAMPFROMNC 42FREEWAYRAMP1,53911231,700504012868561481NC 42COLLECTOR1,22621211,75050401287857468WHOLEFOODSCOMPLEXCOLLECTOR32021201,75030191288858468NEWWAVERLYPLMINORARTERIAL1,13111001,750452012898581371NEWWAVERLYPLMINORARTERIAL73021001,90045201290859584EDINBURGHDRCOLLECTOR88911201,75040191291860583GREGSONDRCOLLECTOR67011301,75040191292861407KILDAIREFARMRDMINORARTERIAL2,46421301,75050191293862622US 421MINORARTERIAL2,94611321,75060411294862659US 421MINORARTERIAL4,78511321,70060401295863861CHADBURYLNCOLLECTOR77411001,75040191296864861QUEENSFERRYRDCOLLECTOR1,12711001,75040191297865421HIGHMEADOWDRCOLLECTOR1,25511141,75040191298866809NC 42COLLECTOR9,16211211,70060341299867868NC 42COLLECTOR2,07711211,70045341300868876NC 42COLLECTOR1,67711211,70045341301869867NC 42COLLECTOR2,04011211,70060341302870869NC 42COLLECTOR1,60511211,70060341303871870NC 42COLLECTOR2,72911211,70060341304872871NC 42COLLECTOR3,69611211,70060341305872873NC 42COLLECTOR2,28411211,70040341306873874NC 42COLLECTOR2,44611211,70040341307874875NC 42COLLECTOR1,78611211,7004034 HarrisNuclearPlantK104KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1308875807NC 42COLLECTOR3,64611211,75055341309876877NC 42COLLECTOR2,59011211,70060341310877878NC 42COLLECTOR1,30811211,70060341311878879NC 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HarrisNuclearPlantK105KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1333899797CORINTHRDCOLLECTOR4,97511101,70050271334900896CORINTHRDCOLLECTOR2,09511101,70050341335901807CORINTHRDCOLLECTOR2,25811101,75050341336902901CORINTHRDCOLLECTOR1,98711101,70050341337903904LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR1,09011001,700552713389031580LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR31311001,70055271339904806LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR3,11911001,75055271340905903LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR4,68211001,75055271341906905LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR1,73911001,70055271342907906LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR2,77811001,70055271343908907LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR3,10811001,700553313449081495LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR5,81211001,70055331345909910LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR3,84711001,70055331346910911LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR4,78711001,70055331347911912LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR2,01211001,70055341348912808LOWERRIVERRDCOLLECTOR1,88811001,75055341349913915LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR5,10511001,70055331350914916LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR3,85511001,70050331351915914LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR3,93011001,70055331352916918LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR3,22011001,70050331353917919LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR2,44411001,70050331354918917LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR2,70411001,70050331355919921LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR2,52211001,70050331356920406HIGHMEADOWDRCOLLECTOR77911141,75040191357921922LOWERMONCURERDCOLLECTOR1,28411001,7005033 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HarrisNuclearPlantK127KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 18551318156CASSHOLTRDCOLLECTOR1,34111201,75045291856131921AVENTFERRYRDCOLLECTOR95621201,7504029185713201321NC 55COLLECTOR1,39511211,350302918581321439NC 55COLLECTOR44711211,750402918591322295APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,53811001,750451718601323286OLDUS 1COLLECTOR10,502 11101,700502118611324769MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR1,10711201,7005027186213251324MONCUREPITTSBORORDCOLLECTOR1,98211201,7005027186313261327NC 87COLLECTOR17411309002014186413271328NC 87COLLECTOR20811309002014186513271329NC 87COLLECTOR3,72111001,700501418661328782NC 87COLLECTOR1251130900201418671329783NC 87COLLECTOR3,19711001,7006014186813291327NC 87COLLECTOR3,72111001,700501418691330233US 64BUSCOLLECTOR2,62211201,7004014187013311330FAIRGROUNDSRDCOLLECTOR60611001,7503514187113321330US 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540TOLLFREEWAY8651282,2507522190413491350LOUISSTEPHENSDRCOLLECTOR61211001,125257190513501351LOUISSTEPHENSDRCOLLECTOR69411001,125257190613511354MCCRIMMONPKWYCOLLECTOR1,26011001,700407190713521596DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,53321301,90050719081353701LOUISSTEPHENSDRMINORARTERIAL54321301,750457190913541352MCCRIMMONPKWYMINORARTERIAL70111001,75040719101355427NC 54COLLECTOR1,53111211,700508191113551597NC 54COLLECTOR1,49011211,700507191213561355AIRPORTBLVDCOLLECTOR83411201,75040819131357427NC 54COLLECTOR4,21111211,70050819141357700NC 54COLLECTOR82811211,75040819151358365NC 54COLLECTOR1,56211211,70050819161358700NC 54COLLECTOR1,46211211,75040819171359366NC 54MINORARTERIAL82321211,75050819181359367NC 54COLLECTOR62421211,75050819191360368NC 54COLLECTOR78621211,7505011192013601362NC 54COLLECTOR50021211,9005011192113611360MARKETCENTERDRCOLLECTOR51611201,750401119221362367NC 54COLLECTOR51111211,750508192313621360NC 54COLLECTOR50021211,750501119241363368NC 54MINORARTERIAL69821211,750501119251363369NC 54COLLECTOR1,60311211,70050111926136419TRINITYRDCOLLECTOR1,27111101,75040121927136514NC 54MINORARTERIAL39731311,7505512 HarrisNuclearPlantK130KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 1928136616I 40FREEWAY1,19431382,25070121929136617I 40FREEWAY74731382,25070121930136715NC 54MINORARTERIAL26211211,700401219311368683YATESMILLPONDRDCOLLECTOR83111211,750502019321369483TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,00321301,7505020193313691405WALNUTSTMAJORARTERIAL26031301,900502019341370479TRYONSPRINGSRDCOLLECTOR65111101,750302019351371470NEWWAVERLYPLMINORARTERIAL53611001,750452019361372532TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR1,30711201,700402419371373528TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR1,04711201,700402419381374454TEN TENRDMINORARTERIAL73821201,750502319391375447RELIANCEAVECOLLECTOR48911001,750402319401376704CENTERSTCOLLECTOR85911201,7004018194113761449APEXPEAKWAYCOLLECTOR1,76611241,7504018194213771376SCHIEFFELINRDCOLLECTOR98311001,750401819431378585CENTERSTCOLLECTOR98511201,750301819441378703CENTERSTCOLLECTOR24711201,750201819451379674DAVISDRCOLLECTOR14311101,350301819461380401DAVISDRCOLLECTOR5,10711101,700501819471381354DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,15421301,7505010194813811382CORNERSTONEDRCOLLECTOR1,31611401,750451019491382354HIGHHOUSERDMINORARTERIAL1,20621301,7505010195013821381CORNERSTONEDRCOLLECTOR1,31611401,750451019511383360DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,07231301,750507195213841383MORRISVILLEVILLAGECOLLECTOR81811201,750307 HarrisNuclearPlantK131KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 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FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 22261582123US 64FREEWAY1,05021322,250601822271582671US 64EOFF RAMPFREEWAYRAMP46811541,750501822281582672US 64FREEWAY1,11221322,25060182229158360US 1NOFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP65711351,750301922301583691US 1FREEWAY3,285213102,250701922311583692US 1FREEWAY667213102,250701922321584127US 64MINORARTERIAL1,36121301,750601822331584325US 64OFFRAMPFREEWAYRAMP91311241,7504518223415841593US 64MINORARTERIAL74721301,900601822351585741PEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR1,10711101,700502822361585742PEARIDGERDCOLLECTOR18011101,7505028223715861297FARRINGTONPOINTRDCOLLECTOR1,29811001,70045522381587393KILDAIREFARMRDCOLLECTOR85511431,7504011223915881589WESTONPKWYMINORARTERIAL95721201,90045822401590403SEABROOKAVECOLLECTOR60611301,350301222411591419HAMPTONVALLEYRDCOLLECTOR1,03511301,7504020224215911592HAMPTONVALLEYRDCOLLECTOR1,69411301,700402022431592621HAMPTONVALLEYRDCOLLECTOR89511301,7004012224415921591HAMPTONVALLEYRDCOLLECTOR1,69411301,750402022451593126US 64MINORARTERIAL94821301,9006018224615931584US 64MINORARTERIAL74721301,9006018224715941593US 64WON RAMPFROMNC 55FREEWAYRAMP33711331,35030182248802020I 40FREEWAY1,64331382,2507012224981031103US 421MINORARTERIAL3,07021321,9006032 HarrisNuclearPlantK144KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 22508137137US 64MINORARTERIAL2,27221241,900601422518222222US 401COLLECTOR2,47611201,700604322528224224US 401MINORARTERIAL1,97221331,900503122538359359I 40FREEWAY85821382,250652022548375375I 440FREEWAY1,81321302,250651222558590590US 1FREEWAY79521322,250703822568666666US 421MINORARTERIAL1,17111321,7006042228710251598US 64MINORARTERIAL2,66321421,9006016228810241598US 64MINORARTERIAL6,83021421,900601622891599344BONDLAKEDRLOCALROADWAY 1,13011201,7503510229016001598PARKERSCREEKRECREATIONRDCOLLECTOR41111001,5753516229116011600PARKERSCREEKRECREATIONRDCOLLECTOR27611001,5753516229416051604SEAFORTHRECREATIONAREACOLLECTOR58411001,7004016229516041598SEAFORTHRECREATIONAREACOLLECTOR60311001,7004016229516071606SMOKEMONTDRLOCALROADWAY 96611001,350301922961606339LAURADUNCANRDCOLLECTOR1,65011001,700401922971606305LAURADUNCANRDCOLLECTOR95511001,75040192298160833WBALLENTINESTLOCALROADWAY 1,21211001,750352922992951609APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,56311001,7004517230016091610APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,82611001,7004521230116101611APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,20811001,7004517 HarrisNuclearPlantK145KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber 230216111612APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,29511001,700451723031612314APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,35011001,7004517230413221613APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,58111001,7004518230516131614APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,49811001,700451823061614291APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,39611001,700451823072951322APEXBARBECUERDCOLLECTOR1,53911001,700451723081615685MACEDONIALAKEDRLOCALROADWAY 43411201,75030202309161641AIRPARKRDCOLLECTOR80111101,7504531231014641617OPTIMISTFARMRDCOLLECTOR3,71711201,7004030231116171509OPTIMISTFARMRDCOLLECTOR2,32611201,7004030231214631464OPTIMISTFARMRDCOLLECTOR99311201,7004030ExitLink208020I 40FREEWAY1,64331382,2507012ExitLink1258125NC 87COLLECTOR1,88511001,7006014ExitLink2228222US 401COLLECTOR2,48011201,7006043ExitLink2248224US 401MINORARTERIAL1,97221331,9005031ExitLink4308430NHARRISONAVECOLLECTOR77511201,700508ExitLink3598359I 40FREEWAY85821382,2506520ExitLink3758375I 440FREEWAY1,81321302,2506512ExitLink3928392NC 55COLLECTOR1,13011201,7004543 HarrisNuclearPlantK146KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber ExitLink4288428AVIATIONPKWYCOLLECTOR1,49911101,700508ExitLink7328732TEN TENRDCOLLECTOR2,73311201,7005031ExitLink7888788NC 902COLLECTOR2,94211001,7006014ExitLink5908590US 1FREEWAY79521322,2507038ExitLink6668666US 421MINORARTERIAL1,17111321,7006042ExitLink9788978NC 210COLLECTOR3,65311311,7006043ExitLink9898989NC 42COLLECTOR3,18511211,7006037ExitLink10278127NC 78COLLECTOR1,51511201,7005039ExitLink10418041TRYONRDMINORARTERIAL1,27921301,9005025ExitLink1378137US 64MINORARTERIAL2,27221241,9006014ExitLink1908190US 15MINORARTERIAL3,74521221,900404ExitLink2768276NC 751COLLECTOR3,13011111,700605ExitLink10608160NC 87MINORARTERIAL2,12721201,9006040ExitLink10948194LAKEWHEELERRDCOLLECTOR67511301,7005025 HarrisNuclearPlantK147KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Link#UpStreamNodeDownStreamNodeRoadwayNameRoadwayTypeLength(ft.)No.ofLanesLaneWidth(ft.)Shoulder Width(ft.)Saturation FlowRate(pcphpl)FreeFlow Speed(mph)GridNumber ExitLink11018101NC 210COLLECTOR2,08211211,7005537ExitLink11038103US 421MINORARTERIAL3,07021321,9006032ExitLink12908290NC 540TOLLFREEWAY1,16131382,250707ExitLink12988298FARRINGTONPOINTRDCOLLECTOR2,12111001,700505ExitLink15898589WESTONPKWYMINORARTERIAL71921201,900458ExitLink15958667NC 55MINORARTERIAL2,26421241,900552ExitLink15968352DAVISDRMINORARTERIAL1,37221301,900507ExitLink15978355NC 54COLLECTOR1,97911211,700507 HarrisNuclearPlantK148KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableK 2.NodesintheLink NodeAnalysisNetworkwhichareControlledNodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber122070278744456Actuated 12142075469743529Actuated 12192073980744391Actuated 12212047715688820 TCPActuated 29252047282704072 Stop 22282048995707746 TCPActuated 22322044990694251 TCPActuated 29332045300691961Actuated 29352049567687584 TCPActuated 29412082170682458Actuated 31422067264670650 TCPActuated 30462067129680499 TCPUncontrolled 30472065658683510 TCPActuated 30522059768697831 TCPActuated 30602053271718029 TCPActuated 19612087320693136Actuated 31682047566714716 TCPActuated 22741965194690841 Stop 27752020694698128 TCPActuated 29801984121621542 Stop 40901954065659579 TCPUncontrolled 321091941536635649Actuated 381101942392634964Actuated 381131950379728023 Stop 141192053077725655 TCPActuated 191202048972727113 TCPActuated 181272035059727140 TCPActuated 181282014889724659Actuated 161301999869723007Actuated 161402046619687740Actuated 291411956842716368 TCPActuated 151431947621717102 TCPActuated 141441944491717290 TCPActuated 141461946879715767Actuated 141552046885662813 TCPActuated 351562044173685112Actuated 291582040189684450 TCPUncontrolled 291622064336642338 Stop 361652066016652980 Stop 361681947400717626Actuated 141751950453730448 TCPActuated 141762055485641426 Stop 36 HarrisNuclearPlantK149KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber1772044645661361 Stop 351881974946751975Actuated 41932089395697215Actuated 312012071545672139Actuated 302022065828670408 TCPActuated 302042059553669309Actuated 362102054659651585 TCPActuated 362152050759620295 TCPActuated 432252080280680729 Stop 302262061493670229 TCPActuated 302282059545667658 TCPActuated 362292059550666194 Stop 362301946818711976 TCPActuated 142331948567717097 Stop 142352019117702763 TCPActuated 212452015628713362 TCPUncontrolled 162561977056681662 Stop 272721964063715075 TCPUncontrolled 152782007800695316 Stop 282811969674704394 Stop 152912038786717442 Stop 222942043315719675 TCPActuated 182952032980717690Actuated 172972044798722760 TCPActuated 182992030814722496 TCPActuated 173012044802729086 TCPActuated 183022030784729768 Stop 173052051199731649Actuated 193082057248735717Actuated 113112059665740195Actuated 113122058052737803Actuated 113142027982720697 Stop 173162065050741627Actuated 113192044160719291 TCPActuated 183202045913718167 TCPActuated 183222033846740060Actuated 93232033148739784Actuated 93242029806739306 Stop 93252037254726912 TCPActuated 183262036746727780 TCPActuated 183272036517728556 TCPActuated 183282028716739549 Stop 93292029384743577 Stop 9 HarrisNuclearPlantK150KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber3302038381741705 TCPActuated 103322037477753597Actuated 73352037276754590Actuated 73382053112732503 TCPActuated 193392052639733173 Stop 193442049149736628Actuated 103472028915754222Actuated 63512050923742172Actuated 113542045466743072Actuated 103562042442742361Actuated 103602045214753433Actuated 73662053670750988Actuated 83672054584749898Actuated 83682055855748759Actuated 113722060736745762Actuated 113732061087746064Actuated 113772056482740180Actuated 113822061486740083Actuated 113852059053737377 TCPUncontrolled 113892061641735889Actuated 113902064835735731 Stop 113932065262739857 Stop 113962036855731912Actuated 183972070141737484Actuated 123982070139735970Actuated 123992037517736493Actuated 104002038241740330Actuated 104022045944736512Actuated 104032069690734488 Stop 124052045255739858Actuated 104062064392732293Actuated 194072064470730856 Stop 194082048098743581 TCPActuated 104112056999729748Actuated 194142054048746547 Pre timed 114152072084734095Actuated 124162073721733422Actuated 204172067320727931 TCPUncontrolled 204192066348730767Actuated 204202055654748119 TCPActuated 114212065215730853 TCPActuated 194232044996747389 TCPActuated 104242061502670638 Stop 30 HarrisNuclearPlantK151KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber4252059052673226 Yield 304262045230751055 Stop 74292064624747257Actuated 114322070166743309Actuated 124362014497699837 Stop 284392049310693323Actuated 294412048707695452 Stop 294442049470703635Actuated 224452047822714238Actuated 224462017347688030 TCPActuated 284472053687717403Actuated 234522022014693219Actuated 294532005753698042Actuated 284542061110711000Actuated 234592062986715813Actuated 234621994896708148 Stop 164682065584722944Actuated 204692065424724164Actuated 194702066488724840Actuated 204742070608725651Actuated 204771974482729991Actuated 154792075572726548Actuated 204832077982726417Actuated 204872076159723441Actuated 204891970256743880Actuated 44941986638751160Actuated 55012071003713192Actuated 245112067620708057Actuated 245161955536669983Actuated 335202061399700574 TCPActuated 305252064629705313 TCPActuated 235292072634704670Actuated 245331943002656503Actuated 325341943056656030Actuated 325382087233699252 TCPActuated 315391960999618073 TCPActuated 405401955065624037 TCPActuated 405431952902624579 TCPActuated 385441950250626058 TCPActuated 385451948541626475 Yield 385482084052694695 TCPActuated 315511946260629682 TCPActuated 385531944803631869 Stop 38 HarrisNuclearPlantK152KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber5541947252630371 TCPActuated 385552052324693284 TCPActuated 305561946472632599 TCPActuated 385581950524631059Actuated 385591950206632538 TCPActuated 385611952213631516Actuated 385632059821715137Actuated 235672038187747209 Stop 105832058130724511Actuated 195842060062723882Actuated 195852045587720998Actuated 185941999732612553 Stop 415982063652724526 Stop 196061946264717201 TCPActuated 146092064512743169 TCPActuated 116111950297726257 TCPUncontrolled 146131972036747081Actuated 46152056057678966 TCPActuated 306192076342703575Actuated 246212067189734260 Stop 126221989322614478Actuated 416231990028753667 Stop 56251994828753229Actuated 56352011381739559 TCPUncontrolled56551975202723130 TCPActuated 156602037891726220 Yield 186641970509615416Actuated 406652038474725536Actuated 186672036331757150Actuated 76712044078727655Actuated 186732044205727978 TCPActuated 186772065089743120Actuated 116812064167723527Actuated 196832079383726577Actuated 206842037454726053Actuated 186852076883728241Actuated 206872075487732703Actuated 206882076879731385Actuated 206942040761722747Actuated 186952064426741563Actuated 117002051948754649Actuated 87012040471755173Actuated 77032044496721572Actuated 18 HarrisNuclearPlantK153KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber7082070083740628Actuated 127102039978723845Actuated 187122069081737130Actuated 127142061590730507Actuated 197192063022723072Actuated 197282058040712164Actuated 237352054859633732Actuated 437362080118683454 TCPUncontrolled 307421987652696209Actuated 287582047251715337Actuated 227792057967689209Actuated 307821944504718416Actuated 147851944226712920 TCPActuated 147922066292720266Actuated 207961947325716924 TCPActuated 147971985736678784Actuated 277981984765678941Actuated 278061972050679304Actuated 278071996990659834 TCPUncontrolled 348081989890650939 TCPUncontrolled 348111987963649753 Stop 348221967780639559 Stop 338302072154723972Actuated 208322072930726461Actuated 208421983819636801Actuated 408471972139625999Actuated 408521971374623780Actuated 408531966957622199Actuated 408551956669622309 TCPActuated 408561965336622413Actuated 408612064554728393Actuated 198722005355663424 TCPActuated 348752000294661375Actuated 349001992200667455 TCPActuated 349031972910675290Actuated 279211965494650136 TCPActuated 339312064408733458 TCPActuated 199431952130647813Actuated 329572061474667731Actuated 369612072289667103Actuated 369642075035651602 Stop 369692077095639699Actuated 369742076066639713Actuated 36 HarrisNuclearPlantK154KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber9852071647671728Actuated 309872079564669980 TCPActuated 369951946969689499Actuated 269982076612732108Actuated 209992076549731200Actuated 2010112056647724891Actuated 1910182046143722146Actuated 1810202050253731305 TCPActuated 1910322058169675161Actuated 3010332058517674253Actuated 3010392076762730068 TCPActuated 2010402076999725801 TCPActuated 2010422087084691956 TCPUncontrolled 3110452067482669288Actuated 3610532023693607067 TCPActuated 4210581967195616674 TCPActuated 4010591961812616855 Stop 4010611958883623077 Stop 4010621959436619642Actuated 4010652067235729694 Stop 2010682070231732653 Stop 2010732061436734911 Stop 1110762048281739098 Stop 1010812050352750330Actuated 810862056489714848Actuated 2310892093541716291 TCPActuated 2510922092678710015Actuated 2510952071961700043 Stop 3010962071353696182 Yield 3010972075681695207 Stop 3010992062425663652Actuated 3611002059290663673 Yield 3611052069425744231 Stop 1211272043501695500 TCPUncontrolled 2911342026771679228 TCPActuated 2911372020516698761 TCPActuated 2912182060924723579 TCPActuated 1912202051786718823 TCPUncontrolled 1912231936566641673 TCPUncontrolled 3212251943997633147Actuated 3812271946504629359Actuated 3812291946927628108 TCPActuated 3812331951647625241 Stop 38 HarrisNuclearPlantK155KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber12371958936620176 TCPActuated 4012402053399629293Actuated 4312482062239622864Actuated 4312502059561666846Actuated 3612582065716671075Actuated 3012612067219671527 Stop 3012642051320685430 TCPUncontrolled 3012712046700716513 TCPUncontrolled 2212772040215717591 TCPActuated 2212802039190723038 TCPUncontrolled 1812812044802724695Actuated 1812852037823751286 Stop 712872034261760260Actuated 712932033337761650Actuated 612942032537762835 TCPActuated 613001972797749669 TCPActuated 413041956343670718Actuated 2713092017308688091Actuated 2813122024531684363Actuated 2913271944475718639Actuated 1413301951184716926 Stop 1413522042931758767Actuated 713602055151749107Actuated 1113692076980726467Actuated 2013762047614720347Actuated 1813812045506741919Actuated 1013822044392742522 Yield 1013832045276752361 Stop 713872045058754440Actuated 713912064611748020 Stop 1113942048586739883 Stop 1014022068142727083Actuated 2014062076798729153Actuated 2014092074604733109 Stop 2014122070953735159Actuated 1214182059138744555 Stop 1114202056530741260Actuated 1114222062479735938 TCPActuated 1114242063891735820 Stop 1114262064848737158 TCPUncontrolled 1114282064795735112 TCPActuated 1114302064628734385 TCPActuated 1114322064403731653 TCPActuated 19 HarrisNuclearPlantK156KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NodeXCoordinate (ft)YCoordinate (ft)ControlTypeGridMapNumber14342065187725185 TCPActuated 1914362060876709001Actuated 2314372076045730093Actuated 2014462084913686383Actuated 3114492047639722113Actuated 1814502047157723931Actuated 1814512044108720856Actuated 1814552077597639717 TCPUncontrolled 3614582069534671416 TCPActuated 3014632061130696013Actuated 3014652062472721462Actuated 1914672061783720120 TCPActuated 1914692060263717634Actuated 2314752068225663424Actuated 3614762067908662903 Stop 3614792065367649100Actuated 3614811964158622754Actuated 4014871946776639802Actuated 3214891947027630239Actuated 3814911946708630040Actuated 3814931958128622862Actuated 4014992063348664780Actuated 3615012064786667557 Stop 3615022065455669353 Stop 3615042060033667669 Stop 3615082081170694803 Stop 3015121948867630758Actuated 3815141947978630591Actuated 3815222076025731913Actuated 2015382031225727450Actuated 1715412031197726138Actuated 1715492035428712826Actuated 2215502035920713362Actuated 2215762066578670436 TCPActuated 3015782037222734302 TCPUncontrolled 1015792071399684366 TCPUncontrolled 3015811988451627968 TCPUncontrolled 4115861999201735691 TCPUncontrolled515981987968723454 Stop 1616062051114732541 Stop 191 CoordinatesareintheNorthAmericanDatumof1983NorthCarolinaStatePlaneZone APPENDIXLSub ZoneBoundaries HarrisNuclearPlantL 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1L. SUB ZONEBOUNDARIESSub ZoneACounty:WakeThisportionofthesubzoneincludestheHarrisPlantandthecentralportionoftheHarrisLake.ItisborderedbyOldUSHwy.1andNewHillHollemanRd.Thelakeformsthebordertothesouth.County:ChathamThisportionofthesubzoneincludesChathamCountyareawestoftheHarrisPlantandisborderedbyOldUSHwy.1,ChristianChapelRd.andtheChatham Wakecountyline.Sub ZoneBCounty:WakeThissubzoneincludesthecommunitiesofNewHillandBonsalandtheareasaroundthefollowingroads:OldUSHwy.1,HumieOliveRd.,NewHillOliveChapelRd.,FriendshipRd.,USHwy.1,ShearonHarrisRd.andNewHillHollemanRd.Sub ZoneCCounty:WakeThissubzoneincludesthecommunityofHolleman'sCrossroads,thenortheastportionofHarrisLakeandtheareassurroundingAventFerryRd.andNewHillRd.Sub ZoneDCounty:WakeThisportionofthesubzoneincludesthesoutheasternportionofHarrisLakeandtheareasurroundingCassHoltRd.ThesubzoneisborderedbyBartleyHollemanRd.,RexRd.,BuckhornDuncanRd.andtheWakeHarnett/Wake Chathamcountylines.County:HartnettThisportionofthesubzoneincludestheareassurroundingRollinsMillRd.,HobbyRd.andAugerHoleRd.ThisportionofthesubzoneisborderedbyHarnett Leecountyline,Harnett WakecountylineandareasnorthofNCHwy.42.Sub ZoneECounty:WakeThissubzoneincludesthetownofApex,thecommunityofFriendshipandtheareassurroundingUSHwy.1,OldUSHwy.1,USHwy.64,NCHwy.55,TingenRd.andOliveChapelRd.ThesubzoneisborderedbytheWakeChathamcountyline,thecommunityofGreenLevel,SR1010,KildaireFarmRd.,SunsetLakeRd.andWoodsCreekRd.Sub ZoneFCounty:WakeThissubzoneincludesthetownofHollySprings,SunsetLake,BassLakeandtheareassurroundingNCHwy.55Bypass,HollySpringsRd.,AventFerryRd.,BassLakeRd.andCassHoltRd.

HarrisNuclearPlantL 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneGCounty:WakeThissubzoneincludesthetownofFuquay VarinaandtheareassurroundingNCHwy.42,NCHwy.55,USHwy.401,PineyGrove WilbonRd.,BassLakeRd.,JamesSlaughterRd.andSunsetLakeRd.ThesubzoneextendssouthtotheWakeHarnettcountylineandeastalongKennethCreek.Sub ZoneHCounty:HartnettThissubzoneincludesthecommunityofDuncan,CampAgape,RavenRockPark,WestHorseTrailLoop,theareassurroundingAventsCreekandthefollowingroads:NCHwy.42RawlsChurchRd.,BaptistGroveRd.,ChristianLightRd.,CokesburyRd.andRiverRd.ThissubzoneisborderedbytheChathamHarnett Wakecountylines,AventsCreek,ChristianLightRd.,HectorCreek,RawlsChur chRd.andUSHwy.401.Sub ZoneICounty:LeeThissubzoneisborderedbytheCapeFearRiverandtheLeeHarnettcountyline.ItincludestheareassurroundingPoplarSpringsChurchRd.,BuckhornRd.andNCHwy.42.ThesubzonealsoincludesareasnortheastofNCHwy.42andwhereLowerMoncureRd.intersectsRHLaneRd.Sub ZoneJCounty:LeeThissubzoneisborderedbytheDeepRiverandCapeFearRiver,andincludesareassurroundingLowerMoncureRd.,LeesChapelRd.,RodSullivanRd.,DeepRiverRd.,LowerRiverRd.,FerrellRd.andUSHwy.1.Sub ZoneKCounty:ChathamThissubzoneincludesthecommunitiesofMerryOaksandCorinth,thesouthernportionofHarrisLakeandtheareassurroundingthefollowingroads:OldUSHwy.1,ChristianChapelRd.,MoncureFlatWoodRd.,CorinthRd.andNCHwy.42.ThissubzoneisborderedbytheChatham Wakecountyline(onthesouthside),ChristianChapelRd.(ontheeastside),theChatham Harnettcountyline,theCapeFearRiver,theHawRiverandUSHwy.1.Sub ZoneLCounty:ChathamThissubzoneincludestheeasternportionofJordanLakeandtheareasaroundthefollowingroads:OliveChapelRd.,TodyGoodwinRd.,FarringtonRd.,PooleRd.east,EastGoodwinRd.,NewElamRd.,PeaRidgeRd.,W.H.JonesRd.andOldUSHwy.1.ThissubzoneisborderedbytheChatham Wakecountyline,theeasternshoreofJordanLake,USHwy.1andtheHawRiver.Sub ZoneMCounty:ChathamThissubzoneincludesthecommunitiesofHaywood,Moncure,Hank'sChapel,andGriffin'sCrossroads;JordanLake;andtheareassurroundingthefollowingroads:NorthPeaRidgeRd.,GumSpringsChurchRd.,ClarkPoeRd.,Moncure PittsboroRd.,JordanDamRd.,Mt.ViewChurchRd.andProvidenceChurchRd.ThissubzoneisborderedbyUSHwy.64,theeaster nshoreofJordanLake,theHawRiverandtheDeepRiver.AlsoincludedareallareasnorthandeastfromthepointwheretheRockyRiverenterstheDeepRivertoUSHwy.64atGriffin'sCrossroads.

HarrisNuclearPlantL 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1Sub ZoneNCounty:ChathamThissubzoneincludesthenorthernportionofJordanLakeandtheareassurroundingthefollowingroads:FarringtonRd.,HortonPondRd.andNCHwy.751.ThissubzoneisborderedbyUSHwy.64,theChathamWakecountyline,GreenLevelRd.andHollandsChapelRd.Also,allareaseastoftheFarringtonRd.an dHollandsChapelRd.intersectiontoUSHwy.64atWilsonvilleCrossroads.

APPENDIXMEvacuationSensitivityStudies HarrisNuclearPlantM 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M. EVACUATIONSENSITIVITYSTUDIESThisappendixpresentstheresultsofaseriesofsensitivityanalyses.TheseanalysesaredesignedtoidentifythesensitivityoftheETEtochangesinsomebaseevacuationconditions.M.1 EffectofChangesinTripGenerationTimesAsensitivitystudywasperformedtodeterminewhetherchangesintheestimatedtripgenerationtimehaveaneffectontheETEfortheentireEPZ.Specifically,ifthetailofthemobilizationdistributionweretruncated(i.e.,ifthosewhorespondedmostslowlytotheAdvisorytoEvacuatecouldbepersuadedtorespondmuchmorerapidly),howwouldtheETEbeaffected?ThecaseconsideredwasScenario6,Region3;awinter,midweek,midday,goodweatherevacuationoftheentireEPZ.TableM 1presentstheresultsofthisstudy.TableM 1.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTripGenerationSensitivityStudyTripGenerationPeriodEvacuationTimeEstimateforEntireEPZ90 thPercentile100 thPercentile2Hours30Minutes2:403:453Hours30Minutes2:503:454Hours30Minutes(Base)2:504:40Reducingthetripgenerationtimebyanhourreducesthe100 thpercentileETEby55minutes.Reducingthetripgenerationtimebyanadditionalhourto2hoursand30minutesdoesnotchangethe100 thpercentile.AsdiscussedinSection7.3,trafficcongestionpersistswithintheEPZforabout3hoursand30minutes.Reducingthetripgenerationtoanythinglessthan3hoursand30minutesdoesnotimpactthe100 thpercentileastimetoclearthecongestionwithintheEPZdictatestheETE.The90 thpercentileETEarenotsensitive(atmost10minutechangeinETE)totruncatingthetailofthemobilizationtimedistribution.

HarrisNuclearPlantM 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M.2 EffectofChangesintheNumberofPeopleintheShadowRegionWhoRelocateAsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminetheeffectonETEofchangesinthepercentageofpeoplewhodecidetorelocatefromtheShadowRegion.ThecaseconsideredwasScenario6,Region3;awinter,midweek,midday,go odweatherevacuationfortheentireEPZ.ThemovementofpeopleintheShadowRegionhasthepotentialtoimpedevehiclesevacuatingfromanEvacuationRegionwithintheEPZ.RefertoSections3.2and7.1foradditionalinformationonpopulationwithintheshadowregion.TableM 2presentstheevacuationtimeestimatesforeachofthecasesconsidered.TheresultsshowthatETEarenotimpactedbyreducingshadowevacuationfrom20%to0%.TriplingtheshadowpercentageincreasestheETEby5minutesforthe90 thpercentile-notasignificantchange.DukeEnergyandthecountieswereinterestedinhowa100%shadowevacuationwouldimpactETE-fullshadowevacuationincreasestheETEby20minutesforthe90 thpercentile.Note,thetelephonesurveyresultspresentedinAppendixFindicatethat16%ofhouseholdswouldelecttoevacuateifadvisedtoshelter.Asensitivitystudywasrunusing16%andtheETEwereunaffected.TableM 2.EvacuationTimeEstimatesforShadowSensitivityStudyPercentShadowEvacuationEvacuatingShadowVehiclesEvacuationTimeEstimateforEntireEPZ90 thPercentile100 thPercentile002:504:401616,5982:504:4020(Base)20,7472:504:406062,2412:554:40100103,7353:104:40 HarrisNuclearPlantM 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M.3 EffectofChangesinEPZResidentPopulationAsensitivitystudywasconductedtodeterminetheeffectonETEofchangesintheresidentpopulationwithinthestudyarea(EPZplusShadowRegion).AspopulationintheEPZchangesovertime,thetimerequiredtoevacuatethepublicmayincrease,decrease,orre mainthesame.SincetheETEisrelatedtothedemandtocapacityratiopresentwithintheEPZ,changesinpopulationwillcausethedemandsideoftheequationtochange.Thesensitivitystudywasconductedusingthefollowingplanningassumptions:1. Thechangeinpopulationwithinthestudyareawasincreasedbyvaryingamountsuptoa14%increase.Changesinpopulationwereappliedtopermanentresidentsonly(asperfederalguidance),inboththeEPZareaandtheShadowRegion.2. Thetransportationinfrastructureremainedfixed;thepresenceofnewroadsorhighwaycapacityimprovementswerenotconsidered.3. Thestudywa sperformedforthe2 MileRegion(R01),the5 MileRegion(R02)andtheentireEPZ(R03).4. ThescenariowhichyieldedthehighestETEvalues(notincludingspecialeventorroadwayimpactscenarios)wasselectedasthecasetobeconsideredinthissensitivitystudy(Scenario8).TableM 3presentstheresultsofthesensitivitystudy.SectionIVofAppendixEto10CFRPart50,andNUREG/CR 7002,Section5.4,requirelicenseestoprovideanupdatedETEanalysistotheNRCwhenapopulationincreasewithintheEPZcausesETEvalues(forthe2 MileRegion,5 MileRegionorentireEPZ)toincreaseby25percentor30minutes,whicheverisless.NotethatthebaseETEvaluesforthe2 MileRegion(R01)and5 MileRegion(R02)arelessthan2hours;R01criterionforupdatingis16minutes(1:05multipliedby25percent)andR02criterionforupdatingis28minutes(1:50multipliedby25percent).BaseETEvaluefortheentireEPZ(R03)isgreaterth an2hours,thereforeitscriterionforupdatingis30minutes.ThosepercentpopulationchangeswhichresultinETEchangesgreaterthantherespectivecriterionforeachregionarehighlightedinredbelow-a14%increaseinthestudyareapopulation.DukeEnergywillhavetoestimatethestudyareapopulationonanannualbasis.Ifthestudyareapopulationincreasesby14%ormo re,anupdatedETEanalysiswillbeneeded.

HarrisNuclearPlantM 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1TableM 3.ETEVariationwithPopulationChangeEPZandShadowResidentPopulationBasePopulationChange5%10%13%14%142,579 149,708 156,837 161,114162,540ETEfor90 thPercentileRegionBasePopulationChange5%10%13%14%2MILE1:051:051:051:051:055MILE1:501:501:501:501:50FULLEPZ3:103:203:253:303:30ETEfor100 thPercentileRegionBasePopulationChange5%10%13%14%2MILE4:304:304:304:304:305MILE4:354:354:354:354:35FULLEPZ4:404:455:005:055:10 HarrisNuclearPlantM 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1M.4 Effectof50%ReductioninCapacityandFreeFlowSpeedforIceScenariosDuetothelikelihoodthaticeonelectricallinescouldpotentiallycauselossofpowerattheHNP,asensitivitystudywasperformedtodeterminetheeffectonETEofasignificanticestormwhichwouldresultinreductionsinlinkcapacityandfreeflowspeedof50%.Thetwoicescenarios(Scenarios8and11)wereconsideredforthisstudyforthe2 MileRegion(R01),the5 MileRegion(R02)andtheentireEPZ(R03).TableM 4andTableM 5presenttheresultsofthesensitivitystudy.The2 MileRegionand5 MileRegionremainessentiallyunaffected,withatmosta5minuteincreaseinETE.RegardingthefullEPZ,90 thpercentileETEincreasesby1hourand25minutesforScenario8and1hourand20minutesforScenario11;100 thpercentileETEincreasesby2hoursand35minutesforScenario8and2hoursand25minutesforScenario11.TableM 4.ETEVariationfor50%IceReduction-Scenario8RegionScenario8(Base20%Reduction)

Winter,Midweek,Midday,IceScenario8(50%Reduction)Winter,Midweek,Midday,Ice 90 thPercentile100 thPercentile 90 thPercentile100 thPercentile2MILE1:054:301:104:305MILE1:504:351:504:35FULLEPZ3:104:404:357:15TableM 5.ETEVariationfor50%IceReduction-Scenario11RegionScenario11(Base20%Reduction)

Winter,Weekend,Midday,IceScenario11(50%Reduction)Winter,Weekend,Midday,Ice 90 thPercentile100 thPercentile90 thPercentile100 thPercentile2MILE1:004:301:054:305MILE1:354:351:404:35FULLEPZ3:054:404:257:05M.5 EffectofAdditionalConstructionEmployeesatPeakConstructionYearof2022TwosensitivitystudieswereconductedtodeterminetheeffectonETEiftheresidentpopulationwithinthestudyarea(EPZplusShadowRegion)isprojectedtothepeakconstructionyearofthenewplantsite(2022)andaddingtheadditionalconstructionworkers.AsprovidedbyDukeEnergy,amaximumdailyworkforceof3,500constructionworkerswouldbepresenton site.BaseduponthetelephonesurveyresultspresentedinAppendixF,theemployeevehicleoccupancyrateof1.07isappliedtotheconstructionworkers,resultinginan HarrisNuclearPlantM 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1additional3,271employeevehiclesloadedontotheHNPaccessroad.Theseestimatesareadditionaltothe441HNPemployeestravelingin412vehiclesalreadyevacuatingfromtheplant.Thesensitivitystudywasconductedusingthefollowingplanningassumptions:1. U.S.CensusgrowthratesbycountytakenfromApril1,2010toJuly1,2011wereusedandevenlydistributedoverthe15monthtimeframetogetayea rlygrowthratebycounty.ThesegrowthrateswereusedtoprojecttheEPZandShadowRegionresidentpopulationtotheyear2022.2. Thetransportationinfrastructureremainedfixed;thepresenceofnewroadsorhighwaycapacit yimprovementswasnotconsidered.3. Thestudywasperformedforthe2 MileRegion(R01),the5 MileRegion(R02)andtheentireEPZ(R03).4. Scenario6(winter,midweek,midday,goodweather)wasselectedasthecasetobeconsidered.5. Theadditional3,271constructionvehiclesand412HNPemployeevehicleswereloadedontotheHNPaccessroad.TableM 6summarizestheresultsofthesensitivitystudy.ProjectingtheEPZan dShadowRegionresidentpopulationto2022increasesthe90 thpercentileETEby5minutesforthe2 mileregionand5 mileregionand25minutesforthefullEPZ.Addingthe3,271constructionworkervehiclesfurtherincreasesthe90 thpercentileETEby1hourand40minutesforthe2 mileregion,55minutesforthe5 mileregionand5minutesforthefullEPZ.The100 thpercentileETEisdictatedbymobilizationtimeofresidents,exceptfora5minuteincreaseforafullEPZevacuationwiththeadditionalconstructionworkers-notasignificantchange.Theseresultsindicatethattheadditionalconstructionworkersdictatethe90 thpercentileETEforthe2 mileregionand5 mileregion,asindicatedbytheirsameETEvalueof2:50.TableM 6.ETEforPeakConstructionYear2022RegionBaseETE2022WithoutConstructionVehicles2022WithConstructionVehicles90 thPercentileETE2 MileRegion1:051:102:505 MileRegion1:501:552:50FullEPZ2:503:153:20100 thPercentileETE2 MileRegion4:304:304:305 MileRegion4:354:354:35FullEPZ4:404:404:45 APPENDIXNETECriteriaChecklist HarrisNuclearPlantN 1KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1N. ETECRITERIACHECKLISTTableN 1.ETEReviewCriteriaChecklistNRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments1.0Introductiona. Theemergencyplanningzone(EPZ)andsurroundingareashouldbedescribed.YesSection1b. Amapshouldbeincludedthatidentifiesprimaryfeaturesofthesite,includingmajorroadways,significanttopographicalfeatures,boundariesofcounties,andpopulationcenterswithintheEPZ.YesFigures1 1,3 1,6 1c. AcomparisonofthecurrentandpreviousETEshouldbeprovidedandincludessimilarinformationasidentifiedinTable1 1,"ETEComparison,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesTable1 31.1Approacha. Adiscussionoftheapproachandlevelofdetailobtainedduringthefieldsurveyoftheroadwaynetworkshouldbeprovided.YesSection1.3b. Sourcesofdemographicdataforschools,specialfacilities,largeemployers,andspecialeventsshouldbeidentified.YesSections2.1,3,8c. Discussionshouldbepresentedonuseoftrafficcontrolplansintheanalysis.YesSection1.3,Section2.2,Section9,AppendixGd. Trafficsimulationmodelsusedfortheanalysesshouldbeidentifiedbynameandversion.YesSection1.3,Table1 3,AppendixB,AppendixC HarrisNuclearPlantN 2KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentse. Methodsusedtoaddressdatauncertaintiesshouldbedescribed.YesSection3-avoiddoublecountingSection5,AppendixF-4.5%samplingerrorat95%confidenceintervalfortelephonesurvey1.2Assumptionsa. TheplanningbasisfortheETEincludestheassumptionthattheevacuationshouldbeorderedpromptlyandnoearlyprotectiveactionshavebeenimplemented.YesSection2.3-Assumption1Section5.1b. AssumptionsconsistentwithTable1 2,"GeneralAssumptions,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovidedandincludethebasistosupporttheiruse.YesSections2.2,2.31.3ScenarioDevelopmenta. ThetenscenariosinTable1 3,EvacuationScenarios,shouldbedevelopedfortheETEanalysis,orareasonshouldbeprovidedforuseofotherscenarios.YesTables2 1,Section61.3.1StagedEvacuationa. Adiscussionshouldbeprovidedontheapproachusedindevelopmentofastagedevacuation.YesSections5.4.2,7.21.4EvacuationPlanningAreasa. AmapofEPZwithemergencyresponseplanningareas(ERPAs)shouldbeincluded.YesFigure6 1b. AtableshouldbeprovidedidentifyingtheERPAsconsideredforeachETEcalculationbydownwinddirectionineachsector.YesTables6 1,7 5,H 1 HarrisNuclearPlantN 3KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsc. AtablesimilartoTable1 4,"EvacuationAreasforaStagedEvacuationKeyhole,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovidedandincludesthecompleteevacuationofthe2,5,and10mileareasandforthe2milearea/5milekeyholeevacuations.YesTables7 3,7 42.0DemandEstimationa. Demandestimationshouldbedevelopedforthefourpopulationgroups,includingpermanentresidentsoftheEPZ,transients,specialfacilities,andschools.YesPermanentresidents,employees,transients-Section3,AppendixESpecialfacilities,schools-Section8,AppendixE2.1PermanentResidentsandTransientPopulationa. TheUSCensusshouldbethesourceofthepopulationvalues,oranothercrediblesourceshouldbeprovided.YesSection3.1b. PopulationvaluesshouldbeadjustedasnecessaryforgrowthtoreflectpopulationestimatestotheyearoftheETE.Yes2010usedasthebaseyearforanalysis.c. Asectordiagramshouldbeincluded,similartoFigure2 1,"PopulationbySector,"ofNUREG/CR 7002,showingthepopulationdistributionforpermanentresidents.YesFigure3 22.1.1PermanentResidentswithVehiclesa. Thepersonspervehiclevalueshouldbebetween1and2orjustificationshouldbeprovidedforothervalues.Yes2.02personspervehiclebasedontelephonesurveyresults-seeTable1 3b. Majoremployersshouldbelisted.YesAppendixE-TableE 4 HarrisNuclearPlantN 4KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments2.1.2TransientPopulationa. Alistoffacilitieswhichattracttransientpopulationsshouldbeincluded,andpeakandaverageattendanceforthesefacilitiesshouldbelisted.Thesourceofinformationusedtodevelopattendancevaluesshouldbeprovided.YesSections3.3,3.4,AppendixE,Section6 4b. Theaveragepopulationduringtheseasonshouldbeused,itemizedandtotaledforeachscenario.YesTables3 4,3 5andAppendixEitemizethetransientpopulationandemployeeestimates.TheseestimatesaremultipliedbythescenariospecificpercentagesprovidedinTable6 3toestimateaveragetransientpopulationbyscenario-seepage6 1.c. Thepercentofpermanentresidentsassumedtobeatfacilitiesshouldbeestimated.YesSections3.3,3.4d. Thenumberofpeoplepervehicleshouldbeprovided.Numbersmayvarybyscenario,andifso,discussiononwhyvaluesvaryshouldbeprovided.YesSections3.3,3.4e. Asectordiagramshouldbeincluded,similartoFigure2 1ofNUREG/CR 7002,showingthepopulationdistributionforthetransientpopulation.YesFigure3 6-transientsFigure3 8-employees2.2TransitDependentPermanentResidentsa. Themethodologyusedtodeterminethenumberoftransitdependentresidentsshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.1,Table8 1b. Transportationresourcesneededtoevacuatethisgroupshouldbequantified.YesSection8.1,Tables8 5,8 10 HarrisNuclearPlantN 5KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsc. Thecounty/localevacuationplansfortransitdependentresidentsshouldbeusedintheanalysis.YesSections8.1,8.4d. Themethodologyusedtodeterminethenumberofpeoplewithdisabilitiesandthosewithaccessandfunctionalneedswhomayneedassistanceanddonotresideinspecialfacilitiesshouldbeprovided.Datafromlocal/countyregistrationprogramsshouldbeusedintheestimate,butshouldnotbetheonlysetofdata.YesSection8.5e. Capacitiesshouldbeprovidedforalltypesoftransportationresources.Busseatingcapacityof50%shouldbeusedorjustificationshouldbeprovidedforhighervalues.YesSection2.3-Assumption10Sections3.5,8.1,8.2,8.3f. Anestimateofthispopulationshouldbeprovidedandinformationshouldbeprovidedthattheexistingregistrationprogramswereusedindevelopingtheestimate.YesTable8 1-transitdependentsSection8.5-specialneedsg. Asummarytableofthetotalnumberofbuses,ambulances,orothertransportneededtosupportevacuationshouldbeprovidedandthequantificationofresourcesshouldbedetailedenoughtoassuredoublecountinghasnotoccurred.YesSections8.3,8.4-page8 6Table8 52.3SpecialFacilityResidentsa. Alistofspecialfacilities,includingthetypeoffacility,location,andaveragepopulationshouldbeprovided.Specialfacilitystaffshouldbeincludedinthetotalspecialfacilitypopulation.YesAppendixE,TablesE 1,E 2,E 3-listfacilities,type,location,andpopulation HarrisNuclearPlantN 6KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Adiscussionshouldbeprovidedonhowspecialfacilitydatawasobtained.YesSections8.2,8.3c. Thenumberofwheelchairandbed boundindividualsshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.3,Table8 4d. Anestimateofthenumberandcapacityofvehiclesneededtosupporttheevacuationofthefacilityshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.3Tables8 4,8 5e. Thelogisticsformobilizingspeciallytrainedstaff(e.g.,medicalsupportorsecuritysupportforprisons,jails,andothercorrectionalfacilities)shouldbediscussedwhenappropriate.YesSections8.4NojailsinEPZ2.4Schoolsa. Alistofschoolsincludingname,location,studentpopulation,andtransportationresourcesrequiredtosupporttheevacuation,shouldbeprovided.Thesourceofthisinformationshouldbeprovided.YesTable8 2Section8.2b. Transportationresourcesforelementaryandmiddleschoolsshouldbebasedon100%oftheschoolcapacity.YesTable8 2c. Theestimateofhighschoolstudentswhowillusetheirpersonalvehicletoevacuateshouldbeprovidedandabasisforthevaluesusedshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.2d. Theneedforreturntripsshouldbeidentifiedifnecessary.YesTherearesufficientresourcestoevacuateschoolsinasinglewave.However,Section8.4andFigure8 1discussthepotentialforamultiplewaveevacuation HarrisNuclearPlantN 7KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments2.5.1SpecialEventsa. Acompletelistofspecialeventsshouldbeprovidedandincludesinformationonthepopulation,estimatedduration,andseasonoftheevent.YesSection3.7-only2eventssuggestedbyoffsiteagenciesb. ThespecialeventthatencompassesthepeaktransientpopulationshouldbeanalyzedintheETE.YesSection3.7c. Thepercentofpermanentresidentsattendingtheeventshouldbeestimated.YesSection3.72.5.2ShadowEvacuationa. Ashadowevacuationof20percentshouldbeincludedforareasoutsidetheevacuationareaextendingto15milesfromtheNPP.YesSection2.2-Assumption5Figures2 1,7 1Section3.2b. Populationestimatesfortheshadowevacuationinthe10to15mileareabeyondtheEPZareprovidedbysector.YesSection3.2Figure3 4Table3 3c. Theloadingoftheshadowevacuationontotheroadwaynetworkshouldbeconsistentwiththetripgenerationtimegeneratedforthepermanentresidentpopulation.YesSection5-Table5 82.5.3BackgroundandPassThroughTraffica. Thevolumeofbackgroundtrafficandpassthroughtrafficisbasedontheaveragedaytimetraffic.Valuesmaybereducedfornighttimescenarios.YesSections3.6,6Tables3 6,6 3,6 4 HarrisNuclearPlantN 8KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. PassthroughtrafficisassumedtohavestoppedenteringtheEPZabouttwohoursaftertheinitialnotification.YesSection2.3-Assumption5(offsiteagenciesindicatedpassthroughtrafficwouldbedivertedwithin30minutes)Section3.6Table6 3-ExternalThroughTrafficfootnote2.6SummaryofDemandEstimationa. Asummarytableshouldbeprovidedthatidentifiesthetotalpopulationsandtotalvehiclesusedinanalysisforpermanentresidents,transients,transitdependentresidents,specialfacilities,schools,shadowpopulation,andpass throughdemandusedineachscenario.YesTables3 7,3 83.0RoadwayCapacitya. Themethod(s)usedtoassessroadwaycapacityshouldbediscussed.YesSection43.1RoadwayCharacteristicsa. AfieldsurveyofkeyrouteswithintheEPZhasbeenconducted.YesSection1.3,AppendixDb. Informationshouldbeprovideddescribingtheextentofthesurvey,andtypesofinformationgatheredandusedintheanalysis.YesSection1.3,AppendixDc. AtablesimilartothatinAppendixA,"RoadwayCharacteristics,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeprovided.YesAppendixK,TableK 1d. Calculationsforarepresentativeroadwaysegmentshouldbeprovided.YesSection4 HarrisNuclearPlantN 9KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentse. AlegiblemapoftheroadwaysystemthatidentifiesnodenumbersandsegmentsusedtodeveloptheETEshouldbeprovidedandshouldbesimilartoFigure3 1,"RoadwayNetworkIdentifyingNodesandSegments,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesAppendixK,FiguresK 1throughK 44presenttheentirelink nodeanalysisnetworkatascalesuitabletoidentifyalllinksandnodes3.2CapacityAnalysisa. Theapproachusedtocalculatetheroadwaycapacityforthetransportationnetworkshouldbedescribedindetailandidentifiesfactorsthatshouldbeexpresslyusedinthemodeling.YesSection4b. ThecapacityanalysisidentifieswherefieldinformationshouldbeusedintheETEcalculation.YesSection1.3,Section43.3IntersectionControla. Alistofintersectionsshouldbeprovidedthatincludesthetotalnumberofintersectionsmodeledthatareunsignalized,signalized,ormannedbyresponsepersonnel.YesAppendixK,TableK 2b. Characteristicsforthe10highestvolumeintersectionswithintheEPZareprovidedincludingthelocation,signalcyclelength,andturnlanequeuecapacity.YesTableJ 1c. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonhowsignalcycletimeisusedinthecalculations.YesSection4.1,AppendixC HarrisNuclearPlantN 10KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments3.4AdverseWeathera. Theadverseweatherconditionshouldbeidentifiedandtheeffectsofadverseweatheronmobilizationtimeshouldbeconsidered.YesTable2 1,Section2.3-Assumption9Mobilizationtime-Table2 2b. ThespeedandcapacityreductionfactorsidentifiedinTable3 1,"WeatherCapacityFactors,"ofNUREG/CR 7002shouldbeusedorabasisshouldbeprovidedforothervalues.YesTable2 2-basedonHCM2010.ThefactorsprovidedinTable3 1ofNUREG/CR 7002arefromHCM2000.c. Thestudyidentifiesassumptionsforsnowremovalonstreetsanddriveways,whenapplicable.YesNotApplicable4.0DevelopmentofEvacuationTimes4.1TripGenerationTimea. Theprocessusedtodeveloptripgenerationtimesshouldbeidentified.YesSection5b. Whentelephonesurveysareused,thescopeofthesurvey,areaofsurvey,numberofparticipants,andstatisticalrelevanceshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixFc. Dataobtainedfromtelephonesurveysshouldbesummarized.YesAppendixFd. Thetripgenerationtimeforeachpopulationgroupshouldbedevelopedfromsitespecificinformation.YesSection5,AppendixF HarrisNuclearPlantN 11KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments4.1.1PermanentResidentsandTransientPopulationa. Permanentresidentsareassumedtoevacuatefromtheirhomesbutarenotassumedtobeathomeatalltimes.Tripgenerationtimeincludestheassumptionthatapercentageofresidentswillneedtoreturnhomepriortoevacuating.YesSection5discussestripgenerationforhouseholdswithandwithoutreturningcommuters.Table6 3presentsthepercentageofhouseholdswithreturningcommutersandthepercentageofhouseholdseitherwithoutreturningcommutersorwithnocommuters.AppendixFpresentsthepercenthouseholdswhowillawaitthereturnofcommuters.Section2.3,Assumption3b. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonthetimeandmethodusedtonotifytransients.Thetripgenerationtimediscussesanydifficultiesnotifyingpersonsinhardtoreachareassuchasonlakesorincampgrounds.YesSection5.4.3c. Thetripgenerationtimeaccountsfortransientspotentiallyreturningtohotelspriortoevacuating.YesSection5.4.3,Figure5 1d. Effectofpublictransportationresourcesusedduringspecialeventswherealargenumberoftransientsshouldbeexpectedshouldbeconsidered.YesSection3.7e. Thetripgenerationtimeforthetransientpopulationshouldbeintegratedandloadedontothetransportationnetworkwiththegeneralpublic.YesSection5,Table5 8 HarrisNuclearPlantN 12KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments4.1.2TransitDependentResidentsa. Ifavailable,existingplansandbusroutesshouldbeusedintheETEanalysis.IfnewplansshouldbedevelopedwiththeETE,theyhavebeenagreeduponbytheresponsibleauthorities.YesSection8.4-page8 8.Preestablishedbusroutesdonotexist.BasicbusroutesweredevelopedfortheETEanalysis-seeFigure8 2,Table8 10.Stateandlocalemer gencymanagementagenciesreviewedandapprovedtheETEstudyincludingtheseprescribedroutes.b. Discussionshouldbeincludedonthemeansofevacuatingambulatoryandnonambulatoryresidents.YesSections8.4,8.5c. Thenumber,location,andavailabilityofbuses,andotherresourcesneededtosupportthedemandestimationshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4,Table8 5d. Logisticaldetails,suchasthetimetoobtainbuses,briefdrivers,andinitiatethebusrouteshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4,Figure8 1e. Discussionshouldidentifythetimeestimatedfortransitdependentresidentstoprepareandtraveltoabuspickuppoint,anddescribestheexpectedmeansoftraveltothepickuppoint.YesSection8.4,page8 8f. Thenumberofbusstopsandtimeneededtoloadpassengersshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.4g. Amapofbusroutesshouldbeincluded.YesFigure8 2h. Thetripgenerationtimefornonambulatorypersonsincludesthetimetomobilizeambulancesorspecialvehicles,timetodrivetothehomeofresidents,loadingtime,andtimetodriveoutoftheEPZshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.5 HarrisNuclearPlantN 13KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsi. Informationshouldbeprovidedtosupportsanalysisofreturntrips,ifnecessary.YesSection8.4Figure8 1Tables8 11through8 134.1.3SpecialFacilitiesa. Informationonevacuationlogisticsandmobilizationtimesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4,Tables8 7through8 9,8 14through8 16b. Discussionshouldbeprovidedontheinboundandoutboundspeeds.YesSection8.4c. Thenumberofwheelchairandbed boundsindividualsshouldbeprovided,andthelogisticsofevacuatingtheseresidentsshouldbediscussed.YesSection8.4,Tables8 4,8 14through8 16d. TimeforloadingofresidentsshouldbeprovidedYesSection8.4e. Informationshouldbeprovidedthatindicateswhethertheevacuationcanbecompletedinasingletriporifadditionaltripsshouldbeneeded.YesSection8.4f. Ifreturntripsshouldbeneeded,thedestinationofvehiclesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4g. Discussionshouldbeprovidedonwhetherspecialfacilityresidentsareexpectedtopassthroughthereceptioncenterpriortobeingevacuatedtotheirfinaldestination.YesSection8.4h. Supportinginformationshouldbeprovidedtoquantifythetimeelementsforthereturntrips.YesSection8.4 HarrisNuclearPlantN 14KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments4.1.4Schoolsa. Informationonevacuationlogisticsandmobilizationtimeshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4b. Discussionshouldbeprovidedontheinboundandoutboundspeeds.YesSchoolbusroutesarepresentedinTable8 6SchoolbusspeedsarepresentedinTables8 7through8 9Section8.4discussesinboundandoutboundspeedsc. Timeforloadingofstudentsshouldbeprovided.YesTables8 7through8 9,DiscussioninSection8.4d. Informationshouldbeprovidedthatindicateswhethertheevacuationcanbecompletedinasingletriporifadditionaltripsareneeded.YesSection8.4-page8 6Table8 5e. Ifreturntripsareneeded,thedestinationofschoolbusesshouldbeprovided.YesReturntripsarenotneeded.Sufficientresourcestoevacuateinsinglewave-page8 6f. Ifused,receptioncentersshouldbeidentified.Discussionshouldbeprovidedonwhetherstudentsareexpectedtopassthroughthereceptioncenterpriortobeingevacuatedtotheirfinaldestination.YesTable8 3.Studentsareevacuatedtorelocationschoolswheretheywillbepickedupbyparentsorguardians HarrisNuclearPlantN 15KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsg. Supportinginformationshouldbeprovidedtoquantifythetimeelementsforthereturntrips.YesReturntripsarenotneeded.Tables8 7through8 9providetimeneededtoarriveatrelocationschool,whichcouldbeusedtocomputeasecondwaveevacuationifnecessary4.2ETEModelinga. GeneralinformationaboutthemodelshouldbeprovidedanddemonstratesitsuseinETEstudies.YesDYNEVII(Ver.4.0.10.0)System.Section1.3,Table1 3,AppendixB,AppendixCb. IfatrafficsimulationmodelisnotusedtoconducttheETEcalculation,sufficientdetailshouldbeprovidedtovalidatetheanalyticalapproachused.Allcriteriaelementsshouldhavebeenmet,asappropriate.NoNotapplicableasatrafficsimulationmodelwasused4.2.1TrafficSimulationModelInputa. Trafficsimulationmodelassumptionsandarepresentativesetofmodelinputsshouldbeprovided.YesAppendicesBandCdescribethesimulationmodelassumptionsandalgorithmsTableJ 2-modelinputsb. Aglossaryoftermsshouldbeprovidedforthekeyperformancemeasuresandparametersusedintheanalysis.YesAppendixATablesC 1,C 24.2.2TrafficSimulationModelOutputa. AdiscussionregardingwhetherthetrafficsimulationmodelusedmustbeinequilibrationpriortocalculatingtheETEshouldbeprovided.YesAppendixB HarrisNuclearPlantN 16KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. Theminimumfollowingmodeloutputsshouldbeprovidedtosupportreview:1. TotalvolumeandpercentbyhourateachEPZexitnode.2. Networkwideaveragetraveltime.3. Longestqueuelengthforthe10intersectionswiththehighesttrafficvolume.4. Totalvehiclesexitingthenetwork.5. AplotthatprovidesboththemobilizationcurveandevacuationcurveidentifyingthecumulativepercentageofevacueeswhohavemobilizedandexitedtheEPZ.6. AveragespeedforeachmajorevacuationroutethatexitstheEPZ.Yes1. TableJ 5.2. TableJ 3.3. TableJ 1.4. TableJ 3.5. FiguresJ 1throughJ 14(oneplotforeachscenarioconsidered

).6. TableJ 4.NetworkwideaveragespeedalsoprovidedinTableJ 3.c. Colorcodedroadwaymapsshouldbeprovidedforvarioustimes(i.e.,at2,4,6hrs.,etc.)duringafullEPZevacuationscenario,identifyingareaswherelongqueuesexistincludinglevelofservice(LOS)"E"andLOS"F"conditions,iftheyoccur.YesFigures7 3through7 84.3EvacuationTimeEstimatesfortheGeneralPublica. TheETEshouldincludethetimetoevacuate90%and100%ofthetotalpermanentresidentandtransientpopulationYesTables7 1,7 2 HarrisNuclearPlantN 17KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisCommentsb. TheETEfor100%ofthegeneralpublicshouldincludeallmembersofthegeneralpublic.Anyreductionsortruncateddatashouldbeexplained.YesSection5.4-truncatingsurveydatatoeliminatestatisticaloutliersTable7 2-100 thpercentileETEforgeneralpopulationc. Tablesshouldbeprovidedforthe90and100percentETEssimilartoTable4 3,"ETEsforStagedEvacuationKeyhole,"ofNUREG/CR 7002.YesTables7 3,7 4d. ETEsshouldbeprovidedforthe100percentevacuationofspecialfacilities,transitdependent,andschoolpopulations.YesSections8.4and8.5Tables8 7through8 9,8 11through8 165.0OtherConsiderations5.1DevelopmentofTrafficControlPlansa. Informationthatresponsibleauthoritieshaveapprovedthetrafficcontrolplanusedintheanalysisshouldbeprovided.YesSection9,AppendixGb. AdiscussionofadjustmentsoradditionstothetrafficcontrolplanthataffecttheETEshouldbeprovided.Yes5.2EnhancementsinEvacuationTimea. Theresultsofassessmentsforimprovementofevacuationtimeshouldbeprovided.YesSection13,AppendixMb. Astatementordiscussionregardingpresentationofenhancementstolocalauthoritiesshouldbeprovided.YesResultsoftheETEstudywereformallypresentedtolocalauthoritiesatthefinalprojectmeeting.Recommendedenhancementswerediscussed.

HarrisNuclearPlantN 18KLDEngineering,P.C.EvacuationTimeEstimateRev.1NRCReviewCriteriaCriterionAddressedinETEAnalysisComments5.3StateandLocalReviewa. Alistofagenciescontactedandtheextentofinteractionwiththeseagenciesshouldbediscussed.YesTable1 1b. InformationshouldbeprovidedonanyunresolvedissuesthatmayaffecttheETE.YesTherearenooutstandingissues5.4ReviewsandUpdatesa. AdiscussionofwhenanupdatedETEanalysisisrequiredtobeperformedandsubmittedtotheNRC.YesAppendixM,SectionM.35.5ReceptionCentersandCongregateCareCentera. Amapofcongregatecarecentersandreceptioncentersshouldbeprovided.YesFigure10 1b. Ifreturntripsarerequired,assumptionsusedtoestimatereturntimesforbusesshouldbeprovided.YesSection8.4discussesamulti waveevacuationprocedure.Figure8 1c. Itshouldbeclearlystatedifitisassumedthatpassengersareleftatthereceptioncenterandaretakenbyseparatebusestothecongregatecarecenter.YesSection2.3-Assumption7hSection10 TechnicalReviewer_________________

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